1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,400 Speaker 1: Good news the Reserve Bank has finally done the thing 2 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:04,240 Speaker 1: many of us thought was necessary, and they've gone for 3 00:00:04,280 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: a double cut in the ocr of fifty basis points. 4 00:00:06,760 --> 00:00:09,119 Speaker 1: That's the good news. The bad news is that they've 5 00:00:09,119 --> 00:00:11,399 Speaker 1: been forced to do it because they didn't do it earlier, 6 00:00:11,440 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 1: as in, they haven't cut as quickly as they should have. 7 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 1: I mean, think back to July and they actually chose 8 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:19,160 Speaker 1: not to cut at all, which was clearly a mistake 9 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:21,160 Speaker 1: at the time, but became even more of a mistake 10 00:00:21,200 --> 00:00:23,960 Speaker 1: when we saw the shock GDP number that followed, and 11 00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 1: that we saw that in the three months before that decision, 12 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:29,040 Speaker 1: the economy had actually contracted by a whopping zero point 13 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 1: nine percent, and the Reserve Bank hadn't really noticed at all. 14 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:35,080 Speaker 1: And the bad news, i suppose again, is that they 15 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:36,959 Speaker 1: could have cut a double cut last time, when two 16 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 1: of them on the Monetary Policy Statement said we should 17 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:40,840 Speaker 1: go double cut, but more of them said, now, let's 18 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 1: just go with the single cut. So they've gone with 19 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 1: a double cut today, vindication for two. It would seem 20 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:47,200 Speaker 1: We're going to stick to the good news, though, which 21 00:00:47,240 --> 00:00:49,280 Speaker 1: is that finally the Reserve Bank has caught up with 22 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:51,879 Speaker 1: the rest of us the economy is cooked and we 23 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:54,319 Speaker 1: need to do something, so they have delivered it. They 24 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 1: admit that this is a signal. The signal is it's 25 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 1: okay to go out and spend and invest because they've realized, 26 00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:03,840 Speaker 1: finally that people are freaked out. Right, there have been 27 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:07,120 Speaker 1: too many predictions of green shoots just before the economy 28 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:09,040 Speaker 1: falls again, which freak people out. There have been too 29 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:12,399 Speaker 1: many bad surprises which freak people out. Business confidence is shot. 30 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 1: Look at the qbso yesterday. Consumer confidence is also yet 31 00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: slightly increasing, but still really negative. People are holding onto 32 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:24,480 Speaker 1: their money, They're saving instead of spending. They're worrying instead 33 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:27,640 Speaker 1: of investing. This cut is a circuit breaker that's supposed 34 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:29,880 Speaker 1: to snap us out of a fair our fear. Now, 35 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:32,480 Speaker 1: there are some who worry that we are actually already 36 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 1: so freaked out that even this cut, given how big 37 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:38,480 Speaker 1: it is, could spook us all over again. It's possible, 38 00:01:38,480 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 1: maybe it would happen, but I think what's more likely 39 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 1: is that it's going to give the assurance that people need, 40 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:45,480 Speaker 1: and the assurances that the people in charge of the 41 00:01:45,520 --> 00:01:48,520 Speaker 1: economy actually realize how bad things are and are prepared 42 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 1: to be bold, And finally they are prepared to be bold, 43 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 1: and I'll tell you what. It's better late than never. 44 00:01:53,600 --> 00:01:56,800 Speaker 1: For more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive. Listen live to 45 00:01:56,880 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 1: news talks it'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow 46 00:01:59,880 --> 00:02:01,720 Speaker 1: the podcast on iHeartRadio