1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,080 Speaker 1: From Devon Fund's management Monday, Mon and Greg, how are 2 00:00:02,120 --> 00:00:03,239 Speaker 1: you morning? 3 00:00:03,279 --> 00:00:04,040 Speaker 2: My good? Thank you? 4 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:06,280 Speaker 1: Now poort a tower on thatw that looked okay to me. 5 00:00:06,880 --> 00:00:08,639 Speaker 2: Yeah, it is a pretty good result. So look, it 6 00:00:08,680 --> 00:00:10,799 Speaker 2: was a mixed dole earning season but finished on a 7 00:00:10,800 --> 00:00:12,920 Speaker 2: pretty good note. So poor a tower on of those years. 8 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:16,480 Speaker 2: Rallied on their results a strong half year. The profit 9 00:00:16,640 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 2: after text up twenty seven percent sixty point two mil. 10 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:22,520 Speaker 2: Revenue up twelve and a half percent to twenty five million. 11 00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 2: So volume is pretty good, up seven percent, twelve point 12 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 2: four million tons, contains up teen percent, imports up fifteen percent, 13 00:00:30,200 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 2: exports up three percent. The only weakness was in the 14 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 2: logs that was down ten percent, but it was against 15 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 2: a tough comparative when there was lots of wind damaged 16 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 2: logs being shipped the year prior. But yeah, generally a 17 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:43,599 Speaker 2: pretty good story and also benefiting from higher price as 18 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 2: Mike so the charge and more stuff going for the 19 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:47,400 Speaker 2: port and the charging war for it. So that I 20 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:50,280 Speaker 2: lifted their profit guidance range to between one hundred and 21 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 2: fifteen one hundred and twenty five mil for FY twenty five, 22 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 2: and that's up one hundred and two The year price 23 00:00:55,560 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 2: and this is like the result up two point seven percent. 24 00:00:58,160 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 2: Another domestic name reporting was Somerset. Yeah, there's a bit 25 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 2: of anticipation around the retirement key homes was out given 26 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 2: Ryman's billion dollar capital rays. But yeah, those beers were 27 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:10,960 Speaker 2: laid so before we're operating profit that up. That was 28 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:13,200 Speaker 2: up eight percent to a record two and six point 29 00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:16,960 Speaker 2: four million. Revenues are of eight percent, occupation right sales 30 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:19,679 Speaker 2: are up twelve percent, and the gearing ratio a lot 31 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:22,039 Speaker 2: of focus on that thirty six percent, so they're under 32 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 2: less pressure it scenes balance sheet wise than Ryman. So 33 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:28,479 Speaker 2: a week property marketing is residents sort of taking longer 34 00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 2: to get into their homes. Yeah, that weighed a bit 35 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:34,040 Speaker 2: in terms of revaluation, so that the bottom line fell 36 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:36,399 Speaker 2: by fifty three and thirty nine point eight million, but 37 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:39,200 Speaker 2: over all the underlung was was really good. So those 38 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 2: years up five and a half percent. And yeah, I 39 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 2: suppose the uning season that's over. It started pretty well. 40 00:01:44,520 --> 00:01:47,199 Speaker 2: You think likes of A two pretty mixed in the middle, 41 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 2: offshore and exported off your focus names and exports are 42 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 2: doing pretty well. Domestic ones less sober. Yeah, we might 43 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:56,480 Speaker 2: have a better reporting season to look forward to later 44 00:01:56,480 --> 00:02:00,080 Speaker 2: in the years. Those interest rate cuts feed through fingers crossed. 45 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 1: Co confidence in the old consumer department just means a 46 00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 1: little bit there isn't there. 47 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd say a temper increase in a depressed base. 48 00:02:08,680 --> 00:02:11,240 Speaker 2: This is the A and Z Roy Morgan Consumer Conference 49 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:13,680 Speaker 2: that was up slightly in February ninety six point six, 50 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 2: so perceptions of personal financial situations that was up five 51 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 2: points but still negative negative twelve percent and net twenty 52 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:22,839 Speaker 2: one percent. Expect to be better off at this time 53 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:25,519 Speaker 2: next year, but perceptions will go on the outlook and 54 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:28,919 Speaker 2: twelve months time economically that actually eased a point five 55 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 2: I measures still steady at five percent, the interesting one 56 00:02:32,160 --> 00:02:34,920 Speaker 2: for retailers and net fifteen percent still reckon. It's a 57 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:38,400 Speaker 2: bad time to buy a major household irons that's pre subdued, 58 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 2: so we're probably more rate cups there. But yeah, just 59 00:02:40,880 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 2: on that front. ABNZ will mention what inflation and the 60 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 2: outlooker is doing. And the two year basis for consumers 61 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:50,080 Speaker 2: is lifted juster point one percentage point four percents. That 62 00:02:50,240 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 2: was good. So as we saw the business outlook, consumers 63 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:55,679 Speaker 2: are being a lot more optimistic than there were six 64 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 2: months ago, but sort of marginal gains each month, and 65 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:02,040 Speaker 2: they're not exactly in hardy mode. But the actually have 66 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 2: seen one retail reports on green Shoots the Hellenstein Glass 67 00:03:05,200 --> 00:03:07,720 Speaker 2: and they said that sales for the six months are 68 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:10,840 Speaker 2: up seven point seven percent. They overcon that profit's going 69 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 2: to be around about twenty one million for the full year, 70 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 2: which would be in line with last year's record, but 71 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 2: they did say margin still pressurized, so it seems discounting 72 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:21,640 Speaker 2: is needed to attract shoppers. And I think that something's 73 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:22,359 Speaker 2: up right. 74 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:26,320 Speaker 1: So the Personal Consumption Expectation FED loves it. It looks okay, 75 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:27,079 Speaker 1: didn't it? 76 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:28,840 Speaker 2: It looks okay. So this is a bit bit of 77 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:32,080 Speaker 2: a relief around this. This is the fed's preferred inflation gauge, 78 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:35,200 Speaker 2: so we had seen a hot than expected inflation print 79 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 2: earlier in the month, so this will sort of provide 80 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 2: a little bit of comfort around that. So obviously a 81 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:43,160 Speaker 2: lot of focus on tariffs and what that's going to 82 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,120 Speaker 2: do to inflation. But yeah, the pcees it's known that 83 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:48,760 Speaker 2: increased point three percent for the month, two point five 84 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:51,800 Speaker 2: percent annually, and the main measure might core PC that 85 00:03:51,920 --> 00:03:54,600 Speaker 2: takes that volatile food energy that was just up zero 86 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:56,960 Speaker 2: point three percent for the month and two point six 87 00:03:56,960 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 2: percent annually, So that was down from two point nine 88 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 2: percent in December. So a lot of relief there. Just 89 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 2: a couple of other quick notes personal income that rose 90 00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:08,760 Speaker 2: much sharper than expected, in fact double expectations. Hir incomes. 91 00:04:08,800 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 2: They didn't see increased spinnings that decrease point two percent. 92 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 2: So maybe Americans are beatting down the hatches. There's savings 93 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:16,679 Speaker 2: rate picked up, and possibly they're being a bit more frugal. 94 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:19,080 Speaker 2: But you just on inflation. The odds of a June 95 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:23,560 Speaker 2: rate cut have increased to just above seventy percent. Markets 96 00:04:23,560 --> 00:04:26,160 Speaker 2: expecting two rate cuts by the end of the year. 97 00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:27,320 Speaker 1: Okay, numbers please. 98 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:29,720 Speaker 2: Yeah. So it was a bright day on the boards 99 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:31,840 Speaker 2: in the US. So the Dow was at one point 100 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 2: four percent forty three eight forty s and p at 101 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:37,239 Speaker 2: one point six percent as well as was the Nars 102 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 2: deck foot see one hundred point six percent. In the UK, 103 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:43,720 Speaker 2: A six two hundred was down one point two percent. 104 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 2: We had a good strong day, up half percent twelve 105 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:49,520 Speaker 2: six zero one for the insex fifty goal down twenty 106 00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:52,480 Speaker 2: dollars to eight five seven an ounce. Oil down fifty 107 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:56,840 Speaker 2: cents sixty nine spots seventy six a barrel. Currency markets 108 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 2: key we down slightly against the US fifty six. Even 109 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:02,680 Speaker 2: Australian we're ninety point two. That was down slightly. British 110 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:05,679 Speaker 2: pound forty four point five down there as well. Japanese 111 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 2: yen pretty flat eighty four point three this week, Mike, 112 00:05:08,480 --> 00:05:10,479 Speaker 2: we've got a bit going on again. So the evening 113 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:12,479 Speaker 2: season is sort of closed down in New Zealand, but 114 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:15,480 Speaker 2: we've got building permits, trade data and another global dairy 115 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 2: auction on the U s Uning's front. I've got Costco 116 00:05:18,320 --> 00:05:21,280 Speaker 2: Hewlett Packer data wise, we've got the RBA minutes, we've 117 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 2: got Ozzie GDP, we're got non farm payrolls, and we've 118 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:26,600 Speaker 2: got the ECB their meeting and they're expected to cut 119 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:27,080 Speaker 2: go well. 120 00:05:27,080 --> 00:05:28,880 Speaker 1: Matin Greg Smith, devon Funds Management. 121 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:32,520 Speaker 2: For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to 122 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:35,679 Speaker 2: news talks it'd b from six am weekdays, or follow 123 00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio