1 00:00:01,720 --> 00:00:04,920 Speaker 1: The Rural Report on Hither Duper See Allen Drive. 2 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:09,360 Speaker 2: Jamie mckaye hosted the Country with Me evening. Jamie gooday, Ryan, 3 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:11,640 Speaker 2: great result for Fonterra today. 4 00:00:12,160 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, fantastic result. And I heard you talking to Miles 5 00:00:15,000 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 1: Hurrel just after five o'clock. I chatted to him on 6 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 1: my show today and yeah, look it's a great result. 7 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:23,639 Speaker 1: Literally every number is good. But I just did a 8 00:00:23,640 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: wee bit of interesting homework around the Fonterra co op 9 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 1: share price. Now, these are the shares that the farmers 10 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 1: have to buy to supply milk to Fonterra. They finished 11 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 1: the day trading at six dollars ten. They were up 12 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 1: ten cents this time. A year ago they were three 13 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:44,880 Speaker 1: dollars seventy five. But if you go back to their 14 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 1: real low point all time low seventeenth of November twenty 15 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,520 Speaker 1: twenty three, less than two years ago, they were two 16 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 1: dollars and three cents, meaning in less than two years 17 00:00:56,960 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 1: the price of Fonterra co op shares have gone up 18 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 1: by three hundred percent, or exactly three times. Interestingly, when 19 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:09,200 Speaker 1: I went back further in time, the high of all 20 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:12,919 Speaker 1: time for Fonterra shares was way back in May twenty 21 00:01:13,160 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 1: thirteen when they were eight dollars. So I know there's 22 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:20,240 Speaker 1: a big vote coming up on October the thirtieth for 23 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 1: Fonterira Farmer shareholders. They have to make their mind up 24 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:27,640 Speaker 1: whether they take the three point two billion dollars from 25 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:30,400 Speaker 1: the four point two billion they're going to get from 26 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:32,399 Speaker 1: the sale or Fonterra is going to get from the 27 00:01:32,400 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 1: sale of lock Talis. But I think pretty much it's 28 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 1: a done deal. That's what I'm hearing anyhow, And some 29 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 1: of that money will be used to repay shares. Perhaps 30 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:46,679 Speaker 1: some of them Ryan might have even bought their shares 31 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:49,920 Speaker 1: and May twenty thirteen at eight dollars, so who knows. 32 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:51,560 Speaker 1: But for those who bought them a couple of years 33 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 1: ago November twenty twenty three, they've done very well. 34 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 2: Indeed, it's interesting reading the results today and kind of 35 00:01:57,480 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 2: having a harm moment about the fact that profit was 36 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 2: actually down slightly. But then that's because their costs are 37 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 2: up because they're buying the milk, which is obviously at 38 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 2: very high prices. 39 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:10,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, they don't always make more money when the 40 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 1: milk price is up because their ingredient is more. I 41 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 1: think some of that profit story. They're also paying a 42 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:19,800 Speaker 1: week bit more tax, but a number that Miles didn't 43 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 1: mention to you. We've got the milk price at ten 44 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 1: dollars sixteen, we've got the forecast milk price at ten dollars. 45 00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 1: But the dividend, Okay, that's the yield they get on 46 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 1: their shares. So you buy a share today, you're going 47 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 1: to on this year's on this year's dividend, get a 48 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 1: fifty seven cent per share dividend fully imputed. That means 49 00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:47,000 Speaker 1: it's tax paid. It's the equivalent to about seventy nine cents, 50 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:50,120 Speaker 1: and that's up from about fifty five cents yesterday. So 51 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:54,320 Speaker 1: that is a very good yield on your Fonterra share. 52 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 1: If you're a farmer supplying Fonterra, you and I Ryan, 53 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:01,080 Speaker 1: and you're paid a lot more than I am because 54 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 1: you're a star at z B, we could go onto 55 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:07,600 Speaker 1: the sheer market and buy Fonterra shares and the shareholders 56 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:10,840 Speaker 1: fund today, Ryan, we should have bought him yesterday. They 57 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 1: went from seven to forty five up to seven ninety, 58 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:17,520 Speaker 1: up forty five cents, an increase on six percent. So 59 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:20,919 Speaker 1: the market obviously like the Fonterra results today. 60 00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:23,560 Speaker 2: Absolutely what's not to like? Hey, what's going on? Strong 61 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 2: wool actually worth something all of a sudden. 62 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:31,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, suck, horror, Look this is they Look. The arable 63 00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:34,240 Speaker 1: farmers are having a wee bit a tough time, and 64 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 1: some of the horticulture farmers, like the avocado growers, having 65 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:41,160 Speaker 1: a bit of a battle as well in some cases. 66 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: But generally across the board, things are really good. Red 67 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 1: meat's good, dairries really good, Kiwi fruit's good, Apples are good. 68 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 1: Strong wool has been, you know, has been the naughty 69 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:58,640 Speaker 1: child if you want of primary sector returns. It's been 70 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:01,600 Speaker 1: worth literally nothing. It's cost you more to share your 71 00:04:01,680 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 1: sheep than you get for your wall check. But today 72 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 1: at the South Island sale, the strong wall indicator was 73 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:13,320 Speaker 1: up forty six cents. They had a ninety eight percent 74 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 1: clearance And some of the commentary was interesting from a 75 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:18,880 Speaker 1: guy by the name of Dave Burrett who's the South 76 00:04:18,880 --> 00:04:23,200 Speaker 1: Island auction manager for PGG Rights, and he said significant 77 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:27,080 Speaker 1: global shortages of all wall types has prompted levels of 78 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 1: demand at the christ Church Wall Exchange not seen in 79 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 1: a generation. Bidding at times was extreme, with buyers having 80 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 1: to fill immediate orders into China. A major Australian based 81 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 1: wall exporting company dominated the floor for most of the 82 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:44,719 Speaker 1: fine wall, which has been going okay. It's been the 83 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:48,280 Speaker 1: strong crossbed wall that's been the issue. So happy days 84 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 1: for farming today. 85 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 2: Ryan, absolutely, although it looks can be deceiving parts of 86 00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 2: the country dealing with the green drought. 87 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:59,160 Speaker 1: Well that's the beauty of being a farmer. You can't 88 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 1: control the weather, but you can't control commodity prices, you 89 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:07,160 Speaker 1: can't control exchange rates. They're all out of your control. 90 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:10,279 Speaker 1: But yeah, look it's been a bit of a tough 91 00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:14,239 Speaker 1: September for many. It's been cold and wet down south 92 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:17,160 Speaker 1: where I am on the east coast of both islands, 93 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 1: like almost from Dunedin north it's getting quite dry. Areas 94 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:25,560 Speaker 1: like one or two Taranaki especially one or two are 95 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:27,920 Speaker 1: getting very dry. And it's also been cold, I mean, 96 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 1: hit by a lot of cold Southwesterlys. So what they're 97 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 1: kind of having in some places, especially in the North Island, 98 00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:36,680 Speaker 1: is a bit of a green drought. Other parts of 99 00:05:36,720 --> 00:05:39,159 Speaker 1: the country, the further north you go, have had more rain. 100 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:41,919 Speaker 1: But I just think that's farming. You just got to 101 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:43,679 Speaker 1: take what the weather gods give. 102 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 2: You absolutely and hope for the best. Jamie, thank you. 103 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:49,479 Speaker 2: Jamie mckaye hosted the Country with Us. For more from 104 00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:52,840 Speaker 2: Heather Duplessy Allen Drive. Listen live to news talks. It'd 105 00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:56,000 Speaker 2: be from four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast on 106 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:56,920 Speaker 2: iHeartRadio