WEBVTT - Jay Carafano Weighs In on Iran 0:00:00.200 --> 0:00:03.440 Welcome to the program. No ictocrats allowed, because we've got 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:14.400 a country to say, so let's get her teed up. 0:00:12.760 --> 0:00:16.800 That subdego, you can't succeed. 0:00:16.120 --> 0:00:20.480 With lt triple eight nine seven one s A G E. 0:00:20.640 --> 0:00:22.840 Triple eight nine seven one seven two four three. I 0:00:22.880 --> 0:00:25.440 am Larry Elder. We're sale in the news channel later 0:00:25.480 --> 0:00:28.320 this hour. We're gonna talk to Jay Carafano from Heritage. 0:00:28.880 --> 0:00:32.440 By President Trump's statement to Iran, this is your last chance. 0:00:33.240 --> 0:00:36.520 Stock market today hit record highs. Maybe there's a deeper 0:00:36.520 --> 0:00:39.160 reason people mistakenly believe the rich don't pay their fair 0:00:39.200 --> 0:00:42.720 share in taxes. We will discuss big primary day for 0:00:42.800 --> 0:00:46.920 DSA candidates. Kamala Harris went from saying she's open to 0:00:47.000 --> 0:00:49.800 expanding the Supreme Court and open to eliminating the electoral 0:00:49.800 --> 0:00:52.360 College to saying she's now in favor of doing both. 0:00:52.600 --> 0:00:57.000 Do you think maybe she's running for president? Sourn mom 0:00:57.120 --> 0:00:59.440 Donnie said it's not true. The New York is need 0:00:59.440 --> 0:01:02.960 ideas shot up in the government store. The DSA candidate 0:01:03.040 --> 0:01:06.080 for governor of Wisconstant, calls for a world without prisons. 0:01:06.160 --> 0:01:11.280 She says it's aspirational is a world without crime victims aspirational. 0:01:12.200 --> 0:01:15.600 Caitlin Clark dodges the question when asked where the biological 0:01:15.640 --> 0:01:18.520 men should compete against women in sports, Israel says it 0:01:18.560 --> 0:01:21.520 will not withdraw from Gaza into the weapons in possession 0:01:21.520 --> 0:01:25.080 of Hamas or removed from Gaza. Have we seen this 0:01:25.440 --> 0:01:29.560 movie before? Triple eight ninety seven one sage Triple eight 0:01:29.640 --> 0:01:32.479 ninety seven one seven, two four three is our number. 0:01:34.160 --> 0:01:38.679 I want to start with the economy. As I mentioned 0:01:38.800 --> 0:01:43.679 dal Jones record high s and p record high. Over 0:01:44.760 --> 0:01:48.840 half of American's roughly sixty pent have money directly or 0:01:48.840 --> 0:01:51.360 indirectly direct invests in the stock market. So when you 0:01:51.400 --> 0:01:54.440 hear the stock market only benefits the top one percent, 0:01:54.480 --> 0:01:58.080 it's complete and total nonsense. But you hear that all 0:01:58.120 --> 0:02:02.000 the time. And we talked about how, according to the 0:02:02.080 --> 0:02:05.880 Media Research Center, most people get their news from their phone, 0:02:06.360 --> 0:02:10.360 from their feeds from these news aggregates, which simply siphon 0:02:10.440 --> 0:02:14.440 the left wing traditional media into little soundbites that people 0:02:15.480 --> 0:02:19.120 majority of people now get. And you're not going to 0:02:19.200 --> 0:02:22.640 hear the Washington Post piece that the top one percent 0:02:22.680 --> 0:02:25.440 pay in fact more than their fair share in taxes. 0:02:26.639 --> 0:02:31.160 But I'm looking at the outlets like CNNBS now, which 0:02:31.160 --> 0:02:34.120 I read and watch that you don't have to, and 0:02:34.440 --> 0:02:37.880 the news is let's see negative. And I thought about 0:02:37.960 --> 0:02:43.239 the article I wrote back in twenty nineteen, headline media 0:02:43.360 --> 0:02:46.400 bad mouse the economy like it did in nineteen ninety two. 0:02:47.160 --> 0:02:49.480 In nineteen ninety two, when George Herbert walker Bush was 0:02:49.560 --> 0:02:53.480 running for reelection, a Gallup poll found the majority of 0:02:53.520 --> 0:02:59.160 Americans thought we were in a recession. I'm tempted to 0:02:59.160 --> 0:03:02.880 ask young people what is the definition of a recession. 0:03:04.520 --> 0:03:09.720 Generally people have called it back to back quarters, where 0:03:09.720 --> 0:03:18.280 there's been negative GDP growth, assuming that's the sort of 0:03:18.760 --> 0:03:24.400 definition that many people use. On election Day in November 0:03:24.480 --> 0:03:27.799 nineteen ninety two, again George Herbert walker Bush running for 0:03:27.840 --> 0:03:32.080 reelection against Bill Clinton, the economy was on its ninth 0:03:32.400 --> 0:03:38.880 teenth consecutive month of positive economic growth. I repeat November 0:03:38.960 --> 0:03:42.760 nineteen ninety two. Majority of people thought we were in 0:03:42.800 --> 0:03:47.840 a recession. The economy was on its nineteenth consecutive month 0:03:48.120 --> 0:03:53.360 of positive economic growth, which means the economy is nowhere 0:03:53.440 --> 0:03:58.560 near a recession. There was a recession that began in 0:03:58.600 --> 0:04:02.440 nineteen ninety It ended eight months later in nineteen ninety one, 0:04:02.880 --> 0:04:06.680 nineteen months before Clinton's election according to the National Bureau 0:04:06.720 --> 0:04:10.000 of Economic Research, which is the bureau that the country 0:04:10.080 --> 0:04:14.840 uses to determine when recessions start and win the end. However, 0:04:15.720 --> 0:04:20.080 Investors Business Daily pointed out that in October nineteen ninety two, 0:04:20.080 --> 0:04:26.240 a month before the election, over ninety percent of the 0:04:26.279 --> 0:04:31.400 economic news in major newspapers was negative. Let me say 0:04:31.400 --> 0:04:35.320 that again. In October nineteen ninety two, a month before 0:04:36.600 --> 0:04:39.120 this election, when George Herbert Walkerbush of trying to get 0:04:39.120 --> 0:04:44.599 reelected running against Bill Clinton, nineteen consecutive months of positive 0:04:44.640 --> 0:04:50.920 economic growth, ninety percent of the economic news in newspapers 0:04:51.000 --> 0:04:56.640 was negative. Next month, Clinton wins the election. Guess what 0:04:57.520 --> 0:05:03.480 that month, only teen percent of the newspapers economic news 0:05:03.480 --> 0:05:05.080 was negative. Wait wait, wait, wait wait, how do you 0:05:05.120 --> 0:05:10.560 go from ninety percent negative to fourteen percent negative month 0:05:10.600 --> 0:05:13.080 to month. Clinton didn't even go to the Oval office 0:05:13.120 --> 0:05:16.000 until that following January. All of a sudden, their guy 0:05:16.000 --> 0:05:18.520 got into office, So the same economic news was now 0:05:18.960 --> 0:05:23.599 reinterpreted in a positive way. This is how screwed the 0:05:23.760 --> 0:05:30.760 Republican concerned to get by the daily meeting. Now get this, 0:05:32.240 --> 0:05:38.120 So Clinton goes into office January nineteen ninety three, right, 0:05:40.440 --> 0:05:44.680 seven days after Clinton took office, The New York Times 0:05:44.760 --> 0:05:50.040 writes the following headline, US says economy grew at fast 0:05:50.160 --> 0:05:55.520 pace and fourth quarter. Here's what the New York Times wrote, 0:05:55.680 --> 0:06:00.760 which is the quote, The economy grew at a faster 0:06:00.839 --> 0:06:03.760 than expected annual rate of three point eight percent in 0:06:03.839 --> 0:06:07.640 the final quarter of nineteen ninety two, the strongest performance 0:06:07.720 --> 0:06:14.000 in four years. The Commerce Department reported today three point 0:06:14.000 --> 0:06:17.680 eight percent growth. When have you seen that? When's the 0:06:17.720 --> 0:06:21.840 last time you saw growth like that? Last quarter? George 0:06:21.839 --> 0:06:25.080 Herbert Walker Bush. Majority of Americans thought we were in recession. 