WEBVTT - The draft "deal" and why it would be a disaster

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to today's podcast sponsored by Hillsdale College, All Things

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<v Speaker 1>Hillsdale at Hillsdale dot ed or I encourage you to

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<v Speaker 1>take advantage of the many free online courses there, and

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<v Speaker 1>of course I'll listen to the Hillsdale dialogues, all of

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<v Speaker 1>them at Hugh for Hillsdale dot com or just Google, Apple,

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<v Speaker 1>iTunes and Hillsdale Reas Amarica. I'm Hugh Hewett on this Wednesday.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a lot going on. There's really one big story.

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<v Speaker 1>The big story is let me read it to you.

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<v Speaker 1>I Meet Segal posted this earlier on x A Meet

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<v Speaker 1>of course Channel twelve, leading political analyst in Israel, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's very wired in Israel. According to Barak revide I

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<v Speaker 1>Meet begins. The US in Iran are at the closest

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<v Speaker 1>point to agreement since the war began. The framework includes

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<v Speaker 1>point one, the US and Iranian naval blockade will be

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<v Speaker 1>gradually lifted during the detailed negotiation period. Red light, red light.

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<v Speaker 1>Detailed negotiation period. You don't need a detailed negotiation period.

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<v Speaker 1>They need to stop firing at chips and let the

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<v Speaker 1>ever everybody out in our blockades got to continue. Point

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<v Speaker 1>number two, the United States will commit in the memorandum

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<v Speaker 1>of understanding to graduately lift sanctions and release tens of

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<v Speaker 1>billions of dollars of frozen assets. Bad. That gives Donald

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<v Speaker 1>Trump the odor of Barack Obama. That's his palets of cash.

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<v Speaker 1>The regime is on the brink of collapse. They can't

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<v Speaker 1>pay their thugs. Don't give them any money ever. Number Three,

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<v Speaker 1>negotiations are still under way on the duration of the

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<v Speaker 1>uranium enrichment free what the President told me on Monday

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<v Speaker 1>on this program, No enrichment, not now, not ever, never,

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<v Speaker 1>And they're maybe it'll be fifteen years, maybe it'll be

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<v Speaker 1>at least twelve. No, no enrichment. They don't need it.

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<v Speaker 1>They're fanatics and lunatics, as Marco Ribio said yesterday, they're

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<v Speaker 1>insane in the head, as the President said on Monday,

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<v Speaker 1>they're lunatics. As Marco Ribio said, they're lunatics. They don't

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<v Speaker 1>get to enrich period. Then two sources claim that Iran

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<v Speaker 1>would agree to transfer the highly enriched uranium it possesses

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<v Speaker 1>out of the country. Okay, that's fine, that'd be step

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<v Speaker 1>number one. Okay, Iran, you're serious. We got the blockhead going.

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to send in a team from the International

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<v Speaker 1>Atomic Energy Agency. They're going to supervise the excavation of Fodor.

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<v Speaker 1>They're going to take out whatever remains, and they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to ship it to the United States, much like we

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<v Speaker 1>did with Libya, much like we did with Ukraine, much

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<v Speaker 1>like we did with Kazakhstan, much like we did with

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<v Speaker 1>South Africa. We know how to do this. That's where

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<v Speaker 1>we start. We get your six hundred pounds or one

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<v Speaker 1>thousand pounds of hu. Even if it's dust, as it

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<v Speaker 1>probably is, you might be able to use that dust.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a good faith measure. That's where we begin. Then

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<v Speaker 1>they say the United States is expected to get Iran's

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<v Speaker 1>response within forty eight hours. Now I don't know who

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<v Speaker 1>link this. I can't believe Steve Witkof for Jared Kushner

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<v Speaker 1>have their name on Munich two point zero. I can't

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<v Speaker 1>believe the president would agree to this. I really can't.

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<v Speaker 1>It's time to go back to war with these people.

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<v Speaker 1>They shot at the UAE yesterday, fifteen missiles, two cruise missiles,

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<v Speaker 1>a bunch of drones. They're not serious, they're killers. They're

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<v Speaker 1>a lunatic. To Mehiti's in charge, it's a hunta time

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<v Speaker 1>to go back to war in a kinetic fashion until

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<v Speaker 1>they say, you know what, we can't win this. Meanwhile,

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<v Speaker 1>I just want the president to know what's coming. Former

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<v Speaker 1>Secretary of Stain Anthony Blinkin was at the Economic Club

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<v Speaker 1>of New York. He's still defending the JZPOA today, cut

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<v Speaker 1>number seven.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, this gets to something larger, which is we're

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<v Speaker 2>living in a time, in a period where that is

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<v Speaker 2>so binary, where it's impossible it seems for people to

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<v Speaker 2>hold multiple ideas in their heads at the same time.

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<v Speaker 3>And so yes, from I think Steck to.

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<v Speaker 2>The United States, in many countries in the region, around

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<v Speaker 2>the world and clear rent is not a good thing,

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<v Speaker 2>which is why administration after administration has looked at how do.

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<v Speaker 4>We deal with this?

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<v Speaker 2>But the conclusions that previous administrations drew were different than

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<v Speaker 2>the ones that President Trump drew. When during the Obama administration,

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<v Speaker 2>when we brought when we got the JCPOA, the around

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<v Speaker 2>nuclear deal, of course we looked at military options, but

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<v Speaker 2>we concluded then that if we exercised a military option one,

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<v Speaker 2>there could be all these second and third or consequences,

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<v Speaker 2>including straight orf Hord moves, including attacks on our forces

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<v Speaker 2>and our people, in the region, including attacks on our

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<v Speaker 2>partners in the region, and to what gain we assessed

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<v Speaker 2>back then.

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<v Speaker 4>It's been publicly reported that in all likelihood, if.

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<v Speaker 2>We wanted the program, we might gain a couple of

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<v Speaker 2>years at best, that Iran would be rebuild and it

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<v Speaker 2>would rebuild deeper underground. It would be harder to get out,

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<v Speaker 2>and we'd be right back where we started. On the

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<v Speaker 2>other hand, doing the hard work of diplomacy getting a

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<v Speaker 2>deal bought us, in the case of the JCPOA, ten fifteen,

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<v Speaker 2>twenty years, depending on the different constraints.

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<v Speaker 1>It bought you nothing with regards to missiles, remember that

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<v Speaker 1>it bought you nothing with the big guard to the

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<v Speaker 1>forest of missiles that they built around Fulldor. Got you

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<v Speaker 1>nothing about underground pickack from and Fodor. It bought you

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<v Speaker 1>nothing except lies and death and more terrorism around Israel.

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<v Speaker 1>It was a complete and abject failure. Don't mister President

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<v Speaker 1>do what they did because it's already out there. Oh,

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<v Speaker 1>he's just signing the JCPOA. Why do you tear it

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<v Speaker 1>up in the first place. Don't fall for that. Meanwhile,

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<v Speaker 1>we've got Richard Goldberg, who helps stand up the National

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<v Speaker 1>Energy Dominance Council. Now with the Foundation for the Defensive Democracy,

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<v Speaker 1>talk about what is going on in Iran right now,

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<v Speaker 1>the reason we don't want to step in and save

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<v Speaker 1>them kind number eight.

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<v Speaker 4>Listen, they're looking at the intel right.

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<v Speaker 5>We talked a little bit earlier you have in this

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<v Speaker 5>discussion about the fracture in the regime. President pezeshk In,

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<v Speaker 5>who's sort of the political person who's managing the government,

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<v Speaker 5>sees the money running out, doesn't know how he's going

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<v Speaker 5>to make payroll, is gasoline about to come to a shortage,

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<v Speaker 5>all of these things that he's dealing with, banks teetering on,

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<v Speaker 5>the vergic collapse. And then Ahmud Vehidi, who's heading this

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<v Speaker 5>committee running the country based from the IRGC, who to

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<v Speaker 5>keep the war going. And so you know, the president

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<v Speaker 5>is seeing this food fight going on. Maybe he likes that.

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<v Speaker 5>Maybe he thinks going back to major military operations coalesces

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<v Speaker 5>that committee instead of fracturing the committee. So I think

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<v Speaker 5>there is this ying and ying here. Now, what would

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<v Speaker 5>you do at the lowest level of escalation, I would

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<v Speaker 5>say the Rock Island, which is a little tiny island,

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<v Speaker 5>to go back to the map that sticks out right

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<v Speaker 5>there next to the Strait of Horn moves is where

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<v Speaker 5>the IRGC has run their quote unquote toll booth out

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<v Speaker 5>of It's where they have a coordination cell.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean just take them out at that point.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, if they're firing, that's your moment to respond

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<v Speaker 5>with self defensive fire on key IRGC based as in

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<v Speaker 5>command of control. I'd start with the Rock Island to

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<v Speaker 5>see if you're able to send a message.

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<v Speaker 1>They cannot last, all right, they cannot last. They don't

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<v Speaker 1>have any revenue. There are thugs are leaving, they've got

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<v Speaker 1>division within the regime. Maybe you push you a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit harder, like Richard Goldberg suggests, but you don't collapse.

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<v Speaker 1>Chris Wright check Tery of Energy, made the key point

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<v Speaker 1>on Fox Business this morning, and Maria Barroomo cut number six.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, Maria, I think what we saw and certainly what

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<v Speaker 6>the Iranians saw with Project Freedom is one way or

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<v Speaker 6>the other, the United States is going to have free flow.

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<v Speaker 4>Of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.

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<v Speaker 6>It can be in an agreement with Iran, or it

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<v Speaker 6>can be without an agreement with Iran. And I think

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<v Speaker 6>the fear that the United States's military is going to

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<v Speaker 6>open the strait, whether Iran wants it or not made

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<v Speaker 6>them realize if that's true, we've gotten nothing. We have

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<v Speaker 6>no remaining leverage. Maybe we should get more reasonable and

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<v Speaker 6>get back to the table with the United States and

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<v Speaker 6>see what we can get out of this.

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<v Speaker 4>We're going to have to give up.

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<v Speaker 1>Our new core program.

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<v Speaker 6>We're going to have to stop terrorizing the Middle East. Hey,

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<v Speaker 6>maybe the ninety million people in Iran can find a

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<v Speaker 6>way to a better life. But the only leverage they

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<v Speaker 6>have has been impeding flow of traffic through the straits

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<v Speaker 6>of Hormuz, and Mike Worth is right. They've been successful

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<v Speaker 6>at that so far. But we can change that if

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<v Speaker 6>we need to do it unilaterally.

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<v Speaker 1>He's right, we can, and we should. Secretary Wright is correct.

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<v Speaker 1>They've run out of money, they've run out of options,

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<v Speaker 1>they have no cards left to play. They're counting on

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<v Speaker 1>American left pressure on other than Trump to warn of

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<v Speaker 1>a wipeout at the elections in November because of gas prices.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the argument you make to the American people is,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sorry about the pain at the pump. We've got

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<v Speaker 1>to bring this regime down because they're lunatics and they

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<v Speaker 1>cannot have nuclear weapon. One more cut. Marco Rubio at

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<v Speaker 1>the White House left turn yesterday cut number eleven.

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<v Speaker 7>Everyone has shown that it's been able to withstand a

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<v Speaker 7>lot of pressure, and yesterday President Trump has said that

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<v Speaker 7>they may run out of oil storage in two weeks.

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<v Speaker 7>Do you believe that that will be the thing that

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<v Speaker 7>gets them to the table to give up their nuclear ambitions?

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<v Speaker 8>And if not, what will be that thing?

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<v Speaker 9>Well, look, they're suffering devastating damage to their economy, you're right,

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<v Speaker 9>But it's not that they're able to withstand pressures that

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<v Speaker 9>they don't care that their people are suffering. You understand, right,

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<v Speaker 9>there's a difference between we can understand pressure and we

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<v Speaker 9>actually don't care. Now, I think there are people in

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<v Speaker 9>their system that care more than others.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, some of the elected.

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<v Speaker 9>People that you see, some of the people you see

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<v Speaker 9>on television with the suits on. You know, those guys

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<v Speaker 9>care because they know, at the end of the day

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<v Speaker 9>they have to live in the reality. And then you

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<v Speaker 9>have an other element of their government, the clerical, the clerics,

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<v Speaker 9>the IERGC types, who probably are more immune to that

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<v Speaker 9>and care less. They're more interested in regime survivor at

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<v Speaker 9>all costs. But ultimately, the pressure points are what they are.

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<v Speaker 7>They add now that they were before, because the administration

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<v Speaker 7>has said that the Iranian regime is divided, making it

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<v Speaker 7>very challenging.

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<v Speaker 9>Well, it's been challenging to deal with them diplomatically because,

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<v Speaker 9>for example, an offer will be made and then it

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<v Speaker 9>takes five or six days to get a response because

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<v Speaker 9>you have to get it through their whole system.

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<v Speaker 4>They have to find the supreme leader wherever he hides.

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<v Speaker 10>They got to get.

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<v Speaker 9>Him to sign off, and their system has always been

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<v Speaker 9>multi layered in this way. It's obviously become more complex

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<v Speaker 9>because of the damage they suffered during the war. But

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<v Speaker 9>look suffice that to say Iran has to pay a price.

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<v Speaker 9>They're not going to change their position out of the

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<v Speaker 9>kindness of their heart. There has to be a pressure

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<v Speaker 9>point on them that causes them to realize they cannot

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<v Speaker 9>continue to close the straits or they face crushing economic consequences.

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<v Speaker 9>But also you know global diplomatic isolation, which they have

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<v Speaker 9>proven in the past to be susceptible to. But you're right,

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<v Speaker 9>they have a high pain threshold, but they don't have

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<v Speaker 9>an unlimited pain threshold.

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<v Speaker 4>Nobody does.

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<v Speaker 1>Nobody does. The lunatics on in charge of your own

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<v Speaker 1>right now they have the highest pain threshold. Maybe you

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<v Speaker 1>want to kill them, Maybe you want to kill the eighty.

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<v Speaker 1>I think Harmoni two point zero is already dead. But

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<v Speaker 1>maybe you want to kill the rest of the Linta,

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<v Speaker 1>but you don't do a deal with them. I'll be

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<v Speaker 1>right back when Noah, author of the forthcoming Blood and Progress,

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<v Speaker 1>don't go anywhere. Norah Rothman his neck on the u

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<v Speaker 1>U at chet.

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<v Speaker 11>With a body gout in silver pain, every heaven place, detail,

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<v Speaker 11>whatever he wanted you, and he laid it out the

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<v Speaker 11>waste it is by gods and said the game with

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<v Speaker 11>no match for the jagab.

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome back America. That is a course Dylan from Blood

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<v Speaker 1>on the Tracks. I use that now as Noah Rothman's

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<v Speaker 1>intro music because his new book, Blood and Progress comes

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<v Speaker 1>out soon. You should pre order it now. I just

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<v Speaker 1>posted the link on my ex account. Noah, welcome back

0:11:20.040 --> 0:11:23.520
<v Speaker 1>from your European tour. Was that a tour in advance

0:11:23.600 --> 0:11:25.600
<v Speaker 1>of the publication of Blood in Progress?

0:11:26.840 --> 0:11:29.640
<v Speaker 12>It was neither a tour nor European. I took a

0:11:29.679 --> 0:11:32.760
<v Speaker 12>week with my wife in Jamaica in advance of what

0:11:32.880 --> 0:11:34.600
<v Speaker 12>I hope will be a very busy book.

0:11:34.440 --> 0:11:36.880
<v Speaker 4>Tour, and I thank you for contributing to that. We

0:11:36.920 --> 0:11:37.920
<v Speaker 4>will make possible here.

0:11:38.240 --> 0:11:40.199
<v Speaker 1>We are going to try and make that a number

0:11:40.200 --> 0:11:41.800
<v Speaker 1>one on the New York Times. In order to get

0:11:41.800 --> 0:11:45.480
<v Speaker 1>it going. You got some unfortunate help when you were

0:11:45.520 --> 0:11:48.480
<v Speaker 1>away at the White House Correspondence Association, when you had

0:11:48.520 --> 0:11:51.920
<v Speaker 1>another leftist with a gun tried to change American history.

0:11:51.960 --> 0:11:54.880
<v Speaker 1>This is becoming a movie that repeats all too often.

0:11:54.640 --> 0:11:59.560
<v Speaker 12>Noah, yeah, no joke. And it's pretty ghost to promote

0:11:59.600 --> 0:12:01.960
<v Speaker 12>my book about this phenomenon on the back of what

0:12:02.080 --> 0:12:05.520
<v Speaker 12>could have been epocal violence. But it's nevertheless the fact

0:12:05.600 --> 0:12:08.320
<v Speaker 12>that we are surrounded by incidents that confirm the thesis

0:12:08.360 --> 0:12:08.960
<v Speaker 12>of this book.

0:12:09.360 --> 0:12:11.120
<v Speaker 4>And it's equally.

0:12:10.760 --> 0:12:14.199
<v Speaker 12>Interesting to hear people pivot directly after an incident after

0:12:14.280 --> 0:12:17.480
<v Speaker 12>incident of left wing violence to the preternaturally violent right

0:12:17.520 --> 0:12:20.400
<v Speaker 12>and a threat posed to it. This book addresses that,

0:12:20.920 --> 0:12:24.520
<v Speaker 12>but also that particular shooter was fascinating because of the

0:12:24.559 --> 0:12:25.520
<v Speaker 12>banality of.

0:12:25.480 --> 0:12:27.920
<v Speaker 4>The things that he believed in, just the kind.

0:12:27.760 --> 0:12:32.120
<v Speaker 12>Of stuff that passes for casual political discourse on forums

0:12:32.160 --> 0:12:35.600
<v Speaker 12>like Blue Sky, to the extent that CBS's Norah O'Donnell

0:12:35.640 --> 0:12:38.840
<v Speaker 12>confronted the president with this guy's ramblings, which should have

0:12:38.920 --> 0:12:42.319
<v Speaker 12>been discredited by his actions, but the degree to which

0:12:42.520 --> 0:12:47.240
<v Speaker 12>mainstream reporters, democratic activists, even democratic politicians marinate in this stuff.

0:12:47.760 --> 0:12:51.680
<v Speaker 12>False notions about the President being a pedophile, a rapist,

0:12:51.720 --> 0:12:53.800
<v Speaker 12>a traitor to the United States, this is all just

0:12:53.880 --> 0:12:57.920
<v Speaker 12>common fair in left wing discourse, and it's radicalizing, and

0:12:57.960 --> 0:13:01.000
<v Speaker 12>it's the sort of thing that democrats and and progressives

0:13:01.040 --> 0:13:05.120
<v Speaker 12>need to be aware of because impressionable minds, distorted minds

0:13:05.520 --> 0:13:08.280
<v Speaker 12>are taking action on the things that they're saying you

0:13:08.360 --> 0:13:09.120
<v Speaker 12>need to act on.

0:13:09.679 --> 0:13:11.600
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, can we pause on that for a moment. I

0:13:11.640 --> 0:13:15.160
<v Speaker 1>asked the President about Nora O'Donnell on Monday, because I

0:13:15.200 --> 0:13:17.880
<v Speaker 1>would have gotten up in the left if someone repeated

0:13:17.880 --> 0:13:20.560
<v Speaker 1>a libel about me, And he said, well, that would

0:13:20.559 --> 0:13:23.760
<v Speaker 1>have drawn more attention to what do you think about

0:13:23.800 --> 0:13:28.000
<v Speaker 1>her reading that that was premeditated? She and her producers

0:13:28.080 --> 0:13:30.920
<v Speaker 1>worked through whatever his response might be. I've done enough

0:13:30.960 --> 0:13:33.800
<v Speaker 1>network debates. I know how they do this stuff that

0:13:33.880 --> 0:13:36.120
<v Speaker 1>doesn't that doesn't happen accidentally.

0:13:37.520 --> 0:13:38.520
<v Speaker 4>I honestly don't know.

0:13:38.960 --> 0:13:43.120
<v Speaker 12>But I would posit the theory that the notion that

0:13:43.160 --> 0:13:47.959
<v Speaker 12>the president was convicted of something akin to criminal sexual

0:13:48.000 --> 0:13:51.160
<v Speaker 12>assault in the Eging Caroll case that the Russia probe

0:13:51.280 --> 0:13:54.360
<v Speaker 12>was more ambiguous than we are led to believe, and

0:13:54.400 --> 0:14:00.600
<v Speaker 12>that the president has unswortid affairs relating to Jeffrey Epstein

0:14:00.720 --> 0:14:03.160
<v Speaker 12>on Jeffrey Epstein's Island. These are the sort of things

0:14:03.200 --> 0:14:06.320
<v Speaker 12>that are factually deficient. You cannot prove them in a

0:14:06.360 --> 0:14:10.600
<v Speaker 12>court of law, but they are beyond dispute in liberal discourse.

