1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: Welcome to today's podcast sponsored by Hillsdale College, All Things 2 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:06,280 Speaker 1: Hillsdale at Hillsdale dot ed or. I encourage you to 3 00:00:06,280 --> 00:00:08,800 Speaker 1: take advantage of the many free online courses there, and 4 00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:11,119 Speaker 1: of course I'll listen to the Hillsdale Dialogue all of 5 00:00:11,119 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 1: them at Q for Hillsdale dot com or just Google, 6 00:00:14,200 --> 00:00:19,240 Speaker 1: Apple iTunes and Hillsdale Morning Glory and even Grace America. 7 00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:22,520 Speaker 1: I'm doing you a live in relief Factor at Studio West. 8 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:26,080 Speaker 1: I had just wrapped up talking to Aviv Reddi Gore. 9 00:00:26,600 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 1: I'm not going to play it for you until the 10 00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:30,320 Speaker 1: end of the program because I do a little postop 11 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:34,400 Speaker 1: on it. But we did have one exchange at the 12 00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 1: end which I want to leave. We're talking about Iran 13 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:40,920 Speaker 1: and what President Trump will do or not do. I said, 14 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:45,520 Speaker 1: is there anything that can President Trump follow the level 15 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 1: of President Obama? In your eyes? If he doesn't do anything? 16 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:53,520 Speaker 1: And here's what Aviv had to say about that. I'm 17 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 1: back with Aviv Reddick Gore. Aviv, what were you going 18 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:57,640 Speaker 1: to say about President Obama? 19 00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 2: You asked me, if President Trump doesn't boond you, what 20 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 2: happens can be compared to President Obama. I want to 21 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:04,920 Speaker 2: be very clear about this, and I don't want to 22 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:07,120 Speaker 2: step into American politics, and I don't know half the 23 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:09,320 Speaker 2: topics that are setting American politics on fire. 24 00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:10,319 Speaker 3: I'm going to say, just in the. 25 00:01:10,280 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 2: Context of the irong issue, nothing President Trump Trump does 26 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,480 Speaker 2: with Iroan will ever bring him down to the level 27 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 2: of the disaster that the j CPI represented. 28 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 3: The fact that the j CPI said that they can. 29 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:26,479 Speaker 2: You know, inspectors can always go anywhere, but then there 30 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:28,560 Speaker 2: was a twenty four hour period where they would have 31 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 2: to have a consultation over whether they would go anywhere. 32 00:01:31,160 --> 00:01:33,840 Speaker 2: The fact that it didn't concern the ballistic missile program, 33 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 2: the fact that it released fifty to one hundred billion 34 00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 2: dollars for the IRGC, which we're invested in it because 35 00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 2: Bella just to the signing bonus. The fact that most 36 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:45,840 Speaker 2: of the major provisions ended by now would have already 37 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 2: ended history continued ten years. 38 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 3: Fifteen years, is just kicking the can down the road. 39 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 2: That is not President Trump. President Trump has already caused 40 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 2: more damage Tofordo said, back to that program, more than 41 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 2: all the President Obama's deals ever could. 42 00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 3: And so no, even if Trump, in my view, for example, 43 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 3: he hasn't. 44 00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 2: But even if I decide that he screwed this up 45 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 2: and didn't do the right thing. He will still have 46 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:09,520 Speaker 2: been much better on this issue than President Obama, who 47 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 2: has a lot to answer for. He has thirty seven 48 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:14,359 Speaker 2: thousand Iranians to apologize. 49 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 1: Too, well said, and I will that's the end of 50 00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 1: the interview. That was a little tack on to the interview, 51 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 1: but I wanted to start today's show. We'll play the 52 00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 1: interview in our three today. But because we timed it 53 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 1: for that, we got a lot to do earlier than that, 54 00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 1: beginning with what President Trump said on Air Force one 55 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 1: last night. But the big question today is what is 56 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:36,640 Speaker 1: President Trump going to do via be Iran? And you'll 57 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 1: hear what I think throughout the course of the show 58 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 1: and when Aviv thinks an hour number three, but we'd 59 00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 1: run out of time. We were in the promo part 60 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,399 Speaker 1: of the broadcast, so I just tape that in order 61 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:49,880 Speaker 1: so you could hear him. Compare President Trump and President 62 00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 1: Obama and that last stinger, President Obama has thirty seven 63 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:59,120 Speaker 1: thousand dead Airanians to apologize to. Is absolutely right, boy, 64 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:02,920 Speaker 1: the JCPOA it was a nightmare now, President Trump on 65 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:06,079 Speaker 1: Air Force one last night on Iran Cut number sixteen. 66 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:08,960 Speaker 3: Help being a work where you're picking it right now. 67 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 4: For for money if you work or I. 68 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:12,239 Speaker 5: Have madam spending on what you want to do. 69 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 6: I mean, I certainly can't tell you that, but we 70 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:17,840 Speaker 6: do have very being powerful ships and hitting of that 71 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 6: direct issue. 72 00:03:20,360 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 7: I can't tell you of the media, but I. 73 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:25,519 Speaker 6: Hope they negotiate something that's accepted. 74 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 1: A lot of big, powerful ships heading that way. But 75 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 1: I can't tell you what they're going to do. This 76 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:34,920 Speaker 1: morning he talked to Dan Scavina, who's back on his podcast, 77 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 1: Cut number seventeen. 78 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 8: The rig estate, but we just stopped that and what 79 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 8: we did with it, and don't forget I got Solimani, 80 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 8: I got al bag Daddy in my first term. Two 81 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 8: of the the worst ever, the worst seven, the biggest 82 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 8: of the worst. One was the founder of vices. 83 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 9: He was rebuilding it. 84 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:55,320 Speaker 8: I took him book. 85 00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:57,400 Speaker 1: And the other one was the. 86 00:03:57,240 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 8: Father of the roadside mom and the lead of Let 87 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:03,040 Speaker 8: me tell if he lived, he was a leader, the 88 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 8: military leader of Ran. If he lived, that attack that 89 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:09,120 Speaker 8: we made on Iran would. 90 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 4: Not have been the same thing. 91 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 1: He was a great general and they don't have that name. 92 00:04:14,080 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 1: He also went on to talk on our fourt one 93 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:19,159 Speaker 1: about a number of different subjects. Let's play him right now. 94 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 1: Cut number three. As he's talking about protesters attacking federal agents. 95 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:26,920 Speaker 3: Of protests. 96 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:29,279 Speaker 10: What did you mean when you said people will suffer 97 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 10: an equal reader a possible. 98 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:34,240 Speaker 6: If they do anything bad to our people, they will 99 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 6: be they will have to suffer. 100 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:36,920 Speaker 3: I'm sorry. 101 00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:38,000 Speaker 4: If they start. 102 00:04:39,320 --> 00:04:43,839 Speaker 6: Spitting in people's faces, watching our people, watching our soldiers 103 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 6: or patriots, they will get taken care of in at 104 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:51,279 Speaker 6: least an equal way. They're not going to. 105 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 3: Do that, like you know, you see it the way 106 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:55,599 Speaker 3: they treat our people. 107 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:58,599 Speaker 6: And I said, you're allowed if somebody does that, you 108 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:00,800 Speaker 6: can do something back. You know, going to stand there 109 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:04,719 Speaker 6: and take it. If somebody spits in your face, that 110 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 6: will not be a pleasant thing for the person that's face. 111 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:10,760 Speaker 6: We're not letting people spit in our soul, in his 112 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 6: face as they stand at attention. 113 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:14,680 Speaker 3: And they're aren't allowed to do anything. 114 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:17,479 Speaker 6: If they throw bricks at a car and you know, 115 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 6: one of our very expensive vehicles, they're going to be 116 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:22,160 Speaker 6: met with. 117 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 5: Very very serious words. I believe him. 118 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 1: And by the way, spinning is an assault and battery. 119 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:31,160 Speaker 1: So they have the right to take them into custody. 120 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 1: Cut number four on Air Force one, telling you about 121 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:36,039 Speaker 1: China and Canada. I'm going to. 122 00:05:36,040 --> 00:05:38,320 Speaker 6: Canada's here, sir, that you talked about her that was 123 00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:41,039 Speaker 6: coming well, that was on the airplege. 124 00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 3: You're talking about about the China deal of people. 125 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 6: Look, if they do a deal with China, yeah, they'll 126 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:49,479 Speaker 6: do something very substantial because we can't look and have 127 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 6: a great relationship with China person achieve and we don't 128 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 6: want China to take over Canada. And if they make 129 00:05:55,920 --> 00:05:59,280 Speaker 6: the deal that he's looking to make, China will take 130 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 6: over Canada. And the first thing they're going to do 131 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 6: and ice hockey. 132 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 1: He does not want China to take over Canada. I 133 00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:10,839 Speaker 1: think even my Canadian friends agree with him on that. 134 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:15,719 Speaker 1: Last night, last clip Cuba. Donald Trump talks about Cuba 135 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:17,800 Speaker 1: on Air Force one last night, cut number six. 136 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 6: We're starting to talk to cub Yeah, we're starting. He 137 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:23,840 Speaker 6: tells you if they need help, what a humanitarian basis 138 00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:26,080 Speaker 6: that we're starting to talk to Cuba. 139 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:27,520 Speaker 3: I would look, if we get a lot. 140 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:29,680 Speaker 6: Of people that live in our country treated very badly 141 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 6: by human and we want them to be They all 142 00:06:32,600 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 6: voted for me, and we want them to be treated well. 143 00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:37,320 Speaker 6: Would like to be able to have them go back 144 00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 6: to vote to their country, which they haven't seen the 145 00:06:40,240 --> 00:06:44,920 Speaker 6: family they country for many, many decades. So we were 146 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 6: about I'll be able to work. 147 00:06:47,880 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 1: What's going on with Cube is that they're out of everything. 148 00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 1: They have no energy, no economy, blackout. They're like Iran, 149 00:06:54,279 --> 00:06:57,919 Speaker 1: they're falling apart. Uh, we might have to push Iran, 150 00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:00,960 Speaker 1: we don't have to push Cuba. Cuba is falling apart now. 151 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:04,360 Speaker 1: Former Secretary of State Mike BOMPEII was on Channel thirteen 152 00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 1: News in Israel and had this to say about a 153 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:09,080 Speaker 1: potential deal with Iran. 154 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:13,760 Speaker 7: I've heard it talks about a deal or there's no chance. 155 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 3: I've dealt with this regime. 156 00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:20,920 Speaker 7: They may agree to something, but they've broken every deal 157 00:07:20,960 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 7: they've ever signed up for, including the superd deal we 158 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:26,360 Speaker 7: got into under President Obama for the nuclear deal, right, 159 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 7: they were violating at the very day that was signed. 160 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:32,400 Speaker 7: I don't see that that will actually create the opportunity 161 00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:35,240 Speaker 7: that I think creates prosperity and security. 