1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: Bryant Bridge twenty one minutes after six, Shane Solly's here 2 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:06,960 Speaker 1: Harvest Asset Management to talk about the market. So today 3 00:00:07,040 --> 00:00:09,360 Speaker 1: the trade wars lots to talk about Shane good evening. 4 00:00:09,920 --> 00:00:10,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, get ay right. 5 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 1: So we've got these twerffs twenty five percent for Canada, Mexico, 6 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: ten percent for China. How the market's reacted? 7 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, look, yeah, sual announcement of the terriffs a little 8 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:24,159 Speaker 2: bit of abortunity. Market investors have been anticipating some of this, 9 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:26,720 Speaker 2: So the initial reactions are actually been pretty modest. The 10 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 2: US SHI market was down half a percent, Uistolla actually 11 00:00:30,640 --> 00:00:34,440 Speaker 2: was quite strong. Oil price up and US bawns up 12 00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:37,519 Speaker 2: pu IT. But we're actually seeing overnight there's a bit 13 00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:39,559 Speaker 2: more reaction to come. When I look at the futures, 14 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 2: I can see what markets are anticipating is a bit 15 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 2: more weakness coming through. So yet to see. We're seeing 16 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 2: a bit of reaction from some of the other countries 17 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 2: that are involved as well. So it's a pretty fast 18 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:49,640 Speaker 2: evolving story. 19 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 1: And what's been the impact specifically on New Zealand companies, 20 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 1: especially Fisher and Parkle. 21 00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:58,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, look, we're not directly exposed. We are exposed to 22 00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 2: a tip better between the US in China in particular, 23 00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:05,039 Speaker 2: and then there's this ten percent universal tariff that the 24 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:07,640 Speaker 2: US governments still told them about. What we're really seeing 25 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:12,040 Speaker 2: is our US dollar. Cross has done all the hard work, lind. 26 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 2: We've seen the New Zealand dollar back to fifty five 27 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 2: since and a half, so it's going to make those holidays. 28 00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:19,800 Speaker 2: So the U is very expensive, good good for people 29 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:22,480 Speaker 2: coming down. We've seen now on New Zealand here make 30 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 2: it down one point four percent, and that has predominantly 31 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 2: been driven by Fisher and bi cale healthcare's weakness, and 32 00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 2: I think you know what we've got to keep an 33 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:31,959 Speaker 2: eye is really this ten percent tariffs that would hit 34 00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 2: a wider range of economy. Dairy, meat, wine, all those 35 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:39,440 Speaker 2: types of things would be knocked around by that ten percent. 36 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:41,399 Speaker 2: But on the day, it's all about Fisher and Bible. 37 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 1: We had a couple of another and a couple of 38 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:47,039 Speaker 1: other announcements I should say today Feature Building, sky Stady, 39 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:48,520 Speaker 1: what did you make of them? A new chair for 40 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:50,160 Speaker 1: Feature Yeah. 41 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 2: Look, we've seen Peter Crowley appointed as chair. He's been 42 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 2: on the board for a little while, and we've also 43 00:01:55,400 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 2: seen the ex Bunning's boss, Jackie Coombs adds in the punit. 44 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:01,559 Speaker 2: I think this is hopefully the start of the business 45 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 2: being able to refocus on rebuilding itself. You know, we've 46 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:07,880 Speaker 2: got Barbara Chapman, she's stepping down Flintchy Building. Ship price 47 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:11,040 Speaker 2: on the day up slightly to two dollars eighty eight. 48 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:14,520 Speaker 2: Sky City agreed to pay Izzie thirty eight million to 49 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:17,720 Speaker 2: set a long running dispute with the South Australian Treasury, 50 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 2: so that really is a good resolution. It gets rid 51 00:02:20,560 --> 00:02:22,240 Speaker 2: of a sort of an overhand for it. I think 52 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:23,960 Speaker 2: we're going to keep focusing on push on Pive were 53 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 2: as care for a while. The stock price was down 54 00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 2: almost seven percent today, back with thirty five dollars and 55 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:33,320 Speaker 2: ten Since we don't know exactly how long the tariffs 56 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 2: stay on, the company came out today and said, hey, 57 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 2: look we're okay for twenty twenty five, but if these 58 00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:39,800 Speaker 2: tariff's saying we're going to have to change where we produce, 59 00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:41,640 Speaker 2: they're going to bring more product back to New Zealand. 60 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 2: And of course at the moment the zelond production is 61 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 2: not getting hit with the tariff, and that would help, 62 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:50,160 Speaker 2: that would reduce the impact, but still might see earnings 63 00:02:50,160 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 2: down five percent, so the market reacted to that risk 64 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 2: anywhere between five to ten percent downside to earnings. Share 65 00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 2: price was down in reaction to that risk. 66 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 1: Same thanks for that solid harbor Raset Management. For more 67 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:07,080 Speaker 1: from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to news talks 68 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 1: it'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast 69 00:03:10,400 --> 00:03:11,400 Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio