1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:01,920 Speaker 1: Some more good news for New Zealand in because it's 2 00:00:01,920 --> 00:00:04,080 Speaker 1: been announced overnight as part of the PM's trade trip 3 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:07,400 Speaker 1: to India this week, they've officially launched free trade negotiations. 4 00:00:07,400 --> 00:00:09,240 Speaker 1: So what are we looking at for specifically and how 5 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:12,039 Speaker 1: long does it take trade? Minutes to Todd McLay is 6 00:00:12,119 --> 00:00:14,920 Speaker 1: in India and with us morning, Good morning mate, So 7 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 1: India and FTA, if you can crack this, this would 8 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: be one of the big prizes. Surely. 9 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's exactly right. There's one point four 10 00:00:22,680 --> 00:00:26,639 Speaker 2: billion people and their income are growing. We've put a 11 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 2: huge amount of work into this relationship over the last 12 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 2: fifteen months across the board, not only in trade, and 13 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:35,199 Speaker 2: it started to be reciprocated. So we're really pleased to 14 00:00:35,280 --> 00:00:41,559 Speaker 2: have formally launched the negotiation with India. First negotiators. We'll 15 00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 2: get together early next month. And although you know it's 16 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:47,200 Speaker 2: very pleasing we've made this progress, I've got to say 17 00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:49,160 Speaker 2: the hard work starts now. 18 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 1: You're going to have to flag deary, aren't you. 19 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 2: Well, we're not. We haven't ruled anything in or out 20 00:00:56,720 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 2: on either side because we said we want to be 21 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 2: a comprehensive agreement. It's fair to say that it's important, 22 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 2: you know, for different reasons to both countries. But we've 23 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:08,400 Speaker 2: also agreed we're not going to talk about the negotiation 24 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:11,759 Speaker 2: outside of the room. We want to back out negotiators 25 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 2: be able to get in and do the best that 26 00:01:13,400 --> 00:01:17,040 Speaker 2: they can. And you know, both the Minister Guael, my counterpartner, 27 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 2: I have said if we're out talking about it in public, 28 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:22,400 Speaker 2: it makes it harder for them. The assurance I can 29 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:24,960 Speaker 2: give you in every New Zealander is we'll be getting 30 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 2: the best deal that we can. 31 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 1: Though from India, do you have a bottom line at 32 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 1: which point you'll simply have to walk away as badly 33 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:31,840 Speaker 1: as you may want it. 34 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 2: Well, I don't think we will have to work walk away, 35 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 2: although you know it had happened nine years ago last 36 00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 2: time into negotiation. We've spent the fifteen months sort of 37 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:44,679 Speaker 2: talking through issues this, you know. I've been India five 38 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 2: times now. I've had eight meetings with my counterpart and 39 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:51,880 Speaker 2: my last visit was up in December. Our officials have 40 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:55,520 Speaker 2: been meeting frequently on the telephone and flying up and 41 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:57,520 Speaker 2: down and seeing each other. I've been talking to Minister 42 00:01:57,600 --> 00:02:00,760 Speaker 2: Guel a lot on the telephone and have a very 43 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:04,840 Speaker 2: clear understanding of how we might put together some of 44 00:02:04,880 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 2: the issues that have been more challenging previously. So we 45 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:10,200 Speaker 2: both agreed a little while ago we should only launch 46 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:13,919 Speaker 2: if we believe we can conclude an agreement and we're 47 00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:16,639 Speaker 2: committed to it. And I was locked away for most 48 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 2: of the day within the day, just working through various issues, 49 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 2: and we've got to a point where we have agreed 50 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 2: we should launch, So we're backing ourselves to get a 51 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 2: deal done. 52 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:26,400 Speaker 1: I was listening to Vandalayan and Europe the other day 53 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:28,680 Speaker 1: say they should get something done with India by the 54 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:31,880 Speaker 1: end of the year. Does this represent a new attitude 55 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 1: from India or have you just bludgeoned them to the 56 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:35,240 Speaker 1: table to talk. 57 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 2: It's a little bit of both. We started a while 58 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 2: ago and they've never said no, they wouldn't do a 59 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:44,960 Speaker 2: deal with us. But you know, we're a small economy 60 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 2: back in comparisons to their size. But I do think 61 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 2: as a result of what's happening with tariffs and so 62 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 2: one around the world, you're seeing a lot more countries 63 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 2: who have been hesitant to do trade deals, you know, 64 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 2: leaning into that a little bit more. I mean, I 65 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:00,960 Speaker 2: was talking to the EU commisis, you know, just a 66 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 2: week ago Trade Commissioner, and he was saying, well, you know, 67 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:06,240 Speaker 2: as the rest of the world is doing whatever, we're 68 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 2: going to support trade rules, you know, so we can 69 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:11,120 Speaker 2: give certainty to our businesses and we're going to find 70 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:13,360 Speaker 2: ways to do more trade with each other. So I 71 00:03:13,400 --> 00:03:16,120 Speaker 2: think that's probably part of it. But you know, Prime 72 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:19,160 Speaker 2: Minister Luxeon said when we're in opposition and again forming 73 00:03:19,160 --> 00:03:22,320 Speaker 2: a government, our relationship with India would be a strategic 74 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 2: priority across the board and trade is part of that. 75 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:27,080 Speaker 2: And I think we're starting to see, you know, with 76 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 2: the announcement today on our first day here, as you know, 77 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 2: the biggest trade mission New Zealand's ever done to India, 78 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:37,120 Speaker 2: this announcement that India is reciprocating the effort we're putting in. 79 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 1: Speaking of tariffs, you spent some time with James and Grea, 80 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:42,240 Speaker 1: who's Trump's trade man. Is Is that going to go 81 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 1: well or not? 82 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:48,080 Speaker 2: Well? Look, my feeling is the world will see tariffs. 83 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 2: It's not clear whether it's going to be unilateral or 84 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 2: you know, country by country. He's certainly looking very very 85 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 2: closely at Canada and that's going to get tough. The 86 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 2: announcements around Europe as well. The station I had with 87 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:04,440 Speaker 2: jameson Greer last week extended to forty five minutes, much 88 00:04:04,480 --> 00:04:07,839 Speaker 2: longer than we're scheduled, and it was very, very constructive 89 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:13,040 Speaker 2: and friendly. There aren't too many things that the US 90 00:04:13,240 --> 00:04:16,040 Speaker 2: are worried about or singling out around New Zealand. I 91 00:04:16,080 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 2: was able to make the case about we respect the 92 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 2: rules that actually European exporters have much lower tariff rates 93 00:04:21,520 --> 00:04:24,120 Speaker 2: into our market than ours do over there, and we've 94 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 2: agreed that we're going to meet quite soon, probably up 95 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:29,400 Speaker 2: in Washington, to talk further. So there's no indication that 96 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:32,039 Speaker 2: they are focusing on New Zealand, but if they decide 97 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:34,160 Speaker 2: to put tariffs on everybody, we are likely to get 98 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:35,559 Speaker 2: caught by that one way or another. 99 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 1: All right, go well this week appreciated Trade minis to 100 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:38,760 Speaker 1: Tom McLay up in India. 101 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:42,120 Speaker 2: For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to 102 00:04:42,240 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 2: news talks. It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow 103 00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:46,920 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio