1 00:00:00,640 --> 00:00:02,920 Speaker 1: Now, speaking of off the back of the primary sector, 2 00:00:02,960 --> 00:00:04,280 Speaker 1: how are we going to do off the back of 3 00:00:04,320 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: the primary sector if they're in trouble? Are they with 4 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:09,160 Speaker 1: the dairy payout and what's happening around the world with 5 00:00:09,200 --> 00:00:11,640 Speaker 1: Donald Trump? Or is that safe and lockdown? Do you think? 6 00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 2: Well, I'm only guessing here. You need to ring up 7 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,599 Speaker 2: Miles Hurrell or one of those guys. But I would 8 00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:21,640 Speaker 2: imagine this year's dairy payout at ten dollars plus as 9 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 2: more or less locked and loaded. Remember, there is I 10 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 2: guess a down or an upside to Trump's stupidity, and 11 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:31,320 Speaker 2: that might be the exchange rate. But in terms of dairy, 12 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:34,600 Speaker 2: for instance, only six percent of our dairy goes into 13 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:38,840 Speaker 2: the US. Obviously red meat wine would be of far 14 00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:43,159 Speaker 2: greater concern. And even at ten percent on nine billion dollars, 15 00:00:43,200 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 2: that's nine hundred million. Yet I know it's it's not 16 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:48,640 Speaker 2: to be sniffed at, but it's not going to break us. 17 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 2: I think the real issue, and it was good to 18 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 2: hear Steve and Joyce on your show a wee bit earlier, Ryan, 19 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 2: that the real issue is the collateral damage like to 20 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:01,600 Speaker 2: our major trading partners, especially China, our biggest trading partner 21 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,560 Speaker 2: partner plus the EU, and then you're looking at the 22 00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:07,280 Speaker 2: damage and goodness knows what it is. No one knows 23 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:12,759 Speaker 2: to the world economy, potential recession, higher inflation, interest rates, 24 00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:15,720 Speaker 2: Goodness knows where they're going to go. Reserve banks around 25 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 2: the world might have to start lowering interest rates to 26 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 2: stimulate economies. Look, I think we're all just stabbing in 27 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 2: the dark at the moment, but you would have to say, 28 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 2: I guess New Zealand's as well positioned maybe as any 29 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:33,640 Speaker 2: country to get through this. But we're going to watch 30 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:35,400 Speaker 2: with interest how Trump v. 31 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:38,839 Speaker 1: China goes absolutely and that thing's only heading up. Jamie, 32 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 1: thank you for Then I'll let you get back to 33 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 1: the pub. Enjoy yourself, Jamie McKay, host of the Country 34 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 1: and on hosting duties at the Spates Own House and 35 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 1: Team Tonight. 36 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:50,720 Speaker 2: For more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drave. 37 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:54,320 Speaker 1: Listen live to News Talks it'd be from four pm weekdays, 38 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.