0:06:25.880 --> 0:06:30.720 Nineteen consecutive positive months of economic growth three point eight 0:06:30.760 --> 0:06:34.000 percent final quarter of nineteen ninety two, Bill Clinton walks 0:06:34.040 --> 0:06:39.320 into office. It's not too shabby for a recession. And 0:06:39.360 --> 0:06:43.680 that is exactly what's going on right now. Gas prices 0:06:43.720 --> 0:06:49.160 as set a million times lower than under Joe Biden 0:06:49.320 --> 0:06:57.159 and adjusted for inflation lower than under Barack Obama. Number 0:06:57.160 --> 0:06:59.800 twenty nine. 0:07:00.680 --> 0:07:03.160 Well, let's take gasoline prices. So I looked at what 0:07:03.279 --> 0:07:09.239 happened in under the last three presidents Obama, Trump, Biden, 0:07:09.680 --> 0:07:12.520 and so this was actually surprising to me because we 0:07:12.560 --> 0:07:15.040 do have a fairly high gas price today. But if 0:07:15.080 --> 0:07:17.720 you look over the years that Trump has been president, 0:07:18.120 --> 0:07:21.680 the average gas price adjusted for inflation, has been lower 0:07:21.880 --> 0:07:25.120 under Trump than it was under Biden and under Obama. 0:07:26.200 --> 0:07:30.000 That's Steve Moore, one of Trump's economic advisors, and Trump 0:07:30.000 --> 0:07:33.320 one point, how I've been saying this? How long have 0:07:33.360 --> 0:07:41.000 I been saying this? The National Chairman Economic Department is 0:07:41.080 --> 0:07:45.720 Kevin Hassett, one of Trump's primary advisors. Trump won two 0:07:45.760 --> 0:07:46.960 point zero number twenty two. 0:07:48.160 --> 0:07:48.920 Well, Kevin. 0:07:49.320 --> 0:07:51.800 President Trump, as you will know, talks about the economy 0:07:51.840 --> 0:07:54.520 frequently bragging about it. He calls it the hottest country 0:07:54.520 --> 0:07:57.760 in the world. And here's something Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik 0:07:57.800 --> 0:07:58.760 said back in December. 0:08:01.040 --> 0:08:04.880 Look for the second quarter of twenty twenty six to 0:08:04.960 --> 0:08:08.000 be amazing, as all this money comes back into the 0:08:08.040 --> 0:08:11.520 economy from this big, beautiful bill which really takes care 0:08:11.560 --> 0:08:15.280 of Americans. Finally, the president has the power to take 0:08:15.320 --> 0:08:18.120 care of Americans. Someone actually in the White House cares 0:08:18.160 --> 0:08:18.920 about the real people. 0:08:19.280 --> 0:08:19.760 Mister Sex. 0:08:20.760 --> 0:08:23.760 You said just a moment ago, Kevin, that consumers are optimistic, 0:08:23.840 --> 0:08:26.320 but we have this pull where seventy seven percent of 0:08:26.360 --> 0:08:30.400 Americans say economic conditions are overall poor. That is the 0:08:30.440 --> 0:08:34.560 lowest of Trump's second term so far? Is this the 0:08:34.679 --> 0:08:38.120 quote amazing economy the administration thought you'd I'll be boasting 0:08:38.160 --> 0:08:40.880 about when the quote unquote big beautiful bill was passed 0:08:40.920 --> 0:08:41.800 more than a year ago. 0:08:42.120 --> 0:08:44.800 Well again, right now, the economy does look amazing to me. 0:08:44.920 --> 0:08:48.200 The inflation's going down, the unemployment rate is low. Initial 0:08:48.240 --> 0:08:50.680 claims like no one's getting almost no one's getting fired. 0:08:51.240 --> 0:08:53.760 A final demand was up about four percent, which is 0:08:53.800 --> 0:08:56.839 about what my friend Howard Lednik was predicting back that 0:08:57.320 --> 0:09:00.320 it was the sort of surgeon imports of capital that 0:09:00.320 --> 0:09:02.760 I think they caught people a little bit by surprise 0:09:02.840 --> 0:09:04.640 and that's why the number was a little bit lower. 0:09:04.720 --> 0:09:06.920 But I think that you're seeing really really strong growth. 0:09:06.960 --> 0:09:08.600 And in the end, one of the things that I 0:09:08.600 --> 0:09:11.080 could say as an economist is that there's a big 0:09:11.120 --> 0:09:13.560 economic literature that says that in the end, people vote 0:09:13.559 --> 0:09:16.120 based on what's in their pockets. There's a guy named 0:09:16.200 --> 0:09:18.080 ray Fair at Yale that has a famous paper that 0:09:18.120 --> 0:09:20.800 shows that that's what people have in their pockets is 0:09:20.800 --> 0:09:22.960 the best indicator of what's going to happen to elections. 0:09:22.960 --> 0:09:24.880 And so if you take the ray Fair model, then 0:09:24.880 --> 0:09:26.839 you could say, well, actually really comes went down under 0:09:26.880 --> 0:09:30.400 President Obaba, that President Trump won, and real it comes 0:09:30.400 --> 0:09:33.160 went down under President Biden. President Trump won again, and 0:09:33.240 --> 0:09:35.280 so I think that the really comes growing right now 0:09:35.280 --> 0:09:38.280 are really positive side politically and much more positive signed 0:09:38.320 --> 0:09:39.520 than something I would see at a poll. 0:09:39.600 --> 0:09:43.000 I know that was to CNN. She was just shocked, 0:09:43.120 --> 0:09:46.280 she expressed on her face. There's a book nineteen ninety seven. 0:09:48.280 --> 0:09:51.640 This is five years after Bill Clinton gets elected, Lessons 0:09:51.640 --> 0:09:56.840 from the Recession, A management and communication perspective, The authors wrote, 0:09:56.880 --> 0:10:00.480 and unquoting, it's difficult to avoid the conclusion the highly 0:10:00.520 --> 0:10:03.480 negative view of the economy in nineteen ninety two was 0:10:03.559 --> 0:10:08.359 due in large part to widespread misperceptions about his performance 0:10:08.840 --> 0:10:14.360 and prospects, and that unduly negative coverage on network television 0:10:14.679 --> 0:10:20.800 played some major role informing those misperceptions. Close quote a 0:10:20.800 --> 0:10:24.360 lot of words to say something very simple. The bias 0:10:24.480 --> 0:10:29.000 media altered people's perception of the economy and made them 0:10:29.040 --> 0:10:34.040 feel falsely that the economy was in a recession, when 0:10:34.080 --> 0:10:37.000 by any normal definition of the word recession, it wasn't 0:10:37.040 --> 0:10:40.560 even remotely close to a recession. Three point eight percent 0:10:40.600 --> 0:10:43.200 growth in the final quarter of George Herbert Walker Bush, 0:10:43.200 --> 0:10:46.559 are you kidding? Me Now when it comes to supplements, 0:10:46.640 --> 0:10:49.520 two things matter most that it works and that you 0:10:49.559 --> 0:10:52.080 can trust it. Rather than tell you about Relief Fact, 0:10:52.080 --> 0:10:53.920 do we let our customers do it. We hear from 0:10:53.960 --> 0:10:56.880 people every single day whose lives have changed. We like 0:10:56.960 --> 0:10:58.880 you to hear a few of their stories. 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We'll connect you with our frienly local 0:11:31.480 --> 0:11:34.800 team Relief Factor dot com, Relief Factor dot com eight 0:11:34.840 --> 0:11:40.840 hundred four Relief eight hundred the number four Relief Parents. 0:11:41.040 --> 0:11:44.439 The biggest question in education today is how artificial intelligence 0:11:44.480 --> 0:11:47.760 is shaping the way your student learns. Artificial intelligence is 0:11:47.840 --> 0:11:51.000 changing education faster than most schools are willing to admit, 0:11:51.320 --> 0:11:55.000 and many families are rightly concerned. At Patrick Henry College, 0:11:55.000 --> 0:11:58.240 the goal isn't to outsource thinking to machines. It's to 0:11:58.280 --> 0:12:02.120 train students to think for themsels else. PHC emphasizes a 0:12:02.200 --> 0:12:06.480 Christian liberal arts education that develops reasoning, writing, speaking, and 0:12:06.559 --> 0:12:11.240 discernment skills no algorithm can replace. 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We are still in the NewsChannel, coming to 0:12:48.320 --> 0:12:50.199 you from the Relief Factory Studio. Don't forget your Relief 0:12:50.200 --> 0:12:53.680 Factor eight hundred four Relief eight hundred to number four relief. 0:12:54.280 --> 0:12:56.480 Next second, we're going to talk to James Carfano of 0:12:56.480 --> 0:12:59.480 Heritage Foundation about his take on the state of the 0:12:59.480 --> 0:13:02.720 war against Iran, what he thinks about the alleged deal 0:13:03.720 --> 0:13:06.560 for Hamas to turn over their weapons, although Israel says 0:13:06.559 --> 0:13:10.120 they're not turning over weapons, are just storing them under 0:13:10.120 --> 0:13:12.640 somebody else's supervision. We want the weapons out before we 0:13:12.679 --> 0:13:15.600 agree to pull out of Gods. And we're also going 0:13:15.600 --> 0:13:17.199 to talk to him about what's going on in Spain 0:13:17.240 --> 0:13:21.400 with all these illegal aliens from Morocco pouring into that 0:13:22.360 --> 0:13:27.439 little tip that's connected to the coast continent of Africa, 0:13:28.000 --> 0:13:30.360 but it's controlled by Spain. All of this and more. 0:13:32.760 --> 0:13:37.160 President Trump has said this is Iran's last chance to 0:13:37.240 --> 0:13:40.280 sign a good deal Number fifty six. 0:13:43.040 --> 0:13:43.600 They don't like. 0:13:43.600 --> 0:13:46.600 Saying that they're talking, so I say, we're in talks, 0:13:46.960 --> 0:13:50.480 big deal, We're in talks, and they'll sometimes deny it, 0:13:50.559 --> 0:13:54.079 even though they spent hours and hours together talking. Now 0:13:54.600 --> 0:13:57.120 the talks are going along, We're going to hit them 0:13:57.240 --> 0:14:01.679 very hard yesterday, very very hard, harder than any attack 0:14:02.480 --> 0:14:06.360 I think I can say general from a point of knowledge, 0:14:06.480 --> 0:14:10.679 any attack since World War Two, that's pretty big. And 0:14:10.760 --> 0:14:14.080 we were set to go, and they called, and in addition. 0:14:13.840 --> 0:14:18.319 Saudi Arabia called, and the UAU called. 0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:19.680 Guitar call. 0:14:20.640 --> 0:14:23.560 I call some numerous people, not I don't want to 0:14:23.600 --> 0:14:26.880 use the word begging, but some, some were in particular 0:14:27.520 --> 0:14:29.240 aren did not want to be hit. 0:14:30.440 --> 0:14:31.840 And they said, we wanna talk. 0:14:32.400 --> 0:14:35.280 We wanna talk about the Strait, but more importantly, from 0:14:35.360 --> 0:14:40.240 my standpoint, we wanna talk about the denuclearization of a rent, 0:14:40.640 --> 0:14:42.600 cause it's what it's all about. This is why I'm 0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:45.000 doing this, and it should have been done. So now 0:14:45.040 --> 0:14:47.400 fifty years we keep saying forty seven years, but three 0:14:47.480 --> 0:14:51.320 years have gone by, But it's for fifty years that 0:14:52.000 --> 0:14:54.160 other presidents should have been doing what I or other 0:14:54.200 --> 0:14:58.240 countries didn't have to be us, but other countries and 0:14:58.360 --> 0:15:00.640 nobody did it, and it was time we hit him 0:15:00.680 --> 0:15:03.240 hard with the B two's more than a year ago now, 0:15:04.000 --> 0:15:08.840 and that knocked out their capability, for their potential capability. 0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:12.320 And we've done a great job. But when we talk, 0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:14.360 we say we're talking. If we're not talking, when you 0:15:14.400 --> 0:15:16.160 ask me, no we're not talking, I'll say it. 0:15:16.520 --> 0:15:18.000 But we are talking right now. 0:15:17.880 --> 0:15:20.960 We're talking, and we're talking at the request of Iran, 0:15:21.880 --> 0:15:26.560 back by Saudi Arabia, back by UAE and. 0:15:26.480 --> 0:15:28.680 Back by Guitar in particular. 0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:31.520 But others also many, many countries called many. The leaders 0:15:31.520 --> 0:15:34.120 are many up friendly with a lot of them, almost 0:15:34.200 --> 0:15:36.640 all of them one way or the other, and they 0:15:36.720 --> 0:15:39.480 all wanted to give this a last chance. 0:15:39.520 --> 0:15:42.200 This is the last chance. This is not something that 0:15:43.200 --> 0:15:44.000 it doesn't happen. 0:15:44.360 --> 0:15:48.920 This is the last chance for them to sign a 0:15:48.960 --> 0:15:49.720 good document. 0:15:50.720 --> 0:15:56.000 Last chance, he says, before decapitation number fifty three, Thank. 0:15:55.840 --> 0:15:59.480 You, thank you very much, mister, is a bit time 0:16:00.080 --> 0:16:03.040 turn off airsprice against your long since evil Yeah to 0:16:03.360 --> 0:16:04.800 s what is your missage to. 0:16:04.800 --> 0:16:07.720 American people who wondering what has changed this time? Why 0:16:07.720 --> 0:16:08.800 should be any. 0:16:08.480 --> 0:16:09.280 Well, you don't know. 0:16:09.440 --> 0:16:09.920 I don't know. 0:16:09.960 --> 0:16:12.880 I think we're gonna maybe get something, but I wanna 0:16:12.880 --> 0:16:17.400 give 'em every last chance before decapitation. Very tough to 0:16:17.440 --> 0:16:21.720 do with what we have planned still planned. We'll see 0:16:21.760 --> 0:16:24.920 what happens, but it's very very tough thing to do. 0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:25.920 I think. 0:16:26.240 --> 0:16:29.000 Uh, I'm very proud of the fact that I will 0:16:29.040 --> 0:16:30.360 give people, give people a chance. 0:16:30.440 --> 0:16:32.360 This is a big move to do. 0:16:32.320 --> 0:16:35.920 An attack that big on a country, and I'd rather 0:16:36.080 --> 0:16:40.720 not do it now. We've already through lots of large attacks, 0:16:40.760 --> 0:16:46.160 but they were normal large. Hopefully they'll come to their 0:16:46.200 --> 0:16:50.040 senses because what happened, yuh can cannot have a nuclear weapon. 0:16:50.320 --> 0:16:53.760 But hopefully they'll come to their senses. So they call 0:16:53.880 --> 0:16:57.200 me and they said, please don't attack, We'll make a deal. 0:16:58.480 --> 0:17:02.160 That's the real truth. And everyone else it and who 0:17:02.200 --> 0:17:07.800 wouldn't call And they found out through leaks and sleeves bags, 0:17:07.840 --> 0:17:10.000 you know, a lot of sleeves bags, leakers. 0:17:10.200 --> 0:17:11.919 Leakers should be put in jail. They should. 0:17:12.080 --> 0:17:15.040 They have to strengthen up the laws for leakers. But 0:17:15.160 --> 0:17:18.040 in this case, leakers helped because they said the severity 0:17:18.080 --> 0:17:23.480 of the attack and ran knew it. They knew what 0:17:23.640 --> 0:17:26.159 was coming. It was going to come last night, and 0:17:26.200 --> 0:17:28.840 it would have gone on for a long time and 0:17:29.119 --> 0:17:31.520 they'd be essentially very little left. 0:17:31.520 --> 0:17:32.520 There'd be nothing left. 0:17:33.480 --> 0:17:39.040 And if I am given a chance to let a 0:17:39.040 --> 0:17:42.240 lot of people live, I want to give that chance. 0:17:42.280 --> 0:17:44.280 So I'm under no time concern. 0:17:44.359 --> 0:17:46.480 You know, I don't happen to be running, but a 0:17:46.480 --> 0:17:49.600 lot of very good Republicans are running now. 0:17:49.640 --> 0:17:56.199 Regarding Hamas, Trump made an announcement that Hamas has agreed 0:17:56.240 --> 0:17:58.200 to give up their arms. But it's real, says, well, 0:17:58.200 --> 0:18:00.520 they've not agreed to allow someone to take all of 0:18:00.560 --> 0:18:03.879 them out of Hamas. What has Hama's been doing with 0:18:04.000 --> 0:18:06.160 all of the aid that they've been given over all 0:18:06.200 --> 0:18:09.880 these years. Here's what Douglas Murray conservative pundins said back 0:18:09.920 --> 0:18:13.800 in November eight, twenty twenty three, that suggests one month 0:18:13.840 --> 0:18:16.160 after October seventh, number thirty four. 0:18:17.200 --> 0:18:20.160 But do not feel that something has to give here, 0:18:20.480 --> 0:18:23.679 that this has to get resolved somehow, and that the 0:18:23.720 --> 0:18:27.080 only way to do that is, as with all these situations, 0:18:27.280 --> 0:18:30.639 you have to eventually compromise in some way. And the 0:18:30.680 --> 0:18:33.359 problem for Nettan Yao is that people think he is 0:18:33.400 --> 0:18:38.200 completely incapable of offering Hamas any compromise, and therefore there 0:18:38.240 --> 0:18:40.600 is no deal. So the families of the hostage are 0:18:40.600 --> 0:18:43.760 still there, and hundreds of thousands of protesters in Israel 0:18:43.960 --> 0:18:46.240 on the street to Tel Aviv right now, they are 0:18:46.240 --> 0:18:49.240 of the firm belief that it's his own intractable position 0:18:49.320 --> 0:18:52.280 on this which is not going to allow any kind 0:18:52.720 --> 0:18:54.200 of cease far to be achievable. 0:18:55.600 --> 0:18:58.200 But there again, if I say appears it's the same thing, 0:18:58.240 --> 0:19:02.160 which is the presumption that it's Yahoo who is uncompromising. 0:19:03.840 --> 0:19:06.480 We end up with this again because Netanyahu's a democratically 0:19:06.520 --> 0:19:09.199 elected leader, and so it's assumed that some pressure can 0:19:09.240 --> 0:19:11.919 be brought to bear on him. In my view, it 0:19:11.960 --> 0:19:15.440 is not Netanyahu who's uncompromising. It's Hamaza's uncompromising. 0:19:15.600 --> 0:19:16.080 They could have. 0:19:16.040 --> 0:19:20.639 Handed back the hostages last October. They could have not 0:19:20.840 --> 0:19:23.240 done this. I mean, they could have tried to build 0:19:23.720 --> 0:19:26.639 a state since two thousand and five, when Israel withdrew 0:19:26.640 --> 0:19:28.800 from the Gaza and handed the place over to them. 0:19:28.960 --> 0:19:33.080 Hamas could have used the billions of dollars and pounds 0:19:33.600 --> 0:19:38.000 and euros that British and European and American taxpayers gave 0:19:38.080 --> 0:19:40.640 them since two thousand and six. They could have used 0:19:40.640 --> 0:19:44.280 those billions of dollars to build up Gaza. They could 0:19:44.320 --> 0:19:47.000 have made a booming in the good sense of the 0:19:47.040 --> 0:19:51.240 term Mediterranean paradise. They could have created wealth for their people. 0:19:51.280 --> 0:19:54.000 But you know what they did. They built down instead 0:19:54.000 --> 0:19:54.480 of upwards. 0:19:54.520 --> 0:19:58.720 They built Now. Whether you're preparing for exams, juggling family career, 0:19:59.200 --> 0:20:01.240 or just looking to stay sharp as your age, think 0:20:01.280 --> 0:20:03.720 Factor is here to help. Created by the same company 0:20:03.720 --> 0:20:07.520 that makes Relief Factor, think Factor supports sharper focus, stronger recall, 0:20:07.600 --> 0:20:09.880 and clearer thinking. It's a natural way to give your 0:20:09.880 --> 0:20:13.040 brain that daily nutrients it needs for memory, attention, and 0:20:13.080 --> 0:20:16.960 even vibrant vision. 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J. 0:20:53.720 --> 0:20:57.320 Carafano up next from Heritage on how the war is going. 0:20:57.359 --> 0:20:58.480 In his view on Larry Older. 0:21:05.720 --> 0:21:10.680 Half a century later, Watergates still shapes how Americans viewpower, 0:21:10.880 --> 0:21:16.000 scandal and trust. This weekend, the America two fifty film 0:21:16.080 --> 0:21:22.360 series presents Watergates Secrets and Betrayals. Revisit the investigation through 0:21:22.480 --> 0:21:27.760 archival footage, interviews and new arguments about what happened, Launched 0:21:27.800 --> 0:21:31.480 Saturday and Sunday at seven pm Eastern on Salem News. 0:21:31.320 --> 0:21:38.520 Channel Triple eight nine seven one Sage Triple eight nighte 0:21:38.560 --> 0:21:40.679 seven one sevent two four to three, Irom, Larry yol 0:21:40.720 --> 0:21:43.880 do we are Salem News Channel. My guest graduated from 0:21:43.880 --> 0:21:46.280 West Point, served twenty five years in the Army, retiring 0:21:46.320 --> 0:21:49.800 as peutended colonel. He's now VP Foreign and Defense Policy 0:21:49.840 --> 0:21:52.479 Studies at the Heritage Foundation. Please welcome back, doctor James 0:21:52.920 --> 0:21:54.800 carl Final Jay, Thank you very much for taking the time. 0:21:56.160 --> 0:21:58.080 Hey to good to be with you, my friend, Jay. 0:21:58.119 --> 0:22:01.320 You're probably tired of talking about this. President Trump says 0:22:01.359 --> 0:22:04.800 that he's given Iran their quote last chance. What do 0:22:04.840 --> 0:22:07.080 you think is the state of play in the war 0:22:07.080 --> 0:22:07.880 against Iran? 0:22:08.800 --> 0:22:11.280 Yeah, let me let me explain why I'm tired, right. 0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:13.680 I don't think this is the big issue in the 0:22:13.680 --> 0:22:14.880 Middle East. And here's why. 0:22:16.160 --> 0:22:16.800 The war of. 0:22:16.760 --> 0:22:21.199 Iran Iron was the chief threat to US interests in 0:22:21.240 --> 0:22:24.480 the region. It was the most powerful force the ability 0:22:24.480 --> 0:22:30.040 to stabilize the region. Trump's campaign has eliminated all of that. Today, 0:22:30.119 --> 0:22:34.399 Iran physically could not build a nuclear weapon even if 0:22:34.400 --> 0:22:39.720 they wanted to, they simply can't do it. They could 0:22:39.760 --> 0:22:43.200 threaten their neighbors with the rain of fire from above, Okay, 0:22:43.240 --> 0:22:46.000 they can shoot a ballistic missile hero or drone there, 0:22:46.040 --> 0:22:48.800 but they do not have a mass arsenal anymore that 0:22:48.800 --> 0:22:53.280 they can threaten anybody with. They could unleash their surrogates 0:22:53.480 --> 0:22:55.359 to attack anybody whenever they wanted. 0:22:55.480 --> 0:22:56.120 That won't work. 0:22:56.160 --> 0:22:58.359 We recently saw, for example, the who Dei's and Yemen 0:22:58.440 --> 0:23:00.600 said we're going to close the Red Seat. That lasted 0:23:00.640 --> 0:23:04.760 for about five minutes. They can't even financially support these guys. 0:23:05.320 --> 0:23:07.280 And they once claim that they could shut off the 0:23:07.359 --> 0:23:10.520 twenty percent of the world's oil that transited the Straight 0:23:10.560 --> 0:23:12.280 of hormones, that they could shut that off, and that 0:23:12.400 --> 0:23:16.679 is literally not true anymore. Two thirds the two thirds 0:23:16.680 --> 0:23:22.240 of the region's exports are going out, So from when 0:23:22.280 --> 0:23:25.320 the war started today, two thirds of what used to 0:23:25.359 --> 0:23:28.480 go out now goes out. And and all that bypasses 0:23:28.520 --> 0:23:30.359 the Straight, and the strait isn't even closed. They have 0:23:30.400 --> 0:23:33.720 a limited capacity the Straight. And here's the thing is, 0:23:34.200 --> 0:23:39.359 every time they come at Trump, Trump takes something else 0:23:39.400 --> 0:23:45.760