1 00:00:00,560 --> 00:00:04,080 Speaker 1: Heather duper c La. It's all on. The nurses have 2 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:05,880 Speaker 1: just announced they're going to strike as well. They're going 3 00:00:05,920 --> 00:00:08,160 Speaker 1: to be striking on the second and the fourth of 4 00:00:08,200 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: September and it will involve fourteen thousand nurses. Don't tell 5 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:15,600 Speaker 1: me this isn't coordinated. Do not tell me this isn't coordinated. 6 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: Sixteen pas six. Michael, look, Milford Acid Management is with 7 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: us A Michael hey Ever, I guess we've got the 8 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:23,800 Speaker 1: US inflation data for July out last night. Good news 9 00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:25,319 Speaker 1: or bad news for the economy over there. 10 00:00:26,360 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 2: Well, we would call that inflation data mixed, but it 11 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:32,599 Speaker 2: was better than some had fared given tariffs, and we 12 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:34,520 Speaker 2: did see the US shear market runly on the back 13 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:38,159 Speaker 2: of it last night. Now, look at the numbers. Overall 14 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 2: inflation stayed steady at two point seven percent. However, core inflation, 15 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:45,880 Speaker 2: which strips out woldtail items like energy, now that was 16 00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 2: high and expected up zero point three percent in July 17 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:51,200 Speaker 2: and up three point one percent compared to last year. 18 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:56,520 Speaker 2: So while reported inflation data was steady, underlying inflation pressures 19 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 2: in the US are growing, with businesses done to pass 20 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 2: on tariff flated costs, and we have to remember a 21 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:06,199 Speaker 2: large proportion of those tariffs only came into effect this month, 22 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:09,399 Speaker 2: so there's still is a risk that core inflation continues 23 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:12,520 Speaker 2: to build throughout the year in the US as businesses 24 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 2: increase prices on tariff goods. 25 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 1: So with inflation looking I suppose we could say relatively tame, 26 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 1: are we going to start to see cuts in the 27 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:22,080 Speaker 1: rates there? 28 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:26,360 Speaker 2: Well? After the data, markets are now seeing a ninety 29 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:28,880 Speaker 2: five percent chance of a FED rate cut next month, 30 00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:32,679 Speaker 2: up from eighty five percent the day before, So investors 31 00:01:32,680 --> 00:01:35,360 Speaker 2: think it's pretty certain that they'll cut rates next month. 32 00:01:35,480 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 2: With July inflation relatively steady and a weekening job market, 33 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:42,520 Speaker 2: so there are now two to three FED rate cuts 34 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:45,959 Speaker 2: expected this year, which requires tariffs to not have a 35 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 2: large impact on inflation or for the FED to cut anyway. 36 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 1: Now we've got the reporting season kicking off here tomorrow. 37 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: What should we be watching? 38 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:58,760 Speaker 2: Well, while the US earning season is winding down here 39 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 2: in New Zealand, we're just about to stay art when 40 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 2: New Zealand companies are going to report their results for 41 00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 2: the past six months as well as given outlook on 42 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 2: the future, and generally we expect results are going to 43 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 2: be pretty soft given the tough economic environment. However, the 44 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:15,519 Speaker 2: real focus for investors will be on whether company outlooks 45 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 2: show signs of improvement or not. Now first up tomorrow 46 00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 2: as Vista Group. They sell cinema software all around the world, 47 00:02:23,560 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 2: and we think they could post a bit of a 48 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 2: mixed result if the cinema is still under a bit 49 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:31,880 Speaker 2: of pressure and a weaker US dollar impacting their revenue. 50 00:02:32,160 --> 00:02:34,360 Speaker 2: By the main focus for them will all be about 51 00:02:34,360 --> 00:02:36,919 Speaker 2: whether they've got strong customer demand or not for their 52 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:37,800 Speaker 2: new cloud products. 53 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:40,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, brilliant and which earnings of the market going to 54 00:02:40,160 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 1: be watching. 55 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 2: Well next week starts with a two milk on Monday, 56 00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:47,919 Speaker 2: which is always an interesting result with their share price 57 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 2: known to move sharply up or down. Now they sell 58 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:54,240 Speaker 2: infant formula into China, which can be a difficult market 59 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 2: to follow and always creates a bit of uncertainty going 60 00:02:57,120 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 2: to results. And then the other one i'd call out 61 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:03,440 Speaker 2: is just Bark, which will report next Wednesday. Now that 62 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 2: will be an interesting result after them selling their data 63 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 2: center business yesterday, and I think the real focus for 64 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:12,799 Speaker 2: investors will be on whether their earnings and their core 65 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 2: business have stabilized or not, as well as what they 66 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 2: do with the dividend and whether they cuss it and 67 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 2: by how much good stuff. 68 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 1: Michael, thanks for running us through at Michael Luke Milford 69 00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:22,920 Speaker 1: Asset Management. 70 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:26,959 Speaker 2: For more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to 71 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 2: news talks they'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow 72 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:31,920 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio