WEBVTT - Economic worries putting pressure on National as parties lay groundwork for next election

0:00:05.200 --> 0:00:05.600
<v Speaker 1>Kyoda.

0:00:05.680 --> 0:00:08.720
<v Speaker 2>I'm Chelsea Daniels and this is the Front Page, a

0:00:08.840 --> 0:00:10.520
<v Speaker 2>daily podcast.

0:00:10.039 --> 0:00:12.039
<v Speaker 1>Presented by the New Zealand Herald.

0:00:15.880 --> 0:00:19.360
<v Speaker 2>Cost of living and the economy remain top of the

0:00:19.400 --> 0:00:20.640
<v Speaker 2>agenda for national.

0:00:21.040 --> 0:00:22.320
<v Speaker 1>Prime Minister Christopher.

0:00:22.000 --> 0:00:25.760
<v Speaker 2>Luxeen's already touting his leadership as one that is a

0:00:25.880 --> 0:00:29.720
<v Speaker 2>clear choice for New Zealander's at next year's election, saying

0:00:29.720 --> 0:00:31.560
<v Speaker 2>the government inherited.

0:00:31.000 --> 0:00:32.760
<v Speaker 1>A mess and is sorting it out.

0:00:33.040 --> 0:00:36.400
<v Speaker 2>However, commentators have been quick to point out the issues

0:00:36.479 --> 0:00:40.199
<v Speaker 2>facing National ahead of the campaign, writing that Luxon is

0:00:40.240 --> 0:00:44.320
<v Speaker 2>getting worried and that National is a mess. So as

0:00:44.360 --> 0:00:47.640
<v Speaker 2>the battle lines start getting drawn in the beehive, what

0:00:48.080 --> 0:00:52.440
<v Speaker 2>is ahead for politicians today? On the front Page, Outgoing

0:00:52.680 --> 0:00:56.040
<v Speaker 2>News Talk z B political editor Jason Walls joins us

0:00:56.120 --> 0:00:59.600
<v Speaker 2>to discuss the past week in politics and what could

0:00:59.680 --> 0:01:07.080
<v Speaker 2>lie head. First off, Jase, Christopher Exxon's out here talking

0:01:07.080 --> 0:01:10.120
<v Speaker 2>about cleaning up messes, trust in his leadership and that

0:01:10.200 --> 0:01:13.600
<v Speaker 2>the country's best days lie ahead. It kind of sounds

0:01:13.640 --> 0:01:16.319
<v Speaker 2>like it's in a campaign mode already, Is it a

0:01:16.319 --> 0:01:16.959
<v Speaker 2>bit too soon?

0:01:17.319 --> 0:01:19.880
<v Speaker 3>Oh? Well, when you're a prime minister, or any politician

0:01:19.920 --> 0:01:22.440
<v Speaker 3>for that matter, every day is campaign mode because you're

0:01:22.480 --> 0:01:25.360
<v Speaker 3>always looking to get reelected. And I think, especially now,

0:01:25.680 --> 0:01:28.480
<v Speaker 3>you've got a national party that was so focused on

0:01:28.600 --> 0:01:31.480
<v Speaker 3>the economy and saying we're the guys that can handle this,

0:01:31.720 --> 0:01:34.920
<v Speaker 3>trust us to turn this around. And eighteen months later,

0:01:35.000 --> 0:01:37.399
<v Speaker 3>I mean, we're in a position where things aren't looking good.

0:01:37.680 --> 0:01:40.600
<v Speaker 3>So I would say it's almost less campaigning. Is its

0:01:40.640 --> 0:01:43.760
<v Speaker 3>damage control at this stage because you can talk about

0:01:44.040 --> 0:01:46.679
<v Speaker 3>things like global factors until the cows come home, But

0:01:46.720 --> 0:01:48.440
<v Speaker 3>at the end of the day, when the Nats are

0:01:48.440 --> 0:01:51.800
<v Speaker 3>in opposition, they're ignoring those things and taking a crack

0:01:52.000 --> 0:01:55.240
<v Speaker 3>at the then current government. So I think the chickens

0:01:55.280 --> 0:01:57.040
<v Speaker 3>have in some ways come home to roost a little

0:01:57.080 --> 0:01:57.400
<v Speaker 3>bit there.

0:01:57.880 --> 0:02:01.920
<v Speaker 2>Do Winston's small array of random bills being put into

0:02:01.920 --> 0:02:05.640
<v Speaker 2>the Biggie ten spell a bit of I don't know,

0:02:05.800 --> 0:02:09.440
<v Speaker 2>preparation from New Zealand. First, maybe they're slowly trying to

0:02:09.520 --> 0:02:10.840
<v Speaker 2>back away from the coalition.

0:02:11.600 --> 0:02:13.600
<v Speaker 3>Well, I mean I just talked a moment ago about

0:02:13.600 --> 0:02:16.080
<v Speaker 3>how every politician is always in campaign mode. There is

0:02:16.120 --> 0:02:19.360
<v Speaker 3>nobody more so than Winston, Raymond Peter is always in

0:02:19.440 --> 0:02:22.560
<v Speaker 3>campaign mode. And listen, this is just it's an interesting

0:02:22.560 --> 0:02:26.000
<v Speaker 3>phenomenon this New Zealand. First, I would say clogging the

0:02:26.040 --> 0:02:29.680
<v Speaker 3>biscuit tin with some fairly irrelevant sort of bills, because

0:02:29.720 --> 0:02:32.400
<v Speaker 3>if you're in a government party, you have the ability

0:02:32.480 --> 0:02:34.720
<v Speaker 3>to put things on the government as gender and some

0:02:34.760 --> 0:02:38.080
<v Speaker 3>of these things about you know, only flying New Zealand

0:02:38.080 --> 0:02:41.239
<v Speaker 3>flags outside of New Zealand government buildings, which is a

0:02:41.320 --> 0:02:45.440
<v Speaker 3>not of things like the LGBTQI plus flag and various

0:02:45.480 --> 0:02:48.160
<v Speaker 3>other different flags that he's just making into these sort

0:02:48.200 --> 0:02:50.800
<v Speaker 3>of these culture wars and giving it the shroud of

0:02:50.840 --> 0:02:55.000
<v Speaker 3>authenticity by putting it in the biscuit tin means that

0:02:55.160 --> 0:02:57.079
<v Speaker 3>I think he thinks that it's going to have more

0:02:57.080 --> 0:02:59.280
<v Speaker 3>of a poll with the public where it's actually not.

0:02:59.480 --> 0:03:01.280
<v Speaker 3>I mean, just you could just put out a press

0:03:01.280 --> 0:03:03.880
<v Speaker 3>release for these things. But what it's doing is you've

0:03:03.880 --> 0:03:06.440
<v Speaker 3>got other bills in the ballot. For example, Laura McClure

0:03:06.480 --> 0:03:09.200
<v Speaker 3>from the ACT Party has this fantastic bill where she

0:03:09.240 --> 0:03:14.640
<v Speaker 3>wants to ban nontensensual AI pawn And because Winston is

0:03:14.639 --> 0:03:17.840
<v Speaker 3>putting every second week some of these bills in the ballot,

0:03:17.960 --> 0:03:20.640
<v Speaker 3>which are frankly not very good pieces of legislation, it

0:03:20.680 --> 0:03:22.800
<v Speaker 3>means it has less of a chance for the really

0:03:22.800 --> 0:03:25.920
<v Speaker 3>good pieces of legislation to be pulled out. So, yes,

0:03:26.000 --> 0:03:28.520
<v Speaker 3>it is one hundred percent electioneering by Winston and New

0:03:28.600 --> 0:03:31.399
<v Speaker 3>Zealand first. But I'm not surprised in the slightest.

0:03:31.960 --> 0:03:34.920
<v Speaker 2>We had Chris Hipkins on the podcast the other week.

0:03:34.960 --> 0:03:37.480
<v Speaker 2>He seems to think we should have a little look

0:03:37.520 --> 0:03:39.440
<v Speaker 2>about how MMP works.

0:03:40.240 --> 0:03:42.480
<v Speaker 4>I differ for a bit from the current government and

0:03:42.560 --> 0:03:46.600
<v Speaker 4>the sense that, you know, I respect the important constituencies

0:03:46.640 --> 0:03:50.040
<v Speaker 4>the smaller parties represent, and I also respect that we

0:03:50.040 --> 0:03:53.040
<v Speaker 4>compete with them for votes too. I don't think under

0:03:53.160 --> 0:03:56.120
<v Speaker 4>MMP the smaller parties should call all of the shots,

0:03:56.640 --> 0:03:59.480
<v Speaker 4>you know. I still think that the bigger parties have

0:03:59.560 --> 0:04:02.480
<v Speaker 4>a man to reflect the view of a much larger

0:04:02.520 --> 0:04:05.520
<v Speaker 4>section of the electorate, and so I do think under

0:04:05.600 --> 0:04:09.920
<v Speaker 4>MMP you need to kind of keep proportionality in mind. Yes,

0:04:09.960 --> 0:04:12.400
<v Speaker 4>there should be some concessions and some trade offs to

0:04:12.480 --> 0:04:15.280
<v Speaker 4>the other parties in order to form government, but that

0:04:15.320 --> 0:04:17.520
<v Speaker 4>doesn't mean that you should be doing things that you

0:04:17.839 --> 0:04:20.559
<v Speaker 4>specifically told the electorate before the election that you weren't

0:04:20.560 --> 0:04:21.080
<v Speaker 4>going to do.

0:04:22.080 --> 0:04:23.360
<v Speaker 1>What do you make of that suggestion.

0:04:24.279 --> 0:04:27.000
<v Speaker 3>I think it's kind of ironic coming from Chris Hopkins,

0:04:27.040 --> 0:04:29.840
<v Speaker 3>who will probably be working with if he gets into government.

0:04:30.360 --> 0:04:33.240
<v Speaker 3>TI Party Marii and the Greens, who will have a

0:04:33.400 --> 0:04:36.840
<v Speaker 3>disproportionate impact because if you just look at their rhetoric

0:04:37.000 --> 0:04:39.240
<v Speaker 3>now and I know things do get toned down a

0:04:39.240 --> 0:04:41.440
<v Speaker 3>little bit when you're in government, but that will be

0:04:41.480 --> 0:04:45.159
<v Speaker 3>a case of the tail wagging the dog in numerous circumstances.

0:04:45.200 --> 0:04:47.560
<v Speaker 3>And frankly, I mean that's just the system that we

0:04:47.640 --> 0:04:50.440
<v Speaker 3>have in New Zealand. We have an MMP system where

0:04:50.480 --> 0:04:53.400
<v Speaker 3>we don't have one party that has all the power.

0:04:53.440 --> 0:04:57.479
<v Speaker 3>They actually do have to have communication and consultation with

0:04:57.560 --> 0:05:00.400
<v Speaker 3>some of the smaller parties, but it's in. Remember it's in.

0:05:00.520 --> 0:05:04.400
<v Speaker 3>Chris Hipkins is the best interest to call out the

0:05:05.040 --> 0:05:07.480
<v Speaker 3>government for the sort of what he considerts to be

0:05:07.760 --> 0:05:11.800
<v Speaker 3>the more fringe aspects of the right because it's going

0:05:11.880 --> 0:05:14.160
<v Speaker 3>to turn a lot of middle voters off. But he's

0:05:14.200 --> 0:05:17.080
<v Speaker 3>got to be careful because you know, it's throwing stones

0:05:17.080 --> 0:05:19.200
<v Speaker 3>in a glasshouse, because when it comes to the election,

0:05:19.320 --> 0:05:22.080
<v Speaker 3>or even beforehand, you get parties on the right hand

0:05:22.160 --> 0:05:25.280
<v Speaker 3>side saying the exact same thing about Chris Luxen, are

0:05:25.320 --> 0:05:29.880
<v Speaker 3>Chris Hickins rather and the further left of that political

0:05:29.880 --> 0:05:31.440
<v Speaker 3>spectrum with TI Party Marty.

0:05:31.320 --> 0:05:33.760
<v Speaker 2>Especially, how do you reckon everything's going at the moment.

0:05:33.760 --> 0:05:36.720
<v Speaker 2>I mean, it's hardly been a coalition of chaos, has it.

0:05:37.440 --> 0:05:39.400
<v Speaker 3>No, it hasn't. And I think and will I will

0:05:39.400 --> 0:05:41.799
<v Speaker 3>always say this, and it's one of my lasting memories

0:05:42.120 --> 0:05:44.880
<v Speaker 3>or one of my lasting opinions of politics, is that

0:05:44.960 --> 0:05:49.040
<v Speaker 3>Chris Luxen put together an extremely good coalition agreement. I mean,

0:05:49.040 --> 0:05:51.440
<v Speaker 3>it's just again, we have to and we forget about

0:05:51.480 --> 0:05:54.359
<v Speaker 3>this sometimes, but we have to remember that it's three

0:05:54.480 --> 0:05:57.200
<v Speaker 3>parties in a coalition. That means you've got three parties

0:05:57.400 --> 0:06:00.680
<v Speaker 3>around the cabinet table. It's never been done. We've had

0:06:00.720 --> 0:06:03.680
<v Speaker 3>confidence and supply mixed in with coalition, with the least

0:06:03.720 --> 0:06:06.760
<v Speaker 3>labor government, and various other iterations in the past that

0:06:06.960 --> 0:06:09.800
<v Speaker 3>three actual parties in a coalition government. Of course, we

0:06:09.920 --> 0:06:11.880
<v Speaker 3>got people saying it was going to be a coalition

0:06:11.880 --> 0:06:14.000
<v Speaker 3>of chaos because you look at Winston and you look

0:06:14.000 --> 0:06:16.560
<v Speaker 3>at Seymour. I mean, when they're in opposition, they were

0:06:16.960 --> 0:06:19.800
<v Speaker 3>literally threatening to fight each other. I don't use the

0:06:19.839 --> 0:06:21.640
<v Speaker 3>word literally often, but they were.

0:06:21.880 --> 0:06:25.560
<v Speaker 1>They literally meet me outside.

0:06:24.600 --> 0:06:27.520
<v Speaker 3>There'll be three Winston was talking about how he had

0:06:27.600 --> 0:06:29.680
<v Speaker 3>hit David Seymour and he'd have to call the ambulance

0:06:29.880 --> 0:06:32.760
<v Speaker 3>this actually happened. It was just this wild West time

0:06:32.800 --> 0:06:34.880
<v Speaker 3>and politics, and now the three of them are sitting

0:06:34.880 --> 0:06:37.520
<v Speaker 3>around the cabinet table being all hunky doory with each other.

0:06:37.720 --> 0:06:39.760
<v Speaker 3>Of course, people were saying that this was going to

0:06:39.760 --> 0:06:43.040
<v Speaker 3>be a coalition of chaos, but because that coalition agreement

0:06:43.160 --> 0:06:47.000
<v Speaker 3>was crafted so intricately, it meant that we've seen them

0:06:47.120 --> 0:06:49.440
<v Speaker 3>have their little scuffles. I'm sure that there has an

0:06:49.480 --> 0:06:52.719
<v Speaker 3>eyes I understand it. Quite a lot of disagreements behind

0:06:52.720 --> 0:06:54.839
<v Speaker 3>the scene, but as long as they stick to the

0:06:55.000 --> 0:06:58.680
<v Speaker 3>legislative agenda that they've put forth, that's exactly what they've

0:06:58.680 --> 0:06:59.960
<v Speaker 3>promised to the New Zealand voter.

0:07:00.680 --> 0:07:04.200
<v Speaker 2>A few commentators for The Herald have written about the

0:07:04.320 --> 0:07:08.560
<v Speaker 2>potential concerns facing National. So Audrey Young wrote that Luxon

0:07:08.640 --> 0:07:12.160
<v Speaker 2>is getting worried about National's messaging not getting through. Simon

0:07:12.200 --> 0:07:15.720
<v Speaker 2>Wilson said that National is making a hash of things,

0:07:16.000 --> 0:07:20.280
<v Speaker 2>and Matthew Houghton has declared Luxon is living on borrowed time.

0:07:21.000 --> 0:07:23.560
<v Speaker 2>Not exactly the best headlines for them at the minute.

0:07:23.560 --> 0:07:25.960
<v Speaker 2>What's causing this trend of headlines.

0:07:26.000 --> 0:07:27.239
<v Speaker 1>I suppose it's.

0:07:27.040 --> 0:07:29.760
<v Speaker 3>Just grim out there. It's just grim. It's the economy stupid,

0:07:29.840 --> 0:07:31.920
<v Speaker 3>not telling you stupid. Of course, Chelse love you love

0:07:31.960 --> 0:07:35.880
<v Speaker 3>your work. But it's the old phrase. National got into

0:07:36.200 --> 0:07:38.760
<v Speaker 3>power by saying that they would fix the economy, and

0:07:38.800 --> 0:07:41.880
<v Speaker 3>as Chris Hipkins has pointed out, it's been eighteen months

0:07:41.920 --> 0:07:44.280
<v Speaker 3>and it's not fixed. You do have Chris Luxon on

0:07:44.320 --> 0:07:46.320
<v Speaker 3>the other hand saying things like, well, it's going to

0:07:46.320 --> 0:07:48.880
<v Speaker 3>take more than eighteen months to turn it around. But

0:07:48.920 --> 0:07:52.120
<v Speaker 3>it was Nikola Willis singliston twenty twenty five is going

0:07:52.200 --> 0:07:54.280
<v Speaker 3>to be better, just wait for those interest rates to

0:07:54.600 --> 0:07:55.200
<v Speaker 3>filter through.

0:07:55.240 --> 0:07:57.560
<v Speaker 1>And which is was that thrive so twenty twenty five?

0:07:57.600 --> 0:07:58.200
<v Speaker 1>At one point?

0:07:58.320 --> 0:08:00.600
<v Speaker 3>Was it survive for twenty twenty five? I think it

0:08:00.680 --> 0:08:03.200
<v Speaker 3>was because things were still grim in twenty twenty four.

0:08:03.240 --> 0:08:06.240
<v Speaker 3>But how I'm not feeling I'm not thriving. I'm not

0:08:06.280 --> 0:08:07.880
<v Speaker 3>sure that you are. I mean, I'm looking down the

0:08:07.880 --> 0:08:10.760
<v Speaker 3>barrel of a massive loss in the house that I own.

0:08:10.840 --> 0:08:12.400
<v Speaker 3>And you know that You've got a lot of my

0:08:12.400 --> 0:08:14.720
<v Speaker 3>friends that are moving overseas. A lot of it is

0:08:14.760 --> 0:08:17.520
<v Speaker 3>getting quite personal now, and people vote on the personal

0:08:17.520 --> 0:08:19.840
<v Speaker 3>and if it starts to impact you, it starts to

0:08:19.880 --> 0:08:21.920
<v Speaker 3>affect you. If you start seeing some of your friends,

0:08:22.200 --> 0:08:24.240
<v Speaker 3>some of your colleagues losing their job. As we see

0:08:24.320 --> 0:08:27.560
<v Speaker 3>unemployment tacking up, that starts to become a problem and

0:08:27.600 --> 0:08:29.160
<v Speaker 3>people want to look for someone to blame.

0:08:29.480 --> 0:08:32.600
<v Speaker 2>What do you think the government has actually is aware

0:08:32.760 --> 0:08:36.040
<v Speaker 2>of the impacts of cost of living. We had some

0:08:36.160 --> 0:08:40.080
<v Speaker 2>worrying unemployment stats out this week, but Finance Minister Nichola

0:08:40.120 --> 0:08:44.600
<v Speaker 2>Willis said people were taking a glass half empty approach

0:08:44.679 --> 0:08:47.240
<v Speaker 2>and once again blamed the previous government.

0:08:47.640 --> 0:08:51.079
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and listen, I kind of do feel for Nikola

0:08:51.160 --> 0:08:53.120
<v Speaker 3>Willis on this one, because she is right. You know,

0:08:53.240 --> 0:08:56.600
<v Speaker 3>Treasury were expecting I think a five point three five

0:08:56.640 --> 0:08:59.960
<v Speaker 3>point four percent unemployment rate. We got five point two,

0:09:00.080 --> 0:09:02.440
<v Speaker 3>So it is better than expectations. It's better than what

0:09:02.520 --> 0:09:05.320
<v Speaker 3>a lot of economists were expecting. But it's still right

0:09:05.400 --> 0:09:09.760
<v Speaker 3>up there with the highest unemployment rates since twenty twenty. So,

0:09:10.160 --> 0:09:11.680
<v Speaker 3>I mean, you've got to look at it. You could

0:09:11.679 --> 0:09:13.600
<v Speaker 3>do it glass half full and you could do a

0:09:13.640 --> 0:09:16.240
<v Speaker 3>glass half empty. Of course, Nikola Willis is going to

0:09:16.320 --> 0:09:18.680
<v Speaker 3>do the glass half full because the buck stops with

0:09:18.760 --> 0:09:21.960
<v Speaker 3>her with something like that. But yeah, you just can't

0:09:22.040 --> 0:09:24.760
<v Speaker 3>need to take a little bit of a historical perspective

0:09:24.880 --> 0:09:28.520
<v Speaker 3>on unemployment. My good friend Thomas Coglan will say this

0:09:28.679 --> 0:09:33.200
<v Speaker 3>that the John Key era government, unemployment was above five

0:09:33.280 --> 0:09:36.640
<v Speaker 3>percent for every single quarter they were in government bar

0:09:36.880 --> 0:09:40.600
<v Speaker 3>the last one maybe two while Bill English was in government,

0:09:40.640 --> 0:09:43.600
<v Speaker 3>and then everything switched. The government changed and it got

0:09:43.640 --> 0:09:48.720
<v Speaker 3>over to labor and so unemployment has historically usually set

0:09:48.760 --> 0:09:51.560
<v Speaker 3>around the level that we're seeing right now. We just

0:09:51.640 --> 0:09:54.960
<v Speaker 3>had a period of time where it was historically quite low.

0:09:55.000 --> 0:09:57.000
<v Speaker 3>I mean it's one point. With the Arderne years, we

0:09:57.080 --> 0:09:59.839
<v Speaker 3>were getting it into the three percent, which is very

0:10:00.360 --> 0:10:02.880
<v Speaker 3>we usually it's quite unheard of in New Zealand context.

0:10:03.000 --> 0:10:05.160
<v Speaker 2>Could that be attributed to COVID as well though, us

0:10:05.280 --> 0:10:07.920
<v Speaker 2>not being able to leave the country.

0:10:08.640 --> 0:10:11.040
<v Speaker 3>You've got to look at the fact that there are

0:10:11.120 --> 0:10:13.160
<v Speaker 3>so many people leave it. You've got to start asking

0:10:13.200 --> 0:10:15.640
<v Speaker 3>some questions about that and if there's more people here.

0:10:15.679 --> 0:10:17.600
<v Speaker 3>There was a lot of government subsidies at that time.

0:10:17.640 --> 0:10:19.720
<v Speaker 3>Of course, there was the you know, if the government

0:10:19.760 --> 0:10:22.360
<v Speaker 3>didn't do the wage subsidies scheme would have been a

0:10:22.400 --> 0:10:25.360
<v Speaker 3>lot higher. Obviously, that's just how it works. So you know,

0:10:25.440 --> 0:10:30.119
<v Speaker 3>I don't think it is as pure market led economy

0:10:30.160 --> 0:10:32.400
<v Speaker 3>as the labor government would have had you believe at

0:10:32.400 --> 0:10:35.560
<v Speaker 3>the time, there was a lot of government interventions. But still,

0:10:35.600 --> 0:10:38.120
<v Speaker 3>you know, if people are just looking at the raw numbers,

0:10:38.160 --> 0:10:40.160
<v Speaker 3>which I will say again the Nest did when they're

0:10:40.160 --> 0:10:42.960
<v Speaker 3>in opposition, so you've got to compare apples to apples

0:10:42.960 --> 0:10:46.319
<v Speaker 3>on these sorts of things.

0:10:50.440 --> 0:10:54.839
<v Speaker 2>Speaking of the next election, the government set aside twenty

0:10:54.840 --> 0:10:59.680
<v Speaker 2>five million dollars for a referendum on four year parliamentary terms.

0:11:00.040 --> 0:11:03.560
<v Speaker 2>It's agreed in principle to holding one, but a final

0:11:03.600 --> 0:11:07.840
<v Speaker 2>decision isn't expected until early next month. What are the

0:11:08.000 --> 0:11:11.720
<v Speaker 2>vibes Jason like? How likely is this referendum? Do you

0:11:11.760 --> 0:11:13.520
<v Speaker 2>think the reference.

0:11:13.280 --> 0:11:14.800
<v Speaker 3>That's a bit of a toss up. I think that

0:11:14.880 --> 0:11:17.280
<v Speaker 3>they've talked about it for a while and it may

0:11:17.360 --> 0:11:19.040
<v Speaker 3>or may not be at the next election. I mean,

0:11:19.080 --> 0:11:20.920
<v Speaker 3>the fact that they set funding aside for it is

0:11:20.920 --> 0:11:23.840
<v Speaker 3>a pretty indicative nod to the fact that it will

0:11:23.880 --> 0:11:26.160
<v Speaker 3>be happening. But I think the more interesting question is

0:11:26.200 --> 0:11:29.160
<v Speaker 3>will where does the New Zealand public sit on this one?

0:11:29.160 --> 0:11:32.120
<v Speaker 3>Because I think absolutely four year terms. I mean you

0:11:32.200 --> 0:11:35.680
<v Speaker 3>look over at the UK, for example, five years I

0:11:35.720 --> 0:11:38.839
<v Speaker 3>think is too long. Three years is too short because

0:11:38.840 --> 0:11:41.880
<v Speaker 3>you have one year to kind of get yourself to

0:11:41.960 --> 0:11:44.040
<v Speaker 3>your feet under the desk and figure it all out.

0:11:44.080 --> 0:11:46.040
<v Speaker 3>You have a second year to be like, Okay, I

0:11:46.080 --> 0:11:48.240
<v Speaker 3>know what's going on here, let's try and move something through.

0:11:48.480 --> 0:11:51.000
<v Speaker 3>And then you've got the third year that is actually

0:11:51.160 --> 0:11:53.720
<v Speaker 3>you're more or less campaigning for a lot of the time,

0:11:53.960 --> 0:11:56.280
<v Speaker 3>and voters know that, and so what tends to happen

0:11:56.320 --> 0:11:58.760
<v Speaker 3>is say, okay, we'll give you at least two terms,

0:11:58.880 --> 0:12:00.520
<v Speaker 3>and then it gets to the point where too long.

0:12:00.559 --> 0:12:04.040
<v Speaker 3>You know, it's a default six year term. So having

0:12:04.040 --> 0:12:06.400
<v Speaker 3>it four years kind of cuts both ways because it

0:12:06.440 --> 0:12:09.400
<v Speaker 3>means that voters will be less sympathetic to the argument

0:12:09.480 --> 0:12:11.520
<v Speaker 3>to say that, oh, they've only had three years, we'll

0:12:11.559 --> 0:12:13.320
<v Speaker 3>give them another go just to see how they go.

0:12:13.440 --> 0:12:15.800
<v Speaker 3>Because four years you really should be starting to get

0:12:15.800 --> 0:12:18.840
<v Speaker 3>something done. At the same time, it's not too short

0:12:19.000 --> 0:12:21.559
<v Speaker 3>to say that, you know, nothing could get done if

0:12:21.559 --> 0:12:24.679
<v Speaker 3>things did go really sideways. So I think you've got

0:12:24.760 --> 0:12:27.320
<v Speaker 3>people like Chris Hipkins and Chris Luxon both saying that

0:12:27.360 --> 0:12:29.920
<v Speaker 3>they want a four year term, and they've said that,

0:12:29.960 --> 0:12:32.520
<v Speaker 3>you know, it will happen eventually. I'm sure some of

0:12:32.559 --> 0:12:34.840
<v Speaker 3>the other candidates, like David Seymour, I do remember him

0:12:34.840 --> 0:12:38.120
<v Speaker 3>being sympathetic to it. The outlies. Of course, Winston and

0:12:38.120 --> 0:12:40.040
<v Speaker 3>Ti Party Marti. You never really know what they're going

0:12:40.080 --> 0:12:41.880
<v Speaker 3>to say on an issue, so we'll wait to see

0:12:41.920 --> 0:12:44.480
<v Speaker 3>what they say, or we'll do a bit more research

0:12:44.520 --> 0:12:46.680
<v Speaker 3>into what they've already said. But I think the New

0:12:46.760 --> 0:12:48.600
<v Speaker 3>Zealand public will be very sympathetic to it.

0:12:48.800 --> 0:12:51.760
<v Speaker 2>And of course we can't go and speak about politics,

0:12:51.840 --> 0:12:55.760
<v Speaker 2>especially this week without mentioning Trump's tariffs.

0:12:56.200 --> 0:12:59.120
<v Speaker 1>How do you reckon our government has fared?

0:13:00.160 --> 0:13:03.320
<v Speaker 3>Oh, there's nothing they can do really. You know, they

0:13:03.360 --> 0:13:05.400
<v Speaker 3>got to ten percent and they were happy with that,

0:13:05.440 --> 0:13:07.559
<v Speaker 3>and I understood why because if you're playing at a

0:13:07.640 --> 0:13:10.720
<v Speaker 3>level playing field with other countries that are ten percent,

0:13:10.760 --> 0:13:13.440
<v Speaker 3>that's fantastic. But if you're looking at other countries, say

0:13:13.559 --> 0:13:16.720
<v Speaker 3>Vietnam or some there where they export you know, they

0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:20.040
<v Speaker 3>export some dairy to the US, we're obviously going to

0:13:20.040 --> 0:13:22.679
<v Speaker 3>have a better competitive advantage there if our tariffs are

0:13:22.720 --> 0:13:24.600
<v Speaker 3>ten and there's our can't remember what they are, but

0:13:24.640 --> 0:13:27.720
<v Speaker 3>I think they were up around the thirties. Essentially bringing

0:13:27.800 --> 0:13:29.520
<v Speaker 3>us up to fifteen is a bit of a blow.

0:13:29.640 --> 0:13:31.160
<v Speaker 3>The government needs to put on a bit of a

0:13:31.160 --> 0:13:35.040
<v Speaker 3>brave face and show that they're trying to overturn these things.

0:13:35.040 --> 0:13:37.320
<v Speaker 3>They can't take it lying down. But at the end

0:13:37.360 --> 0:13:39.000
<v Speaker 3>of the day, you know, Todd with Play is not

0:13:39.000 --> 0:13:41.520
<v Speaker 3>going to a bang on the Oval Office door and say,

0:13:41.559 --> 0:13:44.200
<v Speaker 3>mister Trump, we've got our dairy exporters, we've got our

0:13:44.200 --> 0:13:46.600
<v Speaker 3>wine exporters. Have you not considered them? And he's going

0:13:46.679 --> 0:13:48.720
<v Speaker 3>to be like, oh, sorry, I didn't consider them. You know,

0:13:48.960 --> 0:13:51.120
<v Speaker 3>it's just not going to happen New Zealand. Is we

0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:54.520
<v Speaker 3>forget because we're here, that we are, we're seen on

0:13:54.559 --> 0:13:58.320
<v Speaker 3>the global stage is nice, but fairly irrelevant. And so

0:13:58.440 --> 0:14:01.960
<v Speaker 3>if they start ratcheting down New Zealand's tariffs, other countries

0:14:01.960 --> 0:14:04.040
<v Speaker 3>are going to be asking some questions, other countries with

0:14:04.440 --> 0:14:06.400
<v Speaker 3>much bigger economic footprints than ours.

0:14:09.000 --> 0:14:11.200
<v Speaker 5>We will have to see what the impact of this

0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:14.800
<v Speaker 5>latest development is, but I expect that some of those

0:14:14.880 --> 0:14:18.520
<v Speaker 5>companies will probably now we double their efforts to develop

0:14:18.720 --> 0:14:23.880
<v Speaker 5>and explore other markets. The government, for our part, will

0:14:23.880 --> 0:14:28.000
<v Speaker 5>continue out of work to support those exporters with good information.

0:14:28.600 --> 0:14:31.840
<v Speaker 5>We will continue our work to open up new markets

0:14:31.960 --> 0:14:35.320
<v Speaker 5>around the world and to pursue good trade into those

0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:38.920
<v Speaker 5>countries with whom we already have free trade arrangements. And

0:14:38.960 --> 0:14:41.800
<v Speaker 5>we will continue to represent New Zealand's case for a

0:14:41.840 --> 0:14:43.640
<v Speaker 5>better deal with the US.

0:14:46.000 --> 0:14:47.680
<v Speaker 2>And while we're on the subject, what have the Greens

0:14:47.720 --> 0:14:49.520
<v Speaker 2>into Padimori been up too lately.

0:14:50.240 --> 0:14:53.560
<v Speaker 3>Oh, they've been playing opposition, you know, this is the

0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:56.280
<v Speaker 3>things that they do. They try and get into the press.

0:14:56.640 --> 0:14:58.480
<v Speaker 3>I think that Chloe Straubrick I was having a good

0:14:58.520 --> 0:15:01.040
<v Speaker 3>chat with her the other night actually about how she

0:15:01.160 --> 0:15:03.240
<v Speaker 3>sees the lay of the land right now, and she's

0:15:03.480 --> 0:15:05.680
<v Speaker 3>pretty happy with how the Greens are going And why wouldn't.

0:15:05.680 --> 0:15:08.200
<v Speaker 3>You're at twelve percent. You did your budget where you

0:15:08.440 --> 0:15:11.040
<v Speaker 3>taxed everybody from Arthur to Martha the whole way through

0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:14.400
<v Speaker 3>and or you proposed to and people like that. The

0:15:14.440 --> 0:15:18.520
<v Speaker 3>elector like that, the Green Party base like that. So

0:15:18.560 --> 0:15:21.680
<v Speaker 3>she's probably in quite good spirits Tea Party Marty as well.

0:15:21.720 --> 0:15:24.520
<v Speaker 3>I mean they're coming up with the brunting up against

0:15:24.600 --> 0:15:27.440
<v Speaker 3>Labor at the upcoming by election and that's going to

0:15:27.480 --> 0:15:31.160
<v Speaker 3>be a real test for both parties the ultimate makeup

0:15:31.160 --> 0:15:33.280
<v Speaker 3>of parliament that you know, we're not going to top

0:15:33.360 --> 0:15:35.520
<v Speaker 3>all the government with the Tomackie mccod or by election,

0:15:35.840 --> 0:15:38.160
<v Speaker 3>but it is an indicative look into how the sort

0:15:38.200 --> 0:15:42.680
<v Speaker 3>of the Marti world New Zealand sees the opposition right now.

0:15:42.800 --> 0:15:44.880
<v Speaker 3>You more of a Tea Party Marty person or more

0:15:44.920 --> 0:15:48.240
<v Speaker 3>of a labor person. And you've got two exceptional candidates,

0:15:48.280 --> 0:15:50.920
<v Speaker 3>I mean or any versus Peni Hennedy. It's going to

0:15:51.000 --> 0:15:53.440
<v Speaker 3>be a blockbuster and I'm looking forward to it because

0:15:53.440 --> 0:15:56.760
<v Speaker 3>of what it represents for the next year's election. So

0:15:57.480 --> 0:15:59.680
<v Speaker 3>keep an eye Peel's keep two eyes peeled, I would

0:15:59.680 --> 0:16:00.160
<v Speaker 3>say actual.

0:16:00.640 --> 0:16:04.440
<v Speaker 2>And lastly, Jace, I know it's your last day in

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:08.840
<v Speaker 2>the Beehive today and got word around the office.

0:16:08.880 --> 0:16:10.560
<v Speaker 1>I think as well have a listen to this.

0:16:12.000 --> 0:16:12.120
<v Speaker 4>Well.

0:16:12.200 --> 0:16:12.480
<v Speaker 2>Jason.

0:16:12.520 --> 0:16:13.960
<v Speaker 6>Look, I just want to say, mate, thank you so

0:16:14.040 --> 0:16:16.360
<v Speaker 6>much for all the work in the press gallery. I've

0:16:16.360 --> 0:16:18.160
<v Speaker 6>got to be honest, sometimes you're not my most favorite

0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:20.080
<v Speaker 6>people on earth, but I have to say you've been

0:16:20.160 --> 0:16:22.480
<v Speaker 6>absolutely stellar. You've been there nine years, You've done an

0:16:22.480 --> 0:16:25.360
<v Speaker 6>exceptionally good job, You've learned all about politics, and I

0:16:25.400 --> 0:16:27.160
<v Speaker 6>just think you I wish you're all the very best, mate,

0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:29.440
<v Speaker 6>as I've spoken to you before, in the next part

0:16:29.440 --> 0:16:31.920
<v Speaker 6>of your career, it's a really great move for you personally,

0:16:31.960 --> 0:16:33.200
<v Speaker 6>and I think you're going to be awesome at it.

0:16:33.240 --> 0:16:35.600
<v Speaker 6>So thanks what you've been doing covering politics, down in

0:16:35.640 --> 0:16:37.400
<v Speaker 6>Wellington and getting the message out to the people about

0:16:37.400 --> 0:16:38.240
<v Speaker 6>what's really going on.

0:16:38.560 --> 0:16:39.520
<v Speaker 1>I appreciate what you work.

0:16:39.600 --> 0:16:42.560
<v Speaker 3>Take care of mate, go well. I feel a bit

0:16:42.600 --> 0:16:45.880
<v Speaker 3>bad about what I've said about the economy. Now, thank you, right,

0:16:45.960 --> 0:16:49.160
<v Speaker 3>honorable Chris Mark Lutson. That was very nice, Savid. It's

0:16:49.200 --> 0:16:51.760
<v Speaker 3>been a what heck of a ride over the last

0:16:51.840 --> 0:16:52.320
<v Speaker 3>nine years.

0:16:52.640 --> 0:16:53.280
<v Speaker 1>What's it like?

0:16:53.400 --> 0:16:56.160
<v Speaker 2>I mean in terms of the faces that you see

0:16:56.200 --> 0:16:58.480
<v Speaker 2>coming and going when you're in the bee Hive for

0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:02.840
<v Speaker 2>that long, do you see the intricacies of different personalities

0:17:03.080 --> 0:17:06.680
<v Speaker 2>and how different governments really take hold and see those changes?

0:17:07.320 --> 0:17:09.639
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean the thing about politics, and this is

0:17:09.680 --> 0:17:11.399
<v Speaker 3>going to sound cheesy, but bear with me. It is

0:17:11.480 --> 0:17:14.560
<v Speaker 3>really about the people. And I can say genuinely with

0:17:14.800 --> 0:17:17.560
<v Speaker 3>my hand on my heart that everybody here that I've

0:17:17.600 --> 0:17:19.600
<v Speaker 3>caught to is here because they want to make a difference.

0:17:19.600 --> 0:17:22.320
<v Speaker 3>So as a matter, if you're on the center left,

0:17:22.560 --> 0:17:25.480
<v Speaker 3>the far left, to the center right, the further right,

0:17:25.760 --> 0:17:29.200
<v Speaker 3>you know, everybody here is here because they genuinely they've

0:17:29.200 --> 0:17:31.920
<v Speaker 3>been voted in by a constituent base that they really

0:17:31.960 --> 0:17:34.400
<v Speaker 3>want to represent. And it's been one of the best

0:17:34.480 --> 0:17:37.480
<v Speaker 3>things about being a gallery reporter. Especially more of a

0:17:37.520 --> 0:17:40.280
<v Speaker 3>senior gallery reporter is you get to see the people

0:17:40.320 --> 0:17:42.159
<v Speaker 3>behind the scenes and you get to talk to them

0:17:42.160 --> 0:17:44.560
<v Speaker 3>and actually find out what makes them tick. And they're

0:17:44.600 --> 0:17:47.680
<v Speaker 3>all really they get along. It's the thing like it

0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:50.119
<v Speaker 3>was the other night. I'm sure they might be saying this.

0:17:50.440 --> 0:17:53.360
<v Speaker 3>The two polar opposite people in Parliament would probably be

0:17:53.680 --> 0:17:57.320
<v Speaker 3>Stephen Abel from the Greens and Simon Court from Act

0:17:57.359 --> 0:17:59.000
<v Speaker 3>and the other night we're having some drinks in the

0:17:59.040 --> 0:18:01.119
<v Speaker 3>gallery and the two of them would talking like old friends.

0:18:01.320 --> 0:18:03.840
<v Speaker 3>And it's those sorts of things that I really love

0:18:03.880 --> 0:18:05.800
<v Speaker 3>about this place is that there's a lot of theater.

0:18:06.240 --> 0:18:09.000
<v Speaker 3>There's a lot of rgi bargie when the cameras are on,

0:18:09.080 --> 0:18:11.600
<v Speaker 3>but when they're off, actually people get along, and in

0:18:11.680 --> 0:18:14.400
<v Speaker 3>select committees and in various different places that we don't

0:18:14.480 --> 0:18:17.280
<v Speaker 3>usually see, there's a lot of people working together to

0:18:17.320 --> 0:18:20.399
<v Speaker 3>make this country really great. So after being here for

0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:23.960
<v Speaker 3>so long, I mean, I've covered some crazy stories, some

0:18:24.240 --> 0:18:27.000
<v Speaker 3>incredible times for New Zealand, but I'll remember the fact

0:18:27.000 --> 0:18:29.280
<v Speaker 3>that at the end of the day, people are genuinely

0:18:29.280 --> 0:18:31.320
<v Speaker 3>here to make this country a better place, and we're

0:18:31.359 --> 0:18:34.600
<v Speaker 3>really well served by our politicians and the press gallery.

0:18:34.600 --> 0:18:36.919
<v Speaker 3>Of course, what a great group of people, especially the

0:18:36.960 --> 0:18:38.760
<v Speaker 3>newstalksb Office and the Herald.

0:18:38.960 --> 0:18:45.639
<v Speaker 2>Thanks for joining us, Jash, no problem, by friend. That's

0:18:45.640 --> 0:18:48.640
<v Speaker 2>it for this episode of the Front Page. You can

0:18:48.680 --> 0:18:52.680
<v Speaker 2>read more about today's stories and extensive news coverage at

0:18:52.760 --> 0:18:56.640
<v Speaker 2>enzedherld dot co dot nz. The Front Page is produced

0:18:56.640 --> 0:19:01.199
<v Speaker 2>by Ethan Sills and Richard Martin, who is also I

0:19:01.240 --> 0:19:05.359
<v Speaker 2>Am Chelsea Daniels. Subscribe to the Front Page on iHeartRadio

0:19:05.640 --> 0:19:08.800
<v Speaker 2>or wherever you get your podcasts, and tune in on

0:19:08.880 --> 0:19:11.760
<v Speaker 2>Monday for another look behind the headlines.