162 00:07:34,840 --> 00:07:37,360 Speaker 11: Here in the region, and that'd be great for America too. 163 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:43,240 Speaker 12: So you think that taking old circumstances United States need 164 00:07:44,440 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 12: So I talk to you ran again, We'll need. 165 00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:48,520 Speaker 3: To put more pressure on. There are many tools by 166 00:07:48,560 --> 00:07:49,400 Speaker 3: which one can do that. 167 00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:52,600 Speaker 7: But it cannot be the case that the Iranian people 168 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 7: who took all the risks that they took and went 169 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:57,480 Speaker 7: to the streets to do something that was in America's 170 00:07:57,520 --> 00:08:00,720 Speaker 7: best interest as well. There's no way to get americasecurity 171 00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 7: and keep our young men and women from having to 172 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 7: fight and die in this region so long as the 173 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 7: Ayatola is in charge. 174 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 12: So do you see a scenario whereas in the current situation, 175 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:13,760 Speaker 12: the United States will not attack militarany. 176 00:08:13,520 --> 00:08:16,480 Speaker 7: Sure, sure, the Iranian people may rise up again and 177 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 7: there may be no need for such a thing, right. 178 00:08:18,840 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 7: I mean, it's possible that someone in the besiege, some general, 179 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:24,160 Speaker 7: some higher GC official will decide they're not going to 180 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 7: kill their cousins, They're not going to kill their family 181 00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 7: members anymore. I mean, this is Iranians killing Iranians. We 182 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:32,520 Speaker 7: all want peace, but we also know that you can't 183 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:35,520 Speaker 7: have peace in this region so long as the Ayatola. 184 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:35,640 Speaker 3: Is in charge. 185 00:08:36,160 --> 00:08:39,720 Speaker 1: And then General Jack Kane on Fox News with Gillian 186 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:43,440 Speaker 1: Turner cut number fifteen from yesterday, Well, it is no. 187 00:08:43,559 --> 00:08:46,679 Speaker 4: Doubt about that I mean, listen, the history of our 188 00:08:46,760 --> 00:08:51,600 Speaker 4: presidents with this regime is really something. Seven of the presidents, 189 00:08:51,679 --> 00:08:55,160 Speaker 4: not counting President trumpet dealt with this regime. Three of 190 00:08:55,240 --> 00:08:59,719 Speaker 4: them did not retaliate after they killed scores of Americans. 191 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:04,520 Speaker 4: Three presidents, two Republicans, one Democrat, All seven of them, 192 00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 4: during their tenure let the Iranian regime grow and increase 193 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:14,360 Speaker 4: in strength and also to destabilize the Middle East. Four 194 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 4: years Trump came in the first administration, killed the iconic 195 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:21,760 Speaker 4: free you cost him Sola money, nobody else that touched him, 196 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:25,839 Speaker 4: and he asked the briefer, why haven't we killed him before? 197 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:29,560 Speaker 4: Now he's planning to kill more Americans? So because everybody 198 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:33,679 Speaker 4: feared the consequences of that act. And now he's taken 199 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:37,040 Speaker 4: down their nuclear program as well. This is the first 200 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:41,079 Speaker 4: president that directly confronted the regime. Now he has the 201 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:43,839 Speaker 4: opportunity to finish them, and I think you're going to 202 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 4: take that up. 203 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:48,160 Speaker 1: I believe he didn't take that opportunity too. I don't 204 00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:51,400 Speaker 1: know anything. People think I talked to the president. I don't. 205 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:53,640 Speaker 1: I talked to the President on air on the record. 206 00:09:53,800 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 1: He doesn't call me up and ask my advice, and 207 00:09:55,960 --> 00:09:57,720 Speaker 1: I wouldn't tell you if he did, but he doesn't. 208 00:09:58,200 --> 00:10:01,480 Speaker 1: And people who talk about talking to the president usually 209 00:10:01,520 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 1: talking through their hat. So I like to be very 210 00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:08,360 Speaker 1: humble about that. I don't. I write columns that get 211 00:10:08,440 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 1: to him, and I get him back with scribbles on 212 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:14,439 Speaker 1: him saying not so good, really good, that sort of stuff. 213 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 1: But what I think is going to happen is you've 214 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 1: got to get every I've posted this on my ex account. 215 00:10:20,760 --> 00:10:24,680 Speaker 1: He's got to give every NI aircraft battery, every thad, 216 00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:29,439 Speaker 1: every arrow, every patriot system in the Middle East he can, 217 00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:32,679 Speaker 1: and then he and Israel and maybe the UAE and 218 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:36,720 Speaker 1: maybe the Saudi Air Forces have to bomb Iran into 219 00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:40,480 Speaker 1: a regime change, maybe the military takes over. But they 220 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:42,200 Speaker 1: got to get rid of the Itolis because those people 221 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:44,480 Speaker 1: are fanatics and they just killed thirty seven thousand of 222 00:10:44,520 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 1: their own people. Stay by. I got lots coming up 223 00:10:47,559 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 1: right here on the uuite show, on a Ranch. 224 00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:56,719 Speaker 10: Free Leader today that that U hat could start a 225 00:10:56,800 --> 00:10:58,480 Speaker 10: regional war, giving you funks. 226 00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:00,640 Speaker 3: That boy wouldn't be sit she would to say that. 227 00:11:00,840 --> 00:11:04,440 Speaker 5: But we have the biggest worst offleships in the world. 228 00:11:04,280 --> 00:11:08,200 Speaker 6: Over there, very close a couple of days that hopefully 229 00:11:08,200 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 6: we'll make a deal. 230 00:11:09,040 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 1: We don't make a deal, then we'll. 231 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:12,319 Speaker 3: Find out whether or not he was ready. 232 00:11:12,960 --> 00:11:16,040 Speaker 1: Welcome back, America, And here you are joined by doctor 233 00:11:16,200 --> 00:11:19,480 Speaker 1: Michael Orrin, former Israeli Ambassador to the United States, head 234 00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:23,480 Speaker 1: of the Israeli Advocacy Group, Ambassador Orren, Welcome back. I 235 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 1: don't believe there's a deal to be had here because 236 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 1: I don't believe the IATOLA and the IRGC will give 237 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:31,439 Speaker 1: up their missiles or their nukes. And how long do 238 00:11:31,480 --> 00:11:33,600 Speaker 1: you think it will take to get to that point? 239 00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:37,400 Speaker 11: Not too far, not too long. 240 00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:42,360 Speaker 13: Let's go back to last, oh, last February, when during 241 00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:44,319 Speaker 13: a visit of the Prime Minister mess Now to the 242 00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:47,480 Speaker 13: White House, President Trump announced that he would be opening 243 00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:50,959 Speaker 13: direct negotiations with the ir Adians and he gave me 244 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:53,840 Speaker 13: a deal, basically said no en Richmond zero and Richmond, 245 00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:56,320 Speaker 13: the ir Adians sort of twisted. 246 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:58,480 Speaker 11: His tail for a long time, and then they found out, 247 00:11:58,520 --> 00:11:59,720 Speaker 11: you can't do that with this president. 248 00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:01,959 Speaker 13: You maybe do that with some previous presidents, but not 249 00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:04,599 Speaker 13: with this one. And they've learned the hard way. The 250 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:07,640 Speaker 13: question is have they internalized that lesson? Do they feel 251 00:12:07,720 --> 00:12:10,439 Speaker 13: they have the upper hand in this negotiation. And I'll 252 00:12:10,480 --> 00:12:14,400 Speaker 13: explain why. On one hand, you've got all these presumptive 253 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 13: allies of the United States, Saudi Arabia, Ua, Bahrain, Oman, 254 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:21,760 Speaker 13: Turkey telling the United States, you know, don't do this, 255 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:24,520 Speaker 13: don't get involved in what can spark a regional war, 256 00:12:24,920 --> 00:12:27,240 Speaker 13: just for that question being put to the to the 257 00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:31,040 Speaker 13: president of mar A Lago and even Israel. At some 258 00:12:31,160 --> 00:12:34,080 Speaker 13: point President Prime Minister n Now calling the President saying, 259 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:35,840 Speaker 13: you know, wait, wait just a bit until you get 260 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:38,360 Speaker 13: your forces built up in that region. But now is 261 00:12:38,400 --> 00:12:40,480 Speaker 13: not saying don't do it. He's just saying, do it. 262 00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:42,679 Speaker 11: When you can actually make an impact. That's a lot 263 00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:43,560 Speaker 11: of pressure on the president. 264 00:12:43,559 --> 00:12:46,760 Speaker 13: There's domestic pressures on the president as well, and the 265 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:48,280 Speaker 13: need to build up those forces. 266 00:12:48,679 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 3: Now. 267 00:12:48,880 --> 00:12:50,880 Speaker 13: I know the President has talked about a giant armada 268 00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:52,840 Speaker 13: in the Middle East, but right now there's one aircraft 269 00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:57,600 Speaker 13: carrier there, plus assortment of destroyers and bombers. But keep 270 00:12:57,640 --> 00:12:59,960 Speaker 13: in mind Biden has sent two aircraft carriers to them, 271 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:01,240 Speaker 13: at least the fourth in the Eisenhower. 272 00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:04,240 Speaker 11: So you got one aircraft effort, the Abraham Lincoln. You 273 00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:05,040 Speaker 11: really need some more. 274 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:08,400 Speaker 13: An aircraft carrier carries about I think about ninety planes, 275 00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:10,920 Speaker 13: about seventy of them are our attack plans. And that's 276 00:13:10,960 --> 00:13:12,880 Speaker 13: to take on a country of ninety million people with 277 00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 13: an army of about one point five million people. 278 00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:20,679 Speaker 11: It's a hard it's a hard, hard pull at the 279 00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:21,719 Speaker 11: pull that that through. 280 00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:24,000 Speaker 13: So you have to build up those fourvices even more. 281 00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:27,480 Speaker 13: And you always have to be worried about the Sheffield factor. 282 00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 13: Do you remember this, you were old enough together. Remember 283 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:33,480 Speaker 13: the Falklands War nineteen eighty. 284 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:37,120 Speaker 1: Oh yes, a lucky shot, lucky shot, a lucky shot. 285 00:13:37,640 --> 00:13:40,680 Speaker 13: They fired an Exo set, a French made ex Visil 286 00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:43,840 Speaker 13: that hits the HMS Sheffield and cause the largest damage 287 00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:46,440 Speaker 13: to a British warships in World War Two. You gotta 288 00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:49,080 Speaker 13: get missiles flying at American warships from the Hoodies, from 289 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:53,520 Speaker 13: the Syrian and RAQI about rebels Assyrian Iraq from and 290 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:55,440 Speaker 13: of course from Iran itself, which has a very large 291 00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:56,719 Speaker 13: drone and missile capability. 292 00:13:57,040 --> 00:13:58,920 Speaker 11: So if you go down that route of. 293 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:01,160 Speaker 13: A military option, you got to make sure you have 294 00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:03,960 Speaker 13: that massive build up in the Middle East. 295 00:14:04,320 --> 00:14:06,600 Speaker 11: And from what I can gather here, it's not there yet. 296 00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:10,040 Speaker 1: What I read in the journal yesterday, and I'm using 297 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:12,880 Speaker 1: open sources. Only I don't know anything. Is that all 298 00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:15,080 Speaker 1: the F fifteen's we can gather are there, and they're 299 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 1: good for the drones and some missiles. Our every FAD 300 00:14:18,280 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 1: battery we've got is on its way there or already there. 301 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:25,520 Speaker 1: And that's to protect primarily Saudi Arabia and UAE, not Israel. 302 00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:29,480 Speaker 1: And that Mark Montgomery ed Mon Montgomery told me last 303 00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:31,480 Speaker 1: week he's going to bet his life that there's at 304 00:14:31,560 --> 00:14:36,520 Speaker 1: least one Boomer there with their tomahawk compliment of hundreds 305 00:14:36,520 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 1: of Tomahawk. So if we send our B twos at 306 00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 1: the same time, we can simultaneous, even without the Israeli 307 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 1: Air Force, which I'm counting on, we can hit hundreds 308 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:49,200 Speaker 1: of targets at the same time repeatedly. If the Israeli 309 00:14:49,240 --> 00:14:52,080 Speaker 1: Air Force joins in, they're not going to get anything 310 00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: off the ground. That's what I think when he said, 311 00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:58,000 Speaker 1: we'll see if he's right. What how many he threatened 312 00:14:58,080 --> 00:14:59,760 Speaker 1: was a regional war. I don't think he can fight 313 00:14:59,840 --> 00:15:01,280 Speaker 1: a war on your back, can you. 314 00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:05,520 Speaker 13: I don't understand why they say regional war. Where does 315 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 13: region come into this. Who's going to join Iran at 316 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 13: this point? What friends do they have? In the world 317 00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 13: truly enough, the Chinese, not the Russians. There's nobody in 318 00:15:12,880 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 13: the Middle East, so it's not a regional war. You're 319 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:18,400 Speaker 13: going to have terrorist organizations like the booties, like the terrorists, 320 00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 13: and Syria and Iraq firing missiles. 321 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 11: That is not a regional war. 322 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:25,120 Speaker 13: And you know, for Israel perspective, we have to be 323 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:27,320 Speaker 13: very careful of course, to the charge that we're trying 324 00:15:27,320 --> 00:15:29,640 Speaker 13: to push the United States into a war. 325 00:15:30,240 --> 00:15:32,120 Speaker 11: But Israel has an interest, and the interest has to 326 00:15:32,160 --> 00:15:32,720 Speaker 11: be stated is this. 327 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:36,720 Speaker 13: It's not just eliminating Iran's nuclear program or eliminating its 328 00:15:37,680 --> 00:15:42,960 Speaker 13: its enrichment capabilities, but we need to eliminate the missile capabilities, 329 00:15:42,960 --> 00:15:46,360 Speaker 13: which are huge, and to stop grand support for terrorism 330 00:15:46,400 --> 00:15:48,760 Speaker 13: throughout the Middle East and indeed the entire world. 331 00:15:48,760 --> 00:15:49,240 Speaker 9: Entire world. 332 00:15:49,760 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 1: I think Britany says regional war, he means hitting Saudi Arabia, 333 00:15:53,520 --> 00:15:56,480 Speaker 1: and I think I don't think Israel isn't as much 334 00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 1: is as vulnerable as Saudi Arabia as do you. 335 00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:02,680 Speaker 13: I do, And I think the President has to make 336 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:04,120 Speaker 13: a call because Saudi Arabia is saying that it's not 337 00:16:04,160 --> 00:16:07,560 Speaker 13: going to let its airspace be used by American aircraft. Okay, 338 00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:09,880 Speaker 13: so I know it seems to me the deals you've 339 00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:12,240 Speaker 13: cut two ways. We'll defend you if you're willing to 340 00:16:12,280 --> 00:16:14,640 Speaker 13: support us. But that's a call I guess that the 341 00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 13: White House has to make. It's a tough one. But 342 00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:20,040 Speaker 13: Israel will be there, and you're talking about a very 343 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 13: formidable air force that has succeeded in penetrating Iran's nuclear 344 00:16:24,960 --> 00:16:28,200 Speaker 13: air defenses again and again and again. The Isral the 345 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:31,960 Speaker 13: air force, you'll recall, conducted literally hundreds of thousands of 346 00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:35,600 Speaker 13: mile sorties during the last war and we didn't lose 347 00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:38,680 Speaker 13: a single airplane. And the Iranians have to take that 348 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:42,320 Speaker 13: into consideration. If we can hit the ballistic missile launchers. 349 00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:46,320 Speaker 13: Iran may have one thousand, five hundred very large ballistic missiles, 350 00:16:46,680 --> 00:16:50,720 Speaker 13: each with a warhead of about two hundred kilograms of TNT. 351 00:16:50,960 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 11: That's huge. 352 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:53,600 Speaker 13: It takes down not just a building, a take down 353 00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:56,360 Speaker 13: a neighborhood. But they're going to have a limited number 354 00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:58,760 Speaker 13: of launchers. So if they don't launchers, those ballistic missiles 355 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:00,880 Speaker 13: are worth nothing. Are on the ground. So if we 356 00:17:00,960 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 13: know who the launchers are and we can hit them 357 00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:06,480 Speaker 13: very very quickly, then Iran is literally literally a sitting duck. 358 00:17:06,600 --> 00:17:08,760 Speaker 1: Okay, one question before the break. I'd like to hold 359 00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:11,080 Speaker 1: you over to ask you about Turkey after the break. 360 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:14,320 Speaker 1: The question before the break has to do with how 361 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:18,119 Speaker 1: much damage one or two of those ballistic missiles can 362 00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:21,400 Speaker 1: do to Israel. Can they get near the most sensitive 363 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:22,200 Speaker 1: parts of Israel. 364 00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:26,120 Speaker 13: Well, the assumption here is that Iran during the last 365 00:17:26,160 --> 00:17:31,040 Speaker 13: war and last June fired mostly at military targets. Sometimes 366 00:17:31,040 --> 00:17:33,119 Speaker 13: they missed in his civilian targets, including two very near 367 00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:35,720 Speaker 13: my house, and at this time they would aim for 368 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:36,520 Speaker 13: civilian targets. 369 00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 11: And those missiles are so large. 370 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:43,320 Speaker 13: A Jamas rockets Buller rocket carries between fifteen and twenty 371 00:17:43,440 --> 00:17:46,960 Speaker 13: kilograms of TATS. This is ten times as powerful. And 372 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:49,080 Speaker 13: many of us, as you know, have safe rooms within 373 00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:54,320 Speaker 13: our house. Those rate rooms become almost ineffective in defending 374 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:56,399 Speaker 13: us against those type of missiles because they take down, 375 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:58,760 Speaker 13: as I said before, not just an apartment, They take 376 00:17:58,800 --> 00:17:59,040 Speaker 13: down a. 377 00:17:59,040 --> 00:18:03,000 Speaker 11: Building and even a name. They're huge, and so we 378 00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:03,720 Speaker 11: have to move. 379 00:18:03,760 --> 00:18:07,040 Speaker 13: Very very swiftly to interdict them, and particularly to destroy 380 00:18:07,119 --> 00:18:08,000 Speaker 13: those launchers. 381 00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:10,440 Speaker 1: That's why I think the FADS have to get there. 382 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:14,200 Speaker 1: The high altitude interceptors along with your arrow too. When 383 00:18:14,280 --> 00:18:16,800 Speaker 1: I come back, I'm going to ask doctor Oran about 384 00:18:16,800 --> 00:18:19,800 Speaker 1: what I talked with Vive reddy Gore about, which is Turkey. 385 00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:24,960 Speaker 1: Stay tuned, welcome back to me. I'm Hugh hewittt back 386 00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:28,080 Speaker 1: with doctor Michael Orran, Doctor Orran. Earlier today I talked 387 00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:32,400 Speaker 1: to Eve reddy Gore who had just interviewed doctor Dan Shifton, 388 00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:34,719 Speaker 1: who's probably a friend of yours as well, and they 389 00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:38,360 Speaker 1: were talking about Turkey and whether or not Turkey presented 390 00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:42,200 Speaker 1: a threat through a puppet state in Syria. Aviv seems 391 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:45,480 Speaker 1: to think very much so, the good doctor not so much. 392 00:18:45,520 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 6: So. 393 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:47,159 Speaker 1: What does doctor Michael Ran think? 394 00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:53,120 Speaker 13: And I deeply respect and admire both Dan and Aviv. 395 00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:55,840 Speaker 13: I'll take them middle line and that is yes, Turkish 396 00:18:55,840 --> 00:18:58,479 Speaker 13: influence will increase markedly in Syria. 397 00:18:59,480 --> 00:19:03,959 Speaker 11: You have a former al Qaeda leader there Al Shara, 398 00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:04,720 Speaker 11: who's going. 399 00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:07,040 Speaker 13: To be close to the Muslim brotherhood outlook of mister 400 00:19:07,119 --> 00:19:08,080 Speaker 13: Iridiwan president of. 401 00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:13,760 Speaker 11: Turkey. But keep in mind that the Turks are not 402 00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:16,399 Speaker 11: the Iranians, and Irwan is. 403 00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:19,960 Speaker 13: Not Kameeni ha Many is viewed as a religious spiritual leader, 404 00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:22,760 Speaker 13: not just a political leader by by the world of Shiism. 405 00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:25,520 Speaker 13: By Shiites wherever they are, what they're in Lebanon, in Syria, 406 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:29,639 Speaker 13: in Iraq. Iran does not is not a spiritual figure. 407 00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:33,520 Speaker 13: He is a political leader, and moreover, he doesn't command 408 00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:36,160 Speaker 13: that type of allegiance from Sunni Arabs and Syria being 409 00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:40,200 Speaker 13: mostly Sunni. But beyond that, Ian has other has another 410 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:44,720 Speaker 13: facet to him. He's not just a Muslim brotherhood Islamist. 411 00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:48,159 Speaker 13: He is also a neo Ottomanist who deeply believes that 412 00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:51,320 Speaker 13: the peoples of the Middle East yearn profoundly for the 413 00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:53,520 Speaker 13: return of the Ottoman Empire. And I'm not exaggerating some 414 00:19:53,600 --> 00:19:56,240 Speaker 13: of the statements that have come out of Ankara that 415 00:19:56,960 --> 00:20:00,760 Speaker 13: people in Baghdad and people in i'm on just want 416 00:20:00,840 --> 00:20:01,600 Speaker 13: nothing more than the. 417 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,080 Speaker 11: Turks to come back. He lives in that illusion. It's 418 00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:06,080 Speaker 11: not true. No one is actually yearning. 419 00:20:05,880 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 13: For the return of the Ottoman Empire anywhere in the 420 00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:10,280 Speaker 13: least that I know of, And so his influence will 421 00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:13,920 Speaker 13: not be as profound as for say, Hamenies was in 422 00:20:14,040 --> 00:20:17,199 Speaker 13: Lebanon through his Blah with Shiite majority or the largest 423 00:20:18,240 --> 00:20:21,879 Speaker 13: largest ethnic community in Lebanon where Shiite, or in Iraq 424 00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:24,000 Speaker 13: where Shiites are in the majority, or in the Gulf 425 00:20:24,040 --> 00:20:26,119 Speaker 13: A certain countries do have a shit majority, it's not 426 00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:30,480 Speaker 13: the same magnitude of threat. There's also been problems historically 427 00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:34,120 Speaker 13: between the leadership in Ankara and the Turkish army. 428 00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:35,560 Speaker 11: They don't trust one another. 429 00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 13: Occasionally Irduwano will conduct very large scale, painful purges of 430 00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:42,600 Speaker 13: his own military. And I think if you look over 431 00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:46,520 Speaker 13: historically over the last fifty sixty years, the Turkish army, 432 00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:49,200 Speaker 13: though it is very, very powerful and very well armed, 433 00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:52,920 Speaker 13: has generally underperformed and there's a reason for that. 434 00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:56,840 Speaker 1: So you're not worried about Al Shara starting a war 435 00:20:57,160 --> 00:20:59,480 Speaker 1: with Israel armed with Turkish weapons. 436 00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:03,359 Speaker 13: First of all, I don't know what Turkish weapons are, 437 00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:07,000 Speaker 13: so generally NATO weapons they are, and that'll be and 438 00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:09,040 Speaker 13: keeping by the early one is also a member of NATO, 439 00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:10,840 Speaker 13: and that's also a check on him. You know, he 440 00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:14,880 Speaker 13: plays around with NATO, He gets some Russian anti aircraft systems. 441 00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:16,399 Speaker 11: And tries to play both sides. At the end of 442 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:17,639 Speaker 11: the day, A check there with you. 443 00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:22,280 Speaker 13: Large military military American military basis in Turkey. America didn't 444 00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:25,080 Speaker 13: have large military bases in Iran. So no, I'm not 445 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:28,440 Speaker 13: concerned about I am concerned about expanding Turkish influence not 446 00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:30,440 Speaker 13: just in Syria but elsewhere in the release. 447 00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 11: How about Gaza for example. 448 00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 13: Uh And we have to work to make sure that 449 00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:37,119 Speaker 13: we're not replacing the Iranian access of resistance with the 450 00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:40,400 Speaker 13: Turkish hamas Katari access of resistance. 451 00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:42,159 Speaker 11: So no, I'm not worried, but we have to be 452 00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:42,600 Speaker 11: on our guard. 453 00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:45,280 Speaker 1: Doctor Michael Horn always good to talk to you. Thank you, 454 00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:51,320 Speaker 1: Mornerglorian even Grace America. I'mh you and and the Relief 455 00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:55,159 Speaker 1: Actor Studio West joined by Bethany Mandel. Bethany is our 456 00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:58,520 Speaker 1: weekly guest for the perspective of the mom wors dot 457 00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:02,520 Speaker 1: substack dot com. That's her substact, the Momworth dot substact 458 00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:06,440 Speaker 1: dot com. Bethany, I'm talking with everyone about Iran, but 459 00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:10,080 Speaker 1: before I do that, your reaction to the verdict of 460 00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:14,640 Speaker 1: medical malpractice against the doctor who performed breast removal surgery 461 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:17,960 Speaker 1: on a girl who was transitioning and then decided it 462 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:20,480 Speaker 1: was a big mistake. What did you make of that case? 463 00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:24,680 Speaker 10: I think that it's potentially a watershed moment. When so 464 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:27,160 Speaker 10: I wrote a book called Stolen Youth with Carol Markowitz, 465 00:22:27,320 --> 00:22:31,120 Speaker 10: came out almost exactly three years ago and the doctors 466 00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:34,360 Speaker 10: and clinicians that I spoke to who had real misgivings 467 00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:40,720 Speaker 10: on an ethics standpoint with gender identity stuff with kids. 468 00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:44,720 Speaker 10: The one thing they all said in unison was this 469 00:22:45,119 --> 00:22:47,480 Speaker 10: house of cards is going to fall when the lawsuits start, 470 00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:49,960 Speaker 10: and a lot of them compared it to the tobacco 471 00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:54,040 Speaker 10: lawsuits that really changed the way big tobacco operated in America. 472 00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:56,800 Speaker 10: And I think that this is this is the starting point. 473 00:22:56,880 --> 00:22:58,680 Speaker 10: There was a great piece in the Free press about 474 00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:03,680 Speaker 10: it today. But Chloe Cole, who's another detransitionary, another young 475 00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:06,520 Speaker 10: woman who believed herself to be a man for a 476 00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:09,080 Speaker 10: number of years and then transitioned back to being a woman, 477 00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:14,159 Speaker 10: She's filed a lawsuit as well. The issue for doctors, 478 00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:18,119 Speaker 10: both surgeons and psychiatrists who have engaged in this is 479 00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:22,560 Speaker 10: that it's all scient anti science, it's all gobblegook, and 480 00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:25,320 Speaker 10: so they will have had to prove that they did 481 00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:27,720 Speaker 10: their due diligence and that the children were able to 482 00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:30,440 Speaker 10: give informed consent, and they won't be able to do that. 483 00:23:30,800 --> 00:23:32,640 Speaker 10: And so I do think it's a house of cards. 