1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:04,400 Speaker 1: You're listening to a shares these podcast it sounds like 2 00:00:04,519 --> 00:00:08,880 Speaker 1: you and the Motley Full community. You're the classic active investors. 3 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: You are really getting in there into the weeds. You're 4 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:14,880 Speaker 1: looking closely at what each company's performing. We've seen obviously 5 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:19,160 Speaker 1: a trend towards automatic diversity. Is the word I'm looking 6 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 1: for here products like ETFs. I mean, is that is 7 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: that reducing the risk or would you say there's some 8 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:27,320 Speaker 1: sort of concentration risk building up there that people need 9 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: to be careful of there when there when they're buying 10 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 1: those kinds of products. 11 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:33,760 Speaker 2: Now, I love passive ETFs. I'm an active investor just 12 00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:35,280 Speaker 2: I have a stockpicker. I don't mean active by the 13 00:00:35,280 --> 00:00:35,760 Speaker 2: way it's active. 14 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 3: I there's active, right. 15 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:38,559 Speaker 2: I'm not an active trader. I don't buy so by 16 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 2: cell by cell. I'm active in the sense that I'm 17 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 2: trying to find companies that I think. 18 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:42,800 Speaker 3: Will beat the index. 19 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:44,199 Speaker 2: If I buy company X, I buy it so I 20 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:46,839 Speaker 2: think at five years time it'll be worth more and 21 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 2: hopefully grow faster than the market. 22 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:51,120 Speaker 3: That's my version of active. But I love passive investing. 23 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:52,879 Speaker 2: You see the fund man is out there, by the way, 24 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:54,240 Speaker 2: the ETFs are destroying the market. 25 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 3: Absolute rubbish, complete and other nonsense. 26 00:00:57,840 --> 00:01:01,639 Speaker 2: Passive ETFs are wonderful, wonderful, wonderful things. Just they are 27 00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:04,800 Speaker 2: right mean less business for me, so be it. Investors 28 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 2: are much better off than they were because a massive 29 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 2: range of passive ETFs are available. A couple things to 30 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:13,080 Speaker 2: answer your question. Firstly, not all ETFs are the same. 31 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 2: Now your viewers know that I really, really really dislike 32 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 2: thematic ETFs, not because individually some of them can't do well, 33 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:23,959 Speaker 2: but because they're sold as panaceas AI is going to 34 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:27,640 Speaker 2: be huge. Here's my AIETF, and the invitation is to 35 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:30,679 Speaker 2: say AI is big, therefore AA ETFs are big, therefore 36 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:31,679 Speaker 2: I should buy the ATF. 37 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:33,800 Speaker 3: Couldn't be further from the truth. 38 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:37,039 Speaker 2: So I despise thematic ets because of the way they're sold, 39 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 2: and get out to anyone's selling ETFs out there. 40 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 3: I love the plane Vanilla index based. 41 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 2: Low cost ETFs, the Jack Bogul Vanguard style ETFs ASX 42 00:01:47,360 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 2: two hundred or three hundred s and P five hundred 43 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 2: m SCI global. Those are the great great gray ETFs 44 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 2: because they are low cost, because they track the index. 45 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 3: They're not trying to make bets. 46 00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 2: They're not trying to get you to make a bet 47 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:02,280 Speaker 2: on AI or robotics or lithium or bitcoin. 48 00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: Or goal even with the concentration you're getting from Meg Siven, 49 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 1: I mean the Meg seven companies. Some of those companies 50 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 1: are bigger than entire sectors. Now you know, I'm pretty 51 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:12,959 Speaker 1: sure if you edit up with the healthcare sectors or 52 00:02:13,000 --> 00:02:14,920 Speaker 1: the you know, some parts of the industrials, and you 53 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:16,520 Speaker 1: go to the EU see kind of r. 54 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 2: So yes, absolutely, and you ask about diversification of concentrations. 55 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 2: So I'm not saying don't pick individual socks. What I'm 56 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 2: saying is ETFs are a great based re portfolio. And 57 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 2: anyone who said to. 58 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 3: Me is this enough? I say, yes absolutely. Do you 59 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 3: think do I think you do better by picking stocks? Yes? Absolutely? 60 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:31,120 Speaker 3: But is that enough? 61 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:34,800 Speaker 2: If you're young enough, if you had regularly to a 62 00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 2: handful of diversified, indext based ETFs, you'll retire very, very 63 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:40,399 Speaker 2: very comfortably and be very happy you did. 64 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 3: I have no doubt. 