1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:01,500 Speaker 1: This is a C. N. A. 2 00:00:01,500 --> 00:00:02,259 Speaker 2: Podcast. 3 00:00:05,040 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: Hello and welcome to our brand new podcast. Money talks, 4 00:00:08,850 --> 00:00:11,340 Speaker 1: my name is Sarah al Khaldi and I'm a business 5 00:00:11,340 --> 00:00:14,330 Speaker 1: news presenter at C. N. A. As a young mother 6 00:00:14,330 --> 00:00:17,010 Speaker 1: and like many others of my generation, I want to 7 00:00:17,010 --> 00:00:19,610 Speaker 1: get better with my money. So each week I'll tap 8 00:00:19,610 --> 00:00:22,090 Speaker 1: into different experts from C. E. O. S. Two financial 9 00:00:22,090 --> 00:00:22,760 Speaker 1: advisors 10 00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:26,170 Speaker 1: and we'll find out how to make wiser financial decisions 11 00:00:26,180 --> 00:00:28,660 Speaker 1: relating to how we live, work and play. 12 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:45,190 Speaker 1: We'll go for some quick fire questions in a few words. 13 00:00:45,190 --> 00:00:47,300 Speaker 1: Can you give us your thoughts on the following? 14 00:00:47,310 --> 00:00:48,670 Speaker 2: Okay, high 15 00:00:48,670 --> 00:00:50,090 Speaker 1: inflation. It 16 00:00:50,090 --> 00:00:50,900 Speaker 2: will come down. 17 00:00:50,909 --> 00:00:52,530 Speaker 1: Green finance 18 00:00:52,710 --> 00:00:54,530 Speaker 2: definitely worth looking 19 00:00:54,530 --> 00:00:56,550 Speaker 1: at robo advisors 20 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:59,220 Speaker 2: definitely worth considering also 21 00:00:59,230 --> 00:01:00,459 Speaker 1: china. 22 00:01:00,470 --> 00:01:03,460 Speaker 2: Um 23 00:01:03,540 --> 00:01:05,870 Speaker 1: okay 24 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:10,100 Speaker 2: china belongs in the slightly riskier part of your portfolio 25 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:11,980 Speaker 1: investment scams, 26 00:01:12,170 --> 00:01:16,130 Speaker 2: definitely be wary of them. Don't trust anybody. The old 27 00:01:16,130 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 2: rule of thumb is trust but verify. 28 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:20,150 Speaker 1: Great. 29 00:01:20,840 --> 00:01:22,150 Speaker 1: Yeah. 30 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:31,090 Speaker 1: We kick off the series with a renaissance man of money. 31 00:01:31,100 --> 00:01:34,110 Speaker 1: David cho is the co founder of the smart investor, 32 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:37,839 Speaker 1: a website dedicated to educating people about how to grow 33 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:41,390 Speaker 1: their wealth. David himself has been growing his money for 34 00:01:41,390 --> 00:01:43,940 Speaker 1: decades and I want to ask him if it's true 35 00:01:43,940 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 1: that you need money to make money, can you afford 36 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:49,830 Speaker 1: not to invest and how should you spend your hard 37 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 1: earned bonus, David, thanks for joining us 38 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 1: for those starting out on their investment journey. What would 39 00:01:57,800 --> 00:02:00,230 Speaker 1: an ideal portfolio look like? 40 00:02:00,240 --> 00:02:03,730 Speaker 2: Okay, before I even start doing that, Sarah what I 41 00:02:03,730 --> 00:02:05,860 Speaker 2: would like to say is 42 00:02:06,340 --> 00:02:09,350 Speaker 2: you have to invest and the sooner you invest the 43 00:02:09,350 --> 00:02:10,859 Speaker 2: better it is for you 44 00:02:11,340 --> 00:02:15,460 Speaker 2: and for those people who haven't started investing for their 45 00:02:15,460 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 2: retirement or later on in life. There is a general 46 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 2: rule of thumb that says that 47 00:02:21,540 --> 00:02:24,690 Speaker 2: You take your age and you divide it by two 48 00:02:24,710 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 2: and that is the percentage of your salary that you 49 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:32,660 Speaker 2: should be putting aside into an investment. So if you're 50 00:02:32,660 --> 00:02:34,860 Speaker 2: a 20 year old and you just starting work 51 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:37,610 Speaker 2: I don't know how many people start working 20 but 52 00:02:37,620 --> 00:02:39,840 Speaker 2: a 20 year old who's starting work, you should be 53 00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 2: putting 20 divided by two which is 10% of your 54 00:02:43,760 --> 00:02:44,459 Speaker 2: salary 55 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 2: Into an investment. Now if you leave it later, if 56 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:50,690 Speaker 2: you wait until you're 30 years old before you start 57 00:02:50,690 --> 00:02:54,660 Speaker 2: investing you're gonna have to put aside 15% of your salary, 58 00:02:54,660 --> 00:02:57,620 Speaker 2: 30 valid by two is 15. If you wait until 59 00:02:57,620 --> 00:03:00,510 Speaker 2: you're 50 before you do anything, you're going to have 60 00:03:00,510 --> 00:03:04,079 Speaker 2: to put aside 25% of your salary 61 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 2: in order to be able to enjoy your retirement. So 62 00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:11,050 Speaker 2: that's a quarter of your salary going into some kind 63 00:03:11,050 --> 00:03:14,350 Speaker 2: of investment. And so the secret really is 64 00:03:14,740 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 2: to start as early as possible. 65 00:03:17,139 --> 00:03:20,070 Speaker 2: And as soon as you start work, start putting some 66 00:03:20,070 --> 00:03:23,750 Speaker 2: money aside into a portfolio so that you will be 67 00:03:23,750 --> 00:03:27,260 Speaker 2: able to let that money grow over time and then 68 00:03:27,270 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 2: enjoy life later on when you get older. So that 69 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:32,830 Speaker 2: is the general rule of thumb as to what the 70 00:03:32,830 --> 00:03:34,450 Speaker 2: portfolio should look like. 71 00:03:35,340 --> 00:03:38,610 Speaker 2: Again, it is actually sort of based on your age 72 00:03:38,620 --> 00:03:40,840 Speaker 2: and the general rule of thumb, there is, it's called 73 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:43,690 Speaker 2: the rule of 100 and the rule of 100 simply 74 00:03:43,690 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 2: states that 75 00:03:44,740 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 2: you subtract 76 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:50,610 Speaker 2: your age from 100 that is the amount of money 77 00:03:50,610 --> 00:03:55,180 Speaker 2: that should be going into riskier investments. Okay, so if 78 00:03:55,180 --> 00:03:57,580 Speaker 2: you are a baby, if you're investing safe for your 79 00:03:57,580 --> 00:04:00,960 Speaker 2: child and your child is zero age on the day 80 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:04,620 Speaker 2: that they are born, 100% of whatever money you're going 81 00:04:04,620 --> 00:04:06,060 Speaker 2: to be putting to one side 82 00:04:06,240 --> 00:04:09,890 Speaker 2: Should be going into a riskier investments such as the 83 00:04:09,890 --> 00:04:13,430 Speaker 2: stock market. And as you get older, less of that 84 00:04:13,430 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 2: money should be in the riskier side and more of 85 00:04:16,560 --> 00:04:19,490 Speaker 2: it should be in the less risky side. So things 86 00:04:19,490 --> 00:04:23,369 Speaker 2: like stocks and bonds. So if you are for instance 87 00:04:23,380 --> 00:04:25,159 Speaker 2: a 20 year old, then 88 00:04:25,240 --> 00:04:28,190 Speaker 2: 80% of whatever you are going to be saving 89 00:04:28,339 --> 00:04:30,870 Speaker 2: Needs to be put into the stock market and the 90 00:04:30,870 --> 00:04:34,349 Speaker 2: other 20% can be put into other things such as 91 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:39,210 Speaker 2: Singapore savings bonds or cash or whatever. But 80% of 92 00:04:39,210 --> 00:04:43,179 Speaker 2: it should be in riskier investments such as stock market 93 00:04:43,190 --> 00:04:45,880 Speaker 2: primarily because that is the only way you're going to 94 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 2: be able to grow your money. 95 00:04:47,839 --> 00:04:49,700 Speaker 1: A lot of young people though are saying, but I 96 00:04:49,700 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: have CPF 97 00:04:50,740 --> 00:04:51,060 Speaker 2: Yeah, 98 00:04:51,440 --> 00:04:53,230 Speaker 1: so why do I have to go to the stock 99 00:04:53,230 --> 00:04:56,210 Speaker 1: market if I have CPF to rely on? 100 00:04:56,220 --> 00:04:58,730 Speaker 2: I agree with that totally. And I think the CPF 101 00:04:58,730 --> 00:05:02,750 Speaker 2: is a great thing because it forces people to save 102 00:05:02,760 --> 00:05:06,720 Speaker 2: Now in many countries, particularly one where I grew up 103 00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:10,650 Speaker 2: in Hong kong they didn't have a mandatory savings scheme 104 00:05:10,650 --> 00:05:11,360 Speaker 2: for people 105 00:05:11,640 --> 00:05:15,580 Speaker 2: and so nobody actually saved because you weren't forced to save. 106 00:05:15,589 --> 00:05:18,480 Speaker 2: But here in Singapore, you are forced to save for 107 00:05:18,480 --> 00:05:20,160 Speaker 2: your retirement. But 108 00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:23,790 Speaker 2: that money goes into the CPF fund and if you 109 00:05:23,790 --> 00:05:26,160 Speaker 2: just allow it to grow 110 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:29,610 Speaker 2: using the interest that is actually being paid for you 111 00:05:29,870 --> 00:05:32,940 Speaker 2: and that only gives you around 2.5% that is not 112 00:05:32,940 --> 00:05:35,360 Speaker 2: going to be enough. And I go back again to 113 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:38,310 Speaker 2: that rule of 100 which is how much of that 114 00:05:38,310 --> 00:05:41,980 Speaker 2: money in the CPF should be in stocks, how much 115 00:05:41,990 --> 00:05:45,060 Speaker 2: should be in cash and bonds that will tell you 116 00:05:45,140 --> 00:05:47,150 Speaker 2: what you are allowed to invest in. 117 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:50,610 Speaker 2: But the CPF has very strict rules, so the amount 118 00:05:50,610 --> 00:05:52,910 Speaker 2: of money that you put into the CPF will not 119 00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:56,120 Speaker 2: be sufficient for you to grow that money over time 120 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:58,300 Speaker 2: because they restrict the amount of money that you can 121 00:05:58,300 --> 00:06:01,420 Speaker 2: invest in stocks and bonds, you can't take the money 122 00:06:01,420 --> 00:06:04,310 Speaker 2: out from the CPF, but you need to invest outside 123 00:06:04,310 --> 00:06:05,150 Speaker 2: of the CPF 124 00:06:05,310 --> 00:06:08,250 Speaker 2: in order to achieve that kind of balance because otherwise 125 00:06:08,540 --> 00:06:11,630 Speaker 2: When you reach 55 or 60 or 65 years of 126 00:06:11,630 --> 00:06:13,910 Speaker 2: age and you have a look at what that money 127 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:16,539 Speaker 2: has done for you, you will say I'm not going 128 00:06:16,540 --> 00:06:19,390 Speaker 2: to have enough to retire on. And that is the 129 00:06:19,390 --> 00:06:22,660 Speaker 2: big danger that you have because whilst it is great 130 00:06:22,670 --> 00:06:25,550 Speaker 2: for somebody to force you to save money, 131 00:06:26,140 --> 00:06:28,489 Speaker 2: that money will not be sufficient for you. When you 132 00:06:28,490 --> 00:06:29,650 Speaker 2: retire a 133 00:06:29,650 --> 00:06:33,969 Speaker 1: lot of money to goes to your house, those getting 134 00:06:33,970 --> 00:06:36,150 Speaker 1: an H D B a loan or a mortgage loan 135 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:38,370 Speaker 1: and some people are saying, OK, I'll just rely on 136 00:06:38,370 --> 00:06:42,030 Speaker 1: my property, I'll rely on my HDB when I get older, 137 00:06:42,029 --> 00:06:44,160 Speaker 1: I'll just sell it or downgrade and maybe 138 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:47,789 Speaker 1: that can help beef up my retirement from my CPF. 139 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:48,810 Speaker 1: What do you think of that? 140 00:06:48,820 --> 00:06:51,210 Speaker 2: I don't disagree with that either. If you have a 141 00:06:51,210 --> 00:06:55,660 Speaker 2: look at property, property prices tend to appreciate over time. 142 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,900 Speaker 2: And you have to have a look at some examples 143 00:06:58,910 --> 00:07:02,840 Speaker 2: outside of Singapore, there are lots of people in the U. K. 144 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:06,310 Speaker 2: For instance, that have put their money into their property 145 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:09,990 Speaker 2: and just as you have highlighted, they say, well, you know, 146 00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:13,050 Speaker 2: my property can be my pension later on, but 147 00:07:13,740 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 2: how is that even possible? Because you have to downgrade, 148 00:07:17,670 --> 00:07:19,630 Speaker 2: you have to sell your house in order to do 149 00:07:19,630 --> 00:07:20,160 Speaker 2: something 150 00:07:20,540 --> 00:07:22,910 Speaker 2: and over in the UK, they've come up with some 151 00:07:22,910 --> 00:07:28,250 Speaker 2: really ingenious schemes, such as mortgage equity, withdrawal, lifetime mortgages 152 00:07:28,250 --> 00:07:31,120 Speaker 2: whereby you can say, oh, I'll take a portion of 153 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 2: that equity that I have in my house and I 154 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 2: don't have to repay that. But instead I'll be able 155 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:40,360 Speaker 2: to live off that lump sum that I take from there? 156 00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:42,080 Speaker 2: And on the other side, 157 00:07:42,340 --> 00:07:46,270 Speaker 2: whoever is actually financing that lump sum that you've taken 158 00:07:46,270 --> 00:07:49,950 Speaker 2: out will roll up the interest slowly over time. And 159 00:07:49,950 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 2: as we know, if you keep on doing that, eventually 160 00:07:53,490 --> 00:07:56,810 Speaker 2: the interest will become quite onerous. But you don't have 161 00:07:56,810 --> 00:07:59,170 Speaker 2: to worry about it. You don't have to pay it off. 162 00:07:59,180 --> 00:07:59,560 Speaker 2: But 163 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 2: on the day that 164 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:04,160 Speaker 2: you pass away, you may actually find that 165 00:08:04,640 --> 00:08:07,550 Speaker 2: The 100,000 or the 200,000 you took out from your 166 00:08:07,550 --> 00:08:10,950 Speaker 2: property plus the interest that has been accruing will mean 167 00:08:10,950 --> 00:08:13,650 Speaker 2: that there is no equity left in your property at all. 168 00:08:13,660 --> 00:08:15,830 Speaker 2: And so if you thought that I would be able 169 00:08:15,830 --> 00:08:19,060 Speaker 2: to leave the property to my Children, that isn't going 170 00:08:19,060 --> 00:08:21,760 Speaker 2: to happen. Because the person who will be taking the 171 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:23,860 Speaker 2: property will be the insurance company, 172 00:08:24,140 --> 00:08:25,550 Speaker 2: not your Children. 173 00:08:25,740 --> 00:08:29,250 Speaker 2: So you spent your life buying a property, financing the 174 00:08:29,250 --> 00:08:32,850 Speaker 2: property through mortgage repayments. And then you hope that you 175 00:08:32,850 --> 00:08:35,060 Speaker 2: will be able to leave something for your Children. And 176 00:08:35,059 --> 00:08:37,660 Speaker 2: you find out that you've got nothing left for your 177 00:08:37,660 --> 00:08:40,559 Speaker 2: Children at all. And so you're not really sort of 178 00:08:40,559 --> 00:08:42,150 Speaker 2: helping the next generation. 179 00:08:43,140 --> 00:08:46,290 Speaker 1: Now, there was a survey done recently last year by 180 00:08:46,290 --> 00:08:49,130 Speaker 1: franklin Templeton and it showed that a third of young 181 00:08:49,130 --> 00:08:53,670 Speaker 1: singaporeans think that making the right investment is difficult and 182 00:08:53,670 --> 00:08:56,620 Speaker 1: investments make them anxious. So where do you think they 183 00:08:56,620 --> 00:08:59,270 Speaker 1: should start? And do you think this is something that 184 00:08:59,270 --> 00:09:02,080 Speaker 1: they can do alone or should they tap into an 185 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:04,350 Speaker 1: advisor perhaps or some 186 00:09:04,540 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 1: kind of person who will give them advice on their investments. 187 00:09:08,410 --> 00:09:11,260 Speaker 2: There are several ways of looking at that and 188 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:15,730 Speaker 2: my philosophy and it's not my philosophy, but it's just 189 00:09:15,730 --> 00:09:18,660 Speaker 2: a general philosophy of most people. 190 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:22,640 Speaker 2: Is that that rule of 100 will apply right. That 191 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:25,750 Speaker 2: rule of 100 has been around for a very long time. 192 00:09:26,010 --> 00:09:29,510 Speaker 2: And the rule of 100 will help to guide you 193 00:09:29,510 --> 00:09:33,199 Speaker 2: as to how your portfolio should look. So if you 194 00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:37,890 Speaker 2: are a 40 year old, then 60% of that portfolio 195 00:09:37,890 --> 00:09:39,100 Speaker 2: should be in stocks 196 00:09:39,340 --> 00:09:42,380 Speaker 2: And the other 40% should be in cash and bonds. 197 00:09:42,460 --> 00:09:45,679 Speaker 2: And just use that as your template. Now, the other 198 00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:49,350 Speaker 2: question is that 60% that you put into stocks, how 199 00:09:49,350 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 2: should I allocate that 60%. Should I just go and 200 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:57,110 Speaker 2: take the 60% and go and buy investments in emerging markets? 201 00:09:57,240 --> 00:09:59,550 Speaker 2: Should I buy penny stocks? Should I do what 202 00:10:00,140 --> 00:10:03,490 Speaker 2: The answer is no right? You don't do that. You 203 00:10:03,490 --> 00:10:06,340 Speaker 2: take that sum of money that 60% that you're going 204 00:10:06,340 --> 00:10:09,790 Speaker 2: to be investing in the stock market and then whatever 205 00:10:09,790 --> 00:10:12,679 Speaker 2: that amount of money is, you then need to apply 206 00:10:12,679 --> 00:10:15,179 Speaker 2: another rule and this is the rule that has stood 207 00:10:15,179 --> 00:10:18,630 Speaker 2: the test of time. And what that rule actually says 208 00:10:18,640 --> 00:10:20,750 Speaker 2: is that 60 209 00:10:20,940 --> 00:10:24,880 Speaker 2: of that amount of money should be in safer investments. 210 00:10:24,900 --> 00:10:29,540 Speaker 2: So by that we're talking about income generating stocks. And 211 00:10:29,540 --> 00:10:32,740 Speaker 2: here in Singapore, we have this wealth of real estate 212 00:10:32,740 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 2: investment trusts. So if you are going to be putting 213 00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:38,250 Speaker 2: that money into the stock market 214 00:10:38,429 --> 00:10:42,800 Speaker 2: than 60% into strong income generating stocks such as 215 00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:46,430 Speaker 2: The real estate investment trusts or maybe the bank shares 216 00:10:46,429 --> 00:10:49,270 Speaker 2: that we have here in Singapore, they pay good dividends. 217 00:10:49,530 --> 00:10:52,479 Speaker 2: The Singapore stock exchange is another good example of a 218 00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:56,470 Speaker 2: company that is able to reward you with regular dividends. 219 00:10:56,480 --> 00:11:00,099 Speaker 2: So that is the 60% of whatever you're going to 220 00:11:00,100 --> 00:11:01,660 Speaker 2: be putting into the stock market, 221 00:11:02,140 --> 00:11:06,500 Speaker 2: then you have the 30% which is slightly riskier investments. 222 00:11:06,700 --> 00:11:11,950 Speaker 2: And these are the faster growing companies. And unfortunately in Singapore, 223 00:11:11,950 --> 00:11:15,070 Speaker 2: we don't have that many faster growing companies. So you 224 00:11:15,070 --> 00:11:17,990 Speaker 2: have to look overseas for that. So, a good place 225 00:11:17,990 --> 00:11:19,520 Speaker 2: to go and sort of look for those kind of 226 00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:21,060 Speaker 2: stocks would be NASDAQ 227 00:11:21,340 --> 00:11:23,880 Speaker 2: where you have a lot of faster growing companies. 228 00:11:24,140 --> 00:11:26,970 Speaker 2: So if you do your math 60 plus 30 is 229 00:11:26,970 --> 00:11:30,610 Speaker 2: 90 that still leaves you 10% and that 10% can 230 00:11:30,610 --> 00:11:34,229 Speaker 2: be then put into what we call speculative investments. And 231 00:11:34,230 --> 00:11:36,720 Speaker 2: so as long as you have that, whether you want 232 00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:39,939 Speaker 2: to call it the pyramid or the beer bottle call 233 00:11:39,940 --> 00:11:40,959 Speaker 2: it whatever you want, 234 00:11:41,040 --> 00:11:44,390 Speaker 2: you must have a stable base of income generating shares, 235 00:11:44,540 --> 00:11:48,030 Speaker 2: some faster growing shares and then the other 10% put 236 00:11:48,030 --> 00:11:50,150 Speaker 2: into whatever you want, I don't care what you put 237 00:11:50,150 --> 00:11:52,990 Speaker 2: it into. Put into something that you think is going 238 00:11:52,990 --> 00:11:56,449 Speaker 2: to be quite exciting for you. Be the value shares, 239 00:11:56,460 --> 00:11:59,190 Speaker 2: shares that you think have been undervalued by the market. 240 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:02,450 Speaker 2: You could even put it into Cryptocurrency, I don't really 241 00:12:02,450 --> 00:12:05,660 Speaker 2: care what you put that 10% of your investment into, 242 00:12:05,740 --> 00:12:09,800 Speaker 2: But don't fool around with the 60% of the income 243 00:12:09,800 --> 00:12:12,620 Speaker 2: shares and the 30% of the growth shares because that 244 00:12:12,630 --> 00:12:16,360 Speaker 2: will generate for you. The kind of returns that you require. 245 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:21,790 Speaker 1: Conventional investment wisdom says that over time stock markets go 246 00:12:21,790 --> 00:12:25,390 Speaker 1: up despite the volatility in the near term. Do you 247 00:12:25,390 --> 00:12:27,360 Speaker 1: think that still holds now, Do you think 248 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:30,740 Speaker 1: decades down the line, we can still get some kind 249 00:12:30,740 --> 00:12:34,590 Speaker 1: of return from equity market investments right now. 250 00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:37,060 Speaker 2: Oh, for sure. You see one of the big problems 251 00:12:37,059 --> 00:12:40,100 Speaker 2: that investors have, and I'm not just talking about new 252 00:12:40,100 --> 00:12:44,849 Speaker 2: investors coming into the market, I'm talking about seasoned investors also, 253 00:12:45,140 --> 00:12:49,069 Speaker 2: What they suffer from is something called recent events syndrome 254 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:52,250 Speaker 2: and recent events syndrome just says that what is happening 255 00:12:52,250 --> 00:12:55,670 Speaker 2: now is going to be happening into the future and 256 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:59,000 Speaker 2: it scares them, right. They think that the kind of 257 00:12:59,010 --> 00:13:02,610 Speaker 2: geopolitical problems that we have at the moment is going 258 00:13:02,610 --> 00:13:07,160 Speaker 2: to persist for the very long term. And that isn't true, right? 259 00:13:07,540 --> 00:13:09,940 Speaker 2: If we have a look at the stock market, say 260 00:13:09,940 --> 00:13:10,860 Speaker 2: over the last 261 00:13:11,240 --> 00:13:15,910 Speaker 2: 70 years, which is slightly older than me. But over 262 00:13:15,910 --> 00:13:20,370 Speaker 2: the last 70 years we have had 10 bear markets 263 00:13:20,370 --> 00:13:23,680 Speaker 2: right over that 70 year period. And each time we've 264 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:26,060 Speaker 2: had a bear market, we've recovered 265 00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:30,309 Speaker 2: Somehow we have recovered. So if you say 70 years 266 00:13:30,309 --> 00:13:33,650 Speaker 2: and we've had 10 bear markets, that's one bear market 267 00:13:33,650 --> 00:13:37,670 Speaker 2: every seven years. So if you are a new investor now, 268 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:40,800 Speaker 2: you are going to be experiencing a bear market roughly 269 00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:43,080 Speaker 2: every seven years. I wouldn't set my clock on my 270 00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:46,199 Speaker 2: calendar by it. But roughly about every seven years you're 271 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:46,960 Speaker 2: going to see 272 00:13:47,140 --> 00:13:49,790 Speaker 2: a downturn in the stock market. But don't be scared 273 00:13:49,790 --> 00:13:53,100 Speaker 2: by it. When you get that downturn jump in and 274 00:13:53,100 --> 00:13:57,030 Speaker 2: buy more shares, right? Just carry on carry on investing. 275 00:13:57,040 --> 00:14:00,980 Speaker 2: It's going to be harder at the moment because inflation 276 00:14:00,990 --> 00:14:04,010 Speaker 2: is a big problem. And there will be some people 277 00:14:04,010 --> 00:14:05,459 Speaker 2: out there that will be saying, 278 00:14:05,940 --> 00:14:10,079 Speaker 2: hey, inflation is so bad. I can't afford to invest. Well, 279 00:14:10,090 --> 00:14:13,970 Speaker 2: don't fall into that trap. Cut whatever you can, but 280 00:14:13,970 --> 00:14:15,990 Speaker 2: don't cut the amount of money that you're going to 281 00:14:15,990 --> 00:14:20,440 Speaker 2: be investing for your long term future because that is very, 282 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:23,250 Speaker 2: very dangerous. You might think, oh, 283 00:14:23,340 --> 00:14:26,820 Speaker 2: I won't put my $100 or my $200 into my 284 00:14:26,820 --> 00:14:30,210 Speaker 2: savings pot now because I need it in order to 285 00:14:30,220 --> 00:14:34,550 Speaker 2: buy food or whatever, do anything else. But don't sacrifice 286 00:14:34,550 --> 00:14:36,790 Speaker 2: that $100 that you're going to be putting into the 287 00:14:36,790 --> 00:14:40,180 Speaker 2: market and don't listen to those people who are saying, 288 00:14:40,190 --> 00:14:42,690 Speaker 2: oh the market is terrible at the moment is going 289 00:14:42,690 --> 00:14:45,800 Speaker 2: to go down even further. Well if it goes down 290 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:46,650 Speaker 2: even further, 291 00:14:46,740 --> 00:14:48,960 Speaker 2: you are a long term investor. So 292 00:14:49,140 --> 00:14:51,090 Speaker 2: if you don't buy today and you think I can 293 00:14:51,090 --> 00:14:55,390 Speaker 2: buy tomorrow, well tomorrow, the prices could be higher. Nobody 294 00:14:55,390 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 2: will tell you when the bottom of the market is there. 295 00:14:57,640 --> 00:14:59,360 Speaker 2: So don't fall into that trap. 296 00:14:59,370 --> 00:15:02,940 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's an interesting point because markets have been under 297 00:15:02,940 --> 00:15:06,290 Speaker 1: a lot of pressure this year and some young investors 298 00:15:06,290 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 1: are experiencing their first down market or bear market ever. 299 00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:12,800 Speaker 1: I've had people tell me they're down thousands of dollars 300 00:15:12,800 --> 00:15:15,370 Speaker 1: in the stock market right now. So what advice would 301 00:15:15,370 --> 00:15:16,010 Speaker 1: you give them? 302 00:15:16,150 --> 00:15:18,310 Speaker 2: Well, I was up last night and I was buying 303 00:15:18,310 --> 00:15:21,550 Speaker 2: shares last night, even though the market was down, 304 00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:27,170 Speaker 2: I don't really care because primarily I am an income investor. 305 00:15:27,180 --> 00:15:30,080 Speaker 2: And what that really means is that I am buying 306 00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:34,570 Speaker 2: shares that have the ability to pay me dividends regularly. 307 00:15:34,790 --> 00:15:38,180 Speaker 2: Some of those dividends come in quarterly, some come in 308 00:15:38,180 --> 00:15:41,050 Speaker 2: semi annually, some only come in once a year. 309 00:15:41,340 --> 00:15:46,340 Speaker 2: But the stocks that I buy are rewarding me with income. 310 00:15:46,350 --> 00:15:50,040 Speaker 2: And because I've been investing for such a long time sarah, 311 00:15:50,050 --> 00:15:51,450 Speaker 2: my biggest problem 312 00:15:51,940 --> 00:15:54,350 Speaker 2: is the amount of cash that is coming into my 313 00:15:54,350 --> 00:15:55,290 Speaker 2: portfolio 314 00:15:55,740 --> 00:15:59,100 Speaker 2: and for the young people that are investing today, you 315 00:15:59,100 --> 00:16:02,210 Speaker 2: will have the same problem later on in life. It 316 00:16:02,210 --> 00:16:03,300 Speaker 2: may not seem like that 317 00:16:03,300 --> 00:16:05,000 Speaker 1: now doesn't seem like 318 00:16:05,010 --> 00:16:09,690 Speaker 2: It may not seem like that now, but in 2030 319 00:16:09,690 --> 00:16:13,160 Speaker 2: years time you will have that problem because the cash 320 00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:16,220 Speaker 2: generated from the investments that you have made 321 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:19,390 Speaker 2: will be coming in regardless of what is happening in 322 00:16:19,390 --> 00:16:20,460 Speaker 2: the market. 323 00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:24,290 Speaker 2: I will be collecting dividends from one of Singapore's banks 324 00:16:24,290 --> 00:16:27,350 Speaker 2: today and whether the market is 325 00:16:27,740 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 2: high, whether the market is low, it will be paying 326 00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 2: me a dividend. So my problem is 327 00:16:33,740 --> 00:16:36,540 Speaker 2: putting that money to work and looking at where it 328 00:16:36,540 --> 00:16:38,910 Speaker 2: is going to be able to generate for me more 329 00:16:38,910 --> 00:16:40,940 Speaker 2: money in the future. And that is what you should 330 00:16:40,940 --> 00:16:43,230 Speaker 2: be looking at, not what is happening today. 331 00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:46,110 Speaker 1: And because if you don't put that to work, David, 332 00:16:46,110 --> 00:16:48,910 Speaker 1: the value of that money will go down because prices 333 00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:50,700 Speaker 1: are now going up, inflation 334 00:16:50,940 --> 00:16:53,430 Speaker 1: going up. And that is a problem that we all 335 00:16:53,430 --> 00:16:54,470 Speaker 1: have to face, isn't it? 336 00:16:54,540 --> 00:16:57,570 Speaker 2: Well, quite right, Sarah. I mean if if you have 337 00:16:57,570 --> 00:17:00,570 Speaker 2: $100 today and you don't put it to work 338 00:17:01,540 --> 00:17:05,550 Speaker 2: In a year's time with 5% inflation, that $100 will 339 00:17:05,550 --> 00:17:09,220 Speaker 2: only buy you $95 worth of goods. That is what 340 00:17:09,220 --> 00:17:13,210 Speaker 2: inflation really means is that it is the shrinking of 341 00:17:13,210 --> 00:17:15,649 Speaker 2: the money that you have. If you don't put it 342 00:17:15,650 --> 00:17:18,680 Speaker 2: to work somewhere else now, the other thing is 343 00:17:18,940 --> 00:17:21,540 Speaker 2: Right, I'm going to throw in another rule of thumb, right? 344 00:17:21,550 --> 00:17:25,190 Speaker 2: I promise no more rules of thumbs after this because 345 00:17:25,190 --> 00:17:27,980 Speaker 2: I haven't got that many thumbs. Yeah. Okay, so the 346 00:17:27,980 --> 00:17:31,530 Speaker 2: third rule of thumb is the rule of 72. Right? 347 00:17:31,540 --> 00:17:34,790 Speaker 2: And what that really tells you is if you take 348 00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:38,050 Speaker 2: an investment and you have some rough idea as to 349 00:17:38,050 --> 00:17:41,770 Speaker 2: how that investment is going to be rewarding you over 350 00:17:41,770 --> 00:17:42,760 Speaker 2: the long term, 351 00:17:43,740 --> 00:17:47,450 Speaker 2: Take that percentage divided into 72 and that will tell 352 00:17:47,450 --> 00:17:50,530 Speaker 2: you how long it will take your money to double. Okay, 353 00:17:50,540 --> 00:17:54,580 Speaker 2: so let's for argument's sake say that you put it 354 00:17:54,580 --> 00:17:58,420 Speaker 2: into the Singapore stock market, a good stable Singapore stock 355 00:17:58,420 --> 00:18:01,670 Speaker 2: market and on average it should give you about 7% 356 00:18:01,670 --> 00:18:02,760 Speaker 2: return a year. 357 00:18:03,240 --> 00:18:05,649 Speaker 2: So it means that if you put $100 into the 358 00:18:05,650 --> 00:18:10,190 Speaker 2: Singapore stock market today, that $100 should double in 10 359 00:18:10,190 --> 00:18:13,870 Speaker 2: years time, 72 divided by seven is roughly 10. So 360 00:18:13,869 --> 00:18:17,310 Speaker 2: it means that the $100 will double to $200 in 361 00:18:17,310 --> 00:18:21,629 Speaker 2: 10 years time. The $200 will double to $400 in 362 00:18:21,630 --> 00:18:23,060 Speaker 2: another 10 years time. 363 00:18:23,140 --> 00:18:26,210 Speaker 2: So in 20 years time, your $100 will have turned 364 00:18:26,210 --> 00:18:28,659 Speaker 2: into 100 204 $100 365 00:18:29,040 --> 00:18:32,619 Speaker 2: In 20 years time. Now if you don't put $100 366 00:18:32,619 --> 00:18:36,750 Speaker 2: in this year, you're gonna be missing out on $400 367 00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:38,359 Speaker 2: in 20 years time. 368 00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:41,770 Speaker 2: And that is really what you should be looking at 369 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:43,670 Speaker 2: over the long term. 370 00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:46,950 Speaker 2: And if you think, oh, I won't put the $100 371 00:18:46,950 --> 00:18:50,860 Speaker 2: in because I need $100 for something else, find $100 372 00:18:50,869 --> 00:18:54,130 Speaker 2: or don't spend $100 on the other things, but put 373 00:18:54,130 --> 00:18:56,540 Speaker 2: the $100 in because you're going to be missing out 374 00:18:56,540 --> 00:19:01,010 Speaker 2: on $400 in 20 years time and that is what 375 00:19:01,010 --> 00:19:03,960 Speaker 2: you should be looking at, not what is happening today. 376 00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:05,790 Speaker 1: We're going for a short break, we'll be 377 00:19:05,790 --> 00:19:06,460 Speaker 2: right back. 378 00:19:06,740 --> 00:19:10,770 Speaker 1: Hi, my name is julie you and I'm the host 379 00:19:10,780 --> 00:19:13,460 Speaker 1: of the new season of the climate conversations 380 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:18,110 Speaker 1: from chefs to scientists, join me as we get personal 381 00:19:18,109 --> 00:19:21,719 Speaker 1: with the people driving change in sustainability. Look out for 382 00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:28,080 Speaker 1: our episodes wherever you get your podcasts, you're a seasoned investor, 383 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:29,909 Speaker 1: you've done this for so many years and as you mentioned, 384 00:19:29,910 --> 00:19:32,330 Speaker 1: you've got a lot of cash coming in, But do 385 00:19:32,330 --> 00:19:35,330 Speaker 1: you still remember your first investment loss when you saw 386 00:19:35,330 --> 00:19:37,350 Speaker 1: all the red and the screen and you felt that 387 00:19:37,350 --> 00:19:40,170 Speaker 1: it affected your perspective on investments? 388 00:19:40,740 --> 00:19:43,760 Speaker 2: Both. Yes and no, I think I learned some very 389 00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:47,669 Speaker 2: valuable lessons when I first started investing and one of 390 00:19:47,670 --> 00:19:50,490 Speaker 2: the biggest lessons I learned was that I invested in 391 00:19:50,490 --> 00:19:51,449 Speaker 2: the company, 392 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:54,770 Speaker 2: which at the time was a very stable company. 393 00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:59,139 Speaker 2: But then this company decided that it wanted to take 394 00:19:59,140 --> 00:20:02,379 Speaker 2: advantage of what was going on in the booming dot 395 00:20:02,380 --> 00:20:08,350 Speaker 2: com era. And so consequently it changed its business model 396 00:20:09,140 --> 00:20:11,449 Speaker 2: and because it changes its business model, 397 00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:15,510 Speaker 2: it borrowed a lot of money and eventually it went past. 398 00:20:15,619 --> 00:20:18,780 Speaker 2: And so the biggest lessons I learned was if you 399 00:20:18,780 --> 00:20:20,450 Speaker 2: were investing in a business, 400 00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:23,250 Speaker 2: then make sure that this company is going to carry 401 00:20:23,250 --> 00:20:25,570 Speaker 2: on doing what it said, it was going to be 402 00:20:25,570 --> 00:20:26,659 Speaker 2: doing right. 403 00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:31,020 Speaker 2: Don't invest in the company. That suddenly changes direction and 404 00:20:31,020 --> 00:20:34,690 Speaker 2: does something else. Because that wasn't your original investing thesis. 405 00:20:34,940 --> 00:20:38,360 Speaker 2: That wasn't the company that you invested in. This company 406 00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:41,470 Speaker 2: originally made household goods and all kinds of things and 407 00:20:41,470 --> 00:20:44,260 Speaker 2: suddenly decided that it wanted to go into the internet 408 00:20:44,740 --> 00:20:47,060 Speaker 2: and in order to do that, it borrowed a lot 409 00:20:47,060 --> 00:20:50,100 Speaker 2: of money. Then the dot com bubble came and it 410 00:20:50,100 --> 00:20:52,780 Speaker 2: couldn't repay the debt, it went bust and I lost 411 00:20:52,780 --> 00:20:55,859 Speaker 2: my money. But in the short term the share price 412 00:20:55,859 --> 00:20:59,530 Speaker 2: went up phenomenally. And I thought, what a clever guy 413 00:20:59,530 --> 00:21:03,550 Speaker 2: I am right. But then I forgot my first investing rule, 414 00:21:03,550 --> 00:21:04,170 Speaker 2: which was 415 00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:05,050 Speaker 2: don't lose money, 416 00:21:05,140 --> 00:21:08,500 Speaker 2: right? And the second investing rule is, don't forget rule 417 00:21:08,500 --> 00:21:11,080 Speaker 2: number one, don't lose money if you were invested in 418 00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:13,659 Speaker 2: the company and it suddenly changes direction. 419 00:21:14,540 --> 00:21:16,619 Speaker 2: Think twice about whether or not you want to carry 420 00:21:16,619 --> 00:21:19,850 Speaker 2: on investing in that company. And generally it is not 421 00:21:19,850 --> 00:21:22,060 Speaker 2: a good idea when a company does that. 422 00:21:22,940 --> 00:21:26,879 Speaker 1: What happens though? If you as an investor can't track 423 00:21:26,890 --> 00:21:31,080 Speaker 1: all these businesses that closely if I have to invest 424 00:21:31,090 --> 00:21:33,840 Speaker 1: all this money in the stock market, how do I 425 00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:36,840 Speaker 1: ensure that all these companies are going to stay on 426 00:21:36,840 --> 00:21:39,060 Speaker 1: track to what they set out to do. 427 00:21:39,070 --> 00:21:42,570 Speaker 2: Okay. There are two ways of doing it. Sarah. The 428 00:21:42,570 --> 00:21:45,770 Speaker 2: first one is keep your portfolio relatively small. 429 00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:49,790 Speaker 2: And so generally we say that you shouldn't invest if 430 00:21:49,790 --> 00:21:53,030 Speaker 2: you're going to be picking single stocks. Single companies don't 431 00:21:53,030 --> 00:21:57,010 Speaker 2: try and invest in hundreds or thousands of different companies 432 00:21:57,020 --> 00:22:01,090 Speaker 2: but keep your portfolio to around the 20 best companies 433 00:22:01,090 --> 00:22:03,280 Speaker 2: that you think you want to put your money into 434 00:22:03,290 --> 00:22:06,170 Speaker 2: and tracking 20 companies isn't that difficult? 435 00:22:06,540 --> 00:22:06,770 Speaker 2: But 436 00:22:07,340 --> 00:22:11,199 Speaker 2: my Children are at that stage now where they also 437 00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:14,340 Speaker 2: need to start investing money. And my advice to them 438 00:22:14,340 --> 00:22:18,460 Speaker 2: was invest in an index tracker and E. T. F. 439 00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:21,450 Speaker 2: And the E. T. F. That I suggested to them 440 00:22:21,450 --> 00:22:25,870 Speaker 2: was the MSC I World Index. And so you will 441 00:22:25,869 --> 00:22:29,330 Speaker 2: get exposure to the whole world and within that index 442 00:22:29,330 --> 00:22:32,050 Speaker 2: there will be thousands of companies and you don't have 443 00:22:32,050 --> 00:22:34,820 Speaker 2: to actually sort of know what is going on and 444 00:22:34,830 --> 00:22:38,090 Speaker 2: instead just let the index tracker do whatever you wanted 445 00:22:38,090 --> 00:22:38,550 Speaker 2: to do. 446 00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:41,439 Speaker 2: Now if you don't want to go overseas, you can 447 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:44,690 Speaker 2: stick to the Singapore straits times E. T. F. And 448 00:22:44,700 --> 00:22:49,170 Speaker 2: that way you will have exposure to Singapore's 30 biggest companies. 449 00:22:49,180 --> 00:22:51,620 Speaker 2: You don't have to watch how all 30 are doing 450 00:22:51,630 --> 00:22:56,310 Speaker 2: because that index will regenerate over time. It'll refresh over time. 451 00:22:56,320 --> 00:22:58,930 Speaker 2: Companies will go out to the index companies will come 452 00:22:58,930 --> 00:22:59,760 Speaker 2: into the index. 453 00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:01,359 Speaker 2: But what you are getting is 454 00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:05,859 Speaker 2: Exposure to the 30 biggest companies here in Singapore that 455 00:23:05,859 --> 00:23:08,229 Speaker 2: way you don't have to worry about anything. So going 456 00:23:08,230 --> 00:23:11,080 Speaker 2: back to all those different rules that I had, if 457 00:23:11,080 --> 00:23:14,330 Speaker 2: you're going to be putting 60% of your money into 458 00:23:14,330 --> 00:23:17,270 Speaker 2: the stock market, make sure that 60% is in the 459 00:23:17,270 --> 00:23:18,770 Speaker 2: Singapore Straits Times Index 460 00:23:18,940 --> 00:23:21,400 Speaker 2: and just let the do it for you. You don't 461 00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:22,170 Speaker 2: have to do anything 462 00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:25,090 Speaker 2: and the charges are considerably lower as well. 463 00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:29,180 Speaker 1: If our listeners have some extra cash, let's say from 464 00:23:29,180 --> 00:23:32,409 Speaker 1: a bonus payout or even a side hustle, where do 465 00:23:32,410 --> 00:23:33,360 Speaker 1: you think they should put it 466 00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:37,060 Speaker 2: right, you have to go back again to those earlier 467 00:23:37,060 --> 00:23:40,140 Speaker 2: rules that I had. And first of all remember that 468 00:23:40,140 --> 00:23:44,390 Speaker 2: a bonus payment isn't guaranteed. So a bonus this year 469 00:23:44,390 --> 00:23:46,560 Speaker 2: may not be a bonus next year. There may not 470 00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:49,060 Speaker 2: be a bonus next year, but if you have got 471 00:23:49,060 --> 00:23:51,860 Speaker 2: some extra cash then put it to work straight away. 472 00:23:52,260 --> 00:23:54,760 Speaker 2: What I wouldn't suggest is to spend that money 473 00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:57,290 Speaker 2: or to go on holiday because it is a bonus. 474 00:23:57,300 --> 00:23:59,590 Speaker 2: But just think of it as being something that you 475 00:23:59,590 --> 00:24:03,390 Speaker 2: can put to work immediately and if there are various 476 00:24:03,390 --> 00:24:06,110 Speaker 2: parts of your portfolio that you think need beefing up 477 00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:09,470 Speaker 2: then do so just put that money in because remember 478 00:24:09,470 --> 00:24:12,490 Speaker 2: what I said, the $100 that you put in today 479 00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:14,160 Speaker 2: at a 7% return 480 00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:18,750 Speaker 2: Will turn into $200 in 10 years time and $400 481 00:24:18,750 --> 00:24:21,729 Speaker 2: in 20 years time. So just think of that bonus 482 00:24:21,730 --> 00:24:24,399 Speaker 2: as being something extra. And the other thing that people 483 00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:25,760 Speaker 2: need to remember is that 484 00:24:26,140 --> 00:24:29,010 Speaker 2: It isn't what you earn that makes you rich Sarah. 485 00:24:29,020 --> 00:24:32,090 Speaker 2: It's how you spend what you've got that counts, right? 486 00:24:32,100 --> 00:24:36,100 Speaker 2: And so the bonus is an extra and so put 487 00:24:36,100 --> 00:24:39,540 Speaker 2: that to work somewhere and you will not regret it 488 00:24:39,550 --> 00:24:41,860 Speaker 2: in 20 or 30 years time 489 00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:45,660 Speaker 1: you just talked me out of buying a nice bag. 490 00:24:45,670 --> 00:24:50,620 Speaker 2: There's nothing wrong with having a nice bag. No. 491 00:24:50,630 --> 00:24:54,070 Speaker 1: Back to what you're saying about putting your money to work. 492 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:59,030 Speaker 2: My goodness, my husband. 493 00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:03,240 Speaker 1: Um back to what you're saying is putting your money 494 00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:06,270 Speaker 1: to work immediately, not making sure it's not just sitting there. 495 00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:10,200 Speaker 1: There is another side to this where recently we've seen 496 00:25:10,210 --> 00:25:11,889 Speaker 1: a lot of young people put their money in the 497 00:25:11,890 --> 00:25:16,180 Speaker 1: crypto market or crypto related products and like what we 498 00:25:16,180 --> 00:25:19,540 Speaker 1: saw in the stock market, the crypto market has also 499 00:25:19,540 --> 00:25:22,490 Speaker 1: been battered. We heard what happened with us T and 500 00:25:22,490 --> 00:25:26,240 Speaker 1: luna crashing one report by Today online said one investor 501 00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:30,680 Speaker 1: here in Singapore lost $40,000 just in days. So what 502 00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:34,730 Speaker 1: do you think young investors should take away from this experience? 503 00:25:34,740 --> 00:25:39,140 Speaker 2: Okay, remember what I was saying about the pyramid, right? 60% 504 00:25:39,140 --> 00:25:43,660 Speaker 2: in income shares, 30% in grow shares and the other 10% 505 00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:47,290 Speaker 2: In whatever you want now, if that whatever you want 506 00:25:47,300 --> 00:25:51,430 Speaker 2: that 10% you put into cryptocurrencies and then you suddenly 507 00:25:51,430 --> 00:25:52,960 Speaker 2: had a look at your pyramid 508 00:25:53,940 --> 00:25:58,100 Speaker 2: And you suddenly found that that 10% is now 60% 509 00:25:58,100 --> 00:26:01,220 Speaker 2: of your portfolio. You need to rebalance, you need to 510 00:26:01,220 --> 00:26:05,090 Speaker 2: do something and keep that at 10% because otherwise, what 511 00:26:05,090 --> 00:26:08,000 Speaker 2: you'll end up with is the pyramid being tipped upside 512 00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:10,909 Speaker 2: down and we all know that you cannot balance a 513 00:26:10,910 --> 00:26:14,270 Speaker 2: pyramid on its point easily. So that is what happened 514 00:26:14,270 --> 00:26:15,270 Speaker 2: to these people. 515 00:26:15,340 --> 00:26:18,840 Speaker 2: They put their money into the crypto currencies and sure 516 00:26:18,850 --> 00:26:20,990 Speaker 2: they probably made a lot of money. What they should 517 00:26:20,990 --> 00:26:23,730 Speaker 2: have done was to take that money that they had 518 00:26:23,730 --> 00:26:28,370 Speaker 2: made and then rebalance their portfolio so that the cryptocurrencies 519 00:26:28,369 --> 00:26:31,300 Speaker 2: or whatever it was, is still only 10% of your 520 00:26:31,300 --> 00:26:35,860 Speaker 2: portfolio that way, if you lose 10%, you still have 90%. 521 00:26:36,340 --> 00:26:40,590 Speaker 2: But if that 10% suddenly becomes 60% of your portfolio 522 00:26:40,600 --> 00:26:44,270 Speaker 2: and that blows up, then you've lost 60% of whatever 523 00:26:44,270 --> 00:26:48,399 Speaker 2: investment you had. So the pyramid is a very, very 524 00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:51,910 Speaker 2: sort of strong base. It's a very strong concept for 525 00:26:51,910 --> 00:26:55,680 Speaker 2: people to think about how their portfolio is looking. And 526 00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:56,260 Speaker 2: I am, 527 00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:59,570 Speaker 2: I wouldn't say constantly, but I'm regularly looking at my 528 00:26:59,570 --> 00:27:00,760 Speaker 2: portfolio and say 529 00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:04,310 Speaker 2: Have I got 60% in income, have I got 30% 530 00:27:04,310 --> 00:27:07,880 Speaker 2: in growth and that other 10% of those investments that 531 00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:11,070 Speaker 2: I have have, they grown too big. If they have 532 00:27:11,100 --> 00:27:14,159 Speaker 2: then I need to either number one put more money 533 00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:17,810 Speaker 2: into the income side or number to try and reduce 534 00:27:17,810 --> 00:27:20,270 Speaker 2: the amount on the top by selling some of it 535 00:27:20,340 --> 00:27:21,359 Speaker 2: in order to 536 00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:24,830 Speaker 2: maintain that pyramid shape again. And if you have the 537 00:27:24,830 --> 00:27:27,780 Speaker 2: pyramid shape, I can assure you you will sleep very 538 00:27:27,780 --> 00:27:31,190 Speaker 2: well at night. But if that pyramid is tipped upside 539 00:27:31,190 --> 00:27:34,220 Speaker 2: down and it's balancing on its point, you will have 540 00:27:34,230 --> 00:27:37,570 Speaker 2: loads of sleepless nights and I love my sleep. 541 00:27:37,580 --> 00:27:42,120 Speaker 1: Don't you mentioned that as a rule of thumb, your 542 00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:45,690 Speaker 1: investment should double in 10 years if you get a 7% return, 543 00:27:46,160 --> 00:27:46,760 Speaker 1: is that right? 544 00:27:46,940 --> 00:27:51,070 Speaker 1: Where do we find 7% returns now? You're seeing the 545 00:27:51,070 --> 00:27:55,030 Speaker 1: market down and sometimes it's quite discouraging when I think 7%. 546 00:27:55,030 --> 00:27:55,780 Speaker 1: Where do I go? 547 00:27:55,790 --> 00:27:59,260 Speaker 2: Okay, right. I think it is primarily because you are 548 00:27:59,260 --> 00:28:02,209 Speaker 2: falling into that same trap of the recent event syndrome. 549 00:28:02,210 --> 00:28:04,960 Speaker 2: You're saying that the stock market is down at the moment. 550 00:28:05,140 --> 00:28:07,040 Speaker 2: But if you go back and you have a look 551 00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:07,270 Speaker 2: at 552 00:28:07,340 --> 00:28:09,590 Speaker 2: Over the long term, if you have a look at 553 00:28:09,590 --> 00:28:12,580 Speaker 2: how the stock market has performed over the long term, 554 00:28:12,590 --> 00:28:16,810 Speaker 2: you will be able to find the 7% right. It is, 555 00:28:16,820 --> 00:28:18,410 Speaker 2: it is not that difficult. 556 00:28:18,700 --> 00:28:21,600 Speaker 1: 7% over 10 years. Not every year, 557 00:28:21,609 --> 00:28:22,949 Speaker 2: 7%. Every year. 558 00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:23,949 Speaker 1: Every year, I'm looking at 559 00:28:23,950 --> 00:28:27,050 Speaker 2: 7% a year accumulating 560 00:28:27,140 --> 00:28:30,379 Speaker 2: Over the ten-year period. So you should be able to 561 00:28:30,380 --> 00:28:32,659 Speaker 2: get a 7% return on your investment 562 00:28:32,740 --> 00:28:35,879 Speaker 2: Without a great deal of difficulty. If you want more 563 00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:38,400 Speaker 2: than that, then you will have to actually start looking 564 00:28:38,400 --> 00:28:41,370 Speaker 2: at shares that I have the capability of delivering more 565 00:28:41,370 --> 00:28:45,120 Speaker 2: than the 7% return. But in general you should be 566 00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:48,900 Speaker 2: able to get at least 7%, I'm getting more than that. 567 00:28:48,910 --> 00:28:51,459 Speaker 2: But where 568 00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:52,960 Speaker 2: that is because I am 569 00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:57,140 Speaker 2: That is because I am more tolerant of risk. And 570 00:28:57,140 --> 00:29:00,090 Speaker 2: so I am able to pick stocks that have the 571 00:29:00,090 --> 00:29:05,940 Speaker 2: ability of growing 15, a year. And because I do 572 00:29:05,940 --> 00:29:09,710 Speaker 2: that my portfolio grows a lot faster than 7% a year. 573 00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:11,060 Speaker 2: So if you can pick 574 00:29:11,140 --> 00:29:14,050 Speaker 2: A portfolio that can grow at 14% a year, 575 00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:16,800 Speaker 2: Then you will double your money every five years instead 576 00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:19,720 Speaker 2: of every 10 years. There are those investments around 577 00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:24,739 Speaker 1: you mean like specific stocks versus index funds that you mentioned. 578 00:29:25,340 --> 00:29:27,840 Speaker 2: If you want to look for index funds that have 579 00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:31,890 Speaker 2: the ability to grow faster than 7%, then you will 580 00:29:31,890 --> 00:29:35,440 Speaker 2: have to have a look at certain specific indices. So 581 00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:38,480 Speaker 2: something like a bunch of stocks that follow NASDAQ will 582 00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:40,360 Speaker 2: give you more than 7% a year. 583 00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:42,610 Speaker 2: But if you have a look at say the Singapore 584 00:29:42,610 --> 00:29:45,860 Speaker 2: Straits Times Index, that is around 7% a year. 585 00:29:45,940 --> 00:29:49,520 Speaker 1: Okay, anything else that you think the young investors should 586 00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:52,750 Speaker 1: keep in mind or any mistakes that you, you're seeing 587 00:29:52,750 --> 00:29:53,920 Speaker 1: too often. 588 00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:59,620 Speaker 2: I think the biggest problem that people have is listening 589 00:29:59,620 --> 00:30:00,270 Speaker 2: to 590 00:30:02,140 --> 00:30:03,640 Speaker 1: say it, David, 591 00:30:03,650 --> 00:30:08,090 Speaker 2: no, is listening to experts out there, right. There are 592 00:30:08,090 --> 00:30:12,300 Speaker 2: many experts out there, and the problem with experts is 593 00:30:12,300 --> 00:30:12,670 Speaker 2: that 594 00:30:13,140 --> 00:30:16,550 Speaker 2: they are experts in their own field. And so when 595 00:30:16,550 --> 00:30:19,190 Speaker 2: you listen to too many experts, what you then end 596 00:30:19,190 --> 00:30:22,400 Speaker 2: up with is far too much information that you need 597 00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:25,590 Speaker 2: to be able to digest. The simplest thing that you 598 00:30:25,590 --> 00:30:26,960 Speaker 2: need to remember is that 599 00:30:27,340 --> 00:30:31,250 Speaker 2: over the long term the stock market will grow, right? 600 00:30:31,260 --> 00:30:34,620 Speaker 2: That is just a feature of capitalism that the stock 601 00:30:34,620 --> 00:30:38,460 Speaker 2: market will grow. Companies will find ways of generating profits 602 00:30:38,460 --> 00:30:41,860 Speaker 2: for their shareholders and they will do whatever they can 603 00:30:41,870 --> 00:30:45,570 Speaker 2: if they are dividend paying companies. The last thing they 604 00:30:45,570 --> 00:30:47,260 Speaker 2: want to do is to cut the dividend. 605 00:30:47,340 --> 00:30:49,490 Speaker 2: The last thing they want to do is to withhold 606 00:30:49,490 --> 00:30:50,290 Speaker 2: that dividend. 607 00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:53,070 Speaker 2: They want to carry on paying that dividend. And there 608 00:30:53,070 --> 00:30:56,690 Speaker 2: are some companies out there which we call dividend aristocrats. 609 00:30:56,830 --> 00:30:59,900 Speaker 2: And these are companies that have been able to either 610 00:30:59,900 --> 00:31:05,740 Speaker 2: maintain or to grow their dividends over the last 25 years. Right? 611 00:31:05,750 --> 00:31:08,510 Speaker 2: And if a company is able to grow its dividend 612 00:31:08,510 --> 00:31:11,670 Speaker 2: over 25 years, can you imagine what has happened to 613 00:31:11,670 --> 00:31:13,860 Speaker 2: the share price over the 25 years 614 00:31:13,940 --> 00:31:17,070 Speaker 2: it has actually gone up at the same rate. And 615 00:31:17,070 --> 00:31:21,080 Speaker 2: so consequently look for those kind of companies, they do exist. 616 00:31:21,090 --> 00:31:24,780 Speaker 2: I'm not here to give you stock specific tips but 617 00:31:24,790 --> 00:31:28,930 Speaker 2: there are companies that fall into that dividend aristocrat google 618 00:31:28,930 --> 00:31:31,320 Speaker 2: that and then you'll be able to find those companies 619 00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:32,060 Speaker 2: and you'll go 620 00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:35,630 Speaker 2: wow those are the companies that I want to invest 621 00:31:35,630 --> 00:31:38,240 Speaker 2: in over the long term and I don't ever want 622 00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:39,370 Speaker 2: to sell those shares. 623 00:31:39,820 --> 00:31:45,870 Speaker 1: Lots of rules of thumb from David today you have 624 00:31:45,870 --> 00:31:49,650 Speaker 1: to invest and the sooner the better in your investment 625 00:31:49,650 --> 00:31:51,960 Speaker 1: portfolio depends of course on your age 626 00:31:52,140 --> 00:31:55,250 Speaker 1: and that inflation will eat away the value of your 627 00:31:55,250 --> 00:31:58,390 Speaker 1: money if you don't do anything about it. Thanks so much, 628 00:31:58,400 --> 00:31:58,930 Speaker 1: David for your 629 00:31:58,930 --> 00:32:00,060 Speaker 2: thank you. Thank you so much. 630 00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:05,830 Speaker 1: We hope you enjoyed this episode of money talks. My 631 00:32:05,830 --> 00:32:09,580 Speaker 1: guest next week is planning on retiring at 35 so 632 00:32:09,580 --> 00:32:12,210 Speaker 1: I find out how he's planning to do that. The 633 00:32:12,210 --> 00:32:15,660 Speaker 1: team behind this podcast is hope a name. Danieley Christina 634 00:32:15,660 --> 00:32:19,010 Speaker 1: Robert and you've got a refreshed slate of audio material 635 00:32:19,010 --> 00:32:21,860 Speaker 1: you can listen to on your commute or your workout 636 00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:24,080 Speaker 1: go to the C. N. A. Website or app. Look 637 00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:25,060 Speaker 1: for the listen button 638 00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:28,710 Speaker 1: and subscribe to the podcast. See like if you have thoughts, 639 00:32:28,710 --> 00:32:31,300 Speaker 1: ideas or even stories you'd like to share. Please write 640 00:32:31,300 --> 00:32:34,140 Speaker 1: to us. The details are in our episode notes. Until 641 00:32:34,140 --> 00:32:37,060 Speaker 1: next time. This is Sarah call Dean. 642 00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:37,670 Speaker 2: Mhm