WEBVTT - The Uprising in Iran

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to today's podcast sponsored by Hillsdale College, All Things

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<v Speaker 1>Hillsdale Hillsdale dot ed or I encourage you to take

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<v Speaker 1>advantage of the many free online courses there, and of

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<v Speaker 1>course I'll listen to the Hillsdale Dialogue all of them

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<v Speaker 1>at q for Hillsdale dot com or just Google, Apple,

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<v Speaker 1>iTunes and Hillsdale. So much news over the weekend. It

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<v Speaker 1>is believed that more than five thousand Aranians were mowed

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<v Speaker 1>down in the streets of Tehran and throughout the country

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<v Speaker 1>by the security services in the service of the Iyatolajamii

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<v Speaker 1>Hamini Homiani. He did the original revolution. Hamieni is the

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<v Speaker 1>supreme leader who succeeded him decades ago. So it's no

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<v Speaker 1>holds barred now. President Trump is weighing his options at

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<v Speaker 1>this hour. He gave the Iranian regime many warnings on

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<v Speaker 1>truth social a week ago on this program, on Thursday,

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<v Speaker 1>on Sean Handy's program on Thursday Night, and then last

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<v Speaker 1>nine on Air Force Wan. He was asked by reporters

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<v Speaker 1>and he said, well, they've asked for negotiations. They apparently

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<v Speaker 1>will bring you that tape a little bit later, but

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<v Speaker 1>they've apparently decided to go with killing people. Now, the Iranians,

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<v Speaker 1>according to President Trump, and of course you've got great

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<v Speaker 1>credibility right now, have offered to negotiate. I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>what they have to negotiate over. They've killed five thousand

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<v Speaker 1>of their own people, and President Trump told them, don't

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<v Speaker 1>do that, and they did it. And then how many

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<v Speaker 1>went on the air and made fun of Trump and

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<v Speaker 1>the United States over the weekend. So although the Wall

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<v Speaker 1>Street Journal is reporting at this hour that there's division

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<v Speaker 1>in the ranks within the administration, perhaps there is. Let

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<v Speaker 1>me read you the story. The White House is weighing

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<v Speaker 1>a last ditch Iranian offer to engage in diplomacy over

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<v Speaker 1>curbing its nuclear program. We curbed their President Trump obliterated

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<v Speaker 1>their nuclear program. Even if President Trump currently leans towards

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<v Speaker 1>authorizing fresh military strikes on Iran, some senior station aids

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<v Speaker 1>led by Vice President Jady Vance urging Trump to try

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<v Speaker 1>diplomacy before retaliating against Iran for killing protesters during a

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<v Speaker 1>two week uprising over a flailing economy and regime repression.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't believe that, by the way. I think that

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<v Speaker 1>is a made up thing by people who are not

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<v Speaker 1>actually JD. Vance talking to the Wall Street Journal by

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<v Speaker 1>the isolationist wing. I think the vice president will support

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<v Speaker 1>whatever the President decides to do. Speaking Sunday to reporters

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<v Speaker 1>on Air Force One, Trump said that Tehran messaged Washington

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<v Speaker 1>a day earlier that it was willing to enter negotiations

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<v Speaker 1>over its years long nuclear program. I'll talk with Mark

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<v Speaker 1>Dubiets about this a little bit later, CEO of the

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<v Speaker 1>Foundation for the Defense of Democracy. The president said a

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<v Speaker 1>meeting is being set up, though the US is still

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<v Speaker 1>looking at quote very strong options. There is a word

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<v Speaker 1>as well that he will meet with senior aids Tuesday

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<v Speaker 1>to determine his approach. I hope that approach is to

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<v Speaker 1>hit as he promised to do. Presidential credibility is earned

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<v Speaker 1>in ounces and lost in pounds, just like truthfulness and

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<v Speaker 1>reliability is earned announcers in lost in pounds. Everybody believes

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<v Speaker 1>that Donald Trump threat right now, all right. He threatened

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<v Speaker 1>Operation Midnight Hammer, and he delivered on it. He threatened Maduro,

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<v Speaker 1>and Maduro laughed at him. And Maduro is in a

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<v Speaker 1>jail cell in New York City. So the president's credibility

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<v Speaker 1>literally could not be higher right now. It could only

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<v Speaker 1>be damaged if he walks it back and engages in

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<v Speaker 1>the favorite tactic of the Iranian theocrats, delayed, delayed, delay, delay, divide,

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<v Speaker 1>playoff of the best hopes and the worst fears of Americans.

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<v Speaker 1>So here is President Trump on Air Force one yesterday

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<v Speaker 1>talking about to a CNN reporter about the Iran threat

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<v Speaker 1>that he is made and whether or not Iran takes

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<v Speaker 1>it seriously. Cuttnumber six at three, I think, don't you

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<v Speaker 1>think so, CNN?

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<v Speaker 2>Don't you think so? Would you say.

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<v Speaker 3>That they probably do at this point after going through

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<v Speaker 3>it for years with me being hit, salivating out back daddy,

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<v Speaker 3>the red nuclear threat wiped out? Don't you think? And

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<v Speaker 3>then you just had Venezuela. Don't you think? She says, CNN,

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<v Speaker 3>do you think they take your threat seriously? What do

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<v Speaker 3>you say they do after all of the things.

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<v Speaker 2>We have done? What a stupid question.

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<v Speaker 1>It really is a stupid question. Of course, they take

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<v Speaker 1>the threat seriously. That's why they're begging for negotiations, because

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<v Speaker 1>the president can bring down that regime with three days

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<v Speaker 1>of air campaign, I mean a concerted effort, maybe with

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<v Speaker 1>is reel, maybe without. John Fetterman went on CNN and

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<v Speaker 1>gave his statement, this is the Democratic Center from Pennsylvania

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<v Speaker 1>cutt number two.

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<v Speaker 4>Absolutely, and now if it could and used to make

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<v Speaker 4>more sense. Absolutely, I think I was the only Democrat

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<v Speaker 4>that fully supported our strike of their Iranian nuclear facilities

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<v Speaker 4>last year, and now by then, without those kinds of strikes,

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<v Speaker 4>Iran could have acquired a nuclear bomb. I think, I

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<v Speaker 4>hope we can all agree that Iran should have never

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<v Speaker 4>acquired a nuclear bomb. And Iran is one of the

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<v Speaker 4>world's top terrorist unwriter. And now you have that poisonous

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<v Speaker 4>regime now in spiral.

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<v Speaker 1>So why wouldn't we want to support that?

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<v Speaker 4>And those brave protesters they've killed probably more than six

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<v Speaker 4>hundred by now, So now why would we want to

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<v Speaker 4>have the kinds of targeted kinds of action that could

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<v Speaker 4>break that regime.

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<v Speaker 5>There are sources do tel CNN that there are concerns

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<v Speaker 5>inside the Trump administration though, that taking military action military

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<v Speaker 5>strikes could actually backfire and undermine the protests by swelling

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<v Speaker 5>support for the Iranian government. Do you see that?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, if it makes sense, again, if those strikes make sense, absolutely,

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<v Speaker 4>I do support those things. You know, I don't know

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<v Speaker 4>exactly what the conversation is. I'm saying I'm open to that,

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<v Speaker 4>and I am actually inspired by the real kinds of

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<v Speaker 4>courage that those protesters in Iran.

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<v Speaker 1>Are demonstrated now.

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<v Speaker 4>So I don't know why we can't all want to

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<v Speaker 4>support that to back then and now bring that awful regime,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, to its knees now.

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<v Speaker 1>That's where it's at right now.

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<v Speaker 4>They're so desperate now they they killed the internet and

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<v Speaker 4>now they're mowing down their own citizens. Now they're even

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<v Speaker 4>so desperate offering six dollars a month as some kind

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<v Speaker 4>of a payoff now to now For me, I think

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<v Speaker 4>we can all agree that the world would be better, safer,

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<v Speaker 4>and more just if you could break that regime.

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<v Speaker 1>I do not believe Lagoshimi saying that there are forces

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<v Speaker 1>inside the White House who are counseling against striking the

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<v Speaker 1>regime after President Trump made those threats. I don't believe it.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's useful for the legacy media narrative, but

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<v Speaker 1>I do not believe it. David Ignatius is the senior

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<v Speaker 1>national security voice for Legacy Media in Washington, been on

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<v Speaker 1>columns for the Washington Post for many many years. I

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<v Speaker 1>know David. He's very reliable. Here's what David said on

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<v Speaker 1>Morning Joe This Morning cut number four.

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<v Speaker 6>So the best case scenario is that.

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<v Speaker 7>A regime whose security forces are weak, are rusty, that

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<v Speaker 7>failed to help its proxies Hezbola in Lebanon, Hamas and Gaza,

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<v Speaker 7>Basher Alasade in Syria, and ian Oran itself couldn't fend

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<v Speaker 7>off and it was Israeli attacked last Yune, that that regime,

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<v Speaker 7>if gift hard, will begin to crack.

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<v Speaker 6>What does it mean to hit it hard?

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<v Speaker 7>So what it means, I think is heavy munitionis striking barracks, bases,

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<v Speaker 7>certainly missile production facilities that the rates would use to retaliate.

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<v Speaker 7>But to show the Iranian people that this security force,

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<v Speaker 7>which is hated by a lot of the country, isn't

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<v Speaker 7>so tough that they're going to crush you. They're themselves

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<v Speaker 7>on the run. I think that's what it would it

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<v Speaker 7>would look like.

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<v Speaker 1>It would be.

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<v Speaker 7>It would be the barracks, logistic resources and those things

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<v Speaker 7>can be done and people would noted we have no

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<v Speaker 7>aircraft carrier strike group in the region. That's true, but

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<v Speaker 7>you don't need one. I'm told we have enough aircraft

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<v Speaker 7>in Europe, enough missiles that could be launched to hit

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<v Speaker 7>the targets that it's not necessary to move the Gerald

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<v Speaker 7>forward or any other aircraft carry task force.

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<v Speaker 1>In the region right now. And this is what Tray

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<v Speaker 1>Yanks on Fox News reported Cut number.

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<v Speaker 6>Three Dana, Good Morning.

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<v Speaker 8>Intense anti government demonstrations erupting across Iran over the weekend

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<v Speaker 8>were met with a brutal crackdown. A source in Tehran,

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<v Speaker 8>speaking with Fox News via starlink described security forces open

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<v Speaker 8>firing into crowds of people, using tear gas.

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<v Speaker 6>And arresting thousands.

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<v Speaker 8>Human rights organizations say at least five hundred and forty

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<v Speaker 8>four people have been killed over the past two weeks,

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<v Speaker 8>but with an ongoing internet blackout, the confirmed number is

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<v Speaker 8>expected to increase significantly. Aron's President must sud Pozeski and

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<v Speaker 8>made a public address yesterday discussing the clashes.

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<v Speaker 1>Don't need to hear regime propaganda. There are very reliable

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<v Speaker 1>estimates of more than five thousand murdered by the regime

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<v Speaker 1>over the weekend. Hopefully President Trump and Elon Musk worked

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<v Speaker 1>together to get starlink working, although I'm not sure starlink

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<v Speaker 1>can work in Iran to the extent that it worked

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<v Speaker 1>in Ukraine, because the government in Ukraine welcomed it and

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<v Speaker 1>put up terminals to receive it. The Iranian regime will

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<v Speaker 1>try and stop those terminals from being act debated and

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<v Speaker 1>tracked down. So it's tremendously courageous of the Iranian people

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<v Speaker 1>to rise up and walk in the streets as they are.

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<v Speaker 1>And President Trump made a warning on this show, on

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<v Speaker 1>Sean Hanny's show on Thursday night. He did it on

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<v Speaker 1>True Social He has made a lot of warning and

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<v Speaker 1>they have been disregarded by the regime. His credibility is high.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think he ought to be talked out about

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<v Speaker 1>hitting them, and I believe these Israelis ought to go

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<v Speaker 1>along with us and hit the regime. They're only one

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and fifty thousand IRGC. Those are the toughest there

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<v Speaker 1>a couple maybe even million besieged. But those are just thugs.

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<v Speaker 1>They might have weapons, but they're thugs. Stay tuned. I'll

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<v Speaker 1>bring you the latest from the RAM when I come

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<v Speaker 1>back on the You Do It Show. Welcome back, America.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Jue Gwett, joined now by former Israeli Ambassador of

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<v Speaker 1>the United States, doctor Michael Orrin, from Israel. Doctor Orrin, welcome,

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<v Speaker 1>What is your assessment of the situation in Iran and

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<v Speaker 1>what ought the United States to do, and why.

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<v Speaker 6>Situation in Iran is very troubling.

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<v Speaker 9>Certainly, hundreds, potentially thousands of people being killed going out

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<v Speaker 9>to protests for freedom from this heinous regime very disturbing,

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<v Speaker 9>and it impacts all Israelis.

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<v Speaker 6>We're all there for the people of Iran.

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<v Speaker 9>Before nineteen seventy nine, they were our close allies, and

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<v Speaker 9>we look forward to being allied with them and close

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<v Speaker 9>to them once again. Having said that, great skepticism here

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<v Speaker 9>about whether these protests can actually bring down the regime.

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<v Speaker 9>We're talking about a company country of ninety million people.

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<v Speaker 9>I don't know how many tens of thousands, even hundreds

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<v Speaker 9>of thousands are out protesting, but still it's not.

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<v Speaker 6>Ninety million, and the regime has immense.

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<v Speaker 9>Means at its disposal for suppressing these demonstrations.

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<v Speaker 6>You're talking about an army of almost a half a.

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<v Speaker 9>Million soldiers, a a guard at Islamic Republican Guard, Revolutionary

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<v Speaker 9>Guard of close to a half a million soldiers plus besiege.

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<v Speaker 9>These are these paramilitary thugs. There may be five million

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<v Speaker 9>of them.

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<v Speaker 6>And so the iran Has regime has just begun to fight.

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<v Speaker 9>Now whether the United States will intervene or not, I

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<v Speaker 9>think it's always at this point. I think it's a

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<v Speaker 9>mistake to gainsay what the President says or question what

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<v Speaker 9>the President says.

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<v Speaker 6>And if he says the United States is willing to

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<v Speaker 6>use force, I think he very much means it.

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<v Speaker 9>I think the American military would like to gather that force,

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<v Speaker 9>assemble that course within a striking distance of Iran.

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<v Speaker 6>Though you know, American strategic bombers.

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<v Speaker 9>Could take off in Idaho and be over the skies

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<v Speaker 9>of Iran in a matter of fifteen hours or even less. Still,

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<v Speaker 9>I think the American military would like to have a

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<v Speaker 9>very large military.

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<v Speaker 6>Presence in the air, which includes moving.

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<v Speaker 9>Carrier strike forces, may take a few weeks.

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<v Speaker 6>Having said all that.

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<v Speaker 9>My gut feeling, my gut feeling, Hugh, is that this

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<v Speaker 9>is going to end.

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<v Speaker 6>In some type of deal.

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<v Speaker 9>And I think there are intimations both from the Iranians

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<v Speaker 9>and the.

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<v Speaker 6>United States that these that context contexts towards such a

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<v Speaker 6>deal are already going on.

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<v Speaker 9>What that deal may look like, That deal would look

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<v Speaker 9>like something like Venezuela, when you get rid of the

0:13:02.240 --> 0:13:04.520
<v Speaker 9>bad guys, get rid of the bad malas, which may

0:13:04.559 --> 0:13:05.520
<v Speaker 9>be redundant.

0:13:05.640 --> 0:13:07.240
<v Speaker 6>I don't know any good mulas.

0:13:07.760 --> 0:13:09.800
<v Speaker 9>And their elements in the IROs. We see, he will say, well,

0:13:09.880 --> 0:13:12.360
<v Speaker 9>let us take over and we will reorient. We will

0:13:12.520 --> 0:13:16.640
<v Speaker 9>reorient Iran back to the United States, which would be

0:13:16.679 --> 0:13:20.520
<v Speaker 9>a tremendous not just financial victory for America. I'ron of

0:13:20.520 --> 0:13:23.760
<v Speaker 9>course a major supplier of oil, but also give the

0:13:23.840 --> 0:13:26.720
<v Speaker 9>United States immense leverage over the Chinese because the Chinese

0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:29.440
<v Speaker 9>economy is almost entirely dependent on irody and oil.

0:13:29.480 --> 0:13:30.800
<v Speaker 6>Think about that, But that would mean.

0:13:30.679 --> 0:13:34.360
<v Speaker 9>For America and the world, without firing a single shot

0:13:35.200 --> 0:13:39.000
<v Speaker 9>for Israel, the outcome would be would be okay. It

0:13:39.040 --> 0:13:41.800
<v Speaker 9>would could be much better if the regime would disappear entirely.

0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:46.280
<v Speaker 9>But a regime that has been defanged and now newly

0:13:46.360 --> 0:13:49.360
<v Speaker 9>connected with the United States, not with Russia, not with China,

0:13:50.400 --> 0:13:52.360
<v Speaker 9>is very much in Israel's interest now.

0:13:52.400 --> 0:13:57.640
<v Speaker 1>Doctor Orrin Donald Trump has threatened four times Iran if

0:13:57.640 --> 0:13:59.560
<v Speaker 1>they murdered their people, he would hit them. He did

0:13:59.600 --> 0:14:01.800
<v Speaker 1>it on True Social a week ago, he did it

0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:04.640
<v Speaker 1>on this program on Thursday, he did it on Sean

0:14:04.679 --> 0:14:07.439
<v Speaker 1>Hannay's program on Thursday night. He did it on True

0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:10.320
<v Speaker 1>Social Overnight and on Air Force One. So it's really

0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:13.360
<v Speaker 1>five times. He's worn the Iranian and now the numbers

0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:17.480
<v Speaker 1>are horrific, maybe more than five thousand people gunned down,

0:14:17.520 --> 0:14:21.800
<v Speaker 1>ten thousand people taken into custody. Can he afford not

0:14:22.080 --> 0:14:25.240
<v Speaker 1>to do something, at least hit a missile factory, hit

0:14:25.280 --> 0:14:29.040
<v Speaker 1>some IRGC facility, do something to back up his threat.

0:14:30.880 --> 0:14:31.760
<v Speaker 6>He certainly could.

0:14:31.840 --> 0:14:34.720
<v Speaker 9>And I think when the president puts a credible military

0:14:34.920 --> 0:14:36.560
<v Speaker 9>threat on the table, he intends to use it. He

0:14:36.600 --> 0:14:39.200
<v Speaker 9>puts that pistol on the table, not just as previous

0:14:39.240 --> 0:14:41.640
<v Speaker 9>administrations would put a pistol on the table and had

0:14:41.680 --> 0:14:45.240
<v Speaker 9>no intention of using that pistol. It actually broadcast American weakness.

0:14:45.640 --> 0:14:47.640
<v Speaker 9>When President Trump has put that pistol out there, he

0:14:47.680 --> 0:14:49.640
<v Speaker 9>intends to use it and that strength. We saw how

0:14:49.640 --> 0:14:54.320
<v Speaker 9>it worked in achieving the release of Israeli hostages. We

0:14:54.360 --> 0:14:57.240
<v Speaker 9>saw how it worked in framing the Abraham Accords. It

0:14:57.280 --> 0:14:59.080
<v Speaker 9>has worked again and again, and it can work here.

0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:00.560
<v Speaker 6>It's to work.

0:15:00.720 --> 0:15:05.960
<v Speaker 9>How if you bomb IRGC headquarters, if you bomb missile silos,

0:15:06.280 --> 0:15:08.240
<v Speaker 9>it's not going to bring down the regime again. You're

0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:12.240
<v Speaker 9>going to still have the five six seven million armed

0:15:12.240 --> 0:15:13.720
<v Speaker 9>people are going to come out of that regime and

0:15:13.760 --> 0:15:17.000
<v Speaker 9>knock these protesters on the head and kill them, because

0:15:17.000 --> 0:15:18.720
<v Speaker 9>the regime is not going to go quietly into that

0:15:18.920 --> 0:15:21.080
<v Speaker 9>good night. It could also resolve their gene may turn

0:15:21.120 --> 0:15:23.320
<v Speaker 9>around and fire some missiles at Israel, and that would

0:15:23.320 --> 0:15:27.440
<v Speaker 9>bring Israel into the fray as well. I think that

0:15:27.520 --> 0:15:30.360
<v Speaker 9>the use of military force is the means to an end,

0:15:30.800 --> 0:15:31.360
<v Speaker 9>and the.

0:15:31.320 --> 0:15:34.040
<v Speaker 6>End probably is a negotiated.

0:15:33.520 --> 0:15:36.080
<v Speaker 9>End where the Rians will give up their nuclear program,

0:15:36.160 --> 0:15:40.119
<v Speaker 9>that will surrender their highly enriched uranium, They will mothball

0:15:40.200 --> 0:15:44.240
<v Speaker 9>a large segment of their intercontinental ballistic system, and as

0:15:44.240 --> 0:15:48.280
<v Speaker 9>I said earlier, will reoriented their foreign policy and their

0:15:48.320 --> 0:15:51.240
<v Speaker 9>oil policy toward the United States.

0:15:51.400 --> 0:15:55.560
<v Speaker 1>Doctor Oran. If Iran were to hit at Israel and

0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:58.640
<v Speaker 1>the sort of weird calculus that Taddam Hussein used in

0:15:58.680 --> 0:16:03.160
<v Speaker 1>the nineteen ninety one golf when he invaded Kawait, America

0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:06.040
<v Speaker 1>led a coalition to oust him, and he sent goods

0:16:06.080 --> 0:16:09.280
<v Speaker 1>at Israel. I don't think Israel will sit back this time,

0:16:09.320 --> 0:16:11.240
<v Speaker 1>as they were asked to do and did in nineteen

0:16:11.320 --> 0:16:13.760
<v Speaker 1>ninety one. What would the response from Israel be if

0:16:14.280 --> 0:16:17.080
<v Speaker 1>Iran send another wave of ballistic missiles its way.

0:16:18.280 --> 0:16:20.600
<v Speaker 9>Be massive, and I think that John Trump is not

0:16:20.600 --> 0:16:22.800
<v Speaker 9>going to hold us back. I think that was clear

0:16:22.840 --> 0:16:26.040
<v Speaker 9>from his most recent meeting with the Prime Minister and

0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:29.320
<v Speaker 9>that Iran no longer has air defenses. Iran is completely

0:16:29.400 --> 0:16:32.320
<v Speaker 9>vulnerable them they move those missiles out of their silos,

0:16:32.400 --> 0:16:35.760
<v Speaker 9>they will be hit, and not just the silos. I

0:16:35.800 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 9>don't think anybody will be immune from Israel's reaction. First

0:16:39.440 --> 0:16:43.000
<v Speaker 9>of all, and above all, the Iatotal committee.

0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:45.800
<v Speaker 1>Now doctor worn last question. The people of Iran are bankrupt.

0:16:46.240 --> 0:16:48.680
<v Speaker 1>The real has now fall into something like two million

0:16:49.280 --> 0:16:53.160
<v Speaker 1>for one American dollar, and it's falling still with the unrest.

0:16:53.440 --> 0:16:55.920
<v Speaker 1>But we did not neither Israel nor the United States

0:16:56.000 --> 0:16:59.400
<v Speaker 1>hit carg Island, which is their major oil export facility.

0:16:59.840 --> 0:17:02.200
<v Speaker 1>Is that on the table in your view if there's

0:17:02.240 --> 0:17:05.440
<v Speaker 1>another round of conflict here, I.

0:17:05.359 --> 0:17:05.840
<v Speaker 6>Don't think so.

0:17:05.920 --> 0:17:08.920
<v Speaker 9>I think the idea is that not to keep oil

0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:12.240
<v Speaker 9>prices going down, not up, and hitting Craig Island would

0:17:12.240 --> 0:17:13.439
<v Speaker 9>cause a spike in oil prices.

0:17:13.480 --> 0:17:15.600
<v Speaker 6>I think the whole one of the great benefits.

0:17:15.119 --> 0:17:19.399
<v Speaker 9>Potentially of the Venezuelan operation is to reduce oil to

0:17:19.400 --> 0:17:23.440
<v Speaker 9>fifty or even thirty five dollars a barrel, and which

0:17:23.480 --> 0:17:25.399
<v Speaker 9>would by the way, have the addition to benefit of

0:17:25.440 --> 0:17:26.800
<v Speaker 9>sort of bankrupting Russia.

0:17:27.600 --> 0:17:28.280
<v Speaker 6>Think about this.

0:17:28.280 --> 0:17:33.399
<v Speaker 9>This is the geostrategic gratifications of oil diplomacy, and I

0:17:33.400 --> 0:17:36.000
<v Speaker 9>think the idea is to somehow get this regime to

0:17:36.160 --> 0:17:39.040
<v Speaker 9>give up its nuclear program, give up its role as

0:17:39.080 --> 0:17:41.240
<v Speaker 9>the largest state sponsor of terror in the world.

0:17:41.440 --> 0:17:44.919
<v Speaker 6>Maybe not open an embassy in Israel tomorrow.

0:17:44.440 --> 0:17:47.200
<v Speaker 9>But it certainly maybe have really a de facto non

0:17:47.240 --> 0:17:51.200
<v Speaker 9>belligerency with Israel and again reoriented its foreign policy toward

0:17:51.240 --> 0:17:54.280
<v Speaker 9>the United States. At the same time bring down oil prices.

0:17:54.320 --> 0:17:57.200
<v Speaker 9>Bring down oil prices. That will certainly, I think we're

0:17:57.240 --> 0:18:00.639
<v Speaker 9>down to the president and his party political as the

0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:03.600
<v Speaker 9>mid terms are approaching. Think about this. Think about this

0:18:03.640 --> 0:18:07.119
<v Speaker 9>as a as a multi tier chessboard, Hugh. There's much

0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:08.119
<v Speaker 9>speaking at this moment.

0:18:08.520 --> 0:18:11.600
<v Speaker 1>Doctor Michael Orran, founder of the Israel Advocacy Group. You

0:18:11.680 --> 0:18:14.159
<v Speaker 1>can also follow him on Exit d R Michael Orran,

0:18:14.240 --> 0:18:17.000
<v Speaker 1>Doctor Michael Arran, d R Michael orn on X. It's

0:18:17.040 --> 0:18:19.040
<v Speaker 1>one of the people you can trust on this topic.

0:18:19.119 --> 0:18:22.000
<v Speaker 1>State twnw right back on the Hugh Hewitt Show, Hugh Hewitt,

0:18:22.080 --> 0:18:25.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm in Studio West of the Relief Factor of Studio Set,

0:18:25.520 --> 0:18:28.119
<v Speaker 1>and I'm so pleased to welcome back Steve Hilton, who

0:18:28.160 --> 0:18:31.679
<v Speaker 1>I hope is the Golden State's next governor and his

0:18:31.800 --> 0:18:35.439
<v Speaker 1>running mate state former State Senator Gloria Romero, which was

0:18:35.480 --> 0:18:37.760
<v Speaker 1>a bit of a surprise because she used to be

0:18:37.800 --> 0:18:40.080
<v Speaker 1>a Democrat and I think it's the first time she's

0:18:40.119 --> 0:18:41.960
<v Speaker 1>ever been on the show. So welcome to you both.

0:18:42.520 --> 0:18:46.240
<v Speaker 1>Steve Hilton. Let's talk about why you've asked Gloria Romero

0:18:46.320 --> 0:18:48.240
<v Speaker 1>to be your running mate. Then I got questions for

0:18:48.320 --> 0:18:50.560
<v Speaker 1>Gloria Ormo on when she saw the light.

0:18:52.080 --> 0:18:52.639
<v Speaker 10>Fantastic.

0:18:52.680 --> 0:18:54.159
<v Speaker 11>I love love it great to be with you, You

0:18:54.280 --> 0:18:56.720
<v Speaker 11>happen to you. You lovely to see Gloria as well.

0:18:56.720 --> 0:18:59.959
<v Speaker 11>We're going to be in person later today in Los Angeles. Look,

0:19:00.720 --> 0:19:02.280
<v Speaker 11>I've always said that this is going to be a

0:19:02.280 --> 0:19:06.159
<v Speaker 11>tough fight, an uphill battle to turn around California, to

0:19:06.240 --> 0:19:08.199
<v Speaker 11>save our beautiful state, and it's not just going to

0:19:08.240 --> 0:19:10.879
<v Speaker 11>be one person in one role. I've always seen it

0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:13.720
<v Speaker 11>as a team effort, a team that's going to turn

0:19:13.800 --> 0:19:19.000
<v Speaker 11>around California, both in terms of the need to elect

0:19:19.080 --> 0:19:24.160
<v Speaker 11>Republicans at every level in California, the state legislature, county

0:19:24.160 --> 0:19:27.320
<v Speaker 11>boards of supervisor, school boards, and so on, and also

0:19:27.680 --> 0:19:31.480
<v Speaker 11>across the board the other statewide offices. It's a massive state,

0:19:31.520 --> 0:19:34.480
<v Speaker 11>the biggest in America, the fourth biggest economy in the world.

0:19:34.640 --> 0:19:37.480
<v Speaker 11>I understand about putting together and leading a team. That's

0:19:37.480 --> 0:19:40.159
<v Speaker 11>how I've always operated when I've started businesses back in

0:19:40.200 --> 0:19:42.679
<v Speaker 11>the day working in the UK government, so I've always

0:19:42.720 --> 0:19:44.800
<v Speaker 11>seen it like that. And in fact, there will be

0:19:44.880 --> 0:19:47.879
<v Speaker 11>more announcements about the team that's taking shape in the

0:19:47.960 --> 0:19:50.600
<v Speaker 11>days and weeks ahead, But today the focus is on

0:19:50.640 --> 0:19:53.720
<v Speaker 11>my running mate running for Lieutenant governor, Gloria amer That's

0:19:53.720 --> 0:19:55.800
<v Speaker 11>not normally done. In fact, it's the first time it's

0:19:55.840 --> 0:20:00.040
<v Speaker 11>been done in California. These are independently elected positions, and

0:20:00.119 --> 0:20:02.679
<v Speaker 11>so this is a first in terms of a ticket.

0:20:03.000 --> 0:20:05.440
<v Speaker 11>But we are very excited about it for two reasons.

0:20:05.520 --> 0:20:08.879
<v Speaker 11>Number one, Gloria's story is so powerful. She'll tell you

0:20:08.880 --> 0:20:12.520
<v Speaker 11>about that in a moment walking away from the Democrat Party,

0:20:12.800 --> 0:20:17.040
<v Speaker 11>the area she represented in the legislature, her understanding.

0:20:16.600 --> 0:20:17.800
<v Speaker 10>Of the Latino community.

0:20:18.000 --> 0:20:22.399
<v Speaker 11>But also the second big point, her understanding of the legislature.

0:20:22.560 --> 0:20:25.399
<v Speaker 11>I'm running as an outsider to shake up Sacramento, to

0:20:25.480 --> 0:20:28.200
<v Speaker 11>end the corruption, the failure, and the bloat and the fraud.

0:20:28.240 --> 0:20:30.800
<v Speaker 11>And we'll get to all that as well, but Gloria

0:20:30.840 --> 0:20:34.720
<v Speaker 11>having served in the legislature, she really knows how things

0:20:34.920 --> 0:20:37.159
<v Speaker 11>work there, or I guess the right term will be

0:20:37.200 --> 0:20:39.480
<v Speaker 11>don't work. And so she's going to be an incredibly

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:44.040
<v Speaker 11>trusted guide for me in terms of making things actually

0:20:44.080 --> 0:20:47.119
<v Speaker 11>happening and delivering the change that we need so earlier

0:20:47.320 --> 0:20:50.400
<v Speaker 11>today making the announcement return to Senator Romero.

0:20:51.160 --> 0:20:53.199
<v Speaker 1>Senator you may or may not remember I did the

0:20:53.320 --> 0:20:56.400
<v Speaker 1>nightly news in LA from nineteen ninety two to two

0:20:56.440 --> 0:21:01.240
<v Speaker 1>thousand and two. You're a Democrats. Democrat, so what happened?

0:21:01.280 --> 0:21:05.680
<v Speaker 1>And welcome aboard, Thank you too.

0:21:05.720 --> 0:21:09.040
<v Speaker 12>I think with anything, it's always a process overall. If

0:21:09.080 --> 0:21:11.320
<v Speaker 12>you talk with anybody who worked with me while I

0:21:11.400 --> 0:21:14.520
<v Speaker 12>was in Sacramento, people knew that I worked across the

0:21:14.560 --> 0:21:17.920
<v Speaker 12>aisle and I took on some of the biggest challenges

0:21:18.200 --> 0:21:21.399
<v Speaker 12>even back then as a Democrat. I was one of

0:21:21.400 --> 0:21:25.360
<v Speaker 12>those Democrats I always have been who believes in school choice.

0:21:25.880 --> 0:21:29.320
<v Speaker 12>That meant taking on the number one political backer of

0:21:29.359 --> 0:21:32.480
<v Speaker 12>the Democrat Party, the Teachers' Union. But I did that,

0:21:32.600 --> 0:21:36.800
<v Speaker 12>and people in Sacramento knew that way back then. I

0:21:36.880 --> 0:21:42.119
<v Speaker 12>actually have a bipolitical family. Half of the kids are

0:21:42.400 --> 0:21:45.639
<v Speaker 12>and have been Republican. The other half are Democrats. We

0:21:45.760 --> 0:21:46.480
<v Speaker 12>are family.

0:21:46.640 --> 0:21:47.760
<v Speaker 13>We believe in.

0:21:47.760 --> 0:21:50.960
<v Speaker 12>Having the right to you know, it's America. You get

0:21:50.960 --> 0:21:54.280
<v Speaker 12>to say how you feel, and so I've always been

0:21:54.359 --> 0:21:59.879
<v Speaker 12>very comfortable talking, debating, etc. But the final push was really,

0:22:00.400 --> 0:22:03.320
<v Speaker 12>even after I left the Legislature, still trying to bring

0:22:03.400 --> 0:22:06.720
<v Speaker 12>about change within the Democrat Party, when we saw the

0:22:06.720 --> 0:22:10.000
<v Speaker 12>political coup in which even at that point a bad

0:22:10.160 --> 0:22:14.760
<v Speaker 12>candidate Joe Biden, but essentially being pushed out in the

0:22:14.800 --> 0:22:18.719
<v Speaker 12>back room by movie stars and others. It was just

0:22:18.920 --> 0:22:21.680
<v Speaker 12>a bridge too far. And so like many other Democrats,

0:22:22.000 --> 0:22:27.600
<v Speaker 12>Telsea Gabbert, Leo Terrell, others, we decided and I talked

0:22:27.600 --> 0:22:29.840
<v Speaker 12>about it and said, I'm out of here. I cannot

0:22:29.880 --> 0:22:30.919
<v Speaker 12>stay any longer.

0:22:31.240 --> 0:22:35.240
<v Speaker 1>Center. Would you remind me of where you were both

0:22:35.280 --> 0:22:37.359
<v Speaker 1>in the Assembly and the State Senate? Were you and

0:22:37.400 --> 0:22:40.320
<v Speaker 1>ask LUs where was your district located? I can't remember

0:22:40.359 --> 0:22:40.840
<v Speaker 1>that much.

0:22:42.400 --> 0:22:44.720
<v Speaker 12>The numbers have changed, but I was the twenty fourth

0:22:44.800 --> 0:22:48.399
<v Speaker 12>Senate different district. That's the east side of Los Angeles.

0:22:48.560 --> 0:22:52.000
<v Speaker 12>It's un East LA and a good chunk of the

0:22:52.040 --> 0:22:54.320
<v Speaker 12>San Gabriel Valley, So that was pretty.

0:22:54.119 --> 0:22:55.080
<v Speaker 6>Much my district.

0:22:55.400 --> 0:22:58.480
<v Speaker 1>What a great choice, Steve Hilton because she did run

0:22:58.520 --> 0:23:02.440
<v Speaker 1>for Sena Ramero ran for superintendent schools when I lived

0:23:02.440 --> 0:23:04.480
<v Speaker 1>in California. I was excited about that because she's a

0:23:04.480 --> 0:23:07.600
<v Speaker 1>school choice advocate. How long did it take you to

0:23:07.600 --> 0:23:09.919
<v Speaker 1>make this decision and who picked up the phone first?

0:23:11.040 --> 0:23:15.360
<v Speaker 11>Well, I'll get into that because I've been wanting this

0:23:15.400 --> 0:23:16.480
<v Speaker 11>to happen for a long time.

0:23:16.680 --> 0:23:18.160
<v Speaker 10>Gloria and I first.

0:23:17.920 --> 0:23:20.600
<v Speaker 11>Met on that issue of school choice when she was

0:23:20.600 --> 0:23:23.760
<v Speaker 11>working with Rick Gronell on a ballot initiative, a statewide

0:23:23.800 --> 0:23:24.520
<v Speaker 11>ballot initiative.

0:23:24.560 --> 0:23:25.800
<v Speaker 10>I had them both on my.

0:23:25.880 --> 0:23:28.359
<v Speaker 11>Show on Fox to talk about that, and then we

0:23:28.400 --> 0:23:30.080
<v Speaker 11>met in person and we got to know each other.

0:23:30.320 --> 0:23:34.199
<v Speaker 11>When I started my California Focused policy organization, really the

0:23:34.240 --> 0:23:35.680
<v Speaker 11>first step towards.

0:23:35.359 --> 0:23:36.960
<v Speaker 10>The decision I made to run for governor.

0:23:37.000 --> 0:23:40.040
<v Speaker 11>Golden Together that's the name of the organization, Non partnersan

0:23:40.160 --> 0:23:41.119
<v Speaker 11>policy organization.

0:23:41.480 --> 0:23:43.760
<v Speaker 10>I asked Gloria to be on the board of.