65 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 2: If I can't make promise, I'm not allowed to, but 66 00:02:42,919 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 2: I have no doubt you'll be very happy with what 67 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 2: you did. 68 00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:47,120 Speaker 3: Right, So back to your. 69 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 2: Point about concentration, I wouldn't just own a US ETF, 70 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:53,760 Speaker 2: same as I wouldn't just known asx CTF because we've got. 71 00:02:54,320 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 3: Index four banks and minors. 72 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:58,840 Speaker 2: But if I had a global ETF or a range 73 00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:01,920 Speaker 2: of etfsx three hundred, you might have a developing market. 74 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:05,600 Speaker 3: You might have an emerging developed markets. If you got that. 75 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:09,560 Speaker 2: Diversification by currency, by geography, by industry, then yeah, you 76 00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:12,000 Speaker 2: start to put together a portfoliot that it is diversified. 77 00:03:12,160 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 3: Here's the other thing. When you buy an ETF, don't 78 00:03:14,639 --> 00:03:16,359 Speaker 3: just put money in a ETF once and be done 79 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 3: with it. 80 00:03:16,600 --> 00:03:20,800 Speaker 2: If your dollar cost averaging adding regularly, maybe in hindsight 81 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:23,040 Speaker 2: we say, you know what, September twenty twenty five was 82 00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 2: a massive bubble. 83 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:26,119 Speaker 3: But if you've been adding monthly over. 84 00:03:25,880 --> 00:03:29,640 Speaker 2: The last year, two years, five years, ten years, add 85 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 2: all that up. People say to me sometimes, oh, the 86 00:03:32,280 --> 00:03:34,480 Speaker 2: MAC hasn't recovered from the highs of twenty two thousand 87 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:35,960 Speaker 2: and seven, or it's not as high as it was 88 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:38,520 Speaker 2: in whatever. If you'd only bought chairs on that day, 89 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:40,280 Speaker 2: maybe I'll talk to you about it. 90 00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 3: But if you did, you are the unluckiest person in 91 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 3: the world. 92 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 2: If you'd have been buying every month for the three 93 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:48,760 Speaker 2: years before and the three years after you are up 94 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 2: massively on that point. 95 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 3: So is it diversified. 96 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:54,280 Speaker 2: Yes, If you buy one ETF for one index and 97 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 2: you buy it once, you're absolutely rolling the dice. I 98 00:03:56,760 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 2: still think you'll do very well, by the way, but 99 00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 2: maybe not as well if the market was lower. 100 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 3: If you're adding regularly to a range of ETFs, and. 101 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 2: You're adding to that regularly every payday or every month 102 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:10,640 Speaker 2: or every quarter over five, ten, fifteen years, I mean, 103 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 2: think about it. If you do it every month fifteen years, 104 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 2: what's that If you've made one hundred and eighty different 105 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 2: transactions over that period of time, have. 106 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 3: You bought one of those is going to be at 107 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 3: a bubble? Probably, one of those is probably going to 108 00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:22,839 Speaker 3: be at an absolute low. 109 00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:25,880 Speaker 2: Low, most somewhere in between. But overall, I'll go back 110 00:04:25,880 --> 00:04:27,480 Speaker 2: to the van Get index chart. I know your viewers 111 00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 2: have seen it a million times. Google Vanguard indext chart. 112 00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 3: If you don't know what I'm talking about. 113 00:04:31,680 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 2: Yes, you might have brought it two thousand and seven 114 00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 2: at the peak, then you brought in two thousand and 115 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:36,720 Speaker 2: nine at the trough. You might have brought it ninety 116 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:38,359 Speaker 2: ninety nine at the peak, and then at two thousand 117 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:40,800 Speaker 2: and one in the trough. You're probably bought in twenty 118 00:04:40,839 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 2: twenty March twenty twenty at the peak, and then again 119 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 2: in April twenty twenty in the trough, and where are 120 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 2: we at record highs. Sometimes you'll buy at high prices, 121 00:04:47,240 --> 00:04:49,720 Speaker 2: sometimes at low prices. I'd love to know which ones 122 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:51,520 Speaker 2: will which side can not do it, but you can 123 00:04:51,520 --> 00:04:52,480 Speaker 2: only do that in hindsight. 124 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:54,680 Speaker 3: And in hindsight, by the way, where at record highs 125 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:56,919 Speaker 3: every point before that was worth buying SHT. 126 00:04:56,760 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 1: And visting involves the resk, you might lose the money 127 00:04:59,200 --> 00:04:59,719 Speaker 1: you start with. 128 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:02,600 Speaker 2: We recommend talking to a licensed financial advisor. 129 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:07,120 Speaker 1: We also recommend reading product disclosure documents before deciding to invest.