WEBVTT - Ben Rhodes has entered the conversation about Iran

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to today's podcast sponsored by Hillsdale College, All Things

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<v Speaker 1>Hillsdale Hillsdale dot ed or. I encourage you to take

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<v Speaker 1>advantage of the many free online courses there, and of

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<v Speaker 1>course I'll.

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<v Speaker 2>Listen to the Hillsdale Dialogue.

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<v Speaker 1>All of them at que for Hillsdale dot com or

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<v Speaker 1>just google, Apple iTunes and Hillsdale Great America.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm qu Quille.

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<v Speaker 1>It's ash Wednesday. I hope you are observing today. If

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<v Speaker 1>you are Christian, if you're a Catholic, go get your ashes,

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<v Speaker 1>go to mass. I have a word of advice from

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<v Speaker 1>my friends in the priesthood, letting masses need to be short.

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<v Speaker 1>They don't need music. People have to go to work,

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<v Speaker 1>they don't need sermons. They just need to happen.

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<v Speaker 2>Now.

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<v Speaker 1>There are ASH Wednesday services late in the day after

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<v Speaker 1>work that are fine, that can go longer and can

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<v Speaker 1>have music, but really, the morning Mask, the noon Mass,

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<v Speaker 1>they need to be thirty five minutes. We don't need music.

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<v Speaker 1>People want to go to Mass and lent. Just let

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<v Speaker 1>them go to Mass. It's not it's not Sunday. And

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<v Speaker 1>I understand a lot of people are in the liturgical

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<v Speaker 1>music business and they want to perform for the Lord

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<v Speaker 1>and for the congregation.

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<v Speaker 2>But that's not the way to do Lent.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, the very best descriptions that led I'm gonna

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<v Speaker 1>come to the war in a second I've ever read

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<v Speaker 1>was in Wolf's Hall, which was an upside down novel

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<v Speaker 1>that made Thomas Moore the bad guy, and that was bad.

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<v Speaker 2>But they did talk about.

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<v Speaker 1>Lent in the era of Henry the eighth, and they

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<v Speaker 1>really went all in back then. Now it's like Lent

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<v Speaker 1>light even for Catholics. I do is fast and abstained

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<v Speaker 1>on ash Wednesday and Good Friday, and then abstain from

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<v Speaker 1>meat on Friday and any other any other devotions or

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<v Speaker 1>sacrifices you want to make in order to sort of

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<v Speaker 1>observe the season of penance and repentance. The Pope went

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<v Speaker 1>way out on a limb yesterday and asked every cathol

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<v Speaker 1>like to please not use harsh words about their neighbor. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>that's not good for my business, but I'll try and

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<v Speaker 1>go along with that. But I still got to play

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<v Speaker 1>you the news. And I'm sure not going to be

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<v Speaker 1>rooting for the Ayatola and the fanatics in Iran because

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<v Speaker 1>we're on the brink of war. All of the bulletins

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<v Speaker 1>coming from Israel are that they've gone into their defensive crouch.

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<v Speaker 1>They've alerted everyone to be ready for conflict. We've got

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<v Speaker 1>the biggest mass forces that we've had anywhere in the

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<v Speaker 1>world since prior to the Iraq invasion in two thousand

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<v Speaker 1>and three. And it doesn't look like Iran wants to

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<v Speaker 1>actually capitulate on the things that needs to capitulate on.

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<v Speaker 1>Stop killing your people, Stop supporting Hamas Hezbalah and the UTIs,

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<v Speaker 1>Stop building missiles and infect, disarm, and abandon attempts to

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<v Speaker 1>enrich and rebuild your obliterated nuclear program. Four asks don't

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<v Speaker 1>have to destroy you that people might rise up against you.

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<v Speaker 1>You've murdered thirty five thousand people. And I don't think

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<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump is Barack Obama right on schedule. By the way,

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<v Speaker 1>Ben Rhodes, the Metternich of ms NOW in the Architect

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<v Speaker 1>of the Echo Chamber, posted eighteen minutes ago, no legal

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<v Speaker 1>basis and no debate in Congress about what could be

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<v Speaker 1>a major war with no clear sense of what the

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<v Speaker 1>objective is or what comes next.

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<v Speaker 2>Huh. Kind of like Libya in twenty eleven.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you remember that the NATO operation that went on

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<v Speaker 1>months and months, took out Kadaffi.

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<v Speaker 2>Though Kadaffi was.

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<v Speaker 1>Not making war on his neighbors, he was a repressive dictator.

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<v Speaker 2>He was bad for the world, and NATO went in

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<v Speaker 2>didn't have a plan.

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<v Speaker 1>There's still a civil war going on there, but there

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<v Speaker 1>was no congressional authorization or maybe Bill Clinton supporting the

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<v Speaker 1>war in Serbia with General Wes Clark in charge of

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<v Speaker 1>it in nineteen ninety nine that went on for seventy

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<v Speaker 1>eight days air campaign. So look, there's one standard which

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<v Speaker 1>the president gets to ordered if he wants to, and

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<v Speaker 1>Congress can cut off the money if they want to.

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<v Speaker 1>Congress isn't going to cut off the money Congress want,

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<v Speaker 1>says to happen. Left wing nutters who envisioned some kind

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<v Speaker 1>of nirvana with Iran.

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<v Speaker 2>The Rhodes people, they've been wrong.

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<v Speaker 1>They've been wrong since President Obama came up with It

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<v Speaker 1>would have been great if he'd been asked that on

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<v Speaker 1>Friday night, but he wasn't, and he's not getting tough questions.

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<v Speaker 2>I JD.

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<v Speaker 1>Evance did on Monday from Martha McCollum. Here is the

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<v Speaker 1>Vice President talking to Martha on yesterday, actually Tuesday, cut number.

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<v Speaker 3>One well, I'm obviously not going to make an announcements today.

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<v Speaker 3>I think the President has a lot of options. We

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<v Speaker 3>do have a very powerful military. The President's shown a

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<v Speaker 3>willingness to use it. He also has a remarkable diplomatic team.

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<v Speaker 3>He shown a willingness to use that too, And so

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<v Speaker 3>what the President has been very clear with the Iranians,

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<v Speaker 3>and actually I just talked to Steve Wook Golf and

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<v Speaker 3>Jared Kushner this morning about some of their negotiations is

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<v Speaker 3>the United States has certain red lines. Our primary interest

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<v Speaker 3>here is we don't want a Ran to get a

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<v Speaker 3>nuclear weapon. We don't want nuclear proliferation if it Ran

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<v Speaker 3>gets a nuclear weapon. There are a lot of othermes,

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<v Speaker 3>some friendly, some not so friendly, who would get nuclear

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<v Speaker 3>weapons after them. That would be a disaster for the

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<v Speaker 3>American people because then you have these crazy regimes all

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<v Speaker 3>over the world with the most dangerous weapons in the world.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's one of the things the President has said

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<v Speaker 3>he's going to prevent. Now, we would very much like, as.

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<v Speaker 4>The President has said, to resolve.

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<v Speaker 3>This through a conversation and a diplomatic negotiation. But the

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<v Speaker 3>President has all options on the table. And you know,

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<v Speaker 3>one thing about the negotiation. I will say this morning,

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<v Speaker 3>is you know, in some ways it went well, they

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<v Speaker 3>agreed to meet afterwards. But in other way is it

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<v Speaker 3>was very clear that the President has set some red

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<v Speaker 3>lines that the Iranians are not yet willing to actually

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<v Speaker 3>acknowledge and work through. So we're going to keep on

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<v Speaker 3>working it. But of course the President reserves the ability

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<v Speaker 3>to say when he thinks that diplomacy has reached its

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<v Speaker 3>natural end. We hope it will get to that point,

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<v Speaker 3>but if we do, that'll be the president's call.

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<v Speaker 1>He also talked about the difference between his speech at

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<v Speaker 1>Munich and the speech that Marco Ribio gave this weekend.

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<v Speaker 1>His speech was last year cut number three.

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<v Speaker 5>Rubio, Secretary State, was there. Gave a speech that had

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<v Speaker 5>a lot of similar underpinnings to it. But they were

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<v Speaker 5>applauding and they thought it was great.

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<v Speaker 3>So what happened with that?

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<v Speaker 2>Why is that the outcool?

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<v Speaker 3>Well I heard somebody say that I was the bad cop,

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<v Speaker 3>so that Marco could be a good cop. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>he gave a great speech, but he drove home I

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<v Speaker 3>think a very important point that the Europeans have largely forgotten,

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<v Speaker 3>or at least had largely forgotten over the past year,

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<v Speaker 3>is that the reason why the President or Marco or

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<v Speaker 3>me talk about borders, the reason why we talk about

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<v Speaker 3>them spending more on their own security, the reason that

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<v Speaker 3>we talk about them more becoming a vibrant economy again,

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<v Speaker 3>is that we want Europe to thrive and we want

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<v Speaker 3>Europe to succeed. The problem that we have with Europe

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<v Speaker 3>is not that we don't like Europe, even though you

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<v Speaker 3>hear that from the European press.

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<v Speaker 4>It's not that we don't respect our allies. It's that they.

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<v Speaker 3>Are doing a lot of things to sabotage themselves. We

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<v Speaker 3>would like that to stop. We would like them to

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<v Speaker 3>be an ally in the true sense of the word.

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<v Speaker 1>And here's what the Vice President had to say about

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<v Speaker 1>Aosa distinguishing herself and Munich Cut number four.

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<v Speaker 4>Martha, you bring me on your show.

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<v Speaker 3>You show me the most uncomfortable twenty seconds of television

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<v Speaker 3>I've ever seen.

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<v Speaker 6>I take away from them there, what do you think?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I think it's a person who doesn't know what

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<v Speaker 3>she actually thinks. And I've seen this way too much

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<v Speaker 3>in Washington with politicians, where they are given lines and

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<v Speaker 3>when you ask them to go outside the lines, they

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<v Speaker 3>were given. They completely fall apart because look, does AOC.

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<v Speaker 3>Does anybody really believe that AOC has very thoughtful ideas about.

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<v Speaker 1>The mister vice president? But you're getting close to the

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<v Speaker 1>Pope's landline, so we'll leave it there, and then the

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<v Speaker 1>vice president, I'm the former President Obama cut number five.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I think the president will do what he thinks

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<v Speaker 3>isn't the best interest in the American people. I think

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<v Speaker 3>he's shown very clearly that he has not Broughck Obama.

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<v Speaker 3>He takes a much different approach to America's national security,

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<v Speaker 3>and he's much more willing to act aggressively to defend

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<v Speaker 3>America's national security. But the President of the United States

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<v Speaker 3>is very much trying to find a solution here, whether

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<v Speaker 3>it's through diplomatic op or through another option. That means

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<v Speaker 3>that the Iranians cannot have a nuclear weapon. That has

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<v Speaker 3>always been the main focus. If you go back to

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<v Speaker 3>the campaign that you ran in twenty fifteen, the Republican

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<v Speaker 3>primary campaign that he won, he said Iran cannot have.

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<v Speaker 4>A nuclear weapon.

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's very important for the American people to

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<v Speaker 3>appreciate it's one of the most hostile and also one

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<v Speaker 3>of the most irrational regimes in the world.

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<v Speaker 4>You can't have people.

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<v Speaker 3>Like that have the most dangerous weapon known to man.

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<v Speaker 3>It would be awful for our security, would be awful

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<v Speaker 3>for the future of our children. That is the goal

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<v Speaker 3>of the President the United States, and he's got a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of options and a lot of tools to make

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<v Speaker 3>sure that doesn't happen.

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<v Speaker 5>As well.

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<v Speaker 1>After an interview and after the alert in Israel, crude

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<v Speaker 1>oil is up by four point six percent today is

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<v Speaker 1>sixty five dollars a barrel.

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<v Speaker 2>And I expect that we'll get higher and higher and higher.

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<v Speaker 1>Especially it'll pick spike when the war begins, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think the war is going to begin. However, the ten

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<v Speaker 1>year treasury is getting close to going below four percent,

0:08:56.280 --> 0:08:58.760
<v Speaker 1>which is not your interest rate on a thirty year mortgage.

0:08:59.040 --> 0:09:01.040
<v Speaker 1>A thirty year mortgage, you's got to tack on a

0:09:01.080 --> 0:09:02.959
<v Speaker 1>point and a half to two points, so it's probably

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<v Speaker 1>around six percent right now. Find out from Andrew and

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<v Speaker 1>toodd dot com. Triple A Triple eight eleven seventy two.

0:09:08.640 --> 0:09:12.000
<v Speaker 1>Triple A Triple eight eleven seventy two. My friends, you

0:09:12.040 --> 0:09:14.400
<v Speaker 1>don't have to stop buying your house because there's a ward.

0:09:14.440 --> 0:09:16.040
<v Speaker 1>We're going to break out. We're going to win it.

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<v Speaker 1>You don't have to worry. By the way, if you're

0:09:17.880 --> 0:09:19.320
<v Speaker 1>a veteran, you' not have to put any money down.

0:09:19.400 --> 0:09:22.000
<v Speaker 1>Andrew and toodd dot com handle those. If your first

0:09:22.000 --> 0:09:24.840
<v Speaker 1>time home buyer and you're confused, why your rates going

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<v Speaker 1>down when a war is imminent, ask Andrew and Todd

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<v Speaker 1>dot com. Because money is rushing into the United States

0:09:30.920 --> 0:09:33.319
<v Speaker 1>to the thirty year treasury, driving down the cost of

0:09:33.400 --> 0:09:36.200
<v Speaker 1>the thirty year treasury and the tenure Treasury. And the

0:09:36.240 --> 0:09:39.200
<v Speaker 1>tenure Treasury is on which the number on which most

0:09:39.200 --> 0:09:41.880
<v Speaker 1>thirty year mortgages are based, with a couple of extra

0:09:41.920 --> 0:09:44.400
<v Speaker 1>points added on. So it's a good time to be

0:09:44.440 --> 0:09:48.000
<v Speaker 1>buying a house right now. Get pre qualified, get in fact,

0:09:48.320 --> 0:09:51.679
<v Speaker 1>a letter of approval from Andrew Andtodd dot com. They're

0:09:51.720 --> 0:09:54.840
<v Speaker 1>with Union Home Mortgage. They are a bank. They actually

0:09:54.840 --> 0:09:57.840
<v Speaker 1>make the decision to underwrite your loan. So don't go

0:09:57.920 --> 0:10:01.040
<v Speaker 1>to a middleman. Don't go to anybody, go to Andrew

0:10:01.080 --> 0:10:03.880
<v Speaker 1>and Todd dot com. Triple A triple eight eleven seventy two.

0:10:04.280 --> 0:10:06.960
<v Speaker 1>Did my loan when we moved back to the West coast.

0:10:07.000 --> 0:10:09.040
<v Speaker 1>They did from to the East coast, from the West Coast.

0:10:09.080 --> 0:10:11.520
<v Speaker 1>They did Wayne's loane, They've done my kids loan. They've

0:10:11.520 --> 0:10:14.560
<v Speaker 1>done loans for thousands of people out there, not one complaint.

0:10:14.920 --> 0:10:17.520
<v Speaker 1>Andrew and Todd dot com Triple A, triple A eleven

0:10:17.520 --> 0:10:20.920
<v Speaker 1>to seventy two. And you know when you when you

0:10:21.120 --> 0:10:23.360
<v Speaker 1>need a home loan, you want to be able to

0:10:23.400 --> 0:10:25.960
<v Speaker 1>trust the person you're dealing with, and you want to

0:10:25.960 --> 0:10:28.360
<v Speaker 1>be able to ask maybe not the brightest questions in

0:10:28.400 --> 0:10:30.760
<v Speaker 1>the world, because you're a first time home buyer. That's

0:10:30.920 --> 0:10:33.640
<v Speaker 1>Andrew and toodd dot com. They're not gonna throw shade

0:10:33.640 --> 0:10:35.360
<v Speaker 1>at you because you don't know what you're doing. They're

0:10:35.400 --> 0:10:38.839
<v Speaker 1>going to help you. So start today, Andrew and Todd

0:10:38.880 --> 0:10:42.160
<v Speaker 1>dot com Triple A, triple A eleven seventy two, and

0:10:42.240 --> 0:10:45.520
<v Speaker 1>come right back. Noah Rothman of National Review is next.

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome back America. I'm Hew Hewett. Noah Rothman, senior writer

0:10:53.320 --> 0:10:56.400
<v Speaker 1>for National Review, joins us, Noah, is the war going

0:10:56.440 --> 0:10:57.200
<v Speaker 1>to start soon?

0:10:59.120 --> 0:10:59.400
<v Speaker 4>Soon?

0:11:00.200 --> 0:11:04.200
<v Speaker 7>I assure your assessment that it's all but inevitable, but

0:11:04.400 --> 0:11:06.960
<v Speaker 7>I couldn't put a timeline on it. I don't think

0:11:07.000 --> 0:11:10.319
<v Speaker 7>the diplomatic track, as the president says, as a president

0:11:10.360 --> 0:11:13.840
<v Speaker 7>describes it is completely exhausted. I think there will need

0:11:13.920 --> 0:11:19.000
<v Speaker 7>to be some more deliberations over how fast we can

0:11:19.040 --> 0:11:21.280
<v Speaker 7>get the response from the Ranians. We're expecting a written

0:11:21.360 --> 0:11:23.960
<v Speaker 7>response having to do with the asks that you outlined

0:11:23.960 --> 0:11:27.160
<v Speaker 7>in the last segment, and if that is delayed or

0:11:27.200 --> 0:11:30.120
<v Speaker 7>if they're unsatisfactory, I think you'll have the predicate that

0:11:30.160 --> 0:11:32.960
<v Speaker 7>the White House needs to say that the diplomatic process

0:11:33.000 --> 0:11:34.120
<v Speaker 7>is exhausted.

0:11:33.800 --> 0:11:36.000
<v Speaker 4>Both for a domestic American audience and for.

0:11:35.960 --> 0:11:38.120
<v Speaker 7>The audience in the Middle East that I think mostly

0:11:38.200 --> 0:11:40.440
<v Speaker 7>this process has been for now.

0:11:40.600 --> 0:11:41.960
<v Speaker 2>No, you've got to help me out.

0:11:42.080 --> 0:11:45.720
<v Speaker 1>Pope Leo has told Catholic that this Lent, we can't

0:11:45.720 --> 0:11:48.319
<v Speaker 1>say bad things about people. We have to be nice.

0:11:49.000 --> 0:11:51.720
<v Speaker 1>And so Ben Rhoads posted, and so I'm going to

0:11:51.720 --> 0:11:55.320
<v Speaker 1>have you respond. Ben Roads posted no legal basis and

0:11:55.360 --> 0:11:57.840
<v Speaker 1>no debate in Congress about what could be a major war,

0:11:57.920 --> 0:11:59.840
<v Speaker 1>with no clear sense of what the objective is.

0:12:00.120 --> 0:12:03.840
<v Speaker 2>What comes next? That was twenty five minutes ago. What

0:12:03.840 --> 0:12:04.360
<v Speaker 2>do you think?

0:12:05.920 --> 0:12:07.400
<v Speaker 4>All right, I'm going to take some runway here.

0:12:07.440 --> 0:12:11.000
<v Speaker 7>I'm under no theological obligation to avoid criticizing mister Rhodes,

0:12:11.320 --> 0:12:15.000
<v Speaker 7>and I will do so. The President, President Barack Obama

0:12:15.040 --> 0:12:17.440
<v Speaker 7>said in twenty twenty two, in the midst of some

0:12:17.559 --> 0:12:20.960
<v Speaker 7>really rare self criticism, that one of his bigger regrets

0:12:21.040 --> 0:12:23.680
<v Speaker 7>as president was ignoring the two thousand and nine Green

0:12:23.760 --> 0:12:27.760
<v Speaker 7>Revolution revolts in Iran. He said, in retrospect that was

0:12:27.800 --> 0:12:30.720
<v Speaker 7>a mistake. I haven't heard the president say anything he

0:12:30.760 --> 0:12:33.320
<v Speaker 7>did during his presidency was a mistake, but that was,

0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:36.320
<v Speaker 7>and that was Ben Rhodes brainchild, and it was part

0:12:36.320 --> 0:12:40.000
<v Speaker 7>of a much broader strategy. The President Barack Obama entered

0:12:40.040 --> 0:12:42.920
<v Speaker 7>office determined to get Americans out of Iraq. He did so,

0:12:43.200 --> 0:12:46.160
<v Speaker 7>but he did so recklessly and by empowering the Saite

0:12:46.200 --> 0:12:49.400
<v Speaker 7>militias under Iran's thumb, under the assumption that they would

0:12:49.440 --> 0:12:53.040
<v Speaker 7>bolster Iraqi security as well as create a more durable

0:12:53.840 --> 0:12:56.040
<v Speaker 7>balance of power in the region between Iran and its

0:12:56.080 --> 0:12:58.920
<v Speaker 7>scha Eyde elements and its orbit and the Sunni kingdoms

0:12:59.200 --> 0:13:03.920
<v Speaker 7>that freaked out the Sunni states Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE Jordan.

0:13:04.520 --> 0:13:07.600
<v Speaker 7>They started developing relationships with Israel over the process, over

0:13:07.640 --> 0:13:10.200
<v Speaker 7>the course of their fear that Iran was getting more

0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:13.560
<v Speaker 7>power than they could deter its its aggression against and

0:13:13.600 --> 0:13:16.080
<v Speaker 7>so they developed those links. When Donald Trump came in,

0:13:16.200 --> 0:13:19.520
<v Speaker 7>He cultivated them. They flowered into the Abraham Accords. All

0:13:19.559 --> 0:13:23.080
<v Speaker 7>the while the President executed strikes on those Schiite militias

0:13:23.080 --> 0:13:26.440
<v Speaker 7>that Barack Obama refused to strike. He even stopped strikes

0:13:26.480 --> 0:13:28.360
<v Speaker 7>on ISIS targets and to create at one point when

0:13:28.360 --> 0:13:31.080
<v Speaker 7>he realized that there were IRGC personnel on the ground

0:13:31.120 --> 0:13:35.560
<v Speaker 7>directing those strikes very deferential to Iran, President Trump abandoned

0:13:35.600 --> 0:13:38.720
<v Speaker 7>all of that. He struck the Shiite militias, He struck

0:13:39.520 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 7>Saudi or the Syrian regime in Bashar al Asad's chemical

0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:47.360
<v Speaker 7>weapons contributing to its fatal decline. He struck Stelmani, and

0:13:47.400 --> 0:13:49.600
<v Speaker 7>he observed restraint over the course of all of this

0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:52.240
<v Speaker 7>could have exacted a much bigger price from Iran, for example,

0:13:52.559 --> 0:13:55.640
<v Speaker 7>for the attacks on oil tankers, for the brazen drone

0:13:55.640 --> 0:13:59.280
<v Speaker 7>strike on the Saudi petroleum processing facility at a Ramco

0:13:59.320 --> 0:14:00.800
<v Speaker 7>in twenty nineteen, he didn't.

0:14:01.800 --> 0:14:03.199
<v Speaker 4>But when they went back.

0:14:03.040 --> 0:14:07.079
<v Speaker 7>Into office, he pursued that very same maximum pressure campaign

0:14:07.200 --> 0:14:10.000
<v Speaker 7>with economic as well as diplomatic leverage, but also a

0:14:10.040 --> 0:14:13.600
<v Speaker 7>military component. And by that point Israel had already wiped

0:14:13.600 --> 0:14:18.680
<v Speaker 7>out Iran's decimated at least Iran's proxy militaries as a

0:14:18.720 --> 0:14:21.240
<v Speaker 7>response to what the Wall Street Journal reports was Iran's

0:14:21.280 --> 0:14:24.360
<v Speaker 7>green lighting, at least in some operational capacity of the

0:14:24.400 --> 0:14:25.720
<v Speaker 7>October seventh massacre.

0:14:26.240 --> 0:14:28.359
<v Speaker 4>And we thought around could not be more weak.

0:14:28.360 --> 0:14:31.880
<v Speaker 7>After the Midnight Hammer operation that decimated the nuclear facilities,

0:14:31.880 --> 0:14:33.560
<v Speaker 7>But we found out it could be made weaker still

0:14:33.600 --> 0:14:37.320
<v Speaker 7>by its own people. The revolt in December and January,

0:14:37.320 --> 0:14:41.560
<v Speaker 7>while crushed ruthlessly, has sacrificed whatever legitimacy is left in

0:14:41.600 --> 0:14:46.480
<v Speaker 7>the Iranian regime. Ben Rhodes's project is in tatters. Ben Rhodes,

0:14:46.880 --> 0:14:50.560
<v Speaker 7>as Barack Obama said repeatedly, tried to usher this country

0:14:50.600 --> 0:14:53.120
<v Speaker 7>into the Community of Nations, to make it a responsible

0:14:53.120 --> 0:14:55.760
<v Speaker 7>steward of its region and to create something like a

0:14:55.800 --> 0:14:58.760
<v Speaker 7>balance of power. The idea being that we should pursue

0:14:58.800 --> 0:15:02.200
<v Speaker 7>something like Detant Nixon style the tent with Iran. The

0:15:02.240 --> 0:15:05.160
<v Speaker 7>Trump administration came in and like Reagan said, no, no, no,

0:15:05.320 --> 0:15:07.440
<v Speaker 7>what if we don't have to live with Iran anymore?

0:15:07.560 --> 0:15:10.080
<v Speaker 7>What if it didn't have to exist at all. That's

0:15:10.120 --> 0:15:11.400
<v Speaker 7>been a very consistent through life.

0:15:11.480 --> 0:15:16.240
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, they're always had the fatal flaw. Iran is run

0:15:16.280 --> 0:15:19.240
<v Speaker 1>by religious zealots. The Soviet Union was run by atheists

0:15:19.240 --> 0:15:21.320
<v Speaker 1>that don't have a next life to live for right,

0:15:21.320 --> 0:15:24.960
<v Speaker 1>they're not millennialists. They just wanted the Kingdom on Earth

0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:28.640
<v Speaker 1>to be paradise. Mister Rhodes makes the point that there's

0:15:28.720 --> 0:15:32.720
<v Speaker 1>no congressional debate, no resolution in that regard. It's like

0:15:32.760 --> 0:15:36.680
<v Speaker 1>the nineteen ninety nine US participation in the bombing campaign

0:15:36.720 --> 0:15:40.880
<v Speaker 1>in Yugoslavia against Serbia and Montenegro and the twenty eleven

0:15:41.920 --> 0:15:46.360
<v Speaker 1>Barack Obama bombing campaign in which we participated leading from behind.

0:15:46.400 --> 0:15:49.720
<v Speaker 1>I think was the famous phrase to bring down Kadafi.

0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:53.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm just wondering, he is there a good way to

0:15:53.360 --> 0:15:56.640
<v Speaker 1>say that those were okay? And the United States acting

0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:58.520
<v Speaker 1>now is not because I don't see it.

0:16:00.320 --> 0:16:01.120
<v Speaker 4>I don't see it either.

0:16:01.160 --> 0:16:03.840
<v Speaker 7>You and I have had disagreements over the necessity of

0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:06.840
<v Speaker 7>new AUMFS Authorizations for the use of military force, which

0:16:06.880 --> 0:16:09.520
<v Speaker 7>is the functional declaration of war that Congress has the

0:16:09.800 --> 0:16:13.120
<v Speaker 7>constitutional authority to issue when it comes to Venezuela.

0:16:13.160 --> 0:16:14.920
<v Speaker 4>We've been at odds over that. I am not.

0:16:15.040 --> 0:16:17.720
<v Speaker 7>Concerned when it comes to strikes in Iran. I think

0:16:17.800 --> 0:16:21.040
<v Speaker 7>the Iranian regime is it's not a tortured reading of

0:16:21.080 --> 0:16:23.680
<v Speaker 7>the two thousand and one AUMF to suggest that the

0:16:23.800 --> 0:16:28.640
<v Speaker 7>regime in Iran is captured by that AUMF, and we.

0:16:28.640 --> 0:16:29.200
<v Speaker 4>Acted on it.

0:16:29.240 --> 0:16:31.440
<v Speaker 7>In fact, in two thousand and six two thousand and five,

0:16:32.320 --> 0:16:35.000
<v Speaker 7>during the time in which Iran was actively facilitating the

0:16:35.080 --> 0:16:37.880
<v Speaker 7>killing of US soldiers in Iraq, we estimate that roughly

0:16:38.440 --> 0:16:42.080
<v Speaker 7>six hundred or more US soldiers are We're dead, not wounded,

0:16:42.280 --> 0:16:44.120
<v Speaker 7>killed as a result of Iranian.

0:16:43.760 --> 0:16:44.480
<v Speaker 4>Action in Iraq.

0:16:45.120 --> 0:16:48.520
<v Speaker 7>I think the AUMF captures that would it would be

0:16:48.560 --> 0:16:52.640
<v Speaker 7>sufficient to legally justify an attack on the Iranian regime

0:16:53.000 --> 0:16:54.920
<v Speaker 7>designed to topple the Iranian regime.

0:16:54.960 --> 0:16:58.680
<v Speaker 1>Okay, one last question. I think I'm under an injunction

0:16:58.840 --> 0:17:02.640
<v Speaker 1>from the pontiff. Not to be mean, but I just

0:17:02.680 --> 0:17:05.600
<v Speaker 1>want to be accurator. We gave them a billion and

0:17:05.640 --> 0:17:08.800
<v Speaker 1>a half dollars on pallets, and we each sanctions during

0:17:08.920 --> 0:17:13.280
<v Speaker 1>President Obama's tenure, but it was obamacarey ben roads A

0:17:13.400 --> 0:17:15.040
<v Speaker 1>toen them a billion and a half in Is it

0:17:15.080 --> 0:17:17.399
<v Speaker 1>fair to say they bought the bullets that killed the

0:17:17.440 --> 0:17:20.119
<v Speaker 1>thirty five thousand people or.

0:17:20.119 --> 0:17:23.280
<v Speaker 7>The shaped chart the shaped charges that were imported and

0:17:23.320 --> 0:17:25.520
<v Speaker 7>delivered into the hands of insurgents that were used to

0:17:26.160 --> 0:17:28.760
<v Speaker 7>attack US soldiers and Ied attacks yeah. I think that's

0:17:28.800 --> 0:17:32.400
<v Speaker 7>absolutely fair because money is fungible. The Iranian regime uses

0:17:32.440 --> 0:17:35.280
<v Speaker 7>the funds that it gets not for hospitals necessarily, but

0:17:35.400 --> 0:17:37.440
<v Speaker 7>for terrorist attacks, and you can't tell where the money

0:17:37.480 --> 0:17:39.280
<v Speaker 7>is going once you give it to them.

0:17:39.320 --> 0:17:40.600
<v Speaker 4>I will give Ben Rhodes this.

0:17:40.840 --> 0:17:43.680
<v Speaker 7>I think the president President Donald Trump should come to

0:17:43.720 --> 0:17:46.919
<v Speaker 7>the American people sooner rather than later. The campaign that

0:17:47.000 --> 0:17:49.280
<v Speaker 7>he's envisioning is a week's long campaign.

0:17:49.640 --> 0:17:51.160
<v Speaker 4>It will be a fraught project.

0:17:51.440 --> 0:17:53.800
<v Speaker 7>The Iranians might face a situation where it's not like

0:17:53.800 --> 0:17:55.600
<v Speaker 7>the Twelve Day War, where it's.

0:17:55.480 --> 0:17:58.360
<v Speaker 4>A use it or lose it kind of situation for them, and.

0:17:58.320 --> 0:18:00.560
<v Speaker 7>They might fire off all all the Bliss missiles that

0:18:00.560 --> 0:18:03.919
<v Speaker 7>they have in their capacity and use some asymmetric capabilities

0:18:03.960 --> 0:18:06.960
<v Speaker 7>to try to target American troops American naval assets. We

0:18:07.000 --> 0:18:09.360
<v Speaker 7>should be prepared for that and prepare for the prospect

0:18:09.440 --> 0:18:11.399
<v Speaker 7>that it could be a war that involves casualties.

0:18:11.560 --> 0:18:12.000
<v Speaker 2>U right.

0:18:12.040 --> 0:18:14.879
<v Speaker 1>I think thousands of Americans could die. It's unlikely, but

0:18:14.960 --> 0:18:17.959
<v Speaker 1>it's possible. Our allies could be injured. Israeli could die

0:18:18.040 --> 0:18:20.560
<v Speaker 1>by the tens of thousands if they get a good

0:18:20.640 --> 0:18:23.960
<v Speaker 1>hit off. And I don't think anyone has really been

0:18:24.040 --> 0:18:27.399
<v Speaker 1>preparing for that in the way that before two thousand

0:18:27.440 --> 0:18:29.359
<v Speaker 1>and three, and I want to give you the last word,

0:18:29.480 --> 0:18:34.200
<v Speaker 1>W did and before nineteen ninety one, HW did. I

0:18:34.200 --> 0:18:36.520
<v Speaker 1>don't think anyone's talking about the threat to Americans.

0:18:36.920 --> 0:18:41.000
<v Speaker 7>No, no, And I worry that the White House is

0:18:41.040 --> 0:18:45.200
<v Speaker 7>afraid of articulating to the American people what the worst

0:18:45.200 --> 0:18:46.919
<v Speaker 7>case scenario could be, because.

0:18:46.640 --> 0:18:47.520
<v Speaker 4>It is really scary.

0:18:48.320 --> 0:18:51.680
<v Speaker 7>But this is a national project that deserves to be pursued.

0:18:52.119 --> 0:18:54.960
<v Speaker 7>And the argument for taking out this regime the most

0:18:54.960 --> 0:18:57.320
<v Speaker 7>malignant force on the planet Earth, which has been at

0:18:57.359 --> 0:18:59.560
<v Speaker 7>war with the United States for fifty years, which has

0:18:59.640 --> 0:19:02.320
<v Speaker 7>killed in Americans and will continue to kill Americans, and

0:19:02.359 --> 0:19:06.040
<v Speaker 7>it's possessed of a suicidally millenarian outlook in which it's

0:19:06.400 --> 0:19:09.040
<v Speaker 7>the members of this regime, the claresy, do not care

0:19:09.080 --> 0:19:12.000
<v Speaker 7>if they invite something like a Gotterdam of room and

0:19:12.119 --> 0:19:16.919
<v Speaker 7>are a real catastrophic conflict with the West. This is

0:19:16.920 --> 0:19:20.560
<v Speaker 7>a necessary project. It's necessary for Donald Trump to pursue

0:19:20.560 --> 0:19:23.480
<v Speaker 7>what he started in twenty sixteen and twenty seventeen.

0:19:23.480 --> 0:19:25.080
<v Speaker 4>And I think the American people would be on board

0:19:25.080 --> 0:19:25.400
<v Speaker 4>with him.

0:19:25.520 --> 0:19:27.679
<v Speaker 7>But Donald Trump has to ask the American public to

0:19:27.760 --> 0:19:29.000
<v Speaker 7>join him in this project.

0:19:28.720 --> 0:19:30.679
<v Speaker 1>Because we have said Noah Rothman and I thank you

0:19:30.760 --> 0:19:32.959
<v Speaker 1>for keeping me inside my lent in red lines.

0:19:33.400 --> 0:19:34.080
<v Speaker 2>Thank you very much.

0:19:34.080 --> 0:19:39.119
<v Speaker 1>I'll be right back in America. State Tum, Welcome back

0:19:39.119 --> 0:19:41.720
<v Speaker 1>in America. I'm Hugh Hewitt. I'm joined now by Mary

0:19:41.760 --> 0:19:44.480
<v Speaker 1>Katherine Ham, host of Getting Hammered, with her co host

0:19:44.760 --> 0:19:46.960
<v Speaker 1>Victoria Victor Reno Mattis.

0:19:47.240 --> 0:19:48.359
<v Speaker 2>I listened to it today.

0:19:48.400 --> 0:19:50.480
<v Speaker 1>But before we get into that, Mary Catherine, would you

0:19:50.600 --> 0:19:53.119
<v Speaker 1>update people on what you're doing for America two fifty.

0:19:54.720 --> 0:19:54.920
<v Speaker 2>Yes.

0:19:55.080 --> 0:19:58.400
<v Speaker 8>I am doing daily or near daily readings of primary

0:19:58.400 --> 0:20:02.520
<v Speaker 8>documents from or by to or from founders so that

0:20:02.560 --> 0:20:04.720
<v Speaker 8>I can sort of keep tabs on the whole year

0:20:04.760 --> 0:20:06.840
<v Speaker 8>of seventeen seventy six, So I'm lining them up with

0:20:06.880 --> 0:20:10.040
<v Speaker 8>each date and doing a reading on the Getting Hammered feeds.

0:20:10.040 --> 0:20:12.359
<v Speaker 8>You can subscribe for all of that there. Because I

0:20:12.359 --> 0:20:13.640
<v Speaker 8>didn't want to get to the end of the year

0:20:13.640 --> 0:20:17.159
<v Speaker 8>and realize I hadn't done anything special to honor this

0:20:17.240 --> 0:20:20.200
<v Speaker 8>year outside of July fourth or whatever holiday. So I'm

0:20:20.240 --> 0:20:22.439
<v Speaker 8>learning a little bit every day because it's always helpful

0:20:22.440 --> 0:20:24.359
<v Speaker 8>to brush up, and it's always helpful to hear the

0:20:24.400 --> 0:20:26.679
<v Speaker 8>founders in their own words. So that's what I'm working on.

0:20:26.920 --> 0:20:30.600
<v Speaker 1>I think George Washington's letters fabulous. You've used Abigail Adams,

0:20:30.640 --> 0:20:33.800
<v Speaker 1>You've used John Adams. How are you finding Is there

0:20:33.840 --> 0:20:36.119
<v Speaker 1>a reader out there that you're just borrowing from or

0:20:36.160 --> 0:20:37.880
<v Speaker 1>you out there doing a regional research.

0:20:39.160 --> 0:20:42.280
<v Speaker 8>I'm doing research, but the Library of Congress is extremely helpful.

0:20:42.280 --> 0:20:44.280
<v Speaker 5>That John Adams paper is extremely helpful.

0:20:44.280 --> 0:20:46.760
<v Speaker 8>And I'm going to look at talking to the Mount Vernon,

0:20:46.960 --> 0:20:49.600
<v Speaker 8>Monticello and Montpellier folks and seeing if I can get

0:20:49.640 --> 0:20:51.480
<v Speaker 8>access to some of these documents as I moved through

0:20:51.480 --> 0:20:53.520
<v Speaker 8>the year, because there are some really fantastic ones.

0:20:53.640 --> 0:20:56.920
<v Speaker 1>What I want everyone to do is to rewatch Adams HBO,

0:20:57.840 --> 0:21:00.600
<v Speaker 1>the first two episodes which lead up to the Declaration

0:21:00.640 --> 0:21:03.679
<v Speaker 1>of Independence, John Adams and Abigail Adams. So that is

0:21:03.720 --> 0:21:07.560
<v Speaker 1>Paul Giamadi as Adam, maybe the equal mini television never made.

0:21:08.240 --> 0:21:11.480
<v Speaker 1>Mary Catherine. I want to turn now first to the

0:21:11.520 --> 0:21:14.320
<v Speaker 1>funny part of today's getting hammered. Who do you look like?

0:21:14.359 --> 0:21:15.840
<v Speaker 1>You know when you walk up to you? Did anyone

0:21:15.880 --> 0:21:18.359
<v Speaker 1>ever tell you look like X? That's happened to me

0:21:18.440 --> 0:21:20.520
<v Speaker 1>a couple of times. The first time was at the

0:21:20.560 --> 0:21:25.040
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and seven Game four, when the Indians went

0:21:25.160 --> 0:21:27.760
<v Speaker 1>up three to one against the Red Sox in Cleveland.

0:21:27.800 --> 0:21:30.480
<v Speaker 1>I was there with my brother Pat Wilson and Rob

0:21:30.520 --> 0:21:33.000
<v Speaker 1>Ganary and a guy comes up and he says, are

0:21:33.040 --> 0:21:33.960
<v Speaker 1>you Stephen King?

0:21:34.440 --> 0:21:38.080
<v Speaker 2>And that was actually horrible, you know, I think that

0:21:38.200 --> 0:21:38.760
<v Speaker 2>was terrible.

0:21:39.119 --> 0:21:41.280
<v Speaker 1>But then, of course I've had a long running gag

0:21:41.359 --> 0:21:45.199
<v Speaker 1>with Peter Kinder, former lieutenant governor of Missouri, because what

0:21:45.240 --> 0:21:46.639
<v Speaker 1>do you think does Peter Kinner do it?

0:21:47.880 --> 0:21:49.240
<v Speaker 5>I mean, I can see it a little.

0:21:50.880 --> 0:21:52.639
<v Speaker 2>So who do you get compared to?

0:21:54.160 --> 0:21:54.320
<v Speaker 4>Oh?

0:21:54.359 --> 0:21:55.480
<v Speaker 5>My, this is the thing.

0:21:55.640 --> 0:21:58.240
<v Speaker 8>You have to go super flattering, and when people talk

0:21:58.280 --> 0:22:01.480
<v Speaker 8>to me, they go super flattering, and it's but then

0:22:01.640 --> 0:22:03.680
<v Speaker 8>you're stuck on the other side, which is people go, wait,

0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:05.640
<v Speaker 8>you're totally not as hot as Jessica Biel.

0:22:05.800 --> 0:22:09.280
<v Speaker 5>Who is who I get hair to sometimes? Nev Campbell

0:22:09.400 --> 0:22:10.080
<v Speaker 5>another one.

0:22:10.240 --> 0:22:11.919
<v Speaker 9>Oh, I've got one for you body. I look up

0:22:11.920 --> 0:22:15.440
<v Speaker 9>her name because I can't remember it. It's an old

0:22:15.480 --> 0:22:19.720
<v Speaker 9>movie star who I love a lot, and it's Oh,

0:22:19.760 --> 0:22:25.600
<v Speaker 9>come on, Audrey Heppern Tiffany. So do you ever get that?

0:22:27.200 --> 0:22:27.640
<v Speaker 4>I don't.

0:22:27.640 --> 0:22:29.840
<v Speaker 5>But that's far too kind as well, and I will

0:22:29.880 --> 0:22:30.239
<v Speaker 5>take it.

0:22:30.400 --> 0:22:31.000
<v Speaker 2>No take that.

0:22:31.040 --> 0:22:32.639
<v Speaker 1>I think you look like Audrey Heppern. You have to

0:22:32.680 --> 0:22:35.040
<v Speaker 1>change your hair a little bit more than you have now.

0:22:35.080 --> 0:22:38.320
<v Speaker 1>Talking about hair, my dad used to cut our hair

0:22:38.520 --> 0:22:42.960
<v Speaker 1>three boys. Took about fifteen minutes total. He had a clipper.

0:22:43.480 --> 0:22:47.879
<v Speaker 1>We were buzzed. Why doesn't husband just go and buzz

0:22:47.960 --> 0:22:48.560
<v Speaker 1>the little boy?

0:22:50.320 --> 0:22:52.400
<v Speaker 8>Okay, So I gave my son his first haircut. He's

0:22:52.440 --> 0:22:54.840
<v Speaker 8>three years old. It was getting a little out of control.

0:22:55.280 --> 0:22:57.439
<v Speaker 8>The reason is because I like to cut hair. I

0:22:57.440 --> 0:22:58.640
<v Speaker 8>think it's a fun.

0:22:58.400 --> 0:23:01.560
<v Speaker 5>Thing to learn, and my children are my guinea pigs.

0:23:01.960 --> 0:23:05.240
<v Speaker 8>I will also tell you that as a child, we

0:23:05.280 --> 0:23:06.920
<v Speaker 8>didn't have a lot of money, and so my dad

0:23:06.960 --> 0:23:08.920
<v Speaker 8>cut all of our hair. My dad cut his own

0:23:08.960 --> 0:23:11.480
<v Speaker 8>hair and then he cut all three kids. I was

0:23:11.520 --> 0:23:13.879
<v Speaker 8>the only girl, so guess what. And my mom had

0:23:13.880 --> 0:23:14.400
<v Speaker 8>short hair.

0:23:14.640 --> 0:23:15.920
<v Speaker 5>We all had the same haircut.

0:23:16.480 --> 0:23:19.720
<v Speaker 8>I had short hair till I was like eight or nine,

0:23:19.760 --> 0:23:21.520
<v Speaker 8>and I finally was like, I think I'm going to

0:23:21.560 --> 0:23:22.520
<v Speaker 8>grow it out a little.

0:23:22.560 --> 0:23:25.280
<v Speaker 5>So that's where the tomboys side of me probably came from.

0:23:25.440 --> 0:23:26.160
<v Speaker 2>You know, when you were.

0:23:26.040 --> 0:23:28.479
<v Speaker 1>Telling you about cutting your son's hair, you were like

0:23:28.520 --> 0:23:30.840
<v Speaker 1>the fetching missus Hue at thirty five years ago. She

0:23:30.960 --> 0:23:33.639
<v Speaker 1>did not want to cut our oldest son's hair. I

0:23:33.680 --> 0:23:36.400
<v Speaker 1>think he was like a hippie until the age of three,

0:23:36.400 --> 0:23:37.640
<v Speaker 1>but he had curls, and she keepts.

0:23:37.800 --> 0:23:38.160
<v Speaker 2>I can't.

0:23:38.200 --> 0:23:40.920
<v Speaker 1>I can't take the curls. And you know her little

0:23:40.960 --> 0:23:44.199
<v Speaker 1>Prince Edward's stuff. I hated it. But moms are in

0:23:44.320 --> 0:23:46.160
<v Speaker 1>charge right when it comes to haircuts.

0:23:46.920 --> 0:23:49.399
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, and the curl the curls are irresistible.

0:23:49.520 --> 0:23:51.480
<v Speaker 8>And you know, if you have a little boy, sometimes

0:23:51.480 --> 0:23:53.359
<v Speaker 8>that might be the only time in their life that

0:23:53.400 --> 0:23:55.040
<v Speaker 8>they'll have those little curls in that long hair.

0:23:55.160 --> 0:23:57.320
<v Speaker 5>You get a little leeway at the beginning, so you

0:23:57.400 --> 0:23:57.840
<v Speaker 5>take it.

0:23:58.720 --> 0:24:00.480
<v Speaker 1>I do want to we'll come back and talk about

0:24:00.480 --> 0:24:02.800
<v Speaker 1>the war on the serious side with Mary Catherine after this,

0:24:03.160 --> 0:24:07.000
<v Speaker 1>But I do want to ask you the peaking Duck place.

0:24:07.119 --> 0:24:10.800
<v Speaker 1>Isn't it peaking duck or is it peaking gourmet that

0:24:10.880 --> 0:24:11.960
<v Speaker 1>you guys were talking about.

0:24:13.040 --> 0:24:16.400
<v Speaker 5>It's peaking gourmee. But we were specifically referencing the duck,

0:24:16.440 --> 0:24:17.520
<v Speaker 5>which is fantastic.

0:24:17.520 --> 0:24:19.440
<v Speaker 2>You know, it was not fair about that episode.

0:24:19.520 --> 0:24:23.280
<v Speaker 1>It's ash Wednesday, Mary Catherine, So listening to you two

0:24:23.560 --> 0:24:28.040
<v Speaker 1>talk about Chinese food, it's not even fair. And you

0:24:28.600 --> 0:24:32.240
<v Speaker 1>taped it on Fat Tuesday, but it drops on ash Wednesday,

0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:34.760
<v Speaker 1>So you guys could go get your chicom food last

0:24:34.800 --> 0:24:37.000
<v Speaker 1>night and we can't do it till tomorrow.

0:24:37.200 --> 0:24:38.640
<v Speaker 2>It's not really very nice.

0:24:40.160 --> 0:24:41.880
<v Speaker 5>That's a very smart programming note.

0:24:41.920 --> 0:24:45.080
<v Speaker 8>I'm going to put that down for future Fat Tuesday

0:24:45.080 --> 0:24:47.440
<v Speaker 8>programming that we need to make sure we're on schedule.

0:24:47.880 --> 0:24:50.760
<v Speaker 1>Do you do do the Protestants do anything on ash

0:24:50.800 --> 0:24:52.159
<v Speaker 1>Wednesday like the Catholics do?

0:24:53.680 --> 0:24:58.159
<v Speaker 8>Not really, but I do sometimes observe went because I

0:24:58.160 --> 0:25:01.560
<v Speaker 8>think it's healthy to meditate and to pray about what

0:25:01.800 --> 0:25:02.680
<v Speaker 8>Easter means.

0:25:02.440 --> 0:25:04.800
<v Speaker 5>As it's upcoming. So I will do some special Bible

0:25:04.800 --> 0:25:05.520
<v Speaker 5>studies and work.

0:25:05.680 --> 0:25:07.280
<v Speaker 1>Well. When we come back, I'll tell you how the

0:25:07.280 --> 0:25:09.879
<v Speaker 1>Pope is screwed up my lent already. Don't go anywhere America.

0:25:09.920 --> 0:25:12.240
<v Speaker 1>Mary Catherine will be back for a second segment, except

0:25:12.240 --> 0:25:15.600
<v Speaker 1>go like and follow getting Hammered with Vic and Mary Katherine,

0:25:15.880 --> 0:25:18.520
<v Speaker 1>and you'll get the America to fifty bit bits from

0:25:18.560 --> 0:25:19.520
<v Speaker 1>Mary Katherine as well.

0:25:19.560 --> 0:25:20.399
<v Speaker 2>Stay tuned.

0:25:27.960 --> 0:25:30.879
<v Speaker 1>Welking back Mary Katherine Ham. I'm Hugh Hewittt. Don't go

0:25:30.880 --> 0:25:35.119
<v Speaker 1>anywhere America because she is back. Mary Catherine the Pope

0:25:35.240 --> 0:25:39.280
<v Speaker 1>yesterday posted this to Catholics around the world. I would

0:25:39.320 --> 0:25:41.800
<v Speaker 1>like to invite you to a very practical and frequently

0:25:41.920 --> 0:25:46.560
<v Speaker 1>underappreciated form of abstinence, that of refraining from words that

0:25:46.600 --> 0:25:50.680
<v Speaker 1>offend and hurt our neighbor. That's very, very untimely for

0:25:50.840 --> 0:25:53.800
<v Speaker 1>me because Ben Rhodes has entered the room and is

0:25:54.160 --> 0:25:58.800
<v Speaker 1>tutting us about not having national authorization for striking Iran.

0:25:59.320 --> 0:26:01.320
<v Speaker 2>So what's response to mister.

0:26:01.160 --> 0:26:05.840
<v Speaker 1>Rhodes given the twenty eleven war against Libya that had

0:26:05.880 --> 0:26:09.399
<v Speaker 1>no authorization, the nineteen ninety nine war against Jegoslavia Serbia

0:26:09.400 --> 0:26:12.520
<v Speaker 1>that had no authorization, and a number of US I mean, how.

0:26:12.359 --> 0:26:14.800
<v Speaker 2>Do you answer, Ben? He's the matter nick of ns Now.

0:26:16.320 --> 0:26:18.600
<v Speaker 5>He's also just not a reliable narrator.

0:26:18.680 --> 0:26:21.960
<v Speaker 8>This is the architect of tricking US and the whole

0:26:22.000 --> 0:26:25.959
<v Speaker 8>media and enlisting them to lie about the JCPOA.

0:26:25.680 --> 0:26:26.480
<v Speaker 5>For all these years.

0:26:26.480 --> 0:26:29.119
<v Speaker 8>Sure he wants another JCPOA, even though it doesn't do

0:26:29.520 --> 0:26:31.800
<v Speaker 8>what it was advertised as doing when he was running

0:26:32.119 --> 0:26:35.720
<v Speaker 8>his communications strategy about that with the American media.

0:26:35.760 --> 0:26:38.920
<v Speaker 5>Although I could give you my AOC answer, which is, you.

0:26:38.760 --> 0:26:41.439
<v Speaker 8>Know, I think that this is such a you know,

0:26:41.760 --> 0:26:46.520
<v Speaker 8>I think that this is a long time policy of

0:26:46.760 --> 0:26:47.399
<v Speaker 8>the US.

0:26:47.680 --> 0:26:48.639
<v Speaker 5>That's my other answer.

0:26:48.720 --> 0:26:50.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm not allowed to say that the Pope told me.

0:26:50.840 --> 0:26:53.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm not That would be mean to AOC. How am

0:26:53.040 --> 0:26:54.840
<v Speaker 1>I going to do this job for forty days?

0:26:56.600 --> 0:26:58.360
<v Speaker 8>I don't know, I see. I feel like you want

0:26:58.359 --> 0:27:01.439
<v Speaker 8>to just narrow that funnel to hurtful words. Is just

0:27:01.600 --> 0:27:03.680
<v Speaker 8>like cuss words.

0:27:04.320 --> 0:27:07.840
<v Speaker 1>But it just might mean my actual physical neighbors, right,

0:27:08.000 --> 0:27:08.760
<v Speaker 1>I always.

0:27:08.440 --> 0:27:09.679
<v Speaker 2>Wave with there you go.

0:27:09.960 --> 0:27:12.000
<v Speaker 1>It could be that. Let's go to the question, the

0:27:12.119 --> 0:27:14.520
<v Speaker 1>very serious question. I think we're on the cusp of

0:27:14.560 --> 0:27:16.439
<v Speaker 1>a very big battle, if not a war. Do you

0:27:16.440 --> 0:27:17.000
<v Speaker 1>agree with me?

0:27:18.680 --> 0:27:20.520
<v Speaker 8>It feels that way for sure, And like you and

0:27:20.560 --> 0:27:22.720
<v Speaker 8>I have talked about, I think Trump would like to

0:27:23.720 --> 0:27:26.960
<v Speaker 8>preserve his threat credibility, which I think he, you know,

0:27:27.680 --> 0:27:30.320
<v Speaker 8>told everyone that there was going to be something happening here.

0:27:30.359 --> 0:27:32.199
<v Speaker 5>I have no doubt that we're doing something behind the

0:27:32.200 --> 0:27:32.960
<v Speaker 5>scenes as well.

0:27:33.320 --> 0:27:36.760
<v Speaker 8>My only hesitation to say that the things are well

0:27:36.840 --> 0:27:40.880
<v Speaker 8>underway is that they've been very very secret about things

0:27:40.880 --> 0:27:44.000
<v Speaker 8>that have happened in the past with Maduro and with

0:27:44.119 --> 0:27:48.920
<v Speaker 8>the B two bomber strikes on on a run in

0:27:48.960 --> 0:27:51.280
<v Speaker 8>the past, and this one seems a little louder and

0:27:51.320 --> 0:27:53.080
<v Speaker 8>a little bit more noticeable what they're up to.

0:27:53.240 --> 0:27:56.600
<v Speaker 5>So I'm I'm not sure if we're being tricked a

0:27:56.600 --> 0:27:57.000
<v Speaker 5>little bit.

0:27:57.119 --> 0:27:59.919
<v Speaker 1>Well, the dimaggiadis out there. That means people who live

0:28:00.119 --> 0:28:02.399
<v Speaker 1>and do a long, long stretch of you, Hughit shows

0:28:02.400 --> 0:28:04.879
<v Speaker 1>we'll remember when Mary Catherine and Guy Benson used to

0:28:04.920 --> 0:28:07.199
<v Speaker 1>sit in for me when I went on vacation. And

0:28:07.240 --> 0:28:10.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm going on vacation next week, celebrating my seventieth birthday

0:28:10.320 --> 0:28:13.400
<v Speaker 1>with the fetching missus Schwett taking a week off, and

0:28:14.200 --> 0:28:16.560
<v Speaker 1>it's inevitable in my view that it will happen next

0:28:16.560 --> 0:28:18.920
<v Speaker 1>week because news always happened when you and Guy were

0:28:18.920 --> 0:28:19.280
<v Speaker 1>in for me.

0:28:19.359 --> 0:28:21.200
<v Speaker 2>Am I not right. News always happened.

0:28:21.440 --> 0:28:24.560
<v Speaker 5>That is true. That is true. We did encounter large

0:28:24.600 --> 0:28:25.919
<v Speaker 5>news stories when you were gone.

0:28:25.960 --> 0:28:27.959
<v Speaker 2>So it's like clockwork.

0:28:28.000 --> 0:28:29.920
<v Speaker 1>I think it's going to go off on Sunday night

0:28:29.960 --> 0:28:32.800
<v Speaker 1>when I get up into the air and can't turn

0:28:32.840 --> 0:28:34.600
<v Speaker 1>around Mary Catherine.

0:28:34.240 --> 0:28:37.200
<v Speaker 2>If it does last. We did have the.

0:28:36.880 --> 0:28:40.640
<v Speaker 1>Serbian air campaign seventy eight days nineteen ninety nine. We

0:28:40.760 --> 0:28:45.440
<v Speaker 1>had the Libyan air campaign months and months till Kadafi

0:28:45.480 --> 0:28:48.600
<v Speaker 1>fell in twenty eleven. Do you have any idea in

0:28:48.640 --> 0:28:52.760
<v Speaker 1>your mind what you think is acceptable to the American

0:28:52.760 --> 0:28:55.840
<v Speaker 1>people for an air campaign, provided that there is no

0:28:56.560 --> 0:28:59.480
<v Speaker 1>mass casualty event with the American troops.

0:29:01.200 --> 0:29:04.840
<v Speaker 8>I think it has to be relatively short, and it

0:29:04.880 --> 0:29:07.240
<v Speaker 8>has to be well explained what is happening.

0:29:07.280 --> 0:29:09.600
<v Speaker 5>If you don't make a sustained.

0:29:10.680 --> 0:29:14.160
<v Speaker 8>Comm's campaign for the thing that you're doing, I think

0:29:14.200 --> 0:29:18.320
<v Speaker 8>people can get antsy pretty quickly within a week or two,

0:29:18.560 --> 0:29:21.680
<v Speaker 8>I would say, And that will change if you show

0:29:21.760 --> 0:29:24.240
<v Speaker 8>leadership and you tell them why you're doing what you're doing.

0:29:24.520 --> 0:29:25.960
<v Speaker 8>But I think they have a lot of concerns on

0:29:26.000 --> 0:29:28.040
<v Speaker 8>the ground about their own lives, and if you're not

0:29:28.120 --> 0:29:31.080
<v Speaker 8>making clear why risks are being taken and why things

0:29:31.080 --> 0:29:35.240
<v Speaker 8>are happening and why we're using force, then they will

0:29:35.240 --> 0:29:36.360
<v Speaker 8>not accept that for very long.

0:29:37.200 --> 0:29:37.880
<v Speaker 2>My beauty of.

0:29:37.840 --> 0:29:41.520
<v Speaker 1>Them to the bombing and Iran and in two thousand

0:29:41.520 --> 0:29:45.200
<v Speaker 1>and three and after nine to eleven, w stepped up.

0:29:45.400 --> 0:29:47.240
<v Speaker 1>But he had a lot of good communicators. He had

0:29:47.360 --> 0:29:51.160
<v Speaker 1>Secretary Rumsfeld almost every day at the Pentagon, Chairman of

0:29:51.200 --> 0:29:55.600
<v Speaker 1>the Joint Chiefs Meers, under chairman or deputy Chairman Peter Pace.

0:29:55.800 --> 0:29:57.920
<v Speaker 1>They had a lot of good people talking around the

0:29:58.040 --> 0:30:00.440
<v Speaker 1>like Dick Cheney did some interviews. Who's going to be

0:30:00.480 --> 0:30:03.440
<v Speaker 1>that President Trump is not great on long form addresses

0:30:03.520 --> 0:30:07.080
<v Speaker 1>explaining stuff the vice president is. Do you expect Jad

0:30:07.240 --> 0:30:08.640
<v Speaker 1>to take the lead on this.

0:30:10.560 --> 0:30:12.320
<v Speaker 8>I think he will do some of it, but honestly,

0:30:12.360 --> 0:30:14.560
<v Speaker 8>I would imagine that Rubio is doing a lot of

0:30:14.600 --> 0:30:17.480
<v Speaker 8>it as well, and the two of them can be

0:30:17.960 --> 0:30:21.960
<v Speaker 8>very clear about what's happening, and I hope they are

0:30:22.040 --> 0:30:25.200
<v Speaker 8>speaking frequently about it, because that is what's required when

0:30:25.240 --> 0:30:28.760
<v Speaker 8>you are putting forces in some harm's way, even if

0:30:28.760 --> 0:30:31.200
<v Speaker 8>it's minimal, and you have to make your pitch to

0:30:31.200 --> 0:30:33.080
<v Speaker 8>the American people so that they stay behind you on it.

0:30:33.400 --> 0:30:35.400
<v Speaker 1>So I want to close by talking about the talking

0:30:35.440 --> 0:30:37.680
<v Speaker 1>filibuster and Merrick Katherine. I don't want you to be

0:30:37.760 --> 0:30:41.600
<v Speaker 1>drawn into this unnecessarily, but Kim Strassel and I think

0:30:41.640 --> 0:30:44.560
<v Speaker 1>it's the worst idea ever because we know something about

0:30:44.560 --> 0:30:46.960
<v Speaker 1>the Senate rules. Mike Lee says, no, no, no, we're

0:30:47.000 --> 0:30:49.200
<v Speaker 1>not going to We're not going to do the nuclear option.

0:30:49.440 --> 0:30:52.440
<v Speaker 1>This can be done on existing precedent. If that's the case,

0:30:52.480 --> 0:30:55.480
<v Speaker 1>then Kim Strassel laid out how it becomes a nightmare

0:30:55.520 --> 0:30:58.760
<v Speaker 1>and a quagmire for the Republican Are you on either

0:30:58.840 --> 0:30:59.720
<v Speaker 1>side of this debate.

0:30:59.800 --> 0:31:03.479
<v Speaker 8>Yet I am on the more cautious side of the debate.

0:31:03.560 --> 0:31:07.640
<v Speaker 8>I get worried very much about taking out these pillars

0:31:07.680 --> 0:31:11.880
<v Speaker 8>that sort of allow things to be more deliberative, because

0:31:11.920 --> 0:31:14.239
<v Speaker 8>the second that things are not deliberative, and I know

0:31:14.280 --> 0:31:16.160
<v Speaker 8>that the Senate can be a pain, but the second

0:31:16.160 --> 0:31:18.480
<v Speaker 8>that it's not a pain anymore and things are sailing

0:31:18.520 --> 0:31:19.400
<v Speaker 8>through there, I'm.

0:31:19.240 --> 0:31:20.720
<v Speaker 5>Not going to be happy. I don't want a bunch

0:31:20.720 --> 0:31:21.960
<v Speaker 5>of things passed very quickly.

0:31:22.120 --> 0:31:22.440
<v Speaker 2>You see.

0:31:22.480 --> 0:31:26.640
<v Speaker 1>That is the essence of being a conservative. Government cannot

0:31:26.840 --> 0:31:29.680
<v Speaker 1>do a lot of good. All they can really do

0:31:30.360 --> 0:31:34.440
<v Speaker 1>is defend the country and build highways. That's all they

0:31:34.440 --> 0:31:36.800
<v Speaker 1>can effectively do. Everything else ought to be just money

0:31:36.840 --> 0:31:38.880
<v Speaker 1>to the states and let the states do it. I

0:31:38.920 --> 0:31:43.920
<v Speaker 1>don't want the Senate reforming everything that it wants to reform.

0:31:44.360 --> 0:31:46.720
<v Speaker 1>And there might be some rules for federal elections, but

0:31:46.840 --> 0:31:50.000
<v Speaker 1>this one is probably not even constitutional.

0:31:50.040 --> 0:31:51.280
<v Speaker 2>Have you studied the same Act?

0:31:53.360 --> 0:31:55.720
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, and I have concerns about it as well. Even

0:31:55.760 --> 0:31:58.360
<v Speaker 5>though the goal of it sounds great, but I am

0:31:58.440 --> 0:32:00.880
<v Speaker 5>unsure of the mechanism and the way of doing that

0:32:00.920 --> 0:32:04.320
<v Speaker 5>from the federal government down. And even though it's a

0:32:04.360 --> 0:32:05.160
<v Speaker 5>very popular idea.

0:32:05.400 --> 0:32:07.560
<v Speaker 1>Okay, last question, because you have the crystal ball for

0:32:07.640 --> 0:32:12.280
<v Speaker 1>the Getting Hammered podcast, is Justice Alito going to retire?

0:32:14.520 --> 0:32:15.600
<v Speaker 5>Oh, let's just say yes.

0:32:16.000 --> 0:32:18.760
<v Speaker 1>All right, that's what the little Black Epe ball. Because

0:32:18.760 --> 0:32:20.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm with you, I think he's going to step down.

0:32:20.520 --> 0:32:22.680
<v Speaker 1>How about Justice Thomas.

0:32:23.480 --> 0:32:24.440
<v Speaker 5>I don't think Thomas.

0:32:24.800 --> 0:32:25.720
<v Speaker 2>We are in agreement.

0:32:25.880 --> 0:32:28.320
<v Speaker 1>That's why Mary Catherine with a great guest host in

0:32:28.360 --> 0:32:31.080
<v Speaker 1>the days when she could guest host with Guy Benson

0:32:31.120 --> 0:32:33.760
<v Speaker 1>and it would provoke news. Next week it's Kurt Schlickter.

0:32:34.160 --> 0:32:36.720
<v Speaker 1>At least you have a colonel who can explain what

0:32:36.760 --> 0:32:40.800
<v Speaker 1>they're doing. MK Hammer on X follow and like Getting Hammered,

0:32:40.880 --> 0:32:43.080
<v Speaker 1>make sure that you follow Getting Hammered, because you'll also

0:32:43.160 --> 0:32:45.920
<v Speaker 1>get not only Vic and Mary Catherine, you will get

0:32:46.160 --> 0:32:49.000
<v Speaker 1>the America to fifty series from Mary Catherine as she

0:32:49.080 --> 0:32:52.680
<v Speaker 1>reads from the Framers and the Founder's important fits of

0:32:52.720 --> 0:32:55.560
<v Speaker 1>American history two hundred and fifty years down the road.

0:32:55.600 --> 0:32:58.880
<v Speaker 1>Stay tuned America on Juju Hewett. Welcome to this Wednesday

0:32:59.000 --> 0:33:00.960
<v Speaker 1>edition of The Huge Hewitt Shack. I have been following

0:33:01.000 --> 0:33:03.160
<v Speaker 1>Robert Greenway for a long time, though he's never been

0:33:03.160 --> 0:33:06.880
<v Speaker 1>on the program before. Long and distinguished career in Special Forces,

0:33:06.960 --> 0:33:09.440
<v Speaker 1>long and distinguished career at the National Security Council to

0:33:09.480 --> 0:33:13.200
<v Speaker 1>Defense Intelligence Agency. He now directs the Allison Center on

0:33:13.320 --> 0:33:17.400
<v Speaker 1>National Security at the Heritage Foundation. Robert Greenway, welcome the program.

0:33:17.440 --> 0:33:19.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm honored to have you on, sir. Thank you for

0:33:19.360 --> 0:33:19.800
<v Speaker 1>joining me.

0:33:21.560 --> 0:33:23.360
<v Speaker 10>It's a great pleasure. Thank you for having me.

0:33:23.480 --> 0:33:26.640
<v Speaker 1>Now, every first time guest get the same two questions.

0:33:26.720 --> 0:33:33.720
<v Speaker 1>Robert was algierhis a communist spy. I'd have to say, yes, good, good,

0:33:33.760 --> 0:33:35.920
<v Speaker 1>right answer. Have you read the Looming Tower?

0:33:38.160 --> 0:33:39.560
<v Speaker 10>Yes, but it's been a few years.

0:33:39.600 --> 0:33:41.800
<v Speaker 1>All right, that's okay, we're on the same page. That

0:33:42.160 --> 0:33:44.280
<v Speaker 1>puts you in like one tenth of one percent of

0:33:44.320 --> 0:33:46.840
<v Speaker 1>my guests. They don't know about HISS. They're too they're

0:33:46.840 --> 0:33:49.640
<v Speaker 1>too young. But you're old enough and you know your history, Robert.

0:33:49.800 --> 0:33:51.880
<v Speaker 1>I need to know what you think is going to

0:33:52.040 --> 0:33:55.080
<v Speaker 1>happen in Iran, the order of battles, so to speak.

0:33:55.120 --> 0:33:56.920
<v Speaker 1>Not whether we're going to have a conflict. They think

0:33:56.960 --> 0:33:59.480
<v Speaker 1>we're going to have a conflict, and boy, if you

0:33:59.520 --> 0:34:01.760
<v Speaker 1>disagree with may tell me. But I want to know

0:34:01.760 --> 0:34:05.440
<v Speaker 1>what you'd think unfolds in terms of step one, two, three, four, five.

0:34:07.320 --> 0:34:08.399
<v Speaker 10>Sure, happy to do it.

0:34:08.480 --> 0:34:11.120
<v Speaker 11>I think the sequence of events has been something that

0:34:11.520 --> 0:34:14.400
<v Speaker 11>most of the public has now seen displayed relative to Iran.

0:34:14.560 --> 0:34:16.640
<v Speaker 11>The Twelve Day War was the last time in which

0:34:16.640 --> 0:34:19.279
<v Speaker 11>we were able to see it unfold. I think the

0:34:19.280 --> 0:34:22.279
<v Speaker 11>president now as marshaled sufficient force the theater is what

0:34:22.560 --> 0:34:26.680
<v Speaker 11>military experts would consider set or prepared to exercise the

0:34:26.719 --> 0:34:29.840
<v Speaker 11>options presented to the president, which encompasses the strikes he

0:34:29.920 --> 0:34:33.640
<v Speaker 11>may direct, but also more importantly is deterrence and response

0:34:33.760 --> 0:34:36.719
<v Speaker 11>should the Iranians retell you with what is left what

0:34:36.800 --> 0:34:39.160
<v Speaker 11>I think is likely to happen. Normally in this series

0:34:39.200 --> 0:34:41.320
<v Speaker 11>of events, you'd see the first step is to blind

0:34:41.360 --> 0:34:44.680
<v Speaker 11>your adversary, basically to administer anesthesia so that you can

0:34:44.719 --> 0:34:45.759
<v Speaker 11>operate with impunity.

0:34:46.160 --> 0:34:47.640
<v Speaker 10>But the Twelve Day War and.

0:34:47.719 --> 0:34:50.760
<v Speaker 11>Israel's actions in US support has allowed that to occur.

0:34:50.840 --> 0:34:54.240
<v Speaker 11>So air defenses are largely gone over the horizon, radar

0:34:54.320 --> 0:34:57.719
<v Speaker 11>detection sites are destroyed and have been restored, and their

0:34:57.719 --> 0:35:00.640
<v Speaker 11>ability to do command control communications for or an integrated

0:35:00.680 --> 0:35:03.359
<v Speaker 11>air defense and coordinated response to any strike has also

0:35:03.440 --> 0:35:06.520
<v Speaker 11>been radically altered. The only leaders left in the country

0:35:06.520 --> 0:35:09.080
<v Speaker 11>are the ones that were determined to be best suited.

0:35:09.160 --> 0:35:13.320
<v Speaker 11>In other words, the least competent to withstand direct attack

0:35:13.400 --> 0:35:16.120
<v Speaker 11>and respond accordingly, and so I think we're in good

0:35:16.160 --> 0:35:19.240
<v Speaker 11>position to see decisive action taken against their critical targets,

0:35:19.239 --> 0:35:23.760
<v Speaker 11>which are probably regime leadership, potentially nuclear infrastructure to further

0:35:23.880 --> 0:35:27.040
<v Speaker 11>degrade beyond what Midnight Hammer was able to do, and

0:35:27.080 --> 0:35:30.680
<v Speaker 11>then most importantly, the retaliatory capacity of Iran. Principally it's

0:35:30.719 --> 0:35:33.800
<v Speaker 11>ballistic this will program, but also its ability to disrupt

0:35:33.840 --> 0:35:36.400
<v Speaker 11>global trade and energy markets by closing the strain of

0:35:36.400 --> 0:35:39.279
<v Speaker 11>our moves, and so naval and maritime ability to mine

0:35:39.320 --> 0:35:41.759
<v Speaker 11>the straight would also be potentially within view.

0:35:42.160 --> 0:35:44.319
<v Speaker 10>Lastly, i'd say their energy infrastructure.

0:35:44.920 --> 0:35:47.520
<v Speaker 11>If the President decided he could prevent them from being

0:35:47.560 --> 0:35:49.800
<v Speaker 11>an oil exporter for the foreseeable future.

0:35:50.120 --> 0:35:52.040
<v Speaker 10>All those targets are extremely vulnerable.

0:35:52.080 --> 0:35:54.719
<v Speaker 11>There are repercussions, of course, but those certainly could also

0:35:54.840 --> 0:35:57.120
<v Speaker 11>be part of it. The last series of targets that

0:35:57.160 --> 0:36:00.359
<v Speaker 11>could be hit are those which allow the regime it's

0:36:00.400 --> 0:36:04.799
<v Speaker 11>population and control both their telecommunications infrastructure and also the

0:36:04.800 --> 0:36:07.839
<v Speaker 11>besiege and element of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps that

0:36:08.120 --> 0:36:12.000
<v Speaker 11>suppresses the population most brutally and of course administers the

0:36:12.239 --> 0:36:14.600
<v Speaker 11>executions that they said they would not do, but of

0:36:14.640 --> 0:36:15.160
<v Speaker 11>course they have.

0:36:15.680 --> 0:36:19.160
<v Speaker 1>Now, Robert Greenway, that target list that you just laid out,

0:36:19.280 --> 0:36:23.359
<v Speaker 1>how many different missions do you think that requires by

0:36:23.400 --> 0:36:29.440
<v Speaker 1>either our aircraft, our allies aircraft, or special forces on

0:36:29.480 --> 0:36:30.840
<v Speaker 1>the ground about which we know nothing.

0:36:33.160 --> 0:36:35.720
<v Speaker 11>Well, I'd say, since we can skip the first three steps,

0:36:35.760 --> 0:36:38.200
<v Speaker 11>this patient has already been an esthetized, it doesn't have

0:36:38.239 --> 0:36:40.440
<v Speaker 11>the ability to see or respond to an initial attack,

0:36:40.480 --> 0:36:43.040
<v Speaker 11>we can jump right into decisive strike. And I think

0:36:43.080 --> 0:36:45.200
<v Speaker 11>there are more than enough assets both in the region

0:36:45.239 --> 0:36:47.640
<v Speaker 11>and certainly that are Konus based, like we saw in

0:36:47.680 --> 0:36:51.080
<v Speaker 11>Midnight Hammer, that can execute strikes against command, controlling their

0:36:51.080 --> 0:36:55.800
<v Speaker 11>communications infrastructure, their retaliatory capacity, and most importantly, further degrade

0:36:55.840 --> 0:36:57.680
<v Speaker 11>the nuclear program. So I think all of that could

0:36:57.719 --> 0:37:00.520
<v Speaker 11>happen within a forty eight to seventy two hours cycle

0:37:00.680 --> 0:37:03.160
<v Speaker 11>longer if we need to restrike a target for any reason.

0:37:03.719 --> 0:37:07.080
<v Speaker 1>Now the Wall Street Journal today posting an article that

0:37:07.360 --> 0:37:10.280
<v Speaker 1>had in it the Iranian leadership has adopted a quote

0:37:10.280 --> 0:37:14.920
<v Speaker 1>mosaic strategy, pushing command and control over their troops down

0:37:15.360 --> 0:37:18.120
<v Speaker 1>the ladder so that the Supreme Leader doesn't have to

0:37:18.160 --> 0:37:21.200
<v Speaker 1>get involved, the IERGC command structure doesn't have to get involved.

0:37:21.480 --> 0:37:23.319
<v Speaker 1>I thought to myself, that's a good way for a

0:37:23.360 --> 0:37:25.600
<v Speaker 1>colonel to decide to turn his weapons on the regime.

0:37:25.640 --> 0:37:26.640
<v Speaker 1>What do you think about that?

0:37:28.760 --> 0:37:31.000
<v Speaker 11>Well, I think it's an interesting idea, but I don't

0:37:31.000 --> 0:37:32.920
<v Speaker 11>think it works in their system. It's not built to

0:37:32.920 --> 0:37:34.680
<v Speaker 11>do it, and I don't think anyone in their system

0:37:34.719 --> 0:37:38.200
<v Speaker 11>feels the ability or latitude to take decisions. But most importantly,

0:37:38.440 --> 0:37:40.239
<v Speaker 11>they don't have the capacity to do it, with the

0:37:40.239 --> 0:37:44.040
<v Speaker 11>exception of the ballistic missile program, and to a slighter extent,

0:37:44.120 --> 0:37:47.280
<v Speaker 11>for closer targets in the region, their UAV and drone program,

0:37:47.440 --> 0:37:51.000
<v Speaker 11>so that's the iergc's aerospace force. They might alone have

0:37:51.040 --> 0:37:54.160
<v Speaker 11>the ability to launch a retaliatory strike of any consequence,

0:37:54.320 --> 0:37:56.080
<v Speaker 11>but I'm not sure any of them have the latitude

0:37:56.160 --> 0:37:58.720
<v Speaker 11>to do it. And again, most of their competent leaders

0:37:58.719 --> 0:38:00.919
<v Speaker 11>were killed during the Twelve Day One, including.

0:38:00.600 --> 0:38:04.320
<v Speaker 10>Their head, a man by the name of Ali Hassan Johnny.

0:38:04.440 --> 0:38:06.279
<v Speaker 11>So I think we're in good shape there, and I

0:38:06.320 --> 0:38:08.480
<v Speaker 11>don't think the Mosaic Plan constitutes a threat to the

0:38:08.560 --> 0:38:09.160
<v Speaker 11>United States.

0:38:09.200 --> 0:38:11.440
<v Speaker 1>But by pushing it down, I'll make a second run

0:38:11.480 --> 0:38:13.560
<v Speaker 1>at this. I wasn't good at explaining what I was thinking.

0:38:13.840 --> 0:38:17.200
<v Speaker 1>Do you remember when the private army turned on Moscow

0:38:17.239 --> 0:38:20.640
<v Speaker 1>and began marching towards Moscow and he's now dead, but

0:38:20.680 --> 0:38:23.680
<v Speaker 1>he didn't carry through with it. By the mosaic strategy,

0:38:23.760 --> 0:38:26.719
<v Speaker 1>are they empowering their local leaders to possibly turn on

0:38:26.760 --> 0:38:27.600
<v Speaker 1>the Ayatolas?

0:38:30.440 --> 0:38:33.040
<v Speaker 11>Well, I think it's certainly a possibility. I also think

0:38:33.080 --> 0:38:35.320
<v Speaker 11>that the stress that the regime is under, and certainly

0:38:35.360 --> 0:38:39.440
<v Speaker 11>the protests we've seen from the Iranian citizens responding to

0:38:39.560 --> 0:38:43.920
<v Speaker 11>forty plus years of repression has created I think a

0:38:43.960 --> 0:38:47.400
<v Speaker 11>situation where local forces have to make a decision. Unfortunately,

0:38:47.440 --> 0:38:50.480
<v Speaker 11>the preponderance of power is held within the Islamic Refuse

0:38:50.600 --> 0:38:53.080
<v Speaker 11>Late Guard Corps, not the armed forces itself. I think

0:38:53.120 --> 0:38:55.600
<v Speaker 11>they are very unlikely to turn on the regime in

0:38:55.640 --> 0:38:58.560
<v Speaker 11>its current form. They might substitute the current leader for

0:38:58.600 --> 0:39:01.560
<v Speaker 11>someone more ap pliable and someone more hard line than

0:39:01.640 --> 0:39:04.440
<v Speaker 11>comm and eye is believe it or not, but I

0:39:04.440 --> 0:39:08.200
<v Speaker 11>don't think the possibility of the broader armed forces turning

0:39:08.200 --> 0:39:12.040
<v Speaker 11>against the regime is either likely or necessarily consequential. The

0:39:12.080 --> 0:39:16.480
<v Speaker 11>most likely scenarios involved removing the capacity of the IRGC

0:39:16.680 --> 0:39:17.719
<v Speaker 11>to repress the population.

0:39:17.880 --> 0:39:20.080
<v Speaker 10>That may be among the strikes the United States takes.

0:39:20.360 --> 0:39:24.560
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, Robert Greenway. Our allies are very nervous, not just Israel,

0:39:24.640 --> 0:39:27.759
<v Speaker 1>but our Gulf allies, especially Cutter. They're the closest and

0:39:27.880 --> 0:39:31.200
<v Speaker 1>the short range missile of Fuselid canreak them. Would the

0:39:31.239 --> 0:39:33.960
<v Speaker 1>Iranians be that stupid because that's a regional war that

0:39:34.000 --> 0:39:35.800
<v Speaker 1>bring in everyone against the one.

0:39:37.640 --> 0:39:40.640
<v Speaker 11>Well, they're not famous for the best decisions, so I

0:39:40.680 --> 0:39:42.600
<v Speaker 11>don't know that we can count on I don't know

0:39:42.719 --> 0:39:46.080
<v Speaker 11>we can count on rationality. They're afraid, I think, but

0:39:46.160 --> 0:39:48.600
<v Speaker 11>perhaps less so because again during the Twelve Day War,

0:39:48.640 --> 0:39:51.640
<v Speaker 11>there was sufficient deterrence capacity in the United States, and

0:39:51.680 --> 0:39:54.239
<v Speaker 11>certainly President Trump has demonstrated the will it had been

0:39:54.280 --> 0:39:57.840
<v Speaker 11>previously lacking in other US administrations. I think it's unlikely

0:39:57.880 --> 0:40:00.560
<v Speaker 11>the Iranians are going to escalate to that point. However,

0:40:00.600 --> 0:40:03.200
<v Speaker 11>it is possible for them to do so. It's also

0:40:03.280 --> 0:40:06.040
<v Speaker 11>why we've seen a massive flow of air defense assets

0:40:06.080 --> 0:40:08.279
<v Speaker 11>into the region to add what was already there. So

0:40:08.320 --> 0:40:11.400
<v Speaker 11>I think our defensive capacity is sufficient. I think the

0:40:11.840 --> 0:40:14.640
<v Speaker 11>Iranians are less likely to escalate because it would be

0:40:14.840 --> 0:40:17.640
<v Speaker 11>complete annihilation, and I think the assets are in place

0:40:17.680 --> 0:40:20.160
<v Speaker 11>to defend appropriately. I think our allies are a little

0:40:20.200 --> 0:40:22.480
<v Speaker 11>less concerned they might have been, say, six months ago.

0:40:23.160 --> 0:40:28.400
<v Speaker 1>Now the nineteen ninety nine campaign against Serbia or Yugoslavia

0:40:28.680 --> 0:40:33.360
<v Speaker 1>and Mononegro with seventy eight days of bombing before Serbia

0:40:33.360 --> 0:40:36.600
<v Speaker 1>threw in the cards. It took months in twenty eleven

0:40:36.640 --> 0:40:38.320
<v Speaker 1>to get Kadafi to collapse.

0:40:38.560 --> 0:40:41.279
<v Speaker 2>How are we looking for regime collapse? Here? Are we

0:40:41.360 --> 0:40:43.040
<v Speaker 2>on that scale of an attack?

0:40:45.800 --> 0:40:47.640
<v Speaker 11>Well, I think it would take a lot less to

0:40:47.680 --> 0:40:50.400
<v Speaker 11>bring this regime to collapse, because it is, as we've

0:40:50.440 --> 0:40:53.840
<v Speaker 11>exposed in the last year or so in Israel, certainly

0:40:53.920 --> 0:40:56.080
<v Speaker 11>is exposed. It is a house of cards, it is

0:40:56.120 --> 0:41:01.680
<v Speaker 11>economies and tatters. Its internal infrastructure is absolutely negligible, Its

0:41:01.719 --> 0:41:04.799
<v Speaker 11>military capacity was a paper tiger, and all of that

0:41:04.920 --> 0:41:07.600
<v Speaker 11>was proven and demonstrated, and so there's very little, I

0:41:07.600 --> 0:41:09.600
<v Speaker 11>think effort required to get them to the point of

0:41:09.600 --> 0:41:13.480
<v Speaker 11>internal instability. So I think the president's options encompass a

0:41:13.480 --> 0:41:17.360
<v Speaker 11>broad range of targets that could really relinquish the capacity

0:41:17.600 --> 0:41:20.319
<v Speaker 11>of the Supreme Leader and those loyal to him to

0:41:20.360 --> 0:41:23.319
<v Speaker 11>repress the population. The question, of course, then becomes is

0:41:23.400 --> 0:41:25.680
<v Speaker 11>what is what is the substitute if they do in

0:41:25.680 --> 0:41:28.279
<v Speaker 11>fact collapse. Knowing that it wouldn't take much to bring

0:41:28.360 --> 0:41:30.279
<v Speaker 11>them to that point, and that, of course is the

0:41:31.440 --> 0:41:34.160
<v Speaker 11>question that everyone asks and no one, frankly can answer.

0:41:34.440 --> 0:41:37.400
<v Speaker 11>But I do think that their ability to threaten the neighborhood,

0:41:37.440 --> 0:41:39.799
<v Speaker 11>to threaten in the United States is radically diminished, and

0:41:39.880 --> 0:41:42.440
<v Speaker 11>if they were to have new leadership, it would be

0:41:42.480 --> 0:41:45.319
<v Speaker 11>substantially diminished beyond that. And I think that opens a

0:41:45.360 --> 0:41:47.760
<v Speaker 11>broad basted on horizon for a really a new Middle

0:41:47.760 --> 0:41:49.759
<v Speaker 11>East we've not seen in generations.

0:41:50.120 --> 0:41:53.040
<v Speaker 1>Do you worry about their ability to attack US naval

0:41:53.080 --> 0:41:57.080
<v Speaker 1>assets or a stationary basis or even something like Alisade

0:41:57.120 --> 0:42:01.160
<v Speaker 1>which they hit after Solimani was killed. Did fire ballistic

0:42:01.200 --> 0:42:04.279
<v Speaker 1>missiles which did hit the base we had evacuated, but

0:42:04.400 --> 0:42:06.400
<v Speaker 1>it has a GPS so they were able to hit it.

0:42:06.440 --> 0:42:07.399
<v Speaker 1>Are you worried about that?

0:42:10.000 --> 0:42:11.000
<v Speaker 10>It's always a concern.

0:42:11.040 --> 0:42:14.480
<v Speaker 11>They've got somewhere between two and three thousand ballistic missiles

0:42:14.520 --> 0:42:17.360
<v Speaker 11>medium range and longer that could range our infrastructure in

0:42:17.400 --> 0:42:20.440
<v Speaker 11>the region, and certainly they can range Israel and our

0:42:20.480 --> 0:42:23.480
<v Speaker 11>partners in allies, so it is a concern. However, I

0:42:23.520 --> 0:42:26.840
<v Speaker 11>would say that their capacity is significantly limited. Our ability

0:42:26.880 --> 0:42:29.960
<v Speaker 11>to detect and intercept is exceptional, and our capacity has

0:42:30.000 --> 0:42:32.759
<v Speaker 11>been significantly increased by the flow of forces into the

0:42:32.800 --> 0:42:35.239
<v Speaker 11>region to get the theater set. And I think our

0:42:35.520 --> 0:42:40.000
<v Speaker 11>capacity to destroy the remaining infrastructure with Israel support and assistance,

0:42:40.040 --> 0:42:42.840
<v Speaker 11>I think is equally high. So I think, sequenced properly,

0:42:42.880 --> 0:42:44.600
<v Speaker 11>I think we can diminish the threat to the point

0:42:44.640 --> 0:42:47.759
<v Speaker 11>where it no longer constitutes a grave risk to our infrastructure.

0:42:48.120 --> 0:42:50.680
<v Speaker 1>Don't go anywhere, America. Robert Greenway's coming back. We're going

0:42:50.680 --> 0:42:52.759
<v Speaker 1>to talk about I know all of you always ask

0:42:52.880 --> 0:42:54.440
<v Speaker 1>me after I do one of these, what about the

0:42:54.480 --> 0:42:57.719
<v Speaker 1>Iranian submarines? I'll ask him, what about the Straits of Hormons.

0:42:57.760 --> 0:43:00.640
<v Speaker 1>I'll ask him. I'll ask him about the Shi militias

0:43:00.680 --> 0:43:03.200
<v Speaker 1>in Iraq as well, which answer to iron, We'll talk

0:43:03.239 --> 0:43:06.200
<v Speaker 1>about the Hotees. We'll talk about Hezbalah. He knows it all.

0:43:06.280 --> 0:43:08.760
<v Speaker 1>This guy's actually go read as I posted his resume.

0:43:09.239 --> 0:43:11.920
<v Speaker 1>Mister Greenway has been around. He knows of which he speaks.

0:43:11.920 --> 0:43:14.640
<v Speaker 1>And you don't want to listen to people online like

0:43:14.719 --> 0:43:17.560
<v Speaker 1>Ben Roads. And I'll bring up Ben Roads's post to

0:43:17.640 --> 0:43:20.040
<v Speaker 1>Robert Greenway as well when we go come back. In

0:43:20.080 --> 0:43:22.000
<v Speaker 1>the meantimes, don't go anywhere and stay tune of the

0:43:22.000 --> 0:43:24.239
<v Speaker 1>Salem News Channel. I'll be right back on the.

0:43:24.239 --> 0:43:25.439
<v Speaker 2>U Hewitt Show.

0:43:27.200 --> 0:43:30.360
<v Speaker 1>Welcome Back in America, Hewitt Robert Greenway as the director of

0:43:30.360 --> 0:43:35.200
<v Speaker 1>the Herish Heritage Foundations Allison Center for National Security. Robert,

0:43:35.200 --> 0:43:37.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure if you were on the NSC under

0:43:37.200 --> 0:43:39.640
<v Speaker 1>my friend Robert O'Brien, or if you were there with h. R.

0:43:39.760 --> 0:43:43.279
<v Speaker 1>McMaster or with John Bolton, but you know who Ben

0:43:43.360 --> 0:43:45.760
<v Speaker 1>Rhodes is. He was also on the National Security Council.

0:43:46.200 --> 0:43:48.000
<v Speaker 1>He's a speech writer that ended up over there. I

0:43:48.040 --> 0:43:49.880
<v Speaker 1>don't know how he ended up over there, but he

0:43:49.920 --> 0:43:52.640
<v Speaker 1>became the brain of Obama. And he has posted today

0:43:53.440 --> 0:43:56.640
<v Speaker 1>no legal basis and no debating Congress about what could

0:43:56.640 --> 0:43:59.160
<v Speaker 1>be a major war, with no clear sense of what

0:43:59.280 --> 0:44:03.000
<v Speaker 1>the objective is or what comes next. What's your response

0:44:03.120 --> 0:44:04.839
<v Speaker 1>is another NSCLM to that.

0:44:07.080 --> 0:44:09.600
<v Speaker 11>Well, first, I did have the pleasure of serving under

0:44:09.600 --> 0:44:12.840
<v Speaker 11>all three National Security Advisors that you mentioned, and it

0:44:12.840 --> 0:44:13.800
<v Speaker 11>was a privileged.

0:44:13.440 --> 0:44:13.759
<v Speaker 2>To do it.

0:44:13.880 --> 0:44:15.880
<v Speaker 11>My response to I mean, Ben Rhodes, I think is

0:44:15.920 --> 0:44:18.759
<v Speaker 11>the only broken clock that is not right twelve day,

0:44:19.360 --> 0:44:21.800
<v Speaker 11>which I guess serves a purpose and in this case

0:44:22.400 --> 0:44:25.000
<v Speaker 11>again completely wrong, and that I think the President has

0:44:25.000 --> 0:44:27.440
<v Speaker 11>made it abundantly clear and in fact, he's done what

0:44:28.520 --> 0:44:32.200
<v Speaker 11>President Obama Ben's boss did not do, and that's document

0:44:32.280 --> 0:44:35.400
<v Speaker 11>what his objectives are. And so you can see remarkable

0:44:35.400 --> 0:44:38.440
<v Speaker 11>clarity in the first Trump administration with NSBM eleven and

0:44:38.480 --> 0:44:41.319
<v Speaker 11>the same directive, the same guidance and policy objective was

0:44:41.320 --> 0:44:44.360
<v Speaker 11>promulgated in the first week of the second Trump administration,

0:44:44.560 --> 0:44:46.560
<v Speaker 11>and it is exactly the same policy objective.

0:44:46.640 --> 0:44:48.040
<v Speaker 10>So he could be more wrong.

0:44:48.160 --> 0:44:50.560
<v Speaker 11>And of course he's probably not paying close attention to

0:44:50.600 --> 0:44:52.920
<v Speaker 11>what's happening. I think he just doesn't like seeing President

0:44:52.960 --> 0:44:54.560
<v Speaker 11>Trump succeed where his boss fail.

0:44:54.800 --> 0:44:57.000
<v Speaker 1>I agree with that. I also believe it. And tell

0:44:57.000 --> 0:44:59.400
<v Speaker 1>me if you think this is unfair, I want to

0:44:59.400 --> 0:45:02.640
<v Speaker 1>be fair to him. The palettes of cash that went

0:45:02.680 --> 0:45:05.520
<v Speaker 1>over in the JCPOA they paid for something. Might they

0:45:05.520 --> 0:45:07.879
<v Speaker 1>have paid for the bullets that mowed down thirty five

0:45:07.920 --> 0:45:09.640
<v Speaker 1>thousand Iranians.

0:45:10.880 --> 0:45:16.319
<v Speaker 11>Well, as Secretary of State Kerry admitted under congressional testimony,

0:45:17.000 --> 0:45:19.960
<v Speaker 11>funds are fungible. Money is fungible, and so any assets

0:45:20.000 --> 0:45:24.120
<v Speaker 11>provided to the Islamic Republic undoubtedly go to killing Americans,

0:45:24.120 --> 0:45:26.959
<v Speaker 11>our partners and allies. That is their only export other

0:45:27.000 --> 0:45:29.279
<v Speaker 11>than oil, and it's what they do with the oil

0:45:29.320 --> 0:45:31.760
<v Speaker 11>proceeds as well. So there's no question that that money,

0:45:32.080 --> 0:45:35.960
<v Speaker 11>that money was used in order to threaten the United States, Israel,

0:45:36.000 --> 0:45:38.200
<v Speaker 11>our partners and allies in the region, and our European

0:45:38.200 --> 0:45:39.319
<v Speaker 11>partners and allies as well.

0:45:39.520 --> 0:45:41.720
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I want to go through the issues I mentioned

0:45:41.719 --> 0:45:45.359
<v Speaker 1>before the break. I often get questions because people read

0:45:45.400 --> 0:45:49.040
<v Speaker 1>about the fact that Iran has five submarines. Do they

0:45:49.080 --> 0:45:53.040
<v Speaker 1>have five submarines? Do we have to worry about them?

0:45:53.520 --> 0:45:56.720
<v Speaker 11>They do have five submarines, three or Russian Kilo casts

0:45:56.920 --> 0:45:59.919
<v Speaker 11>submarines they bought between nineteen ninety two and nineteen ninety six.

0:46:00.080 --> 0:46:02.840
<v Speaker 11>I believe there might be a more dangerous place to

0:46:02.880 --> 0:46:05.040
<v Speaker 11>be than serving on an Iranian submarine.

0:46:05.120 --> 0:46:06.000
<v Speaker 10>I just don't know what.

0:46:06.000 --> 0:46:08.880
<v Speaker 11>It is, and I don't think that we have anything

0:46:08.920 --> 0:46:12.520
<v Speaker 11>to worry about from the submarines or the Iranian navy.

0:46:12.840 --> 0:46:16.239
<v Speaker 11>So I would discard that as a viable threat. It

0:46:16.280 --> 0:46:20.400
<v Speaker 11>doesn't constitute one, and I wouldn't count so anyone to

0:46:20.440 --> 0:46:20.840
<v Speaker 11>be concerned.

0:46:20.880 --> 0:46:24.120
<v Speaker 1>All right, let's talk about the Shad militias inside of Iraq,

0:46:24.280 --> 0:46:26.440
<v Speaker 1>and there may be some left in Syria.

0:46:26.600 --> 0:46:27.719
<v Speaker 2>I don't know, do you.

0:46:29.960 --> 0:46:32.960
<v Speaker 11>Yes, they have two different groups, the Zenabayun and the

0:46:32.960 --> 0:46:37.640
<v Speaker 11>Fatamiun both recruited outside of Syria to be employed there

0:46:37.920 --> 0:46:40.080
<v Speaker 11>and work with Lebani, says Bellah, who did a lot

0:46:40.120 --> 0:46:43.160
<v Speaker 11>of the heavy lifting for the Islamic Republic in Syria

0:46:43.200 --> 0:46:46.080
<v Speaker 11>and elsewhere. And I think there are residual elements that

0:46:46.120 --> 0:46:48.560
<v Speaker 11>are there, but I don't know how grave a threat

0:46:48.719 --> 0:46:52.600
<v Speaker 11>they constitute now in terms of the hostile Shabi or

0:46:52.600 --> 0:46:58.680
<v Speaker 11>the private military corporation essentially that exists inside of alb Iraq,

0:46:58.800 --> 0:47:02.400
<v Speaker 11>that is, the large Shiat militia now in the region

0:47:02.520 --> 0:47:06.400
<v Speaker 11>and in the Islamic Republic's greatest threat to the United States. However,

0:47:06.480 --> 0:47:10.319
<v Speaker 11>their inability to provide consistent resources and their diminished role

0:47:10.360 --> 0:47:13.040
<v Speaker 11>in the region has made them a little bit more autonomous,

0:47:13.080 --> 0:47:16.560
<v Speaker 11>still a grave threat, but probably less likely to respond

0:47:16.600 --> 0:47:19.680
<v Speaker 11>to demands. They also, though, have been providing manpower to

0:47:19.680 --> 0:47:23.480
<v Speaker 11>suppress the internal population and protests inside of Iran to

0:47:23.520 --> 0:47:25.799
<v Speaker 11>a certain extent, so they do have loyal followers. It

0:47:25.880 --> 0:47:29.480
<v Speaker 11>is the largest armed group inside of Iraq, exceeding the

0:47:29.560 --> 0:47:33.000
<v Speaker 11>regular military by a significant margin, and a threat certainly

0:47:33.040 --> 0:47:35.799
<v Speaker 11>to our infrastructure, even though President Trump has reduced our

0:47:35.840 --> 0:47:38.000
<v Speaker 11>presence in the region and limited our exposure.

0:47:38.600 --> 0:47:41.719
<v Speaker 1>Do you worry about American troops based in Iraq to

0:47:41.760 --> 0:47:46.239
<v Speaker 1>the extent that they were vulnerable in twenty twenty when

0:47:46.280 --> 0:47:49.120
<v Speaker 1>Solimani was killed. They got off of the base, they

0:47:49.160 --> 0:47:51.759
<v Speaker 1>scattered into the desert, but some were nevertheless injured by

0:47:51.760 --> 0:47:54.839
<v Speaker 1>those ballistic missiles. Do we have to worry about the Shaited.

0:47:54.480 --> 0:47:59.399
<v Speaker 2>Militias and the ballistic missiles in Iraq? We do.

0:47:59.560 --> 0:48:02.320
<v Speaker 11>I think both are a concern, But as I said before,

0:48:02.400 --> 0:48:04.640
<v Speaker 11>I think our ability to detect and respond to the

0:48:04.680 --> 0:48:08.280
<v Speaker 11>missile threat and to retaliate and in fact to degrade

0:48:08.280 --> 0:48:10.719
<v Speaker 11>it before they can employ it, I think is pretty significant.

0:48:10.960 --> 0:48:12.600
<v Speaker 10>The militias, on the other hand, are a little bit

0:48:12.600 --> 0:48:13.360
<v Speaker 10>more of a challenge.

0:48:13.400 --> 0:48:16.040
<v Speaker 11>However, I think under the circumstances, they don't judge that

0:48:16.080 --> 0:48:18.359
<v Speaker 11>Iran will come to their aid and assistance as they

0:48:18.360 --> 0:48:21.200
<v Speaker 11>once did, and I think they're very unlikely to poke

0:48:21.239 --> 0:48:23.880
<v Speaker 11>a fight with the United States, and the country itself

0:48:23.880 --> 0:48:26.799
<v Speaker 11>and its leadership ultimately is completely dependent upon the United

0:48:26.840 --> 0:48:30.480
<v Speaker 11>States still receives US dollars almost monthly in order to

0:48:30.520 --> 0:48:33.320
<v Speaker 11>keep the economy aflat and if that were suspended or

0:48:33.360 --> 0:48:36.560
<v Speaker 11>withdrawn the country we would be in a virtual collapse.

0:48:36.760 --> 0:48:38.520
<v Speaker 10>So I don't think anyone wants that to happen.

0:48:38.560 --> 0:48:40.640
<v Speaker 11>So I suspect they'll be measured in their response and

0:48:40.760 --> 0:48:42.920
<v Speaker 11>less likely to respond on behalf of Tehran.

0:48:43.400 --> 0:48:48.000
<v Speaker 1>So Robert Greenway, what is the ladder of escalation available

0:48:48.040 --> 0:48:52.520
<v Speaker 1>to Israel? Should they repeat the twelve day war experience,

0:48:52.640 --> 0:48:55.440
<v Speaker 1>but this time hit a city block with one of

0:48:55.480 --> 0:48:59.880
<v Speaker 1>their heavy ICBMs or Demona or something else that's sensitive.

0:49:00.360 --> 0:49:03.400
<v Speaker 1>What's Israel's ladder of escalation beyond hitting them again the

0:49:03.400 --> 0:49:06.960
<v Speaker 1>way they hit them, I assume the first day of

0:49:07.000 --> 0:49:07.279
<v Speaker 1>the war.

0:49:09.600 --> 0:49:12.360
<v Speaker 11>That's a great question and an important one because I

0:49:12.400 --> 0:49:16.200
<v Speaker 11>think that the possibility that that will occur is pretty significant.

0:49:16.520 --> 0:49:20.000
<v Speaker 11>I do think that they have the capacity to inflict damage,

0:49:20.040 --> 0:49:22.359
<v Speaker 11>even though Israel and the United States have proven that

0:49:22.400 --> 0:49:25.000
<v Speaker 11>a theater integrated air defense system has been more than

0:49:25.080 --> 0:49:27.840
<v Speaker 11>up to the task. However, no system is perfect, and

0:49:27.880 --> 0:49:31.040
<v Speaker 11>so occasionally in Irani a missile can break through. And

0:49:31.080 --> 0:49:35.920
<v Speaker 11>so I think the Israeli response escalation ladder is pretty

0:49:35.920 --> 0:49:39.000
<v Speaker 11>significant in that they have demonstrated the ability to respond

0:49:39.000 --> 0:49:42.880
<v Speaker 11>to any target inside Iran, including its leadership. They eliminated

0:49:42.880 --> 0:49:45.520
<v Speaker 11>most of its senior military commanders, the head of the IRGC,

0:49:45.680 --> 0:49:48.120
<v Speaker 11>the head of the armed Forces, general staff, many of

0:49:48.160 --> 0:49:51.359
<v Speaker 11>its intelligence officials and nuclear scientists in the Twelve Day War.

0:49:51.560 --> 0:49:53.759
<v Speaker 11>They could do it again, and they also have the

0:49:53.760 --> 0:49:58.320
<v Speaker 11>ability to hit again. Iran around's nuclear infrastructure, but also

0:49:58.360 --> 0:50:01.920
<v Speaker 11>its economy. The oil exports that come through the Gulf

0:50:02.080 --> 0:50:03.680
<v Speaker 11>ultimately are vulnerable to attack.

0:50:03.800 --> 0:50:04.879
<v Speaker 10>Israel could hit all of it.

0:50:05.080 --> 0:50:08.280
<v Speaker 11>So we could remove its leadership, remove its retaliatory capacity,

0:50:08.320 --> 0:50:10.920
<v Speaker 11>it's nuclear program, and its economy, and probably do it

0:50:10.920 --> 0:50:11.720
<v Speaker 11>in a matter of days.

0:50:12.200 --> 0:50:14.120
<v Speaker 1>Other experts have told me we don't want to blow

0:50:14.160 --> 0:50:17.240
<v Speaker 1>up Kars Island or the other two oil terminals because

0:50:17.360 --> 0:50:19.440
<v Speaker 1>if there is regime collapse in a new regime, they're

0:50:19.440 --> 0:50:22.560
<v Speaker 1>going to need the oil revenue. But I have to

0:50:22.600 --> 0:50:25.560
<v Speaker 1>think if they killed the significant number of Israelis, those

0:50:25.560 --> 0:50:26.640
<v Speaker 1>islands are no more.

0:50:26.719 --> 0:50:27.480
<v Speaker 2>Do you agree?

0:50:29.040 --> 0:50:31.279
<v Speaker 10>Yeah? And I think there's a surgical way to do it.

0:50:31.520 --> 0:50:33.640
<v Speaker 11>You can knock out the point of sale, the point

0:50:33.680 --> 0:50:38.960
<v Speaker 11>in which the facility itself provides export oil and petrochemicals

0:50:38.960 --> 0:50:42.839
<v Speaker 11>and gas to vessels themselves, without destroying the infrastructure, all

0:50:42.840 --> 0:50:44.960
<v Speaker 11>of which is decrepit. It probably needs to be replaced,

0:50:45.320 --> 0:50:47.319
<v Speaker 11>but the point is valid, and that if there is

0:50:47.360 --> 0:50:49.640
<v Speaker 11>a change in leadership, you'd want the ability to pay

0:50:49.680 --> 0:50:52.920
<v Speaker 11>for it by exporting oil and controlling it, and so

0:50:52.960 --> 0:50:54.920
<v Speaker 11>you don't want to do too much damage to the infrastructure.

0:50:55.000 --> 0:50:57.960
<v Speaker 11>You also don't want to destabilize energy markets. Although President

0:50:57.960 --> 0:51:00.520
<v Speaker 11>Trump deserves a lot more credit for stableing it and

0:51:00.520 --> 0:51:03.280
<v Speaker 11>getting prices down, which is an enormous benefit to Americans,

0:51:03.520 --> 0:51:06.000
<v Speaker 11>but it also gives them flexibility in situations like this,

0:51:06.440 --> 0:51:08.880
<v Speaker 11>and so I think that the Israelis have the option

0:51:08.960 --> 0:51:10.400
<v Speaker 11>to do it. I think it could be surgical and

0:51:10.480 --> 0:51:12.680
<v Speaker 11>how they do it, and I don't think it's necessarily

0:51:12.719 --> 0:51:14.080
<v Speaker 11>going to be debilitating to a future.

0:51:14.160 --> 0:51:17.279
<v Speaker 1>Iran oil is up about five percent today, Robert, and

0:51:17.320 --> 0:51:18.719
<v Speaker 1>we have one more segment I want to talk to

0:51:18.760 --> 0:51:21.359
<v Speaker 1>you about after the conflict in Iran when we come back,

0:51:21.800 --> 0:51:24.040
<v Speaker 1>how high would oil go and how long would it

0:51:24.120 --> 0:51:26.399
<v Speaker 1>go up for. I think they'd be an oil shock,

0:51:26.440 --> 0:51:28.120
<v Speaker 1>but they don't think it would last very long. Do

0:51:28.120 --> 0:51:29.000
<v Speaker 1>you agree with me on that.

0:51:30.600 --> 0:51:33.360
<v Speaker 11>I think that's right because the market's exceptionally well supplied,

0:51:33.400 --> 0:51:35.040
<v Speaker 11>which is why I think prices are down.

0:51:35.120 --> 0:51:37.600
<v Speaker 10>I think the anticipation of a potential act.

0:51:37.440 --> 0:51:41.160
<v Speaker 11>Is likely irresponsible for the increase we've seen, of course,

0:51:41.520 --> 0:51:43.279
<v Speaker 11>but I agree with you in that I don't think

0:51:43.280 --> 0:51:46.040
<v Speaker 11>it'd be sustained. I don't think it'll really get anywhere

0:51:46.080 --> 0:51:48.280
<v Speaker 11>near seventy five hours of barrel depending on the scope

0:51:48.320 --> 0:51:51.399
<v Speaker 11>and scale. Strikes like Iran's just not capable of entering

0:51:51.440 --> 0:51:53.480
<v Speaker 11>into a conflict, they're just being able to do it.

0:51:53.600 --> 0:51:54.839
<v Speaker 10>So I don't think it'll be pull off.

0:51:55.040 --> 0:51:57.560
<v Speaker 1>When I come back with Robert Greenway, our final segment

0:51:57.600 --> 0:52:01.040
<v Speaker 1>will be on what could come in Iran and after strike,

0:52:01.280 --> 0:52:03.399
<v Speaker 1>the good and the bad, and the Agli State Churner.

0:52:06.080 --> 0:52:09.000
<v Speaker 1>Welcome back in America. I'm you Hewett Robert Greenway. He

0:52:09.080 --> 0:52:11.640
<v Speaker 1>is the director of the Allison Center for National Security

0:52:11.640 --> 0:52:14.839
<v Speaker 1>at the Heritage Foundation. Veteran of DIA, veteran of National

0:52:14.920 --> 0:52:18.359
<v Speaker 1>Security Council, veteran of Special Forces. I didn't ask you, Robert,

0:52:18.360 --> 0:52:20.160
<v Speaker 1>because I doubt you would tell me if you knew.

0:52:20.200 --> 0:52:23.040
<v Speaker 1>But do you think special forces will be involved in

0:52:23.080 --> 0:52:25.319
<v Speaker 1>this in any way, either for the Israeli side or

0:52:25.360 --> 0:52:26.200
<v Speaker 1>for our side?

0:52:28.719 --> 0:52:31.640
<v Speaker 11>Well, I think it's possible in a couple different roles.

0:52:31.800 --> 0:52:34.160
<v Speaker 11>I don't know that i'd say that it's necessary for

0:52:34.200 --> 0:52:36.320
<v Speaker 11>it to happen. You'd only really want to put people

0:52:36.360 --> 0:52:38.360
<v Speaker 11>on the ground and accept that risk. If there was

0:52:38.400 --> 0:52:42.000
<v Speaker 11>something that you wanted extracted of high value, or if

0:52:42.080 --> 0:52:44.960
<v Speaker 11>you wanted to control beyond the normal circumstances. Again, I

0:52:44.960 --> 0:52:47.280
<v Speaker 11>don't know that the necessity is there in either case.

0:52:47.640 --> 0:52:51.120
<v Speaker 11>Although it was alleged, of course that the Israeli forces

0:52:51.560 --> 0:52:53.840
<v Speaker 11>special forces did put personnel on the ground during the

0:52:53.840 --> 0:52:56.479
<v Speaker 11>Twelfth Day War, I don't know that that's in fact true.

0:52:56.480 --> 0:52:59.520
<v Speaker 11>And again I think the argument is pretty small.

0:53:00.040 --> 0:53:04.000
<v Speaker 1>Let's go then to the landscape in Iran after the conflict,

0:53:04.040 --> 0:53:05.680
<v Speaker 1>and I will assume for the sake of that that

0:53:05.680 --> 0:53:09.360
<v Speaker 1>there's a shake up in their leadership and massive damage

0:53:09.400 --> 0:53:13.400
<v Speaker 1>to their missile deterrence and to the IRGC means of repression.

0:53:13.400 --> 0:53:17.080
<v Speaker 1>But they're not gone. Does there exist enough will, in

0:53:17.120 --> 0:53:19.879
<v Speaker 1>your view, for the people to do again what they

0:53:19.920 --> 0:53:23.359
<v Speaker 1>did in January and December of this year and last year.

0:53:26.360 --> 0:53:27.320
<v Speaker 10>It is a great question.

0:53:27.719 --> 0:53:30.320
<v Speaker 11>I think the problem has always been that the population

0:53:30.520 --> 0:53:33.040
<v Speaker 11>in Iran has not been willing to lay down their

0:53:33.080 --> 0:53:36.200
<v Speaker 11>lives at scale. They certainly have in the same way

0:53:36.200 --> 0:53:38.200
<v Speaker 11>that the regime suppressive capacity will.

0:53:38.239 --> 0:53:40.920
<v Speaker 10>In other words, the IERGC are perfectly willing.

0:53:40.680 --> 0:53:42.920
<v Speaker 11>To lay down their lives and to take lives in

0:53:43.000 --> 0:53:46.040
<v Speaker 11>order to retain power. And that dynamic has given them

0:53:46.000 --> 0:53:48.680
<v Speaker 11>a tremendous support. A lack of international support for the

0:53:48.719 --> 0:53:51.520
<v Speaker 11>Iranian population has also been determinive, which is why it's

0:53:51.560 --> 0:53:54.719
<v Speaker 11>refreshing to see President Trump be so vocal and supportive

0:53:55.080 --> 0:53:58.040
<v Speaker 11>of those that have really suffered more than anyone else

0:53:58.040 --> 0:53:59.720
<v Speaker 11>at the hands of this particular regime.

0:54:00.200 --> 0:54:01.800
<v Speaker 10>I do think the capacity remains.

0:54:01.800 --> 0:54:03.960
<v Speaker 11>I think they're looking for the opportunity to do it,

0:54:04.280 --> 0:54:06.840
<v Speaker 11>and again, I think it would take more than just rhetorical,

0:54:06.880 --> 0:54:09.400
<v Speaker 11>perhaps material support to get them to that point.

0:54:09.680 --> 0:54:13.200
<v Speaker 1>Is there any way to get weaponry into the hands

0:54:13.239 --> 0:54:16.880
<v Speaker 1>of either the courage in Iran or other ethnic groups

0:54:17.000 --> 0:54:19.400
<v Speaker 1>in Western Iran, or even into Terehran.

0:54:19.480 --> 0:54:20.640
<v Speaker 2>I don't know how we do it.

0:54:22.640 --> 0:54:22.960
<v Speaker 10>Well.

0:54:23.560 --> 0:54:25.640
<v Speaker 11>My experience in this part of the world is that

0:54:25.960 --> 0:54:28.000
<v Speaker 11>it's not difficult to get someone to shoot someone else,

0:54:28.000 --> 0:54:30.520
<v Speaker 11>and it's also not difficult for arms and material to

0:54:30.600 --> 0:54:32.920
<v Speaker 11>be provided. In fact, the region's got all too much

0:54:33.000 --> 0:54:37.160
<v Speaker 11>of both, so I don't think necessarily either are a problem,

0:54:37.200 --> 0:54:39.560
<v Speaker 11>but it would take support and assistance for it to occur.

0:54:39.640 --> 0:54:42.239
<v Speaker 11>But there's more than enough material to go around, and

0:54:42.280 --> 0:54:44.400
<v Speaker 11>I don't think it would be terribly problematic for that

0:54:44.440 --> 0:54:46.960
<v Speaker 11>to occur, But I do think it's also vital that

0:54:47.000 --> 0:54:51.360
<v Speaker 11>we eliminate the regime's capacity to monitor internal and external communications,

0:54:51.680 --> 0:54:54.560
<v Speaker 11>and all coordinated activity require both, and in fact, our

0:54:54.600 --> 0:54:57.240
<v Speaker 11>ability to predict what goes on and what is occurring

0:54:57.280 --> 0:55:00.560
<v Speaker 11>on the ground is predicated on free communications, which right

0:55:00.600 --> 0:55:02.960
<v Speaker 11>now the regime with Chinese support, has prevented.

0:55:03.400 --> 0:55:05.719
<v Speaker 1>Last question has to do with what President Trump has

0:55:05.800 --> 0:55:09.640
<v Speaker 1>called frequently the discombobulator that was used in Venezuela. I've

0:55:09.680 --> 0:55:12.640
<v Speaker 1>asked experts. They said it wasn't an emp to the

0:55:12.680 --> 0:55:14.799
<v Speaker 1>extent you know what it is. Can we use it

0:55:14.840 --> 0:55:15.400
<v Speaker 1>in Iran?

0:55:17.840 --> 0:55:18.000
<v Speaker 2>Oh?

0:55:18.000 --> 0:55:20.080
<v Speaker 11>I don't see any reason why any of the capabilities

0:55:20.080 --> 0:55:22.439
<v Speaker 11>we developed cannot be employed. I don't know that we'd

0:55:22.520 --> 0:55:25.360
<v Speaker 11>have to use that particular capability similar to it in

0:55:25.360 --> 0:55:28.359
<v Speaker 11>the circumstance, because again, I don't see us going in

0:55:28.400 --> 0:55:30.400
<v Speaker 11>and grabbing the Supreme Leader and bringing them to the

0:55:30.440 --> 0:55:32.880
<v Speaker 11>Southern District of New York, as interesting as that might be.

0:55:33.360 --> 0:55:35.320
<v Speaker 11>And so I'm not sure that the exact capabilities to

0:55:35.360 --> 0:55:39.239
<v Speaker 11>be required. But our scope and capacity and inventory far

0:55:39.239 --> 0:55:42.000
<v Speaker 11>exceeds the Islamic republics, that's for sure.

0:55:42.200 --> 0:55:44.319
<v Speaker 1>Robert Greenway, do you think there's stuff that we don't

0:55:44.320 --> 0:55:46.279
<v Speaker 1>even know about that we might use. I know, I

0:55:46.280 --> 0:55:51.040
<v Speaker 1>would guess that the Ohio class tom Hawk carrying big

0:55:51.080 --> 0:55:53.560
<v Speaker 1>subs are out there, the boomers. But is there something

0:55:53.560 --> 0:55:54.879
<v Speaker 1>we just don't know about.

0:55:56.960 --> 0:55:57.560
<v Speaker 10>I would hope.

0:55:57.600 --> 0:56:01.880
<v Speaker 11>So we're spending now upwards of a trillion dollars a

0:56:02.000 --> 0:56:05.839
<v Speaker 11>year on our defense inventory and capacity, and we spent

0:56:05.920 --> 0:56:08.680
<v Speaker 11>a lot and invested a lot for decades, and so

0:56:08.680 --> 0:56:11.480
<v Speaker 11>certainly there are and must always be I think options

0:56:11.480 --> 0:56:14.399
<v Speaker 11>that are available to the president across the spectrum from

0:56:14.440 --> 0:56:17.239
<v Speaker 11>the cyber to the kinetic, and I think those are available.

0:56:17.280 --> 0:56:19.080
<v Speaker 11>I don't know that we'll need those kinds of niche

0:56:19.080 --> 0:56:22.360
<v Speaker 11>capacities in order to do what's required in Iran, but

0:56:22.400 --> 0:56:23.880
<v Speaker 11>certainly they're available to the president.

0:56:23.960 --> 0:56:26.000
<v Speaker 1>And last question, how long will it take us to

0:56:26.080 --> 0:56:28.960
<v Speaker 1>restock Michelles with what we use if we use it

0:56:29.040 --> 0:56:31.440
<v Speaker 1>for a week to a month in Iran?

0:56:33.160 --> 0:56:35.040
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, that is a really great question.

0:56:35.160 --> 0:56:38.840
<v Speaker 11>We just finished a year long simulation calculating a culmination

0:56:38.920 --> 0:56:41.520
<v Speaker 11>point for the US and China to protracted conflict, and

0:56:41.640 --> 0:56:44.840
<v Speaker 11>munition stockpiles was a critical part of that, and the

0:56:44.920 --> 0:56:49.279
<v Speaker 11>story is bleak that corrective actions being taken but insufficient

0:56:49.360 --> 0:56:52.160
<v Speaker 11>right now, and all the turntimes on long range precision

0:56:52.239 --> 0:56:55.879
<v Speaker 11>munitions are twelve plus months one year. That's changing far

0:56:55.920 --> 0:56:58.799
<v Speaker 11>too slowly. So I hope that we're surgical in our use.

0:56:59.080 --> 0:57:01.160
<v Speaker 11>I hope that we don't have to respond and defend

0:57:01.200 --> 0:57:04.480
<v Speaker 11>ourselves against the barrage of Iranian missiles. I hope we

0:57:04.480 --> 0:57:06.440
<v Speaker 11>can defeat them on the ground. It's much more effective

0:57:06.440 --> 0:57:09.040
<v Speaker 11>to do so, but it will take considerable time to

0:57:09.080 --> 0:57:11.600
<v Speaker 11>restock if we have a protracted campaign, which I think

0:57:11.600 --> 0:57:13.520
<v Speaker 11>again disincentivizes us from doing it.

0:57:13.560 --> 0:57:15.080
<v Speaker 10>I also don't know that it's required.

0:57:15.719 --> 0:57:18.360
<v Speaker 1>Robert Greenway, thank you for an abundance of time today.

0:57:18.520 --> 0:57:20.720
<v Speaker 1>Always useful to talk to someone who knows what they're

0:57:20.720 --> 0:57:23.120
<v Speaker 1>talking about, and that would be you, and I appreciate

0:57:23.160 --> 0:57:25.200
<v Speaker 1>the time as us the audience. Thank you very much.

0:57:25.280 --> 0:57:29.600
<v Speaker 1>Come back again soon. Everyone can follow Robert on X

0:57:29.680 --> 0:57:34.800
<v Speaker 1>at Capital Our Capital C Underscore Greenway RC Underscore Greenway

0:57:34.880 --> 0:57:38.960
<v Speaker 1>on AX will post this, of course on my YouTube.

0:57:39.080 --> 0:57:39.920
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<v Speaker 1>God Welcome back to America. I'm Hugh hewittt joined up

1:00:02.960 --> 1:00:06.160
<v Speaker 1>by shah See Bedford to The Washington Examiner, Sarah, you're

1:00:06.200 --> 1:00:08.240
<v Speaker 1>a young Catholic. I'm an old Catholic. So I go

1:00:08.280 --> 1:00:11.280
<v Speaker 1>to the morning Mass on Ash Wednesday, and I've been

1:00:11.360 --> 1:00:13.240
<v Speaker 1>vetching a little bit about the fact it was an

1:00:13.240 --> 1:00:16.200
<v Speaker 1>hour and seventy and fifteen minutes with all the music

1:00:16.280 --> 1:00:18.880
<v Speaker 1>and the bells and whistles as well as the ashes.

1:00:19.160 --> 1:00:20.960
<v Speaker 1>What do you expect the Lent Mass to be.

1:00:23.760 --> 1:00:26.600
<v Speaker 13>Well, especially one in the middle of the day, a

1:00:26.640 --> 1:00:27.440
<v Speaker 13>little bit shorter?

1:00:27.520 --> 1:00:30.480
<v Speaker 5>You know, it's it's not a celebration on Ash Wednesday.

1:00:30.520 --> 1:00:31.480
<v Speaker 5>It's a solemn thing.

1:00:31.640 --> 1:00:35.160
<v Speaker 13>It's getting the ashes is not a sacrament. So there's

1:00:35.480 --> 1:00:39.600
<v Speaker 13>there are reasons to suspect that perhaps a weekday after Wednesday,

1:00:39.640 --> 1:00:41.040
<v Speaker 13>Mass should be a little bit shorter.

1:00:41.360 --> 1:00:44.880
<v Speaker 1>Now, how about weekday masses during Lent? I think they

1:00:44.920 --> 1:00:47.160
<v Speaker 1>ought to be thirty five minutes and no music.

1:00:47.240 --> 1:00:48.120
<v Speaker 2>What do you think.

1:00:50.000 --> 1:00:50.680
<v Speaker 5>Some of them are?

