1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,279 Speaker 1: I've got some new research from the Asia New Zealand Foundation. 2 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:04,000 Speaker 1: More of us are seeing China as the threat. Last 3 00:00:04,080 --> 00:00:06,480 Speaker 1: year it's twenty eight percent of us. This year it's forty. 4 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:09,159 Speaker 1: Here's the flip side. China's second only we think to 5 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:11,680 Speaker 1: Japan as a place we need to invest more effort into. 6 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: So director of Victoria University's China Research Center, Jason Young's 7 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:18,639 Speaker 1: with us, Jason Morning, Good morning. Perception always interests me. 8 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:20,759 Speaker 1: Could it be something as simple as the Chinese fleet 9 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:23,800 Speaker 1: of cruises coming into the Tasman Sea and US going, oh, yeah, 10 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 1: they look a bit dangerous, and all of a sudden 11 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: perception changes. 12 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 2: Yeah. I think that's pretty much on the money. So 13 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 2: the mini poll, which is the sort of big jump 14 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 2: in threat perceptions towards China, happened in March, just after 15 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 2: the task force was in the Testman Fleet. And I think, 16 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:43,440 Speaker 2: you know, for New Zealanders that have seen China grow, 17 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:46,240 Speaker 2: seen it become a very powerful country, Senate's military grow, 18 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 2: but its military has always been very far away. Coming 19 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 2: into the Tasman Sea really changes, I think helped you. 20 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:54,760 Speaker 1: So really nothing's actually changed apart from the headline, and 21 00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 1: suddenly the same with America, isn't it. I mean, this 22 00:00:57,560 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 1: is Trump, isn't it. We think differently of America our 23 00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 1: soul because of Trump, don't we. 24 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 2: Well, if you look back to the pole that was done, 25 00:01:04,240 --> 00:01:06,560 Speaker 2: the actual survey which was done in November, there was 26 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 2: actually an improvement in perceptions towards China. So the long 27 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:12,960 Speaker 2: term trend was actually looking pretty good for China. There's 28 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:16,479 Speaker 2: still high roughly third one third, one third. Threat perceptions 29 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:19,440 Speaker 2: were up and friendlyiness perceptions were up, and then a 30 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 2: third of people didn't know. But it was really that 31 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:26,039 Speaker 2: much poll that jumped up. And yeah, very similar for Trump. 32 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:29,559 Speaker 2: I think it's no secret that when there's a Trump administration, 33 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:32,560 Speaker 2: New Zealanders are more worried about the United States. 34 00:01:32,360 --> 00:01:35,399 Speaker 1: As far as US dealing or investing with China. Are 35 00:01:35,400 --> 00:01:37,880 Speaker 1: we walking in our own minds the same type rope 36 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:39,760 Speaker 1: of government walks, and that is that you know, they 37 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: may have a view of the world that we don't 38 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:44,039 Speaker 1: align ourselves with, but there are a very big economy 39 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:45,560 Speaker 1: and we want to slice of that action, thank you 40 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:46,040 Speaker 1: very much. 41 00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:50,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's a very complicated relationship in the 42 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 2: sense that New Zealanders, on all of the surveys have 43 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 2: very low trusts that China will do the right thing 44 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 2: in world affairs. It's down to about forteen percent of 45 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:01,720 Speaker 2: people think that that will and there's also an aversion 46 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:04,840 Speaker 2: to the authoritarian political system in China. But at the 47 00:02:04,880 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 2: same time, it's seen is very very important because it's 48 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 2: the largest parent Asia, half of the GDP of Asia, 49 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 2: and it's an important trade partner, which is important to 50 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 2: New Zealand interests. And I think that's just the reality 51 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 2: of the situation. 52 00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:20,640 Speaker 1: Jason, nice to talk to you, Jason Young, who's director 53 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:24,040 Speaker 1: of Victoria University's New Zealand China Research Center. For more 54 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:27,200 Speaker 1: from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to news talks. 55 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 1: It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast 56 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio