00:00:00
Speaker 1: Your source of breaking news, challenging opinion and honors backs the Mike Hosking Breakfast with Bailey's Real Estate finding the buyers others can't use Tog's head be.

00:00:10
Speaker 2: Well, you welcome today. Good day Sir Field, gerda As Whetta joins us were their three oscar oms for today's big ceremony. New Zealand Open champion Ryan Pete, what a story in his victory yesterday. We also looked at the New Zealand Police Training Facility and its roll in cracking the five hundred recruit promise. The lads in the commentary box, Richard Arnold, Steve Price are there on the team as well.

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Speaker 3: PASKI, well, good for the week.

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Speaker 2: Monday morning, thirteen past seven. Now let's make it to seven past six, thirteen past seven. How do you come up with a number light that's not even close to the time, literally a made up time seven past six.

00:00:39
Speaker 3: Now.

00:00:39
Speaker 2: You can argue until you're blue in the face as to whether what happened to the White House Saturday was bullying or unfair. But what the US President has on his side, of course's common sense and military power. As Zelensky slunk off to Downing Street, for a hug with Kia and today's meeting with the King. What few in Europe seem to understand is that saying you back Ukraine doesn't win a war all come close to. Without America, this thing is over and fast. Mark Rutter gets that, hence his plea to Zelensky to repair the damage. No America, no war. Norway promised more resource, or at least they said they would ask their parliament. The UK announced another two and a half billion pound loan. But for what this thing is three years old, it's going nowhere at best with America fully on board, it's a stalemate. It is, as so many have put it, now, a meat grinder, and Russia has more meat to grind. What was on Displaan Washington was a simple reality of the Trump administration. They're not interested in war. They're interested in deals, a mineral agreement. See if the Americans on the ground in Ukraine. No one's rolling over American interests militarily in Ukraine once they're on the ground. Trump is also right in saying it sees far as pretty much instant, and it's at that point you start working on the what next bit. All the photo ops and Lovens that Zelensky appears to revel and doesn't get you an inch of your country back, and it doesn't give you any advantage over the Russians. NATO are incapable of beating Russia without American buying. That Bayan is over. Trump keeps it super simple. Zelensky has no cards. To a lesser degree, Europe has only limited cards. It is why America is America. Without them, we're done. And where I think Trump is most right is he appears the only one interested in actually getting the thing sought of. The Europeans talk about peace, but peace as a result of victory. There can be no victory. Three years shows us this. The only victory is Russias. If America bails.

00:02:28
Speaker 3: News of the World in ninety.

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Speaker 2: Seven, Zelenski's straight into the plane and into the bosom of his beloved Europe As fellow Ukrainian MPs, they stand behind him, and when he.

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Speaker 4: Has heard things so that it's us who don't want peace, basically being blamed for all their trocities, all or the terror that we have been through. I think it's understandable why emotions ran high for him.

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Speaker 2: Other dn't speak for many in Europe, of course, who do worry just a little bit about what the old Trump plan might involve.

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Speaker 5: We cannot allow the United States to handle into Russia, which seems to be what they want to do, and that would be very, very dangerous for Europe.

00:03:06
Speaker 3: So Europe must start paying the bills.

00:03:07
Speaker 2: So after an emergency chinwag Kia Rickins, they need a peace plan and minor obversation.

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Speaker 6: Say the recent days, we agree that the Group of US will work with you bray from a plan to stop fighting, and they discussed that in the US and take it forward together.

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Speaker 2: That's really backs science mcer Johnson having to run defense a bit on his vote last year, actually backing Ukraine with more money.

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Speaker 7: The whole idea behind it was to hold the line until President Trump could return to the Oval office. I was convinced that that was going to happen and that he would be the one that was powerful and not strong enough on the world stays to bring both parties to the table.

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Speaker 2: Now the US manos nomely tariffs, Canada or Mexico ago, the EU's coming. It's for China, lutt nick He Rickins. They've got that.

00:03:51
Speaker 1: Capitals will remember they have so much more that they sell to us than we sell to them.

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Speaker 3: It's not even close that this is not a battle that we're ever going to lose. And the President knows it. He does have the cards and he's going to protect America.

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Speaker 2: And then Wednesday, the Trump's is also having a joint Congressional address. It's not a State of the Union, but it is going to be awesome.

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Speaker 8: The country is in a really bad place for where Joe Biden left it, even with all the fantastic accomplishments that, by the way, I think to George Washington and all the rest of the presidents would envy is what President Trump does to finish getting our country back on track.

00:04:27
Speaker 2: We finally got to pull out on Trump in a moment. By the way, finally, Blue Ghost has landed on the Moon. It was a US firm firefly the Aerospace. They launched it back in January. So this makes it just the second commercial vehicle to touch down once to explore the Sea of Crises, which is a huge CRATERI visible from the Earth. They're going to be hoping the mission goes a little more smoothly than the first commercial vehicle to touch down that was by intuitive the company Intuitive whose craft didn't infect the land but immediately broke its landing gear and fell over on its side. So that is news of the world and bear parking in ninety I'm always and by for any moment. Apparently he's holding a press conference out of the so called crisis meeting. Meantime, there is a lot of pressure on Ka to go, Hey, that invite you handed out last week from the King to get that second state visit to Trump. You can call that off, he says, that is up to the King. So all of that is unfolding as we speak, and we will keep you in touch. Twelve past six.

00:05:21
Speaker 1: The Mike Asking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by News Talk.

00:05:26
Speaker 2: SEP while the Germans are trying to get a new government together. The two point eight percent was their inflation rate for February.

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Speaker 3: Is that bad?

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Speaker 2: It's not great, unchanged from January, but higher than the two point seven they thought. So there's various places around the world that are seeing this sort of this increased angst around a little bit inflation, including of course New Zealand. Is fifteen past six in Devin Fund's Management Monday Moon and Greg, how are you morning, Mike, good, thank you. Now porta tower on that that looked okay to me.

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Speaker 9: It is a pretty good result.

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Speaker 10: So look, there was a mixtole earning season but finished on a pretty good note. So put a tower of those years. Rallied on their results a strong half year. Their profit after text up twenty seven percent sixty point two mil, revenue up twelve and a half percent to twenty five million. So volumes pretty good, up seven percent, twelve point four million tons, contains up ten percent, imports up fifteen percent, exports.

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Speaker 9: Up three percent.

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Speaker 10: The only weakness was in the logs that was down ten percent, but that was against a tough comparative when there was lots of wind damaged logs being shipped the year prior. But yeah, generally a pretty good story and also benefiting from higher price as Mike, so the charge more stuff going for the port and the charging war for it. So they lifted the profit guidance range to between one hundred and fifteen one hundred and twenty five mil for FY twenty five, and that's up one hundred and two the year price. And this is like the result up two point seven percent. Another domestic name reporting was Somerset. Now there's a bit of anticipation around the retirement Keham's result given Ryman's billion dollar capital rays.

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Speaker 9: But yeah, those fears were laid.

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Speaker 10: So for your operating profit that up there was up eight percent to a record two and six point four million. Revenues are of eighty percent, occupation right sales are up twelve percent, and the gearing ratio a lot of focus on that thirty six percent. So they're in the less pressure it scenes balance sheet wise than Ryman. So a week property marketing is residents are taking longer to get into their homes. Yeah, that weighed a bit in terms of revaluation, so that the bottom line fell by fifty three and thirty nine point eight million, But over all the underlung was was really good. So those years up five and a half percent. And yeah, I suppose the ending season that's over, it started pretty well. You think likes of A two pretty mixed in the middle, offshore and exported off your focus names and exports are doing pretty well, domestic ones less sober. Yeah, we might have a better reporting season to look forward to later in the years. Are those interest rate cuts feed through fingers crossed?

00:07:49
Speaker 2: Okay? Confidence in the old consumer department just means a little bit there isn't there.

00:07:54
Speaker 10: Yeah, I'd say a tempered temping increase in a depressed base. This is the am Z Roy Morgan Consumer Conference that was up slightly in February ninety six point six. So perceptions of personal financial situations that was up five points but still negative negative twelve percent and net twenty one percent. Expect to be better off at this time next year, but perceptions will going the outlook and twelve months time economically that actually eased a point five im measures still steady at five percent, the interesting one for retailers and at fifteen percent still reckon it's a bad time to buy a major household irons that's pretty subdued. We're probably more rate cuts there, but yeah, just on that front, IRBNZ will mention what inflation and the outlooker is doing. And the two year basis for the consumers has lifted juster point one percentage point four percents.

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Speaker 9: That was good.

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Speaker 10: So as we saw the business outlook, consumers are being a lot more optimistic than there were six months ago, but sort of marginal gains each month and they're not exactly in party mode. But they actually have seen one retail reports on green Shoots, the Hellenstein glasses. They said that sales for the six months are up seven point seven percent. They that profit's going to be around about twenty one million for the full year, which would be in line with last year's record, but they did say margin still pressurized, so it seems discounting is needed to attract shoppers. And I think that something's up right.

00:09:12
Speaker 2: So the Personal Consumption Expectation FED loves it. It looks okay, didn't it?

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Speaker 9: It looks okay.

00:09:17
Speaker 10: So this is a bit of a relief around this. This is the fed's preferred inflation gauge, so we had seen a hot than expected inflation print earlier in the month, so this will sort of provide a little bit of comfort around that. So obviously a lot of focus on tariffs and what that's going to do to inflation. But yeah, the pcees it's known that increased point three percent for the month, two point five percent annually, and the main measure might core PC that takes that volatile food energy that was just up zero point three percent for the month and two point six percent annually, So that was down from two point nine percent in December, so a lot of relief there. Just a couple of other quick notes. Personal income that row is much sharper than expected, in fact, double expectations. Hir incomes. They didn't see increased spinning that decrease point two percent. So maybe Americans are batting down the hatches. They're savings rate picked up, and possibly they're being a bit more frugal. But you just had inflation. The odds of the June rate cut have increased to just above seventy percent. Markets expecting two rate cuts by the end of the year.

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Speaker 2: Okay, numbers please.

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Speaker 10: Yeah. So it was a bright day on the boards in the US. So the Dow was up one point four percent, forty three eighth forty s and P up one point six percent, as well as was the nasdak foot see one hundred point six percent. In the UK, A six two hundred was down one point two percent. We had a good strong day, up half percent twelve six zero one for INSX fifty goal down twenty dollars to eight five seven an ounce oil down fifty cents, sixty nine spots seventy six a barrel. Currency market's key we down slightly against the US fifty six. Even Australian dollar we were ninety point two. That was down slightly. British pound forty four point five down there as well. Japanese en pretty flat eighty four point three this week. Might we've got a bit going on again. The Evening Seeds has sort of closed down the New Zealand book. We've got building permits, trade data and of the global dry auction on the US innings from I've got Costco, Hulett Peckard data. Wire've got the RBA minutes, got Ozzie GDP were non farm payrolls and we've got ECB their meeting and they're expected to cut go.

00:11:16
Speaker 2: Well, mate, Greg Smith, Devon Funds Management. Rocket last did very nicely, strongest financial year on record. They got a whole bunch of work in the pipeline so well. And then they're a great New Zealand story. Vista Group who one of Andrew's favorites. But Vista Group are in the movie business and when movies do well, they do well. So their highest revenue yet, so they're a great story as well. Six twenty one Reviews talks Abo.

00:11:44
Speaker 1: The Vike Asking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by News Talks at b.

00:11:51
Speaker 9: Right.

00:11:51
Speaker 2: So what we got unfolding as we speak in Britain, led by Starmer is the French and the British are going to get together and they're going to have some sort of meeting and they're going to try and talk about a piece place and present that to the United States from try and repair the cluster that happened over the weekend. We've got the two and a half billion pound loan that was announced yesterday, and we've also got this today.

00:12:08
Speaker 11: I'm announcing a new deal which allows Ukraine to use one point six billion pounds of UK export finance to buy more than five thousand air defense missiles which will be made in Belfast, creating jobs in our brilliant defense sector. This will be vital for protecting critical infrastructure now and strengthen Ukraine in securing the peace when it comes.

00:12:35
Speaker 12: See.

00:12:35
Speaker 2: I don't know how they detail that with what Trump wants to do, which is to get a ceasefire right here, right now, Mike, Ukraine giving up the minerals to America with no protection provided and surely handing that Russia. Now, don't you understand that once America has the rights to the minerals. The Americans arrive on the ground in Ukraine. That's a security guarantee in and of itself. Sorry, Mike, I have a disagree with your take on Ukraine. All I saw in that photo op was Trump to understand age manage the narrative. Well, it's exactly what he's trying to do. And he's stage managing the narrative because he's got all the money and all the weapons. That's how it works.

00:13:06
Speaker 1: Six twenty five trending now with chemist Well's the home of big brand vitamins.

00:13:12
Speaker 2: Testing is sorted in bah Rain. If one testing, I'll work you through that later on next top Melbourne for the first race of the season, of course, but sandwiched in between that is that's right. Season seven have drives and survive.

00:13:23
Speaker 3: We are the cardis chancel from one on one, Hi look perfect. Anything needs total unity.

00:13:36
Speaker 2: Our biggest rival is ourselves.

00:13:40
Speaker 3: After twelve years together. Luis tells me I'm going to Ferrari really.

00:13:46
Speaker 13: Good for the risk, good for his bank account.

00:13:48
Speaker 3: We'll see if we can get him to crack Zach. Is it prick?

00:13:52
Speaker 11: You know what competitions like very well, some people rise to it. Some evil, don't it Industy, How do you feed getting sucked?

00:14:04
Speaker 3: How did you feel about I couldn't give off.

00:14:09
Speaker 5: Love?

00:14:09
Speaker 2: Goodton, No, Liam and the trailer He bound the feature at the back end of the season, given the Ricardo situation. Of course, as regards testing, it wrapped up on Friday. They had three days in Bahrain. It was a weird business because they went to Bahrain. Normally they go to Spain, but it was a bit chilly and a bit weird in Spain weatherwise, so they thought, I know, let's go to the middle of the desert and that'll work out fine. It did anything but Blue rained. It was freezing, then it was hot, so there was mixed testing. Everyone agrees McLaren is the team to beat, but they're not as dominant as Red Bull were for the last couple of seasons. Williams. Everyone agrees as the best midfield team with a notable improvement. Everyone agrees that Mercedes and Ferrari are there or thereabouts. Everyone agrees that Salbury useless, and everyone seems to agree that Elpine could be a surprise. So all in all, a lot of stuff happened, but everyone one looked at the same thing and came up with basically the same result. Nurses got problems with nurses heading to Australia. That problem continues, So what do we do about that. We'll get into this after the news, which is next here at Newstalks EDB.

00:15:11
Speaker 1: We are the cardis the news and the newsmakers the mic asking Breakfast with a Vida, retirement, communities, life your Way, news talks headb like you spot.

00:15:23
Speaker 2: On with the assessment. Essentially, Trump advanced stage to come to Jesus moment with Zelensky, Europe and the rest of the world. The US holds all the cards. Trump's not interested in a continual war with Starmar and Co seemingly keen to continue. You can't announce peace on one hand and then say, and by the way, here is some more money for some missiles. It doesn't seem to make any sense. The question was asked of Starmer a moment ago whether the US is reliable.

00:15:46
Speaker 11: But I do not accept that the US is an unreliable ally. The US has been a reliable ally to the UK for many, many decades and continues to be. There are no two countries as closely aligned as two countries, and our defense, our security, and intelligence is intertwined in a way no two other countries are.

00:16:07
Speaker 2: So it's an.

00:16:07
Speaker 11: Important and reliable ally for US. The discussions we've had today, particularly the Coalition of the Willing, is on the basis that this is a plan that we will work with with the US and that it will have US backing.

00:16:23
Speaker 2: The sadness is all of the sober shadows what Starmer did on Friday, which was little short of genius in front of Trump, and we mentioned briefly on the program. On Friday he turned up with a letter for the second state visit. Trump was literally wetting his pants. You've never seen diplomacy like it. It was absolutely brilliant. And then it all fell apart twenty four hours later, twenty two to seven more with Richard Arnold Shorty's state side. Meantime, you want some numbers around the departure from our shaws to Australia. Have a look at the Nurses and the year to June twelve thousand the Trans Tasman pathway to gain registration across the ditch. That's almost a fifty percent increase on the year before. Nurses Organization President Kerry Niokho's with US Kerry morning to you.

00:17:08
Speaker 14: Good morning.

00:17:09
Speaker 2: This registration business is this you register and go, or your register and might go. You register and might go, So it doesn't mean you are going. So we haven't actually lost that many. It's just we could lose that many.

00:17:23
Speaker 14: That's how many have expressed their interest exactly. But from anecdotally what we're hearing.

00:17:27
Speaker 2: A lot are going and do they go for lifestyle, do they go for money?

00:17:31
Speaker 5: What do they go for?

00:17:33
Speaker 14: They go for better working conditions, they go for job opportunities. You'll know that less than half of the nurses that graduated this year got jobs, so a lot of them are just going straight over to get jobs in Australia.

00:17:46
Speaker 2: If and this is not a new conversation, if we could do something material about it, what would we do? Literally?

00:17:54
Speaker 14: Yeah, So we've got to get a workforce strategy in place. First of all, we've got to introduce safety ratios. Secondly, and we've got to ensure that there's budget to accommodate that. It's not that we are over have this over abundance of nursing workforce in the hospitals. Already it's understaffed, so nurses are choosing to make the decision to go somewhere where they've got introduced safe staffing ratios in Australia, better working conditions, better pay.

00:18:22
Speaker 2: Right, so they can say pay aside, but they can say in terms of staffing ratio, have a look at Australia, it's x to one, whatever the case may be. That's what we need here and we are short at that and we can say that improve that Is that correct?

00:18:35
Speaker 14: That's correct?

00:18:35
Speaker 2: Okay, So then once you fix that part, then it's the money as well.

00:18:40
Speaker 14: Yeah, that's right. So all that comes with working is.

00:18:43
Speaker 2: It an ever? Is a vicious cycle. Everything I read is every public health system in the world, basically in the Western world, the short of nurses.

00:18:51
Speaker 14: That's correct, every absolutely correct. The problem that we've got here is the introduction of a workforce strategy or a plan last year from the government showed that actually they're going to normalize this understaffing, which isn't based on the changes in the conditions of patients or the acuity of patients. And that's the problem. When you've got the budget driving the incentivized how many nurses you put or how many nurses you recruit. That's the wrong way around, especially when we're supposed to be delivering a patient center delivery of care, and yet we're driving recruitments based on how much budget we've got allocated.

00:19:29
Speaker 2: Does sim and Brown get that or is he just of the I don't have any money, what do you expect me to do? Mindset?

00:19:37
Speaker 14: Well, unfortunately we're hearing a lot of I don't have any money and this is the budget, so work within your means. That is the wrong way around for health professionals to be working.

00:19:46
Speaker 2: But given we don't have any money, what do you expect them to do?

00:19:50
Speaker 14: There's got to be a reassignment of where the money is invested. Certainly, privatization of care isn't the right way when we want to increase access of services to patients. Certainly, the currently what we're hearing and what we're seeing in the news is that patients aren't giving the quality of care. So we've got to change that around and pre are prioritize what is important to New Zealanders. It's access to timely appropriate here. That's got to be the priority. And where our the money spent after that is something that's left up to the minister.

00:20:23
Speaker 2: Kerry appreciated Kerry Kooko, who's the Nurses Organization President Mike just came out of Wakata Hospital after having an op may I say the care was first class, all star, from cleanest to surgeons bent over backwards to make my stay excellent legal So it's not all bad news. Is at eighteen to.

00:20:37
Speaker 1: Two the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by News.

00:20:44
Speaker 2: Talks it be now talking about death makes us, you know, some of us feel a little bit uneasy. Some people have avoid the topic entirely, of course, some other use Euphemism's recent poll by the Way found New Zealand's top sayings to describe dying were kick the bucket, passed away, pushing up days is bite the dust and charact it anyway. Public trust, New Zealand's wills and the state planning experts, of course, they say, don't mind. It doesn't matter what words you use, as long as you talk about it, having an honest conversation about the the one certainty in life is very important, so you can make a plan, get a plan in place, So get your important life admin sorted with public trust and helping sure the things that matter go to the people that matter. So for a limited time, you're going to get twenty percent off on your will or enduring power of attorney. Plus you'll automatically go in the draw to win five hundred dollars a grocery varuture every week. So it's a good deal in their nice people as well. Public trust dot co dot in z is where you hit public trust dot co dot in z and you can get on with living pasking Mike, I don't think it's going to be their year. Bring on twenty twenty six. I wanted how long did it takes with the text to arrived, Jared, It's a long way to go to be that uselesses And I mean, let's be frank. When I read last week the league experts in the Sydney Morning Herald, they were saying we're going to come second to last and we're only going to win seven games, I thought, Gez, it's a harsh assessment. They're experts, that's a harsh assessment. And yet I looked at that yesterday and.

00:22:08
Speaker 12: Fourteen to two International correspondence with ends an eye insurance peace of mind for New Zealand Business.

00:22:15
Speaker 2: Rich Donald morning adding Wick. Now it's Mike Johnson calling for the resignation.

00:22:21
Speaker 15: Hey, Yeah, that's the input today is shockwisz I got to say, still being felt from all of this, even as you know others in NATO were trying to patch things up here, people run into the usual political camps. There was Jesse Waters on Fox saying Trump was disrespected.

00:22:35
Speaker 16: He run the world.

00:22:36
Speaker 3: This is America's world. Jesu our proxy, this world. This ends when we say.

00:22:43
Speaker 15: It as thanks, comrade. While on SNL last night they did a parody of the Oval Office clash.

00:22:49
Speaker 17: DESI, President and CEO of Gaza Hotel and Casino, Bald Trump, and I'd like to welcome President Zelenski here to this incredible trap.

00:23:00
Speaker 13: It's gonna be a big, beautiful trap, and.

00:23:02
Speaker 17: We're gonna attack him very soon for no reason, right JD.

00:23:05
Speaker 2: So was it a setup or not?

00:23:06
Speaker 15: Vance certainly intervened in ways we've not seen from an American veet before. Uh and is facing protesters right though in Vermont at his I want to be Ski vacation. Then in the Washington Political Rule the Center of It, speaker Johnson Yes out today saying Zelensky might have to resign.

00:23:23
Speaker 7: Well, something has to change either, he needs to come to his senses to come back to the table in gratitude or someone else needs to lead the country to do that.

00:23:32
Speaker 15: Zelensky has voiced his sayings to the US what dozens and dozens of times, including on the day of the Oval Office debacle. Does that account for allegedly changing signs during the war? Let alone Brian Glen that so called commentator who is you know, dating Madri Taylor Green, the one who claims Jews control the weather. Republican Senator James Langford says Zolensky cannot stand down as the speaker is suggesting.

00:23:55
Speaker 5: I don't agree, but frankly, I think that would spiral Ukrainians and chaos right now trying to find who is the negotiator to bring an issue to peace.

00:24:03
Speaker 15: So we're now Britain, France and Ukraine. So they're working to develop a ceasefire plan to present to the US starting with the signing of that US Ukraine Rare Earth Deal, says Britain's US ambassador Peter Mandelsson about this.

00:24:17
Speaker 18: Quite apart from the economic gain that Ukraine will derive from that, it will also give the United States a stake in Ukraine's future.

00:24:27
Speaker 3: Yeah.

00:24:28
Speaker 15: Meantime, while Fox News is talking about how the US runs the world. The Murdoch owned Wall Street Journal has a comma, take shall we say? In their op ed, they said, quote, mister Trump does not want to be the president who abandoned Ukraine to Vladimir Putin, with all the damage and bloodshed that would result. Mister Vance won't like to run for president in such a world either. In quote as for whether the US now science with Putin, a Trump real estate crony Steve Whitcoff just came back from a three and a half hour meeting with Putin in Moscow, saying he cannot name a single concession Russia would make in any peace deal. Meantime, a number of people killed in this war estimated by a Newsweek survey out now to be approaching one.

00:25:05
Speaker 2: Million exactly now Oscar day, yep, could be.

00:25:09
Speaker 15: Some surprises at the Academy Awards here in a few hours. And or of the prostitute Cinderella's Story is a pre Oscar's favorite for Best Pick, But Conclave about choosing a pop as pretty finally made film and could take this. I vote Conclave best Actor. I would go with Timothy shallow May who sang all of those Bob Dylan songs. He's pretty amazing doing that, but there is a sense that since he's so young, you'll get another go and that Avian Brody and the Brutals should win. Body's acting in that film is great. The film itself well, three hours twenty five seemingly endless to me. More could take Best Actress for the substance the horror movie about it. Aging celeb who uses a serum two look younger she years sixty two has never won. She could beat Milicky Madison from a Nora who puts well a lot on display, shall we say, while failing Oscar Campaign of the Year certainly goes to the movie Amelia Perez, which began so very strongly and has a lot of creative moments that movie. But Who's transtar Sophia Gascon was found to have made concerning social media posts, so be careful what goes online.

00:26:08
Speaker 2: You enjoy the day, we'll see Wednesday. Appreciate it. Man Ach and by the way, works for Wetter. They're up with three noombs yet again, so every year they get nominated. But matt ac and from WET, it's going to be with us after seven o'clock. This morning with Oscar's day. By the way, that poll I promised you from CNN this morning, conducted by SSRIs. It's the approval disapproval, fifty two percent disapprove, forty eight percent approving. Currently it's the same as mettpheb completed, by the way, before the Zelenski meltdown over the weekend. So it'll be interesting to see if anything changes broadly with the Republicans, he can do no wrong ninety percent approval. Broadly, he can't do anything right. With the Democrats ninety percent disapproval, independence, forty one approved, fifty nine percent disapproved. Very your numbers, nine to seven.

00:26:47
Speaker 1: The Mike Hosking Breakfast with a Vida Retirement Communities News togs had been.

00:26:52
Speaker 2: Before we leave America, Mexico went a Nextra diet and I think they got to twenty nine in the and a whole bunch of drug lords and they were trying desperately to avoid the sanctions that are coming in the week. And they said, how about if we give you a whole bunch of drug lords, And he said, she'll bring them so they'll be off to Gleantanamo never to be seen again or something. So it's a major win. But also I note over the weekend that Atlanta Fed's GDP now track of this is the live GDP, it's tracking to shrink in the first quarter, to the US economy shrinking, So that's going to be a worry. And then this weird business if you haven't followed this over the weekend. So Eric Adams, who's the bloke in charge of New York by way of the mayor roalt. He's crooked, is a crooked thing anyway. So who's going to challenge him in the primaries which are coming up in June. None other than Andrew Cuomo. And you go, well, hold on, who's Andrew Cuomo? And you go, well, hang on, Andrew Cuomo was the governor of New York. Now why is he not the governor of New York anymore? Well, because he was pinching bums and doing all sorts of weird stuff in the office, and they had an investigation booted him out. So he was a sexual deviant. Who's now decided he wants to replace the reprobator's mayor. City of eight million people, and those of the two bes, you can come up with five away from seven.

00:28:05
Speaker 3: Well, the ins are the outs.

00:28:07
Speaker 1: It's the fizz with business favor take your business productivity to the next level.

00:28:12
Speaker 2: The Robert Half twenty twenty five Salary Guide, What have we got here? Growing demands for higher salaries? No, is there really inflation? Is lingering? Increased responsibilities on current workers who've picked up the slack from companies that have let other people go. Of those who participated in the survey, eighty six percent so they were planning to ask for a pay rise this year. I mean, you know, why not. It also found that seventy percent are professionals reported harder than ever to get that pay rise. Eighty six percent who said they would ask for a rise, they were asking, well, why are they doing it well? Thirty seven percent because they exceeded their performance goals. A third said should keep up with the cost of living. Not really good enough argument unless you're a union thirty two percent. Larger workload thirty one percent, so they've upskilled, twenty eight percent they wanted a promotional eleven percent they expect to rise every year. Ten percent they had to rise a long time ago, but it was already really really long time ago. Seven percent thought this salary was too low as it was so very tough for businesses out there, So what do we know? Forty six percent of workers who don't get their pay rise, so they will stick it out and maintain a good work ethic to show they deserve it. That's good. Thirty six percent say they'll ask for other benefits like more time offul flexible schedules, or remote working. Thirty percent say they're going to work harder to prove that they should get a pay rise. I'm going to work harder so I can get a pay rise next year. Thirty five percent say stuff you, I'm looking for a new job, and twenty eight percent say they would burst into tears and stamp their feet. So I might have made that last number up. So they decide for the life. I mean, I can't work out why they haven't done this before. So if you want to be a copy you got to go to PORI Rue. Not that that's the end of the world, but it's this one stop shop. Why not have it elsewhere around the country. I don't know where the major population is, like one and a half million, Auckland. So anyway, they're opening up a training facility in Auckland. We'll talk to the police Commissioner about this obvious the meltdown over the weekend in the war and where all this goes and what it all means and the feel good story of the weekend this Ryan Peete who won the New Zealand golf ope and if you don't know the backstory is it is absolutely brilliant. He's with us just eight o'clock as well.

00:30:15
Speaker 1: The only report you need to start your day on my casting breakfast with the range rover Alave designed to intrigue and use togs dead.

00:30:24
Speaker 2: Be only seven past seven. So Police hoping a new training facility in Auckland. Currently everyone of course spends twenty weeks at the college in pary Rue. The Police Commissioner Richard Chambers with us on this good Morning to you, Good morning to night. I can't work out why they didn't do this years ago. It makes perfect sense, doesn't it.

00:30:39
Speaker 19: Yeah, well it does, Mike. I mean we have been able to manage with the porri Uh College, but you know, we have got a huge, ambitious target of five hundred by the end of the year and we're working really hard. And what we realized with the Auckland facility is two things.

00:30:54
Speaker 16: Really.

00:30:54
Speaker 19: The first thing is that a bunch of people who want to join our organization, they want to be police officers, and going to the college for twenty weeks for a number of them is actually quite challenging. And the other reason is we want to increase capacity because right now we've got over three hundred troops at the college in porri Rua and we're full and that's fantastic. So we want to create a bit of extra capacity and so they.

00:31:16
Speaker 2: Will be able to stay at home if you're from Auckland and then go to the College of today. Is that how it works.

00:31:22
Speaker 19: Yeah, it's the option we're giving them. You know, we want the best of the best, so we don't want to miss out on anyone who can't come to the pariri Orua facility just because it's hard for them to leave home for twenty weeks. We want them to give them options. We want the best of the best, So we're happy that they go home in the evenings be with their families. So long as they train, they pass and they've become to the police officer.

00:31:44
Speaker 2: So I note over the weekend you're spreaking this, but we seem to be in this angsty debate. You've still got nine months to go or eight months or whatever it is to get to your five hundred. Are we getting a little tripped up on this? I mean, what you're doing and how you do it surely is more important than whether you get four ninety nine or five oh one or this has got politics written all over it, hasn't it.

00:32:03
Speaker 19: Well, Mike. The thing is that it's an ambitious target to have a five hundred extra police staff by the end of November this year, but I'm confident we will get there. We are working really, really hard, and it's not just about those that we're recruiting for the first time into New Zealand Police. I had the privilege just a couple of weeks ago being in Australia, book a moment to go and catch up with some of my former colleagues who are over there now, and was delighted when a number of them said to me, actually, what, you know what, I want to come home. I miss my country, I miss my home and I miss New Zealand Police. So whether it's new recruits coming into our organization or former music on police officers who want to come home, I'm open to all opportunities to make sure we hit that target by this.

00:32:47
Speaker 20: Yeah.

00:32:47
Speaker 2: Good. Every time we talk about this, I get a lot of texts on churn. Do you have high churn? And if you do, what's the reason behind it?

00:32:54
Speaker 5: Yeah, Mike.

00:32:55
Speaker 19: Look, comparatively Police has had a low attrician rates. I think at the moment our five point.

00:33:00
Speaker 5: Five percent, which is low.

00:33:02
Speaker 19: But we have had some spikes and attrition over the years.

00:33:05
Speaker 2: You know.

00:33:05
Speaker 19: Obviously there was the Australian Australians came over and took some of our people, which I wasn't particularly happy about, but you know, they want to come home. So we have had spikes such as that. We also had a small gap where we transition to twenty weeks training so we slowed down. So things go up and down, you know, depending on the market. But at the moment, look, we in the sixth month to the end of December last year, we had five thousand applications to join m Zealand Police. So we're having we're you know, we're in a very positive trijectory at the moment.

00:33:36
Speaker 2: Good stuff. Good to hear, Richard Jamis, Police Commissioner. It is ten minutes past seven past exit. The end of the spectrum turns out we love meth. These new figure show a monthly peak of thirty nine point two kilos recorded in October, which apparently as well a both historic averages Massive University drug researcher Chris Wilkins as well. This Chris, very good morning to you.

00:33:55
Speaker 21: Good morning.

00:33:56
Speaker 2: What does thirty nine kilos mean that? I mean, who's is that?

00:34:00
Speaker 1: Like?

00:34:00
Speaker 2: Thousands? Tens of thousands of people or hundreds of thousands of people? What's a mean?

00:34:05
Speaker 21: Yeah, it's tens of thousands of people. So a usable dose is usually zero point one grams, so thirty nine kilos is a lot, but I think if we just zoom out of it. So the figures for the last quarter was one hundred and eight percent higher than the previous four quarters, and the one before that was thirty one percent more than the last four quarters. So we're on a trajectory of massively increasing consumption and that's combined with declining prices significantly, So thirty six percent decline in the price of a gram of myth over the last five years. So we're really up against some really horrible numbers here.

00:34:44
Speaker 2: Do we know how this works? Are we on meth because we've dropped something else or we're on the something else, plus we're topping it up with a bit of myth.

00:34:54
Speaker 21: I would say this is a supply side effect. So essentially there's been a massive increase and stuaricized production of methampied I mean traditionally from Southeast Asia, but now increasingly from other parts of the world like South America and Mexico. And essentially what we're getting is so you know, the seizures have increased ten times in the last three or five years. So this is really supply, very cheap myth that can be easily manufactured at low price, and we're just getting swamped and myth.

00:35:26
Speaker 2: Essentially, I assume given you do wastewater testing, you can pinpoint the geography. Is that fair or is it everywhere up and down the country?

00:35:35
Speaker 21: I gather it's everywhere up the country. I mean there is regions where myth is particularly high. And one of these things, I think one of the really interesting things that came out of the wastewater testing is that we could see that the places we wouldn't expect a lot of myths, like rural areas and small towns, are actually some often some of the highest per capita in myth, and that's really a wake up call in terms of, you know, targeting local supply where you've got a blatant level of supply semi public and everyone knows what's going on, but there's just been no action.

00:36:10
Speaker 2: I find this really depressing, do you.

00:36:13
Speaker 21: Yeah? I think this is a real wake up call because and it's partly a technological driven thing that we've now got synthetic drugs like myth that can be produced on large scale at very low price. But also there's other changes in the market, like a digital market. You know, encrypted messaging apps, dark nets and social media have been used now in a drug market that's very different from what we might remember. What I remember is, you know, as the teenager, so you know, these are all things to keep her aware of.

00:36:43
Speaker 2: She's a Chris appreciate it. I don't remember the drug market. Cool.

00:36:48
Speaker 13: No, you know what they say, if you can remember it, you weren't part.

00:36:51
Speaker 2: Of It's thirteen past seven tasking. It's got third world vibes of this country, doesn't it. By the way, residential property investors are back. I told you this a couple of weeks ago, and we talked to one of the mortgage brokers, and he said, yeah, I'm not sure about it, but turns out I was right, borrowing almost twice as much as they did last year. One point two billion. This is the value of the bank's new mortgage lending to investors. This is between Jan. Twenty four and Jan twenty five. One point two billion.

00:37:18
Speaker 3: Is that a lot?

00:37:18
Speaker 2: Yes, it is only ever beaten back in twenty twenty one at one point six billion or twenty sixteen a one point three billion, So the investors are back. Fourteen past seven.

00:37:28
Speaker 1: The Mike Asking Breakfast Fall Show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by News Talks.

00:37:33
Speaker 2: At be Mike. So we can't hit our own kids lunch, but we can afford the method, says I. It's a frustrating business. Seventeen past seven. Another day at the office for the geniuses at where to workshop. This year they got three nominations for the Oscars, Alien Romulus, Better Man and Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes. Head of Video Effects, Matt Haigen as will as Matt, morning to you, Good morning mine. I remember doing interviews over many, many years and you guys every year get nominated. Does it become sort of run of the mill and something would be wrong if you didn't get nominated. Is that the sort of excellence you dabble in it Wetter these days?

00:38:07
Speaker 22: Oh no, we never take it for granted.

00:38:09
Speaker 5: It is.

00:38:10
Speaker 22: It is great getting this level of recognition. Three, you know, three of the films nominated for visual effects this year are projects that Wetter Effects worked on. You need to pick up one thing you said in the intro. There, mate, it's Wetter Effects Jackson's digital visual effects and animation company that we're celebrating today, not not wet A Workshop, which is Sir Richard Taylor's physical effects workshop.

00:38:35
Speaker 2: My confusingly, it is confusing that that that's that's on makes sell I apologize, but that the workload generally in the movie industry. How's how's it feeling at the moment.

00:38:45
Speaker 22: It's you know, it's challenging times. People are going to the cinema less there. The Hollywood strikes had a real impact on our business. We feel that we are digging a way out of that. There's more films going into production, but in our particular area where we never can take it easy. That there there are always headwinds and so to you know, to have an opportunity to celebrate the way we do today is a really is a really great opportunity.

00:39:17
Speaker 2: Where are we at tech wise? Is it evolutionary or revolutionary in terms of advance I think it's gone.

00:39:24
Speaker 22: From being revolutionary to being evolutionary. I think we're we're consolidating as an industry. We You know, when I first started at Whether Effects thirty years ago, we had nice here what we were doing. We were making it up as we went along. We were getting a project that had like King Kong, a giant, hairy gorilla, and then we were writing the software to do the as we went But but these days it's more about adding finesse, adding quality. You know, we we have a very established pipeline now for this kind of work, and we just have our great technology and research department adding fines and adding quality with the work that they do for us in that space.

00:40:07
Speaker 2: Absolutely fantastic. Will go well to today. We wish you all the very best. Matt Aichen, who is the head of Video Effects that we're to FX three nominations today. Mike McLachlan Armstrong running one into it's the PETZ. Yeah, it's early days. I don't want to confuse everybody, but it's McLaughlin, Armstrong and Dixon. Of course all three. New Zealand is a right up opening race in the indie season. McLachlin got poll. The reason I don't want to confuse you is there's petting. A lot of petting goes on in these races.

00:40:33
Speaker 23: Pretty much got through the first round of it, though, and it's still McLaughlin and Armstrong one and two, and Dixon's coming out of the pets.

00:40:40
Speaker 2: A ninth fantastic if Armstrong gets. If Armstrong's on the podium, that in many respects is the biggest story than McLachlin winning. We want McLaughlin to win, obviously, but Armstrong's Armstrong could well be a story. Not as good a story, probably as Ryan Peak. I happened to see it yesterday. It's brilliant. This is the golf we speak of, and he's with us. Just four seven.

00:41:03
Speaker 1: The Mic Hosking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by NEWSTALKZEV.

00:41:11
Speaker 2: Now, if you're looking for a simple three step bundle that saves your hold lotted dough and addresses common ailments associated with aging, then we've got the Golden Trio Bundle. This is from about health of course the Golden Trio Bundle. Since it's launched last week, not surprisingly, it's flying out the door, most likely because it includes the top three selling supplements everyone's into. Lister's Oil, Advanced RESV, Ultimate Element twelve magnesium supports the energy, the joints, the mood, the sleep and more. Now, the bundle saves your money when purchased outright, but the greatest savings are when you jump on that subscription that'll save you up to one hundred and ten bucks. You call about Health thereon eight hundred triple nine three are nine, ask the team about the best option available for you. Plus you use that code breakfast and they're going to send you a one month supply of Lister's Nightcap that's value at forty nine ninety five for goodness sake, and that supports the deep slip. So eight hundred triple nine three or nine online at about health dot co dot nz. Read the label to conys directed. Not all supplements, of course, it created equal, so you choose the best of the best. This is the Golden Trio Bundle from About Health Oski seven twenty three lessons and morals for you this Monday morning, So Sarah Fitt in Battle CEO at far Meat quit on Friday, note the day Friday was hopefully always coming. Her reputation was unrecoverable after the lecon communications around Rachel Smaller. You might remember in the campaign she was running at the time. The language and those emails, really I meant, the haughty tone, the arrogance all gave Fit away. And then came a new government, a new board chair, and of course the menopause patch disaster. So basically it's a troubled organization run by a woman who had to go. So it's all worked out. But then, but then Caleb Clark all black. So last week we asked what it takes to be sacked as in all black. Andrew Bailey politician doesn't come close to breaking anything far less law, but two odd incidents do women because of expectations around behavior. Fit was damaged because of her behavior. Since the Clark story last week, our knowledge of events has gone from speeding and failing to stop for the police too, the revelation he was doing one hundred and twenty in a fifty k zone, he ran a red light, he had the helicopter chasing him. This is all new news. They pinged him at eighty, he's sped up to one hundred and twenty. He's on his bike. He's pled guilty, as lawyer wants to discharge without conviction. If we accept, and I only do so reluctantly, by the way, But if we accept that profile comes with expectations beyond your specific pursuit that led to the profile in the first place.

00:43:30
Speaker 3: I e.

00:43:30
Speaker 2: Rugby player, but also community leader, politician answerable to the public, CEO, running public money, all that sort of stuff. What's the trigger for cancelation of contract once the court has dealt with you? If laws have been broken in this specific case, if evading police is not sackable, what exactly, as an all black would you have to do to lose you John? Now, don't get me wrong, I don't actually personally want Clark sacked. I'm not out to get him or anything. But I also feel sorry for Bailey. Even though I myself have high standards and expectations of people, I still feel sorry for Bailey fit. I won't miss I found her treatment in those emails most distasteful and spoke volumes about it. But surely Clark is serious running from the cops and in a dangerous fashion, is flat out at crime. So if he survives, does he survive because all blacks are untouchable or because that sort of crime is no longer that big a deal? Asking now, I was under the understanding the emergency summit was for Europeans, but obviously justin I'm about to leave the building any day now, Trudeau, he decides to turn up anyway, is he with Ukraine?

00:44:30
Speaker 20: We're going to continue to be there to support Ukraine as necessary, with whatever it takes, for as long as it takes, because Ukraine is not just defending its own territories, defending the very principles and values that underpin all of our democracies.

00:44:46
Speaker 3: So as we look at what's.

00:44:48
Speaker 20: Going to be necessary in the coming years, I can assure you that Canada and Canadians will be there.

00:44:53
Speaker 2: I will be asking lux and tomorrow because we stand with Ukraine as well. I think we all stand with Ukraine. But at some point you've got to come to the real reality that if you think you stand with Ukraine with the idea that you drive Russia back out of the bit of Ukraine they grabbed in the early days, you're dreaming, because how long do you want that water go for and how much is that going to cost and how many people are going to have to die before you inevitably get dragged to the conclusion that it is not happening. Now you can be doubtful as to what Trump wants. There are no concessions, as we've already heard this morning apparently from Russia, none whatsoever. So maybe ultimately this thing goes nowhere. But this is a stalemate, a big, fat, ugly meat grinding stalemate, and just giving more and more loaned money to Ukraine is heading nowhere good anyway. We'll talk to Luction about this in the program tomorrow Meantime News This.

00:45:45
Speaker 1: Next New Zealand's voice of reason is Mike the Mic asking breakfast with Bailey's real estate finding the buyers others can't use togs headb.

00:45:56
Speaker 2: The One Pig Story New Zealand Open yesterday, Milbrook and once you reminded, which is what a beautiful country we have when you look at places like Middlebrook being being down to the world, but history is fantastic. He's with us before right commentary box at Toss Andrews Evil Jason Tyne after eight Meantime twenty three minutes away from mate. So where does the war go after the White House melt down? We have an emergency summit in London over died. Of course, Zelensky has met Starma, also met the King, got plenty of encouraging words of support, but words don't win wars, and that's where the Americans fit. And from the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Senior advisor Mark Kensians with US. Mark, very good morning to you.

00:46:31
Speaker 16: Thanks for having me on the show.

00:46:32
Speaker 2: Not at all. Did you see it unfold live in the White House on Saturday?

00:46:37
Speaker 16: I did. It was incredible and appalling.

00:46:41
Speaker 24: From whose point of view, well, I think from most observers. And this was a very uncomfortable exchange. Zelensky was trying to explain himself.

00:46:57
Speaker 16: He was cut off. These kinds of exchanges I think are not uncommon in diplomacy, but they're done behind closed doors, not in front of the press.

00:47:09
Speaker 2: That is true. Do you have a view as to whether jd. Vance was there as an attack dog to set that off or not?

00:47:16
Speaker 16: One certainly gets that ceiling. Of course, there's been a lot of speculation about whether that was true. He did seem ready to be harshly critical and jumped very quickly on Zelensky. So my personal suspicion as he came in ready to be hostile, but hard to say for sure.

00:47:37
Speaker 2: Mark Route, who said out of the weekend, as Zelensky's got to repair the damage with Trump, do you see a way back to get America back at the table in some way, shape or form or not.

00:47:49
Speaker 16: That's very hard to say. This meeting was very disappointing, and the administration has been very skeptical about aid to Ukraine. They become increasingly hostile to Ukraine, saying uh, you know, a variety of unfavorable things, and of course uh saying favorable things about Russia and Putin.

00:48:14
Speaker 12: Uh.

00:48:15
Speaker 16: I think there's going to be a lot of effort to repair the relationship. I think you'll see the Europeans and others weighing in. I think that Zelensky will uh uh eat a little crow to use an American expression, I mean he will apologize and uh, you know, try to offer some you know, some you know, something to make the Americans or make the White House feel better. Maybe sign this trade agreement, uh, this mining agreement. I'm sure we'll see something, uh to try to repair the relationship. In an extreme situation, you know, maybe Zelensky would would stand down. I don't see that happening, but they were clearly pushing for that.

00:49:05
Speaker 2: The logic seems to be as regards the minerals, once we sign up, the Americans are on the ground. Any why they're looking after their interests. That's the security guarantee of sorts. Is that the way you see it or not?

00:49:19
Speaker 16: Well, it's a partial security guarantee. It does bring the two countries more close together. It puts American capital at risk. It brings Americans into Ukraine as part of these exchanges. But it's not in itself enough. It would have to be complemented by some sort of weapons deals to re arm the Ukrainians, perhaps for some peacekeeping force or something like that. But it is a peace and Zelenski's desires for natal membership I think are just not going to happen. The United States would oppose it. I think many of the Europeans are uncom sabot with it.

00:50:00
Speaker 23: Also.

00:50:01
Speaker 2: Also, then you get Russia itself, and I just had a meeting with Putin. The Americans had a meeting with Putin. And the suggestion is there's not a single thing that a mirror that Russia is prepared to back down on in any way, shape or form. Is that ultimately a sticking point.

00:50:16
Speaker 16: Well, it certainly could be. A lot depends on the negotiators negotiations themselves. I think that they'll, you know, they're going to push for some sort of cease fire along the current front lines. One of the negotiators Trump negotiators put out an article a while ago suggesting that, I mean, the Russians would have to back off their desire to take over the whole country, uh, to neutralize it. You know, right now, there's not a whole lot of overlap between the two sides. But on the other hand, they're also very exhausted, and Trump will be pushing both.

00:51:00
Speaker 2: Of them very horrid exactly. Make appreciate your expertise very much. Marke Knton, who's the senior advisor at the Center for Strategic International Studies in Washington, d C. Eighteen minutes away from eight pask I kind of mentioned it before, but back to the oscars and wetter EFX and all that's going on, We've got the goodie bag today. So it's particularly unusual goodie bag to me. Normally it's you look at stuff and you go, oh my god, that's quite good. Anyway, this year they claim it can be up to a couple of hundred thousand dollars of approximate value for the goodie bag. This is for the Oscar nominees. You've got a two hundred and forty dollars cutting board from John Boose though I've never heard of reversible design, edge grain construction, and generous thickness. Two hundred and forty dollars.

00:51:38
Speaker 13: Cut So what's it made out of?

00:51:40
Speaker 2: Don't know. It doesn't say no, it doesn't say rubber wood. Let's say it's a rubber wood board just for you.

00:51:46
Speaker 23: Go rubberwood over bamboo.

00:51:47
Speaker 2: Yeah, probably, but turn and forty dollars. I mean, you've got you're an Oscar nominee and they're giving you a chopping board.

00:51:54
Speaker 13: Sam's waving his hands around like.

00:51:55
Speaker 2: Sam, Sam's got that's an interesting Sam's got a two hundred and forty dollar chopping board. But it is never dining table. Yeah, it's incredible. Eye luxury pocket squares from Daniel Ashley, value at fifteen hundred and seventy I don't know. That's a lot of pocket squares. Worth fifteen hundred and seventy dollars or just one pocket square worth a fortune fifty two hundred dollars stay at Barcelona's five star Cotton House Hotel. I'm sure that's very nice. Then there's a twenty five thousand dollars I don't know where they get the value from twenty five thousand dollars prize, in which a genealogist builds your family tree back for several.

00:52:27
Speaker 13: Generations until they find something interesting.

00:52:30
Speaker 2: Sure, three hundred and five dollars skin care products boring?

00:52:35
Speaker 13: They that seems low compared to.

00:52:37
Speaker 2: Precisely three and a half thousand dollars virtual wellness retreat from a three d wellness retreat. Wow, I don't really think it's worth getting nominated for the Oscars to be Frank seventeen away.

00:52:50
Speaker 1: From eight, the Mic Hosking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio powerd By News.

00:52:57
Speaker 3: Talks it be.

00:53:01
Speaker 2: Once again we go back to the Indy Cars. McLaughlin. He's not leading, but given all things and the number of pit stops, etc. He should win unless something goes wrong. He's had his final what should be his final pit stop, and he should be able to go to the end, he's currently fifth. It will evolve in a way that hopefully he wins, and if he doesn't win, Dixon might win. But Armstrong hasn't gone well. He's out, so that's unfortunately. He had a problem with his car, which is back. Can I just while I'm on this business, I mentioned briefly the F one testing which came to an end in Bahrain on Friday our time. I'm always interested. Tremendous a good feedback from red Bull. Internally. I know they love Lawson. He's embedded in the side brilliantly. He's giving the engineers in particular, fantastic feedback. They felt really good about what was going on. But a piece I read over the weekend from an international observer they're worried about him. In fact, will Lawson see out the sea, isn't it? Red Bull? Was the question? And they go back to the Carlos Science thing and said, why wouldn't they have taken Carlos Science he was available? Why wouldn't they have promoted Yuki Snowd who's got vastly more experienced. There seems to be a real body of thought, and I just worry that where patriarch a little bit patriotic in it. In other words, oh, Lawson, we love him, fantastic, He's going to be amazing, all that sort of stuff. Whereas you know, people who have no vested interest whatsoever have a look at this and go what they're expecting of them is nigh on impossible, in other words, to keep up with Verstapan And the general commentary from testing was that when Verstappin got in the car, he was faster. There was no question he was faster, and Red Bull were genuinely competitive when Verstapn was in the car. He was there all of day three. Lawson was there all of day two. Lawson was fine. There was nothing wrong with Lawson, but he didn't set the world on fire. Ultimately, he never and this is their observation, not mine, he never looked as comfortable as Forstappen behind the wheel, that's not so rising. He hasn't got the experience of his staff in of course throughout the early part of the season. That should continue. They think the bottom line forum will be how we're shaping up after eight or nine rounds. It would be an achievement. Brackets and a surprise. If he is in place at the end of the season, so that is a bit of a reality check. So we watch and wait with the Great Delements. But as we said earlier, it's just a couple of days until Drive to Survive drops and then we're off to Melbourne and Marshall. In the latter part of March eleven.

00:55:30
Speaker 1: Away from eight the make Asking Breakfast with the range Rover Villa News togs had been I'm.

00:55:36
Speaker 2: Very disappointed because Ryan Peak was going to be on the program. But Ryan obviously went out and had a big night last night and his phones off and no one can get hold of him, so that's disappointed. Was not disappointing for him, He's probably having the time of his life, but disappointing for me because I wanted to congratulate him and I have I only I just happened to. Here are a couple of things I was watching over the weekend. It was sort of an in and out kind of thing because I had other stuff on. Obviously, the Warriors, what crap, I mean, what an unadulterated, inexcusable crap that was. It's nothing wrong. I defended them many times over the years in terms of an exciting game. Sometimes they were a bit slow to start, they make a bit of a comeback, could go either way, two or three points in the end, you go, oh, well, you know, it's not the end of the world, etc. They weren't competitive, they didn't look like they wanted to be there. Even if they did want to be there, they didn't look like they knew how to play the game. The whole thing was just a complete and otter waste of time. And I can tell you for nothing, if I was one of the thousands of New Zealanders sucked in good who paid money to go over there and watch that, I would be deeply, deeply disappointed in what happened there, and lord knows what it means for the rest of the season. Then I happened to pass through the lounges. The Auckland football was on and we were three one up, and I thought, that's good, another good win, fantastic. I come back. I don't know what it was, maybe fifteen minutes last three all I'm going, what the hell happened there? Obviously a couple of penalties what happened there, and there's some sort of consternation over whether they were proper penalties. But be that as it may. So then suddenly it's three all. I thought, well, this is rubbish, and so I sit down and I'm sort of gripped at this point, and then we score, so it's four three. I think, well, that's the end of that, because you've got next to no time left until of course, and this is my problem with football. I've got two problems with football. Football are problem number one, No one ever scores can't say that this weekend at four all. Problem number two. They suddenly go and invent time on at the end, and so they're adding nine minutes. I've never heard of nine minutes being added on, but anyway, they added nine on and sure enough the other side goes and score, so suddenly.

00:57:25
Speaker 8: It's four all.

00:57:26
Speaker 2: So that's where a drawer is a loss, because there is no excuse for Auckland getting that draw. They should have won and won easily. Then I come to the golf and this is coming to fruition because you get to the last hold. So just to explain, because this is important, this guy Peek is out of jail. He's a former bikey. He's taken up golf, was a very good junior player and took up golf once he came out of prison, and so he has and his caddies coming down. There's a massive tie, four or five way tie. They're all on twenty two under, and so on the seven tenth, which is a par five, he's got a big drive, puts it on the green, puts down, so he's birding, tap in for birdie. So he goes onto the final hole with a one shot lead. This is a life changing situation for him. Three hundred and thirty five thousand dollars first prize money. He's never seen three hundred and thirty five thousand dollars in his life. This is literally going to change his career. He's talking to his caddy. He's talking too much to his caddy. He's got his notebook out, and his caddy's got his notebook out. In every shot, they're talking about it, re talking about it, changing their mind, talking about it again. So you've got this. The nerves are building, The nerves are building, the nerves are building. You come to the eighteenth hole, last holds a past three hundred and fifty something meters. In the first three rounds, he's landed the ball on the green every time, talking to the caddy, talking to the caddy, Caddy talking to him, caddy talking to him, and him talking to the caddy. You think he's too nervous. Do you pull a seventy, you pull an eight? I think he pulled an eate anyway, because he's a left. He dragged it and he dragged it off to the site. Didn't put it on the dance floor. He put it off to the right of the green. So he's off. He's got a chip. Not the end of the world. He's pin high, but he's got a chip. So he goes to chip, talks to the caddy. Catty talks to himself, far too much talking, going oga, mate, you're too nervous, You're too nervous. So he chips. He leaves it short. I reckon fifteen feet. So if he gets the put, he wins. If he misses, he's in a four or five way tie. If he's in a four or five way tie, he would have got eaten up because he would have cracked mentally. I'm absolutely convinced he would have cracked mentally and he would have lost. No change of life scenario for him. Fifteen foot put, he's over it, drains it, and he explodes and it's at that moment that you love sport because you can see his life changing. He realizes his life's changing. He's won it, he's held it together, he's sunk it, and he doesn't have to go to a playoff. Greatest moment of sport for the whole weekend. And I could have worked all of that through with him, just the way I did there, except he wasn't here because he went out and got pissed. So anyway, that's the way it goes. But we will talk some more sport with Andrew and Jason after the news, which is mixed. He reduced talks head be.

01:00:06
Speaker 5: One of the net.

01:00:12
Speaker 1: Mike Hosking was insightful, engaging and idle the Mic Hosking breakfast with a Vita, retirement, communities, life your Way, news talks, head Beams.

01:00:24
Speaker 7: Sprung Room. It is no wrong, no wrong, Come times the honers hang on one twenty nine in.

01:00:35
Speaker 1: A Froner ends on Brillan Brown went for the tackle, missed the tackle, picked the.

01:00:40
Speaker 13: Ball up and scores forty nine points to thirty four.

01:00:45
Speaker 9: The referee said we've had enough.

01:00:46
Speaker 25: The Blues will take the points here.

01:00:48
Speaker 10: They have beaten the home side by thirty three points to twenty nine.

01:00:52
Speaker 25: You cannot write scrips like this one. They would be found betting. You have been too far fe all ONDFC four and l United four.

01:01:04
Speaker 5: They have come here with a mission and they have run over the Warriors thirty points to eight.

01:01:13
Speaker 13: Then that's it.

01:01:15
Speaker 1: We just playing another wrong line to the other far too clever forehead, let me pray.

01:01:21
Speaker 3: That is it for New Zealand, India. Who's got top of the table.

01:01:24
Speaker 1: The Monday Morning commentary barks on the Mike Husking breakfast with Spears Finance, supporting Kiwi businesses with finance solutions for over fifty years.

01:01:32
Speaker 2: We got eleven laps to go at Saint Petersburg and Florida and McLachlan unfortunately is fourth and as far as I can work out, all the pit stops have done so. Pllow's leading New Garden, followed by Dixon, followed by McLaughlin, followed by Kirkwood anyway, andrew sables with us along with Jason Paine. Good morning Fellas, Good morning, Michael word As, Ryan peaked. Did either of you see the golf yesterday?

01:01:57
Speaker 16: Yeah?

01:01:57
Speaker 2: I saw it, yep, very very exciting. That final part the nerves were there anyway. The interesting thing he was due on the program about fifteen minutes ago. Not only didn't the answer his phone, but I am led to believe by sources on the ground in that part of the world, they can't actually physically find them. Oh, deare he's missing. They're knocking on doors and they think, where's where's Ryan gone?

01:02:22
Speaker 3: Well, well, if I.

01:02:23
Speaker 25: Shot, if I shot twenty three under or whatever it was, I'd probably go missing for a while too.

01:02:28
Speaker 26: You're and he's got it, and he's got a colorful backstory, obviously, hasn't it.

01:02:32
Speaker 2: He's got a great backstory. I mean that that's part of what sort of I mean three hundred and thirty five thousand. You come out of jail and you're taking up golf again and you're sort of, you know, battling away on the tour, and you get to check the three hundred and thirty five thousand, even if it is New Zealand dollars, it is still that's that's that's that's the year done for you, isn't it. You can relax.

01:02:49
Speaker 26: He was obviously he was obviously a talented junior. Yeahs like he he matched guys like Cam Smurth and others around that era, and then then got on the wrong side of the tracks.

01:03:01
Speaker 9: But he's come back. It's a fantastic story.

01:03:04
Speaker 2: That's the good news story, isn't it. Those are the redemption stories you want to hear more of, Jason, just quickly. Both those penalties.

01:03:10
Speaker 26: So although not long, not long, being out of sing sing with three hundred grand in Queenstown, you're probably going to light it up.

01:03:17
Speaker 9: Aren't you.

01:03:19
Speaker 2: Apparently somebody said he was going to have a quiet night in but I think we can all conclude that that probably didn't happen.

01:03:25
Speaker 26: Don't want to cast aspersions, but you know, celebrations, why.

01:03:29
Speaker 2: Not exactly, Jason. The two penalties fair call or not.

01:03:34
Speaker 25: I thought the first one was a penalty. Steve Corriker vehemently disagreed with me when I put that to him afterwards. The second one, I think is probably more contentious either way. When you're four to three up with only a couple of minutes to go on that lead, they'll be more disappointed that they let one and right at the end. So yeah, there's a bit of conversation we had. I thought the first one was a pen the second one more controversial.

01:04:00
Speaker 2: That that's a draw, that's really a loss? Is that fair?

01:04:03
Speaker 16: Yeah?

01:04:03
Speaker 25: They year one up and four to three ahead. Yeah, that's two points dropped.

01:04:08
Speaker 3: You know.

01:04:08
Speaker 25: Carlvett Adelaide coach much happier afterwards that he escaped with a point. Great rivalry. These two are building though, you know, a two all drawer and a four all drawer with late goals plenty of drama. Auckland FC continue to deliver best place to be on a Saturday afternoon.

01:04:22
Speaker 26: I mean it's a little constellation Mike could imagine to the manager and the players. But gee, whiz, you get your money's worth when you go there, whether draw or win a loss. You know, it's it's like it's it's entertainment full stop.

01:04:34
Speaker 2: Exactly. Do you see anything in the rugby andrew that that let you up over the weekend? Would you like there?

01:04:41
Speaker 13: Yeah?

01:04:41
Speaker 9: I did a couple of close finishes.

01:04:44
Speaker 8: I was.

01:04:46
Speaker 9: Riveted by Mowana haynand Is Frady.

01:04:48
Speaker 26: I I thought Mowana might come back, and when the artist Sava was just playing on another planet.

01:04:52
Speaker 9: He's been an outstanding for him the first few weeks.

01:04:54
Speaker 2: Are they going to win any this year?

01:04:56
Speaker 26: I think they will I think they were the only problem for Stavia is that he keeps playing the way he is, possibly run out of gas before the All Black season starts. He is just laying everything on the line for his new team, which is fantastic to see. Not surprising are the Blues Hurricanes, good finish, There a couple of cards.

01:05:15
Speaker 9: I'm sure we hear more about the red card, the hoskinstitute.

01:05:17
Speaker 26: And then I thoroughly enjoyed the Chiefs Brumbies game in the sun and Hamilton on Saturday afternoon.

01:05:22
Speaker 9: A couple of guys.

01:05:23
Speaker 26: Really standing out there, including Quinn Tupia, who surely if he keeps playing the way he is, we'll get an All Blacks record. Concern for Damien McKenzie hobbling off, but I thought again might the rugby. There were some close finishes, There was a lot of tries, a lot of entertainment, good stuff.

01:05:39
Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, did you.

01:05:42
Speaker 9: Jason?

01:05:42
Speaker 2: I don't know what to do about the Warriors. I mean, it's only the opening game, But.

01:05:46
Speaker 9: First of all, can I just make a statement year? I don't know if it's your mob's year this year?

01:05:51
Speaker 2: From what I saw, well, I can't. I can't counter argue with that given what I saw. I mean, there was nothing there that indicated they might be coming to lie will be aware the season started or anything other than. But the thing is, Jason, the crowd weren't there again, So last year they didn't turn up. They didn't turn up this year. If you can't sell in the size of America a sixty five thousand seat stadium out, don't worry about it.

01:06:15
Speaker 9: Yep.

01:06:16
Speaker 25: Yeah, Look, very few positives from the warrior's point of view. I'll add to that because so many mistackles, not very much on attack even when they were, you know, thirteen v. Twelve the end, just the one try and by that stage the game's gone. On the crowd year, I think you're right. I think there's so much positivity coming out of the clubs that go the NRL, the fans who were there, all that sort of thing. But you're right, you know it's a five year thing, isn't it. So three more years of this it's an increase on last year, I think from in terms of crowd turning up. Whether it's a slow burn, I don't know. I still think there'll be NRL clubs putting their hands up to be part of this, I really do. They'll want to go, They'll want to give their players the experience. Whether the Warriors were a bit overawed by it all, occasion got to them. I don't know, ten days to lick their wounds and back to back home games. They've got to, you know, they got to turn it around. Worst ever first round loss.

01:07:08
Speaker 2: Yeah, unforgivable. More in a moment andry several Jason Pine thirteen past.

01:07:13
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01:07:18
Speaker 5: It'd be.

01:07:21
Speaker 2: Sixteen past eight.

01:07:23
Speaker 1: The Monday morning commentary barks on the Mic Hosking Breakfast with Spears Finance, supporting Kiwi businesses with finance solutions for over fifty years.

01:07:32
Speaker 2: Allow new Garden, Dixon, McLaughlin, Kirkwood. They will run into some back markers before they finished three laps to go, and that may change things. But at the end of the day, it's not worked out for McLaughlin the way perhaps you might have thought it was going to do. At the very best start, they haven't got.

01:07:47
Speaker 9: The pay Mike.

01:07:47
Speaker 26: Can I go back to this Vegas thing? Look, from what I could see, the top two tiers of that venue were empty.

01:07:52
Speaker 2: Yeah, there were not a great look.

01:07:54
Speaker 26: There'd be the odds scattering of locals and triggued locals, but pretty much all of the crab were to groups from New Zealand in the UK, a huge.

01:08:02
Speaker 2: Number of New Zealanders and poems and a few ex pats and that's about.

01:08:05
Speaker 26: The NRL's got a lot of money to burn, right, They've got a huge marketing budget, they've got a war chest, so good on them for holding exhibitions the year. But if they think, like rugby Union, if they ever think their game is going to take off in America, they are dream and give up. It's a waste of time and a waste of money. Tell you what's vision, good trip for the lads to go on, but really long term, if they think they're going to gain a foothold in the American market with their sport, they are absolutely dream.

01:08:32
Speaker 2: I think that's true. And as we said last week Jason with Webster, it's it's like do you really want to go or is it really a distraction? I mean, if you're looking to put a feet at start of the season, it's like you want to get on the home ground and win a game, don't you point some more important traveling off halfway around the world and dealing with a time zowner and a different sized field.

01:08:50
Speaker 16: Yeah.

01:08:50
Speaker 25: Who was asked that as well, Webster and he said, look, I'm not going to warn any other NRL coach office. You know, it's it's still an experience that we're glad we had that. Yeah, I think it is private moments. It'd say, you know what, I'd rather prepare for the start of the season back home, you know, our home game, or at the very least a trip across the Tasman. You know, you can't look at it and say, okay, there's Vegas, then this a regular season because it's two points dropped. So yeah, I don't know whether they'll I don't know whether they'll be putting their hand up to go again. Other teams I'm sure will and to give their fans that experience that is a big tick.

01:09:21
Speaker 3: Where does and Mike?

01:09:22
Speaker 26: Later this year, the All Blacks will play Ireland in Chicago, right, and that'll probably sell out as it has done in the past because of the expats and the intrigue of the All Blacks. But and they'll make some money good on them. But if they think they're fostering rugby, or they'll be some pr back. Oh my god, time if they think all of a sudden rugby and.

01:09:43
Speaker 2: Is going to take after one hundred years at one Never I happened to watch. I didn't realize, but sky are running at the moment. Seemingly they had several channels running the American rugby. Did you see that yesterday?

01:09:54
Speaker 9: I've seen a little bit of it.

01:09:55
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's no one there.

01:09:57
Speaker 9: No, it's like they're playing in a ye yep.

01:10:02
Speaker 2: It's like, what why are they showing that? What's the point? Would they have got that for nothing or something?

01:10:07
Speaker 9: Probably, I'd say, But it was literally like going.

01:10:10
Speaker 2: Down to the park and you had I was watching was I watching Washington playing I don't know, call it San Diego? And it was literally like being there on a Saturday morning with few appearents.

01:10:19
Speaker 13: There was thin.

01:10:20
Speaker 26: I watched one game and there was a man walking past with his dog and thought I would stop and have a look at this.

01:10:25
Speaker 2: Yeah, anyway, it's pickleball is popular, but rugby and America unfortunately where where by the way, what what happens with Whiteatta? With Clayton McMillan going, who replaces him? In two. What does Warren Gatland? Does he got a job? Gone?

01:10:48
Speaker 9: I'll pick up Mike.

01:10:51
Speaker 2: Just sorry to interrupt, Jason. The old man's muted himself again. It's unbelievable. He's got the phone in his big fat cheek hits the mute button.

01:11:00
Speaker 9: So I keep forgetting. As they get older, Mike, your ears get bigger, right, it's.

01:11:08
Speaker 2: Just with the sorry, Jason, what were you going to say?

01:11:13
Speaker 25: No, say I have camp bick up. I think that's a big loss.

01:11:16
Speaker 9: But I think it's a messive lost for for the Chiefs and New Zealand Rugby. Clayton McMillan's an outstanding coach.

01:11:21
Speaker 26: I think they'll I think they'll elevate from within, someone like Ross Filippo or or John O Gibbs.

01:11:27
Speaker 2: Mate Dixon got second, by the way, plow one Dixon got second. So that's not a bad opening. Gatland. Does Gatland get a job? What happens there?

01:11:35
Speaker 16: What do you just?

01:11:37
Speaker 9: I don't know. I don't think he what do you want to fist again? I don't think he needs one.

01:11:41
Speaker 5: I don't know.

01:11:42
Speaker 9: The slime off retired of Whay.

01:11:44
Speaker 2: He got a nice place at why he yep? Sit there at the beach. Mind you, when you sit there at the beach, you get a bit bored after a while, don't you. I mean, it's all very well going. Oh I can't wait to get to the beach, but once you get to the beach, you get bored. Look at what happened to Wayne Smith. He's probably at the same beach, remember him. He retired and he went to the beach. As soon as he got the beach, came back.

01:12:00
Speaker 9: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yep. Hey what about Liol Lawson?

01:12:03
Speaker 26: Do you think he do you think if he didn't already realizes you know, this is it. This is the big time. The pressure, pressure, pressure.

01:12:10
Speaker 2: Tell you what I got out of the testing, and I watched most of it. Red Bull are not what they were, and so you've got a twofold problem. One they're not dominant. Two they may not even be there or thereabouts. And if they're not, then that's added pressure on top of Lawson who's already got pressure by trying to keep up with the staff, and he'll pack a monumental sadder. He's not winning every week, and so it could be a really tense old time. And what I did noticed with interest is all the observers from the outside looking in. In other words, they don't have any patriotic interest in Liam. They have big question marks as to whether they can make the step. It's a massive expectation on him, and they're not convinced he can necessarily do it, which you know.

01:12:51
Speaker 9: So he'll have to be near him in qualifying and malt three three tenths.

01:12:57
Speaker 2: Marco wants him within three tenths each in time.

01:13:00
Speaker 5: Wow.

01:13:01
Speaker 2: Yeah, so that's a that's a massive, massive call. So you can just imagine. But you know, you only asked for the opportunity, Jason, as you well known, he's.

01:13:10
Speaker 26: There exactly, Jason and likewise has been given the opportunity to talk to us every Monday morning.

01:13:15
Speaker 2: Exactly.

01:13:16
Speaker 9: The pressure's on him, exactly. I could get with him.

01:13:18
Speaker 25: If I could get with him three tenths of a second of you boys, I'll be happy. Lydia Coe absolutely fantastic.

01:13:25
Speaker 2: Wasn't that fantastic? She keeps on keeping on. I'm so it seems to me that once she did that, that's that winning leads to winning thing that once you start winning, you can't stop winning.

01:13:33
Speaker 25: Yeah, anyone, And I mean and she was going to retire wasn't she exactly exactly, just carry on.

01:13:38
Speaker 2: She was going to go to the beach with Wayne and you know all the others. It's just it's no point. Nice to see you guys, Jason Py and Andrew Seville. You can mute yourself now. Sef eight twenty three The.

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01:15:12
Speaker 3: News opinion and everything in between.

01:15:15
Speaker 1: The Mike Hosking break best with the range Rover Villa designed to intrigue and use talks.

01:15:21
Speaker 2: Dead B quick currency matters for you. There's a guy called Kendrick. He's the head of digital assets at Standard charted. He thinks bitcoin this year is going to go to two hundred thousand before it climbs to five hundred thousand, So take that and do with it what you will. More than six hundred tons, which is twenty million ounces of gold, has been transported into the balts of New York City since December last year. America is sucking up gold like there is no tomorrow threat of tariff's on gold, so they want to get in the early and so supply chains have been disrupted because of this huge sucking sound which has been the United States important gold ahead of the potential tariffs. They moved it to the Commodities Exchange Center and other vaults in New York, otherwise usually stored in London. So all the goals leaving London going to New York. And if you're not into the gold, then you're into the crypto, which is going to five hundred apparently twenty three minutes away from nine.

01:16:16
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01:16:21
Speaker 2: See Brighton Willison Australian morning mate good ad. Can we assume that given he didn't go to Canberra and the gg's office over the weekend that this April five and twelve might not be right or he's still got time to do it.

01:16:34
Speaker 5: I think you'll go Sunday, and I think it'll be April twelve. Now I could be horrifically wrong, but everything's pointing to that, and we're talking a moment about the interview here and his partner Jodi did on sixty minutes last night. That would be one indicator for me that that's going to happen. There's a whole lot of things being lined up, including that mass citizenship ceremonies that went nationwide with Tony Burke last week. All of these things point to an election in April. There's also going to be an economic statement, probably delivered this week, and that would mean there's no budget now. A budget, if we were to have one, was due to be handed down in three weeks time. So I think it'll be in April election this time next week. I could be proven to be wrong, but I doubt it.

01:17:19
Speaker 2: Okay, So he also announces over the weekend a couple of hundred million dollars worth of this excise tax on draft beer. Do people not see that they are being played?

01:17:29
Speaker 5: Probably? But if you go to the pub and the beer is cheaper then, and it's our bost decision to make it that happen. Then, you know, for a lot of people, that's reason enough to vote Labor back in. I mean, you know, you and I analyze politics within an inch of his life, but most people don't do that. They go, Okay, well, my schooner this weekend is fifty cents cheaper than it was last weekend, so good on. He's in real trouble in Victoria though. There was a red Bridge pole published in the Sunday Papers yesterday showing that there's been an eight point four percent party preferred swing to the Liberals. That would if it turned out that way across Victoria, would mean eight seats alone in the state of Victoria would go to Labor. Now, that would put Peter Dutton a long way down the road to a job in the lodge, because he's only going to win between sixteen and eighteen seats and he could actually govern in his own right. So if he picks up eight and Victoria, that's a huge boost for him. It shows also the opposition leader. Dutton's popularity is way ahead of Anthony alberanezis so these poles are going to come out increasingly over the next few weeks. The only polem matters is they all say, is election day. But it's pretty positive.

01:18:42
Speaker 2: But the Victoria one does prove that. The by elections that we talked on the other day, the argument was it local or was it federal? It's federal.

01:18:50
Speaker 5: The labor brand in this state is completely broken, and it's broken because the ten years of state labor in particular, and people are suffering through things like land taxes that they never had to pay before. Now is that campus foot No. But when you go to the polling booth and there's a bunch of people standing out the front trying to hand your labor out of vote cards, you think, well, you're the same mob that made my life in Victoria. Hell, I'm not voting for you. It doesn't necessarily mean those votes go to the Liberals. They could go to any number of independents. And I think there's going to be a huge surge in support for non aligned independent candidates right across all of Australia.

01:19:23
Speaker 2: I did know that, you said. I don't know you can say that with a straight face either, he said on sixty Minutes last night, it's going to be a positive campaign, is it really? Is anyone?

01:19:30
Speaker 5: No, it's already negative. That dird File was out talking about Dutton's realistided empire last week. I mean they never learned these people. I mean he's gone on there with his partner Joe and he's been interviewed by Carl Stefanovic, which prompted me this morning, knowing you're speaking to you to remember before the last election, Scott Morrison, the n Eden Prime minister, when on sixty Minutes was interviewed by Carl Stefanovic and sang April's son in Cuba playing a ukulelean. I mean he was then out of the job about a week later. So why would you just say, Carl, stay away. I'm not going to do anything with you at all. So what's Elbow's April son in Cuba moment last night? Well, he talks about you know, he's going to get married this year and Albow's got a dog called Toto. Toto is going to be the ring bearer at the wedding ceremony. That's what added to the Albanisy, Prime Minister of the Great Nation of Australia, told everyone on television last night.

01:20:31
Speaker 2: Is she a credit to us?

01:20:34
Speaker 5: The dog or the girl from.

01:20:39
Speaker 2: His betrothed?

01:20:41
Speaker 9: She is?

01:20:41
Speaker 2: She is she nicer? You come? Does she come across?

01:20:45
Speaker 5: Well, comes to the Central Coast and yourself, Well, I was not about fell in love with Anthony Albanize. It's some political rally, which is a bit of a worry. But she was also she sang out go the Rabbitos, who are a broken league team in Sydney.

01:21:01
Speaker 2: The whole Trump thing did Were you worried when Trump? When the British reporter at the White House last week said are you going to talk about August? And Trump said, what's that? Well, are you slightly worried that Marles gave him eight hundred million dollars the other day?

01:21:16
Speaker 5: More than slightly worried? It's quite remarkable. Well, after he said what the hell is Aucus, he also turned to Kis Dharma and said, well, you know, we get on really well. We've got a great relationship with Australia. You seem to have a great relationship with Australia as well. Does anyone think Donald Trump actually knows that the British colonized Australia back in the seventeen so I mean I doubt that he would know that when he did.

01:21:43
Speaker 2: Exactly where are wet by the way, the whole defense Chinese ships, all that sort of stuff, and you know, increase in defense spending and their desire at Dunton's desire to spend billions on fighters. Do you need fighters or is this just part of this new first song we have going on with defense.

01:21:58
Speaker 5: Well, these things were originally ordered and then cancer by the Ovenue of Government. I'm talking about twenty eight thirty five like construct fighters, their best fighter aircraft in the world. If dunton Win's is going to spend three billion on rounding out that order and if he can and get back into the production line and get hold of them, they are a good weapon for Australia to have. Then he comes at a time when that's flotilla. It's now off Perth. So these three ships have circumnavigated Australia. I mean, if you can't see that that's a provocative act by the Chinese, then you're blind. Then the Prime Minister has been weak on this all week. He's tried to say nothing to see here, they're in international waters, don't worry about it. But it's actually the Chinese making very clear that they can come and do whatever they want whenever they want.

01:22:45
Speaker 2: Exactly the Alfred coming into Brisbane?

01:22:48
Speaker 16: Is it just me?

01:22:49
Speaker 2: Or that seems to have been sitting off the coast for days on end and we're waiting for it to finally arrive.

01:22:54
Speaker 5: Yeah, and look, it's a very long time since a cyclone activity has been that far south. They're talking about it making land between Byron Bay and Brisbane. Now, as you would well know, the population in that corridor between Brisbane down to the Gold Coast, down to cool and Gatter and then further on down to the Lord of New South, well, it's huge numbers of people. Millions of people live in that region. So it would be catastrophic if it did what they say it was going to do. But look, it's already been downgraded from A four to three and some suggestion that it'll cross land Tuesday and it might be down to all one. I just get Look, let's hope if we're right and that there's things not as strong as it seems. But are you not of my similar view that the media around the world.

01:23:40
Speaker 2: Love they go exactly the moment they put out a press release six weeks in advance of something that may happen. They just go insane and it never.

01:23:49
Speaker 5: Knew a night click on it.

01:23:50
Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly, all right, we'll see what happens Wednesday. We'll talk then appreciate them as a seat price out of Australia. Just by the way, Jerry Harvey Harvey Norman says the minority government after the election under myne, Australia's economy put businesses tackling higher energy costs than labor shortages under more pressure. It would be quote terrible. We'll have a political system that's destined for having fight after fight alfter fight and slowing down the economy at a rate of knots. I think he'd speak for many Australians. Eight forty five.

01:24:17
Speaker 1: The High Asking Breakfast Fall Show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by News Talks.

01:24:22
Speaker 2: At b mcgrind's back on the program tomorrow tomorrow morning. He's military strategist. Guy would get on periodically. Peter Hartcher wrote last week, and I thought it's a very This is the whole Chinese vessels thing and the general upsurge and behavior run defense around the world. Australia's approaching the culminating point of its complacency. China's navy is illustrating Australia's vulnerability at the exact moment that the US is demonstrating American unreliability. For a couple of decades, Australia's talked about balancing its biggest trading relationship against its main security relationship, implication that we can have both China and the US just as we want them. Today you can see that we can be confident of neither. And although he wrote that about Australia, of course that's just as applicable as it is to New Zealand. So mcrian back on the program tomorrow. Thorium, which I didn't know a lot about until I started looking it up. Now that I've discovered China's got some thorium's worth knowing about, because they have discovered in Mongolia enough thorium, and as it turns out, you don't need much of it to basically power the world forever. So the whole idea that we're going to need oil and gas and coal and it's simply not true if thorium turns out to be what they think it is.

01:25:34
Speaker 13: The stuff that the hammer is made out of is it? I don't know, Well a short why asked? What they call it thorium?

01:25:42
Speaker 2: It's sort of radioactive, kind of radioactive, but not in a freak out kind of radioactive way. It's a declassified report that came out over the weekend from China. They've got these reserves, exceeding previous estimates by many by orders of magnitude, like as they've got miles more than they thought that at just five years of mining waste from a single iron ore sight in Inner Mongolia contains enough thorium to meet US household energy demands for more than a thousand years. This is the Chinese Journal of Geological Review, fully exploited. There's a place called the banyin Obo mining complex. It could yield a million tons of thorium. How much would a million tons of thorium do for your power wise? Well, it's enough to fuel China for sixty thousand years, so it may have been in front of us all along.

01:26:35
Speaker 13: And how many hammers can you make out of it?

01:26:37
Speaker 2: M seven, so you can hammer in the morning, hammer in the evening, hammer all day long. Nine away from nine.

01:26:44
Speaker 1: From the mic asking breakfast with al Vida retirement Communities News, tomstad b.

01:26:49
Speaker 2: Mike, did you not get the marble reference thrown at you? There re the Hammers.

01:26:58
Speaker 13: Come on, guys, he knows exactly who Moliere is, don't you?

01:27:03
Speaker 2: Precisely? By the way, Ineos I forgot to ask Andrew is going to ask Andrew but at a time in the sport where this whole legal thing is And do they have a replacement sponsorship deal at the Rugby Union now that Ineos has cut tires. It's even worse at Manchester United clubwide meeting last week, acting a further one fifty to two hundred jobs. That's on top of the two hundred and fifty they've already asked. More importantly than that, hot lunches are off at the club's Carrington training base for everyone but the players, and a need to free lunches for staff at Old Trafford with a view to saving more than a million pounds. So when you're taking the hot lunches off, you know that things are tight. And if you were a player and you knew as you walked past the buffet that no one else could have that lunch anymore, But only you, says just you plus the reserves, would you feel stink en up not to have the lunch. I think it would again, don't worry about it. I'm with those guys over there. We'll bunk up for sam which five minutes away from nine.

01:28:01
Speaker 3: Trending now with chemist Well's keeping Kiwi's healthy.

01:28:05
Speaker 2: All year and you know when they're cut in the buffet that things aren't good. Mondo, do plant good plantis? Or do plante do plonty Mondo. So he's a pole vaulter and he's a Swede, and he broke his own world record over the weekend for the eleventh time. So six people including him cleared the bar at five nine to one. I mean most of us can do that. So then after five nine to one, he goes to six oh seven and he wins the meat with six oh seven. Straight after he knew he'd won, he popped the bar up twenty and that's just starting to show off. At that point six two seven he's at now breaks his record on the first attempt, not even hard. He could jump high. But every time he breaks the record. At the moment, he's getting one hundred thousand dollars prize money. So he goes up in a centimeter at a time, I'd go at half cent of the water himself. I'd go take it up zero point five, and they come on, might play the game and you already said you weren't getting the free lunches, stopped trying to gouge the prize money competition anyway. Not only that, but what are you listening to here? This is him singing Mondo du He's a singer. He just goes by the name of Mondo who doesn't do the du because sometimes people call them duplantas and he doesn't mean he hates that. Anyway, It's gone to number thirty six. It's not really a thing, is it? On Apple Music in Sweden? So it's Apple Music in Sweden. He's gone to thirty six. I didn't know. If I had said to you, do Apple Music go past twenty and Sweden, you would have gone Nana. But anyway, they clearly go to thirty six because that's where he is. He's number eight on iTunes.

01:29:58
Speaker 13: I don't know what this is Sweden, he's big and Sweden anywhere else.

01:30:04
Speaker 23: When when he won in the Olympics, it was one of it was probably my favorite second favorite moment after Hamish.

01:30:10
Speaker 2: Did you swing your thor Hammer with excitement. I did back tomorrow morning, as always Happy Days.

01:30:18
Speaker 1: For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to news talks. It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio