WEBVTT - Inside the 2025 AmericaFest Straw Poll

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<v Speaker 1>My name is Charlie Kirk. I run the largest pro

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<v Speaker 1>American student organization in the country, fighting for the future

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<v Speaker 1>of our republic. My call is to fight evil and

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<v Speaker 1>to proclaim truth. If the most important thing for you

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<v Speaker 1>is just feeling good, you're gonna end up miserable.

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<v Speaker 2>But if the most important.

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<v Speaker 1>Thing is doing good, you'll end up purposeful. College is

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<v Speaker 1>a scam, everybody. You got to stop sending your kids

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<v Speaker 1>to college. You should get married as young as possible

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<v Speaker 1>and have as many kids as possible. Go start at

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<v Speaker 1>turning point, you would say, college chapter. Go start at

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<v Speaker 1>turning point, you say high school chapter. Go find out

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<v Speaker 1>how your church can get involved.

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<v Speaker 2>Sign up and become an activist.

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<v Speaker 1>I gave my life to the Lord in fifth grade,

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<v Speaker 1>most important decision I ever made in my life, and

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<v Speaker 1>I encourage you to.

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<v Speaker 2>Do the same.

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<v Speaker 1>Here I am Lord, Use me. Buckle up, everybody, Here

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<v Speaker 1>we go. The Charlie Kirk Show is proudly sponsored by

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<v Speaker 2>All right, welcome back to The Charlie Kirk Show.

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<v Speaker 3>Hour two is underway, and it is the hour that

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<v Speaker 3>everybody's been waiting for the results of our twenty twenty

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<v Speaker 3>five turning.

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<v Speaker 2>Point Action Amfest draw pole.

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<v Speaker 3>So this is something we do at every Amfest, and

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<v Speaker 3>we've got the we've got a major publication that's going

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<v Speaker 3>to go live with it in just a second as well.

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<v Speaker 3>And here to unpack what we found from this straw

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<v Speaker 3>pole is the one and only Rich Bars Big Data

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<v Speaker 3>Pole who conducted it on our behalf.

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<v Speaker 2>Rich welcome back to the show.

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<v Speaker 4>Thanks for having me as always.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well let's let's start.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's start with your your reaction, your experience at Amfest.

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<v Speaker 3>You were there, you you and Mark Mitchell led a

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<v Speaker 3>breakout just you know, thirty thousand foot view. What was

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<v Speaker 3>it like in there and maybe what what's the disconnect

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<v Speaker 3>between maybe what some people are saying.

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<v Speaker 2>Line versus what you experienced in person.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, first visually and I know I actually noticed to

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<v Speaker 4>be a fact, but visually this looked like the biggest

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<v Speaker 4>Amfest ever and you could see it if you've been

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<v Speaker 4>to an Amfest before, this one was just as a

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<v Speaker 4>matter of attendance and everything that was going on was huge.

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<v Speaker 4>It was huge. So congratulations on that. Because we're talking

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<v Speaker 4>about a massive attendance folks. And secondly, you know, the

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<v Speaker 4>biggest thing that'll stand out is, you know, the media

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<v Speaker 4>narrative and the infighting that they projected was going on

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<v Speaker 4>over there, and we'll see this with the results of

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<v Speaker 4>the Straw Pole. Yeah, people debate, and that's what turning

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<v Speaker 4>point has always been about. But people there, people in attendance, right,

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<v Speaker 4>and and the folks that were talking and interacting with

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<v Speaker 4>people agree on so much more. I mean, that's what

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<v Speaker 4>it comes to this, that's the biggest disconnect that the

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<v Speaker 4>media as usual always projects. There was a lot more

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<v Speaker 4>agreement than there was disagreement.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and you so some top level marks that you

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<v Speaker 3>were just telling me about is so this was the

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<v Speaker 3>youngest straw Pole result based on just who took the poll, right,

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<v Speaker 3>it was. It skewed the youngest of any that we've

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<v Speaker 3>ever had, because you know, even we struggle sometimes rich

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<v Speaker 3>with getting the students to take the darn straw Pole,

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<v Speaker 3>this time we got lots lots Just the average age

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<v Speaker 3>of who took the poll was younger. So it's actually

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<v Speaker 3>going to give us a more interesting insight in some

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<v Speaker 3>ways about where younger Americans, younger conservative voters younger, younger

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<v Speaker 3>base voters where their heads are at right now. And

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<v Speaker 3>it was also the most response responses that we've ever

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<v Speaker 3>gotten at a straw pole. And what's which remarkable of

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<v Speaker 3>remarkable about that, Rich, is that you know, we intentionally

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<v Speaker 3>delayed this until we sent it out overnight after day

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<v Speaker 3>three and into day four. We wanted people to have

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<v Speaker 3>this full experience before we asked them these questions. So

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<v Speaker 3>the response rate on a relatively short term was pretty remarkable. Well,

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<v Speaker 3>what just explain that from a polster's perspective, Rich, Well.

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<v Speaker 4>Straw poles can be a bit of a polster's nightmare,

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<v Speaker 4>right because as the polster, you like, I want to

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<v Speaker 4>start early, I want to get this going, but you

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<v Speaker 4>also want people to have the experience before they answer

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<v Speaker 4>some of these questions. And honestly, it'll become very evident

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<v Speaker 4>when we show people some of the questions, right why

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<v Speaker 4>we want people to hear things first, which can be

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<v Speaker 4>challenging because for people who are taking it and the polster,

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<v Speaker 4>because you are now limiting yourself on the reaction time,

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<v Speaker 4>so we expect a certain percentage and just from experience,

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<v Speaker 4>we know what that is. This blew up and you

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<v Speaker 4>said it, and I was going to say it if

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<v Speaker 4>you didn't. This is the biggest America Fest st Straw

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<v Speaker 4>Pole ever. It's a very large sample, which means, folks,

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<v Speaker 4>it's representative, it's statistically significant. So I was over the moon,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, I mean as a polster, I was over

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<v Speaker 4>the moon when I you know, one minute you're logging in,

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<v Speaker 4>you're seeing the responses come in. The minute you see

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<v Speaker 4>an explosion. So I think too. It also tells you

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<v Speaker 4>that the respondents Andrew also, we're kind of hanging back

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<v Speaker 4>and saying, let me, you know, let me open it up.

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<v Speaker 4>I'll take what I think I can. We always give

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<v Speaker 4>people a little bit of time to complete it, and

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<v Speaker 4>then once they had the experience, they felt it was

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<v Speaker 4>sufficient for them. They they all filled it out almost

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<v Speaker 4>at once. On that last day a huge amount came in,

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<v Speaker 4>which was great for us, It really was. It was great.

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<v Speaker 3>So, you know, I'm toying with everybody wants to know

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<v Speaker 3>the the who do we want as our twenty twenty

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<v Speaker 3>eight GOP nominee.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't think.

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<v Speaker 3>Anybody's you know, I'm toying with delaying it, but I

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<v Speaker 3>think we just have to, you know, I think we

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<v Speaker 3>just have to review the reveal here, Rich, what is

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<v Speaker 3>not surprising is who won, but what is surprising is

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<v Speaker 3>by what margin. So you know, drum roll please, studio.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's go ahead and throw up image one sixty six.

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<v Speaker 3>Who does the am Fest attendees? Who do they want?

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<v Speaker 3>As their twenty twenty eight GOP to twenty eight And

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<v Speaker 3>that big old bar right at the top is, of

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<v Speaker 3>course jd.

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<v Speaker 2>Vance.

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<v Speaker 3>The next closest was Marco Rubio, the great Secretary of

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<v Speaker 3>State in the Trump administration.

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<v Speaker 2>Rich, break this down.

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<v Speaker 3>Jd Vance is by is running away with the who

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<v Speaker 3>do we want as the twenty twenty eight GOP nominee.

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<v Speaker 3>Explained the significance of that of that graph.

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<v Speaker 4>And the consistency of him pulling at that level. I

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<v Speaker 4>don't think he ever pulled below seventy five percent, folks.

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<v Speaker 4>That's well over a super majority. And I will tell

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<v Speaker 4>you this, Like we said, just a moment ago, there

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<v Speaker 4>were people who were waiting back, waiting to see and

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<v Speaker 4>when the Vice president gave his speech, it just went

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<v Speaker 4>to that level. Never looked back. I mean, it was

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<v Speaker 4>you know, some people you know, sitting back. I can't

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<v Speaker 4>wait to see what the vice president has to say.

