1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:01,760 Speaker 1: Now obviously been a hell of a year for anyone 2 00:00:01,760 --> 00:00:04,560 Speaker 1: trying to do business with the US. Donald Trump's Bizuoka 3 00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:06,880 Speaker 1: trade tariffs are announced in April, and then we've been 4 00:00:06,880 --> 00:00:09,319 Speaker 1: dealing with a fallout and the uncertainty ever since. Now, 5 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: from tomorrow, New Zealand and US business leaders and diplomats 6 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:15,319 Speaker 1: will get together for the US Business Summit. Professor Dan 7 00:00:15,400 --> 00:00:17,960 Speaker 1: Schneer from the University of California will give the keynote 8 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: speech on how to navigate Trump's America. Let's have a chat, 9 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: am Hi, Dan. 10 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:23,799 Speaker 2: Thank you so much for having me. I really appreciate it. 11 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 1: The pleasure is all mine. Now, what is your number 12 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:28,760 Speaker 1: one tip for how to navigate Trump's America? 13 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:32,199 Speaker 2: I think the most important thing for any country's leaders, 14 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 2: both political and business leaders, to understand is that Donald Trump, 15 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:38,919 Speaker 2: of course worked in the private sector for many, many 16 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:42,599 Speaker 2: years before he ever ran for office. So business leaders, 17 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:46,599 Speaker 2: while they have an impact with any US politician, are 18 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,920 Speaker 2: going to have an even greater impact with Trump. Trump 19 00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 2: and his administration. He'll pay attention to the politicians, He'll 20 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 2: pay a lot more attention to the nation's business leaders. 21 00:00:57,320 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: So a delegation I can think the South Africans did that, 22 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 1: didn't they where they rolled up with the president, but 23 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:04,640 Speaker 1: then they had all of these They had a golfer 24 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:07,040 Speaker 1: and they had business leaders. That's the approach to take. 25 00:01:07,040 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 2: Well, and it's not only for foreign countries. We're seeing 26 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 2: this within the US. The city of San Francisco, which 27 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:15,039 Speaker 2: may be the most progressive, left leaning city in the 28 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 2: United States of America, when they were worried that Trump, 29 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 2: the Trump administration was going to send the Department of 30 00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:25,080 Speaker 2: Homeland Security into their streets, they didn't deploy their congressional delegation. 31 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:28,400 Speaker 2: They sent business leaders. So the CEOs of some of 32 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 2: the largest tech companies in northern California contacted the White 33 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:34,039 Speaker 2: House and they were able to achieve a much more 34 00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:37,200 Speaker 2: amenable solution than a lot of other cities around the 35 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 2: country did. 36 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 1: Okay, Now, obviously, I mean that's a fantastic idea, but 37 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 1: obviously there is political points to be scored also for 38 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 1: political leaders to be seen having a meeting with Donald Trump. 39 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: So if you had to send your prime ministerial president, 40 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 1: do you reckon you take the Keir Starma approach of fawning, 41 00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:57,040 Speaker 1: or do you take the Macron approach of just going 42 00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 1: and being a big guy too well. 43 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 2: Mccrin basically hit some pretty fraud territory when he tried 44 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 2: the more frontal approach, and ultimately it worked out for 45 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:10,119 Speaker 2: him because when push came to shove, Trump respected him 46 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 2: for pushing back more forcefully. But I'll say this, I 47 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:15,200 Speaker 2: think you have an advantage here. If you look at 48 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 2: the five eyes country, you are the only one with 49 00:02:18,200 --> 00:02:21,919 Speaker 2: the center right leader. You're the only one with a 50 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 2: leader who both comes from the private sector and who 51 00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 2: has center right political credentials. And so I feel like 52 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:32,639 Speaker 2: he is uniquely positioned among these five countries to have 53 00:02:32,680 --> 00:02:34,800 Speaker 2: a conversation with Trump. Now I realized the first time 54 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 2: they talked it was about hair. It's justn't the best 55 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 2: way to get started. But I think it's the kind 56 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:42,000 Speaker 2: of relationship that can be built on in a way 57 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 2: that many other international leaders have not been able to do. 58 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 1: All Right, So he needs to get some feist time 59 00:02:45,880 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 1: with Trump, doesn't. 60 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:49,080 Speaker 2: He, No question about it. Here's the thing to remember 61 00:02:49,080 --> 00:02:52,800 Speaker 2: about Trump. He is the first US president ever to 62 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 2: not have served in prior political office and have never 63 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 2: been in the military, which means he's the only US 64 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:01,880 Speaker 2: president ever who did not prepare for being president by 65 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:05,520 Speaker 2: being part of a team. He's an individual actor. He 66 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 2: talks to people one on one and very quickly comes 67 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:10,880 Speaker 2: to a conclusion about whether he respects them or not. 68 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:13,400 Speaker 2: And I really do feel like there's a potential for 69 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 2: a very productive relationship here between two business leaders turned politicos. 70 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 1: Okay, so what's the beast we can expect though, because 71 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:22,920 Speaker 1: at the moment we seem to be sort of just 72 00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 1: coppying the base level of tariffs that we're not in 73 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:30,640 Speaker 1: a favored position, nor are we in an unfavored position, 74 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 1: which is right in the middle of the pack. What 75 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 1: could we expect as a best case scenario? 76 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:37,880 Speaker 2: Well, Trump, more than anything, whether you see it as 77 00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 2: a compliment or a criticism, is an extremely transactional president. 78 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 2: I think for this country's leaders to able to explain 79 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:49,120 Speaker 2: how he Trump and how his country benefits from the 80 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 2: relationship is the best way to catch his is the 81 00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 2: best way to catch his attention. At this point, Trump 82 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:59,040 Speaker 2: is beginning to realize the downside of the tariffs. As 83 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:01,400 Speaker 2: I know you and many of your listeners know, He's 84 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:04,760 Speaker 2: pulled back on some of the tariffs on food products 85 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 2: in order to try to address inflation in the United States, 86 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 2: and I think impressing upon him how a better relationship 87 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:19,480 Speaker 2: on this front can be of help to him, that's 88 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 2: probably the best way to do. 89 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:23,040 Speaker 1: We go really personal, do we say, hey, listen, if 90 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 1: you let our beef in at a like no tariff, 91 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:28,080 Speaker 1: you're gonna have a fantastic burger from McDonald's. 92 00:04:29,000 --> 00:04:31,560 Speaker 2: I would go almost that personal. Maybe you throw that, 93 00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 2: maybe you're throw in McDonald's at the end. Yeah, but 94 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:37,359 Speaker 2: you say, you keep on this current trajectory and the 95 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:39,479 Speaker 2: people who are angriest with you about giving up on 96 00:04:39,520 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 2: the tariffs are going to be grateful for you for 97 00:04:41,600 --> 00:04:42,720 Speaker 2: confronting inflation head on. 98 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:46,279 Speaker 1: Yeah, Dan, thank you so much. Is really interesting stuff 99 00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 1: are really really interesting tips Professor Dean Schneer, political analyst 100 00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:53,720 Speaker 1: at the University of California. For more from Hither Duplassy 101 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 1: Allen Drive, listen live to news talks it'd be from 102 00:04:56,640 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast on IHEARDRATEDEO