1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:02,679 Speaker 1: Can we say it now? It might be a bit early, 2 00:00:02,759 --> 00:00:06,640 Speaker 1: but let's just start saying it. Karmala Harris was a mistake. 3 00:00:07,360 --> 00:00:09,720 Speaker 1: The Democrats should never have picked her to run against Trump. 4 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:12,799 Speaker 1: I mean, obviously, never say never, But it is obviously 5 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:15,040 Speaker 1: becoming more and more likely, isn't it that Trump's going 6 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:16,919 Speaker 1: to win in a couple of weeks time I said 7 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:19,760 Speaker 1: this to you last week. He is too close behind 8 00:00:19,800 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 1: her in the swing states. He will overperform like he 9 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:23,759 Speaker 1: usually does in those swing states on the night, and 10 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 1: then he's going to take them, and that gives them 11 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 1: the numbers he needs to win. But you don't have 12 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 1: to take my word for it, because what do I know? 13 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 1: What about Nate Silva, a US selection wizard today saying 14 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 1: his gut says Trump wins. What about the economist saying 15 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:38,960 Speaker 1: Trump wins with a fifty four percent likelihood compared to 16 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 1: krmla's likelihood at forty five percent. What about Wall Street 17 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:44,879 Speaker 1: Journal poll out today giving Trump a narrow lead with 18 00:00:44,960 --> 00:00:47,279 Speaker 1: voters here they have a more positive view of him 19 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 1: and a more negative view of Karmla. And then you've 20 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:52,600 Speaker 1: got reports that the Democrats are panicking over the fact 21 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 1: that they think he's going to win. Now. This was actually, 22 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 1: if you cast your mind back, predictable, because when there 23 00:00:57,640 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 1: was all that talk of Biden's stepping down, loads of 24 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 1: people said, whatever you do, Democrats, don't p Carmela. She 25 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:06,039 Speaker 1: won't win. She hasn't got what it takes, public don't 26 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 1: like her, doesn't know how to campaign. And there was 27 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 1: that flurry she got picked anyway, and then there was 28 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:12,839 Speaker 1: that flurry of excitement and she got all this momentum. 29 00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:14,679 Speaker 1: But if you took a step back at the time, 30 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:16,679 Speaker 1: which we did, which we did do at the time, 31 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 1: and we did say that excitement was about the thought 32 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: of her, the thought that she was going to be 33 00:01:22,800 --> 00:01:27,120 Speaker 1: the first black woman to become the president, and that 34 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:32,200 Speaker 1: was really exciting, but the actual her remained the same boring, uncharismatic, 35 00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:37,000 Speaker 1: annoying voice, word salads, couldn't campaign, and that excitement was 36 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 1: always going to fade when people actually got to know her. 37 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:42,480 Speaker 1: And people have got to know her, and the excitement 38 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 1: has predictably faded. As I say, totally predictable. If he 39 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:46,959 Speaker 1: wins in a couple of weeks, which it looks like 40 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 1: he's going to, then we can say Carmela was a mistake. 41 00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:53,920 Speaker 1: For more from Hither Duplassy, Allen Drive, listen live to 42 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:57,040 Speaker 1: News Talk sai'd Be from four pm weekdays, or follow 43 00:01:57,080 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 1: the podcast on iHeartRadio