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<v Speaker 4>This has never happened, Andrew, this is never I've done

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of straw polls at a lot of different events,

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<v Speaker 4>We've done a lot of amfest ones. Right, this has

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<v Speaker 4>never happened. There has never been such widespread agreement over

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<v Speaker 4>because what are they really telling you when they're picking

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<v Speaker 4>who they want for the future nominee? Right, what is

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<v Speaker 4>the base? What is the turning point? Family telling you

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<v Speaker 4>this is the direction we want to go in the future.

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<v Speaker 4>This is what we want for the future of the movement,

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<v Speaker 4>for the future of the party. And there are you know,

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<v Speaker 4>the media wanted to talk about all of the different

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<v Speaker 4>factions in the in the coalition. Right, this is near.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, it's nearly unanimous, It's overwhelming. And we asked

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of other questions. It doesn't matter what the

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<v Speaker 4>answers for different demographic groups, how one favored other something

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<v Speaker 4>over the other. It doesn't matter when it comes to

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<v Speaker 4>this question, who do you want for your nominee? Everybody

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<v Speaker 4>is in agreement. There's not a single group that's disconnected

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<v Speaker 4>or has a different opinion. You know, always this is statistics.

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<v Speaker 4>You're always going to have marginal support for something over another. Right,

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<v Speaker 4>I mean That's just the way it works. This is about,

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<v Speaker 4>as you know, uniformity as you get close to your

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<v Speaker 4>informative as.

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<v Speaker 3>You get so just so people have the exact numbers,

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<v Speaker 3>it's eighty four point two percent chose jd Vance, YEP

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<v Speaker 3>four point eight percent, so just under five percent chose

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<v Speaker 3>Marco Rubio, two point nine percent chose Ron DeSantis, one

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<v Speaker 3>point eight percent chose Don Junior, point three percent chose

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<v Speaker 3>Ted Cruz, and point four percent chose Younkin.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not sure why the orders got swipped.

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<v Speaker 3>Swapped there, but so that is basically the field you

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<v Speaker 3>know undecided was it two point five percent and that

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<v Speaker 3>we had three point one percent ride ins, right, So

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<v Speaker 3>I don't know if there was anybody worth mentioning in

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<v Speaker 3>the right in section rich, but that that is, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>the field that people most predict for twenty twenty eight.

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<v Speaker 4>There is something worth worth mentioning, all right, and that

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<v Speaker 4>is there is there are more than a few responses

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<v Speaker 4>for Donald J. Trump for a third term. Right, But again,

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<v Speaker 4>I mean you're gonna get that some and that just

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<v Speaker 4>shows you how much the president is loved right by

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<v Speaker 4>the base. But there's outside of that, you know, there's

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<v Speaker 4>a representation to libertarian wing. You get a few for

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<v Speaker 4>Thomas Massey and stuff like that, but it's not you know,

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<v Speaker 4>you can see the percentage guys collectively, what that comes to.

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<v Speaker 4>It's still not that much. I mean, this poll, the

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<v Speaker 4>results of this poll are very clear. We don't get

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<v Speaker 4>results like this. It just doesn't happen.

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<v Speaker 3>Hey, Rich, have a question in the history of a

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<v Speaker 3>turning point straw pole that you've conducted, have we ever

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<v Speaker 3>seen a question like this get you know, have a

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<v Speaker 3>front lawn runner with this much margin of victory.

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<v Speaker 4>Nope, That's what I was just about to say. Especially,

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, could you imagine this early We did turning

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<v Speaker 4>point straw poles going into twenty four even and it

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<v Speaker 4>was a robust field. There's some pretty you know, significant

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<v Speaker 4>debate between who do we want Ron destand this do

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<v Speaker 4>we want President Trump? President Trump was always winning that,

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<v Speaker 4>uh and winning it overwhelmingly. But is this early particularly

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<v Speaker 4>It's not because we don't have a vision of where

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<v Speaker 4>other candidates would take the party, Andrew, That's not what's

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<v Speaker 4>going on here. It's that people do understand the differences

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<v Speaker 4>and in whatever you know, minor or major that may be,

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<v Speaker 4>they understand it. They are choosing JD Events. They're choosing

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<v Speaker 4>the vice president.

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<v Speaker 3>Hey, Andrew Colvett, here, do you want to own a home?

0:10:32.480 --> 0:10:34.719
<v Speaker 3>The time to act is now. For the first time

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<v Speaker 3>in years, buyers finally have the upper hand. There's more inventory,

0:10:38.440 --> 0:10:41.800
<v Speaker 3>more negotiating power, and less competition. But this window of

0:10:41.880 --> 0:10:44.640
<v Speaker 3>opportunity won't stay open for long. As soon as the

0:10:44.679 --> 0:10:48.600
<v Speaker 3>Fed cuts rates, buyer demand is expected to spike, driving

0:10:48.640 --> 0:10:52.120
<v Speaker 3>prices up and giving sellers the advantage once again. With

0:10:52.200 --> 0:10:54.760
<v Speaker 3>peak home buying season in full swing, now is your

0:10:54.760 --> 0:10:57.400
<v Speaker 3>moment to secure the right home on your terms. Don't

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<v Speaker 3>wait for the market to shift. I have done this before,

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<v Speaker 3>and you don't want to do it. Reach out today

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<v Speaker 3>to get approved from mortgage financing with our dear dear

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<v Speaker 3>friends Andrew and Todd. They are godly men and good men.

0:11:07.679 --> 0:11:10.400
<v Speaker 3>I trust them just like Charlie did. Hear him talk

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<v Speaker 3>about Andrew and Todd in his own words.

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<v Speaker 1>Go to andrewin toodd dot com or called Triple eight

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<v Speaker 1>Triple eight eleven seventy two. These are the guys that

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<v Speaker 1>I trust with forty years of experience. They really are

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<v Speaker 1>the experts and they make it easy because they keep

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<v Speaker 1>everything in house called Triple Light Triple eight eleven seventy two,

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<v Speaker 1>or go to Andrew and toodd dot com. That is

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<v Speaker 1>andrewintodd dot com.

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<v Speaker 3>Charlie loved Christmas and we love Christmas around here, so

0:11:34.480 --> 0:11:35.720
<v Speaker 3>Merry Christmas to all of you.

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<v Speaker 2>We are a mere three days out.

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<v Speaker 3>From the big day. I'm very excited about that. So, Blake,

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<v Speaker 3>I promised you that you were going.

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<v Speaker 2>To get to do the big reveal.

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<v Speaker 3>It is about to be about ready to be thrown up,

0:11:48.280 --> 0:11:50.520
<v Speaker 3>so I don't know, you want to take it away, Blake.

0:11:50.480 --> 0:11:53.120
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, yeah, it'll be ready by the time I get

0:11:53.160 --> 0:11:53.400
<v Speaker 5>to it.

0:11:53.440 --> 0:11:56.679
<v Speaker 6>We were we actually ready shopping what questions to put

0:11:56.720 --> 0:11:58.200
<v Speaker 6>into the straw pole. We just did it the night

0:11:58.640 --> 0:12:00.400
<v Speaker 6>I think Saturday night. We were talking I can out

0:12:00.400 --> 0:12:04.640
<v Speaker 6>what's to put into it, and obviously we had the stuff.

0:12:04.679 --> 0:12:09.400
<v Speaker 6>We've had debates over the past year about America's relationship

0:12:09.400 --> 0:12:11.520
<v Speaker 6>with Israel, how it relates to stuff in the Middle East.

0:12:11.760 --> 0:12:13.560
<v Speaker 5>We had people bring it up on stage.