484 00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:34,000 Speaker 10: And this is the first one that's following. 485 00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:37,160 Speaker 1: So do you have any data yet? And I don't 486 00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,280 Speaker 1: have any way of figuring this out. I thought maybe 487 00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:44,040 Speaker 1: you would have the insurance company stopped covering doctors who 488 00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:49,280 Speaker 1: perferend hospitals that allow transitioning surgery, because once they stop 489 00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:54,439 Speaker 1: writing policies for those doctors, those doctors stop doing those procedures, 490 00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:57,640 Speaker 1: don't have to wait for judgments. Now there's a judgment, 491 00:23:57,760 --> 00:23:58,560 Speaker 1: Now there is risk. 492 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:01,680 Speaker 10: So it's funny that you asked that. I actually asked 493 00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,480 Speaker 10: someone today in fact that question, and the jury is 494 00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:06,879 Speaker 10: still out because the jury just came back. So the 495 00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 10: jury is still out on the insurance companies. But because 496 00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:11,840 Speaker 10: of the Trump administration, there's been a lot of movement 497 00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:16,200 Speaker 10: on this front from states and from Medicaid, and so 498 00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:19,320 Speaker 10: state after state, Utah was the most recent have said 499 00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:20,480 Speaker 10: this is not happening. 500 00:24:20,520 --> 00:24:27,040 Speaker 1: And I think Bethany Froze movement. Yeah, you're back, go ahead. 501 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:31,000 Speaker 1: We lost your last thirty seconds, Bethany, Oh, I'm sorry. 502 00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:35,879 Speaker 10: So this is it's a good start on the Medicaid front. 503 00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:39,320 Speaker 10: A lot of states have stopped stopped doing this because 504 00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:42,080 Speaker 10: Medicaid is not paying for this anymore thanks to the 505 00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:44,360 Speaker 10: Trump administration, and a lot of states have also said 506 00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:46,520 Speaker 10: this won't be happening in our teaching hospitals anymore. And 507 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:49,160 Speaker 10: so Utah was the most recent example of a state 508 00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:51,439 Speaker 10: that said this is not happening in our hospitals anymore. 509 00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:55,440 Speaker 10: So the private insurance front, I think that's coming. I 510 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,080 Speaker 10: think there's probably going to need to be a few 511 00:24:57,119 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 10: more cards that fall. But there's a lot of lawsuits 512 00:24:59,840 --> 00:25:02,200 Speaker 10: in the works. Unfortunately, they've butchered a lot of children, 513 00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 10: and there's a lot of children who have a legal case, 514 00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:06,239 Speaker 10: and so I think it's only a matter of time. 515 00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:08,680 Speaker 1: As a Roman Catholic, it's painful for me to bring 516 00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:12,560 Speaker 1: up this example, but many, many dioceses in the United 517 00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:16,359 Speaker 1: States are bankrupt because of abuse that was known and 518 00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:19,639 Speaker 1: not corrected. The same thing is going to happen to 519 00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:23,520 Speaker 1: many many hospitals and many many doctors because the statute 520 00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:27,119 Speaker 1: of limitations will be extended based upon the fact that 521 00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:30,760 Speaker 1: they operated in bad faith, in other words, without science. 522 00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:33,920 Speaker 1: They were doing guinea pig experiments on kids, and they're 523 00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:35,040 Speaker 1: going to pay the price. 524 00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:40,400 Speaker 10: I think that you're mostly right, but my only concern 525 00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,200 Speaker 10: is that there was a there was an interest on 526 00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 10: the part of a lot of people in the legal 527 00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:48,160 Speaker 10: field to bring down the Catholic Church, and I don't 528 00:25:48,200 --> 00:25:51,600 Speaker 10: think that there's that eagerness in existing on this issue. 529 00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:54,399 Speaker 10: This judgment was only two million dollars, which I do 530 00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:57,399 Speaker 10: not think was enough. The judgments that were held against 531 00:25:57,440 --> 00:26:01,680 Speaker 10: the Catholic Church were of Magnitude's law, and so I 532 00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:04,480 Speaker 10: do think that this will be a real financial burden 533 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:06,320 Speaker 10: for hospitals, but I don't think it's going to be 534 00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:08,880 Speaker 10: on the same scale as what happened with the Catholic Church. 535 00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:13,280 Speaker 1: It depends on how many victims and the jurisdiction. Because California, 536 00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:16,000 Speaker 1: for example, has a cap on pain and suffering, many 537 00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:20,760 Speaker 1: states don't, and so where the victim of transitioning wants 538 00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:22,600 Speaker 1: to sue will make all the difference. There are gonna 539 00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:24,760 Speaker 1: be a lot of lossuits in California because of the cap, 540 00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:28,160 Speaker 1: but there are some places where the cap doesn't exist. Now, Bethany, 541 00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:31,120 Speaker 1: I want to ask you, just nobody knows what's going 542 00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:34,720 Speaker 1: to happen when they're on Everybody's guessing. I've talked with 543 00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:36,720 Speaker 1: doctor Arny and Aviv ready gored today. I'm going to 544 00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:39,080 Speaker 1: play at Eve's later in the show. What's your guess? 545 00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:44,920 Speaker 10: I mean, my tea leaves. I'm reading our President Trump's statements, 546 00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:48,480 Speaker 10: and his statements are pretty clear to me. I think 547 00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,600 Speaker 10: you know, when President Trump Trump speaks, you have to listen. 548 00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:53,800 Speaker 10: And he's made pretty clear that if they don't come 549 00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:56,600 Speaker 10: to the negotiating table and that they don't stop killing 550 00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:59,920 Speaker 10: the protesters, there will be hell to pay. He didn't 551 00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:02,920 Speaker 10: use that phrasing exactly again this time, but he made 552 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:06,360 Speaker 10: clear there would be consequences, and so I believe him well. 553 00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:09,240 Speaker 1: He said to that we should let's play air force 554 00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:12,480 Speaker 1: one last night. The most recent comment cut number one 555 00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:14,520 Speaker 1: on a ran. 556 00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:17,840 Speaker 10: As a free leader today said that he puts part 557 00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:18,680 Speaker 10: of regional war. 558 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:20,760 Speaker 11: Give you find that Roy, wouldn't he say that. 559 00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:23,959 Speaker 5: I'd appreciated to say that. But we have the biggest 560 00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:25,080 Speaker 5: rosabe offleships in. 561 00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:28,480 Speaker 6: The world over there very close a couple of days. 562 00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:31,000 Speaker 5: That hopefully we'll make a deal. We don't make a deal, 563 00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:33,480 Speaker 5: then we'll find out whether or not he was right. 564 00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:36,800 Speaker 1: So what ha Many said is he'll start a regional war, 565 00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:39,000 Speaker 1: and what the President said is we'll find out if 566 00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:41,240 Speaker 1: he's right the Iranians or not. How Many is not 567 00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:43,400 Speaker 1: going to give up his missiles in his uranium. He's 568 00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:46,399 Speaker 1: not going to do it. So that means Trump's going 569 00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:48,399 Speaker 1: to strike, and I think he means we'll see if 570 00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:50,240 Speaker 1: he can do. I think in such a way that 571 00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:54,200 Speaker 1: they will be incapacitated. I don't rule out what Dr 572 00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:57,440 Speaker 1: Orange is called the Sheffield factor, which is a lucky 573 00:27:57,560 --> 00:28:00,760 Speaker 1: shot by Iran that hits an America destroyer or a 574 00:28:00,840 --> 00:28:04,639 Speaker 1: carrier and kills people. But I think they'll get beaten 575 00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:07,040 Speaker 1: up pretty badly, pretty quickly. Do you agree? 576 00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:10,080 Speaker 10: Yeah, I do, I do, And I think that that's 577 00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:12,560 Speaker 10: exactly what President Trump was just saying. He was he 578 00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:14,560 Speaker 10: was kind of saying. He shrugged his shoulders kind of 579 00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:18,280 Speaker 10: and was like, oh, let's see. But that's not a 580 00:28:18,320 --> 00:28:20,600 Speaker 10: matchup that I would I would be interested in going 581 00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:23,280 Speaker 10: into if I were the Iranians, and you know, they 582 00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:25,520 Speaker 10: talk a big game, they always have, but this is 583 00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:26,960 Speaker 10: the first time that they have someone in the White 584 00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:28,600 Speaker 10: House that carries a big stick, and they know how 585 00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:30,359 Speaker 10: big the stick is because they've already been hit by 586 00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 10: America once. 587 00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:33,960 Speaker 1: I would like you to hear as well, what havev 588 00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:37,280 Speaker 1: Reddy Gore had to say about President Trump and President Obama? 589 00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:42,120 Speaker 1: Because I asked Aviv, how if President Trump doesn't do anything, 590 00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:45,440 Speaker 1: does that make him into President Obama. Here's his response. 591 00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:47,360 Speaker 1: You're gonna say about President Obama. 592 00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:50,400 Speaker 2: You asked me, if President Trump doesn't boond me wrong, 593 00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:53,120 Speaker 2: what happens can be compared him to President Obama. I 594 00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:55,000 Speaker 2: want to be very clear about this, and I don't 595 00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:57,000 Speaker 2: want to step into American politics, and I don't know 596 00:28:57,120 --> 00:28:59,520 Speaker 2: half the topics that are setting American politics on fire. 597 00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:01,040 Speaker 2: I'm want to say, just in the context of the 598 00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:05,200 Speaker 2: wrong issue, nothing President Trump Trump does with I wrong 599 00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:08,400 Speaker 2: will ever bring him down to the level of the 600 00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:13,120 Speaker 2: disaster that the j CPI represented. The fact that the 601 00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:15,840 Speaker 2: JCPI said that they can you know, inspectors can always 602 00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:17,520 Speaker 2: go anywhere, but then there was a twenty four hour 603 00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:20,160 Speaker 2: period where they would have to have a consultation over 604 00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:22,200 Speaker 2: whether they would go anywhere. The fact that it didn't 605 00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:25,040 Speaker 2: concern the ballistic missile program, the fact that it released 606 00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:27,840 Speaker 2: fifty to one hundred billion dollars for the IRGC, which. 607 00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:31,120 Speaker 3: We're invested in it because Bella just to the signing bonus. 608 00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:35,000 Speaker 2: The fact that most of the major provisions ended by 609 00:29:35,080 --> 00:29:39,120 Speaker 2: now would have already ended history continued ten years, fifteen years, 610 00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:40,680 Speaker 2: is just kicking the can down the road. 611 00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:42,360 Speaker 3: That is not President Trump. 612 00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:44,800 Speaker 2: President Trump has already caused more damage to Forde said 613 00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:47,560 Speaker 2: back that program more than all the President Obama's deals 614 00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:48,000 Speaker 2: ever could. 615 00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:52,320 Speaker 3: And so no, even if Trump, in my view, for example, 616 00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:53,600 Speaker 3: he hasn't. But even if I. 617 00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:55,800 Speaker 2: Decide that he screwed this up and didn't do the 618 00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:58,040 Speaker 2: right thing, he will still have been much better on 619 00:29:58,160 --> 00:30:00,320 Speaker 2: this issue than President Obama, who has a lot to 620 00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:04,160 Speaker 2: answer for. He has thirty seven thousand Iranians to apologize too. 621 00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:05,960 Speaker 1: What do you make of that, Bethany? 622 00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:10,800 Speaker 10: I had to laugh because his not wanting to wait 623 00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:14,400 Speaker 10: into domestic politics in America is my policy about domestic 624 00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:18,000 Speaker 10: politics in Israel. Yeah, and so that cave I appreciated 625 00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:20,440 Speaker 10: that caveat because I make it all the time too. No, 626 00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:23,360 Speaker 10: He's absolutely correct there. You could not get any worse 627 00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:28,120 Speaker 10: than President Obama handing suitcases full of cash, and that's 628 00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:32,000 Speaker 10: what happened. But I mean, we're in a totally different 629 00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:37,280 Speaker 10: it's a totally different world than we occupied when President Trump, 630 00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:40,840 Speaker 10: when President Obama was president. It can't get worse, but 631 00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:42,880 Speaker 10: it also you know, it can't get much better than 632 00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:43,520 Speaker 10: President Trump. 633 00:30:43,560 --> 00:30:45,160 Speaker 11: Honestly, Well, have you. 634 00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:48,280 Speaker 1: Seen any of the Obama bros? You know the Pod 635 00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:54,400 Speaker 1: Bros or President Obama or anybody associated with the JCPOA 636 00:30:54,600 --> 00:30:57,720 Speaker 1: in the Senate or the House or the Old Has 637 00:30:57,800 --> 00:30:59,880 Speaker 1: anyone come forward to say we were wrong, We didn't 638 00:30:59,920 --> 00:31:01,880 Speaker 1: know that they would kill thirty seven thousand of their 639 00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:02,520 Speaker 1: own people. 640 00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:07,160 Speaker 10: No, No, I mean my signal for is this the 641 00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:10,520 Speaker 10: right foreign policy move? Literally across the board from Venezuela 642 00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:13,200 Speaker 10: to Iran, you name it is. If the pod broads 643 00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:15,880 Speaker 10: think it was about idea, I'm like, well, okay, here 644 00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:17,600 Speaker 10: we are good barometer. 645 00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:20,560 Speaker 1: I got to ask you, I think the world has 646 00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:24,920 Speaker 1: walked way too quickly passed thirty seven thousand dead Iranians. 647 00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:28,680 Speaker 1: Do you agree with me about that? I do. 648 00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:31,200 Speaker 10: I mean it's hard to know what the numbers are 649 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:36,200 Speaker 10: in there, but I mean it's catastrophic, and in the 650 00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:40,320 Speaker 10: world's silence about whatever it is, it's tens of thousands, 651 00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:43,760 Speaker 10: whatever it is, is really glaring. Considering how loud they 652 00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:46,080 Speaker 10: were about the Hamas numbers coming. 653 00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:49,400 Speaker 1: Out of Gaza, and you know how traumatized Israel and 654 00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:53,800 Speaker 1: Israeli and Jews and the diaspora were after ten seven. 655 00:31:54,320 --> 00:31:57,720 Speaker 1: Do you think Iranians are feeling the same thing that 656 00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:03,320 Speaker 1: Israeli that we did, Yeah, what do you think I. 657 00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:04,920 Speaker 5: Do to some extent. 658 00:32:05,040 --> 00:32:07,760 Speaker 10: I mean, unfortunately, there's not the pictures in the videos 659 00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:13,240 Speaker 10: that really traumatized American Jews and Israeli Jews. After October seventh, 660 00:32:14,080 --> 00:32:18,640 Speaker 10: the regime have shut down access to these images in 661 00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:21,120 Speaker 10: these pictures very intentionally. I think they're going to come 662 00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,800 Speaker 10: out eventually, but it's going to be a slow dribble, 663 00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:24,160 Speaker 10: I think. 664 00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:27,200 Speaker 1: And when it does, the one that came out today 665 00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:29,719 Speaker 1: of the kid holding the door, which a meets Sigal 666 00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:32,360 Speaker 1: as in his website, I recommend everyone go to a 667 00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:36,479 Speaker 1: meet Sigal dot net and watch that one video. Bethany Mandel, 668 00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:39,040 Speaker 1: thank you. Follow on exit Bethany Sean Dark. Senator At 669 00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:43,840 Speaker 1: Cotton is next on the h view of show Welcome 670 00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:46,760 Speaker 1: Back to America. I'm Hugh Hewett, joined by Senator Tom 671 00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:50,400 Speaker 1: Cotton of Arkansas as Chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee. 672 00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:52,959 Speaker 1: Senator Cotton, I'm glad you called. I thought you were 673 00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:53,760 Speaker 1: shut down today. 674 00:32:56,440 --> 00:33:00,560 Speaker 9: Well, even when the government is partially shut down, we 675 00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:04,040 Speaker 9: are still at work in the Capitol, and I know 676 00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:07,080 Speaker 9: the House of Representatives is currently deliberating on the bill 677 00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:10,840 Speaker 9: that we passed Friday evening and hopefully they'll pass that 678 00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:12,920 Speaker 9: intenant directly to the presence death soon. I know he 679 00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:15,160 Speaker 9: just put on a call for the House to pass 680 00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:16,880 Speaker 9: it without delay so he can sign it to Meeba 681 00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:19,320 Speaker 9: Lea this evening and gave them back to work in 682 00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:19,760 Speaker 9: the government. 683 00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:22,560 Speaker 3: So Sarah, it's on again for a long time. 684 00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:26,240 Speaker 1: If DHS is you've got to do a compromise, you 685 00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:29,400 Speaker 1: will not. I hope the Republicans will not agree to 686 00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:33,360 Speaker 1: suspend administrative warrants. Otherwise that's the end of deportations. We 687 00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:35,440 Speaker 1: only have seven hundred district court judges in the United 688 00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:38,600 Speaker 1: States and some magistrates would do you imagine the Republicans 689 00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:39,560 Speaker 1: will ever agree to that. 690 00:33:41,320 --> 00:33:43,320 Speaker 9: No, I, Hugh, of course not. And you're right that 691 00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:47,600 Speaker 9: insists on judicial warrants for illegal aliens, which has never 692 00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:50,120 Speaker 9: been the standard in this country and in fact has 693 00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:53,480 Speaker 9: been repeatedly rejected by the Supreme Court. It's simply a 694 00:33:53,520 --> 00:33:58,600 Speaker 9: democratic effort to stop deportations, period. And we can't have 695 00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:02,240 Speaker 9: a situation where cradic administration like Joe Biden can let 696 00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:05,560 Speaker 9: ten million illegals float into our country, but a Republican 697 00:34:05,600 --> 00:34:09,720 Speaker 9: administration following it can't then enforce the law and restore 698 00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:12,240 Speaker 9: the rule of law by deporting illegal aliens. 699 00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:17,000 Speaker 1: Yeah. Do you have the opportunity on this special appropriations 700 00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:20,879 Speaker 1: last bill for DHS to add laws, for example, could 701 00:34:20,920 --> 00:34:23,440 Speaker 1: you regularize the Dreamers if you wanted to? 702 00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:27,080 Speaker 4: Yeah? 703 00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:29,800 Speaker 9: So he was not a reconciliation bill, So there's no 704 00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:32,879 Speaker 9: special rules something Congress can legislat as we would choose. 705 00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:35,520 Speaker 9: I can tell you I don't think there's a lot 706 00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:37,319 Speaker 9: of appetite to address that kind. 707 00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:38,200 Speaker 3: Of sweeping reforms. 708 00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:43,320 Speaker 9: This is more negotiation about specifically what will happen with 709 00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:47,400 Speaker 9: immigration enforcements and ICE in particular. I know the Democrats 710 00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:50,360 Speaker 9: have some demand. Some of those might be reasonable, others 711 00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:53,600 Speaker 9: like insisting on judicial warrants or that officers removed their 712 00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:56,000 Speaker 9: masks so they could be docks by left wing lunatics 713 00:34:56,080 --> 00:34:58,520 Speaker 9: or not. But we have demand as well. We'd like 714 00:34:58,600 --> 00:35:02,360 Speaker 9: to pass legislation that can federal funding on repealing sanctuary 715 00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:06,480 Speaker 9: city laws and ordinances at states and municipalities. So we'll 716 00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:08,680 Speaker 9: see if the Democrats are serious about compromise over the 717 00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:09,359 Speaker 9: next two weeks. 718 00:35:09,520 --> 00:35:11,919 Speaker 1: Well, that's what I'm getting at, is that there must 719 00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:16,200 Speaker 1: be some things that our offers that they can't refuse. 720 00:35:16,360 --> 00:35:18,919 Speaker 1: For example, I think dreamers are an eighty twenty issue. 721 00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:20,759 Speaker 1: I don't know where you are on at center, but 722 00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:23,680 Speaker 1: people who are brought here at the age of two, 723 00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:25,800 Speaker 1: or maybe you redefine it lower, so that if you 724 00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:27,239 Speaker 1: were brought to the country at the age of four 725 00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:30,839 Speaker 1: and you've been here for thirty year some kind of regularization, 726 00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:33,560 Speaker 1: non amnesty, they never get to vote. That makes it 727 00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:36,440 Speaker 1: that sort of flips the script on the Democrats. Is 728 00:35:36,440 --> 00:35:37,440 Speaker 1: there any thought of doing that? 729 00:35:39,920 --> 00:35:41,680 Speaker 9: Well, I think you you don't have the votes for 730 00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:45,400 Speaker 9: that if it was combined with additional enforcement measures. Yeah, Branch, 731 00:35:45,520 --> 00:35:49,640 Speaker 9: it's a ban on sanctuary cities. Again that the Democrats 732 00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:52,600 Speaker 9: have gone so far to the left of emigration that 733 00:35:53,080 --> 00:35:55,880 Speaker 9: I'm not sure that they'd be willing to vote forwards. 734 00:35:56,120 --> 00:36:00,279 Speaker 9: And obviously we're not. The Republicans aren't going to vote 735 00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:04,640 Speaker 9: on anything like giving even the limited regularizations that people 736 00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:06,759 Speaker 9: who weren't brought here through no fault of their own. 737 00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:10,600 Speaker 9: If we're not addressing the wide open border that bid 738 00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:13,640 Speaker 9: and graded for four years and the repercussions of it. 739 00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:16,800 Speaker 1: You see, I if I'm on the Democrats side, the 740 00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:19,840 Speaker 1: worst thing you could do is offer me the dreamers 741 00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:24,160 Speaker 1: some subset of Dreamers and a ban on sanctuary cities, 742 00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:28,759 Speaker 1: because then they're committing political Harry Carey, if they opposed that, 743 00:36:28,840 --> 00:36:31,000 Speaker 1: because they're going to oppose the Dreamers, and they're going 744 00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:33,839 Speaker 1: to oppose and they're going to because of sanctuary cities, 745 00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:37,560 Speaker 1: wouldn't they wouldn't they find themselves torn apart. 746 00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:42,360 Speaker 9: Regrettably? I think again the far left is in the 747 00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:44,760 Speaker 9: saddle in the Democratic Party. I mean, when the DHS 748 00:36:44,840 --> 00:36:46,600 Speaker 9: bill went through the House of Representatives, I think it 749 00:36:46,680 --> 00:36:51,200 Speaker 9: only got seven or eight Democratic votes. All the latest 750 00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:54,640 Speaker 9: class of freshmen Democrats in the Senate voted against the 751 00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:57,320 Speaker 9: bill as well, with just a two week funding provision 752 00:36:57,400 --> 00:37:00,439 Speaker 9: on it. So I think it's the case. But most 753 00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:03,440 Speaker 9: Democrats are willing to shut down the entire government and 754 00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:06,720 Speaker 9: two weeks will be willing to shut down DHS before 755 00:37:06,719 --> 00:37:10,400 Speaker 9: they would object before they would permit funding for immigration 756 00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:11,480 Speaker 9: enforcement period. 757 00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:15,719 Speaker 1: What happens if DHS isn't funded in two week? Center 758 00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:17,799 Speaker 1: does that mean TSA as well? 759 00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:18,480 Speaker 6: Well? 760 00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:20,719 Speaker 9: I think this is a very important point for all 761 00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:24,840 Speaker 9: of your listeners. Who Patty Murray, the senior Democrat on 762 00:37:24,840 --> 00:37:28,520 Speaker 9: the Appropriations Committee, admitted last week that a government shut 763 00:37:28,600 --> 00:37:31,640 Speaker 9: down or DHS shut down will do nothing to stop ICE. 764 00:37:32,280 --> 00:37:35,719 Speaker 9: ICE is a law enforcement agency, it's deemed central. Its 765 00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:38,319 Speaker 9: officers still be on the streets doing their critical work 766 00:37:38,360 --> 00:37:43,200 Speaker 9: to keep our communities safe. We also gave ICE billions 767 00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:46,719 Speaker 9: of dollars last summer in the Working Families tax cut legislation, 768 00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:50,759 Speaker 9: partly because we suspected Democrats might try to be fund though, 769 00:37:51,560 --> 00:37:55,200 Speaker 9: so ICE won't be affected. ICE's operations will continue. What 770 00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:58,560 Speaker 9: would be affected, well, you would see a degradation of 771 00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:01,880 Speaker 9: service in is the at airports as we're trying to 772 00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:04,200 Speaker 9: get back on our feet after a massive winter storm, 773 00:38:04,719 --> 00:38:07,520 Speaker 9: or the coast gu argue or FEMA as people are 774 00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:12,520 Speaker 9: struggling after this massive winter storm, or cybersecurity efforts. Those 775 00:38:12,560 --> 00:38:15,279 Speaker 9: would all be shut down if the Democrats refuse to 776 00:38:15,920 --> 00:38:18,280 Speaker 9: fund DHS on even a short term basis. 777 00:38:18,640 --> 00:38:21,120 Speaker 1: So Senator, what I'm saying is that they've walked themselves 778 00:38:21,160 --> 00:38:23,960 Speaker 1: into a corner. The only thing to shut down at DHS. 779 00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:28,360 Speaker 1: So that just focuses everybody on immigration. And if the 780 00:38:28,440 --> 00:38:32,120 Speaker 1: Republicans put eighty twenty issues on the table, they are 781 00:38:32,239 --> 00:38:35,439 Speaker 1: going to win. The political debate is that like them, 782 00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:38,680 Speaker 1: you run the conference. Are people thinking about the fact 783 00:38:38,800 --> 00:38:40,880 Speaker 1: that they're in a they put themselves in a corner. 784 00:38:42,120 --> 00:38:43,840 Speaker 9: Well, it maybe the chair of the conference. I'm not 785 00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:47,600 Speaker 9: sure anyone actually runs it. The editor is ultimately accountable, 786 00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:53,200 Speaker 9: ultimately accountable to his own voters and back home and 787 00:38:53,719 --> 00:38:57,360 Speaker 9: zone conviction that the campaigned on. But you're right to 788 00:38:57,400 --> 00:39:03,720 Speaker 9: you that there are some sensible and very popular immigration compromises. 789 00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:09,480 Speaker 9: Those have to be paired though with heightened enforcement measures. 790 00:39:09,560 --> 00:39:11,759 Speaker 9: And it just doesn't seem that's like where the Democratic 791 00:39:12,400 --> 00:39:13,440 Speaker 9: senators are right now? 792 00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:15,600 Speaker 1: Are you going to make it at them at least 793 00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:19,000 Speaker 1: vote on defunding sanctuary cities. I want them to vote 794 00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:21,680 Speaker 1: in favor of sanctuaries. I want them on the record 795 00:39:21,719 --> 00:39:24,239 Speaker 1: one way or the other, because that's an eighty twenty issue, 796 00:39:24,280 --> 00:39:24,799 Speaker 1: whether they know. 797 00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:25,200 Speaker 13: It or not. 798 00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:28,759 Speaker 9: I think that can be expected if we get into 799 00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:31,000 Speaker 9: a situation where we're having votes on this data or 800 00:39:31,040 --> 00:39:34,560 Speaker 9: the other policy. I have no doubt that Republican senators 801 00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:36,239 Speaker 9: at least will be very eager to have a vote 802 00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:38,320 Speaker 9: on ban on sanctuary cities. 803 00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:43,120 Speaker 1: Very good. Last question, Senator, President Trump has become President Yoda, 804 00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:45,880 Speaker 1: I'm not quite sure what he's saying. What do you 805 00:39:45,920 --> 00:39:47,320 Speaker 1: think is going to happen in Iran? 806 00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:53,719 Speaker 9: Well, he what we want to happen is to minimize 807 00:39:54,080 --> 00:39:58,360 Speaker 9: the oppression and killing of the Iranian people who have 808 00:39:58,480 --> 00:40:02,799 Speaker 9: risen up against their corrupt xatorial regime. And we want 809 00:40:02,800 --> 00:40:05,799 Speaker 9: to maximize the pressure that the Iotlas are facing. There's 810 00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:07,799 Speaker 9: a lot of different ways we can do that, military means, 811 00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:11,279 Speaker 9: financial names, economic means. But I think we want to 812 00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:14,840 Speaker 9: keep the pressure on them and try to do everything 813 00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:17,239 Speaker 9: we can to help the brave running people who are 814 00:40:17,320 --> 00:40:19,600 Speaker 9: protesting against their erruptatorial regime. 815 00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:22,080 Speaker 1: Well, the Iatola said it would lead to regional war. 816 00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:24,680 Speaker 1: I don't think there's anyone in the region that will 817 00:40:24,719 --> 00:40:27,760 Speaker 1: help them, right, everyone against Iran, is that what he's suggesting. 818 00:40:28,520 --> 00:40:31,319 Speaker 9: And he was blustering about that before he blew up 819 00:40:31,320 --> 00:40:32,600 Speaker 9: his nuclear facilities as well. 820 00:40:33,120 --> 00:40:35,360 Speaker 11: And all he did was effectlessly. 821 00:40:34,760 --> 00:40:37,520 Speaker 9: Shoot a few rockets and missiles at our base in 822 00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:40,920 Speaker 9: Patara while giving us advanced notice that we could clear out. Well, 823 00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:43,760 Speaker 9: I take what the Itela says that face value. 824 00:40:44,280 --> 00:40:47,320 Speaker 1: I do not, sata Tom Cotton remarking thank you for 825 00:40:47,480 --> 00:40:50,560 Speaker 1: joining me even in the middle of an official government shutdown. 826 00:40:50,560 --> 00:40:53,320 Speaker 1: I appreciate your still being here during the shutdown. Thank you, 827 00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:56,279 Speaker 1: Senator Cotton. Don't go anywhere America. I'll be right back. 828 00:40:56,719 --> 00:40:58,839 Speaker 1: He's not President Yode. He keeps saying the same thing, 829 00:40:58,880 --> 00:41:01,759 Speaker 1: which is, I hope they negotiate. I hope they take 830 00:41:01,800 --> 00:41:04,880 Speaker 1: their chance. I hope they don't force my hand. But 831 00:41:05,000 --> 00:41:07,960 Speaker 1: I think that means they're going to force the President's hand. 832 00:41:08,760 --> 00:41:10,480 Speaker 1: But no one can be sure. I'll be right back. 833 00:41:10,520 --> 00:41:13,560 Speaker 1: Stay tuned to the QUH Show. Welcome back, and I 834 00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:16,279 Speaker 1: Hugh Hewitt Vic mattis joined me. Vic is the art 835 00:41:16,280 --> 00:41:19,160 Speaker 1: and culture editor and weekend editor of the Washington Free Beacon. 836 00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:22,000 Speaker 1: He is also the co host of the Getting Hammered podcast. 837 00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:25,600 Speaker 1: But there's not a new Getting Hammered podcast. I listened 838 00:41:25,600 --> 00:41:27,520 Speaker 1: to the podcast that came out this morning and there 839 00:41:27,600 --> 00:41:29,800 Speaker 1: wasn't a get what is your schedule of production? 840 00:41:30,040 --> 00:41:30,200 Speaker 10: Vic? 841 00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:34,560 Speaker 14: Hello, Hugh, nice to see you, And yes, the question 842 00:41:35,040 --> 00:41:36,880 Speaker 14: on a lot of people's minds is what is the 843 00:41:37,040 --> 00:41:41,440 Speaker 14: schedule of Getting Hammered? We generally now tape on Tuesdays 844 00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:43,840 Speaker 14: and a new episode comes up on Wednesdays. 845 00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:46,600 Speaker 5: All right, that's the schedule, so stay tuned. 846 00:41:46,760 --> 00:41:49,160 Speaker 1: Well we should then we should have you on Thursday 847 00:41:49,239 --> 00:41:52,120 Speaker 1: instead of Monday, and we would talk about but we'll 848 00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:54,719 Speaker 1: work that out. But vic. I want to guess that 849 00:41:54,840 --> 00:41:59,400 Speaker 1: you are like me, a center right border hawk and regularization, 850 00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:02,960 Speaker 1: and by that I mean I want the biggest, tallest 851 00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:06,000 Speaker 1: double sided wall at the border, and then I want 852 00:42:06,040 --> 00:42:08,080 Speaker 1: to let all the nice people stay of come over it, 853 00:42:08,480 --> 00:42:10,880 Speaker 1: nice people. And there are ways to prove that. Am 854 00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:12,040 Speaker 1: I close to where you are? 855 00:42:13,680 --> 00:42:13,879 Speaker 5: Yeah? 856 00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:15,680 Speaker 14: I mean you can go back to the eighties and 857 00:42:15,719 --> 00:42:18,000 Speaker 14: you think about the amnesty that was granted during the 858 00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:21,120 Speaker 14: ragged administration. I think a lot of Americans, not just 859 00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:23,399 Speaker 14: you and me, feel that way, and not necessarily people 860 00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:25,520 Speaker 14: that have to be right of center like both of us. 861 00:42:26,280 --> 00:42:30,160 Speaker 14: But yeah, I think our understanding was in the second 862 00:42:30,160 --> 00:42:32,880 Speaker 14: administration that there was going to be a very hardline 863 00:42:32,960 --> 00:42:35,520 Speaker 14: enforcement at the border, and we're seeing this is one 864 00:42:35,560 --> 00:42:38,800 Speaker 14: of Trump's greatest achievements is he's brought that number basically 865 00:42:38,960 --> 00:42:42,160 Speaker 14: down to zero and making the job of customs and 866 00:42:42,200 --> 00:42:43,560 Speaker 14: border patrol very easy. 867 00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:46,160 Speaker 5: But he also said that he was going to go around. 868 00:42:46,520 --> 00:42:48,600 Speaker 14: The president was going to go around to big cities, 869 00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:52,680 Speaker 14: in towns looking for people who were here illegally and 870 00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:53,759 Speaker 14: deport them, and that. 871 00:42:54,000 --> 00:42:55,759 Speaker 5: Was by using ice. 872 00:42:56,480 --> 00:42:58,239 Speaker 14: And at first, of course, what comes to mind for 873 00:42:58,480 --> 00:43:02,440 Speaker 14: us are dangerous criminals people here who entered the ten 874 00:43:02,560 --> 00:43:05,680 Speaker 14: or eleven million illegals during the Bided administration who came 875 00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:08,480 Speaker 14: into the country. They're parts of you know, MS thirteen 876 00:43:08,560 --> 00:43:10,719 Speaker 14: or trendy Arragua. Get them out of here. I don't 877 00:43:10,719 --> 00:43:13,240 Speaker 14: think anybody had a problem with that, and everyone understood 878 00:43:13,680 --> 00:43:16,160 Speaker 14: that Ice is wearing these masks because they have to 879 00:43:16,200 --> 00:43:19,680 Speaker 14: protect their identities from these very dangerous people and to 880 00:43:19,760 --> 00:43:23,160 Speaker 14: protect their families. But then you started hearing stories about 881 00:43:23,200 --> 00:43:25,359 Speaker 14: people online at the home depots and other people who 882 00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:27,759 Speaker 14: were just going to work. Yes, it's true they came 883 00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:30,279 Speaker 14: here illegally, they broke the law, that is true. But 884 00:43:31,000 --> 00:43:34,880 Speaker 14: going after them in addition to the very dangerous criminal 885 00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:38,480 Speaker 14: elements who are here illegally, that doesn't sit well with a. 886 00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:39,080 Speaker 5: Lot of people. 887 00:43:39,680 --> 00:43:41,840 Speaker 14: And I think that's what we're beginning to see a 888 00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:45,880 Speaker 14: change and a dialing back, certainly after the second shooting 889 00:43:45,960 --> 00:43:49,799 Speaker 14: by Ice of alex Pretty in this case, and Tom 890 00:43:49,880 --> 00:43:55,000 Speaker 14: Homan's taking the reins of the situation in Minneapolis, and 891 00:43:55,239 --> 00:43:56,920 Speaker 14: so hopefully we're turning a corner. 892 00:43:57,200 --> 00:43:59,920 Speaker 1: So vic I think that the Democrats have walked themselves 893 00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:02,600 Speaker 1: into a corner, and by that I mean they're going 894 00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:06,560 Speaker 1: to defund DHS and TSA and everything else. Let everything 895 00:44:06,600 --> 00:44:10,200 Speaker 1: else go because they want to end administrative warrants, which 896 00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:13,600 Speaker 1: the Republicans will never agree to. Ought the Republicans to 897 00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:17,279 Speaker 1: offer them a deal they can't refuse. Other words, Hey, 898 00:44:17,719 --> 00:44:21,200 Speaker 1: we're going to end sanctuary cities, and we're going to 899 00:44:22,400 --> 00:44:26,279 Speaker 1: regularize Dreamers and people over fifty who've been here for 900 00:44:26,400 --> 00:44:28,920 Speaker 1: ten years. They may never vote, they don't, they're not 901 00:44:28,960 --> 00:44:32,000 Speaker 1: going to be citizens, not amnesty, but we're going to 902 00:44:32,080 --> 00:44:35,719 Speaker 1: continue to deport vigorously anyone who violates the law. And 903 00:44:35,800 --> 00:44:37,480 Speaker 1: we're going to pull the blue cards or the pink 904 00:44:37,560 --> 00:44:39,960 Speaker 1: cards or whatever we call them of anyone who gets 905 00:44:40,000 --> 00:44:42,359 Speaker 1: a regularization. In other words, make them an offer they 906 00:44:42,400 --> 00:44:45,120 Speaker 1: can't refuse. Do you think the Republicans are smart enough 907 00:44:45,200 --> 00:44:45,480 Speaker 1: to do that? 908 00:44:47,080 --> 00:44:49,279 Speaker 14: Well, I don't know if there's smart enough to do that, 909 00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:52,120 Speaker 14: but I think that's definitely what they should be doing. 910 00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:54,120 Speaker 5: I mean, obviously there has to be some give and 911 00:44:54,200 --> 00:44:54,640 Speaker 5: take here. 912 00:44:55,560 --> 00:44:57,520 Speaker 14: You know, you've seen these polls coming out, even the 913 00:44:57,560 --> 00:45:00,640 Speaker 14: Fox News polls, and a lot of people obviously still 914 00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:03,279 Speaker 14: very feel very strongly and are very supportive of the 915 00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:06,360 Speaker 14: president's actions along the border. But when it comes to 916 00:45:06,480 --> 00:45:10,160 Speaker 14: the deployment of ICE in such a broad scale. And 917 00:45:10,280 --> 00:45:13,680 Speaker 14: it's true the mainstream media have not been giving them 918 00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:16,960 Speaker 14: a positive portrayal videos that are taken and shared on 919 00:45:17,080 --> 00:45:19,880 Speaker 14: social media that can be easily taken out of context. 920 00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:22,239 Speaker 14: It doesn't help their case, but ICE doesn't help their 921 00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:25,040 Speaker 14: case as well in many of these situations. And so 922 00:45:25,200 --> 00:45:27,759 Speaker 14: I think that if they can find this middle ground, 923 00:45:27,800 --> 00:45:29,520 Speaker 14: as you're suggesting, that would be a good idea. The 924 00:45:29,600 --> 00:45:33,440 Speaker 14: problem is, Hugh, behind the scenes, there seems to be 925 00:45:33,560 --> 00:45:36,560 Speaker 14: some agreement when Tom Homan or other members of the 926 00:45:36,600 --> 00:45:41,520 Speaker 14: administration are talking to politicians in Minnesota and elsewhere, but 927 00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:44,520 Speaker 14: they don't want to actually admit that to the public 928 00:45:44,560 --> 00:45:46,960 Speaker 14: and to their supporters, because you know, there's a very 929 00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:50,320 Speaker 14: powerful element on the left that wants zero compromise, and 930 00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:52,520 Speaker 14: there are folks like that obviously on the right as 931 00:45:52,560 --> 00:45:53,800 Speaker 14: well that we have to deal with. 932 00:45:54,640 --> 00:45:58,120 Speaker 5: But that's what makes it very difficult. When you hear people, 933 00:45:58,760 --> 00:45:59,080 Speaker 5: you know, like. 934 00:45:59,160 --> 00:46:01,440 Speaker 14: Jacob Fry saying that I didn't agree to anything that 935 00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:05,200 Speaker 14: Tom Holman is talking about, but of course this is 936 00:46:05,280 --> 00:46:07,960 Speaker 14: what we want, I mean, And you hear people, for example, 937 00:46:08,080 --> 00:46:10,840 Speaker 14: Hugh on the left saying, well, why can't I just 938 00:46:10,960 --> 00:46:14,239 Speaker 14: go into the jails and just take them there instead. 939 00:46:13,920 --> 00:46:14,600 Speaker 5: Of going in public. 940 00:46:14,640 --> 00:46:18,040 Speaker 14: And that was obviously the original plan, but without police support, 941 00:46:18,080 --> 00:46:19,480 Speaker 14: it made their lives very difficult. 942 00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:23,120 Speaker 1: Well that's why, maybe I'm just naive. But if the 943 00:46:23,239 --> 00:46:27,200 Speaker 1: Republicans said, we're going to let the Dreamers stay, people 944 00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:30,600 Speaker 1: who were brought in under the age of sixteen or fifteen, 945 00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:33,640 Speaker 1: and they never can vote, but they can stay. And 946 00:46:33,719 --> 00:46:36,000 Speaker 1: we're going to let people over the age of sixty stay, 947 00:46:36,760 --> 00:46:40,920 Speaker 1: and other people apply, but you've got to agree to 948 00:46:41,160 --> 00:46:44,440 Speaker 1: defund sanctuary cities and they don't get any money for 949 00:46:44,560 --> 00:46:48,480 Speaker 1: anything until they start honoring detainers. Let the Democrats vote 950 00:46:48,480 --> 00:46:52,279 Speaker 1: against that, I mean, let them. That's so crazy that 951 00:46:52,680 --> 00:46:56,319 Speaker 1: I want to It requires some guile on the part 952 00:46:56,360 --> 00:46:58,880 Speaker 1: of Republicans to set them up. Do you think Republicans 953 00:46:58,920 --> 00:46:59,880 Speaker 1: have any guile in them? 954 00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:01,279 Speaker 10: Yeah? 955 00:47:01,440 --> 00:47:03,440 Speaker 5: No, I mean I think that's exactly right. You got 956 00:47:03,520 --> 00:47:05,600 Speaker 5: to put the ball back on their court. I don't know. 957 00:47:05,680 --> 00:47:07,839 Speaker 14: I mean, they're in a very delicate situation right now 958 00:47:07,920 --> 00:47:11,400 Speaker 14: with the partial shutdown, and there's these demands as you mentioned, to. 959 00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:13,840 Speaker 5: Defund ICE, but of course ICE is generally funded in 960 00:47:14,000 --> 00:47:15,399 Speaker 5: the center. 961 00:47:15,520 --> 00:47:18,160 Speaker 1: Kind just told me that they're funded for like three years. 962 00:47:19,239 --> 00:47:19,920 Speaker 5: Yeah, that's right. 963 00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:22,680 Speaker 14: And so what they're asking for now in the sort 964 00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:25,200 Speaker 14: of they still want to say defund ice the way 965 00:47:25,239 --> 00:47:28,040 Speaker 14: they wanted to say, you know, defund the police, you know, 966 00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:30,759 Speaker 14: back in twenty twenty. But what they really want to 967 00:47:30,800 --> 00:47:32,920 Speaker 14: do now is maybe dial it back and say, well, 968 00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:35,640 Speaker 14: what we want is more accountability and we want some 969 00:47:36,040 --> 00:47:38,200 Speaker 14: reforms to ICE. We don't want to defund ice. So 970 00:47:38,280 --> 00:47:40,439 Speaker 14: that's sort of the fine line they're trying to walk 971 00:47:40,560 --> 00:47:44,000 Speaker 14: right now. But again that that's going to be very 972 00:47:44,360 --> 00:47:45,279 Speaker 14: difficult to pull off. 973 00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:48,400 Speaker 1: I think, so Vic matis to conclude, I am to 974 00:47:48,480 --> 00:47:53,080 Speaker 1: look for my next Getting Hammered episode on Wednesday. Is 975 00:47:53,160 --> 00:47:53,920 Speaker 1: that what you're telling me? 976 00:47:55,120 --> 00:47:56,759 Speaker 14: That is correct to you, and I can guarantee you 977 00:47:56,800 --> 00:47:59,680 Speaker 14: we'll have a good chunk on why a lot of 978 00:47:59,719 --> 00:48:03,239 Speaker 14: play in the Northeast in the Middle Atlantics. 979 00:48:02,760 --> 00:48:05,719 Speaker 5: Have had no school for over like a week, going 980 00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:06,839 Speaker 5: on a week and a half. 981 00:48:07,360 --> 00:48:08,320 Speaker 1: And what do they me. 982 00:48:08,440 --> 00:48:11,920 Speaker 14: I know, they're all democratic controlled and there's no accountability. 983 00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:14,400 Speaker 14: You know, this is the problem when you have you know, 984 00:48:14,480 --> 00:48:17,600 Speaker 14: it's one party government. My grandkids haven't seen a school in. 985 00:48:17,640 --> 00:48:21,800 Speaker 1: Two weeks, and boys, their mom mad so absolutely absurd. 986 00:48:22,200 --> 00:48:23,280 Speaker 5: It is it is absurd. 987 00:48:23,400 --> 00:48:26,560 Speaker 1: I used to walk through both ways uphill blah blah blah. 988 00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:30,359 Speaker 1: Schools were open after one day. You got one snow day. 989 00:48:30,400 --> 00:48:30,800 Speaker 14: That was it. 990 00:48:31,000 --> 00:48:34,279 Speaker 1: Yeah, Vic Madis, what's it? Thank you? Follow him on 991 00:48:34,480 --> 00:48:37,720 Speaker 1: that to Victor Reno Madis, go sign up for Getting 992 00:48:37,800 --> 00:48:41,520 Speaker 1: Hammered and I'm going to have Danielle reroute you to Thursdays. 993 00:48:41,560 --> 00:48:43,600 Speaker 1: I can't talk about the Getting Hammered episode when it 994 00:48:43,680 --> 00:48:46,759 Speaker 1: comes out. Stay tuned in America. I'm cut Hi, it's you, Hewitt. 995 00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:49,440 Speaker 1: You've heard me talk a lot about Consumer Celluler, how 996 00:48:49,480 --> 00:48:52,239 Speaker 1: you can switch your carrier and save money without sacrifice. 997 00:48:52,680 --> 00:48:56,320 Speaker 1: That's because Consumer Cellular uses the same towers as the 998 00:48:56,400 --> 00:48:59,279 Speaker 1: major carrier. You'll save money every month on your bill 999 00:49:00,040 --> 00:49:03,000 Speaker 1: having to sacrifice the quality of coverage. Right now, you 1000 00:49:03,080 --> 00:49:06,120 Speaker 1: get your second month free, plus Folks over fifty get 1001 00:49:06,120 --> 00:49:08,640 Speaker 1: two lines of unlimited talk, text and data for sixty 1002 00:49:08,680 --> 00:49:11,520 Speaker 1: dollars a month. 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I just almost missed talking to Revive 1020 00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:15,839 Speaker 1: had Reddy Gore today because I was listening to Vive 1021 00:50:15,880 --> 00:50:19,040 Speaker 1: Reddy Gore in his most recent asked Kaviv Anything, talking 1022 00:50:19,160 --> 00:50:21,279 Speaker 1: with one of the more interesting people I've never heard 1023 00:50:21,360 --> 00:50:25,359 Speaker 1: before on the program, Professor Dan Shifton. Haveviv, of course, 1024 00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:28,000 Speaker 1: is the host of Ask Kaviv Anything. He's the Middle 1025 00:50:28,000 --> 00:50:30,880 Speaker 1: East analyst for the free Press, and I was listening 1026 00:50:30,920 --> 00:50:35,480 Speaker 1: to ask Aviv anything, and Professor Shifton had me somewhat entranced. Aviv. 1027 00:50:35,520 --> 00:50:36,600 Speaker 1: How long have you known him? 1028 00:50:39,400 --> 00:50:42,520 Speaker 3: Twenty years? He was the head of the National Security 1029 00:50:42,560 --> 00:50:44,280 Speaker 3: Institute at the university. 1030 00:50:44,360 --> 00:50:47,239 Speaker 2: He still runs or teaches in their graduate program, and 1031 00:50:47,560 --> 00:50:51,760 Speaker 2: he has advised prime ministers on national security questions since Sharon, 1032 00:50:51,880 --> 00:50:55,000 Speaker 2: since Robbing, since he was a young man, a young analyst. 1033 00:50:55,239 --> 00:50:57,840 Speaker 1: So what struck me about him is he might be 1034 00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:01,560 Speaker 1: stuck in the past when Turkey wasn't real problem. Did 1035 00:51:01,640 --> 00:51:03,799 Speaker 1: you walk away from that conversation thinking that. 1036 00:51:07,120 --> 00:51:11,120 Speaker 2: I? In other words, he argued that Turkey is absolutely 1037 00:51:11,239 --> 00:51:15,040 Speaker 2: Israel's currently pre eminent regional adversary, but that there's no 1038 00:51:15,160 --> 00:51:17,920 Speaker 2: danger of actual kinetic war, right, that's what he said. 1039 00:51:18,040 --> 00:51:21,279 Speaker 3: I yeah, I would say he is. 1040 00:51:21,680 --> 00:51:23,920 Speaker 2: He is trying to set off alarm bells about Turkey. 1041 00:51:23,960 --> 00:51:25,600 Speaker 2: He's not the only one that that's very clear to 1042 00:51:25,680 --> 00:51:26,520 Speaker 2: Israeli officials. 1043 00:51:28,320 --> 00:51:29,320 Speaker 3: I buy it. 1044 00:51:29,560 --> 00:51:30,000 Speaker 5: I buy it. 1045 00:51:30,160 --> 00:51:33,640 Speaker 2: I buy his argument that if Turkey goes to kinetic 1046 00:51:33,719 --> 00:51:36,919 Speaker 2: war with Israel through the you know, reairly Syrian border, 1047 00:51:36,960 --> 00:51:40,080 Speaker 2: basically Syria is now basically a puppet of Turkey, that 1048 00:51:40,200 --> 00:51:43,680 Speaker 2: that would fundamentally change Israel, fundamentally change Turkey. 1049 00:51:44,120 --> 00:51:48,400 Speaker 3: It would be an event re ordering, you know, the global. 1050 00:51:48,160 --> 00:51:51,080 Speaker 2: Landscape, certainly the Middle East, because Turkey has one of 1051 00:51:51,120 --> 00:51:53,239 Speaker 2: the largest armies in the world. 1052 00:51:53,280 --> 00:51:54,319 Speaker 3: I think it's in the top ten. 1053 00:51:54,600 --> 00:51:56,600 Speaker 2: A million men under arms, if I'm not mistake, in 1054 00:51:56,640 --> 00:51:59,239 Speaker 2: two thousand tags, a navy three times the size of 1055 00:51:59,320 --> 00:52:03,680 Speaker 2: Israel's navy. But Israel has a much smarter army with 1056 00:52:03,800 --> 00:52:06,279 Speaker 2: better firepower. It has the F thirty five's as most 1057 00:52:06,320 --> 00:52:09,360 Speaker 2: of Turkey's of eighteen's or F sixteens. It would be 1058 00:52:10,160 --> 00:52:13,360 Speaker 2: a disaster, a catastrophe for the region, a catastrophe for 1059 00:52:13,400 --> 00:52:13,960 Speaker 2: both countries. 1060 00:52:14,840 --> 00:52:17,440 Speaker 3: Really doesn't think Turkey would would check. 1061 00:52:17,480 --> 00:52:20,560 Speaker 1: They would maybe have an air forces of NATO, maybe 1062 00:52:20,719 --> 00:52:25,359 Speaker 1: overwhelm the Israeli Air Force. The Israeli Defense Air Force 1063 00:52:25,480 --> 00:52:28,080 Speaker 1: is amazing, but Turkey's got a lot of planes that 1064 00:52:28,200 --> 00:52:29,960 Speaker 1: come out in NATO. They don't. I don't think they 1065 00:52:30,000 --> 00:52:31,759 Speaker 1: have the F thirty five because we wouldn't sell it 1066 00:52:31,840 --> 00:52:33,640 Speaker 1: to them because they had the Soviet system. So they're 1067 00:52:33,640 --> 00:52:36,280 Speaker 1: getting rid of the Soviet system. But I was imagining 1068 00:52:36,280 --> 00:52:38,880 Speaker 1: as I listened to you, if they get Al Shara 1069 00:52:39,560 --> 00:52:42,680 Speaker 1: to provoke a fight with you, and then they supply 1070 00:52:42,800 --> 00:52:45,600 Speaker 1: them without the little little gray men from Turkey. What 1071 00:52:45,680 --> 00:52:48,440 Speaker 1: would Israel do if they knew it was actually Turks fighting, 1072 00:52:49,040 --> 00:52:50,200 Speaker 1: not Syrians fighting. 1073 00:52:52,680 --> 00:52:55,520 Speaker 2: We've had this question asked about Russia. Russia was the 1074 00:52:55,640 --> 00:52:59,279 Speaker 2: main was a major, major umbrella of that US said 1075 00:52:59,360 --> 00:53:01,920 Speaker 2: that allowed out said to do what he did to Syria, 1076 00:53:02,040 --> 00:53:04,960 Speaker 2: and if I provided him the air cover and intelligence 1077 00:53:05,040 --> 00:53:07,359 Speaker 2: help and really what served as his air force during 1078 00:53:07,400 --> 00:53:08,759 Speaker 2: the Syrian Civil War, and. 1079 00:53:08,840 --> 00:53:10,600 Speaker 3: Israel desperately didn't want to have. 1080 00:53:11,320 --> 00:53:15,040 Speaker 2: A military engagement with Russia, with the Russian military, And 1081 00:53:15,360 --> 00:53:17,759 Speaker 2: what ended up happening was Israel and Russia developed very 1082 00:53:17,800 --> 00:53:20,800 Speaker 2: close cooperation and Israel could bomb what it needed to 1083 00:53:20,880 --> 00:53:23,600 Speaker 2: bomb in Syria, and even if it was Asad's own 1084 00:53:23,640 --> 00:53:26,840 Speaker 2: military forces, if they were, for example, helping Iran, you know, 1085 00:53:27,000 --> 00:53:30,600 Speaker 2: ship missiles to Chasbella. Well, Russia helped outside, but didn't 1086 00:53:30,680 --> 00:53:33,799 Speaker 2: touch the Israelis the coordination, it was complicated. 1087 00:53:34,040 --> 00:53:36,799 Speaker 3: I suspect that that's what will happen if that happens here. 1088 00:53:37,200 --> 00:53:41,040 Speaker 1: So he did not sound alarmed at the end. I'm 1089 00:53:41,160 --> 00:53:43,680 Speaker 1: very alarmed by what's going on in Syria. Would you 1090 00:53:43,840 --> 00:53:48,880 Speaker 1: guess the average member of both parties leadership left and right, center, 1091 00:53:49,040 --> 00:53:51,680 Speaker 1: left and center right are very alarmed by what's going 1092 00:53:51,719 --> 00:53:54,759 Speaker 1: on in Syria. They're murdering the Kurage we're getting out 1093 00:53:54,760 --> 00:53:58,839 Speaker 1: of there. President Trump does not care about it. What's 1094 00:53:58,880 --> 00:54:03,560 Speaker 1: the level of concern in Israel about al Shara? Yeah? 1095 00:54:03,600 --> 00:54:04,160 Speaker 3: Absolutely. 1096 00:54:04,520 --> 00:54:08,239 Speaker 2: You know, the debate over whether he is moderate is 1097 00:54:08,280 --> 00:54:09,800 Speaker 2: a debate with a huge asterisk. 1098 00:54:09,960 --> 00:54:12,320 Speaker 3: The man is al Kaieda, he was formerly al Qaeda. 1099 00:54:12,680 --> 00:54:14,960 Speaker 2: I don't think his relationship with his God and his 1100 00:54:15,200 --> 00:54:19,000 Speaker 2: and his Qoran has changed fundamentally. I do think that 1101 00:54:19,120 --> 00:54:23,200 Speaker 2: he has tremendous benefits to be gleaned from being moderate, 1102 00:54:24,040 --> 00:54:26,680 Speaker 2: until he has benefits to be gleaned from not being moderated. 1103 00:54:26,800 --> 00:54:27,799 Speaker 3: Very similar to aired one. 1104 00:54:28,040 --> 00:54:31,720 Speaker 2: Aired One is the president of a serious major country, 1105 00:54:31,760 --> 00:54:34,120 Speaker 2: a NATO member. He has a lot of benefits to 1106 00:54:34,200 --> 00:54:37,360 Speaker 2: be gleaned from not becoming, you know, going down the 1107 00:54:37,400 --> 00:54:40,440 Speaker 2: path of Muslim brotherhood in Egypt or in places like 1108 00:54:40,520 --> 00:54:42,760 Speaker 2: Somalia where they demolish their own countries. 1109 00:54:43,360 --> 00:54:45,160 Speaker 3: But that doesn't you know, but that doesn't mean he 1110 00:54:45,239 --> 00:54:47,040 Speaker 3: doesn't he's not going to ultimately take the country there. 1111 00:54:47,080 --> 00:54:49,680 Speaker 2: Turkey is not the democracy it was ten years ago, 1112 00:54:49,719 --> 00:54:51,680 Speaker 2: and in ten years from now, it will not be 1113 00:54:51,800 --> 00:54:54,160 Speaker 2: the democracy it is today. And so Turkey is on 1114 00:54:54,280 --> 00:54:57,239 Speaker 2: the decline, will continue to decline, and they're going to 1115 00:54:57,360 --> 00:54:57,680 Speaker 2: try and. 1116 00:54:59,360 --> 00:55:02,600 Speaker 3: Look moderate the whole time to not create blowback in 1117 00:55:02,680 --> 00:55:03,120 Speaker 3: the system. 1118 00:55:03,200 --> 00:55:06,759 Speaker 2: So I don't trust the Shara, and Turkey has its 1119 00:55:06,800 --> 00:55:09,839 Speaker 2: way in Syria anyway, and so this needs to start 1120 00:55:09,880 --> 00:55:12,480 Speaker 2: treating Syria I think as part of Turkey and as 1121 00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:14,160 Speaker 2: part of its major regional adversary. 1122 00:55:14,640 --> 00:55:17,400 Speaker 1: I agree with every word of that. Don't go anywhere, America. 1123 00:55:17,400 --> 00:55:20,200 Speaker 1: I'm gonna come right back with Aviv Reddy Gore. We're 1124 00:55:20,200 --> 00:55:23,040 Speaker 1: gonnask him about Iran in the longer segment today, because 1125 00:55:23,040 --> 00:55:26,680 Speaker 1: of course that's just go listen to the professor and 1126 00:55:26,719 --> 00:55:30,319 Speaker 1: Aviv talk at Ask Aviv anything. Join his patreon by 1127 00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:32,200 Speaker 1: the way, it's the only patreon of which I am 1128 00:55:32,239 --> 00:55:36,680 Speaker 1: a member. I don't actually join in the discussions over there. 1129 00:55:36,719 --> 00:55:39,120 Speaker 1: I just want to keep Aviv producing more. Asked a 1130 00:55:39,200 --> 00:55:41,440 Speaker 1: Viv anything and read him at the Free Press. I'll 1131 00:55:41,440 --> 00:55:43,200 Speaker 1: be right back with Aviv. Well, you can follow our 1132 00:55:43,239 --> 00:55:46,760 Speaker 1: next by the way at pat Aviv Reddick Gore. Stay tuned. 1133 00:55:50,200 --> 00:55:53,360 Speaker 1: Welcome back, American, Back with Aviv Reddick Gore. He is 1134 00:55:53,440 --> 00:55:56,120 Speaker 1: the Middle East analyst for the Free Press. He's also 1135 00:55:56,280 --> 00:55:59,200 Speaker 1: the host of ask Aviv Anything, a podcast you should 1136 00:55:59,239 --> 00:56:03,160 Speaker 1: be listening to. He has a patreon, Askaviv Anything, which 1137 00:56:03,160 --> 00:56:05,640 Speaker 1: you should support so we get more. Ask Kaviv Anything. 1138 00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:10,480 Speaker 1: Widely regarded as among the top three or four analysts 1139 00:56:10,640 --> 00:56:14,040 Speaker 1: working in Israel today Aviv. Everyone is trying to guess 1140 00:56:14,360 --> 00:56:16,640 Speaker 1: what Iran is going to do in the United States 1141 00:56:16,800 --> 00:56:19,160 Speaker 1: is going to do, But I haven't asked any Israelis 1142 00:56:19,239 --> 00:56:21,719 Speaker 1: yet what they think is going to happen there. What 1143 00:56:21,840 --> 00:56:23,040 Speaker 1: do you think is going to happen? 1144 00:56:23,080 --> 00:56:30,440 Speaker 2: Then Iran is desperately trying to avoid anything happening. It 1145 00:56:30,560 --> 00:56:33,879 Speaker 2: has such a huge problem in house. It has lost 1146 00:56:33,960 --> 00:56:37,439 Speaker 2: fundamental legitimacy. It's not just because of the June war, 1147 00:56:38,160 --> 00:56:40,240 Speaker 2: with the war with Israel and of course the American 1148 00:56:40,280 --> 00:56:41,040 Speaker 2: strike on Florida. 1149 00:56:41,480 --> 00:56:43,959 Speaker 3: It's not just that it has been for about fifteen years. 1150 00:56:44,040 --> 00:56:48,120 Speaker 2: We've seen public protests that have been escalating, the early 1151 00:56:48,239 --> 00:56:50,840 Speaker 2: protests against the regime. It's a regime in power forty 1152 00:56:50,920 --> 00:56:53,520 Speaker 2: seven years, right, and it has kind of driven the 1153 00:56:53,520 --> 00:56:55,719 Speaker 2: Iranian economy into the dirt. I mean, people should google 1154 00:56:55,760 --> 00:56:59,040 Speaker 2: the Gdpeper capital of Iran. It's third world, even though 1155 00:56:59,239 --> 00:57:02,200 Speaker 2: it sits on some of the largest hydrocarbon reserves on Earth. 1156 00:57:02,960 --> 00:57:07,200 Speaker 2: And we've seen over the last fifteen years protests, and 1157 00:57:07,280 --> 00:57:10,480 Speaker 2: they started out small sactoral, and they started out by 1158 00:57:10,520 --> 00:57:13,320 Speaker 2: people demanding, for example, that their vote be counted, because 1159 00:57:13,320 --> 00:57:14,960 Speaker 2: in two thousand and nine the election was said to 1160 00:57:15,000 --> 00:57:17,280 Speaker 2: be rigged to get at Ladina jov In power. It 1161 00:57:17,360 --> 00:57:20,200 Speaker 2: started out with people engaging the region demanding their rights 1162 00:57:20,200 --> 00:57:22,960 Speaker 2: from the regime. Now it's about tearing down the regime. 1163 00:57:23,040 --> 00:57:25,640 Speaker 2: And they're much more massive, and they're not sectoral, and 1164 00:57:25,760 --> 00:57:28,480 Speaker 2: the economy is just in a state of disaster with 1165 00:57:28,760 --> 00:57:32,200 Speaker 2: electricity shortages and water shortages. The Iranian regime has a 1166 00:57:32,600 --> 00:57:38,480 Speaker 2: profound foundational legitimacy crisis internally. And the question is can 1167 00:57:38,560 --> 00:57:41,640 Speaker 2: it afford now to continue that kind of belligerent attitude, 1168 00:57:41,880 --> 00:57:44,760 Speaker 2: the unbelievably expensive belligerent attitude it's had in the region, 1169 00:57:45,280 --> 00:57:47,920 Speaker 2: especially when the Israelis cleaned their clocks so easily. For 1170 00:57:48,000 --> 00:57:50,440 Speaker 2: forty seven years, they've been preparing the destruction of Israel, 1171 00:57:50,680 --> 00:57:52,800 Speaker 2: and in twelve days, the Israelis wiped them out, and 1172 00:57:52,880 --> 00:57:55,720 Speaker 2: the Iranian Air Force couldn't even fly against the Israelis, 1173 00:57:56,040 --> 00:58:02,600 Speaker 2: so they are desperate to avoid a Trump airstrike, more attacks. 1174 00:58:04,200 --> 00:58:07,920 Speaker 2: Hamina disappeared, disappeared for the majority of the last eight months, 1175 00:58:08,320 --> 00:58:10,480 Speaker 2: literally wasn't seen. He had this big show of showing 1176 00:58:10,520 --> 00:58:14,600 Speaker 2: his face last week, and now he's disappeared again. He's terrified, 1177 00:58:15,040 --> 00:58:17,200 Speaker 2: and so they're trying to avoid it, and they're trying 1178 00:58:17,280 --> 00:58:21,240 Speaker 2: to move as many other issues off their plate because 1179 00:58:21,240 --> 00:58:24,200 Speaker 2: they have to survive these protests and this legitimacy crisis, 1180 00:58:24,440 --> 00:58:27,840 Speaker 2: especially after massacring apparently around thirty thousand of their own people. 1181 00:58:28,400 --> 00:58:30,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, I've been listening to a book Empire of Evil 1182 00:58:30,840 --> 00:58:35,160 Speaker 1: by Mark Zelensky on the I mean Revolutionary Guard Corps 1183 00:58:35,200 --> 00:58:38,600 Speaker 1: i RGC. They're not going to change. They're going to 1184 00:58:38,680 --> 00:58:40,280 Speaker 1: stay who they are. And we saw who they were 1185 00:58:40,360 --> 00:58:43,200 Speaker 1: on January ninth when they murdered thirty eight thousand people. 1186 00:58:43,760 --> 00:58:46,880 Speaker 1: And I've set people to look at him. Meet Segaal's 1187 00:58:48,240 --> 00:58:50,760 Speaker 1: site today because he has a video of a besie. 1188 00:58:50,800 --> 00:58:53,200 Speaker 1: He's just executing a young man who's holding trying to 1189 00:58:53,280 --> 00:58:55,560 Speaker 1: keep them out. It's like a college kid. He's a 1190 00:58:55,600 --> 00:58:58,200 Speaker 1: high school kid. So they murdered thirty five thousand high 1191 00:58:58,200 --> 00:59:01,200 Speaker 1: school kids. That's who they are. I don't think they 1192 00:59:01,280 --> 00:59:04,400 Speaker 1: can back down. They'll never give up their ballistic missiles right. 1193 00:59:08,120 --> 00:59:11,240 Speaker 2: No, they'll They'll never give up anything unless forced to 1194 00:59:11,480 --> 00:59:15,600 Speaker 2: at the last. And they will never change, and they 1195 00:59:15,600 --> 00:59:16,520 Speaker 2: will never release their. 1196 00:59:16,480 --> 00:59:17,240 Speaker 3: Grip on power. 1197 00:59:18,040 --> 00:59:20,520 Speaker 2: The only way to get any change in Iran is 1198 00:59:20,600 --> 00:59:23,680 Speaker 2: to have such immense levers of influence over the regime 1199 00:59:24,200 --> 00:59:27,640 Speaker 2: terrify it literally existentially to get it to change. But 1200 00:59:27,720 --> 00:59:30,720 Speaker 2: once you've reached that point where you can terrify it existentially, 1201 00:59:31,360 --> 00:59:34,760 Speaker 2: whant to just make the killing blow. And so the 1202 00:59:34,800 --> 00:59:38,280 Speaker 2: Iranian regime is all it is. It will murder half 1203 00:59:38,320 --> 00:59:39,600 Speaker 2: of Iran on its way down. 1204 00:59:40,000 --> 00:59:40,960 Speaker 3: It is committed to it. 1205 00:59:41,080 --> 00:59:44,120 Speaker 2: It is of the kind it's different from Hamas, it's 1206 00:59:44,120 --> 00:59:47,440 Speaker 2: different from Belign some slight ways is very close to it. 1207 00:59:47,560 --> 00:59:51,680 Speaker 2: It's actually basically a branch of the IRGC, but it 1208 00:59:51,800 --> 00:59:54,680 Speaker 2: is of a type with other Islamist organizations like those 1209 00:59:54,760 --> 00:59:56,720 Speaker 2: in the sense that it is utterly suicidal. 1210 00:59:57,160 --> 00:59:59,000 Speaker 3: It will bring Iranian society. 1211 00:59:59,360 --> 01:00:00,680 Speaker 1: I agree with that. So I want to tell you 1212 01:00:00,760 --> 01:00:02,120 Speaker 1: what I think is going to happen and have you 1213 01:00:02,240 --> 01:00:05,600 Speaker 1: critique it, which is I think President Trump is waiting 1214 01:00:05,680 --> 01:00:09,040 Speaker 1: for the THAD batteries to deploy in every possible air 1215 01:00:09,120 --> 01:00:11,560 Speaker 1: defense weapon to get to Israel and our other Golf 1216 01:00:11,640 --> 01:00:14,960 Speaker 1: count Cooperation Council allies, and then we're going to begin 1217 01:00:15,040 --> 01:00:18,600 Speaker 1: a campaign to end that regime by bombing, not unlike 1218 01:00:18,640 --> 01:00:21,480 Speaker 1: that that was in Serbia, not unlike that that was 1219 01:00:21,560 --> 01:00:24,360 Speaker 1: in Libya, only this time with better precision, better bombing, 1220 01:00:24,680 --> 01:00:27,080 Speaker 1: better weapons. And that will go on as long as 1221 01:00:27,080 --> 01:00:28,919 Speaker 1: it takes to go on for them to cry uncle. 1222 01:00:29,160 --> 01:00:30,960 Speaker 1: That's what I think is going to happen. What do 1223 01:00:31,040 --> 01:00:35,200 Speaker 1: you think, Gosh? 1224 01:00:35,240 --> 01:00:39,160 Speaker 3: I hope so, Hugh, you talked to the president. I 1225 01:00:39,240 --> 01:00:40,240 Speaker 3: don't talk to the president. 1226 01:00:40,800 --> 01:00:44,480 Speaker 2: I very much hope that that sense of American intentions 1227 01:00:44,960 --> 01:00:46,520 Speaker 2: is what's going to happen. One of the things that 1228 01:00:46,600 --> 01:00:49,320 Speaker 2: we've seen on Iran from this White House is the 1229 01:00:49,400 --> 01:00:53,960 Speaker 2: ability to do very good misdirection without leaks, very clever. 1230 01:00:54,120 --> 01:00:55,800 Speaker 2: You know, the airplanes are flying in the wrong direction 1231 01:00:55,880 --> 01:00:57,120 Speaker 2: and then suddenly the bomb lands. 1232 01:00:57,400 --> 01:00:59,439 Speaker 3: We saw that in the attack in June. 1233 01:01:00,760 --> 01:01:03,120 Speaker 2: So the fact that President Trump's preparing the bomb doesn't 1234 01:01:03,160 --> 01:01:05,200 Speaker 2: necessarily mean he's going to do it. And the fact 1235 01:01:05,240 --> 01:01:07,400 Speaker 2: that and if we see him starting to pull back 1236 01:01:07,480 --> 01:01:09,640 Speaker 2: the forces, that might be the moment he does it. 1237 01:01:09,880 --> 01:01:12,040 Speaker 2: We've already seen him act in those ways, and the 1238 01:01:12,080 --> 01:01:15,360 Speaker 2: Iranians miscalculated several times with him, and so I think 1239 01:01:15,400 --> 01:01:18,400 Speaker 2: now that they're very, very wary and afraid. I tend 1240 01:01:18,440 --> 01:01:20,000 Speaker 2: to agree with you. You know, we've heard from the 1241 01:01:20,080 --> 01:01:25,600 Speaker 2: Saudis a sense of real desperate vulnerability. Iran's ability to 1242 01:01:26,080 --> 01:01:28,440 Speaker 2: hit Israel it exists. It's important. 1243 01:01:28,480 --> 01:01:28,800 Speaker 3: They could. 1244 01:01:28,880 --> 01:01:32,680 Speaker 2: They could wipe out city blocks in Israeli cities, but 1245 01:01:32,880 --> 01:01:35,720 Speaker 2: they can't do more than that. Whereas their ability to 1246 01:01:35,840 --> 01:01:39,400 Speaker 2: shatter the entirety of the Saudi oil spase and in 1247 01:01:39,560 --> 01:01:42,960 Speaker 2: economy is they have that shorter range, they have many 1248 01:01:43,000 --> 01:01:45,000 Speaker 2: many more missiles. The Arsenal is much larger than their 1249 01:01:45,120 --> 01:01:47,760 Speaker 2: larger range missiles that they need to attack Israel. And 1250 01:01:47,960 --> 01:01:52,640 Speaker 2: so the Saudis are absolutely terrified. And the Saudis are saying, apparently, okay, 1251 01:01:52,720 --> 01:01:55,880 Speaker 2: we're hearing this from leaks and secondary sources. They're saying, 1252 01:01:56,720 --> 01:02:00,680 Speaker 2: please please, please take him out, please please please attacked us. 1253 01:02:00,720 --> 01:02:01,360 Speaker 5: When you do it. 1254 01:02:01,880 --> 01:02:04,320 Speaker 2: And so that what you just described makes perfect sense, 1255 01:02:04,360 --> 01:02:06,080 Speaker 2: And the fact that it's coming from you tells me 1256 01:02:06,240 --> 01:02:09,240 Speaker 2: maybe there's maybe that is If that makes sense to you, 1257 01:02:09,400 --> 01:02:10,000 Speaker 2: that makes sense to me. 1258 01:02:10,160 --> 01:02:13,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, don't overestimate how much I know. I don't know much. 1259 01:02:13,400 --> 01:02:17,880 Speaker 1: I expected him to go much sooner than this, and 1260 01:02:18,040 --> 01:02:21,880 Speaker 1: then the delay happened. But I the way that I 1261 01:02:22,000 --> 01:02:23,640 Speaker 1: read Trump as he says he and then not a 1262 01:02:23,840 --> 01:02:25,400 Speaker 1: B and then not be and then he does Z. 1263 01:02:26,000 --> 01:02:29,240 Speaker 1: So it's it's completely possible that nothing will happen. But 1264 01:02:30,120 --> 01:02:33,160 Speaker 1: for him to have to risk a comparison with President 1265 01:02:33,240 --> 01:02:37,160 Speaker 1: Obama is I think for him existential political peril and 1266 01:02:37,320 --> 01:02:40,800 Speaker 1: historical peril. We got a minute to break, So I'm 1267 01:02:40,840 --> 01:02:42,760 Speaker 1: going to give your credit and come back and ask 1268 01:02:42,880 --> 01:02:46,240 Speaker 1: you do you think he risks comparison with President Obama? 1269 01:02:46,360 --> 01:02:48,840 Speaker 1: If he doesn't, ask, don't go anywhere America. I'm going 1270 01:02:48,880 --> 01:02:51,479 Speaker 1: to wrap up today's show talking to a viv Ready Gore. 1271 01:02:52,280 --> 01:02:54,919 Speaker 1: Welcome back to America. I'm Hugh Ewett. The close today's show. 1272 01:02:55,000 --> 01:02:57,640 Speaker 1: Havevive Reddy Gore has stuck around. You can find him 1273 01:02:57,680 --> 01:03:00,480 Speaker 1: at the Free Press. You can find him at vivetter 1274 01:03:00,600 --> 01:03:02,800 Speaker 1: Gore on X and you ought to listen to ask 1275 01:03:03,000 --> 01:03:08,120 Speaker 1: Aviv anything that's his podcast. Join his Patreon community aviv. 1276 01:03:08,280 --> 01:03:11,760 Speaker 1: If in fact, we're hammering Iran and we're doing our 1277 01:03:11,840 --> 01:03:16,800 Speaker 1: best to save damage to Saudi Arabia, UAE and Israel. 1278 01:03:16,840 --> 01:03:19,760 Speaker 1: And it's going well. Because when we want to hammer someone, 1279 01:03:19,840 --> 01:03:22,200 Speaker 1: we're using the b toos. We can hammer someone a lot. 1280 01:03:22,800 --> 01:03:27,200 Speaker 1: What happens in Iran afterwards, if in fact the regime falls, 1281 01:03:27,520 --> 01:03:28,920 Speaker 1: what do you expect? What happened? 1282 01:03:31,040 --> 01:03:35,919 Speaker 2: This is the multi billion dollar question. Nobody knows. Nobody knows. 1283 01:03:36,080 --> 01:03:36,960 Speaker 2: Iranians don't know. 1284 01:03:37,480 --> 01:03:39,960 Speaker 3: The Iranian regime itself doesn't know who would replace it. 1285 01:03:40,240 --> 01:03:42,840 Speaker 2: It has spent forty seven years doing nothing but destroying 1286 01:03:42,920 --> 01:03:46,680 Speaker 2: all basis of power that could possibly replace it. There 1287 01:03:46,720 --> 01:03:49,320 Speaker 2: are a great many Iranians apparently, it's hard to measure 1288 01:03:49,360 --> 01:03:52,080 Speaker 2: these things. There's chaos, there's internet blackouts. A great many 1289 01:03:52,120 --> 01:03:54,240 Speaker 2: Iranians are hoping the king, the son of the of 1290 01:03:54,280 --> 01:03:58,080 Speaker 2: the Shaw, returns Raza Palavi, even just in a symbolic role, 1291 01:03:58,200 --> 01:04:00,720 Speaker 2: just as a kind of a kind of you know, 1292 01:04:01,440 --> 01:04:04,000 Speaker 2: totem around which you can organize the rest of politics. 1293 01:04:04,040 --> 01:04:07,400 Speaker 2: So not even not even as a constitutional monarch specifically, 1294 01:04:07,480 --> 01:04:10,200 Speaker 2: but as some organizing principle around which you can build 1295 01:04:10,200 --> 01:04:10,800 Speaker 2: a replacement. 1296 01:04:11,160 --> 01:04:13,880 Speaker 3: Who has the power to do it? Nobody? And what 1297 01:04:13,960 --> 01:04:17,640 Speaker 3: does that tell you? It tells you that elements of 1298 01:04:17,720 --> 01:04:19,560 Speaker 3: the regime will replace the regime. 1299 01:04:19,880 --> 01:04:23,080 Speaker 2: Yes, this is a bad thing because what we had, 1300 01:04:23,120 --> 01:04:26,520 Speaker 2: for example in Russia, Russia falls, the Soviet Union falls, 1301 01:04:26,880 --> 01:04:28,880 Speaker 2: and what replaces it is this Yeltsin. 1302 01:04:28,960 --> 01:04:29,160 Speaker 3: Guy. 1303 01:04:29,560 --> 01:04:32,880 Speaker 2: Now Yeltin builds out a democracy that isn't really a democracy, 1304 01:04:32,920 --> 01:04:36,000 Speaker 2: it's a klyptocracy that guts the economy and doesn't actually 1305 01:04:36,040 --> 01:04:39,720 Speaker 2: set Russia on a new path toward the competent, serious democracy. 1306 01:04:40,120 --> 01:04:43,680 Speaker 2: And then the return of the Soviet Union in the 1307 01:04:43,720 --> 01:04:46,080 Speaker 2: midst of all that chaos. And if Yeltsin's an ability 1308 01:04:46,120 --> 01:04:50,200 Speaker 2: to run Russia, you basically have a KGB retaking. 1309 01:04:49,920 --> 01:04:52,840 Speaker 3: To bring order, and that is Putin and his group 1310 01:04:52,920 --> 01:04:53,560 Speaker 3: of about I don't know. 1311 01:04:53,640 --> 01:04:57,480 Speaker 2: Ten fifteen former KGB colonels who basically have run Russia 1312 01:04:57,520 --> 01:05:00,280 Speaker 2: ever since. And so you could see a kind of 1313 01:05:00,520 --> 01:05:06,120 Speaker 2: de islamized IRGC infrastructure or de Islamized running an army infrastructure, 1314 01:05:06,640 --> 01:05:09,840 Speaker 2: retaking the regime after Now, if that happens, last point, 1315 01:05:10,240 --> 01:05:11,800 Speaker 2: that's not necessarily a terrible thing. 1316 01:05:11,920 --> 01:05:12,320 Speaker 1: I agree. 1317 01:05:12,920 --> 01:05:18,040 Speaker 2: A Western oriented dictatorship can democratize. 1318 01:05:18,280 --> 01:05:20,880 Speaker 3: That's what South Korea's story is all about. That's what 1319 01:05:21,080 --> 01:05:23,200 Speaker 3: many many countries had. 1320 01:05:23,160 --> 01:05:28,000 Speaker 2: That Argentina, Argentina in Latin America there are a few examples, 1321 01:05:28,080 --> 01:05:34,240 Speaker 2: and so better that than this Islamism that will gut 1322 01:05:34,320 --> 01:05:37,160 Speaker 2: the regime while setting the region on fire roughly every 1323 01:05:37,200 --> 01:05:37,800 Speaker 2: ten years. 1324 01:05:38,320 --> 01:05:39,320 Speaker 3: I mean, we'll gut the country. 1325 01:05:39,360 --> 01:05:42,720 Speaker 1: Excuse me, haveviv on that note of agreement. I hope 1326 01:05:42,720 --> 01:05:45,920 Speaker 1: we end up with a military regime that's transitional to democracy, 1327 01:05:46,000 --> 01:05:48,080 Speaker 1: but that might be ten years, provided they give us 1328 01:05:48,120 --> 01:05:51,520 Speaker 1: the missiles and all their glowing material buried under Fodor. 1329 01:05:52,440 --> 01:05:54,960 Speaker 1: We'll check in with you in another month. In the meantime, 1330 01:05:55,040 --> 01:05:59,320 Speaker 1: please keep pumping out, askavieve anything. Today's was magnificent because 1331 01:05:59,680 --> 01:06:02,920 Speaker 1: you're asked. The professor was magnificent, and you asked the 1332 01:06:03,000 --> 01:06:05,040 Speaker 1: right question, and you got excited with him. 1333 01:06:05,360 --> 01:06:05,800 Speaker 5: He wasn't. 1334 01:06:06,360 --> 01:06:08,560 Speaker 3: Can I just say go ahead? He's tells me for 1335 01:06:08,640 --> 01:06:10,920 Speaker 3: many years. You asked about Obama. I want to say 1336 01:06:10,960 --> 01:06:12,200 Speaker 3: something about President Trump. 1337 01:06:12,560 --> 01:06:14,680 Speaker 2: You asked me, if President Trump doesn't bomd me wrong, 1338 01:06:14,800 --> 01:06:17,640 Speaker 2: what happens can be compared to President Obama. I want 1339 01:06:17,680 --> 01:06:19,440 Speaker 2: to be very clear about this, and I don't want 1340 01:06:19,440 --> 01:06:21,560 Speaker 2: to step into American politics, and I don't know half 1341 01:06:21,600 --> 01:06:23,960 Speaker 2: the topics that are setting American politics on fire. I 1342 01:06:24,040 --> 01:06:26,080 Speaker 2: want to say, just in the context of the wrong issue. 1343 01:06:26,880 --> 01:06:30,560 Speaker 2: Nothing President Trump Trump does with I wrong will ever 1344 01:06:30,720 --> 01:06:34,440 Speaker 2: bring him down to the level of the disaster that 1345 01:06:34,560 --> 01:06:36,040 Speaker 2: the j CPI represented. 1346 01:06:36,400 --> 01:06:38,880 Speaker 3: The fact that the j CPI said that they can 1347 01:06:39,040 --> 01:06:39,240 Speaker 3: you know. 1348 01:06:39,240 --> 01:06:41,160 Speaker 2: Inspects can always go anywhere, but then there was a 1349 01:06:41,200 --> 01:06:43,520 Speaker 2: twenty four hour period where they would have to have 1350 01:06:43,600 --> 01:06:44,920 Speaker 2: a consultation over whether they. 1351 01:06:44,880 --> 01:06:45,560 Speaker 3: Would go anywhere. 1352 01:06:45,720 --> 01:06:48,320 Speaker 2: The fact that it didn't concern the ballistic missile program, 1353 01:06:48,440 --> 01:06:50,720 Speaker 2: the fact that it released fifty two hundred billion dollars 1354 01:06:50,920 --> 01:06:52,120 Speaker 2: for the IRGC, which. 1355 01:06:51,960 --> 01:06:55,440 Speaker 3: We're invested in it because bla just to the signing bonus. 1356 01:06:55,800 --> 01:06:59,280 Speaker 2: The fact that most of the major provisions ended by 1357 01:06:59,360 --> 01:07:03,400 Speaker 2: now would have already ended history continued ten years, fifteen years, 1358 01:07:03,560 --> 01:07:05,520 Speaker 2: is just kicking the can down the road. That is 1359 01:07:05,640 --> 01:07:08,400 Speaker 2: not President Trump. President Trump has already caused more damage 1360 01:07:08,440 --> 01:07:10,760 Speaker 2: to Pordo said back that program more than all the 1361 01:07:10,840 --> 01:07:14,800 Speaker 2: President Obama's deals ever could. And so no, even if Trump, 1362 01:07:15,400 --> 01:07:17,760 Speaker 2: in my view, for example, he hasn't But even if 1363 01:07:17,840 --> 01:07:19,960 Speaker 2: I decide that he screwed this up and didn't do 1364 01:07:20,080 --> 01:07:22,200 Speaker 2: the right thing, he will still have been much better 1365 01:07:22,280 --> 01:07:24,480 Speaker 2: on this issue than President Obama, who has a lot 1366 01:07:24,560 --> 01:07:27,600 Speaker 2: to answer for. He has thirty seven thousand Iranians to 1367 01:07:27,680 --> 01:07:29,520 Speaker 2: apologize to well. 1368 01:07:29,440 --> 01:07:31,760 Speaker 1: Said, thanks to America and thanks for listening 1369 01:07:32,480 --> 01:07:35,360 Speaker 13: The huge Joe cowet you from the Relief After Studio, 1370 01:07:35,600 --> 01:07:37,800 Speaker 13: which brought to you by reliefactor dot com