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Speaker 1: Big guy in America. They're voting on a couple of things.

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Speaker 1: Special elections in Wisconsin for a seat on the Supreme Court,

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Speaker 1: couple of congressional races in Florida. A Republican strategist managing

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Speaker 1: Partner and fire Howse Strategies met Terial's back with us

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Speaker 1: Matt morning, to be with you. Is there any chance

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Speaker 1: that the Republicans are going to lose Florida?

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Speaker 2: I don't think so. Look, I think Republicans feel confident

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Speaker 2: they're going to win that race, and maybe by a

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Speaker 2: closer margin than previous election cycles for that district. But look,

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Speaker 2: the truth is the Democrat candidate has raised a significant

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Speaker 2: amount of money. That's not nothing. But the end of

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Speaker 2: the day, I think Republicans feel good about winning that race,

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Speaker 2: of confident Republicans will win that race, may be able

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Speaker 2: to closer in the margin, potentially under ten points or so,

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Speaker 2: but we'll see what happens.

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Speaker 1: Okay, then we come to Wisconsin. How serious is that?

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Speaker 1: In which way? If it goes the wrong way, what

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Speaker 1: what unfolds?

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Speaker 2: Well, Look, I think that's a different race in the

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Speaker 2: sense that it's taking place in the battleground of battleground states.

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Speaker 2: The bottom line is I think this is not just

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Speaker 2: about what happens in that race in terms of who's

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Speaker 2: gonna win it, but also what does that mean in

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Speaker 2: terms of the signal it sends in terms of where

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Speaker 2: the pulse of the country is. You know, if the

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Speaker 2: Republican backtor I should say President Trump backed candidate and

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Speaker 2: that race wins, I think it's very telling about the

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Speaker 2: mandate that he has the strength that he has when

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Speaker 2: it comes to the electorate. But look, you know, if

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Speaker 2: the Democratic back candidate and that way race wins, obviously

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Speaker 2: let's be something that Democrats are going to rally behind.

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Speaker 2: Obviously they're low in the polls right now. They're profer

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Speaker 2: rating is not is not good right now? So I

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Speaker 2: think they're looking for any opportunity to increase that.

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Speaker 1: Is there some sort of market on Elon seeing he's

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Speaker 1: being particularly active in Wisconsin? Is it or is it

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Speaker 1: all about Trump?

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Speaker 2: Look, I think it's it's really not necessarily about either.

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Speaker 2: I mean, look, sure Elon Musk is involved in terms

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Speaker 2: of you know, uh, contributions in terms of his pack

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Speaker 2: and those elements, but so are you know, Democratic leaders. Mean,

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Speaker 2: look er JB. Pritzker, a billionaire, is donated to the

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Speaker 2: Democrat back can't ate in the race. Focus billionaires on

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Speaker 2: both sides, but in terms of funding and contributions, I

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Speaker 2: think at the end of the day, this race is

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Speaker 2: about the issues that Wisconsin voters care about. For example, redistricting.

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Speaker 2: That's a huge issue many voters are concerned about in

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Speaker 2: the state. Obviously, it's something that I think the electorate

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Speaker 2: will be focused on. There'll be national trends in this race.

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Speaker 2: Knows a question about it, But the end of the day,

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Speaker 2: it's about what the Wisconsin voters think, and they're concerned

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Speaker 2: about key issues such as redistricting and other issues.

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Speaker 1: So if the Republican gets up in Wisconsin and they

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Speaker 1: win in Florida as well, that's a good day for

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Speaker 1: Trump and liberation die tomorrow and its business as usual.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, look, let's let's see what happens here in terms

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Speaker 2: of the outcome. But look, if Republicans do well, obviously

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Speaker 2: to strengthen President Trump's mandate. If Democrats have any wins,

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Speaker 2: you know, then obviously it's gonna be something that they

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Speaker 2: rally around. But I think Republicans feel good going in

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Speaker 2: to the election.

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Speaker 1: Great stuff, good to catch up, appreciate it. Very much

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Speaker 1: meant toill. Republican strategist managing partner apply house strategies, of course.

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Speaker 1: For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to

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