1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,480 Speaker 1: We've got the laser reporting from the New Zealand China Council. 2 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:04,880 Speaker 1: Investment out of China increased by an average of nine percent. 3 00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:07,720 Speaker 1: This is between twenty fourteen twenty twenty four flat line. 4 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: Post COVID, China now ranks twelfth as I saw some 5 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:12,879 Speaker 1: of New Zealand foreign direct investments. So what's going on here? 6 00:00:12,920 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: John McKinnon's the New Zealand China Council chair and is 7 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:16,920 Speaker 1: with us. John, very good morning to you. 8 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 2: Good morning. 9 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:18,919 Speaker 1: Something wrong? 10 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:22,280 Speaker 2: No, not really. I think there's a number of reasons 11 00:00:22,320 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 2: why the flat lining has occurred. One is to do 12 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 2: with COVID, the second is probably to do with slow 13 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 2: down on the Chinese economy. The third and fourth would 14 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:34,199 Speaker 2: probably be changes in the regulatory environments in both countries. 15 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 2: So we don't see it as something which is particularly worrying, 16 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:40,519 Speaker 2: but it's part of the purpose of this reporter is 17 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 2: to provide people with the facts that they can make 18 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:45,640 Speaker 2: their decisions on or judgments on. 19 00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 1: Is it more them or more us or a bit 20 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:48,400 Speaker 1: of both. 21 00:00:49,680 --> 00:00:52,879 Speaker 2: Well, it'd be hard to say. I would say probably 22 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 2: I'd attribute more to the COVID effect, which of course 23 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 2: applies to both countries. But also to the slowdown on 24 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 2: the Chinese economy. But there have been a number of 25 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:06,680 Speaker 2: regulatory steps taken in China which have had an effect 26 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 2: of altering the way in which Chinese might be able 27 00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 2: to expatiate their funds. And of course we've had changes here, 28 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,319 Speaker 2: although they've been more designed to encourage people to invest 29 00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:18,640 Speaker 2: in use even than the reverse. 30 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 1: Right, So those Chinese changes, that's applicable to the whole world, 31 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:22,480 Speaker 1: not just New Zealand. 32 00:01:23,160 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's right, absolutely, Yeah. 33 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 1: And we've got the US as the number one direct 34 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:28,759 Speaker 1: foreign investor. Now that's good, isn't it. 35 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:31,560 Speaker 2: Well, it is. I mean, if you look at the 36 00:01:31,600 --> 00:01:36,039 Speaker 2: stock though, the overwhelming stock of investment comes from Australia, 37 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:40,319 Speaker 2: which is not particularly surprising the US. And there's a 38 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 2: big gap, so that I think the Australia's stock is 39 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:45,480 Speaker 2: fifty four percent or something in the US is nine percent, 40 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 2: So there's quite a big gap there. China comes in 41 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 2: on that scale at about zero point nine percent, so 42 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 2: it's still still a long long way behind the big players. 43 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 1: You reckon it'll change or not. I mean, so in 44 00:01:57,680 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: other words, is that the regulations and the regulations are 45 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 1: the regulations. Therefore it's constrained or well, as we come 46 00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 1: out of COVID and move on, things will have change again. 47 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 2: Well, we don't forecast a huge change. We can see 48 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 2: areas where there would be congruence or compatibility between New 49 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 2: Zealand and China in areas such as renewable energy or 50 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 2: food production, but it's hard to see how the current 51 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 2: settings are going to change in such a way that 52 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 2: there's an enormous boost. And I just don't think that's 53 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:29,680 Speaker 2: the way that the Chinese people are looking at this country. 54 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:32,200 Speaker 1: Okay, John, appreciate the insight. John McKinnon, who's the New 55 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 1: Zealand China Council shit for. 56 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 2: More from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to news talks. 57 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:40,760 Speaker 1: It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast 58 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio