WEBVTT - Will Iran make a deal? 0:00:00.200 --> 0:00:03.720 Welcome to today's podcast sponsored by Hillsdale College, All Things 0:00:03.800 --> 0:00:06.280 Hillsdale at Hillsdale dot ed or. I encourage you to 0:00:06.280 --> 0:00:08.800 take advantage of the many free online courses there, and 0:00:08.840 --> 0:00:11.119 of course I'll listen to the Hillsdale Dialogue all of 0:00:11.119 --> 0:00:14.080 them at Q for Hillsdale dot com or just Google, 0:00:14.200 --> 0:00:19.240 Apple iTunes and Hillsdale Morning Glory and even Grace America. 0:00:19.320 --> 0:00:22.520 I'm doing you a live in relief Factor at Studio West. 0:00:23.160 --> 0:00:26.080 I had just wrapped up talking to Aviv Reddi Gore. 0:00:26.600 --> 0:00:28.080 I'm not going to play it for you until the 0:00:28.200 --> 0:00:30.320 end of the program because I do a little postop 0:00:30.440 --> 0:00:34.400 on it. But we did have one exchange at the 0:00:34.479 --> 0:00:36.760 end which I want to leave. We're talking about Iran 0:00:37.400 --> 0:00:40.920 and what President Trump will do or not do. I said, 0:00:40.960 --> 0:00:45.520 is there anything that can President Trump follow the level 0:00:45.640 --> 0:00:49.080 of President Obama? In your eyes? If he doesn't do anything? 0:00:49.760 --> 0:00:53.520 And here's what Aviv had to say about that. I'm 0:00:53.560 --> 0:00:55.760 back with Aviv Reddick Gore. Aviv, what were you going 0:00:55.800 --> 0:00:57.640 to say about President Obama? 0:00:58.000 --> 0:01:00.320 You asked me, if President Trump doesn't boond you, what 0:01:00.400 --> 0:01:03.160 happens can be compared to President Obama. I want to 0:01:03.200 --> 0:01:04.920 be very clear about this, and I don't want to 0:01:04.920 --> 0:01:07.120 step into American politics, and I don't know half the 0:01:07.120 --> 0:01:09.320 topics that are setting American politics on fire. 0:01:09.360 --> 0:01:10.319 I'm going to say, just in the. 0:01:10.280 --> 0:01:14.360 Context of the irong issue, nothing President Trump Trump does 0:01:14.400 --> 0:01:17.480 with Iroan will ever bring him down to the level 0:01:17.840 --> 0:01:21.520 of the disaster that the j CPI represented. 0:01:21.840 --> 0:01:24.560 The fact that the j CPI said that they can. 0:01:24.480 --> 0:01:26.479 You know, inspectors can always go anywhere, but then there 0:01:26.480 --> 0:01:28.560 was a twenty four hour period where they would have 0:01:28.640 --> 0:01:31.080 to have a consultation over whether they would go anywhere. 0:01:31.160 --> 0:01:33.840 The fact that it didn't concern the ballistic missile program, 0:01:33.880 --> 0:01:35.800 the fact that it released fifty to one hundred billion 0:01:35.880 --> 0:01:38.280 dollars for the IRGC, which we're invested in it because 0:01:38.319 --> 0:01:42.280 Bella just to the signing bonus. The fact that most 0:01:42.319 --> 0:01:45.840 of the major provisions ended by now would have already 0:01:46.000 --> 0:01:48.480 ended history continued ten years. 0:01:48.200 --> 0:01:50.440 Fifteen years, is just kicking the can down the road. 0:01:50.680 --> 0:01:53.360 That is not President Trump. President Trump has already caused 0:01:53.400 --> 0:01:56.000 more damage Tofordo said, back to that program, more than 0:01:56.040 --> 0:01:57.800 all the President Obama's deals ever could. 0:01:58.280 --> 0:02:02.040 And so no, even if Trump, in my view, for example, 0:02:02.200 --> 0:02:02.720 he hasn't. 0:02:02.760 --> 0:02:04.880 But even if I decide that he screwed this up 0:02:04.920 --> 0:02:06.920 and didn't do the right thing. He will still have 0:02:07.000 --> 0:02:09.520 been much better on this issue than President Obama, who 0:02:09.560 --> 0:02:11.880 has a lot to answer for. He has thirty seven 0:02:11.919 --> 0:02:14.359 thousand Iranians to apologize. 0:02:13.800 --> 0:02:17.040 Too, well said, and I will that's the end of 0:02:17.040 --> 0:02:20.000 the interview. That was a little tack on to the interview, 0:02:20.080 --> 0:02:22.160 but I wanted to start today's show. We'll play the 0:02:22.200 --> 0:02:25.160 interview in our three today. But because we timed it 0:02:25.200 --> 0:02:27.240 for that, we got a lot to do earlier than that, 0:02:27.720 --> 0:02:30.040 beginning with what President Trump said on Air Force one 0:02:30.160 --> 0:02:33.120 last night. But the big question today is what is 0:02:33.160 --> 0:02:36.640 President Trump going to do via be Iran? And you'll 0:02:36.639 --> 0:02:38.320 hear what I think throughout the course of the show 0:02:38.360 --> 0:02:41.560 and when Aviv thinks an hour number three, but we'd 0:02:41.600 --> 0:02:44.240 run out of time. We were in the promo part 0:02:44.280 --> 0:02:47.399 of the broadcast, so I just tape that in order 0:02:47.440 --> 0:02:49.880 so you could hear him. Compare President Trump and President 0:02:49.880 --> 0:02:54.760 Obama and that last stinger, President Obama has thirty seven 0:02:54.840 --> 0:02:59.120 thousand dead Airanians to apologize to. Is absolutely right, boy, 0:02:59.160 --> 0:03:02.920 the JCPOA it was a nightmare now, President Trump on 0:03:03.000 --> 0:03:06.079 Air Force one last night on Iran Cut number sixteen. 0:03:06.440 --> 0:03:08.960 Help being a work where you're picking it right now. 0:03:08.880 --> 0:03:10.440 For for money if you work or I. 0:03:10.440 --> 0:03:12.239 Have madam spending on what you want to do. 0:03:12.480 --> 0:03:14.320 I mean, I certainly can't tell you that, but we 0:03:14.360 --> 0:03:17.840 do have very being powerful ships and hitting of that 0:03:17.919 --> 0:03:18.720 direct issue. 0:03:20.360 --> 0:03:22.760 I can't tell you of the media, but I. 0:03:23.240 --> 0:03:25.519 Hope they negotiate something that's accepted. 0:03:25.840 --> 0:03:28.400 A lot of big, powerful ships heading that way. But 0:03:28.440 --> 0:03:30.760 I can't tell you what they're going to do. This 0:03:30.919 --> 0:03:34.920 morning he talked to Dan Scavina, who's back on his podcast, 0:03:35.360 --> 0:03:36.560 Cut number seventeen. 0:03:37.360 --> 0:03:42.320 The rig estate, but we just stopped that and what 0:03:42.400 --> 0:03:45.080 we did with it, and don't forget I got Solimani, 0:03:45.680 --> 0:03:47.960 I got al bag Daddy in my first term. Two 0:03:47.960 --> 0:03:51.240 of the the worst ever, the worst seven, the biggest 0:03:51.240 --> 0:03:53.600 of the worst. One was the founder of vices. 0:03:53.640 --> 0:03:54.560 He was rebuilding it. 0:03:54.600 --> 0:03:55.320 I took him book. 0:03:55.960 --> 0:03:57.400 And the other one was the. 0:03:57.240 --> 0:04:01.080 Father of the roadside mom and the lead of Let 0:04:01.080 --> 0:04:03.040 me tell if he lived, he was a leader, the 0:04:03.040 --> 0:04:07.320 military leader of Ran. If he lived, that attack that 0:04:07.400 --> 0:04:09.120 we made on Iran would. 0:04:09.080 --> 0:04:10.120 Not have been the same thing. 0:04:10.240 --> 0:04:13.240 He was a great general and they don't have that name. 0:04:14.080 --> 0:04:16.560 He also went on to talk on our fourt one 0:04:16.600 --> 0:04:19.159 about a number of different subjects. Let's play him right now. 0:04:19.560 --> 0:04:24.640 Cut number three. As he's talking about protesters attacking federal agents. 0:04:26.040 --> 0:04:26.920 Of protests. 0:04:27.000 --> 0:04:29.279 What did you mean when you said people will suffer 0:04:29.320 --> 0:04:31.440 an equal reader a possible. 0:04:31.560 --> 0:04:34.240 If they do anything bad to our people, they will 0:04:34.279 --> 0:04:36.040 be they will have to suffer. 0:04:36.240 --> 0:04:36.920 I'm sorry. 0:04:37.080 --> 0:04:38.000 If they start. 0:04:39.320 --> 0:04:43.839 Spitting in people's faces, watching our people, watching our soldiers 0:04:43.960 --> 0:04:48.400 or patriots, they will get taken care of in at 0:04:48.480 --> 0:04:51.279 least an equal way. They're not going to. 0:04:51.360 --> 0:04:54.640 Do that, like you know, you see it the way 0:04:54.680 --> 0:04:55.599 they treat our people. 0:04:56.120 --> 0:04:58.599 And I said, you're allowed if somebody does that, you 0:04:58.600 --> 0:05:00.800 can do something back. You know, going to stand there 0:05:01.160 --> 0:05:04.719 and take it. If somebody spits in your face, that 0:05:04.880 --> 0:05:07.240 will not be a pleasant thing for the person that's face. 0:05:07.520 --> 0:05:10.760 We're not letting people spit in our soul, in his 0:05:10.920 --> 0:05:13.000 face as they stand at attention. 0:05:13.360 --> 0:05:14.680 And they're aren't allowed to do anything. 0:05:15.000 --> 0:05:17.479 If they throw bricks at a car and you know, 0:05:17.560 --> 0:05:21.640 one of our very expensive vehicles, they're going to be 0:05:21.720 --> 0:05:22.160 met with. 0:05:22.440 --> 0:05:25.080 Very very serious words. I believe him. 0:05:25.160 --> 0:05:27.400 And by the way, spinning is an assault and battery. 0:05:27.720 --> 0:05:31.160 So they have the right to take them into custody. 0:05:31.680 --> 0:05:34.200 Cut number four on Air Force one, telling you about 0:05:34.279 --> 0:05:36.039 China and Canada. I'm going to. 0:05:36.040 --> 0:05:38.320 Canada's here, sir, that you talked about her that was 0:05:38.360 --> 0:05:41.039 coming well, that was on the airplege. 0:05:41.120 --> 0:05:43.440 You're talking about about the China deal of people. 0:05:44.200 --> 0:05:46.520 Look, if they do a deal with China, yeah, they'll 0:05:46.560 --> 0:05:49.479 do something very substantial because we can't look and have 0:05:49.480 --> 0:05:52.640 a great relationship with China person achieve and we don't 0:05:52.640 --> 0:05:55.880 want China to take over Canada. And if they make 0:05:55.920 --> 0:05:59.280 the deal that he's looking to make, China will take 0:05:59.320 --> 0:06:02.440 over Canada. And the first thing they're going to do 0:06:02.520 --> 0:06:03.400 and ice hockey. 0:06:06.160 --> 0:06:08.400 He does not want China to take over Canada. I 0:06:08.400 --> 0:06:10.839 think even my Canadian friends agree with him on that. 0:06:11.680 --> 0:06:15.719 Last night, last clip Cuba. Donald Trump talks about Cuba 0:06:15.760 --> 0:06:17.800 on Air Force one last night, cut number six. 0:06:18.440 --> 0:06:20.880 We're starting to talk to cub Yeah, we're starting. He 0:06:20.960 --> 0:06:23.840 tells you if they need help, what a humanitarian basis 0:06:23.920 --> 0:06:26.080 that we're starting to talk to Cuba. 0:06:26.279 --> 0:06:27.520 I would look, if we get a lot. 0:06:27.400 --> 0:06:29.680 Of people that live in our country treated very badly 0:06:29.720 --> 0:06:32.520 by human and we want them to be They all 0:06:32.600 --> 0:06:35.120 voted for me, and we want them to be treated well. 0:06:35.440 --> 0:06:37.320 Would like to be able to have them go back 0:06:37.320 --> 0:06:40.080 to vote to their country, which they haven't seen the 0:06:40.240 --> 0:06:44.920 family they country for many, many decades. So we were 0:06:45.000 --> 0:06:47.080 about I'll be able to work. 0:06:47.880 --> 0:06:49.920 What's going on with Cube is that they're out of everything. 0:06:50.080 --> 0:06:53.880 They have no energy, no economy, blackout. They're like Iran, 0:06:54.279 --> 0:06:57.919 they're falling apart. Uh, we might have to push Iran, 0:06:58.000 --> 0:07:00.960 we don't have to push Cuba. Cuba is falling apart now. 0:07:01.080 --> 0:07:04.360 Former Secretary of State Mike BOMPEII was on Channel thirteen 0:07:04.560 --> 0:07:07.400 News in Israel and had this to say about a 0:07:07.440 --> 0:07:09.080 potential deal with Iran. 0:07:10.360 --> 0:07:13.760 I've heard it talks about a deal or there's no chance. 0:07:16.360 --> 0:07:17.560 I've dealt with this regime. 0:07:18.280 --> 0:07:20.920 They may agree to something, but they've broken every deal 0:07:20.960 --> 0:07:23.880 they've ever signed up for, including the superd deal we 0:07:23.960 --> 0:07:26.360 got into under President Obama for the nuclear deal, right, 0:07:26.400 --> 0:07:28.640 they were violating at the very day that was signed. 0:07:29.360 --> 0:07:32.400 I don't see that that will actually create the opportunity 0:07:32.720 --> 0:07:35.240 that I think creates prosperity and security. 0:07:34.840 --> 0:07:37.360 Here in the region, and that'd be great for America too. 0:07:37.600 --> 0:07:43.240 So you think that taking old circumstances United States need 0:07:44.440 --> 0:07:46.640 So I talk to you ran again, We'll need. 0:07:46.600 --> 0:07:48.520 To put more pressure on. There are many tools by 0:07:48.560 --> 0:07:49.400 which one can do that. 0:07:49.960 --> 0:07:52.600 But it cannot be the case that the Iranian people 0:07:52.640 --> 0:07:54.800 who took all the risks that they took and went 0:07:54.840 --> 0:07:57.480 to the streets to do something that was in America's 0:07:57.520 --> 0:08:00.720 best interest as well. There's no way to get americasecurity 0:08:00.800 --> 0:08:02.800 and keep our young men and women from having to 0:08:02.880 --> 0:08:04.760 fight and die in this region so long as the 0:08:04.800 --> 0:08:05.880 Ayatola is in charge. 0:08:06.080 --> 0:08:09.680 So do you see a scenario whereas in the current situation, 0:08:10.000 --> 0:08:13.760 the United States will not attack militarany. 0:08:13.520 --> 0:08:16.480 Sure, sure, the Iranian people may rise up again and 0:08:16.520 --> 0:08:18.360 there may be no need for such a thing, right. 0:08:18.840 --> 0:08:22.040 I mean, it's possible that someone in the besiege, some general, 0:08:22.160 --> 0:08:24.160 some higher GC official will decide they're not going to 0:08:24.280 --> 0:08:26.720 kill their cousins, They're not going to kill their family 0:08:26.800 --> 0:08:30.480 members anymore. I mean, this is Iranians killing Iranians. We 0:08:30.520 --> 0:08:32.520 all want peace, but we also know that you can't 0:08:32.559 --> 0:08:35.520 have peace in this region so long as the Ayatola. 0:08:35.120 --> 0:08:35.640 Is in charge. 0:08:36.160 --> 0:08:39.720 And then General Jack Kane on Fox News with Gillian 0:08:39.840 --> 0:08:43.440 Turner cut number fifteen from yesterday, Well, it is no. 0:08:43.559 --> 0:08:46.679 Doubt about that I mean, listen, the history of our 0:08:46.760 --> 0:08:51.600 presidents with this regime is really something. Seven of the presidents, 0:08:51.679 --> 0:08:55.160 not counting President trumpet dealt with this regime. Three of 0:08:55.240 --> 0:08:59.719 them did not retaliate after they killed scores of Americans. 0:09:00.559 --> 0:09:04.520 Three presidents, two Republicans, one Democrat, All seven of them, 0:09:05.120 --> 0:09:09.640 during their tenure let the Iranian regime grow and increase 0:09:09.760 --> 0:09:14.360 in strength and also to destabilize the Middle East. Four 0:09:14.800 --> 0:09:19.000 years Trump came in the first administration, killed the iconic 0:09:19.080 --> 0:09:21.760 free you cost him Sola money, nobody else that touched him, 0:09:22.200 --> 0:09:25.839 and he asked the briefer, why haven't we killed him before? 0:09:26.000 --> 0:09:29.560 Now he's planning to kill more Americans? So because everybody 0:09:29.679 --> 0:09:33.679 feared the consequences of that act. And now he's taken 0:09:33.720 --> 0:09:37.040 down their nuclear program as well. This is the first 0:09:37.120 --> 0:09:41.079 president that directly confronted the regime. Now he has the 0:09:41.120 --> 0:09:43.839 opportunity to finish them, and I think you're going to 0:09:43.920 --> 0:09:44.400 take that up. 0:09:45.120 --> 0:09:48.160 I believe he didn't take that opportunity too. I don't 0:09:48.240 --> 0:09:51.400 know anything. People think I talked to the president. I don't. 0:09:51.400 --> 0:09:53.640 I talked to the President on air on the record. 0:09:53.800 --> 0:09:55.920 He doesn't call me up and ask my advice, and 0:09:55.960 --> 0:09:57.720 I wouldn't tell you if he did, but he doesn't. 0:09:58.200 --> 0:10:01.480 And people who talk about talking to the president usually 0:10:01.520 --> 0:10:03.760 talking through their hat. So I like to be very 0:10:03.880 --> 0:10:08.360 humble about that. I don't. I write columns that get 0:10:08.440 --> 0:10:11.240 to him, and I get him back with scribbles on 0:10:11.320 --> 0:10:14.439 him saying not so good, really good, that sort of stuff. 0:10:14.480 --> 0:10:17.640 But what I think is going to happen is you've 0:10:17.679 --> 0:10:20.360 got to get every I've posted this on my ex account. 0:10:20.760 --> 0:10:24.680 He's got to give every NI aircraft battery, every thad, 0:10:25.400 --> 0:10:29.439 every arrow, every patriot system in the Middle East he can, 0:10:29.920 --> 0:10:32.679 and then he and Israel and maybe the UAE and 0:10:32.800 --> 0:10:36.720 maybe the Saudi Air Forces have to bomb Iran into 0:10:37.240 --> 0:10:40.480 a regime change, maybe the military takes over. But they 0:10:40.559 --> 0:10:42.200 got to get rid of the Itolis because those people 0:10:42.200 --> 0:10:44.480 are fanatics and they just killed thirty seven thousand of 0:10:44.520 --> 0:10:47.480 their own people. Stay by. I got lots coming up 0:10:47.559 --> 0:10:53.400 right here on the uuite show, on a Ranch. 0:10:53.720 --> 0:10:56.719 Free Leader today that that U hat could start a 0:10:56.800 --> 0:10:58.480 regional war, giving you funks. 0:10:58.520 --> 0:11:00.640 That boy wouldn't be sit she would to say that. 0:11:00.840 --> 0:11:04.440 But we have the biggest worst offleships in the world. 0:11:04.280 --> 0:11:08.200 Over there, very close a couple of days that hopefully 0:11:08.200 --> 0:11:08.880 we'll make a deal. 0:11:09.040 --> 0:11:11.040 We don't make a deal, then we'll. 0:11:10.880 --> 0:11:12.319 Find out whether or not he was ready. 0:11:12.960 --> 0:11:16.040 Welcome back, America, And here you are joined by doctor 0:11:16.200 --> 0:11:19.480 Michael Orrin, former Israeli Ambassador to the United States, head 0:11:19.520 --> 0:11:23.480 of the Israeli Advocacy Group, Ambassador Orren, Welcome back. I 0:11:23.640 --> 0:11:26.040 don't believe there's a deal to be had here because 0:11:26.040 --> 0:11:28.640 I don't believe the IATOLA and the IRGC will give 0:11:28.720 --> 0:11:31.439 up their missiles or their nukes. And how long do 0:11:31.480 --> 0:11:33.600 you think it will take to get to that point? 0:11:35.920 --> 0:11:37.400 Not too far, not too long. 0:11:37.760 --> 0:11:42.360 Let's go back to last, oh, last February, when during 0:11:42.400 --> 0:11:44.319 a visit of the Prime Minister mess Now to the 0:11:44.360 --> 0:11:47.480 White House, President Trump announced that he would be opening 0:11:47.520 --> 0:11:50.959 direct negotiations with the ir Adians and he gave me 0:11:51.000 --> 0:11:53.840 a deal, basically said no en Richmond zero and Richmond, 0:11:54.360 --> 0:11:56.320 the ir Adians sort of twisted. 0:11:56.000 --> 0:11:58.480 His tail for a long time, and then they found out, 0:11:58.520 --> 0:11:59.720 you can't do that with this president. 0:12:00.200 --> 0:12:01.959 You maybe do that with some previous presidents, but not 0:12:02.120 --> 0:12:04.599 with this one. And they've learned the hard way. The 0:12:04.720 --> 0:12:07.640 question is have they internalized that lesson? Do they feel 0:12:07.720 --> 0:12:10.439 they have the upper hand in this negotiation. And I'll 0:12:10.480 --> 0:12:14.400 explain why. On one hand, you've got all these presumptive 0:12:14.480 --> 0:12:18.760 allies of the United States, Saudi Arabia, Ua, Bahrain, Oman, 0:12:19.480 --> 0:12:21.760 Turkey telling the United States, you know, don't do this, 0:12:22.000 --> 0:12:24.520 don't get involved in what can spark a regional war, 0:12:24.920 --> 0:12:27.240 just for that question being put to the to the 0:12:27.280 --> 0:12:31.040 president of mar A Lago and even Israel. At some 0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:34.080 point President Prime Minister n Now calling the President saying, 0:12:34.120 --> 0:12:35.840 you know, wait, wait just a bit until you get 0:12:35.880 --> 0:12:38.360 your forces built up in that region. But now is 0:12:38.400 --> 0:12:40.480 not saying don't do it. He's just saying, do it. 0:12:40.480 --> 0:12:42.679 When you can actually make an impact. That's a lot 0:12:42.679 --> 0:12:43.560 of pressure on the president. 0:12:43.559 --> 0:12:46.760 There's domestic pressures on the president as well, and the 0:12:46.840 --> 0:12:48.280 need to build up those forces. 0:12:48.679 --> 0:12:48.760 Now. 0:12:48.880 --> 0:12:50.880 I know the President has talked about a giant armada 0:12:50.960 --> 0:12:52.840 in the Middle East, but right now there's one aircraft 0:12:52.920 --> 0:12:57.600 carrier there, plus assortment of destroyers and bombers. But keep 0:12:57.640 --> 0:12:59.960 in mind Biden has sent two aircraft carriers to them, 0:13:00.000 --> 0:13:01.240 at least the fourth in the Eisenhower. 0:13:01.520 --> 0:13:04.240 So you got one aircraft effort, the Abraham Lincoln. You 0:13:04.360 --> 0:13:05.040 really need some more. 0:13:05.400 --> 0:13:08.400 An aircraft carrier carries about I think about ninety planes, 0:13:08.440 --> 0:13:10.920 about seventy of them are our attack plans. And that's 0:13:10.960 --> 0:13:12.880 to take on a country of ninety million people with 0:13:13.000 --> 0:13:16.160 an army of about one point five million people. 0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:20.679 It's a hard it's a hard, hard pull at the 0:13:20.720 --> 0:13:21.719 pull that that through. 0:13:22.160 --> 0:13:24.000 So you have to build up those fourvices even more. 0:13:24.440 --> 0:13:27.480 And you always have to be worried about the Sheffield factor. 0:13:28.120 --> 0:13:31.800 Do you remember this, you were old enough together. Remember 0:13:31.800 --> 0:13:33.480 the Falklands War nineteen eighty. 0:13:33.320 --> 0:13:37.120 Oh yes, a lucky shot, lucky shot, a lucky shot. 0:13:37.640 --> 0:13:40.680 They fired an Exo set, a French made ex Visil 0:13:40.720 --> 0:13:43.840 that hits the HMS Sheffield and cause the largest damage 0:13:43.880 --> 0:13:46.440 to a British warships in World War Two. You gotta 0:13:46.440 --> 0:13:49.080 get missiles flying at American warships from the Hoodies, from 0:13:49.120 --> 0:13:53.520 the Syrian and RAQI about rebels Assyrian Iraq from and 0:13:53.640 --> 0:13:55.440 of course from Iran itself, which has a very large 0:13:55.520 --> 0:13:56.719 drone and missile capability. 0:13:57.040 --> 0:13:58.920 So if you go down that route of. 0:13:58.960 --> 0:14:01.160 A military option, you got to make sure you have 0:14:01.320 --> 0:14:03.960 that massive build up in the Middle East. 0:14:04.320 --> 0:14:06.600 And from what I can gather here, it's not there yet. 0:14:07.360 --> 0:14:10.040 What I read in the journal yesterday, and I'm using 0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:12.880 open sources. Only I don't know anything. Is that all 0:14:12.920 --> 0:14:15.080 the F fifteen's we can gather are there, and they're 0:14:15.120 --> 0:14:18.160 good for the drones and some missiles. Our every FAD 0:14:18.280 --> 0:14:21.280 battery we've got is on its way there or already there. 0:14:21.320 --> 0:14:25.520 And that's to protect primarily Saudi Arabia and UAE, not Israel. 0:14:26.000 --> 0:14:29.480 And that Mark Montgomery ed Mon Montgomery told me last 0:14:29.480 --> 0:14:31.480 week he's going to bet his life that there's at 0:14:31.560 --> 0:14:36.520 least one Boomer there with their tomahawk compliment of hundreds 0:14:36.520 --> 0:14:39.760 of Tomahawk. So if we send our B twos at 0:14:39.800 --> 0:14:42.920 the same time, we can simultaneous, even without the Israeli 0:14:42.920 --> 0:14:45.960 Air Force, which I'm counting on, we can hit hundreds 0:14:46.000 --> 0:14:49.200 of targets at the same time repeatedly. If the Israeli 0:14:49.240 --> 0:14:52.080 Air Force joins in, they're not going to get anything 0:14:52.120 --> 0:14:55.040 off the ground. That's what I think when he said, 0:14:55.680 --> 0:14:58.000 we'll see if he's right. What how many he threatened 0:14:58.080 --> 0:14:59.760 was a regional war. I don't think he can fight 0:14:59.840 --> 0:15:01.280 a war on your back, can you. 0:15:02.920 --> 0:15:05.520 I don't understand why they say regional war. Where does 0:15:05.600 --> 0:15:07.800 region come into this. Who's going to join Iran at 0:15:07.840 --> 0:15:10.280 this point? What friends do they have? In the world 0:15:10.400 --> 0:15:12.840 truly enough, the Chinese, not the Russians. There's nobody in 0:15:12.880 --> 0:15:14.520 the Middle East, so it's not a regional war. You're 0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:18.400 going to have terrorist organizations like the booties, like the terrorists, 0:15:18.440 --> 0:15:20.280 and Syria and Iraq firing missiles. 0:15:20.400 --> 0:15:21.800 That is not a regional war. 0:15:22.400 --> 0:15:25.120 And you know, for Israel perspective, we have to be 0:15:25.240 --> 0:15:27.320 very careful of course, to the charge that we're trying 0:15:27.320 --> 0:15:29.640 to push the United States into a war. 0:15:30.240 --> 0:15:32.120 But Israel has an interest, and the interest has to 0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:32.720 be stated is this. 0:15:32.800 --> 0:15:36.720 It's not just eliminating Iran's nuclear program or eliminating its 0:15:37.680 --> 0:15:42.960 its enrichment capabilities, but we need to eliminate the missile capabilities, 0:15:42.960 --> 0:15:46.360 which are huge, and to stop grand support for terrorism 0:15:46.400 --> 0:15:48.760 throughout the Middle East and indeed the entire world. 0:15:48.760 --> 0:15:49.240 Entire world. 0:15:49.760 --> 0:15:52.960 I think Britany says regional war, he means hitting Saudi Arabia, 0:15:53.520 --> 0:15:56.480 and I think I don't think Israel isn't as much 0:15:56.800 --> 0:15:58.680 is as vulnerable as Saudi Arabia as do you. 0:16:00.360 --> 0:16:02.680 I do, And I think the President has to make 0:16:02.680 --> 0:16:04.120 a call because Saudi Arabia is saying that it's not 0:16:04.160 --> 0:16:07.560 going to let its airspace be used by American aircraft. Okay, 0:16:07.640 --> 0:16:09.880 so I know it seems to me the deals you've 0:16:09.920 --> 0:16:12.240 cut two ways. We'll defend you if you're willing to 0:16:12.280 --> 0:16:14.640 support us. But that's a call I guess that the 0:16:14.680 --> 0:16:17.080 White House has to make. It's a tough one. But 0:16:17.280 --> 0:16:20.040 Israel will be there, and you're talking about a very 0:16:20.240 --> 0:16:24.720 formidable air force that has succeeded in penetrating Iran's nuclear 0:16:24.960 --> 0:16:28.200 air defenses again and again and again. The Isral the 0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:31.960 air force, you'll recall, conducted literally hundreds of thousands of 0:16:32.120 --> 0:16:35.600 mile sorties during the last war and we didn't lose 0:16:35.640 --> 0:16:38.680 a single airplane. And the Iranians have to take that 0:16:38.760 --> 0:16:42.320 into consideration. If we can hit the ballistic missile launchers. 0:16:42.800 --> 0:16:46.320 Iran may have one thousand, five hundred very large ballistic missiles, 0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:50.720 each with a warhead of about two hundred kilograms of TNT. 0:16:50.960 --> 0:16:51.400 That's huge. 0:16:51.440 --> 0:16:53.600 It takes down not just a building, a take down 0:16:53.640 --> 0:16:56.360 a neighborhood. But they're going to have a limited number 0:16:56.360 --> 0:16:58.760 of launchers. So if they don't launchers, those ballistic missiles 0:16:58.760 --> 0:17:00.880 are worth nothing. Are on the ground. So if we 0:17:00.960 --> 0:17:02.480 know who the launchers are and we can hit them 0:17:02.880 --> 0:17:06.480 very very quickly, then Iran is literally literally a sitting duck. 0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:08.760 Okay, one question before the break. I'd like to hold 0:17:08.840 --> 0:17:11.080 you over to ask you about Turkey after the break. 0:17:11.560 --> 0:17:14.320 The question before the break has to do with how 0:17:14.400 --> 0:17:18.119 much damage one or two of those ballistic missiles can 0:17:18.160 --> 0:17:21.400 do to Israel. Can they get near the most sensitive 0:17:21.440 --> 0:17:22.200 parts of Israel. 0:17:23.880 --> 0:17:26.120 Well, the assumption here is that Iran during the last 0:17:26.160 --> 0:17:31.040 war and last June fired mostly at military targets. Sometimes 0:17:31.040 --> 0:17:33.119 they missed in his civilian targets, including two very near 0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:35.720 my house, and at this time they would aim for 0:17:35.760 --> 0:17:36.520 civilian targets. 0:17:36.560 --> 0:17:38.040 And those missiles are so large. 0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:43.320 A Jamas rockets Buller rocket carries between fifteen and twenty 0:17:43.440 --> 0:17:46.960 kilograms of TATS. This is ten times as powerful. And 0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:49.080 many of us, as you know, have safe rooms within 0:17:49.160 --> 0:17:54.320 our house. Those rate rooms become almost ineffective in defending 0:17:54.440 --> 0:17:56.399 us against those type of missiles because they take down, 0:17:56.440 --> 0:17:58.760 as I said before, not just an apartment, They take 0:17:58.800 --> 0:17:59.040 down a. 0:17:59.040 --> 0:18:03.000 Building and even a name. They're huge, and so we 0:18:03.200 --> 0:18:03.720 have to move. 0:18:03.760 --> 0:18:07.040 Very very swiftly to interdict them, and particularly to destroy 0:18:07.119 --> 0:18:08.000 those launchers. 0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:10.440 That's why I think the FADS have to get there. 0:18:10.560 --> 0:18:14.200 The high altitude interceptors along with your arrow too. When 0:18:14.280 --> 0:18:16.800 I come back, I'm going to ask doctor Oran about 0:18:16.800 --> 0:18:19.800 what I talked with Vive reddy Gore about, which is Turkey. 0:18:20.160 --> 0:18:24.960 Stay tuned, welcome back to me. I'm Hugh hewittt back 0:18:25.040 --> 0:18:28.080 with doctor Michael Orran, Doctor Orran. Earlier today I talked 0:18:28.080 --> 0:18:32.400 to Eve reddy Gore who had just interviewed doctor Dan Shifton, 0:18:32.480 --> 0:18:34.719 who's probably a friend of yours as well, and they 0:18:34.800 --> 0:18:38.360 were talking about Turkey and whether or not Turkey presented 0:18:38.400 --> 0:18:42.200 a threat through a puppet state in Syria. Aviv seems 0:18:42.200 --> 0:18:45.480 to think very much so, the good doctor not so much. 0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:45.560 So. 0:18:45.720 --> 0:18:47.159 What does doctor Michael Ran think? 0:18:48.600 --> 0:18:53.120 And I deeply respect and admire both Dan and Aviv. 0:18:53.280 --> 0:18:55.840 I'll take them middle line and that is yes, Turkish 0:18:55.840 --> 0:18:58.479 influence will increase markedly in Syria. 0:18:59.480 --> 0:19:03.959 You have a former al Qaeda leader there Al Shara, 0:19:04.240 --> 0:19:04.720 who's going. 0:19:04.640 --> 0:19:07.040 To be close to the Muslim brotherhood outlook of mister 0:19:07.119 --> 0:19:08.080 Iridiwan president of. 0:19:10.560 --> 0:19:13.760