1 00:00:00,640 --> 00:00:02,640 Speaker 1: Here the dupless Ellen. Look, I don't really want to 2 00:00:02,640 --> 00:00:04,280 Speaker 1: have to start on a bum note, but if there 3 00:00:04,320 --> 00:00:06,640 Speaker 1: is a thing that we do on the show, it's honesty. 4 00:00:06,880 --> 00:00:09,040 Speaker 1: So let's be honest about it. What the Reserve Bank 5 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:12,920 Speaker 1: decision told you today is how much trouble our economy is. 6 00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 1: And if you're in business, you already know this. You 7 00:00:15,000 --> 00:00:16,440 Speaker 1: don't need me to tell you this. I was talking 8 00:00:16,440 --> 00:00:18,639 Speaker 1: to a couple of CEOs yesterday. They were telling me, 9 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 1: cannot see the green shoots. Cannot see the green shoots. 10 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:24,960 Speaker 1: We've been waiting. We were told survived to twenty five, 11 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: were halfway through. We're still stuffed. We'll let me tell 12 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 1: you what we got today. We got a twenty five 13 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 1: basis point cut. We needed fifty because that ocr is 14 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: still too high. It's now sitting at three point twenty 15 00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 1: five percent. It's probably actively still dampening our economic growth 16 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:43,159 Speaker 1: because I think the consensus is that three is neutral 17 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 1: and we're not there yet. But they could not give 18 00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 1: us a bigger cut today. And even they must realize 19 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:51,440 Speaker 1: how much damage they are doing, because they themselves have 20 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 1: admitted that the economy is even more stuffed than they 21 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:57,040 Speaker 1: thought it was as recently as February. When they last 22 00:00:57,080 --> 00:00:59,319 Speaker 1: met back in February, they predicted that in the first 23 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 1: quarter of the year we would have seen growth of 24 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,160 Speaker 1: zero point six percent. They have revised that down to 25 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:07,319 Speaker 1: zero point four. This quarter that we're in right now, 26 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:09,560 Speaker 1: they forecast that we would be growing at zero point 27 00:01:09,640 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 1: six percent. They just havel that to zero point three. 28 00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:15,360 Speaker 1: Next quarter they thought would be zero point five. They've 29 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:18,320 Speaker 1: taken that down to zero point two. That's not good. 30 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:20,960 Speaker 1: That's bad. And why couldn't they give us a bigger 31 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:23,759 Speaker 1: cut to help us along, because they might set off 32 00:01:23,800 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 1: inflation again if they do. We just saw a rise 33 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:29,679 Speaker 1: in inflation the other day, and there is potential for 34 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:32,120 Speaker 1: it to keep on creeping up. We've got dairy prices 35 00:01:32,160 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 1: going up, We've got electricity prices going up, We've got 36 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:36,959 Speaker 1: rates going up, on and on and on and on. 37 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:39,319 Speaker 1: The budget that we just had last week is not 38 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 1: super deflationary, is it. And their job at the Reserve Bank, remember, 39 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 1: is not to help the economy grow. That is not 40 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:48,000 Speaker 1: their job. Their job is to contain inflation. And it's 41 00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 1: kind of borderline and they can't take any chances there. 42 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 1: Could we have a touch of the old stagflation back, 43 00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: no growth, prices going up feels a bit like that's 44 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:00,040 Speaker 1: a risk at the moment, isn't it now? I hope not, 45 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:02,920 Speaker 1: But hope is not a strategy. And yet what else 46 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 1: have we got left when even the Reserve Bank can't 47 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 1: get out of the economy's way. For more from Hither 48 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 1: Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to news talks it'd be 49 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:15,640 Speaker 1: from four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.