0:23:43.640 --> 0:23:46.760
<v Speaker 11>That organization, and we've been working together on policy, in

0:23:46.880 --> 0:23:51.640
<v Speaker 11>particular education policy for years now. And as that process

0:23:51.880 --> 0:23:53.600
<v Speaker 11>has gone on and I've gotten to know Gloria as

0:23:53.640 --> 0:23:57.080
<v Speaker 11>a friend and a partner in policy and a colleague,

0:23:57.720 --> 0:23:59.600
<v Speaker 11>I came to the view that this would be a

0:23:59.640 --> 0:24:02.560
<v Speaker 11>great and so I've been asking Gloria for quite a

0:24:02.600 --> 0:24:06.360
<v Speaker 11>while now whether she would consider this, and I'm very,

0:24:06.480 --> 0:24:08.840
<v Speaker 11>very happy and proud that she said yes, and here

0:24:08.880 --> 0:24:10.840
<v Speaker 11>we all today making this wonderful announcement.

0:24:11.040 --> 0:24:13.840
<v Speaker 1>Sarah Ramira, I want to go back to you were

0:24:13.880 --> 0:24:17.120
<v Speaker 1>a hammer. You were a good Democratic leader. My friend

0:24:17.200 --> 0:24:20.680
<v Speaker 1>John Campbell was serving at the same time you were,

0:24:20.760 --> 0:24:22.280
<v Speaker 1>he was on the other side of the aisle. You

0:24:22.320 --> 0:24:24.800
<v Speaker 1>were very good at what you did. How shocked are

0:24:24.840 --> 0:24:27.560
<v Speaker 1>your former Democratic colleagues that you're doing this? And will

0:24:27.560 --> 0:24:30.359
<v Speaker 1>any of them come along and join you? And Steve

0:24:30.440 --> 0:24:32.800
<v Speaker 1>Hilton then trying to turn our bankrupt state around.

0:24:34.440 --> 0:24:40.040
<v Speaker 12>Well, I think when I actually converted to being a Republican,

0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:42.480
<v Speaker 12>I don't think many of my former colleagues were shocked

0:24:42.480 --> 0:24:45.720
<v Speaker 12>because they had seen the progression over the years, the

0:24:45.840 --> 0:24:49.720
<v Speaker 12>advocacy on school choice, etc. Women's rights, a number of

0:24:49.800 --> 0:24:53.960
<v Speaker 12>issues overall. Certainly the announcement today, I'm sure many of

0:24:54.000 --> 0:24:57.639
<v Speaker 12>them are really surprised at that, but I believe that

0:24:57.800 --> 0:25:01.720
<v Speaker 12>they are aware that I'm committed. When I became a Republican,

0:25:01.840 --> 0:25:04.560
<v Speaker 12>I said, look, I want to do my share, my

0:25:05.119 --> 0:25:09.720
<v Speaker 12>part in making California great again. And with Steve Hilton,

0:25:10.000 --> 0:25:13.399
<v Speaker 12>we've had a very good, long running relationship and really

0:25:13.400 --> 0:25:17.760
<v Speaker 12>trying to restore the California dream, putting that golden sheen

0:25:18.000 --> 0:25:22.000
<v Speaker 12>back into California. So school choice issues is a major issue.

0:25:22.240 --> 0:25:24.440
<v Speaker 12>If I can just say, you know why the lieutenant

0:25:24.520 --> 0:25:27.080
<v Speaker 12>governor it again too is looking at as a team

0:25:27.160 --> 0:25:30.280
<v Speaker 12>governor and the lieutenant governor. But when you look at

0:25:30.280 --> 0:25:32.680
<v Speaker 12>the lieutenant governor, which I often kind of joke about

0:25:32.680 --> 0:25:34.560
<v Speaker 12>and say, it's sort of like the Seinfeld of state

0:25:34.560 --> 0:25:39.200
<v Speaker 12>white politics in California. Nobody knows what the LG does,

0:25:39.600 --> 0:25:44.560
<v Speaker 12>but the Lieutenant governor serves on the bodies of the

0:25:44.680 --> 0:25:50.000
<v Speaker 12>UC regions, the board of governors for the community college system,

0:25:50.080 --> 0:25:53.240
<v Speaker 12>also as a trustee for the CSU, and on education

0:25:53.359 --> 0:25:56.399
<v Speaker 12>that's almost half the state budget. I'm a product of

0:25:56.520 --> 0:25:59.560
<v Speaker 12>all three of those systems, both having been a student

0:25:59.840 --> 0:26:02.880
<v Speaker 12>and having been a professor in those systems. So it's

0:26:02.920 --> 0:26:06.200
<v Speaker 12>a natural fit for me to really work with Steve

0:26:06.840 --> 0:26:13.400
<v Speaker 12>advocating on school choice, meritocracy and admissions performance, etc. So

0:26:13.440 --> 0:26:15.200
<v Speaker 12>it's a natural fit overall.

0:26:15.480 --> 0:26:17.920
<v Speaker 1>Steve Elton, we got about a couple of minutes left.

0:26:17.920 --> 0:26:20.520
<v Speaker 1>Would you remind people what the website for the campaign

0:26:20.720 --> 0:26:23.480
<v Speaker 1>is how they can help you. Yes, And there are

0:26:23.480 --> 0:26:27.520
<v Speaker 1>like twenty five Democrats running, which one Katie Porter, has

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:29.639
<v Speaker 1>fallen like a rock. Who are you going to be

0:26:29.680 --> 0:26:30.800
<v Speaker 1>running against?

0:26:31.600 --> 0:26:37.160
<v Speaker 11>Well, it looks like I want to keep saying they're

0:26:37.200 --> 0:26:38.200
<v Speaker 11>not sending their best.

0:26:38.280 --> 0:26:38.960
<v Speaker 1>No.

0:26:38.960 --> 0:26:42.320
<v Speaker 11>Now, the person that's risen to the top is Eric Swalwell,

0:26:42.400 --> 0:26:43.960
<v Speaker 11>if you can believe it, Eric Swalwell.

0:26:44.280 --> 0:26:46.240
<v Speaker 10>I don't know. There may be others getting into the race.

0:26:46.480 --> 0:26:50.159
<v Speaker 11>We don't know yet that yet You've got the billionaire

0:26:50.160 --> 0:26:53.399
<v Speaker 11>climate fanatic Tom Steyer, through spending a lot of his

0:26:53.480 --> 0:26:54.800
<v Speaker 11>own money, he's now climbing in.

0:26:54.760 --> 0:26:55.520
<v Speaker 10>The polls as well.

0:26:55.600 --> 0:26:58.000
<v Speaker 11>Look, it doesn't matter who they send, because we need

0:26:58.080 --> 0:27:01.240
<v Speaker 11>change in California. We cannot have We've already this is

0:27:01.240 --> 0:27:03.160
<v Speaker 11>the sixteenth year now of one party rule.

0:27:03.400 --> 0:27:05.880
<v Speaker 10>Sixteen years of one party rule. It's not healthy.

0:27:06.200 --> 0:27:09.200
<v Speaker 11>Even if they weren't a complete failure on every front,

0:27:09.240 --> 0:27:11.240
<v Speaker 11>but they are a complete failure. And that's one of

0:27:11.240 --> 0:27:14.359
<v Speaker 11>the things that we've been highlighting. I'm just the fraud.

0:27:14.480 --> 0:27:16.800
<v Speaker 11>You know that, as iways been saying, you know the

0:27:16.840 --> 0:27:19.160
<v Speaker 11>first time that when the Minnesota scandal came to light.

0:27:19.560 --> 0:27:21.520
<v Speaker 10>However bad it is in term walls as Minnesota.

0:27:21.560 --> 0:27:25.399
<v Speaker 11>You know that it's a thousand times worse in Gaven

0:27:25.400 --> 0:27:27.919
<v Speaker 11>Newsom's California. And so we've been highlighting that and all

0:27:27.920 --> 0:27:30.439
<v Speaker 11>these other failures that one year anniversary of the fires.

0:27:30.520 --> 0:27:33.480
<v Speaker 11>Last week preposterous State of the State speech from Gavin

0:27:33.480 --> 0:27:36.679
<v Speaker 11>Newsom where he ludicrously claimed that we're a blueprint for

0:27:36.760 --> 0:27:40.280
<v Speaker 11>the nation, where we're actually with the highest poverty rate,

0:27:40.440 --> 0:27:44.960
<v Speaker 11>highest unemployment rate, highest costs for gas, electric rent, water insurance,

0:27:45.160 --> 0:27:49.080
<v Speaker 11>worst business climate, highest in I mean, everything is a failure.

0:27:49.160 --> 0:27:51.920
<v Speaker 1>We are a blueprint for assisted suicide of the state.

0:27:52.040 --> 0:27:53.240
<v Speaker 1>That's what we are a blueprint for.

0:27:53.560 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 10>So people can be building a movement for change.

0:27:56.320 --> 0:27:59.080
<v Speaker 11>Let's Steve Hilton for Governor, dot com f o R,

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:02.840
<v Speaker 11>Steve Hilton for Governor Volunteer. We've got a really cool

0:28:02.920 --> 0:28:05.320
<v Speaker 11>volunteer program going on right now. By the way, the

0:28:05.359 --> 0:28:07.760
<v Speaker 11>fundraising we're leading as well. We're leading in the polls.

0:28:08.000 --> 0:28:11.480
<v Speaker 11>We're also leading on fundraising. We announced that today as well.

0:28:11.520 --> 0:28:14.760
<v Speaker 11>That's just about to where we raise more money in

0:28:14.800 --> 0:28:17.920
<v Speaker 11>the last six months than any other campaign on either side.

0:28:18.119 --> 0:28:20.880
<v Speaker 10>It's really happening in California. I think we can make

0:28:20.920 --> 0:28:21.400
<v Speaker 10>this well.

0:28:21.400 --> 0:28:22.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm volunteering to moderate.

0:28:23.040 --> 0:28:23.639
<v Speaker 10>Stay around.

0:28:23.720 --> 0:28:27.720
<v Speaker 1>I'll moderate the Steve Hilton Eric Swalwell debate, and Senator Romero,

0:28:28.000 --> 0:28:30.320
<v Speaker 1>whoever they put up on the Democratic side against you,

0:28:30.320 --> 0:28:32.080
<v Speaker 1>I'll moderate that as well because I know what you

0:28:32.160 --> 0:28:35.000
<v Speaker 1>know what you're talking about. Congratulations to you, Steve on

0:28:35.080 --> 0:28:38.800
<v Speaker 1>a coup and Senator Romero. Keep coming back. California can

0:28:38.880 --> 0:28:41.320
<v Speaker 1>be saved, but it can't be saved with Democrats. It

0:28:41.480 --> 0:28:44.560
<v Speaker 1>just can't be. And I'm no longer a citizen here.

0:28:44.960 --> 0:28:47.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm just visiting for a few weeks. But to get

0:28:47.200 --> 0:28:49.400
<v Speaker 1>people to come back, they got to throw out the

0:28:49.400 --> 0:28:52.200
<v Speaker 1>people that are running the state. See hild and Gloria Romero.

0:28:52.280 --> 0:28:52.600
<v Speaker 14>Thanks you.

0:28:52.640 --> 0:28:54.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm coming right back with Senator Tom Cotton on that

0:28:54.880 --> 0:29:01.560
<v Speaker 1>you do a show BRK back in America. I'm due, Hewitt.

0:29:01.680 --> 0:29:04.920
<v Speaker 1>Senator Tom Cotton, Republican of Arkansas, is chair of the

0:29:04.920 --> 0:29:08.800
<v Speaker 1>Senate Intelligence Committee. He has also followed for years the

0:29:08.800 --> 0:29:12.800
<v Speaker 1>brutal Iranian regime. Senator Cotton, welcome. How do you assess

0:29:13.040 --> 0:29:15.760
<v Speaker 1>the degree of violence in Iran? It's kind of closed

0:29:15.760 --> 0:29:18.000
<v Speaker 1>off to us, but you might have sources that others

0:29:18.000 --> 0:29:18.920
<v Speaker 1>of us do not have.

0:29:20.760 --> 0:29:22.760
<v Speaker 15>You know, you always introduced me as the chairman of

0:29:22.760 --> 0:29:25.680
<v Speaker 15>the Intelligence Committee. You never caveat that with the fact

0:29:25.680 --> 0:29:29.360
<v Speaker 15>that it's an oxymoron. So I appreciate it, but we

0:29:29.360 --> 0:29:35.560
<v Speaker 15>should always probably do so for our listeners. The situation

0:29:35.920 --> 0:29:38.160
<v Speaker 15>in Irano is that laughing matter. I think the violence

0:29:38.200 --> 0:29:41.120
<v Speaker 15>is worse than what's generally being reported in the Western

0:29:41.160 --> 0:29:44.080
<v Speaker 15>media and from outlets, or if you look at outlets

0:29:44.080 --> 0:29:47.720
<v Speaker 15>such as the Committee on Human Rights in Iran or

0:29:47.720 --> 0:29:49.480
<v Speaker 15>the Institute for the Study of War, they're getting it

0:29:49.560 --> 0:29:52.280
<v Speaker 15>closure ride. I think the death now number in the thousands,

0:29:52.400 --> 0:29:57.000
<v Speaker 15>not the hundreds. And you know, it's just past midnight

0:29:57.560 --> 0:30:00.120
<v Speaker 15>in Iran's knight. That had another big night of protests.

0:30:00.320 --> 0:30:03.840
<v Speaker 15>And I think the regime, which doesn't have the ability

0:30:03.960 --> 0:30:06.920
<v Speaker 15>over that or the desire to address the underlying a

0:30:06.920 --> 0:30:11.240
<v Speaker 15>grievances of this people, resorting to one of its probably

0:30:11.280 --> 0:30:14.560
<v Speaker 15>two only options, which is to increase the brutality towards

0:30:14.560 --> 0:30:18.560
<v Speaker 15>the people. So I support the moral clarity President Trump

0:30:18.640 --> 0:30:23.400
<v Speaker 15>has exhibited on this growing crisis and the threats he's

0:30:23.440 --> 0:30:28.040
<v Speaker 15>made to the iotelas, and certainly support the brave people

0:30:28.080 --> 0:30:29.920
<v Speaker 15>of iron who are yearning for freedom.

0:30:30.040 --> 0:30:32.800
<v Speaker 1>Senter Cotten. The President has made at least four I

0:30:32.800 --> 0:30:35.280
<v Speaker 1>think now five threats, one of them on this show,

0:30:35.760 --> 0:30:38.200
<v Speaker 1>to the regime that he will hit them very hard,

0:30:38.240 --> 0:30:40.960
<v Speaker 1>harder than they've ever been hit. The Wall Street Journal

0:30:41.000 --> 0:30:44.440
<v Speaker 1>at this hour, though after those five threats by the President,

0:30:44.560 --> 0:30:47.760
<v Speaker 1>is reporting that the White House is engaged in an

0:30:47.800 --> 0:30:52.520
<v Speaker 1>internal debate. Some senior administration aids, led by Vice President JD. Vans,

0:30:52.560 --> 0:30:56.640
<v Speaker 1>are arguing Trump to try diplomacy before retaliating against a

0:30:56.720 --> 0:31:00.360
<v Speaker 1>roun for killing protesters. I personally don't believe that. You.

0:31:02.840 --> 0:31:04.840
<v Speaker 15>Well, I'm sure there are may be some voices to

0:31:04.880 --> 0:31:08.560
<v Speaker 15>you inside the administration who wants the president not to

0:31:08.960 --> 0:31:13.640
<v Speaker 15>enforce his own red line. But the only person whose

0:31:13.640 --> 0:31:16.760
<v Speaker 15>opinion ultimately matters and the administration is the president. And

0:31:16.960 --> 0:31:23.200
<v Speaker 15>time after time he has enforced his red line. Sometimes

0:31:23.200 --> 0:31:26.080
<v Speaker 15>he's enforced Barack Obama's red lines area did it twice?

0:31:26.200 --> 0:31:28.440
<v Speaker 1>Well, I just don't think Vice President Vance would leap

0:31:28.840 --> 0:31:30.480
<v Speaker 1>That's why I don't believe it. I don't think he

0:31:30.520 --> 0:31:32.280
<v Speaker 1>would leap. Well.

0:31:32.800 --> 0:31:35.440
<v Speaker 15>Well, he makes clear that he means what he says,

0:31:35.520 --> 0:31:37.040
<v Speaker 15>and he says what he means, and he told the Duro,

0:31:37.160 --> 0:31:39.360
<v Speaker 15>for instance, that he needed to go into exile, and

0:31:39.440 --> 0:31:43.080
<v Speaker 15>the DUA was stubborn and pig headed and dug in

0:31:43.120 --> 0:31:45.600
<v Speaker 15>his heels. And now he's sitting in a jail in

0:31:45.720 --> 0:31:47.800
<v Speaker 15>New York City, and he told I tell us to

0:31:47.880 --> 0:31:51.960
<v Speaker 15>turn over there all their nuclear program, and they didn't,

0:31:52.040 --> 0:31:54.920
<v Speaker 15>and the nuclear program is now in smoldering rooms. So

0:31:55.120 --> 0:31:57.120
<v Speaker 15>they should take him seriously, no matter what some of

0:31:57.160 --> 0:32:00.480
<v Speaker 15>his more dubbish advisors might be saying are trying to

0:32:00.560 --> 0:32:02.160
<v Speaker 15>leak to the media.

0:32:01.800 --> 0:32:03.720
<v Speaker 1>Now sentaty we do not have a strike group, a

0:32:03.800 --> 0:32:06.680
<v Speaker 1>carrier strike group in the Middle East? Right now? Do

0:32:06.800 --> 0:32:10.520
<v Speaker 1>we still have options for following through on President Trump's

0:32:10.600 --> 0:32:13.120
<v Speaker 1>five threats directed at the IATOLA?

0:32:14.400 --> 0:32:17.280
<v Speaker 15>I think it's fair to say, after Operation Midnight Hammer

0:32:17.360 --> 0:32:21.440
<v Speaker 15>last June that blew up Around's nuclear facilities and the

0:32:21.680 --> 0:32:26.400
<v Speaker 15>operation to apprehend Nicholas Maduro, that the United States military

0:32:26.480 --> 0:32:30.960
<v Speaker 15>has amazing capabilities that never puts any kind of operation

0:32:31.240 --> 0:32:35.040
<v Speaker 15>outside of its grasp, no matter where this or that

0:32:35.640 --> 0:32:37.880
<v Speaker 15>military asset may be located on the globe.

0:32:38.360 --> 0:32:41.480
<v Speaker 1>How weak do you think the regime there is? It

0:32:41.560 --> 0:32:44.280
<v Speaker 1>seems to me I've been following it for forty seven years,

0:32:44.320 --> 0:32:47.600
<v Speaker 1>since the initial running and revolution against a Shaw, It's

0:32:47.720 --> 0:32:50.320
<v Speaker 1>never been weaker than right now. But I also believe

0:32:50.680 --> 0:32:53.360
<v Speaker 1>that they probably butchered thousands of people in the streets

0:32:53.360 --> 0:32:54.640
<v Speaker 1>in the last four days.

0:32:56.320 --> 0:32:58.520
<v Speaker 15>I think it's incredibly weak, as weak as it's been

0:33:00.280 --> 0:33:03.760
<v Speaker 15>maybe since the I Coola seized power in nineteen seventy nine.

0:33:04.600 --> 0:33:07.520
<v Speaker 15>I don't think they can whatever happens from these protests,

0:33:08.280 --> 0:33:09.960
<v Speaker 15>I don't think they will ever be able to restore

0:33:10.000 --> 0:33:13.160
<v Speaker 15>themselves to the aspirations they had just six months ago

0:33:13.320 --> 0:33:16.560
<v Speaker 15>or eight months ago, whenever it was before operation with

0:33:16.600 --> 0:33:20.960
<v Speaker 15>that dammer of regional hegemony. I think they've been exposed

0:33:21.000 --> 0:33:24.040
<v Speaker 15>to the second or even third rate power, and their

0:33:24.080 --> 0:33:26.160
<v Speaker 15>own people have had it with them, as we've seen

0:33:26.240 --> 0:33:28.640
<v Speaker 15>over the last couple of weeks, and that's why they're

0:33:28.640 --> 0:33:30.480
<v Speaker 15>having the resort to this kind of brutality.

0:33:30.800 --> 0:33:33.200
<v Speaker 1>I would like to play for you, Senator Cotton, a

0:33:33.320 --> 0:33:36.520
<v Speaker 1>segment of President Trump on Air Force One last night

0:33:36.560 --> 0:33:39.720
<v Speaker 1>when a CNN reporter asked him if he thought that

0:33:39.800 --> 0:33:42.520
<v Speaker 1>the Iranians took him seriously cutting number six.

0:33:45.960 --> 0:33:48.400
<v Speaker 2>Don't you think so, CNN? Don't you think so?

0:33:48.960 --> 0:33:51.440
<v Speaker 3>Would you say that they probably do at this place

0:33:52.440 --> 0:33:56.200
<v Speaker 3>after going through it for years with me.

0:33:55.560 --> 0:34:00.800
<v Speaker 2>Being hit salivating out back, Daddy, the red nuclear webbed.

0:34:00.520 --> 0:34:04.480
<v Speaker 3>Out don't you think, and that you just had Venezuela.

0:34:04.640 --> 0:34:07.280
<v Speaker 3>Don't you think she says see it at Do you

0:34:07.320 --> 0:34:09.759
<v Speaker 3>think they take your threat seriously? What do you say

0:34:09.800 --> 0:34:11.960
<v Speaker 3>they do after all of the things we have done?

0:34:12.200 --> 0:34:13.799
<v Speaker 3>What a stupid question.

0:34:14.719 --> 0:34:17.360
<v Speaker 1>Senta Cotton. I got through twenty minutes with the President

0:34:17.800 --> 0:34:19.920
<v Speaker 1>and he didn't say I'd asked a stupid question. So

0:34:19.960 --> 0:34:23.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm feeling kind of victorious after a Thursday's interview because

0:34:23.160 --> 0:34:25.440
<v Speaker 1>he doesn't hold back when you ask a stupid question.

0:34:25.600 --> 0:34:28.359
<v Speaker 1>That really is I think he's got a lot of credibility.

0:34:28.840 --> 0:34:31.520
<v Speaker 1>Does he lose any of it if he doesn't act?

0:34:33.800 --> 0:34:38.000
<v Speaker 15>It was a very stupid question. These these liberal reporters

0:34:38.400 --> 0:34:41.279
<v Speaker 15>live in a fantasy world, in a world that is

0:34:41.320 --> 0:34:46.160
<v Speaker 15>not governed by force and by resolution. That's the world

0:34:46.160 --> 0:34:49.160
<v Speaker 15>that our enemies live in, us in paying Vladimir Putin,

0:34:49.520 --> 0:34:54.160
<v Speaker 15>the supreme leader of Iran world, Nicholas Maduro is definitely

0:34:54.239 --> 0:34:58.280
<v Speaker 15>living in now. They stand up and take notice anytime

0:34:58.320 --> 0:35:01.400
<v Speaker 15>America displays strength and result the way Donald Trump has

0:35:01.400 --> 0:35:04.319
<v Speaker 15>done now since his return to office nearly a year ago.

0:35:04.480 --> 0:35:07.440
<v Speaker 15>So of course they are paying attention to him and

0:35:07.440 --> 0:35:10.360
<v Speaker 15>taking him seriously, even if a bunch of liberal reporters

0:35:10.560 --> 0:35:14.600
<v Speaker 15>can't understand that. So there's no question, there's no question

0:35:15.160 --> 0:35:17.960
<v Speaker 15>that they understand. I mean, they're proven them. Their view

0:35:17.960 --> 0:35:19.920
<v Speaker 15>of President Trump is kind of like so many people's

0:35:20.000 --> 0:35:22.200
<v Speaker 15>view of Kurt Signetti and Indiana. I mean, how many

0:35:22.480 --> 0:35:25.279
<v Speaker 15>how many times do they have to stomp a top

0:35:25.320 --> 0:35:27.840
<v Speaker 15>ten or top five power before you take them seriously

0:35:27.920 --> 0:35:30.000
<v Speaker 15>and don't think that they've got imposter syndrome.

0:35:30.880 --> 0:35:33.040
<v Speaker 1>I agree with that, by the way, and that's a

0:35:33.160 --> 0:35:37.560
<v Speaker 1>very good analogy. In terms of options available to the president,

0:35:37.800 --> 0:35:40.160
<v Speaker 1>they don't all have to be kinetic. They can they

0:35:40.239 --> 0:35:44.520
<v Speaker 1>do anything to reconnect Iran to the outside world because

0:35:44.520 --> 0:35:46.280
<v Speaker 1>we don't know what's going on in the darkness.

0:35:47.480 --> 0:35:49.960
<v Speaker 15>Sure, I don't want to get into the precise details

0:35:49.960 --> 0:35:53.000
<v Speaker 15>of every option, but no, suffice to say, the president

0:35:53.280 --> 0:35:57.640
<v Speaker 15>has many options to help reduce the violence against the

0:35:57.640 --> 0:36:02.560
<v Speaker 15>Iranian people and increase the pressure on the regime, many

0:36:02.600 --> 0:36:05.120
<v Speaker 15>different levers that the United States people.

0:36:05.440 --> 0:36:09.040
<v Speaker 1>Now, last question, Senator, we know Israel would applaud any

0:36:09.520 --> 0:36:12.719
<v Speaker 1>application of forces there. What about our Gulf state allies?

0:36:12.960 --> 0:36:17.720
<v Speaker 1>Would they welcome the regime toppling falling apart in Iran?

0:36:20.400 --> 0:36:22.279
<v Speaker 15>They might not be vocal about it, Hugh, but I

0:36:22.280 --> 0:36:25.319
<v Speaker 15>think most Arab nations have had it with Iran and

0:36:25.360 --> 0:36:30.239
<v Speaker 15>Iran's efforts to try to establish that regional dominance over

0:36:30.280 --> 0:36:35.320
<v Speaker 15>Arab peoples, and many of those air nations have cooperated

0:36:35.360 --> 0:36:38.560
<v Speaker 15>with US in the past in ways that have often

0:36:38.560 --> 0:36:40.800
<v Speaker 15>get a lot of publicity. But is very, very welcome

0:36:40.880 --> 0:36:41.800
<v Speaker 15>from the United States.

0:36:41.640 --> 0:36:44.800
<v Speaker 1>Standpoint Centaer Tom Cotton, always a pleasure. Thank you, Senator.

0:36:44.800 --> 0:36:47.879
<v Speaker 1>I appreciate your time today. Don't go anywhere, America. I'm

0:36:47.920 --> 0:36:50.800
<v Speaker 1>going to come back later this hour with Mark Dubowitz.

0:36:51.120 --> 0:36:53.400
<v Speaker 1>More of your phone calls during the break one eight

0:36:53.520 --> 0:36:55.480
<v Speaker 1>hundred and five to two oh one, two three four.

0:36:55.920 --> 0:36:59.880
<v Speaker 1>Do you welcome President Trump taking kinetic military action against

0:37:00.239 --> 0:37:04.640
<v Speaker 1>Iran or something that we can see. I'm primarily concerned

0:37:04.680 --> 0:37:07.360
<v Speaker 1>that we not end up with a Barack Obama redline

0:37:07.360 --> 0:37:10.800
<v Speaker 1>that evaporates and all that follows, or a Joe Biden

0:37:10.920 --> 0:37:15.200
<v Speaker 1>collapse of will in Afghanistan. Iran is always prospered that

0:37:15.280 --> 0:37:17.120
<v Speaker 1>the Mullahs, I should say, the Mula is not the

0:37:17.120 --> 0:37:20.480
<v Speaker 1>Iranian people. The Mullas have always done well under Jimmy Carter,

0:37:20.600 --> 0:37:23.919
<v Speaker 1>Bill Clinton, Barack Obama and Joe Biden. They haven't done

0:37:23.960 --> 0:37:26.440
<v Speaker 1>as Well, when a Republican's been in office and Donald

0:37:26.480 --> 0:37:29.200
<v Speaker 1>Trump is their worst nightmare, I want him to stay

0:37:29.200 --> 0:37:31.120
<v Speaker 1>that way. Stay tuned. What do you think? One eight

0:37:31.239 --> 0:37:33.439
<v Speaker 1>hundred and five to two oh one two three four

0:37:33.600 --> 0:37:38.239
<v Speaker 1>connection you to me, Heal, Welcome back to America. I'm

0:37:38.320 --> 0:37:39.960
<v Speaker 1>Hugh hewittt. As you heard me say at the beginning

0:37:39.960 --> 0:37:43.160
<v Speaker 1>of the show, the biggest story in the world is

0:37:43.160 --> 0:37:45.920
<v Speaker 1>what's going on in Iran. And I know we are

0:37:45.920 --> 0:37:49.160
<v Speaker 1>all have our favorite interesting stories, and I cover the

0:37:49.200 --> 0:37:51.480
<v Speaker 1>news as it breaks, But the biggest story in the

0:37:51.560 --> 0:37:54.360
<v Speaker 1>world is in Iran. For forty seven years that tyranny

0:37:54.360 --> 0:37:57.000
<v Speaker 1>has been in place, and for almost as long, the

0:37:57.120 --> 0:38:00.240
<v Speaker 1>Foundation for the Defensive Democracy has been working to bring

0:38:00.360 --> 0:38:04.200
<v Speaker 1>it down and free the people of Iran. Joining us

0:38:04.239 --> 0:38:06.480
<v Speaker 1>now is the CEO of the Foundation for the Defense

0:38:06.520 --> 0:38:08.839
<v Speaker 1>of Democracy, Age Mark Dubovitz, who has been on with

0:38:08.880 --> 0:38:12.520
<v Speaker 1>me before. He did a great podcast Areas last year

0:38:12.560 --> 0:38:16.040
<v Speaker 1>on Iran, which in twelve parts. He added another part

0:38:16.080 --> 0:38:20.880
<v Speaker 1>this weekend called Iran Breakdown. I recommend it to you. Mark. Welcome.

0:38:21.360 --> 0:38:23.480
<v Speaker 1>Let me start with a big what's your reaction to

0:38:23.520 --> 0:38:27.719
<v Speaker 1>what's happened over the last two weeks in the day, Well, cheer.

0:38:27.760 --> 0:38:30.000
<v Speaker 13>Thanks so much for having me on. Look here, it's extraordinary.

0:38:30.000 --> 0:38:31.920
<v Speaker 16>I mean, as you said, I've been working on Iran

0:38:31.960 --> 0:38:36.360
<v Speaker 16>for twenty two years, working with lots of administrations, including

0:38:36.560 --> 0:38:40.200
<v Speaker 16>the Trump administration. Both Trump administrations on maximum pressure on

0:38:40.239 --> 0:38:43.160
<v Speaker 16>the regime but also encouraging maximum support.

0:38:42.840 --> 0:38:44.680
<v Speaker 13>For the Iranian people. And the Radiom people have been

0:38:44.680 --> 0:38:45.560
<v Speaker 13>out of the streets.

0:38:45.280 --> 0:38:48.400
<v Speaker 16>Since two thousand and nine, repeatedly calling for death to

0:38:48.440 --> 0:38:53.600
<v Speaker 16>the dictator and the Islamic Republic, establish relations with America,

0:38:53.800 --> 0:38:56.439
<v Speaker 16>with Israel, and now in the past two weeks they've

0:38:56.440 --> 0:39:00.680
<v Speaker 16>taken to the streets. Millions of Iranians are on those treats,

0:39:00.880 --> 0:39:03.440
<v Speaker 16>but they're also getting mowed down by the security forces.

0:39:03.480 --> 0:39:06.560
<v Speaker 16>Thousands of Iranians have been slaughtered, Tens of thousands have

0:39:06.600 --> 0:39:11.520
<v Speaker 16>been arrested, tortured, and dozens executed. So it is a

0:39:11.640 --> 0:39:14.960
<v Speaker 16>pivotal moment for the United States, for Iran, for the region.

0:39:15.600 --> 0:39:19.000
<v Speaker 1>So I've stressed in my audience they can't trust what

0:39:19.040 --> 0:39:21.840
<v Speaker 1>they see on X unless they know that the person

0:39:21.920 --> 0:39:24.600
<v Speaker 1>on X is someone they can trust. They can trust

0:39:24.640 --> 0:39:28.640
<v Speaker 1>you and trust Cliff may Kareem Saide you pour at Carnegie.

0:39:28.760 --> 0:39:31.319
<v Speaker 1>You've got a lot of colleagues at FDD, I'm pushing out,

0:39:31.760 --> 0:39:34.800
<v Speaker 1>how do you tell if you're just, you know, newbie

0:39:34.840 --> 0:39:37.920
<v Speaker 1>to the Iran issue, who to trust on this about

0:39:37.960 --> 0:39:40.799
<v Speaker 1>what's going on there since the regime is severed outside

0:39:41.239 --> 0:39:44.319
<v Speaker 1>world contact with the people of Tehran and across all

0:39:44.360 --> 0:39:44.760
<v Speaker 1>of Iran.

0:39:46.560 --> 0:39:48.839
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, I mean here, listen, it's difficult to know what's

0:39:48.840 --> 0:39:50.239
<v Speaker 16>going on in the ground because, as you said, they've

0:39:50.280 --> 0:39:53.840
<v Speaker 16>shut down the Internet, they're interfering with starlink access. Videos

0:39:53.840 --> 0:39:57.080
<v Speaker 16>are still coming in, and we're certainly seeing what's happening

0:39:57.160 --> 0:39:59.759
<v Speaker 16>on the ground. What do I trust? I don't trust

0:39:59.800 --> 0:40:02.839
<v Speaker 16>any but he defending the regime number one. Number two,

0:40:03.000 --> 0:40:05.880
<v Speaker 16>I don't trust anybody saying that US intervention is going

0:40:05.920 --> 0:40:07.920
<v Speaker 16>to lead to some kind of rally around the flag.

0:40:08.600 --> 0:40:10.840
<v Speaker 16>The notion that millions of Iranians are on the streets

0:40:11.200 --> 0:40:14.040
<v Speaker 16>and they're getting mowed down by the security forces, but somehow,

0:40:14.080 --> 0:40:17.799
<v Speaker 16>with President Trump intervenes and goes against the regime, these

0:40:17.840 --> 0:40:20.759
<v Speaker 16>Iranians are going to defend the regime, I think is nonsense.

0:40:20.960 --> 0:40:23.200
<v Speaker 13>So anybody's saying nap should not be trusted.

0:40:23.520 --> 0:40:26.280
<v Speaker 16>I think a lot of good Iranian voices, my colleague said,

0:40:26.320 --> 0:40:29.160
<v Speaker 16>got Samanajad certainly Resipolovy.

0:40:29.280 --> 0:40:30.080
<v Speaker 13>I mean, he's all.

0:40:29.960 --> 0:40:32.440
<v Speaker 16>Over social media, the crown Prince, the son of the

0:40:32.440 --> 0:40:36.720
<v Speaker 16>former Shaw. He has been very articulate and I certainly

0:40:36.760 --> 0:40:39.280
<v Speaker 16>would trust many of the things that he's saying.

0:40:39.640 --> 0:40:42.880
<v Speaker 1>Okay, now let's talk about what the president can do.

0:40:42.960 --> 0:40:46.400
<v Speaker 1>He was my guest last Thursday, and he said very bluntly,

0:40:46.760 --> 0:40:49.400
<v Speaker 1>will hit him very very hard if they kill people.

0:40:49.440 --> 0:40:51.719
<v Speaker 1>But he also gave him a little bit of an out.

0:40:51.719 --> 0:40:54.400
<v Speaker 1>He said some of these deaths were because of stampede.

0:40:54.480 --> 0:40:57.040
<v Speaker 1>Later that night, he didn't use that out with Sean

0:40:57.080 --> 0:40:59.759
<v Speaker 1>Hannity as much, and it's been totally abandoned by Sunday night.

0:41:00.120 --> 0:41:02.080
<v Speaker 1>The president now knows there are thousands of people dead.

0:41:02.120 --> 0:41:05.799
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure we've confirmed that to him. What could he do,

0:41:06.120 --> 0:41:09.560
<v Speaker 1>in your view that would be most effective in framing Iran?

0:41:11.520 --> 0:41:12.560
<v Speaker 13>So I think there are a number of things he

0:41:12.560 --> 0:41:12.799
<v Speaker 13>can do.

0:41:12.840 --> 0:41:15.920
<v Speaker 16>I mean, first of all is to target the security

0:41:15.960 --> 0:41:18.520
<v Speaker 16>forces that are actually engaged in this brutal repression.

0:41:18.960 --> 0:41:20.759
<v Speaker 13>Go after the repression apparatus.

0:41:20.760 --> 0:41:23.640
<v Speaker 16>And you could do that through offensive cyber and or

0:41:23.680 --> 0:41:27.839
<v Speaker 16>military strikes against the IOGC design of Revolutionary Guard Corps,

0:41:27.920 --> 0:41:31.759
<v Speaker 16>the besiege the police. These are the people that are

0:41:31.760 --> 0:41:36.600
<v Speaker 16>engaged in this brutal repression. Number two is already to

0:41:36.640 --> 0:41:39.799
<v Speaker 16>reach out Thelon mosque Is to try to restore or

0:41:40.040 --> 0:41:43.319
<v Speaker 16>improve the starlink connection. So these videos are coming out

0:41:43.400 --> 0:41:46.680
<v Speaker 16>Iranians right now being murdered in the dark. They need

0:41:46.719 --> 0:41:49.440
<v Speaker 16>to be brought to light, and that's very important. I

0:41:49.480 --> 0:41:51.239
<v Speaker 16>think the presidents and Elon can do that.

0:41:51.600 --> 0:41:52.120
<v Speaker 13>Number Three.

0:41:52.840 --> 0:41:56.520
<v Speaker 16>You know what Premister Natyahu and President Trump discussed at

0:41:56.560 --> 0:41:59.000
<v Speaker 16>the end of December that you reported on you was

0:41:59.080 --> 0:42:02.920
<v Speaker 16>the growth and reconstituting Iranian missile program, which is going

0:42:02.960 --> 0:42:06.440
<v Speaker 16>to represent a significant threat to the United States and Israel.

0:42:06.520 --> 0:42:09.319
<v Speaker 16>As it gets rebuilt. The Israelis are going to go

0:42:09.400 --> 0:42:11.960
<v Speaker 16>take it out. I think better the United States takes

0:42:12.000 --> 0:42:13.759
<v Speaker 16>it out. Because of the United States takes out the

0:42:13.880 --> 0:42:17.040
<v Speaker 16>missile program, Kamine, the Supreme leader of Iran, is going

0:42:17.080 --> 0:42:19.759
<v Speaker 16>to be quite reluctant to respond because he knows that

0:42:19.800 --> 0:42:22.040
<v Speaker 16>if he tacks the United States, that's the end of

0:42:22.080 --> 0:42:24.360
<v Speaker 16>his regime. If the Israelis take it out, it's going

0:42:24.440 --> 0:42:27.279
<v Speaker 16>to lead to another round around with fire. Hundreds of

0:42:27.520 --> 0:42:30.000
<v Speaker 16>thousands of ballistic missiles at Israel, and we're going to

0:42:30.040 --> 0:42:32.160
<v Speaker 16>be in a major war in the United States, and

0:42:32.200 --> 0:42:33.680
<v Speaker 16>President Trump's going to have to deal with that.

0:42:33.800 --> 0:42:35.600
<v Speaker 13>So I think President Trump, if he has the.

0:42:35.560 --> 0:42:39.680
<v Speaker 16>Opportunity, take out those dangerous ballistic missiles, support the people,

0:42:39.880 --> 0:42:43.400
<v Speaker 16>unlock the communications, go after the regime apparatus.

0:42:43.719 --> 0:42:46.319
<v Speaker 1>Mark. This is a difficult question for anyone to answer,

0:42:46.400 --> 0:42:49.280
<v Speaker 1>but you'll know if anybody knows. I heard Kareem today

0:42:49.480 --> 0:42:52.080
<v Speaker 1>in a podcast with Dan Senor say that the IRGC

0:42:52.200 --> 0:42:54.640
<v Speaker 1>is one hundred and fifty thousand strong. All right, Iran

0:42:54.760 --> 0:42:58.600
<v Speaker 1>ninety million people, ten percent, nine million people, one percent

0:42:58.640 --> 0:43:01.400
<v Speaker 1>of nine hundred thousand people, So one hundred and fifty

0:43:01.520 --> 0:43:04.880
<v Speaker 1>thousand igher GC members. That's a third of one percent.

0:43:05.600 --> 0:43:10.040
<v Speaker 1>How hard is it to overthrow one hundred and fifty

0:43:10.120 --> 0:43:13.200
<v Speaker 1>thousand thugs. It's a lot of thugs. They got a

0:43:13.239 --> 0:43:15.240
<v Speaker 1>lot of guns there, or any other guns in the Iran.

0:43:15.280 --> 0:43:19.840
<v Speaker 1>But that's not a big police state. It's a relatively small,

0:43:19.920 --> 0:43:20.359
<v Speaker 1>isn't it.

0:43:22.040 --> 0:43:24.040
<v Speaker 13>Well, there's one hundred fifty thousand ier GC.

0:43:24.360 --> 0:43:27.279
<v Speaker 16>There's probably two to three million members of the Basiege,

0:43:27.320 --> 0:43:30.480
<v Speaker 16>which is their militia. Those are the thods that drive

0:43:30.520 --> 0:43:36.320
<v Speaker 16>around in motorcycles and beat up and torture and kill Iranians,

0:43:36.360 --> 0:43:38.799
<v Speaker 16>So you've got a couple of million there, and they're

0:43:38.840 --> 0:43:40.080
<v Speaker 16>also importing.

0:43:39.719 --> 0:43:41.200
<v Speaker 13>Thods from Iraq.

0:43:41.600 --> 0:43:45.040
<v Speaker 16>This is the Iraqi Hizbala and the Schiaik militias that

0:43:45.040 --> 0:43:48.400
<v Speaker 16>they're bringing in, bringing in Arabs to kill Persians because

0:43:48.400 --> 0:43:51.319
<v Speaker 16>in some cases the security force is throwing to turn

0:43:51.360 --> 0:43:54.440
<v Speaker 16>their guns on their own people. So the regime's apparatus

0:43:54.480 --> 0:43:55.080
<v Speaker 16>is formidable.

0:43:55.080 --> 0:43:55.839
<v Speaker 13>But you're right, listen.

0:43:55.920 --> 0:43:58.520
<v Speaker 16>I mean, there's ninety two million Iranians, and if ten

0:43:58.560 --> 0:44:01.000
<v Speaker 16>percent came to the street, they.

0:44:00.840 --> 0:44:02.520
<v Speaker 13>Could overwhelm the security forces.

0:44:02.800 --> 0:44:06.120
<v Speaker 16>And certainly some of them are armed, particularly some of

0:44:06.160 --> 0:44:08.680
<v Speaker 16>the Kurdish groups, the Baluchies and others.

0:44:08.719 --> 0:44:11.360
<v Speaker 13>So I think that's that's certainly a potential.

0:44:11.640 --> 0:44:15.360
<v Speaker 1>So, Mark, you're not old enough to remember the actual revolution.

0:44:15.600 --> 0:44:17.840
<v Speaker 1>I watched it in real time with Right Price and

0:44:17.920 --> 0:44:21.200
<v Speaker 1>Richard Nixon San Clementy my second job out of college.

0:44:21.960 --> 0:44:25.320
<v Speaker 1>People marched in the daytime. Then do you expect anti

0:44:25.400 --> 0:44:27.280
<v Speaker 1>regime marches to occur in the daytime?

0:44:29.239 --> 0:44:29.799
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, they are.

0:44:29.880 --> 0:44:32.000
<v Speaker 16>They're occurring in the daytime, they occurring in the nighttime.

0:44:32.239 --> 0:44:34.759
<v Speaker 16>I mean, what I'm worried about you is that if

0:44:34.760 --> 0:44:37.800
<v Speaker 16>there's no US intervention, that these protests are going to

0:44:37.880 --> 0:44:40.640
<v Speaker 16>die off because of the brutal repression, and whether it's

0:44:40.680 --> 0:44:43.879
<v Speaker 16>day or night, the guns are being turned on Iranians.

0:44:44.400 --> 0:44:45.560
<v Speaker 13>Thousands are being slaughtered.

0:44:45.600 --> 0:44:48.000
<v Speaker 16>At some point, They're just going to have to They're

0:44:48.000 --> 0:44:49.560
<v Speaker 16>going to stay home, and if they.

0:44:49.480 --> 0:44:51.319
<v Speaker 13>Stay home, the regime is going to come out of this.

0:44:51.760 --> 0:44:55.520
<v Speaker 16>Yes, a wounded animal, but a bitter one, a lethal one,

0:44:55.760 --> 0:44:58.000
<v Speaker 16>a much more dangerous one. And I'd be worried that

0:44:58.200 --> 0:44:59.800
<v Speaker 16>Ryan's will never go back on the streets.

0:45:00.440 --> 0:45:04.000
<v Speaker 1>Follow Mark on exit m dubouts, follow everyone at FTD

0:45:04.239 --> 0:45:07.719
<v Speaker 1>at FDD, Mark is coming back next hour. So other

0:45:07.880 --> 0:45:11.879
<v Speaker 1>my drivetime audience in the inside the Beltway, here's them

0:45:12.200 --> 0:45:14.120
<v Speaker 1>for six minutes to repeat a lot of this. So

0:45:14.520 --> 0:45:17.120
<v Speaker 1>make sure you listen to those segments of my interview

0:45:17.120 --> 0:45:20.080
<v Speaker 1>with Mark Dubowitz and follow him and follow the Foundation

0:45:20.200 --> 0:45:24.240
<v Speaker 1>for the Defensive Democracy Station Morning Glory and Evening Grace America.

0:45:24.360 --> 0:45:26.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm Hu Jewett. Welcome to our three of today's program.

0:45:26.840 --> 0:45:30.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm joined by Rear Admiral Mark Montgomery, retired United States Navy,

0:45:30.680 --> 0:45:33.680
<v Speaker 1>now Senior Fellow with the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies.

0:45:33.719 --> 0:45:36.719
<v Speaker 1>I had the CEO of FDD on last hour. Mark

0:45:36.760 --> 0:45:39.760
<v Speaker 1>Dubouts Part two is going to come up this hour. Admiral.

0:45:39.840 --> 0:45:41.920
<v Speaker 1>I first want to begin by saying I listened to

0:45:42.000 --> 0:45:45.759
<v Speaker 1>your conversation with Aaron McClain at the School of War.

0:45:46.360 --> 0:45:49.080
<v Speaker 1>That was fascinating, and I had no idea that you

0:45:49.200 --> 0:45:52.360
<v Speaker 1>liked the arly Burke destroyer that much. I take a

0:45:52.360 --> 0:45:54.560
<v Speaker 1>few people up and down that river where they've got

0:45:54.560 --> 0:45:57.360
<v Speaker 1>three books underway at any given time. There ought to

0:45:57.400 --> 0:45:59.120
<v Speaker 1>be ten underway at any given time.

0:46:00.600 --> 0:46:03.839
<v Speaker 14>Now absolutely right, arly Burke, we've built eighty of them.

0:46:03.880 --> 0:46:06.480
<v Speaker 14>We've got ten out a contract. It is the singular

0:46:06.640 --> 0:46:08.640
<v Speaker 14>best ship build. It is the proof we can do

0:46:08.719 --> 0:46:12.080
<v Speaker 14>things right when so many other things tell us we can't.

0:46:13.239 --> 0:46:15.759
<v Speaker 14>It's it's and it's a beautiful ship. I mean, the

0:46:15.760 --> 0:46:16.959
<v Speaker 14>President and I are just going to have to agree

0:46:17.000 --> 0:46:20.120
<v Speaker 14>to disagree on that. On top of it, by having

0:46:20.200 --> 0:46:23.720
<v Speaker 14>eighty and now going to ninety, you can defray costs

0:46:23.760 --> 0:46:26.920
<v Speaker 14>of any individual change across eighty or ninety ships.

0:46:27.200 --> 0:46:30.560
<v Speaker 17>So a twenty million dollars change costs on that ship, you.

0:46:30.560 --> 0:46:34.560
<v Speaker 14>Know, two hundred thousand dollars, But on a DDG one thousand,

0:46:34.600 --> 0:46:35.560
<v Speaker 14>well only have three ships.

0:46:35.560 --> 0:46:38.759
<v Speaker 17>A twenty million dollar change costs seven million for that ship.

0:46:38.840 --> 0:46:43.440
<v Speaker 14>So it's a beautiful classes ship built by both you know,

0:46:44.920 --> 0:46:49.600
<v Speaker 14>Angles and Bath iron Works, you know, in two different states. Beautifully,

0:46:50.040 --> 0:46:53.719
<v Speaker 14>it is the best surface large service companent in the

0:46:53.760 --> 0:46:56.840
<v Speaker 14>world today and it will be for the next fifteen

0:46:56.880 --> 0:46:59.759
<v Speaker 14>to twenty years because the investments we made in new

0:46:59.800 --> 0:47:03.640
<v Speaker 14>a just baselines nine and eventually ten, in new weapons

0:47:03.680 --> 0:47:08.200
<v Speaker 14>systems and in modernizing the hull and mechanical plan.

0:47:08.480 --> 0:47:10.920
<v Speaker 1>Every time I go by it, there's one ready to

0:47:11.080 --> 0:47:14.919
<v Speaker 1>be commissioned. There's one in the final stages when they're

0:47:14.920 --> 0:47:17.360
<v Speaker 1>putting the aged stuff on it though it's behind the curtain,

0:47:17.719 --> 0:47:20.880
<v Speaker 1>and then there's one that is just getting underway. So

0:47:20.920 --> 0:47:24.200
<v Speaker 1>I think they're doing about one every two years. Is

0:47:24.239 --> 0:47:26.719
<v Speaker 1>that about right up in Bath? I don't know what

0:47:26.719 --> 0:47:27.759
<v Speaker 1>they're doing in Mississippi.

0:47:29.239 --> 0:47:32.719
<v Speaker 14>I'd say one per year in each yard, and it

0:47:32.840 --> 0:47:35.000
<v Speaker 14>really gets out too closer to two and a half

0:47:35.080 --> 0:47:37.600
<v Speaker 14>per year between the two yards total. And there'll be

0:47:37.680 --> 0:47:39.959
<v Speaker 14>perturbations where we launched four in a year, but then.

0:47:39.840 --> 0:47:41.520
<v Speaker 17>The next year only two. You know how it is.

0:47:42.360 --> 0:47:44.959
<v Speaker 17>But yes, it's you know what, that's consistent ship.

0:47:44.960 --> 0:47:47.600
<v Speaker 14>But we bought the ones you're watching were bought in

0:47:47.680 --> 0:47:52.359
<v Speaker 14>a lot of nine ships that guaranteed both yards consistent,

0:47:53.080 --> 0:47:57.480
<v Speaker 14>predictable money, so they could invest in modernization if they

0:47:57.560 --> 0:48:00.360
<v Speaker 14>chose to, and they could invest in a work force.

0:48:01.280 --> 0:48:05.000
<v Speaker 1>Now, Admiral the President on this program on Thursday said

0:48:05.040 --> 0:48:07.120
<v Speaker 1>he is asking for a trillion and a half next

0:48:07.160 --> 0:48:10.520
<v Speaker 1>year in the defense budget. That's great. Can it be

0:48:10.680 --> 0:48:13.040
<v Speaker 1>banked if there's nowhere to spend it? I mean, can

0:48:13.080 --> 0:48:16.680
<v Speaker 1>it be appropriated and banked over it at either bath

0:48:16.719 --> 0:48:20.200
<v Speaker 1>Ironworks or Huntington Angles or whoever's making whatever general dynamics

0:48:20.200 --> 0:48:24.359
<v Speaker 1>down in Connecticut? Can Can that money be appropriated and

0:48:24.440 --> 0:48:26.279
<v Speaker 1>spent but not outlaid?

0:48:28.040 --> 0:48:31.080
<v Speaker 14>So obviously we're talking about an extra five hundred billion

0:48:31.120 --> 0:48:34.080
<v Speaker 14>the current budget this year's nine hundred one is it's

0:48:34.080 --> 0:48:36.400
<v Speaker 14>going to be nine. It looks like nine hundred one

0:48:36.440 --> 0:48:39.920
<v Speaker 14>billion plus about one hundred and fifty billion reconciliation.

0:48:40.800 --> 0:48:41.759
<v Speaker 17>It's just going to be up there.

0:48:41.800 --> 0:48:43.359
<v Speaker 14>May it may a little less one hundred fifty billion

0:48:43.400 --> 0:48:46.880
<v Speaker 14>of the reconciliation money spent. What he's talking about is

0:48:46.920 --> 0:48:50.720
<v Speaker 14>increasing at five hundred billion. That's a great question you're asking.

0:48:50.760 --> 0:48:53.640
<v Speaker 14>I actually think that there are ways to do some

0:48:53.760 --> 0:48:55.880
<v Speaker 14>of it. You know, with shipbuilding that you could get

0:48:56.400 --> 0:48:58.640
<v Speaker 14>some multi year money in there, but I think it'd

0:48:58.680 --> 0:49:03.200
<v Speaker 14>be very challenging spend all of it that fast. I

0:49:03.200 --> 0:49:05.240
<v Speaker 14>think he's going to have challenges getting a three hundred

0:49:05.239 --> 0:49:07.680
<v Speaker 14>billion I think the plan would be three hundred billion reconciliation,

0:49:09.080 --> 0:49:11.440
<v Speaker 14>one hundred and fifty to two billion dollar increase in base,

0:49:12.040 --> 0:49:14.160
<v Speaker 14>which the Democrats wore, probably push for one hundred and

0:49:14.200 --> 0:49:17.160
<v Speaker 14>fifty to two billion in non defense discretion rank base.

0:49:17.440 --> 0:49:20.200
<v Speaker 14>And I think at that point everybody you know from

0:49:20.320 --> 0:49:22.360
<v Speaker 14>conservative financial circles heads.

0:49:22.280 --> 0:49:24.319
<v Speaker 1>Now, we don't know, we don't want that. Yeah, but

0:49:24.560 --> 0:49:28.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm thinking that the Columbia Class is not funded, but

0:49:28.280 --> 0:49:33.680
<v Speaker 1>the defense, the whole triad depends upon it getting launched

0:49:33.680 --> 0:49:37.160
<v Speaker 1>in eight years, doesn't it.

0:49:37.600 --> 0:49:41.440
<v Speaker 14>Look I think that the Columbia Class will, you know,

0:49:41.760 --> 0:49:44.400
<v Speaker 14>have some slippage and some cost overs, but I actually

0:49:44.400 --> 0:49:48.680
<v Speaker 14>think by by current historical standards, it's going to be

0:49:48.800 --> 0:49:52.520
<v Speaker 14>a good A good program look to be. Twenty one's

0:49:52.560 --> 0:49:54.400
<v Speaker 14>done fantastic. You've got to give the Air Force a

0:49:54.480 --> 0:49:58.120
<v Speaker 14>lot of credit. That thing is delivering close to on cost,

0:49:58.360 --> 0:50:02.520
<v Speaker 14>close to on time with you. And one of the

0:50:02.520 --> 0:50:05.799
<v Speaker 14>reasons is they've been very consistent, like not making significant

0:50:05.840 --> 0:50:07.760
<v Speaker 14>changes to the platform was still in design.

0:50:07.800 --> 0:50:10.680
<v Speaker 17>This is something where we failed on the Finkolntarry.

0:50:10.160 --> 0:50:14.279
<v Speaker 14>Class, on the Constellation class frigate at the Fincotary Yard.

0:50:14.320 --> 0:50:16.799
<v Speaker 17>The US Navy got their fingers in.

0:50:16.800 --> 0:50:19.840
<v Speaker 14>The pie way too often changing the requirements and that

0:50:19.920 --> 0:50:22.360
<v Speaker 14>was a major driver and our failure there. So the

0:50:22.400 --> 0:50:25.239
<v Speaker 14>answer he is, we probably will get all this done.

0:50:25.320 --> 0:50:27.399
<v Speaker 14>I don't think it'll be eight years. I think it'll

0:50:27.440 --> 0:50:28.920
<v Speaker 14>be ten. I don't think if we say it's a

0:50:28.920 --> 0:50:30.720
<v Speaker 14>one hundred billion, I think it'll be one hundred and twenty.

0:50:31.000 --> 0:50:35.440
<v Speaker 14>But these are predictable increases in costs and growth.

0:50:35.560 --> 0:50:38.680
<v Speaker 1>All right, Well, I'm finally glad to hear some good news,

0:50:38.680 --> 0:50:42.120
<v Speaker 1>and I was very encouraged by your conversation with Aaron McLain.

0:50:42.160 --> 0:50:45.239
<v Speaker 1>I recommend everyone go to school of war. Now, what

0:50:45.440 --> 0:50:49.560
<v Speaker 1>kinetic option does the president have available tonight? There are

0:50:49.600 --> 0:50:51.680
<v Speaker 1>a million people in the streets of Tehran as you

0:50:51.680 --> 0:50:54.279
<v Speaker 1>and I are talking right now. The images I've seen

0:50:54.320 --> 0:50:57.400
<v Speaker 1>are extraordinary. If he wants to send a message to

0:50:57.520 --> 0:51:00.520
<v Speaker 1>stop mowing them down as has been happening for the

0:51:00.600 --> 0:51:03.400
<v Speaker 1>last four nights, what can he do that gets the

0:51:03.440 --> 0:51:10.080
<v Speaker 1>attention of the Ayatolahamini and the IRGC, so I think.

0:51:10.000 --> 0:51:10.799
<v Speaker 17>We have two.

0:51:10.960 --> 0:51:14.760
<v Speaker 14>First of all, there's complaints we don't have a carrier

0:51:14.760 --> 0:51:17.200
<v Speaker 14>strike over this moment, that's true. But what we do

0:51:17.320 --> 0:51:22.640
<v Speaker 14>have is a B two fleet that can operate even

0:51:22.680 --> 0:51:26.320
<v Speaker 14>if Israel had not rolled back the whole Iranian.

0:51:25.920 --> 0:51:28.000
<v Speaker 17>Air defense networks, which they did.

0:51:29.000 --> 0:51:31.719
<v Speaker 14>And then operated with some I would say ease, but

0:51:32.440 --> 0:51:38.759
<v Speaker 14>consistency over Iranian airspace. Those B two's delivering each delivering

0:51:38.880 --> 0:51:41.880
<v Speaker 14>you know, up to you know, twenty five to fifty

0:51:42.000 --> 0:51:46.960
<v Speaker 14>precision guided munitions very accurately, could.

0:51:46.760 --> 0:51:48.759
<v Speaker 17>Really do a number. You know, these aren't the four

0:51:48.840 --> 0:51:49.320
<v Speaker 17>dough bombs.

0:51:49.360 --> 0:51:52.520
<v Speaker 14>These are lots of small bombs could be delivered very accurately,

0:51:52.960 --> 0:51:54.560
<v Speaker 14>and they could get in and out safely.

0:51:54.920 --> 0:51:56.840
<v Speaker 17>Also, we could use long ring.

0:51:56.760 --> 0:52:00.319
<v Speaker 14>Strike tomahawks from destroyers that are in the Middle least.

0:52:00.360 --> 0:52:04.520
<v Speaker 14>And if there are submarines, particularly one of our modified

0:52:04.760 --> 0:52:08.640
<v Speaker 14>SSGN Ohio class submarines, then we could deliver a lot

0:52:08.640 --> 0:52:11.400
<v Speaker 14>of tomahawk as well. But really I would be relying

0:52:11.440 --> 0:52:15.760
<v Speaker 14>heavily on our penetrating bomber, the B two stealth.

0:52:16.080 --> 0:52:19.319
<v Speaker 1>So, Admiral, you're a student of deterrence. We've talked about

0:52:19.360 --> 0:52:22.520
<v Speaker 1>it a lot. The President has made the threat five times,

0:52:22.560 --> 0:52:25.000
<v Speaker 1>and as recently as Thursday on this show, that he

0:52:25.080 --> 0:52:26.799
<v Speaker 1>did it again on Sean Hanny's show, that he did

0:52:26.840 --> 0:52:28.560
<v Speaker 1>it on Air Force one last night, and he did

0:52:28.600 --> 0:52:32.439
<v Speaker 1>it on True Social over the weekend. How much does

0:52:32.480 --> 0:52:35.200
<v Speaker 1>our credibility suffer if he does not follow through with

0:52:35.280 --> 0:52:36.040
<v Speaker 1>the kinetic strike?

0:52:36.160 --> 0:52:39.920
<v Speaker 14>Now, So, first of all, this sounds a lot like

0:52:40.080 --> 0:52:41.399
<v Speaker 14>Venezuela over three months.

0:52:41.480 --> 0:52:41.759
<v Speaker 1>Right now.

0:52:41.840 --> 0:52:45.200
<v Speaker 14>The thing I'd say, first you don't say I'm striking,

0:52:45.200 --> 0:52:47.400
<v Speaker 14>I'm striking, is then that night that's not fair to

0:52:47.440 --> 0:52:48.240
<v Speaker 14>the military forces.

0:52:48.239 --> 0:52:50.360
<v Speaker 17>Try to play around your lack of surprise.

0:52:50.400 --> 0:52:53.759
<v Speaker 14>So the President handled Venezuela perfectly three months of a

0:52:53.800 --> 0:52:56.919
<v Speaker 14>maximum pressure campaign. I didn't agree with every tool he used,

0:52:56.920 --> 0:52:59.600
<v Speaker 14>but he's president and he did a great job with it.

0:52:59.680 --> 0:53:03.600
<v Speaker 14>And by the time he even did like a title fifty,

0:53:04.200 --> 0:53:07.359
<v Speaker 14>it looks like intelligence strike one night around December twenty fourth,

0:53:07.680 --> 0:53:09.200
<v Speaker 14>just to send a signal I will hit you.

0:53:09.840 --> 0:53:12.279
<v Speaker 17>And then he hit him right and he grabbed a duro.

0:53:12.520 --> 0:53:15.799
<v Speaker 14>And so I think he's got a lot of credibility.

0:53:15.840 --> 0:53:17.440
<v Speaker 17>And if I say I'm going to use force, I

0:53:17.520 --> 0:53:19.279
<v Speaker 17>might use it on you. I guarantee.

0:53:19.400 --> 0:53:22.880
<v Speaker 14>China took an important lesson on the on the willingness

0:53:22.960 --> 0:53:26.239
<v Speaker 14>of Donald Trump to use force. Now in the case

0:53:26.239 --> 0:53:29.080
<v Speaker 14>of Iran, he said it a lot. Look conditions on

0:53:29.120 --> 0:53:33.480
<v Speaker 14>the ground, drive that can. Can the application of our

0:53:33.600 --> 0:53:38.040
<v Speaker 14>cost and position make it safer or more likely for

0:53:38.840 --> 0:53:41.320
<v Speaker 14>counter regime forces to succeed.

0:53:41.400 --> 0:53:43.520
<v Speaker 17>If they can, then he should use the weapons. But

0:53:43.560 --> 0:53:45.600
<v Speaker 17>what he signals to them is I'm willing to do it.

0:53:46.360 --> 0:53:48.480
<v Speaker 14>And they know we can bring B two s over

0:53:48.520 --> 0:53:51.800
<v Speaker 14>their airspace since we did it already, you know, early

0:53:52.160 --> 0:53:54.560
<v Speaker 14>in twenty twenty five with the four Dooh strikes. So

0:53:54.680 --> 0:53:56.520
<v Speaker 14>I think he's done the right thing. I don't think

0:53:56.560 --> 0:53:59.200
<v Speaker 14>we'll lose credibility if he doesn't strike, only because he

0:53:59.239 --> 0:54:02.359
<v Speaker 14>did it in venezuel and the conditions aren't perfect here in.

0:54:02.239 --> 0:54:03.120
<v Speaker 17>Iran just yet.

0:54:03.400 --> 0:54:06.160
<v Speaker 1>All right, last question, I don't know how starlink works.

0:54:06.320 --> 0:54:09.200
<v Speaker 1>That you do. You are the executive director of the Cyberslarium.

0:54:09.960 --> 0:54:14.520
<v Speaker 1>People keep saying Elon sent starlink. It's my civilian understanding,

0:54:14.560 --> 0:54:18.120
<v Speaker 1>which is a zero, that you've got to have receivers

0:54:18.160 --> 0:54:21.439
<v Speaker 1>on the ground for starlink in the sky to work.

0:54:21.600 --> 0:54:23.359
<v Speaker 1>Am I right or wrong? I don't mind being wrong.

0:54:23.400 --> 0:54:24.480
<v Speaker 1>You can tell the world I'm wrong.

0:54:24.480 --> 0:54:27.640
<v Speaker 14>If I'm wrong, the only way I've used it is

0:54:27.680 --> 0:54:30.440
<v Speaker 14>with receivers on the ground. I didn't ess I have

0:54:30.440 --> 0:54:32.560
<v Speaker 14>to have receiver, but someone with whom I was connected

0:54:32.560 --> 0:54:35.319
<v Speaker 14>to had to have a receiver. So do I think

0:54:35.320 --> 0:54:37.320
<v Speaker 14>there's starlink receivers on the ground in Iran?

0:54:37.440 --> 0:54:37.720
<v Speaker 17>Yes?

0:54:38.400 --> 0:54:40.640
<v Speaker 14>Do I think that the system? He has to align

0:54:40.640 --> 0:54:42.960
<v Speaker 14>the system properly so it can be utilized by the

0:54:43.000 --> 0:54:46.960
<v Speaker 14>people potentially. So I think the question might be, is

0:54:46.960 --> 0:54:51.600
<v Speaker 14>starlink being aligned so they can properly be utilized by people,

0:54:52.480 --> 0:54:56.120
<v Speaker 14>you know who are not complicit with the government, And

0:54:56.160 --> 0:54:57.680
<v Speaker 14>that's a good question to ask him.

0:54:57.760 --> 0:55:03.319
<v Speaker 1>But quick bonus, do we have the capability of interrupting

0:55:03.560 --> 0:55:07.480
<v Speaker 1>their jamming which is going on of starlink and other

0:55:07.520 --> 0:55:09.960
<v Speaker 1>cyber efforts. Do we have a cyber tool available that

0:55:10.000 --> 0:55:12.319
<v Speaker 1>can hit them that we don't have to see?

0:55:12.920 --> 0:55:16.279
<v Speaker 14>We have cyber tools and kinetic tools, and we are

0:55:16.360 --> 0:55:21.440
<v Speaker 14>world class counter jamming, you know, suppressing jamming with our

0:55:21.480 --> 0:55:22.120
<v Speaker 14>kinetic tools.

0:55:22.120 --> 0:55:23.040
<v Speaker 17>We're very good at it.

0:55:24.040 --> 0:55:25.799
<v Speaker 14>And you only have to do it once before the

0:55:25.800 --> 0:55:28.200
<v Speaker 14>guy who owns the jamming system says, you know, I'd

0:55:28.239 --> 0:55:32.320
<v Speaker 14>prefer to not be on you know, so I would

0:55:32.680 --> 0:55:35.920
<v Speaker 14>that's a kinetic weapon that could be released at them.

0:55:36.560 --> 0:55:39.240
<v Speaker 17>But in addition, do I think they're cyber tools? Yes.

0:55:40.040 --> 0:55:43.239
<v Speaker 1>Admiral Mark Montgomery or Admiral Montgomery, thank you so much

0:55:43.280 --> 0:55:45.840
<v Speaker 1>for joining us on both the ship building and the

0:55:45.840 --> 0:55:48.080
<v Speaker 1>orion question. We'll talk to you again soon on both.

0:55:48.400 --> 0:55:51.479
<v Speaker 1>I appreciate your time coming right back America with David

0:55:51.560 --> 0:56:06.080
<v Speaker 1>Vahnson talking about the economistint It. Welcome back in America.

0:56:06.160 --> 0:56:09.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm Hugh Hewett. I was just reading online joined by

0:56:09.719 --> 0:56:13.520
<v Speaker 1>David Boson, CEO of the Bonson Group. David, Happy New

0:56:13.600 --> 0:56:15.279
<v Speaker 1>Year to you. Good to talk to you. I was

0:56:15.400 --> 0:56:19.120
<v Speaker 1>just reading that President Trump has imposed a secondary tariff

0:56:19.400 --> 0:56:23.600
<v Speaker 1>on Iran twenty five percent additional tariff on the goods

0:56:23.600 --> 0:56:27.120
<v Speaker 1>of any country that does business with Iran. I've never

0:56:27.160 --> 0:56:28.799
<v Speaker 1>seen that before, have you?

0:56:31.400 --> 0:56:31.560
<v Speaker 12>Uh?

0:56:32.120 --> 0:56:35.200
<v Speaker 18>Well, I guess I think there have been other issues

0:56:35.280 --> 0:56:40.040
<v Speaker 18>with smaller countries, and obviously there was a layering of

0:56:40.080 --> 0:56:43.279
<v Speaker 18>tariffs and sanctions is a better word for it with

0:56:43.520 --> 0:56:44.400
<v Speaker 18>Russia after.

0:56:44.200 --> 0:56:45.880
<v Speaker 6>The Ukraine invasion.

0:56:46.080 --> 0:56:49.719
<v Speaker 18>But I mean, trying to freeze Iran out seems to

0:56:49.760 --> 0:56:51.640
<v Speaker 18>me to be pretty good foreign policy.

0:56:51.920 --> 0:56:55.160
<v Speaker 1>Now it is a tariff. I know you don't like tariffs,

0:56:55.200 --> 0:56:58.240
<v Speaker 1>but that's a national security tariff if everyone was correct.

0:56:59.080 --> 0:57:02.480
<v Speaker 18>Yeah, yeah, that's I wouldn't consider that a protective tariff

0:57:02.480 --> 0:57:03.799
<v Speaker 18>in any way, shape or form.

0:57:03.840 --> 0:57:05.960
<v Speaker 17>It would be a national security sanction.

0:57:06.320 --> 0:57:06.520
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:57:06.840 --> 0:57:08.960
<v Speaker 1>So what I expect the Supreme Court to do with

0:57:09.080 --> 0:57:12.640
<v Speaker 1>the case before it is to reman the case without

0:57:12.640 --> 0:57:16.840
<v Speaker 1>a decision for tariff by tariff examination by the district

0:57:16.880 --> 0:57:18.720
<v Speaker 1>court as to whether or not there's a national security

0:57:18.760 --> 0:57:22.400
<v Speaker 1>in nexus. In other words, punt is that your expectation.

0:57:24.360 --> 0:57:26.400
<v Speaker 18>Well, look, you would be more of an expert than

0:57:26.440 --> 0:57:29.400
<v Speaker 18>I would on the legal side of it. They were

0:57:29.440 --> 0:57:32.880
<v Speaker 18>not national security rationales for the case that is before

0:57:32.920 --> 0:57:33.640
<v Speaker 18>the Supreme Court.

0:57:33.680 --> 0:57:34.480
<v Speaker 10>Now it's under.

0:57:34.320 --> 0:57:38.800
<v Speaker 18>AIPA, which is an economic emergency. There is a different

0:57:38.880 --> 0:57:41.720
<v Speaker 18>rationale between two thirty two and three ZHO one for

0:57:41.840 --> 0:57:45.640
<v Speaker 18>national security, and no one has even contested the potential

0:57:46.000 --> 0:57:49.440
<v Speaker 18>constitutionality of those. I don't happen to believe the steel

0:57:49.480 --> 0:57:54.480
<v Speaker 18>and aluminum tariffs remotely represent a national security concern. But

0:57:54.600 --> 0:57:56.840
<v Speaker 18>that's different than the case for the Supreme Court, which

0:57:56.880 --> 0:58:00.480
<v Speaker 18>is under an economic emergency, where they're claim mean that

0:58:00.680 --> 0:58:04.800
<v Speaker 18>trade deficits are in and of themselves economic emergencies, and

0:58:04.880 --> 0:58:08.760
<v Speaker 18>I would very much hope that the constitutionalist and originalist

0:58:08.800 --> 0:58:10.720
<v Speaker 18>on the Court would laugh this out.

0:58:10.960 --> 0:58:14.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm actually an originalist, and I think the IAAPA was

0:58:14.520 --> 0:58:18.360
<v Speaker 1>written in such a way as to give the court pause.

0:58:18.400 --> 0:58:20.880
<v Speaker 1>But let's put that aside. What I really wanted to

0:58:20.880 --> 0:58:24.440
<v Speaker 1>talk to you about is the new year. I'm very

0:58:24.480 --> 0:58:26.680
<v Speaker 1>conservative going into this new year because I think there

0:58:26.720 --> 0:58:28.520
<v Speaker 1>hadn't been a correction in a while. What are you

0:58:28.600 --> 0:58:30.120
<v Speaker 1>telling your clients, David.

0:58:31.480 --> 0:58:31.720
<v Speaker 2>Well?

0:58:31.760 --> 0:58:37.200
<v Speaker 18>I wrote a twenty page annual review commentary forecast that

0:58:37.240 --> 0:58:40.160
<v Speaker 18>we do every year. There is up at dividencafe dot

0:58:40.200 --> 0:58:44.320
<v Speaker 18>com went out on Friday, and I'm talking about the

0:58:44.360 --> 0:58:45.080
<v Speaker 18>different themes.

0:58:45.160 --> 0:58:46.000
<v Speaker 17>We have our.

0:58:45.880 --> 0:58:48.840
<v Speaker 18>Concerns about the AI theme, which I was on with

0:58:48.880 --> 0:58:53.080
<v Speaker 18>you late last year talking about, and I believe the

0:58:53.160 --> 0:58:57.160
<v Speaker 18>valuation concern it isn't so much you going a long

0:58:57.240 --> 0:59:00.680
<v Speaker 18>time without a correction. I mean, look, the the Nasdaq

0:59:00.800 --> 0:59:03.520
<v Speaker 18>was down thirty percent and SMP were down twenty percent

0:59:03.800 --> 0:59:08.200
<v Speaker 18>for a few days last April, so you've you've had volatility,

0:59:08.680 --> 0:59:12.000
<v Speaker 18>but the valuations and concentration in the broad market are

0:59:12.120 --> 0:59:15.280
<v Speaker 18>very high, and we are definitely encouraging clients the way

0:59:15.280 --> 0:59:17.680
<v Speaker 18>we're managing money to be much more selective.

0:59:18.080 --> 0:59:22.680
<v Speaker 1>So when the president is in an open conflict with

0:59:22.840 --> 0:59:27.080
<v Speaker 1>the FED and there might be a DOJ investigation about

0:59:27.120 --> 0:59:32.880
<v Speaker 1>the Fed's architectural overhaul, does that have any impact on

0:59:32.920 --> 0:59:33.880
<v Speaker 1>the market or should it?

0:59:36.280 --> 0:59:38.760
<v Speaker 18>Yes, it should in the sense that if people believed

0:59:38.800 --> 0:59:43.880
<v Speaker 18>it were a pretextual intervention to central bank independence, which

0:59:43.920 --> 0:59:47.880
<v Speaker 18>I think it's unquestionably it is. But I believe the

0:59:47.880 --> 0:59:50.360
<v Speaker 18>reason markets shrugged it off today, Hugh, is that they

0:59:50.360 --> 0:59:53.320
<v Speaker 18>don't really take it seriously. I think they view it

0:59:53.440 --> 0:59:57.440
<v Speaker 18>as job owning, jocking, you know, bowling a little bit

0:59:57.760 --> 1:00:00.760
<v Speaker 18>to try to make sure that you're German Powell when

1:00:00.760 --> 1:00:04.120
<v Speaker 18>his chairmanship term ends in a few months, that he

1:00:04.320 --> 1:00:07.480
<v Speaker 18>leaves and not tries to stay for the next nineteen

1:00:07.520 --> 1:00:10.280
<v Speaker 18>months till his FED governor term ends.

1:00:10.600 --> 1:00:12.880
<v Speaker 6>There's no legal requirement that he leave.

1:00:13.160 --> 1:00:15.439
<v Speaker 18>But you got to go back to nineteen forty eight

1:00:15.920 --> 1:00:18.600
<v Speaker 18>since the last time a FED chair did not leave

1:00:18.680 --> 1:00:20.280
<v Speaker 18>when their chairmanship ended.

1:00:21.440 --> 1:00:23.440
<v Speaker 6>I think Chairman Powell is going to leave.

1:00:24.560 --> 1:00:28.400
<v Speaker 18>I don't like this investigation and the pretext behind it,

1:00:28.480 --> 1:00:31.360
<v Speaker 18>but I do think markets shrugged it off today for

1:00:31.400 --> 1:00:32.000
<v Speaker 18>that reason.

1:00:32.280 --> 1:00:35.160
<v Speaker 1>Now I'm an agnostic as to whether or not they're

1:00:35.240 --> 1:00:38.640
<v Speaker 1>a pretextual investigation going on here, or whether or not

1:00:38.680 --> 1:00:41.760
<v Speaker 1>they actually spend a billion dollars they didn't have. I'm

1:00:41.800 --> 1:00:45.320
<v Speaker 1>open to that. What I'm curious about you mentioned originalism.

1:00:45.840 --> 1:00:48.760
<v Speaker 1>I don't think there should be an independent central bank, David.

1:00:49.320 --> 1:00:53.520
<v Speaker 1>That's not in the constitution. There can be a legislation

1:00:53.680 --> 1:00:55.840
<v Speaker 1>for it. But I think the president would be able

1:00:55.840 --> 1:01:02.040
<v Speaker 1>to remove every person in article too. You're an originalist.

1:01:02.160 --> 1:01:03.760
<v Speaker 1>What do you make of min not he doesn't get

1:01:03.760 --> 1:01:06.000
<v Speaker 1>that there's a bank. It's legal, but I think you

1:01:06.040 --> 1:01:07.520
<v Speaker 1>ought to be able to replace the bankers.

1:01:08.880 --> 1:01:11.240
<v Speaker 18>Yeah, the problem we have, Hugh, you and I are

1:01:11.240 --> 1:01:12.919
<v Speaker 18>going to be on the exact same side of this.

1:01:13.200 --> 1:01:17.600
<v Speaker 18>I also believe that you can't go create something that

1:01:17.720 --> 1:01:22.320
<v Speaker 18>exists in sort of outer space within our separation of powers.

1:01:23.400 --> 1:01:26.400
<v Speaker 18>Let me just be clear, so my integrity is intact.

1:01:26.880 --> 1:01:27.400
<v Speaker 10>I don't think the.

1:01:27.400 --> 1:01:29.080
<v Speaker 2>President cares about this stuff at all.

1:01:29.360 --> 1:01:31.520
<v Speaker 18>I think his motive is he wants someone to do

1:01:31.600 --> 1:01:32.160
<v Speaker 18>what he says.

1:01:32.400 --> 1:01:32.640
<v Speaker 1>Right.

1:01:32.720 --> 1:01:37.400
<v Speaker 18>But your point structurally that the FED from the Federal

1:01:37.400 --> 1:01:41.320
<v Speaker 18>Reserve Act, which was passed by Congress exist in a

1:01:41.480 --> 1:01:47.000
<v Speaker 18>sort of limbo, is to where that jurisdiction is between

1:01:47.800 --> 1:01:50.640
<v Speaker 18>separation of powers. And I'm very uncomfortable with it, and

1:01:50.680 --> 1:01:54.640
<v Speaker 18>I think the solution to that is to not willing

1:01:54.760 --> 1:01:58.000
<v Speaker 18>nearly what parts of the Act we follow, in parts

1:01:58.040 --> 1:02:01.520
<v Speaker 18>we don't, but it is to go get legislative review

1:02:01.640 --> 1:02:04.320
<v Speaker 18>and judicial review to force this to.

1:02:04.240 --> 1:02:05.360
<v Speaker 6>Be done constitutionally.

1:02:05.440 --> 1:02:06.160
<v Speaker 17>Now you know why.

1:02:06.240 --> 1:02:08.600
<v Speaker 18>I know that can be done because we're doing it

1:02:08.640 --> 1:02:12.200
<v Speaker 18>with the Consumer Financial Protection Bile, which I also believe

1:02:12.320 --> 1:02:16.880
<v Speaker 18>was passed unconstitutionally. But these require judicial review done the

1:02:16.920 --> 1:02:17.320
<v Speaker 18>right way.

1:02:17.560 --> 1:02:21.080
<v Speaker 1>So this is the big thousand dollars question. If the

1:02:21.160 --> 1:02:24.800
<v Speaker 1>Court upholds the president's right to remove at will anyone

1:02:24.800 --> 1:02:26.920
<v Speaker 1>in the executive branch, so he can he can replace

1:02:27.040 --> 1:02:30.000
<v Speaker 1>every FED governor. I'm not worried about that because I

1:02:30.000 --> 1:02:31.720
<v Speaker 1>don't think you're gonna put they still have to go

1:02:31.760 --> 1:02:36.000
<v Speaker 1>through Cenate confirmation. They can't be Bozo's. I think they'll

1:02:36.040 --> 1:02:40.040
<v Speaker 1>be normal banker types and they'll be like your own

1:02:40.120 --> 1:02:42.080
<v Speaker 1>power the end. Do you agree?

1:02:43.880 --> 1:02:45.000
<v Speaker 6>Yes, I do believe.

1:02:45.040 --> 1:02:47.440
<v Speaker 18>Look, the President already has the right to appoint them,

1:02:47.480 --> 1:02:49.920
<v Speaker 18>you're saying, if he has the right to fire them

1:02:50.080 --> 1:02:55.000
<v Speaker 18>at will, Yes, And ultimately I wouldn't be worried about

1:02:55.080 --> 1:02:57.760
<v Speaker 18>who would end up on the court as long as

1:02:57.760 --> 1:03:01.640
<v Speaker 18>the Senate excuse me on the FED. As long as

1:03:01.680 --> 1:03:05.560
<v Speaker 18>the legislative branch does its job. It concerns me practically,

1:03:05.960 --> 1:03:09.960
<v Speaker 18>not structurally that I don't think we always necessarily have

1:03:10.640 --> 1:03:13.840
<v Speaker 18>a Senate doing its job, but that is the way

1:03:13.920 --> 1:03:16.480
<v Speaker 18>that the system is designed and ought to function.

1:03:16.760 --> 1:03:20.360
<v Speaker 1>Absolutely so I believe that we can find nine FED

1:03:20.400 --> 1:03:22.920
<v Speaker 1>governors that would make it. Now, David, I haven't listened

1:03:22.960 --> 1:03:26.040
<v Speaker 1>to the Dividend Cafe yet. Did you record a podcast

1:03:26.120 --> 1:03:28.919
<v Speaker 1>on your twenty page magnum opus. I haven't seen it yet.

1:03:30.120 --> 1:03:32.040
<v Speaker 18>I did, and I'm going to DM it straight to

1:03:32.120 --> 1:03:34.400
<v Speaker 18>you when we're done, because there's very few people in

1:03:34.440 --> 1:03:35.520
<v Speaker 18>the country I want.

1:03:35.320 --> 1:03:37.600
<v Speaker 6>To hear it more than you. But yeah, we did the.

1:03:38.040 --> 1:03:40.960
<v Speaker 18>Video with all the charts, the podcast, and then there's

1:03:41.000 --> 1:03:45.560
<v Speaker 18>a full written pdf that came out on Friday, Yes,

1:03:45.640 --> 1:03:49.400
<v Speaker 18>and just reviewing everything from twenty five, but then giving

1:03:49.440 --> 1:03:51.920
<v Speaker 18>our forecasts and themes for twenty twenty six.

1:03:52.080 --> 1:03:55.120
<v Speaker 1>I want everyone to go to Dividend Cafe wherever you

1:03:55.160 --> 1:03:58.760
<v Speaker 1>get your podcasts from iTunes, Spotify, whatever, and listen to

1:03:58.840 --> 1:04:04.120
<v Speaker 1>David's year end, year begin beginning summary. His podcast on

1:04:04.200 --> 1:04:07.640
<v Speaker 1>the AI Bubble is also not to be missed. But

1:04:07.680 --> 1:04:09.600
<v Speaker 1>that's a few weeks back. The new one is the

1:04:09.640 --> 1:04:12.040
<v Speaker 1>one I want to get. Follow him at David Bonson

1:04:12.200 --> 1:04:17.040
<v Speaker 1>on X. He's also the founder of the Boson Group. David,

1:04:17.080 --> 1:04:19.040
<v Speaker 1>Happy New Year to you. Thank you for joining me.

1:04:19.080 --> 1:04:21.800
<v Speaker 1>Don't go anywhere America except maybe during the breaking. Go

1:04:22.200 --> 1:04:25.800
<v Speaker 1>like and follow the Dividend Cafe and download this latest

1:04:25.880 --> 1:04:27.720
<v Speaker 1>year end, which I will have listened to by the

1:04:27.760 --> 1:04:30.200
<v Speaker 1>time I'm here tomorrow. Don't go anywhere. I'm hu you at.

1:04:30.200 --> 1:04:36.800
<v Speaker 1>Mark Dubovit sit next. Welcome back in America. Coming up after

1:04:36.800 --> 1:04:39.360
<v Speaker 1>the break. Sebastian lie son of Jimmy Lai, is going

1:04:39.400 --> 1:04:42.400
<v Speaker 1>to join me this hour this segment though, I'm bringing

1:04:42.400 --> 1:04:45.120
<v Speaker 1>back Mark Dubovitz, who is with us last hour, is

1:04:45.160 --> 1:04:48.720
<v Speaker 1>the CEO of the Foundation for the Defensive Democracy. Is

1:04:48.720 --> 1:04:51.280
<v Speaker 1>one of the actual people you can trust on Iran.

1:04:51.880 --> 1:04:54.800
<v Speaker 1>Follow him on exit m Dubovitz. Follow everyone at the

1:04:54.800 --> 1:04:58.080
<v Speaker 1>Foundation for the Defensive Democracies, and there are a lot

1:04:58.080 --> 1:05:00.480
<v Speaker 1>of them. There are a half dozen Iran experts. The

1:05:00.560 --> 1:05:04.240
<v Speaker 1>FDD is actually the go to place. Mark. When we

1:05:04.280 --> 1:05:06.120
<v Speaker 1>ran out of time last hour, I wanted to ask you.

1:05:06.440 --> 1:05:09.520
<v Speaker 1>President Trump mentioned on Air Force One last night that

1:05:09.560 --> 1:05:12.440
<v Speaker 1>the regime wants to negotiate. My reaction is, God, no,

1:05:12.560 --> 1:05:14.960
<v Speaker 1>don't do that. That they're just playing for time. Is

1:05:15.000 --> 1:05:15.760
<v Speaker 1>that your reaction?

1:05:17.440 --> 1:05:20.000
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, you absolutely. I mean this is a typical regime trick.

1:05:20.040 --> 1:05:22.600
<v Speaker 16>Their back is against the walls. So they offered negotiations

1:05:22.960 --> 1:05:25.560
<v Speaker 16>and try to trap American negotiators. And the only place

1:05:25.560 --> 1:05:28.160
<v Speaker 16>where they tend to win against America is at the

1:05:28.200 --> 1:05:31.280
<v Speaker 16>negotiating table. They won against Biden, they won against Obama.

1:05:31.400 --> 1:05:33.720
<v Speaker 16>They think they could possibly win against President Trump. I

1:05:33.760 --> 1:05:35.880
<v Speaker 16>think it be a big mistake to go back to

1:05:35.920 --> 1:05:38.600
<v Speaker 16>the table fundamentally, because number one, it would be a

1:05:38.600 --> 1:05:40.680
<v Speaker 16>betrayal of their onion people that are on the streets.

1:05:40.840 --> 1:05:43.560
<v Speaker 16>And number two, Hugh, there's no way that Ali Kamene,

1:05:43.680 --> 1:05:45.720
<v Speaker 16>the Supreme leader of Iran, is going to meet the

1:05:45.840 --> 1:05:49.360
<v Speaker 16>minimum demands that President Trump has a full dismantlement of

1:05:49.400 --> 1:05:52.760
<v Speaker 16>their nuclear missile programs and terror networks.

1:05:52.880 --> 1:05:54.480
<v Speaker 13>No way Kamene is going to give into that.

1:05:54.600 --> 1:05:56.760
<v Speaker 16>And if not, he's just going to play for time,

1:05:57.160 --> 1:05:59.880
<v Speaker 16>try to divide America, try to divide the White House,

1:06:00.200 --> 1:06:02.560
<v Speaker 16>to divide the US from Europe, and he's going to

1:06:02.800 --> 1:06:05.200
<v Speaker 16>ultimately try to embarrass the President. And I don't think

1:06:05.200 --> 1:06:08.600
<v Speaker 16>the President is going to be embarrassed and is prepared

1:06:08.600 --> 1:06:11.600
<v Speaker 16>to be embarrassed, so he needs to enforce the red

1:06:11.640 --> 1:06:12.680
<v Speaker 16>line that he laid out.

1:06:13.320 --> 1:06:17.000
<v Speaker 1>Now, Mark, the Israelis could have killed Hamione, and no

1:06:17.040 --> 1:06:19.400
<v Speaker 1>doubt we can kill Hamoni, but there are arguments on

1:06:19.480 --> 1:06:22.760
<v Speaker 1>both sides. We to leave him alive or if we

1:06:22.840 --> 1:06:25.240
<v Speaker 1>have the ability to have him shot killed.

1:06:27.320 --> 1:06:30.440
<v Speaker 16>Well, I do think we need to decapitate the leadership

1:06:30.480 --> 1:06:35.120
<v Speaker 16>of Iran, and that includes Kamenee, but also includes senior

1:06:35.520 --> 1:06:40.520
<v Speaker 16>IRGC commanders, those who are in control of the command

1:06:40.640 --> 1:06:45.080
<v Speaker 16>and control system of Iran, and that includes the repression apparatus.

1:06:45.440 --> 1:06:49.240
<v Speaker 16>So yeah, if you decapitate the leadership, then this possibility

1:06:49.280 --> 1:06:51.320
<v Speaker 16>of others stepping into their place. I mean, that's what

1:06:51.360 --> 1:06:54.560
<v Speaker 16>President Trump did in Venezuela with Maduro. I think there's

1:06:54.640 --> 1:06:57.760
<v Speaker 16>more than just Kamine. There are others, but certainly a

1:06:57.840 --> 1:07:00.960
<v Speaker 16>decapitation effort should be seriously considered.

1:07:01.080 --> 1:07:04.720
<v Speaker 1>All right, Now, Mark, what are the How many IRGC

1:07:04.960 --> 1:07:08.600
<v Speaker 1>bases are there? How many besiege bases? The final Israeli

1:07:08.640 --> 1:07:11.480
<v Speaker 1>wave was going to hit them. President Trump waved it

1:07:11.560 --> 1:07:13.480
<v Speaker 1>off in order to bring that conflict to an end

1:07:13.600 --> 1:07:16.720
<v Speaker 1>last June. How many target sites are we talking about?

1:07:19.120 --> 1:07:21.120
<v Speaker 16>So there are I mean there are dozens and dozens

1:07:21.120 --> 1:07:25.280
<v Speaker 16>of RGC and besiege bases all around the country, obviously

1:07:25.320 --> 1:07:29.720
<v Speaker 16>headquarters in places like Tehran, but certainly it's a target

1:07:29.760 --> 1:07:32.320
<v Speaker 16>rich environment. I mean, the Israelis and the Americans have

1:07:32.600 --> 1:07:40.040
<v Speaker 16>detailed intelligence on all of these bases, maneuvers, apparatus. This

1:07:40.160 --> 1:07:43.480
<v Speaker 16>has been cited for years here I mean particted by

1:07:43.480 --> 1:07:44.000
<v Speaker 16>the Israelis.

1:07:44.040 --> 1:07:46.360
<v Speaker 13>I mean MOSAD and military intelligence in Israel.

1:07:46.160 --> 1:07:50.680
<v Speaker 16>Have a very, very large and expansive target set, and

1:07:50.680 --> 1:07:52.920
<v Speaker 16>that information has been provided to the Americans.

1:07:52.960 --> 1:07:55.160
<v Speaker 13>So there's no shortage of targets. Just the question of

1:07:55.160 --> 1:07:56.880
<v Speaker 13>what President Trump will choose.

1:07:57.160 --> 1:08:00.720
<v Speaker 1>If President Trump brings down this regime, I think he

1:08:00.840 --> 1:08:04.640
<v Speaker 1>goes to the top of American presidents, at least since FDR.

1:08:05.040 --> 1:08:08.760
<v Speaker 1>He's going to actually surpass Reagan. The Soviet Union, of course,

1:08:08.800 --> 1:08:12.040
<v Speaker 1>dissolved under George H. W. Bush. How would you rank

1:08:12.080 --> 1:08:14.480
<v Speaker 1>that achievement. I think Iran is a lynch pin, and

1:08:14.600 --> 1:08:16.880
<v Speaker 1>I've got Nixon on the brain. Nixon used to say,

1:08:17.160 --> 1:08:18.880
<v Speaker 1>it's everything, It's one of the two pillars of the

1:08:18.880 --> 1:08:21.400
<v Speaker 1>Middle East, And so how big of a moment is

1:08:21.400 --> 1:08:22.320
<v Speaker 1>this for Donald Trump?

1:08:23.960 --> 1:08:26.439
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, I've said publicly here you know that that if

1:08:26.439 --> 1:08:28.479
<v Speaker 16>he brings down the Islamic Republic of Iran, he will

1:08:28.520 --> 1:08:31.839
<v Speaker 16>be one of the greatest foreign policy presidents in modern history,

1:08:32.080 --> 1:08:33.080
<v Speaker 16>if not the greatest.

1:08:33.080 --> 1:08:34.880
<v Speaker 13>I mean, the Islamic Republic of Iran, first.

1:08:34.720 --> 1:08:37.680
<v Speaker 16>Of all, has killed and made thousands of Americans. It

1:08:37.720 --> 1:08:41.040
<v Speaker 16>has created massive bloodshed and chaos in the Middle East

1:08:41.120 --> 1:08:45.000
<v Speaker 16>and continue to drag us into these endless wars in

1:08:45.040 --> 1:08:45.719
<v Speaker 16>the Middle East.

1:08:46.280 --> 1:08:48.000
<v Speaker 13>It's sponsored terrorism globally.

1:08:48.160 --> 1:08:51.080
<v Speaker 16>It's threatened to kill President Trump and tried to kill him,

1:08:51.400 --> 1:08:54.920
<v Speaker 16>and it is try to build nuclear weapons. It has

1:08:54.960 --> 1:08:58.000
<v Speaker 16>built a massive ballistic missile program. It's fired hundreds of

1:08:58.040 --> 1:09:01.360
<v Speaker 16>those blistic missiles at Israel, and missiles and drones at.

1:09:01.240 --> 1:09:02.280
<v Speaker 13>Our allies in the Middle East.

1:09:02.320 --> 1:09:05.200
<v Speaker 16>I mean, it has been such a force for murder, chaos,

1:09:05.240 --> 1:09:07.320
<v Speaker 16>and violence that to get rid of it and to

1:09:07.360 --> 1:09:10.639
<v Speaker 16>replace it with something better and more stable, more peaceful,

1:09:10.680 --> 1:09:13.599
<v Speaker 16>and more prosperous would be a game changer for American

1:09:13.680 --> 1:09:16.160
<v Speaker 16>national security. And by the way, it would also allow

1:09:16.240 --> 1:09:18.080
<v Speaker 16>us to do what we need to do, which is

1:09:18.120 --> 1:09:20.800
<v Speaker 16>to focus our resources in the coming years on the

1:09:20.880 --> 1:09:23.559
<v Speaker 16>multi generational threat from the Communist Chinese Party.

1:09:23.880 --> 1:09:25.400
<v Speaker 1>I read him here quote and he laughed. He said,

1:09:25.400 --> 1:09:27.840
<v Speaker 1>haven't I already done that? He's done pretty well. I've

1:09:27.880 --> 1:09:30.560
<v Speaker 1>got to admit ruining the Iranian nuclear to turn is

1:09:30.600 --> 1:09:33.360
<v Speaker 1>a big deal. But do you think we could count

1:09:33.479 --> 1:09:39.040
<v Speaker 1>on a post harmonious, harmonious regime being stable and at

1:09:39.160 --> 1:09:40.120
<v Speaker 1>least not evil?

1:09:42.680 --> 1:09:44.360
<v Speaker 16>Yeah, I mean President Trump. W also did say that.

1:09:44.400 --> 1:09:47.160
<v Speaker 16>He said, I accept that. I accept that he's interviewed

1:09:47.200 --> 1:09:49.759
<v Speaker 16>with you. You know, I think he appreciates how important

1:09:50.240 --> 1:09:52.400
<v Speaker 16>taking down the Islamic Republic is, and I think he

1:09:52.479 --> 1:09:55.479
<v Speaker 16>has for most of his adult life.

1:09:55.560 --> 1:09:56.160
<v Speaker 13>I think we have.

1:09:56.240 --> 1:09:58.200
<v Speaker 16>Got I don't think we can count on anything in

1:09:58.200 --> 1:10:01.200
<v Speaker 16>the Middle East, and we certainly can't count anything in geopolitics,

1:10:01.439 --> 1:10:03.439
<v Speaker 16>but there's no doubt in my mind that whatever comes

1:10:03.479 --> 1:10:04.639
<v Speaker 16>next will be much better.

1:10:05.160 --> 1:10:07.720
<v Speaker 1>So everyone in your car go to FDD Foundation for

1:10:07.800 --> 1:10:12.640
<v Speaker 1>the Defensive Democracies. Follow it at FDD, Follow Marquette and Dubavitch,

1:10:12.760 --> 1:10:15.439
<v Speaker 1>and there are lots of other people as well. But

1:10:15.600 --> 1:10:18.639
<v Speaker 1>make sure they're reliable. Don't believe the regime propaganda. Don't

1:10:18.680 --> 1:10:21.400
<v Speaker 1>believe the regime apologists, don't believe people who supported the

1:10:21.479 --> 1:10:25.000
<v Speaker 1>JCPOA believe people like mart Thank you, Mark d Vivitz.

1:10:25.000 --> 1:10:30.519
<v Speaker 1>Stay tuned Sebastian Laie and next, welcome back in America.

1:10:30.600 --> 1:10:34.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm Hugh Hewitty and the Relief Factors Studio West. Last Thursday,

1:10:34.080 --> 1:10:36.160
<v Speaker 1>I talked to President Trump about a number of things.

1:10:36.600 --> 1:10:39.439
<v Speaker 1>Second on the agenda was Jimmy Lai and whether or

1:10:39.439 --> 1:10:43.120
<v Speaker 1>not President Trump had brought up the imprisoned human rights

1:10:43.160 --> 1:10:48.280
<v Speaker 1>activist with General Secretary Jujen Ping. President said he had

1:10:48.680 --> 1:10:51.080
<v Speaker 1>that we haven't got a response from Jijenping, and then

1:10:51.080 --> 1:10:54.280
<v Speaker 1>the President went on to praise my next guest, Sebastian Laie,

1:10:54.360 --> 1:10:56.799
<v Speaker 1>as being a good son who's been active on behalf

1:10:56.840 --> 1:11:00.360
<v Speaker 1>of his father. I'm please to welcome you back, Sebastian. Uh,

1:11:00.760 --> 1:11:02.240
<v Speaker 1>first of all, I didn't know you had met with

1:11:02.280 --> 1:11:05.400
<v Speaker 1>the President. That was news. I'm glad you did. Are

1:11:05.439 --> 1:11:09.280
<v Speaker 1>you getting more optimistic or still no no sign of

1:11:09.320 --> 1:11:12.200
<v Speaker 1>movement from the People's Republic of China.

1:11:14.360 --> 1:11:16.479
<v Speaker 19>First of all, thanks so much again for for for

1:11:16.520 --> 1:11:18.679
<v Speaker 19>having me and for mentioning to the President.

1:11:19.120 --> 1:11:19.760
<v Speaker 1>Yes it was.

1:11:21.520 --> 1:11:24.920
<v Speaker 19>I mean having the President cara on my father's case

1:11:24.960 --> 1:11:28.800
<v Speaker 19>and and and uh you know mentioned my father's name.

1:11:29.240 --> 1:11:30.760
<v Speaker 19>It just gives us a lot of hope, you know,

1:11:30.880 --> 1:11:32.960
<v Speaker 19>him saying that he will he will this is something

1:11:32.960 --> 1:11:34.800
<v Speaker 19>that he will deal with us. There's something that he's

1:11:34.840 --> 1:11:37.960
<v Speaker 19>working on, and you know, we're so incredibly grateful. I

1:11:38.000 --> 1:11:39.639
<v Speaker 19>just want to thank him from the bottom of my heart.

1:11:40.360 --> 1:11:45.400
<v Speaker 19>Uh and And unfortunately, as the President said, the China

1:11:45.720 --> 1:11:50.519
<v Speaker 19>hasn't responded yet. But again time is running out for

1:11:50.600 --> 1:11:54.240
<v Speaker 19>my father, So the balls and their court and and

1:11:54.240 --> 1:11:57.400
<v Speaker 19>and they need to respond soon otherwise my father will

1:11:57.439 --> 1:11:58.960
<v Speaker 19>will unfortunately pass away in prison.

1:11:59.360 --> 1:12:03.360
<v Speaker 1>President try said that he's old and sick, so he's

1:12:03.360 --> 1:12:06.160
<v Speaker 1>aware of his condition, but that they haven't heard anything

1:12:06.160 --> 1:12:08.559
<v Speaker 1>from g Is there a point at which you would

1:12:08.640 --> 1:12:12.759
<v Speaker 1>naturally expect them to allow him to move to Great Britain?

1:12:12.840 --> 1:12:17.160
<v Speaker 1>Is there a sentencing, a conclusion point as they had

1:12:17.160 --> 1:12:19.160
<v Speaker 1>with souls and Eats and they finally just tossed souls

1:12:19.160 --> 1:12:21.879
<v Speaker 1>and eats and out because it wasn't worth the problem.

1:12:22.120 --> 1:12:24.200
<v Speaker 1>Is there a date in your mind you think that

1:12:24.360 --> 1:12:26.599
<v Speaker 1>they'll do that after some proceeding is finished.

1:12:28.280 --> 1:12:33.120
<v Speaker 19>And unfortunately they're very happy keeping him there. You can

1:12:33.160 --> 1:12:35.200
<v Speaker 19>see with the torturous conditions that he's under. You know,

1:12:35.280 --> 1:12:37.960
<v Speaker 19>for Soldis confinement has been for the last five years,

1:12:38.240 --> 1:12:42.519
<v Speaker 19>and they've kept on delaying this, this this never ending trial.

1:12:42.960 --> 1:12:45.720
<v Speaker 19>It seems that now it's finally getting to its end,

1:12:46.280 --> 1:12:49.599
<v Speaker 19>and to everybody's surprised, they found nothing. There's nothing that

1:12:49.600 --> 1:12:52.360
<v Speaker 19>incriminates my father. They have found this man who's given

1:12:52.400 --> 1:12:54.800
<v Speaker 19>everything that he has for freedom and democracy, stayed in

1:12:54.880 --> 1:12:57.960
<v Speaker 19>Hong Kong foot for his people. And you know, I

1:12:57.960 --> 1:13:01.479
<v Speaker 19>think that that's what's so important for the for the

1:13:01.520 --> 1:13:05.439
<v Speaker 19>president to to to press this case, because you know,

1:13:05.760 --> 1:13:08.280
<v Speaker 19>the Hong Kong government, these are these are cruel people.

1:13:08.800 --> 1:13:10.559
<v Speaker 19>These are people that want to see my father Dian

1:13:10.640 --> 1:13:15.080
<v Speaker 19>Joel and without without pressure from from from the president,

1:13:16.160 --> 1:13:18.320
<v Speaker 19>that's that's what the Hongo government will do to my father.

1:13:19.000 --> 1:13:21.760
<v Speaker 1>I did ask him, Sebastian if he would consider the

1:13:21.800 --> 1:13:26.360
<v Speaker 1>release of your father as a significant gesture by Jujinping,

1:13:26.520 --> 1:13:28.639
<v Speaker 1>and he said yes, I kind of count that as

1:13:28.640 --> 1:13:30.960
<v Speaker 1>a win. Do you see that as a win that

1:13:31.040 --> 1:13:34.240
<v Speaker 1>he is putting significance into that sort of it's a

1:13:34.280 --> 1:13:35.960
<v Speaker 1>bargaining chip, it's something he wants.

1:13:37.479 --> 1:13:38.400
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, definitely.

1:13:38.720 --> 1:13:42.880
<v Speaker 19>We're so we're so incredibly grateful. And you know, to

1:13:42.920 --> 1:13:45.400
<v Speaker 19>know that the president has about my father's case is

1:13:45.439 --> 1:13:48.599
<v Speaker 19>something that has has given uf I'm family a lot

1:13:48.600 --> 1:13:51.680
<v Speaker 19>of a lot of hope and and and it is

1:13:51.720 --> 1:13:54.320
<v Speaker 19>it's it's the thing is look, it's it's a it's

1:13:54.360 --> 1:13:55.720
<v Speaker 19>a relatively.

1:13:55.320 --> 1:13:57.080
<v Speaker 17>Easy thing for hang and trying to do.

1:13:57.520 --> 1:13:59.320
<v Speaker 19>I mean it will take them two hours to put

1:13:59.360 --> 1:14:01.439
<v Speaker 19>him on the plane and send them over.

1:14:01.320 --> 1:14:04.400
<v Speaker 6>To the US, to the UK. It's aware of it.

1:14:04.479 --> 1:14:08.400
<v Speaker 19>I mean, this is this is very administratively, incredibly easy

1:14:08.920 --> 1:14:13.480
<v Speaker 19>and at no cost and directly beneficial for every for everybody.

1:14:13.560 --> 1:14:16.800
<v Speaker 19>So if not even even willing to do something as

1:14:17.400 --> 1:14:21.400
<v Speaker 19>simple as that, it shows it shows a lot of

1:14:21.439 --> 1:14:24.519
<v Speaker 19>how the Chinese and and the Hong Kong view, uh,

1:14:25.680 --> 1:14:27.920
<v Speaker 19>you know, view the cruelty that they're doing to my father.

1:14:28.160 --> 1:14:31.479
<v Speaker 1>I'm a great believer that Sun Cass cripple governments as

1:14:31.479 --> 1:14:34.320
<v Speaker 1>well as individuals. They don't realize that there is no

1:14:34.400 --> 1:14:37.280
<v Speaker 1>benefit to keeping your father in prison. There's one other

1:14:37.320 --> 1:14:40.400
<v Speaker 1>person in the world besides President Trump I think can

1:14:40.400 --> 1:14:43.679
<v Speaker 1>get their attention. That would be Popolo the sixteenth. Has

1:14:43.800 --> 1:14:45.759
<v Speaker 1>the pontiffs said anything about your father?

1:14:47.520 --> 1:14:52.479
<v Speaker 19>So the Holy Father has met with my mother and

1:14:52.520 --> 1:14:58.920
<v Speaker 19>sister publicly, and we're so incredibly grateful for that. So

1:14:59.240 --> 1:15:02.240
<v Speaker 19>I don't believe he said anything publicly, but I think

1:15:02.280 --> 1:15:05.559
<v Speaker 19>he is praying for my father and for a man

1:15:05.920 --> 1:15:09.920
<v Speaker 19>in his situation by himself in his cell. Knowing that

1:15:10.040 --> 1:15:12.599
<v Speaker 19>you're the the Holy Father is praying for you, and

1:15:12.640 --> 1:15:15.519
<v Speaker 19>that there's so many people praying for him worldwide, it

1:15:15.560 --> 1:15:18.439
<v Speaker 19>gives him immense strength. I mean, this is what he's

1:15:18.479 --> 1:15:21.080
<v Speaker 19>going through is something that I think would would break

1:15:21.120 --> 1:15:21.719
<v Speaker 19>many people.

1:15:22.680 --> 1:15:25.000
<v Speaker 6>And his faith, his his.

1:15:24.680 --> 1:15:27.320
<v Speaker 19>His the knowledge that he has done the right thing

1:15:27.479 --> 1:15:30.120
<v Speaker 19>is what keeps him going Somacham.

1:15:30.160 --> 1:15:34.400
<v Speaker 1>What can the audience do besides pray for you and

1:15:34.439 --> 1:15:38.960
<v Speaker 1>your family and your father, you know.

1:15:39.000 --> 1:15:46.439
<v Speaker 19>Please write your representives, follow this story along and and

1:15:46.439 --> 1:15:50.320
<v Speaker 19>and I mean besides pray, but praying is a huge

1:15:50.880 --> 1:15:53.439
<v Speaker 19>is a huge thing as well, especially in the case

1:15:53.479 --> 1:15:57.000
<v Speaker 19>like my father's where where you know they keep in solitary.

1:15:57.040 --> 1:15:59.320
<v Speaker 19>To tell them that nobody cares about him, that nobody

1:15:59.640 --> 1:16:01.920
<v Speaker 19>you know, has that he sacrificed everything for democracy. I

1:16:01.920 --> 1:16:05.880
<v Speaker 19>think that's it's something that would matter matters intreumenously. But

1:16:05.920 --> 1:16:08.759
<v Speaker 19>write your representatives and and and just tell this story

1:16:08.760 --> 1:16:10.320
<v Speaker 19>whenever you have the chance to.

1:16:10.760 --> 1:16:13.759
<v Speaker 1>Has anyone been allowed to sit down with him, your sister,

1:16:14.000 --> 1:16:17.080
<v Speaker 1>the barrister who's representing him, yourself, anyone been allowed to

1:16:17.120 --> 1:16:19.160
<v Speaker 1>see him in the last six months outside of that

1:16:19.520 --> 1:16:21.120
<v Speaker 1>brief court appearance that I noted.

1:16:22.479 --> 1:16:26.800
<v Speaker 19>Yeah, so he he doesn't get any he gets prison

1:16:26.880 --> 1:16:30.080
<v Speaker 19>visits obviously that they're not.

1:16:32.439 --> 1:16:32.759
<v Speaker 1>Well.

1:16:33.040 --> 1:16:36.960
<v Speaker 19>Anything he says is listened to. But but but he

1:16:37.040 --> 1:16:41.439
<v Speaker 19>at least gets prison visits. From my understanding, it's half

1:16:41.479 --> 1:16:46.920
<v Speaker 19>an hour each time, four times a month. So it's

1:16:46.920 --> 1:16:50.880
<v Speaker 19>it's it's it's a little something to to hold on to.

1:16:52.640 --> 1:16:55.040
<v Speaker 19>But it's, uh, yeah, it's it's nothing.

1:16:55.080 --> 1:16:58.520
<v Speaker 1>So bat who goes into it's got to be dangerous

1:16:58.720 --> 1:17:01.880
<v Speaker 1>to go there. Who goes in to see your father,

1:17:02.200 --> 1:17:06.880
<v Speaker 1>the lawyer, your sister, it will be Yeah, so Scenowya's.

1:17:07.880 --> 1:17:08.759
<v Speaker 6>Family members.

1:17:09.240 --> 1:17:12.040
<v Speaker 19>Unfortunately, because my father, my sister has now spoken out

1:17:13.400 --> 1:17:15.920
<v Speaker 19>on behalf of my father, she could also no longer

1:17:15.960 --> 1:17:17.960
<v Speaker 19>go back to Hong Kong. So she made this very

1:17:18.600 --> 1:17:22.320
<v Speaker 19>conscious sacrifice, after very bravely being with my father for loss,

1:17:23.200 --> 1:17:25.880
<v Speaker 19>you know, five years by his side, to go out

1:17:25.920 --> 1:17:28.880
<v Speaker 19>and speak out, you know, about the horrendous treatment that

1:17:28.920 --> 1:17:31.000
<v Speaker 19>he's under, and and and and and.

1:17:30.840 --> 1:17:32.320
<v Speaker 6>The deterioration of his health.

1:17:32.360 --> 1:17:33.680
<v Speaker 13>And because of that, he can't go back.

1:17:33.720 --> 1:17:34.400
<v Speaker 17>She can't go back.

1:17:34.720 --> 1:17:38.360
<v Speaker 1>Sebastian, keep keep, please keep us informed. I'll continue to

1:17:38.360 --> 1:17:40.639
<v Speaker 1>ask the President of the Secretary of State whenever they're

1:17:40.680 --> 1:17:42.880
<v Speaker 1>on the program about the progress of this guy. I

1:17:42.880 --> 1:17:45.360
<v Speaker 1>think the more eyes that we can put on Juju

1:17:45.439 --> 1:17:48.080
<v Speaker 1>and Ping, he could do himself a lot of good

1:17:48.080 --> 1:17:50.200
<v Speaker 1>in the world if you just let your father go

1:17:50.280 --> 1:17:53.840
<v Speaker 1>to Great Britain. So our pros continue with Sebastian. By

1:17:53.880 --> 1:17:57.000
<v Speaker 1>the way, President Fairy instruct with you and I am too.

1:17:57.280 --> 1:17:59.680
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for your ongoing efforts on behalf of your

1:17:59.720 --> 1:18:04.360
<v Speaker 1>dad and democracy in Hong Kong. I appreciate Sebastian Lae.

1:18:04.800 --> 1:18:08.600
<v Speaker 1>Follow free Jimmy Laie on X and follow me to

1:18:08.640 --> 1:18:10.479
<v Speaker 1>the next segment on the Q Hereich Chew. Thank you

1:18:10.520 --> 1:18:10.680
<v Speaker 1>for that.