1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:01,800 Speaker 1: To the mood of the boardroom at twenty three to seven, 2 00:00:02,279 --> 00:00:04,320 Speaker 1: What have we got? The views of one hundred and 3 00:00:04,320 --> 00:00:07,720 Speaker 1: fifty of the country's leading business executives are the consensus. 4 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:11,360 Speaker 1: New Zealand's at an inflection point, desperately needing clearer leadership 5 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:13,840 Speaker 1: and direction. We've got growing for you as our complacency 6 00:00:14,200 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 1: potentially pushing us towards second world status now. Neil Pavia 7 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:20,599 Speaker 1: Smith is the managing director of for Soth. Barron is 8 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 1: with us. 9 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:22,079 Speaker 2: Good Morningding, Mike. 10 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:25,160 Speaker 1: Do you generally agree with the consensus of your fellow 11 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 1: business leaders? 12 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:30,120 Speaker 2: Yes, I do. I mean there's no sugarcoating things at 13 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 2: the moment. Yeah, it's pretty hard messages and here for 14 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:37,159 Speaker 2: the government to take. But I think it does reflect 15 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 2: every tough times in the economy. It reflects at tough 16 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:46,639 Speaker 2: times in real New Zealand, and there's concerns being expressed 17 00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:50,880 Speaker 2: about the need to tackle the really hard issues, the 18 00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:52,880 Speaker 2: structural efforts that we have and some of the longer 19 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 2: term issues that are are being raised through the comments. 20 00:00:57,640 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 1: They would come back and say we're doing everything we can. 21 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:04,399 Speaker 1: Every leber is being pulled, Is that true? 22 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:07,400 Speaker 2: I think the government's working very hard there's a lot 23 00:01:07,440 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 2: of energy. I think outside of economic matters, you'd certainly 24 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 2: give them a strong tick. And you know, I expect 25 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:17,600 Speaker 2: them to do well across areas like education, crime and 26 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 2: so forth, foreign trade and foreign relations and what have you. 27 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 2: But when it comes to economic matters, I think there 28 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:29,160 Speaker 2: is concern that there we're lacking sort of the long 29 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 2: term focus areas like infrastructure, some of the long term savings, 30 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:37,760 Speaker 2: other matters and Crown's fiscal position which really acts as 31 00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 2: a ball and chain around the economy. So you know, 32 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 2: those are big concerns and I think there is a 33 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 2: need for the government to be much clearer around what 34 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 2: plan is in those areas. 35 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: Having looked at the choices, which is a center left, 36 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 1: center right government. Have your critical of center right, the 37 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: center left comes out even worse. So I mean, are 38 00:01:58,080 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 1: we in a parlor state in that sense? 39 00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think there are there are concerns about the 40 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 2: whether the Labor Party is ready to form government, and 41 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 2: there are certainly real concerns about to coalition parts parties 42 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:18,440 Speaker 2: they would form with the Grent and around economic matter, 43 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:21,959 Speaker 2: it's no doubt. So you know that that's a concern 44 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:24,040 Speaker 2: that I think it gives an opportunity for the government 45 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:27,640 Speaker 2: to deten some of the key issues, but it also 46 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 2: potentially takes the pressure off around some of the core 47 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 2: matters as well. 48 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 1: Have they missed a trick? One of the criticisms of 49 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:37,080 Speaker 1: this government is they could have gone harder sooner and 50 00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 1: we might not be sitting here in the latter part 51 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 1: of twenty five in the state we're in. Is that 52 00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 1: fair or not? 53 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 2: I think it's difficult to argue two years in that 54 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 2: they inherited a real mess and not to be sort 55 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 2: of going much harder and to continue to blame the 56 00:02:54,520 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 2: previous when you take a softer approach than could have 57 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:00,920 Speaker 2: been done. So yeah, I agree with that, and I 58 00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:04,120 Speaker 2: think that's been reflected through a lot of comments that, 59 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:08,680 Speaker 2: you know, while things are probably picking up right now 60 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:11,640 Speaker 2: and we see lots of evidence of that, you know, 61 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:15,519 Speaker 2: some of the core structural concerns, the long term issues 62 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:19,760 Speaker 2: that the Zealand faces haven't been seized through. This opportunity 63 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 2: that I've been given. 64 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:22,520 Speaker 1: Is lux and a problem. I don't know how much 65 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 1: weight you place on these scooes of cabinet ministers, but 66 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:27,120 Speaker 1: he's not right up there. Is that on him and 67 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 1: him specifically or not. 68 00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 2: I think that there is a concern about both his 69 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 2: leadership around some of these longer term issues and also 70 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 2: Finance Minister, and that's been noted through the survey. So 71 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 2: this is not a catastrophic outcome, but there's certainly a 72 00:03:47,680 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 2: very strong message in here that you know, while business 73 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 2: is innovating and addressing costs and focusing on issues of 74 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:01,480 Speaker 2: concern adapting to the sort of geo environment we're in, 75 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 2: there's little structural reform addressing those deeper issues around the 76 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:11,800 Speaker 2: economy and the longer term matters as well. So there's 77 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:14,440 Speaker 2: no doubt that quarter three will probably see an increase 78 00:04:14,480 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 2: in the economy, a pack up that'll be agri lead 79 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 2: if the straits coming down and so forth, that should 80 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:24,320 Speaker 2: lead into a more confidence around the housing sector, more 81 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:28,239 Speaker 2: business confidence and so on, and gradually seeing an increase 82 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:32,279 Speaker 2: in the economy, improvement and right track long track type 83 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:36,680 Speaker 2: polls and an election outcome. So there are reasons to 84 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 2: be optimistic, but hoping it's not a strategy, and the 85 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:46,159 Speaker 2: business community is looking for stronger leadership from the Prime 86 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:49,080 Speaker 2: Minister and Finance Minister around some of those core long 87 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:51,360 Speaker 2: term issues and the structural gifts. 88 00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 1: Of New Zealand well so appreciated very much. Neil Pavio Smith, 89 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 1: who's the ForSight Bud Managing Director, part of the Herald's 90 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 1: mood of the boardroom this morning. For more from the 91 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:02,280 Speaker 1: mic Hosking Bakfast, listen live to News Talks at b 92 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:06,159 Speaker 1: from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio