1 00:00:00,560 --> 00:00:03,560 Speaker 1: Heather dupers the l The government's announced it's looking into 2 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:06,280 Speaker 1: why your insurance premiums are so high. Now, The Herald, 3 00:00:06,280 --> 00:00:09,520 Speaker 1: Wellington Business editor jen Atibstraney says the exercise is worthy, 4 00:00:09,520 --> 00:00:11,600 Speaker 1: but probably not going to change a lot for you 5 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:16,319 Speaker 1: if you have home insurance and Jine's with us now, Jenae, Hello, hi, Heather, 6 00:00:16,440 --> 00:00:17,480 Speaker 1: Now why do you think this? 7 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 2: Well, firstly, I believe that this government at least is 8 00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:27,120 Speaker 2: not interested in interfering with the market. The market is 9 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 2: actually conveniently helping the government by making it too expensive 10 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:35,559 Speaker 2: for you to get insurance and risky paces. I mean 11 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:37,879 Speaker 2: this has been happening, you know, for some time in 12 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 2: Wellington due to earthquake risk, and we're seeing it increasingly 13 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:47,480 Speaker 2: with flood risk. It's actually convenient for the government if 14 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 2: the insurance becomes too expensive and people move to safer places. 15 00:00:53,080 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 2: I think the government's kind of aware that if it 16 00:00:56,360 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 2: sort of tries to soften the blow of the risk 17 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 2: based seeing the insurers do, it could create moral hazards. 18 00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:05,040 Speaker 2: So it could make you think, well, I may as 19 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:07,399 Speaker 2: well just move somewhere risky because the government will bail 20 00:01:07,440 --> 00:01:10,640 Speaker 2: me out anyway, you know, And that's not particularly helpful. 21 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:14,279 Speaker 2: So I think that's one fact. Also, back in twenty 22 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:17,760 Speaker 2: twenty four, I talked to Nikola Willis about why she 23 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:20,400 Speaker 2: had got the Treasury to stop looking at how the 24 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:24,119 Speaker 2: government could respond to risk based pricing. Treasury was doing 25 00:01:24,160 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 2: some policy work at the time she wanted it stopped, 26 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:30,200 Speaker 2: and she said, look, she wasn't going to intervene in 27 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:32,920 Speaker 2: the market, That's what she said back in twenty twenty four, 28 00:01:33,400 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 2: and that, you know, the government was better placed looking 29 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 2: at climate adaptation, you know, issues around consenting that type 30 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:44,840 Speaker 2: of thing. So basically, I genuinely don't think the government 31 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 2: is interested in intervening in the market. 32 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:52,560 Speaker 1: Okay, that is fair enough, But can they not assist 33 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:54,880 Speaker 1: I mean, regardless of whether they want to intervene or not. 34 00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: And I think they are doing the right thing. It 35 00:01:56,400 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: is becoming unaffordable for some people, and you could argue 36 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 1: people who are actually not at that much risk because 37 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 1: of the way the thing is priced. Could they not 38 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 1: change things about the capital requirements for insurance companies to 39 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:09,080 Speaker 1: make it a bit cheaper? 40 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:12,919 Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, so, I mean, this is the thing 41 00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 2: with this whole topic. I agree entirely that it is 42 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 2: you know, rough, and it's unfair. And if you know 43 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:21,000 Speaker 2: you've bought a piece of land and you plan to 44 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 2: build on it and that's your retirement plan, and you've 45 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 2: never seen it flood, and then suddenly the government comes 46 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 2: in and says you can't build on it now because 47 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:30,920 Speaker 2: of climate change, you know you're not going to be 48 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 2: particularly happy. So of course, you know, it's a tough issue. 49 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 2: That the issue. Yeah, the area that I think the 50 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:41,960 Speaker 2: government might move on is the amount of capital that 51 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:45,800 Speaker 2: it requires, all that the Reserve Bank requires insurers to hold. 52 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 2: So people will recall that recently the Reserve Bank said 53 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:52,119 Speaker 2: it would allow banks to hold less capital or less 54 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 2: costly capital, because the bank said that the cost of 55 00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:58,120 Speaker 2: holding all this capital to make them strong was too 56 00:02:58,240 --> 00:03:00,200 Speaker 2: high and if they could hold a bit less, they 57 00:03:00,280 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 2: might lend more freely and interest rates on borrowing might 58 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 2: be a bit lower. Now, the insurance industry makes kind 59 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 2: of a similar argument. You know, it's been saying that 60 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:12,200 Speaker 2: the Reserve Bank's been too tough, been too mean, you know, 61 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:14,440 Speaker 2: made them be way stronger than they need to be, 62 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:19,400 Speaker 2: and maybe if they could hold less capital, then the 63 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 2: insurance premiums could come down. So that's something the industry 64 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:26,320 Speaker 2: has been pushing for the government is cognizant of that, 65 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 2: but again I'm sort of skeptical. For me and you 66 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 2: you know, normal people with insurance, I'm not sure if 67 00:03:33,160 --> 00:03:39,160 Speaker 2: that will translate to much lower premiums. You know, one 68 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 2: other area here is that the government could do more 69 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:46,360 Speaker 2: by expanding what the National Hazards Commission covers. That's like 70 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 2: the EQUC. It's knuckled the Natural Hazards Commission. You know, 71 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 2: if that covered flood you know, that could do a 72 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:56,560 Speaker 2: bit more having a state insurer pick up more of 73 00:03:56,600 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 2: the low but the moral has But again, so the 74 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:01,440 Speaker 2: whole mora hazardly exactly, I don't think that's something the 75 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 2: government wants to do. So, you know, the insurance industry 76 00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 2: says that the problem is not the insurance, but the 77 00:04:08,160 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 2: problem is the risk and you have to manage the risk. 78 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 2: And to me that that makes sense. But it's just 79 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:13,800 Speaker 2: it's just really hard. 80 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:16,719 Speaker 1: Okay, I mean, do you so having said that, because 81 00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:19,320 Speaker 1: I mean I think we all understand. Sure, if you 82 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 1: if you've built a house in a place that's going 83 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:24,440 Speaker 1: to get flooded every year, you probably shouldn't have insurance 84 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:26,760 Speaker 1: or you should pay a lot for it. But when 85 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:29,360 Speaker 1: you look at it, it is not that nuanced by 86 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:32,719 Speaker 1: these these insurance companies is a second tire post code. 87 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:36,840 Speaker 1: So is it possible that this review may actually sure 88 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:39,720 Speaker 1: not lead to lower insurance premiums for us, but it 89 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:41,839 Speaker 1: may at least answer some questions for us as to 90 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:44,440 Speaker 1: how these guys are doing it, because I feel like 91 00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:45,880 Speaker 1: the clarity is what we want here. 92 00:04:47,000 --> 00:04:49,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, look, I mean I really I hope it does. 93 00:04:49,640 --> 00:04:52,880 Speaker 2: It's six months long, and the government's got representatives from 94 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:54,880 Speaker 2: across you know, Reserve Bank if you may m be 95 00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 2: a whole bunch of them to do it. The challenge 96 00:04:57,480 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 2: will be, gosh, I sound so negative on this issue, 97 00:04:59,839 --> 00:05:01,839 Speaker 2: but the challenge will be a lot of this information 98 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 2: is commercially sensitive. So I'm an insurance company. I pay 99 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:09,400 Speaker 2: a lot of money for a modeling company that looks 100 00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 2: at specific you know, address level, slip risk, flood risk, 101 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 2: all the rest of it. And that's how I do 102 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 2: my fancy mass, and that's how I decide that my 103 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 2: premium is this and my neighbor's premium is something completely different. 104 00:05:22,080 --> 00:05:26,000 Speaker 2: So I strongly doubt that the insurers will release the 105 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 2: sort of granular information that would give us a really 106 00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 2: good insight because of commercial sensitivity, and I'm not sure 107 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 2: if the government will be able to compel them to 108 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:38,560 Speaker 2: do that, but I think broader stuff like information around 109 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:40,839 Speaker 2: what the reinsurance market is doing. You know, that's the 110 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:43,760 Speaker 2: market that backs up the insurers. They are the ones 111 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:46,840 Speaker 2: that really influence pricing heavily. I think getting a bit 112 00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:50,520 Speaker 2: more insight into that market would be useful, maybe that 113 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 2: the building costs. That's another thing again, complex market and 114 00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:58,320 Speaker 2: I just don't see a quick, easy fix. And it's 115 00:05:58,320 --> 00:06:01,840 Speaker 2: also a global issue. Zones is not the only country 116 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:03,120 Speaker 2: country battling. 117 00:06:02,920 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 1: Context that I think is important. Jane, thank you very much, 118 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:07,719 Speaker 1: as always appreciate your explanation. Jane to Trani, the heralds 119 00:06:07,720 --> 00:06:11,440 Speaker 1: Wellington Business Editor. For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive. 120 00:06:11,600 --> 00:06:15,039 Speaker 1: Listen live to news talks. 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