1 00:00:01,800 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 1: The issues, excuse the interviews and the inside. Ryan Bridge 2 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:11,239 Speaker 1: new for twenty twenty four on the early edition with 3 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:14,120 Speaker 1: Smith City, New Zealand's Furniture Vents and a play a 4 00:00:14,200 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 1: store news talks. 5 00:00:15,320 --> 00:00:18,000 Speaker 2: He'd be good morning six after five. Great to have 6 00:00:18,040 --> 00:00:20,239 Speaker 2: your news talks. There'd be this morning coming up just 7 00:00:20,239 --> 00:00:23,079 Speaker 2: before six labors Dunk and web on violent crime going 8 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 2: up and Chippy's popularity going down. Updates on Trump throughout 9 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:31,360 Speaker 2: the show this morning. Also the economy's baggage, but farmers 10 00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:33,959 Speaker 2: are upbeats. We'll look at that at five twenty and 11 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 2: on a demao out of Australia. 12 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:38,519 Speaker 3: The agenda it. 13 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:40,920 Speaker 2: Is Tuesday to seventeenth of August. The guy thought to 14 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:43,840 Speaker 2: be planning an attempt on Trump's life, Yes, another one 15 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:47,400 Speaker 2: has appeared in court. Hearing lasted ten minutes. His special 16 00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:52,200 Speaker 2: affect was so flat, his demeanor was relaxed. 17 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 4: I honestly thought it look like somebody that just left 18 00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:57,800 Speaker 4: the church picnic and was on his way home. 19 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 2: At this stage. Ryan Wes Routh has only been charged 20 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 2: with possession of a firearm by convicted felon and position 21 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:07,880 Speaker 2: of a firearm with an obstructed serial number, which he's 22 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:11,320 Speaker 2: accused of scratching off. Both are federal charges. You can 23 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:15,400 Speaker 2: definitely expect there'll be more of those too. Zero, nada, zilch. 24 00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 2: That's how much our economy is tipped to grow by 25 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 2: in the year to March twenty twenty five. This is 26 00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:24,839 Speaker 2: NZII quarterly consensus forecasts. We'll pick up to two point 27 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 2: two percent growth by March twenty twenty six. We have 28 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 2: inflation data out this Thursday here in New Zealand. By 29 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 2: the way, October ninth is our next OCR review and 30 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:37,959 Speaker 2: we'll look at those numbers and more details shortly. Borders 31 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:40,480 Speaker 2: are going up in Europe again, well sort of. Germany 32 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 2: has added new checks to the borders and a crackdown 33 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:43,960 Speaker 2: on migration. 34 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:46,880 Speaker 3: We do not check every vehicle or every person. 35 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 5: Rather, the checks are targeted at vehicles suspected of carrying 36 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 5: illegal migrants. 37 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:56,400 Speaker 2: The PSA says the zero wage increase put forward by 38 00:01:56,440 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 2: the Defense Force is insulting. This is for non uniformed members. 39 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 2: They're unhappy following the Defense Force's refusal to lift pay 40 00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 2: for civilian workers during bargaining for a new collective agreement. 41 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 2: Is there sympathy for Wellington based office staff given the 42 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:14,960 Speaker 2: state of housing that our soldiers living in around in Wayoudu, 43 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 2: Zimbabwe is going to cull two hundred elephants. That's that 44 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 2: I should say, that's not the sound of them being culled. 45 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 2: Who was worried listening at home? So two hundred elephants, yes, 46 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 2: that sounds like a lot, but they've got eighty five thousand. 47 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:39,840 Speaker 2: That's double their capacity of forty five thousand. The Environment 48 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 2: Minister says they've got more than they need and their 49 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 2: forests can't accommodate them all. They're being used to feed 50 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:49,760 Speaker 2: humans left hungry by the worst drought in decades. 51 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 1: The news you need this morning and the in depth 52 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:56,640 Speaker 1: analysis early edition with Ryan Bridge and Swift City, New 53 00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:59,519 Speaker 1: Zealand's furniture Beds and a playing store news Talk. 54 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 2: When Theamibia is doing it too. They're all coloring elephants. Actually, 55 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:05,679 Speaker 2: in Namimbia they're colling hippos as well. Elephants and hippos 56 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:08,639 Speaker 2: seven hundred last month. And it's quite simple really. They 57 00:03:08,639 --> 00:03:12,120 Speaker 2: are fighting competing for resources with these animals, and the 58 00:03:12,160 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 2: animals can provide protein and people are hungry, and when 59 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:17,120 Speaker 2: people are hungry, they need to be fed, so they're 60 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 2: culling them and you can imagine the animal rights groups, 61 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:24,440 Speaker 2: the activists, et cetera, all upset, but they're all sitting there, 62 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:27,840 Speaker 2: probably popping down to the cafe for a sandwich at lunch, 63 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:31,000 Speaker 2: not really starving, you know, so it's all very well 64 00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:33,639 Speaker 2: for them to say. Apparently, what they're going to try 65 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 2: and do is mobilize women from the villages to dry 66 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 2: and pack the meat and then get it to the 67 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 2: villages which most need protein. So it's not like they're 68 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 2: culling them and then you know, discarding them or anything. 69 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 2: It is going to feed hungry miles ten. 70 00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 3: After five, Bryan Bridge tell. 71 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 2: You he'll be doing a little victory lap, a little 72 00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:55,320 Speaker 2: I Told you So dance this morning, and that is 73 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 2: Nikola Willis, the Finance minister. Remember she said there was 74 00:03:59,040 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 2: a big debate about whether the tax cuts that the 75 00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 2: government's offering would add to inflation because you get more 76 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:06,880 Speaker 2: money in your back pocket, you go and spend it, 77 00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:10,080 Speaker 2: as the theory, and then you'd continue to drive prices up. 78 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 2: So why would you give a tax cut at a 79 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 2: time like this, said labor etc. Will treasuries release the 80 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 2: beef and they have said actually either neutral in terms 81 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 2: of its effect on inflation or in the scenario that 82 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:26,640 Speaker 2: they have paid. Because it depends how much of the 83 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 2: tax cut you go and spend, you might save some, right, 84 00:04:28,800 --> 00:04:31,560 Speaker 2: so it doesn't add to inflation. They said. The verdict 85 00:04:31,600 --> 00:04:35,240 Speaker 2: was basically it was either neutral or more likely it 86 00:04:35,279 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 2: would actually reduce inflation because of how much they're cutting 87 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 2: through government services. So she will be happy with that. 88 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:48,719 Speaker 2: Our finance minister and Bridge brig she's got eleven minutes 89 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:51,760 Speaker 2: after five, you're on newstalk said be hey, some I 90 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:54,279 Speaker 2: know you may not like hearing about Boeing, but I'm 91 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:58,520 Speaker 2: just endlessly fascinated by them. So more turbulence from them. Overnight. 92 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:02,840 Speaker 2: There's shares of down four percent. They're hiring freezers now 93 00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 2: kicking in. They are cutting back on orders, more orders. 94 00:05:05,839 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 2: They've got this huge backlog of planes that they need 95 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:12,480 Speaker 2: to get through, and they build half of the planes 96 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:14,279 Speaker 2: that we fly in. You know, they've got a q 97 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 2: longer than an X ray machine at Heathrow Airport in 98 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:23,040 Speaker 2: terms of planes. Anyway, because of the strikes, which are 99 00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 2: costing them five hundred million dollars a week, it's half 100 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:29,480 Speaker 2: a billion dollars a week. Because of the strikes, their 101 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:32,679 Speaker 2: credit rating is now at risk, so more bad news 102 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:35,599 Speaker 2: for Boeing, good news for farmers on the way. Eleven 103 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:45,280 Speaker 2: after five. 104 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:50,839 Speaker 1: Get ahead of the headlines, Ryan Bridge, You for twenty 105 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:54,599 Speaker 1: twenty four on early edition with Smith City, New Zealand's 106 00:05:54,640 --> 00:05:56,279 Speaker 1: furniture beds and a player store. 107 00:05:56,440 --> 00:05:57,280 Speaker 3: News Talk said B. 108 00:05:57,520 --> 00:05:59,680 Speaker 2: Fourteen after five on news Talk said B. The latest 109 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:04,000 Speaker 2: theory Zed's quarterly ECON tracker. The last one this is 110 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:06,799 Speaker 2: for June, predicted a payer including dividends of eight dollars 111 00:06:06,880 --> 00:06:10,000 Speaker 2: thirty four per kilogram of milk solids, a break even 112 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:13,160 Speaker 2: point of eight dollars oh seven. This now has been 113 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:16,360 Speaker 2: revised up to eight dollars eighty four and eight dollars 114 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:18,520 Speaker 2: oh nine. We're going to talk to fed farmers about 115 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:21,280 Speaker 2: that in just a few minutes. Just gone fourteen after five, 116 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:24,160 Speaker 2: Ryan Bridge. A new report in to the health of 117 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:26,960 Speaker 2: the children in this country is a particularly grim read 118 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 2: out this morning. Cure Kids fourth State of Child Health 119 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 2: Report has found that PACIFICA children are one hundred and 120 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 2: fifteen times more likely and MALDI children forty six times 121 00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:41,560 Speaker 2: more likely to be hospitalized with acute dramatic fever compared 122 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:45,680 Speaker 2: to their European counterparts. Hospitalization rates for respiratory conditions and 123 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:49,039 Speaker 2: children under one year have increased by forty four percent 124 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 2: over the past two decades. Stuart Darzil is the Cure 125 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 2: Kids Chair of Child Health Research and a University of 126 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 2: Aukland professor. He's with us this morning. Good morning, Good morning, right, 127 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:01,760 Speaker 2: thanks for being with me. Can I first ask about 128 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 2: this report? Why have you decided to group the children 129 00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 2: by race? 130 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:13,200 Speaker 6: I think it's important when we look at our statistics 131 00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:18,520 Speaker 6: across the health system that we look at groups where 132 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:23,760 Speaker 6: we have not delivered good quality healthcare in the past too, 133 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 6: and so that is grouping children by race and ethnicity 134 00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 6: is quite useful for that, but also grouping children according 135 00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:40,080 Speaker 6: to their socioeconomic status as well. And that same disparity 136 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:42,800 Speaker 6: that you just talked about in terms of race, you 137 00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 6: see that same disparity across the report for a number 138 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 6: of conditions for socioeconomic status as well. 139 00:07:50,240 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 2: So what is driving these stats? Is it poverty or 140 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 2: is it race? 141 00:07:58,280 --> 00:08:01,640 Speaker 6: I think it is a common it's a combination of things. 142 00:08:02,080 --> 00:08:05,840 Speaker 6: And if we look at what are the foundations that 143 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 6: good health is built on. That's about adequate housing, that's 144 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 6: about adequate nutrition, that's about freedom from poverty, and we 145 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:19,280 Speaker 6: haven't got those things sorted for all of our children, 146 00:08:19,440 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 6: and as a country, we need to be concentrating on 147 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:26,960 Speaker 6: those big ticket items as well as the kind of 148 00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:30,560 Speaker 6: individual diseases we talked about in the report. In terms 149 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:34,240 Speaker 6: of implementing specific health change as well, the. 150 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 2: Government has issued a director saying that we need to 151 00:08:36,520 --> 00:08:41,960 Speaker 2: focus on need rather than race. What particular needs does 152 00:08:42,000 --> 00:08:43,880 Speaker 2: this report say that we should focus on? 153 00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:49,640 Speaker 6: So I think the report is quite clear in terms 154 00:08:49,880 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 6: of where the need be, where the need lies. So 155 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:58,640 Speaker 6: the report looked at five key health conditions respiratory disease, 156 00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:04,120 Speaker 6: can infection, rheumatic heart disease, dental disease, and mental health. 157 00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:07,640 Speaker 6: And you alluded to the change that we've seen over 158 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 6: the last two decades. You know, in our infants, the 159 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:15,960 Speaker 6: rates of respiratory disease have increased by forty four percent 160 00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 6: over the last two decades. If we look at dental 161 00:09:19,400 --> 00:09:22,840 Speaker 6: health and mental health disorders, the rates of these have 162 00:09:23,000 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 6: increased by twice what they were two decades ago. We've 163 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:32,959 Speaker 6: reduced some things like skin infection and rheumatic heart disease, 164 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:37,439 Speaker 6: but for skin infections our rates are still twice what 165 00:09:37,480 --> 00:09:41,199 Speaker 6: they should actually be. And for grammatic heart disease. We're 166 00:09:41,240 --> 00:09:44,439 Speaker 6: seeing one sixtieth what we should be seeing is one 167 00:09:44,559 --> 00:09:48,439 Speaker 6: sixtieth of what we are actually seeing. So the priority 168 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:51,400 Speaker 6: is these areas of need and that's what we should 169 00:09:51,440 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 6: be focusing on. And there are individual communities within that 170 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:57,560 Speaker 6: that we should be focusing on. But ideally, if we 171 00:09:57,760 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 6: just focus on these five conditions and we get it right, 172 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:03,240 Speaker 6: we're going to get help right for all of New 173 00:10:03,280 --> 00:10:04,120 Speaker 6: Zeasand's children. 174 00:10:04,200 --> 00:10:07,200 Speaker 2: Would you agree then with the government that it is 175 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:16,040 Speaker 2: more helpful to focus on housing, to focus on family income, 176 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:19,520 Speaker 2: focus on poverty, rather than divvying everything up by race. 177 00:10:22,120 --> 00:10:26,160 Speaker 6: Look, I think, honestly, you've got to look at both strategies. 178 00:10:26,280 --> 00:10:28,720 Speaker 6: I think you've got to look at a lens to 179 00:10:28,800 --> 00:10:33,160 Speaker 6: say which children are we failing And if we see 180 00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:36,840 Speaker 6: that we are failing on the basis of race, we 181 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 6: then need to have strategies and we need to question 182 00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 6: ourselves why are we failing on race? Now, the answers 183 00:10:46,040 --> 00:10:52,040 Speaker 6: to that may not be specifically race targeted policies, but 184 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:56,120 Speaker 6: what we need is we need policy. We need to 185 00:10:56,160 --> 00:10:58,760 Speaker 6: be very clear about where we are failing, and then 186 00:10:58,760 --> 00:10:59,880 Speaker 6: we can look at ways to im. 187 00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 2: All right, Stuart thank you very much for your time 188 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:04,600 Speaker 2: this morning. Stuart Darzil Cure Kid's Tear of Child Health 189 00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:07,319 Speaker 2: Research and University of Auckland professor this near port out 190 00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:10,559 Speaker 2: this morning. It does make four particularly grim reading on 191 00:11:10,600 --> 00:11:13,559 Speaker 2: the state of our children's health. Nineteen minutes after five 192 00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:14,520 Speaker 2: news talks he'd been. 193 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:19,640 Speaker 1: On your radio and online on iHeartRadio early edition with 194 00:11:19,880 --> 00:11:23,200 Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge and Smith City, New Zealand's Furniture Beds and 195 00:11:23,280 --> 00:11:24,040 Speaker 1: a Flying Store. 196 00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:25,120 Speaker 3: News talk said be. 197 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 2: Twenty one minutes after five, the guy accused Well, actually, 198 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:31,920 Speaker 2: at this stage he's only facing gun charges because he 199 00:11:32,040 --> 00:11:35,079 Speaker 2: is a convicted felon already hasn't faced any charges of 200 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:38,800 Speaker 2: attempt assassination yet anything like that. However, they've just been 201 00:11:38,840 --> 00:11:41,040 Speaker 2: told in court in West Palm Beach, Florida that he 202 00:11:41,160 --> 00:11:43,560 Speaker 2: was hiding in the bushes at Trump's golf course for 203 00:11:43,679 --> 00:11:47,240 Speaker 2: twelve hours because yesterday, remember we learned that it was 204 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:51,440 Speaker 2: an unscheduled stop for the former president. So this guy 205 00:11:51,520 --> 00:11:55,840 Speaker 2: was in the bush allegedly for twelve hours before take it, 206 00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:58,520 Speaker 2: well before the Secret Service took shots at him. Twenty 207 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 2: two after five. Darien Z's quarterly ECON tracker is out. 208 00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:06,160 Speaker 2: The last one predicted a payout including dividends eight dollars 209 00:12:06,280 --> 00:12:08,559 Speaker 2: thirty four, a break even point of eight dollars zero 210 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:11,599 Speaker 2: seven per kg of milk solids. Now the payout is 211 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:14,600 Speaker 2: up eight dollars eighty four predicted break even eight dollars 212 00:12:14,679 --> 00:12:18,280 Speaker 2: oh nine. Joining us Mark story darien Z, Head of Economics, Mark, 213 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:21,440 Speaker 2: good morning, Good morning, Roy, Thank you for being with me. 214 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:23,280 Speaker 2: What's pushing this? What's driving this? 215 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:29,200 Speaker 7: Yeah, two things are driving that revised those revised forecasts. 216 00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:34,319 Speaker 7: The first is the improvements in the forecast milk power 217 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:38,600 Speaker 7: price and proticted from FRONTIRA and announcements in August, so 218 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:42,040 Speaker 7: the revenue side's going up. And the second is the 219 00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 7: reserve banks forecast of interest rate costs adjustments and banks 220 00:12:46,720 --> 00:12:49,600 Speaker 7: beginning to respond to that. So those two, those two 221 00:12:49,679 --> 00:12:53,120 Speaker 7: factors are in combination are driving and improved outlook for 222 00:12:53,120 --> 00:12:54,320 Speaker 7: our dairy farmers this season. 223 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:57,480 Speaker 2: How much is that worth to your average farmer? The 224 00:12:58,120 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 2: reduction and interest rates. 225 00:13:01,240 --> 00:13:04,240 Speaker 7: Well, if we're looking at it, it obviously it depends 226 00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:08,360 Speaker 7: a lot for farm to farm. But if we're looking 227 00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:14,680 Speaker 7: at you know, I guess it's coming into well, we're 228 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 7: looking at rates of you know, an extra half percent 229 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:22,160 Speaker 7: more than a half percent in the remainder of this season. 230 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:24,800 Speaker 7: We've done some analysis which has looked at what the 231 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:27,120 Speaker 7: difference would be between you know, fast rates coming in 232 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:29,720 Speaker 7: the December this year, if we were dropping down to 233 00:13:29,760 --> 00:13:34,440 Speaker 7: seven and a half percent from from eight point five 234 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 7: at present, and we're looking in the low tens of thousands. 235 00:13:39,360 --> 00:13:44,160 Speaker 7: But the more that flows into the season after that, yeah, 236 00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:46,880 Speaker 7: obviously or makes a healthy difference. 237 00:13:46,600 --> 00:13:49,959 Speaker 2: So that it's quite significant then, isn't it that? How 238 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 2: are you feeling? How farmersphiling? It must be it must 239 00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:56,560 Speaker 2: be a positive step. I guess a positive outlook. 240 00:13:57,920 --> 00:14:01,200 Speaker 7: Yeah, it's definitely always cautious positive. It's early in the 241 00:14:01,240 --> 00:14:05,680 Speaker 7: season yet, so everyone's relying on forecasts of revenue and 242 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:10,240 Speaker 7: forecasts of expenses at the same time. But it's it's 243 00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:14,400 Speaker 7: looking positive compared to previous seasons. Anything, any payout pies 244 00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:16,480 Speaker 7: with an eight in front of it tends to be good. 245 00:14:16,520 --> 00:14:18,480 Speaker 7: And if it starts getting up towards the nine, then 246 00:14:18,679 --> 00:14:23,000 Speaker 7: farmers are generally sitting in a fairly positive situation. Expenses 247 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 7: are still high and they are staying quite stubbornly high, 248 00:14:26,720 --> 00:14:33,440 Speaker 7: so things like wages, fertilizer, feed, et cetera. Having come 249 00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:35,400 Speaker 7: down and perhaps as much as we would rights. In fact, 250 00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:39,239 Speaker 7: in this forecast where predicting that they've gone up. That's reflecting, 251 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:41,800 Speaker 7: you know, there's inflation staying in the system and those 252 00:14:41,800 --> 00:14:46,040 Speaker 7: prices are quite sticky. But overall farmers are getting in 253 00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:49,680 Speaker 7: a better position and hopefully can start paying down some 254 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:51,360 Speaker 7: of their debt this season. 255 00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:53,680 Speaker 2: Good good. I am pleased to hear it. And when 256 00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:56,320 Speaker 2: I'm looking at an n ZE forecast saying for a 257 00:14:56,480 --> 00:15:00,000 Speaker 2: zero percent growth as its country through to March next year, 258 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:03,800 Speaker 2: I'm pleased to hear a little a spot of good news. Mark, 259 00:15:03,840 --> 00:15:05,840 Speaker 2: Thank you very much. Mark story, Darien's ed head of 260 00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 2: economics with us this morning, someone says, Mark says, its 261 00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:13,760 Speaker 2: snowing in christ Church. Thanks Mark, give us your year 262 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:16,000 Speaker 2: of snow reports. This morning, nine nine two on the 263 00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:17,720 Speaker 2: text twenty five after five. 264 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:22,160 Speaker 1: The early edition full show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by 265 00:15:22,200 --> 00:15:22,960 Speaker 1: News Talks at Me. 266 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:26,320 Speaker 2: Chris Luxen has something to smile about this morning. Two 267 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:28,840 Speaker 2: sets of data to cheer about, you could say. The 268 00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:32,280 Speaker 2: first is the pole. He seems to be, at least 269 00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:35,720 Speaker 2: from what I've seen, shaking off that slightly cringe ceo 270 00:15:35,880 --> 00:15:39,720 Speaker 2: Monica that people had been labeling him as cementing himself 271 00:15:39,760 --> 00:15:42,040 Speaker 2: as a man with a plan in charge across most 272 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 2: of the issues and not allowing himself to become distracted 273 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:47,920 Speaker 2: by the inevitable noise that comes with running the ninth floor. 274 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:51,200 Speaker 2: So this latest Taxpayer's Union Carrier poll, the NATS are 275 00:15:51,280 --> 00:15:54,160 Speaker 2: up one point four to thirty nine percent. That's an 276 00:15:54,200 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 2: extra seat for them, no change for act in New 277 00:15:56,600 --> 00:15:59,360 Speaker 2: Zealand first grabbing an extra seat that is safe across 278 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:03,280 Speaker 2: the line. The preferred PM numbers are interesting. Chippy's gone 279 00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:06,040 Speaker 2: off a cliff. The trend is down and that's this 280 00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:08,920 Speaker 2: result in particular as a shocker. He's down six point 281 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:13,920 Speaker 2: one points to twelve point six percent. Luxen thirty two 282 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:18,040 Speaker 2: point seven percent, so Chippy is now almost within margin 283 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:22,760 Speaker 2: of era, with not luxin but Chloe on seven point 284 00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:26,520 Speaker 2: two percent. The other number is the NZII quarterly consensus 285 00:16:26,520 --> 00:16:29,200 Speaker 2: start we've been talking about not so great for us, 286 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:31,720 Speaker 2: at least in the short term, a big fat zero 287 00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:34,280 Speaker 2: GDP growth in the year to March, which is depressing 288 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 2: because we've had almost two years of recession or close 289 00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:39,480 Speaker 2: to it now and people just want to see the 290 00:16:39,520 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 2: country firing again. We want to see it spark and 291 00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 2: that's where luxin will be happy to see this projection 292 00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:49,640 Speaker 2: two point two percent, that is growth expected in the 293 00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:52,760 Speaker 2: year to March twenty twenty six. And we know what 294 00:16:52,800 --> 00:16:55,520 Speaker 2: else is happening in twenty twenty six right an election, 295 00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 2: it's humble two point two percent. It's not run away, 296 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:02,320 Speaker 2: but after these past few years, it's like electoral fairy dust. 297 00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:07,560 Speaker 2: People don't generally vote on race relations, the politics of envy, 298 00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:12,439 Speaker 2: climate change. They vote basically on how rich they feel 299 00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:15,800 Speaker 2: and who might make them richer and lux and at 300 00:17:15,840 --> 00:17:19,200 Speaker 2: least on these numbers would appear to have the upper 301 00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:23,360 Speaker 2: hand on that front. Ryan Bridge twenty nine five. We've 302 00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:25,560 Speaker 2: got Duncan Webb from Labor on the show just before 303 00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:29,399 Speaker 2: six because despite what I've just said, they're not quite 304 00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:32,680 Speaker 2: meeting their targets when it comes to law and order. 305 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:34,879 Speaker 3: News and views you trust. 306 00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:38,440 Speaker 1: To start your day, It's early edition with Ryan Bridge 307 00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:41,399 Speaker 1: and Smith City New Zealand's Furniture Beds and a Flying 308 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:43,119 Speaker 1: Store Youth Talk ZIBB. 309 00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:52,400 Speaker 2: The Good Morning New Zealand. It is twenty four minutes 310 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:54,920 Speaker 2: away from six. Hope you're warming up in the Deep South. 311 00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:58,000 Speaker 2: We're getting reports of snow in christ Church this morning. 312 00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:00,680 Speaker 2: Our nine two is the number text. Let us know 313 00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:02,800 Speaker 2: how it is at your place. I'm getting a little 314 00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:06,399 Speaker 2: sick of these weather warnings for Auckland. Yesterday they said 315 00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:12,320 Speaker 2: weather bomb coming, possible tornadoes. Today they're saying possible power outages. Honestly, 316 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:17,280 Speaker 2: it rained for five minutes yesterday. So underwhelming, so anti climatic. 317 00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:20,040 Speaker 2: I know you shouldn't wish for bad weather, but sometimes 318 00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:22,160 Speaker 2: when you're inside and you don't have to be out there, 319 00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:24,399 Speaker 2: it's kind of nice to think about. Anyway, it was. 320 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:27,720 Speaker 2: It was a lame storm, That's what it was. Nine 321 00:18:27,760 --> 00:18:28,960 Speaker 2: two the number to text. We're going to get to 322 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:30,880 Speaker 2: our reporters around the country in just a second. Donna 323 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:34,280 Speaker 2: de Mayo out of Australia and Duncan Web, the Labor 324 00:18:34,320 --> 00:18:38,479 Speaker 2: Party spokesperson for Justice on those numbers from yesterday showing 325 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:42,440 Speaker 2: an increase in violent crime. A lot of that stuff 326 00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:45,240 Speaker 2: happened while they were in power, So will they accept 327 00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:50,360 Speaker 2: responsibility and what does he think about Chippy on twelve 328 00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:54,680 Speaker 2: percent for preferred Prime Minister Brian Bridge. We're going to 329 00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:57,320 Speaker 2: our reporters around the country, starting with Clum and Dunedin. Caulum, 330 00:18:57,320 --> 00:18:58,160 Speaker 2: you cold this morning? 331 00:18:58,960 --> 00:19:01,280 Speaker 8: Yeah, it is chilly this morning, single figure stuff, I 332 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:03,679 Speaker 8: mean our high today's just seven. We do have a 333 00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:06,199 Speaker 8: road snowfall warning, but really no sign of it at 334 00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:06,520 Speaker 8: the moment. 335 00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:09,119 Speaker 2: No roads closed at this stage. All right, what's happening 336 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 2: with Coronet Peak. 337 00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:14,600 Speaker 8: Look, there's a proposed development at the foothills of the 338 00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:17,760 Speaker 8: ski field that's facing a big community pushback. 339 00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:19,399 Speaker 2: Coronet Village Limited. 340 00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:22,320 Speaker 8: Project includes a new gondola, a seven hundred and eighty 341 00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:25,959 Speaker 8: home subdivision, a commercial center, private schools, also car parks. 342 00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:31,080 Speaker 8: But in response, Malligan's Valley Protection Society has been established 343 00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:35,520 Speaker 8: and it's growing concerns around this proposal. The society is 344 00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:38,480 Speaker 8: pushing back, saying it's worried that this project could get 345 00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 8: approved for fast track development. They say it could be 346 00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:44,679 Speaker 8: given the green light with nobody having a say on it. 347 00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:47,600 Speaker 2: All right, thanks so much for that, Callum Claire shereward 348 00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:50,199 Speaker 2: Is and crushers this morning, clear have any sign of 349 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:52,440 Speaker 2: the snow? First of all, how is you weather for today? 350 00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 9: With the snow yet to Ryan, It's very wet here 351 00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:58,600 Speaker 9: this morning, pouring with rain. It is really cold. Those 352 00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:00,760 Speaker 9: single figures here as well too, agrees at the moment, 353 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:04,280 Speaker 9: and only nine today our high the low tonight get 354 00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:05,440 Speaker 9: this minus four. 355 00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:08,720 Speaker 2: Lovely Clia tell us about these birds will have a 356 00:20:08,800 --> 00:20:10,520 Speaker 2: chili arrival to christ Church. 357 00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,440 Speaker 9: Well, they will have a chili arrival. Look, hundreds of 358 00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:16,080 Speaker 9: the bar tailed Godwits have made their arrival to the 359 00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 9: avon Hethket Estuary. These are the birds that fly more 360 00:20:18,840 --> 00:20:22,920 Speaker 9: than eleven thousand kilometers across the Pacific over somewhere between 361 00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:26,200 Speaker 9: six and eight days from the Alaskan coast. The arrival 362 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:28,199 Speaker 9: of them. At this point, we've got two hundred and 363 00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,760 Speaker 9: twenty eight here in christ Church. It's a few days 364 00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 9: later than their arrival last year, which was actually the 365 00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:37,240 Speaker 9: second earliest on record, but we are expecting more surges 366 00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:38,240 Speaker 9: over the coming days. 367 00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:40,800 Speaker 2: All right, nice one, Thanks Claire. We're going to Wellington 368 00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:43,360 Speaker 2: Max is with us. Max you have failed to give 369 00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:45,879 Speaker 2: us your topic ahead of time, so I don't know. 370 00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:48,400 Speaker 2: I don't know what it is you were speaking about. 371 00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:52,360 Speaker 5: Well, have you been to a storier lately? The Cafe 372 00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:54,240 Speaker 5: bar on Midland Park, Lampton. 373 00:20:54,320 --> 00:20:54,520 Speaker 3: Key. 374 00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:57,040 Speaker 2: No, Actually I went there with my mum maybe two 375 00:20:57,119 --> 00:20:57,600 Speaker 2: years ago. 376 00:20:57,800 --> 00:20:58,479 Speaker 3: What's going on? 377 00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 2: What was a story with a story? 378 00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:02,119 Speaker 5: Yeah, it was right around the time they had a 379 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:08,480 Speaker 5: massive refurbishment, very swanky now new kitchen busy. Quite often 380 00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:12,160 Speaker 5: the owners you group looking for they're going to open 381 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:16,400 Speaker 5: a second storya near Parliament, aiming for early next year 382 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:19,000 Speaker 5: in the new Bowen campus. They believe there's a market 383 00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:21,720 Speaker 5: close to Parliament. Hucks Lease has done well around their 384 00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:26,480 Speaker 5: other spots of closing. Worth pointing out though another of 385 00:21:26,560 --> 00:21:31,360 Speaker 5: you Group's businesses, the Hudson, is closing at least temporarily 386 00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:34,600 Speaker 5: with business down close to the old Central Library off 387 00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:38,000 Speaker 5: Victoria Street. But a second a story coming early twenty 388 00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:38,600 Speaker 5: twenty five. 389 00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:41,879 Speaker 2: Interesting that there is some expansion. At least there is 390 00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:44,000 Speaker 2: one bit of good news. Max. How's your winner? 391 00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:48,480 Speaker 5: Yeah, not great either, periods of rain, strong, southerly's cold 392 00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:50,560 Speaker 5: nine the high in the city. 393 00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:53,800 Speaker 2: Thank you Max. We're going to Neva an Auckland. Good morning, 394 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:56,600 Speaker 2: good morning. We just had a text in from one 395 00:21:56,600 --> 00:21:59,800 Speaker 2: of our lovely listeners. It's snowing at sea level in Waikuku. 396 00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:01,080 Speaker 2: Be each North Canterbury. 397 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:01,760 Speaker 4: Stop it. 398 00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:02,160 Speaker 2: Yeah. 399 00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:04,480 Speaker 4: Well they were saying, now we're just talking about that 400 00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:07,520 Speaker 4: in the newsroom, saying that some of the temperatures to 401 00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:12,480 Speaker 4: do minus three. Christch was a minus four. It's like wow, 402 00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:15,359 Speaker 4: So we shouldn't complain really here in Auckland. But I've missed. 403 00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:18,240 Speaker 4: I heard you talking about, you know, like the heavy. 404 00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:20,640 Speaker 2: Rain of the storm look out betting down the hatches. 405 00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:21,240 Speaker 3: I missed that. 406 00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:24,959 Speaker 2: I fell asleep. I would have lasted about two seconds. 407 00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:27,680 Speaker 4: I was just thinking everyone else out there though they said, 408 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:30,680 Speaker 4: oh man, how did you go? Those saying oh, really 409 00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:31,520 Speaker 4: bigger than Ben. 410 00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:34,600 Speaker 2: Hurt, that'd be Jenny at composting. 411 00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:38,440 Speaker 4: Actually I thought a booklar could go into my place 412 00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:41,359 Speaker 4: and I'd be sound asleep to take everything and I'd 413 00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:43,040 Speaker 4: be still. I'd still miss everything. 414 00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:45,480 Speaker 2: Hey, what's this? What's happening with a pool closing? 415 00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:45,880 Speaker 3: Yeah? 416 00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:48,720 Speaker 4: Now look this is the Auckland Council release it's long 417 00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:51,520 Speaker 4: waited report. This is into the Olympic Pools and Fitness 418 00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,119 Speaker 4: center in new Market. You've probably been there, you go there. 419 00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:55,359 Speaker 2: The one that okay, well. 420 00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:58,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, well look it's released this report just two months 421 00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:02,359 Speaker 4: before the least expires. Now it's identified there's several structural 422 00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 4: issues with the buildings, which estimates it could cost about 423 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:08,960 Speaker 4: five million dollars to address. So the report offers four 424 00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:13,080 Speaker 4: options for going forward. And because of this earthquake prone 425 00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 4: and now it's saying that the White Mantar Local board 426 00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:18,600 Speaker 4: is going to vote on it today, so it could 427 00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:21,960 Speaker 4: close for a year. So what it's recommending an extension 428 00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:25,720 Speaker 4: of the Olympic Pool's lease until twenty twenty six and 429 00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 4: the year closure of the facility afterwards for construction. 430 00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:30,480 Speaker 2: Oh goodness man, So. 431 00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:32,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, what I mean Olympic Pool. You know the director, 432 00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:34,720 Speaker 4: he's not very happy about it. He's saying, look, we 433 00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:37,240 Speaker 4: put forward, you know, some of the things that keep 434 00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:39,120 Speaker 4: it open, and we can get some of the construction 435 00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:40,840 Speaker 4: work done. So it's going back and forward. 436 00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:43,000 Speaker 2: Because if the ground was going to open up and 437 00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:45,919 Speaker 2: swallow you in, you know, during an earthquake, you wouldn't 438 00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:47,600 Speaker 2: want to be in a pool, would you, because you 439 00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,639 Speaker 2: just get flushed down like a toilet. Do you know 440 00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,600 Speaker 2: what I mean? Exactly if you're swimming in a pool 441 00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,000 Speaker 2: and there's a huge crack and the ground opens up. 442 00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:56,960 Speaker 2: I mean, at least if you were on land, you 443 00:23:57,000 --> 00:23:57,920 Speaker 2: can grab onto something. 444 00:23:57,920 --> 00:24:00,400 Speaker 4: Oh that's right, I'll grab on to you. You pushed 445 00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:02,000 Speaker 4: me down there, going see you later. 446 00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:03,760 Speaker 2: How's the weather in contru. 447 00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:08,360 Speaker 4: Gavy rain, thunderstorms inhil possible batten down the hatches southwesterly 448 00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:11,439 Speaker 4: is gale from afternoon, gusting ninety kilometers per hour. Thirteen 449 00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:11,880 Speaker 4: is the high. 450 00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,159 Speaker 2: Thanks never seventeen to six News Talks, he'd. 451 00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:18,359 Speaker 1: Been international correspondence with ends and eye insurance. Peace of 452 00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:20,840 Speaker 1: mind for New Zealand business if. 453 00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:25,600 Speaker 2: You're just joining us. The man accused of potentially harming 454 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:29,720 Speaker 2: or planning to harm the US president, former President Donald Trump, 455 00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:32,040 Speaker 2: has appeared in West Palm Beach in the court there 456 00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:35,600 Speaker 2: and was apparently hiding out in the bushes at his 457 00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:39,480 Speaker 2: golf club for twelve hours before Secret Service agents shot 458 00:24:39,520 --> 00:24:42,680 Speaker 2: at him and he drove away. He is facing two 459 00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:47,000 Speaker 2: chargers which are basically just low level gun charges and 460 00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:50,760 Speaker 2: the reason for that is the more serious charges are 461 00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:53,000 Speaker 2: expected to come later. These are the ones they could 462 00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:55,760 Speaker 2: basically pin them on. Right now, just gone fourteen away. 463 00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:57,520 Speaker 3: From six Bryan Bridge. 464 00:24:57,640 --> 00:25:00,240 Speaker 2: I'm we're going to Donald Tomo, our Australia correspondent. Done 465 00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:02,080 Speaker 2: very cold over your way. 466 00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:05,320 Speaker 10: Oh you wouldn't believe it, but Australians just love talking 467 00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:08,560 Speaker 10: about the weather and we have had record load temperatures 468 00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:13,360 Speaker 10: across Southeast Australia. This icy blast has struck several states 469 00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:17,120 Speaker 10: in fact, and these freezing temperatures have pretty much caught 470 00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:20,840 Speaker 10: us unawares in the capital, for instance, in Canberra minus 471 00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:24,879 Speaker 10: six point nine degrees, Inland, New South Wales below zero 472 00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:28,439 Speaker 10: across many areas, and in a South Australia town the 473 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:32,919 Speaker 10: coldest September in sixty two years. As I mentioned New 474 00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:36,280 Speaker 10: South Wales, you know areas minus eight, minus six in 475 00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:41,440 Speaker 10: Bathist minus four degrees. Victoria regional areas had minus four 476 00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:45,639 Speaker 10: point five and minus four in the Mali region in 477 00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:49,280 Speaker 10: the heart of Victoria the coldest in twenty nine years. 478 00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:51,200 Speaker 10: So the way the Bureau says, oh, this system has 479 00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:56,320 Speaker 10: come almost from Antarctica and these temperatures about five to 480 00:25:56,400 --> 00:26:00,639 Speaker 10: eight degrees below average. Frankly, it's all take It's all 481 00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:03,119 Speaker 10: been a bit of a shock, to be honest. But 482 00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:05,320 Speaker 10: the weather forecast for today it's going to be a 483 00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:09,040 Speaker 10: frosty morning, but thankfully by tomorrow it should start warming up. 484 00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:11,760 Speaker 2: I was going to say, is this really news, but 485 00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:15,560 Speaker 2: it's cold and Australia. Yes there is news. Let's go 486 00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:20,080 Speaker 2: to trot warm tropical Queensland. There's a famous island that's 487 00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:20,720 Speaker 2: been sold. 488 00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:25,640 Speaker 10: So this Queensland island inspired scenes in Chronicles of Narnia. 489 00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:28,399 Speaker 10: A film that came out I think around twenty ten. 490 00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:30,159 Speaker 4: It's just solid. 491 00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,920 Speaker 10: At auction, there were about two hundred and eighty seven inquiries. 492 00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:36,919 Speaker 10: Now sadly I wasn't one of them. But this this 493 00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:39,320 Speaker 10: place is called Little Green Island. It's owned by a 494 00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:42,320 Speaker 10: film producer and actor called Douglas Gresham. Happens to be 495 00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:44,800 Speaker 10: the stepson of Narnia's author C. S. 496 00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:45,360 Speaker 3: Lewis. 497 00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:47,920 Speaker 10: It's just south of the Whitsunday Islands on the Great 498 00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:50,840 Speaker 10: Barrier Reef, a beautiful, beautiful part of the world. Well 499 00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:53,159 Speaker 10: Gresham happens to live in Malta, but he bought this 500 00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:55,920 Speaker 10: sixty three acre private island for two point four to 501 00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:59,240 Speaker 10: five million about fifteen years ago. And what's their well, 502 00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:03,440 Speaker 10: tropical forest, lagoon, pristine beaches, one house and a caretaker's 503 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:07,200 Speaker 10: cottage in a pool. And the family said that they 504 00:27:07,280 --> 00:27:10,359 Speaker 10: relay to the agent that this island had inspired these 505 00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,720 Speaker 10: scenes in this film The Chronicles of Narnia. The agent 506 00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:17,440 Speaker 10: said it was unspoilt and secluded and it was quite beautiful. 507 00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:21,560 Speaker 10: But they're very very thankful locals are anyway, that the 508 00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:24,600 Speaker 10: buyer came from Mackay in Queensland, so it didn't go 509 00:27:24,600 --> 00:27:26,720 Speaker 10: to an international buyer. As I mentioned that many, many 510 00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:29,760 Speaker 10: people wanted to get their hands on this beautiful, beautiful 511 00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:30,439 Speaker 10: part of the world. 512 00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:32,359 Speaker 2: It sounds like it, Donna, thank you very much for that. 513 00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:35,800 Speaker 2: Don and our Australia correspondent eleven minutes away from. 514 00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:37,200 Speaker 3: Six crain Bridge. 515 00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:40,520 Speaker 2: So the government's plans target is to have twenty thousand 516 00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:43,399 Speaker 2: fewer victims of violent crime by twenty thirty, but the 517 00:27:43,520 --> 00:27:47,720 Speaker 2: latest figures show that victimizations are going up. Luxelon's blaming 518 00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:49,000 Speaker 2: the previous lot and. 519 00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:51,760 Speaker 10: It's also further proof that the previous soft on crime 520 00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:55,320 Speaker 10: approach has emboldened defenders and created a crime wave that 521 00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:57,679 Speaker 10: will take a much tougher approach to stop. 522 00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:01,160 Speaker 2: Duncan web Is, Labour's Justice person is with us this morning, 523 00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:02,240 Speaker 2: dunk and good morning. 524 00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:04,720 Speaker 11: Good morning. When that line's not going to work forever, 525 00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:06,840 Speaker 11: is that he's he's had a pretty much a year 526 00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:08,919 Speaker 11: now in things getting worse. 527 00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:11,720 Speaker 2: But you guys use that line for six years. 528 00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:16,080 Speaker 11: No, well they had nine years in so they've got 529 00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:18,080 Speaker 11: more to an answer for. But look, the fact of 530 00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:21,439 Speaker 11: the matter is that the tough on crime it sounds 531 00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:26,080 Speaker 11: good and everyone wants a safe community and we should 532 00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:29,840 Speaker 11: be tough on violent criminals. People who are violent criminals 533 00:28:29,880 --> 00:28:33,320 Speaker 11: should be sentenced properly. But there's nothing new in this 534 00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:35,639 Speaker 11: sentencing change that we're seeing now. 535 00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:39,760 Speaker 2: Well, they're wanting to limit the discounts to forty percent. 536 00:28:39,800 --> 00:28:42,280 Speaker 2: What would be your number in terms of a discount 537 00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:45,240 Speaker 2: if you're a criminal, you're going through the courts, how 538 00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:47,400 Speaker 2: much is your maximum discount? Do you think? 539 00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:51,160 Speaker 11: Well, I look at what judges do now, and when 540 00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:54,720 Speaker 11: ever they give a discount, particularly particularly a large one, 541 00:28:55,560 --> 00:28:57,400 Speaker 11: they want really good reasons. They want to show that 542 00:28:57,440 --> 00:29:01,960 Speaker 11: it's going to be manifestly unjust if they if they imprison. 543 00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:02,120 Speaker 3: Them for longer. 544 00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:04,920 Speaker 11: And that's exactly the rule that they're putting in. So, 545 00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:08,080 Speaker 11: I mean, the judges have discretion for a reason, and 546 00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:11,440 Speaker 11: the reason is to take account of exceptional cases. A 547 00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:15,160 Speaker 11: forty percent discount in real life is a very very 548 00:29:15,240 --> 00:29:19,800 Speaker 11: large discount. Indeed, this isn't even a bright line maximum. 549 00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:23,400 Speaker 11: It's forty percent unless it would be manifest now just 550 00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:25,600 Speaker 11: to impose that sentence, in which case you can get 551 00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:27,920 Speaker 11: a great discount. So it's not even a rule. So 552 00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:32,800 Speaker 11: would you then what's there already? Well, it changes nothing, 553 00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:37,960 Speaker 11: and it places more and more confusing rules in the 554 00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:41,760 Speaker 11: for the opposing sentences, So probably not, you. 555 00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:44,360 Speaker 2: Know, probably not, because are you going to support any 556 00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:46,920 Speaker 2: of their changes? I mean when it comes to the 557 00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:49,959 Speaker 2: gang laws, for example, is there anything in there that 558 00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:52,480 Speaker 2: you say, yes, good idea, will support you on that. 559 00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 11: The gang laws are another one which are an absolute 560 00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:02,360 Speaker 11: dog's breakfast. It's pretty much unf forceful. The Gang Insignia DAN, 561 00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:06,040 Speaker 11: the dispersal orders thing, going to serve notices on gangs 562 00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:08,800 Speaker 11: by email, the first time I've ever seen anything like that, 563 00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:10,920 Speaker 11: and they haven't even got their email addresses. They have 564 00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:13,000 Speaker 11: to go up and ask nicely for them. This is 565 00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:16,760 Speaker 11: exactly what I mean. So government, how you see something 566 00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:17,560 Speaker 11: the table? Yeah? 567 00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,640 Speaker 2: Can you see though why we are here? Can you 568 00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:25,560 Speaker 2: see why a government would come in and respond like this? 569 00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:28,840 Speaker 2: Try everything they can literally throw in the kitchen table, 570 00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:32,320 Speaker 2: at the kitchen sink at this because things have gotten 571 00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:33,240 Speaker 2: so bad under. 572 00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:36,480 Speaker 11: You guys, well they might as well throw the kitchen sink. 573 00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:40,040 Speaker 11: Because as much evidence to that helping as is for 574 00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:42,560 Speaker 11: things like boot camps, you know, and that's part of 575 00:30:42,560 --> 00:30:44,400 Speaker 11: the point. We put in some programs that were making 576 00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:47,920 Speaker 11: great progress. They were the circuit break of programs for 577 00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:51,120 Speaker 11: young offenders. They took half of that and added a 578 00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:53,120 Speaker 11: boot camp to it and said, look what we're doing 579 00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:58,360 Speaker 11: now again, Yes, we see that we want safer communities, 580 00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:02,360 Speaker 11: and over since OVID there's been an increase in crime, 581 00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:05,480 Speaker 11: and that increase has continued. Yes, we agree we need 582 00:31:05,520 --> 00:31:09,000 Speaker 11: to do things, but doing things like just putting a 583 00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:12,240 Speaker 11: quick coat of paint over the Sentencing Act isn't doing anything. 584 00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:16,280 Speaker 11: What we need is better interventions, better alcohol and treatment, 585 00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:20,000 Speaker 11: better health interventions for petter mental health problems, and a 586 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:21,040 Speaker 11: better reaction system. 587 00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:26,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, well that all sounds lovely. Hey, speaking of interventions, 588 00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:29,320 Speaker 2: are you is anyone planning an intervention on Chippy down 589 00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:30,080 Speaker 2: on twelve percent? 590 00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:34,960 Speaker 11: I hadn't seen that number. The look, we think he's doing. 591 00:31:34,800 --> 00:31:35,960 Speaker 3: A great jobs. 592 00:31:36,280 --> 00:31:38,080 Speaker 2: So I'll tell you the number that have had The 593 00:31:38,480 --> 00:31:42,440 Speaker 2: taxpayer Uni Caurier poll out has preferred PM down six 594 00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:47,240 Speaker 2: point one points to twelve point six. Yeah. 595 00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:50,800 Speaker 11: Well that's David Fower's pole and his polling methods are 596 00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:52,960 Speaker 11: a bit dodgy. But whatever the number, we think he's 597 00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:55,920 Speaker 11: doing a great job. He's out there, he's getting around 598 00:31:55,960 --> 00:31:58,360 Speaker 11: the country, he's telling our story, and we think he's 599 00:31:58,360 --> 00:31:59,000 Speaker 11: doing a great job. 600 00:31:59,360 --> 00:32:01,240 Speaker 2: You're ok with them going over to the UK to 601 00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:03,280 Speaker 2: the Labor Party conference? Is that is that the place 602 00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:04,480 Speaker 2: to be to get crime down? 603 00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:08,200 Speaker 11: Oh, the Labor Party conference is going to look at 604 00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:10,960 Speaker 11: a party that won and got some new ideas and 605 00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:13,080 Speaker 11: doing different things and we want to see how they 606 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:14,960 Speaker 11: did it. I think it's a really good all. 607 00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:16,840 Speaker 2: Right, Duncan, thank you very much for coming on the 608 00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:19,800 Speaker 2: show and getting up early. Really appreciate your time at 609 00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:23,720 Speaker 2: Duncan Web is Labour's Justice spokesperson. It is seven to six. 610 00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:29,560 Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge New for twenty twenty four on early edition 611 00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:33,160 Speaker 1: with Smith City, New Zealand's furniture beds and a playing store. 612 00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:34,280 Speaker 3: News Talk said, be. 613 00:32:34,560 --> 00:32:36,360 Speaker 2: Just gone five to six on news Talk said be 614 00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:38,560 Speaker 2: you know pizza Heart. Remember they used to do all 615 00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:40,920 Speaker 2: you can eat the buffet. It's coming back for a 616 00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:44,880 Speaker 2: limited time only apparently chocolate Moose. Remember the chocolate Moose. 617 00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:48,080 Speaker 2: It's in Auckland only and it's thirty dollars per person 618 00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:51,040 Speaker 2: the first tranch and tickets apparently sold out in less 619 00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:54,080 Speaker 2: than an hour. There you go. Mike Hosking is with you. 620 00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:55,400 Speaker 2: Next Good Morning tells. 621 00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:56,720 Speaker 3: You everything that's wrong with us. 622 00:32:57,080 --> 00:33:01,000 Speaker 2: Well, we're discussing pizza heart. Oh no, I've got very 623 00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:05,040 Speaker 2: fond memories. All you can eat? How much could you eat? 624 00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:05,400 Speaker 3: Well? 625 00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:08,040 Speaker 2: Quite a lot, because they it was the first time 626 00:33:08,080 --> 00:33:09,760 Speaker 2: I'd been able to pour my own ice cream from 627 00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:12,600 Speaker 2: one of those machines. Would you go, yeah, that's fun, 628 00:33:12,640 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 2: I'll give you that. Would you go straight to the 629 00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:17,560 Speaker 2: dessert because you don't want to have all the pizza? 630 00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:19,240 Speaker 2: You have no room for dessert? 631 00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:19,920 Speaker 6: You do? 632 00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:22,560 Speaker 2: Could you go a whole pizza? Of course? I could 633 00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:28,720 Speaker 2: you go a whole multiple whole pizzas, true, you could not. 634 00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:32,640 Speaker 2: How many pizzas could you How many regular sized pizzas 635 00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:33,680 Speaker 2: could you eat? Honestly? 636 00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:35,040 Speaker 3: And one in one go? 637 00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:39,200 Speaker 2: I could eat two regular sides, regular plus dessert plus dessert. 638 00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:41,360 Speaker 2: Could you do the jelly because they're selling jelly. Yeah, 639 00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:43,280 Speaker 2: they're doing it. I'm not a big fan of jelly, 640 00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:45,240 Speaker 2: but I would definitely get that moose in my mouth. 641 00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:49,760 Speaker 11: So yeah. 642 00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:53,440 Speaker 1: For more from News Talks, there'd be listen live on 643 00:33:53,520 --> 00:33:56,479 Speaker 1: air or online and keep our shows with you wherever 644 00:33:56,520 --> 00:33:59,120 Speaker 1: you go with our podcasts on Iron Radio.