1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:03,320 Speaker 1: Yet again, yet again, the number of Kiwis leaving the 2 00:00:03,320 --> 00:00:05,000 Speaker 1: country has reached a record high. I don't know how 3 00:00:05,040 --> 00:00:07,560 Speaker 1: many records we can strike. In March we had the 4 00:00:07,560 --> 00:00:10,440 Speaker 1: previous record that was when seventy eight two hundred New 5 00:00:10,480 --> 00:00:13,080 Speaker 1: Zealand citizens left the country intending to stay away for 6 00:00:13,119 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 1: a year or more. And at that time we were like, Paul, 7 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: that's a high number. Well, eighty one thousand, two hundred 8 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:22,880 Speaker 1: is the April figure that's been released today. Paul Spoonley 9 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:25,959 Speaker 1: is a Massi University sociologist and with us now Hey. 10 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 2: Paul, yod Ay, Heather, Paul's scale of. 11 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: One to ten. How worried to you about this? 12 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 2: Nine? 13 00:00:31,760 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: Really? 14 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:36,720 Speaker 2: Nine? Yes? Yes? Two reasons One is that I thought 15 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:38,959 Speaker 2: with a new government it would ease off. But this 16 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 2: is actually seven months of the new government and the 17 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:44,159 Speaker 2: figures keep going out, so how much more can they 18 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:47,320 Speaker 2: go up? The second is that we see our Western 19 00:00:47,400 --> 00:00:52,199 Speaker 2: bright is going We have the highest skilled diaspers so 20 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 2: people who are living in another country of any country 21 00:00:56,080 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 2: in the OECD, and we do that because our graduates 22 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:05,760 Speaker 2: leave and typically the person who's leaving his Zealand is 23 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:09,640 Speaker 2: between twenty and thirty and a university graduate and. 24 00:01:09,600 --> 00:01:10,839 Speaker 1: What are the skills that we're losing. 25 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 2: We're losing all of those. Well, we're losing a lot 26 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:17,040 Speaker 2: of professionals. I mean, if you look at the people 27 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 2: that are being recruited for the Australian Health Service out 28 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:23,840 Speaker 2: of our graduate out of our medical schools, we've got 29 00:01:23,880 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 2: to be seriously concerned. But of course you and I 30 00:01:26,959 --> 00:01:30,119 Speaker 2: know what are the police doing, the Australian Police doing 31 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 2: in terms of recruiting here, So right across the board, teachers, 32 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:37,760 Speaker 2: all our professionals are being recruited because they are actually 33 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:42,319 Speaker 2: good graduates, and they're being recruited for other countries, particularly Australia. 34 00:01:42,600 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 1: What's it going to take for this number to come down? 35 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 2: Well, I think there's always push and pool factors, and 36 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 2: some of the pool factors, the fact that you can 37 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 2: get more money in Australia is always going to be 38 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 2: a pool factor, so that there's not a lot you 39 00:01:56,600 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 2: can do about that. Although some of our some of 40 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 2: our professions do need better recognition and do need better pay. 41 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:06,600 Speaker 2: So how do we do that? I'm not entirely sure, 42 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:10,360 Speaker 2: but we need to be internationally competitive. There are push 43 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 2: factors and that's what I'm a bit surprised at I 44 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:15,080 Speaker 2: thought that, you know, with a new government things would 45 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 2: settle down, we wouldn't see this ongoing increase. So I'm 46 00:02:18,880 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 2: really surprised at that. I think we've got some incentives 47 00:02:25,600 --> 00:02:29,720 Speaker 2: which are really disincentives. We load up our graduates with 48 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 2: student dead and then we wonder why they go to 49 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:36,760 Speaker 2: live in another country and don't come back. Well, of 50 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 2: course it's to avoid that debt. So can't we do something? 51 00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 2: Couldn't we, for example, say, if Heather's disgraduated out of 52 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:47,440 Speaker 2: medical school, couldn't she work in a rural New Zealand 53 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 2: for five years and then discount that debt that she's 54 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:53,800 Speaker 2: accrued was training to be a Yeah, So I just 55 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:55,680 Speaker 2: I think we're a bit dumb about some of us. 56 00:02:56,120 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, how many of these people? That's a note pool. 57 00:02:59,320 --> 00:03:01,720 Speaker 1: That's a really good idea, And I'm taking this on board. 58 00:03:01,720 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 1: I'm taking it. Not that I have any power over this, 59 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:05,720 Speaker 1: but I'm absorbing what you're saying. How many of these 60 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 1: people who have left? Can we rely on coming back. 61 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:11,360 Speaker 2: On quite a few, because if you look at those 62 00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:14,800 Speaker 2: numbers you mentioned the eighty one thousand, two hundred that 63 00:03:14,880 --> 00:03:18,200 Speaker 2: have left, but actually the net loss is fifty six thousand, 64 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 2: so we've got twenty five thousand who come back. And 65 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:25,120 Speaker 2: they come back typically when they're at a particular career point. 66 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 2: So they quite often go overseas, get experience, and then 67 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 2: they come back here and come at it in at 68 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 2: the higher level in terms of the industry or the 69 00:03:33,040 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 2: the organization. They quite often come back when they're about 70 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:39,840 Speaker 2: a start a family. So even though you know they 71 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 2: they're overseas and doing really well, once they start and 72 00:03:44,280 --> 00:03:46,880 Speaker 2: get that family, thinking about that family, then they tend 73 00:03:46,960 --> 00:03:49,240 Speaker 2: to come back to New Zealand. But I don't think 74 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 2: we should rely on that. I think we should work hard. 75 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 2: What's interesting to me is that we've got the second 76 00:03:55,560 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 2: largest diaspora people living in another country, second only to Ireland, 77 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:04,360 Speaker 2: and we don't manage that diaspora. We don't work that diaspora. 78 00:04:04,480 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 2: We don't keep in puts with that diaspora and say, look, 79 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:10,320 Speaker 2: even though you're not living in New Zealand at the moment, 80 00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:12,480 Speaker 2: or you might not ever live in New Zealand again, 81 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:15,920 Speaker 2: can you do something to help us. It's called diaspora management. 82 00:04:15,960 --> 00:04:16,800 Speaker 2: We don't really do that. 83 00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:20,080 Speaker 1: Irish do Look, do the Irish do it. 84 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 2: Yes, they do. And the Filipinos do it really well. 85 00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:27,919 Speaker 2: They even have a government department which looks after what 86 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:31,120 Speaker 2: they call the overseas Filipinos and they do a really 87 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 2: good job. So some countries do The Israelis do it. 88 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:37,359 Speaker 2: You know, there are some countries that keep them in 89 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 2: touch and work that diaspora and say can you help us, 90 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:45,840 Speaker 2: Can you provide us with funding, can you provide us 91 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 2: with ideas. Perhaps you know, some of your skilled clients 92 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 2: could come and work from us for a while. We 93 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:51,520 Speaker 2: don't do much of that. 94 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:54,160 Speaker 1: If there was something to go. I mean, the thing 95 00:04:54,320 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 1: is right, if they go overseas and they're looking for 96 00:04:57,640 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 1: greener pastures and they find on the other side, it's 97 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 1: not that flash, right, they will come back. So really, 98 00:05:02,320 --> 00:05:04,799 Speaker 1: if there was something like I'm thinking, like a war 99 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 1: in Europe or even in this part of the world, 100 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 1: they may return. 101 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:13,040 Speaker 2: Mightn't they? Absolutely? So, as soon as we saw Donald 102 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:16,919 Speaker 2: Trump elected, we got a tripling of people in the 103 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:19,720 Speaker 2: USA who wanted to migrate to New Zealand. Yeah, that 104 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:22,039 Speaker 2: was a tripling in forty eight hours. It was the 105 00:05:22,080 --> 00:05:24,800 Speaker 2: same with Boris Johnson. As soon as Boris Johnson got elected, 106 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:27,719 Speaker 2: there was a big push factor. As soon as you 107 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:31,040 Speaker 2: get something that's happening like the Ukraine War or Chernobyl, 108 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 2: then you get a significant increase in people who want 109 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:36,920 Speaker 2: to come home. And New Zealand is safe. I mean, 110 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 2: we're a long way from any of these conflicts. We're 111 00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:43,599 Speaker 2: a country which when we talk to migrants, they come 112 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 2: here because the quality of the lifestyle is so good. 113 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 2: So we have a lot of things going for us. 114 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:50,920 Speaker 2: You can see that in the numbers, by the way. 115 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 2: We're talking about the people leaving, but the numbers coming 116 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 2: into New Zealand are still very very high compared to 117 00:05:57,120 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 2: what you know. They've dropped about ten thousands and they 118 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:03,360 Speaker 2: look us tracking down, but we're still attracting a lot 119 00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:04,440 Speaker 2: of migrants. 120 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 1: Paul, you are always fascinating. Thank you so much for 121 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:09,120 Speaker 1: taking the time to talk to us. It's Professor Paul Spoonley, 122 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:11,680 Speaker 1: Massy University sociologist. So just about the best thing we 123 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:14,400 Speaker 1: could be hoping for at the moment is the reelection 124 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:16,719 Speaker 1: of Donald Trump. I was gonna say and war, but 125 00:06:16,760 --> 00:06:18,719 Speaker 1: I don't want to inflict war on anybody just so 126 00:06:18,760 --> 00:06:20,440 Speaker 1: we get our people back. But I am prepared to 127 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:22,400 Speaker 1: inflict Donald Trump on some people, so we get our 128 00:06:22,440 --> 00:06:25,159 Speaker 1: people back. So suddenly I'm going to start barracking for 129 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 1: Donald Trump. 130 00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 2: For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to 131 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:32,919 Speaker 2: news talks. It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow 132 00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:34,760 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio