1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:03,840 Speaker 1: Shane solely harbor asset management is with me, Elo Shane. Yeah, 2 00:00:03,880 --> 00:00:07,560 Speaker 1: hell so going good, Thank you mate. Kevin Walsh is 3 00:00:07,600 --> 00:00:10,240 Speaker 1: the peck Trump's pick for the US Federal Reserve chair. 4 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:13,320 Speaker 1: What do you reckon this means for investors? Well, yeah, so, 5 00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:16,400 Speaker 1: mister Walsh, he's seen as being less supportive of deep 6 00:00:16,480 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: rate cuts and more worried about inflation. So in central 7 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:23,279 Speaker 1: banker speak, he's more hawkish, more consiertive than some of 8 00:00:23,280 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: the other appointees that mister Trump was considering back in 9 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 1: the GC pack past. You know, with the global financial 10 00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:33,599 Speaker 1: crisis two thousand and two thousand and six to two 11 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:36,480 Speaker 1: thousand and eleven, he acted as the central banks behind 12 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 1: the scenes guy with Wall Street. So he's got good 13 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 1: credit body, but he's actually committed to it. I didn't 14 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 1: like what happened. I have to bail out that all 15 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:47,560 Speaker 1: this quantity of easing that didn't get the right signals 16 00:00:47,600 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 1: actually distilled a price and encourages excessive risk taking. So 17 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 1: him coming in is quite an interesting choice. He is 18 00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 1: definitely not going to be this guy that's going to 19 00:00:56,880 --> 00:00:59,880 Speaker 1: look to bail out businesses like back the post use, 20 00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 1: so quite different. And so how have the markets reacted 21 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 1: to it. Yeah, because he's a bit more hawkish, bit 22 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:09,200 Speaker 1: more conservative. We've actually seen the US dollar rally, you know, 23 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 1: has been under a lot of pressure. It's been quite 24 00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 1: weak over January, and we've seen a massive sell off 25 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:16,400 Speaker 1: in the gold and silver prices because of mister Wassh 26 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:20,080 Speaker 1: is a bit more hawkish. Back on Friday when this 27 00:01:20,200 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 1: came out, US money markets didn't make big changes, the 28 00:01:23,480 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 1: interest rates didn't move around a heck of a lot, 29 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 1: still picking two fed rate caps in twenty six. As 30 00:01:30,240 --> 00:01:32,039 Speaker 1: I say, we do see commodity prices come onder a 31 00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:34,880 Speaker 1: bit of pressure, and that's actually continued today here. That 32 00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 1: so we've seen gold and silver down another ten percent today. 33 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:42,040 Speaker 1: Gold's actually down almost fourteen percent in the last few days, 34 00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 1: down to just under four thy six hundred dollars US 35 00:01:46,080 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 1: announce and silver has gone from one hundred and sixteen 36 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 1: dollars an ounce to seventy seven. A lot of speculation 37 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: coming out of that. Not much reaction here in New Zealand, 38 00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 1: pretty quiet, but there is a little bit. We're going 39 00:01:57,200 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 1: to be careful that mister Wassh he may not be 40 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: as hawkish as we all think he is. There's already 41 00:02:02,960 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 1: this chante of we may be in a washing machine, 42 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:07,920 Speaker 1: play on this to wash his name for a little 43 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 1: while until we know how this policy starts roll through. 44 00:02:10,480 --> 00:02:13,360 Speaker 1: But nonetheless we've seen a bit of a bit of 45 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 1: a reaction in particularly in those commodity prices. Hey, now 46 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:19,920 Speaker 1: cat Man Dou's provided a trading update today, how the 47 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 1: market react to that? Yeah? Look, camp Mands obviously a 48 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 1: bit of a been under some pressure. They've been fixing 49 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:30,959 Speaker 1: the business, turning around work a lot harder, better numbers, 50 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 1: better sales numbers, a bit like Michael Hall last week. 51 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 1: Better Michael will also come out with better sales numbers. 52 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 1: But they both had to cut profit margins to do it. 53 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 1: So cutting prices to stimulating activity, more promotional activity. So 54 00:02:43,919 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 1: in cat Mandu's case, their gross margin foul one percent 55 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 1: to fifty six point seven percent. They're sort of held 56 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:55,679 Speaker 1: their earnings profit guidance, which is positive, better sales number. 57 00:02:55,760 --> 00:02:59,640 Speaker 1: That's important at the moment there is about them rebuilding confidence. 58 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 1: This is that they can grow. I didn't stop the 59 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:05,320 Speaker 1: year price from following our unfortunately about down three point 60 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 1: six percent to twenty seven cents per year. Bringing Hey, listen, 61 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:10,240 Speaker 1: thanks for running US through Shane. Always appreciate your time 62 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:13,600 Speaker 1: at Shane Solely Harbor Asset Management. For more from Hither 63 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 1: Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to news talks it'd be 64 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 1: from four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio