1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,679 Speaker 1: Now. Fletcher Building today announced a two hundred and twenty 2 00:00:02,759 --> 00:00:06,640 Speaker 1: seven million dollar net loss after tax. Not going well. 3 00:00:06,800 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 1: It's already warning of a challenging year ahead. Sam Trathuiz 4 00:00:09,600 --> 00:00:12,760 Speaker 1: from Milford Assett Management osam good evening. Either did the 5 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 1: company's performance meet the investor expectations or not? 6 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:18,480 Speaker 2: I think it would be fair to say investor expectations 7 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:21,640 Speaker 2: were not at all high going into the result, given 8 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:24,800 Speaker 2: what has been going on in the economy and also 9 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 2: within fletcher itself. So look, the headline numbers reported were weak. 10 00:00:29,520 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 2: If you strip down the business and look at the 11 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 2: core profitability, looking at earnings before interest, tax and all 12 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:37,440 Speaker 2: the big one offs that are going on within Fletcher's, 13 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 2: it was just above five hundred million, so that's down 14 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:44,000 Speaker 2: nearly three hundred million on the prior year. There were 15 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:46,240 Speaker 2: a few new big one offs in there, one hundred 16 00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 2: million dollar impairment against the Higgins runing business, but fortunately 17 00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:53,560 Speaker 2: no new issues arising from some of those legacy construction projects. 18 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 2: I think the outlook was probably the key area of 19 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 2: interest and the reasons that shares. The share price of 20 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 2: Fletcher's traded lower today initially, so they indicated that they 21 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:06,399 Speaker 2: are planning for volumes in the year ahead to be 22 00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:10,400 Speaker 2: down ten to fifteen percent across their materials and distribution businesses. 23 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:14,280 Speaker 2: That's getting worse on last year, essentially signaling that the 24 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:17,679 Speaker 2: weakness there is more weakness to come, there's more earnings 25 00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 2: pressure in the year ahead. 26 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 1: Do you think Fletcher's management has just been conservative here 27 00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 1: or do you reckon they are being realistic about what's 28 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 1: going on. 29 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:30,520 Speaker 2: Often when there is significant management change in listed companies, 30 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 2: it's pretty common to see a clearing of the decks. 31 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:37,120 Speaker 2: So essentially a reset of investing expectations or very conservative 32 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:40,919 Speaker 2: guidance statement or outlook statement going forward that is really achievable. 33 00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:43,560 Speaker 2: But in this case, I think it is a realistic 34 00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:48,520 Speaker 2: of view rather than that conservative statement. Fitture's CFO Bevn 35 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 2: McKenzie indicated that they really are seeing those volume declients 36 00:01:52,080 --> 00:01:54,600 Speaker 2: at present over the last month or so compared to 37 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 2: last year of that ten to fifteen percent range, and 38 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 2: its products at the earlier stage of the the building cycle, 39 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 2: so rather than those finishing trades. So the challenge for 40 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 2: investors the market is to think about how that could change. 41 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:10,400 Speaker 2: Is that say like that all yeh, And the key 42 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:14,519 Speaker 2: there really being what impact will the OCR cuts, the 43 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 2: interest rate cuts from the arbens you'd have on the business, 44 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:20,360 Speaker 2: on the residential market, the construction market, and how quickly 45 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:21,639 Speaker 2: will that come through? 46 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:25,519 Speaker 1: Heather Sam the new CEO incoming, obviously not there yet, 47 00:02:25,600 --> 00:02:28,080 Speaker 1: Andrew Reading, what do you expect his priorities are going 48 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 1: to be? 49 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 2: Look for Andrew, he was actually part of Fletcher's old 50 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 2: guard you could call back in the early two thousands 51 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 2: before doing some time at Graham Heart's Rant Group. He 52 00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 2: knows the business, but I think initially there's a decent 53 00:02:41,480 --> 00:02:44,400 Speaker 2: list of issues still requiring a big fix, and it 54 00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 2: came through pretty pretty clearly today that at the top 55 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 2: of that list will be the balance sheet or the 56 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:53,880 Speaker 2: debt that they have, and the company has received several 57 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:57,839 Speaker 2: waivers on its banking covenants and spending is being pulled back, 58 00:02:57,840 --> 00:03:00,399 Speaker 2: but it's very much at the top end of where 59 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:02,520 Speaker 2: they would like it to be. So they're thinking about 60 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:06,080 Speaker 2: what business units can be sold or perhaps capital taken 61 00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 2: out of. Maybe something like the Fletcher Living Home to 62 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 2: building division could be one that that is sort of 63 00:03:12,280 --> 00:03:14,839 Speaker 2: prime for that opportunity. So that's Number one issue for him. 64 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:17,960 Speaker 2: Number two is probably sorting out IDEX pipes, so the 65 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:21,640 Speaker 2: faulty pipes over in Western Australia that they are facing 66 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 2: a few problems with, so plenty for him to fix 67 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 2: before he can really get onto thinking about growing and 68 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:29,839 Speaker 2: returning the business to what it will used to be. 69 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:31,919 Speaker 1: So right, Hay, Sam, thank you very much appreciated mate. 70 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 1: As always, samra Thu, we have Milfed Asset Management. For 71 00:03:34,920 --> 00:03:36,920 Speaker 1: more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive. 72 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:40,520 Speaker 2: Listen live to news talks it'd be from four pm weekdays, 73 00:03:40,600 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 2: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.