1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,200 Speaker 1: A new reporting to our economy focus on small to 2 00:00:02,240 --> 00:00:05,640 Speaker 1: mediums i e. The smeeth growing positivity. A third saying 3 00:00:05,640 --> 00:00:09,080 Speaker 1: they've got more work lined up this quarter than usual. Manufacturing, retail, 4 00:00:09,119 --> 00:00:12,119 Speaker 1: construction all looked good. Chris Small is the ABC Business 5 00:00:12,160 --> 00:00:14,319 Speaker 1: Sales CEO, and he's baka, well this Chris, morning to you. 6 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 1: Well might care you going very well and thank you. 7 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 1: How would you describe the vibe generally? 8 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:23,360 Speaker 2: Oh, look, I'd describe it really really positive, especially in 9 00:00:23,360 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 2: comparison to the previous two years we've had. We've we've 10 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 2: had numerous high volumes of business owners coming to see 11 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:32,200 Speaker 2: us who we saw this time last year and said, look, 12 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna I'm not going to take my business 13 00:00:34,159 --> 00:00:36,040 Speaker 2: to mark. My earnings are down, and they're now saying, 14 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 2: I've I've had a pretty strong last two quarters in 15 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:43,840 Speaker 2: its talk. And then even just I was driving down 16 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:47,879 Speaker 2: Ponsonby Road about seven o'clock this Tuesday, it was papped. 17 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:50,280 Speaker 2: Every restaurant and bar was busy that time. At this 18 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:53,240 Speaker 2: time last year, it was certainly not the same same 19 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 2: sort of vibe out there. So no, we agree with 20 00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:57,040 Speaker 2: all the surveys that have come out. I mean, on 21 00:00:57,120 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 2: top of a zero survey. There's also forceight Bar had 22 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:03,000 Speaker 2: a c IF They came out yesterday sixteen hundred businesses 23 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 2: and one of the questions was would you invest more 24 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:08,320 Speaker 2: or the same as last year? And eighty five percent 25 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 2: said they're going to invest more, all the same as 26 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:13,560 Speaker 2: that had last year. So all in ASB I heard 27 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:17,319 Speaker 2: your commentary on ASP, that's all positive. Four percent increase 28 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 2: in business lending. So everything we're reading and hearing is 29 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:22,559 Speaker 2: super positive, which is great. 30 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 1: That's good. As regard sales, how does that work? So yes, 31 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 1: you're any more things looking good? Do you sell or 32 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:29,840 Speaker 1: do you go? Hang on? I'll hold on for some 33 00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:30,880 Speaker 1: good times. 34 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:34,039 Speaker 2: That's a great question that they tell us. In the 35 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:35,960 Speaker 2: bad times, they want to sell, but they're not ready 36 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:37,679 Speaker 2: to sell, so they're not going to maximize the day. 37 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 2: And then as soon as they start making money, they oh, 38 00:01:39,880 --> 00:01:41,560 Speaker 2: this is this is easy again, so we'll hold on. 39 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 2: But a number of these people are our baby boomers, 40 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 2: and some of them are nearly seventies and they are 41 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:49,600 Speaker 2: ready to go, So they definitely will be heading the 42 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 2: go there and they've just been patiently waiting, like good 43 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 2: keywis do to try and maximize day. You know, homeowners 44 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 2: don't want to sell at the bottom of the cycle, 45 00:01:57,240 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 2: and business owners are exactly the same. 46 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 1: Now, what about the high hiring aspect? When do the 47 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 1: good times If you're seeing good times now, when do 48 00:02:03,560 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 1: they do you think lead to more hiring, because there's 49 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 1: one thing to make more, but you've got to eventually 50 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 1: be expanding enough to employ people. 51 00:02:10,800 --> 00:02:13,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a great question, and unfortunately we've got this 52 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:16,640 Speaker 2: h AI sort of over the top of everything we're 53 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:19,080 Speaker 2: doing at the moment, even in my business where we're 54 00:02:19,080 --> 00:02:22,239 Speaker 2: looking at implementing an AI type solution, which lots of 55 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:24,919 Speaker 2: other businesses are, especially in the sort of white collar sector. 56 00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:29,080 Speaker 2: So we may see businesses make more money, be more profitable, 57 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 2: but that may not necessarily translate to more jobs being 58 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 2: created because of a pretty big change that's going to 59 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 2: affect especially the white collar service type job. So yeah, 60 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:43,960 Speaker 2: I think in the blue collar and labor market, yep, 61 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 2: we'll see we see an uptick as the infrastructure projects 62 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 2: kick off because robots can't quite dig holes just yet. 63 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:52,840 Speaker 2: But certainly within the white colices we may actually see 64 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:55,239 Speaker 2: higher profitability but declining jobs. 65 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:57,080 Speaker 1: Great inside is always Chris, good to have you on 66 00:02:57,080 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 1: the program. Chris Small ABC Business sales CEO speaking which 67 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:03,080 Speaker 1: Arrol Mike Kelly Ekhold has come to the party. If 68 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 1: you missed these numbers this morning estimated GDP for the 69 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:08,400 Speaker 1: last year one point eight. I can't see it. We 70 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:10,400 Speaker 1: haven't got Q four yet from last year. But when 71 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:13,040 Speaker 1: we do, which can't be far away, I can't see 72 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 1: it being much less than what it was in Q three, 73 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:17,400 Speaker 1: which was over one. It would be one or thereabouts anyway, 74 00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 1: he thinks one point out for the year. He's picking 75 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:24,440 Speaker 1: three point three this year in election year if you 76 00:03:24,480 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 1: can see and feel that the government are home free. 77 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: And then he's got two point seven for twenty seven 78 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 1: and that, by the way, is a significant upgrade. He 79 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:34,560 Speaker 1: sees what Chris sees, what most of us are starting 80 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 1: to see. For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen 81 00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:40,840 Speaker 1: live to news talks it'd be from six am weekdays, 82 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.