1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,040 Speaker 1: Now the mail I'm getting got a bit more official 2 00:00:02,120 --> 00:00:05,640 Speaker 1: yesterday with Fitch are suggesting they think the Reserve Bank 3 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 1: isn't done. A lot of people thought the Reserve Bank 4 00:00:08,560 --> 00:00:11,680 Speaker 1: was done cutting the cash rate. This is filling in. Well, 5 00:00:11,680 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: the filling Governor Hawksby basically said as much last week 6 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:18,240 Speaker 1: now on the inference that it was over. What's happening 7 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 1: here as swap rates on the wholesale market have started 8 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:22,760 Speaker 1: going up. Now why should you care about this? Well, 9 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:24,480 Speaker 1: because if you owe money to a bank, a lot 10 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 1: of their income to lend comes from wholesale markets. It 11 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 1: goes up, so does your interest bill, which is what 12 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 1: has been happening since last Thursday. Now, this is where 13 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: we get into subtlety in nu Once. Technically, Hawksby said, 14 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: the bank remains open to further action. So if you 15 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:39,600 Speaker 1: line Hawksby up in a court, you could defend himself. 16 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 1: But as always in these matters, it's the in between 17 00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 1: the line, you know, it's the nod and the wink 18 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:46,639 Speaker 1: stuff that the markets read, and they're reading an end 19 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 1: and as a result, the numbers are rising. Tied in 20 00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:52,080 Speaker 1: but sort of in a sight. If another cutter is coming, 21 00:00:52,080 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 1: as Fitch suggests, things are further complicated with our dollar 22 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:57,880 Speaker 1: given places like Australia are doing the opposite. Of course, 23 00:00:57,920 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 1: their reserve bank is closer to hiking than cut. That 24 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 1: affects how the world sees our economy and our currency. 25 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 1: In at eighty seven Australian and forty three to the pound, 26 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:08,920 Speaker 1: we look anemic. Fitch, for good measure, seems downbeat about 27 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:11,400 Speaker 1: our recovery as well. They're calling two percent growth next year. 28 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 1: That's GDP two percent. They were saying two point seven. 29 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 1: Now this brings in the government. The government in election 30 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: year would like two point seven over two percent. Obviously 31 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 1: two percent they can work with, I guess, but two 32 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 1: point seven that would be a home court advantage, wouldn't it. 33 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:26,480 Speaker 1: And if you want one more thing, that kind of 34 00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:29,440 Speaker 1: backs up the Fitch funk Black Friday, as Andrew told us, 35 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:32,240 Speaker 1: didn't work. Spinning was down on last year. Personally, I 36 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 1: think that's about it being a crock of you know what, 37 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:37,200 Speaker 1: and it's more clickbait these days than it is bargains 38 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:39,400 Speaker 1: and people are basically over being ripped off. But that's 39 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:43,040 Speaker 1: just me so anyway, hawksby with a trail of questions 40 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:45,200 Speaker 1: left behind as he heads off to the Beach. If 41 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:47,760 Speaker 1: you were one of the so often quoted ones who 42 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 1: are rolling out of one mortgage into another, these still 43 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 1: seem to be some pretty tricky times to try and 44 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 1: get it right, and you want to hope that Fitch 45 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:59,440 Speaker 1: basically is misread. For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, 46 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:02,920 Speaker 1: listen to News Talks at B from six am weekdays, 47 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:05,200 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio