1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,640 Speaker 1: So the Liberals win in Canada, they're still short, as 2 00:00:02,680 --> 00:00:04,160 Speaker 1: far as I can work out, at the moment of 3 00:00:04,240 --> 00:00:06,960 Speaker 1: a confirmed majority, they may not in fact get there. 4 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: But Mark Conney was bullish last night. 5 00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:12,840 Speaker 2: Our old relationship with the United States, a relationship based 6 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:20,280 Speaker 2: on steadily increasing integration, is over. The system of open 7 00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 2: global trade anchored by the United States, a system that 8 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 2: Canada has relied on since the Second World War, a 9 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:32,360 Speaker 2: system that, well, not perfect, has helped deliver prosperity for 10 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 2: a country for decades is over. These are tragedies, but 11 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:44,239 Speaker 2: it's also our new reality. We are over. We are 12 00:00:44,320 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 2: over the shock of the American betrayal, but we should 13 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:54,360 Speaker 2: never forget the lessons cool. We have to look out 14 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 2: for ourselves. 15 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 1: Globe and males onto a bureau chief. Robin five is back. Well, 16 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 1: it's Robert very good morning to you. 17 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:01,120 Speaker 3: Good morning to you. 18 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:02,440 Speaker 1: Is he going to be a good prime minister? 19 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:06,400 Speaker 3: Well, that's a very hard question for me to answer. 20 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:09,280 Speaker 3: One really doesn't know, because we've seen him as Prime 21 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 3: minister for only a few months and only nine days 22 00:01:12,600 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 3: before he called an election campaign. He certainly has the qualifications. 23 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 3: He headed the Bank of Canada during the two thousand 24 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:25,520 Speaker 3: and eight economic meltdown, and based on his handling of 25 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 3: that crisis, Great Britain approached him to run the Bank 26 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 3: of England and he managed to get Great Britain through 27 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:40,640 Speaker 3: the Brexit crisis. And since then he's been a chairman 28 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:45,919 Speaker 3: of a major investment bank non investment of investment vehicle 29 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 3: worth about a trillion dollars US. But we don't really 30 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 3: know how he's going to perform as prime minister. He 31 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 3: has no experience, he's never held elective office, he has 32 00:01:56,600 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 3: no experience in retail politics. One would assume that given 33 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 3: his credentials, he should do okay, But I wouldn't put 34 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 3: the I wouldn't put any money down on any of 35 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:09,079 Speaker 3: this because we haven't had a real opportunity to see 36 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 3: him perform as prime minister. 37 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 1: He needs one seventy two seats. He's got one sixty eight. 38 00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:14,080 Speaker 1: Do they get there or not. 39 00:02:15,240 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 3: He's got one sixty nine right now that's just come in. 40 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 3: I don't know whether he's going to be able. I 41 00:02:20,560 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 3: don't think he's going to get the one seventy two. 42 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:26,000 Speaker 3: He may get up to one seventy, maybe one seventy one, 43 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:27,680 Speaker 3: but he's not going to be able to do that. 44 00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 3: If he gets to one seventy one, what they can 45 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:34,600 Speaker 3: do is to elect a Conservatives as a House of 46 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:38,800 Speaker 3: common Speaker and then he'd have his majority. But I 47 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 3: don't think he's going to reach that. 48 00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 1: Paully had lost his seat. I assume he's gone. Way 49 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:46,239 Speaker 1: did the Conservatives go here? What a disaster? 50 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 3: Well, it actually hasn't been a disaster as much as 51 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 3: you might think. Certainly they expected to roll to victory 52 00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:00,320 Speaker 3: with a massive majority government for the last two years well, 53 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 3: justin Trudeau was in power, and then when Trudeau was 54 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 3: pushed out by his political by his own party, and 55 00:03:06,720 --> 00:03:10,240 Speaker 3: then Donald Trump came into the White House and launched 56 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:13,079 Speaker 3: a trade war against US and talked about an annexation. 57 00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:16,679 Speaker 3: Mister Carney just went way up in the polls and 58 00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:18,800 Speaker 3: looked like he was going to win a majority government. 59 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 3: But at the end of the day, mister Paully of 60 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:24,240 Speaker 3: his Conservatives have done pretty well. They have about one 61 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 3: hundred and forty four seats. He did lose his seat, 62 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:30,720 Speaker 3: but he's going to I think he's probably going to 63 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:34,079 Speaker 3: be able to survive because, first of all, he's won 64 00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 3: more seats than the Conservatives had won in twenty nineteen 65 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 3: and twenty twenty one, and they have just over forty 66 00:03:41,480 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 3: percent of the popular vote. The last time the Conservatives 67 00:03:44,280 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 3: said that was in nineteen eighty eight with Brian Rooney 68 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:50,920 Speaker 3: when he won a majority government. So I think he's 69 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 3: probably going to be able to hang on. So it 70 00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:57,160 Speaker 3: hasn't been a disaster for the Conservatives, but obviously they 71 00:03:57,160 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 3: wanted to win exactly. 72 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 1: Robert appreciate your inside. His was Robert five Globe and 73 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 1: Mayolotto are bureau chief. The other one, by the way, 74 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 1: the new Democrats lay a bad night as well. The 75 00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 1: guy sing who's the leader of that party. He got 76 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 1: rolled as well. For more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, 77 00:04:10,960 --> 00:04:14,280 Speaker 1: listen live to News Talks at B from six am weekdays, 78 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.