1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: Federated Farmers as part of Field Days have done the 2 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:06,199 Speaker 1: most interesting survey. Now it's like all surveys, it's a snapshot, 3 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:09,280 Speaker 1: but the numbers for one lot are so stark alarm 4 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:12,880 Speaker 1: bell should be ringing. Now, who would a farmer vote for? 5 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:15,240 Speaker 1: Do you think? Now? You'd say, oh, probably national, and 6 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 1: you'd be right. Broadly. The farming community is conservative, always 7 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:20,600 Speaker 1: has been, and that is partly because they are their 8 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:24,320 Speaker 1: own masters. They're hard workers, their self reliant, They're at 9 00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:26,480 Speaker 1: the cutting edge of the economy. They know how life works. 10 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 1: So national in this poll get fifty four percent. Act 11 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:33,320 Speaker 1: get nineteen. Here is where it gets interesting and or alarming. 12 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 1: New Zealand first, get eight. Only party with farmers at 13 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 1: about the same level that they are nationally Labor three 14 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 1: ding ding ding, Ding, ding, ding ding ding. How bad 15 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:47,720 Speaker 1: is that, even with a margin of era, even with 16 00:00:47,760 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 1: a massive margin of era. Labour should be shocked at 17 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:53,400 Speaker 1: that figure. Every party, of course, has their sweet spot. 18 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 1: I mean some parties more overtly say so the Greens, 19 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:56,960 Speaker 1: who would vote for the Greens, while the ants as 20 00:00:57,040 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 1: environmentalists or communists act serm up market urban liberals. A 21 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: New Zealand first, a provincial number might be higher than 22 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 1: a city number for New Zealand first, but labor national, 23 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:11,319 Speaker 1: as major parties, should be by their very nature broad based. 24 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:14,560 Speaker 1: After all, it is labor national and labor national alone 25 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 1: that will lead any given government on any given day. 26 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:20,119 Speaker 1: You have to at least have a half decent level 27 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:23,040 Speaker 1: of support, even in your weakest areas, don't you. Farming 28 00:01:23,480 --> 00:01:25,840 Speaker 1: is particularly important given where a farming nation, given the 29 00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 1: foreign receipts we get from land, given the value of 30 00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:31,399 Speaker 1: our free trade deals. To have a major party so 31 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 1: out of touch with such a large sector strikes me 32 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:37,200 Speaker 1: as being astonishing, if not embarrassing, if not in fact 33 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:41,039 Speaker 1: unheard of. My suspicion is the current version of labor 34 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 1: is particularly unpalatable, and this is going to be their 35 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:46,319 Speaker 1: major issue next year for all voters, in fact, not 36 00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 1: just farmers. The damage done to this country is still 37 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 1: fresh in most of our minds, no more so than 38 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 1: farmers climate obsession, special land area designation three waters with 39 00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 1: mari overreached, no gas, more paperwork. Farmers hated it, a 40 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:00,800 Speaker 1: lot of us hated it. But in generals, of course, 41 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:04,720 Speaker 1: labor is still competitive on the land. They seem according 42 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:08,800 Speaker 1: to this to be Pariah's at three percent. Think about it. 43 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 1: That is a massive hill for Hipkins and Cold to 44 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 1: climb between now and October next year. For more from 45 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:18,679 Speaker 1: the mic Asking Breakfast listen live to news talks it'd 46 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 1: be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.