1 00:00:00,480 --> 00:00:05,040 Speaker 1: Run today. All eyes on Flemington out of Melbourne, Melbourne 2 00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:07,159 Speaker 1: cap from the tab Matt Smith. 3 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:08,879 Speaker 2: Morning, Well how are you? 4 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:11,320 Speaker 1: Yeah? Good? Must feel like Christmas for you guys. 5 00:00:11,440 --> 00:00:14,320 Speaker 2: Pretty much. Yes, the one gets get that the extra 6 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:18,000 Speaker 2: fifteen percent excitement on a day like this. So yeah, now. 7 00:00:17,840 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 1: Looking forward to it and not to be an early 8 00:00:19,960 --> 00:00:22,400 Speaker 1: down buzz. But what a shame to see that there's 9 00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: no New Zealand trained horses in the race. 10 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's kind of varies from year to year. I 11 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 2: think last year we had three. In the year before 12 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 2: there were none, so it just all depends on how 13 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:35,239 Speaker 2: horses are heading towards their campaigns and whether they can 14 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 2: make it. We had some that were in contention a 15 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 2: couple of weeks out but just said didn't quite make 16 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 2: the final cut of twenty four. 17 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:44,280 Speaker 1: So where are the key we connections? 18 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:47,919 Speaker 2: We've got? Of course, the great James McDonald knew well, 19 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:52,840 Speaker 2: the world's best jockey. He's on number eight May who's 20 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:55,000 Speaker 2: probably thereabout some of the markets a couple of place 21 00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:57,120 Speaker 2: in the last four or five starts. 22 00:00:57,360 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 1: He's tasted victory before, hasn't he very elegant? 23 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 2: Correct? Yeah? Twenty twenty one, and we've also got mcdee 24 00:01:05,600 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 2: or Michael D. Whereas the number seventeen he's on further 25 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:12,559 Speaker 2: and Michael D I think grew up in the hawk's face. 26 00:01:12,600 --> 00:01:15,400 Speaker 2: So it's very much easier than bread and again. 27 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:17,679 Speaker 1: Had success in the lights of the Caulfield Cup and 28 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: Victoria Derby. I think that that was a big occasion 29 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 1: on the weekend. 30 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, very much so, Yeah, I think Observer won the 31 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 2: Dabby is the favorite, which always means people's pockets are 32 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:29,080 Speaker 2: folding into a. 33 00:01:29,120 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 1: Day like this, So who is the favorite, Not that 34 00:01:32,160 --> 00:01:35,160 Speaker 1: it really means anything because historically when it comes to 35 00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:37,480 Speaker 1: the office sweep steak, you almost don't want the favorite. 36 00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 1: It never comes through. 37 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:41,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, look at yeah, the favorite doesn't necessarily have a 38 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 2: good run in this in this race, I guess that's 39 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:46,959 Speaker 2: what happened at twenty four horses. But our Riffa is favorite. 40 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 2: The challenge of him is he's also number one in 41 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 2: the book, so he's going to carry the most weight, 42 00:01:52,080 --> 00:01:56,520 Speaker 2: which makes like a little bit difficult over much meters. 43 00:01:56,920 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 2: He's carrying fifty nine and the knee cheese top is 44 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 2: I think fifty seven, yeah, fifty seven CAGs, So yeah, 45 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:07,920 Speaker 2: it just makes it just makes it a little bit 46 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 2: more of a test over the last couple hundred meters 47 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 2: where you know some of those horses that don't have 48 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 2: to carry as much, Yeah, maybe able to swoop late. 49 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:18,640 Speaker 2: So yeah, it's looking pretty wide open of fear. I 50 00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:21,400 Speaker 2: think what four horses are all paying under ten dollars, So. 51 00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:23,960 Speaker 1: Let's hope it doesn't bog them down too much, or 52 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 1: hopefully we don't see things like we did from what 53 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:29,080 Speaker 1: was it the never a Need story with the Quicksand 54 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:31,760 Speaker 1: because I hear it's going to be a pretty softist track, 55 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 1: there's been a lot of rain that was. 56 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:37,239 Speaker 2: A deep cut Luke. Yes, it looks like rain. I 57 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:39,919 Speaker 2: think it's about fifty percent chance pretty much every hour 58 00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 2: through for the whole day, so I would expect a 59 00:02:42,680 --> 00:02:45,639 Speaker 2: better rain. So that means you're probably gonna need to 60 00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 2: look for horses that can handle all sorts of tracks, 61 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 2: you know, whether it's a good track or a soft 62 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:54,600 Speaker 2: track or a heavy track. So I have found one 63 00:02:54,600 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 2: which could be a little bit of money, and it's 64 00:02:56,400 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 2: please got a heck of a name, Flattened the Curve. 65 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:06,000 Speaker 2: It's by a German trained by a German. Man. Heink 66 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 2: grew and listened to the jockey's name thor Hammer Hansen. 67 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 2: It doesn't get you excited, but the thing about flat 68 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 2: and M curve has one on all three types of tracks, 69 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 2: so you know whether it's a nice firm track or 70 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 2: a track that's haven't had a bit of rain. So 71 00:03:24,480 --> 00:03:26,359 Speaker 2: that could be one of the better value