1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,360 Speaker 1: Out of yesterday's interview with the Reserve Bank governor, it 2 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:04,240 Speaker 1: came once again the question about the so called lack 3 00:00:04,280 --> 00:00:06,360 Speaker 1: of competition in the banking sector. Now, Andrew body has 4 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:08,440 Speaker 1: been thinking about all of this and indeed submitting to 5 00:00:08,480 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 1: the government on the matter, because they're looking into competition 6 00:00:10,600 --> 00:00:12,879 Speaker 1: at the moment. As you well know, he's an investment 7 00:00:12,920 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: banker and a financial expert. 8 00:00:14,200 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 2: He is with us. 9 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 1: Andrew, very good morning to you. 10 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:17,320 Speaker 2: Good morning Mike. 11 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 1: Simple stuff. First, is the a lack of competition and 12 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:23,960 Speaker 1: does more players or do more players solve the issue? 13 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 2: Yes to both questions. 14 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:29,960 Speaker 1: The barriers to entry, are they a problem? 15 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:37,920 Speaker 2: Yes, the regulators have managed to create a moat around 16 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 2: the large banks in New Zealand, and that's through capital requirements, 17 00:00:45,280 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 2: the outsourcing requirements for the Reserve Bank, the branch policy 18 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:53,519 Speaker 2: of the Reserve Bank, the prediential, a big part in 19 00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 2: the conduct and disclosure regulation. It all increases that the 20 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 2: costs of operating here and favors the big banks. 21 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 1: So Adrian Orr is a conservative operator and he would 22 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 1: argue it's for safety. It's so that hunky players don't 23 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:10,520 Speaker 1: come in and they fall over and everyone starts screaming. 24 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 1: Does he have an argument there or not? 25 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:18,319 Speaker 2: Really, no, he doesn't have an argument. He's completely overcooked 26 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:26,160 Speaker 2: the regulation that Basil three is the response of the 27 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:29,880 Speaker 2: Bank of International Settlements a Basil Committee to the GFC. 28 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 2: And in New Zealand, we've taken Basil three and we 29 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:39,200 Speaker 2: put it on steroids, and the rest of the world, sorry, 30 00:01:39,240 --> 00:01:41,919 Speaker 2: the rest of the world, partecularly the United States with Trump, 31 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:45,880 Speaker 2: people are questioning whether Basil three is necessary, let alone 32 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:52,320 Speaker 2: what steroid ridden predancial regulation has done in New Zealand. 33 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:54,640 Speaker 1: When you put this forward to the government, do they 34 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:56,800 Speaker 1: get it, do they understand it? And do they accept it? 35 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:02,320 Speaker 2: I mean, the government's a big beast, Mike. You know, 36 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 2: you've got the administrative state there in the fall of 37 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:09,760 Speaker 2: the regulators. You've got the advisors to to ministers, You've 38 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:13,080 Speaker 2: got ministers. I think that the politicians actually get it. 39 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:17,679 Speaker 2: I think that there is a natural response to the 40 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 2: regulators to say, you know, not a problem, let's move 41 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 2: on quickly. And the government's advisors sort of are missing 42 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 2: an action. 43 00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:33,320 Speaker 1: Real How much of this is Adrian or versus any governor? 44 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:39,080 Speaker 2: Well, who knows. That's a good question. But who knows? 45 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 2: I guess I'm focused on what needs to change, and 46 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:46,239 Speaker 2: I think I think that you know, the Minister of 47 00:02:46,280 --> 00:02:52,840 Speaker 2: Finance probably understands completely and she's focused on on change. 48 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:56,519 Speaker 2: I expect it's just a question of how much and when. 49 00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 1: Maybe if she does what you would like her to 50 00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 1: do and what she seemingly argues she wants to do, 51 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 1: and they pull the pull the trigger tomorrow, do banks 52 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:08,880 Speaker 1: flood to this country or are we not attractive enough 53 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:09,520 Speaker 1: or big enough? 54 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:17,200 Speaker 2: The margins suggest that there are excess profits being made here. 55 00:03:17,320 --> 00:03:19,160 Speaker 2: You know, I'm a big support of the banks. I 56 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:21,359 Speaker 2: think the banks have done a great job. I think 57 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 2: the people running the banks are very confident people. But 58 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 2: they're playing with the decker cards that was issued to 59 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 2: them and they're making They've worked out how to do 60 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:32,680 Speaker 2: that really well, and they're making excess profits. I think 61 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 2: they've really lost that argument, certainly in the public domain 62 00:03:38,240 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 2: and I think also in the technical technical domain, and 63 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 2: they need to move on from that position. 64 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, confident or not, hopeful or not. 65 00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:50,800 Speaker 2: I'm always hopeful, make confident. I guess we just need 66 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:54,280 Speaker 2: to watch what the politicians are doing really carefully and 67 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 2: encourage them to be brave. 68 00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 1: Go on, you well, said, and nice talk to you. 69 00:03:59,040 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 1: Appreciate very much, Andrew. So here's another one who is, 70 00:04:02,720 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 1: and there's a lot of them, believe me. And this 71 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 1: is about banking specifically, but this is a more general 72 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: argument that are getting in the ear of the government 73 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:12,240 Speaker 1: at the moment and going basically dog it, get in 74 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: there and blow some stuff up. 75 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 2: For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to 76 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:21,599 Speaker 2: News Talks at B from six am weekdays, or follow 77 00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:23,240 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio.