Speaker 1: Today's show sponsored by Lear Capital, the precious metals leader
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Speaker 2: Ready to break the narrative, get the real story with
Speaker 2: no filters and no apologies. Cut through the noise.
Speaker 3: With real conversation, real conviction, and real news.
Speaker 2: It's time for truth without spin. It's the Alex Marlowe Show.
Speaker 1: It is the Alex marlow Show. And I'm glad you're here.
Speaker 1: We've got a really hot show for you today. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna give you some a RAN updates, in particular what's
Speaker 1: going on with the Courage. Are they preparing to invade
Speaker 1: Iran and what could that be? Will give you some
Speaker 1: updates on some of the various alliances there. Plus where
Speaker 1: does China fall in all of this? Well, they're getting
Speaker 1: hit pretty hard. They've actually downgraded their GDP expectations and
Speaker 1: no doubt is directly tied to what's going on in Iran,
Speaker 1: which supplied them with so much of their oil. Peter
Speaker 1: Schwizer is going to be here at the bottom of
Speaker 1: the hour, that is, when the minute hand points to
Speaker 1: six o'clock at the bottom of the clock. That's how
Speaker 1: you know it's the bottom of the hour. That'll be
Speaker 1: on the show later on today. So we'll talk to
Speaker 1: Peter about that, about and many other things. Donald Trump
Speaker 1: has said that he's probably going to endorse in the
Speaker 1: GOP runoff in Texas, but he won't say who yet.
Speaker 1: And this is really interesting because I mentioned on the show.
Speaker 1: Of course you've got the establishmentarian John Cornym There are
Speaker 1: worse out there, but not my favorite. And then Ken Paxton,
Speaker 1: who has pretty much a perfect MAGA record, not only
Speaker 1: has been a leader on Second Amendment, First Amendment, immigration,
Speaker 1: but he's also had our backup Brightbart. He's been one
Speaker 1: of the few people in American politics as Texas Attorney General,
Speaker 1: the most powerful attorney general of any Republican, who has
Speaker 1: tried to take on Google and the big tech sensors
Speaker 1: who have really stifled the free flow of information in
Speaker 1: a major way in this country. A lot of people
Speaker 1: talk about whether or not we have the freedom of
Speaker 1: speech in this country, whether or not our First Amendment
Speaker 1: rights are being realized. One of the biggest threats to
Speaker 1: that is Google, and Ken Paxson sees that very clearly,
Speaker 1: so he would by far be my pick between the two.
Speaker 1: But that said, I'm very mindful of that we cannot
Speaker 1: lose this Senate seat. We can't lose any but particularly
Speaker 1: in a red state, to be very galvanizing for Democrats.
Speaker 1: They feel very embolden to spend the next two years
Speaker 1: of our life after this November election trying to just
Speaker 1: destroy Trump and destroy anyone who's sports Trump. So it's
Speaker 1: not a good sign if that takes place. So who
Speaker 1: is the better candidate in a general We don't know exactly,
Speaker 1: but we do know that perhaps the cornn will be
Speaker 1: more sanitized and more moderate to a degree, and so
Speaker 1: perhaps he could pull some people in who just kind
Speaker 1: of like business as usual. But Paxson will be more
Speaker 1: galvanizing for the base. But Trump says he might endorse
Speaker 1: and ask the other to drop out. Why would he
Speaker 1: do this, Well, because that race is gonna get very expensive.
Speaker 2: It's gonna cost.
Speaker 1: Republicans millions and millions and millions of dollars, maybe one
Speaker 1: hundred million. That sounds like a lot, but that's what
Speaker 1: I was told. That's possibility, and it's gonna be sort
Speaker 1: of a waste in a way. If there was just
Speaker 1: a consensus pick so unprecedented move by Trump saying he'll
Speaker 1: get involved, but he hasn't actually announced how, which is
Speaker 1: fascinating to me because I don't think we've ever seen
Speaker 1: anything like that, and we don't know where he's gonna
Speaker 1: come down. My guest was it would be corny, and
Speaker 1: John Thune has already requested that he endorsed Cornan. But
Speaker 1: you know where I'm rooting. I'm rooting for packs and
Speaker 1: I'm rooting they pick up Packson. But here's the thing,
Speaker 1: and I learned this from graduate school negotiations. I took
Speaker 1: only two graduate school classes. One was in business, one
Speaker 1: was in negotiations. And my one graduate school class in
Speaker 1: negotiations that I learned when I was at UC Berkeley
Speaker 1: was one of the keys to a good negotiation. Everyone
Speaker 1: take out your number two pencil, even you Sean, take
Speaker 1: out your number two pencil.
Speaker 2: Write this down.
Speaker 1: Grow the pie. Don't just be a hard nose where
Speaker 1: you come in and you demand you're going to bend
Speaker 1: to my will. Grow the pie. Try to add stuff
Speaker 1: to negotiation. And that's what Trump could potentially do here
Speaker 1: is he could say, look, I'm not gonna endorse you,
Speaker 1: but I've got a nice job for you to clear out.
Speaker 1: And what is that job? Maybe it's something even better.
Speaker 1: So that's the whole thing is that. Don't make it
Speaker 1: just that we're going to corn an in, packs it out,
Speaker 1: or packs an in corn it out. Come up with
Speaker 1: something else, add something to incentivize the other person to
Speaker 1: take a secondary role that might actually be even more powerful.
Speaker 2: Who knows.
Speaker 1: So that's up there, something we should really keep an
Speaker 1: eye on. I'll also give you some economy updates later
Speaker 1: in the show. Oil is going up eighty bucks. We
Speaker 1: don't want to see it go much higher because again
Speaker 1: it will surge as it gets warmer and we have
Speaker 1: to switch over to the summer grade oil, which is
Speaker 1: more expensive. And so we got that going on now
Speaker 1: is not looking good. I'll give you some updates on
Speaker 1: that later on in the show. And one other note
Speaker 1: is that I do think that when we're talking about Texas,
Speaker 1: it's important to point out that we have vastly overestimated
Speaker 1: the quality of the Democrat candidate, maybe not me this
Speaker 1: show and on my podcast, dating back since James Tallerico,
Speaker 1: who's a Democrat nominee in Texas, announced his candidacy, I
Speaker 1: smelled something that was very fishy. This felt like a
Speaker 1: donor joint. This felt like an AstroTurf effort, a fake
Speaker 1: grassroots effort, because people saw if Jasmine Crockett is the nominee,
Speaker 1: there's no chance she would win in a state like Texas,
Speaker 1: and so people came in to try to stop it.
Speaker 1: So what do they do? They tried to find a
Speaker 1: white Christian male and I don't know his orientation. I
Speaker 1: think he's cis gendered. He likes to use that expression,
Speaker 1: but a white Christian male. And I've started to play
Speaker 1: the clips of tall Rico to make you seem like,
Speaker 1: to make it seem like he might be completely nuts.
Speaker 1: And I've got more of them right now that I'm
Speaker 1: gonna share with you, plus some tweets which everyone has
Speaker 1: been digging through this guy's Twitter account, and he might
Speaker 1: be the wokest American, the single wokeust American now vying
Speaker 1: for that seat in Texas.
Speaker 2: But before I started.
Speaker 1: Going through any of this, he does have a really
Speaker 1: huge endorsement that I couldn't resist playing for you.
Speaker 2: Here's a blast in the past.
Speaker 1: This is the young man we refer to as Robert
Speaker 1: Patio Rourck aka Beto Let's play cut one place.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I've never been more excited. I mean, let's start
Speaker 4: with James tall Errico. This is one of, if not
Speaker 4: the most talented politicians I have ever seen. Those of
Speaker 4: us who had watched his career in the Texas House
Speaker 4: have known that he's incredibly talented. But for the rest
Speaker 4: of the nation, they got to see him in the
Speaker 4: closing months of this really competitive primary, fought against another
Speaker 4: generational talent in Jasmine Crockett, who made James an even
Speaker 4: better candidate. We couldn't ask for anyone better to be
Speaker 4: at the top of the ticket. You know.
Speaker 1: We referred to him as Robert patio' rourke because he's
Speaker 1: an irishman. He's a fake LATINX. He cosplays as a LATINX.
Speaker 1: He culturally appropriates Latink's culture. Beto is a concoction. He
Speaker 1: was given the name Beto because it makes him sound
Speaker 1: more ethnic, or at least that's why he's gone by it.
Speaker 1: But he is as Irish as Sean.
Speaker 2: Are you Irish?
Speaker 1: It's the I've got some Irish going on, So it's
Speaker 1: the Josephine Devine, my grandmother, beloved, beloved, She was a
Speaker 1: saintly woman all right, So let me read you some
Speaker 1: of these Tallarico quotes that people have on earth. He
Speaker 1: refers to illegal aliens as undocumented Americans.
Speaker 2: How do you think that's gonna go in Texas? He says,
Speaker 2: this is awesome? You would. I'm gonna believe this one.
Speaker 1: White skin gives me and every white American immunity from
Speaker 1: the virus. This is May twenty, so this is like
Speaker 1: peak virus. White skin gives me immunity. But we spread
Speaker 1: it wherever we go through our words, our actions, and
Speaker 1: our systems. So we're spreading the virus. The whites are immune,
Speaker 1: and we're spreading the virus. We don't have to be
Speaker 1: showing symptoms like a white hood or a Confederate flag
Speaker 1: to be contagious. So I think he's being tongue in
Speaker 1: cheek here to some degree. But I think that I
Speaker 1: don't know what he hates white people, obviously. He tweeted
Speaker 1: twenty thirteen that when he was a teenage boy, he
Speaker 1: was the only man who would go to Planned Parenthood rallies.
Speaker 1: He referred to the Supreme Court as Republicans stole the
Speaker 1: Supreme Court, and the Supreme Court stole our rights. Let's
Speaker 1: get into some of these clips here of him cut
Speaker 1: to please.
Speaker 5: This summer, more than half our population became second class citizens.
Speaker 5: Every one of our neighbors with a uterus became the
Speaker 5: property of the state. And nothing, nothing is more Unchristian
Speaker 5: than that. Before we go further, I want to acknowledge
Speaker 5: that our trans community needs abortion care too. Defending trans
Speaker 5: Texas is something we have to do every day at
Speaker 5: the state Capitol, and you better believe I'll be getting
Speaker 5: sermons on that too.
Speaker 2: I don't even know what to say. He didn't even
Speaker 2: know what to say.
Speaker 1: The trans community needs abortions, and if they're denied abortions
Speaker 1: that they're subjects of the state or their property of
Speaker 1: the state. He called on Joe Biden to use federal
Speaker 1: buildings to provide abortion care. So like what we used,
Speaker 1: like the DMV, Like you're just gonna set up abortion
Speaker 1: clinics of the DMB, maybe the post office, Maybe the
Speaker 1: USPS can start doing abortions. This guy's completely nuts, and
Speaker 1: he is the most egregious panderer to the LGBT two spirit,
Speaker 1: three spirit, four spirit, five spirit, six spirit community, even
Speaker 1: those who like the pregnant man emoji. He puts the
Speaker 1: plus in the LGBTQ plus. We don't know what the
Speaker 1: plus is, but James Tallerco certainly does. He certainly is
Speaker 1: a plus. He's definitely a plus. Was he vetted? Did
Speaker 1: anyone vet him? I don't know, because this is so bad.
Speaker 1: And I told you I said, yes day in the show,
Speaker 1: we're going to crush him, said it twice. We're going
Speaker 1: to crush him. It's gonna happen more clips after I
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Speaker 1: Com right quick market updates. We're seeing oil prices surge,
Speaker 1: Dow dropped. Aron said it blew up a tanker. So
Speaker 1: now people are worried that the war. Mico Badley and
Speaker 1: this is a big thing that we're going to get
Speaker 1: into with Peter in the next segment is I'm gonnak
Speaker 1: specifically about why Trump needs to declare victory pretty soon
Speaker 1: and move on. Trump told George Bush to do this
Speaker 1: in Iraq, and you really should have because it would
Speaker 1: have ended that war a lot earlier. And then maybe
Speaker 1: it would have been a little bit of fudging, but
Speaker 1: I think it could have been a self fulfilling prophecy,
Speaker 1: because this is what's going to make people very jittery.
Speaker 2: It's gonna make things very volatile. We need to keep
Speaker 2: this thing.
Speaker 1: Quick and again it's only been less than a week,
Speaker 1: so we've got a little bit of time to sort
Speaker 1: the stuff out. But we cannot get too wedded into
Speaker 1: what the final outcome is going to be. There's gonna
Speaker 1: be a lot more freedom there, and there's gonna be
Speaker 1: a lot more willingness, I think, to engage with the
Speaker 1: rest of the world and not feel nukes with whatever
Speaker 1: comes next. And I think that that is already a
Speaker 1: w So we've got to keep this thing quick and
Speaker 1: tight because if not, then the market vulnerabilities are going
Speaker 1: to hit Americans. It's going to be really, really gnarly
Speaker 1: and nasty politically. So all that to come. But I
Speaker 1: want to get back what I really want to talk
Speaker 1: about today, which is how nuts James Tallerrico is.
Speaker 2: Let us play cut three plays.
Speaker 5: I want us all to be aware of is that
Speaker 5: that modern science obviously recognizes that there are many more
Speaker 5: than two biological sexes. In fact, there are six, which
Speaker 5: honestly represented. Hefner sur it surprised me too, because I
Speaker 5: am not well versed in this this issue area. I'm
Speaker 5: not a scientist. I'm a politician, a lot worse than
Speaker 5: a scientist.
Speaker 1: What's interesting to me about this is that, of course
Speaker 1: they're not six biological genders. It should be disqualifying. It
Speaker 1: should be that's it, you're done. You're not allowed. Not
Speaker 1: only are you not allowed to be a politician, you
Speaker 1: should not be allowed around children like it should be
Speaker 1: one of the things we should have restraining orders against
Speaker 1: this guy. He probably should be institutionalized. But for Democrats,
Speaker 1: that's not even disqualifying. And he set it in a mask,
Speaker 1: by the way, when they were very socially distanced. There
Speaker 1: much sure that mask was about. But this is what's happening,
Speaker 1: is that they have a high tolerance level to say
Speaker 1: the most insane things you've ever heard. I want to
Speaker 1: play a clip. There's something going on in Maine. One
Speaker 1: of the most compelling races right now that we're looking
Speaker 1: at is what's going on in Maine where the Democrats
Speaker 1: are on the precipice of nominating a guy who is
Speaker 1: a literal Nazi tattoo after calling all people type of
Speaker 1: people who I work with here at bright Bard News
Speaker 1: and Salem calling people in this audience Nazis for having
Speaker 1: normative American viewpoints. There's a guy running as a Democrat
Speaker 1: with the actual Nazi tattoo who just basically showed up
Speaker 1: on a neo Nazi podcast over the weekend, and they're
Speaker 1: very tolerant of him.
Speaker 2: I want to play cut ten.
Speaker 1: This is Reuben Gego, who is a Democrat Senator's played
Speaker 1: cut ten Police.
Speaker 6: There's been a lot of establishment Democrats that everyone loves.
Speaker 6: I don't have to go to the names, but you
Speaker 6: can all look it up that have gone on other
Speaker 6: podcasts of people that have done anti Jewish, anti Semitic,
Speaker 6: and conspiracy theories. But everyone's okay with those guys because
Speaker 6: you know, they speak well. They're the stash from candidates.
Speaker 6: They're running for important offices, right, so it's okay for
Speaker 6: those guys to do try to get crossover.
Speaker 2: But this guy isn't right.
Speaker 6: This guy isn't allowed to do it because at the
Speaker 6: young age of twenty something, he got a stupid tattoo.
Speaker 2: Just a stupid tattoo. It's a Nazi tattoo.
Speaker 1: That's in his heart, and he's show uping to you
Speaker 1: a Nazi podcast over the weekend, So that level where
Speaker 1: you actually have a guy who's announcing what he believes
Speaker 1: and you're not believing him, and then all of us are.
Speaker 1: You are just saying, well, we just want to close border,
Speaker 1: we want some sort of law enforcement, we want to
Speaker 1: make sure we've election integrity where all of our votes
Speaker 1: count equally, and then you're called the Nazi for that.
Speaker 1: Trump is also, by the way, apparently engaged in a
Speaker 1: war on behalf of Israel, the one Jewish stayed on earth,
Speaker 1: and yet he still called the Nazi. He's a guy
Speaker 1: with Aazi tattoo who they're making excuses for him. Am
Speaker 1: I taking crazy pills?
Speaker 7: Here?
Speaker 1: John Favreau, who was Obama's top speech writer who is
Speaker 1: now a very wealthy podcaster on the left, he said,
Speaker 1: if you're gonna accuse him of being a Nazi, this
Speaker 1: is a tweet, at least try to find a single
Speaker 1: thing he's actually said or a view he's expressed in
Speaker 1: any way aligns with the far right. First of all,
Speaker 1: Nazis are not far right, they're in their own category.
Speaker 1: And second out, he's got a literal Nazi tattoo. I
Speaker 1: wonder how much John Favreau was paid for this tweet
Speaker 1: and did mus get did must get a cut? Did
Speaker 1: see everything after they get a cut of this so
Speaker 1: Obama world trying to defend a guy the Nazi tattoo?
Speaker 1: I got more tall rico cut four Please.
Speaker 7: Before my constituents elected me to this body.
Speaker 5: I taught middle school, and my students are the reason
Speaker 5: I'm here to make public policy.
Speaker 2: That that should be illegal.
Speaker 1: The school that hired this guy, we should haul everyone
Speaker 1: in and question them, go on.
Speaker 7: Improves their lives. But instead we're doing this and endangering
Speaker 7: the lives of some of our most vulnerable children to
Speaker 7: solve a problem that doesn't exist. When she laid out
Speaker 7: this bill in front of the Public Education Committee represents,
Speaker 7: Swanson summed up the justification for this legislation in one sentence.
Speaker 7: She said, if one girl loses a game, this bill
Speaker 7: is worth it. I guess we just have a different
Speaker 7: moral yardstick, because I say, if one trans child dies
Speaker 7: to protect someone's damn trophy, this bill is grotesque.
Speaker 1: How well to that age, guys like him said, put
Speaker 1: the trans men on the podium instead of the girls,
Speaker 1: or they'll kill themselves instead. What we've seen a rash
Speaker 1: of trans violence with trans are killing us. Amazing stuff
Speaker 1: will be right back. Gold and silver recently soared to
Speaker 1: record highs then pulled back, so our precious medals still goodbye.
Speaker 1: Many Wall Street experts predict higher prices ahead. Why because
Speaker 1: we still have trillions in national debt, a declining dollar,
Speaker 1: and inflation that keep shrinking our savings. Even with corrections
Speaker 1: along the way, gold remains a historical hedge for wealth protection.
Speaker 1: That's why Morgan Stanley's chief investment officer ditch the sixty
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Speaker 1: com all right for your strizer. You can enjoy me
Speaker 1: momentarily on his book The Invisible Coup. Couple of quick
Speaker 1: Texas updates here. Ken Paxson said that he's not going
Speaker 1: to drop out even if Trump ass him now of
Speaker 1: that primary race, and now we're hearing that he would
Speaker 1: be willing to if the Senate passes the Save America Act.
Speaker 1: Really interesting and they probably have to blow up the
Speaker 1: filibuster in order to do that. So that race just
Speaker 1: continues to be fascinating. That Texas, that Texas Senate race,
Speaker 1: that is going to be one of the highlights of
Speaker 1: the whole year. It's already proven to be of super,
Speaker 1: super entertaining and I don't know how it's going to
Speaker 1: shake out. I really don't, all right. Peter Schweitzer is here.
Speaker 1: He's a good friend, the former editor of Big Piece,
Speaker 1: now the president of the Government Accountability Institute, senior contributor
Speaker 1: bry Bart News and The Invisible Coup, his latest number
Speaker 1: one New York Times bestseller been on the list for
Speaker 1: six weeks, which is quite a feat. Peter is great
Speaker 1: to have you on. I've got a couple of huge
Speaker 1: vectors for you that I want to get to. That
Speaker 1: are I think, really, I think just perfectly in your wheelhouse.
Speaker 1: But you're Drilled Down podcast that Drill Down, which I
Speaker 1: listened to regularly. I don't think I miss an episode.
Speaker 1: I listened to one on the way in this morning.
Speaker 1: You get into something that I think is really important,
Speaker 1: which is that the history of this region has gone on.
Speaker 1: In Iran in particular, there's been dispute, military disputes for
Speaker 1: decades here, and there is a strong case that could
Speaker 1: be made that Trump isn't actually starting a new war,
Speaker 1: he's actually anyone. I don't know if I buy it,
Speaker 1: but I think this is a very compelling perspective.
Speaker 2: Can you share that with me?
Speaker 3: Yeah, well, I mean, look, if you believe that history
Speaker 3: is not just short term events and quick reactions, you
Speaker 3: believe that history moves in the form of decades, I
Speaker 3: think you can absolutely make the strong case that this
Speaker 3: is about defeating an enemy that's already been at war
Speaker 3: with us. It's not just an Iran chance death to America.
Speaker 3: I mean literally, they have tried to assassinate American presidents,
Speaker 3: secretaries of state, and they've certainly killed America the soldiers
Speaker 3: in the field around the world. So I think it
Speaker 3: all depends on your view of history. If you think
Speaker 3: history just moves in little dots that are closely aligned.
Speaker 3: You're not seeing this, but I think absolutely this is
Speaker 3: attempting to end a war, and it goes to the
Speaker 3: heart of the question of what is the problem in
Speaker 3: the Middle East. We are past the period of time
Speaker 3: where the Saudis and the Israelis, for example, are at
Speaker 3: each other's throats.
Speaker 2: They're not anymore. They don't agree on everything.
Speaker 3: They're going to have their disagreements, but it's not this
Speaker 3: death struggle. The death struggle in the Middle East is
Speaker 3: almost overwhelmingly and completely being fueled by Iran. If you
Speaker 3: eliminate that, you have the prospect of the Gulf States
Speaker 3: and Israel not agreeing on everything, but actually getting along
Speaker 3: in the Middle East, actually being a potentially stable region.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Trump's Middleast policy has been exquisite and a lot of
Speaker 1: it's very simple, getting people to work together economically. I mean,
Speaker 1: I always note this with the Abraham Accord, that Trump
Speaker 1: basically went over there with a checkbook and said, what's
Speaker 1: it going to take for you to actually be a
Speaker 1: business player in the region instead of just fighting these
Speaker 1: ideological wars. But for the Shiaid extremists who run the
Speaker 1: Iranian regime who look at it like a religious war
Speaker 1: for them that this is obviously not that they don't
Speaker 1: really want to come more into the fold economically. But
Speaker 1: it seems like much of the rest of the region
Speaker 1: is on board with Trump's ideals. The Saudis come to mind,
Speaker 1: the UAE comes to mind, Qatar comes to mind, and
Speaker 1: so we have it looks like Iran is basically no
Speaker 1: allies in the region. Russia and China might be exceptions.
Speaker 1: We'll get to that momentarily. But speak to the remaking
Speaker 1: of the Middle East, the fact that under the Trump doctrine,
Speaker 1: whatever that may be, the Middle East is now kind
Speaker 1: of starting to move away from this religious extremism to
Speaker 1: some degree and move towards just commerce.
Speaker 3: Yeah, look look at look at the state actors in
Speaker 3: the Middle East UAE, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Egypt. They
Speaker 3: are interested in commerce, they are interested in cooperation getting along.
Speaker 3: The instability is overwhelmingly caused by Iranian backed proxies, the
Speaker 3: Hutis for example, or hes Bulah or Hamas. These movements
Speaker 3: require by necessity, external sponsors, and that has been Iran
Speaker 3: sometimes acting as the go between for other outside actors
Speaker 3: like the Russians in the Chinese. If you get rid
Speaker 3: of Iran as being the sort of lynchpin of this extremism,
Speaker 3: those movements are going to fade away.
Speaker 2: They may not go.
Speaker 3: Completely away, but they will be shadows of their former selves.
Speaker 3: So the prospect here is very interesting. Imagine that you
Speaker 3: have sort of a choke point, and that choke point
Speaker 3: is Iran, and if you can squeeze and cut off
Speaker 3: that choke point, everything that extends after it, which would
Speaker 3: be these extremist movements, are now suddenly no longer going
Speaker 3: to have the necessity of what they need to get along.
Speaker 3: I think it's a brilliant strategy and he may actually
Speaker 3: pull this off, all right.
Speaker 1: So one other thing that's really interesting going along with
Speaker 1: his theme is that Iran I don't know if this
Speaker 1: is on purpose or not, but according to Azerbaijean had
Speaker 1: droned parts of Azerbaijan, that's another Shia majority state, and
Speaker 1: Azerbaijan wants to work with Trump. We'll call Trump forging
Speaker 1: the peace over there. And it just feels like Iran
Speaker 1: is losing allies potentially. I don't even understand this move.
Speaker 1: Maybe it was a mistake, maybe just because there's such
Speaker 1: disarray over there. Did you cast this one and did
Speaker 1: you have a reaction to it?
Speaker 2: Yeah?
Speaker 3: I mean what it speaks to me is their desperation, right,
Speaker 3: this is this is not a rational strategic move that
Speaker 3: has some ultimate military goal. It's just slashing out. You know,
Speaker 3: the same thing they fired something at Turkey. Why on
Speaker 3: earth would you fire something at Turkey? I mean, Erdawan
Speaker 3: is certainly not uh you know somebody who is going
Speaker 3: to be completely unsympathetic to the Iranians. But they're a
Speaker 3: NATO ally and you're lobbing missiles at them. So to me,
Speaker 3: it speaks of the desperation with which Iran finds itself.
Speaker 3: Now they are isolated, so they are lashing out. You
Speaker 3: even have this bizarre situation, by the way, where the Chinese,
Speaker 3: who are one of their sponsors. Iran said we're going
Speaker 3: to try to shut down the Strait of hor moves
Speaker 3: and China said, no, no, no, don't do that. Forty percent
Speaker 3: of our oil comes through that. We don't want you
Speaker 3: to do that. So even their chief sponsors are now
Speaker 3: frustrated with Iran.
Speaker 2: What Iran is trying to do.
Speaker 3: That's why I think you're hearing rumors about these back
Speaker 3: channel dialogues that are occurring between some elements of the
Speaker 3: Iranian leadership and the Trump administration to say, hey, can
Speaker 3: we figure out a way to strike some kind of
Speaker 3: a deal.
Speaker 1: Perfect segue, because this is where I really want to
Speaker 1: get your take, which so much of your research is
Speaker 1: focused on China, including the Visible koub You've written to
Speaker 1: prior books on China, and I think everything Trump does
Speaker 1: is China nected. Most the vast majority of China of
Speaker 1: Iran's oil exports went to China, so China is an
Speaker 1: ally of Iran.
Speaker 2: But they've been pretty passive.
Speaker 1: You're not really getting involved assess both the history and
Speaker 1: the present between Iran and China.
Speaker 3: Well, I tell you what Donald Trump has done in
Speaker 3: the span of just fifty eight days is taken out
Speaker 3: two of the biggest allies that China has in the
Speaker 3: developing world. First, he took out Maduro in Venezuela, and
Speaker 3: I understand that you know, not everything is done there yet.
Speaker 3: You still have Meduo allies that are running of that country,
Speaker 3: but they've certainly been hamstringed. And then fifty eight days later,
Speaker 3: you go after Iran, which is another key regional ally
Speaker 3: of the Chinese, and China has really been able to
Speaker 3: do nothing in response to seeing these two bedrocks of
Speaker 3: their Third World strategy being taken out. China needs Iran
Speaker 3: and Venezuela for cheap oil. They buy their oil at
Speaker 3: about fifteen dollars a barrel, less than everybody else pays
Speaker 3: for it because Iran and Venezuela are sanctioned, and the
Speaker 3: Chinese have also been able to pay them in non
Speaker 3: US dollars. China wants to move the world economy away
Speaker 3: from a dollar backed economy, and it wants their huan
Speaker 3: to be a reserve currency of the world, and their
Speaker 3: strategy was to do that in oil markets. Well, now
Speaker 3: that is completely gone because they're going to have to
Speaker 3: go out on the international markets pay in cold hard
Speaker 3: dollars in order to get the energy supplies they need.
Speaker 3: One other thing I would add that is being overlooked.
Speaker 3: Both Iran and Venezuela huge contracts for Chinese firms, more
Speaker 3: than one hundred billion dollars in contracts for both of
Speaker 3: those countries, and some of the biggest contractors are Huawei
Speaker 3: and Zte, which are big Chinese tech firms. Why do
Speaker 3: we care about that? These tech firms are now going
Speaker 3: to be out of tens of billions of dollars in revenue.
Speaker 3: Those are the two tech firms that China is relying
Speaker 3: on to create the massive infrastructure they need to compete
Speaker 3: with us in artificial intelligence. So the ripple effects of
Speaker 3: what we are seeing with these actions by Trump and
Speaker 3: both Venezuela and in Iran and its effect on China,
Speaker 3: we still have not been able to calculate everything that
Speaker 3: they're doing in this space.
Speaker 1: Fantastic points all around. China's leaders actually set their economic
Speaker 1: growth target below five percent for the first time in
Speaker 1: over thirty years. And we know why because of this stuff.
Speaker 1: Exactly what Peter laid out. All right, Peter got a
Speaker 1: couple minutes left, and I was so excited about this.
Speaker 2: You recalled on.
Speaker 1: The drill down. Also a blast from the past. We're
Speaker 1: calling this a pottery barn rule, where you break it,
Speaker 1: you bought it. This was the George Bush era, Condoleeza
Speaker 1: Rice era, where if we make any action in the
Speaker 1: Middle East, we got to see you throw for the
Speaker 1: next couple decades. Donald Trump said, no, you don't have to.
Speaker 1: At the time, he said, you can just declare victory
Speaker 1: and move on. I'd forgotten about this. You brought it
Speaker 1: back up. Tell me how this applies here? You got
Speaker 1: two minutes.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, look, this was a rule that I think
Speaker 3: was most publicly and unstated by Colon Powell. You saw
Speaker 3: some of it in the Clinton administration with Madeline all Wright.
Speaker 3: But that is the argument that if you go to
Speaker 3: war with somebody, your enemy, and you blow things up
Speaker 3: and destroy things, you have an obligation to pay for
Speaker 3: the reconstruction. And so that's the pottery barn rule, right,
Speaker 3: you go into a pottery barn and you knock something
Speaker 3: over and break it, well.
Speaker 2: You need to pay the store for it because you
Speaker 2: broke it.
Speaker 3: What Donald Trump said at the time, what Donald Trump
Speaker 3: is basically saying now is no, I don't agree with that.
Speaker 3: If Iran has been on this sort of suicidal desire
Speaker 3: to destroy the United States, to build nuclear weapons, to
Speaker 3: threaten the West, we're going to take them out.
Speaker 2: We don't have a moral obligation to rebuild them.
Speaker 3: We don't have a reason that we have to send
Speaker 3: aid workers and soldiers to reconstruct Iran. That is their responsibility,
Speaker 3: and we certainly want them to thrive later on. But
Speaker 3: we're certainly not going to use taxpayer dollars to do it.
Speaker 3: I think that is a completely sensible and an appropriate approach.
Speaker 3: We don't want to incentivize people to think that, well,
Speaker 3: if we piss off the Americans and they bomb us,
Speaker 3: we can get a lot of eight dollars. So bravo
Speaker 3: for Donald Trump going into the pottery barn, knocking over
Speaker 3: a bunch of items and saying, I'm not paying for
Speaker 3: a damn thing.
Speaker 1: So you're saying what we have to do is just
Speaker 1: declare mission accomplished.
Speaker 2: But I know it's not going to be quite that simple.
Speaker 1: What are the benchmarks do you think where we can
Speaker 1: just say mission accomplish, we're going home.
Speaker 3: Well, I think if we can see in Iran the
Speaker 3: emergence of a more moderate government, it's not going to
Speaker 3: be a Western democracy, a more moderate government open it
Speaker 3: up for business. We will welcome American companies, European companies,
Speaker 3: others investing in rebuilding that country. So it really comes
Speaker 3: down to incentivizing them to create a stable, sensible government
Speaker 3: that will allow investment dollars to flow. So the onus
Speaker 3: is on them, It's not on us to finance the
Speaker 3: reconstruction of these of these countries.
Speaker 1: Well, the first thing they need to do, Peter, is
Speaker 1: they need to get access to Zoom or Microsoft teams,
Speaker 1: because they got to start having their meetings online because
Speaker 1: them gathering in person, it's just mass death and destruction.
Speaker 1: Pierce Watcher, the Drill Down Podcast, The Invisible Kup Book,
Speaker 1: Breitbart contributor, was the original natural Security editor for bright
Speaker 1: Bart News, and of course the president of Gai Love you, Peter,
Speaker 1: see you soon. All right, let me paint you a picture.
Speaker 1: It's midnight, Simon's blaring. You've only seconds to grab your
Speaker 1: child and run, and now imagine your elderly getting downstairs
Speaker 1: feels impossible. And after all that, you end up in
Speaker 1: a bomb shelter for hours, maybe even days, because you
Speaker 1: can't make that trek again. This is what's happening across
Speaker 1: Israel as Operation Epic Fury continues. Children are being traumatized,
Speaker 1: families are exhausted, and homes have been destroyed. And still
Speaker 1: the world attacks Israel while it's people on the ground
Speaker 1: or just trying to survive. That's why the International Fellowship
Speaker 1: of Christians and Jews is there on the ground bringing
Speaker 1: life saving aid and emergency supplies to the most vulnerable.
Speaker 1: If you've ever wondered what it looks like to stand
Speaker 1: for Israel and stand for good against evil, this is it.
Speaker 1: Join Christians around the world in praying for Israel and
Speaker 1: her people and for the brave troops putting their lives
Speaker 1: on the line in this battle between good and evil.
Speaker 1: Stand in prayer today by visiting support IFCJ dot org.
Speaker 1: That's support dot if CJ dot org. The Claire Mission accomplished.
Speaker 1: I think that's got to be the approach. You do
Speaker 1: have a great team here on the show, by the way,
Speaker 1: Sean McConnell. We've got Greg Evan, who's our executive producer,
Speaker 1: Roger Wicker, Junior, Rick Lock, Garrett Chollie, Matt Zibel, Brandon Couples,
Speaker 1: Misty Callahan, John Cassio, pitch In Daniel West as well.
Speaker 2: So you have a big team for one hour show.
Speaker 2: You know, these better be good shows.
Speaker 1: I got a team that size a lot more that
Speaker 1: I want to get to still in the brief time
Speaker 1: that we have the last word on Iran for today
Speaker 1: that I want to share. As I told you to
Speaker 1: keep an eye on the Kurds. So sometimes no news
Speaker 1: means something's brewing. So Iraqi Kurds saying they're not going
Speaker 1: to be involved in any sort of invasion of Iraq,
Speaker 1: of Iran Syrian Curds. I'm hearing nothing, total silence, Iranian
Speaker 1: Curds saying they're ready for anything. But there could be
Speaker 1: a chance that Israel is arming them right now to
Speaker 1: make some sort of aggressive action. And I mark this
Speaker 1: down because one thing that could happen through all this,
Speaker 1: we could end up seeing some sort of fractionalization, maybe
Speaker 1: some even new countries being formed in Iran because it
Speaker 1: is such a diverse place, there's all these regional powers.
Speaker 1: The Iranian regime obviously would not like that sort of thing,
Speaker 1: but perhaps there's going to be talk of a new
Speaker 1: Kurdistan that could emerge.
Speaker 2: And I like to entertain this stuff.
Speaker 1: I'm far from an expert in literal nation building in
Speaker 1: this hard, but I do think that this was a
Speaker 1: creative approach that was talked a little bit about in
Speaker 1: the Iraq War, and I always found those conversations very
Speaker 1: fascinating that maybe you could divide it up into a
Speaker 1: few countries and that could create some more peace. And
Speaker 1: this is a possibility here. So anything that you're hearing
Speaker 1: on this I wouldn't trust it yet, but it feels
Speaker 1: like something's happening, and I've got a good instinct for
Speaker 1: this stuff, so I do want to share it with you,
Speaker 1: So keep an eye on that.
Speaker 2: As we go ahead, I.
Speaker 1: Do one more taller eco clip as a hard pivot.
Speaker 1: I can't resist playing this, And just in case I
Speaker 1: don't get to it tomorrow, can we play cut five guys?
Speaker 5: Convert is violence, pollution is violence, and yes, prison is violence.
Speaker 5: Dismantle this system of violence, Build something new, something better,
Speaker 5: something rooted in love. It's hard to imagine a world
Speaker 5: without prison, but was also hard to imagine a world
Speaker 5: without telegrams and cassette tas. Just because it's hard to
Speaker 5: imagine it doesn't mean it should.
Speaker 1: I could imagine a world without a pelgriant, So just
Speaker 1: to let you know, not one of the things that
Speaker 1: I feel like is a god given right. He said
Speaker 1: prison is violence, and he wants to imagine a world
Speaker 1: without prisons. This is a guy who thinks he should
Speaker 1: be a senator from Texas. He should not be elected
Speaker 1: to anything with his viewpoint. Where do you put the
Speaker 1: violent bad guys? Then where do they go? Just out
Speaker 1: in the communities, again, to quote Prager again, if you
Speaker 1: are kind to the cruel, you're cruel to the kind.
Speaker 1: Then I know that's a borrowed one, but I always
Speaker 1: hear from Dennis. It's that is such an amazing thing
Speaker 1: that he said he doesn't want violent criminals locked up.
Speaker 1: He wants them on the streets with your children, because
Speaker 1: he thinks prison in and of itself is violence. And
Speaker 1: what does he propose Nothing. He proposes love. That's all
Speaker 1: he's got. Just say the word love and that will
Speaker 1: bring people to your side. Is noteworthy those of you
Speaker 1: watching the visuals. He does this from the pulpit, which
Speaker 1: is it's pretty satanic. I mean, is definitely blasphemous. I said,
Speaker 1: we're thrown around the satanic stuff a lot lately. It
Speaker 1: feels like there's a big demonic presence. I called for
Speaker 1: an exorcism for the country recently. I think we need it.
Speaker 1: But this is just so nutty that we're just going
Speaker 1: to allow for because he speaks politely, because he seems
Speaker 1: very gentle, We're going to allow for him to call
Speaker 1: for criminals to be out on the street, essentially with
Speaker 1: the ability to attack our children. Because why he believes
Speaker 1: in love is that loving for our communities. No, I'll
Speaker 1: tell you might be going to prison. Britney Spears arrested
Speaker 1: for DUI in California. And I bring this up because
Speaker 1: those of you who have been with me for a while,
Speaker 1: you know that remember that news cycle where they put
Speaker 1: out this documentary on Britney Spears and was saying free Brittany,
Speaker 1: And they were mad that her dad had her under
Speaker 1: conservatorship or something where he basically got to make some
Speaker 1: decisions for her, particularly financially, while she was an adult.
Speaker 1: I was the brave soul who stood in the breach
Speaker 1: and said, flat out, this woman's crazy, she's nuts, and
Speaker 1: he's lucky she is a dad who's still looking out
Speaker 1: for her even though she's, you know, getting older and
Speaker 1: is full blown adult, and everyone's acting like the dad
Speaker 1: was a bad guy. And I watched a documentary and
Speaker 1: I went, I want to see what's on the cutting
Speaker 1: room floor. I'm pretty sure this woman is completely nuts,
Speaker 1: is a danger to herself and is it danger to others?
Speaker 1: And I don't think I've had a take that's aged
Speaker 1: better than that in my entire time doing the commentary business.
Speaker 1: Or one other item, Vladimir's Lenski. He's worried that the
Speaker 1: world could forget about Ukraine because of the Iran operation,
Speaker 1: And I have to say, I hope he's right, because
Speaker 1: is there a news cycle that I want to talk
Speaker 1: about any less than the Ukraine Russia War? Probably zero.
Speaker 1: So if we could move on from that completely, that
Speaker 1: would be a very positive develop at least development at
Speaker 1: least in the news business, because I do feel as
Speaker 1: though we were at a moment in time where that
Speaker 1: one is not going to be entirely solvable, and we
Speaker 1: got to start we head towards the primaries, head towards
Speaker 1: the midterms, we got to start trying to get the
Speaker 1: conversation back on what we're doing to make America more free,
Speaker 1: more prosperous, and make life better and more exciting and
Speaker 1: affordable for Americans, and talking too much Russia Ukraine is
Speaker 1: not going to be a good way to do that.
Speaker 1: We wish you more time, but we don't. Thanks for
Speaker 1: watching it. Thanks for watching and listening and telling ten
Speaker 1: thousand friends and family members about the show. Go in peace,
Speaker 1: to love and serve the Lord