1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,680 Speaker 1: The number of new build consents issued in the year 2 00:00:02,720 --> 00:00:05,440 Speaker 1: to Joune has dropped to a five year low. Stats 3 00:00:05,480 --> 00:00:09,440 Speaker 1: and Z data shows just over fourteen thousand standalone houses 4 00:00:09,480 --> 00:00:12,639 Speaker 1: we're consented, that's down nineteen percent, and there was an 5 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 1: even larger drop in multi unit buildings, with just over 6 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:19,919 Speaker 1: eighteen thousand approved that's down twenty eight percent. Joining me 7 00:00:19,920 --> 00:00:23,600 Speaker 1: in our Construction Industry Council Chief executive sorry executive director, 8 00:00:23,720 --> 00:00:26,800 Speaker 1: Tommy Honey, Hey, Tommy Marina, how are you? 9 00:00:26,960 --> 00:00:27,160 Speaker 2: Yeah? 10 00:00:27,200 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: Good, thank you, Good to have you on the show. 11 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 1: I just wanted to point out the apartments consents down 12 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:36,200 Speaker 1: fifty percent. Yep, yep, that's big. 13 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:39,879 Speaker 2: So oh it is. And so what we've seen is 14 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:43,479 Speaker 2: a continuation of sort of a downward trend that really 15 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 2: started in the middle of it's about June twenty twenty two, 16 00:00:48,159 --> 00:00:51,839 Speaker 2: so two years ago. And we have been like a 17 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 2: lot of people waiting for that kind of to reverse 18 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 2: or at least plant oh, but it seems like we're 19 00:00:56,360 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 2: still heading downwards. The thing about apartments is that for 20 00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 2: the for the builders, developers, investors and those is that 21 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:06,759 Speaker 2: they're quite a risk. And when you've got inflation running 22 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 2: as high as it has been and that's starting to 23 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:12,760 Speaker 2: turn the corner, but the Reserve Bank is not. Actually 24 00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:17,960 Speaker 2: they haven't turned the corner yet, and there's a bit 25 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 2: of a lag there was, or there's always a lag 26 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 2: when when the mortgage rates and interest rates so very 27 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 2: slow to respond. So I still think we're three six 28 00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:31,759 Speaker 2: nine months away from any really great health. Coming back 29 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:33,480 Speaker 2: to the bottom sector. 30 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:37,280 Speaker 1: Who is building? I mean, obviously some houses are getting built. 31 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 1: Who is building them? 32 00:01:38,800 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 2: Well, I think I think the people who've got the 33 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:44,280 Speaker 2: winders all to do that, because you've got to think 34 00:01:44,319 --> 00:01:46,679 Speaker 2: all so the whole real estate state market of flat 35 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:48,840 Speaker 2: So you're going to go building that. Yeah, if you've 36 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 2: got a house you live in and you want to 37 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 2: build a new one, sell the first one. Yeah, not 38 00:01:53,240 --> 00:01:54,960 Speaker 2: a guarantee that that's going to This is the right 39 00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 2: time to be doing that, unless you're just looking a 40 00:01:57,440 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 2: little bit further into the future. One of the sort 41 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 2: of handbrakes on the whole system is that one of 42 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 2: our biggest builders or the biggest clients really has recently 43 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 2: in recent year has been the government through coying or order. 44 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:14,280 Speaker 2: And because they put a pause on that, everyone that 45 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:16,760 Speaker 2: works for them, which is builders, and because the government 46 00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:20,840 Speaker 2: itself is a builder. They have developers who have trades, 47 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:23,800 Speaker 2: people in sub trades, and that whole part of the 48 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:27,160 Speaker 2: sect has taken a real hit because the number of 49 00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:30,920 Speaker 2: houses that kyng Aura has been consenting getting built in 50 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:33,240 Speaker 2: recent years has been around about ten to fifteen percent 51 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 2: of all the houses. So the other that nineteen percent drop, 52 00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:39,359 Speaker 2: a good portion of that is actually due to coying 53 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:42,240 Speaker 2: or and not building starting any new projects. They're finishing 54 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:44,000 Speaker 2: off a few projects, but they put a pause and 55 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 2: a whole. 56 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 1: Lot and that a perfect storm. 57 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:50,639 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, it happens. Confidence right through all the way. 58 00:02:50,639 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 2: And this whole a whole set depends on confidence and certainty, 59 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 2: and there's so much uncertainty around with what the government's doing. 60 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 2: When they've got plans, we wanted to see them happen 61 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 2: a lot quicker the economy, who are interest rates and 62 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 2: then everyone who wants to spend the money sitting back 63 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 2: and saying, oh, we'll just wait, so we're Yeah, perfect 64 00:03:10,480 --> 00:03:12,080 Speaker 2: storms are the right way to describe it. 65 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:14,400 Speaker 1: Tommy, thanks so much for your time. That's Tommy Honey. 66 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 1: He's the executive director at the Construction Industry Council. 67 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 2: For more from News Talks EDB listen live on air 68 00:03:22,720 --> 00:03:25,440 Speaker 2: or online, and keep our shows with you wherever you 69 00:03:25,520 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 2: go with our podcasts on iHeartRadio