0:12:13.559 --> 0:12:16.320
<v Speaker 6>It was a recurring theme in our member exclusive interviews,

0:12:16.360 --> 0:12:18.800
<v Speaker 6>so we just said throw in to the attendees, what

0:12:19.000 --> 0:12:21.800
<v Speaker 6>best describes what your view of Israel as do you

0:12:21.920 --> 0:12:24.600
<v Speaker 6>view them as our number one ally as just one

0:12:24.640 --> 0:12:26.720
<v Speaker 6>ally of many, or do you think they're not an

0:12:26.760 --> 0:12:31.640
<v Speaker 6>American ally, which some prominent figures have said. And do

0:12:31.679 --> 0:12:33.120
<v Speaker 6>we have that result ready to throw up? Yeah, let's

0:12:33.120 --> 0:12:35.400
<v Speaker 6>throw up one seventy eight. And I think the result

0:12:35.440 --> 0:12:37.880
<v Speaker 6>was pretty refreshing. You got you said. Thirty three percent

0:12:37.960 --> 0:12:40.800
<v Speaker 6>said it was a top our top ally, fifty three

0:12:40.840 --> 0:12:43.760
<v Speaker 6>percent went for one of many, and thirteen percent said

0:12:43.880 --> 0:12:47.280
<v Speaker 6>not an ally, which I think you mentioned. It is

0:12:47.320 --> 0:12:49.400
<v Speaker 6>the youngest group we've had at Amfest, and I think

0:12:49.400 --> 0:12:52.960
<v Speaker 6>it does put into perspective. I think one ally of

0:12:53.040 --> 0:12:55.880
<v Speaker 6>many it gets an outright majority. I think that would

0:12:55.880 --> 0:13:01.599
<v Speaker 6>probably describe the position Charlie was in the over the

0:13:01.679 --> 0:13:05.240
<v Speaker 6>last couple of years that they are a friendly country,

0:13:05.280 --> 0:13:07.880
<v Speaker 6>they are a country we care about, but they're not

0:13:07.920 --> 0:13:11.840
<v Speaker 6>necessarily this monomaniacal focus that we must be fixated on

0:13:11.920 --> 0:13:14.040
<v Speaker 6>to the exclusion of other potential allies.

0:13:14.320 --> 0:13:17.160
<v Speaker 5>And I think this also shows only thirteen percent say.

0:13:17.200 --> 0:13:19.920
<v Speaker 6>Not an ally that they're hot, you know, basically at

0:13:19.960 --> 0:13:22.760
<v Speaker 6>best in neutral or perhaps even a hostile country to us.

0:13:23.120 --> 0:13:24.920
<v Speaker 6>This is a take you here, a lot online, It's

0:13:24.920 --> 0:13:26.520
<v Speaker 6>a take you here a lot on X, It's a

0:13:26.559 --> 0:13:29.600
<v Speaker 6>take some influencers really push. But I don't think it's

0:13:29.720 --> 0:13:33.800
<v Speaker 6>really it's taking over the GOP in the way that

0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:36.839
<v Speaker 6>a lot of critics have tried to argue.

0:13:36.720 --> 0:13:38.560
<v Speaker 2>Yeah so so Rich.

0:13:38.600 --> 0:13:42.720
<v Speaker 3>If you go online, you would be entirely surprised by

0:13:42.760 --> 0:13:46.600
<v Speaker 3>the fact that it within you know, a statistically significant

0:13:46.600 --> 0:13:49.480
<v Speaker 3>sample of the youngest and the youngest sample set that

0:13:49.480 --> 0:13:53.080
<v Speaker 3>we've ever had from an amphis strapol that thirteen point

0:13:53.120 --> 0:13:54.880
<v Speaker 3>three percent like you, if you went online, you would

0:13:54.880 --> 0:13:55.480
<v Speaker 3>think it would be.

0:13:55.440 --> 0:13:56.920
<v Speaker 2>Like fifty to fifty.

0:13:56.960 --> 0:13:59.480
<v Speaker 3>What do you make of this pole result and what's

0:13:59.520 --> 0:14:02.199
<v Speaker 3>your message to the GOP with this in mind?

0:14:02.400 --> 0:14:04.800
<v Speaker 4>You know, neither Laur or I were surprised by this,

0:14:04.960 --> 0:14:07.160
<v Speaker 4>and we were thinking and comparing it to what we

0:14:07.200 --> 0:14:10.160
<v Speaker 4>see and that it really has been a trend with

0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:12.920
<v Speaker 4>the general public, not just among you know, the base

0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:17.080
<v Speaker 4>of the Republican Party. Look, the Internet is real, but

0:14:17.120 --> 0:14:21.000
<v Speaker 4>it doesn't necessarily mean that it's really representative, right, I mean,

0:14:21.000 --> 0:14:24.120
<v Speaker 4>that's the difference. People have to keep reminding themselves when

0:14:24.160 --> 0:14:27.160
<v Speaker 4>they see these narrative wars and these pushes online. This

0:14:27.920 --> 0:14:31.720
<v Speaker 4>is basically representative too of what we heard walking around

0:14:31.720 --> 0:14:34.120
<v Speaker 4>and talking to people. I mean, Andrew and same thing

0:14:34.160 --> 0:14:35.880
<v Speaker 4>with winning the mid terms. By the way, that was

0:14:35.920 --> 0:14:38.240
<v Speaker 4>the number one question I got walking around talking with

0:14:38.320 --> 0:14:40.360
<v Speaker 4>different people. They would say, oh, this is you know,

0:14:40.440 --> 0:14:43.800
<v Speaker 4>great and I understand the debate, but we really, you know,

0:14:43.840 --> 0:14:45.520
<v Speaker 4>what can we do to win? We want to win.

0:14:45.720 --> 0:14:48.400
<v Speaker 4>That was overwhelming, well, just walking around the place, so

0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:51.960
<v Speaker 4>a lot of this didn't surprise me. I do think though,

0:14:52.000 --> 0:14:53.760
<v Speaker 4>that it is a bit of a wake up call

0:14:53.840 --> 0:14:57.360
<v Speaker 4>to you know, the older guard of the GOP who

0:14:58.000 --> 0:15:02.840
<v Speaker 4>are used to they've become there's an expectation, you know

0:15:02.920 --> 0:15:06.640
<v Speaker 4>that Israel will get a always you know, like a

0:15:06.640 --> 0:15:10.040
<v Speaker 4>bit of a privileged or special place in the conversation,

0:15:10.760 --> 0:15:16.160
<v Speaker 4>and that's not where the future really sees our you know,

0:15:16.320 --> 0:15:18.560
<v Speaker 4>uh when it comes to you know, where we prioritize

0:15:18.600 --> 0:15:22.080
<v Speaker 4>our public, our foreign policy. That's just not the future

0:15:22.920 --> 0:15:27.000
<v Speaker 4>that people see, especially among younger people. So not something

0:15:27.000 --> 0:15:28.480
<v Speaker 4>they'll have to come to grip with it. But it

0:15:28.520 --> 0:15:33.320
<v Speaker 4>doesn't mean there's this outward hatred or anti Semitism. It's

0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:35.760
<v Speaker 4>just like, hey, look, we have been put last for

0:15:35.800 --> 0:15:38.120
<v Speaker 4>a very long time. We just want to be put first,

0:15:38.240 --> 0:15:42.600
<v Speaker 4>and we don't really think that, you know, questioning the

0:15:42.760 --> 0:15:47.080
<v Speaker 4>old Orthodoxy or the right is a bad thing, and

0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:49.920
<v Speaker 4>I'm not necessarily sure it is myself, Andrew, you know,

0:15:50.000 --> 0:15:50.280
<v Speaker 4>to be.

0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:52.800
<v Speaker 3>Honest, No, no, totally, I share some of that. I

0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:55.760
<v Speaker 3>think you you articulated it well. And in our one Rich,

0:15:55.880 --> 0:15:59.560
<v Speaker 3>I said, you know what's interesting about Amfest and turning

0:15:59.560 --> 0:16:04.920
<v Speaker 3>point these conferences, we're looking to define the dominant core

0:16:05.120 --> 0:16:08.320
<v Speaker 3>of a winning coalition, right right, the dominant center cut

0:16:09.120 --> 0:16:11.200
<v Speaker 3>and so you're gonna get these really loud voices that

0:16:11.280 --> 0:16:12.640
<v Speaker 3>want us to be anti Asrie.

0:16:12.640 --> 0:16:13.920
<v Speaker 2>You're gonna get these really loud.

0:16:13.800 --> 0:16:17.040
<v Speaker 3>Voices that want us to, you know, essentially say that

0:16:17.120 --> 0:16:20.160
<v Speaker 3>Israel is the most important topic. You know that there is,

0:16:20.200 --> 0:16:22.880
<v Speaker 3>because it's a proxy war for other things whatever. What

0:16:22.960 --> 0:16:26.000
<v Speaker 3>we found here is that, you know what I my

0:16:26.000 --> 0:16:27.920
<v Speaker 3>my takeaway from this pole, Rich, was that maybe a

0:16:27.960 --> 0:16:30.880
<v Speaker 3>couple of years ago, maybe five ten before October twenty

0:16:30.920 --> 0:16:34.160
<v Speaker 3>twenty three, October seventh, that you maybe would have seen

0:16:34.200 --> 0:16:36.240
<v Speaker 3>that chunk that said it's our top ally be a

0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 3>little larger. And where it looks like the consensus of

0:16:39.400 --> 0:16:43.600
<v Speaker 3>the movement is really going is that hey, Israel is

0:16:43.000 --> 0:16:46.280
<v Speaker 3>an ally and they're but they're one of many, and

0:16:46.400 --> 0:16:48.480
<v Speaker 3>so let's just put our own country first. I think

0:16:48.520 --> 0:16:51.920
<v Speaker 3>that is the new consensus that is emerging on the right,

0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:54.960
<v Speaker 3>and that's an important insight to glean from this.

0:16:55.080 --> 0:16:56.080
<v Speaker 2>I really believe that.

0:16:58.400 --> 0:17:01.360
<v Speaker 7>This is Lane Schoenberger, Chief and investment Officer and founding

0:17:01.360 --> 0:17:04.199
<v Speaker 7>partner of y Refi. It has been an honor and

0:17:04.240 --> 0:17:07.080
<v Speaker 7>a privilege to partner with Turning Point and for Charlie

0:17:07.119 --> 0:17:10.200
<v Speaker 7>to endorse us. His endorsement means the world to us,

0:17:10.280 --> 0:17:12.720
<v Speaker 7>and we look forward to continuing our partnership with Turning

0:17:12.720 --> 0:17:15.840
<v Speaker 7>Point for years to come. Now Here Charlie, in his

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<v Speaker 7>own words, tell you about why Refi.

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<v Speaker 3>Without further Ado Rich, we got to get to these

0:18:09.800 --> 0:18:15.600
<v Speaker 3>these other these other polls. Okay, these other pole questions,

0:18:16.080 --> 0:18:18.440
<v Speaker 3>and I think they're really important. So we've already kind

0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:23.159
<v Speaker 3>of mentioned what are the most important topics for people.

0:18:23.280 --> 0:18:26.440
<v Speaker 3>Blake kind of already did the big reveal one sixty five.

0:18:27.119 --> 0:18:30.640
<v Speaker 3>The winning the midterms is the most important by far.

0:18:30.760 --> 0:18:32.880
<v Speaker 3>Let's go ahead and show that image one sixty five.

0:18:33.600 --> 0:18:36.280
<v Speaker 3>All right, see how much it stands out. It's like,

0:18:36.520 --> 0:18:38.639
<v Speaker 3>you know, it's a sore thumb right there. It is

0:18:39.320 --> 0:18:42.399
<v Speaker 3>by far and away the number one topic. And to

0:18:42.480 --> 0:18:44.800
<v Speaker 3>Blake's point, it kind of had me wishing we wouldn't

0:18:44.840 --> 0:18:47.960
<v Speaker 3>have have done that, just so we could have seen

0:18:48.000 --> 0:18:49.560
<v Speaker 3>what the other ones. But what we see behind it

0:18:49.640 --> 0:18:52.400
<v Speaker 3>are voter integrity, voter idea at nine point three percent,

0:18:52.840 --> 0:18:55.920
<v Speaker 3>the affordability crisis, which I'm not surprised at at eight

0:18:55.920 --> 0:19:01.200
<v Speaker 3>point one percent, Mass deportations five point three percent, accountability

0:19:01.240 --> 0:19:04.200
<v Speaker 3>for deep state law fair at four point two percent,

0:19:04.320 --> 0:19:06.560
<v Speaker 3>rounding out the top five issues.

0:19:07.080 --> 0:19:08.639
<v Speaker 2>In the midterm.

0:19:08.760 --> 0:19:11.760
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, go ahead, Blake that ending the war in Ukraine

0:19:11.880 --> 0:19:15.080
<v Speaker 6>dead last. I think, what is that point four percent?

0:19:15.160 --> 0:19:16.800
<v Speaker 6>It's well under one percent.

0:19:17.480 --> 0:19:20.879
<v Speaker 3>And yeah, I noticed that too. Ending the war in

0:19:21.000 --> 0:19:24.840
<v Speaker 3>Ukraine is the last. Is the last, I think, because

0:19:24.880 --> 0:19:26.720
<v Speaker 3>we're not sending the money like we used to be.

0:19:27.000 --> 0:19:28.880
<v Speaker 3>I mean, that's what really I think brought it home

0:19:28.880 --> 0:19:30.600
<v Speaker 3>for people, is it felt like we're in these we're

0:19:30.680 --> 0:19:33.359
<v Speaker 3>running these huge deficits, We've got this huge tax burden,

0:19:33.520 --> 0:19:35.480
<v Speaker 3>the economy sucks, and we're spending all our money on

0:19:35.520 --> 0:19:38.560
<v Speaker 3>a war, you know, abroad to fight Putin.

0:19:39.280 --> 0:19:41.040
<v Speaker 2>And that's what made it. Yeah, go ahead, Rich.

0:19:41.200 --> 0:19:43.080
<v Speaker 4>Well, I was just gonna say, I think it's indicative

0:19:43.119 --> 0:19:46.760
<v Speaker 4>of two things. One is how many problems people think

0:19:46.800 --> 0:19:49.199
<v Speaker 4>that we have. Right that has to get before that,

0:19:49.359 --> 0:19:51.879
<v Speaker 4>because I don't think there's much support out there for

0:19:51.880 --> 0:19:54.800
<v Speaker 4>the Ukraine war anymore. And then two is I do

0:19:54.920 --> 0:19:57.560
<v Speaker 4>think and I'm just from speaking to people about this,

0:19:57.880 --> 0:19:59.879
<v Speaker 4>I think everybody pretty much sees the ends and so

0:20:00.680 --> 0:20:03.560
<v Speaker 4>it's really kind of only a matter of time. Among

0:20:03.640 --> 0:20:07.840
<v Speaker 4>the base anyway, they definitely do. Whereas you know, the public,

0:20:08.240 --> 0:20:10.959
<v Speaker 4>that's a little bit that would be a different result

0:20:10.960 --> 0:20:13.760
<v Speaker 4>if we were pulling the general public. But uh, as

0:20:13.760 --> 0:20:16.399
<v Speaker 4>far as that, you know, not adding the winning the

0:20:16.440 --> 0:20:18.679
<v Speaker 4>mid terms, I do hear what you guys are saying.

0:20:18.720 --> 0:20:20.440
<v Speaker 4>But in the back of my mind, I'm thinking, I

0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:24.040
<v Speaker 4>think I am glad we did this way because it

0:20:24.119 --> 0:20:28.119
<v Speaker 4>does show that despite again what the media narrative was

0:20:28.240 --> 0:20:31.800
<v Speaker 4>or was trying to spin, at the end of the day,

0:20:31.920 --> 0:20:36.040
<v Speaker 4>like the turning point family wants to win, despite everything

0:20:36.080 --> 0:20:38.840
<v Speaker 4>that they tried to showcase. Is the vision they want

0:20:38.840 --> 0:20:41.080
<v Speaker 4>to win and the number The reason for that is

0:20:41.119 --> 0:20:44.359
<v Speaker 4>simple because they know what's Unlike maybe some of the

0:20:44.400 --> 0:20:46.520
<v Speaker 4>middle of the country, middle of the road and the

0:20:47.040 --> 0:20:51.359
<v Speaker 4>and and less you know, politically active, you know, parts

0:20:51.359 --> 0:20:54.400
<v Speaker 4>of our coalition, they don't understand what's going to happen

0:20:54.440 --> 0:20:56.639
<v Speaker 4>if Democrats win, you know, I mean, that's what it

0:20:56.680 --> 0:21:00.080
<v Speaker 4>comes down to. While the base does they know what

0:21:00.080 --> 0:21:03.000
<v Speaker 4>what you know, what kind of turbulence if that's even

0:21:03.000 --> 0:21:06.439
<v Speaker 4>the appropriate word. We're in for you know what's on

0:21:06.480 --> 0:21:07.360
<v Speaker 4>the horizon there with.

0:21:07.359 --> 0:21:09.240
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, people get it, Yeah, they get it.

0:21:09.520 --> 0:21:11.720
<v Speaker 3>Let's go ahead and throw this one, I thought was

0:21:12.000 --> 0:21:16.919
<v Speaker 3>really really surprise me actually, and this was the what

0:21:16.960 --> 0:21:21.000
<v Speaker 3>are the biggest threats facing the country? Let's go ahead

0:21:21.040 --> 0:21:25.240
<v Speaker 3>and throw up one point sixty four biggest threats facing

0:21:25.280 --> 0:21:28.439
<v Speaker 3>America right now and up at the top. Now, this

0:21:28.560 --> 0:21:32.200
<v Speaker 3>was a rank order poll, so people could go one

0:21:32.240 --> 0:21:36.920
<v Speaker 3>through whatever the number was, and by far radical Islam.

0:21:37.000 --> 0:21:38.320
<v Speaker 2>Rich did this surprise you?

0:21:38.480 --> 0:21:44.520
<v Speaker 3>Radical Islams, Socialism, Marxism is number two, Mass migration number three.

0:21:45.040 --> 0:21:47.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you know what, it did a little.

0:21:47.520 --> 0:21:49.479
<v Speaker 4>But then when I was looking at it, I thought this,

0:21:49.640 --> 0:21:51.520
<v Speaker 4>the first two that really are at the top of

0:21:51.560 --> 0:21:57.160
<v Speaker 4>the rank distribution are ideologies that the base feels are

0:21:57.200 --> 0:22:01.760
<v Speaker 4>just not compatible with the American ideal, the American way

0:22:01.760 --> 0:22:05.480
<v Speaker 4>of life. And then everything else kind of is stem Yes,

0:22:05.520 --> 0:22:08.320
<v Speaker 4>there are problems, there are social problems, they're economic problems,

0:22:08.680 --> 0:22:12.320
<v Speaker 4>but if we could tackle this other thing first, which

0:22:12.359 --> 0:22:14.960
<v Speaker 4>is that fundamentally we've been letting in a lot of

0:22:15.000 --> 0:22:20.080
<v Speaker 4>people who are not really compatible or not you know that,

0:22:20.160 --> 0:22:22.480
<v Speaker 4>and some of those other problems are stemming from that.

0:22:23.359 --> 0:22:25.440
<v Speaker 4>So yeah, I mean, I did see where they were

0:22:25.520 --> 0:22:27.360
<v Speaker 4>where they were coming from with this, and then when

0:22:27.520 --> 0:22:30.920
<v Speaker 4>after you get past rank two into rank three through five,

0:22:30.920 --> 0:22:33.479
<v Speaker 4>we start to see, you know, those other you know,

0:22:33.480 --> 0:22:36.439
<v Speaker 4>more traditional things that we would expect people to say. So,

0:22:37.040 --> 0:22:41.119
<v Speaker 4>you know, given that of course large faith based, you know,

0:22:41.520 --> 0:22:45.080
<v Speaker 4>obviously this is a where there's a population that is

0:22:45.359 --> 0:22:50.879
<v Speaker 4>extremely Christian, so they're extremely pro America, extremely nationalists, so

0:22:51.240 --> 0:22:54.359
<v Speaker 4>they're looking at some of these ideas that over in

0:22:54.400 --> 0:22:56.159
<v Speaker 4>the long term. Andrew, it's almost like some of the

0:22:56.200 --> 0:22:59.000
<v Speaker 4>other things are just symptoms to a greater problem, and

0:22:59.040 --> 0:23:00.359
<v Speaker 4>we have to deal with the greater problem.

0:23:01.000 --> 0:23:03.359
<v Speaker 2>Blake, what's your take on the top five here?

0:23:04.560 --> 0:23:07.560
<v Speaker 6>Number one is just a big testament frankly to Charlie,

0:23:07.560 --> 0:23:10.480
<v Speaker 6>who was really fixated on that topic in the last

0:23:10.480 --> 0:23:12.480
<v Speaker 6>few months of his life. He talked about it a lot,

0:23:13.440 --> 0:23:16.160
<v Speaker 6>and I think he deserves some credit for really bringing

0:23:16.200 --> 0:23:18.399
<v Speaker 6>it back. In some ways, you could say it feels

0:23:18.440 --> 0:23:21.480
<v Speaker 6>like a time warp to two thousand and two or something,

0:23:21.520 --> 0:23:24.119
<v Speaker 6>and then we went through a pretty long period where

0:23:24.359 --> 0:23:27.560
<v Speaker 6>it was more in the background. Yet it still remains

0:23:27.560 --> 0:23:29.720
<v Speaker 6>a concern. And the reason it's a concern is because

0:23:29.920 --> 0:23:33.600
<v Speaker 6>of issue number three mass migration. We still we went

0:23:33.640 --> 0:23:35.800
<v Speaker 6>to fight them over there so that we could then

0:23:35.880 --> 0:23:37.719
<v Speaker 6>import them over here and then have to fight them

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:40.800
<v Speaker 6>here again. And Charlie really saw that when he was

0:23:40.880 --> 0:23:43.760
<v Speaker 6>in the UK, he was really becoming concerned. It was

0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:47.520
<v Speaker 6>hitting him We're going to have this very large, often

0:23:47.720 --> 0:23:52.880
<v Speaker 6>very radical Islamic component to Western societies that just did

0:23:52.920 --> 0:23:54.800
<v Speaker 6>not exist before.

0:23:55.160 --> 0:23:56.480
<v Speaker 5>Fifteen twenty years ago.

0:23:57.080 --> 0:23:59.359
<v Speaker 6>And I think he really did a lot of work

0:23:59.400 --> 0:24:04.760
<v Speaker 6>to spread that awareness among the base. Besides that, I

0:24:04.800 --> 0:24:08.119
<v Speaker 6>think it's really interesting that corrupt courts, so to speak,

0:24:08.160 --> 0:24:09.080
<v Speaker 6>has broke.

0:24:08.880 --> 0:24:09.720
<v Speaker 5>Into the top five.

0:24:09.840 --> 0:24:14.280
<v Speaker 6>That's expressing this realization that the biggest obstacle to a

0:24:14.320 --> 0:24:18.280
<v Speaker 6>lot of President Trump's core agenda, certainly on mass deportations

0:24:19.359 --> 0:24:22.720
<v Speaker 6>or DEI, is this fact there's just judges who seem

0:24:22.800 --> 0:24:25.399
<v Speaker 6>to have really taken it to heart that even if

0:24:25.440 --> 0:24:28.240
<v Speaker 6>they have no legal basis, no constitutional basis for what

0:24:28.280 --> 0:24:32.600
<v Speaker 6>they're doing, they can gum up the process for years

0:24:32.600 --> 0:24:32.919
<v Speaker 6>on end.

0:24:32.920 --> 0:24:33.080
<v Speaker 2>They have.

0:24:33.200 --> 0:24:35.560
<v Speaker 6>If you need the Supreme Court to step in for

0:24:35.680 --> 0:24:38.639
<v Speaker 6>anything the president wants to do, you can really slow

0:24:38.720 --> 0:24:41.280
<v Speaker 6>down the agenda in a big way.

0:24:41.800 --> 0:24:42.880
<v Speaker 5>I was most surprised.

0:24:42.920 --> 0:24:47.560
<v Speaker 6>Besides, I was really surprised that low fertility finished second

0:24:47.560 --> 0:24:50.280
<v Speaker 6>from last. That was a big topic Charlie's talked about.

0:24:50.320 --> 0:24:50.880
<v Speaker 5>It's a big thing.

0:24:50.920 --> 0:24:53.439
<v Speaker 6>A lot of people have talked about the need to

0:24:53.480 --> 0:24:55.679
<v Speaker 6>revive the American family, the need for people to have

0:24:55.840 --> 0:24:59.480
<v Speaker 6>more kids. But we didn't successfully get it out of

0:24:59.520 --> 0:25:01.960
<v Speaker 6>the base on this pole. It was right there, just

0:25:02.160 --> 0:25:05.520
<v Speaker 6>only above technology and AI as a concern for America.

0:25:06.000 --> 0:25:08.280
<v Speaker 4>Can I can I just add something to that real quick,

0:25:08.280 --> 0:25:10.800
<v Speaker 4>because I was too I was stunned by that. And

0:25:10.840 --> 0:25:16.000
<v Speaker 4>then I remembered that Benny gave this blockbuster speech and

0:25:16.119 --> 0:25:19.120
<v Speaker 4>on the big screen he threw up this graph showing

0:25:19.800 --> 0:25:24.640
<v Speaker 4>a recovery and fertility rates, especially among right Christians in general.

