1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:02,960 Speaker 1: Minimum wages going up to twenty three dollars ninety five 2 00:00:02,960 --> 00:00:06,120 Speaker 1: an hour. This is from April. That's a two percent increase. 3 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:09,639 Speaker 1: Annual inflation in the year to September was three percent. 4 00:00:09,840 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: Labour Party says, this is Piddley. It is a in 5 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:16,080 Speaker 1: real terms pay cut. Brook van Valden is the Minister 6 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 1: for Workplace Relations and Safety with me tonight, Brook, good evening, 7 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 1: Good evening, Ryan. Why two percent? You went with one 8 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: and a half last year? Why two this year? 9 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 2: Well, we've gone with two percent because I think it 10 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 2: is a real balancing act between the cost of living 11 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 2: pressure that some people are rightly facing and also the 12 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 2: additional cost of businesses. When we know businesses have been 13 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:42,599 Speaker 2: struggling for the last few years and unfortunately the economic 14 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 2: recovery that we hope would happen really quickly has taken 15 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 2: a little bit longer to get moving. And so, you know, 16 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:51,000 Speaker 2: one of the things I was really concerned about this 17 00:00:51,080 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 2: year was youth unemployment. And you know, if we want 18 00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:57,120 Speaker 2: more young people to be able to get those jobs, 19 00:00:57,120 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 2: and we know young people are disproportionately paid minimum wage, 20 00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 2: if that's set too high, then they're also more exposed 21 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 2: to employers responding to that by reducing hours or not 22 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 2: hiring any new people. So when we've got youth unemploymented 23 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 2: around fifteen percent, I want more young people in those 24 00:01:16,480 --> 00:01:20,760 Speaker 2: really early on career jobs. And if we get this 25 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:23,440 Speaker 2: balancing act right, I think next year will be a 26 00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 2: really good year. But I think the other thing that's 27 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:27,960 Speaker 2: kind of missing here is I'm setting it for April 28 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 2: next year. Treasury and the Reserve Bank are expecting inflation 29 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:36,199 Speaker 2: around two percent next year, so this is in line. 30 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 1: I agree that the whole labor line about inflation. The 31 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 1: dates don't match up. That's fine, let's put that to 32 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 1: one side. Did you get any advice on two percent? 33 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 1: How many jobs would not be created as a result 34 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 1: of you increasing that? 35 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 2: So the advice that I had from MB was to 36 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 2: go with a two percent increase, which is, you know, 37 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 2: for me following their advice. They didn't necessary really have 38 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:06,360 Speaker 2: too much concern with two percent on the use unemployment 39 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 2: rate or unemployment rates with normally, But the overall advice 40 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 2: was if it's set too high. The effect is that 41 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 2: there are labor market tip and. 42 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:18,079 Speaker 1: In my experienced minister having covered these for many years now, 43 00:02:18,160 --> 00:02:20,919 Speaker 1: they do give you a specific number. At this level, 44 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:24,919 Speaker 1: you risk so many jobs X y Z not being created. 45 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 1: Did they not provide you that level of detail this 46 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:28,080 Speaker 1: time around. 47 00:02:29,560 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 2: Look, I'm sure those specific numbers are somewhere, but they 48 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:36,520 Speaker 2: weren't anywhere that was leading to any great concern for me. 49 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:39,239 Speaker 2: So I've parked that to one side. So the main 50 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:43,080 Speaker 2: concern for me here is that we know that businesses 51 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 2: have been struggling. You know, GDP has not taken off 52 00:02:45,880 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 2: as quickly as we wanted it to be. I do 53 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:51,240 Speaker 2: have hope for next year, but if we have businesses 54 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:54,400 Speaker 2: who are seeing increased costs themselves. 55 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:57,520 Speaker 1: They may not creatematic approach, yeah, but they may not 56 00:02:57,560 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 1: create jobs. 57 00:02:58,440 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 2: Right. 58 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:01,640 Speaker 1: That's the risk when you put and the minimum wage 59 00:03:01,720 --> 00:03:04,399 Speaker 1: up is that jobs aren't created, but you're not across 60 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:07,000 Speaker 1: how many might not be. Let's part that for a 61 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:09,239 Speaker 1: second and go to the other side of the coin. 62 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:11,960 Speaker 1: Jan Tinetti says, this is piddly and pathetic. 63 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:17,440 Speaker 2: Oh, it's just not true. I mean, for people who 64 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 2: are the most affected here, it's mostly young people who 65 00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 2: are on the minimum wage that'll be seeing an increase 66 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:26,760 Speaker 2: in line with what the Reserve Bank and Treasury expect 67 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:31,079 Speaker 2: as forecast inflation but we also have to be very 68 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:35,200 Speaker 2: aware that we are in difficult economic times. You know, 69 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:37,000 Speaker 2: a lot of people across the board are not seeing 70 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:41,840 Speaker 2: increases or large increases to their pay. What we're wanting 71 00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:44,559 Speaker 2: to ensure is that we have a growing business confidence, 72 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:48,800 Speaker 2: so that businesses know that they can go on and 73 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 2: create more jobs into the future. That's where my expectation 74 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 2: lies that next year will be a good year with 75 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:56,960 Speaker 2: more job opportunities. 76 00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 1: Minister, appreciate your time. Thank you, Brook van Valven, Minister 77 00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 1: of Workplace and Safety. For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive, 78 00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 1: listen live to news talks. It'd be from four pm weekdays, 79 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio