1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:04,280 Speaker 1: You know immediately when something makes good political sense. You 2 00:00:04,320 --> 00:00:08,680 Speaker 1: can usually tell not by listening to the minister announce it, 3 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:12,520 Speaker 1: but by listening to the opposition oppose it. Crime is 4 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:15,040 Speaker 1: the topic Jeju this week, of course, and it's one 5 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: of National's strongest, biggest levers. It's got to pull. It's 6 00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: one of the few election issues on which they outpoll Labor, 7 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:25,320 Speaker 1: so it's no wonder that they've pulled out all the 8 00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: stops this after a few weeks of some shaky polling 9 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 1: and being on the defense. The problem for Labor with 10 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:35,479 Speaker 1: crime quite simple. No one trusts them. The facts are 11 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 1: as follows, crime went nuts. Labour's policy reduce prison population, 12 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 1: which is what makes this such a hard slog, A 13 00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:47,200 Speaker 1: hard week for Labor, not the Greens into Party Maori, 14 00:00:47,240 --> 00:00:49,479 Speaker 1: who sing from a very different songsheet on law and 15 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 1: audibit for hapkins. How do you credibly stand up and 16 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:56,880 Speaker 1: argue against longer sentences for thugs who bash first responders? 17 00:00:57,920 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 1: How do you oppose getting tough on coward punches? How 18 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:05,840 Speaker 1: do you oppose fines for people stealing cuts of meat 19 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 1: or booze from the supermarket while the rest of us 20 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:14,319 Speaker 1: pay ever higher prices? The answer for Labor so far 21 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 1: has been you do oppose these things. They've come out 22 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:23,920 Speaker 1: against pretty much every single change that's been announced, and 23 00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:26,759 Speaker 1: that plays into the perception that they're still weak on crime, 24 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:28,760 Speaker 1: that they haven't been going to the gym to get 25 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:33,279 Speaker 1: stronger and tougher on crime. They are instead further withering away. 26 00:01:34,360 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: Of course, this problem could be solved if we knew 27 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 1: anything about what Labor is planning policy wise for the 28 00:01:40,640 --> 00:01:44,680 Speaker 1: next election, but Chippy's strategy is going to be shock 29 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:47,559 Speaker 1: and awe. They're holding cards very close to their chest 30 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 1: until the election. In the meantime, they do run the risk, 31 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: don't they, of looking weak while the coalition steals their thunder. 32 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 1: For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live 33 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 1: to Newstalk It'd be from five am weekdays, or follow 34 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 1: the podcast on iHeartRadio.