0:25:25.119 --> 0:25:29.320
<v Speaker 4>And I thought, I hope that didn't impact that because

0:25:29.320 --> 0:25:32.520
<v Speaker 4>it showed it showed that there has been a lot

0:25:32.560 --> 0:25:35.879
<v Speaker 4>of improvement in recent years as opposed to what was

0:25:35.920 --> 0:25:40.919
<v Speaker 4>really and I still believe is an existential threat to

0:25:40.960 --> 0:25:43.719
<v Speaker 4>our culture, to our way of life, to our you know,

0:25:44.560 --> 0:25:49.200
<v Speaker 4>being able to imperpetuity continue the American experience. So I

0:25:49.560 --> 0:25:51.679
<v Speaker 4>thought about it, and I said, well, there was that,

0:25:51.760 --> 0:25:54.399
<v Speaker 4>and that speech was attended. That was a that was

0:25:54.440 --> 0:25:57.040
<v Speaker 4>a bar. He really he lit the house on fire

0:25:57.080 --> 0:25:59.760
<v Speaker 4>with that is great, but I wonder if that didn't

0:25:59.760 --> 0:26:02.480
<v Speaker 4>have something you do with it, or people in general

0:26:02.600 --> 0:26:05.320
<v Speaker 4>aren't thinking that we're making more progress with it. But

0:26:05.800 --> 0:26:09.399
<v Speaker 4>like Blake, I think, and that's something that you know,

0:26:09.480 --> 0:26:11.680
<v Speaker 4>myself included. I mean, we need to keep an eye

0:26:11.720 --> 0:26:14.480
<v Speaker 4>on because you know, while there has been progress, it's

0:26:14.520 --> 0:26:15.320
<v Speaker 4>not nearly enough.

0:26:15.520 --> 0:26:17.800
<v Speaker 3>I want to go to another one here, Rich, and

0:26:17.840 --> 0:26:22.159
<v Speaker 3>this is this was a fascinating one pick for your

0:26:22.800 --> 0:26:25.840
<v Speaker 3>approval rating of various members of the Trump cabinet. And

0:26:25.960 --> 0:26:28.480
<v Speaker 3>I think some people might be surprised at who came

0:26:28.520 --> 0:26:30.280
<v Speaker 3>out on top. You know, I thought for sure it

0:26:30.320 --> 0:26:33.119
<v Speaker 3>was gonna be Secretary Rubio. But let's go ahead and

0:26:33.160 --> 0:26:36.440
<v Speaker 3>throw up one sixty three. And the way that walk

0:26:36.680 --> 0:26:38.760
<v Speaker 3>with the audience through Rich, how you had people answer

0:26:38.800 --> 0:26:39.560
<v Speaker 3>this question.

0:26:39.880 --> 0:26:42.719
<v Speaker 4>So it was basically the same way that a polster

0:26:42.840 --> 0:26:45.480
<v Speaker 4>will ask about the approval for the president, only this

0:26:45.720 --> 0:26:47.720
<v Speaker 4>we said, look, we want to ask about the cabinet

0:26:47.760 --> 0:26:50.560
<v Speaker 4>members one by one, tell us whether you approve or disapprove,

0:26:50.880 --> 0:26:52.800
<v Speaker 4>and of course gave them the answer to the the

0:26:52.800 --> 0:26:56.400
<v Speaker 4>option for strongly somewhat. And can I just go ahead,

0:26:56.440 --> 0:26:58.760
<v Speaker 4>Oh so I can just go ahead and say, look,

0:26:59.280 --> 0:27:03.480
<v Speaker 4>Secretary Pete blew it away eighty three percent who strongly

0:27:03.640 --> 0:27:06.400
<v Speaker 4>approve of the job that he's doing. I mean overall,

0:27:06.440 --> 0:27:09.280
<v Speaker 4>with the exception of a few here and there, Pam

0:27:09.320 --> 0:27:12.560
<v Speaker 4>Bondi stands out. Others are just not as well known, right,

0:27:12.600 --> 0:27:14.399
<v Speaker 4>and they're not in the public light as much like

0:27:14.440 --> 0:27:18.520
<v Speaker 4>Doug Bargum for instance. They for the exception of a few,

0:27:19.440 --> 0:27:23.520
<v Speaker 4>the cabinet members are doing well. RFK did extremely well,

0:27:23.640 --> 0:27:27.680
<v Speaker 4>Robert Kennedy June extremely I mean incredible, but heg Sath

0:27:27.840 --> 0:27:31.400
<v Speaker 4>definitely came out on top here. Secretary of Rubio did

0:27:31.760 --> 0:27:34.280
<v Speaker 4>strong as well, but strongly approved for him was seventy

0:27:34.359 --> 0:27:36.879
<v Speaker 4>nine percent. But it really does come out, you know.

0:27:36.920 --> 0:27:39.120
<v Speaker 4>I think it's the fighting spirit Andrew. You know, when

0:27:39.119 --> 0:27:41.080
<v Speaker 4>the media comes after him and says we're gonna, we're

0:27:41.119 --> 0:27:43.159
<v Speaker 4>gonna if this is a war crime, we're gonna impeach

0:27:43.200 --> 0:27:45.040
<v Speaker 4>you for this, he says, yeah, and I'm gonna smoke

0:27:45.080 --> 0:27:50.720
<v Speaker 4>another narco terrorist in this guy. You got. The base

0:27:50.760 --> 0:27:53.879
<v Speaker 4>wants their leaders to fight, They want their leaders to

0:27:53.960 --> 0:27:56.640
<v Speaker 4>fight for them, they want them to fight back. And

0:27:56.800 --> 0:27:58.080
<v Speaker 4>Pete Hegseye fights back.

0:27:58.560 --> 0:28:00.680
<v Speaker 3>Well, yeah, I mean that's exactly right. You know who

0:28:00.720 --> 0:28:03.920
<v Speaker 3>surprised me on this as well. Was and I was

0:28:04.160 --> 0:28:09.320
<v Speaker 3>I was looking was Secretary Christy Nome, Department of Homeland Security.

0:28:09.480 --> 0:28:13.760
<v Speaker 3>I actually thought she performed extraordinarily well in this poll,

0:28:14.000 --> 0:28:17.240
<v Speaker 3>and I had been hearing that maybe she wouldn't perform

0:28:17.280 --> 0:28:19.159
<v Speaker 3>as well in this poll. So she got seventy two

0:28:19.200 --> 0:28:24.120
<v Speaker 3>point eight percent strongly approved, seventeen point three percent somewhat approve. Right,

0:28:24.200 --> 0:28:29.959
<v Speaker 3>And so that people love deportations, Rich, they love the deportations.

0:28:30.200 --> 0:28:30.760
<v Speaker 2>That's what it.

0:28:30.680 --> 0:28:34.239
<v Speaker 4>Comes down to. And I was thinking much along the

0:28:34.240 --> 0:28:36.960
<v Speaker 4>lines of what you just said. But she's a part

0:28:37.200 --> 0:28:41.200
<v Speaker 4>of what people see to be Trump's biggest success or

0:28:41.400 --> 0:28:43.880
<v Speaker 4>are part of that entire issue.

0:28:44.080 --> 0:28:46.560
<v Speaker 3>And on that note, Yeah, Rich, why don't we just

0:28:46.600 --> 0:28:50.120
<v Speaker 3>throw it throw it up the one point sixty nine

0:28:50.160 --> 0:28:53.280
<v Speaker 3>Trump two point zero biggest accomplishments. We have a minute

0:28:53.320 --> 0:28:58.120
<v Speaker 3>left in this segment, and it's deportations and securing the border.

0:28:58.200 --> 0:29:01.160
<v Speaker 3>I mean one and two, those are the things people

0:29:01.160 --> 0:29:02.120
<v Speaker 3>are most happy about.

0:29:02.400 --> 0:29:05.800
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it's overwhelming. And you know what, on this note,

0:29:05.840 --> 0:29:07.120
<v Speaker 4>and I know we're getting close to the end of

0:29:07.120 --> 0:29:10.360
<v Speaker 4>the segment. On this note, the administration is starting to

0:29:10.360 --> 0:29:13.400
<v Speaker 4>do a better job of reminding the American people about

0:29:13.400 --> 0:29:16.280
<v Speaker 4>this accomplishment. The base knows, the base is giving him

0:29:16.320 --> 0:29:18.640
<v Speaker 4>credit for it. He's got to do a little bit better.

