1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,240 Speaker 1: So tomorrow, of course Wednesday, are the pressures on the 2 00:00:02,279 --> 00:00:05,280 Speaker 1: new Reserve Bank fill and governor. Although given it's a committee, 3 00:00:05,320 --> 00:00:07,640 Speaker 1: he in theories more the messenger we have it is 4 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:11,720 Speaker 1: reported increased calls for a fifty point cut. Now why 5 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:14,240 Speaker 1: are because things are not flash? A lot of commentary 6 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:16,599 Speaker 1: if you read business results in the current reporting season, 7 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:20,320 Speaker 1: tells us the recovery is underway. Things are looking better, 8 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:23,200 Speaker 1: and certainly we can see, for example, retail spending numbers 9 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:25,919 Speaker 1: produced just last Friday for the opening quarter of the 10 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:28,160 Speaker 1: year are up and in some parts of the sector 11 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 1: up quite a bit. We've seen manufacturing expanding for several 12 00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:34,519 Speaker 1: months in a row. So those are you effect based statistics. 13 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 1: The other measures like confidence, we see drops, we see 14 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 1: people in the doldrums. But that's a vibe, I mean, 15 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:41,400 Speaker 1: can you find people who are in the doldrums? Of 16 00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:43,839 Speaker 1: course you can. But does a vibe lead to a 17 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:45,400 Speaker 1: lack of action or a lack of spend or do 18 00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:47,600 Speaker 1: we just say one thing and do another. We also 19 00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 1: read a lot about this uncertainty. The uncertainty is of 20 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:53,519 Speaker 1: course Trump. Trump is increasingly seen as insane and it 21 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:55,920 Speaker 1: may well all end in tears, I mean threatening Europe 22 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 1: one day, then delaying it all till July. Against this, 23 00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 1: the Reserve bank governor has to work out is it 24 00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 1: twenty five or is it fifty points? If it's fifty, 25 00:01:03,640 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 1: does that gs all up? And out we go and 26 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:08,000 Speaker 1: fire things up and then the next thing, you know, 27 00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:11,080 Speaker 1: inflation's sparked up. Does he go twenty five and hint 28 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:13,759 Speaker 1: at another twenty five and maybe even another twenty five? 29 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 1: What does he say about inflation? And it's uptick already, 30 00:01:16,880 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 1: not just here but globally. Do we have the growth 31 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:22,320 Speaker 1: to support any such uptick? Is the uptick driven by 32 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:25,040 Speaker 1: actual activity? Or still people just putting up prices? As 33 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 1: somebody said, who on earth would want to be a 34 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:29,440 Speaker 1: reserve bank governor? And our one isn't even under the 35 00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:32,679 Speaker 1: constant threat of being sacked. We do think the Good 36 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:36,119 Speaker 1: Lord indisputably have an export lead recovery of sorts, meat, wine, 37 00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 1: Can we fruit? They're doing the business. But that's over there, 38 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:40,959 Speaker 1: I mean over here, We're still in a funk. So 39 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:45,560 Speaker 1: what to do? Your move? Christian? No pressure? Then? For 40 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 1: more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to News 41 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 1: Talk set Be from six am weekdays, or follow the 42 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 1: podcast on iHeartRadio,