1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,360 Speaker 1: So the government did release the COVID report despite any 2 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:04,080 Speaker 1: number of indications they were not going to. So we 3 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:06,200 Speaker 1: got a lot of pages, a lot of recommendations. Will 4 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:08,240 Speaker 1: it make a job of difference next time round? Former 5 00:00:08,240 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 1: Treasury Secretary, National Health Board member in New Zealand Initiative 6 00:00:11,840 --> 00:00:14,600 Speaker 1: senior fellow these days, Doctor Murray horns with us Murray morning. 7 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 2: Good morning mate. 8 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 1: If this was it, in other words, we weren't doing 9 00:00:18,040 --> 00:00:19,959 Speaker 1: Phase two. Is it comprehensive enough? 10 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:22,639 Speaker 2: I don't think so, and I think it misses some 11 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:26,480 Speaker 2: big points. I think my view of it is as 12 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 2: a fairly and I've only read this summary, okay, so 13 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:32,640 Speaker 2: I haven't read the full in how many other pages 14 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 2: it is, but I think it's quite a generous assessment 15 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:37,920 Speaker 2: of what went on, and I think it misses a 16 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 2: couple of really big points. The first point I would 17 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 2: make is that it doesn't really pick up the fact 18 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 2: that the damaged done to the economy and to people's 19 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:53,440 Speaker 2: trust in government and so on and so on was 20 00:00:54,160 --> 00:00:56,960 Speaker 2: more It was more serious than it needed to be, 21 00:00:56,960 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 2: because the public health response was weaker than it should 22 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 2: have been. Uh. Secondly, I think that you know clearly 23 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 2: we overdid the stimulus. Right, the government overdid the stimulus 24 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:11,960 Speaker 2: and we're and we're paying for that now, and we'll 25 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 2: pay for that in terms of higher levels of debt, 26 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:18,120 Speaker 2: more inflation, the recessions that need to be that we're 27 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 2: going through to try and get that inflation down. So 28 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:23,200 Speaker 2: you know the fact that you know, New Zealand the 29 00:01:23,240 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 2: economy seemed to bounce back strongly. Yeah, well it's got 30 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:27,520 Speaker 2: to help. 31 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 1: That's what happens when you print money. 32 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:32,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's right, and yeah, and and you run up debt. 33 00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:35,440 Speaker 2: So you know, I think that there's a there's a 34 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:40,680 Speaker 2: there's an important lesson there that we could have had 35 00:01:40,760 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 2: less locked fewer, fewer lockdowns, less severe lockdowns of the 36 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:48,559 Speaker 2: public health response had have been had it been better. 37 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 2: And I'm thinking there about things like better testing, contact tracing, 38 00:01:55,280 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 2: you know, improving the health system's ability to cope. Using 39 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 2: private partners with their expertise, that we came to help 40 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 2: a whole lot of things that we should have been doing, 41 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:11,240 Speaker 2: and even though we were badly prepared to begin with, 42 00:02:11,720 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 2: we didn't seem to learn much as we met went along. 43 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:16,680 Speaker 2: And I think that brings us to my second point, 44 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:20,680 Speaker 2: and probably the biggest missing of the looking forward part 45 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:24,320 Speaker 2: of it is that the politicization of the execution of 46 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:30,359 Speaker 2: the strategy led to the lack of adaptation and agility 47 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:33,079 Speaker 2: in response. So you know, they come out and pick 48 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 2: up a couple of points at dev Gorman and I 49 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:39,919 Speaker 2: made eighteen months ago about the need for our mosses 50 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 2: put scenario planning and all that sort of thing, and 51 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:46,840 Speaker 2: getting ourselves in better shape for the next one. But 52 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:51,360 Speaker 2: plans don't you know, there's a whole saying and war 53 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 2: and the plans don't survive the first contact with the enemy. 54 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 2: So yes, you've got to have plans, You've got to 55 00:02:57,080 --> 00:03:00,760 Speaker 2: do that. The scenario thing, good, good suggestions that they've made, 56 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 2: picked up the suggestions they made eighteen months ago. And 57 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 2: better use of the private sector as we do for 58 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 2: you know, farms and biosecurity. We can get farms to 59 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:18,519 Speaker 2: protect their farms inside. But look, you don't get any 60 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 2: of those things f the government takes over the execution, 61 00:03:22,160 --> 00:03:25,120 Speaker 2: wants to claim that the best in the world, and 62 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:31,799 Speaker 2: monopoly untruth has spin on everything. Marginalized criticism and monopolized execution, 63 00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 2: which is what they did, and none of that, none 64 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:40,120 Speaker 2: of that sort of chest beating and propagandizing is conducive 65 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 2: to admitting shortcomings, to learning from them, to adapting your response, 66 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 2: so you know, it leads to a sort of add 67 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 2: or you know where we got to a sort of 68 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:52,480 Speaker 2: a fear based at or cross type approach, which which 69 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 2: excludes you know, the private sector, which which which doesn't 70 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:00,200 Speaker 2: emit error and learn from them. 71 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 1: Exactly, It's exactly what we came to. And I just wonder, Murray, 72 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 1: whether we actually needed a report because most of us 73 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 1: came to that conclusion sometime ago. Of course, all by ourselves, 74 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 1: didn't we. Murray Horn a good Heaven won the pregament. 75 00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:13,480 Speaker 2: For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to 76 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:14,120 Speaker 2: news talks. 77 00:04:14,160 --> 00:04:17,360 Speaker 1: It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast 78 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:18,200 Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio