1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,320 Speaker 1: One pole tells of something last night by not really moving, 2 00:00:03,720 --> 00:00:06,479 Speaker 1: and another pole tells of something by being badly misrepresented. 3 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: Now the one news numbers last night show essentially the 4 00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:11,200 Speaker 1: government traveling well, most parties are stable, The Greens are 5 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: down a bit for obvious reasons, but it's all so 6 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 1: far within the margin of error. Really nothing's changed. What 7 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 1: that tells you is broadly couple of things. One, at 8 00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: the stage of the electoral cycle, people don't pay as 9 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:23,480 Speaker 1: much attention as they will be in eighteen months time, 10 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:25,759 Speaker 1: and two, the government, with its level of support, is 11 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: doing basically what they said they would and most people 12 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: are pretty happy with it. The other pole was on 13 00:00:30,560 --> 00:00:33,200 Speaker 1: race relations. TV one promoted the fact only ten percent 14 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 1: think the government is improving them forty six percent think 15 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 1: they're damaging them. What they didn't give the appropriate prominence too, 16 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:43,120 Speaker 1: was the fact that thirty seven percent think it's not 17 00:00:43,120 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 1: making any difference at all. In other words, despite all 18 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 1: the noise and hoty are being drummed up by the 19 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 1: radicals and the media, most of us aren't engaged because 20 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:52,839 Speaker 1: nothing is really changing. So if you take the thirty 21 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 1: seven who see no change and the ten percent who 22 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:59,720 Speaker 1: see an improvement. You've got forty seven, which is in 23 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:03,279 Speaker 1: fact more people thinking things raither neutral or better, as 24 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:05,840 Speaker 1: opposed to the forty six percent who think they're worse, 25 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 1: which of course ties in with why the government numbers 26 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 1: overall haven't moved and their support remained strong. The so 27 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:15,200 Speaker 1: called drama around Maori policy is not actually politicularly damaging 28 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 1: at all. You will note the numbers weren't presented that 29 00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 1: way by the state run broadcast. A good question might 30 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:24,680 Speaker 1: be why not what moves needles is the economy and 31 00:01:24,720 --> 00:01:26,400 Speaker 1: on that we might be in for an improvement and 32 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 1: if we are, what you will then see in the 33 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 1: polling is polling numbers most definitely shifting in the government's favor. 34 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:37,000 Speaker 1: Maori relations have been tested and testing my entire life. 35 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 1: The previous government bent over backwards for Maori, their beliefs, 36 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: their needs, their causes, and look where that got them. 37 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:45,839 Speaker 1: The current government have read the things right. Basically, outcomes 38 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:48,960 Speaker 1: are what really count, whether in race relations or the economy. 39 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:51,880 Speaker 1: The numbers broadly show they're on the right side of both. 40 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 1: For more from the My Asking Breakfast, listen live to 41 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 1: news talks that be from six am weekdays, or follow 42 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:00,200 Speaker 1: the podcast on iheartradeo