0:29:18.680 --> 0:29:21.840
<v Speaker 4>They know that it's good that he's trying, because unfortunately,

0:29:21.840 --> 0:29:24.440
<v Speaker 4>it's a sad testament to the American voter. When you

0:29:24.520 --> 0:29:27.920
<v Speaker 4>fix a problem, they forget and you have to constantly

0:29:27.960 --> 0:29:30.680
<v Speaker 4>remind them that remember what it was. The President did

0:29:30.720 --> 0:29:33.000
<v Speaker 4>that in his speech the other the primetime speech, by

0:29:33.040 --> 0:29:34.440
<v Speaker 4>the way, and that was the right move.

0:29:36.960 --> 0:29:39.440
<v Speaker 2>Good conversation is about showing respect.

0:29:40.040 --> 0:29:42.520
<v Speaker 3>It's how we create a space where people are able

0:29:42.520 --> 0:29:45.400
<v Speaker 3>to share their ideas and to be heard. Charlie knew

0:29:45.400 --> 0:29:48.480
<v Speaker 3>that TikTok has always strived to build that kind of

0:29:48.480 --> 0:29:52.760
<v Speaker 3>place that thrives unrespectful connection, where curiosity fuels connection and

0:29:52.920 --> 0:29:55.120
<v Speaker 3>we can share what's on our minds and learn from

0:29:55.160 --> 0:29:58.600
<v Speaker 3>each other. When ideas meet respect, good things happen.

0:29:59.000 --> 0:29:59.680
<v Speaker 2>On TikTok.

0:30:00.000 --> 0:30:02.880
<v Speaker 3>You can find a mechanic explaining the why behind a

0:30:02.920 --> 0:30:04.840
<v Speaker 3>problem most of us wouldn't even know how to name,

0:30:05.560 --> 0:30:08.719
<v Speaker 3>or a father sharing a lifetime of knowledge with his viewers.

0:30:08.880 --> 0:30:13.440
<v Speaker 3>Viewers who listen, discuss and respond. TikTok turns connection into

0:30:13.520 --> 0:30:16.440
<v Speaker 3>community through small acts of understanding. You can feel it

0:30:16.480 --> 0:30:18.760
<v Speaker 3>in the comments in the thank you from a stranger

0:30:18.800 --> 0:30:21.880
<v Speaker 3>halfway across the world. TikTok is a place where respect

0:30:21.960 --> 0:30:25.280
<v Speaker 3>opens the door for discussion, and discussion helps us build

0:30:25.360 --> 0:30:26.000
<v Speaker 3>something real.

0:30:26.320 --> 0:30:29.160
<v Speaker 1>Portions of our program are sponsored in part by TikTok.

0:30:31.760 --> 0:30:34.320
<v Speaker 3>Uh Rich you your lovely wife gave you an insight

0:30:34.360 --> 0:30:35.440
<v Speaker 3>on that fertility rate thing.

0:30:35.480 --> 0:30:36.760
<v Speaker 2>What was the point there?

0:30:37.080 --> 0:30:39.800
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, the point was a lot of after you got

0:30:39.840 --> 0:30:41.760
<v Speaker 4>pasted that, you know, first and second tier, A lot

0:30:41.800 --> 0:30:44.120
<v Speaker 4>of it was about affordability. And maybe people you know

0:30:44.200 --> 0:30:46.720
<v Speaker 4>are worried or concerned about being able to afford to

0:30:46.720 --> 0:30:49.960
<v Speaker 4>have a lot of children, right or other people's ability

0:30:50.200 --> 0:30:52.760
<v Speaker 4>to have other children, So you put that stuff first

0:30:52.840 --> 0:30:57.040
<v Speaker 4>in your mind when you're considering, you know, these as priorities.

0:30:57.200 --> 0:30:59.520
<v Speaker 4>And I hadn't thought about that point, but it's probably

0:30:59.600 --> 0:31:00.920
<v Speaker 4>some of that has to do with it.

0:31:01.160 --> 0:31:03.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think you're right. I think affordability.

0:31:03.120 --> 0:31:05.560
<v Speaker 3>I mean, also, you know the thing that occurs to

0:31:05.600 --> 0:31:09.480
<v Speaker 3>me in that particular venue with those particular people, there's

0:31:09.640 --> 0:31:11.640
<v Speaker 3>so many babies and kids running around, you know, like

0:31:12.080 --> 0:31:14.360
<v Speaker 3>probably those most people think, you know, we're gonna have

0:31:14.360 --> 0:31:15.040
<v Speaker 3>a lot of babies.

0:31:15.080 --> 0:31:17.800
<v Speaker 2>That's not our top concern, So that's my other theory

0:31:17.840 --> 0:31:18.080
<v Speaker 2>on that.

0:31:18.320 --> 0:31:23.120
<v Speaker 3>And we have the most responded to youngest by with

0:31:23.640 --> 0:31:27.600
<v Speaker 3>average age of the respondent. Straphole that we are unpacking

0:31:27.680 --> 0:31:30.840
<v Speaker 3>with Big Dada Pole, Rich Barris, the polster that conducted

0:31:30.880 --> 0:31:33.840
<v Speaker 3>the pole on our behalf, and this one Rich, I

0:31:33.880 --> 0:31:36.800
<v Speaker 3>think I'm just gonna say at backstage, I had a

0:31:36.840 --> 0:31:39.600
<v Speaker 3>conversation with a very important person that we're mapping out

0:31:39.640 --> 0:31:43.560
<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty six in the midterms, and I'm telling you,

0:31:43.560 --> 0:31:46.320
<v Speaker 3>you know, you've got this issue of base fatigue or

0:31:46.440 --> 0:31:49.320
<v Speaker 3>maybe lack of enthusiasm, whatever it is. We saw this

0:31:49.400 --> 0:31:52.200
<v Speaker 3>with some of the special elections we struggle in off years.

0:31:52.520 --> 0:31:55.200
<v Speaker 3>The question is how do you get people energetic? And

0:31:55.280 --> 0:31:58.160
<v Speaker 3>I looked at the early results on this question, this

0:31:58.240 --> 0:32:01.480
<v Speaker 3>next one, and I said, I'm telling you, I know

0:32:01.520 --> 0:32:04.480
<v Speaker 3>people are terrified of it. I know that the rank

0:32:04.520 --> 0:32:07.520
<v Speaker 3>and file Republican in DC is terrified of it. The

0:32:07.600 --> 0:32:10.200
<v Speaker 3>base wants this. If you want to drive base turnout,

0:32:10.680 --> 0:32:12.920
<v Speaker 3>lean into this issue. Find a way to thread the

0:32:12.960 --> 0:32:15.520
<v Speaker 3>needle so you don't freak out. You know, the people

0:32:15.560 --> 0:32:18.920
<v Speaker 3>you know that are in these contested elections, I'm sure,

0:32:19.040 --> 0:32:21.000
<v Speaker 3>but I'm telling you so will drive turnout. I think

0:32:21.040 --> 0:32:24.400
<v Speaker 3>it's a winner even amongst some Democrats that don't want

0:32:24.400 --> 0:32:26.840
<v Speaker 3>to even admit it, or Independents that don't want to

0:32:26.840 --> 0:32:28.560
<v Speaker 3>admit it. They don't necessarily want to say it out loud.

0:32:29.040 --> 0:32:34.280
<v Speaker 3>We asked the question, Rich, would you support an immigration moratorium?

0:32:34.440 --> 0:32:35.400
<v Speaker 2>Go up and go ahead and.

0:32:35.400 --> 0:32:38.239
<v Speaker 3>Throw up one sixty eight. This did way better than

0:32:38.280 --> 0:32:42.720
<v Speaker 3>even I anticipated one sixty eight. Look at that number.

0:32:42.760 --> 0:32:48.560
<v Speaker 3>The p ninety of the attendees at America Fest, which

0:32:48.600 --> 0:32:51.480
<v Speaker 3>again is these are the grassroots. This is like the plumbers,

0:32:51.520 --> 0:32:55.040
<v Speaker 3>the electricians. These are everyday people that attend this and

0:32:55.120 --> 0:32:58.440
<v Speaker 3>lots of students they want in immigration moratorium.

0:32:58.480 --> 0:33:00.479
<v Speaker 2>Now, I am not naive.

0:33:00.600 --> 0:33:04.320
<v Speaker 3>I know that the Republicans in Congress are not ready

0:33:04.320 --> 0:33:08.160
<v Speaker 3>to tackle this issue. I strongly encourage you to reconsider

0:33:08.560 --> 0:33:11.440
<v Speaker 3>your appetite for this issue ahead of the midterms.

0:33:11.520 --> 0:33:12.640
<v Speaker 2>Rich, what's your takeaway here?

0:33:12.840 --> 0:33:15.680
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I would say suck it up, Buttercup. I mean,

0:33:15.800 --> 0:33:18.440
<v Speaker 4>if you remember when President Trump posted that he would

0:33:18.480 --> 0:33:21.880
<v Speaker 4>do the moratorium, we actually pulled that even nationally and

0:33:21.920 --> 0:33:24.760
<v Speaker 4>it did extremely well. That was right before Tennessee the

0:33:24.800 --> 0:33:28.920
<v Speaker 4>special election in Tennessee seven and if you remember Emerson

0:33:28.920 --> 0:33:31.240
<v Speaker 4>had of poll was very close it was only two points.

0:33:31.560 --> 0:33:34.280
<v Speaker 4>And then I came on the show to tell you

0:33:34.320 --> 0:33:37.880
<v Speaker 4>that once he did that, how much extremely enthusiastic and

0:33:37.960 --> 0:33:41.560
<v Speaker 4>certainty to vote jumped by double digits. And I do

0:33:41.640 --> 0:33:45.160
<v Speaker 4>attribute that larger margin than some people expected to have

0:33:45.240 --> 0:33:47.400
<v Speaker 4>come from giving him a little bit of a shot,

0:33:47.440 --> 0:33:50.000
<v Speaker 4>a wake up call to the base, wake up call

0:33:50.040 --> 0:33:53.000
<v Speaker 4>to the voters. This is popular. Not only is it popular,

0:33:53.080 --> 0:33:55.360
<v Speaker 4>I mean look at some of the other questions. You know,

0:33:55.480 --> 0:33:58.479
<v Speaker 4>mass migration is viewed as an existential threat to people.

0:33:58.840 --> 0:34:01.960
<v Speaker 4>So to have this as a backbone issue which you

0:34:01.960 --> 0:34:05.840
<v Speaker 4>can then deliver an economic message out of right, like

0:34:05.920 --> 0:34:09.680
<v Speaker 4>so many of our problems come from this, this immigration

0:34:09.760 --> 0:34:13.960
<v Speaker 4>issue basically being broken since heartseller right, So this is

0:34:14.000 --> 0:34:17.319
<v Speaker 4>a gold mine Andrew a gold mine. So I mean

0:34:17.440 --> 0:34:19.960
<v Speaker 4>strongly suggest I would tell them you got to do it,

0:34:20.239 --> 0:34:23.600
<v Speaker 4>you want to win, do it, lean into it, make

0:34:23.640 --> 0:34:24.240
<v Speaker 4>it the case.

0:34:24.600 --> 0:34:28.240
<v Speaker 5>Oh sorry, yeah, it's just yeah.

0:34:28.360 --> 0:34:30.719
<v Speaker 6>I honestly, when I saw it get ninety percent, the

0:34:30.719 --> 0:34:33.719
<v Speaker 6>first question that came to mind was do they all

0:34:33.760 --> 0:34:34.839
<v Speaker 6>know what a moratorium?

0:34:34.880 --> 0:34:36.120
<v Speaker 5>Miss? Uh?

0:34:36.160 --> 0:34:41.880
<v Speaker 2>But yeah, because listen, yeah, go ahead, go ahead.

0:34:42.160 --> 0:34:44.200
<v Speaker 6>It shows the energy for the base, because in practice,

0:34:44.480 --> 0:34:47.840
<v Speaker 6>would a full moratory would it really have ninety percent support.

0:34:48.320 --> 0:34:49.000
<v Speaker 5>I'm not sure.

0:34:49.160 --> 0:34:51.319
<v Speaker 6>I kind of liked the idea, but I'm also I

0:34:51.400 --> 0:34:55.960
<v Speaker 6>realized that would be pretty dramatic for a lot of people.

0:34:57.160 --> 0:34:59.239
<v Speaker 5>But I think it shows the energy on this.

0:34:59.320 --> 0:35:02.279
<v Speaker 6>It shows how people are enthusiastic to see a sea

0:35:02.360 --> 0:35:03.920
<v Speaker 6>change on immigration.

0:35:04.160 --> 0:35:05.520
<v Speaker 5>That there's really.

0:35:05.280 --> 0:35:08.680
<v Speaker 6>Been an expansion of what people see is possible in

0:35:08.719 --> 0:35:12.400
<v Speaker 6>American politics. Oh, you actually can secure your border. You

0:35:12.480 --> 0:35:16.480
<v Speaker 6>actually can support people, especially criminals, people who hate America

0:35:16.520 --> 0:35:20.319
<v Speaker 6>and so on, and so people are also entertaining, Oh,

0:35:20.400 --> 0:35:24.800
<v Speaker 6>you actually can stop You don't need to let people

0:35:24.880 --> 0:35:27.480
<v Speaker 6>into your country necessarily, that that's a choice that you

0:35:27.520 --> 0:35:27.879
<v Speaker 6>can make.

0:35:28.320 --> 0:35:32.000
<v Speaker 4>You've also had horrific scandals lately, right, that highlighted some

0:35:32.080 --> 0:35:36.319
<v Speaker 4>of these right in Minnesota, and there are others, Right,

0:35:36.360 --> 0:35:38.960
<v Speaker 4>They haven't gotten as much media attention, but people are

0:35:39.000 --> 0:35:41.200
<v Speaker 4>seeing this, you know, when they open up their social media,

0:35:41.239 --> 0:35:44.000
<v Speaker 4>they are seeing this. And again, we did pull a

0:35:44.120 --> 0:35:47.840
<v Speaker 4>very similar question nationally and it got fifty five percent support. So,

0:35:48.400 --> 0:35:50.120
<v Speaker 4>you know, I think that people are at a point

0:35:50.200 --> 0:35:53.000
<v Speaker 4>where they understand that this thing has been kind of

0:35:53.000 --> 0:35:55.920
<v Speaker 4>like a runaway you know car for years. Somebody's got

0:35:55.920 --> 0:35:58.279
<v Speaker 4>to pump the brake until we figure out what it

0:35:58.360 --> 0:36:00.839
<v Speaker 4>is we until we get our hands on what has

0:36:00.880 --> 0:36:03.839
<v Speaker 4>happened and what needs to happen going forward, because we

0:36:03.960 --> 0:36:05.560
<v Speaker 4>just how much more of this can we take?

0:36:05.920 --> 0:36:06.080
<v Speaker 2>Right?

0:36:06.200 --> 0:36:06.960
<v Speaker 4>How much more of this.

0:36:06.920 --> 0:36:08.040
<v Speaker 2>Can we take? Well?

0:36:08.160 --> 0:36:10.839
<v Speaker 3>Rich, thank you for partnering with us and turning point action,

0:36:10.960 --> 0:36:14.000
<v Speaker 3>getting this poll done, this drop hoole done, and I

0:36:14.560 --> 0:36:19.200
<v Speaker 3>think the results are wonderfully revealing about where again, that

0:36:19.360 --> 0:36:23.560
<v Speaker 3>core center winning coalition is ideologically, where they're at on

0:36:23.600 --> 0:36:25.440
<v Speaker 3>the issues, where they're out on Trump, where they're aut

0:36:25.440 --> 0:36:27.600
<v Speaker 3>on vance, where they're out on the cabinet. Well done,

0:36:27.600 --> 0:36:30.600
<v Speaker 3>my friend, and thank you for joining us for this hour.

0:36:30.880 --> 0:36:32.839
<v Speaker 4>Thank you, and Merry Christmas, guys, all.

0:36:32.760 --> 0:36:36.000
<v Speaker 3>The Christmas Rich, Merry Christmas to all of you as

0:36:36.080 --> 0:36:37.040
<v Speaker 3>well out there.

0:36:37.680 --> 0:36:38.640
<v Speaker 2>We'll see you tomorrow.

0:36:43.480 --> 0:36:45.560
<v Speaker 7>For more on many of these stories and news you

0:36:45.600 --> 0:36:47.560
<v Speaker 7>can trust, go to Charliekirk dot com.