1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: Welcome to today's podcast sponsored by Hillsdale College, All Things 2 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:06,440 Speaker 1: Hillsdale Hillsdale dot ed or I encourage you to take 3 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 1: advantage of the many free online courses there, and of 4 00:00:08,920 --> 00:00:11,280 Speaker 1: course I'll listen to the Hillsdale dialogues, all of them 5 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 1: at Hugh for Hillsdale dot com or just Google, Apple, 6 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: iTunes and Hillsdale. Good morning, Glory and Eman Grace America 7 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:22,080 Speaker 1: has promised, and please to welcome back to the program. 8 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 1: Aviv Attig Gore, chief Middle East correspondent for The Free Press. 9 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 1: He's also the host of askk Aviv Anything. You should 10 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 1: join his Patreon community because that's also an additional wonderful 11 00:00:33,720 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 1: advantage to people who find Aviv to have a unique 12 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 1: and important perspective. Haveviv. First, I want to start with 13 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:42,519 Speaker 1: my congratulations on your podcast episode ninety four on the 14 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:45,360 Speaker 1: Grand Strategy as China sees this war. I don't know 15 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:48,280 Speaker 1: that anyone else had done that yet. What inspired you 16 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 1: to take a look at things from China's perspective? 17 00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 2: I interviewed an expert who runs a for profit business 18 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:03,480 Speaker 2: risk shop that deals with these issues, Melissa Chen. I 19 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 2: don't know, five episodes ago, something like that, and she 20 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 2: opened my eyes to the sheer scale. Now this is 21 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:11,759 Speaker 2: something that you know how you can learn a lot 22 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:14,039 Speaker 2: of facts about a topic over many years, but nobody 23 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:15,600 Speaker 2: ever puts them in the right order for you so 24 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:18,640 Speaker 2: you see the picture or what's actually happening. 25 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 3: She did that for me. 26 00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 2: On China, the extent to which Iran is a second 27 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:26,839 Speaker 2: front for China, the extent to which China's energy choke points. 28 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 2: China is a country that uses fifteen million barrels of 29 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 2: oil a day, so it's the fourth biggest oil producer 30 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 2: in the world, but it can't possibly produce as much 31 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:37,920 Speaker 2: as it actually needs for its economy not to collapse 32 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 2: or not to slow down dramatically. If it ever wants 33 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 2: to replace the American led world order, which it officially 34 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 2: wants its official geostrategic goal, it's going to have to 35 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:51,480 Speaker 2: create massive energy supplies. Iran is fifteen percent of its energy, 36 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 2: and it built out for it a one point two 37 00:01:54,240 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 2: billion barrel energy stockpile that allows China if America has 38 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 2: to choke off all of the sea links to China 39 00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 2: because there's a full on war over Taiwan, for example, 40 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:09,760 Speaker 2: gives China one hundred days breathing room of oil. So 41 00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:14,359 Speaker 2: for China, Iran is strategic and China has been upgrading 42 00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 2: literally in the last two years. Iran's missile arsenal to 43 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 2: be to include a certain kind of missile that can 44 00:02:22,320 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 2: reach Mack three and hit the American chips in the 45 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 2: in the Persian Golf and actually seal off the Persian 46 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:31,119 Speaker 2: Golf and create a second front and tie down half 47 00:02:31,160 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 2: the American Navy in case of an actual war with China. 48 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:37,640 Speaker 2: What the Trump administration is doing here, I'll just finish, sorry, 49 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 2: what's going on, But what the Trump's administration is doing 50 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 2: here is knocking out the second front. China is building 51 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 2: for that possible future confrontation. That's the issue that's going on. 52 00:02:51,639 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 2: And I learned that from her. And once, by the way, 53 00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:55,720 Speaker 2: you see it, you see it everywhere. There are good 54 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:59,680 Speaker 2: people writing this stuff. Political just published a whole piece 55 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 2: with five fascinating charts about Chinese oil and excuse me, 56 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 2: Rannie and oil, Chinese dependence on it, how much Iran 57 00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 2: is dependent on China purchasing that oil because it's sanctioned oil. 58 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:14,400 Speaker 2: And by the way, you then understand Venezuela differently, because 59 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:17,919 Speaker 2: Venezuela is one of the three major sources for China's 60 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:20,360 Speaker 2: oil that is sanctioned by the US. It has an 61 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 2: entire industry of refining oil that America has sanctioned, Russia, Venezuela, 62 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:27,440 Speaker 2: and Iron. So this is a big game on the 63 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:30,799 Speaker 2: biggest chess board you could possibly play this game, and 64 00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:32,840 Speaker 2: that will if you understand that. 65 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:35,040 Speaker 3: You understand where this war could go and what it 66 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 3: all means. 67 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 1: The China Hawks in the United States, led by Senator 68 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 1: Tom Cotton, who wrote this book Seven Things You Can't 69 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 1: Say About China, and Mike Gallagher, who used to run 70 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:45,800 Speaker 1: this SELEC committee on China and went over to work 71 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 1: for Palanteer. They've been calling this out for a long time. 72 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 1: But you did it concisely, and you did it for 73 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:55,320 Speaker 1: a layman without needing a lot of background. You broughtway 74 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: is necessary. So now I want to use the China 75 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 1: example from seventy five years ago to put a question 76 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:06,520 Speaker 1: on your plate. Seventy five years ago, Harry Truman called 77 00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 1: General MacArthur from Korea to meet with him on Wake Island. 78 00:04:09,800 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 1: I think the date was October fifteenth, nineteen fifty, and 79 00:04:13,480 --> 00:04:16,360 Speaker 1: Truman and MacArthur congratulated each other on how well, the 80 00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 1: Korean War was going, and don't worry that Chakams aren't 81 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:23,600 Speaker 1: coming in. At that moment, hundreds of thousands of pla 82 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:28,160 Speaker 1: quote volunteers had been sent by Mao over the Yalu, 83 00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 1: and the war went back to where it began and 84 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:34,039 Speaker 1: stayed there for three long, bloody years. Is there a 85 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 1: chance right now of an intervention not by China but 86 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 1: by Turkey, because yesterday I saw that Israel bombed along 87 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:47,720 Speaker 1: the Kurdish line in Iraq Iran, suggesting maybe to the 88 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:50,880 Speaker 1: Iraqi Kurds they might want to go over. And if 89 00:04:50,920 --> 00:04:53,240 Speaker 1: ever Erdowan was looking for a reason, he used his 90 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:56,240 Speaker 1: million man army. That's it. He does not want that 91 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:59,039 Speaker 1: to happen. Are we looking past a danger? 92 00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:05,240 Speaker 2: Hev I can't imagine. I can't imagine. It doesn't mean 93 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:08,600 Speaker 2: air One can't imagine, But I can't imagine that aired 94 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 2: one would give up the great alliance with the US. 95 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:13,600 Speaker 3: One of the things we're learning. 96 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:15,919 Speaker 4: In Iran, the world is learning in Iran is. 97 00:05:15,920 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 2: That China is not going to come and fight for 98 00:05:17,720 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 2: you when you actually face the American juggernaut. We're learning 99 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 2: that Russia is not going to come and fight for you, 100 00:05:23,880 --> 00:05:26,360 Speaker 2: and by the way that it's S four hundred missile defense. 101 00:05:26,400 --> 00:05:29,039 Speaker 2: Once the J twenty two, once the F twenty twos, 102 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:32,600 Speaker 2: the American twenty twos move in with their electronic warfare package, 103 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 2: there's nothing left of all of Russia's in China's great 104 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:37,760 Speaker 2: you know, electronic warfare story. 105 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:39,760 Speaker 3: We're learning that America is. 106 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 2: Immensely powerful, vastly more advanced in all the technical ways 107 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:48,600 Speaker 2: than anyone else, and that these these allies, these anti 108 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:53,400 Speaker 2: American alliances, aren't worth a damn once you're actually on 109 00:05:53,440 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 2: the ground fighting. And I think the world is watching that. 110 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 2: I think Turkey is watching that. If you're Turkey and 111 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:00,520 Speaker 2: you're calculating what's going on right now, going to step 112 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:03,160 Speaker 2: in against America right now, Turkey would like to get 113 00:06:03,200 --> 00:06:04,240 Speaker 2: those F thirty five's back. 114 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 3: He wants to move. 115 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:09,159 Speaker 2: Closer to America, not farther. So no, I can't imagine 116 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 2: they would do it. Is aired one capable of that 117 00:06:11,880 --> 00:06:16,160 Speaker 2: level of folly. Possibly he is slowly taking Turkey away 118 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:19,000 Speaker 2: from democracy and toward an Islamism that looks more like 119 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:21,000 Speaker 2: Iran than it does like what Turkey used to be. 120 00:06:21,320 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 2: So maybe he's got that in him, But I don't 121 00:06:23,600 --> 00:06:24,720 Speaker 2: think we're going to see it this time. 122 00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:26,919 Speaker 1: I want to move to it a post that you 123 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:29,520 Speaker 1: put up this morning on x A Eve. I'm quoting 124 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:32,560 Speaker 1: Aviv red at Gore. Now, the scale of Britain's fall 125 00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:37,680 Speaker 1: from a consequential power to affeckless, aimless, self abnegating chatterbox 126 00:06:37,800 --> 00:06:41,479 Speaker 1: is truly astonishing. The thought of democracy and mother of 127 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 1: parliaments is no longer a beacon to anyone because it 128 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 1: no longer believes in itself. It's a geopolitical tragedy. I 129 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:51,400 Speaker 1: discussed this with Senator Cotton others yesterday. I agree with it. 130 00:06:51,760 --> 00:06:54,599 Speaker 1: Do you see them reversing that fall? Because it's so 131 00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 1: precipitous and it's so alarming for the West. It has 132 00:06:58,320 --> 00:07:00,880 Speaker 1: done more damage to NATO. Spain is sort of a 133 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:06,200 Speaker 1: subsidiary damageur than anything that Ukraine has done to sort 134 00:07:06,240 --> 00:07:09,880 Speaker 1: of arm the American isolationist wing because Great Britain wasn't 135 00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 1: there when we needed them. 136 00:07:13,840 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 2: You know, I'm a simple man. I don't understand the 137 00:07:16,480 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 2: great complex vocabularies of the elites and the intellectuals and 138 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 2: the academics. If you have twenty thousand deployable troops all told, 139 00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:29,760 Speaker 2: and nothing more on this earth, if you can't hold 140 00:07:29,760 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 2: the ground, defend with either missile defense or in any 141 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:36,200 Speaker 2: other way. The Persian Gulf is your own military bases 142 00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 2: and cypers when they're hit by ironoy and missiles. If 143 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:43,880 Speaker 2: you can't exact a cost vastly inferior economically power on 144 00:07:43,960 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 2: this earth, which Britain cannot. It simply does not have 145 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:49,520 Speaker 2: the ships, it doesn't have the air force, it doesn't 146 00:07:49,560 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 2: have the deployable troops to exact any kind of cost. 147 00:07:52,360 --> 00:07:54,720 Speaker 2: I'm not talking about joining the American war. It can 148 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 2: be opposed to this war. It literally can't exact a 149 00:07:57,040 --> 00:07:59,120 Speaker 2: cost for being fired at. It has no capacity to 150 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 2: do so. If you literally disarm, there's nothing else matters. 151 00:08:04,400 --> 00:08:06,880 Speaker 2: And if you disarm because of a long term ideology 152 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 2: of an entire generation of your elites that says that 153 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:14,640 Speaker 2: you're a bad thing in this world, Okay, you know 154 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 2: it is what it is. They have to choose to 155 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:18,640 Speaker 2: wake up, they have to choose to stand up. They 156 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:20,840 Speaker 2: have to choose to build a military again, they have 157 00:08:20,880 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 2: to choose to build out a GDP per capital that's significant. 158 00:08:24,440 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 2: That's for example, not behind Israel nowadays, which that's you know, 159 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:32,280 Speaker 2: sad to see I happen to be an anglophile. 160 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 3: My kids know who. 161 00:08:34,040 --> 00:08:36,719 Speaker 2: My six year old knows who Winston Churchill is. There 162 00:08:36,760 --> 00:08:39,680 Speaker 2: is a great and glorious past here. There would not 163 00:08:39,880 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 2: be democracies in parliaments without this. English people or British 164 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 2: people generally. The Scots contributed a lot. I don't want 165 00:08:46,240 --> 00:08:48,800 Speaker 2: to get into their friends, but I'm just saying I 166 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:52,040 Speaker 2: like these people, and they don't like themselves, and that 167 00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:54,839 Speaker 2: has made them totally inconsequential on the world stage. And 168 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:57,760 Speaker 2: when you look at this moment, nothing happened to them 169 00:08:57,920 --> 00:08:59,560 Speaker 2: and to exact a cost from Iran would be this 170 00:08:59,640 --> 00:09:02,520 Speaker 2: tiny little thing, and they simply cannot do it even 171 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 2: if they wanted to, and they don't want to, and 172 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:07,080 Speaker 2: so something they're lost, They're gone. I just want to 173 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:10,559 Speaker 2: remind people, you know, this is true of Europe generally. Right, 174 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:14,480 Speaker 2: The German and British armies together are smaller than the 175 00:09:14,520 --> 00:09:15,600 Speaker 2: Polish army today. 176 00:09:15,880 --> 00:09:17,160 Speaker 3: That's the new world we live in. 177 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 1: It's not true of frontline states. Israel is a front 178 00:09:20,760 --> 00:09:23,560 Speaker 1: line state, Ukraine is a frontline state, Poland is a 179 00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 1: front line state. States that are Japan is a front 180 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:30,559 Speaker 1: line state, Taiwan, South Korea the Philippines to a lestri 181 00:09:30,559 --> 00:09:33,160 Speaker 1: extern Australia, but they think of themselves as a frontline 182 00:09:33,160 --> 00:09:37,319 Speaker 1: state against frontline states are serious allies. People who are 183 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:41,160 Speaker 1: far enough away from the front lines get very, very frivolous, 184 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:45,400 Speaker 1: and Spain is the most frivolous of all. I'm so 185 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 1: angry with Spain right now. I regret every dollar I've 186 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:51,240 Speaker 1: spent there in every trip I've taken there. Another topic 187 00:09:51,280 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 1: front of the day, I want to turn to Lebanon 188 00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 1: because for the fourth time I believe Israel is engaging 189 00:09:56,800 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 1: in a ground invasion in Lebanon after being attacked again 190 00:09:59,800 --> 00:10:03,280 Speaker 1: by has the Law. It's just it's righteous. Doesn't it 191 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:05,960 Speaker 1: always end in tears for Israel? Or is this one 192 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:09,559 Speaker 1: where the Lebanon government's turn, at least in its rhetoric 193 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 1: may make a difference. 194 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 2: No, it doesn't end in tears. It didn't end in 195 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 2: tears last time. If the first Lebanon War ended in 196 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 2: an eighteen year military presence in Lebanon that then ran 197 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:25,440 Speaker 2: away overnight, right that it was very much almost identical 198 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:30,320 Speaker 2: to America's Afghanistan experience. We didn't defect the enemy that 199 00:10:30,360 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 2: melted away into the civilian population. We stuck around far 200 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:37,280 Speaker 2: too long, sustained losses, vast expenditures, and then left. But 201 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:40,080 Speaker 2: our case is different from America because when we left, 202 00:10:41,080 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 2: that was the lesson that the lesson that Kamas and 203 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:48,440 Speaker 2: Palestinian groups took from that hiz Black capacity to kick 204 00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:51,200 Speaker 2: us out, capacity just because we didn't know why we 205 00:10:51,200 --> 00:10:55,080 Speaker 2: were spending more resources and blood in the place. Look 206 00:10:55,360 --> 00:10:58,600 Speaker 2: that lesson and basically it blew up the peace process. 207 00:10:58,640 --> 00:10:59,959 Speaker 3: I mean they went in. 208 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:02,079 Speaker 2: The May of two thousand, Barako Polsies were all out 209 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:05,720 Speaker 2: of Lebanon, and by September you already have the beginning 210 00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:09,840 Speaker 2: of massive ways of suicide bombings that demolished the peace process, 211 00:11:10,040 --> 00:11:12,800 Speaker 2: killed well over a thousand Israelis, quite a few of 212 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:16,839 Speaker 2: them children, and the Israeli left hasn't won an election since. 213 00:11:17,200 --> 00:11:20,040 Speaker 2: So in our case, pulling out that way was a 214 00:11:20,040 --> 00:11:23,520 Speaker 2: sign of terrible weakness. The two thousand and six war 215 00:11:23,679 --> 00:11:26,880 Speaker 2: was the war in which Hesbela's ability merely to survive. 216 00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:31,439 Speaker 2: Lebanon faced tremendous demolition. In that war, not on Gazo scale, 217 00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:34,760 Speaker 2: but at the time it was quite significant of the scale. 218 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 2: You know, Goz a little bit reset the sort of 219 00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:41,679 Speaker 2: expectations in this region, but Lebanon really faced a terrible war. 220 00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:43,320 Speaker 3: But Kasbela was not removed from the. 221 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:46,640 Speaker 2: Chess board completely, and therefore Hesberlac came out of it heroic. 222 00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 2: All of that changed on October seven, because the Israelis 223 00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:53,840 Speaker 2: don't care anymore. An enemy that can and will and 224 00:11:53,920 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 2: will do nothing but demolish their own quality in order 225 00:11:56,960 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 2: to invade and murder us, that enemy is no longer 226 00:11:59,840 --> 00:12:03,679 Speaker 2: a tolerable presence on our border. We went after Chrisbela 227 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:06,520 Speaker 2: with everything we know how to do. It is a 228 00:12:06,559 --> 00:12:09,760 Speaker 2: total war, a war for the annihilation of this organization. 229 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:12,719 Speaker 2: That's where all the intelligence successes came from. You saw 230 00:12:12,760 --> 00:12:16,439 Speaker 2: the pager operation, the ground war, the bombing campaigns. We 231 00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:19,240 Speaker 2: don't ask permission, We're not polite about it. We don't care. 232 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:21,560 Speaker 2: They're coming to exterminate us. The only question is if 233 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:24,440 Speaker 2: they have the capability, and they'll never have the capability again. 234 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:28,280 Speaker 2: In the interim between the ceasefire signed last year and 235 00:12:29,040 --> 00:12:32,560 Speaker 2: the current return to operations, because Chrisbelah joined the war 236 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:37,400 Speaker 2: on Ironside and launched massive rocket barrages at northern Israel yesterday. 237 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 2: In the interim days, I think it was about three 238 00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 2: hundred and fifty days killed. We continued to strike Chrisbela assets. 239 00:12:44,160 --> 00:12:46,800 Speaker 2: We killed something like one Krisbela fighter a day. About 240 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:49,800 Speaker 2: three hundred and fifty have died in the ceasefire. And 241 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:54,319 Speaker 2: that's that's Israel's posture. It'll be never ending until Sezbelah 242 00:12:54,480 --> 00:12:57,160 Speaker 2: actually lays down its arms and it's actually gone. We 243 00:12:57,160 --> 00:12:59,280 Speaker 2: should say, the Lebanese government has told us that the 244 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:01,960 Speaker 2: Lebanese army swept through South Lebanon, there is no more 245 00:13:02,000 --> 00:13:05,439 Speaker 2: Ksblad presence in South Lebanon. Well, yesterday I rocket brought 246 00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:08,319 Speaker 2: from South Lebanon hit Israel. So you can't trust the 247 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:11,560 Speaker 2: Lebanese government on this. Yesterday we also saw the Lebanese 248 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:14,520 Speaker 2: government come out and announce Fasbela is no longer legal. 249 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 2: It is illegal for Hesbela to have a military option, 250 00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:20,040 Speaker 2: to have military capacity, it must buy Lebanese law, laid 251 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:21,800 Speaker 2: down its arms, and they even pretended to give some 252 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 2: order the Lebanese army to actually implement the decision. Well, 253 00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:26,760 Speaker 2: it's very nice that they showed up and said what 254 00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:29,400 Speaker 2: they should have said according to UN Security Council resolutions 255 00:13:29,400 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 2: in two thousand and six. But we also don't trust 256 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:34,120 Speaker 2: them to have the courage to do it. 257 00:13:34,200 --> 00:13:35,199 Speaker 3: Lebanon does not have. 258 00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:38,680 Speaker 2: The courage to see through, to do the sacrifices that 259 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:40,920 Speaker 2: it'll take to give Lebanon a new day in which 260 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:44,160 Speaker 2: it's not a proxy arena of Iran's war on Israel. 261 00:13:44,440 --> 00:13:46,000 Speaker 2: And so Israel's going to have to do it. And 262 00:13:46,040 --> 00:13:48,600 Speaker 2: the new Israel is capable and willing. We're not going 263 00:13:48,679 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 2: to get bogged down. We're just going to destroy Risbelin 264 00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 2: and if it takes. 265 00:13:52,640 --> 00:13:54,000 Speaker 3: Forever, okay too. 266 00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:58,360 Speaker 1: Let me move to the fundamental question. Shai Katub came 267 00:13:58,400 --> 00:14:03,040 Speaker 1: back from America armed with a revamped ideology for the 268 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:06,360 Speaker 1: Muslim brotherhood, and it's never been the same since. I 269 00:14:06,400 --> 00:14:08,960 Speaker 1: don't know how the Middle East ever gets to the 270 00:14:09,080 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 1: new Middle East without a reformation of Islama, the sort 271 00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:14,960 Speaker 1: that Bernard Lewis used to talk about when he was alive. 272 00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:17,480 Speaker 1: He was a guest on this program as the Christian 273 00:14:17,559 --> 00:14:20,440 Speaker 1: Church needed a reformation. So does Islam need a reformation 274 00:14:20,600 --> 00:14:24,720 Speaker 1: just to get rid of its crazies and it's medievalism? 275 00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 1: Do you see any path to that in the aftermath 276 00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:32,360 Speaker 1: of this shattering of the Middle East puzzle? And it's 277 00:14:32,400 --> 00:14:33,920 Speaker 1: just been the Board's been turned over. 278 00:14:36,560 --> 00:14:40,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, I just interviewed. The episode's going to run either 279 00:14:40,840 --> 00:14:44,520 Speaker 2: tomorrow or the next day. One of Israel's finest public intellectuals, 280 00:14:44,760 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 2: a scholar of religion who's written seven best selling books 281 00:14:49,680 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 2: named Micha Goudman Excellent English. By the way, I think 282 00:14:53,200 --> 00:14:57,840 Speaker 2: his mother is American, and he talks a lot about 283 00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:01,000 Speaker 2: the Muslim world and Muslim philosophy. At the university, I 284 00:15:01,080 --> 00:15:04,600 Speaker 2: learned Mimonodes, the greatest rabbi who ever lived, is the 285 00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:06,280 Speaker 2: philosopher in the twelfth century Cairo. 286 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:11,480 Speaker 3: From him. He was my Mimonites professor. And that was 287 00:15:11,520 --> 00:15:11,960 Speaker 3: a moment. 288 00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 2: When Jews went to the Muslims to learn philosophy, there 289 00:15:15,680 --> 00:15:17,840 Speaker 2: was a different Muslim world. It was a different kind 290 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:20,440 Speaker 2: of Muslim world. We're talking about. Aristotle was the most 291 00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:23,480 Speaker 2: exciting thing for the elites. And then the Muslim world 292 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:26,280 Speaker 2: abandoned that path and went to a very different path 293 00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:30,760 Speaker 2: and closed down and also became backward and poor and incompetent. 294 00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:34,280 Speaker 2: And today you have both options on the table. You 295 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:38,000 Speaker 2: have countries that are phenomenally competent and modern and moderate 296 00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 2: and by the way, socially conservative with muslim For example, 297 00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:44,200 Speaker 2: the amoradis everybody knows that the Amoradis have a peace 298 00:15:44,280 --> 00:15:47,000 Speaker 2: treaty with Israel, but it's not about Israel. The Amoradis 299 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:49,800 Speaker 2: have also taken their vast oil wealth and invested it 300 00:15:49,840 --> 00:15:52,120 Speaker 2: in Ai, which is the I think the biggest fastest 301 00:15:52,120 --> 00:15:55,240 Speaker 2: growing industry in the Emirates and some double digit percentage 302 00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:58,720 Speaker 2: of their GDP at this point. They're modern, they have 303 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:02,040 Speaker 2: an economy that can with stand what is happening. Iran 304 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:05,160 Speaker 2: shot hundreds of missiles and rockets at the Emirates over 305 00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:07,600 Speaker 2: the last three days, and the Emirates have shot them 306 00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:11,880 Speaker 2: down at above ninety percent success rates. That is an 307 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 2: Israeli scale missile defense architecture. They built, by the way, 308 00:16:16,360 --> 00:16:18,760 Speaker 2: by learning from Israel. This is a country that wants 309 00:16:18,800 --> 00:16:22,280 Speaker 2: to be competent the Muslim world, the Arab Muslim world. 310 00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:25,240 Speaker 3: I don't know anything about Indonesia. It's a big place the. 311 00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:29,120 Speaker 2: Muslim world, but the near Muslim world that we're familiar 312 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:32,000 Speaker 2: with here in Israel has a choice. It has examples 313 00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:36,040 Speaker 2: of extraordinary successes and modernity and moderation, and it has 314 00:16:36,240 --> 00:16:39,960 Speaker 2: Iran as a counter example. The Muslim brotherhood on the 315 00:16:40,000 --> 00:16:43,760 Speaker 2: Sunni side and the Iranian Shia revolutionary ideology on the 316 00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 2: Shia side have destroyed everything they have ever touched. They 317 00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:50,600 Speaker 2: will never do anything but destroy because they are nothing 318 00:16:50,680 --> 00:16:53,960 Speaker 2: but a revolution against America. I can I just add 319 00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 2: one little thing. I'm really chating. 320 00:16:57,440 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 3: You know, there was a. 321 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:06,480 Speaker 2: An Israeli socialist, communist public intellectual, philosopher, thinker and the 322 00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:09,840 Speaker 2: Mapalm Party, the very very left wing socialist party in 323 00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:12,440 Speaker 2: the early days of the state that produced these extraordinary 324 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:16,760 Speaker 2: generals and leaders like Igal Alone, who were very pro 325 00:17:16,840 --> 00:17:20,760 Speaker 2: American but deeply communist. This is early Israel, very pro 326 00:17:20,800 --> 00:17:23,280 Speaker 2: American and deeply Communist at the same time. 327 00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:27,120 Speaker 3: And this philosopher, to Benkin, he goes. 328 00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:29,960 Speaker 2: To America and I think it's nineteen sixty and he 329 00:17:30,040 --> 00:17:33,240 Speaker 2: visits New York for some meetings or some business engagements 330 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:36,479 Speaker 2: or something, and he writes a letter to gall Alone, 331 00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:39,400 Speaker 2: who is by now a cabinet minister. I believe, please 332 00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:41,040 Speaker 2: don't hold me to the timelines. But he writes a 333 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:44,560 Speaker 2: letter to his best friend and important back home, and 334 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:47,239 Speaker 2: he says, you know how we were talking in the 335 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:50,720 Speaker 2: fifties or in the forties about how capitalism is definitely 336 00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:53,359 Speaker 2: going to collapse. And the letter is basically like, so, 337 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:55,640 Speaker 2: I've just been to Fifth Avenue and done some shopping. 338 00:17:55,680 --> 00:17:59,680 Speaker 3: I'm not sure capitalism is going like you hear this. 339 00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:02,960 Speaker 2: There was a sense of these ways when they saw 340 00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 2: what America became in the after the war, coming out 341 00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:10,720 Speaker 2: of the Great Depression, the success story, the safety and 342 00:18:10,800 --> 00:18:13,919 Speaker 2: prosperity of a world led by America compared to the 343 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:16,600 Speaker 2: world led by Stalin. There was a sense that, you 344 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:20,520 Speaker 2: know what, this is proving itself. Forget ideology for a second, 345 00:18:20,560 --> 00:18:25,200 Speaker 2: forget isms. This is working. And that's not say Kuteb 346 00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:29,359 Speaker 2: goes to America, sees the unbelievable success of America and 347 00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:34,000 Speaker 2: comes back more hateful of that success because what he 348 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:38,440 Speaker 2: sees in that America, in that success is Islam's weakness 349 00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:41,159 Speaker 2: and Islam's failure, and he interprets. 350 00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:41,800 Speaker 3: That as well. 351 00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:45,360 Speaker 2: You know, therefore, this great success story of America has 352 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:48,760 Speaker 2: is something very bad and evil and materialistic. And it's 353 00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:52,760 Speaker 2: okay if we back in Islam become more pious, geopolitically, 354 00:18:52,760 --> 00:18:55,720 Speaker 2: more powerful, become a conquering religion again because we're pious, 355 00:18:55,760 --> 00:18:58,280 Speaker 2: but we don't have all of this, you know, economic 356 00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:02,320 Speaker 2: success or military power. He chose a path that is 357 00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:06,480 Speaker 2: a path of resentment and blame, and those ideas are 358 00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:09,800 Speaker 2: also borrowed from Soviet propaganda in the communist world. 359 00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:11,400 Speaker 3: If you actually. 360 00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:14,080 Speaker 2: Read Kamenai, mainly the founder of this regime, and Khamenei, 361 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:16,600 Speaker 2: who is the dictator who led the Iranian regime for 362 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:20,600 Speaker 2: the last thirty five years, it's unbelievable how much raw Maoism, 363 00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:24,879 Speaker 2: raw communism, raw anti Americanism is at the heart of 364 00:19:24,960 --> 00:19:29,720 Speaker 2: the of their redefinition of Sheism. So it's really about blame, 365 00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:32,879 Speaker 2: it's really about accountability. It's really about two kinds of 366 00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 2: cultural responses to modernity. And the air world has pieces 367 00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:40,280 Speaker 2: of it, big pieces, dramatic pieces that are choosing to 368 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:43,840 Speaker 2: do the best practices that everybody knows will bring success. 369 00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:48,119 Speaker 2: And Iran is the biggest purveyor of the kind of 370 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:52,720 Speaker 2: old Stalinist failure that has to be brought down for 371 00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:54,400 Speaker 2: everybody else to find the lead. 372 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:59,359 Speaker 1: I was helpful that MBG, the ruler of the Emirates, 373 00:19:59,560 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 1: was going to pass the baton to MBS who would 374 00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:06,800 Speaker 1: then carry on the modernization project for all of Middle 375 00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:11,000 Speaker 1: Eastern Islam. That there was a rift, it was discussed 376 00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:14,080 Speaker 1: well on your program. Do you think that rift is healing? 377 00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:17,280 Speaker 1: In rather rapid and extraordinary pace right now. 378 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:25,280 Speaker 2: It's very healthy to give societies a choice. It's a 379 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:28,919 Speaker 2: very healthy thing. As long as somebody can refuse to 380 00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:31,200 Speaker 2: make a choice without paying too high a cost in 381 00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:34,840 Speaker 2: the short term for making a difficult choice, they will 382 00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:38,200 Speaker 2: choose not to make a difficult choice. Iran is forcing 383 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:40,640 Speaker 2: a choice. You want to live in the Iranian Middle East, 384 00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:42,920 Speaker 2: You're going to live in the Iranian Middle East, and 385 00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 2: you're going to deserve to live in the Iranian Middle East. 386 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:48,560 Speaker 2: Or we could bring that Middle East come crashing down 387 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:50,640 Speaker 2: and build a different Middle East, the Middle East where 388 00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:55,040 Speaker 2: everybody is happier, healthier, more prosperous, and a little bit 389 00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:59,000 Speaker 2: less at war with everybody that I think you understand that. 390 00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:02,040 Speaker 1: That brings me to the the transition question, because I'm 391 00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:06,359 Speaker 1: going to go to Israeli specific questions. What about President Trump? 392 00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:09,679 Speaker 1: Is it that he gets about the Middle Aged that 393 00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:11,879 Speaker 1: other American presidents haven't? 394 00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:15,679 Speaker 5: You know? 395 00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:22,359 Speaker 2: I don't know, you know him for decades. I watch 396 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:24,760 Speaker 2: him on TV occasion. I mean, I don't have that 397 00:21:25,320 --> 00:21:30,520 Speaker 2: kind of insight and access. I'll just say my sense 398 00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:36,080 Speaker 2: is that his sense of the world is profoundly don't 399 00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:37,000 Speaker 2: misunderstand me. 400 00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:39,760 Speaker 3: It's simple. That is not a critique. 401 00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:44,119 Speaker 2: If it's something is good for America, then he wants it. 402 00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:49,119 Speaker 2: If it's not good for America, he's deeply uninterested in sophisticated, complicated, 403 00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:52,359 Speaker 2: you know, academic sounding ways of explaining why it actually, 404 00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:56,119 Speaker 2: in some secret order of being is better for everybody. 405 00:21:56,200 --> 00:22:00,520 Speaker 2: He doesn't do ideologies. He is deeply transactional. In the 406 00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:04,119 Speaker 2: Middle East, that is an extraordinary thing because the Middle 407 00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:07,240 Speaker 2: East basically lives on a different on a kind of 408 00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:11,400 Speaker 2: matrix of interlocking lies. Okay, we're talking about a whole 409 00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:15,000 Speaker 2: lot of dictatorships. The Asad regime for fifty years pretended to. 410 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:15,920 Speaker 3: Be elected, right. 411 00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:18,880 Speaker 2: The Middle East was full of presidents who were dictators. 412 00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:21,639 Speaker 2: They called themselves presidents. They had elections. Saddam Hussein was 413 00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:24,439 Speaker 2: once elected by ninety nine percent of its population, and 414 00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:28,280 Speaker 2: the head of the election office of Iraq was asked 415 00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:31,000 Speaker 2: on CNN, why didn't you pretend Why didn't you say 416 00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:33,080 Speaker 2: it was eighty percent so it would be believable nobody's 417 00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:35,199 Speaker 2: elected by one hundred percent of the vote. And the 418 00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:38,439 Speaker 2: guy said, who am I to deny the Iraqi people 419 00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:41,840 Speaker 2: the right to tell us just how profoundly. They love 420 00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:45,919 Speaker 2: their great leader, Saddam. The Middle East is built on 421 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:49,200 Speaker 2: these kinds of interlocking lies and. 422 00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:50,240 Speaker 3: The Iranian regime. 423 00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:54,399 Speaker 2: This is a forty seven year revolution, right, that is 424 00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:57,600 Speaker 2: a great, grand world revolution for the oppressed, for the 425 00:22:57,600 --> 00:22:58,439 Speaker 2: most the fiend. 426 00:22:58,480 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 3: That's these language. 427 00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:02,240 Speaker 2: The Romani took from the Quran and said, we are 428 00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:05,680 Speaker 2: this what is basically Marxist global revolution. 429 00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:11,000 Speaker 3: For the oppressed. That is that has transformed. 430 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:14,720 Speaker 2: Into a totalitarian mechanism of oppression nothing else, and its 431 00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:16,120 Speaker 2: leadership are all billionaires. 432 00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:17,600 Speaker 3: It's all a lie. 433 00:23:17,800 --> 00:23:20,320 Speaker 2: And everybody in the Middle East knows that these are lies. 434 00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:23,520 Speaker 2: The countries that are stable, the countries that have a 435 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:28,800 Speaker 2: possible chance of success. That's Israel, that's the Emirates, that's 436 00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:31,240 Speaker 2: by the way, Saudi and Bahrain. 437 00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:31,960 Speaker 3: And even Katar. 438 00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:34,879 Speaker 2: One of the things that distinguished these countries and the 439 00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,840 Speaker 2: stability of a country like Jordan, is that they're not lying. 440 00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:41,600 Speaker 3: They are a monarchy. Their system is exactly what it is. 441 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:44,680 Speaker 2: They don't pretend to you know, they enjoin the UN 442 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:49,000 Speaker 2: Refugee Treaty, that enjoying the Rome Statute and the ICC 443 00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:51,640 Speaker 2: that don't pretend to care about international law. They are 444 00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:53,760 Speaker 2: totally honest about what they are, and they are also 445 00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:54,960 Speaker 2: stable for that reason. 446 00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:57,720 Speaker 3: And Trump is that right. 447 00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:03,040 Speaker 1: He's not my friend. He uses me as a journalist 448 00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:05,920 Speaker 1: and he talks to me on a fairly regular basis 449 00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:08,240 Speaker 1: in public. On the record, I've only been in the 450 00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:10,879 Speaker 1: Oval once with him, and then it wasn't alone. There 451 00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:12,920 Speaker 1: were three of us talking for a while. So I'm 452 00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:15,679 Speaker 1: not I'm not the Trump whisperer. I don't pretend to be. 453 00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:18,240 Speaker 1: I just ask him questions like I ask you questions. 454 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,800 Speaker 1: But it's sort of like I imagine you with a lot 455 00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:23,840 Speaker 1: of public officials that you see a lot in Israel. 456 00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:28,399 Speaker 1: Now I'll turn to Israel Prime Minister Nanielo was on 457 00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:32,960 Speaker 1: Sean Hattie's program last night doing his typical excellent job 458 00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:37,439 Speaker 1: of communicating with Americans. Has he been communicating with Israelis? 459 00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:44,720 Speaker 2: Yes, yes, I think he's learned some of the lessons. Well, 460 00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:47,440 Speaker 2: you know, after October seven, he didn't communicate with Israelis 461 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,000 Speaker 2: for many, many months, and actually for I think over 462 00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:51,439 Speaker 2: a year and a half he didn't really talk to 463 00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:54,360 Speaker 2: Israelis in any way that wasn't very very carefully packaged 464 00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:56,960 Speaker 2: and manage and sometimes for several months at a time. 465 00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:59,560 Speaker 2: Multiple times he didn't give a single press interview, not 466 00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 2: even to the press that loves him, not even to 467 00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:06,080 Speaker 2: Channel fourteen, which is very pronent to now press. He 468 00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:10,760 Speaker 2: was trying to ride out politically. You know, the parliament 469 00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:14,359 Speaker 2: wouldn't disband itself basically because these people wouldn't get re 470 00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:16,440 Speaker 2: elected in the aftermath of October seven. So they all 471 00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:18,880 Speaker 2: stuck together, and therefore they become a government in Israel 472 00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:22,000 Speaker 2: becomes stable the more it's hated, that's true of me. 473 00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:29,240 Speaker 2: And he rode that out almost quiet, silent, often deeply 474 00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:33,040 Speaker 2: politically in ways that I think are I frankly won't 475 00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:35,199 Speaker 2: forgive him. He's the only person who was in power 476 00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:37,359 Speaker 2: at the time, in a position of any kind of influence, 477 00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:40,000 Speaker 2: who has yet to take responsibility for October seven. 478 00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:41,480 Speaker 3: I don't know why I should ever. 479 00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:43,520 Speaker 2: As his boss, as a citizen, I don't know why 480 00:25:43,600 --> 00:25:45,080 Speaker 2: I should ever forgive him for that. 481 00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:49,439 Speaker 1: Yeah, I got to tell you this. My wife's grandfather 482 00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:52,560 Speaker 1: was fired by FDR for warning the Senate publicly with 483 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 1: an admiral at the time that Japan was going to 484 00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:58,600 Speaker 1: attack US, and so FDR's indifference to the threat from 485 00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 1: Japan a little bit like, who's indifference to the threat 486 00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:06,760 Speaker 1: from Hamas may look less bad in title, never look good, 487 00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:09,240 Speaker 1: but it may look less bad in time if he wins. 488 00:26:09,760 --> 00:26:14,560 Speaker 1: Big question, could anyone in the Israeli political firmament have 489 00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:18,000 Speaker 1: carried off? What netanyah? Who has carried off in the 490 00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:19,440 Speaker 1: thirty months since ten to seven. 491 00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:23,639 Speaker 2: That's a great question, you know, I was just going 492 00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:25,720 Speaker 2: to say, now he's communicating a lot, but also now 493 00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:29,520 Speaker 2: it's very comfortable because it's this enormous story of success 494 00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:32,760 Speaker 2: and strength and capability. The question is would anyone else 495 00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:34,800 Speaker 2: have been able to do it? Is a fascinating question. 496 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:37,240 Speaker 2: There's a case that absolutely not. This is a guy 497 00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:41,640 Speaker 2: who has just the sheer hours in power in negotiating 498 00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:45,879 Speaker 2: the connection, the deep ties with the Trump administration, the 499 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:46,800 Speaker 2: people around Trump. 500 00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:49,640 Speaker 3: He is a Trump whisperer, I think, in a way 501 00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:51,879 Speaker 3: that the rest of us couldn't even imagine being. 502 00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:56,760 Speaker 2: He knows America, he understands strategic discourse in America, and 503 00:26:57,480 --> 00:26:59,040 Speaker 2: he might be the guy you want to be in 504 00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:01,679 Speaker 2: charge on this specific war in a way that nobody 505 00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:02,040 Speaker 2: else is. 506 00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:03,720 Speaker 3: And I think that's visible. 507 00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:05,600 Speaker 2: To a lot of his people, a lot of his supporters, 508 00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:07,399 Speaker 2: a lot of his base, a lot of his voters. 509 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:11,480 Speaker 2: Having said that, you know, we don't have the polls 510 00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:13,800 Speaker 2: out of after this war. We also don't know how 511 00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:16,480 Speaker 2: this war is going to end. But going into this war, 512 00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:19,080 Speaker 2: he was not winning. He doesn't have a single poll 513 00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:21,560 Speaker 2: where he actually wins. In the good polls, he can 514 00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:24,119 Speaker 2: deny victory to everyone else. He might, by the way, 515 00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:27,400 Speaker 2: have the easiest path to a coalition in most polls, 516 00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:28,960 Speaker 2: but nevertheless. 517 00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:30,440 Speaker 3: Doesn't have a majority and hasn't had a majority. 518 00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:32,960 Speaker 2: He lost a certain percentage of his base on October 519 00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:34,600 Speaker 2: seven and hasn't gained them back. 520 00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:35,640 Speaker 3: And so the. 521 00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:38,480 Speaker 2: Big question is would any other leader be able to 522 00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:40,720 Speaker 2: lead Israel through this? And that's a question the voter 523 00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:42,720 Speaker 2: is going to be asking on election day and that's 524 00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:43,680 Speaker 2: coming pretty soon. 525 00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:46,800 Speaker 3: So great question. Can I make the case that other 526 00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:47,800 Speaker 3: leaders could have done it? 527 00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:52,280 Speaker 2: I made the case that unique, and in some ways 528 00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:55,719 Speaker 2: he is. He's a very well read, serious, thoughtful, strategic thinker. 529 00:27:56,600 --> 00:27:58,600 Speaker 3: You don't get those, you know, just you. 530 00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:01,280 Speaker 2: Know, bubbling up every political system every day of the week. 531 00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:05,200 Speaker 2: But at the same time, one of the really extraordinary 532 00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:08,120 Speaker 2: things about Israel is that it has a serving elite. 533 00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:10,920 Speaker 2: It has an elite in office. Sometimes you know, when 534 00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:12,720 Speaker 2: he's fighting them, he calls them the deep state, but 535 00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:16,200 Speaker 2: he actually loves them and backs them and supports them 536 00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:18,639 Speaker 2: in one hundred different ways. We have an air force, 537 00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:23,560 Speaker 2: we have a finance ministry, We have a health ministry 538 00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:26,919 Speaker 2: built that built out a universal healthcare system that works 539 00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:30,120 Speaker 2: in an extraordinary way, way beyond what most European systems 540 00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:35,879 Speaker 2: can accomplish, and costs less. We have extraordinary competence in 541 00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:38,840 Speaker 2: our public service in so many parts of our public service, 542 00:28:39,360 --> 00:28:43,920 Speaker 2: and our leadership therefore doesn't have to actually pull all 543 00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:46,080 Speaker 2: kinds of miracles out of the hat all the time. 544 00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:49,480 Speaker 2: The Israeli Air Force's abilities what you're seeing able to 545 00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:52,640 Speaker 2: do in Iran. Olmer did that in this area in 546 00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:54,680 Speaker 2: nuclear program. It was tiny, it was time limited, it 547 00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:57,040 Speaker 2: was a single pinpoint operation. But that was the air 548 00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:59,520 Speaker 2: force that then went to Iran. Didn't its now build 549 00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:02,160 Speaker 2: that air Does he have that kind of hands on, 550 00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:04,400 Speaker 2: detailed tactical capability. 551 00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:06,720 Speaker 3: I don't think he does. 552 00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:09,760 Speaker 2: I think that other prime ministers would probably not have 553 00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:12,480 Speaker 2: navigated America as well. And you can say, well that's 554 00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:16,080 Speaker 2: decisive right now, and you might be right, but sending 555 00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:17,600 Speaker 2: the air force to do what it's doing on Iran 556 00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:18,920 Speaker 2: making those calls. 557 00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:21,480 Speaker 3: I do think that there are several other. 558 00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:24,000 Speaker 2: Options in the Israeli political system. By the way, across 559 00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:26,560 Speaker 2: the political spectrum on the deep left, you have your 560 00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:29,960 Speaker 2: ilgo Land, deputy Minister, deputy ahead of the army back 561 00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:33,600 Speaker 2: in the day. He now runs the Progressive Democrats party. 562 00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,000 Speaker 2: And he's a guy who when October seven was happening, 563 00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:40,040 Speaker 2: grabbed a gun, old man retired general and drove down 564 00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:43,080 Speaker 2: to the south and just physically literally rescued people. And 565 00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:45,240 Speaker 2: I think he would have the courage also to pull 566 00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:47,080 Speaker 2: the trigger on a war like this, and he would 567 00:29:47,080 --> 00:29:50,239 Speaker 2: also have the knowledge and experience and the capacity to 568 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:53,200 Speaker 2: fight a war that is necessary to fight, to have 569 00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:55,240 Speaker 2: built this air force and sent it into war. So 570 00:29:55,600 --> 00:29:57,800 Speaker 2: you have that across also to the right of Nits 571 00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:00,760 Speaker 2: and Nohow. They're competent people. I don't think now is 572 00:30:00,800 --> 00:30:03,880 Speaker 2: that is indispensable. You know, there's an old joke by 573 00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:05,960 Speaker 2: I think I forget who said it, maybe Ben Gurian, 574 00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,160 Speaker 2: or maybe I'm stealing it from the English or something. 575 00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:11,440 Speaker 2: The cemetery is full of indispensable people. 576 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:14,240 Speaker 3: Correct, right, But he's one of them. 577 00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:16,840 Speaker 2: He's one of the people in Israel that the Israeli 578 00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:19,880 Speaker 2: elite knew how to produce that could pull this off. 579 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:23,560 Speaker 3: And that is that is something for the sheer courage. 580 00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:26,680 Speaker 2: Okay, we didn't know back in June in the first 581 00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:30,040 Speaker 2: war and this one that Iran would do that. What 582 00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:32,360 Speaker 2: would be in case that we would succeed so well 583 00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:34,920 Speaker 2: in taking out the launchers. Okay, he was going into 584 00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:36,760 Speaker 2: a war that could have had ten thousand and fifty 585 00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:40,600 Speaker 2: thousand Israeli civilian dead. He didn't know everything would go right, 586 00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:43,320 Speaker 2: and in this round everything might still not go right, 587 00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:43,880 Speaker 2: and he. 588 00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:46,720 Speaker 3: Still pulled that trigger. The courage to do that is. 589 00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:48,600 Speaker 2: Not something you can never take away from him, because 590 00:30:48,600 --> 00:30:50,000 Speaker 2: he thought it was the thing that needed to be done, 591 00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:51,600 Speaker 2: and he went and did it. 592 00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:54,240 Speaker 1: My last question, Hevi takes us back to where this 593 00:30:54,280 --> 00:30:57,880 Speaker 1: began on ten seven. Israel has lost some ground in 594 00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:00,800 Speaker 1: the world, even in America. All though I believe it's 595 00:31:00,840 --> 00:31:04,080 Speaker 1: overstated by pulling, because it's proven itself very good at 596 00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:07,440 Speaker 1: destroying enemies, but not so good at planning on how 597 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:11,400 Speaker 1: to rebuild them. Like the Marshall plant, Hamas is still standing. 598 00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:14,239 Speaker 1: They're not dead. Does one Israel have to go in 599 00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:17,000 Speaker 1: and finish them off. And two, does Israel have to 600 00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:19,760 Speaker 1: rebuild Gaza so that it's a place where people can 601 00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:24,000 Speaker 1: actually live and enjoy life free of the threat of 602 00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:28,560 Speaker 1: Islamists and maybe occupied for a long time until they 603 00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:30,600 Speaker 1: learn how to do that in order to get the 604 00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:33,360 Speaker 1: world back to the extent you need to get the 605 00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:36,720 Speaker 1: world back, and I think every country does on your side. 606 00:31:36,800 --> 00:31:39,160 Speaker 1: Not thinking of you as destroyers. I don't. I think 607 00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:41,760 Speaker 1: of you as builders. But Hamas doesn't want to be rebuilt. 608 00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:44,440 Speaker 1: They've got to be gone. 609 00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:49,280 Speaker 2: I think the Israeli debate at the moment is basically 610 00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:50,800 Speaker 2: divided between two groups. 611 00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:54,200 Speaker 3: The groups who say, you can't socially. 612 00:31:53,760 --> 00:31:56,520 Speaker 2: Engineer the enemy. You can't, you know, with the Americans. 613 00:31:56,840 --> 00:32:00,920 Speaker 2: Imagine they could do any rock in Afghanistan. The Americans 614 00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:02,280 Speaker 2: couldn't do it. How are we going to do it? 615 00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:04,720 Speaker 2: Maybe the Americans could do it in Imperial Japan, but 616 00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:06,760 Speaker 2: they couldn't do it in Afghanistan. We're going to now 617 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:09,600 Speaker 2: go into Gaza and what change them into the liberal democer. 618 00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:10,440 Speaker 3: We don't know how to do it. 619 00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:11,840 Speaker 2: And if we don't know how to do it, and 620 00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:15,720 Speaker 2: we don't know how to defeat Hamas in the sense 621 00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:19,280 Speaker 2: that Hamas will exact the cost of the total catastrophic 622 00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:22,440 Speaker 2: obliteration of Gaza before it will allow itself to be defeated. 623 00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:26,040 Speaker 2: This is Hamas's vision. It's it's something called the Mukawama, 624 00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:31,120 Speaker 2: the resistance. It's this entire, vast doctrine. 625 00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:31,800 Speaker 3: That it has been building out for many, many decades. 626 00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:39,440 Speaker 2: The total capacity to absorb catastrophic damage is their one advantage. 627 00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:41,680 Speaker 2: And the Israeli camp that says, look, we're not going 628 00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:42,320 Speaker 2: to fix that. 629 00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:44,360 Speaker 3: We don't. That's not a capacity we have. 630 00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:49,720 Speaker 2: They just say, Okay, Kamas wanted this war. Hamas held 631 00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:53,880 Speaker 2: out in those tunnels. It built the biggest air defense system, 632 00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:56,120 Speaker 2: the air defense bomb shelter system in the history of war, 633 00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:59,080 Speaker 2: and didn't let a single Godsan child into those tunnels 634 00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:02,280 Speaker 2: for you know, two and a half years. It wanted 635 00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:05,000 Speaker 2: this destruction in Gaza. It planned this destruction in Gaza. 636 00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:06,960 Speaker 2: You don't build those tunnels unless this is this is 637 00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:10,840 Speaker 2: the war you're planning for now. We're not going to 638 00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:13,480 Speaker 2: change their society. We don't know how to change. They're 639 00:33:13,520 --> 00:33:15,360 Speaker 2: not asking us, they're not going to let us change 640 00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:16,080 Speaker 2: their society. 641 00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:17,239 Speaker 3: So they live in this. 642 00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:18,760 Speaker 2: You know, what are we going to do. What are 643 00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,480 Speaker 2: we going to change everything? The second camp, and I 644 00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 2: belong to the second camp, which is a little less humble, 645 00:33:25,040 --> 00:33:28,040 Speaker 2: it's a little more aspirational, it might be a little naive. 646 00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:32,560 Speaker 3: And the second camp says, we're the real war. The 647 00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:34,320 Speaker 3: big war is the war that. 648 00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:39,880 Speaker 2: Demonstrates that the Ihuan, the Muslim Brotherhood, the radical silofist 649 00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:42,960 Speaker 2: versions of Islam that you have in Iran and in 650 00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:45,400 Speaker 2: Gaza and in Hezbulan and the Hutis in all these 651 00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:50,640 Speaker 2: different places, they destroy everything. And there is another option 652 00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:54,280 Speaker 2: and another path, and that path is the building and 653 00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:55,680 Speaker 2: the great and beautiful. 654 00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:56,080 Speaker 3: Future that awaits. 655 00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:59,880 Speaker 2: Gaza is primed to be a test case of that, 656 00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:02,000 Speaker 2: and we can turn it into a test case of that. 657 00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:04,680 Speaker 2: If the half of Gaza under Israeli control is a 658 00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:07,959 Speaker 2: flourishing half of Gaza, even just pieces of Rapha, We're 659 00:34:07,960 --> 00:34:08,480 Speaker 2: don't even have. 660 00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:09,640 Speaker 3: To bring them all the way up to the border. 661 00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:11,799 Speaker 2: Most of the part of the Israeli control that Israel 662 00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:15,640 Speaker 2: controls is actually a kind of buffer zone from the 663 00:34:15,680 --> 00:34:17,560 Speaker 2: Israeli border to protect Israel. 664 00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:20,920 Speaker 3: But we can nevertheless build real. 665 00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:24,120 Speaker 2: Flourishing areas in Gaza, have Gazans living there, who are 666 00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:28,360 Speaker 2: not Tramas, build out capabilities. Gaza, have its own government, 667 00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:30,680 Speaker 2: have it supported by the our world, have it funded 668 00:34:30,680 --> 00:34:33,520 Speaker 2: by the Americans and the Europeans, and everyone who wants to. 669 00:34:33,480 --> 00:34:34,240 Speaker 3: Invest in Gaza. 670 00:34:34,560 --> 00:34:37,040 Speaker 2: Have that Gaza start to actually take the money by 671 00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:40,960 Speaker 2: letting international companies pull the natural gas that Gaza has 672 00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:43,319 Speaker 2: in its territorial waters out of the water, build a 673 00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:46,720 Speaker 2: better Gaza. While the part that Ramas can't be extricated 674 00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:50,600 Speaker 2: from because it literally holds the entire population utterly hostage, 675 00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:53,719 Speaker 2: that part still lives the way that Kramas demands that 676 00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:57,279 Speaker 2: they live. And we could build that dichotomy, show it 677 00:34:57,360 --> 00:35:00,640 Speaker 2: to the Arab world, show it to the population of Gaza, 678 00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:04,279 Speaker 2: and reframe the debate. Also, it might be useful to 679 00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:07,280 Speaker 2: Israel in terms of the information war in the West. 680 00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:09,480 Speaker 2: I'm a little bit, as you say, less concerned about 681 00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:11,160 Speaker 2: the information war in the West because I don't think 682 00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:13,480 Speaker 2: Westerners have any sense of what's actually happening in the 683 00:35:13,520 --> 00:35:16,000 Speaker 2: Middle East, and their media isn't telling them what's actually 684 00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:17,880 Speaker 2: happening in the Middle East. So they're living in a 685 00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:20,640 Speaker 2: little bit in a Western moral morality play rather than 686 00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:22,839 Speaker 2: on the ground in the Middle East. With any real understanding. 687 00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:26,760 Speaker 2: But nevertheless, Israel probably should be pursuing how much more inspirational. 688 00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:29,000 Speaker 2: What's the worst that could happen? Will fail then live 689 00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,440 Speaker 2: in the first group's vision of what's happening, but we 690 00:35:31,560 --> 00:35:34,719 Speaker 2: might succeed. We're not a completely incompetent people. We might 691 00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:36,880 Speaker 2: be able to pull something like this off, and I 692 00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:37,560 Speaker 2: think we should. 693 00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:40,840 Speaker 1: West Berlan makes sense to me. Heavy Thank you for 694 00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:43,279 Speaker 1: your time today for a wonderful episode. I want to 695 00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:46,319 Speaker 1: encourage the audience again to join your Patreon have a 696 00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:49,000 Speaker 1: wonderful program. If you have not already begun to celebrate, 697 00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:51,080 Speaker 1: you don't sound like you've begun to celebrate. So thank 698 00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:54,520 Speaker 1: you for staying with me throughout the early evening hours 699 00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:57,520 Speaker 1: of your holiday, and I'll talk again. Soin thank you 700 00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:05,600 Speaker 1: for your time. Thanks you, Welcome back to America. I'm 701 00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:09,280 Speaker 1: Hugh Hewittt. Mark Dubowitz is the CEO of the Foundation 702 00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:13,520 Speaker 1: for the Defense of Democracies. Marc has spent decades alerting 703 00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:16,040 Speaker 1: the West, generally in the United States, specifically to the 704 00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:19,759 Speaker 1: dangers posed by the Islamic Republic of Iran. So I 705 00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:22,040 Speaker 1: wanted to ask Mark this week ninety hours less than 706 00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:24,719 Speaker 1: ninety hours into the war with Iran. First of all, 707 00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:28,520 Speaker 1: are you feeling satisfaction, Mark or trepidation about where we 708 00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:33,880 Speaker 1: are right now? Thanks you for having me on look you. 709 00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:37,799 Speaker 6: I think it's been an extraordinary military success so far 710 00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:41,200 Speaker 6: by the United States and Israel. It's my job to 711 00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:44,239 Speaker 6: always be concerned. I always expect the worst, and so 712 00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:46,800 Speaker 6: I can be surprised on the upside rather than expecting 713 00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:50,840 Speaker 6: the best and being severely disappointed on the downside. But 714 00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:54,920 Speaker 6: I think the incredible ability of the US and Israeli 715 00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:58,520 Speaker 6: Air Force, the US Navy, the joint operations, the integration, 716 00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:01,400 Speaker 6: the fact that we are the United States is literally 717 00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:04,520 Speaker 6: flying with a not only an ally, but a peer. 718 00:37:04,640 --> 00:37:08,360 Speaker 6: For the first time in our history, we actually have 719 00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:13,800 Speaker 6: gone to war alongside a power that is not subordinate 720 00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:16,560 Speaker 6: to us, but is capable of inflicting massive damage on 721 00:37:16,600 --> 00:37:19,800 Speaker 6: our common enemy. And I think the israel air forces performinggnificently, 722 00:37:19,840 --> 00:37:22,839 Speaker 6: the US Air Force is performing ificently, and the US 723 00:37:22,880 --> 00:37:27,120 Speaker 6: military in general has shown tremendous courage and unfortunately some 724 00:37:27,239 --> 00:37:29,720 Speaker 6: sacrifice in confronting this enemy. 725 00:37:30,239 --> 00:37:33,080 Speaker 1: Now Mark my column for Fox News this morning. The 726 00:37:33,160 --> 00:37:37,719 Speaker 1: headline telegraphs the concern why Trump must finish what he 727 00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:41,440 Speaker 1: started with the Iron's regime. President Trump's most difficult decision 728 00:37:41,480 --> 00:37:44,160 Speaker 1: as they had, and it reviews the nineteen ninety one decision, 729 00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:48,120 Speaker 1: much debated for thirty five years, to end the First 730 00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:51,840 Speaker 1: Golf War after one hundred hours. What do you think 731 00:37:52,200 --> 00:37:55,000 Speaker 1: out of the foremost in the mind of President Trump 732 00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:58,320 Speaker 1: as he considers when to end the campaign. 733 00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:03,480 Speaker 6: So, Hugh, I mean, you know, I've been a longtime 734 00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:05,920 Speaker 6: advocate for over twenty two years of bringing down the 735 00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:08,800 Speaker 6: regime in Iran and replacing the Islamic Republic of Iran 736 00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:13,560 Speaker 6: with a free and prosperous Iranian ally. But I think 737 00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:16,960 Speaker 6: the President has defined and should continue to defy his 738 00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:22,920 Speaker 6: military capabilities or military mission as stripping Iran of its 739 00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:30,920 Speaker 6: most dangerous capabilities. It's nuclear, missile, military repression, and terror capabilities. 740 00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:33,520 Speaker 6: And I think that is what the United States and 741 00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:36,719 Speaker 6: Israel are doing as we speak. I think they're doing 742 00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:40,640 Speaker 6: severe damage to all those deadly capabilities. I don't think 743 00:38:40,640 --> 00:38:44,600 Speaker 6: the President should define success as regime change for the 744 00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:47,200 Speaker 6: military mission, and what I mean by that is, I 745 00:38:47,200 --> 00:38:50,680 Speaker 6: think the next phase after the military mission is for 746 00:38:50,680 --> 00:38:53,080 Speaker 6: the United States and Israel to work closely together, maybe 747 00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:58,800 Speaker 6: with other allies using maximum pressure on the regime, maximum 748 00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:01,640 Speaker 6: support for the Ranian people, in maximum fracturing of the 749 00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:04,840 Speaker 6: support base of the regime, to then advance the military 750 00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:07,759 Speaker 6: mission to a broader goal of bringing. 751 00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:10,200 Speaker 1: Down the Islamic Republic. But I don't think we can bring. 752 00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:13,239 Speaker 6: Down the Islamic Republic from the air, but I think 753 00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:15,640 Speaker 6: we can set the conditions so that the Iranian people 754 00:39:16,120 --> 00:39:18,680 Speaker 6: can do as President Trump said and have this once 755 00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:21,280 Speaker 6: in a generation opportunity to take back their country. 756 00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:24,839 Speaker 1: Two more questions. Mark, It was reported earlier today that 757 00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:28,960 Speaker 1: the United States and Israel are arming Kurds in kurdage 758 00:39:29,000 --> 00:39:33,359 Speaker 1: Dan within Iraq in order to arm Kurds within Iran's 759 00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:36,320 Speaker 1: own courtage Dan. What did you think of that reporting 760 00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:38,000 Speaker 1: of that strategy if it's correct. 761 00:39:40,920 --> 00:39:42,719 Speaker 6: Look, I think it makes a lot of sense to 762 00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:46,520 Speaker 6: arm Iranians so that they can fight against this brutal regime, 763 00:39:46,520 --> 00:39:48,719 Speaker 6: because what we saw in January is that hundreds of 764 00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:52,600 Speaker 6: thousands of Iranians came to the streets without weapons and 765 00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:57,640 Speaker 6: were slaughtered. In the thirty thirty five thousand Iranians were killed, 766 00:39:57,840 --> 00:39:59,960 Speaker 6: maybe only in a two day period. They were proba 767 00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:03,799 Speaker 6: probably thirty two thousand Iranians murdered. We can we can't 768 00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:06,640 Speaker 6: have these people come to the streets without weapons and 769 00:40:06,680 --> 00:40:07,720 Speaker 6: without other support. 770 00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:09,040 Speaker 1: So I think it's. 771 00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:11,960 Speaker 6: Important that we do give them the means to take 772 00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:15,000 Speaker 6: the fight to the enemy. I would, you know, I'd 773 00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:18,240 Speaker 6: be cautious. I wouldn't want to arm one ethnic group 774 00:40:18,280 --> 00:40:22,000 Speaker 6: over another ethnic group and get into a situation where 775 00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:25,399 Speaker 6: we're we're picking ethnic favorites. But the Curds, no doubt, 776 00:40:25,600 --> 00:40:30,560 Speaker 6: are very competent fighters. They are armed already, and the 777 00:40:30,560 --> 00:40:32,960 Speaker 6: important thing for them to do, and for others to do, 778 00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:35,319 Speaker 6: is to tie up the security services and tie up 779 00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:39,640 Speaker 6: the RGC so that the ability of the regime to 780 00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:44,080 Speaker 6: then repress Iranians and major centers, the major twenty cities, 781 00:40:44,120 --> 00:40:47,120 Speaker 6: let's say in Iran, has been severely diminished, and so 782 00:40:47,160 --> 00:40:49,120 Speaker 6: I think they can play a very important role. I 783 00:40:49,160 --> 00:40:53,520 Speaker 6: also think, actually, look, the Kurds, the the Azaris, the Baluchis, 784 00:40:53,560 --> 00:40:59,000 Speaker 6: the Arabs are very proudly Iranian. The thing is, they're 785 00:40:59,000 --> 00:41:03,160 Speaker 6: not proudly Islamic Republic. They hate the Islamic Republic. That's 786 00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:04,600 Speaker 6: brutally repressing. 787 00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:05,640 Speaker 1: Them as well as all our audience. 788 00:41:06,040 --> 00:41:10,560 Speaker 6: But I do think they're proudly nationalistic and they're proud patriots, 789 00:41:11,040 --> 00:41:12,960 Speaker 6: and we should make sure that all groups that are 790 00:41:12,960 --> 00:41:13,560 Speaker 6: involved in. 791 00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:14,600 Speaker 1: This are committed to. 792 00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:21,080 Speaker 6: A sovereign iron that doesn't splinter into separate entities. 793 00:41:21,280 --> 00:41:24,680 Speaker 1: All right, Mark, last question two minutes. Turkey has been 794 00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:27,279 Speaker 1: profoundly disappointing again as they were in two thousand and 795 00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:31,480 Speaker 1: three when they prevented our northern entry into the Iraq War. 796 00:41:32,040 --> 00:41:34,840 Speaker 1: Spain has totally fallen on its face and the President's 797 00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:38,160 Speaker 1: cut off train trade and the United Kingdom is disappointed. 798 00:41:38,480 --> 00:41:40,880 Speaker 1: What does it tell us about our allies and what 799 00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:42,400 Speaker 1: ought we to do in response? 800 00:41:45,320 --> 00:41:47,120 Speaker 6: Well, this is one of those defining moments where you 801 00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:49,520 Speaker 6: find out who your allies are, you find out who 802 00:41:49,560 --> 00:41:51,879 Speaker 6: your enemies are, and you find out who your frenemies are. 803 00:41:52,120 --> 00:41:54,680 Speaker 6: I think the Turks are frenemies and aren't quite enemies yet, 804 00:41:54,680 --> 00:41:56,360 Speaker 6: but they seem to be moving in that direction. 805 00:41:57,840 --> 00:41:58,080 Speaker 7: You know. 806 00:41:58,160 --> 00:42:02,400 Speaker 6: Look, the Spanish and BRIT's supposedly are friends, but they've 807 00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:09,080 Speaker 6: been obviously not only very unhelpful today, but in previous 808 00:42:09,520 --> 00:42:13,080 Speaker 6: months and years neither country has really stood up. I mean, 809 00:42:13,120 --> 00:42:16,880 Speaker 6: the Brits are, you know, their inheritor of a special 810 00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:19,280 Speaker 6: relationship that we've had with the UK for many many years, 811 00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:24,760 Speaker 6: but under Starmer's rule, this government is a pale shadow 812 00:42:24,800 --> 00:42:28,080 Speaker 6: of the Churchill government or the governments of Margaret Thatcher. 813 00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:29,920 Speaker 1: So hopefully we'll see. 814 00:42:29,800 --> 00:42:33,600 Speaker 6: Regime change in the UK sometimes soon a British government committee. 815 00:42:33,600 --> 00:42:35,160 Speaker 8: Mark America, thank. 816 00:42:35,000 --> 00:42:36,840 Speaker 1: You for all the work you and the fd D 817 00:42:37,360 --> 00:42:40,240 Speaker 1: all of your colleagues have been doing for many, many years, 818 00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:43,200 Speaker 1: and especially in the last two years to sort of 819 00:42:43,200 --> 00:42:45,920 Speaker 1: prepare America for understanding that the threat was now in 820 00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:48,480 Speaker 1: the action had to be taken. Follow him on Exit 821 00:42:48,760 --> 00:42:53,520 Speaker 1: m Dubovitz, follow FDD on x at FDD, Listen to 822 00:42:53,600 --> 00:42:57,080 Speaker 1: Jonathan Schanzer in the morning with the FDD Breakdown on Monday, 823 00:42:57,320 --> 00:43:01,720 Speaker 1: Wednesday and Friday. And Mark host the Iran Breakdown often 824 00:43:02,000 --> 00:43:05,680 Speaker 1: and don't miss any episode of the Iran Breakdown, Born 825 00:43:05,719 --> 00:43:09,560 Speaker 1: and Glory and even Grace America. My guest is Abe Greenwald, 826 00:43:09,560 --> 00:43:13,000 Speaker 1: the executive editor of Commentary Podcast and almost a daily 827 00:43:13,080 --> 00:43:15,919 Speaker 1: participant in the Commentary Podcast. And I told John pod 828 00:43:15,960 --> 00:43:18,480 Speaker 1: Hortz yesterday, but I'll tell you Abe, thank you for 829 00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:21,520 Speaker 1: working overtime on Saturday and Sunday because there was a 830 00:43:21,560 --> 00:43:24,720 Speaker 1: demand signal for a smart conversation about the war with Iran, 831 00:43:25,280 --> 00:43:28,680 Speaker 1: and very few people decided to step up, but Commentary did. 832 00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:31,359 Speaker 1: And it's a great recommendation for the podcast. You'll show 833 00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:33,680 Speaker 1: up when people want to talk about it. Hey, but 834 00:43:33,880 --> 00:43:36,680 Speaker 1: left me though, along with yesterday and today's podcast, which 835 00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:39,279 Speaker 1: I've listened to with this question. Happy for um by 836 00:43:39,280 --> 00:43:41,239 Speaker 1: the way, and I hope you're celebrating later and not 837 00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:44,400 Speaker 1: right that you're not already begun celebrating so that we 838 00:43:44,440 --> 00:43:47,759 Speaker 1: get the real A Greenwald. What is the purpose of 839 00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:53,359 Speaker 1: the Commentary podcast in a war with Iran? Oh? 840 00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:56,640 Speaker 5: Well, you know, it's an interesting, interesting question because John 841 00:43:57,640 --> 00:44:02,879 Speaker 5: was the impetus for the having the emergency podcasts over 842 00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:06,920 Speaker 5: the weekend, and he often is. And you know, the 843 00:44:07,000 --> 00:44:14,040 Speaker 5: truth is Commentary, you know, having always been a magazine 844 00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:21,120 Speaker 5: that seeks to explain the Jews to America and America 845 00:44:21,200 --> 00:44:21,520 Speaker 5: to the. 846 00:44:21,520 --> 00:44:23,160 Speaker 1: Jews and. 847 00:44:24,440 --> 00:44:30,160 Speaker 5: Stand as a witness to anti Semitism and defend the 848 00:44:30,239 --> 00:44:36,320 Speaker 5: right of the State of Israel to exist. After October seventh, 849 00:44:38,600 --> 00:44:41,239 Speaker 5: we had a sort of informal conversation. I had an 850 00:44:41,239 --> 00:44:47,439 Speaker 5: informal conversation with John where he sort of articulated this 851 00:44:47,560 --> 00:44:52,479 Speaker 5: kind of revelation. I mean, it makes perfect sense that 852 00:44:52,600 --> 00:44:54,839 Speaker 5: this this is what we are here for. I mean, 853 00:44:54,840 --> 00:45:00,800 Speaker 5: this is the magazine exists for just these such moments, 854 00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:06,920 Speaker 5: to to make sense of these moments, explain the truth 855 00:45:07,080 --> 00:45:13,440 Speaker 5: as we see it. And you know there's there can 856 00:45:13,520 --> 00:45:17,320 Speaker 5: be through through the through the through through. 857 00:45:17,120 --> 00:45:17,640 Speaker 1: The sort of. 858 00:45:19,719 --> 00:45:24,600 Speaker 5: Becoming effects of modern American history and its history with 859 00:45:24,640 --> 00:45:29,640 Speaker 5: the Jews, long stretches of relative calm and ease for 860 00:45:29,680 --> 00:45:31,960 Speaker 5: the Jewish people in this country. But when there is 861 00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:35,600 Speaker 5: a moment of crisis in the Middle East, when there 862 00:45:35,719 --> 00:45:41,960 Speaker 5: is a war launched by Iranian proxies on the Jewish state, 863 00:45:43,880 --> 00:45:47,800 Speaker 5: if we don't come to life at those moments, then 864 00:45:47,960 --> 00:45:51,000 Speaker 5: then we are shirking our duty. 865 00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:57,640 Speaker 3: So the same goes for a moment such as the launch. 866 00:45:57,360 --> 00:46:04,320 Speaker 5: Of this war. Because because Commentary has been advocating for 867 00:46:05,160 --> 00:46:09,800 Speaker 5: either the bombing of Iran's nuclear program or regime change 868 00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:13,279 Speaker 5: in Iran for a good twenty years. So this is 869 00:46:13,719 --> 00:46:16,840 Speaker 5: if we are not the ones to speak up and 870 00:46:16,920 --> 00:46:19,120 Speaker 5: help people make sense of this now, then no one is. 871 00:46:19,719 --> 00:46:22,160 Speaker 1: And I think that's what I'll put Because I was 872 00:46:22,200 --> 00:46:25,400 Speaker 1: able to download the Commentary podcast before Saturday, I got 873 00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:27,760 Speaker 1: on an airplane and the wireless didn't work on the plane, 874 00:46:27,800 --> 00:46:29,120 Speaker 1: so it's all I had, so I got to listen 875 00:46:29,160 --> 00:46:32,880 Speaker 1: to it twice. I decided that my understanding of your 876 00:46:32,880 --> 00:46:36,360 Speaker 1: mission is to defend the West, and that means defending Israel, 877 00:46:36,520 --> 00:46:38,680 Speaker 1: the Greeks, the Romans, the Brits in the United States 878 00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:41,080 Speaker 1: of America, as well as our allies and those who 879 00:46:41,120 --> 00:46:43,600 Speaker 1: are semi dependent upon us and headed in our direction. 880 00:46:44,120 --> 00:46:45,920 Speaker 1: And you do that very well. And right now the 881 00:46:45,920 --> 00:46:50,440 Speaker 1: West is under attack by Iran directly, by Chicom's directly, 882 00:46:50,480 --> 00:46:53,400 Speaker 1: by Russia directly, but by a lot of fringe people 883 00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:57,880 Speaker 1: in the United States, but also how various actors figure 884 00:46:57,920 --> 00:47:02,439 Speaker 1: within it. And I think Trump's basic instinct, someone told 885 00:47:02,440 --> 00:47:04,680 Speaker 1: me Nixon got there by intellect and Trump gets there 886 00:47:04,680 --> 00:47:07,239 Speaker 1: by instinct, is to defend the West. You don't even 887 00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:09,400 Speaker 1: I don't even know if you could explain what defending 888 00:47:09,440 --> 00:47:11,840 Speaker 1: the West is. But I think you folks are doing 889 00:47:11,840 --> 00:47:16,919 Speaker 1: that every day by discussion and historical analysis. I think 890 00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:20,400 Speaker 1: I cannot overstate how valuable it is. It's not a 891 00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:23,759 Speaker 1: news program, it's a discussion program. It's what Buckley used 892 00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:26,880 Speaker 1: to do on Firing Line, and it doesn't exist anywhere anymore. 893 00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:31,279 Speaker 1: Nro defends the Western Catholicism and commentary defends the West 894 00:47:31,320 --> 00:47:33,920 Speaker 1: and Judaism and other people defend the West. That are 895 00:47:33,920 --> 00:47:35,680 Speaker 1: the great podcast. But what do you think of that 896 00:47:35,760 --> 00:47:37,840 Speaker 1: mission statement defend the West and the Jews? 897 00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:40,160 Speaker 3: Oh, one hundred percent. 898 00:47:40,239 --> 00:47:46,000 Speaker 5: I was not listing every pillar of our sort of mission. 899 00:47:47,000 --> 00:47:50,560 Speaker 5: Defending the West and defending the United States in particular. 900 00:47:50,400 --> 00:47:54,839 Speaker 3: And bringing to light that the best of. 901 00:47:54,880 --> 00:48:01,560 Speaker 5: Western thought and Western policy in Western history has created. 902 00:48:01,800 --> 00:48:05,640 Speaker 3: That is also very much a part of our mission. 903 00:48:05,920 --> 00:48:07,040 Speaker 3: And really to. 904 00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:13,799 Speaker 5: Also make an ongoing argument that this miraculous story of 905 00:48:13,840 --> 00:48:18,320 Speaker 5: the West of the United States, which is the greatest 906 00:48:19,239 --> 00:48:24,719 Speaker 5: creation human endeavor on the planet, that the Jews are 907 00:48:24,719 --> 00:48:29,480 Speaker 5: an integral, necessary part of this story. 908 00:48:30,160 --> 00:48:33,360 Speaker 1: And that leads me to today's podcast. You were talking about. 909 00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:36,319 Speaker 1: Was the threat form Iran imminent or not? It does 910 00:48:36,360 --> 00:48:39,040 Speaker 1: not make a lick of difference to me. Because Iran, 911 00:48:39,440 --> 00:48:43,400 Speaker 1: ever since they dropped the veil on January eighth and 912 00:48:43,560 --> 00:48:45,920 Speaker 1: ninth and massacre at thirty five thousand of their own people, 913 00:48:46,480 --> 00:48:50,600 Speaker 1: they are not They cannot coexist with the West. That 914 00:48:50,800 --> 00:48:53,240 Speaker 1: one of them has to win the West or Iran 915 00:48:53,320 --> 00:48:55,719 Speaker 1: has to win. We can have some weak sisters like 916 00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:58,880 Speaker 1: England and Spain, and I'm not sure what Turkey is 917 00:48:58,920 --> 00:49:01,799 Speaker 1: doing right now. Iran is a malevolent evil for it. 918 00:49:01,840 --> 00:49:04,319 Speaker 1: I'm not even sure the CCP is as dangerous to 919 00:49:04,360 --> 00:49:07,080 Speaker 1: the West as Iran is, because if they had gotten nukes, 920 00:49:07,200 --> 00:49:09,279 Speaker 1: or even dirty nukes, they would have done with them 921 00:49:09,280 --> 00:49:11,799 Speaker 1: what they're doing with their ballistic missiles Right now. They 922 00:49:11,800 --> 00:49:14,239 Speaker 1: are a rabbit dog. They have to be put down. 923 00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:17,000 Speaker 3: Yeah. 924 00:49:17,080 --> 00:49:22,279 Speaker 5: Interestingly, Trump spoken terms very similar to that today. He 925 00:49:22,440 --> 00:49:28,959 Speaker 5: described the regime as evil. This harks back to the 926 00:49:29,120 --> 00:49:32,200 Speaker 5: George W. Bush hears and the description of the access 927 00:49:32,200 --> 00:49:36,200 Speaker 5: of evil, and of course before that, talk of Russia 928 00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:41,840 Speaker 5: as an evil empire. This is not the kind of 929 00:49:42,040 --> 00:49:46,080 Speaker 5: language that we are used to hearing from Trump. Really, 930 00:49:47,680 --> 00:49:55,760 Speaker 5: name calling, yes, moral framing of other regimes in absolute terms, 931 00:49:56,160 --> 00:49:58,880 Speaker 5: that's something different. This is not so much the opposite 932 00:49:58,920 --> 00:50:00,600 Speaker 5: of transactional. 933 00:50:00,120 --> 00:50:04,040 Speaker 1: Yes, not so much so, given that he's gone down 934 00:50:04,080 --> 00:50:07,560 Speaker 1: that way. How much of your time is going to 935 00:50:07,600 --> 00:50:11,040 Speaker 1: be spent looking ahead to twenty twenty eight because it's 936 00:50:11,080 --> 00:50:13,480 Speaker 1: really a question of party now. I don't know the 937 00:50:13,520 --> 00:50:15,799 Speaker 1: nominee are going to be, but I look at that 938 00:50:15,960 --> 00:50:18,360 Speaker 1: The line from the State of the Union, these people 939 00:50:18,400 --> 00:50:24,160 Speaker 1: are crazy is maybe the best distillation of Donald Trump, ever, 940 00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:27,520 Speaker 1: and his view of them, like, what's wrong with you people? 941 00:50:27,560 --> 00:50:29,280 Speaker 1: I'm never going to do a deal with you people, 942 00:50:29,320 --> 00:50:32,759 Speaker 1: And it's very transiited, you're crazy. And I think the 943 00:50:32,800 --> 00:50:36,279 Speaker 1: Democratic Party has a mind virus. 944 00:50:36,800 --> 00:50:37,680 Speaker 3: Oh for sure. 945 00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:40,960 Speaker 5: And well, I don't want to say the whole Democratic Party, 946 00:50:41,880 --> 00:50:45,200 Speaker 5: some of the Democratic Party is just simply sure. 947 00:50:44,960 --> 00:50:48,799 Speaker 3: To death of the far left, which makes. 948 00:50:48,560 --> 00:50:53,799 Speaker 5: Them very weak, which is that's not a compliment. I 949 00:50:53,880 --> 00:50:56,480 Speaker 5: just I don't think they're necessarily crazy. Some of them 950 00:50:56,480 --> 00:51:01,279 Speaker 5: are crazy or you know, in colloquial terms, crazy, and 951 00:51:01,320 --> 00:51:03,600 Speaker 5: we should say, you know, as regards the current moment, 952 00:51:04,480 --> 00:51:09,560 Speaker 5: when you have a far left, including some lawmakers who 953 00:51:09,600 --> 00:51:18,760 Speaker 5: have been out holding placards and chanting slogans that are 954 00:51:18,880 --> 00:51:27,040 Speaker 5: authored by the Iranian regime's terrorist proxies, this is their 955 00:51:27,360 --> 00:51:30,480 Speaker 5: having declared themselves on the side of the regime. 956 00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:34,480 Speaker 4: They're crazy in that and on a great. 957 00:51:34,239 --> 00:51:36,080 Speaker 3: Many other issues. 958 00:51:36,239 --> 00:51:39,400 Speaker 5: And it's part of why when Trump first came to office, 959 00:51:39,760 --> 00:51:43,959 Speaker 5: what he called his common Sense Agenda, I think common 960 00:51:44,000 --> 00:51:50,319 Speaker 5: sense revolution rather, I think very aptly was as popular as. 961 00:51:50,280 --> 00:51:53,520 Speaker 1: It was the country as a whole. 962 00:51:53,560 --> 00:51:56,279 Speaker 3: You didn't have to be a far right winger to 963 00:51:56,440 --> 00:51:59,680 Speaker 3: look at what the far left. 964 00:52:01,080 --> 00:52:06,359 Speaker 5: Program and how it was instituted by liberals and the 965 00:52:06,360 --> 00:52:10,600 Speaker 5: liberal establishment. You didn't have to be a fire breathing 966 00:52:10,760 --> 00:52:12,040 Speaker 5: far right. 967 00:52:11,840 --> 00:52:14,480 Speaker 3: Winger to say, yeah, this is a little crazy, all right. 968 00:52:14,480 --> 00:52:17,080 Speaker 1: So last question, when we look over at the left 969 00:52:17,080 --> 00:52:19,319 Speaker 1: and we see what we see, and then we see 970 00:52:19,360 --> 00:52:23,040 Speaker 1: on the horseshoe and some very troubling rhetoric, especially the 971 00:52:23,080 --> 00:52:25,840 Speaker 1: anti Semitic stuff that comes from a variety of sources. 972 00:52:25,960 --> 00:52:29,120 Speaker 1: We'll use Nick flint Age and those adjacent to him. 973 00:52:29,640 --> 00:52:32,320 Speaker 1: What's more dangerous. I don't think the wackos on the 974 00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:34,520 Speaker 1: right are that dangerous, because they're never going to have power, 975 00:52:34,960 --> 00:52:37,400 Speaker 1: and I don't think that anyone who gets elected with 976 00:52:37,440 --> 00:52:39,680 Speaker 1: their votes is going to grule with them anyway. But 977 00:52:40,520 --> 00:52:42,880 Speaker 1: I do think the far left in America is dangerous. 978 00:52:42,960 --> 00:52:45,800 Speaker 1: What is the priority in your view? One minute? 979 00:52:47,840 --> 00:52:51,360 Speaker 5: It's a very tough question because in some sense I 980 00:52:51,560 --> 00:52:57,840 Speaker 5: have come to expect the anti semitism of the far left, 981 00:52:58,560 --> 00:53:03,200 Speaker 5: So to me, that's sort of constant, and I have 982 00:53:04,280 --> 00:53:09,400 Speaker 5: had been leaning on my the the hope, the anchor 983 00:53:09,520 --> 00:53:15,040 Speaker 5: that is the post Buckley Wright uh as a as 984 00:53:15,080 --> 00:53:21,120 Speaker 5: A as A as a block of sanity that's there 985 00:53:21,760 --> 00:53:26,960 Speaker 5: to fight against the anti semitism of the left. The 986 00:53:27,080 --> 00:53:31,840 Speaker 5: scary thing about the rise of any sort of anti 987 00:53:31,880 --> 00:53:38,320 Speaker 5: Semitic right is that it renders both parties potentially. 988 00:53:37,880 --> 00:53:40,520 Speaker 3: Dangerous to the Jews. And that's a new phenomenon. 989 00:53:40,680 --> 00:53:43,840 Speaker 1: That is I'm counting on people like Senator Cotton and 990 00:53:44,080 --> 00:53:48,840 Speaker 1: those that Jaspingham to keep the GOP anchored in common 991 00:53:48,960 --> 00:53:53,120 Speaker 1: sense and pro American, pro Western ideal. Please a greenwalk 992 00:53:53,160 --> 00:53:55,879 Speaker 1: Baum on X today. Greenwald read his newsletter every morning. 993 00:53:55,920 --> 00:54:02,400 Speaker 1: What You're gonna sign up for our commentary dot com. 994 00:54:02,840 --> 00:54:06,600 Speaker 1: Welcome back America. Doctor Michael Aran was Israel's ambassador to 995 00:54:06,640 --> 00:54:08,640 Speaker 1: the United States for a long time. He's authored so 996 00:54:08,640 --> 00:54:12,359 Speaker 1: many books, including ally, which are relevant right now. Dr Arran, 997 00:54:12,440 --> 00:54:15,120 Speaker 1: As the war rages in Israel, how are you, your 998 00:54:15,200 --> 00:54:17,200 Speaker 1: family and your friends faring. 999 00:54:18,440 --> 00:54:18,600 Speaker 8: Well? 1000 00:54:18,600 --> 00:54:19,960 Speaker 9: I just got out of the safe room now. 1001 00:54:20,440 --> 00:54:25,600 Speaker 10: We had a missile attack about forty seconds ago, and 1002 00:54:25,680 --> 00:54:26,640 Speaker 10: it's been a busy night. 1003 00:54:26,760 --> 00:54:28,160 Speaker 9: It's not the busiest night. 1004 00:54:28,640 --> 00:54:32,120 Speaker 10: Yesterday we had about thirty missile attacks that we had 1005 00:54:32,120 --> 00:54:34,480 Speaker 10: to go into the safe room, our bomb shelters. 1006 00:54:34,800 --> 00:54:36,440 Speaker 9: We've had about six or seven today. 1007 00:54:37,000 --> 00:54:39,400 Speaker 10: So I don't know whether this means that Iran is 1008 00:54:39,440 --> 00:54:42,319 Speaker 10: focusing more on other targets in the Middle East. 1009 00:54:42,320 --> 00:54:43,120 Speaker 9: We can talk about what. 1010 00:54:43,000 --> 00:54:47,040 Speaker 10: That means, and on American military assets in the Middle East, 1011 00:54:47,080 --> 00:54:51,400 Speaker 10: the ships and bases, you know, other than Iran doesn't 1012 00:54:51,400 --> 00:54:54,239 Speaker 10: get anything out of shooting at us other than making 1013 00:54:54,239 --> 00:54:57,719 Speaker 10: them feel good. It's an ideological feel good movement because 1014 00:54:57,760 --> 00:54:59,120 Speaker 10: we're not going to bolt. We're not going to put 1015 00:54:59,160 --> 00:55:01,680 Speaker 10: pressure on Press and Trump to end the war, right, 1016 00:55:01,960 --> 00:55:04,759 Speaker 10: We're not going to break, so you know, they're going 1017 00:55:04,760 --> 00:55:06,640 Speaker 10: to try to shoot at what will give them the 1018 00:55:06,640 --> 00:55:09,080 Speaker 10: biggest forgive the expression in the bank for the book, 1019 00:55:09,120 --> 00:55:12,080 Speaker 10: which is trying to increase American casualties in this war, 1020 00:55:12,600 --> 00:55:14,840 Speaker 10: trying to put pressure on various and Leastern governments to 1021 00:55:14,840 --> 00:55:18,760 Speaker 10: put pressure in turn on the American president to cease fire. 1022 00:55:18,920 --> 00:55:19,480 Speaker 9: It ain't going to. 1023 00:55:19,480 --> 00:55:22,720 Speaker 1: Work, so doctor, and I asked us of Aviv earlier, 1024 00:55:22,719 --> 00:55:24,759 Speaker 1: but you're the real historian, so I'm going to ask 1025 00:55:24,800 --> 00:55:27,719 Speaker 1: it of you. In nineteen fifty on Wake Island, General 1026 00:55:27,800 --> 00:55:30,359 Speaker 1: MacArthur met with Harry Truman to congratulate each other on 1027 00:55:30,400 --> 00:55:33,640 Speaker 1: how well the Korean War was going. Already, MAO had 1028 00:55:33,680 --> 00:55:37,239 Speaker 1: sent one hundred thousand plus volunteers over the Yalu and 1029 00:55:37,320 --> 00:55:41,040 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, we're however, Yeah, is it possible 1030 00:55:41,160 --> 00:55:44,759 Speaker 1: that Turkey comes in if, in fact, Israel and Lisia's 1031 00:55:44,800 --> 00:55:50,600 Speaker 1: the Kurds of Iraq into Kurdistan in Iran. 1032 00:55:52,320 --> 00:55:54,200 Speaker 9: I hadn't thought of that. I can't believe that on 1033 00:55:54,239 --> 00:55:56,359 Speaker 9: what side of this war is Turkey is supposed. 1034 00:55:56,000 --> 00:55:56,279 Speaker 1: To come in. 1035 00:55:56,360 --> 00:55:59,560 Speaker 9: That's what I would ask you, Hugh. On Iran side, 1036 00:56:00,000 --> 00:56:00,920 Speaker 9: It's highly unlikely. 1037 00:56:02,600 --> 00:56:04,920 Speaker 1: On the side of the Ottoman Empire because this guy's 1038 00:56:04,960 --> 00:56:05,680 Speaker 1: not there one. 1039 00:56:06,239 --> 00:56:08,240 Speaker 9: Oh, they could attack the they could they could attack 1040 00:56:08,239 --> 00:56:10,360 Speaker 9: the Kurts. They could easily do that. That I can understand. 1041 00:56:10,680 --> 00:56:12,680 Speaker 10: You know, it's going to be again one of those 1042 00:56:12,719 --> 00:56:14,600 Speaker 10: dirty Harry moments, is going to be a pull the trigger, 1043 00:56:14,680 --> 00:56:17,759 Speaker 10: make my days what Hisbola has done for us in 1044 00:56:17,840 --> 00:56:21,600 Speaker 10: Lebanon now. But what we're seeing witnessing now is the 1045 00:56:22,239 --> 00:56:25,399 Speaker 10: discarding of just about every assumption about the Middle East, 1046 00:56:25,440 --> 00:56:27,080 Speaker 10: about the conflict that we've. 1047 00:56:26,920 --> 00:56:28,080 Speaker 9: Held for close to eighty years. 1048 00:56:28,280 --> 00:56:31,680 Speaker 10: Yeah, we're in a situation tonight where the Lebanese government 1049 00:56:31,760 --> 00:56:34,200 Speaker 10: is condemning his Bola for shooting at Israel. 1050 00:56:34,760 --> 00:56:35,160 Speaker 9: We're in a. 1051 00:56:35,120 --> 00:56:39,120 Speaker 10: Situation tonight where Katar, the presumptive ally of Iran, may 1052 00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:42,640 Speaker 10: be actually bombing Iran together with Israel. By the way, 1053 00:56:42,680 --> 00:56:47,880 Speaker 10: together with Israel. It's a total realignment of this region. 1054 00:56:48,640 --> 00:56:51,720 Speaker 10: It is the resurfacing of ancient hatreds because the Arabs 1055 00:56:51,719 --> 00:56:55,840 Speaker 10: hate the Persians and the Soonis hate the Shiites. And 1056 00:56:55,840 --> 00:56:59,480 Speaker 10: and with Moti's visit last week, which was quite extraordinary. 1057 00:57:00,080 --> 00:57:01,320 Speaker 9: Know, on the eve of this war. 1058 00:57:01,239 --> 00:57:05,400 Speaker 10: The democratic elected, the leader of the largest nation on 1059 00:57:05,400 --> 00:57:08,920 Speaker 10: Earth comes to visit Israel and does nothing but swear, 1060 00:57:09,480 --> 00:57:13,120 Speaker 10: you know, allegiance and support for us. We could see 1061 00:57:13,120 --> 00:57:18,080 Speaker 10: the emergence of a Pax Americana strategic arc that extends 1062 00:57:18,080 --> 00:57:20,800 Speaker 10: from you know, the Mediterranean Ocean, not from from where 1063 00:57:20,800 --> 00:57:24,440 Speaker 10: I'm sitting, to the banks of the Ganges. It is 1064 00:57:24,560 --> 00:57:26,040 Speaker 10: totally transformative moment. 1065 00:57:27,080 --> 00:57:28,160 Speaker 1: I'm so glad you brought this. 1066 00:57:28,880 --> 00:57:31,880 Speaker 10: I want to quote my quote by taxi driver today 1067 00:57:31,880 --> 00:57:34,360 Speaker 10: who says that we're not living during historical times, we're 1068 00:57:34,360 --> 00:57:35,560 Speaker 10: living during biblical times. 1069 00:57:36,040 --> 00:57:38,200 Speaker 1: Well said by him. Maybe that's a title of your 1070 00:57:38,240 --> 00:57:41,360 Speaker 1: next book. Here's my question. You and I have through 1071 00:57:41,440 --> 00:57:45,000 Speaker 1: nineteen eighty nine, when out of nowhere the Warsaw pack 1072 00:57:45,160 --> 00:57:48,880 Speaker 1: collapsed and the entire world was rearranged. Are we in 1073 00:57:48,920 --> 00:57:51,080 Speaker 1: such a moment again, because I didn't think we'd get 1074 00:57:51,080 --> 00:57:52,080 Speaker 1: two in my lifetime. 1075 00:57:53,800 --> 00:57:57,560 Speaker 10: I know we were two for two here. It apparently 1076 00:57:57,600 --> 00:58:00,640 Speaker 10: is that way. And you know, no, he knows how. 1077 00:58:00,720 --> 00:58:02,520 Speaker 10: You know, we all know how wars start. We don't 1078 00:58:02,520 --> 00:58:05,480 Speaker 10: know how they end. We don't know. And this war 1079 00:58:05,600 --> 00:58:09,160 Speaker 10: was the product of multiple miscalculations by just about everybody. 1080 00:58:10,000 --> 00:58:13,320 Speaker 10: Israel on October six, twenty twenty seven, the Palestinians on 1081 00:58:13,320 --> 00:58:17,360 Speaker 10: October seventh, twenty twenty three, twenty twenty three, sorry, and 1082 00:58:18,440 --> 00:58:21,160 Speaker 10: miscalculations and miscalculations, the most recent by the Rarnians, and 1083 00:58:21,240 --> 00:58:23,840 Speaker 10: thinking that if they bomb Arabs and they bomb Cyprus, 1084 00:58:24,440 --> 00:58:26,400 Speaker 10: they're gonna get more pressure on Trump to stop the war. 1085 00:58:26,480 --> 00:58:28,040 Speaker 10: With just the opposite, they've got a lot of more 1086 00:58:28,080 --> 00:58:33,360 Speaker 10: people bombing them tonight. We don't know, but it looks 1087 00:58:33,560 --> 00:58:37,160 Speaker 10: like everything's going to be shaken up. It's a it's 1088 00:58:37,200 --> 00:58:40,080 Speaker 10: a Corona moment where the balls go flying in different 1089 00:58:40,120 --> 00:58:42,560 Speaker 10: pockets and the billiard bowls. 1090 00:58:42,760 --> 00:58:45,320 Speaker 9: Okay, we don't know, but it is remarkable to see this. 1091 00:58:45,600 --> 00:58:49,800 Speaker 1: The fundamental question is the fundamentalist question that is Islam 1092 00:58:49,960 --> 00:58:54,040 Speaker 1: has veered for one hundred years into Wahabism and Shia extremism. 1093 00:58:54,520 --> 00:58:58,080 Speaker 1: Can MBZ working with MBS patch it up and bring 1094 00:58:58,800 --> 00:59:03,000 Speaker 1: the Arab of some world into a reformed modern Islam. 1095 00:59:04,560 --> 00:59:06,360 Speaker 9: It's possible. They're still going to be radical Islam. 1096 00:59:06,440 --> 00:59:08,680 Speaker 10: Listen to the crazy thing is my my son is 1097 00:59:08,760 --> 00:59:11,280 Speaker 10: visiting the United States now, not under fire in Israel. 1098 00:59:11,320 --> 00:59:14,080 Speaker 9: Big last week he was in Austin, Texas. Wakes up 1099 00:59:14,120 --> 00:59:14,760 Speaker 9: to find himself. 1100 00:59:14,800 --> 00:59:18,480 Speaker 10: You know, a massive police investigation happened right down the 1101 00:59:18,480 --> 00:59:19,080 Speaker 10: street from him. 1102 00:59:19,200 --> 00:59:23,080 Speaker 9: You can't make this up. So you know, Islamic extremism 1103 00:59:23,200 --> 00:59:26,160 Speaker 9: is still with us and will continue to be with it. 1104 00:59:26,280 --> 00:59:27,800 Speaker 9: It just won't have a state behind it the way 1105 00:59:27,840 --> 00:59:28,080 Speaker 9: it did. 1106 00:59:28,400 --> 00:59:30,360 Speaker 10: And you know, Nazism is still with us too, but 1107 00:59:30,400 --> 00:59:32,360 Speaker 10: they're a lot less dangerous because they don't have Nazi 1108 00:59:32,440 --> 00:59:35,640 Speaker 10: Germany behind them. And so you know, Islamics, you know, 1109 00:59:35,840 --> 00:59:39,280 Speaker 10: islamicists and Islamis terrorists may be less dangerous now that 1110 00:59:39,320 --> 00:59:42,560 Speaker 10: they don't have Iran behind them. And by the way, 1111 00:59:42,600 --> 00:59:44,600 Speaker 10: they won't have Hamas and his Balla behind them either. 1112 00:59:45,080 --> 00:59:46,760 Speaker 9: So that is all. 1113 00:59:46,840 --> 00:59:51,360 Speaker 10: These are again amazing, amazing events. I want to add 1114 00:59:51,360 --> 00:59:53,000 Speaker 10: one other things. I don't know if you were talking 1115 00:59:53,040 --> 00:59:55,720 Speaker 10: about this, but but America's relationship with Europe over this, 1116 00:59:56,480 --> 01:00:00,960 Speaker 10: I was deeply moved by President Trump's decision to cut 1117 01:00:00,960 --> 01:00:01,880 Speaker 10: off trade with Spain. 1118 01:00:02,080 --> 01:00:05,000 Speaker 9: Yes, it's about time. It's about time. 1119 01:00:05,120 --> 01:00:06,600 Speaker 1: I regret every dollar. 1120 01:00:07,920 --> 01:00:10,920 Speaker 9: And shin shame. They should move the naval base out 1121 01:00:10,920 --> 01:00:11,640 Speaker 9: of Rhode of Spain. 1122 01:00:11,920 --> 01:00:14,680 Speaker 1: I agree with out and no cruise ship should dine there. 1123 01:00:15,040 --> 01:00:16,840 Speaker 1: I have two big questions, Michael, I don't know how 1124 01:00:16,920 --> 01:00:19,080 Speaker 1: much time I have. If I can, I'll take you 1125 01:00:19,840 --> 01:00:22,400 Speaker 1: during the break in into the next Keep it short, Okay, 1126 01:00:22,520 --> 01:00:26,760 Speaker 1: Here are the two questions. One, Gaza is not off 1127 01:00:26,840 --> 01:00:29,920 Speaker 1: the table yet. It's the open swords, the open wound. 1128 01:00:30,360 --> 01:00:33,320 Speaker 1: And then two Net and Yahoo. You know him, You've 1129 01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:35,800 Speaker 1: worked with him, you've worked against him, You've commented on him. 1130 01:00:36,040 --> 01:00:38,919 Speaker 1: Could anyone else have led Israel through these last thirty months? 1131 01:00:40,440 --> 01:00:42,000 Speaker 9: Let me start with Gaza. Gaza on the table. I 1132 01:00:42,000 --> 01:00:44,640 Speaker 9: think that Gaza was one of the reasons that Iran 1133 01:00:44,960 --> 01:00:45,760 Speaker 9: the Runian. 1134 01:00:45,520 --> 01:00:49,520 Speaker 10: Leadership felt that they could rebuild their ballistic missile system 1135 01:00:49,600 --> 01:00:52,040 Speaker 10: and begin to begin the nuclear system because the Trump 1136 01:00:52,160 --> 01:00:55,360 Speaker 10: administration hadn't fulfilled it, it hadn't moved on its promise 1137 01:00:55,440 --> 01:00:58,440 Speaker 10: to dismantle Hummas and for the in the Middle East, that. 1138 01:00:58,480 --> 01:01:00,800 Speaker 9: Was perceived as a lack of willpower, lack of resolve, 1139 01:01:01,480 --> 01:01:03,120 Speaker 9: and that has to be done. That has to be 1140 01:01:03,200 --> 01:01:04,360 Speaker 9: then they have to be dismantled. 1141 01:01:05,200 --> 01:01:07,640 Speaker 10: I was talking to a Palestinian colleague of mine and 1142 01:01:07,720 --> 01:01:11,240 Speaker 10: Washingtday person, very well informed, saying that Duhamas thinks that 1143 01:01:11,360 --> 01:01:14,600 Speaker 10: it basically won the war. It's emerged from the tunnels 1144 01:01:14,680 --> 01:01:16,840 Speaker 10: and it still has its guns, and they think they're 1145 01:01:16,840 --> 01:01:20,280 Speaker 10: going to be part of the post war arrangement. We 1146 01:01:20,400 --> 01:01:23,080 Speaker 10: have to disabuse them of that. It's extremely, extremely important 1147 01:01:23,120 --> 01:01:27,720 Speaker 10: for for for regional and global security. As for Natanelle, 1148 01:01:28,800 --> 01:01:31,160 Speaker 10: I was talking to another friend who you know, suffers 1149 01:01:31,160 --> 01:01:35,480 Speaker 10: from netall derangement. You know, if we have inclement weather here, 1150 01:01:35,480 --> 01:01:39,480 Speaker 10: it's because of Nitanelle. And he had to admit, I'm serious, 1151 01:01:39,560 --> 01:01:44,360 Speaker 10: if it rains, it's Naneo. He had to admit that 1152 01:01:44,560 --> 01:01:46,320 Speaker 10: nobody else could have done this, that he was willing 1153 01:01:46,360 --> 01:01:50,360 Speaker 10: to forgive all of That'tagnello's to put in his words, 1154 01:01:50,400 --> 01:01:54,560 Speaker 10: his fabulous personal flaws and foibles, because he has brought. 1155 01:01:54,400 --> 01:01:55,360 Speaker 9: Us to this moment. 1156 01:01:56,560 --> 01:01:59,200 Speaker 10: And no, I don't can't imagine anybody could have done 1157 01:01:59,240 --> 01:02:00,960 Speaker 10: this other than these to these two leaders. 1158 01:02:01,000 --> 01:02:02,000 Speaker 9: By the way, it's not just that. 1159 01:02:02,120 --> 01:02:05,080 Speaker 10: Yeah, it's the it's the Ness and now Trump combination, 1160 01:02:06,000 --> 01:02:08,320 Speaker 10: which you know, as you know in diplomacy, and I've 1161 01:02:08,360 --> 01:02:11,840 Speaker 10: been a practicing diplomat, diplomacy is ninety three percent personal. 1162 01:02:12,600 --> 01:02:15,440 Speaker 10: And this war is the product of a two leaders 1163 01:02:15,480 --> 01:02:19,480 Speaker 10: who understand each other, who respect one another, and have complete, 1164 01:02:19,600 --> 01:02:21,480 Speaker 10: you know, open relations with one another. 1165 01:02:21,760 --> 01:02:22,840 Speaker 9: And you see how that works. 1166 01:02:23,120 --> 01:02:25,720 Speaker 1: The historian, wouldn't you love the transcript of that three 1167 01:02:25,760 --> 01:02:27,640 Speaker 1: hour meeting, wouldn't. 1168 01:02:27,320 --> 01:02:29,080 Speaker 9: That very much? 1169 01:02:29,160 --> 01:02:29,200 Speaker 8: So? 1170 01:02:29,520 --> 01:02:31,600 Speaker 9: Yeah, and I get to write the book about it too. 1171 01:02:31,680 --> 01:02:32,240 Speaker 9: That's the good view. 1172 01:02:32,400 --> 01:02:34,720 Speaker 1: Oh, I can't wait for it. Doctor Michael Oran follomon 1173 01:02:34,800 --> 01:02:37,800 Speaker 1: a Dr Michael Orran. Come back and stay safe in 1174 01:02:37,920 --> 01:02:40,640 Speaker 1: your entire family. Michael be well, I'll be right back 1175 01:02:40,680 --> 01:02:47,840 Speaker 1: in America. Stay two. Welcome back in America. I'm Hugh 1176 01:02:47,920 --> 01:02:50,440 Speaker 1: you at Byron, New York joins me from the Washington Examiner. 1177 01:02:50,560 --> 01:02:54,800 Speaker 1: Byron political impacts of wars are very difficult to calculate 1178 01:02:54,880 --> 01:02:58,320 Speaker 1: at the beginning, even difficult in the middle, and often 1179 01:02:58,400 --> 01:03:04,120 Speaker 1: it takes decades's first impression subject to revision as events unfold. 1180 01:03:05,400 --> 01:03:09,880 Speaker 11: Well, my first impression was the My impression right now 1181 01:03:10,120 --> 01:03:12,320 Speaker 11: is the same as it was the very minute I. 1182 01:03:12,400 --> 01:03:15,240 Speaker 8: Heard this was going on, which is, if it succeeds, 1183 01:03:16,080 --> 01:03:18,280 Speaker 8: it'll be great for politically for Trump. 1184 01:03:19,640 --> 01:03:22,600 Speaker 11: And if we're looking at some sort of descent in 1185 01:03:22,680 --> 01:03:25,080 Speaker 11: the chaos or rack style, it will. 1186 01:03:24,920 --> 01:03:29,960 Speaker 8: Be disastrous for Trump. I mean everything one depends on 1187 01:03:30,080 --> 01:03:32,320 Speaker 8: the success of the mission. 1188 01:03:32,280 --> 01:03:34,600 Speaker 1: All right, to find success buying York. 1189 01:03:35,920 --> 01:03:39,400 Speaker 11: I would define success as first of all. 1190 01:03:39,360 --> 01:03:42,280 Speaker 8: Decapitating the Iranian leadership, so we can put a check 1191 01:03:42,360 --> 01:03:43,160 Speaker 8: mark by out Yep. 1192 01:03:45,080 --> 01:03:50,080 Speaker 11: Second of all, destroying all of their defensive capabilities. 1193 01:03:50,120 --> 01:03:51,920 Speaker 8: We're close to putting a check mark by that one. 1194 01:03:53,360 --> 01:04:01,160 Speaker 8: Then allowing or creating some sort of stable government to arise. 1195 01:04:02,000 --> 01:04:02,680 Speaker 3: In which. 1196 01:04:04,640 --> 01:04:10,640 Speaker 11: Iran lives peacefully and does not seek to attack its neighbors. 1197 01:04:10,720 --> 01:04:14,960 Speaker 1: Okay, that's Mount Everest. I'm gonna use Syria as my comparison. 1198 01:04:15,720 --> 01:04:18,360 Speaker 1: I don't like this share guy at all. I'm not 1199 01:04:18,560 --> 01:04:21,640 Speaker 1: one to believe in al Qaeda transformation into the nice 1200 01:04:21,680 --> 01:04:26,120 Speaker 1: guy next door, but it's possible. Thus far, he got 1201 01:04:26,200 --> 01:04:29,240 Speaker 1: into one scrape with Israel and then back down he's 1202 01:04:29,320 --> 01:04:33,680 Speaker 1: fighting with the Kurds. Now. If Iran descends into kind 1203 01:04:33,760 --> 01:04:37,920 Speaker 1: of controlled chaos and various parts of the country at 1204 01:04:37,960 --> 01:04:40,280 Speaker 1: war with others. That's of no concern to me. If 1205 01:04:40,320 --> 01:04:43,160 Speaker 1: they haven't got ballistic missiles, that's a success. But it's 1206 01:04:43,200 --> 01:04:44,280 Speaker 1: not mount everth. 1207 01:04:45,960 --> 01:04:49,160 Speaker 11: Well, and also they have no nuclear program right correct? 1208 01:04:49,160 --> 01:04:50,840 Speaker 8: And they have no nuclear program and they have no 1209 01:04:51,440 --> 01:04:56,400 Speaker 8: ballistic missiles, obviously that would be progress. 1210 01:04:57,680 --> 01:05:00,760 Speaker 11: On the other hand, you know, if it's descends into. 1211 01:05:00,600 --> 01:05:07,240 Speaker 8: Chaos, what is the US either responsibility or inclination to 1212 01:05:07,920 --> 01:05:10,040 Speaker 8: take part in this or just sort of step back 1213 01:05:10,080 --> 01:05:11,360 Speaker 8: and let it descend into chaos. 1214 01:05:11,640 --> 01:05:13,960 Speaker 1: Oh, Hugh Hewitt's view on that is zip not in nothing. 1215 01:05:15,120 --> 01:05:18,600 Speaker 1: I love the Persian people in southern California. I think 1216 01:05:18,680 --> 01:05:20,840 Speaker 1: they could be great partners for a peace, but we're 1217 01:05:20,880 --> 01:05:23,640 Speaker 1: not going to get involved with that because they're at 1218 01:05:23,760 --> 01:05:26,400 Speaker 1: ninety two million people. It's a bigger bite than. 1219 01:05:26,400 --> 01:05:28,920 Speaker 8: A rock bob. I mean, you just went in and 1220 01:05:29,000 --> 01:05:30,520 Speaker 8: blew up the entire. 1221 01:05:30,480 --> 01:05:34,600 Speaker 1: Leadership, and we blew up carg Island's power supply, so 1222 01:05:34,720 --> 01:05:37,480 Speaker 1: they haven't got any revenue. So it does seem to 1223 01:05:37,560 --> 01:05:40,240 Speaker 1: me they're at a critical point where they may want 1224 01:05:40,320 --> 01:05:43,960 Speaker 1: to do what Delsea did in Venezuela, which is, hello, 1225 01:05:44,680 --> 01:05:46,360 Speaker 1: Donald Trump, what do you want me to do? 1226 01:05:48,760 --> 01:05:52,160 Speaker 11: That would be reasonable, But on the other hand, if 1227 01:05:52,200 --> 01:05:53,320 Speaker 11: it does descend. 1228 01:05:53,080 --> 01:05:56,440 Speaker 8: Into some sort of chaos after these actions that we're 1229 01:05:56,520 --> 01:06:00,720 Speaker 8: just been discussing, the United States blows it up and 1230 01:06:00,840 --> 01:06:01,360 Speaker 8: leaves right. 1231 01:06:01,760 --> 01:06:06,000 Speaker 1: Well, let's look at Libya byron President Obama's famous leading 1232 01:06:06,080 --> 01:06:09,880 Speaker 1: from behind campaign, it led to nothing but tears, and 1233 01:06:10,040 --> 01:06:13,840 Speaker 1: it's still a civil war. It's still a pipeline of 1234 01:06:14,040 --> 01:06:17,760 Speaker 1: migrants crossing dangerously to Italy, many many dying on the way. 1235 01:06:18,320 --> 01:06:21,640 Speaker 1: And Americans don't know much about Libya and they care less. 1236 01:06:22,240 --> 01:06:26,120 Speaker 1: What about that result? Now that's chaos. We don't care. 1237 01:06:26,400 --> 01:06:31,440 Speaker 8: Look, yes, look, my feeling is we certainly do not 1238 01:06:31,720 --> 01:06:38,520 Speaker 8: have to help every nation that cannot handle its own affairs. 1239 01:06:39,360 --> 01:06:41,920 Speaker 8: We did not have to help them do that. I 1240 01:06:42,000 --> 01:06:45,400 Speaker 8: will say though, that when we are the ones who 1241 01:06:45,800 --> 01:06:50,560 Speaker 8: blew up the previous situation, we have some sort of 1242 01:06:50,640 --> 01:06:54,800 Speaker 8: responsibility in this. And that's why you have to really 1243 01:06:54,840 --> 01:06:58,560 Speaker 8: think about it before you go blow something up, because 1244 01:06:58,640 --> 01:07:01,080 Speaker 8: you realize if you you know, for example, we did 1245 01:07:01,200 --> 01:07:06,480 Speaker 8: behead the leadership in Venezuela, but as you just suggested, 1246 01:07:07,600 --> 01:07:09,280 Speaker 8: we do seem to have a plan and does seem to. 1247 01:07:09,280 --> 01:07:10,120 Speaker 9: Be working at the moment. 1248 01:07:10,280 --> 01:07:12,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I thought you would mentioned, and you have it 1249 01:07:13,120 --> 01:07:15,680 Speaker 1: I do think the president has got to get oil 1250 01:07:15,800 --> 01:07:18,200 Speaker 1: back to sixty two dollars in barrel, which it was 1251 01:07:18,400 --> 01:07:22,000 Speaker 1: before the war began, because that's a direct impact on 1252 01:07:22,240 --> 01:07:23,880 Speaker 1: every American's pocketbook. 1253 01:07:25,960 --> 01:07:30,040 Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean, if you're talking about domestic politics, I think, listen, 1254 01:07:30,480 --> 01:07:40,080 Speaker 8: I think the effect of the Iranian action has a 1255 01:07:40,200 --> 01:07:44,640 Speaker 8: much bigger downside for politically for Trump and Republicans than 1256 01:07:44,720 --> 01:07:48,080 Speaker 8: it does and upset because the things feel fairly well. 1257 01:07:49,040 --> 01:07:52,920 Speaker 8: People don't care about foreign policy, and there's still care 1258 01:07:53,000 --> 01:07:57,720 Speaker 8: about the cost of living. And remember, I went back 1259 01:07:57,760 --> 01:07:59,160 Speaker 8: and looked at some of the pieces I wrote. I 1260 01:07:59,200 --> 01:08:01,160 Speaker 8: think it was on decent or the seventh or eighth 1261 01:08:01,840 --> 01:08:06,800 Speaker 8: about Trump's pivots to the economy and. 1262 01:08:06,880 --> 01:08:07,720 Speaker 9: To the cost of living. 1263 01:08:07,760 --> 01:08:09,959 Speaker 11: And he's going to go give speeches and travel around 1264 01:08:10,000 --> 01:08:10,400 Speaker 11: the country. 1265 01:08:11,000 --> 01:08:12,240 Speaker 8: Uh. And then within a few. 1266 01:08:12,120 --> 01:08:16,040 Speaker 11: Weeks he does Innezuela and that you know, completely consumes 1267 01:08:16,120 --> 01:08:19,840 Speaker 11: us all for a few minutes. And then so then 1268 01:08:19,920 --> 01:08:21,240 Speaker 11: you know he's going to come back. And then now 1269 01:08:21,680 --> 01:08:25,479 Speaker 11: he's got he's gotten involved in in Iran. I think 1270 01:08:26,439 --> 01:08:27,839 Speaker 11: I don't think there's a huge. 1271 01:08:27,760 --> 01:08:31,960 Speaker 8: Upside for this in the midterm elections. 1272 01:08:32,160 --> 01:08:35,280 Speaker 1: All right, But here's the counter case. The countercase is 1273 01:08:35,600 --> 01:08:37,960 Speaker 1: you are absolutely right about the electorate as a whole. 1274 01:08:38,200 --> 01:08:41,840 Speaker 1: Probably five to ten percent care about national security, but 1275 01:08:42,040 --> 01:08:44,759 Speaker 1: they care a lot. It's for me, the most important issue, 1276 01:08:45,040 --> 01:08:48,920 Speaker 1: and these two things Venezuela and Iran are big blows 1277 01:08:49,040 --> 01:08:52,680 Speaker 1: to Chicom's. The PRC is very upset today and I 1278 01:08:52,800 --> 01:08:56,880 Speaker 1: think Trump's playing the great game with Master's touch. But 1279 01:08:57,360 --> 01:09:00,640 Speaker 1: in June, when voters lock in their view, you like 1280 01:09:00,720 --> 01:09:04,960 Speaker 1: they're voting in Texas today and Corning and Paxston will 1281 01:09:04,960 --> 01:09:06,800 Speaker 1: go to a runoff and it'll be the nastiest ever. 1282 01:09:07,120 --> 01:09:09,280 Speaker 1: But no one locks in their view deal June, and 1283 01:09:09,360 --> 01:09:11,640 Speaker 1: then it's locked in and it doesn't matter. That's my 1284 01:09:11,840 --> 01:09:13,000 Speaker 1: understanding of American history. 1285 01:09:13,000 --> 01:09:15,000 Speaker 3: Do you agree with me? Well, I do. 1286 01:09:15,200 --> 01:09:18,800 Speaker 11: I think as a matter of fact, in certainly, in studying. 1287 01:09:18,560 --> 01:09:22,120 Speaker 8: Some primary races and in general election races, you've seen 1288 01:09:22,160 --> 01:09:26,920 Speaker 8: the elector pretty much lock in months and months and 1289 01:09:27,040 --> 01:09:30,320 Speaker 8: months before the election. If you remember, I was, I 1290 01:09:30,439 --> 01:09:32,840 Speaker 8: was just looking back at the twenty twelve election today, 1291 01:09:33,439 --> 01:09:37,240 Speaker 8: and Barack Obama did a great job of basically nuking 1292 01:09:37,920 --> 01:09:41,879 Speaker 8: Romney before Romney really got started with the general election campaign. 1293 01:09:42,400 --> 01:09:43,760 Speaker 8: So's that's how. 1294 01:09:43,720 --> 01:09:44,120 Speaker 12: You do it. 1295 01:09:44,520 --> 01:09:48,439 Speaker 11: And I don't know what situation Iran is going to 1296 01:09:48,560 --> 01:09:52,960 Speaker 11: be in in June, but you know this was not 1297 01:09:53,200 --> 01:09:53,960 Speaker 11: something you know. 1298 01:09:53,960 --> 01:09:58,559 Speaker 8: People didn't vote for this. When you asked voters agree after. 1299 01:09:58,439 --> 01:10:01,519 Speaker 11: Twenty twenty four, why did you vote for Donald Trump? 1300 01:10:01,800 --> 01:10:03,200 Speaker 11: And nobody said that. 1301 01:10:03,400 --> 01:10:05,840 Speaker 1: It's a nice way to move a marginal voter if 1302 01:10:05,880 --> 01:10:08,479 Speaker 1: you're in a close race and a close CD. But 1303 01:10:08,680 --> 01:10:10,840 Speaker 1: what matters a lot more is what you're paying at 1304 01:10:10,920 --> 01:10:14,160 Speaker 1: the gas pump. So drill, baby, Drill America, yep, because 1305 01:10:14,280 --> 01:10:17,479 Speaker 1: that's what America needs. Byron and ne York can be 1306 01:10:17,560 --> 01:10:20,439 Speaker 1: followed on accet Byron York get his newsletter every day 1307 01:10:20,479 --> 01:10:23,320 Speaker 1: from the Washington Caminal of seeing on Fox News to 1308 01:10:23,479 --> 01:10:25,679 Speaker 1: the Margin News contributor. I'll be right back in America's 1309 01:10:25,760 --> 01:10:28,320 Speaker 1: League News. What we're doing right now where they're in. 1310 01:10:29,200 --> 01:10:33,439 Speaker 13: If we don't stap them, or if we didn't stop them, 1311 01:10:33,640 --> 01:10:37,200 Speaker 13: or if we didn't start, they've been decimated. 1312 01:10:37,680 --> 01:10:39,519 Speaker 1: But if we didn't do what we're doing right now, 1313 01:10:39,640 --> 01:10:41,639 Speaker 1: you would have had a nuclear war and they would 1314 01:10:41,640 --> 01:10:43,280 Speaker 1: have taken out many countries. 1315 01:10:43,320 --> 01:10:46,479 Speaker 7: Because you know what, they're sick people, They're mentally ill, 1316 01:10:46,680 --> 01:10:47,400 Speaker 7: sick people. 1317 01:10:47,720 --> 01:10:53,160 Speaker 1: They're angry they're crazy, they're sick. Morning, lor and evening 1318 01:10:53,240 --> 01:10:56,080 Speaker 1: Grace America. President Trump's summing up the reason we are 1319 01:10:56,120 --> 01:10:59,160 Speaker 1: at war with iron. I'm joined by Senator Jony Ernst 1320 01:10:59,200 --> 01:11:03,280 Speaker 1: of Iowa on Homeland Security I Committee, other committee. Senator, 1321 01:11:03,320 --> 01:11:06,040 Speaker 1: and you agree with President Trump's description of our enemy. 1322 01:11:07,920 --> 01:11:11,559 Speaker 14: Yes, absolutely, I think that if we had not moved 1323 01:11:11,600 --> 01:11:15,120 Speaker 14: forward with this. I do believe that Iran would be 1324 01:11:15,280 --> 01:11:20,559 Speaker 14: targeting US, Israel, and our other partners abroad, no doubt 1325 01:11:20,600 --> 01:11:25,320 Speaker 14: about it. They have nefarious activities in mind, and fortunately 1326 01:11:25,439 --> 01:11:27,679 Speaker 14: we've been able to cut them off at the knees. 1327 01:11:28,080 --> 01:11:30,320 Speaker 1: So, Senator, I'm going to come to Homeland Security and 1328 01:11:30,360 --> 01:11:32,240 Speaker 1: the committee on which you said in just a moment, 1329 01:11:32,400 --> 01:11:35,160 Speaker 1: but as the perspective of a veteran, and you know 1330 01:11:35,920 --> 01:11:38,720 Speaker 1: how expensive the munitions are that we are firing off 1331 01:11:38,880 --> 01:11:41,240 Speaker 1: in great numbers. President says we've got enough, but it's 1332 01:11:41,280 --> 01:11:44,920 Speaker 1: still our stockpile. Do we need a supplemental? Do we 1333 01:11:45,040 --> 01:11:48,280 Speaker 1: ought to use reconciliation a second time to focus on 1334 01:11:48,360 --> 01:11:50,840 Speaker 1: the Department of Defense? Or do we wait for the 1335 01:11:51,080 --> 01:11:53,760 Speaker 1: order that would be regular order were we not in 1336 01:11:53,880 --> 01:11:54,240 Speaker 1: a war. 1337 01:11:56,560 --> 01:11:58,960 Speaker 14: Well, Hugh, I think everything is on the table right now, 1338 01:11:59,200 --> 01:12:03,320 Speaker 14: and We have no idea how long this engagement will 1339 01:12:03,400 --> 01:12:07,760 Speaker 14: go operation to epic fury. It could last a matter 1340 01:12:07,920 --> 01:12:13,040 Speaker 14: of weeks, it could extend longer. But what we have 1341 01:12:13,200 --> 01:12:17,760 Speaker 14: to recognize is that whatever it takes to end the 1342 01:12:17,880 --> 01:12:21,120 Speaker 14: threat of Iran needs to be on the table. So 1343 01:12:21,520 --> 01:12:26,000 Speaker 14: whether it's reconciliation, whether it's additional supplemental appropriations, whether it's 1344 01:12:26,080 --> 01:12:29,320 Speaker 14: going through regular order, we need to be discussing all 1345 01:12:29,439 --> 01:12:33,400 Speaker 14: of those opportunities right now and not wait until the 1346 01:12:33,560 --> 01:12:34,280 Speaker 14: last minute. 1347 01:12:34,720 --> 01:12:36,560 Speaker 9: We know that munitions are important. 1348 01:12:36,720 --> 01:12:39,880 Speaker 14: How can we continue to manufacture and push production of 1349 01:12:39,920 --> 01:12:43,719 Speaker 14: those munitions while we're expending them in the Middle East? 1350 01:12:44,320 --> 01:12:48,320 Speaker 14: So you a lot for us to do and a 1351 01:12:48,400 --> 01:12:50,679 Speaker 14: lot to be determined in the upcoming weeks. 1352 01:12:51,040 --> 01:12:53,439 Speaker 1: Do you do that in the conference, Senator, or you 1353 01:12:53,560 --> 01:12:56,360 Speaker 1: do that only in committee in one on ones meeting, 1354 01:12:56,560 --> 01:12:58,559 Speaker 1: or do you all gather as a group and say, okay, 1355 01:12:58,560 --> 01:12:59,920 Speaker 1: we're going to go with reconciliation. 1356 01:13:01,760 --> 01:13:04,080 Speaker 9: Well, we do this through the committees. 1357 01:13:04,560 --> 01:13:07,360 Speaker 14: One will need to have estimates coming from the Department 1358 01:13:07,400 --> 01:13:11,120 Speaker 14: of War, and two then we take a look at 1359 01:13:11,200 --> 01:13:14,880 Speaker 14: it through whether it's appropriations or whether it's through the 1360 01:13:15,040 --> 01:13:16,280 Speaker 14: Armed Services Committee. 1361 01:13:16,520 --> 01:13:17,920 Speaker 9: But then we will gather as. 1362 01:13:17,800 --> 01:13:20,600 Speaker 14: A conference as well and decide what is the appropriate 1363 01:13:20,680 --> 01:13:24,439 Speaker 14: way to move forward using the information that is gathered 1364 01:13:24,479 --> 01:13:25,400 Speaker 14: by those committees. 1365 01:13:25,560 --> 01:13:27,360 Speaker 1: All right, now, I want to switch to Homeland Security, 1366 01:13:27,400 --> 01:13:30,000 Speaker 1: and again you are on the Homeland Security Committee, which 1367 01:13:30,080 --> 01:13:33,479 Speaker 1: is without funding right now. It's operating on a contingency basis. 1368 01:13:34,520 --> 01:13:37,720 Speaker 1: It's unbelievable that Democrats are not funding this at a 1369 01:13:37,800 --> 01:13:41,920 Speaker 1: time when we can certainly expect Iran, its proxies and 1370 01:13:42,120 --> 01:13:44,519 Speaker 1: all of its sympathized in the United States to try 1371 01:13:44,560 --> 01:13:47,320 Speaker 1: and wreck havoc on the United States. Has there been 1372 01:13:47,439 --> 01:13:51,360 Speaker 1: anyone on the other side to say, Okay, we're going 1373 01:13:51,439 --> 01:13:53,720 Speaker 1: to throw in with the country right now rather than 1374 01:13:53,760 --> 01:13:56,479 Speaker 1: our talking points, Well. 1375 01:13:56,400 --> 01:14:02,120 Speaker 14: You mean other than Senator John fettermus because he has 1376 01:14:02,240 --> 01:14:07,000 Speaker 14: been with us through thick and thin. But I would 1377 01:14:07,080 --> 01:14:11,000 Speaker 14: say that the Democrats are recognizing that they're in a 1378 01:14:11,160 --> 01:14:15,120 Speaker 14: very ugly position right now, and as we have the 1379 01:14:15,240 --> 01:14:19,400 Speaker 14: threats from Iran, what they'll continue to do is deflect 1380 01:14:19,479 --> 01:14:22,360 Speaker 14: the blame and say, well, this is all on President 1381 01:14:22,479 --> 01:14:27,080 Speaker 14: Trump for starting this war. But what I would remind 1382 01:14:27,120 --> 01:14:33,000 Speaker 14: them is, regardless I Ran was planning to likely strike US, 1383 01:14:33,040 --> 01:14:38,040 Speaker 14: strike Israel put Americans in jeopardy that doesn't matter. We 1384 01:14:38,320 --> 01:14:43,120 Speaker 14: have threats here in the homeland that need to be nullified. 1385 01:14:43,280 --> 01:14:47,760 Speaker 14: So that means funding our Department of Homeland Security and 1386 01:14:47,960 --> 01:14:51,200 Speaker 14: making sure that those officers, those people that work for 1387 01:14:51,280 --> 01:14:54,759 Speaker 14: the department have the skills and ability and are receiving 1388 01:14:54,840 --> 01:14:58,439 Speaker 14: the appropriate pay to continue doing their jobs. One thing 1389 01:14:58,479 --> 01:15:01,440 Speaker 14: that we have brought up is the fact that DHS 1390 01:15:01,720 --> 01:15:06,080 Speaker 14: is in charge of cyber security for our homeland and 1391 01:15:06,280 --> 01:15:10,799 Speaker 14: right now we are not funding those methods to protect 1392 01:15:11,040 --> 01:15:16,240 Speaker 14: our businesses, our governmental structures here at the homeland. So 1393 01:15:16,920 --> 01:15:20,800 Speaker 14: Democrats beware, you know, if they are choosing not to 1394 01:15:21,120 --> 01:15:25,120 Speaker 14: fund it, something happens to us. It is all on 1395 01:15:25,240 --> 01:15:26,000 Speaker 14: their shoulders. 1396 01:15:26,360 --> 01:15:28,720 Speaker 1: This is a question, centator, or not a statement. I 1397 01:15:28,960 --> 01:15:31,880 Speaker 1: think it is the case that even if we designate 1398 01:15:32,240 --> 01:15:35,280 Speaker 1: a Homeland Security employee as essential and they come to 1399 01:15:35,320 --> 01:15:38,880 Speaker 1: work without pay, we can't do that to contractors and 1400 01:15:39,000 --> 01:15:42,640 Speaker 1: the contractors don't work in the lapse of appropriations. Am 1401 01:15:42,680 --> 01:15:43,640 Speaker 1: I correct about that? 1402 01:15:45,200 --> 01:15:49,800 Speaker 14: You are absolutely correct, Hugh. So contractors, they would not 1403 01:15:49,920 --> 01:15:52,800 Speaker 14: be obligated unless their contracts have been paid. 1404 01:15:53,760 --> 01:15:55,400 Speaker 9: But for those that are deemed. 1405 01:15:55,160 --> 01:15:58,479 Speaker 14: As essential, yes they do show up at work. But 1406 01:15:58,600 --> 01:16:00,840 Speaker 14: look at our TSA and what they have gone through. 1407 01:16:01,040 --> 01:16:06,600 Speaker 14: Look at others that have been exploited basically by this 1408 01:16:06,840 --> 01:16:09,720 Speaker 14: process and showing up the last time we went through 1409 01:16:09,760 --> 01:16:13,960 Speaker 14: a government shutdown forty plus days. You know your heart's 1410 01:16:14,040 --> 01:16:16,080 Speaker 14: not in it when you have a government that's not 1411 01:16:16,320 --> 01:16:19,680 Speaker 14: paying you and yet requiring you to work. So how 1412 01:16:19,760 --> 01:16:22,679 Speaker 14: many things when we talk about Department of Homeland Security? 1413 01:16:23,080 --> 01:16:25,920 Speaker 14: How many things when you are tired because you are 1414 01:16:26,000 --> 01:16:29,240 Speaker 14: working a second job to pay the bills, how many 1415 01:16:29,320 --> 01:16:33,080 Speaker 14: things are going to slip through the cracks because you 1416 01:16:33,200 --> 01:16:36,160 Speaker 14: were tired, you were overworked, you were disheartened by the 1417 01:16:36,280 --> 01:16:40,760 Speaker 14: fact that your elected representatives don't feel that you are 1418 01:16:40,920 --> 01:16:42,240 Speaker 14: important enough. 1419 01:16:42,400 --> 01:16:45,800 Speaker 1: To pay So, Senator, I think Leader thun At doing 1420 01:16:45,840 --> 01:16:49,240 Speaker 1: a marvelous job. Has he arranged for floor votes on 1421 01:16:49,600 --> 01:16:53,519 Speaker 1: DHS funding, not yet, Hugh. 1422 01:16:53,720 --> 01:16:56,160 Speaker 9: And he is doing a fabulous job. 1423 01:16:56,640 --> 01:16:59,519 Speaker 14: So we got a very brief update at lunch today 1424 01:16:59,720 --> 01:17:03,840 Speaker 14: in our Republican Senators Conference meeting. But the Democrats right 1425 01:17:03,920 --> 01:17:07,160 Speaker 14: now are just not yielding. So a lot of these 1426 01:17:07,320 --> 01:17:11,040 Speaker 14: discussions will have to be done between the Democratic leadership 1427 01:17:11,160 --> 01:17:12,120 Speaker 14: and the White House. 1428 01:17:12,560 --> 01:17:14,520 Speaker 9: They have to come to a consensus. 1429 01:17:14,920 --> 01:17:17,479 Speaker 14: I think the pressure will continue to build as we 1430 01:17:17,560 --> 01:17:21,679 Speaker 14: see DHS continue to be shut down during a time 1431 01:17:21,840 --> 01:17:26,240 Speaker 14: of international crisis, when we know that Iranians have sleeper 1432 01:17:26,360 --> 01:17:29,559 Speaker 14: cells throughout the United States, when we know that they 1433 01:17:29,600 --> 01:17:37,439 Speaker 14: are perpetrating activities against former administration officials. So let's just 1434 01:17:37,560 --> 01:17:42,479 Speaker 14: put the political ideologies and Shenanigan's aside. Let's make sure 1435 01:17:42,479 --> 01:17:46,560 Speaker 14: we get DHS funded. It's not just about cbp Ice. 1436 01:17:46,320 --> 01:17:46,920 Speaker 9: And so forth. 1437 01:17:46,960 --> 01:17:50,360 Speaker 14: It's also about the Coastguard TSA and others that are 1438 01:17:50,400 --> 01:17:51,560 Speaker 14: protecting our homeland. 1439 01:17:51,880 --> 01:17:54,519 Speaker 1: Centater Joni Earn's always good to talk to you, Follower 1440 01:17:54,880 --> 01:18:00,479 Speaker 1: Jonie ernst On X. Thank you, Senator. Welcome back America. 1441 01:18:00,560 --> 01:18:05,040 Speaker 1: I'm here, Hewett, joined by the Ruthless Podcast John Ashbrook. 1442 01:18:05,080 --> 01:18:08,960 Speaker 1: He is there a White House correspondent? John? You know 1443 01:18:09,040 --> 01:18:12,519 Speaker 1: the Ruthless podcast always has the vegetables and it's got 1444 01:18:12,560 --> 01:18:14,800 Speaker 1: the fun. I want to get to the vegetables. But 1445 01:18:14,920 --> 01:18:18,640 Speaker 1: can I begin with the fun with you? Please? You 1446 01:18:18,800 --> 01:18:22,880 Speaker 1: are the White House Correspondent. Therefore, I assume you're going 1447 01:18:22,960 --> 01:18:27,200 Speaker 1: to the White House Correspondence Association dinner and maybe you'll 1448 01:18:27,240 --> 01:18:31,679 Speaker 1: get a plus one. But what about the other fellas well? 1449 01:18:31,840 --> 01:18:34,880 Speaker 12: Here's the thing, Hugh, I have not been to that 1450 01:18:35,200 --> 01:18:38,639 Speaker 12: dinner in quite some time, and it's just it's sort 1451 01:18:38,640 --> 01:18:41,800 Speaker 12: of a painful experience if you're a Republican because you 1452 01:18:41,960 --> 01:18:46,920 Speaker 12: know it's surrounded by Democrats. It's all Democrats journals. Now 1453 01:18:46,960 --> 01:18:51,439 Speaker 12: that our great President has decided to attend this year, 1454 01:18:52,000 --> 01:18:53,800 Speaker 12: you know that the jokes are going to be good. 1455 01:18:53,920 --> 01:18:55,519 Speaker 12: You know the show is going to be good. You 1456 01:18:55,600 --> 01:18:58,560 Speaker 12: know it's worth attending. And so this year, for the 1457 01:18:58,600 --> 01:19:02,519 Speaker 12: first time in many years, I plan on joining, and 1458 01:19:02,880 --> 01:19:05,200 Speaker 12: I think my co hosts are going to go to Okay. 1459 01:19:05,080 --> 01:19:08,760 Speaker 1: I've been once. I went when that disgusting comic assailed 1460 01:19:08,880 --> 01:19:11,599 Speaker 1: now Governor Sarah Huckabee, and I said, I'll never come 1461 01:19:11,680 --> 01:19:15,320 Speaker 1: back to this disgusting display of left wing activism. But 1462 01:19:15,479 --> 01:19:18,559 Speaker 1: you might be right. But I'm curious with the fellas 1463 01:19:18,640 --> 01:19:21,760 Speaker 1: on hand. You're gonna be like the stars, do you 1464 01:19:21,880 --> 01:19:24,200 Speaker 1: get a plus one? Are you bringing your wives? And 1465 01:19:24,320 --> 01:19:26,639 Speaker 1: they begun to get into the dress thing because it's 1466 01:19:26,680 --> 01:19:28,160 Speaker 1: a big deal for spouses. 1467 01:19:29,439 --> 01:19:31,320 Speaker 12: Well, I don't know if my wife is going to 1468 01:19:31,360 --> 01:19:32,840 Speaker 12: want to go. I don't know that she's going to 1469 01:19:32,880 --> 01:19:36,360 Speaker 12: Wanta Covort with all of these journals. My guess is 1470 01:19:36,479 --> 01:19:39,920 Speaker 12: she won't want to, but I would insist that she 1471 01:19:40,160 --> 01:19:42,960 Speaker 12: attend with me and sort of bear the burden of 1472 01:19:43,160 --> 01:19:44,960 Speaker 12: being around all these people together. 1473 01:19:45,240 --> 01:19:47,560 Speaker 1: Now you're gonna be with Smug and he knows that 1474 01:19:47,640 --> 01:19:49,920 Speaker 1: you know all the journals and your buddies with them. 1475 01:19:50,280 --> 01:19:52,879 Speaker 1: So is he going to be at your side whispering 1476 01:19:53,000 --> 01:19:55,560 Speaker 1: names in your air that this is that guy and 1477 01:19:55,720 --> 01:19:57,880 Speaker 1: this is that gal who's your shirpa. 1478 01:19:59,280 --> 01:19:59,960 Speaker 3: Here's the thing. 1479 01:20:00,000 --> 01:20:04,519 Speaker 12: Smug is a secret journal. He will never let you 1480 01:20:04,840 --> 01:20:08,080 Speaker 12: know how many people reach out to him with source 1481 01:20:08,240 --> 01:20:11,599 Speaker 12: material and how he acts on it. To be honest 1482 01:20:11,600 --> 01:20:14,599 Speaker 12: with you, Hugh, he is the real journal of this show. 1483 01:20:14,760 --> 01:20:17,040 Speaker 12: I know that I get the I get the blame, 1484 01:20:17,200 --> 01:20:19,880 Speaker 12: I get the slings and arrows. But to be honest 1485 01:20:19,920 --> 01:20:22,479 Speaker 12: with you, Smug is the true journal of the variety. 1486 01:20:23,520 --> 01:20:26,200 Speaker 1: Well better for it? Is he a sleeper journal? Is 1487 01:20:26,280 --> 01:20:29,200 Speaker 1: he like the mecade of journalists in your number? 1488 01:20:30,360 --> 01:20:34,439 Speaker 12: Without a doubt'sout a doubt, Nobody without a doubt? Nobody 1489 01:20:34,560 --> 01:20:39,479 Speaker 12: gets more incoming from Democrat consultants than Smug. They all 1490 01:20:39,680 --> 01:20:42,799 Speaker 12: send their material to him hoping that he will dunk 1491 01:20:42,960 --> 01:20:46,840 Speaker 12: on their opponents within the Democrat party, and he does 1492 01:20:46,920 --> 01:20:48,559 Speaker 12: it very very well. 1493 01:20:48,600 --> 01:20:52,960 Speaker 1: Okay, that's ahead of Smug is a sleeper journal. Okay, 1494 01:20:53,040 --> 01:20:55,600 Speaker 1: let's go to the to the vegetable, the serious of 1495 01:20:55,640 --> 01:20:59,639 Speaker 1: the war. Wars never go well when American troops are lost, 1496 01:20:59,680 --> 01:21:02,360 Speaker 1: and we've had ka and wounded already, so they're not 1497 01:21:02,560 --> 01:21:06,519 Speaker 1: going well, but they're actually moving in a decisive way, 1498 01:21:06,640 --> 01:21:10,080 Speaker 1: I think, towards victory. What is the feeling inside the 1499 01:21:10,200 --> 01:21:11,040 Speaker 1: Ruthless studio. 1500 01:21:12,560 --> 01:21:15,200 Speaker 12: Well, you know, we're all waiting to hear what comes 1501 01:21:15,240 --> 01:21:19,240 Speaker 12: out of this Senate briefing that may be occurring right 1502 01:21:19,320 --> 01:21:23,800 Speaker 12: now as we speak. You know, Trump top administration officials 1503 01:21:23,960 --> 01:21:27,080 Speaker 12: letting everybody in the Senate know what the stakes are 1504 01:21:27,920 --> 01:21:30,920 Speaker 12: on the ground, what the what accomplishments have been made 1505 01:21:31,120 --> 01:21:35,480 Speaker 12: on the ground, And it sure seems like those accomplishments 1506 01:21:35,600 --> 01:21:40,640 Speaker 12: are many. It seems if the reports are to be believed, 1507 01:21:41,200 --> 01:21:46,280 Speaker 12: that the missile capabilities of Iran have been significantly degraded 1508 01:21:46,320 --> 01:21:49,600 Speaker 12: in the last seventy two hours, that their navy is 1509 01:21:49,840 --> 01:21:52,679 Speaker 12: maybe completely gone. And you know, I heard General Jack 1510 01:21:52,760 --> 01:21:55,920 Speaker 12: Keen just a little bit ago talking about how the 1511 01:21:56,040 --> 01:21:59,960 Speaker 12: Iranian navy was trying to set minds in the Strait 1512 01:22:00,080 --> 01:22:02,760 Speaker 12: of horror moves. If our navy has taken them out 1513 01:22:02,840 --> 01:22:05,560 Speaker 12: and prevented them from doing something like that, It is 1514 01:22:05,720 --> 01:22:08,840 Speaker 12: quite an accomplishment. And you know they are they are 1515 01:22:09,360 --> 01:22:13,439 Speaker 12: moving from this missile strategy to a little bit more 1516 01:22:13,560 --> 01:22:17,920 Speaker 12: of a drone strategy, which you've probably been following, Hugh, 1517 01:22:18,000 --> 01:22:20,400 Speaker 12: you know a whole lot more about this than any 1518 01:22:20,400 --> 01:22:22,760 Speaker 12: of us at the Variety Program because you've been watching it, 1519 01:22:22,920 --> 01:22:28,160 Speaker 12: reporting on it for quite some time. But the ability 1520 01:22:28,280 --> 01:22:33,120 Speaker 12: of these drones to cause the destruction that the missiles. 1521 01:22:32,680 --> 01:22:33,519 Speaker 4: Can they just they did. 1522 01:22:33,600 --> 01:22:37,040 Speaker 12: They can't. They can't do as much as damage as 1523 01:22:37,120 --> 01:22:41,560 Speaker 12: these missiles can do. And we had Brian Hook on 1524 01:22:41,720 --> 01:22:44,800 Speaker 12: the show this morning about who I know you're familiar with, 1525 01:22:45,479 --> 01:22:49,200 Speaker 12: very smart guy, very very smart, and he talks about 1526 01:22:49,360 --> 01:22:53,200 Speaker 12: Iran in terms of the proxies they used to cause 1527 01:22:53,280 --> 01:22:56,880 Speaker 12: problems in the Middle East and elsewhere, the missile program 1528 01:22:57,080 --> 01:23:01,360 Speaker 12: that they've continued to develop even after last summer, and 1529 01:23:01,479 --> 01:23:04,679 Speaker 12: then the nuclear program that they have continued to develop 1530 01:23:04,840 --> 01:23:07,880 Speaker 12: even after last summer. And it's sure as hell, seems 1531 01:23:08,040 --> 01:23:13,200 Speaker 12: like our military is just degrading every single one of 1532 01:23:13,280 --> 01:23:15,120 Speaker 12: those things by the hour. 1533 01:23:15,520 --> 01:23:18,960 Speaker 1: Now, John, you and Holmes are veterans of the Senate, 1534 01:23:19,240 --> 01:23:21,559 Speaker 1: and the very arcane rules of the Senate. I love 1535 01:23:21,600 --> 01:23:23,880 Speaker 1: when you guys, get into the tall grass and explain this. 1536 01:23:24,439 --> 01:23:26,559 Speaker 1: I have a very simple question. I'm a simple man. 1537 01:23:27,000 --> 01:23:31,400 Speaker 1: Reconciliation only takes fifty votes. We need to build Golden 1538 01:23:31,479 --> 01:23:34,320 Speaker 1: Dome yesterday, and we need to replenish our munitions today. 1539 01:23:35,280 --> 01:23:39,040 Speaker 1: Could not a reconciliation because of the spending bill, move 1540 01:23:39,120 --> 01:23:42,400 Speaker 1: fairly quickly to plus up the Defense Department budget to 1541 01:23:42,520 --> 01:23:46,439 Speaker 1: make good what we've expended, and to accelerate what we need, 1542 01:23:46,520 --> 01:23:47,559 Speaker 1: which is Golden Dome. 1543 01:23:48,720 --> 01:23:51,560 Speaker 12: You know, you raise an interesting point here, Hugh. I 1544 01:23:51,600 --> 01:23:56,400 Speaker 12: would have told you before this operation in Iran that 1545 01:23:56,880 --> 01:24:00,519 Speaker 12: a reconciliation bill wasn't possible in the House and Senate 1546 01:24:00,640 --> 01:24:03,679 Speaker 12: because there are so many House members who don't want 1547 01:24:03,760 --> 01:24:07,240 Speaker 12: reconciliation because they come from rural states and they don't 1548 01:24:07,640 --> 01:24:14,120 Speaker 12: actually love all of the trade policies out of this administration. However, 1549 01:24:14,760 --> 01:24:18,519 Speaker 12: if it is something that is singularly focused on helping 1550 01:24:19,160 --> 01:24:22,960 Speaker 12: our men and women in uniform win this fight in Iran, 1551 01:24:23,120 --> 01:24:27,040 Speaker 12: that's a very very different subject and it might be 1552 01:24:27,160 --> 01:24:29,760 Speaker 12: the pathway. I'm sure that's something they're talking about here 1553 01:24:29,920 --> 01:24:34,000 Speaker 12: at this meeting in the Senate with you know, Secretary 1554 01:24:34,080 --> 01:24:38,200 Speaker 12: Hegsith and Secretary Rubio and all of the Republicans in 1555 01:24:38,280 --> 01:24:40,840 Speaker 12: the Senate, I know that every single one of them 1556 01:24:41,760 --> 01:24:47,600 Speaker 12: is interested in seeing our operations succeed. And you know 1557 01:24:48,040 --> 01:24:54,400 Speaker 12: I've already heard I've already heard the senator from Mississippi 1558 01:24:55,120 --> 01:24:58,040 Speaker 12: talk about maybe the need for a supplemental We'll see 1559 01:25:00,240 --> 01:25:03,600 Speaker 12: Roger Wicker, thank you. You know, we'll see how that 1560 01:25:03,640 --> 01:25:05,799 Speaker 12: stuff plays out here in the in the coming weeks 1561 01:25:06,040 --> 01:25:09,639 Speaker 12: and their path toward daylight and that what that best 1562 01:25:09,760 --> 01:25:12,400 Speaker 12: path might be. But I don't think anything's off the 1563 01:25:12,520 --> 01:25:13,760 Speaker 12: table and supporting this. 1564 01:25:14,360 --> 01:25:16,800 Speaker 1: I think if they came in, especially on Golden Dum, 1565 01:25:16,880 --> 01:25:19,479 Speaker 1: We've seen these missiles, we've seen these drones, We've seen 1566 01:25:19,520 --> 01:25:23,560 Speaker 1: the shattering, devastating impacts of impact. If we build the 1567 01:25:23,600 --> 01:25:25,599 Speaker 1: Golden Dum, the more we build of it, the faster 1568 01:25:25,720 --> 01:25:27,519 Speaker 1: we build of it. You build it in the heartland, 1569 01:25:27,600 --> 01:25:29,439 Speaker 1: you build it in every state, you build it around 1570 01:25:29,479 --> 01:25:32,800 Speaker 1: every shipyard. It's a it's a jobs program, it's a 1571 01:25:32,840 --> 01:25:37,200 Speaker 1: technology program, it's a forcing technology. And if it's clean, 1572 01:25:37,360 --> 01:25:40,120 Speaker 1: I think your emphasis was on clean, nothing else, just 1573 01:25:40,439 --> 01:25:43,640 Speaker 1: supporting the war and the defense of the country. I 1574 01:25:43,760 --> 01:25:46,120 Speaker 1: think can get majorities in both houses. 1575 01:25:47,680 --> 01:25:51,080 Speaker 12: Yeah, I mean, you'd like to think so that it's 1576 01:25:51,200 --> 01:25:55,760 Speaker 12: the sort of protection that our country deserves. And if 1577 01:25:55,800 --> 01:25:58,560 Speaker 12: the technology exists, why in the world do we not 1578 01:25:58,800 --> 01:26:01,519 Speaker 12: have it. There's one other thing, Hugh, that's sort of 1579 01:26:01,640 --> 01:26:05,360 Speaker 12: hanging out over Congress right now, and that's the shutdown 1580 01:26:05,400 --> 01:26:08,640 Speaker 12: of the Department of Homeland Security. And you remember as 1581 01:26:08,720 --> 01:26:10,519 Speaker 12: well as I do, that this is a department that 1582 01:26:10,720 --> 01:26:14,000 Speaker 12: was created after nine to eleven, after we were attacked 1583 01:26:14,160 --> 01:26:18,120 Speaker 12: on our own homeland, specifically to protect the people who 1584 01:26:18,160 --> 01:26:21,400 Speaker 12: are here from foreign threats. We know that during the 1585 01:26:21,479 --> 01:26:24,479 Speaker 12: four years of the Biden administration that there are terrorists 1586 01:26:24,520 --> 01:26:27,000 Speaker 12: who are in our country. They need to fund the 1587 01:26:27,080 --> 01:26:28,800 Speaker 12: Department of Homeland Security right. 1588 01:26:28,760 --> 01:26:33,720 Speaker 1: Now, right now. John Ashbrook, member of the Ripless podcast 1589 01:26:33,960 --> 01:26:36,760 Speaker 1: and revealer of the true identity of Comfortably Smug, is 1590 01:26:36,760 --> 01:26:39,280 Speaker 1: a journo. Thank you for joining me. I'll be right 1591 01:26:39,320 --> 01:26:41,200 Speaker 1: back in American fiction. You've heard me talk a lot 1592 01:26:41,240 --> 01:26:44,120 Speaker 1: about Consumer Cellular, how you can switch your carrier, save 1593 01:26:44,240 --> 01:26:47,680 Speaker 1: money without the sacrifice. That's because Consumer Cellular uses the 1594 01:26:47,880 --> 01:26:50,840 Speaker 1: same towers as major carriers. 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According to ACSL, 1602 01:27:14,520 --> 01:27:16,680 Speaker 1: you'll be working with an actual human being when you 1603 01:27:16,760 --> 01:27:19,280 Speaker 1: switch base right here in the US, So get one 1604 01:27:19,360 --> 01:27:22,080 Speaker 1: line of unlimited talk, textan data for only thirty five 1605 01:27:22,160 --> 01:27:25,200 Speaker 1: dollars per month, plus an additional five dollars off per 1606 01:27:25,280 --> 01:27:27,800 Speaker 1: month for the first five months. Think of all the 1607 01:27:27,880 --> 01:27:30,680 Speaker 1: money you will save. Go to Consumer Seular dot Com 1608 01:27:30,880 --> 01:27:34,920 Speaker 1: slash Shoe promo Q twenty five or called one eight 1609 01:27:35,000 --> 01:27:37,479 Speaker 1: hundred and four to one one forty four fifty four 1610 01:27:37,840 --> 01:27:42,200 Speaker 1: Consumer Cellular dot Com slash Shoe. Clean water is not complicated, 1611 01:27:42,280 --> 01:27:46,439 Speaker 1: but it is essential. Without it, public health suffer, education declines, 1612 01:27:46,680 --> 01:27:50,360 Speaker 1: economic stability, well it weakens if it doesn't collapse. Across 1613 01:27:50,479 --> 01:27:53,879 Speaker 1: Latin America and the Caribbean, families are facing that reality 1614 01:27:53,960 --> 01:27:58,320 Speaker 1: of unclean water. Every day. Mothers walk miles for clean water. 1615 01:27:58,439 --> 01:28:01,360 Speaker 1: Children are exposed to preventable diseases because they haven't got it. 1616 01:28:01,720 --> 01:28:04,360 Speaker 1: Communities are held back by the absence of basic clean 1617 01:28:04,479 --> 01:28:09,920 Speaker 1: water access, but strategic compassion changes outcomes through food for 1618 01:28:10,000 --> 01:28:14,120 Speaker 1: the poor. Your gift provides safe and living water, improving health, 1619 01:28:14,200 --> 01:28:19,680 Speaker 1: strengthening communities, and supporting gospel centered transformation through trusted local partnerships. 1620 01:28:20,280 --> 01:28:23,599 Speaker 1: This is a measurable impact with lasting results. Your gift 1621 01:28:23,720 --> 01:28:27,240 Speaker 1: to fifty dollars ensures two people have safe and living water, 1622 01:28:27,600 --> 01:28:29,519 Speaker 1: or four one hundred dollars a family of four will 1623 01:28:29,560 --> 01:28:32,040 Speaker 1: be transformed for a year. I hope you act. 1624 01:28:32,280 --> 01:28:38,080 Speaker 15: Text Hewitt Hgwitt, that's Hewitt, Hgwitt to five to one 1625 01:28:38,439 --> 01:28:42,559 Speaker 15: five fifty five. That's Hewett to fifty one five five five, 1626 01:28:42,960 --> 01:28:45,560 Speaker 15: or visit Hewitt dot com right now and click on 1627 01:28:45,640 --> 01:28:48,920 Speaker 15: the blue giving living water banner at the top to 1628 01:28:49,040 --> 01:28:52,200 Speaker 15: provide living water today and thank you. 1629 01:28:54,600 --> 01:28:59,160 Speaker 7: I think the President did the right time. What six 1630 01:28:59,360 --> 01:29:02,120 Speaker 7: seven present that SIP talked about it, he did it. 1631 01:29:04,960 --> 01:29:07,320 Speaker 7: I would We don't know what's going to happen, but 1632 01:29:07,400 --> 01:29:09,599 Speaker 7: I would call this success for no other. 1633 01:29:09,600 --> 01:29:14,479 Speaker 9: Reason but that kamani Is is dead. 1634 01:29:15,000 --> 01:29:21,480 Speaker 7: He Diatoma won the corn toss and he elected to receive. 1635 01:29:22,200 --> 01:29:26,599 Speaker 1: And Malaca America that it's the winner. Only. John Kennedy 1636 01:29:26,680 --> 01:29:29,879 Speaker 1: Center from Louisiana, talking to Josh Holmes on the Ruthless Podcast. 1637 01:29:29,960 --> 01:29:32,280 Speaker 1: I'm joined by the one and only David M. Drucker 1638 01:29:32,400 --> 01:29:36,400 Speaker 1: of The Dispatch. David, I have not even paid attention 1639 01:29:36,600 --> 01:29:40,000 Speaker 1: to one poll because pulling at the beginning of war 1640 01:29:40,160 --> 01:29:42,680 Speaker 1: is nothing like the end of pulling at the end 1641 01:29:42,760 --> 01:29:46,360 Speaker 1: of a war, or five years after whatever is considered 1642 01:29:46,400 --> 01:29:48,720 Speaker 1: to be end of the war. Are you paying any 1643 01:29:48,760 --> 01:29:49,479 Speaker 1: attention to it? 1644 01:29:50,880 --> 01:29:53,200 Speaker 13: Well, I'm paying attention to it because I'm trying to 1645 01:29:53,280 --> 01:29:55,439 Speaker 13: track public opinion and you know, keep my eyes and 1646 01:29:55,520 --> 01:29:58,479 Speaker 13: ears open. But I agree with you that initial polling 1647 01:29:58,600 --> 01:30:02,519 Speaker 13: can be deceiving. We've talked about this before, Hugh. Anytime 1648 01:30:02,600 --> 01:30:05,280 Speaker 13: there's a major terrorist attack, a major natural disaster, a 1649 01:30:05,360 --> 01:30:08,879 Speaker 13: major anything, you like to let the dust settle a little. 1650 01:30:08,680 --> 01:30:11,200 Speaker 4: Bit, right, So at least you're going to wait for 1651 01:30:11,280 --> 01:30:12,000 Speaker 4: the polling to be. 1652 01:30:12,080 --> 01:30:15,439 Speaker 13: Taken the week after things happen or begin, and then 1653 01:30:15,479 --> 01:30:17,240 Speaker 13: that polling doesn't even come out for another week. 1654 01:30:17,360 --> 01:30:18,439 Speaker 4: They got to go through the numbers. 1655 01:30:19,680 --> 01:30:22,759 Speaker 13: And war in particular, and this is not just military 1656 01:30:22,840 --> 01:30:25,320 Speaker 13: action here, this is a war. It's ongoing. 1657 01:30:26,720 --> 01:30:29,040 Speaker 4: Things change, things go this way and that way, and 1658 01:30:29,200 --> 01:30:32,840 Speaker 4: so it may be a little harder to poll for 1659 01:30:33,000 --> 01:30:35,400 Speaker 4: the foreseeable future. But I don't think the. 1660 01:30:35,560 --> 01:30:41,120 Speaker 13: Data is all together necessarily wrong or not useful, and 1661 01:30:41,200 --> 01:30:43,080 Speaker 13: it depends on what kind of data we're dealing with. 1662 01:30:43,200 --> 01:30:47,320 Speaker 13: Focus groups in particular, I think might be very helpful 1663 01:30:47,520 --> 01:30:51,960 Speaker 13: in understanding public opinion as time goes on from week 1664 01:30:52,040 --> 01:30:52,439 Speaker 13: to week. 1665 01:30:53,000 --> 01:30:57,719 Speaker 1: Now the posting John x post that the United States 1666 01:30:57,840 --> 01:31:01,120 Speaker 1: is unleashed its B fifty two fleet. These are heavy 1667 01:31:01,240 --> 01:31:05,280 Speaker 1: bombers with extraordinary loads payloads. They're not fighter bombers or 1668 01:31:05,320 --> 01:31:08,400 Speaker 1: strike one two five targets. They can strike numerous I mean, 1669 01:31:08,400 --> 01:31:12,800 Speaker 1: they can blow craters in the ground. At what point 1670 01:31:12,880 --> 01:31:16,360 Speaker 1: do you say, do you expect a regime to cry uncle? 1671 01:31:16,640 --> 01:31:20,680 Speaker 1: Now that the Ayatolas in Afghanistan never cried uncle, they 1672 01:31:20,760 --> 01:31:23,719 Speaker 1: retreated to the mountains, But there's a government here. Tehran 1673 01:31:23,880 --> 01:31:24,880 Speaker 1: is not Afghanistan. 1674 01:31:27,120 --> 01:31:30,040 Speaker 13: Yeah, well they're not Afghanistan, but they're kind of Afghanistan. 1675 01:31:30,120 --> 01:31:32,240 Speaker 13: I mean, these guys are a bunch of murderers, zealots. 1676 01:31:32,800 --> 01:31:37,920 Speaker 13: They've been going at it for fifty years and they've 1677 01:31:37,960 --> 01:31:40,840 Speaker 13: never taken the easy off ramp, even though they actually 1678 01:31:40,920 --> 01:31:44,320 Speaker 13: have a population that would like to be a part 1679 01:31:44,360 --> 01:31:44,880 Speaker 13: of the West. 1680 01:31:46,000 --> 01:31:47,200 Speaker 4: Maybe not all of the. 1681 01:31:47,240 --> 01:31:52,960 Speaker 13: Population, but probably at least half, if not a majority, right, 1682 01:31:53,880 --> 01:31:55,599 Speaker 13: And they just they never take the off ramp. 1683 01:31:55,439 --> 01:31:57,360 Speaker 4: Because they don't want the off ramp. So I don't 1684 01:31:57,800 --> 01:31:58,599 Speaker 4: know that there's going. 1685 01:31:58,520 --> 01:32:01,760 Speaker 13: To be any I mean, we're just kind of speculating here, 1686 01:32:02,160 --> 01:32:05,679 Speaker 13: but I don't see evidence going back these fifty years 1687 01:32:06,040 --> 01:32:09,280 Speaker 13: that they're going to cry uncle and all of a sudden. 1688 01:32:10,800 --> 01:32:11,839 Speaker 4: Change their behavior. 1689 01:32:11,960 --> 01:32:15,040 Speaker 13: They could have done this without this, and they wouldn't 1690 01:32:15,080 --> 01:32:16,920 Speaker 13: do it, and they've never been willing to do it. 1691 01:32:17,720 --> 01:32:20,759 Speaker 13: And I kind of look at the regime in Iran 1692 01:32:20,960 --> 01:32:25,920 Speaker 13: and everybody associated with governing Iran governing the same way 1693 01:32:26,000 --> 01:32:30,200 Speaker 13: I've looked at Jamas and Hezbollah. Every time you give 1694 01:32:30,280 --> 01:32:35,679 Speaker 13: these groups the PLO, the palse Liberation of Authority under 1695 01:32:35,760 --> 01:32:38,519 Speaker 13: Yasar Arafat, it never want an off ramp because they 1696 01:32:38,520 --> 01:32:42,240 Speaker 13: don't want to give up the war, because they're extremely zealous. 1697 01:32:43,560 --> 01:32:48,160 Speaker 13: They hate America, they're anti Semitic, and to give up 1698 01:32:48,200 --> 01:32:51,360 Speaker 13: the war would give up both their authority such that 1699 01:32:51,479 --> 01:32:54,320 Speaker 13: it is, but also the whole reason for their existence. 1700 01:32:54,680 --> 01:32:57,080 Speaker 1: You know, David, you're old enough to remember when the 1701 01:32:57,200 --> 01:33:02,040 Speaker 1: Wall fell and first Stots he melted away, and then 1702 01:33:02,320 --> 01:33:07,040 Speaker 1: generally Arlzlowsky and Poland melted away. In Romania, Chijsko ended 1703 01:33:07,120 --> 01:33:10,080 Speaker 1: up upside down and dead, hung by the crowd. I mean, 1704 01:33:10,240 --> 01:33:15,120 Speaker 1: sometimes very public figures get killed. But if you want to, 1705 01:33:15,400 --> 01:33:18,840 Speaker 1: if you want to resume to dissolve, you just wait 1706 01:33:18,920 --> 01:33:21,240 Speaker 1: about a month and then it starts to dissolve. I 1707 01:33:21,280 --> 01:33:22,920 Speaker 1: think it's way too early to tell if it's going 1708 01:33:22,960 --> 01:33:23,439 Speaker 1: to dissolve. 1709 01:33:25,840 --> 01:33:28,160 Speaker 4: I don't know that dissolves. I think it can be eliminated. 1710 01:33:28,920 --> 01:33:30,439 Speaker 13: But I think that's why, you know, I think that's 1711 01:33:30,479 --> 01:33:32,559 Speaker 13: why the President has said this thing could last for weeks, 1712 01:33:34,200 --> 01:33:36,400 Speaker 13: because that's what it's going to take, and it may 1713 01:33:36,600 --> 01:33:38,679 Speaker 13: take even longer than that. I mean the thing about 1714 01:33:38,720 --> 01:33:40,960 Speaker 13: Eastern Europe, Hugh, And you know, I'm not telling you 1715 01:33:41,040 --> 01:33:45,080 Speaker 13: something you don't know, but you know, the Eastern Europeans, 1716 01:33:45,120 --> 01:33:48,120 Speaker 13: the Europeans behind the Iron Curtain during the Cold War, 1717 01:33:48,360 --> 01:33:49,760 Speaker 13: wanted to be a part of the West. 1718 01:33:49,840 --> 01:33:52,720 Speaker 4: They originally were of the West, and. 1719 01:33:54,760 --> 01:33:59,400 Speaker 13: Culturally and politically they fit with Western Europe. They fit 1720 01:33:59,479 --> 01:34:01,639 Speaker 13: with the United States, and they knew what was taken 1721 01:34:01,720 --> 01:34:05,200 Speaker 13: away from them, and there was no legitimacy to the 1722 01:34:05,760 --> 01:34:10,120 Speaker 13: governments that popped up in that part of Europe after 1723 01:34:10,240 --> 01:34:11,000 Speaker 13: World War Two. 1724 01:34:11,760 --> 01:34:13,880 Speaker 4: The Iranian regime does have a. 1725 01:34:13,960 --> 01:34:17,280 Speaker 13: Bit of legitimacy because obviously was brought brought about in 1726 01:34:17,400 --> 01:34:19,240 Speaker 13: part by a popular revolution. 1727 01:34:19,000 --> 01:34:20,680 Speaker 4: And it's a little more complicated than that. 1728 01:34:21,280 --> 01:34:25,360 Speaker 13: But I'm also old enough to remember when those revolutionarias 1729 01:34:25,439 --> 01:34:28,800 Speaker 13: took American hostages and kept them for what over a 1730 01:34:28,880 --> 01:34:31,760 Speaker 13: year until Reagan was about to win that election or 1731 01:34:31,800 --> 01:34:35,680 Speaker 13: won that election, And so this has been ingrained in 1732 01:34:35,760 --> 01:34:39,000 Speaker 13: Iranian society. There has been more and more popular uprisings 1733 01:34:39,000 --> 01:34:41,800 Speaker 13: as the years went on. This regime has resorted to 1734 01:34:42,120 --> 01:34:44,880 Speaker 13: more and more brutal tactics as the years went on. 1735 01:34:45,000 --> 01:34:48,280 Speaker 1: There they don't have any guns. They don't have any gun. 1736 01:34:48,600 --> 01:34:50,720 Speaker 1: And I know about as much about Iran as I 1737 01:34:50,800 --> 01:34:53,040 Speaker 1: do about Malaysia. But I've been to Malaysia. I haven't 1738 01:34:53,040 --> 01:34:55,800 Speaker 1: been to Iran. And all I know from Iran I 1739 01:34:55,960 --> 01:34:58,920 Speaker 1: learned watching an hour of Tehran on Apple TV last night. 1740 01:34:59,000 --> 01:35:02,000 Speaker 1: That's not quite true, but it's a modern country. It's 1741 01:35:02,080 --> 01:35:06,840 Speaker 1: a very sophisticated modern evidently, and Admiral Montgomery turned me 1742 01:35:06,880 --> 01:35:09,759 Speaker 1: on to it. It is riveting. But I'll tell you this, David, 1743 01:35:10,320 --> 01:35:12,879 Speaker 1: I can't imagine anyone wants to live in a republic 1744 01:35:12,960 --> 01:35:15,920 Speaker 1: of fear. That's what it is. It's a republic of fear. 1745 01:35:16,439 --> 01:35:17,960 Speaker 1: Does anyone want to live that way? 1746 01:35:19,479 --> 01:35:22,000 Speaker 4: Well, we know that so many Iranians do not. 1747 01:35:22,439 --> 01:35:25,240 Speaker 13: It's one of the reasons why so many Iranian expats 1748 01:35:25,280 --> 01:35:26,960 Speaker 13: that live in the United States been dancing in the 1749 01:35:26,960 --> 01:35:31,000 Speaker 13: streets literally, regardless of whatever they think of Donald Trump 1750 01:35:31,479 --> 01:35:35,879 Speaker 13: and so No, so many Iranians don't. But the regime 1751 01:35:36,680 --> 01:35:41,479 Speaker 13: still has roots, and that's why you can't just cut 1752 01:35:41,520 --> 01:35:42,160 Speaker 13: off the leaves. 1753 01:35:42,200 --> 01:35:43,720 Speaker 4: I mean, you've got to go to the roots. And 1754 01:35:44,000 --> 01:35:45,439 Speaker 4: I think it's going to take a lot of effort 1755 01:35:45,479 --> 01:35:45,920 Speaker 4: on our part. 1756 01:35:46,120 --> 01:35:50,599 Speaker 1: I agree. David M. Drucker follow him on at David M. Drucker, 1757 01:35:50,680 --> 01:35:53,719 Speaker 1: read him in the Dispatch every day. Thank you, David. 1758 01:35:53,760 --> 01:35:56,000 Speaker 1: I want to mind everyone over at Hughewitt dot com. 1759 01:35:56,160 --> 01:35:58,720 Speaker 1: The banner for Food for the Poor is at the 1760 01:35:58,800 --> 01:36:01,800 Speaker 1: top of Hugh Hewitt dot Many of you expected me 1761 01:36:01,920 --> 01:36:05,280 Speaker 1: to kick it off yesterday with a big presentation of 1762 01:36:05,320 --> 01:36:07,599 Speaker 1: what Food for the Poor does. Look I've been doing 1763 01:36:07,640 --> 01:36:09,840 Speaker 1: a drive for them during lent for twenty five years. 1764 01:36:10,320 --> 01:36:12,680 Speaker 1: They know what they're doing for the lost in the 1765 01:36:12,800 --> 01:36:16,360 Speaker 1: least in the Caribbean and Central America. They build wells, 1766 01:36:16,439 --> 01:36:19,720 Speaker 1: they build food outlets, They work with partner churches. They 1767 01:36:19,800 --> 01:36:23,840 Speaker 1: can be trusted every donation. We can walk and chew 1768 01:36:23,880 --> 01:36:25,760 Speaker 1: gum at the same time. We can cover the war 1769 01:36:25,840 --> 01:36:28,679 Speaker 1: and be generous during Lent to people who really needed. 1770 01:36:28,760 --> 01:36:31,479 Speaker 1: In the season of almsgiving, this is a place to 1771 01:36:31,560 --> 01:36:33,960 Speaker 1: give your alms. The banner for Food for the Poor 1772 01:36:34,479 --> 01:36:37,479 Speaker 1: is at the top of hughewitt dot com. Thank you, 1773 01:36:37,760 --> 01:36:38,439 Speaker 1: I'll be right back.