0:14:10.760 --> 0:14:12.640
<v Speaker 12>And if you spend a lot of time in liberal discourse,

0:14:12.720 --> 0:14:15.439
<v Speaker 12>as I'm sure CBS News producers, consumers, and even Nora

0:14:15.520 --> 0:14:19.360
<v Speaker 12>Donald herself, does you think this is pretty banw Indeed,

0:14:19.400 --> 0:14:21.640
<v Speaker 12>you probably think that the president should answer for it.

0:14:22.080 --> 0:14:24.760
<v Speaker 12>And yet it's the sort of thing that animates killers

0:14:25.160 --> 0:14:28.080
<v Speaker 12>would be killers to who believe themselves to be the

0:14:28.080 --> 0:14:31.600
<v Speaker 12>instruments of history to go out and execute directives they

0:14:31.600 --> 0:14:37.200
<v Speaker 12>think are being are imperatives and moral and ethical imperatives.

0:14:37.520 --> 0:14:41.000
<v Speaker 1>You keep score. I've read the PDF of Blood in

0:14:41.000 --> 0:14:43.560
<v Speaker 1>Progress when it was in Galley's, but I don't remember

0:14:43.560 --> 0:14:46.600
<v Speaker 1>if you kept score to the level of the attempts

0:14:46.640 --> 0:14:48.960
<v Speaker 1>to kill presidents going all the way back to Truman

0:14:49.000 --> 0:14:53.200
<v Speaker 1>and the Puerto Ricans outside of Blairhouse? Are they from

0:14:53.240 --> 0:14:57.080
<v Speaker 1>the left always? Some can be mad like Hinckley and

0:14:57.480 --> 0:14:59.800
<v Speaker 1>your colleague Charles C. W. Cook says there are people

0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:03.040
<v Speaker 1>or just lunatach, there are political violence, and there's just

0:15:03.080 --> 0:15:05.800
<v Speaker 1>some that's violence. And what category do the attempts to

0:15:05.840 --> 0:15:08.440
<v Speaker 1>kill the president usually fall.

0:15:08.600 --> 0:15:11.480
<v Speaker 12>Well, one thing I don't do is break everything down

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:15.360
<v Speaker 12>into statistics and numbers, because they are deliberately misleading in

0:15:15.400 --> 0:15:17.560
<v Speaker 12>a lot of ways. The first chapter is I think

0:15:17.560 --> 0:15:21.160
<v Speaker 12>you might remember, goes into the many databases that attempt

0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:25.520
<v Speaker 12>to identify where these things fall and create some sort

0:15:25.560 --> 0:15:28.160
<v Speaker 12>of a numerical, quantifiable system around them. And I tell

0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:30.480
<v Speaker 12>these stories in terms of the human beings around them,

0:15:30.480 --> 0:15:33.080
<v Speaker 12>because they're all subject to some sort of disordered thinking

0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:35.480
<v Speaker 12>first of all. Second of all, those who engage in this.

0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:38.040
<v Speaker 12>As one document that was presented to the Department of

0:15:38.040 --> 0:15:41.600
<v Speaker 12>Homeland Security in twenty twenty ten twenty twenty one, I'm sorry,

0:15:41.920 --> 0:15:46.000
<v Speaker 12>made clear that there are intimidation campaigns against individuals who

0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:48.440
<v Speaker 12>engage in the study of left wing extremism. Indeed, some

0:15:48.480 --> 0:15:51.120
<v Speaker 12>of the authors of the studies of left wing extremism

0:15:51.280 --> 0:15:55.160
<v Speaker 12>are participants in those movements themselves. According to this document

0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:57.760
<v Speaker 12>that was within the Hope Department of Homeland Security and

0:15:58.280 --> 0:16:01.960
<v Speaker 12>the databases themselves are shot through with shoddy research and

0:16:02.000 --> 0:16:04.520
<v Speaker 12>a lot of assumptions that inform the conclusions. So I

0:16:04.560 --> 0:16:06.640
<v Speaker 12>don't do any of that, not to say that it's

0:16:06.640 --> 0:16:09.600
<v Speaker 12>not valuable, but it just gives you an incomplete picture.

0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:11.720
<v Speaker 12>And I know this because I was doing statistical analysis

0:16:11.720 --> 0:16:14.080
<v Speaker 12>for CSIS in two thousand and five, trying to categorize

0:16:14.160 --> 0:16:18.200
<v Speaker 12>Islamist attacks in a database, and statistically it's helpful, but

0:16:18.280 --> 0:16:21.280
<v Speaker 12>it also obscures more than it clarifies, because you're reducing

0:16:21.360 --> 0:16:23.920
<v Speaker 12>very complex events to a series of numerical codes.

0:16:23.920 --> 0:16:25.440
<v Speaker 4>And I just don't do the job that you need

0:16:25.480 --> 0:16:28.400
<v Speaker 4>to do. That's mass shootings stories in isolation.

0:16:28.800 --> 0:16:31.720
<v Speaker 1>When you read something about mass shootings, it's never any

0:16:31.880 --> 0:16:34.960
<v Speaker 1>use to you because it includes drive by shootings over

0:16:35.080 --> 0:16:38.640
<v Speaker 1>drugs with Columbine. And it makes me crazy because the

0:16:38.720 --> 0:16:42.000
<v Speaker 1>databases they're wrong. Okay, I'm going to jump on subject.

0:16:42.200 --> 0:16:44.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if you heard my monologue. I'm very

0:16:44.280 --> 0:16:47.800
<v Speaker 1>exercised about this proposed one page deal. Have you read

0:16:47.840 --> 0:16:50.640
<v Speaker 1>about it? What do you think about it? Yeah?

0:16:50.760 --> 0:16:52.480
<v Speaker 4>Me too, and I share your apprehension.

0:16:52.520 --> 0:16:55.560
<v Speaker 12>For the very first time in this war, I am

0:16:55.840 --> 0:16:58.600
<v Speaker 12>concerned that the president's going weak in the knees. A

0:16:58.640 --> 0:17:00.440
<v Speaker 12>lot of people have been anticipating that he was going

0:17:00.480 --> 0:17:03.040
<v Speaker 12>to wiggle out of this war at the nearest possible opportunity,

0:17:03.040 --> 0:17:05.560
<v Speaker 12>and they have not yet realized. I think it's underrecognized

0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:07.720
<v Speaker 12>the degree to which he has been committed to his

0:17:07.840 --> 0:17:10.000
<v Speaker 12>stated objectives from the outset.

0:17:10.240 --> 0:17:11.960
<v Speaker 4>But yesterday was super weird, Hugh.

0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:18.280
<v Speaker 12>The entire administration was trotted out to outline, roll out,

0:17:18.520 --> 0:17:22.639
<v Speaker 12>ingranular detail, Project Freedom, the necessity behind it, the strategic

0:17:22.680 --> 0:17:25.680
<v Speaker 12>and tactical imperatives that were informing it, and the moral

0:17:25.680 --> 0:17:28.920
<v Speaker 12>and ethical necessity of seeing it through. Marco Rubio when

0:17:28.920 --> 0:17:31.119
<v Speaker 12>he was on that podium, framed this operation as a

0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:34.720
<v Speaker 12>humanitarian necessity. This is a criminal enterprise that's holding twenty

0:17:34.720 --> 0:17:37.879
<v Speaker 12>three South thousand mariners hostage. They need to be rescued,

0:17:37.960 --> 0:17:39.960
<v Speaker 12>and we are the only navy on the planet Earth

0:17:39.960 --> 0:17:42.560
<v Speaker 12>capable of doing that. And then a bunch of hours

0:17:42.640 --> 0:17:45.679
<v Speaker 12>later the president backs off. And this comes at a

0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:48.120
<v Speaker 12>time when the Iranian regime and there are some interesting

0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:51.760
<v Speaker 12>reports around how the IRGC field commanders and IRGC commanders

0:17:51.960 --> 0:17:53.960
<v Speaker 12>have gone a little bit rogue here when they were

0:17:54.080 --> 0:17:57.720
<v Speaker 12>attacking ships, attacking that South Korean ships, shooting missiles, drones

0:17:57.720 --> 0:17:58.840
<v Speaker 12>and other assets at.

0:17:58.800 --> 0:18:03.000
<v Speaker 4>The Oman and ua E and that this was against.

0:18:02.600 --> 0:18:05.560
<v Speaker 12>What the political class like Perizeshkin want and that's the

0:18:05.600 --> 0:18:07.440
<v Speaker 12>sort of thing we should be cultivating. But they shot

0:18:07.440 --> 0:18:09.320
<v Speaker 12>at our partners in the Gulf States. And what was

0:18:09.359 --> 0:18:14.040
<v Speaker 12>our response to roll back this military operation to forcefully

0:18:14.040 --> 0:18:14.760
<v Speaker 12>reopen the strait?

0:18:14.840 --> 0:18:15.440
<v Speaker 4>No no, no, no.

0:18:15.880 --> 0:18:18.600
<v Speaker 12>Tran whatever's left of it seees that is weakness, and

0:18:18.640 --> 0:18:22.240
<v Speaker 12>then we'll see that as as leverage that they can exploit, exploit.

0:18:22.920 --> 0:18:24.800
<v Speaker 1>I spoke to him at length. I had a half

0:18:24.800 --> 0:18:28.080
<v Speaker 1>hour with the president on Monday. He was very firm.

0:18:28.560 --> 0:18:32.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean he was no enrichment, not now, not ever.

0:18:32.600 --> 0:18:35.200
<v Speaker 1>Never we get it all back, they're going to be

0:18:35.240 --> 0:18:37.600
<v Speaker 1>out of money. But they can't support the terrorists. And

0:18:38.480 --> 0:18:40.800
<v Speaker 1>there's a fourth one missile missiles have got to be

0:18:41.040 --> 0:18:43.159
<v Speaker 1>They got to have some missiles because of their neighborhood,

0:18:43.200 --> 0:18:44.720
<v Speaker 1>but they can't have too many. And we get to

0:18:44.760 --> 0:18:47.840
<v Speaker 1>inspect pretty pretty dependentative.

0:18:48.200 --> 0:18:50.159
<v Speaker 12>And he hasn't really budged off any of that. I mean,

0:18:50.160 --> 0:18:52.399
<v Speaker 12>there was one weird twenty four hour period where he

0:18:52.440 --> 0:18:55.240
<v Speaker 12>was talking about a twenty year moratorium, but that came

0:18:55.280 --> 0:18:58.080
<v Speaker 12>and went, and otherwise what we're hearing are from unnamed

0:18:58.080 --> 0:19:01.920
<v Speaker 12>sources deep within the administration, have reporters like Barack Revied's ear.

0:19:02.359 --> 0:19:05.520
<v Speaker 12>So I'm skeptical, but the administration's actions have made me

0:19:05.520 --> 0:19:08.000
<v Speaker 12>skeptical of the president too. Here for the very first time,

0:19:08.560 --> 0:19:10.480
<v Speaker 12>and I do see the I mean, I understand what

0:19:10.600 --> 0:19:13.439
<v Speaker 12>he's saying. We need to have this handover of this

0:19:13.560 --> 0:19:15.399
<v Speaker 12>ahu the highly enriched uranium.

0:19:15.480 --> 0:19:16.399
<v Speaker 4>But what do they do with that?

0:19:16.520 --> 0:19:19.680
<v Speaker 12>It's inaccessible and they lack facilities to enrich.

0:19:19.520 --> 0:19:20.200
<v Speaker 4>And or refine them.

0:19:20.280 --> 0:19:23.480
<v Speaker 12>What we can't have is an Ranian regime that voluntarily

0:19:23.680 --> 0:19:26.359
<v Speaker 12>generously gives us the straight up wore moves back that

0:19:26.400 --> 0:19:28.640
<v Speaker 12>will all but guarantee China will shut down the straight

0:19:28.640 --> 0:19:31.760
<v Speaker 12>of and do this better than the Iranians if this

0:19:31.840 --> 0:19:32.720
<v Speaker 12>has to be done by force.

0:19:33.160 --> 0:19:35.040
<v Speaker 1>I didn't even top And Joe, if you have more time,

0:19:35.080 --> 0:19:36.880
<v Speaker 1>I'll keep you for a second segment because I think

0:19:36.960 --> 0:19:39.000
<v Speaker 1>Israel ow to get involved here. But if you don't,

0:19:39.040 --> 0:19:41.960
<v Speaker 1>don't worry about it. Plug in progress. It's coming out soon.

0:19:42.040 --> 0:19:44.200
<v Speaker 1>Go and Pley order it right now. I'm too feel it.

0:19:44.119 --> 0:19:46.920
<v Speaker 11>Now there's a wall between us, something.

0:19:46.640 --> 0:19:48.000
<v Speaker 13>That's been lost.

0:19:48.359 --> 0:19:49.760
<v Speaker 14>I took too much for Breaded.

0:19:50.359 --> 0:19:54.440
<v Speaker 11>I got my signals crossed, just could think to all again.

0:19:54.600 --> 0:19:58.200
<v Speaker 11>On a non eventful mom come in, she said, I'll

0:19:58.240 --> 0:19:59.840
<v Speaker 11>give you a shelved up front.

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:02.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm back in America. I'm Hugh Hewett. Another track from

0:20:02.880 --> 0:20:06.080
<v Speaker 1>Blood on the track Bob Dylan's best album. Noah c.

0:20:06.240 --> 0:20:08.159
<v Speaker 1>Rothman is still with me. He's the author of the

0:20:08.200 --> 0:20:11.440
<v Speaker 1>forthcoming book Blood and Progress. So that's his new bump

0:20:11.520 --> 0:20:13.760
<v Speaker 1>music ending from Blood on the track. Are you even

0:20:13.800 --> 0:20:16.240
<v Speaker 1>familiar with the album Noah Blood on the Tracks?

0:20:17.720 --> 0:20:20.160
<v Speaker 4>Not really. I was never a big Dylan fan. I'm

0:20:20.200 --> 0:20:23.800
<v Speaker 4>aware of the songs, but the album the.

0:20:23.760 --> 0:20:27.720
<v Speaker 1>Greatest album on the ill. Yeah, the greatest album of

0:20:27.760 --> 0:20:30.520
<v Speaker 1>the seventies. So Noah, I wanted to put a question

0:20:30.560 --> 0:20:32.080
<v Speaker 1>to you. I'm trying it out on you before I

0:20:32.119 --> 0:20:36.240
<v Speaker 1>tried it on John pod Or It's Next Hour. Jd

0:20:36.359 --> 0:20:38.199
<v Speaker 1>Vance told me on this show when he was a

0:20:38.240 --> 0:20:41.399
<v Speaker 1>senator or running for vice president, I can't remember that

0:20:41.680 --> 0:20:45.280
<v Speaker 1>nations have their own interests and they have to follow

0:20:45.320 --> 0:20:48.760
<v Speaker 1>their own interests. We don't control Israel. Israel doesn't control

0:20:48.880 --> 0:20:52.000
<v Speaker 1>us at this point. I think it's an Israel's interest

0:20:52.640 --> 0:20:55.359
<v Speaker 1>to act against en Ron in a way that blows

0:20:55.440 --> 0:20:56.119
<v Speaker 1>up this deal.

0:20:56.560 --> 0:21:01.000
<v Speaker 12>What do you think, Well, yeah, I tend to agree,

0:21:01.000 --> 0:21:03.760
<v Speaker 12>and I agree on the substance. I think that there's

0:21:04.080 --> 0:21:07.399
<v Speaker 12>something that those who are in that realist mold that

0:21:07.520 --> 0:21:09.840
<v Speaker 12>kind of get a little bit wrong about national interest

0:21:09.960 --> 0:21:14.120
<v Speaker 12>is that they discount values as being interests, and that's

0:21:14.200 --> 0:21:19.640
<v Speaker 12>just historically hard to support. Values are interests. Nations act

0:21:19.720 --> 0:21:25.720
<v Speaker 12>on values, armies move on stories, and values related alliances

0:21:26.119 --> 0:21:30.080
<v Speaker 12>are more valuable because they're cheaper to maintain than the

0:21:30.119 --> 0:21:33.360
<v Speaker 12>sort of associations that Russia and China maintain, because their

0:21:33.359 --> 0:21:37.159
<v Speaker 12>alliances are coercive, and coercion is expensive. You have to

0:21:37.160 --> 0:21:39.840
<v Speaker 12>maintain this whole apparatus in order to hold that, you know,

0:21:39.880 --> 0:21:41.600
<v Speaker 12>you have to manufacture the gun that you're holding to

0:21:41.640 --> 0:21:44.280
<v Speaker 12>your allies head, which costs money, as opposed to a

0:21:44.359 --> 0:21:47.280
<v Speaker 12>values related alliance, which is far more easier to maintain

0:21:47.600 --> 0:21:50.960
<v Speaker 12>and longer lived, as NATO demonstrates, and as are but

0:21:51.240 --> 0:21:55.200
<v Speaker 12>an emerging relationship with Israel demonstrates. So a side digression there,

0:21:55.680 --> 0:21:58.000
<v Speaker 12>But I do believe that Israel has the right and

0:21:58.040 --> 0:22:01.760
<v Speaker 12>the legitimate interest in seeing the Ranian regime defanged.

0:22:02.160 --> 0:22:03.120
<v Speaker 4>I don't think that the.

0:22:03.280 --> 0:22:07.119
<v Speaker 12>Israeli government under Benjamin the Yahoo would accept something akin

0:22:07.200 --> 0:22:09.480
<v Speaker 12>to whatever the terms of this memorandum that are being

0:22:09.840 --> 0:22:14.480
<v Speaker 12>bandied about are, and Israel would have the latitude to act.

0:22:14.280 --> 0:22:15.480
<v Speaker 4>Of it's on its own accord.

0:22:15.680 --> 0:22:17.439
<v Speaker 12>There's a lot of people who are afraid that Israel

0:22:17.480 --> 0:22:20.040
<v Speaker 12>would drag the United States back into another conflict here

0:22:20.080 --> 0:22:22.119
<v Speaker 12>in the event that we reached the ceasefire that Israel

0:22:22.160 --> 0:22:25.240
<v Speaker 12>did not observe. But we spent the last three or

0:22:25.240 --> 0:22:30.000
<v Speaker 12>four years since the October seventh massacre, supporting Israel and

0:22:30.040 --> 0:22:32.920
<v Speaker 12>its endeavors, but not taking an active role in them.

0:22:33.359 --> 0:22:35.680
<v Speaker 12>And I don't foresee a condition in which we stop

0:22:35.760 --> 0:22:39.200
<v Speaker 12>the fighting, but we simply just disengage from the Middle East,

0:22:39.320 --> 0:22:42.399
<v Speaker 12>and the CIA has no role in a post war Iran.

0:22:42.560 --> 0:22:44.359
<v Speaker 12>The United States will be engaged in the region, and

0:22:44.440 --> 0:22:47.360
<v Speaker 12>Israel maybe will engage, be engaged in a more kinetic fashion,

0:22:47.480 --> 0:22:50.480
<v Speaker 12>and we may take a support posture there. But it's

0:22:50.480 --> 0:22:53.239
<v Speaker 12>not like the United States as being terms are being

0:22:53.320 --> 0:22:55.720
<v Speaker 12>dictated to the United States from Jerusalem. If anything, it's

0:22:55.760 --> 0:22:58.560
<v Speaker 12>the other way around. And frankly, the Benjamin and Yahoo

0:22:58.560 --> 0:23:01.040
<v Speaker 12>government is kind of frustrated with it as reporting it.

0:23:00.920 --> 0:23:03.640
<v Speaker 1>Is the other way around, and that brings me at

0:23:03.640 --> 0:23:07.120
<v Speaker 1>this very period in time. I'm reading The Finest Hour

0:23:07.200 --> 0:23:10.679
<v Speaker 1>with Doctor Larry Or on second volume in Churchill's or memoir.

0:23:11.040 --> 0:23:14.399
<v Speaker 1>First three chapters are about France enters into a separate

0:23:14.440 --> 0:23:17.080
<v Speaker 1>piece and Britain says, screw that We're going to fight

0:23:17.119 --> 0:23:20.080
<v Speaker 1>on a loan. I think Israel has a right to

0:23:20.240 --> 0:23:24.679
<v Speaker 1>walk away from this if we collapse, and that I

0:23:24.680 --> 0:23:27.159
<v Speaker 1>don't think they would be without support in the United States.

0:23:27.200 --> 0:23:29.080
<v Speaker 1>What do you think the reaction would be to that.

0:23:30.680 --> 0:23:33.240
<v Speaker 12>I think they would have support from the Trump administration.

0:23:33.359 --> 0:23:35.600
<v Speaker 12>They wouldn't have any support from the Democratic Party or

0:23:35.600 --> 0:23:39.920
<v Speaker 12>the left. And Israel lacks some of the capabilities necessary

0:23:39.960 --> 0:23:43.720
<v Speaker 12>to execute the operations that we took on during the

0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:45.320
<v Speaker 12>kinetic phase of this conflict.

0:23:46.119 --> 0:23:48.639
<v Speaker 4>So Israel would be at a significant deficit, but they

0:23:48.640 --> 0:23:49.360
<v Speaker 4>wouldn't give up.

0:23:49.280 --> 0:23:53.439
<v Speaker 12>Its security priorities it has doctrinally across parties, This is

0:23:53.440 --> 0:23:56.960
<v Speaker 12>not a partisan issue in Israel. Israel takes its security

0:23:56.960 --> 0:23:59.600
<v Speaker 12>initiatives into its own hands, and it does not necessarily

0:23:59.640 --> 0:24:01.359
<v Speaker 12>differ to the West.

0:24:01.600 --> 0:24:02.720
<v Speaker 4>Occasionally it does.

0:24:02.880 --> 0:24:06.560
<v Speaker 12>Occasionally Washington can make it to what it wants is

0:24:06.600 --> 0:24:10.199
<v Speaker 12>Reel to do, and some more often than not, the

0:24:10.240 --> 0:24:13.160
<v Speaker 12>Israeli's chafe under that but they understand that the relationship

0:24:13.160 --> 0:24:15.840
<v Speaker 12>with Washington is important to preserve, but not at the

0:24:15.880 --> 0:24:18.760
<v Speaker 12>expense of Israeli national security and certainly not at the

0:24:18.800 --> 0:24:22.119
<v Speaker 12>expense of Israeli lives. If it looks like Iran is

0:24:22.119 --> 0:24:24.840
<v Speaker 12>getting close to something like a breakout, it would act.

0:24:25.160 --> 0:24:28.359
<v Speaker 1>And not at this moment. At this moment, when Iran

0:24:28.480 --> 0:24:31.040
<v Speaker 1>is on its back and you can deliver the death

0:24:31.080 --> 0:24:34.119
<v Speaker 1>blow to the regime that wants to kill you, you

0:24:34.160 --> 0:24:37.080
<v Speaker 1>get the last minute, you deliver the death blow, then

0:24:37.200 --> 0:24:38.359
<v Speaker 1>I will take fifty percent.

0:24:40.359 --> 0:24:43.199
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, And I don't think I'm not sure, but I

0:24:43.200 --> 0:24:46.240
<v Speaker 12>don't think the president is holding out for a moment

0:24:46.280 --> 0:24:48.680
<v Speaker 12>when his critics and adversary is at home or abroad

0:24:49.200 --> 0:24:52.800
<v Speaker 12>will say we're vanquished, we're undone, we're forever discredited.

0:24:52.880 --> 0:24:53.240
<v Speaker 4>You win.

0:24:53.880 --> 0:24:55.240
<v Speaker 12>I think a lot of people who are critics of

0:24:55.280 --> 0:24:57.720
<v Speaker 12>the president think that's what he wants, and they've always

0:24:57.720 --> 0:24:59.640
<v Speaker 12>said that he would just put his name on something

0:24:59.680 --> 0:25:03.320
<v Speaker 12>like a acpoa light and walk away, and he's demonstrated

0:25:03.359 --> 0:25:05.480
<v Speaker 12>time and time again that that's not his objective.

0:25:05.800 --> 0:25:07.239
<v Speaker 4>This is why I'm very skeptical of this.

0:25:07.440 --> 0:25:10.440
<v Speaker 12>All the reporting around this memorandum of understanding, but only

0:25:10.440 --> 0:25:13.399
<v Speaker 12>skeptical to a point because the administration is making a

0:25:13.400 --> 0:25:15.600
<v Speaker 12>lot of sudden movements and loud noises that are making

0:25:15.600 --> 0:25:16.680
<v Speaker 12>me very nervous.

0:25:16.720 --> 0:25:19.639
<v Speaker 1>Hearing me about nous. C Rothman follow him on exit

0:25:19.760 --> 0:25:22.000
<v Speaker 1>no A. C. Rothman. Thanks for the extra time. Go

0:25:22.080 --> 0:25:25.520
<v Speaker 1>and order Blood and Progress. Get your copy on the

0:25:25.520 --> 0:25:29.840
<v Speaker 1>first chance available. Blood and Progress is available Amazon, Farms

0:25:29.880 --> 0:25:33.560
<v Speaker 1>and nobook bookstores everywhere. Blood and Progress. Stay tuned on

0:25:33.720 --> 0:25:34.040
<v Speaker 1>keep you.

0:25:37.280 --> 0:25:38.240
<v Speaker 3>This is very simple.

0:25:38.800 --> 0:25:42.800
<v Speaker 14>Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon because as tough as

0:25:42.840 --> 0:25:44.760
<v Speaker 14>they are, we want to keep them alive.

0:25:44.840 --> 0:25:47.679
<v Speaker 10>We want to keep all of you alive. Iran cannot

0:25:47.720 --> 0:25:49.280
<v Speaker 10>have a nuclear weapon.

0:25:49.000 --> 0:25:52.760
<v Speaker 14>And they won't add They've agreed to that, among other things.

0:25:53.880 --> 0:25:57.320
<v Speaker 1>Welcome back America. I'm Hugh Hewett. That's President Trump moments ago.

0:25:57.480 --> 0:26:00.679
<v Speaker 1>I'm joined by Serf C. Bedford, cheap and investigation and

0:26:00.720 --> 0:26:05.679
<v Speaker 1>reporter at the Washington DC Examiner. Hello, Sarah, I am

0:26:05.760 --> 0:26:08.399
<v Speaker 1>back and forth on the deal because the reporting is

0:26:08.440 --> 0:26:11.240
<v Speaker 1>all over. I hate the reporting, but I don't think

0:26:11.280 --> 0:26:13.040
<v Speaker 1>the president will do it. What do you think?

0:26:15.720 --> 0:26:17.920
<v Speaker 15>Well, Trump has really played his cards close to the

0:26:18.000 --> 0:26:21.159
<v Speaker 15>vest this entire time. He doesn't like to give a

0:26:21.160 --> 0:26:25.159
<v Speaker 15>lot of visibility into how talks are going, particularly in

0:26:25.160 --> 0:26:27.840
<v Speaker 15>a foreign policy context, and a lot of times when

0:26:27.960 --> 0:26:30.560
<v Speaker 15>the media starts to catch on to how negotiations or

0:26:31.119 --> 0:26:33.360
<v Speaker 15>negotiations are going, he'll say.

0:26:33.160 --> 0:26:35.200
<v Speaker 8>Something that kind of throws them off the scent to.

0:26:35.200 --> 0:26:39.680
<v Speaker 15>Maintain that strategic confusion. So, you know, it's not clear

0:26:39.720 --> 0:26:42.160
<v Speaker 15>of whether that's what Trump is doing right now if

0:26:42.200 --> 0:26:44.199
<v Speaker 15>there is really a lot of sticking points. But the

0:26:44.240 --> 0:26:48.000
<v Speaker 15>reporting is that Iran and the US are nearing some

0:26:48.160 --> 0:26:52.000
<v Speaker 15>sort of two page, fourteen point agreement that would end

0:26:52.080 --> 0:26:54.880
<v Speaker 15>the hostilities. But Trump is starting, Look, not only will

0:26:54.880 --> 0:26:58.200
<v Speaker 15>hostilities resume if iron doesn't agree to this, but also

0:26:58.240 --> 0:27:00.520
<v Speaker 15>the bombing will be even more intense then win the

0:27:00.560 --> 0:27:04.639
<v Speaker 15>campaign first began. So he's clearly applying maximum pressure to

0:27:04.680 --> 0:27:07.240
<v Speaker 15>Iran right now to accept whatever's in that deal.

0:27:07.880 --> 0:27:10.119
<v Speaker 1>Here is a second comment in the White House on

0:27:10.280 --> 0:27:11.520
<v Speaker 1>that deal, cut fifteen.

0:27:14.800 --> 0:27:17.120
<v Speaker 16>You're facing the pony right now in Iran that has

0:27:17.280 --> 0:27:22.280
<v Speaker 16>refused to submit. You've seem optimisticchnology maybe closer to a deal.

0:27:22.440 --> 0:27:25.280
<v Speaker 16>What's different about this moment now than in other moments

0:27:25.280 --> 0:27:26.760
<v Speaker 16>where a deal has seemed close.

0:27:27.080 --> 0:27:27.800
<v Speaker 10>Well, why do you.

0:27:27.800 --> 0:27:29.240
<v Speaker 3>Say they're used to submit?

0:27:29.359 --> 0:27:31.320
<v Speaker 14>You don't know that, you don't know, what's a firing

0:27:31.400 --> 0:27:32.640
<v Speaker 14>on a few days ago.

0:27:32.920 --> 0:27:33.760
<v Speaker 3>I know, a few days ago.

0:27:33.800 --> 0:27:36.280
<v Speaker 14>It's a long time ago, you know, in the world

0:27:36.320 --> 0:27:38.240
<v Speaker 14>of war a few days ago.

0:27:38.359 --> 0:27:40.720
<v Speaker 3>No, they want to make a deal badly, and we'll

0:27:40.720 --> 0:27:41.480
<v Speaker 3>see if we get there.

0:27:41.480 --> 0:27:43.600
<v Speaker 14>If we get there, they can't have nuclear weapons. You know,

0:27:43.640 --> 0:27:44.440
<v Speaker 14>it's very simple.

0:27:44.480 --> 0:27:46.679
<v Speaker 3>But what's not to submit.

0:27:46.760 --> 0:27:48.480
<v Speaker 14>So they had a navy with one hundred and fifty

0:27:48.560 --> 0:27:50.920
<v Speaker 14>nine chips and now every ship is blown to pieces

0:27:51.560 --> 0:27:54.080
<v Speaker 14>and lying at the bottom of the water. They had

0:27:54.119 --> 0:27:55.920
<v Speaker 14>an air force, lots of planes, and they don't have

0:27:55.960 --> 0:27:59.120
<v Speaker 14>any planes. They don't have any anti aircraft, they don't

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:02.679
<v Speaker 14>have any radar line, their missiles are mostly decimated. They

0:28:02.680 --> 0:28:06.639
<v Speaker 14>have something they have probably eighteen nineteen percent, but not

0:28:06.760 --> 0:28:09.800
<v Speaker 14>allowed by comparison to what they had. And the leaders

0:28:09.840 --> 0:28:14.359
<v Speaker 14>are all dead. So I think we won. This is

0:28:14.800 --> 0:28:18.000
<v Speaker 14>now now it's only a question of Look, if we

0:28:18.080 --> 0:28:20.360
<v Speaker 14>left right now, we're around and it would take them twenty.

0:28:20.160 --> 0:28:21.000
<v Speaker 3>Years to rebuild.

0:28:21.240 --> 0:28:22.719
<v Speaker 10>You would call that vy.

0:28:22.840 --> 0:28:27.760
<v Speaker 14>We're in good shape, right, We're in good shed and

0:28:27.840 --> 0:28:30.479
<v Speaker 14>now we're doing well. Now we have to get what

0:28:30.520 --> 0:28:32.840
<v Speaker 14>we have to get. If we don't do that, we'll

0:28:32.880 --> 0:28:35.359
<v Speaker 14>have to go a big step further. But with that

0:28:35.440 --> 0:28:38.840
<v Speaker 14>big set, they want to make a deal. We've had

0:28:39.200 --> 0:28:42.200
<v Speaker 14>very good talks over the last forty four hours and

0:28:42.240 --> 0:28:43.640
<v Speaker 14>it's very possible.

0:28:43.160 --> 0:28:45.800
<v Speaker 1>That we'll make okay. So, Sarah, how do you read that?

0:28:48.200 --> 0:28:50.240
<v Speaker 15>I think it's true that the longer things like the

0:28:50.280 --> 0:28:52.880
<v Speaker 15>blockade of Iran on the straight up our moose goes on.

0:28:53.080 --> 0:28:54.760
<v Speaker 8>You know, that pressure compounds.

0:28:54.800 --> 0:28:58.560
<v Speaker 15>It's not just the military pressure that the Trump administration

0:28:58.640 --> 0:29:02.040
<v Speaker 15>has put on around, it's also the economic pressure, which

0:29:02.160 --> 0:29:05.000
<v Speaker 15>the effects of that compound every day that does pass.

0:29:05.040 --> 0:29:07.800
<v Speaker 15>With the successful blockade and Trump paused I think it

0:29:07.840 --> 0:29:10.240
<v Speaker 15>was called Project Freedom, where the US was going to

0:29:10.360 --> 0:29:14.080
<v Speaker 15>escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. He's pulling

0:29:14.120 --> 0:29:16.800
<v Speaker 15>every lever that he has to put pressure on Iran

0:29:16.920 --> 0:29:21.040
<v Speaker 15>to take this deal. And you know, I guess you

0:29:21.120 --> 0:29:22.880
<v Speaker 15>do see a little bit of mixed messaging out of

0:29:22.920 --> 0:29:25.440
<v Speaker 15>the Trump administration though on whether is the conflict over

0:29:25.600 --> 0:29:28.440
<v Speaker 15>or are we preparing to head into the most intense

0:29:28.520 --> 0:29:31.800
<v Speaker 15>bombing campaign evern that we've seen so far. Trump is really,

0:29:31.920 --> 0:29:35.640
<v Speaker 15>I guess, applying as much rhetorical pressure on Iran right now.

0:29:35.480 --> 0:29:37.800
<v Speaker 8>While he waits to see whether they accept his deal.

0:29:39.000 --> 0:29:41.160
<v Speaker 1>Sarah so, okay, you gave me your comment on that.

0:29:41.320 --> 0:29:43.760
<v Speaker 1>Let me ask you about what happened in the House

0:29:43.840 --> 0:29:47.000
<v Speaker 1>last week. All of a sudden, Speaker Johnson passed everything.

0:29:47.200 --> 0:29:48.480
<v Speaker 1>Did anyone see that coming?

0:29:50.960 --> 0:29:51.360
<v Speaker 17>Right there?

0:29:51.400 --> 0:29:53.640
<v Speaker 15>Was looking for a while and Democrats in the media

0:29:53.680 --> 0:29:56.440
<v Speaker 15>were gleefully rubbing their hands together waiting for what was

0:29:56.440 --> 0:29:59.240
<v Speaker 15>supposed to be a massive Republican failure in the House.

0:29:59.520 --> 0:30:02.000
<v Speaker 15>But at the last minute, Johnson and the White House

0:30:02.000 --> 0:30:05.760
<v Speaker 15>were able to cajole people to get this rule over

0:30:05.800 --> 0:30:08.600
<v Speaker 15>the finish line that sort of procedurally cleared the way

0:30:08.720 --> 0:30:11.680
<v Speaker 15>for a number of important pieces of legislation to boo forward.

0:30:11.840 --> 0:30:15.880
<v Speaker 15>Johnson is a really enormously difficult time getting the DJs

0:30:15.920 --> 0:30:19.800
<v Speaker 15>funding over the finish line, and also getting the FISA

0:30:20.360 --> 0:30:23.200
<v Speaker 15>Section seven oh two renewal over the finish line, which

0:30:23.240 --> 0:30:26.320
<v Speaker 15>is a key surveillance tool that the Trump administration really

0:30:26.360 --> 0:30:29.920
<v Speaker 15>just wants a clean reauthorization of. It shows you how

0:30:29.920 --> 0:30:34.440
<v Speaker 15>difficult governing is with his ever slimming majority in the House.

0:30:34.480 --> 0:30:37.040
<v Speaker 15>But Johnson was able to pull out a win there

0:30:37.240 --> 0:30:39.320
<v Speaker 15>and lobby some holdouts to get the rule through.

0:30:40.240 --> 0:30:43.280
<v Speaker 1>So well as President Trump, to your knowledge, involved in

0:30:43.480 --> 0:30:48.520
<v Speaker 1>pushing the final football over the final yard because Speaker

0:30:48.600 --> 0:30:52.720
<v Speaker 1>Johnson never says anything he didn't get excited, which is

0:30:52.760 --> 0:30:57.560
<v Speaker 1>a very very useful trait in a speaker with a

0:30:57.600 --> 0:30:59.320
<v Speaker 1>small majority. He never gets angry.

0:31:01.360 --> 0:31:04.960
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, and Trump is usually involved in some fashion in

0:31:05.400 --> 0:31:09.520
<v Speaker 15>getting sticky pieces of legislation in the end zone his

0:31:09.760 --> 0:31:13.560
<v Speaker 15>legislative team, at least is if Trump himself isn't involved,

0:31:13.560 --> 0:31:17.640
<v Speaker 15>he famously likes to call holdouts and massage them, especially

0:31:17.680 --> 0:31:20.280
<v Speaker 15>if you have rank and file members who are for

0:31:20.320 --> 0:31:22.840
<v Speaker 15>whatever reason opposed to something like parts of the.

0:31:22.720 --> 0:31:24.360
<v Speaker 8>Farm Bill or Section seven h two.

0:31:24.640 --> 0:31:27.520
<v Speaker 15>So Trump's involvement is usually what gets it over the

0:31:27.520 --> 0:31:28.200
<v Speaker 15>finish line.

0:31:28.240 --> 0:31:29.760
<v Speaker 8>But a lot of times the White House will.

0:31:29.600 --> 0:31:32.560
<v Speaker 15>Like to withhold that until sort of the end of

0:31:32.600 --> 0:31:36.520
<v Speaker 15>the negotiation process, so they don't fire that bullet too early.

0:31:36.560 --> 0:31:38.840
<v Speaker 8>They wait until they're almost at the finish line to

0:31:38.840 --> 0:31:39.800
<v Speaker 8>get Trump involved.

0:31:40.120 --> 0:31:43.640
<v Speaker 1>All right, classic problem with legacy media. I haven't been

0:31:43.680 --> 0:31:46.520
<v Speaker 1>able to find out if the FIJA extension was one year,

0:31:46.720 --> 0:31:49.480
<v Speaker 1>two years, four year, how long did they extend the

0:31:49.520 --> 0:31:53.280
<v Speaker 1>Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act for I believe.

0:31:52.960 --> 0:31:54.520
<v Speaker 8>They were looking at eighteen months.

0:31:54.520 --> 0:31:57.240
<v Speaker 15>But it's interesting that you brought up those shifting timelines.

0:31:57.640 --> 0:32:01.600
<v Speaker 15>The White House's request to Congress shifted what the House

0:32:01.680 --> 0:32:05.960
<v Speaker 15>Intelligence Committee wanted, shifted what Johnson was willing to back,

0:32:06.400 --> 0:32:08.680
<v Speaker 15>moved all over the place, and so were the demands

0:32:08.680 --> 0:32:10.920
<v Speaker 15>from the conservative holdouts who wanted to see reforms.

0:32:11.000 --> 0:32:12.880
<v Speaker 8>So that was actually a pretty messy.

0:32:12.640 --> 0:32:15.960
<v Speaker 15>Process to get sectioned seven oh two reauthorized.

0:32:16.080 --> 0:32:18.560
<v Speaker 8>But ultimately what the White House wanted was.

0:32:18.560 --> 0:32:22.320
<v Speaker 15>A clean eighteen month extension so they didn't have to

0:32:22.360 --> 0:32:24.480
<v Speaker 15>deal with this surveillance power issue for a while.

0:32:24.800 --> 0:32:27.320
<v Speaker 1>They got eighteen months. Okay, you're the first person that's

0:32:27.320 --> 0:32:31.200
<v Speaker 1>been able to answer that for me, not surprisingly. Sarah C. Bedford,

0:32:31.360 --> 0:32:34.880
<v Speaker 1>Thank you from the Washington Examiner. Follow on exit, Sarah C.

