1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,840 Speaker 1: Donald Trump trying an economic reset, going to the crucial 2 00:00:03,880 --> 00:00:06,880 Speaker 1: swing state of Pennsylvania, trying to get a jumpstart on 3 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:09,720 Speaker 1: the twenty twenty six midterm push. It's going to be 4 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:12,360 Speaker 1: all hands on deck for Donald Trump on the midterm 5 00:00:12,400 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 1: campaign trail. Can he salvage your pulling in Congress next fall? Meanwhile, 6 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:20,600 Speaker 1: here in South Florida, a mayoral election goes against Republicans 7 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 1: for the first time in three decades? What does all 8 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:24,759 Speaker 1: this mean for the midterms? All that much more? In 9 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 1: say's episode of the Josh Hammershew, Well, if you've been 10 00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:32,599 Speaker 1: listening to the show for a while now, you know 11 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 1: that one of our major themes is that it is 12 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:39,320 Speaker 1: still the economy stupid. This does not require a data 13 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:43,280 Speaker 1: scientist or a space engineer to try to figure out 14 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 1: why that is the case. Simply put, it is the 15 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:49,960 Speaker 1: case because the American people just don't feel that the 16 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 1: economy is necessarily working for them. And we're going to 17 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:54,960 Speaker 1: get to Donald Trump's perspective on this, that we're going 18 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:56,480 Speaker 1: to get to public policy, We're going to get to 19 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 1: all that, and just a moment there, but right out 20 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: of the gates, I want to just say this. It 21 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 1: is one thing it is one thing to tout economic 22 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 1: statistics when it comes to this, or when it comes 23 00:01:07,520 --> 00:01:10,039 Speaker 1: to that, it is one thing to look as we 24 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 1: can easily do here. We can just look at the 25 00:01:12,959 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 1: at the month by month inflation rates, and it's been 26 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:18,319 Speaker 1: hovering around two and a half to three percent for 27 00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 1: this entire first year of the Trump presidency. That is 28 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 1: substantially substantially better than it was during really the entirety 29 00:01:26,080 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 1: actually of the Bid administration, infamously have reached a nine 30 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 1: point one percent high all the way back in the 31 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:34,200 Speaker 1: summer of twenty twenty two. So, whether it's inflation, whether 32 00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 1: it's the whether it's the price of gasoline at the pump. Amazingly, 33 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 1: the average price of gasoline the pump has come under 34 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:45,839 Speaker 1: three dollars on average in thirty seven states or actually 35 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: reports just the other day of in some places in 36 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 1: Colorado in the Centennial State of the price of gas 37 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: the pump getting as low as a dollar sixty nine. 38 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 1: I'm not saying that was in Denver, but I mean 39 00:01:57,640 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 1: that's crazy. I mean, think about the last time that 40 00:01:59,920 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 1: you saw a dollar sixty nine gasoline really anywhere. I'm 41 00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 1: not even sure that I could tell you I'm frankly 42 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 1: not sure that if it was anywhere, that'll load during 43 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:08,920 Speaker 1: the entire four years of the first Trump term. 44 00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 2: But the point is this. 45 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 1: We can toss around these numbers, talk about this all 46 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 1: we want, but if the American people aren't feeling it, 47 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:20,160 Speaker 1: if the American people are not feeling it, then that 48 00:02:20,320 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 1: ultimately is all that matters. The record is one thing, 49 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:27,359 Speaker 1: The statistics are one thing. But who's the economy there 50 00:02:27,400 --> 00:02:30,919 Speaker 1: to serve? Is the economy there to serve the incumbent 51 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:34,119 Speaker 1: party or the opposition party's political fortune. Is the economy 52 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:38,639 Speaker 1: there to serve stock market investors, speculators, investment bankers, hedge 53 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 1: fund managers. No, the economy is there to serve all 54 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:44,960 Speaker 1: of us. As is often said, we the people have 55 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 1: an economy. The economy does not have we the people. 56 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,079 Speaker 1: It's somewhat of a platitude. Is someone tried to even 57 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: say that, But it happens to be the case. And 58 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:53,440 Speaker 1: when you look at what we the people are actually 59 00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:56,399 Speaker 1: saying when it comes to their view of the administration 60 00:02:56,480 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 1: more generally and of the economy perhaps in particular, there 61 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:04,080 Speaker 1: are some warning signs well, like we see it here 62 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:05,960 Speaker 1: in the Josh shammershell, and we're not afraid to say 63 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 1: that some things simply have to change. So, for instance, 64 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 1: looking at the Real Clear Politics average of President Donald 65 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:14,840 Speaker 1: Trump's total job approval rating, he has a nine point 66 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 1: underwater spread at this point. Tier based on the average, 67 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 1: his approval rating is typically in the low to mid forties, 68 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 1: depending on the poll. Harry Enton, our friend over at CNN, 69 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:29,359 Speaker 1: who will have on the show, probably in the next 70 00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:31,000 Speaker 1: couple weeks. If I had to guess, we'll bring him 71 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:33,480 Speaker 1: back on. Harry Enton's been saying that at this point 72 00:03:33,560 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 1: in the second term, Donald Trum's approval rating is historically low. 73 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:42,240 Speaker 1: Now it's not objectively speaking minus nine, it's not minus 74 00:03:42,280 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 1: double digits. It seemed like it actually, frankly could be worse. 75 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: And certainly Joe bidenessprowerre rating for large swaths of his 76 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 1: first term are actually worse. The relevant point that Harry's 77 00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 1: making when he says that is this, Presidents typically get 78 00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 1: a second term because they did well the first term. 79 00:03:58,160 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 1: Donald Trump's first term actually very much was a smashing success. 80 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 1: I happen to think that the first term of this 81 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:07,120 Speaker 1: presidency is the first year of the second term. Excuse 82 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:10,640 Speaker 1: me of this presidency is going very well as well, 83 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 1: whether it comes to border crossings in the Southern border 84 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 1: which have plummeted to near zero. When it comes to 85 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:17,880 Speaker 1: all of the amazing peace deals that have been secured 86 00:04:17,920 --> 00:04:19,920 Speaker 1: all around the world, when it comes to the courageous 87 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:22,200 Speaker 1: operations who try to clean up America cities with the 88 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 1: National Guard cooperation, the ICE, the Ice raids, the righteous 89 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 1: crusades against higher education, the very very successful Department of 90 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 1: Justice led by Pam Bond DNS and its Slicster General 91 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 1: the United States, John Sower. They're doing an amazing job. 92 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:39,840 Speaker 1: From a DOJ litigation respective, there there's a lot to 93 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 1: love about this administration, folks. But again, the point that 94 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:47,280 Speaker 1: I'm making to you is that what's happening currently is 95 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:50,400 Speaker 1: simply just not resonating, at least above all when it 96 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:53,599 Speaker 1: comes to the economy. So overall down Trum nine points 97 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 1: underwater right now in the real clear politics average on 98 00:04:56,520 --> 00:05:00,280 Speaker 1: the approval disapproval rating, Harry Nton of CNN saying that 99 00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 1: is historically low when it comes to a second term 100 00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:05,719 Speaker 1: president at this juncture. In a second term, you probably 101 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:09,040 Speaker 1: have to go back to George W. Bush, who had 102 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:13,479 Speaker 1: a catastrophically unpopular second term during the Benat or the 103 00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 1: lowest point of the Iraq War, that was the Petraeus 104 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:18,160 Speaker 1: counter concerns and all that. You don't want to repeat that, 105 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:20,599 Speaker 1: You definitely, definitely don't want to repeat that. All you 106 00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 1: have to do is look to the two thousand and 107 00:05:22,080 --> 00:05:26,240 Speaker 1: eight presidential election, the massive landside for Obama over McCain 108 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:28,480 Speaker 1: to know what happens when you start going down that 109 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:31,520 Speaker 1: path of a deeply unpopular second term presidency. Trump's not 110 00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:34,400 Speaker 1: there yet, thankfully, there's still tom turns around. But on 111 00:05:34,440 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 1: the economy in particular, it's not great currently. Again, according 112 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 1: to the Real Clear Politics average President Trump's approval metrics 113 00:05:42,720 --> 00:05:45,360 Speaker 1: on the economy, he's an average of fifteen point one 114 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:48,760 Speaker 1: points underwater. He has a net approval rating on average 115 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:51,679 Speaker 1: when it comes to the economy in particular of forty 116 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 1: point seven percent, so nearly forty percent. The proveer rating 117 00:05:55,240 --> 00:05:58,839 Speaker 1: actually goes down even further in some polls, so CBS 118 00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:03,039 Speaker 1: News and Reuter Ipsos among the pollsters that have him 119 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 1: in the mid thirties thirty six percent approval rating. Now 120 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:11,119 Speaker 1: we can do the whole why thing, and indeed, you know, 121 00:06:11,160 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 1: you know, Donald Trump frankly has been asking why a lot. 122 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 1: So for instance, you know here he was Actually he 123 00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:21,320 Speaker 1: did this long sit down interview with Dosha Burns of Politico, 124 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:24,360 Speaker 1: one of the more intellectually on his journalists. By the way, 125 00:06:24,400 --> 00:06:27,159 Speaker 1: Dosha Burns deserves some credits. We gave her some praise 126 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:30,719 Speaker 1: back during the twenty twenty two senatorial race in the 127 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:33,760 Speaker 1: Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. It was back then recalled this is 128 00:06:33,800 --> 00:06:36,599 Speaker 1: when John Fetterman had the stroke. He was clearly not 129 00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 1: well on the campaign trail. I don't know if y'all 130 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:41,839 Speaker 1: remember that infamous debate that he had against doctor Oz, 131 00:06:41,920 --> 00:06:45,760 Speaker 1: the general election debate for these twenty twenty two Pennsylvania race. Well, 132 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:49,960 Speaker 1: the entire media cabal there in Pennsylvania, both the local 133 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 1: press corps and above all the national press Corps was 134 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:56,479 Speaker 1: totally carrying water at the time for John Fetterman. Dosha Burns, 135 00:06:56,480 --> 00:06:58,880 Speaker 1: who at the time was with NBC, now she's with Politico. 136 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 1: She was one of the only journal less who was 137 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 1: actually willing to call a spade a spade and to 138 00:07:03,279 --> 00:07:06,440 Speaker 1: just say it, like literally just say what the American 139 00:07:06,480 --> 00:07:09,280 Speaker 1: people were seeing that is that this guy is clearly 140 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 1: not well. Now you know all's well that ends well. 141 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 1: I mean John Fairman has has some health issues since then. 142 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 1: He's actually proved to be one of the brighter spots 143 00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:19,320 Speaker 1: in the Senate Democratic Caucus. For its worth, not necessarily 144 00:07:19,400 --> 00:07:21,920 Speaker 1: saying a whole lot these days anyway, Doshah Burns deserves 145 00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 1: a credit as a rare intellectually honest journalist among the 146 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:28,560 Speaker 1: mainstream national press scores. So Donald Trump sat down with 147 00:07:28,640 --> 00:07:32,560 Speaker 1: Dodshe Burns for a for a long interview earlier this week, 148 00:07:32,640 --> 00:07:35,239 Speaker 1: just a couple of days ago. And here was Donald 149 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:38,000 Speaker 1: Trump talking about how the economy, based on how he 150 00:07:38,120 --> 00:07:39,640 Speaker 1: rates it is an A. 151 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 2: Plus plus plus plus plus plus plus plus. Go ahead 152 00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:43,680 Speaker 2: and watch this. But I do want to talk about 153 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 2: the economy, sir, here at home. And I wonder what 154 00:07:46,680 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 2: grade you would give A plus A plus A plus 155 00:07:50,440 --> 00:07:52,360 Speaker 2: plus plus plus plus. Okay. 156 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 1: So again, there's a few things going on here. One 157 00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:59,040 Speaker 1: Trump's politician. Okay, He's going to try and spin what's happening, 158 00:07:59,080 --> 00:08:03,240 Speaker 1: to try to try to try to boost his standing, 159 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:06,120 Speaker 1: to try to boost his stature, and try to just 160 00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 1: convey confidence. But the conveying of confidence goes two ways. 161 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:10,440 Speaker 2: You see. 162 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 1: Here is here is the interesting part when it comes 163 00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:17,440 Speaker 1: to the economy. So John Maynor kaines not necessarily one 164 00:08:17,440 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 1: of our favorite economists here on the Josh Shammer Show. 165 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:23,240 Speaker 1: He's probably the most well known left wing liberal economists 166 00:08:23,280 --> 00:08:26,400 Speaker 1: of the entire twentieth century. But John Maynor Kain's among 167 00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 1: the famous lines that he coined there was he referred 168 00:08:29,400 --> 00:08:32,839 Speaker 1: to this notion of the animal spirits, which it kind 169 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 1: of sounds kind of pagan and not biblical. Hold that aside, 170 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:39,200 Speaker 1: but this notion of animal spirits conjures up that you 171 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:42,840 Speaker 1: just have to get people starting feeling confident again, whether 172 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 1: it comes to economic statecraft or frankly, when it comes 173 00:08:45,040 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 1: to trying to incentivize child rearing, trying to boost fertility rates. 174 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:52,559 Speaker 1: So much of public policy, staatecraft and political leadership more 175 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 1: generally comes in just trying to instill hope and confidence 176 00:08:56,880 --> 00:09:00,040 Speaker 1: in optimism in the people. This ends up being some 177 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:02,439 Speaker 1: thing of a feedback loop when it comes to economic 178 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:05,440 Speaker 1: public policy, and economic staatecraft in particular. Think about how 179 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:10,000 Speaker 1: economic commentators economists more generally talk about the economy. They'll 180 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:14,360 Speaker 1: say that inflation expectations have have lowered or raised. Well, 181 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:18,599 Speaker 1: we're talking here about inflation expectations. Well, what's going to 182 00:09:18,679 --> 00:09:24,600 Speaker 1: happen If inflation expectations go up, You'll start to save 183 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:27,480 Speaker 1: more money there, So there's there's there's a relationship then 184 00:09:27,679 --> 00:09:32,520 Speaker 1: between expectations and reality. So part of the job of 185 00:09:32,600 --> 00:09:36,880 Speaker 1: economic stakecraft is not necessarily to implement executive orders and 186 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 1: to legislate from Congress. There's obviously a role for that 187 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:41,480 Speaker 1: very much. So part of it is just trying to 188 00:09:41,520 --> 00:09:44,320 Speaker 1: instill confidence. So I totally understand what Donald Trump is 189 00:09:44,360 --> 00:09:47,240 Speaker 1: doing here in this interview with dosher Burns. On the 190 00:09:47,320 --> 00:09:51,080 Speaker 1: other hand, you genuinely run the risk, mister President, of 191 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:54,280 Speaker 1: coming across as out of touch. I hate to say it, 192 00:09:54,320 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 1: but I'm just gonna call it like I see it. 193 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:59,000 Speaker 1: You run the risk of being out of touch when 194 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:03,319 Speaker 1: your economic Ruber ratings are fifteen points underwater on average, 195 00:10:03,400 --> 00:10:05,600 Speaker 1: and you're saying that the economy is currently an A. 196 00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:06,960 Speaker 2: Plus plus plus plus plus. 197 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 1: I had to make sure I got the correct number 198 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:11,680 Speaker 1: of pluses there, and that vintage TRUMPI and answer to 199 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:14,679 Speaker 1: Dosta Burns, a politica, you run the risk of coming 200 00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 1: acrosses out of touch. This is what Joe Biden did, 201 00:10:17,080 --> 00:10:19,960 Speaker 1: or mora acculately what Joe Biden's handlers did for years, 202 00:10:20,240 --> 00:10:24,559 Speaker 1: think about Jared Bernstein, his economic advisor, think about Kareem 203 00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:26,760 Speaker 1: Jean Pierre. Thank god, we're not dealing with her anymore. 204 00:10:26,800 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 1: By the way, when it comes to the White House 205 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:32,079 Speaker 1: Press Secretary, Press secretory position, from the lectern there in 206 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 1: the White House, that's what they did, the Biden economic 207 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 1: spin masters, the spinmeisters, which try over and over again 208 00:10:38,920 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 1: to try to say the commune is actually really good. 209 00:10:40,800 --> 00:10:43,840 Speaker 1: Why American people, why are you not just loving the 210 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:47,280 Speaker 1: economic profit that we're selling, And ultimately they were rejected. 211 00:10:47,320 --> 00:10:50,280 Speaker 1: They were rejected, or more accurately, Kamala Harris was rejected 212 00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:53,480 Speaker 1: after the bloodless coup of Joe Biden last summer, and 213 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:54,560 Speaker 1: they're rejected for that there. 214 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:57,200 Speaker 2: So this is a serious rex, the serious risk. 215 00:10:57,120 --> 00:10:59,880 Speaker 1: Of coming across as overconfidence. 216 00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:03,800 Speaker 2: So what is one of these solutions here? Well, won 217 00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:04,319 Speaker 2: the solutions. 218 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:06,400 Speaker 1: According to Susie Wilds, who was the chief of staff 219 00:11:06,440 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 1: of the White House, that'saw her doing some media rounds. 220 00:11:08,520 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 1: Susie's been doing some more media recently, which is kind 221 00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:14,080 Speaker 1: of interesting in and of itself, and she's been saying 222 00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:16,679 Speaker 1: that she wants to get convinced Donald Trump to get 223 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:19,600 Speaker 1: out there on the campaign trail and campaign on the 224 00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:22,160 Speaker 1: economy and more generally in advance of the twenty twenty 225 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:25,559 Speaker 1: six midterms next November, now eleven months away, to get 226 00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:28,600 Speaker 1: out there in campaign just like it's twenty sixteen, twenty twenty, 227 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:31,960 Speaker 1: or twenty twenty four. So on that note, Donald Trump 228 00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:35,280 Speaker 1: was in Pennsylvania just last night. He was in the 229 00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:37,360 Speaker 1: all important swing state of Pennsylvania. He was at a 230 00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:39,720 Speaker 1: casino in Mount Poco. I'm about two hour drive give 231 00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 1: or take north of Philadelphia, a very beautiful part of 232 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:44,720 Speaker 1: the country for those of you who have who have 233 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 1: been there, and if you have not been there there, 234 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 1: perhaps you will go ahead and give it a visit. 235 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:51,600 Speaker 1: So Donald Trump speaking at this rally in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania. 236 00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:53,400 Speaker 1: Here just a couple of things that he was said 237 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:55,319 Speaker 1: that he was saying last night. Go ahead and watch 238 00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:58,400 Speaker 1: him talking about trying to slash taxes on certain types 239 00:11:58,480 --> 00:11:58,960 Speaker 1: of income. 240 00:11:59,000 --> 00:11:59,720 Speaker 2: Go ahead and watch this. 241 00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:03,600 Speaker 3: We're also putting thousands of dollars in the pockets of 242 00:12:03,679 --> 00:12:07,600 Speaker 3: hard working Pennsylvanians with the largest tax cuts in American history. 243 00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:11,439 Speaker 3: That's no tax on tips, no tax on over time, 244 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:15,720 Speaker 3: no tax on social Security for our great seniors are seniors, 245 00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:17,920 Speaker 3: no tax all right. 246 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:20,600 Speaker 2: So no no tax on tips is a very good policy. 247 00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:22,319 Speaker 1: I was supportive of during the campaign trail when he 248 00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:24,840 Speaker 1: first unveiled it out in Nevada, which has a hue, 249 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:28,520 Speaker 1: you know, a huge industry of people who work at casinos, 250 00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:30,840 Speaker 1: work in hospitality, and rely on tips. I was supportive 251 00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:32,640 Speaker 1: of it when he unveiled on the campaign trail. I 252 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:35,560 Speaker 1: still am. No taxes on Social Security is a little 253 00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:39,200 Speaker 1: more complicated because those Social Security taxes are a large 254 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:41,280 Speaker 1: part of the way that you pay for Social Security, 255 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:44,720 Speaker 1: which is already going bankrupt asap and is already something 256 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:48,960 Speaker 1: of a Ponzi scheme. Moreover, so I'm a little more 257 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:53,679 Speaker 1: lukewarm on that. Certainly, tax relief more generally is something 258 00:12:53,880 --> 00:12:57,200 Speaker 1: that should be a concerted push as part of the 259 00:12:57,240 --> 00:12:58,600 Speaker 1: reconciliation package. 260 00:12:59,000 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 2: Next next falls. 261 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:03,160 Speaker 1: So taxes are kind of quintessential Article one section a 262 00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:07,560 Speaker 1: congressional authority in America's tripark Light separation of powers constitutional structure, 263 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:10,080 Speaker 1: there is a core congressional power. There's really only so 264 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 1: much you can do when it comes to direct tax 265 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:15,960 Speaker 1: relief via via the pen, via the executive order. 266 00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:16,400 Speaker 2: Maneuver. 267 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:18,840 Speaker 1: You really do need Congress to get involved here. So certainly, 268 00:13:19,280 --> 00:13:22,199 Speaker 1: when you have this once a year reconciliation package where 269 00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:25,920 Speaker 1: you're able to get around the threat of filibuster, as 270 00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:27,280 Speaker 1: long as you were doing so in a way that 271 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:30,720 Speaker 1: the Center Parlementarian rules that you are reducing the budget deficit, 272 00:13:31,160 --> 00:13:33,040 Speaker 1: you're going to have to make some sort of effort 273 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:36,160 Speaker 1: to really reduce the tax burden, especially for the working 274 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:38,800 Speaker 1: and the middle class. That's going to have to happen. 275 00:13:38,800 --> 00:13:41,199 Speaker 1: It's going to have to be a non negotiable item, frankly, 276 00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 1: in the legislative push come twenty twenty six, ideally sooner 277 00:13:45,640 --> 00:13:48,080 Speaker 1: rather than later in the year twenty twenty six. Here's 278 00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 1: a little bit more from Donald Trump in Mount pokin On, Pennsylvania, 279 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:53,440 Speaker 1: speaking about trying to help our farmers out when it 280 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:55,840 Speaker 1: comes to direct relief. Go ahead and watch President Trump 281 00:13:55,840 --> 00:13:57,240 Speaker 1: from last night in Pensylvania. 282 00:13:57,440 --> 00:14:00,880 Speaker 3: Some countries played a little cute and we just gave 283 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:04,600 Speaker 3: them right out of the tariff money. Course, there's nothing 284 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:07,320 Speaker 3: right out of the billion, hundreds of billions that we've 285 00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:10,920 Speaker 3: taken in. We gave the farmers a little help twelve 286 00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:14,920 Speaker 3: billion dollars and they are so happy and they all 287 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:17,720 Speaker 3: they want is a level playing field, and now it's happening, 288 00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 3: and the tariffs are making them rich. 289 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:21,080 Speaker 1: It's gonna be You're. 290 00:14:20,920 --> 00:14:23,320 Speaker 3: Gonna see, You're gonna see what happens over the next 291 00:14:23,360 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 3: two years. It's like a miracle is taken place. But 292 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 3: we've taken in hundreds of billions of dollars, really trillions. Scott, 293 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:37,840 Speaker 3: we have the great Scott Passant. Scott stand up. And 294 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:42,320 Speaker 3: if you add to that all of the companies that 295 00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 3: are pouring their money to building right now, building plants 296 00:14:45,280 --> 00:14:49,480 Speaker 3: in Pennsylvania and many other states, auto plants, AI plants, 297 00:14:49,600 --> 00:14:52,920 Speaker 3: plants of every type, which we would have never had 298 00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:56,160 Speaker 3: if we didn't put the tariffs on. Did you see 299 00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:57,960 Speaker 3: what Europe now is saying. I think we're going to 300 00:14:58,040 --> 00:14:59,440 Speaker 3: start doing what Trump is doing. 301 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:03,560 Speaker 1: Okay, So the tarrort conversation is a more complicated one, 302 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:05,880 Speaker 1: and we recently had on oron Cash, the chief economist 303 00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:08,880 Speaker 1: of American Compass, for an in depth conversation on that. 304 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:11,480 Speaker 1: Make sure to go ahead and check out that conversation 305 00:15:11,520 --> 00:15:14,560 Speaker 1: with oron Cass if you want some more granular detail 306 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:18,920 Speaker 1: on the tariff conversation. It is worth noting this among 307 00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 1: other things. One is worth noting that inflation which is 308 00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:24,200 Speaker 1: currently as we said, according to the Bureau of Libortistics, 309 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:26,920 Speaker 1: currently around three percent on a month by month basis, 310 00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:31,360 Speaker 1: that's not massively high. It is higher than two point 311 00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:34,120 Speaker 1: three percent, which is what it was in early April, 312 00:15:34,400 --> 00:15:36,960 Speaker 1: around the time that Donald Trump had that much value 313 00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:39,760 Speaker 1: hood sign that he was holding on so called Liberation 314 00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:42,520 Speaker 1: Day in the White House Rose Garden, unveiling much of 315 00:15:42,560 --> 00:15:44,840 Speaker 1: the tariffs that are still in place. Say so, it 316 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:48,000 Speaker 1: has gone up, it has not gone up a tremendous amount. 317 00:15:48,480 --> 00:15:51,640 Speaker 1: We can quibble as to the extent to which what 318 00:15:52,160 --> 00:15:55,320 Speaker 1: the people, what these citizens with the voters are now 319 00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:59,640 Speaker 1: telling pulsers, they're reporting, you know, sticker shock essentially when 320 00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 1: it comes to everything from chicken and produce and eggs 321 00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:06,640 Speaker 1: at the supermarket to home building and home instruction. There 322 00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:09,680 Speaker 1: we can quibble as to whether or not the terrorists 323 00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:11,120 Speaker 1: have a lot to do with it. I don't think 324 00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:12,520 Speaker 1: it has a ton to do with it. I do 325 00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:14,320 Speaker 1: think it probably has a little to do with it, 326 00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:16,720 Speaker 1: or on the other hands, whether or not it is 327 00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:20,840 Speaker 1: the Biden inflation that is just taking long time. Frankly, 328 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:23,680 Speaker 1: in this case years to then actually reflect itself when 329 00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:26,360 Speaker 1: it comes to sticker shock, when it comes to menu 330 00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 1: prices at restaurants and things like that, it probably is 331 00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:31,560 Speaker 1: more of the latter than the former. But the relevant points, 332 00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:33,440 Speaker 1: again to kind of hit our main themes today show 333 00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:35,600 Speaker 1: the relevant point is that it doesn't really matter at 334 00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:38,600 Speaker 1: this point necessarily who is to blame. It doesn't necessarily 335 00:16:38,680 --> 00:16:42,440 Speaker 1: even matter at this point what these statistics are. What matters, 336 00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 1: and what matters above all for the Republican Party as 337 00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 1: it heads into what looks like a potentially very very 338 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:52,400 Speaker 1: ominous interim election next fall. What matters is what the 339 00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:57,800 Speaker 1: American people say. That is politics. Politics is meeting the 340 00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:01,640 Speaker 1: people where they are. Yes, you try to guide them gently, 341 00:17:01,720 --> 00:17:03,520 Speaker 1: you try to gently nudge them when they are in 342 00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:06,080 Speaker 1: an incorrect spot. You try to lead with clarity and 343 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:08,399 Speaker 1: conviction and so forth there. But you have to meet 344 00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:10,240 Speaker 1: the people where they are. And the people right now 345 00:17:10,520 --> 00:17:13,280 Speaker 1: are not super duper happy. When it comes to the economy. 346 00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:16,359 Speaker 1: By the way, this specific notion of a twelve billion 347 00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:21,120 Speaker 1: dollar bailout for America's farmers, I hate to say it, 348 00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 1: but this bailout probably would not have been necessary were 349 00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:26,520 Speaker 1: not for the tariffs in the first place. We're talking 350 00:17:26,560 --> 00:17:29,960 Speaker 1: here about bailing out farmers for certain types of goods 351 00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:33,879 Speaker 1: that have tariffs on them, and because then you have 352 00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:35,960 Speaker 1: tariffs and you have retributive terroriffs, and a lot of 353 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:38,239 Speaker 1: these farmers have not been able to export a lot 354 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:41,399 Speaker 1: of their goods when it comes to things like soybean 355 00:17:41,440 --> 00:17:45,080 Speaker 1: farmers out in Iowa place like that. There. So I'm 356 00:17:45,080 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 1: happy that America's farmers are being helped, but there's a 357 00:17:48,520 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 1: very real argument we made that none of this bailout 358 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:54,879 Speaker 1: would have frankly been necessary at all were it not 359 00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:57,920 Speaker 1: for the tariffs in the first place. Now to say 360 00:17:57,920 --> 00:18:01,160 Speaker 1: that the trudministration has to make a concerted first when 361 00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:03,960 Speaker 1: it comes to the economy, which they absolutely should do, 362 00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:05,720 Speaker 1: when it comes to trying to get tax relief in 363 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:10,080 Speaker 1: the reconciliation package, when it comes to working with Red states, 364 00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:12,959 Speaker 1: working with Republican states, when it comes to streamlining the 365 00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:17,200 Speaker 1: costs of constructing and building new homes. This is really 366 00:18:17,240 --> 00:18:20,640 Speaker 1: one of the biggest most pressing financial economic issues facing 367 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:24,479 Speaker 1: young Americans at this time is the incredibly daunting price 368 00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:27,960 Speaker 1: of new home ownership in America. Take it from me, 369 00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:30,520 Speaker 1: I am very much in that position. Myself, I speak 370 00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:32,879 Speaker 1: of what I know in this particular case. There, So 371 00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:35,479 Speaker 1: the administration, there's not a ton you can do at 372 00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:38,280 Speaker 1: a federal level here other than the broader debate when 373 00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:40,240 Speaker 1: it comes to the FED, when it comes to interest rates, 374 00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:43,119 Speaker 1: mortgage policy, things like that. There, I'll tell you the 375 00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:45,800 Speaker 1: fifty year mortgage policy is not the way to do this. 376 00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:48,160 Speaker 1: We discussed that on a previous show at the time. 377 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:51,520 Speaker 1: But what the administration can do is they can show 378 00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 1: leadership from their public policy team, from the Domestic Policy Council. 379 00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:59,320 Speaker 1: They can get involved and call up Governor Abbott in Texas, 380 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:02,480 Speaker 1: Governor de sant This here in Florida, Governor Lee and Tennessee, 381 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:04,919 Speaker 1: call up some of the major red state governors and 382 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:09,119 Speaker 1: try to work with them on granular state legislative policy, 383 00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:13,560 Speaker 1: trying to try to cut red tape, to trim the 384 00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:17,240 Speaker 1: costs of regulation and the cost of surveying and permitting 385 00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 1: and all the various things that are now contributing to 386 00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:23,240 Speaker 1: exorbit into home ownership prices in far too many states 387 00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:27,159 Speaker 1: in America. That is a quintessential area for state and 388 00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:29,720 Speaker 1: local authority is a police power. It's not one of 389 00:19:29,720 --> 00:19:32,760 Speaker 1: the numery powers of the federal governments. But it's relevant 390 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,240 Speaker 1: for the federal government, it's relevant for the incoming political 391 00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:37,639 Speaker 1: part of Republicans, because again, you need to get those 392 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:40,560 Speaker 1: animal spirits flowing. You have to get the people start 393 00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 1: spending and be confident again and just feeling like they 394 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:46,840 Speaker 1: are a part of this economy, that this rising tide 395 00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:50,360 Speaker 1: really actually is lifting all boats there. Only if that happens, 396 00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:53,439 Speaker 1: then do Republicans really have any chance of being successful 397 00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 1: in the elections next fall. Now, one thing that I 398 00:19:57,359 --> 00:19:59,760 Speaker 1: do hear from a lot of folks talking here about 399 00:19:59,840 --> 00:20:02,159 Speaker 1: the new concerted efforts, Shusey Wilder saying that Trump's going 400 00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:04,159 Speaker 1: to hit the campaign trial, He's going to campaign his 401 00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:06,760 Speaker 1: rear end off. When it comes to the economy, I 402 00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:10,640 Speaker 1: do hear a lot of folks, including even some rather weak, 403 00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 1: shall I say, a voice on the right, saying that 404 00:20:12,560 --> 00:20:16,800 Speaker 1: Trump should abandon his immigration agenda, just focus on the economy. 405 00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:19,800 Speaker 1: What's this whole immigration thing there? And no, that is wrong. 406 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:25,600 Speaker 1: That also is wildly, wildly, wildly wrong. Immigration is Trump's issue. 407 00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:30,400 Speaker 1: Immigration has been Trump's issue. Trump won two presidential elections 408 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 1: and came awfully close to winning a third, and a 409 00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:37,080 Speaker 1: deeply contested election a deeply contested year, or more generally, 410 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:41,000 Speaker 1: he won these elections with immigration as his core issue. 411 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:44,840 Speaker 1: You ask one hundred voters out there, how many of 412 00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:47,359 Speaker 1: them will say that immigration is Donald Trump's number one issue? 413 00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:49,520 Speaker 2: Ninety five and. 414 00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:52,040 Speaker 1: Maybe five to ten will say the economy just because 415 00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:54,920 Speaker 1: it's Trump. He's a billionaire, he's been successful in real estate, 416 00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:57,160 Speaker 1: a blah blah blah blah blah. But he's an immigration guy. 417 00:20:57,640 --> 00:20:59,960 Speaker 1: So the people know what they knew, what they voted for. 418 00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:04,520 Speaker 1: There is nothing surprising whatsoever about what Chrissy Noam and 419 00:21:04,560 --> 00:21:06,520 Speaker 1: Tom Homer doing when it comes to the ice raids, 420 00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:10,280 Speaker 1: when it comes to working on border wall construction on 421 00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:12,920 Speaker 1: the US Mexico border, when it comes to getting illegal 422 00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:17,720 Speaker 1: border crossings and encounters with CBP down to near zero, 423 00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:20,439 Speaker 1: which he has done has been ninety plus pcent reduction 424 00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:23,679 Speaker 1: from the Biden era. There amazing stuff there, and the polls, 425 00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:25,320 Speaker 1: by the way, bear this out. 426 00:21:25,760 --> 00:21:26,520 Speaker 2: So I was. 427 00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:30,679 Speaker 1: Reading this recent post from Ryan Gerdusky, who is an 428 00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 1: excellent subsacker. I encourage you to go ahead and check 429 00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:35,800 Speaker 1: out Ryan Subsack. He subsacts at a place called the 430 00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:41,280 Speaker 1: National Populist Newsletter. I was reading just some data about this. 431 00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:45,040 Speaker 1: Naturalized immigrants, so ones who can vote legally are split 432 00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:47,760 Speaker 1: on how Trump has handled immigration, forty one percent saying 433 00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:50,280 Speaker 1: has been too tough, forty percent saying his approach has 434 00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:53,119 Speaker 1: been about right or not tough enough. So it's basically 435 00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:56,919 Speaker 1: a coin flip about how immigrants themselves feel about Trump's 436 00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:57,880 Speaker 1: immigration policy. 437 00:21:58,119 --> 00:21:59,600 Speaker 2: How about Hispanic. 438 00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:04,119 Speaker 1: Americans more generally, well, Trump's overall approval rating among Latinos 439 00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:07,320 Speaker 1: actually mirrors that very much of other American voters. His 440 00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:10,919 Speaker 1: approval rating is roughly the same among immigrants as it 441 00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:12,280 Speaker 1: is with the general public. 442 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:12,960 Speaker 3: You know. 443 00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:16,320 Speaker 1: Again, they're in the low forties, as we discussed earlier 444 00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:19,959 Speaker 1: in the show. So there's all sorts of pulling data 445 00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:25,760 Speaker 1: to suggest that Hispanic voters, immigrants, really none of them are, 446 00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:28,720 Speaker 1: are out of step with the American people more broadly 447 00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:31,520 Speaker 1: when it comes to Donald Trump's immigration agenda. So I 448 00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,639 Speaker 1: see very little, if any reason for Donald Trump we 449 00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:38,600 Speaker 1: start to back away from immigration. What I'm saying instead 450 00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:41,080 Speaker 1: is to just focus on the economy. You can walk 451 00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 1: into gum the same time. You don't have to give 452 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:46,960 Speaker 1: up the economy on immigration. You don't have to give up, frankly, 453 00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:48,919 Speaker 1: on anything you don't have to give up on your 454 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:52,360 Speaker 1: righteous crusades against higher education. Try to get these these 455 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:56,159 Speaker 1: these settlements from more offensive I League schools that are 456 00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:59,119 Speaker 1: blatantly offending the Civil Rights Act when it comes to 457 00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:03,600 Speaker 1: discrimination against white people, Christians, Asians, Jews, etc. There all 458 00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,000 Speaker 1: that can stay. All that is very good stuff there. 459 00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:10,080 Speaker 1: But every single day, every single day, the White House 460 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:13,600 Speaker 1: and Republican leadership in the Congress should begin their day 461 00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:17,600 Speaker 1: and say what can I do today to get this 462 00:23:17,800 --> 00:23:23,000 Speaker 1: administration's economic messaging and policy in a place where it's 463 00:23:23,040 --> 00:23:27,040 Speaker 1: more popular with the American people. That should be the 464 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:29,080 Speaker 1: first question in the morning. When you go to sleep 465 00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:31,280 Speaker 1: at night, you should say what did I do that 466 00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:34,399 Speaker 1: day to further these goals of making sure the American 467 00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:37,960 Speaker 1: people know that this economy is not only objectively good 468 00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:41,040 Speaker 1: on a statistical or metrics basis, but it's actually working 469 00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:43,959 Speaker 1: for them. That is the most important thing. Because there 470 00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:46,320 Speaker 1: was just there was a yet another data point last night. 471 00:23:46,320 --> 00:23:47,600 Speaker 1: And I'm not going to freak ot about this, but 472 00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:51,160 Speaker 1: it is another interesting data point indicating that there are 473 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:54,960 Speaker 1: potentially some darker things in the future for next year's 474 00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:58,120 Speaker 1: midterms if this doesn't turn around. So for instance, here 475 00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:01,920 Speaker 1: in South Florida, where I live, a Democrat. A Democrat 476 00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:05,000 Speaker 1: just won the city of Miami's mayoral race for the 477 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:06,840 Speaker 1: first time in nearly three decades. 478 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:08,360 Speaker 2: Now, this isn't. 479 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:11,600 Speaker 1: Quite as shocking as it as it might be. That's 480 00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:15,320 Speaker 1: why I'm hedging here very much. The city of Miami 481 00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 1: did break very mildly by a couple points or so 482 00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:21,160 Speaker 1: for Kamala Harris over Donald Trump in the twenty twenty 483 00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:24,199 Speaker 1: four presidential election. Moreover, Miami Dade County, which is the 484 00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:27,240 Speaker 1: broader county that the smaller city of Miami is Miami 485 00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:30,160 Speaker 1: Day County, continues to be a red bastion. It broke 486 00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:33,200 Speaker 1: for Disantis by double digit points in twenty twenty two, 487 00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:36,119 Speaker 1: continued to vote for Donald Trump in twenty twenty four. Also, 488 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:39,440 Speaker 1: the timing of this runoff election was really, really, really bizarre, 489 00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:43,640 Speaker 1: happening here between Thanksgiving and Christmas, very similar to the 490 00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:47,960 Speaker 1: special election in Tennessee's seventh Congressional district last week. Very 491 00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:51,200 Speaker 1: bizarre timing, very very low turnout election as well. Actually, 492 00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:55,199 Speaker 1: the combined turnout of the combined vote total of the 493 00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:58,760 Speaker 1: two candidates ends up being under forty thousand people, so low, 494 00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:02,440 Speaker 1: low turnout election off year, bad timing. Having said all that, 495 00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,240 Speaker 1: still a big deal, is it not? I mean, it's 496 00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:08,199 Speaker 1: still not a not small deal. I'll put it to 497 00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:10,680 Speaker 1: you that way. It's very much not a small deal. 498 00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:15,159 Speaker 1: So you have Eileen Higgins, who's a former county commissioner 499 00:25:15,160 --> 00:25:18,399 Speaker 1: in Miami Day County, who did become the first Democrat 500 00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:20,840 Speaker 1: to win the mayor election in the City of Miami 501 00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:22,679 Speaker 1: in nearly three decades. Let's go ahead and then take 502 00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,960 Speaker 1: a listen briefly to Iileen Higgins, the mayor elect in 503 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:27,200 Speaker 1: the City of Miami, Florida. 504 00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:31,600 Speaker 4: We will lead a city that belongs to everyone, a 505 00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:36,560 Speaker 4: city where seniors can stay, young people can build a future, 506 00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:41,280 Speaker 4: Immigrants feel welcomed and respected. 507 00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,919 Speaker 2: All right, So Higgins won by eight points. 508 00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:49,399 Speaker 1: Now Democrats have a five points voter registration evanage in 509 00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:51,600 Speaker 1: city of Miami. Again, I don't think this is a 510 00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:55,000 Speaker 1: huge deal, but it's not a small deal. Francis Worreez, 511 00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:59,000 Speaker 1: who is the very moderate, very very moderate Republican mayor Miami, 512 00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:01,280 Speaker 1: has been in charge for a while. 513 00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:01,640 Speaker 2: Now. 514 00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:04,159 Speaker 1: Your mileage may vary as to whether or not you 515 00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:07,760 Speaker 1: like his track record, but if nothing else, he was 516 00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:11,720 Speaker 1: more broadly speaking on the side of freedom and capitalism. 517 00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:15,040 Speaker 1: And I'm kind of using platitotonists buzzwords deliberately because Swarz 518 00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:17,000 Speaker 1: didn't really stand for a whole lot other than that. 519 00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:19,520 Speaker 1: But at a minimum, he was better than the opposition there. 520 00:26:19,520 --> 00:26:23,280 Speaker 1: So will Higgins continue this momentum that has really boosted 521 00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:28,399 Speaker 1: South Florida to one of the top economic engines in America. 522 00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:29,440 Speaker 2: It'll be interesting to see. 523 00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:32,879 Speaker 1: Higgins will certainly have some opposition in Tallahassee when it 524 00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:35,399 Speaker 1: comes to Governor Santis there. But when you look at that, 525 00:26:36,080 --> 00:26:39,840 Speaker 1: when you look at the tighter margin of the Tennessee 526 00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:43,640 Speaker 1: special election that recently happens, when you look at ma'am don, 527 00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:46,320 Speaker 1: you're getting not just a plurality, but a majority in 528 00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:49,520 Speaker 1: New York City. When you look at Jay Jones, who 529 00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:51,639 Speaker 1: wants that he wanted to kill his political opponents, winning 530 00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:55,520 Speaker 1: the Virginia attorney general election. There there are more than 531 00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:58,920 Speaker 1: enough data points now when it comes to the election, 532 00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:02,120 Speaker 1: when it comes to the polls to say that this 533 00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:07,040 Speaker 1: is now a five alarm fire. This a five alarm fire. No, Look, 534 00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:10,760 Speaker 1: the foreign stuff is important. We care certainly a lot 535 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:12,440 Speaker 1: about foreign affairs. We care a lot about trying to 536 00:27:12,440 --> 00:27:15,040 Speaker 1: get a piece deal between Russia and Ukraine. I care 537 00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:18,080 Speaker 1: a lot about trying to stop the drug cartels and 538 00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:21,000 Speaker 1: the traffickers in Central America. We've been strong proponents here 539 00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:24,640 Speaker 1: of the prophilactive preemptive strikes on the Narco boats. We've 540 00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,840 Speaker 1: been strong supporters of Pete Hegseth and all they're doing 541 00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:29,119 Speaker 1: there when it comes to strikes on the boats. But 542 00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:32,479 Speaker 1: all that stuff just pales in comparison. As important as 543 00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:34,040 Speaker 1: I think it is, as important as you may think 544 00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:38,879 Speaker 1: it is, It's a comedy first economy always, and unless 545 00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:42,879 Speaker 1: and until the e comedy just starts really revving again, 546 00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:46,600 Speaker 1: Republicans really could be in something of a world of hurts. 547 00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:51,080 Speaker 1: That is our That is our main takeaway message, certainly 548 00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:51,719 Speaker 1: for today. 549 00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 2: Now. 550 00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:54,960 Speaker 1: The one way that they could potentially not be in 551 00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:56,960 Speaker 1: a world of her There's actually very interesting case at 552 00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:59,760 Speaker 1: the Supreme Court yesterday. Depending on how this case comes 553 00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:02,720 Speaker 1: out out, how a related case comes out, Republicans could 554 00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:08,760 Speaker 1: potentially have their chances mitigated or their likelihood of losses 555 00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:12,800 Speaker 1: mitigated come Fall twenty twenty six. So the case yesterday 556 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:17,879 Speaker 1: was nrsc's National Republican Centorial Committee versus FEC Federal Election Commission, 557 00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:22,200 Speaker 1: involving whether or not the statutory limits on how much 558 00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:25,200 Speaker 1: a political party can spend on a political candidate directly 559 00:28:25,240 --> 00:28:29,080 Speaker 1: coordinate with that candidate, Whether that statatory limit is constitutional, 560 00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,560 Speaker 1: whether it is a First Amendment violation somewhat difficult to 561 00:28:32,560 --> 00:28:35,240 Speaker 1: tell when it comes to reading the tea leaves of 562 00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:38,360 Speaker 1: this argument, Amy Cony Barrett. When the swing justice was silence, 563 00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:41,320 Speaker 1: Neil Gorstich was broadly silent as well. This is in 564 00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:44,560 Speaker 1: a long line of cases, very much including the controversial 565 00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:48,880 Speaker 1: Citizens United case of twenty ten involving campaign finance laws 566 00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:51,640 Speaker 1: and their interaction with the First Amendments. One of the 567 00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:55,000 Speaker 1: interesting things that Breck Havanaugh, another swing justice, raised at 568 00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:59,080 Speaker 1: Yessay's argument in this case NRSC versus FEC. The interesting 569 00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:02,560 Speaker 1: thing that Kavanaugh said is that the effect of Sis 570 00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:05,040 Speaker 1: United and all these laws have had the effect have 571 00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:08,200 Speaker 1: had the effects of restricting the extent to which political 572 00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:13,840 Speaker 1: parties can directly spend money and emboldening outside third party actors. Packs, 573 00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:18,520 Speaker 1: corporate packs, political packs, things like that. They're not necessarily 574 00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:21,360 Speaker 1: the best thing for democracy, say a lot of people there, 575 00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:24,719 Speaker 1: so that might be another reason to possibly try to 576 00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:28,400 Speaker 1: abolish or to hold this law is not constitutional. Now, 577 00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:30,520 Speaker 1: what I was saying though, is that depending on how 578 00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:33,680 Speaker 1: this goes out, there are some Republicans, some consultants and 579 00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:36,680 Speaker 1: so forth. There folks like Chris la Savita, who was 580 00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:40,160 Speaker 1: a longtime Trump intercircle hands Tony Fabrizio who was a 581 00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:43,600 Speaker 1: longtime Trump polster. They did apparently just over this past weekend, 582 00:29:43,600 --> 00:29:47,320 Speaker 1: there was some RNC donor retreat and they said this 583 00:29:47,360 --> 00:29:50,400 Speaker 1: past weekend that the ruling on this case as well 584 00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:53,240 Speaker 1: as the forthcoming ruling when it comes to congressional redition. 585 00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:56,720 Speaker 1: So Republicans already got a win in the text redistioning case, 586 00:29:56,800 --> 00:29:59,160 Speaker 1: is going to be some other redistioning cases as well 587 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,160 Speaker 1: evolving the Voting Rights Act, very very very high profile 588 00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:06,239 Speaker 1: voting rights litigation. So depending on how that case comes out, 589 00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:08,560 Speaker 1: depending on how this case comes out, say Chris los 590 00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:12,040 Speaker 1: Avita and Tony Fabrizio, that could actually help Republicans at 591 00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:14,720 Speaker 1: the ballot in twenty twenty six. But the point that 592 00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:16,240 Speaker 1: I will make is this, you don't want to rely 593 00:30:16,280 --> 00:30:17,880 Speaker 1: on the court, guys. You don't want to rely on 594 00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:19,880 Speaker 1: the court to do the right thing. The number of 595 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:22,760 Speaker 1: times that politicians have relied on the court to do 596 00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:25,640 Speaker 1: the right thing and then have been utterly disappointed. It's 597 00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:28,000 Speaker 1: too high to count, you know, the terroriffs. By the way, 598 00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:31,400 Speaker 1: there is currently a massive tariff case. The entire legal 599 00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:35,360 Speaker 1: argument behind Donald Trump's tariffs, namely this Jimmy Carter era 600 00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:40,760 Speaker 1: late nineteen seventies emergency statue. The entire legitimacy of invoking 601 00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:43,760 Speaker 1: that statute for these tariffs is currently pending before the 602 00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:45,560 Speaker 1: court too. You don't really want to do that. You 603 00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:47,440 Speaker 1: want to have backup plans in place there. You don't 604 00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:49,160 Speaker 1: want to rely on the court there. So I would 605 00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:51,840 Speaker 1: encourage the Republicans, don't rely on the court doing the 606 00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:54,440 Speaker 1: right thing. Get out there and actually do the right thing. 607 00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:59,200 Speaker 1: That is a much, much, much safer task overall. Now, 608 00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:00,840 Speaker 1: I want to talk a little here in the final 609 00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:04,520 Speaker 1: minutes of the show about something quite a bit different 610 00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:06,280 Speaker 1: about me. Means to do this for the past couple 611 00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:10,520 Speaker 1: of days, I just haven't necessarily had the time. We'll 612 00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:12,719 Speaker 1: see if I how emotional I got here. I don't necessarily. 613 00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:14,440 Speaker 1: I think I've only cried once on this show. It 614 00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:18,680 Speaker 1: was after Charlie Kirk was assassinated, And we will see. 615 00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:21,320 Speaker 1: I suppose if that happens again today, I'm not entirely sure. 616 00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:27,680 Speaker 1: My daughter turns on one year old this Saturday. She 617 00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:32,760 Speaker 1: was born on December thirteenth of last year, and we 618 00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:36,800 Speaker 1: did her We had our birthday party this past Sunday 619 00:31:36,840 --> 00:31:40,200 Speaker 1: here in South Florida where we live, and we called 620 00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:43,840 Speaker 1: it her first rodeo, you know, like her first rodeo, 621 00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:47,160 Speaker 1: just kind of a it's you know, it's very common phrase, right, 622 00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:49,160 Speaker 1: it's not my first rodeo, Okay, So this was her 623 00:31:49,160 --> 00:31:51,920 Speaker 1: first rodeo. And we worked with the vendors. We had 624 00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:54,560 Speaker 1: the decorations, the drink state, We had a drink station 625 00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:57,880 Speaker 1: was called her watering hole. We had like a little barn. 626 00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:02,160 Speaker 1: We got ponies and farm animals. We had like like 627 00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,440 Speaker 1: a ball pit in balloons for the kids. It was 628 00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:08,480 Speaker 1: a really really, really beautiful event. And my wife deserves 629 00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:10,800 Speaker 1: all the credit in the world. I cut the check. 630 00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:13,240 Speaker 1: She did all the work. Amazing stuff, I mean, working 631 00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:15,680 Speaker 1: with the vendor that that we worked with there. And 632 00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:17,320 Speaker 1: when you walked in this party, my wife had this 633 00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:21,200 Speaker 1: had had this montage where we took our daughter and 634 00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:23,400 Speaker 1: there was a photo of every month of her life 635 00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:28,080 Speaker 1: from one month until til say until she's one year old, 636 00:32:28,840 --> 00:32:31,320 Speaker 1: and every time I looked at that, I just started 637 00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:33,680 Speaker 1: I just started crying. I mean, I just could not 638 00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:37,840 Speaker 1: hold back the emotions. Not only because she's beautiful, which 639 00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:41,959 Speaker 1: she is, not only because she's amazing, which she is. 640 00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:45,440 Speaker 1: She's actually in like I think it's the ninety eighth 641 00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:47,840 Speaker 1: percentile for weight and the ninety fift percentile for height, 642 00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:51,680 Speaker 1: So she's a big girl. She's physically flourishing, and she's 643 00:32:52,240 --> 00:32:54,080 Speaker 1: flourishing in every other way that a baby can be 644 00:32:54,120 --> 00:32:55,040 Speaker 1: flourishing as well. 645 00:32:55,440 --> 00:33:00,880 Speaker 2: So it's that's amazing. But can't believe it. 646 00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:06,400 Speaker 1: I just cannot believe how fast this has gone. And 647 00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:08,440 Speaker 1: I realized that this is like the most cliche thing ever, right, 648 00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:10,320 Speaker 1: I mean, I mean, first time father, can't believe how 649 00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:13,480 Speaker 1: quickly you Okay, but here I am. And it just 650 00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:15,040 Speaker 1: feels like it went away in the blink of an eye. 651 00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:18,560 Speaker 1: It feels like just yesterday. I was in the shower 652 00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:22,720 Speaker 1: actually when my wife yelled my water broke. It was 653 00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:24,720 Speaker 1: last December. I was like, oh my god, what do 654 00:33:24,800 --> 00:33:26,880 Speaker 1: we do? What do we do? I haven't packed a 655 00:33:26,920 --> 00:33:27,640 Speaker 1: bag for the hospital. 656 00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:28,120 Speaker 2: What do we do? 657 00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:32,160 Speaker 1: She was actually much much calmer than eye that situation. 658 00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:34,920 Speaker 1: So we packed the bag, went to the hospital, and 659 00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:37,480 Speaker 1: you know, praise be to God, our baby was born 660 00:33:37,760 --> 00:33:41,240 Speaker 1: healthy and beautiful the next afternoon, less than twenty four 661 00:33:41,280 --> 00:33:44,480 Speaker 1: hours later. But it just feels like it went by 662 00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:47,840 Speaker 1: so fast, and at the risk of staying the obvious, 663 00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:52,520 Speaker 1: I guess my message would be this, think of life 664 00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:56,280 Speaker 1: as follows. Try to think of life as someone once 665 00:33:56,320 --> 00:33:59,880 Speaker 1: told me. You have a jar, and you try to 666 00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:05,880 Speaker 1: fill the jar with certain marbles, and the marbles can 667 00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:09,640 Speaker 1: be multicolored. We can have green marbles, blue marbles, red marbles, 668 00:34:09,719 --> 00:34:13,799 Speaker 1: whatever you want to First fill the cup with the 669 00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:17,919 Speaker 1: most important type of marbles, and that's how you should 670 00:34:17,920 --> 00:34:20,960 Speaker 1: try to live every single day of your life. I 671 00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:23,400 Speaker 1: am not pard of this. I fail. 672 00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:27,000 Speaker 2: We all fail. We're humans, we're made in God's image. 673 00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:27,719 Speaker 2: We are not God. 674 00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:31,840 Speaker 1: But you try to fill your cup every day of 675 00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:35,520 Speaker 1: your life to the extent possible with the most important 676 00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:41,280 Speaker 1: things in your life. In my life, the most important 677 00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:48,520 Speaker 1: things are pretty clear. It's God first, it's family second, 678 00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:53,239 Speaker 1: and then it's everything else. It's my job, my country, 679 00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:56,000 Speaker 1: all the things that I care about. And then we 680 00:34:56,040 --> 00:34:59,320 Speaker 1: talk about every day on this show, and my recent 681 00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:01,880 Speaker 1: dated routine has been more or less trying to do 682 00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:05,520 Speaker 1: that in order. So I recently changed my day day routine. 683 00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:08,840 Speaker 1: I wake up very early nowadays. I wake up around 684 00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:13,040 Speaker 1: five am, give or take. I am in synagogue by 685 00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:17,480 Speaker 1: six am, give or take, ready for the for morning prayers. 686 00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:22,279 Speaker 1: I get home by around seven point thirty give or take. 687 00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:25,480 Speaker 1: I have some quality time with my wife and our 688 00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:29,920 Speaker 1: baby in the morning there helping, helping feed, and to 689 00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:32,600 Speaker 1: play and to just try to entertain all of that 690 00:35:32,680 --> 00:35:35,440 Speaker 1: really before I kind of sit down and begin to 691 00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:39,359 Speaker 1: do my actual job for the day. Now easier seven 692 00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:41,920 Speaker 1: than done. Everyone's life is different, everyone's schedule is different. 693 00:35:41,920 --> 00:35:46,439 Speaker 1: There it's not easy. It's really hard actually to try 694 00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:49,480 Speaker 1: to balance all the amount of things that human beings 695 00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:53,200 Speaker 1: have to balance over the course of your day. It's 696 00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:55,600 Speaker 1: really difficult as well to balance everything over the course 697 00:35:55,640 --> 00:36:02,560 Speaker 1: of a week or a lifetime. Charlie Kirk has a 698 00:36:02,600 --> 00:36:06,680 Speaker 1: brand new book out posthumously. His wife Erica has been 699 00:36:06,719 --> 00:36:10,040 Speaker 1: doing the media rounds promoting it. The book is called 700 00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:12,200 Speaker 1: Stop in the Name of God. It's a book about 701 00:36:12,200 --> 00:36:19,080 Speaker 1: the Sabbath. Charlie was an evangelical Christian, but was very, 702 00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:22,640 Speaker 1: very very inspired by the Hebrew Bible by the Torah. 703 00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:27,240 Speaker 1: He studied the Torah with Dennis Praeger. Many of his mentors, 704 00:36:27,280 --> 00:36:31,120 Speaker 1: intellectual mentors and closest friends kept the Sabbath or some 705 00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:33,959 Speaker 1: version of it, and Charlie would really turn his phone 706 00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:37,920 Speaker 1: off when Orthodox Jews like myself do from Friday night 707 00:36:37,920 --> 00:36:42,359 Speaker 1: to Saturday night. It's an amazing built in gift from 708 00:36:42,360 --> 00:36:48,239 Speaker 1: God trying to give you the freedom, the ability to 709 00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:51,600 Speaker 1: fill your cup up with the most important marbles, to 710 00:36:51,680 --> 00:36:55,160 Speaker 1: focus on God, on the creator of all things, to 711 00:36:55,200 --> 00:36:59,600 Speaker 1: focus on your family with no distractions, with a clear head. 712 00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:06,600 Speaker 1: But only by living. I think with that kind of deliberation, 713 00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:10,480 Speaker 1: with that kind of conscientious prioritization of that which you 714 00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:14,640 Speaker 1: are doing each and every day, I've come to think 715 00:37:14,640 --> 00:37:17,960 Speaker 1: that that really is the best way to live your life. 716 00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:20,120 Speaker 1: When I was a little younger, I was a little 717 00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:22,560 Speaker 1: I was a little more scattershot. I didn't have a family, 718 00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:27,480 Speaker 1: I wasn't particularly observant or religious at that time. I 719 00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:29,880 Speaker 1: wouldn't send alarm. Maybe I would if I had, like 720 00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:32,840 Speaker 1: the office or the work whatever, But I would sleep 721 00:37:32,840 --> 00:37:34,799 Speaker 1: in a little bit and I would kind of just 722 00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:37,560 Speaker 1: play the day as it goes, play it by ear 723 00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:42,600 Speaker 1: day in and day out. But you should have more structure, 724 00:37:42,719 --> 00:37:46,319 Speaker 1: and that structure should reflect what your life priorities. That 725 00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:48,880 Speaker 1: structure should reflect the most important marbles that they are 726 00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:52,000 Speaker 1: going to be filled. First, and as a first time father, 727 00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:57,360 Speaker 1: now on the cusp of celebrating our daughter's first birthday 728 00:37:57,640 --> 00:38:02,120 Speaker 1: this Saturday, after we just had this wonderful rodeo Western 729 00:38:02,239 --> 00:38:08,160 Speaker 1: theme party for her this past Sunday, I truly feel 730 00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:11,480 Speaker 1: has never been more important. I truly feel that it's 731 00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:15,480 Speaker 1: never more important for me to cling to this, to 732 00:38:15,600 --> 00:38:20,400 Speaker 1: cherish every moment, what ultimately is going to be more important? 733 00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:23,560 Speaker 1: What am I going to remember a year or two 734 00:38:23,560 --> 00:38:27,040 Speaker 1: from now that memory of being goofy with her in 735 00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:32,520 Speaker 1: the living room at eight eight thirty am, or scrolling 736 00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:38,120 Speaker 1: Twitter or reading some article on the Wall Street Journal. 737 00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:38,520 Speaker 3: Whatever. 738 00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:40,680 Speaker 1: You have to do your job, you have to do 739 00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:43,279 Speaker 1: it well. Again, these things are easier said than done. 740 00:38:43,280 --> 00:38:46,520 Speaker 1: And I don't judge anyone who struggles with these trade offs. 741 00:38:46,520 --> 00:38:47,560 Speaker 2: I do too. We all do. 742 00:38:47,640 --> 00:38:54,719 Speaker 1: Again, We're human. But try the best you can to 743 00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:57,680 Speaker 1: fill that cup each and every day with the most 744 00:38:57,680 --> 00:39:02,200 Speaker 1: important marbles. Can promise you. But if you do that, 745 00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:04,960 Speaker 1: and you make a conscientious effort to do exactly that. 746 00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:08,400 Speaker 1: Then you're going to be happier, and you will feel 747 00:39:08,480 --> 00:39:13,359 Speaker 1: more fulfilled, and you will feel more confident in all 748 00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:17,839 Speaker 1: that you do on a data basis moving forward. So look, 749 00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:20,520 Speaker 1: I mean, I wish my daughter a very happy first birthday. 750 00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:22,920 Speaker 1: To put the mildly, it's been an amazing, amazing year 751 00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:24,520 Speaker 1: and I can't wait to see where she goes from here. 752 00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:27,160 Speaker 1: I hope that advice resonates with you, and we thank 753 00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:30,399 Speaker 1: you was always for listener watching to The Josh Hammer Show. 754 00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:32,080 Speaker 1: Make sure to like and subscribe if you have not 755 00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:33,920 Speaker 1: already done, so leave with that five star review. We 756 00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:36,800 Speaker 1: alway appreciate your feedback. We're on YouTube over on Newsweek's 757 00:39:36,800 --> 00:39:40,719 Speaker 1: a YouTube page also available the Salem News Channel. But 758 00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:42,880 Speaker 1: for now I'm Josh Hammer. I hope you enjoyed today's 759 00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:44,240 Speaker 1: episode of The Josh Hammershow. 760 00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:51,640 Speaker 2: The Josh Hammer Show is a member of the Trust Project.