1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,080 Speaker 1: Back to the business of the power. The Hopeles state 2 00:00:02,120 --> 00:00:04,200 Speaker 1: this country finds itself in every winter. The Big four 3 00:00:04,280 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: gin Tailor's asm hopefully you're sure you are aware, have 4 00:00:07,120 --> 00:00:09,000 Speaker 1: cut a deal to stockpile coal at Huntly for the 5 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 1: next decade. Anyway, Mercury says we need more than that. 6 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:14,239 Speaker 1: Stuart Hamilton is the chief executive of Mercury and is 7 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: whether it's very good morning to you, but moning Mike, 8 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 1: can the Big four do what you're doing with coal 9 00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 1: and not draw the attention of some sort of regulator 10 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:23,599 Speaker 1: like the ComCom. 11 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 2: I think there's a lot that's been done across the industry, 12 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 2: so I think for us, we know what we have 13 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 2: to do. We have to keep building renewables at pace 14 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:33,919 Speaker 2: whilst we're also working out what we do when we 15 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 2: need to have the extra firming through dry years like 16 00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:37,080 Speaker 2: we've just experienced. 17 00:00:37,320 --> 00:00:39,199 Speaker 1: And so having ten years worth of coal tho and 18 00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 1: having this plan, what does that tell us about the 19 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:44,000 Speaker 1: renewable journey and who's on track and whether we're spending 20 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 1: it up and doing the enough. 21 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:48,520 Speaker 2: It's definitely that the renewable journey can be a bit bumping, 22 00:00:48,640 --> 00:00:50,479 Speaker 2: as we've seen over the last couple of years with 23 00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 2: a sudden and quite dramatic drop and gas applies in 24 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 2: New Zealand, we've realized that actually we need to keep 25 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 2: building at pace, but we also need to make sure 26 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 2: that we've got this firm in there so when the 27 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:03,520 Speaker 2: winds stop blowing or the sun's not shining, we've got 28 00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 2: the ability to be able to provide that powerful when you's. 29 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 1: Yond okay, So do you see the transition working? I mean, 30 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 1: how would you describe the state of the market right now, 31 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:14,480 Speaker 1: right here, right now for these past couple of winters 32 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 1: and our lack of supply, our lack of renewables, all 33 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:17,680 Speaker 1: of that, Where are we at? 34 00:01:18,720 --> 00:01:21,280 Speaker 2: I'd say there's definitely been a huge impact, right It's 35 00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:24,200 Speaker 2: been failed across the market, whether you're actually producing ultricty 36 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 2: or you're consuming it. And so there's no doubt there's 37 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 2: been an impact, and there's no doubt that we need 38 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 2: to be doing more than what we have been. And 39 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 2: so I think there's positive signs ahead of us. I 40 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 2: don't think we've been able to foresee the position we've 41 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 2: gotten into, particularly with the sudden drop off and gas. 42 00:01:40,760 --> 00:01:42,800 Speaker 2: A little while ago, we had this situation with TI 43 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:44,560 Speaker 2: which is sort of a bit of an overhang. But 44 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:47,520 Speaker 2: now if you look at the rate that things are growing, 45 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 2: getting pretty good and actually over the last of three 46 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 2: years we've built about the cab ten percent of New 47 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 2: Zeon's grid again, so there's a fair bit going on. 48 00:01:56,960 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 2: It's just ultimately, do we have the ability to be 49 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:01,800 Speaker 2: able to build at the pace and firm it at 50 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:05,880 Speaker 2: the pace that's going to write basically provide the confidence 51 00:02:05,920 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 2: for not only just households but also the small, medium 52 00:02:08,480 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 2: and large industrials in New Zealand. 53 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: Answer your own question, can we we can? 54 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, but I think at the moment, for example, Mercury 55 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 2: we're investing a one billion dollars into geothermal and wind. 56 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 2: That's great. Other gent tailors and actually a number of 57 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 2: independents are now involved building as well, which is fantastic. 58 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 2: As she becomes. If we have dry periods like we 59 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 2: have over the last couple of years, how do we 60 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 2: make sure we've got power in those times? That's why 61 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:37,280 Speaker 2: the hunting deal is great, but we need more Geoffrmal 62 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 2: we believe got a massive role to play, and so 63 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 2: for example ourselves, we're putting a fair bit of effort 64 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:43,000 Speaker 2: into that. 65 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 1: Also we had Jones on the program and the other 66 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 1: day about the geothermal thing. Is it easy, can it 67 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:51,119 Speaker 1: be done? And wins it on stream? And what weight 68 00:02:51,160 --> 00:02:52,960 Speaker 1: do you place on geothermal in the mix? 69 00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:56,919 Speaker 2: Geo Thermal has a huge role to play. About twenty 70 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:59,160 Speaker 2: percent of the New Zealand's power comes of geo thermal and 71 00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:03,440 Speaker 2: that's worldlie, it's easy. It's not that easy. There's a 72 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 2: fair amount of drilling that needs to take place. It's 73 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:07,400 Speaker 2: quite a lot of technical know how that needs to 74 00:03:07,400 --> 00:03:09,800 Speaker 2: be used. But New Zealand's world leading in that space. 75 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 2: We've got projects ahead of us to do that. But 76 00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 2: it's going to be part of the mix, but not 77 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:15,760 Speaker 2: the whole thing. 78 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:18,400 Speaker 1: If you go back to the onslow scrap, which was 79 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 1: it killed the desire to invest. Are the settings as 80 00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 1: you sit here talking to us this morning, right. 81 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:28,359 Speaker 2: I believe. So there's definitely right market signals now. So 82 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:30,799 Speaker 2: there's the signals being sent to say we need to 83 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:34,240 Speaker 2: keep building and we are doing that. There's signals that 84 00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 2: are being sent to say do it at pace, and 85 00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:39,920 Speaker 2: we're going at pace. That The issue is how long 86 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 2: does it take to actually bring some of those on streams. 87 00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 2: So from the time we sort of press the button 88 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 2: to build a wind farm, you know, you press the 89 00:03:46,120 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 2: button and then it's sort of the machine starts to churn. 90 00:03:48,640 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 2: Over the space of a two or three years, a 91 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 2: wind farm will be built, but that obviously through that 92 00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:56,080 Speaker 2: time crat's an issue where you might not have the 93 00:03:56,120 --> 00:03:58,160 Speaker 2: power when you need it, and that's where you need it. 94 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 2: A suite or a portfolio offer mechanisms which include the 95 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:03,040 Speaker 2: Huntley firming. 96 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:06,360 Speaker 1: In what year do I get you on this program 97 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 1: and we no longer need to talk about winter and 98 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 1: winter being a problem and having a production drag for 99 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:12,080 Speaker 1: this country. 100 00:04:13,480 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 2: I can't want an exact date, but I'd say over 101 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:18,280 Speaker 2: the next few years we'll get there. There's certainly a 102 00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:21,600 Speaker 2: fair amount of energy being built now. The only thing 103 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:24,480 Speaker 2: will happen is if something again suddenly comes out of 104 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:26,840 Speaker 2: left field. But by the time you combine the wind 105 00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:28,840 Speaker 2: that's been built, the soul that's been built, the geo 106 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 2: therm or that's been built, back it up with the 107 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:33,600 Speaker 2: Huntly firming options, I think we're putting ourselves in a 108 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:35,719 Speaker 2: really good position. And you can see that at the 109 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 2: moment with there's green shoots. I'd say in terms of 110 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:44,560 Speaker 2: industrial demand, we're seeing Fonteria electrifying. We've got great projects 111 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:47,480 Speaker 2: with the likes of Busy who are committing to twenty years. 112 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 2: We've had TII, which is a globally significant industry committee 113 00:04:51,480 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 2: for twenty years and I think you combine that with 114 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 2: a number of interests from data centers, is a fearbit 115 00:04:57,240 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 2: coming at US, which is pretty exciting. 116 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:01,839 Speaker 1: Fantastic good insights. St appreciate your expertise, Stewart Hamilton, chief 117 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 1: executive of Mercury New Zealand. For more from The Mic 118 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:08,280 Speaker 1: Asking Breakfast, listen live to news Talks at B from 119 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:11,800 Speaker 1: six am weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio