1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,400 Speaker 1: It is seven after six news talks. It'd been Liam 2 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:06,200 Speaker 1: dan shortly on the bond markets that made Trump blink, 3 00:00:06,519 --> 00:00:09,639 Speaker 1: Jamie McKay on the beef prices holding up in the US, 4 00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:11,959 Speaker 1: Sam Dickey on how to invest in the volatile world. 5 00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 1: And we'll get to Entebrady in the UK before seven too. 6 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: Right now, the ocr dropped. We all saw that yesterday, 7 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:21,239 Speaker 1: But why haven't your mortgage rates joined them? Even for 8 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:23,640 Speaker 1: those of you on a floating rate, which many people 9 00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: still are holding up for a lower one, you'll yet 10 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 1: to see the savings materialize. And I know what you're thinking. 11 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 1: You're thinking, hang on, I saw the banks drop. Some 12 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:34,080 Speaker 1: of the banks drop the rates yesterday. Yes you did, 13 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:37,839 Speaker 1: but they dropped their advertised rates, not the effect of 14 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 1: rates that takes longer. A and Z and bn Z 15 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 1: interestock code do onions did some good work on this. 16 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 1: Am Z and bn ZI the fastest to give you 17 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:48,519 Speaker 1: your savings about seven days, while kiwibank tacks an average 18 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:52,479 Speaker 1: of two weeks to pass along the cut. Kent Dustin 19 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 1: started the banking reform coalition. He's with me tonight, Hi Kent? 20 00:00:57,040 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 2: Sure here are you going? Yeah? Good? 21 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:00,360 Speaker 1: Thank you? Thanks for being with me. So you don't 22 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 1: like the time it takes for the banks to pass 23 00:01:02,440 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 1: on the cuts from the OCR. How how long do 24 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:07,679 Speaker 1: you think it should take? 25 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:10,880 Speaker 2: Well, you know it's not just me, right, I don't 26 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:13,399 Speaker 2: think anyone likes the amount of time takes for the 27 00:01:13,400 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 2: banks to pass on the OCR cuts because you know, 28 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:20,120 Speaker 2: after all, it's no harder than just hitting the heading 29 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:23,319 Speaker 2: the return key on the keyboard. And really, there's no 30 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 2: reason why it should not happen on the exact same 31 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:29,959 Speaker 2: day that the Reserve Bank lowers the OCR. You can't 32 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 2: see any reason at all why why it takes weeks 33 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 2: and weeks to do this. 34 00:01:32,880 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 1: Look, I agree with you in principle, and there's that 35 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 1: they've given a whole bit of The banks have given 36 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:38,440 Speaker 1: a whole bunch of reasons why it takes them so long. 37 00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:42,040 Speaker 1: But there's one thing. If you look at the rate 38 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 1: at which they drop after there's a cut versus the 39 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 1: rate at which they increase after there's a hike, they're 40 00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 1: about the same. In fact, they're actually faster, asb for example, 41 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:55,920 Speaker 1: drop the rates faster than they raise them. 42 00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's kind of interesting because you know, it does 43 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:01,560 Speaker 2: look like the banks are cherry picking a bit of 44 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 2: data on this In the Commerce Commissions Market study into 45 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:08,840 Speaker 2: personal banking last year they commissioned a piece of work 46 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:12,239 Speaker 2: from the University of Auckland's Business School and it looked 47 00:02:12,280 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 2: at the long run data and what it said after 48 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 2: they did the big statistical analysis, you know, completely independent 49 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:22,640 Speaker 2: of the banks themselves, is that after four months, because 50 00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:24,800 Speaker 2: you've got to take into account both the fixed rates 51 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:28,720 Speaker 2: and the floating rates. Right after four months, the banks 52 00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 2: had passed on ninety percent of the increase to borrowers, 53 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:36,520 Speaker 2: but they only passed on fifty seven percent of the decrease, right, 54 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 2: So I think there was a long run behavior here 55 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 2: from the banks that they are literally you know, rockets 56 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:45,280 Speaker 2: up but feathers down. And I think we see that 57 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 2: when you know, we're talking about weeks and weeks to 58 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 2: get what should be a pretty simple change through to 59 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:54,320 Speaker 2: existing borrowers, but you're. 60 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 1: Talking about the amount we were talking about the time, 61 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:01,240 Speaker 1: so on the time, I mean, if they are dropping 62 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 1: rates at the same or faster rate than they are 63 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 1: raising them, does that not tell you something? Does that 64 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 1: not tell you that you know, maybe it is that 65 00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:10,760 Speaker 1: their IT systems are crap, or I don't know, something's 66 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:12,960 Speaker 1: going on behind the scenes, or as they say, they 67 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:14,680 Speaker 1: have to do due diligence, and there's a whole bunch 68 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:17,240 Speaker 1: of other things they need to take into account. Would 69 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 1: that number not indicate that perhaps they're just slow, not bad. 70 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 2: Well, you know, it's a bit hard to untangle slow 71 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 2: from bad, you know, because after all, look, no one's 72 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 2: arguing that their IT systems are terrible. Right. In that 73 00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:35,800 Speaker 2: same market study the Communce Commission, you know, they pointed 74 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:40,520 Speaker 2: out that the ANZ Bank their core systems had been 75 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 2: depreciated all the way down to zero dollars, which means 76 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 2: they're so old that in both accounting terms and operational terms, 77 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:51,640 Speaker 2: those systems are worthless. Right, So, yeah, their systems are bad, 78 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 2: but that's their own decision to have not reinvested in 79 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 2: up to date systems. So it's not like borrowers should 80 00:03:58,360 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 2: have to pay a penalty for that. In when it 81 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 2: comes to the timing of the delays, again, the banks 82 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 2: are fully in charge of this. You know, They're the 83 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:10,360 Speaker 2: ones who decide the notice periods and the contracts, and 84 00:04:11,320 --> 00:04:14,120 Speaker 2: you know how it gets operationalized in their systems, and 85 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 2: how quickly they notify borrowers and all those things, and 86 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 2: It just seems that these delays are pretty self serving 87 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:24,159 Speaker 2: because it's pretty obvious that holding interest rates too high 88 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 2: for too long costs us money and makes them profit. 89 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:31,359 Speaker 1: Kent thanks to that Kent dustin Banking Reform Coalition convena 90 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 1: with us not happy with how long it takes. But 91 00:04:33,520 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 1: I mean not that I'm here to stick up for 92 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 1: the banks, because no one wants to be that guy. 93 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:40,720 Speaker 1: But they do take into account a whole bunch of 94 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:43,359 Speaker 1: different numbers when they're deciding what their rates are going 95 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: to be, including swap rates, which have been all over 96 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 1: the place over the last week. So I wouldn't you 97 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 1: give a bit of leeway. Plus some of their according 98 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:54,480 Speaker 1: to the Banking Inquiry, computer systems are so antiquated that 99 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:57,840 Speaker 1: even passing the rates on for you know, if you're 100 00:04:57,880 --> 00:05:00,720 Speaker 1: wanting to lower the rate for US safe, which is 101 00:05:00,800 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 1: to their advantage, they can't do that until the first 102 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:08,400 Speaker 1: of the following month. That's how ms dos their computer 103 00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:11,360 Speaker 1: systems are, so it might be, as I say, more 104 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 1: slow than bad. 105 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:15,360 Speaker 2: For more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive. 106 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 1: Listen live to news talks. 107 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 2: It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast 108 00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 2: on iHeartRadio,