0:32:35.040 --> 0:32:37.280
<v Speaker 1>Bedford follow me to the next segment of the e

0:32:37.480 --> 0:32:40.800
<v Speaker 1>hewits Hewett joined now by John pod Horor, It's editor

0:32:40.840 --> 0:32:45.200
<v Speaker 1>in chief of Commentary magazine, my companion, almost an hour

0:32:45.240 --> 0:32:48.240
<v Speaker 1>a day Monday through Friday on the Commentary podcast. Sometimes

0:32:48.280 --> 0:32:50.760
<v Speaker 1>they take a day off, John, I have spent the

0:32:50.800 --> 0:32:56.400
<v Speaker 1>first two hour inveighing against the alleged deal that Barack

0:32:56.520 --> 0:33:00.400
<v Speaker 1>reviewed reported on today. I need a tag team partner

0:33:00.440 --> 0:33:03.960
<v Speaker 1>to take over. It's a terrible idea. What do you think?

0:33:06.360 --> 0:33:09.800
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, so we can we can just close up shop there.

0:33:09.840 --> 0:33:13.000
<v Speaker 13>It's a terrible idea, and the question is why we're

0:33:13.000 --> 0:33:16.880
<v Speaker 13>here now. I mean it's fourteen ideas or twelve ideas

0:33:16.960 --> 0:33:21.600
<v Speaker 13>or something like that. And I don't, frankly, understand what's

0:33:21.840 --> 0:33:24.520
<v Speaker 13>going on. Because he told you on Monday.

0:33:24.720 --> 0:33:26.600
<v Speaker 3>I believe that his.

0:33:26.600 --> 0:33:29.960
<v Speaker 13>Bottom line was that the United States needed to secure

0:33:31.280 --> 0:33:37.680
<v Speaker 13>physical control of the Iranian dust, the uranium. And that

0:33:37.720 --> 0:33:41.200
<v Speaker 13>does not seem to be what is lined up in

0:33:41.320 --> 0:33:44.640
<v Speaker 13>this report, which we don't have a piece of paper here,

0:33:45.200 --> 0:33:50.120
<v Speaker 13>but if the report is to be believed, he's looking

0:33:50.120 --> 0:33:52.800
<v Speaker 13>for a way to wind down the war with words.

0:33:52.960 --> 0:33:58.200
<v Speaker 13>And I don't know what changed between when he spoke

0:33:58.240 --> 0:34:01.320
<v Speaker 13>to you and when Pete Haggs I spoke yesterday morning,

0:34:01.440 --> 0:34:05.920
<v Speaker 13>and when Marco Rubio spoke yesterday afternoon, and these two

0:34:06.000 --> 0:34:11.400
<v Speaker 13>statements yesterday evening and this morning about how he was

0:34:11.440 --> 0:34:16.000
<v Speaker 13>suspending the escorting of the ships through the horn moves

0:34:16.680 --> 0:34:21.359
<v Speaker 13>straight called Operation Freedom, and that you know, we were

0:34:21.480 --> 0:34:27.200
<v Speaker 13>maybe on the way to a deal. So you spoke

0:34:27.280 --> 0:34:30.799
<v Speaker 13>to him, did seem to you like he was.

0:34:33.160 --> 0:34:36.720
<v Speaker 1>Four red lines or three and a half red line.

0:34:36.840 --> 0:34:42.040
<v Speaker 1>No enrichment ever, not after twelve, not after fifteen, No enrichment. Ever.

0:34:42.200 --> 0:34:45.480
<v Speaker 1>Number two, we get all the agu we get it.

0:34:45.800 --> 0:34:47.400
<v Speaker 1>We get I guess we have to go dig it

0:34:47.480 --> 0:34:50.000
<v Speaker 1>up and the IAEA might help, but we didn't get

0:34:50.000 --> 0:34:52.960
<v Speaker 1>into that. We get it. Number three, I said, no missiles,

0:34:53.040 --> 0:34:55.560
<v Speaker 1>and he said, well, it's a tough neighborhood. They might

0:34:55.600 --> 0:34:59.440
<v Speaker 1>need some missiles, but inspections of those missiles, And then

0:34:59.440 --> 0:35:01.279
<v Speaker 1>I brought up to are prox. He said they're out

0:35:01.280 --> 0:35:06.640
<v Speaker 1>of money anyway, and that that implies no, no finding

0:35:06.680 --> 0:35:09.040
<v Speaker 1>a turn. So I walked away feld of like, Okay,

0:35:09.120 --> 0:35:12.680
<v Speaker 1>this is good and we're going to win. It's Munich

0:35:12.680 --> 0:35:15.000
<v Speaker 1>two point l if the snatcher's defeat from the jaws

0:35:15.040 --> 0:35:16.080
<v Speaker 1>of victory, isn't it.

0:35:17.920 --> 0:35:21.880
<v Speaker 13>I mean, you know, I I said on our podcast,

0:35:21.960 --> 0:35:25.040
<v Speaker 13>you're you're you're going in these world historical terms, I said,

0:35:26.160 --> 0:35:27.920
<v Speaker 13>if this happens, and that's one of the reasons why

0:35:27.960 --> 0:35:30.840
<v Speaker 13>I'm so skeptical of it. I think even he should

0:35:30.840 --> 0:35:32.680
<v Speaker 13>be in a position to understand that this is the

0:35:32.800 --> 0:35:38.960
<v Speaker 13>end of his administration as an effective functioning political organization.

0:35:39.160 --> 0:35:42.560
<v Speaker 13>He's pushed all his chips into the center of the table.

0:35:42.600 --> 0:35:46.280
<v Speaker 13>Here he will he will be mocked by his enemies.

0:35:46.360 --> 0:35:49.960
<v Speaker 13>He will have disappointed his friends. He will cause the

0:35:49.960 --> 0:35:54.400
<v Speaker 13>people who are his hardest line andubmost diehard supporters to

0:35:54.520 --> 0:36:00.640
<v Speaker 13>come up with increasingly preposterous explanations for why this suspension

0:36:00.920 --> 0:36:04.600
<v Speaker 13>is a victory that clearly it wasn't or it won't be,

0:36:05.400 --> 0:36:10.360
<v Speaker 13>And all of this happening seems to leave him in

0:36:10.440 --> 0:36:14.239
<v Speaker 13>a worse rather than a better situation. My colleague Gabe

0:36:14.239 --> 0:36:19.920
<v Speaker 13>Greenwald would tell you, Look, the war was wildly successful.

0:36:20.040 --> 0:36:23.160
<v Speaker 13>There is no Iranian nuclear program. Iran will not be

0:36:23.239 --> 0:36:25.239
<v Speaker 13>able to get a bomb, or create a bomb, or

0:36:25.320 --> 0:36:30.080
<v Speaker 13>build a bomb, or enrich uranium. Henceforth, its program is rubble.

0:36:30.520 --> 0:36:33.160
<v Speaker 13>That's more than we could ever have hoped for. And

0:36:33.200 --> 0:36:36.799
<v Speaker 13>I understand that to be the case. But geopolitically, geo strategically,

0:36:37.360 --> 0:36:40.680
<v Speaker 13>Iran will have some claim to the idea that it

0:36:40.800 --> 0:36:46.799
<v Speaker 13>withstood you know, it withstood the Colossus, it withstood Goliath

0:36:47.440 --> 0:36:51.680
<v Speaker 13>and is now standing. And I don't know what argument

0:36:51.760 --> 0:36:53.120
<v Speaker 13>there will be against that.

0:36:54.120 --> 0:36:57.839
<v Speaker 1>You're a friend than mine, Noah Rothman. Noah Rothman just

0:36:57.880 --> 0:37:01.359
<v Speaker 1>made the point last hour that if China watches us

0:37:01.400 --> 0:37:04.920
<v Speaker 1>fold up like a cheap chair, they will immediately assert

0:37:05.000 --> 0:37:08.200
<v Speaker 1>control over the South China Sea in much the same

0:37:08.200 --> 0:37:10.360
<v Speaker 1>way Iran does and then settle for half a loaf.

0:37:10.920 --> 0:37:13.719
<v Speaker 1>My argument to the President on Monday was, and because

0:37:13.760 --> 0:37:16.200
<v Speaker 1>it's completely sincere from my point of view, this is

0:37:16.239 --> 0:37:19.560
<v Speaker 1>the most important thing he's done up until now. It

0:37:19.680 --> 0:37:23.239
<v Speaker 1>was the Supreme Court. But if the actually crushes the

0:37:23.280 --> 0:37:28.680
<v Speaker 1>Iranian nuclear threat, that's a world historical achievement that goes

0:37:28.719 --> 0:37:31.000
<v Speaker 1>into the history books. You can hate them all you want.

0:37:31.400 --> 0:37:33.480
<v Speaker 1>But if he de bangs Iran and gets rid of

0:37:33.480 --> 0:37:37.359
<v Speaker 1>their nuclear program, he won big time. This deal is

0:37:37.400 --> 0:37:39.919
<v Speaker 1>not that, is it, John? A deal is not that.

0:37:40.320 --> 0:37:43.200
<v Speaker 13>No, By the way, the other problem that we face

0:37:43.280 --> 0:37:47.319
<v Speaker 13>is that is that if we start defining the end

0:37:47.680 --> 0:37:51.400
<v Speaker 13>game of this war as an agreement to reopen the

0:37:51.400 --> 0:37:54.840
<v Speaker 13>Straits of hor Moves or an agreement to suspend the

0:37:54.920 --> 0:38:01.880
<v Speaker 13>nuclear program. The problem here is that, say July seventeenth

0:38:02.280 --> 0:38:10.200
<v Speaker 13>and Israel bombs Tesbola site and the Iranians say, we

0:38:10.280 --> 0:38:13.440
<v Speaker 13>don't like this, so we're going to close the straight

0:38:13.560 --> 0:38:17.600
<v Speaker 13>for forty eight hours. What are we going to do then?

0:38:19.000 --> 0:38:22.759
<v Speaker 13>I mean, it's always it will always be conditional. And

0:38:22.840 --> 0:38:25.200
<v Speaker 13>I think the weird part here is if you think

0:38:25.239 --> 0:38:27.160
<v Speaker 13>through the logic of what I just laid out to you,

0:38:28.560 --> 0:38:35.640
<v Speaker 13>because Hormuz became the card that they played. He kind

0:38:35.640 --> 0:38:41.319
<v Speaker 13>of has to go for regime change now because if

0:38:41.360 --> 0:38:44.520
<v Speaker 13>the thing that has to happen is that Hormuz remains

0:38:44.600 --> 0:38:48.480
<v Speaker 13>open as a matter of course without anybody worrying that

0:38:48.520 --> 0:38:52.880
<v Speaker 13>it will be closed, the regime that is standing cannot

0:38:52.960 --> 0:38:56.879
<v Speaker 13>remain standing because it has closed the straight.

0:38:57.400 --> 0:39:01.359
<v Speaker 4>And it now has that as it's trump card, if

0:39:01.400 --> 0:39:01.840
<v Speaker 4>you will.

0:39:02.239 --> 0:39:09.000
<v Speaker 13>So he's actually deepened the necessity for a successful military

0:39:09.080 --> 0:39:12.880
<v Speaker 13>conclusion to the war that has a regime change effect.

0:39:14.320 --> 0:39:16.640
<v Speaker 13>That's not where this was six weeks ago.

0:39:16.880 --> 0:39:20.440
<v Speaker 1>I don't think I a capitulation is necessary now. And

0:39:20.480 --> 0:39:23.240
<v Speaker 1>by capitulation there are a lot of ways that can come.

0:39:23.880 --> 0:39:26.399
<v Speaker 1>A declaration that the ships can move and they don't

0:39:26.440 --> 0:39:29.279
<v Speaker 1>fire on them, and we get back the HU. We

0:39:29.320 --> 0:39:31.799
<v Speaker 1>start digging it up right away. But I want to

0:39:31.800 --> 0:39:34.560
<v Speaker 1>ask important question John. First of all, some good news

0:39:35.239 --> 0:39:38.840
<v Speaker 1>minutes ago and meets ago reported that Israel killed the

0:39:38.880 --> 0:39:42.640
<v Speaker 1>head of the Radawan force and his deputy in Lebanon today.

0:39:42.840 --> 0:39:46.000
<v Speaker 1>So some good news. Why don't they go kill the

0:39:46.120 --> 0:39:49.239
<v Speaker 1>Eiti that if you're Israel the question I posed, and no,

0:39:49.400 --> 0:39:51.160
<v Speaker 1>I want to pose it too. If you're Israel, and

0:39:51.200 --> 0:39:54.040
<v Speaker 1>you see this deal on the table, don't you just say,

0:39:54.600 --> 0:39:57.080
<v Speaker 1>we're not going to leave this up to we like

0:39:57.320 --> 0:40:00.759
<v Speaker 1>Envoy with Coff and Envoy Kushner very well, but this

0:40:00.800 --> 0:40:03.160
<v Speaker 1>is our country and we're going to go kill Dahiti.

0:40:03.320 --> 0:40:04.439
<v Speaker 1>Don't you do that right now?

0:40:06.239 --> 0:40:09.400
<v Speaker 4>If they can? I mean, you know, look, once you revealed,

0:40:09.520 --> 0:40:11.280
<v Speaker 4>once you revealed.

0:40:11.120 --> 0:40:13.960
<v Speaker 13>The extent of your penetration, as is Reel did with

0:40:14.040 --> 0:40:21.080
<v Speaker 13>the decapitations on February twenty eighth, once you reveal that

0:40:21.520 --> 0:40:25.719
<v Speaker 13>countermeasures can be taken, like I maybe they know where

0:40:25.719 --> 0:40:28.600
<v Speaker 13>he is. Maybe maybe Vahiti is one of their agents.

0:40:28.640 --> 0:40:32.600
<v Speaker 13>I don't even know, but you know, it could be.

0:40:33.000 --> 0:40:35.680
<v Speaker 13>We don't know who their agents are. But I do

0:40:35.760 --> 0:40:39.719
<v Speaker 13>think that the central issue here is he Trump has

0:40:39.840 --> 0:40:44.560
<v Speaker 13>to like this is a real moment of choosing for him.

0:40:44.640 --> 0:40:45.839
<v Speaker 4>He is feeling some.

0:40:46.960 --> 0:40:52.719
<v Speaker 13>Internal pressure to find a way out of something that

0:40:53.040 --> 0:40:55.759
<v Speaker 13>I'm sorry but he started. That is to say, he

0:40:55.800 --> 0:40:59.360
<v Speaker 13>took what I think was a noble and world historical

0:40:59.480 --> 0:41:03.960
<v Speaker 13>opportunity to reset the map of the twenty first century.

0:41:04.080 --> 0:41:05.200
<v Speaker 4>I'm glad he did.

0:41:05.560 --> 0:41:08.640
<v Speaker 13>I think it was a great thing that he did,

0:41:09.160 --> 0:41:12.800
<v Speaker 13>and he can't go wobbly now. First of all, politically,

0:41:12.880 --> 0:41:16.280
<v Speaker 13>it makes no sense. He's already weakened. This will weaken

0:41:16.400 --> 0:41:21.760
<v Speaker 13>him further, both domestically and abroad. And secondly, he will

0:41:23.200 --> 0:41:26.680
<v Speaker 13>be remembered in the history books to somebody who did

0:41:26.719 --> 0:41:32.000
<v Speaker 13>not follow through on a great opening military victory to

0:41:32.160 --> 0:41:35.680
<v Speaker 13>secure the political victory that is the inevitable result of

0:41:35.719 --> 0:41:38.359
<v Speaker 13>a successful prosecution of a war.

0:41:39.719 --> 0:41:42.080
<v Speaker 1>Now, John, I think he takes in a lot of information.

0:41:42.360 --> 0:41:44.560
<v Speaker 1>Do you think he's hearing this point of view? Because

0:41:44.760 --> 0:41:47.239
<v Speaker 1>this point of view is if you fold, you never

0:41:47.280 --> 0:41:49.440
<v Speaker 1>get the stink off. You're not the art of the

0:41:49.480 --> 0:41:52.080
<v Speaker 1>deal anymore. You're the art of the collapse. And so

0:41:52.440 --> 0:41:55.480
<v Speaker 1>you can't fold right now. And fourteen points is folding

0:41:55.920 --> 0:41:59.880
<v Speaker 1>unless they can't capitulate. I mean that is theoretically possible.

0:42:00.120 --> 0:42:04.239
<v Speaker 1>Capitulation you leave them some dignity, but there's a lot more.

0:42:05.000 --> 0:42:08.640
<v Speaker 13>Right So, he said a couple of minutes ago, he said,

0:42:08.719 --> 0:42:11.560
<v Speaker 13>he's giving them a week to agree to the terms

0:42:12.200 --> 0:42:15.120
<v Speaker 13>of the deal, whatever they are, and they may not

0:42:15.239 --> 0:42:19.359
<v Speaker 13>be Barock Revide's deal points, but he's giving them a week.

0:42:19.440 --> 0:42:19.720
<v Speaker 1>Now.

0:42:19.840 --> 0:42:22.600
<v Speaker 13>If in the course of that week he does not

0:42:22.680 --> 0:42:27.520
<v Speaker 13>get the signals and signs that he wants he can

0:42:28.160 --> 0:42:31.920
<v Speaker 13>move toward forcing them to capitulate in the one advantage

0:42:31.960 --> 0:42:34.320
<v Speaker 13>of this week or a month, or even six weeks

0:42:34.360 --> 0:42:37.640
<v Speaker 13>or something like that, of not of leaving the status

0:42:37.680 --> 0:42:40.400
<v Speaker 13>quo as it is is they're going to have to

0:42:40.440 --> 0:42:45.120
<v Speaker 13>cap their oil wells. They themselves have hundreds of thousands

0:42:45.160 --> 0:42:48.200
<v Speaker 13>of barrels of oil sitting on chips in the strait

0:42:48.239 --> 0:42:52.480
<v Speaker 13>that we are not letting out. So they when you

0:42:52.560 --> 0:42:57.480
<v Speaker 13>cap an oil well, you are doing yourself immense economic

0:42:57.560 --> 0:43:02.319
<v Speaker 13>and structural damage. So I don't really know whether you know,

0:43:02.560 --> 0:43:05.680
<v Speaker 13>A long term play is what he should be making here,

0:43:05.840 --> 0:43:08.560
<v Speaker 13>But he's gotta like stiff in his spine.

0:43:08.840 --> 0:43:10.799
<v Speaker 1>I agree, And I'm gonna come back with John vod

0:43:10.920 --> 0:43:13.239
<v Speaker 1>Rtz and during the break, I'm gonna ask John to

0:43:13.280 --> 0:43:16.840
<v Speaker 1>put himself in bb netanyah whose place exactly with elections

0:43:16.840 --> 0:43:21.160
<v Speaker 1>coming up, with his career on the line, and have

0:43:21.360 --> 0:43:24.880
<v Speaker 1>him speculate what BIB might do regardless of what President

0:43:24.880 --> 0:43:30.720
<v Speaker 1>Trump does. Stay tuned. I'm Hugh Hewitt. Welcome back in America.

0:43:30.840 --> 0:43:33.680
<v Speaker 1>I'm Hugh Hewitt. I'm joined by John pod Horriz. Sean

0:43:33.840 --> 0:43:37.440
<v Speaker 1>is the longtime editor of Commentary Magazine and he is

0:43:37.480 --> 0:43:40.840
<v Speaker 1>the host every morning Monday through Friday of the Commentary podcast,

0:43:40.880 --> 0:43:44.440
<v Speaker 1>which is my first listen whenever it posts. John also

0:43:44.480 --> 0:43:47.279
<v Speaker 1>knows Israelly politics like very few people in America does.

0:43:47.640 --> 0:43:49.399
<v Speaker 1>And I think, John, I think I've heard you say

0:43:49.440 --> 0:43:51.920
<v Speaker 1>and I agree with it, that the greatest living politician

0:43:51.960 --> 0:43:54.960
<v Speaker 1>anywhere in the world is bib Netna. And by politician

0:43:55.040 --> 0:43:57.759
<v Speaker 1>we mean people repeatedly have to win election. He just

0:43:57.880 --> 0:44:01.279
<v Speaker 1>keeps doing it. He just concluded security cabinet. I mean

0:44:01.360 --> 0:44:02.960
<v Speaker 1>it went on a long period of time. I think

0:44:03.000 --> 0:44:06.120
<v Speaker 1>it ended. What do you think he does right now

0:44:06.120 --> 0:44:09.200
<v Speaker 1>if he thinks Donald Trump's about to make a terrible mistake.

0:44:11.920 --> 0:44:18.160
<v Speaker 13>So BB's hands have been a little tied in This is.

0:44:18.120 --> 0:44:20.240
<v Speaker 4>Not Iran related.

0:44:20.719 --> 0:44:23.920
<v Speaker 13>So as the Iran sis started took place, BB turned

0:44:23.960 --> 0:44:29.160
<v Speaker 13>his attention to his terrorist problem in the north, which

0:44:29.239 --> 0:44:33.840
<v Speaker 13>is across the Lebanese border. The Iranian proxy has Bolaw,

0:44:34.280 --> 0:44:37.800
<v Speaker 13>which has been the both a target has been targeting

0:44:37.920 --> 0:44:42.600
<v Speaker 13>Israel since October seventh, and well before October seventh, with

0:44:42.680 --> 0:44:49.040
<v Speaker 13>a gigantic cache of ballistic and other kinds of missiles.

0:44:49.400 --> 0:44:52.280
<v Speaker 13>And of course Israel has struck back with the famously

0:44:52.360 --> 0:44:56.719
<v Speaker 13>with the beepers, with the walkie talkies, and decided in

0:44:56.760 --> 0:44:59.440
<v Speaker 13>the course of this war that it was going to

0:44:59.560 --> 0:45:03.400
<v Speaker 13>see what could do to solve its Hesbola problem once

0:45:03.440 --> 0:45:06.239
<v Speaker 13>and for all by pushing has Blah at the very

0:45:06.320 --> 0:45:10.080
<v Speaker 13>least north of this river called the Latani, which is

0:45:10.080 --> 0:45:13.920
<v Speaker 13>about twenty miles from the Israeli border, clearing out the area,

0:45:14.080 --> 0:45:18.239
<v Speaker 13>probably reoccupying it for the for the near future, and

0:45:18.360 --> 0:45:23.920
<v Speaker 13>striking Hesbla targets in their headquarters in Beyrout. And Trump

0:45:24.040 --> 0:45:28.919
<v Speaker 13>asked him at some point to stop hitting Beirout. It's

0:45:28.960 --> 0:45:33.640
<v Speaker 13>the weirdest ceasefire ever. Israel and Hesbela have a ceasefire

0:45:34.040 --> 0:45:37.319
<v Speaker 13>that says that Israel can do whatever it wants in

0:45:37.400 --> 0:45:41.320
<v Speaker 13>the ceasefire. It can strike, it can hit, it can fire,

0:45:41.400 --> 0:45:46.400
<v Speaker 13>it can respond. But the clear idea was don't go

0:45:46.520 --> 0:45:51.560
<v Speaker 13>into Beaute. Don't strike in bey route I'm trying to do.

0:45:51.960 --> 0:45:56.319
<v Speaker 13>I'm playing, I'm playing seventeen cards. That complicates my life

0:45:56.320 --> 0:46:02.360
<v Speaker 13>too much. Don't strike Bei route. So today they struck Beirute.

0:46:02.800 --> 0:46:05.680
<v Speaker 13>The assassination of the head of the Rowan Corps was

0:46:05.719 --> 0:46:10.960
<v Speaker 13>in Beirut. That says to me that bib now believes

0:46:11.040 --> 0:46:13.520
<v Speaker 13>whether this is I don't think he would do something.

0:46:13.560 --> 0:46:17.480
<v Speaker 13>If Trump or Rubio or whatever asked him not to

0:46:17.600 --> 0:46:19.720
<v Speaker 13>said please don't, it's too.

0:46:19.520 --> 0:46:20.360
<v Speaker 4>Complicated for me.

0:46:21.160 --> 0:46:25.120
<v Speaker 13>The gloves now maybe off for BB in Lebanon, and

0:46:25.160 --> 0:46:29.120
<v Speaker 13>the main thing for him in the election that is

0:46:29.160 --> 0:46:32.879
<v Speaker 13>coming in October is that he needs to fulfill his

0:46:32.960 --> 0:46:36.160
<v Speaker 13>promise he had. There are three promises. He was going

0:46:36.160 --> 0:46:38.680
<v Speaker 13>to eliminate Hamas as a threat. He was going to

0:46:38.719 --> 0:46:41.160
<v Speaker 13>pacify the northern border so that people living in the

0:46:41.200 --> 0:46:44.280
<v Speaker 13>north of Israel are not living under this constant threat

0:46:44.360 --> 0:46:49.839
<v Speaker 13>of missile attack which they've been under, and that his

0:46:50.080 --> 0:46:54.319
<v Speaker 13>life long or his career long obsession with ending the

0:46:54.360 --> 0:46:57.840
<v Speaker 13>Iranian nuclear threat would end in success. If he achieves

0:46:57.920 --> 0:47:04.120
<v Speaker 13>those three aims, or at least substantially achieves those three aims,

0:47:04.400 --> 0:47:07.280
<v Speaker 13>then his case before the Israeli people is very clear

0:47:07.440 --> 0:47:11.279
<v Speaker 13>in the coming election, which is I did it. I

0:47:11.320 --> 0:47:12.799
<v Speaker 13>did what I said I was set out to do.

0:47:12.880 --> 0:47:16.000
<v Speaker 13>I know you think that I'm partially responsible for October seventh,

0:47:16.400 --> 0:47:19.680
<v Speaker 13>but I took the bull by the horns. I found

0:47:19.800 --> 0:47:23.000
<v Speaker 13>this relationship with this American president that has led us

0:47:23.360 --> 0:47:29.480
<v Speaker 13>to a new kind of authority, centrality power. We are

0:47:29.520 --> 0:47:32.080
<v Speaker 13>working together in a way that two countries have not

0:47:32.160 --> 0:47:35.680
<v Speaker 13>worked together since World War Two, and I am the

0:47:35.800 --> 0:47:39.799
<v Speaker 13>leader to go forward. He's been prime minister for so long.

0:47:39.840 --> 0:47:42.160
<v Speaker 13>I mean he's been prime minister basically for twenty years

0:47:42.440 --> 0:47:46.600
<v Speaker 13>with a gap excuse me, for like seventeen years, with

0:47:46.640 --> 0:47:49.759
<v Speaker 13>the gap of a year and a half somewhere in

0:47:49.760 --> 0:47:54.120
<v Speaker 13>the middle. One outright and election after not having won

0:47:54.160 --> 0:47:57.560
<v Speaker 13>an election for many years, and he's got a really

0:47:57.719 --> 0:48:01.880
<v Speaker 13>serious rival risk chain it was rarely. People are tired

0:48:01.920 --> 0:48:04.680
<v Speaker 13>of him. He's been there too long in many ways,

0:48:05.600 --> 0:48:09.160
<v Speaker 13>and he needs to make the case that he delivered

0:48:09.200 --> 0:48:13.040
<v Speaker 13>what he promised. So he and Trump are they're not

0:48:13.120 --> 0:48:15.440
<v Speaker 13>across purposes because part of what he promised was this

0:48:15.520 --> 0:48:18.960
<v Speaker 13>relationship with America that has come to this full flower.

0:48:19.040 --> 0:48:21.520
<v Speaker 13>And israelis loved Trump and believe Trump is their best

0:48:21.560 --> 0:48:27.280
<v Speaker 13>friend ever. But he has to make a special plead

0:48:27.840 --> 0:48:31.239
<v Speaker 13>that he deserves another term at his age after all

0:48:31.280 --> 0:48:36.400
<v Speaker 13>this time, after the security failures on October seventh meant

0:48:36.440 --> 0:48:39.279
<v Speaker 13>that you know, they had not been looking in the

0:48:39.360 --> 0:48:43.279
<v Speaker 13>right way at the threat from Gaza and say, I

0:48:43.400 --> 0:48:46.719
<v Speaker 13>deserve another chance, or I deserve another term to be

0:48:46.840 --> 0:48:49.680
<v Speaker 13>the person who can lead us forward, and then I will,

0:48:49.880 --> 0:48:51.359
<v Speaker 13>then I will retire, but.

0:48:51.600 --> 0:48:52.839
<v Speaker 4>He's got two or three.

0:48:53.239 --> 0:48:56.800
<v Speaker 13>He's got a major opposition party that is now formed

0:48:57.239 --> 0:49:01.440
<v Speaker 13>undernough Tally Bennett, the previous the prime his former deputy

0:49:01.480 --> 0:49:05.400
<v Speaker 13>who became prime minister. He's made a coalition, a weird

0:49:05.440 --> 0:49:09.360
<v Speaker 13>coalition with a weird politician. It's basically just the Anti

0:49:09.480 --> 0:49:13.800
<v Speaker 13>It's BB versus the ANTIBB Party, and BB's the threat

0:49:13.840 --> 0:49:18.520
<v Speaker 13>to BB is that the ANTIBB Party has enough exhaustion,

0:49:19.680 --> 0:49:22.799
<v Speaker 13>enough people who don't like him, enough exhaustion and this

0:49:23.040 --> 0:49:26.560
<v Speaker 13>sense that maybe he didn't finally deliver on all of

0:49:26.560 --> 0:49:30.200
<v Speaker 13>his promises. That's their hope, that's their aim. So he

0:49:30.360 --> 0:49:34.000
<v Speaker 13>and he knows this very well. He's under no illusions

0:49:34.040 --> 0:49:36.840
<v Speaker 13>about what it is. He's not there because of love,

0:49:37.400 --> 0:49:40.319
<v Speaker 13>and so he has to he has to make good

0:49:40.360 --> 0:49:42.839
<v Speaker 13>and say, look who do you want? You want these

0:49:42.880 --> 0:49:45.800
<v Speaker 13>schleppers or do you want me? Look what I've just done.

0:49:46.400 --> 0:49:48.600
<v Speaker 13>Look how that does changed in space?

0:49:49.440 --> 0:49:52.799
<v Speaker 1>Does he have it in him or do you expect that?

0:49:52.880 --> 0:49:55.719
<v Speaker 1>He will say to himself, I've got a killer ron

0:49:55.840 --> 0:49:57.880
<v Speaker 1>more than I need to win this election, more than

0:49:57.880 --> 0:50:01.240
<v Speaker 1>I need to have Donald Trump love me in Israel,

0:50:01.400 --> 0:50:04.080
<v Speaker 1>and therefore I'm going to blow up this deal the

0:50:04.120 --> 0:50:07.640
<v Speaker 1>old fashioned way with bombs. You know, I think the

0:50:07.719 --> 0:50:10.200
<v Speaker 1>United Arab Emirates would would be with him on this.

0:50:10.520 --> 0:50:12.759
<v Speaker 1>We're not going to let the United States enter into

0:50:12.800 --> 0:50:15.480
<v Speaker 1>a deal. Jd Vance told me on this show. Nation

0:50:15.640 --> 0:50:18.279
<v Speaker 1>states have to act in their own interest. I don't

0:50:18.280 --> 0:50:20.680
<v Speaker 1>think it's in Israel's interest to allow that fourteenth point

0:50:20.680 --> 0:50:23.399
<v Speaker 1>deal to go, do you no?

0:50:23.480 --> 0:50:25.600
<v Speaker 13>But I don't think that he is going to hit

0:50:25.640 --> 0:50:28.080
<v Speaker 13>at the fourteen point Deal in order to prevent Trump

0:50:28.120 --> 0:50:28.879
<v Speaker 13>from signing it.

0:50:29.680 --> 0:50:30.839
<v Speaker 3>That's a bridge too far.

0:50:31.000 --> 0:50:34.160
<v Speaker 13>He is not going to intervene to save the United

0:50:34.239 --> 0:50:39.600
<v Speaker 13>States from its own foolishness. That that that I think

0:50:39.800 --> 0:50:43.920
<v Speaker 13>is a that's a that's would be wishful thinking for hawks,

0:50:44.320 --> 0:50:46.480
<v Speaker 13>and it would be it would be very foolish for

0:50:46.560 --> 0:50:50.240
<v Speaker 13>him to do that. If Trump is done, Trump is done,

0:50:50.320 --> 0:50:52.640
<v Speaker 13>if he's not done, if he can encourage him to

0:50:52.719 --> 0:50:55.319
<v Speaker 13>continue and say that you know we can win this.

0:50:55.400 --> 0:50:57.040
<v Speaker 13>You just need to be more you know, you just

0:50:57.120 --> 0:51:01.440
<v Speaker 13>need to be more stouthearted instead fast and use us

0:51:01.719 --> 0:51:02.399
<v Speaker 13>however you.

0:51:02.440 --> 0:51:03.839
<v Speaker 3>Think we need to use.

0:51:04.360 --> 0:51:07.120
<v Speaker 4>He could us also to help you, but to help

0:51:07.160 --> 0:51:08.520
<v Speaker 4>you achieve this resolution.

0:51:09.320 --> 0:51:12.560
<v Speaker 13>We're here to do whatever is necessary to achieve the

0:51:12.600 --> 0:51:17.520
<v Speaker 13>resolution where where the United States wins this war with Iran.

0:51:17.640 --> 0:51:20.120
<v Speaker 4>But I don't think he in the UA will blow

0:51:20.160 --> 0:51:20.520
<v Speaker 4>it up.

0:51:21.480 --> 0:51:23.280
<v Speaker 13>First of all, I don't think they have the means

0:51:23.360 --> 0:51:26.040
<v Speaker 13>or the I don't think they have. They cannot bring

0:51:26.080 --> 0:51:29.120
<v Speaker 13>this regime down. They cannot reopen the Straits of Hormuz,

0:51:29.680 --> 0:51:35.040
<v Speaker 13>they cannot secure naval passage. That one thing Israel cannot

0:51:35.080 --> 0:51:39.239
<v Speaker 13>do is have material effect on the naval, on the

0:51:39.239 --> 0:51:42.680
<v Speaker 13>shipping in these areas that are one thousand miles away

0:51:42.680 --> 0:51:46.640
<v Speaker 13>from it. But it can serve as a partner if

0:51:46.920 --> 0:51:52.919
<v Speaker 13>Trump wants to go and re establish our military supremacy

0:51:53.000 --> 0:51:55.040
<v Speaker 13>over Iran from the air and on the ground.

0:51:55.440 --> 0:51:58.360
<v Speaker 1>Gosh, I hope Prime who's on the thumb with the

0:51:58.360 --> 0:52:00.399
<v Speaker 1>President making that argument, because I think he is more

0:52:00.440 --> 0:52:03.640
<v Speaker 1>precisive than anyone else in the United He does not

0:52:03.760 --> 0:52:07.200
<v Speaker 1>run us the boy. He can be percisive. John Podhortz,

0:52:07.239 --> 0:52:10.239
<v Speaker 1>I appreciate the extra time today. I greatly appreciate the

0:52:10.239 --> 0:52:13.879
<v Speaker 1>commentary podcast every morning. Keep doing it, do it more,

0:52:13.960 --> 0:52:17.000
<v Speaker 1>do it longer, good faster. Thank you, John. I'll be

0:52:17.080 --> 0:52:22.720
<v Speaker 1>right back in America. Stay tuned. Welcome back in America.

0:52:22.840 --> 0:52:27.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm Hugh Hewett. When I get exercised about something having

0:52:27.600 --> 0:52:30.279
<v Speaker 1>to do with national security, try and get former United

0:52:30.280 --> 0:52:32.840
<v Speaker 1>States Senator Jim Talent to join me. He's from the

0:52:33.760 --> 0:52:36.799
<v Speaker 1>board of Directors of the National Reagan Institute on Keeping

0:52:36.840 --> 0:52:40.000
<v Speaker 1>America Safe and Secure and Against All Evil or something

0:52:40.040 --> 0:52:44.239
<v Speaker 1>like that. Senator Talent, welcome. I had lunch day with

0:52:44.320 --> 0:52:46.680
<v Speaker 1>Roger as a team. So I really can never remember

0:52:46.719 --> 0:52:49.200
<v Speaker 1>the name of the Institute's board on which you serve.

0:52:49.360 --> 0:52:53.840
<v Speaker 18>That's fine, but it's close enough. It's about our purpose. Yeah,

0:52:54.600 --> 0:52:58.160
<v Speaker 18>keep us safe, justice in the American way, And I

0:52:58.200 --> 0:53:01.600
<v Speaker 18>love that, and I love Roger. Now tell me, uh,

0:53:01.640 --> 0:53:04.040
<v Speaker 18>there's a fourteen point plan. There's a ten point plan.

0:53:04.200 --> 0:53:05.279
<v Speaker 18>What do you make of all this?

0:53:09.800 --> 0:53:14.439
<v Speaker 19>Look, I understand people concerned about an American president going

0:53:14.480 --> 0:53:18.000
<v Speaker 19>wobbly because in the last forty seven years, the only

0:53:18.040 --> 0:53:22.120
<v Speaker 19>two that haven't dealing with iron ore Reagan and uh

0:53:22.400 --> 0:53:26.240
<v Speaker 19>and and Trump. But there is absolutely nothing about the life,

0:53:26.320 --> 0:53:29.320
<v Speaker 19>the experience, the statements of the writings of Donald J.

0:53:29.520 --> 0:53:32.720
<v Speaker 19>Trump to suggest to me that he's going to split

0:53:32.760 --> 0:53:36.240
<v Speaker 19>a pot when he holds four races and he thinks

0:53:36.239 --> 0:53:38.520
<v Speaker 19>he holds four races, and I think he does hold

0:53:38.520 --> 0:53:41.520
<v Speaker 19>four races. So look, I'm willing to be convinced if

0:53:41.560 --> 0:53:44.719
<v Speaker 19>there is a deal and it's a bad deal, you know,

0:53:44.800 --> 0:53:48.200
<v Speaker 19>I'll say so. But right now I think he's just

0:53:48.320 --> 0:53:53.240
<v Speaker 19>maneuvering you. And let's we're worried about him going wobbly.

0:53:53.400 --> 0:53:56.480
<v Speaker 19>Let's not us go wobbly while while we're worried about him,

0:53:56.520 --> 0:53:58.840
<v Speaker 19>Let's let's give him some running room and see what happens.

0:53:59.320 --> 0:54:03.480
<v Speaker 1>Well, I'm going probably because on Monday he was on

0:54:03.560 --> 0:54:08.920
<v Speaker 1>the program and he was adamant, no enrichment ever, and

0:54:08.960 --> 0:54:12.640
<v Speaker 1>we get the highly enriched uranium. They may get some missiles,

0:54:12.640 --> 0:54:15.000
<v Speaker 1>but not that many, and we need to have inspections,

0:54:15.000 --> 0:54:17.200
<v Speaker 1>and don't worry about the terror proxies. They haven't got

0:54:17.239 --> 0:54:20.640
<v Speaker 1>any money anyway. That's the summary. And I presented it

0:54:20.680 --> 0:54:24.040
<v Speaker 1>as this is your greatest achievement ever. And he didn't

0:54:24.080 --> 0:54:28.600
<v Speaker 1>disagree with that. H does he? You know real estate

0:54:28.640 --> 0:54:32.320
<v Speaker 1>guys will cut deals if they get seventy five percent

0:54:32.360 --> 0:54:33.439
<v Speaker 1>of it, Yeah, he said.

0:54:34.080 --> 0:54:38.840
<v Speaker 19>He says in the book he says, I think very big.

0:54:39.560 --> 0:54:41.920
<v Speaker 19>I push and push and push and push. And he

0:54:41.920 --> 0:54:44.720
<v Speaker 19>said sometimes I have to settle for less, but usually

0:54:44.760 --> 0:54:47.200
<v Speaker 19>I get everything I want. Well, you here's what I

0:54:47.200 --> 0:54:51.800
<v Speaker 19>would say to you. He knew he went on your program,

0:54:52.520 --> 0:54:55.040
<v Speaker 19>he knows the kind of questions you're going to ask.

0:54:55.640 --> 0:54:57.320
<v Speaker 19>He knew what he was going to say, and he

0:54:57.400 --> 0:54:59.960
<v Speaker 19>knew what he did say, and all that to me,

0:55:00.320 --> 0:55:03.080
<v Speaker 19>to me, is a very good reason to believe that

0:55:03.160 --> 0:55:05.920
<v Speaker 19>he's not going to do anything he told you he

0:55:06.040 --> 0:55:09.000
<v Speaker 19>wasn't going to do. I just like I said, I mean,

0:55:09.680 --> 0:55:13.800
<v Speaker 19>I'll wait to see, but if I have to choose

0:55:13.840 --> 0:55:18.040
<v Speaker 19>between trusting how he's handled himself really for the for

0:55:18.080 --> 0:55:20.279
<v Speaker 19>the first term and now a year and a half

0:55:20.320 --> 0:55:24.320
<v Speaker 19>into this one, as compared to this reporting, which I

0:55:24.360 --> 0:55:28.600
<v Speaker 19>don't want to run anybody down, but no, I'm disinclined

0:55:28.640 --> 0:55:31.120
<v Speaker 19>to believe it. And I'll point out you the plot,

0:55:31.280 --> 0:55:34.759
<v Speaker 19>the blockade is still in force. The only thing we've

0:55:34.800 --> 0:55:36.040
<v Speaker 19>done is he's he's.

0:55:37.120 --> 0:55:38.480
<v Speaker 1>He did he suspended project.

0:55:40.520 --> 0:55:41.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, he did.

0:55:43.080 --> 0:55:45.799
<v Speaker 19>And I kind of think, and I'm not saying I

0:55:45.840 --> 0:55:48.840
<v Speaker 19>agree with this, I think I disagree with the tactically

0:55:48.920 --> 0:55:51.000
<v Speaker 19>from what I know, I don't think Trump's ever been

0:55:51.040 --> 0:55:55.279
<v Speaker 19>that that frantic to clear the straight I mean, I

0:55:55.360 --> 0:55:57.120
<v Speaker 19>thought it would happen a couple of weeks ago. I

0:55:57.120 --> 0:55:59.880
<v Speaker 19>think I said so on the show. I think he

0:56:00.080 --> 0:56:02.960
<v Speaker 19>feels like it hurts the Iranians a lot. Those whole

0:56:03.080 --> 0:56:06.120
<v Speaker 19>episode is hurting them and hurting other countries more than

0:56:06.120 --> 0:56:09.279
<v Speaker 19>it's hurting us. I think eventually we will get the

0:56:09.360 --> 0:56:12.920
<v Speaker 19>straight clear. But again that's another point. If you're trying

0:56:12.960 --> 0:56:16.200
<v Speaker 19>to signal to the other side of negotiation that they

0:56:16.280 --> 0:56:20.480
<v Speaker 19>don't have you in a you know, an advice, you

0:56:20.840 --> 0:56:23.920
<v Speaker 19>want to let them know that that what they're trying

0:56:24.000 --> 0:56:24.960
<v Speaker 19>is actually working.

0:56:25.640 --> 0:56:27.680
<v Speaker 3>So look, there was always.

0:56:27.360 --> 0:56:33.279
<v Speaker 19>A possibility that that this episode would end with the

0:56:33.320 --> 0:56:37.799
<v Speaker 19>regime staggering on. If that happens, we have a lot

0:56:37.840 --> 0:56:41.160
<v Speaker 19>of other tools to continue putting pressure on them, beginning

0:56:41.200 --> 0:56:44.399
<v Speaker 19>with the economic ones. We have covert tools. We don't

0:56:44.440 --> 0:56:48.920
<v Speaker 19>know who's being armed in Iran. We have cyber tools.

0:56:49.600 --> 0:56:52.319
<v Speaker 19>I've been surprised we haven't seen anything cyber and maybe

0:56:52.320 --> 0:56:54.680
<v Speaker 19>they've been doing it and we just don't know. We

0:56:54.800 --> 0:56:57.000
<v Speaker 19>now have a new coalition in the Middle East, we

0:56:57.040 --> 0:57:01.279
<v Speaker 19>have the UAE. We've shut down their financial transactions. So

0:57:02.160 --> 0:57:04.360
<v Speaker 19>when the president says he holds all the cards, I

0:57:04.400 --> 0:57:07.600
<v Speaker 19>think he does. And uh, I don't think we're gonna

0:57:07.640 --> 0:57:09.040
<v Speaker 19>get a bad deal. I really don't.

0:57:09.440 --> 0:57:11.360
<v Speaker 1>And now Jim One of the things he does do

0:57:11.760 --> 0:57:14.879
<v Speaker 1>he often has done, is appeared to be negotiation when

0:57:14.880 --> 0:57:17.960
<v Speaker 1>he's not negotiation, because he loves to be known as

0:57:17.960 --> 0:57:20.800
<v Speaker 1>someone who offered the deal, right. He likes to be

0:57:20.880 --> 0:57:23.080
<v Speaker 1>known as someone I tried to make peace with him.

0:57:23.720 --> 0:57:27.880
<v Speaker 1>This could be that, right, Oh sure.

0:57:28.520 --> 0:57:29.240
<v Speaker 3>And it could.

0:57:29.320 --> 0:57:32.240
<v Speaker 19>It could have something to do with the pakistanis asking

0:57:32.320 --> 0:57:35.960
<v Speaker 19>him to do something. Maybe the President is a little

0:57:36.160 --> 0:57:38.920
<v Speaker 19>is a little upset that not more countries stepped up

0:57:39.200 --> 0:57:41.640
<v Speaker 19>right away to say, yeah, we're going to send ships.

0:57:42.680 --> 0:57:46.880
<v Speaker 19>So he's figuring, Okay, I just I won't initiate Operation

0:57:47.080 --> 0:57:50.560
<v Speaker 19>Project Freedom right now. We'll just keep blockading the Iranians

0:57:51.040 --> 0:57:53.320
<v Speaker 19>and see who calls me up and says, you got

0:57:53.320 --> 0:57:54.240
<v Speaker 19>to get this straight clear.

0:57:54.360 --> 0:57:56.680
<v Speaker 3>I mean, there's so many different variables out there.

0:57:56.760 --> 0:58:02.480
<v Speaker 1>You again, I Senator Talents coming back on the other side.

0:58:02.520 --> 0:58:06.360
<v Speaker 1>Don't go anywhere. He's the upbeat guy. We've had John Podhortz,

0:58:06.720 --> 0:58:10.040
<v Speaker 1>Nolah Rothman may be the downbeat guys. Jim Talent's the

0:58:10.080 --> 0:58:16.280
<v Speaker 1>upbeat guy. Stay tuned. Welcome back, America. I'm huge Hewett.

0:58:16.280 --> 0:58:20.240
<v Speaker 1>Inside the Beltway with former Senator Jim Tallan, who sits

0:58:20.240 --> 0:58:24.280
<v Speaker 1>on the Reagan Institute Board of Directors. Senator, we all

0:58:24.320 --> 0:58:27.640
<v Speaker 1>have our different red lines. Minor are not regime chain?

0:58:28.200 --> 0:58:33.000
<v Speaker 1>Mine are they commit verbally and in writing, no enrichment. Ever,

0:58:33.640 --> 0:58:37.360
<v Speaker 1>we get the HU and we get an inspections regime

0:58:37.680 --> 0:58:41.640
<v Speaker 1>that is thorough and it wasn't in the JCPOA of

0:58:41.680 --> 0:58:45.480
<v Speaker 1>all their facilities and of their missiles, and some kind

0:58:45.520 --> 0:58:47.720
<v Speaker 1>of a deal on missiles. The President indicated they got

0:58:47.760 --> 0:58:50.480
<v Speaker 1>to have some defense, and I understand that, but I'm

0:58:50.480 --> 0:58:54.200
<v Speaker 1>not looking for them to hold elections or give up

0:58:54.240 --> 0:58:57.920
<v Speaker 1>their money. I don't expect to Syria. What are your

0:58:57.960 --> 0:58:58.560
<v Speaker 1>red lines?

0:59:00.840 --> 0:59:02.120
<v Speaker 3>Well, I guess if I had one.

0:59:02.160 --> 0:59:04.680
<v Speaker 19>I mean, if the President called me up and asked

0:59:04.720 --> 0:59:09.320
<v Speaker 19>my advice, and I don't have a cell phone number, I.

0:59:09.200 --> 0:59:10.720
<v Speaker 3>Think I would say, mister President.

0:59:10.800 --> 0:59:13.680
<v Speaker 19>The thing I would be very careful about is giving

0:59:13.720 --> 0:59:17.960
<v Speaker 19>them sanctions relief unless we get everything that we want,

0:59:18.040 --> 0:59:20.400
<v Speaker 19>and unless we get it up front, and if there's

0:59:20.440 --> 0:59:25.480
<v Speaker 19>something we want that they can't perform upfront, no sanctions relief.

0:59:25.640 --> 0:59:26.440
<v Speaker 3>In other words, I.

0:59:26.400 --> 0:59:31.520
<v Speaker 19>Don't want Operation Economic Fury. I'm getting the names mixed up.

0:59:31.560 --> 0:59:35.720
<v Speaker 19>I don't want Operation Economic Fury stopped. Don't let them

0:59:35.800 --> 0:59:38.200
<v Speaker 19>up off the mat. That's what they in my opinion,

0:59:38.240 --> 0:59:42.560
<v Speaker 19>what they really want. And no, I mean if we

0:59:42.720 --> 0:59:45.520
<v Speaker 19>have to walk away without getting everything we want, but

0:59:45.600 --> 0:59:50.480
<v Speaker 19>we maintain all the other tools, the economic tools, the

0:59:50.520 --> 0:59:54.520
<v Speaker 19>covert operation, the cyber the Israelis.

0:59:54.360 --> 0:59:55.400
<v Speaker 3>Who are a tool in this.

0:59:56.520 --> 0:59:59.000
<v Speaker 19>I mean, at some point we're going to end this, right,

1:00:00.120 --> 1:00:02.440
<v Speaker 19>we end it with the straight open and if the

1:00:02.520 --> 1:00:07.360
<v Speaker 19>regime staggers on, we maintain our right to apply all

1:00:07.400 --> 1:00:10.880
<v Speaker 19>other tools of power to continue constraining them and to

1:00:10.920 --> 1:00:12.880
<v Speaker 19>continue trying to get them to collapse.

1:00:12.920 --> 1:00:16.400
<v Speaker 3>So that would really be my red loaning.

1:00:16.920 --> 1:00:20.160
<v Speaker 1>I agree with that, because money keeps them alive, and

1:00:20.240 --> 1:00:21.800
<v Speaker 1>right now they haven't got any money.

1:00:22.280 --> 1:00:25.080
<v Speaker 3>Now, No, we're not helping them get off the map.

1:00:26.040 --> 1:00:29.000
<v Speaker 1>Molser comes to him and says, you're going to lose

1:00:29.040 --> 1:00:31.800
<v Speaker 1>fifty seats in the House, and you're going to lose

1:00:32.040 --> 1:00:34.960
<v Speaker 1>six seats in the Senate. Do you think he has

1:00:35.000 --> 1:00:36.960
<v Speaker 1>to care about that? By the way, I don't think

1:00:36.960 --> 1:00:39.600
<v Speaker 1>that's doable. I don't think that's possible. And I believe

1:00:39.640 --> 1:00:41.600
<v Speaker 1>you can actually argue that it're on is a good

1:00:41.640 --> 1:00:45.680
<v Speaker 1>thing electorally if you stay the course. If you fold,

1:00:45.920 --> 1:00:46.560
<v Speaker 1>it'll kill you.

1:00:48.760 --> 1:00:52.400
<v Speaker 19>Yeah, I think the president is very confident that once

1:00:52.440 --> 1:00:57.520
<v Speaker 19>we get past this and oil prices start going down,

1:00:58.120 --> 1:01:01.840
<v Speaker 19>with the prospect of them going down further, this will become,

1:01:02.080 --> 1:01:03.760
<v Speaker 19>if anything, a political winner.

1:01:03.760 --> 1:01:06.600
<v Speaker 3>Now, the truth of the matter is that this.

1:01:06.600 --> 1:01:11.240
<v Speaker 19>Kind of an exercise, barring an unusual circumstance, is not

1:01:11.320 --> 1:01:13.120
<v Speaker 19>going to switch a lot of votes in the fall.

1:01:13.160 --> 1:01:14.880
<v Speaker 19>I mean, I think that's going to be about the

1:01:14.920 --> 1:01:18.800
<v Speaker 19>other things that he's doing. The crime, the immigration, the

1:01:18.920 --> 1:01:22.800
<v Speaker 19>energy policy, the fact that the economy is doing well,

1:01:22.880 --> 1:01:25.560
<v Speaker 19>I mean, all of that. So I know, I don't

1:01:25.560 --> 1:01:28.200
<v Speaker 19>think this president is number one. I don't think he's

1:01:28.240 --> 1:01:31.640
<v Speaker 19>that scared of the midterms. And I think if there

1:01:31.720 --> 1:01:34.600
<v Speaker 19>is a president who would say this is too important,

1:01:35.640 --> 1:01:38.560
<v Speaker 19>I'm going to continue doing what I'm doing now to

1:01:38.600 --> 1:01:41.800
<v Speaker 19>make America great again, I think it's this president, all right.

1:01:41.800 --> 1:01:44.720
<v Speaker 1>So I want to switch just slightly on you. You ran

1:01:44.800 --> 1:01:48.520
<v Speaker 1>against fairly mainstream Democrats though they were leftists, but they

1:01:48.520 --> 1:01:53.000
<v Speaker 1>weren't Graham Platner, L. Saed in Michigan, Flannagan and Minnesota.

1:01:53.320 --> 1:01:57.440
<v Speaker 1>What's happening over there? What has happened to the Democratic

1:01:57.480 --> 1:01:58.560
<v Speaker 1>Party that you served with?

1:02:01.840 --> 1:02:07.680
<v Speaker 19>Well, I think the hard left has accumulated enough power

1:02:07.760 --> 1:02:10.560
<v Speaker 19>within the party and I don't you know, I haven't

1:02:10.600 --> 1:02:13.240
<v Speaker 19>traced all the ways that they've been able to do this.

1:02:14.240 --> 1:02:19.040
<v Speaker 19>That the Democrats who are more in the center, to

1:02:19.160 --> 1:02:23.280
<v Speaker 19>include incumbents, just don't feel that they can bucket. I

1:02:23.280 --> 1:02:26.960
<v Speaker 19>think that they're buck the trend, buck what they want.

1:02:27.480 --> 1:02:27.640
<v Speaker 6>And.

1:02:29.520 --> 1:02:32.920
<v Speaker 19>You need to get on some really insightful Democrats are

1:02:32.960 --> 1:02:36.840
<v Speaker 19>political scientists to get the tracing of that, and then

1:02:37.080 --> 1:02:40.480
<v Speaker 19>they're energized on the left. I think it's going to

1:02:40.520 --> 1:02:45.439
<v Speaker 19>take another, probably significant electoral defeat in a presidential year

1:02:45.480 --> 1:02:47.440
<v Speaker 19>for them to moderate. Remember you, we kind of went

1:02:47.520 --> 1:02:51.920
<v Speaker 19>through this in the seventies. They lost three presidential elections

1:02:51.920 --> 1:02:55.120
<v Speaker 19>in a row, and then we saw Dick eb Hard

1:02:55.240 --> 1:02:58.640
<v Speaker 19>and Clinton and the others forget the name of it now.

1:02:58.680 --> 1:03:01.040
<v Speaker 19>But they start their more modern thing and they move

1:03:01.120 --> 1:03:03.680
<v Speaker 19>to the center and we get Clinton, and I think

1:03:03.720 --> 1:03:06.760
<v Speaker 19>that so this is a periodic thing with them, and

1:03:06.800 --> 1:03:09.840
<v Speaker 19>I think we're going to have to win another presidential

1:03:09.880 --> 1:03:13.120
<v Speaker 19>election and then I think they'll moderate because otherwise they

1:03:13.160 --> 1:03:14.600
<v Speaker 19>know they're going to be cut off from power.

1:03:15.280 --> 1:03:17.600
<v Speaker 1>Last question I had to do with the Chinese. If

1:03:17.720 --> 1:03:20.520
<v Speaker 1>Jijenping got on the phone last night with Donald Trump

1:03:20.600 --> 1:03:23.840
<v Speaker 1>and said, we're not doing this summit unless this war

1:03:23.920 --> 1:03:26.760
<v Speaker 1>is over. How does Trump react to that?

1:03:29.720 --> 1:03:34.240
<v Speaker 19>I think Trump finds a way to respond by imposing

1:03:34.320 --> 1:03:38.120
<v Speaker 19>extra costs and consequences on the Chinese that are.

1:03:38.040 --> 1:03:39.480
<v Speaker 3>Not directly related to this.

1:03:40.240 --> 1:03:42.880
<v Speaker 19>Trump's going to let he he is not going to

1:03:42.960 --> 1:03:47.400
<v Speaker 19>let Jijenping think that he Trump wants this summit more

1:03:47.440 --> 1:03:51.919
<v Speaker 19>than Jon Ping wants it. That's another negotiating axiom. You

1:03:51.920 --> 1:03:54.560
<v Speaker 19>you don't ever let the other guy know what you

1:03:54.640 --> 1:03:56.560
<v Speaker 19>want and how bad you want it. And frankly, I

1:03:56.600 --> 1:03:59.400
<v Speaker 19>don't think Trump cares. I mean, I don't think that

1:03:59.520 --> 1:04:02.240
<v Speaker 19>is a big I he'd probably laugh at it. He'd say,

1:04:02.320 --> 1:04:04.880
<v Speaker 19>you think you're going to influence me on this? You

1:04:04.960 --> 1:04:06.040
<v Speaker 19>need this more than I do.

1:04:06.720 --> 1:04:10.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm still looking for some reason to turn around. And

1:04:10.320 --> 1:04:13.440
<v Speaker 1>you did mention or John pod Ortz maybe Pakistan asked him,

1:04:13.440 --> 1:04:16.160
<v Speaker 1>and he's being nice to Pakistan because he doesn't want

1:04:16.160 --> 1:04:18.200
<v Speaker 1>a war with India. That president's got a lot of

1:04:18.240 --> 1:04:19.200
<v Speaker 1>stuff on his desk.

1:04:20.880 --> 1:04:24.320
<v Speaker 19>He may look, we don't know what he's hearing from

1:04:24.320 --> 1:04:27.240
<v Speaker 19>within that regime. And we've talked about this in the

1:04:27.280 --> 1:04:28.040
<v Speaker 19>show a little bit.

1:04:28.120 --> 1:04:28.560
<v Speaker 3>I mean the.

1:04:28.520 --> 1:04:31.880
<v Speaker 19>Fact that there is a hard liner who is as

1:04:31.920 --> 1:04:35.360
<v Speaker 19>a titular matter in charge of the i RG. Doesn't

1:04:35.400 --> 1:04:38.680
<v Speaker 19>mean that everybody in the i RG isn't cutting deals

1:04:38.720 --> 1:04:41.480
<v Speaker 19>with Pozaskian or some of the others. I mean, that's

1:04:41.560 --> 1:04:44.320
<v Speaker 19>what happens here in others. There are going to be

1:04:44.360 --> 1:04:47.320
<v Speaker 19>factions within the i RG. So we don't know what

1:04:47.360 --> 1:04:50.880
<v Speaker 19>the president is hearing about the possibility that they will

1:04:50.920 --> 1:04:52.080
<v Speaker 19>basically agree.

1:04:51.760 --> 1:04:55.240
<v Speaker 3>To our terms. So I look, I hope there is a.

1:04:55.280 --> 1:05:00.360
<v Speaker 19>Possibility that John Potterwortz and others who are so worried

1:05:00.360 --> 1:05:04.320
<v Speaker 19>about this, and I understand why, that their concerns end

1:05:04.400 --> 1:05:07.560
<v Speaker 19>up being vindicated. But remember I listened to I listened

1:05:07.600 --> 1:05:10.360
<v Speaker 19>to your interview with Noah, and you know what's by

1:05:10.400 --> 1:05:12.840
<v Speaker 19>the end of it, Noah was saying, you know these

1:05:12.920 --> 1:05:15.960
<v Speaker 19>reports out there. When I compare that to how trust

1:05:16.000 --> 1:05:19.200
<v Speaker 19>his Trump has handled himself through this whole thing, I'm

1:05:19.240 --> 1:05:22.080
<v Speaker 19>kind of not inclined to believe in the reporting.

1:05:22.160 --> 1:05:23.640
<v Speaker 3>And that's where I am.

1:05:23.960 --> 1:05:26.440
<v Speaker 1>All right, that's very related with Sarah Bedford us to

1:05:27.320 --> 1:05:31.080
<v Speaker 1>and maybe or maybe I'm I'm talking myself down off

1:05:31.120 --> 1:05:33.360
<v Speaker 1>of the tree, but I'm still very worried.

1:05:33.880 --> 1:05:40.040
<v Speaker 18>That somebody I'm one of these guys invested in the

1:05:40.040 --> 1:05:41.800
<v Speaker 18>best result possible in Iran.

1:05:42.040 --> 1:05:44.880
<v Speaker 3>I have just I'm going back and reread art of

1:05:44.920 --> 1:05:45.240
<v Speaker 3>the deal.

1:05:45.320 --> 1:05:47.840
<v Speaker 1>You and all right, we're in the same place.

1:05:47.880 --> 1:05:48.440
<v Speaker 19>I don't know me.

1:05:49.040 --> 1:05:52.320
<v Speaker 1>We're both happy with the result. Jim Talent. You can

1:05:52.360 --> 1:05:55.480
<v Speaker 1>follow him on x at Jim Talent and you can

1:05:55.520 --> 1:05:57.920
<v Speaker 1>stay with me. I'll be right back on the GUTA Show,

1:05:58.160 --> 1:06:01.760
<v Speaker 1>Race America, Hewett. Welcome tour three of today's program. As

1:06:01.800 --> 1:06:04.160
<v Speaker 1>you begin your commute home, I bring you the one

1:06:04.200 --> 1:06:07.640
<v Speaker 1>in only Mary Katherine Ham. She is the host of

1:06:07.680 --> 1:06:09.880
<v Speaker 1>the Getting Hammered podcast. She is the host of the

1:06:09.960 --> 1:06:13.520
<v Speaker 1>Normally podcast. She's a Fox News contributor. She has guest

1:06:13.560 --> 1:06:15.280
<v Speaker 1>hosted for me in the past and I hope again

1:06:15.320 --> 1:06:19.120
<v Speaker 1>in the future. And she's funny. However, we are agreed.

1:06:19.360 --> 1:06:23.480
<v Speaker 1>Graham Plattner is not funny, Mary Catherine. I listened to

1:06:23.600 --> 1:06:27.400
<v Speaker 1>your Getting Hammered with Vic Mattis this morning, and yesterday

1:06:27.440 --> 1:06:30.960
<v Speaker 1>I wrote about Graham Platner for Fox News saying this

1:06:31.120 --> 1:06:34.400
<v Speaker 1>is not funny, this is not a joke. Tell people

1:06:34.440 --> 1:06:35.520
<v Speaker 1>what you think about.

1:06:36.640 --> 1:06:38.959
<v Speaker 20>Well, I think, first of all, I hate being guess

1:06:39.040 --> 1:06:41.400
<v Speaker 20>lit about the idea that Nazi tattoos are bad, like

1:06:41.440 --> 1:06:43.920
<v Speaker 20>that's a we all pretty much agreed on that until

1:06:43.960 --> 1:06:47.080
<v Speaker 20>they had a Democratic Senate nominee who they wanted to

1:06:47.080 --> 1:06:49.120
<v Speaker 20>support who has a Nazi tattoo.

1:06:48.800 --> 1:06:50.520
<v Speaker 17>And then they're like, oh, wait, well you have to

1:06:50.560 --> 1:06:52.480
<v Speaker 17>really take it in context.

1:06:52.680 --> 1:06:53.560
<v Speaker 8>There is no context.

1:06:53.960 --> 1:06:54.520
<v Speaker 17>It's bad.

1:06:55.120 --> 1:06:58.080
<v Speaker 20>It is a useful heuristic for somebody being very bad

1:06:58.120 --> 1:07:00.080
<v Speaker 20>and dumb in the extreme if they have something like

1:07:00.120 --> 1:07:01.560
<v Speaker 20>that tattooed on their body.

1:07:02.160 --> 1:07:03.240
<v Speaker 17>But it's a neat trick.

1:07:03.080 --> 1:07:06.720
<v Speaker 20>They're doing where democrats can see white supremacy everywhere except

1:07:06.720 --> 1:07:09.400
<v Speaker 20>for on the guy with the Nazi tattoo. But look,

1:07:09.440 --> 1:07:12.240
<v Speaker 20>you don't have to only use the Nazi tattoo. You

1:07:12.280 --> 1:07:15.960
<v Speaker 20>can ask has this guy lauded Hamas and its tactics

1:07:15.960 --> 1:07:18.360
<v Speaker 20>before another Jewel annihilating group?

1:07:18.640 --> 1:07:21.200
<v Speaker 17>Indeed he has, Like these.

1:07:21.000 --> 1:07:23.280
<v Speaker 20>Are there's a lot of things that line up here.

1:07:23.320 --> 1:07:27.920
<v Speaker 20>Has he appeared on the podcasts of anti Semitic forces

1:07:27.960 --> 1:07:29.120
<v Speaker 20>in the National Conversation?

1:07:29.600 --> 1:07:30.080
<v Speaker 17>He has?

1:07:30.280 --> 1:07:32.880
<v Speaker 20>He said he's a big fans, So there's several things

1:07:32.880 --> 1:07:33.640
<v Speaker 20>you can put together.

1:07:33.880 --> 1:07:34.880
<v Speaker 17>But I would say that like.

1:07:35.680 --> 1:07:38.640
<v Speaker 20>The doorway being the Nazi tattoo is like a perfectly

1:07:38.680 --> 1:07:39.440
<v Speaker 20>reasonable way to.

1:07:39.400 --> 1:07:41.840
<v Speaker 17>Make your decision about this guy being not good.

1:07:42.560 --> 1:07:44.560
<v Speaker 1>It is, and I want to tell you what I

1:07:44.600 --> 1:07:48.400
<v Speaker 1>object to the most is when Chris van Holland and

1:07:48.480 --> 1:07:51.920
<v Speaker 1>other people say, and they don't say it out loud

1:07:52.000 --> 1:07:55.960
<v Speaker 1>exactly like this, give him a break. He has PTS.

1:07:56.360 --> 1:07:59.360
<v Speaker 1>You know what. A lot of people have PTS and

1:07:59.400 --> 1:08:02.640
<v Speaker 1>they don't get Nazi tattoos. Moreover, a lot of people

1:08:02.680 --> 1:08:06.560
<v Speaker 1>without PTS do. Moreover, you remember how we went through

1:08:06.600 --> 1:08:08.840
<v Speaker 1>that whole phase where everyone in the military was a

1:08:08.880 --> 1:08:12.760
<v Speaker 1>skinhead and an extremist. Yeah, and it wasn't true. It

1:08:12.800 --> 1:08:15.439
<v Speaker 1>wasn't true. It slandered everyone, and that was a left

1:08:15.480 --> 1:08:19.040
<v Speaker 1>wing talking point. Well, the one guy that turned out

1:08:19.080 --> 1:08:21.559
<v Speaker 1>to have been that was this guy. And I don't

1:08:21.560 --> 1:08:22.760
<v Speaker 1>think we ought to overlook that.

1:08:24.160 --> 1:08:27.080
<v Speaker 20>No, they've been telling us for six seven, eight years, right,

1:08:27.160 --> 1:08:31.240
<v Speaker 20>that the military is just crawling with white supremacists an extremists.

1:08:31.280 --> 1:08:33.519
<v Speaker 20>But the second we find one with actual evidence, and

1:08:33.560 --> 1:08:35.839
<v Speaker 20>by the way, one of the ways white supremacists identify

1:08:35.880 --> 1:08:38.360
<v Speaker 20>each other is tattoo art guys, that's how they do it.

1:08:39.120 --> 1:08:42.040
<v Speaker 20>The second we find an actual person instead of slandering

1:08:42.120 --> 1:08:46.680
<v Speaker 20>this whole group of service people, they can't manage to

1:08:46.720 --> 1:08:48.080
<v Speaker 20>decide that that's a problem.

1:08:48.479 --> 1:08:51.759
<v Speaker 17>And yet I think they it's really bad form.

1:08:51.840 --> 1:08:53.560
<v Speaker 20>In fact, Jon Favreau when we were when he was

1:08:53.600 --> 1:08:55.640
<v Speaker 20>going back and forth with me about it, implied that

1:08:55.800 --> 1:08:58.120
<v Speaker 20>I was the problem for not being patriotic enough to

1:08:58.120 --> 1:09:01.680
<v Speaker 20>support this brave marine who I was sneering by noticing

1:09:01.880 --> 1:09:05.800
<v Speaker 20>that he has enough to tattoo. And I'm like, sir, no, Like,

1:09:05.920 --> 1:09:08.599
<v Speaker 20>I'm not the problem for noticing there can be service

1:09:08.600 --> 1:09:10.760
<v Speaker 20>members who have bad intentions and do bad things. We

1:09:10.840 --> 1:09:14.559
<v Speaker 20>all know that I objected to the mass smearing of everyone.

1:09:14.760 --> 1:09:17.160
<v Speaker 20>And now again, once you have a real person who's

1:09:17.240 --> 1:09:20.120
<v Speaker 20>running for Senate for whom there is real evidence, they're like.

1:09:20.520 --> 1:09:21.400
<v Speaker 4>Moving on it along.

1:09:22.160 --> 1:09:24.280
<v Speaker 17>Mary Catherine question patriotism.

1:09:25.120 --> 1:09:28.840
<v Speaker 1>Once you make the pod Save America Bro hate lists,

1:09:29.000 --> 1:09:31.320
<v Speaker 1>you've really made it. I've been on it for years

1:09:31.360 --> 1:09:34.200
<v Speaker 1>because i think Ben Roads is a moron, and I've

1:09:34.240 --> 1:09:37.120
<v Speaker 1>been very explicit and explaining the reasons why the other

1:09:37.160 --> 1:09:40.519
<v Speaker 1>guys don't bother me. They're just talking entertainment. What are

1:09:40.560 --> 1:09:42.960
<v Speaker 1>the talking points prenident Obama wants us to put out?

1:09:43.120 --> 1:09:45.240
<v Speaker 1>But Ben Roads thinks he knows something and he doesn't

1:09:45.280 --> 1:09:47.800
<v Speaker 1>know anything. But once you've made their list, you've really

1:09:47.840 --> 1:09:51.640
<v Speaker 1>made it. In the land of conservative commentariat, when you

1:09:51.720 --> 1:09:54.680
<v Speaker 1>draw the ire of the pod Save America bros. Let

1:09:54.720 --> 1:09:56.519
<v Speaker 1>me talk a little bit about the other side of

1:09:56.560 --> 1:10:00.080
<v Speaker 1>that race. It's not just Graham Platner. He wants to

1:10:00.200 --> 1:10:03.400
<v Speaker 1>her out maybe the most responsible member of the Senate. Now,

1:10:03.439 --> 1:10:07.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm pretty conservative and Susan Collins and conservative is me.

1:10:07.840 --> 1:10:11.640
<v Speaker 1>But she represents Maine in a way very few senators

1:10:11.720 --> 1:10:15.760
<v Speaker 1>embody their state. She's so thoroughly Maine. She can't walk

1:10:15.800 --> 1:10:18.120
<v Speaker 1>down the street without ten people saying hello, and she

1:10:18.200 --> 1:10:21.080
<v Speaker 1>remembers their name. She's from the county Aroosta, I think

1:10:21.080 --> 1:10:23.519
<v Speaker 1>it's called Aroostak, the one that's up in near camp

1:10:23.600 --> 1:10:26.559
<v Speaker 1>at the Canadian border. There's nobody up there, like eight

1:10:26.640 --> 1:10:29.920
<v Speaker 1>people in the hardware store or family runs. She's as

1:10:29.960 --> 1:10:31.880
<v Speaker 1>main as they get. And they want this guy who

1:10:31.920 --> 1:10:34.720
<v Speaker 1>went the Hotchkiss and was at the tune in in

1:10:34.840 --> 1:10:38.360
<v Speaker 1>DC to take her out. That's the dumbest move Main

1:10:38.439 --> 1:10:38.880
<v Speaker 1>could make.

1:10:40.600 --> 1:10:42.360
<v Speaker 17>Yeah, No, I think you're right.

1:10:42.479 --> 1:10:44.840
<v Speaker 20>I think that she knows that she's always going to

1:10:44.920 --> 1:10:47.240
<v Speaker 20>face a fight, right She's in this blue purple state.

1:10:47.360 --> 1:10:49.400
<v Speaker 20>She knows that somebody's going to come in at her

1:10:49.439 --> 1:10:51.400
<v Speaker 20>every time. So I think she's very prepared, as is

1:10:51.439 --> 1:10:54.719
<v Speaker 20>her staff for this idea, and also it just gives

1:10:54.720 --> 1:10:58.080
<v Speaker 20>the lie to the critique from many.

1:10:57.280 --> 1:11:00.200
<v Speaker 17>Who don't like Trump, or who are left.

1:11:00.160 --> 1:11:03.080
<v Speaker 20>Center, or who former conservatives even who say like, oh, well,

1:11:03.120 --> 1:11:05.320
<v Speaker 20>Trump is the actual problem and his sort of way

1:11:05.360 --> 1:11:06.599
<v Speaker 20>of doing things as the problem.

1:11:07.080 --> 1:11:09.400
<v Speaker 17>If you say now that.

1:11:09.400 --> 1:11:12.439
<v Speaker 20>Susan Collins is the problem, yeah, perhaps you are just

1:11:12.479 --> 1:11:16.280
<v Speaker 20>a Democrat like you. You're just four very far left people,

1:11:16.520 --> 1:11:17.640
<v Speaker 20>and I would appreciate you.

1:11:17.680 --> 1:11:20.000
<v Speaker 17>Being honest about that and not claiming that.

1:11:20.000 --> 1:11:23.240
<v Speaker 20>There's some other form of Republican which is exactly Susan Collins,

1:11:23.320 --> 1:11:24.439
<v Speaker 20>which you would be okay with.

1:11:25.080 --> 1:11:27.160
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, And I want to go back and ask you

1:11:27.880 --> 1:11:30.280
<v Speaker 1>about the PTS I'm coming up on. You work with

1:11:30.400 --> 1:11:34.280
<v Speaker 1>Travis Mannon Foundation. I work with the Fund, so we

1:11:34.439 --> 1:11:37.960
<v Speaker 1>both deal a lot with veterans who brought back wounds,

1:11:37.960 --> 1:11:41.360
<v Speaker 1>both visible and invisible, from the war. I really hate

1:11:41.840 --> 1:11:46.640
<v Speaker 1>when people attribute anything that they don't like to PTS,

1:11:46.680 --> 1:11:51.080
<v Speaker 1>because people with PTS actually struggle. They work very hard

1:11:51.160 --> 1:11:53.760
<v Speaker 1>to make sure it doesn't take over their lives. And

1:11:53.800 --> 1:11:57.519
<v Speaker 1>I think this is creepy with Chris van Holland saying, oh,

1:11:57.560 --> 1:12:00.000
<v Speaker 1>this guy has had his bad days because of PTS.

1:12:00.560 --> 1:12:03.799
<v Speaker 1>I don't like other people making that argument for veterans,

1:12:03.920 --> 1:12:05.519
<v Speaker 1>do you have an objection to it?

1:12:06.120 --> 1:12:09.600
<v Speaker 20>No, Yes, the effects can be very real when you

1:12:09.640 --> 1:12:10.519
<v Speaker 20>come back from combat.

1:12:10.600 --> 1:12:12.559
<v Speaker 17>Of course, he got this while he was in service

1:12:12.640 --> 1:12:13.639
<v Speaker 17>on leave.

1:12:14.280 --> 1:12:16.080
<v Speaker 20>I think this is part of the sort of victim

1:12:16.160 --> 1:12:20.360
<v Speaker 20>hierarchy of Democrats, like once you have an identified issue,

1:12:20.479 --> 1:12:23.080
<v Speaker 20>they will just blame everything on that, like you know,

1:12:23.479 --> 1:12:26.360
<v Speaker 20>the stutter for Biden or dyslexia for Newsom, And it's

1:12:26.400 --> 1:12:28.920
<v Speaker 20>not fair to use that in that way, and it

1:12:28.960 --> 1:12:31.760
<v Speaker 20>actually insults other people who struggle with this. And by

1:12:31.760 --> 1:12:33.439
<v Speaker 20>the way, if you do have struggles and you have

1:12:33.479 --> 1:12:35.680
<v Speaker 20>gone through dark parts of your past, you reckon with

1:12:35.760 --> 1:12:38.679
<v Speaker 20>that and you say like, I got this really awful tattoo,

1:12:39.080 --> 1:12:41.160
<v Speaker 20>and you don't lie about the fact that you didn't

1:12:41.200 --> 1:12:43.960
<v Speaker 20>know what it was. Because he's a military history buff.

1:12:44.080 --> 1:12:46.439
<v Speaker 20>There are contemporaneous reports from friends that he knew what

1:12:46.479 --> 1:12:49.320
<v Speaker 20>it was, and his own political director, who took off

1:12:49.320 --> 1:12:52.680
<v Speaker 20>from the campaign because of this, was like, guys, he

1:12:52.800 --> 1:12:53.680
<v Speaker 20>knows what it is.

1:12:53.960 --> 1:12:56.000
<v Speaker 17>So you have to reckon with the mistakes. If you

1:12:56.080 --> 1:12:57.560
<v Speaker 17>indeed made mistakes.

1:12:57.200 --> 1:12:58.840
<v Speaker 20>In a dark period of your life, you should be

1:12:58.880 --> 1:13:00.559
<v Speaker 20>able to come back from that. But you have to

1:13:00.640 --> 1:13:03.200
<v Speaker 20>actually tell us how you repaired.

1:13:04.000 --> 1:13:06.080
<v Speaker 1>No, I also have a theory, which I'll test out

1:13:06.080 --> 1:13:08.960
<v Speaker 1>on you, because you're very sharp on this stuff. The

1:13:09.040 --> 1:13:12.960
<v Speaker 1>governor got out, and she sited pulling, or other people

1:13:13.040 --> 1:13:16.360
<v Speaker 1>sited pulling. I think she got out because she didn't

1:13:16.400 --> 1:13:19.679
<v Speaker 1>want to deal with the left for six months she's

1:13:19.760 --> 1:13:22.559
<v Speaker 1>been She's seventy nine years old. She'd be the lowest

1:13:22.600 --> 1:13:25.080
<v Speaker 1>ranking member of the Senator. Jen Mills is the governor

1:13:25.120 --> 1:13:26.960
<v Speaker 1>right now. She's gonna have a great time in Maine

1:13:26.960 --> 1:13:28.400
<v Speaker 1>for the rest of her life. May she have a

1:13:28.439 --> 1:13:31.400
<v Speaker 1>long and productive one. She doesn't want to deal with

1:13:31.439 --> 1:13:33.880
<v Speaker 1>the crazies. And I think she took a look at

1:13:33.880 --> 1:13:36.240
<v Speaker 1>this and said, he's raising a bunch of money from

1:13:36.280 --> 1:13:38.599
<v Speaker 1>the crazy left. I don't want to deal with Act

1:13:38.680 --> 1:13:41.200
<v Speaker 1>Blue people for the rest of my life. I'm out.

1:13:41.840 --> 1:13:44.760
<v Speaker 1>That might make more sense than oh, I can't win.

1:13:46.200 --> 1:13:47.519
<v Speaker 17>I think that's a fair theory.

1:13:47.680 --> 1:13:50.400
<v Speaker 20>She also got into the race quite a bit later

1:13:50.439 --> 1:13:52.640
<v Speaker 20>than Platner and then got out early, so maybe her

1:13:52.680 --> 1:13:54.759
<v Speaker 20>heart just wasn't in this from the beginning. I wouldn't

1:13:54.760 --> 1:13:57.800
<v Speaker 20>blame her being seventy nine and maybe wanting to take.

1:13:57.560 --> 1:13:58.360
<v Speaker 17>A pass on this.

1:13:58.760 --> 1:14:04.800
<v Speaker 20>And yes, the left is particularly aggressive about people like

1:14:04.840 --> 1:14:07.839
<v Speaker 20>her when they want a grand platner in the race instead,

1:14:07.960 --> 1:14:09.960
<v Speaker 20>and so that that might not be a pleasant trip

1:14:10.000 --> 1:14:11.360
<v Speaker 20>for her, and she wants to opt out of it.

1:14:11.880 --> 1:14:16.679
<v Speaker 1>Now, broadening the scope, we have in Michigan mister l Sayed,

1:14:17.240 --> 1:14:20.920
<v Speaker 1>who's basically a stand in for Hermas, and we have

1:14:21.120 --> 1:14:25.120
<v Speaker 1>in Minnesota Peggy Flanagan, who's to the left of Tim

1:14:25.200 --> 1:14:28.719
<v Speaker 1>Walls by a lot. If you can believe that what's

1:14:28.840 --> 1:14:31.720
<v Speaker 1>happened to our Democratic friends, because I got lots of

1:14:31.760 --> 1:14:34.599
<v Speaker 1>Democratic friends that I went to college with. They've been

1:14:34.600 --> 1:14:37.679
<v Speaker 1>my friends still. They've always been wrong, but they've never

1:14:37.720 --> 1:14:39.840
<v Speaker 1>been crazy.

1:14:40.000 --> 1:14:41.000
<v Speaker 8>Yeah.

1:14:40.479 --> 1:14:43.280
<v Speaker 20>I don't know if it's this year, because midterms will

1:14:43.320 --> 1:14:46.400
<v Speaker 20>be challenging for Republicans regardless, but I hope it's this

1:14:46.520 --> 1:14:48.479
<v Speaker 20>year that they have to contend with the fact that

1:14:48.520 --> 1:14:51.800
<v Speaker 20>they are too far left for so so very many people.

1:14:51.840 --> 1:14:54.200
<v Speaker 20>I was just looking at numbers for union households and

1:14:54.240 --> 1:14:56.680
<v Speaker 20>how they've gone from a thirty one point advantage for

1:14:56.720 --> 1:14:58.200
<v Speaker 20>Democrats and presidential elections to.

1:14:58.200 --> 1:15:01.040
<v Speaker 17>An eight point one over like you know, thirty years.

1:15:01.240 --> 1:15:06.639
<v Speaker 20>These are generational losses of people who were steadfast Democratic voters,

1:15:07.040 --> 1:15:09.400
<v Speaker 20>and they're going further and further, I mean else, I

1:15:09.560 --> 1:15:12.200
<v Speaker 20>ed was on the trail with Hassan Piker, who is

1:15:13.080 --> 1:15:16.920
<v Speaker 20>fanboyd for hamas many times or Hesbela specifically and its

1:15:16.960 --> 1:15:20.040
<v Speaker 20>flag two weeks after an attempted massacre of Jewish school

1:15:20.120 --> 1:15:24.000
<v Speaker 20>children by a HESBLA inspired attacker. Like, the idea that

1:15:24.000 --> 1:15:27.840
<v Speaker 20>that's even happening is crazy, and I would imagine that

1:15:27.920 --> 1:15:30.920
<v Speaker 20>many normal voters will look ascance at it, or I

1:15:30.920 --> 1:15:31.519
<v Speaker 20>would hope.

1:15:31.720 --> 1:15:35.400
<v Speaker 1>Well, last quick question, there's a deal floating around. I

1:15:35.439 --> 1:15:37.559
<v Speaker 1>hate it. I hate everything to do with the deal.

1:15:37.600 --> 1:15:40.439
<v Speaker 1>We have one minute. I don't think Trump is behind it.

1:15:40.520 --> 1:15:42.160
<v Speaker 1>I don't think he'll agree to it. But what do

1:15:42.200 --> 1:15:42.599
<v Speaker 1>you think?

1:15:43.720 --> 1:15:46.479
<v Speaker 20>Yeah, I'm skeptical of all first reports of these things,

1:15:46.479 --> 1:15:48.040
<v Speaker 20>so I'll wait for it to shake out a little

1:15:48.040 --> 1:15:50.000
<v Speaker 20>bit more. Also, any deal that's on the table can

1:15:50.080 --> 1:15:52.760
<v Speaker 20>be scuttled very quickly in the age of Trump, Like

1:15:52.800 --> 1:15:55.799
<v Speaker 20>he'll see something that is like allegedly a one page

1:15:55.840 --> 1:15:57.960
<v Speaker 20>deal and then it'll be gone within two days. So

1:15:58.880 --> 1:16:00.680
<v Speaker 20>I would not set your sights it as something that

1:16:00.760 --> 1:16:02.080
<v Speaker 20>is definitely happening.

1:16:01.760 --> 1:16:04.920
<v Speaker 1>Just yet from your lips to President Trump's ears, because

1:16:05.120 --> 1:16:08.000
<v Speaker 1>it's what made the one page that the wall Street

1:16:08.040 --> 1:16:11.559
<v Speaker 1>Journal loves so much in their reporting is nothing short

1:16:11.600 --> 1:16:14.880
<v Speaker 1>of Munich to point out. Mary Catherine Ham, host of

1:16:14.920 --> 1:16:18.479
<v Speaker 1>the Getting Hammered podcast with Vic mattis follower on x

1:16:18.680 --> 1:16:24.000
<v Speaker 1>at Mkammer and of course at Normally or other podcasts.

1:16:24.080 --> 1:16:26.320
<v Speaker 1>Don't go anywhere in America. You'll see her on Fox News

1:16:26.320 --> 1:16:26.759
<v Speaker 1>as well.

1:16:27.080 --> 1:16:27.599
<v Speaker 3>Stay tuned.

1:16:27.600 --> 1:16:29.840
<v Speaker 1>Philip Belboni is next on They give you a show.

1:16:30.000 --> 1:16:33.360
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for listening to highly concentrated Hugh, and don't forget.

1:16:33.400 --> 1:16:36.240
<v Speaker 1>One of our great sponsors is Consumer seulor one eight

1:16:36.320 --> 1:16:42.599
<v Speaker 1>hundred forty four fifty four. When you call them, and

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1:16:45.560 --> 1:16:48.760
<v Speaker 1>sure you use my promo code Q Hugh. You'll get

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<v Speaker 1>online Consumer Cellular dot com slash Hugh. They've got great

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<v Speaker 1>When you call Consumer Cellular eight hundred and four one

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<v Speaker 1>one forty four to fifty four and everybody, he can

1:17:34.800 --> 1:17:37.200
<v Speaker 1>be undred fifty, you can be over fifty. Everybody gets

1:17:37.200 --> 1:17:40.280
<v Speaker 1>their second month free when you use my name, Hugh,

1:17:46.800 --> 1:17:49.439
<v Speaker 1>Welcome back in America. I'm Hugh Hewitt, back with my

1:17:49.520 --> 1:17:52.800
<v Speaker 1>monthly Yeah. Philip Valboni, founder and editor in chief of

1:17:52.840 --> 1:17:56.439
<v Speaker 1>Globalposts dot com. Philip usually brings me bad news, but

1:17:56.479 --> 1:17:59.160
<v Speaker 1>he brought me good news today because the story we

1:17:59.200 --> 1:18:01.679
<v Speaker 1>are focused, the lead story and Global Post today about

1:18:01.760 --> 1:18:05.200
<v Speaker 1>local election in the United Kingdom, which Philip tells me,

1:18:05.360 --> 1:18:07.639
<v Speaker 1>is going to lead to Kier Starmer getting kicked around

1:18:07.640 --> 1:18:09.639
<v Speaker 1>a lot. And I don't like Kiir Starmer. So Phil,

1:18:09.720 --> 1:18:12.280
<v Speaker 1>you've done me. You made me happy this morning. Before

1:18:12.280 --> 1:18:14.640
<v Speaker 1>we get there, though, would you tell people about the

1:18:14.760 --> 1:18:19.640
<v Speaker 1>special because I want them to subscribe to GlobalPost dot com.

1:18:19.640 --> 1:18:20.639
<v Speaker 10>Sure, thank you, Hugh.

1:18:22.400 --> 1:18:27.880
<v Speaker 21>We're offering fifty percent discount on a subscription to Global Posts.

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<v Speaker 10>For all of your listeners and viewers.

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<v Speaker 21>So in order to do that, you just go to

1:18:33.240 --> 1:18:37.600
<v Speaker 21>GlobalPost dot com and in this subscription process, there'll be

1:18:37.600 --> 1:18:40.760
<v Speaker 21>an opportunity to enter promotion code and that would be

1:18:41.160 --> 1:18:45.639
<v Speaker 21>Hugh h just your first name in h lower case letters,

1:18:46.120 --> 1:18:48.960
<v Speaker 21>and that will apply the fifty percent discount. The subscription's

1:18:49.000 --> 1:18:51.559
<v Speaker 21>only forty six dollars, so they would get it for

1:18:51.600 --> 1:18:53.160
<v Speaker 21>twenty three dollars for the first.

1:18:52.960 --> 1:18:56.360
<v Speaker 1>Year, and it's a good menu will be you'll be

1:18:56.400 --> 1:18:59.720
<v Speaker 1>smarter than anyone you know about world events because the

1:18:59.720 --> 1:19:02.679
<v Speaker 1>Globe does what the New York Times and the Washington

1:19:02.680 --> 1:19:04.799
<v Speaker 1>Post and Wall Street Journal used to do to together

1:19:05.280 --> 1:19:07.160
<v Speaker 1>cover the world in depth, and they do it with

1:19:07.240 --> 1:19:11.000
<v Speaker 1>maps and graphics. There's also a free opportunity for teachers

1:19:11.040 --> 1:19:12.960
<v Speaker 1>and students, which I hope we talk about at the end.

1:19:13.000 --> 1:19:16.560
<v Speaker 1>But let's talk about kir Starmer and these local elections.

1:19:16.600 --> 1:19:20.639
<v Speaker 1>First of all, Phil, I don't understand British Parliament very well.

1:19:20.840 --> 1:19:23.760
<v Speaker 1>What are the local elections? I'm there're three thousand of them.

1:19:23.920 --> 1:19:24.920
<v Speaker 1>Who's standing for what?

1:19:26.240 --> 1:19:29.520
<v Speaker 21>There's actually fifty five hundred of them, and these.

1:19:29.120 --> 1:19:31.960
<v Speaker 10>Are the local councilors. Here it's not parliament.

1:19:32.400 --> 1:19:35.200
<v Speaker 21>So the parliamentary election that brought care Starmer to power

1:19:35.240 --> 1:19:38.120
<v Speaker 21>the Labor Party two years ago is.

1:19:38.080 --> 1:19:39.120
<v Speaker 10>A different animal.

1:19:39.280 --> 1:19:43.480
<v Speaker 21>And those elections aren't due until twenty twenty nine unless

1:19:43.880 --> 1:19:46.599
<v Speaker 21>the Prime Minister decides to call them early. So these

1:19:46.600 --> 1:19:49.839
<v Speaker 21>are local elections across England, Scotland, Wales.

1:19:51.600 --> 1:19:54.160
<v Speaker 10>And this is basically like the United States.

1:19:54.160 --> 1:19:58.320
<v Speaker 21>It's you know, city councils that are mayors up for

1:19:58.680 --> 1:20:02.120
<v Speaker 21>reelection or election. So that's what this is about. But

1:20:02.160 --> 1:20:08.840
<v Speaker 21>it's very important. It's really grassroots British politics. And so

1:20:08.920 --> 1:20:12.479
<v Speaker 21>I think the headline in our lead story today said

1:20:12.479 --> 1:20:16.600
<v Speaker 21>it very well. We said a storm is coming for

1:20:16.680 --> 1:20:20.080
<v Speaker 21>the governing party that would be Labor. Of course, they

1:20:20.080 --> 1:20:24.720
<v Speaker 21>could lose a significant number of seats that they have

1:20:24.840 --> 1:20:28.920
<v Speaker 21>the most seats consul seats up for election, more than

1:20:29.120 --> 1:20:34.200
<v Speaker 21>twenty one hundred. They could lose a lot, maybe not all,

1:20:34.280 --> 1:20:38.559
<v Speaker 21>but you know, maybe fifteen hundred eighteen hundred seats.

1:20:40.200 --> 1:20:43.160
<v Speaker 1>And then we remember phil when the Conservatives got wiped

1:20:43.160 --> 1:20:46.000
<v Speaker 1>out in Canada maybe twenty years ago, they were down

1:20:46.040 --> 1:20:49.200
<v Speaker 1>on like two seats. Waves like that do happen in

1:20:49.280 --> 1:20:53.799
<v Speaker 1>parliamentary system. Now there are five parties there are the

1:20:53.920 --> 1:20:59.559
<v Speaker 1>nationalist parties both Wales and Scotland, the Green Party, Labor, Tory,

1:20:59.600 --> 1:21:05.840
<v Speaker 1>Concernative and now Reform. Who's going to emerge. Who's going

1:21:05.880 --> 1:21:06.120
<v Speaker 1>to be.

1:21:06.040 --> 1:21:10.680
<v Speaker 21>The UK is likely to be the big winner tomorrow.

1:21:12.560 --> 1:21:16.120
<v Speaker 21>The leader of Reform UK is Nigel Farage, pretty well

1:21:16.160 --> 1:21:18.040
<v Speaker 21>known guy, certainly in the UK but also in the

1:21:18.160 --> 1:21:23.559
<v Speaker 21>United States, friend of our president, and he is the

1:21:23.600 --> 1:21:28.280
<v Speaker 21>best known for really being the spark plug behind taking

1:21:28.600 --> 1:21:33.920
<v Speaker 21>Britain out of the European Union. So he's doing extremely well.

1:21:34.080 --> 1:21:36.559
<v Speaker 21>He's likely to come in His party is likely to

1:21:36.600 --> 1:21:41.240
<v Speaker 21>come in first. Perhaps with the dominant performance. Labor is

1:21:41.360 --> 1:21:43.800
<v Speaker 21>going to get wiped out, probably the Conservatives will go

1:21:43.840 --> 1:21:48.400
<v Speaker 21>down even more. And the Green Party, which is I

1:21:48.400 --> 1:21:52.400
<v Speaker 21>guess you could say a left party, was pretty much

1:21:53.560 --> 1:21:57.000
<v Speaker 21>not single issue but very heavily into the environment, but

1:21:57.080 --> 1:22:02.000
<v Speaker 21>has now broadened their focus to book issues as well,

1:22:02.040 --> 1:22:05.800
<v Speaker 21>so they are expected to do extremely well. So you

1:22:05.840 --> 1:22:08.480
<v Speaker 21>know what's interesting here was that, I mean British politics

1:22:08.520 --> 1:22:13.720
<v Speaker 21>is really now poise to be very different than it

1:22:13.760 --> 1:22:16.519
<v Speaker 21>had been for shall we say centuries, you know, with

1:22:16.760 --> 1:22:18.120
<v Speaker 21>two parties dominating.

1:22:18.640 --> 1:22:20.760
<v Speaker 10>I mean you have to think about the United.

1:22:20.479 --> 1:22:24.519
<v Speaker 21>States here, with our two dominant parties and pretty much

1:22:24.640 --> 1:22:25.280
<v Speaker 21>nobody else.

1:22:26.360 --> 1:22:28.800
<v Speaker 10>Would this ever happen here? Who knows? I mean, but

1:22:29.880 --> 1:22:32.320
<v Speaker 10>I think it's interesting, Well.

1:22:32.120 --> 1:22:33.960
<v Speaker 1>What interests me, phil and I don't know if it

1:22:34.000 --> 1:22:37.559
<v Speaker 1>works this way. Reform is new and so they don't

1:22:37.560 --> 1:22:39.280
<v Speaker 1>have much of a bench that I have a lot

1:22:39.280 --> 1:22:43.360
<v Speaker 1>of backbenchers in parliament to They expect the local elections

1:22:43.400 --> 1:22:46.720
<v Speaker 1>to produce local candidates who can run in the next

1:22:46.760 --> 1:22:50.680
<v Speaker 1>parliamentary general election, so that reform. They'll probably do a

1:22:50.720 --> 1:22:54.160
<v Speaker 1>deal with the Tories to divide up constituencies for first

1:22:54.200 --> 1:22:56.720
<v Speaker 1>past the post, but they need candidates. Do you think

1:22:56.720 --> 1:22:58.720
<v Speaker 1>they'll get their candidates out of tomorrow?

1:23:01.120 --> 1:23:01.880
<v Speaker 10>I'm sure that.

1:23:02.160 --> 1:23:04.840
<v Speaker 21>I mean, there's been a lot of kind of high

1:23:04.840 --> 1:23:09.559
<v Speaker 21>profile defections from the Tory Party over to reform. If

1:23:09.600 --> 1:23:14.160
<v Speaker 21>they do extremely well tomorrow, I think, you know, success

1:23:14.920 --> 1:23:18.479
<v Speaker 21>in the parliamentary elections when they're next held and having

1:23:18.560 --> 1:23:22.360
<v Speaker 21>the right candidates will follow. I mean, this will be

1:23:22.439 --> 1:23:26.679
<v Speaker 21>a major signal that the British public, or at least

1:23:26.720 --> 1:23:31.160
<v Speaker 21>a substantial percentage, is backing the ideas.

1:23:31.200 --> 1:23:33.160
<v Speaker 10>A reform is about immigration.

1:23:34.120 --> 1:23:39.360
<v Speaker 21>It's about the economy, it's about national pride, it's about

1:23:39.600 --> 1:23:45.080
<v Speaker 21>we quoted one woman in our lead story today who

1:23:45.080 --> 1:23:48.840
<v Speaker 21>said I just want my country back. That's kind of

1:23:48.920 --> 1:23:52.080
<v Speaker 21>as a simplistic way of saying it, but kind of

1:23:52.800 --> 1:23:55.320
<v Speaker 21>they're not happy with the way things are right now.

1:23:55.600 --> 1:23:57.880
<v Speaker 1>I saw that quote and I think she said something

1:23:58.000 --> 1:24:01.760
<v Speaker 1>like I wanted to be British again. Now. British is

1:24:01.920 --> 1:24:05.800
<v Speaker 1>actually it's not a particular ethnicity. It's you know, it's

1:24:05.840 --> 1:24:09.400
<v Speaker 1>four different countries. So being British is not saying I

1:24:09.479 --> 1:24:13.120
<v Speaker 1>want to be a stuffy Tory from London. It encompasses

1:24:13.160 --> 1:24:16.639
<v Speaker 1>a lot, but it's it's two thousand years of history.

1:24:16.680 --> 1:24:18.799
<v Speaker 1>It goes back to even.

1:24:19.400 --> 1:24:23.200
<v Speaker 22>And if you're living in Slotland, Wales or the Northern Ireland,

1:24:23.280 --> 1:24:26.200
<v Speaker 22>you're different people, right. But I mean, if you if

1:24:26.240 --> 1:24:28.640
<v Speaker 22>you hold enough to remember the past, even like the

1:24:28.680 --> 1:24:32.000
<v Speaker 22>post World War two, when people felt like one country,

1:24:32.080 --> 1:24:35.960
<v Speaker 22>right it is the United Kingdom and they remember that

1:24:36.040 --> 1:24:36.719
<v Speaker 22>and they want.

1:24:36.560 --> 1:24:40.040
<v Speaker 21>To feel that again. Is that possible in our crazy

1:24:40.080 --> 1:24:43.519
<v Speaker 21>world today? I surely don't know.

1:24:44.040 --> 1:24:47.280
<v Speaker 1>I cannot wait till Friday and the Global Post because

1:24:47.320 --> 1:24:49.000
<v Speaker 1>I want to know what the results are. I don't

1:24:49.040 --> 1:24:51.800
<v Speaker 1>know that anyone's going to cover this. That's why the

1:24:51.800 --> 1:24:55.040
<v Speaker 1>Global Post exists to cover stuff. Like that. Let's quickly

1:24:55.080 --> 1:24:59.080
<v Speaker 1>remind people Phil the Global Post does a great work

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<v Speaker 1>by being a bailable the teachers and students. How do

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<v Speaker 1>they sign up for free?

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<v Speaker 21>Just go to the website GlobalPost dot com, look for

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<v Speaker 21>Global Education in the navigation, and then you are able

1:25:12.520 --> 1:25:15.400
<v Speaker 21>to sign up. We have a special link for high

1:25:15.400 --> 1:25:21.400
<v Speaker 21>school students, college students and teachers entirely free for as

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<v Speaker 21>long as there are student teachers that are forever free.

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<v Speaker 21>We have middle school, high school, college, and university. You

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<v Speaker 21>could be in another country or you could be in

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<v Speaker 21>the United States. We have more than sixteen thousand of them,

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<v Speaker 21>and we just did a survey of all the students

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<v Speaker 21>who it's wonderfully encouraging.

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<v Speaker 10>I've said to this to before, Hugh.

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<v Speaker 21>I think it's one of the most important things we

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<v Speaker 21>do is helping these young people discover the world and

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<v Speaker 21>be better informed.

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<v Speaker 10>You really need to do that.

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<v Speaker 1>I think those students who understand the world will be

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<v Speaker 1>the leaders of our country and maybe those other in

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<v Speaker 1>which they're getting The Global Post, by the way, the

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<v Speaker 1>best graphics in the business. Far better graphics than The

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<v Speaker 1>Post or the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know who doesn't for you. Phil. Sometime we

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<v Speaker 1>should talk about that. But your graphics are amazing. GlobalPost

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<v Speaker 1>dot com. If you subscribe, use QH as your code.

1:26:19.360 --> 1:26:21.679
<v Speaker 1>He's not a sponsor. We just love the Global Post.

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<v Speaker 1>Go to QH and you'll get fifty percent off of

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<v Speaker 1>the Global Post bill balboni. Thank you.