1:00:50.800 --> 1:00:54.320
<v Speaker 13>But yeah, typically, you know, some of the weekday masses

1:00:54.360 --> 1:00:55.880
<v Speaker 13>are just as longer or longer.

1:00:56.120 --> 1:00:57.080
<v Speaker 5>I've been on Sunday.

1:00:57.080 --> 1:00:59.640
<v Speaker 13>But yeah, if that's like your penance to go to

1:01:00.240 --> 1:01:03.560
<v Speaker 13>Mass every weekday, you'd want those to be shorter, for sure.

1:01:03.720 --> 1:01:05.880
<v Speaker 1>I want people to go to Mass. I just think

1:01:05.920 --> 1:01:10.520
<v Speaker 1>it becomes an impediment to people working, people who can't

1:01:10.840 --> 1:01:13.880
<v Speaker 1>be there for an hour and fifteen minutes because the

1:01:13.920 --> 1:01:16.919
<v Speaker 1>boss might give you a pass on ash Wednesday because

1:01:16.920 --> 1:01:18.760
<v Speaker 1>you're wearing the ashes. But it's not going to happen

1:01:18.800 --> 1:01:19.920
<v Speaker 1>every day, is it?

1:01:21.600 --> 1:01:21.760
<v Speaker 4>No?

1:01:21.960 --> 1:01:22.560
<v Speaker 5>Probably not.

1:01:22.680 --> 1:01:24.320
<v Speaker 13>And my other grive by the way, is that my

1:01:24.440 --> 1:01:27.480
<v Speaker 13>church didn't offer any masses between noon and five. There

1:01:27.560 --> 1:01:29.400
<v Speaker 13>was like a five hour stretch that would have been

1:01:29.440 --> 1:01:31.400
<v Speaker 13>great to have a mass, time to sneak it in

1:01:31.440 --> 1:01:32.480
<v Speaker 13>before school pickups.

1:01:32.920 --> 1:01:37.320
<v Speaker 1>You know, Catholics want to go to church. They got

1:01:37.320 --> 1:01:39.120
<v Speaker 1>to make it easier to go to church. In the confession,

1:01:39.280 --> 1:01:41.720
<v Speaker 1>let me ask you something, Sarah about the war. What

1:01:41.880 --> 1:01:45.400
<v Speaker 1>is your feeling based upon all your conversations about if

1:01:45.440 --> 1:01:46.560
<v Speaker 1>and when it's going to start.

1:01:48.480 --> 1:01:50.600
<v Speaker 5>There's a sense that it could be imminent, right.

1:01:50.600 --> 1:01:55.080
<v Speaker 13>You've seen all the images of US military resources moving

1:01:55.120 --> 1:02:00.560
<v Speaker 13>into the area of Donald Trump's strategic sil which I

1:02:00.560 --> 1:02:02.600
<v Speaker 13>think we've talked about before. He doesn't like to tip

1:02:02.640 --> 1:02:05.080
<v Speaker 13>his hand about any sort of military action he might take.

1:02:05.480 --> 1:02:07.600
<v Speaker 5>That is leaving people nervous.

1:02:07.600 --> 1:02:09.560
<v Speaker 13>I mean, I think people on Capitol Hill don't seem

1:02:09.560 --> 1:02:12.800
<v Speaker 13>to have a sense of the timing or exact types

1:02:12.800 --> 1:02:15.520
<v Speaker 13>of plans that Donald Trump might have, and it means

1:02:15.560 --> 1:02:17.720
<v Speaker 13>that Trump is not out there making the case to

1:02:17.800 --> 1:02:20.680
<v Speaker 13>the public about why the US should have a military

1:02:20.680 --> 1:02:21.840
<v Speaker 13>engagement because.

1:02:21.520 --> 1:02:23.760
<v Speaker 5>He doesn't want to tip his hand to the Iranians.

1:02:24.000 --> 1:02:26.440
<v Speaker 13>But the result, at least in the short term, is

1:02:26.720 --> 1:02:30.080
<v Speaker 13>a really striking silence, given the gravity of.

1:02:30.040 --> 1:02:31.600
<v Speaker 5>What it feels like is about to happen.

1:02:31.880 --> 1:02:35.520
<v Speaker 1>Are there any Republican senators on the record who opposed

1:02:35.600 --> 1:02:38.640
<v Speaker 1>military action right now, because I'm unaware of them, though

1:02:38.680 --> 1:02:41.200
<v Speaker 1>I assume Rand Paul is opposed to military action.

1:02:42.560 --> 1:02:44.680
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I think you've got Rand Paul. You have others

1:02:44.720 --> 1:02:46.560
<v Speaker 5>who have been a little bit nervous.

1:02:46.120 --> 1:02:50.480
<v Speaker 13>Saying, you know, they understand that the president needs to have,

1:02:51.000 --> 1:02:55.120
<v Speaker 13>you know, the ability to strike you unilaterally in these

1:02:55.160 --> 1:02:58.640
<v Speaker 13>sorts of situations, but any sort of sustained military campaign

1:02:58.880 --> 1:03:01.160
<v Speaker 13>is something that might make them, I'm a little bit nervous,

1:03:01.200 --> 1:03:04.000
<v Speaker 13>and they'd want to understand better about the rationale for

1:03:04.040 --> 1:03:06.040
<v Speaker 13>this sort of thing because the White House has been

1:03:06.080 --> 1:03:08.439
<v Speaker 13>playing its cards so close to the vest, though there's

1:03:08.560 --> 1:03:11.439
<v Speaker 13>not a lot of insight on Capitol Hill about what

1:03:12.520 --> 1:03:16.080
<v Speaker 13>the tactics might look like and what specific end game,

1:03:16.600 --> 1:03:18.400
<v Speaker 13>you know, each military move might have.

1:03:18.520 --> 1:03:20.760
<v Speaker 5>So you do have a lot of Republican lawmakers.

1:03:20.840 --> 1:03:23.120
<v Speaker 13>We're giving Trump a lot of leeway right now, but

1:03:23.360 --> 1:03:26.520
<v Speaker 13>would probably have a lot of questions if this looked

1:03:26.560 --> 1:03:29.080
<v Speaker 13>like a sort of sustained military engagement.

1:03:29.400 --> 1:03:31.600
<v Speaker 1>Now, Sarah, I don't want to alarm you, but I

1:03:31.640 --> 1:03:34.680
<v Speaker 1>want to talk about the Senate rules. And it's a

1:03:34.680 --> 1:03:38.520
<v Speaker 1>horrifically boring topic, I realize, but it's an important one

1:03:38.720 --> 1:03:41.440
<v Speaker 1>because the Senate is anti majoritarian. I want to keep

1:03:41.440 --> 1:03:43.520
<v Speaker 1>it that way. I love the filibuster. I don't want

1:03:43.520 --> 1:03:45.960
<v Speaker 1>to break it and any carry. Reid made a terrible

1:03:46.040 --> 1:03:47.960
<v Speaker 1>mistake that backfired on him, and I don't want the

1:03:47.960 --> 1:03:52.240
<v Speaker 1>Republicans to make a terrible mistake. Centertvely assures me online

1:03:52.680 --> 1:03:59.200
<v Speaker 1>that is talking filibuster gig gambit does not involve changing

1:03:59.240 --> 1:04:02.720
<v Speaker 1>the Senate rule or overruling the Senate parliamentarian or the

1:04:02.840 --> 1:04:04.160
<v Speaker 1>share on any question.

1:04:04.800 --> 1:04:07.560
<v Speaker 2>And therefore, the talking filibuster.

1:04:07.200 --> 1:04:09.840
<v Speaker 1>That Mike Lee is proposing would have to proceed the

1:04:09.840 --> 1:04:12.920
<v Speaker 1>way Kim Strassell planted it. It would be endless. It

1:04:12.960 --> 1:04:15.960
<v Speaker 1>would be the giant time waste of all time. Am

1:04:16.040 --> 1:04:17.120
<v Speaker 1>I missing something?

1:04:19.400 --> 1:04:19.680
<v Speaker 2>Well?

1:04:19.800 --> 1:04:22.480
<v Speaker 13>You know that you have the conservatives who say that

1:04:22.560 --> 1:04:25.360
<v Speaker 13>it is sort of a cost free way of getting

1:04:25.360 --> 1:04:27.800
<v Speaker 13>this legislation over the finish line, I guess as the

1:04:28.080 --> 1:04:30.600
<v Speaker 13>only the price of doing business that way would be time.

1:04:30.680 --> 1:04:33.000
<v Speaker 13>It would lock up the Senate floor for a significant

1:04:33.000 --> 1:04:35.360
<v Speaker 13>period of time. But I think, you know, Kim straswell

1:04:35.360 --> 1:04:37.960
<v Speaker 13>and the Wall Street Journal laid out, you know, the

1:04:37.960 --> 1:04:40.280
<v Speaker 13>case against the talking filibuster. But to me, her most

1:04:40.320 --> 1:04:44.400
<v Speaker 13>compelling point was either you have protections for the Senate.

1:04:44.120 --> 1:04:45.320
<v Speaker 5>Minority or you don't.

1:04:45.440 --> 1:04:48.880
<v Speaker 13>You can't sort of waive some sort of procedural magic

1:04:48.960 --> 1:04:51.600
<v Speaker 13>wand that would kind of take the filibuster off the

1:04:51.600 --> 1:04:55.080
<v Speaker 13>table just for the Save Act, but definitely preserve it

1:04:55.440 --> 1:04:57.680
<v Speaker 13>for all, you know, future pieces of legislature.

1:04:57.680 --> 1:05:00.920
<v Speaker 5>I mean, let's say that it all unfolds exactly like

1:05:01.000 --> 1:05:02.200
<v Speaker 5>Mike Lee suggests.

1:05:02.240 --> 1:05:05.200
<v Speaker 13>It would that it would force Democrats to come out

1:05:05.240 --> 1:05:08.880
<v Speaker 13>against an eighty twenty issue. It would be unpopular for them,

1:05:08.920 --> 1:05:12.240
<v Speaker 13>and eventually, through patients, Republicans would get what they want.

1:05:12.280 --> 1:05:13.960
<v Speaker 5>But what does that do to the filibuster in the

1:05:14.000 --> 1:05:14.520
<v Speaker 5>first place?

1:05:14.560 --> 1:05:18.400
<v Speaker 13>It would effectively neutralize it, right for anything that Democrats

1:05:18.520 --> 1:05:21.320
<v Speaker 13>think they could just outlast Republicans on if.

1:05:21.160 --> 1:05:22.120
<v Speaker 5>They're in the majority.

1:05:22.240 --> 1:05:26.280
<v Speaker 13>So it is a risk of undermining the protections of

1:05:26.280 --> 1:05:28.919
<v Speaker 13>the filibuster. If you think you can sort of get

1:05:28.960 --> 1:05:30.320
<v Speaker 13>away with it this one time.

1:05:30.720 --> 1:05:31.320
<v Speaker 2>It won't work.

1:05:31.520 --> 1:05:34.320
<v Speaker 1>It will also just not work because of the amendment,

1:05:34.480 --> 1:05:37.960
<v Speaker 1>the open amendment thing that Kim describe. They'd have to

1:05:38.040 --> 1:05:40.440
<v Speaker 1>change the rules to stop amendments if it was going

1:05:40.520 --> 1:05:42.840
<v Speaker 1>to work. If they change the rules, the filibuster is dead.

1:05:43.240 --> 1:05:45.360
<v Speaker 1>And I I just want people to be honest about this.

1:05:45.440 --> 1:05:47.880
<v Speaker 1>You're going to even have a Senate that protects the

1:05:47.920 --> 1:05:51.480
<v Speaker 1>minority rights and makes it very difficult to pass legislation.

1:05:51.600 --> 1:05:55.480
<v Speaker 1>Accept in reconciliation or you can not have that.

1:05:55.680 --> 1:05:56.520
<v Speaker 2>And I like that.

1:05:56.600 --> 1:05:58.960
<v Speaker 1>I think it stopped a lot more bad idea than ever.

1:05:59.440 --> 1:06:03.000
<v Speaker 1>What the why hasn't If Mike Ley's idea is so great?

1:06:03.200 --> 1:06:05.919
<v Speaker 1>How many Republicans support him? I saw Ted Kruz, does

1:06:05.920 --> 1:06:06.560
<v Speaker 1>anybody else?

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<v Speaker 13>You have a lot of reluctance for Republicans for endorsing

1:06:12.720 --> 1:06:15.000
<v Speaker 13>this idea, including from food. I mean, this is a

1:06:15.080 --> 1:06:17.560
<v Speaker 13>huge can of worms that they'd be opening even if

1:06:17.600 --> 1:06:20.680
<v Speaker 13>it was successful in getting the Save Act passed. And

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<v Speaker 13>even the White House is not really putting its full

1:06:23.280 --> 1:06:24.680
<v Speaker 13>weight behind the Save Acts.

1:06:24.720 --> 1:06:27.360
<v Speaker 5>You don't hear a lot about the White.

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<v Speaker 13>House pushing for this, in fact, to the extent that

1:06:28.800 --> 1:06:31.800
<v Speaker 13>Trump talks about his legislative agenda, it's sort of backwards

1:06:31.800 --> 1:06:33.840
<v Speaker 13>looking like, oh, thank god, we got everything done.

1:06:33.640 --> 1:06:36.040
<v Speaker 5>That we needed to, because you never know. In November,

1:06:36.080 --> 1:06:37.240
<v Speaker 5>you don't hear a lot.

1:06:37.040 --> 1:06:40.040
<v Speaker 13>Of forward looking expectation that the Save Act will pass.

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<v Speaker 13>There's a whole separate conversation to be why that is.

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<v Speaker 13>Because it's a piece of legislation that the vast majority

1:06:45.520 --> 1:06:49.680
<v Speaker 13>of Americans, even a lot of Democrats support, and it

1:06:49.760 --> 1:06:52.920
<v Speaker 13>makes a lot of sense. But even so it doesn't

1:06:52.920 --> 1:06:55.040
<v Speaker 13>seem that high on the GOP agenda.

1:06:55.160 --> 1:06:57.320
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's because they the eighty twenty issues that are

1:06:57.320 --> 1:07:02.040
<v Speaker 1>out there, they lack salience means the intensity with which

1:07:02.160 --> 1:07:05.600
<v Speaker 1>people want it brought to the floor. Everybody nots like

1:07:05.600 --> 1:07:07.160
<v Speaker 1>I'd vote for the Save Act. If I was in

1:07:07.200 --> 1:07:09.160
<v Speaker 1>the Senate or the House, I'd vote for it, But

1:07:09.240 --> 1:07:11.720
<v Speaker 1>it's not something I'd spend my career on because it's

1:07:11.760 --> 1:07:15.840
<v Speaker 1>probably unconstitutional. With the citizenship requirement for state elections, it's

1:07:15.920 --> 1:07:16.320
<v Speaker 1>up to the.

1:07:16.320 --> 1:07:21.920
<v Speaker 13>States, right, and so I mean, this is a Republicans happened,

1:07:21.920 --> 1:07:24.400
<v Speaker 13>going state by state and trying to get election changes

1:07:24.440 --> 1:07:27.160
<v Speaker 13>that way. It's the most straightforward way of doing it.

1:07:28.320 --> 1:07:30.200
<v Speaker 13>And so you know, I think to the extent that

1:07:30.240 --> 1:07:33.360
<v Speaker 13>there's one maybe argument in favor of the talking filibuster.

1:07:33.480 --> 1:07:36.360
<v Speaker 13>It's this idea that you should put Democrats on the

1:07:36.480 --> 1:07:39.320
<v Speaker 13>record to say why they oppose a common sense piece

1:07:39.360 --> 1:07:42.720
<v Speaker 13>of legislation that their own constituents want. But surely there's

1:07:42.720 --> 1:07:45.280
<v Speaker 13>other ways Republicans could accomplish that.

1:07:45.360 --> 1:07:48.840
<v Speaker 1>They'll have a vote rama next year sometime, and if

1:07:48.880 --> 1:07:51.160
<v Speaker 1>we get the reconciliation, they'll be There are a lot

1:07:51.200 --> 1:07:54.240
<v Speaker 1>of people. The Democrats don't want the Citizenship Act, they

1:07:54.240 --> 1:07:57.240
<v Speaker 1>don't want the Save Act. Everybody knows it. It's just

1:07:57.280 --> 1:07:59.560
<v Speaker 1>not it's not worth all this time, especially on the

1:07:59.600 --> 1:08:00.200
<v Speaker 1>brink of war.

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<v Speaker 2>Sarah Bedford, I hope your.

1:08:02.280 --> 1:08:04.640
<v Speaker 1>Masses shorter than mine was, but I'm glad that you'll

1:08:04.640 --> 1:08:07.280
<v Speaker 1>get your ashes tonight, and I appreciate you joining me

1:08:07.320 --> 1:08:08.000
<v Speaker 1>this afternoon.

1:08:08.320 --> 1:08:10.360
<v Speaker 2>Don't go anywhere, America. I'm coming right back.

1:08:10.440 --> 1:08:12.320
<v Speaker 1>Mike. Catherineham joined me in our number one. I'm going

1:08:12.320 --> 1:08:14.680
<v Speaker 1>to replay it in our three here so that all

1:08:14.720 --> 1:08:15.680
<v Speaker 1>of you hear about her.

1:08:15.720 --> 1:08:16.160
<v Speaker 2>America.

1:08:16.200 --> 1:08:19.240
<v Speaker 1>In two fifty, we are celebrating our two undred and

1:08:19.280 --> 1:08:23.519
<v Speaker 1>fiftieth birthday. Mkh and en gang over at getting hammered

1:08:23.560 --> 1:08:25.240
<v Speaker 1>or doing something special. I want you to hear about

1:08:25.280 --> 1:08:26.960
<v Speaker 1>it till Stay tuned to The Hut Show