1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:02,600 Speaker 1: Now working from home right has been the talk, big 2 00:00:02,640 --> 00:00:05,480 Speaker 1: talking point of the week so far. What we don't 3 00:00:05,480 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: have is a lot of numbers, so we thought we'd 4 00:00:07,400 --> 00:00:08,639 Speaker 1: crunch a few of them just to get a bit 5 00:00:08,680 --> 00:00:12,400 Speaker 1: of context into this debate. And Gareth Kernan is Informetric's 6 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:14,720 Speaker 1: chief forecasters, who's been a forecaster, who's been doing the 7 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 1: numbers for us at Gareth evening here, mate, do we 8 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 1: have any idea how many people are actually working from home? 9 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 2: Stat Sens did a survey last year and showed that 10 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:27,200 Speaker 2: about forty three percent of people have the option to 11 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 2: work from home, and some other numbers suggest that around 12 00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:33,320 Speaker 2: about eighty percent of those people have worked from home 13 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:35,600 Speaker 2: in the last three months or so, not saying they 14 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 2: work from home every week, but at least utilizing that 15 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:42,879 Speaker 2: option to some extent. It's interesting when you look at 16 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 2: professional services, which you know, the talk has been about 17 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 2: the government this week, and it's probably the closest industry 18 00:00:48,640 --> 00:00:50,159 Speaker 2: we've got sort of lining up with the sort of 19 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 2: work there. Eighty one percent of people are able to 20 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:56,320 Speaker 2: work from home, so it is massively prevalent, as you'd expect, 21 00:00:56,360 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 2: I guess through you know, those sort of office based jobs. 22 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:02,959 Speaker 1: Do you think that sending these guys back is the 23 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 1: proportion of the workforce in Wellington being the civil service 24 00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:09,560 Speaker 1: big enough to actually impact Wellington if we sent them 25 00:01:09,560 --> 00:01:11,520 Speaker 1: all back five days a week, let's say. 26 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 2: Well, I mean, look the civil Service, it's about twenty 27 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 2: percent of Wellington's workforce, compared to across the rest of 28 00:01:18,160 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 2: the country around about five percent. So it is significant. 29 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 2: But I was fascinated looking at the public transport usage 30 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 2: actually on a regional basis, I mean, Wellington's public transport 31 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:30,759 Speaker 2: usage this year to date, it is down about six 32 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:33,119 Speaker 2: percent from where it was in twenty nineteen, back when 33 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:36,760 Speaker 2: the world was all normal. Auckland, I was surprised to 34 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 2: look at Auckland fourteen percent down, and then I remember 35 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:40,720 Speaker 2: that you guys have had massive problems, you know, and 36 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:42,760 Speaker 2: fixing your train lines and all that sort of thing. 37 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 2: But even bus usage in Auckland are still around, sitting 38 00:01:46,080 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 2: around about seven percent below where it was in twenty nineteen. 39 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 2: So there's sort of a bit of a feeling that 40 00:01:50,920 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 2: there's other issues at play in Wellington apart from just 41 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 2: the fact that public servants have been working from home. 42 00:01:56,600 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 2: I mean, there's been a lot of discussion down here, 43 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 2: of course about the sort of freaking infrastructure and the 44 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 2: unattractiveness of the center of town with earthquake damaged buildings 45 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 2: and that type of thing. We haven't had a lot 46 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 2: of population growth here as well at times. And you 47 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:12,320 Speaker 2: overlay all of that, of course, with the actual job 48 00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 2: cuts we've seen too the public sector, and I think 49 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 2: there's probably bigger issues at play then simply, you know, 50 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:20,119 Speaker 2: too many people working from home and not spending enough 51 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 2: in the cafes in town. 52 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 1: The defense that you get from people who don't want 53 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 1: to have to go back to work, the unions or 54 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 1: you know, don't want to have to send the staff 55 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:28,680 Speaker 1: back to work is that there isn't a problem with productivity. 56 00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 1: It hasn't decreased. But can we actually say that with confidence. 57 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:33,919 Speaker 1: Is anybody at any of these agencies or private sector 58 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: employers actually measuring productivity often enough to know for sure? 59 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 2: I think there's been so many sort of conflicting studies 60 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 2: on it, it's really hard to come to any sort 61 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 2: of firm conclusion about the productivity outcomes. And I get 62 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 2: the feeling that it really depends on your organization, It 63 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 2: really depends on the individuals that play as well. You know, 64 00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 2: for some people working at home with the lack of 65 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:57,120 Speaker 2: interruptions is fantastic and they do get more done. For 66 00:02:57,200 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 2: others you kind of feel like, you know, maybe maybe 67 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 2: they'll take and the piece of bit and you know, 68 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 2: a couple of hours work here and a couple of 69 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:03,679 Speaker 2: hours work there. 70 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 1: So, gare, if you work in Wellington, do you know 71 00:03:06,720 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: any public sector? It got any mates? So we're taking 72 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:10,080 Speaker 1: the mickey a little bit. 73 00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:14,640 Speaker 2: No, my mates are all very very strong work if 74 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:17,280 Speaker 2: I can't believe you to cure some of that, but no, 75 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:22,520 Speaker 2: loant I know heaps, Yeah, no, I mean look for 76 00:03:22,639 --> 00:03:25,359 Speaker 2: look from an infimetrics point of view, I mean we've 77 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 2: always had quite a flexible working policy, even pre COVID. 78 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 2: But we're a small organization with you know, twelve thirteen 79 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 2: fourteen people. It's pretty easy to see sort of holes 80 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 2: in people's productivity if they're not pulling their weight. It 81 00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 2: is a lot harder in those bigger organizations and obviously 82 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 2: the public sector, I think imagine it's a lot harder 83 00:03:41,640 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 2: to keep tabs on everybody and that sort of situation. 84 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:47,240 Speaker 1: Yeah too, right, Hey, Gareth, as always really appreciate you 85 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:48,800 Speaker 1: doing the numbers for us and chatting to you. That's 86 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 1: Gareth Cannan. 87 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 2: For more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive. Listen live to 88 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 2: news Talks. It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow 89 00:03:56,560 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio