WEBVTT - The Big Weekend Pod

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to today's podcast sponsored by Hillsdale College All Things

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<v Speaker 1>Hillsdale Hillsdale dot ed or I encourage you to take

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<v Speaker 1>advantage of the many free online courses there, and of

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<v Speaker 1>course I'll listen to the Hillsdale dialogues, all of them

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<v Speaker 1>at q for Hillsdale dot com or just Google, Apple

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<v Speaker 1>iTunes and Hillsdale Morning Glory and even Grace America. Welcome

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<v Speaker 1>to the Big Weekend Pod. And what a week it was.

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<v Speaker 1>I have talked about pretty much everything, at least a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit during the week, but I would guess out

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<v Speaker 1>of the seventy five segments that make up every week

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<v Speaker 1>of the U Hewitt Show, I devoted sixty at least

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<v Speaker 1>to the fact that we're on the verge of a

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<v Speaker 1>major battle with Iran, one that could be quite dangerous

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<v Speaker 1>to American troops, soldiers, sailors, airman all throughout the region,

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<v Speaker 1>could be very dangerous to Israel, to our allies. Therefore,

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<v Speaker 1>President Trump is surging all sorts of force into the region.

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<v Speaker 1>The second aircraft carrier is not going as we thought

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<v Speaker 1>on Thursday. By Friday morning, we were sure that George H. W.

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<v Speaker 1>Bush was not being dispatched. It's one carrier group, bunches

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<v Speaker 1>of destroyers, lots of Aegis class cruisers, They have air

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<v Speaker 1>defense systems, they have knockdown missiles. I don't really want

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<v Speaker 1>to try to see how great the missile defense is.

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<v Speaker 1>That's not why we're doing this. I think President Trump

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<v Speaker 1>is doing this because he has a red line and

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<v Speaker 1>he can't walk it back, and he doesn't want to

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<v Speaker 1>walk it back. If he does, he'll be in the

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<v Speaker 1>same position as President's Biden and Obama. If you draw

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<v Speaker 1>a red line, you got to enforce it. I think

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<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump will enforce it. But I believe he's going

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<v Speaker 1>to make sure that the risk two American troops allies,

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<v Speaker 1>especially Israel, is not any higher than it has to be,

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<v Speaker 1>and there's always risk, as Ambassador Michael urn for Israeli

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<v Speaker 1>Ambassador the United States noted on Thursday's program, the Sheffield

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen eighty two was a Royal Navy HMS Sheffield destroyer

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<v Speaker 1>and it was in part of the armada that went

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<v Speaker 1>to the Falklands and a couple of Argentinian Exo set

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<v Speaker 1>were fired from fighter jets margit one got it. Twenty

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<v Speaker 1>sailors were killed on the twenty three seriously wounded, and

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<v Speaker 1>the Sheffield eventually sunk. Even though it didn't sink immediately,

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<v Speaker 1>they couldn't get it back to any place that could

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<v Speaker 1>be repaired in time before it sunk. So there is

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<v Speaker 1>real risk. There is real danger to your prayers for

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<v Speaker 1>the members of the military in there. But I don't

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<v Speaker 1>know that we can go backwards. And certainly the West

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<v Speaker 1>has a moral authority to say you may not slaughter

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<v Speaker 1>thirty thousand of your people and expect the West to

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<v Speaker 1>turn away. But preparing to do it as safely and

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<v Speaker 1>as quickly as possible makes a lot of sense. Negotiations

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<v Speaker 1>broke down on Friday. The Iranians are saying they didn't

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<v Speaker 1>break down. Obviously, they broke down. There's nothing to talk about.

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<v Speaker 1>They say it's only the nuclear art so but they

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<v Speaker 1>have no nuclear program. It was obliterated by President Trump.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm hoping, really hoping that by the end of

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<v Speaker 1>this half year, by the end of June, the Islamic

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<v Speaker 1>Republic of Iran is no more and there's a new

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<v Speaker 1>regime there. Don't know what it's going to look like.

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<v Speaker 1>Just cannot have a fanatic at the top of it.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's mostly what I talked about. Today with all

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<v Speaker 1>of our regular guests for the weekend review show, Matt Knee,

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<v Speaker 1>Ben Dominic, Eli Lake, of course John Ellis from News Items,

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<v Speaker 1>so enjoy, sit back and catch up on whatever you

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<v Speaker 1>may have missed concerning our looming battle with Iran's America.

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<v Speaker 1>Good weekend pod to you all. Good weekend broadcast to

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<v Speaker 1>you all. I'm beginning the weekend review as I do

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<v Speaker 1>every weekend with John Ellis, editor in chief and founder

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<v Speaker 1>of News Items, the one newsletter you need every morning

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<v Speaker 1>to cover the waterfront. Hello John, good weekend to you.

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<v Speaker 1>I hope you were going to enjoy the Super Bowl.

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<v Speaker 1>I pray You're not a New England fan.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not. I'm a Denver Broncos fan. So I'm disappointed

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<v Speaker 2>by last week or two weeks ago.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I don't think I can handle another Patriots when John,

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<v Speaker 1>at this hour, the Dow Jones industrial averages crossed the

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<v Speaker 1>fifty thousand mark. It's going to maybe close for the

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<v Speaker 1>first time about fifty thousand. That's after a terrible week,

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<v Speaker 1>and after bit coin dived and silver dove and gold

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<v Speaker 1>kind of I think your word with steady ish, what

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<v Speaker 1>do we make of all this?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, the markets had a skittish week. Obviously, this week

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<v Speaker 2>we had three big things. One anthropic, the AI company

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<v Speaker 2>released the latest version of its claud program, and the

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<v Speaker 2>take from that was that since Claude could write any

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<v Speaker 2>software that you wanted, software companies were no longer as

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<v Speaker 2>valuable as everybody thought they were. So there was this

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<v Speaker 2>huge sell off of software companies and that was its

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<v Speaker 2>own little piece of panic on Wall Street. Second was

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<v Speaker 2>the price of bitcoin just collapsed on the course of the

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<v Speaker 2>last five days. It rebounded a little bit today. Bitcoin

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<v Speaker 2>had been sort of marketed as a store of value

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<v Speaker 2>that you didn't have to worry about international crisis or

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<v Speaker 2>deficits because it was its own ecosystem and as long

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<v Speaker 2>as is everybody agreed that it was worth x, and

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<v Speaker 2>it was worth x. That that came undone with with,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, what was going on in the markets, and

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<v Speaker 2>that was sort of terrifying for people who had thought

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<v Speaker 2>that cryptocurrencies were here to stay, let's put it that way.

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<v Speaker 2>And then the third major development was the same development,

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<v Speaker 2>which was the major tech companies were spending vast sums

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<v Speaker 2>of money on the buildout of data centers and the

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<v Speaker 2>power stations to power those data centers, and you know,

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<v Speaker 2>Amazon is going to spend one hundred and eighty billion

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<v Speaker 2>dollars next year on Capex. That created the you know,

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<v Speaker 2>yet again the narrative that there's a huge AI bubble

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<v Speaker 2>and that it's going to burst. There's no doubt that

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<v Speaker 2>there is some sort of bubble in AI, but it's

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<v Speaker 2>also a revolution that's taking place, and so if you

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<v Speaker 2>believe in the revolution, you probably want to stick with John.

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<v Speaker 1>Amazon's David Bonson explained to me sometime ago that when

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<v Speaker 1>the dot com bubble blew up in two thousand, didn't

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<v Speaker 1>mean that every dot com company did not return value

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<v Speaker 1>over a long period of time, just meant that a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of them crashed and some of them survived. Do

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<v Speaker 1>you think that's going to be the model here, that

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<v Speaker 1>some of the AI companies will thrive and survive and

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<v Speaker 1>others will just be wiped out.

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<v Speaker 2>We'd be huge consolidation in the same way that there's

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<v Speaker 2>huge consolidation in the entertainment industry right now, right, I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>Rupert sold Fox News entertainment assets to Disney. You know

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<v Speaker 2>Disney's in trouble now, will they be bought by a

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<v Speaker 2>big tech company? I mean, eventually you know, twelve companies

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<v Speaker 2>become seven companies become three or four companies, And that's

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<v Speaker 2>that's likely to happen in the AR space because you know,

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<v Speaker 2>the cost of building out all this stuff is so

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<v Speaker 2>vast and the revenue at the moment is so thin that,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, start up AI companies, unless they're really focused,

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<v Speaker 2>I just can't make it.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just not going to happen. Yeah, I've been meaning

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<v Speaker 1>to ask you for a year or so, John Ellison,

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<v Speaker 1>I've never met Rupert Murdoch. I've never talked to him,

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<v Speaker 1>but it sure does seem to me over many decades

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<v Speaker 1>he has been among the most nimble of investors and

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<v Speaker 1>far sighted of entrepreneurs. Does anyone compare with them in

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<v Speaker 1>your book?

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<v Speaker 2>Oh, there are a lot of great investors, but Rupert,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, in the entertainment space or the media space

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<v Speaker 2>is partly is probably you know, one of the most

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<v Speaker 2>if not the most successful. What sort of distinguished Rupert was?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, you look at what he did with Fox News.

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<v Speaker 2>People forget that Fox News lost money for ten years

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<v Speaker 2>at the beginning. Rupert had to pay the cable companies

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<v Speaker 2>had to pay. For instance, cable vision here in New

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<v Speaker 2>York ten dollars per subscriber. So you know, there were

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<v Speaker 2>three million subscribers to cable vision, and Rupert had a

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<v Speaker 2>wady a check every year for thirty million to be

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<v Speaker 2>on the cablevision system, right, and the table vision system.

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<v Speaker 2>And he wasn't on channel four, channel seven of the system.

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<v Speaker 2>He was on channel like one on nine or something.

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<v Speaker 2>But he stuck with it because he believed that fifty

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<v Speaker 2>percent of the American television audience was quote underserved, and

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<v Speaker 2>he invested, and he probably invested two or three billion

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<v Speaker 2>dollars when it was all said and done. And eventually

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<v Speaker 2>I turned the corner, and now is you know what

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<v Speaker 2>accounts for roughly ninety percent of the Box Corporation's pre

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<v Speaker 2>tech profit.

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<v Speaker 1>Visionary is a word I don't use often, but that

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<v Speaker 1>was visionary. Let me talk to you about what I

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<v Speaker 1>think is a visionary story. You sent me out of China.

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<v Speaker 1>They're no longer going to award well, they're not going

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<v Speaker 1>to stop awarding PhDs for research, but they're going to

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<v Speaker 1>start awarding them for actual breakthroughs and invention. I think

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<v Speaker 1>that's brilliant. Where did you learn about that?

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<v Speaker 3>Well?

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<v Speaker 2>I read about it in one of the you know

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<v Speaker 2>the Asian newspapers, and I was done by it because

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<v Speaker 2>it seemed to me such a simple idea. They're calling

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<v Speaker 2>it practical PhDs, right, so instead of you know, getting

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<v Speaker 2>a PhD and you know whatever, you get your PhD

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<v Speaker 2>in building how to build a better highway, right, And

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<v Speaker 2>that seemed to me like there's so many inventive people

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<v Speaker 2>all around the world, but also in the US, where

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<v Speaker 2>if you offered them a PhD in doing something practical,

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<v Speaker 2>there would be huge take up on that, and I

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<v Speaker 2>think it would lead to an explosion of innovations.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's a great idea. Machine copy it. Let's go

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<v Speaker 1>to story number three bad news and maybe two grim

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<v Speaker 1>you put it. Al Qaeda has a network of affiliates

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<v Speaker 1>and they together have more than fifty times the number

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<v Speaker 1>of recruits they had at nine to eleven. That's the

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<v Speaker 1>kind of exponential growth we don't need to see. John Ellis, Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's it's it's.

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<v Speaker 2>You know Africa, which you know at the time of

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<v Speaker 2>nine to eleven, al Kaina had no presence in Africa.

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<v Speaker 2>Now it has a significant presence there, it has a

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<v Speaker 2>significant president across South Asia, obviously India. Paka, I mean

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<v Speaker 2>Pakistan and Afghanistan, and then the various you know, quote

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<v Speaker 2>subsidiaries in quote in European countries and here in the US.

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<v Speaker 2>It's it's it's a ticking time bomb.

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<v Speaker 1>It is, especially when you compare it with your fourth story.

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<v Speaker 1>The United States economy is not prepared to scale on

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<v Speaker 1>defense related things like munitions, and China has already scaled.

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<v Speaker 1>If al Qaeda is growing exponentially and China's growing It's navy,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, by leaps and bounds every month, producing more

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<v Speaker 1>ships than we do in a year, how long does

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<v Speaker 1>it take for us to actually get back in the game,

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<v Speaker 1>do you think?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, we've covered this story of We think one

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<v Speaker 2>of the major stories of our time is the force

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<v Speaker 2>rating us of the US military, and what we've built

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<v Speaker 2>since the end of the Cold War is an unbelievably

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<v Speaker 2>efficient consumer economy at the expense of having the resources

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<v Speaker 2>to do some sustain production of military hardware of all

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<v Speaker 2>types to enable US to wage war or fight wars

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<v Speaker 2>in any number of theaters. So you have a challenge

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<v Speaker 2>from the Middle East, Iran, you have a challenge from

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<v Speaker 2>Russia and Ukraine. You have a challenge from China and Taiwan,

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<v Speaker 2>and you have a challenge in Africa from al Qaeda.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, we need a lot of guns to be competitive,

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<v Speaker 2>if you will, in those theaters. And what we found

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<v Speaker 2>is that our capacity to produce the weapons to you know,

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<v Speaker 2>to be able to sustain longer term campaigns isn't there.

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<v Speaker 2>And so it's a huge challenge for a Secretary accept

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<v Speaker 2>and his team at the Defense Department to whip that

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<v Speaker 2>into shape because you know, conflict are coming. It's not

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<v Speaker 2>it's not if it's when.

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<v Speaker 1>I recommend everyone read Arthur Hermann's Freedom Fortune and what

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<v Speaker 1>we can do if we choose to do. Last story

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<v Speaker 1>is about the opioid empandemic, and I was kind of

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<v Speaker 1>stunned to learn it's one of the major drivers of

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<v Speaker 1>realignment in the United States over the past sixteen twenty years,

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<v Speaker 1>moving people from a ten year at the Republican That's remarkable.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>After the twenty twenty four election, I participated in a

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<v Speaker 2>couple of roundtables, and you know, I was why did

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<v Speaker 2>Trump win? And everybody said the same thing, which was,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, inflation and immigration and nobody like Biden. But

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<v Speaker 2>I made the point without evidence that I thought the

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<v Speaker 2>thing that supercharged the immigration issue was the fentanyl crisis,

0:13:07.559 --> 0:13:10.960
<v Speaker 2>and lo and behold there comes this academic study which

0:13:11.000 --> 0:13:19.079
<v Speaker 2>shows that where the fentyl crisis was most acute, those

0:13:19.679 --> 0:13:24.400
<v Speaker 2>congressional districts, those states, those state senate districts, et cetera

0:13:25.800 --> 0:13:30.080
<v Speaker 2>progressively voted Republican and that I think has to do

0:13:30.240 --> 0:13:33.400
<v Speaker 2>with the fact that Democratic policy was to let as

0:13:33.440 --> 0:13:37.480
<v Speaker 2>money and as possible, and voters didn't like that.

0:13:37.600 --> 0:13:37.720
<v Speaker 3>Out.

0:13:37.800 --> 0:13:41.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, fentanyl deaths are a law and order issue. Behind

0:13:41.000 --> 0:13:43.160
<v Speaker 1>the tragedy and the great that's the law and order issue.

0:13:43.360 --> 0:13:46.559
<v Speaker 1>John Ellis follow him on Exit Ellis Items. Find news

0:13:46.600 --> 0:13:49.480
<v Speaker 1>items that by googling news items and John Ellis, and

0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:52.000
<v Speaker 1>thank you for your weekly contribution. John. I'll be right

0:13:52.040 --> 0:13:59.439
<v Speaker 1>back America. Eli Laynett on the UK. Chack Borger Back America.

0:13:59.480 --> 0:14:03.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm Eli lake Is with the Free Press. He's also

0:14:03.240 --> 0:14:05.600
<v Speaker 1>the host of the Breaking History podcast there as well

0:14:05.640 --> 0:14:08.800
<v Speaker 1>as a contributor. I've been following the story about our

0:14:09.040 --> 0:14:13.959
<v Speaker 1>looming battle with Iran extensively. Eli, welcome. My assessment after

0:14:14.000 --> 0:14:16.800
<v Speaker 1>the meeting broke up in oman early hours of this

0:14:17.280 --> 0:14:21.200
<v Speaker 1>Friday morning is that Iran is going to go full Alamo.

0:14:21.560 --> 0:14:22.520
<v Speaker 1>That's my assessment.

0:14:22.640 --> 0:14:26.240
<v Speaker 4>Do you agree yes, and I think in some ways

0:14:26.280 --> 0:14:29.080
<v Speaker 4>it's baked into the ideology of the regime. They are

0:14:29.800 --> 0:14:34.280
<v Speaker 4>an apocalyptic kind of cult of a regime, and this

0:14:34.480 --> 0:14:38.400
<v Speaker 4>you can see it from how they've purged dissenters in

0:14:38.440 --> 0:14:40.640
<v Speaker 4>the past, and you can see it from the rhetoric

0:14:40.720 --> 0:14:42.720
<v Speaker 4>of Kamenae, and that's what's going to I think you're right.

0:14:43.800 --> 0:14:47.720
<v Speaker 1>Full Alimo means that there won't be anyone left in

0:14:47.760 --> 0:14:50.640
<v Speaker 1>the regime at the end of any conflict, but there

0:14:50.720 --> 0:14:54.240
<v Speaker 1>will be quite a few casualties on the other side

0:14:54.280 --> 0:14:57.479
<v Speaker 1>along the way. Santa Ana's army did not come out unscathed,

0:14:57.520 --> 0:14:59.960
<v Speaker 1>and I think they were defeated in a subsequent battle.

0:15:00.160 --> 0:15:02.800
<v Speaker 1>Do you think that Iran has the ability to inflict

0:15:03.000 --> 0:15:05.560
<v Speaker 1>significant casualties on the United States?

0:15:06.920 --> 0:15:09.120
<v Speaker 4>Not on the United States. But I just want to

0:15:09.120 --> 0:15:11.840
<v Speaker 4>go back to what you said. I think Kameney is

0:15:12.080 --> 0:15:17.360
<v Speaker 4>willing to kind of drive his country into the Abyss,

0:15:18.320 --> 0:15:21.160
<v Speaker 4>and we didn't need this confrontation.

0:15:20.680 --> 0:15:21.200
<v Speaker 1>To know that.

0:15:22.200 --> 0:15:25.720
<v Speaker 4>I do think if comedy has taken out, there will

0:15:25.760 --> 0:15:29.520
<v Speaker 4>be a battle internally for who would be the next

0:15:29.560 --> 0:15:33.240
<v Speaker 4>supreme leader who takes over. And if you can combine

0:15:33.240 --> 0:15:35.440
<v Speaker 4>that with as Israel did in the twelve date war,

0:15:35.520 --> 0:15:38.880
<v Speaker 4>taking out some of the top echelon of the military

0:15:39.040 --> 0:15:43.880
<v Speaker 4>IRGC leadership, there is an opportunity that then you make

0:15:43.920 --> 0:15:47.880
<v Speaker 4>the choice very real, and I think there's enough corruption.

0:15:49.360 --> 0:15:52.200
<v Speaker 4>Your great interview with Kareem Sagriport made the point that

0:15:52.240 --> 0:15:55.920
<v Speaker 4>it started off twenty percent Charlatan, eighty percent true believer,

0:15:55.960 --> 0:15:59.240
<v Speaker 4>and now it's eighty percent Charlatan twenty percent true believer.

0:15:59.720 --> 0:16:04.240
<v Speaker 4>My hope is that you maybe avoid some bloodshed if

0:16:04.280 --> 0:16:08.080
<v Speaker 4>you take out a couple of Charlatans and true believers

0:16:08.680 --> 0:16:11.840
<v Speaker 4>and you sort of put the choice again to the Charlatan, saying,

0:16:12.360 --> 0:16:14.800
<v Speaker 4>you know, you can go the easy way or the

0:16:14.800 --> 0:16:15.760
<v Speaker 4>hard way, as they say.

0:16:16.440 --> 0:16:19.120
<v Speaker 1>Eli. I've read twice or listened to twice in the

0:16:19.240 --> 0:16:22.600
<v Speaker 1>last week Empire of Terror by Mark Selenski. I don't

0:16:22.600 --> 0:16:24.280
<v Speaker 1>know if you've read it, but it's about the IRG.

0:16:24.520 --> 0:16:26.680
<v Speaker 1>No I haven't. I'll put that on my list. It's

0:16:26.720 --> 0:16:28.920
<v Speaker 1>about six years old, but as of six years ago,

0:16:29.000 --> 0:16:31.680
<v Speaker 1>the IRGC is about one hundred and fifty thousand, the

0:16:31.960 --> 0:16:35.280
<v Speaker 1>regular Iranian Army is another four hundred thousand, And that

0:16:35.400 --> 0:16:38.600
<v Speaker 1>took away a lot of my hope for the quick

0:16:38.760 --> 0:16:42.000
<v Speaker 1>exit for the regime, because that one hundred and fifty

0:16:42.040 --> 0:16:45.920
<v Speaker 1>thousand will be killed by the Iranian citizen re after

0:16:45.960 --> 0:16:49.640
<v Speaker 1>they murdered at least thirty thousand people. There will be revenge.

0:16:49.720 --> 0:16:54.360
<v Speaker 1>There will not be a coalition of amnesty granting people

0:16:54.400 --> 0:16:58.800
<v Speaker 1>they're angry. Doesn't that decrease the likelihood of anything other

0:16:58.840 --> 0:16:59.800
<v Speaker 1>than full Alamo?

0:17:01.520 --> 0:17:05.000
<v Speaker 4>Well, if rez Apolovy, who I wrote about this week,

0:17:05.920 --> 0:17:10.919
<v Speaker 4>can unify the opposition and implement a transition plan, he

0:17:11.040 --> 0:17:14.320
<v Speaker 4>has spoken about amnesty for lower and mid level folks.

0:17:14.520 --> 0:17:15.639
<v Speaker 5>I don't know that you're going to.

0:17:15.640 --> 0:17:18.520
<v Speaker 4>See that level of it, but I should say it's

0:17:18.520 --> 0:17:21.240
<v Speaker 4>certainly there, and it reminds me many years ago, almost

0:17:21.240 --> 0:17:26.040
<v Speaker 4>twenty years ago, I interviewed Iatol Fomani's grandson and one

0:17:26.080 --> 0:17:28.520
<v Speaker 4>of that's I was at the time very much taken

0:17:28.560 --> 0:17:32.159
<v Speaker 4>in by the kind of idea of nonviolent resistance or

0:17:32.200 --> 0:17:35.880
<v Speaker 4>people power Gene Sharp and when I put it to him,

0:17:35.880 --> 0:17:37.960
<v Speaker 4>he said, there's such a blood dead at this point

0:17:37.960 --> 0:17:42.280
<v Speaker 4>that people will extract a heavy price once once the

0:17:42.359 --> 0:17:45.080
<v Speaker 4>Mulla's topple. And that's coming from you know, the bloodline

0:17:45.119 --> 0:17:46.160
<v Speaker 4>of the founder of the revolution.

0:17:46.480 --> 0:17:49.159
<v Speaker 1>Well, Yashar Ali, with whom I don't often agree is

0:17:49.240 --> 0:17:53.480
<v Speaker 1>right about the fact that as the internet connectivity is restored,

0:17:53.920 --> 0:17:55.600
<v Speaker 1>we will see more and more of what we saw

0:17:55.640 --> 0:17:59.800
<v Speaker 1>a few of this just absolutely horrific videos, trucks running

0:17:59.800 --> 0:18:04.680
<v Speaker 1>through through entire crowds, machete to a young lady, the horrible,

0:18:04.840 --> 0:18:08.760
<v Speaker 1>horrible videos. And I the trauma that Israel went through

0:18:08.760 --> 0:18:11.560
<v Speaker 1>on ten to seven has now been visited by their

0:18:11.600 --> 0:18:14.919
<v Speaker 1>own government on the people of Iran, doesn't that. I

0:18:15.040 --> 0:18:18.359
<v Speaker 1>just think it creates conditions that we've not seen before.

0:18:20.240 --> 0:18:25.960
<v Speaker 4>There will certainly be some vengeance. However, there I think

0:18:26.080 --> 0:18:29.199
<v Speaker 4>is an opportunity for leadership again, you know, keeping an

0:18:29.240 --> 0:18:30.879
<v Speaker 4>eye on the prize. I do think that there's an

0:18:30.920 --> 0:18:35.040
<v Speaker 4>opportunity at least and maybe that this is a role

0:18:35.160 --> 0:18:39.280
<v Speaker 4>for the United States and our intelligence services to effectively

0:18:39.320 --> 0:18:43.639
<v Speaker 4>try to buy people off and coerce them. And you

0:18:43.680 --> 0:18:48.000
<v Speaker 4>can do that by killing some of the prominent leaders

0:18:48.040 --> 0:18:49.520
<v Speaker 4>and then saying do you want the same faith, do

0:18:49.560 --> 0:18:51.439
<v Speaker 4>you want to be on the same kill list, or

0:18:51.440 --> 0:18:52.840
<v Speaker 4>do you want to face the people? And that so

0:18:52.920 --> 0:18:56.360
<v Speaker 4>there isn't maybe an opportunity to step aside. My concern

0:18:56.440 --> 0:18:59.520
<v Speaker 4>would be that if there was a quick fall of

0:18:59.560 --> 0:19:02.560
<v Speaker 4>the regime, there was something in the interim that there

0:19:02.560 --> 0:19:05.000
<v Speaker 4>would be an opportunity for a kind of insurgency that

0:19:05.040 --> 0:19:11.199
<v Speaker 4>would be filled by the ranks of these killers you

0:19:11.200 --> 0:19:13.159
<v Speaker 4>know at the top right now, which is a similar

0:19:13.240 --> 0:19:14.960
<v Speaker 4>dynamic of what we saw in Iraq.

0:19:15.320 --> 0:19:17.439
<v Speaker 1>Well, you know, I want to know if you agree

0:19:17.440 --> 0:19:19.840
<v Speaker 1>as well, and feel free to tell me no, you're stupid.

0:19:20.960 --> 0:19:25.680
<v Speaker 1>Prior to the nineteen ninety one Gulf War One, the

0:19:25.920 --> 0:19:28.919
<v Speaker 1>casualty estimates that the American public was made ready for

0:19:29.080 --> 0:19:32.640
<v Speaker 1>was in six figures. Same thing happened twenty years later

0:19:32.720 --> 0:19:36.240
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand and three. Be prepared for big casualties

0:19:36.240 --> 0:19:38.320
<v Speaker 1>in both wars. It was under one hundred and fifty

0:19:38.320 --> 0:19:41.160
<v Speaker 1>in the initial invasion and in two thousand and three.

0:19:41.200 --> 0:19:43.480
<v Speaker 1>Of course it went into the thousands over the long

0:19:44.119 --> 0:19:47.359
<v Speaker 1>term war, but it was a less than one hundred

0:19:47.359 --> 0:19:49.520
<v Speaker 1>and fifty in Iraq in two thousand and three, less

0:19:49.560 --> 0:19:52.159
<v Speaker 1>than one hundred and fifty, which is a huge number

0:19:52.160 --> 0:19:55.000
<v Speaker 1>for America, but never let less than what we were expecting.

0:19:55.000 --> 0:19:58.879
<v Speaker 1>In nineteen ninety one, Ambassador Orrin came on form Israeli

0:19:58.880 --> 0:20:02.760
<v Speaker 1>Ambassador United States WEWICS this week to say, remember the Sheffield,

0:20:02.960 --> 0:20:06.920
<v Speaker 1>Remember the Sheffield, Remember the Sheffield, the Royal Navy destroyer

0:20:07.000 --> 0:20:09.520
<v Speaker 1>that was hit by an EXO set from an Argentinian

0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:13.320
<v Speaker 1>jet fighter in nineteen eighty two, killing twenty sailors, and

0:20:14.080 --> 0:20:17.160
<v Speaker 1>they could get off a lot of lucky shots. Has

0:20:17.240 --> 0:20:20.600
<v Speaker 1>anyone talked about to the American people about to be

0:20:20.680 --> 0:20:21.840
<v Speaker 1>prepared for casualties.

0:20:23.359 --> 0:20:25.399
<v Speaker 4>No one's talked about that. I do think that is

0:20:25.440 --> 0:20:28.560
<v Speaker 4>a realistic thing in terms of the potential to hit

0:20:28.600 --> 0:20:31.720
<v Speaker 4>the bases. As I wrote this week, we have an

0:20:31.760 --> 0:20:34.800
<v Speaker 4>interceptor shortage for our missile defense systems, which are very

0:20:34.840 --> 0:20:38.280
<v Speaker 4>good but very expensive, and so the math game right

0:20:38.320 --> 0:20:41.360
<v Speaker 4>now favors the aggressors of the people who can build cheap,

0:20:41.359 --> 0:20:44.680
<v Speaker 4>realistic missiles like Russia against Ukraine or Iran against Israel

0:20:44.720 --> 0:20:47.040
<v Speaker 4>as we saw in the Twelve Day War, and there

0:20:47.080 --> 0:20:49.720
<v Speaker 4>is a potential for that. My understanding is a lot

0:20:49.760 --> 0:20:53.480
<v Speaker 4>of the military planning and including with Israel, is trying

0:20:53.480 --> 0:20:55.400
<v Speaker 4>to figure out if you can have a first wave

0:20:55.440 --> 0:21:00.000
<v Speaker 4>of attack that overwhelms and pretty much dismantles Iran's missile capability.

0:21:00.280 --> 0:21:01.840
<v Speaker 1>I don't know the answer to that, but.

0:21:03.400 --> 0:21:06.120
<v Speaker 4>You know, I trust the Israeli intelligence, and I trust

0:21:06.160 --> 0:21:07.120
<v Speaker 4>the American hardware.

0:21:07.680 --> 0:21:10.080
<v Speaker 1>I trust the discombobulator. I don't know if you heard

0:21:10.119 --> 0:21:10.879
<v Speaker 1>President Truy I.

0:21:10.840 --> 0:21:13.240
<v Speaker 4>Trust the discard that would be great, right, exactly right?

0:21:13.359 --> 0:21:13.800
<v Speaker 1>Do you think?

0:21:16.320 --> 0:21:16.520
<v Speaker 3>No?

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:17.639
<v Speaker 1>I think so.

0:21:18.640 --> 0:21:20.640
<v Speaker 4>This is one of these situations where as a journalist

0:21:20.680 --> 0:21:23.280
<v Speaker 4>who's done reporting on it, but I'm not yet ready

0:21:23.320 --> 0:21:24.879
<v Speaker 4>to publish it. But I'll just tell you in general

0:21:24.960 --> 0:21:28.639
<v Speaker 4>terms what I've heard. The Israelis figured out both a

0:21:28.680 --> 0:21:32.439
<v Speaker 4>protocol and a technology that allowed them to blind the

0:21:32.720 --> 0:21:34.600
<v Speaker 4>not just the air defense system, but the command and

0:21:34.600 --> 0:21:38.000
<v Speaker 4>control of their adversary. And you first saw that against Hezbollah,

0:21:38.080 --> 0:21:40.040
<v Speaker 4>then you saw it against Iran in the Twelve Day War,

0:21:40.520 --> 0:21:43.160
<v Speaker 4>and even before another strikes it against Iran, and that

0:21:43.160 --> 0:21:47.280
<v Speaker 4>that know how, because it's not just the tech, it's

0:21:47.320 --> 0:21:50.840
<v Speaker 4>also how you do it. This is I'm again, has

0:21:50.880 --> 0:21:53.200
<v Speaker 4>been shared with the United States. I think that might

0:21:53.240 --> 0:21:56.119
<v Speaker 4>be the decent discombobulator. But again that's just sort of

0:21:56.680 --> 0:21:59.160
<v Speaker 4>an inference on my part because i'd heard that before

0:21:59.200 --> 0:22:01.720
<v Speaker 4>the President talked about that it's a combobulator who.

0:22:01.680 --> 0:22:03.840
<v Speaker 1>I will be watching the Free Press this weekend for

0:22:03.960 --> 0:22:07.160
<v Speaker 1>updates from Eli Lake. Follow him on x at Eli Lake,

0:22:07.200 --> 0:22:09.119
<v Speaker 1>subscribe to the Free Press. He wrote a great piece

0:22:09.720 --> 0:22:12.359
<v Speaker 1>on Crown Prince Pavlabi. He also wrote a great piece

0:22:12.400 --> 0:22:14.640
<v Speaker 1>on the munitions and a great piece on the negotiations.

0:22:14.680 --> 0:22:16.640
<v Speaker 1>You on top of this, like very few people are.

0:22:17.040 --> 0:22:20.200
<v Speaker 1>And if Iran is going to go full Alamo, you'll

0:22:20.240 --> 0:22:22.800
<v Speaker 1>find out about it from Eli First. Thank you, Eli Lake.

0:22:22.880 --> 0:22:29.600
<v Speaker 1>I'll be right back America. Stay tuned. Welcome back, America.

0:22:29.760 --> 0:22:33.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm joined by Matt Connetty, head of Domestic Policy Studies

0:22:33.080 --> 0:22:36.760
<v Speaker 1>at AEI, columnists for the Wall Street Journal. Hello Matt,

0:22:36.840 --> 0:22:39.760
<v Speaker 1>and before we get into the very serious stuff that

0:22:39.800 --> 0:22:42.439
<v Speaker 1>you wrote about for the Journal on Friday, I have

0:22:42.480 --> 0:22:45.000
<v Speaker 1>to begin with I'm developing a new theory. Have you

0:22:45.040 --> 0:22:46.040
<v Speaker 1>been married a long time?

0:22:48.320 --> 0:22:50.159
<v Speaker 5>I guess it all depends on the meaning of the

0:22:50.160 --> 0:22:52.440
<v Speaker 5>word long. But yeah, we're about to.

0:22:52.400 --> 0:22:56.120
<v Speaker 6>Celebrate our anniversary and it will be fourteen years.

0:22:56.000 --> 0:22:58.119
<v Speaker 1>All right, so that's good enough. Do you remember the

0:22:58.200 --> 0:23:02.720
<v Speaker 1>same movies as missus, Continetti remembers.

0:23:04.960 --> 0:23:08.239
<v Speaker 6>Yes, we're of the same generation, we don't, you know,

0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:13.840
<v Speaker 6>Being a man and woman, we like different types of films,

0:23:14.119 --> 0:23:14.320
<v Speaker 6>you know.

0:23:14.520 --> 0:23:15.639
<v Speaker 1>So this is what I'm texting.

0:23:16.119 --> 0:23:19.320
<v Speaker 6>I tried to have her watch The Godfather with me, Hugh,

0:23:19.400 --> 0:23:22.879
<v Speaker 6>and that lasted all about forty five minutes, So you know,

0:23:23.520 --> 0:23:26.800
<v Speaker 6>vice versa. She likes the rom coms and the Hallmark Channel,

0:23:26.880 --> 0:23:31.040
<v Speaker 6>and of course I'm usually in another room watching a

0:23:31.080 --> 0:23:32.000
<v Speaker 6>live sporting event.

0:23:32.160 --> 0:23:34.840
<v Speaker 1>Well, last night I was talked into watching Nodding Hill

0:23:34.880 --> 0:23:37.600
<v Speaker 1>again for the first time in twenty seven years, and

0:23:37.640 --> 0:23:42.399
<v Speaker 1>the fetching missus Hewett knows the dialogue because apparently women

0:23:42.480 --> 0:23:46.080
<v Speaker 1>get fed these little clips. I'm just a girl standing

0:23:46.080 --> 0:23:48.720
<v Speaker 1>in front of Justice Boy, and I didn't remember anything

0:23:48.760 --> 0:23:50.800
<v Speaker 1>of it. I didn't remember horses and Hounds, which is very,

0:23:50.880 --> 0:23:52.959
<v Speaker 1>very fun. Do you remember anything about Notting Hill. It's

0:23:53.000 --> 0:23:53.840
<v Speaker 1>before you were married.

0:23:53.880 --> 0:23:57.080
<v Speaker 5>I know, in fact, if my wife made me watch

0:23:57.200 --> 0:23:59.960
<v Speaker 5>Nodding Hill, it would be the first time I would

0:24:00.040 --> 0:24:00.920
<v Speaker 5>have seen that film.

0:24:01.359 --> 0:24:04.960
<v Speaker 6>There's a whole universe there that I leave to her,

0:24:05.400 --> 0:24:08.240
<v Speaker 6>and then of course she leaves all the Star Trek

0:24:08.320 --> 0:24:11.520
<v Speaker 6>movies and the die hard stuff to me.

0:24:11.920 --> 0:24:14.199
<v Speaker 1>I will just make a recommendation. You will, as a

0:24:14.359 --> 0:24:16.600
<v Speaker 1>fine writer that you are, you will like the writing

0:24:16.600 --> 0:24:20.080
<v Speaker 1>in notting Hill. Now I'm going to go full serious

0:24:20.119 --> 0:24:22.920
<v Speaker 1>on you. Do you think Karan is going to go

0:24:23.040 --> 0:24:23.760
<v Speaker 1>full Alamo?

0:24:26.920 --> 0:24:28.200
<v Speaker 5>Well, you know, it would be.

0:24:29.720 --> 0:24:32.680
<v Speaker 6>A first if it did that, If the regime did that,

0:24:33.160 --> 0:24:37.439
<v Speaker 6>this regime has been very cautious over the decades. I mean,

0:24:37.520 --> 0:24:41.480
<v Speaker 6>let's not forget when it fired rockets at Israel in

0:24:41.480 --> 0:24:44.440
<v Speaker 6>two thousand and four. That was the first direct attack

0:24:45.160 --> 0:24:48.640
<v Speaker 6>Iran had ever launched at the state of Israel since

0:24:48.680 --> 0:24:54.040
<v Speaker 6>the Islamic Revolution happened in nineteen seventy nine. So then,

0:24:54.119 --> 0:24:57.879
<v Speaker 6>even after Operation Midnight Hammer in twenty twenty five, you know,

0:24:57.920 --> 0:25:02.600
<v Speaker 6>the spectacular destruction of the Ranian nuclear program by US forces,

0:25:03.280 --> 0:25:07.919
<v Speaker 6>iron had the very performative assault on our base in

0:25:08.000 --> 0:25:10.879
<v Speaker 6>Dohak Hutter telegraphing it beforehand.

0:25:11.000 --> 0:25:12.560
<v Speaker 5>There were no US casualties.

0:25:13.400 --> 0:25:16.800
<v Speaker 6>So I think for the full Alamo, you would really

0:25:17.000 --> 0:25:20.080
<v Speaker 6>have to have the Mollahs believe this is it, this

0:25:20.240 --> 0:25:24.000
<v Speaker 6>is do or die. They're facing extinction as a regime,

0:25:24.640 --> 0:25:25.920
<v Speaker 6>and I don't think we're there yet.

0:25:26.080 --> 0:25:29.240
<v Speaker 1>Well, I put this to Eli Lake, and I'll put

0:25:29.280 --> 0:25:32.080
<v Speaker 1>it to you. They murdered at least thirty thousands of

0:25:32.119 --> 0:25:36.440
<v Speaker 1>their citizens, which means there are hundreds of thousands of grieving,

0:25:36.640 --> 0:25:40.560
<v Speaker 1>revenge seeking Iranians. They already burned down a bunch of

0:25:40.720 --> 0:25:44.520
<v Speaker 1>mosques and mullah's houses. I don't think anyone from the

0:25:44.520 --> 0:25:48.160
<v Speaker 1>IRGC or the molocracy is going to walk away if

0:25:48.160 --> 0:25:49.880
<v Speaker 1>there is regime change, do.

0:25:49.840 --> 0:25:56.880
<v Speaker 6>You certainly not from the IRGC or the besiege You know,

0:25:56.960 --> 0:25:59.800
<v Speaker 6>there of course whole political echelons that are part of this,

0:26:00.720 --> 0:26:02.600
<v Speaker 6>and there's the regular army, you know.

0:26:02.640 --> 0:26:03.360
<v Speaker 5>I think one of.

0:26:03.280 --> 0:26:06.520
<v Speaker 6>Our goals should be in order to create space between

0:26:06.520 --> 0:26:11.600
<v Speaker 6>the regular army and then the revolutionary cadres, the IRGC,

0:26:11.880 --> 0:26:16.239
<v Speaker 6>which foments terrorism abroad, and the beasiege militias, which are

0:26:16.320 --> 0:26:19.560
<v Speaker 6>kind of the enforcers of the Mulla's room at home.

0:26:20.000 --> 0:26:21.879
<v Speaker 5>It's a very complicated country.

0:26:21.920 --> 0:26:26.360
<v Speaker 6>I mean, it's hugely populated, it's sprawling, and so whatever

0:26:26.480 --> 0:26:29.080
<v Speaker 6>happens next with the fall of this regime is going

0:26:29.160 --> 0:26:30.639
<v Speaker 6>to be is going to be messy.

0:26:31.440 --> 0:26:33.879
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to say for after the break what you

0:26:33.920 --> 0:26:36.560
<v Speaker 1>wrote in the vertical today at the Wall Street Journal,

0:26:36.640 --> 0:26:39.200
<v Speaker 1>your column for the week. Before we do that, before

0:26:39.200 --> 0:26:40.800
<v Speaker 1>we go to the break and talk to me, would

0:26:40.800 --> 0:26:43.600
<v Speaker 1>you explain to people what the Free Expression vertical is

0:26:43.840 --> 0:26:44.960
<v Speaker 1>over at the Wall Street Journal.

0:26:46.119 --> 0:26:46.639
<v Speaker 5>I'm happy to.

0:26:46.680 --> 0:26:49.439
<v Speaker 6>I'm very excited too. It's a new project launched by

0:26:49.440 --> 0:26:53.320
<v Speaker 6>Wall Street Journal Opinion. Free Expression is a daily newsletter

0:26:54.080 --> 0:26:56.679
<v Speaker 6>that you get either over email or sub stack. You

0:26:56.720 --> 0:27:00.480
<v Speaker 6>can sign up at the Wall Street Journal, and it's

0:27:00.520 --> 0:27:03.639
<v Speaker 6>a lot of stuff, topics that are usually not covered

0:27:03.640 --> 0:27:08.720
<v Speaker 6>by the opinion pages, more cultural, more youthful, kind of

0:27:08.760 --> 0:27:11.560
<v Speaker 6>directed about a lot on gen Z what's up with

0:27:11.560 --> 0:27:14.080
<v Speaker 6>the kids, so to speak. And then they have you know,

0:27:14.200 --> 0:27:17.760
<v Speaker 6>the old the Old Fogy Continetti there at the end

0:27:17.800 --> 0:27:21.040
<v Speaker 6>of each week, where I weigh in on politics and

0:27:21.440 --> 0:27:23.800
<v Speaker 6>foreign policy. But it's a great mix so far, and

0:27:23.800 --> 0:27:25.479
<v Speaker 6>we're off to a great start and I'm very excited

0:27:25.520 --> 0:27:26.159
<v Speaker 6>to be a part of it.

0:27:26.320 --> 0:27:28.800
<v Speaker 1>You know, if you're the old Fogy, Matt, that makes

0:27:28.840 --> 0:27:32.160
<v Speaker 1>me the ancient Mariner. So I'm not really into that description.

0:27:32.720 --> 0:27:36.240
<v Speaker 6>You're the oracle, You're the oracle of the Relief Factor studio.

0:27:36.440 --> 0:27:39.080
<v Speaker 1>I talked to the oracle of every studio this week,

0:27:39.119 --> 0:27:42.400
<v Speaker 1>brit Hume down in South Florida where he's seeking refuge

0:27:42.400 --> 0:27:44.520
<v Speaker 1>from the new Virginia government. I'm going to talk to

0:27:44.520 --> 0:27:46.320
<v Speaker 1>you about that during the break, and then come back

0:27:46.359 --> 0:27:48.760
<v Speaker 1>after the break and talk with Matt Continetti about his

0:27:48.840 --> 0:27:51.879
<v Speaker 1>column this week and about whether or not President Trump

0:27:51.960 --> 0:27:55.320
<v Speaker 1>is doing what he needs to do to prepare America

0:27:55.600 --> 0:27:58.280
<v Speaker 1>for a serious battle. Stay tuned, Welcome back in America.

0:27:58.320 --> 0:28:00.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm with Matt Continetti Calm for The Wall Street Journal,

0:28:00.880 --> 0:28:03.920
<v Speaker 1>head of Domestic Policy Studies at AI. In the break

0:28:03.960 --> 0:28:06.640
<v Speaker 1>between our segments, which will be on the podcast, Matt,

0:28:06.800 --> 0:28:08.639
<v Speaker 1>in this break, I got to go back to the

0:28:08.720 --> 0:28:10.800
<v Speaker 1>Beltway on Sunday. I'm not looking forward to that because

0:28:10.840 --> 0:28:13.960
<v Speaker 1>it's Sunday in seventy five in California, where I spend

0:28:14.000 --> 0:28:16.439
<v Speaker 1>a couple of weeks every winter, a couple of months,

0:28:16.720 --> 0:28:18.560
<v Speaker 1>and now I got to go back to the Beltway

0:28:18.560 --> 0:28:22.119
<v Speaker 1>where it's freezing, but even worse and good old Virginia.

0:28:22.880 --> 0:28:26.400
<v Speaker 1>The Democrats have taken control with a vengeance. They are

0:28:26.720 --> 0:28:31.000
<v Speaker 1>really proposing California's solutions to every problem. Is this just

0:28:32.359 --> 0:28:33.480
<v Speaker 1>talk or is it real?

0:28:35.359 --> 0:28:36.280
<v Speaker 5>I think it's real, Hugh.

0:28:36.400 --> 0:28:40.080
<v Speaker 6>I think it's what happens when the one party gains

0:28:40.120 --> 0:28:45.240
<v Speaker 6>control of the state government, animated by this progressive reaction

0:28:46.120 --> 0:28:50.560
<v Speaker 6>to Trump, as we're seeing in Virginia. The elections did

0:28:50.600 --> 0:28:55.719
<v Speaker 6>not go well for Virginia Republicans last November. And on

0:28:55.800 --> 0:29:01.400
<v Speaker 6>top of that, Governor Spanberger, who said practice nothing during

0:29:01.400 --> 0:29:04.280
<v Speaker 6>the campaign other than she stood with law enforcement and

0:29:04.320 --> 0:29:07.600
<v Speaker 6>cared about kids, has revealed herself to be nothing but

0:29:08.280 --> 0:29:13.320
<v Speaker 6>a signing machine for the progressive machine. And so one

0:29:13.360 --> 0:29:16.680
<v Speaker 6>of the first things she signed into law is this

0:29:16.800 --> 0:29:20.560
<v Speaker 6>proposal to have a new congressional map, which would reduce

0:29:20.720 --> 0:29:25.760
<v Speaker 6>the Republican representation in Congress to two or even one seat.

0:29:26.320 --> 0:29:29.480
<v Speaker 6>And this goes from a you know, Republicans haven't won

0:29:29.640 --> 0:29:32.840
<v Speaker 6>Virginia since two thousand and four in a presidential election,

0:29:33.320 --> 0:29:36.120
<v Speaker 6>but they still get about forty five percent of the vote.

0:29:36.680 --> 0:29:39.520
<v Speaker 6>But of course we'd be reduced to almost nothing, no

0:29:39.640 --> 0:29:41.320
<v Speaker 6>congressional representation.

0:29:41.600 --> 0:29:42.760
<v Speaker 5>That's her first priority.

0:29:43.120 --> 0:29:46.640
<v Speaker 6>Nothing about the affordability that she campaigned on. They're also

0:29:46.680 --> 0:29:52.680
<v Speaker 6>looking at course, joining the Blue State Climate Compact, which

0:29:52.720 --> 0:29:57.840
<v Speaker 6>will mean higher energy costs for Virginian You're looking at

0:29:57.880 --> 0:30:02.680
<v Speaker 6>now a push to end cooperation with ICE so that

0:30:04.120 --> 0:30:07.840
<v Speaker 6>violent illegal criminals are released back onto the streets without

0:30:07.880 --> 0:30:10.840
<v Speaker 6>having local law enforcement working with ICE to pick them

0:30:10.920 --> 0:30:13.880
<v Speaker 6>up right there to remove them from the streets. And

0:30:13.920 --> 0:30:17.680
<v Speaker 6>then of course there's a slew of gun regulations that

0:30:17.760 --> 0:30:22.560
<v Speaker 6>Spamburger will be asked to sign and will and then

0:30:22.600 --> 0:30:26.320
<v Speaker 6>there're also tax increases. It's a disaster on a policy level,

0:30:26.360 --> 0:30:30.920
<v Speaker 6>and it's a Native Virginia I'm just I'm torn up

0:30:30.920 --> 0:30:31.480
<v Speaker 6>about it.

0:30:31.480 --> 0:30:37.080
<v Speaker 1>It's the Californication of Virginia the commonwealth, and people left California.

0:30:37.080 --> 0:30:39.480
<v Speaker 1>They still live in California. I left California to move

0:30:39.520 --> 0:30:42.120
<v Speaker 1>to Virginia, and we could have gone anywhere. I thought

0:30:42.200 --> 0:30:45.800
<v Speaker 1>Virginia was a nice balance between red and blue. And

0:30:45.840 --> 0:30:49.160
<v Speaker 1>at five and a half percent state taxes, it's not outrageous.

0:30:49.200 --> 0:30:51.960
<v Speaker 1>It's not Florida, it's not Tennessee, it's not Texas. But

0:30:52.000 --> 0:30:55.040
<v Speaker 1>it's not outrageous. They want to go outrageous, Matt, do

0:30:55.080 --> 0:30:59.360
<v Speaker 1>you think there will be an exodus from old Virginia.

0:31:00.120 --> 0:31:03.360
<v Speaker 6>I think it's already starting, just anecdotally. You talk to

0:31:03.400 --> 0:31:08.600
<v Speaker 6>people who are thinking about Tennessee, who are thinking about Florida,

0:31:08.680 --> 0:31:12.440
<v Speaker 6>North Carolina, South Carolina. West Virginia may actually be the

0:31:12.480 --> 0:31:17.880
<v Speaker 6>biggest beneficiary. In truth, it's still drivable, you know, don't

0:31:18.160 --> 0:31:20.720
<v Speaker 6>We don't have normal commute times in the DC area.

0:31:20.880 --> 0:31:24.080
<v Speaker 6>So even that the two hours it would take to

0:31:24.160 --> 0:31:28.160
<v Speaker 6>come from West Virginia seems reasonable to us if in

0:31:28.680 --> 0:31:32.360
<v Speaker 6>exchange for that commute you have a reasonable government with

0:31:32.480 --> 0:31:38.160
<v Speaker 6>low taxes, low less regulation, better business climate, and of

0:31:38.200 --> 0:31:40.000
<v Speaker 6>course more personal freedoms as well.

0:31:40.360 --> 0:31:43.240
<v Speaker 1>Okay, so I think already we've got to go on

0:31:43.280 --> 0:31:48.920
<v Speaker 1>the Relief Factor Network stand by Welcome back America to

0:31:49.000 --> 0:31:51.440
<v Speaker 1>the Sale New Channel Sale and Radio Network, our affiliate

0:31:51.520 --> 0:31:54.800
<v Speaker 1>time Hugh Hewitt with Matt Continetti AI and The Wall

0:31:54.840 --> 0:31:58.400
<v Speaker 1>Street Journal. You missed a good discussion with Matt during

0:31:58.440 --> 0:32:00.560
<v Speaker 1>the break about politics in Virginia. It'll be on the

0:32:00.560 --> 0:32:03.880
<v Speaker 1>Big Weekend Pod. Matt. I want to read the opening

0:32:03.920 --> 0:32:07.160
<v Speaker 1>of your column Friday in The Wall Street Journal. Because

0:32:07.200 --> 0:32:09.920
<v Speaker 1>President Trump must choose to enforce the red lines he

0:32:09.920 --> 0:32:13.240
<v Speaker 1>has drawn against the Iranian regime or entangle himself in

0:32:13.320 --> 0:32:17.200
<v Speaker 1>pointless negotiations that legitimize the sworn enemy. He needs to

0:32:17.280 --> 0:32:21.120
<v Speaker 1>demand Iranian concessions as a precondition for future talks, or

0:32:21.160 --> 0:32:24.640
<v Speaker 1>be prepared to walk away. His credibility is on the line.

0:32:24.720 --> 0:32:28.240
<v Speaker 1>America's deterrent and the future of the Middle East are too.

0:32:28.840 --> 0:32:31.360
<v Speaker 1>That's how I see it. That's how everyone I talk

0:32:31.480 --> 0:32:35.000
<v Speaker 1>to see it. But are we neo Khans locked in

0:32:35.040 --> 0:32:38.560
<v Speaker 1>a neo Khan conference room, or are we Reagan Conservatives

0:32:38.600 --> 0:32:40.240
<v Speaker 1>who understand the value of deterns.

0:32:41.400 --> 0:32:44.440
<v Speaker 6>That's peace through strength and look, I think President Trump

0:32:44.520 --> 0:32:48.520
<v Speaker 6>understands this. He's drawn two red lines with Iran over

0:32:48.720 --> 0:32:51.720
<v Speaker 6>the course of the past year. The first red line

0:32:52.040 --> 0:32:57.600
<v Speaker 6>is no nuclear enrichment, not pausing the enrichment, not winding

0:32:57.600 --> 0:33:01.280
<v Speaker 6>it down to a certain level. No nuclear enrichment, and

0:33:01.320 --> 0:33:04.360
<v Speaker 6>that needs to be verified. And the second red line

0:33:04.480 --> 0:33:07.240
<v Speaker 6>that he drew just in recent weeks is that there

0:33:07.280 --> 0:33:10.600
<v Speaker 6>should be no killing of protesters. There should be no

0:33:11.320 --> 0:33:17.480
<v Speaker 6>murder of your own population. Iran has violated both red lines.

0:33:19.040 --> 0:33:21.840
<v Speaker 6>When it violated the no enrichment red line in twenty

0:33:21.880 --> 0:33:25.880
<v Speaker 6>twenty five, we were having negotiations like we're having now.

0:33:26.280 --> 0:33:30.920
<v Speaker 6>President Trump took action. Operation mid Night Hammer destroyed the

0:33:30.960 --> 0:33:35.040
<v Speaker 6>Iranian nuclear program. Now that highly enriched uranium is under

0:33:35.120 --> 0:33:36.880
<v Speaker 6>rubble or hidden away somewhere.

0:33:38.040 --> 0:33:40.480
<v Speaker 1>Do you the question is do you think that he

0:33:40.560 --> 0:33:44.080
<v Speaker 1>would launch an attack during the Olympics or Ramadan, which

0:33:44.160 --> 0:33:45.760
<v Speaker 1>overlapped the Olympics.

0:33:47.440 --> 0:33:54.520
<v Speaker 6>I think the Olympics probably not. Ramadan is a different story.

0:33:54.560 --> 0:33:57.720
<v Speaker 6>There are many many military operations that have taken place

0:33:57.880 --> 0:34:00.640
<v Speaker 6>during the month of Ramadan. I don't think that would

0:34:00.640 --> 0:34:02.200
<v Speaker 6>prevent Trump from launching an attack.

0:34:02.520 --> 0:34:04.640
<v Speaker 1>Okay, Now what I read is going to have to

0:34:04.680 --> 0:34:08.960
<v Speaker 1>act you Okay, yes, I agree with you. Otherwise we'll

0:34:09.000 --> 0:34:14.120
<v Speaker 1>be back to after the Afghanistan debacle. And you can't.

0:34:14.480 --> 0:34:17.400
<v Speaker 1>You have to rebuild credibility every time you spend it

0:34:17.440 --> 0:34:20.040
<v Speaker 1>down by letting a red line be violated, and he's

0:34:20.040 --> 0:34:22.719
<v Speaker 1>already rebuilt it. It would be a disaster to let

0:34:22.760 --> 0:34:28.120
<v Speaker 1>it go down. However, the first President Bush, before the

0:34:28.120 --> 0:34:31.680
<v Speaker 1>Golf War one, made sure the American people knew that

0:34:31.719 --> 0:34:34.560
<v Speaker 1>we might suffer more than one hundred thousand casualties. We

0:34:34.560 --> 0:34:38.040
<v Speaker 1>were ready for chemical weapons and everything. The second Golf

0:34:38.080 --> 0:34:41.400
<v Speaker 1>War with the second President Bush, same drill. The American

0:34:41.440 --> 0:34:44.080
<v Speaker 1>people were ready for a lot of casualties, were warned,

0:34:44.120 --> 0:34:47.000
<v Speaker 1>and we were a pit in our stomach. And both

0:34:47.040 --> 0:34:49.000
<v Speaker 1>times it was less than one hundred and fifty killed

0:34:49.000 --> 0:34:53.960
<v Speaker 1>in the initial invasion, and the entire desert storm eventually

0:34:54.000 --> 0:34:57.000
<v Speaker 1>became thousands in Iraq over years. Do you think President

0:34:57.040 --> 0:34:59.920
<v Speaker 1>Trump has done what he needs to do with him

0:35:00.000 --> 0:35:03.160
<v Speaker 1>American people to prepare them against mash casualties in any

0:35:03.239 --> 0:35:04.640
<v Speaker 1>kind of conflict with Iran.

0:35:06.360 --> 0:35:10.640
<v Speaker 6>He hasn't talked about mass casualties. He hasn't talked about

0:35:10.680 --> 0:35:12.759
<v Speaker 6>the downsides of a potential conflict.

0:35:13.880 --> 0:35:15.440
<v Speaker 5>But we need to understand.

0:35:15.480 --> 0:35:19.520
<v Speaker 6>I don't think any operation against Iran would look like

0:35:19.719 --> 0:35:23.360
<v Speaker 6>either Gulf War. In both Gulf Wars, of course, we

0:35:23.400 --> 0:35:27.759
<v Speaker 6>had massive armies that we assembled on the perimeter of

0:35:27.800 --> 0:35:32.640
<v Speaker 6>Iraq that went into battle in the First Gulf War

0:35:32.719 --> 0:35:36.399
<v Speaker 6>to eject Saddam from Kuwait in the Second Gulf War

0:35:36.440 --> 0:35:40.880
<v Speaker 6>to end Saddam's rule. That's not what's happening here. Hugh

0:35:41.480 --> 0:35:46.080
<v Speaker 6>Trump has these two red lines, no enrichment, no killing

0:35:46.080 --> 0:35:49.800
<v Speaker 6>of protesters. Iran has violated them both. What that means

0:35:49.920 --> 0:35:52.880
<v Speaker 6>is justice he's done in his first term, whether it

0:35:52.920 --> 0:35:58.360
<v Speaker 6>was Costan Solimani in his second term, Midnight Hammer or

0:35:58.440 --> 0:36:00.640
<v Speaker 6>Operation Absolute Resolve with Maduro.

0:36:01.040 --> 0:36:03.759
<v Speaker 5>He has to punish the aggressors.

0:36:04.400 --> 0:36:08.040
<v Speaker 6>And so what I expect to happen is an attack

0:36:08.200 --> 0:36:12.719
<v Speaker 6>on the apparatus of repression, that is these militias and

0:36:12.800 --> 0:36:18.000
<v Speaker 6>the IRGC terrorists, and also an attack on the remaining

0:36:18.120 --> 0:36:22.040
<v Speaker 6>nuclear sites. What we know from intelligence and the missiles

0:36:22.560 --> 0:36:24.440
<v Speaker 6>right the ballistic missiles that threat.

0:36:24.280 --> 0:36:24.800
<v Speaker 5>In the region.

0:36:25.320 --> 0:36:30.719
<v Speaker 6>That's not a ground invasion with the aim of toppling

0:36:30.800 --> 0:36:35.920
<v Speaker 6>the government and occupying Iran. That's a very Trumpian attack

0:36:36.360 --> 0:36:41.000
<v Speaker 6>in order to coerce the regime into doing what he wants.

0:36:41.280 --> 0:36:43.440
<v Speaker 6>That's what I expect, and I think what now is

0:36:43.840 --> 0:36:46.200
<v Speaker 6>we're waiting for the timing, and the timing has a

0:36:46.239 --> 0:36:49.879
<v Speaker 6>lot to do with the military preparations, not only for

0:36:49.960 --> 0:36:54.880
<v Speaker 6>the offensive, but in expectation of a potential counter attack

0:36:54.960 --> 0:36:58.000
<v Speaker 6>by Iran and our ability to defend against it, not

0:36:58.040 --> 0:37:01.439
<v Speaker 6>only our own forces, but also of course the state

0:37:01.480 --> 0:37:01.960
<v Speaker 6>of Israel.

0:37:02.200 --> 0:37:05.960
<v Speaker 1>Former is really Ambassador Michael Lauren called into the program

0:37:05.960 --> 0:37:09.640
<v Speaker 1>this week twice to remind people about the HMS Sheffield

0:37:09.800 --> 0:37:14.080
<v Speaker 1>in the Falklands, where the Brits Royal Navy and Argentinian

0:37:14.160 --> 0:37:16.600
<v Speaker 1>fighter jet got off an exo set that killed twenty

0:37:16.640 --> 0:37:20.360
<v Speaker 1>British sailors, wounded another twenty five, and sunk a destroyer

0:37:20.880 --> 0:37:24.959
<v Speaker 1>before it could get towed to repair. I don't think

0:37:25.080 --> 0:37:28.719
<v Speaker 1>anyone has said anything yet about how many troops or

0:37:28.760 --> 0:37:32.600
<v Speaker 1>what our vulnerability is, and the Navy is quite confidence

0:37:32.640 --> 0:37:34.680
<v Speaker 1>of ability, but I think there ought to be a

0:37:34.760 --> 0:37:38.040
<v Speaker 1>little bit of preparation, at least by the President and

0:37:38.160 --> 0:37:41.440
<v Speaker 1>others in the Department of Defense about what might happen.

0:37:41.520 --> 0:37:42.719
<v Speaker 1>Do you agree or disagree with that?

0:37:43.880 --> 0:37:47.920
<v Speaker 6>No, I think we need more explanation. The explanation is

0:37:47.920 --> 0:37:50.360
<v Speaker 6>a good thing that leads to persuasion. It gets the

0:37:50.400 --> 0:37:54.320
<v Speaker 6>people on your side. It's not really how President Trump works.

0:37:54.840 --> 0:38:00.560
<v Speaker 6>President Trump wants to work through surprise and unpredictability, and

0:38:00.600 --> 0:38:03.640
<v Speaker 6>so he's not going to be really laying the groundwork

0:38:03.760 --> 0:38:07.720
<v Speaker 6>for any operation UH where He's going to continue his rhetoric.

0:38:07.840 --> 0:38:10.480
<v Speaker 6>He's going to continue to say, we need something from Iran.

0:38:10.920 --> 0:38:14.319
<v Speaker 6>They better they better obey these red lines that I've

0:38:14.320 --> 0:38:17.799
<v Speaker 6>set down or else they're going to face punishment. They're

0:38:17.800 --> 0:38:21.080
<v Speaker 6>going to face a reprisal. But he's not going to

0:38:21.120 --> 0:38:23.960
<v Speaker 6>get into the nitty gritty. And of course we know

0:38:24.120 --> 0:38:27.800
<v Speaker 6>from President Trump he does not want to risk American lives.

0:38:28.360 --> 0:38:32.080
<v Speaker 6>He is very he's very understanding that the American people,

0:38:32.560 --> 0:38:36.760
<v Speaker 6>UH may react negatively to casualties to an operation gone wrong.

0:38:37.320 --> 0:38:39.720
<v Speaker 6>He's rolled the dice quite a few times. Midnight Hammer,

0:38:40.160 --> 0:38:44.440
<v Speaker 6>we hit our target, absol Resolve, incredible, just taking Maduro

0:38:44.600 --> 0:38:47.720
<v Speaker 6>right before the vault was about to close and protect

0:38:47.760 --> 0:38:52.000
<v Speaker 6>him right and now he's in New York jail. What's

0:38:52.080 --> 0:38:54.600
<v Speaker 6>the the question here is what is the roll of

0:38:54.640 --> 0:38:56.600
<v Speaker 6>the dice in Iran? What is that going to look like?

0:38:56.640 --> 0:38:58.640
<v Speaker 6>And I think right now there's a lot of military

0:38:58.680 --> 0:38:59.520
<v Speaker 6>planning happening.

0:38:59.719 --> 0:39:02.080
<v Speaker 5>What is the type of spectacular.

0:39:01.400 --> 0:39:05.640
<v Speaker 6>Dramatic attack that will both punish the Iranian regime and

0:39:05.760 --> 0:39:09.680
<v Speaker 6>telegraph to elements within the within the regime, and in

0:39:09.760 --> 0:39:13.040
<v Speaker 6>the Iranian people at large. You need to make massive

0:39:13.120 --> 0:39:16.239
<v Speaker 6>changes in behavior. The iotota needs to go or else

0:39:16.280 --> 0:39:16.879
<v Speaker 6>more will come.

0:39:17.400 --> 0:39:19.919
<v Speaker 1>I think you're over the target, Matt, and I hope

0:39:19.920 --> 0:39:22.319
<v Speaker 1>we are as well in a readable period of time,

0:39:22.320 --> 0:39:25.320
<v Speaker 1>because it can't. Let the redline be arranged. Matt Kaney,

0:39:25.320 --> 0:39:27.799
<v Speaker 1>thank you. Follow him on exit continety, read the Free

0:39:27.800 --> 0:39:31.080
<v Speaker 1>Expressions Vertical and Matt's column at the Wall Street Journal,

0:39:31.360 --> 0:39:33.080
<v Speaker 1>and I will talk to him again next week. State

0:39:33.120 --> 0:39:35.600
<v Speaker 1>tuned in America, I'm hi, it's you, Hewitt. You've heard me

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<v Speaker 1>siler dot com, slash hu promo Hugh, or call one

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<v Speaker 1>hundred eight or call one eight hundred four one one

0:40:39.960 --> 0:40:43.000
<v Speaker 1>forty four fifty four, one eight hundred four to one

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<v Speaker 1>one forty four to fifty four. That's one eight hundred

0:40:46.080 --> 0:40:48.000
<v Speaker 1>four one one forty four to fifty four, And don't

0:40:48.000 --> 0:40:52.280
<v Speaker 1>forget my code is Hugh. Join now by Ben Dominic,

0:40:52.480 --> 0:40:55.759
<v Speaker 1>host of The Big Ben Podcast on the Fox podcast

0:40:55.840 --> 0:40:58.440
<v Speaker 1>Network Friends of the program as well. Ben, do you

0:40:58.520 --> 0:41:00.719
<v Speaker 1>agree with the general in me that it looks like

0:41:00.840 --> 0:41:03.520
<v Speaker 1>Iran is about to go full Alamo and we ought

0:41:03.600 --> 0:41:04.200
<v Speaker 1>to welcome that.

0:41:05.480 --> 0:41:07.239
<v Speaker 3>Well, I think it's been a long time coming, Hugh.

0:41:07.320 --> 0:41:11.399
<v Speaker 3>And sorry to be a little a little tardy. I'm

0:41:11.440 --> 0:41:14.640
<v Speaker 3>that's the second time. I'm not going to keep blaming it, and.

0:41:15.280 --> 0:41:18.920
<v Speaker 1>If you have a newborn, you have you get complete.

0:41:19.600 --> 0:41:24.279
<v Speaker 3>There's just a handoffs that. So anyway, I think that

0:41:24.320 --> 0:41:27.520
<v Speaker 3>this is a situation where you know that the regime

0:41:28.320 --> 0:41:30.880
<v Speaker 3>has clearly been signaling that this was the direction that

0:41:30.920 --> 0:41:33.040
<v Speaker 3>it was headed for a while. And I think we've

0:41:33.040 --> 0:41:35.960
<v Speaker 3>heard that from a lot of smart commentators, including the

0:41:36.000 --> 0:41:39.239
<v Speaker 3>General Uh and including yourself. I think that that's just

0:41:39.280 --> 0:41:40.920
<v Speaker 3>an inevitability, and at a certain point you have to

0:41:40.960 --> 0:41:43.279
<v Speaker 3>accept that. You can't just you know, sort of. I mean,

0:41:43.320 --> 0:41:46.480
<v Speaker 3>we spent so many years living in the Obama Biden

0:41:46.600 --> 0:41:49.200
<v Speaker 3>fantasy land under you know, Ben Roads and all of

0:41:49.239 --> 0:41:51.520
<v Speaker 3>the idiots that we're running policy back. Then we have

0:41:51.560 --> 0:41:53.480
<v Speaker 3>to accept for the world for as it is, and

0:41:53.520 --> 0:41:56.520
<v Speaker 3>I think that this Trump administration has done a very

0:41:56.520 --> 0:41:57.160
<v Speaker 3>good job of.

0:41:57.480 --> 0:42:01.319
<v Speaker 1>Doing that now. Ben, I think the idea that the

0:42:01.400 --> 0:42:04.680
<v Speaker 1>vice president is a restrainer is overstated. But he's in

0:42:04.800 --> 0:42:08.319
<v Speaker 1>Milan for the Olympics, and Secretary Rubio is here, and

0:42:08.400 --> 0:42:11.360
<v Speaker 1>Lindsey Graham is channeling your late father in law every

0:42:11.640 --> 0:42:15.040
<v Speaker 1>minute he gets a chance to. I don't see anyone

0:42:15.280 --> 0:42:17.680
<v Speaker 1>saying go soft on Iran right now, at least not

0:42:17.760 --> 0:42:18.560
<v Speaker 1>on our team.

0:42:19.280 --> 0:42:22.919
<v Speaker 3>I certainly don't. And look, you know, this is something

0:42:23.000 --> 0:42:25.839
<v Speaker 3>that I've said before, and I know that JD's team

0:42:25.920 --> 0:42:28.680
<v Speaker 3>is not particularly happy when I pointed out, but he

0:42:28.719 --> 0:42:31.359
<v Speaker 3>does have a way of kind of of navigating this

0:42:31.400 --> 0:42:34.239
<v Speaker 3>where he kind of removes himself from some of these situations.

0:42:34.280 --> 0:42:36.439
<v Speaker 3>We you know, it was obviously notable that he wasn't

0:42:36.440 --> 0:42:40.120
<v Speaker 3>in any of the pictures regarding you know, the Maduro raid.

0:42:40.760 --> 0:42:42.520
<v Speaker 3>I wasn't the only one to notice that, of course,

0:42:42.840 --> 0:42:45.440
<v Speaker 3>And I think that that is a decision that could

0:42:45.440 --> 0:42:48.239
<v Speaker 3>be one that he is making purposefully. I don't know

0:42:48.320 --> 0:42:50.440
<v Speaker 3>that it is. I'm just saying that it could be.

0:42:50.880 --> 0:42:53.080
<v Speaker 3>And I think that in this instance, you know, certainly

0:42:53.560 --> 0:42:56.160
<v Speaker 3>the Secretary of State has made clear what he thinks

0:42:56.200 --> 0:42:59.000
<v Speaker 3>about this during his longtime career in the Senate, and

0:42:59.120 --> 0:43:01.000
<v Speaker 3>I don't I don't think there's going to be anybody

0:43:01.040 --> 0:43:04.400
<v Speaker 3>in the room, certainly not anybody who's going to have

0:43:04.520 --> 0:43:07.960
<v Speaker 3>the president's ear on this to overwhelm a decision that

0:43:08.000 --> 0:43:10.240
<v Speaker 3>I think is pretty obvious in a long time coming.

0:43:10.440 --> 0:43:13.120
<v Speaker 1>So Ben, I don't fault the president for anything. The

0:43:13.239 --> 0:43:15.520
<v Speaker 1>left is trying to make him responsible for getting people

0:43:15.560 --> 0:43:17.240
<v Speaker 1>out in the streets. They were out in the streets before.

0:43:17.360 --> 0:43:19.360
<v Speaker 1>I think he was trying to deter the Iranian regime

0:43:19.360 --> 0:43:21.239
<v Speaker 1>from doing what they did, which is murder at least

0:43:21.280 --> 0:43:23.719
<v Speaker 1>thirty thousand people. And now I think he's got to

0:43:23.719 --> 0:43:27.280
<v Speaker 1>build up our forces because he can't allow American forces

0:43:27.320 --> 0:43:30.880
<v Speaker 1>to be killed in great numbers, if any, you know.

0:43:31.120 --> 0:43:33.359
<v Speaker 1>And so it's going to be a while, or it's

0:43:33.400 --> 0:43:37.040
<v Speaker 1>going to be as long as it takes. My question is,

0:43:37.080 --> 0:43:38.960
<v Speaker 1>do you think anyone has done what they need to

0:43:39.000 --> 0:43:42.720
<v Speaker 1>do from the administration side to prepare the American public

0:43:42.800 --> 0:43:45.400
<v Speaker 1>for any casualties. I remember before. You might not be

0:43:45.440 --> 0:43:47.879
<v Speaker 1>old enough to remember Golf War One, but we were

0:43:47.880 --> 0:43:50.160
<v Speaker 1>expecting six figure casualties and.

0:43:50.120 --> 0:43:53.279
<v Speaker 3>No, I remember it, and somewhere I actually still have

0:43:53.360 --> 0:43:56.719
<v Speaker 3>my notebook that I took. I used to follow it

0:43:56.760 --> 0:43:57.800
<v Speaker 3>and track it as a kid.

0:43:57.920 --> 0:44:01.120
<v Speaker 1>So do you think that the ground work for readying

0:44:01.120 --> 0:44:04.920
<v Speaker 1>the American public for casualties, because that's why the Afghanistan

0:44:05.000 --> 0:44:08.640
<v Speaker 1>withdrawal went so badly for Team Biden. We didn't expect

0:44:08.640 --> 0:44:10.480
<v Speaker 1>any casualties and lost thirteen.

0:44:10.680 --> 0:44:12.600
<v Speaker 3>I do not believe that they have. I do not

0:44:12.640 --> 0:44:15.520
<v Speaker 3>believe that they have. And look, the President has been

0:44:16.200 --> 0:44:19.240
<v Speaker 3>and I should say It's one thing to say fortunate,

0:44:19.360 --> 0:44:22.719
<v Speaker 3>but it's actually, you know, really incredible what he's been

0:44:22.719 --> 0:44:26.799
<v Speaker 3>able to pull off without American casualties in terms of

0:44:26.920 --> 0:44:29.880
<v Speaker 3>his approach that he's used to this point. When it

0:44:29.880 --> 0:44:32.560
<v Speaker 3>comes to our security and foreign policy around the globe,

0:44:32.920 --> 0:44:36.040
<v Speaker 3>you can't keep rolling those dice and expecting them to

0:44:36.040 --> 0:44:39.280
<v Speaker 3>always go your way. And I think that in this instance,

0:44:40.160 --> 0:44:42.920
<v Speaker 3>very little work has been done, if at all, to

0:44:43.000 --> 0:44:46.759
<v Speaker 3>show the American people one that this is something that

0:44:46.800 --> 0:44:49.359
<v Speaker 3>they need to understand comes with a lot more risk

0:44:49.760 --> 0:44:53.960
<v Speaker 3>than exultrating a you know, a corrupt, you know leader

0:44:54.000 --> 0:44:57.560
<v Speaker 3>in Venezuela. A lot more risk to American lives and

0:44:57.600 --> 0:45:01.440
<v Speaker 3>a lot more potential for American cat And I just

0:45:01.440 --> 0:45:04.840
<v Speaker 3>don't think that I have not seen Republicans in particular,

0:45:04.880 --> 0:45:07.520
<v Speaker 3>who have been supportive of this policy in the past,

0:45:07.640 --> 0:45:10.040
<v Speaker 3>going out there and being willing to say that to this.

0:45:10.000 --> 0:45:13.399
<v Speaker 1>Point, I tell people I've been listening to twice now

0:45:13.480 --> 0:45:16.600
<v Speaker 1>the book Empire of Terror by Mark Zelenski about the

0:45:16.640 --> 0:45:19.520
<v Speaker 1>Islamic Revolutionary Guard Court. It's one hundred and fifty thousand

0:45:19.560 --> 0:45:22.680
<v Speaker 1>fanatics and now they've got blood on their hands and

0:45:22.719 --> 0:45:25.200
<v Speaker 1>they've got to be Iran's got to be at least

0:45:25.200 --> 0:45:28.600
<v Speaker 1>as traumatized as Israel was on ten to seven thirty

0:45:28.640 --> 0:45:31.240
<v Speaker 1>thousand people is a lot to be murdered in forty

0:45:31.239 --> 0:45:35.160
<v Speaker 1>eight hours, and there won't be any amnesty for the IRGC.

0:45:35.280 --> 0:45:37.200
<v Speaker 1>If there's a regime swap, well there.

0:45:37.160 --> 0:45:39.320
<v Speaker 3>Of course no, of course not. And I think that

0:45:39.400 --> 0:45:43.840
<v Speaker 3>this is a situation where they're I mean, this is

0:45:43.840 --> 0:45:48.439
<v Speaker 3>going to be an existential fight. And again I don't

0:45:48.440 --> 0:45:51.120
<v Speaker 3>think that this is something that you are reading that book.

0:45:51.160 --> 0:45:55.040
<v Speaker 3>I've you know, certainly read plenty on this, and also

0:45:55.120 --> 0:45:57.320
<v Speaker 3>I would recommend to people if they have not listened

0:45:57.360 --> 0:46:01.359
<v Speaker 3>to it Eli Lake's podcast that he did a couple

0:46:01.400 --> 0:46:04.400
<v Speaker 3>of months back, just guiding you through a kind of

0:46:04.120 --> 0:46:06.399
<v Speaker 3>the Shah and everything that went down with the Red

0:46:06.400 --> 0:46:10.120
<v Speaker 3>Green Revolution and everything associated with it. It's a good

0:46:10.280 --> 0:46:14.759
<v Speaker 3>explainer packed in a small package break history. But I

0:46:14.760 --> 0:46:17.759
<v Speaker 3>think that this is incredible in terms of what we're

0:46:17.800 --> 0:46:20.719
<v Speaker 3>seeing play out in front of us. But unfortunately, the

0:46:20.760 --> 0:46:23.360
<v Speaker 3>American people, I think, really again have not had the

0:46:23.400 --> 0:46:26.400
<v Speaker 3>type of work done in a dance. People are tired

0:46:26.520 --> 0:46:29.680
<v Speaker 3>of Middle Eastern wars that they see as pointless and

0:46:29.719 --> 0:46:33.399
<v Speaker 3>they see as long term and risky and fully sort

0:46:33.440 --> 0:46:37.160
<v Speaker 3>of dragging down America's resources and leading to the loss

0:46:37.160 --> 0:46:40.000
<v Speaker 3>of life. And if the President goes into this, I

0:46:40.040 --> 0:46:42.120
<v Speaker 3>think without making a strong case for it and having

0:46:42.120 --> 0:46:44.840
<v Speaker 3>his supporters stand with him on it, then that's a

0:46:44.960 --> 0:46:47.400
<v Speaker 3>very risky maneuver. But the President is, as you know,

0:46:47.600 --> 0:46:48.640
<v Speaker 3>is willing to take risks.

0:46:48.680 --> 0:46:51.600
<v Speaker 1>Have you heard the argument from anyone this regime showed

0:46:51.640 --> 0:46:54.279
<v Speaker 1>us who they are. Believe them, they will kill thirty

0:46:54.320 --> 0:46:56.920
<v Speaker 1>thousand of their own people. We should expect them to

0:46:56.920 --> 0:46:59.719
<v Speaker 1>want to kill every American and every Israeli if and

0:46:59.800 --> 0:47:02.080
<v Speaker 1>when they can ben no'll turn to the Shoni. I

0:47:02.080 --> 0:47:03.399
<v Speaker 1>haven't heard that argument yet.

0:47:03.600 --> 0:47:06.359
<v Speaker 3>No, I haven't, and that's certainly not you know, from

0:47:06.360 --> 0:47:08.520
<v Speaker 3>the people who matter in this and who I think

0:47:08.520 --> 0:47:11.080
<v Speaker 3>folks need to listen to. And look, a lot of

0:47:11.080 --> 0:47:14.000
<v Speaker 3>that I think is distraction and reluctance to be the

0:47:14.040 --> 0:47:16.120
<v Speaker 3>first one out of the gate to say this. But

0:47:16.360 --> 0:47:18.680
<v Speaker 3>if the President has made clear and look, this is

0:47:18.680 --> 0:47:22.680
<v Speaker 3>a long standing Republican policy and not just of hawks

0:47:22.920 --> 0:47:26.440
<v Speaker 3>that you know, we know the effect of Iran around

0:47:26.480 --> 0:47:28.920
<v Speaker 3>the world. We know the hinge point that it represents

0:47:29.600 --> 0:47:32.640
<v Speaker 3>with other world powers. We know what in Iran that

0:47:32.760 --> 0:47:36.440
<v Speaker 3>looked different today that looked more like what it's people

0:47:36.640 --> 0:47:40.239
<v Speaker 3>actually want it to be would mean potentially for the

0:47:40.280 --> 0:47:42.480
<v Speaker 3>region and for and for people around the world. And

0:47:42.520 --> 0:47:44.800
<v Speaker 3>they are at their weakest point as a regime that

0:47:45.200 --> 0:47:47.359
<v Speaker 3>they have been in my lifetime. And so it's one

0:47:47.400 --> 0:47:50.680
<v Speaker 3>of these situations where, unfortunately, I think that lack of education,

0:47:50.760 --> 0:47:52.719
<v Speaker 3>that lack of making the case for something before you

0:47:52.840 --> 0:47:55.399
<v Speaker 3>do it, is something that could come back to bite

0:47:56.040 --> 0:47:57.879
<v Speaker 3>the president if things do not go well.

0:47:58.360 --> 0:48:00.719
<v Speaker 1>You had a notebook on the first Iraq War.

0:48:01.400 --> 0:48:04.920
<v Speaker 3>Yes, so that was actually I was home school, Hugh,

0:48:05.000 --> 0:48:08.879
<v Speaker 3>and so that was an assignment. We tracked it. I

0:48:09.080 --> 0:48:12.080
<v Speaker 3>you know what. We would watch the nightly news, we

0:48:12.120 --> 0:48:14.520
<v Speaker 3>would watch Peter Jennings, we would pay attention to the

0:48:14.600 --> 0:48:17.520
<v Speaker 3>updates and read the Washington Post back when it was

0:48:17.520 --> 0:48:18.080
<v Speaker 3>a good paper.

0:48:18.200 --> 0:48:20.640
<v Speaker 1>We're going to talk about that during the break because

0:48:21.360 --> 0:48:24.200
<v Speaker 1>that we have to. But I'm just I'm just very

0:48:24.200 --> 0:48:27.680
<v Speaker 1>happy that someone can remember nineteen ninety one. Besides Britt

0:48:27.719 --> 0:48:28.960
<v Speaker 1>Hume and I were talking about it.

0:48:28.960 --> 0:48:31.840
<v Speaker 3>It was just like right there on page one.

0:48:32.200 --> 0:48:35.080
<v Speaker 1>You weren't around though for the first Iranian Revolution, right,

0:48:35.080 --> 0:48:36.680
<v Speaker 1>You weren't there in seventy eight and seventy nine, So

0:48:36.800 --> 0:48:37.239
<v Speaker 1>you can't.

0:48:37.320 --> 0:48:37.640
<v Speaker 3>It was not.

0:48:37.800 --> 0:48:39.640
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, Britt Hume and I were doing memory Lane on

0:48:39.640 --> 0:48:41.920
<v Speaker 1>that this week. Don't Go Anywhere, America. I'll be right

0:48:41.960 --> 0:48:43.800
<v Speaker 1>back with Ben Dominic during the break, which will be

0:48:43.840 --> 0:48:46.200
<v Speaker 1>on the Big Weekend Pod as well, and then he'll

0:48:46.239 --> 0:48:47.920
<v Speaker 1>be back. I got to do my quiz with him

0:48:47.960 --> 0:48:50.560
<v Speaker 1>that I gave him that continenty early as well. Don't

0:48:50.560 --> 0:48:53.680
<v Speaker 1>Go Anywhere. Stay tuned on Super Bowl Weekend on Due Gowett.

0:48:54.239 --> 0:48:56.440
<v Speaker 1>The HU huge show coming to you from the Relief

0:48:56.440 --> 0:48:59.760
<v Speaker 1>Actor Studio is brought to you by Reliefactor dot Com.

0:49:00.280 --> 0:49:03.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm back with Ben Dominic. Ben. It's my policy never

0:49:03.640 --> 0:49:06.640
<v Speaker 1>to talk about someone for whom i've worked, So I

0:49:06.680 --> 0:49:08.960
<v Speaker 1>worked for the Washington Post for a decade or eight years,

0:49:09.080 --> 0:49:10.960
<v Speaker 1>I can't remember. I read a lot of columns for him,

0:49:11.239 --> 0:49:14.279
<v Speaker 1>and I'm not gonna say anything at all about them.

0:49:14.600 --> 0:49:17.440
<v Speaker 1>But what you said about the sports section at the

0:49:17.520 --> 0:49:20.600
<v Speaker 1>end of the Big Ben Pod is objective. If you

0:49:20.600 --> 0:49:23.160
<v Speaker 1>don't have a sports section, you're not trying to sell

0:49:23.239 --> 0:49:24.960
<v Speaker 1>newspapers to Americans, are you.

0:49:25.000 --> 0:49:27.880
<v Speaker 3>No? No, And look, this is what people care about

0:49:27.880 --> 0:49:30.120
<v Speaker 3>when they go to their newspaper. And it's also, by

0:49:30.120 --> 0:49:33.279
<v Speaker 3>the way, the thing that sparks debate that sparks. You

0:49:33.320 --> 0:49:35.880
<v Speaker 3>know that you would have situations where someone write a

0:49:35.920 --> 0:49:39.040
<v Speaker 3>column and you debate it on local sports talk radio,

0:49:39.360 --> 0:49:42.680
<v Speaker 3>You argue about it in the local bars. You go

0:49:42.800 --> 0:49:45.080
<v Speaker 3>back and forth on who's right about the you know,

0:49:45.160 --> 0:49:47.040
<v Speaker 3>the team or the player or what you know, the

0:49:47.040 --> 0:49:49.279
<v Speaker 3>way things are going, what needs to happen, who needs

0:49:49.280 --> 0:49:51.440
<v Speaker 3>to be fired. And that's the kind of thing that

0:49:51.680 --> 0:49:56.680
<v Speaker 3>makes for a community and actually a unifying element within

0:49:56.760 --> 0:50:00.480
<v Speaker 3>that community where you have people with very different political beliefs.

0:50:00.600 --> 0:50:02.799
<v Speaker 3>I mean I was talking to, you know, a friend

0:50:02.840 --> 0:50:06.280
<v Speaker 3>across across the way, Uh, just this just today about

0:50:06.600 --> 0:50:10.520
<v Speaker 3>Sonny Jurgensen and uh tweet him and everything else like that.

0:50:10.600 --> 0:50:12.200
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean auto versus.

0:50:14.520 --> 0:50:18.040
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, quite quite a different pairing. Auto put Sonny on

0:50:18.080 --> 0:50:20.920
<v Speaker 3>a lettuce diet, by the way, that was what sparked

0:50:20.920 --> 0:50:23.640
<v Speaker 3>that common But the but the you know, the truth is,

0:50:23.840 --> 0:50:26.640
<v Speaker 3>I know, for a fact he's just a neighborhood friend,

0:50:27.000 --> 0:50:29.759
<v Speaker 3>uh that I see occasionally at a restaurant, and he

0:50:30.320 --> 0:50:33.600
<v Speaker 3>I know that he has complete opposite politics than me.

0:50:33.640 --> 0:50:36.360
<v Speaker 3>He's about ten years older than me. You know, Washington

0:50:36.400 --> 0:50:39.520
<v Speaker 3>bureaucrat lived in the place forever. We all we both

0:50:39.600 --> 0:50:42.239
<v Speaker 3>love the same teams, and so we both care when

0:50:42.280 --> 0:50:44.600
<v Speaker 3>someone like Sonny Jurgenson dies, and it would be great

0:50:44.640 --> 0:50:47.040
<v Speaker 3>to have a sports section that has someone who could

0:50:47.040 --> 0:50:49.920
<v Speaker 3>write about how great he was as opposed to what

0:50:50.280 --> 0:50:53.239
<v Speaker 3>you know, Today's Washington Post would probably go through all

0:50:53.280 --> 0:50:55.719
<v Speaker 3>the problematic things that Sonny Jurgens.

0:50:55.920 --> 0:51:00.280
<v Speaker 1>Is Billy kill alive from the great QB controversy.

0:50:59.640 --> 0:51:03.360
<v Speaker 3>Of twenty Not only is he still alive, I just

0:51:03.480 --> 0:51:06.719
<v Speaker 3>heard him doing an interview, uh this afternoon on local

0:51:06.800 --> 0:51:11.600
<v Speaker 3>sports talk radio and he actually had uh had lunch

0:51:11.880 --> 0:51:14.120
<v Speaker 3>with Sonny. He said, just a couple of weeks ago.

0:51:14.280 --> 0:51:17.200
<v Speaker 1>Well, but Mickey Lolich died this week, like people I

0:51:17.239 --> 0:51:19.319
<v Speaker 1>grew up with are dying this week. But but the

0:51:19.360 --> 0:51:22.279
<v Speaker 1>Billy Kilmer, Sonny Jergens, I'm a Cleveland dot com guy.

0:51:22.320 --> 0:51:24.839
<v Speaker 1>I spend lots of money on Cleveland dot Com. I

0:51:24.880 --> 0:51:29.560
<v Speaker 1>can't imagine the Post not having like five pages on Sunday.

0:51:30.360 --> 0:51:32.960
<v Speaker 3>This is And you know, of course the problem with

0:51:33.080 --> 0:51:36.279
<v Speaker 3>that as well is that no no media entity was

0:51:36.280 --> 0:51:40.000
<v Speaker 3>a bigger cheerleader against the Redskins name than the Washington Post,

0:51:40.040 --> 0:51:44.040
<v Speaker 3>which made millions, you know, sold millions of newspapers on

0:51:44.239 --> 0:51:47.279
<v Speaker 3>the bandwagon with Tony Kornheiser on the ninety one team.

0:51:47.560 --> 0:51:49.479
<v Speaker 3>You know that that made so much money because people

0:51:49.480 --> 0:51:53.040
<v Speaker 3>wanted to read their coverage of their favorite team, and unfortunately,

0:51:53.040 --> 0:51:54.880
<v Speaker 3>it just got to a point where, look, there was

0:51:55.719 --> 0:51:59.040
<v Speaker 3>glowing coverage. You will not find a negative article about

0:51:59.280 --> 0:52:02.480
<v Speaker 3>uh may Can rap Ito in the Washington Post, Okay,

0:52:02.760 --> 0:52:06.600
<v Speaker 3>but you will find more criticism of that name uh,

0:52:06.680 --> 0:52:09.120
<v Speaker 3>you know, and more pushes to change it. And finally,

0:52:09.160 --> 0:52:11.239
<v Speaker 3>when you know, in the wake of George Floyd, they

0:52:11.239 --> 0:52:13.440
<v Speaker 3>finally were able to do it. And look, whatever you

0:52:13.520 --> 0:52:16.600
<v Speaker 3>think about that, it's just that it just speaks to

0:52:16.640 --> 0:52:19.640
<v Speaker 3>the fact that this was a newspaper that became entirely

0:52:19.920 --> 0:52:23.600
<v Speaker 3>possessed of politics. In every section. You know, the people

0:52:23.640 --> 0:52:25.800
<v Speaker 3>were handing around the article rows.

0:52:26.239 --> 0:52:27.719
<v Speaker 1>But that's all I'm gonna say about the Post. I'm

0:52:27.760 --> 0:52:29.239
<v Speaker 1>going to come back with Ben on the other side,

0:52:29.280 --> 0:52:36.120
<v Speaker 1>give him my test. Stay tuned in America, Welcome back

0:52:36.120 --> 0:52:38.400
<v Speaker 1>to America. I'm here here with Ben Dominicch, host of

0:52:38.440 --> 0:52:40.719
<v Speaker 1>the Big Ben Podcast, which is raw a being good

0:52:40.719 --> 0:52:43.800
<v Speaker 1>fun this week because it talks a lot about gambling

0:52:43.840 --> 0:52:45.439
<v Speaker 1>and stuff I didn't know about it, and I learned

0:52:45.440 --> 0:52:47.200
<v Speaker 1>a lot from it this week, So I would encourage

0:52:47.239 --> 0:52:50.239
<v Speaker 1>you to go and listen to it before I go there, Ben, though,

0:52:50.280 --> 0:52:51.879
<v Speaker 1>I want to run my test. Have you ever heard

0:52:51.920 --> 0:52:54.200
<v Speaker 1>of the screenwriter Richard Curtis.

0:52:55.239 --> 0:52:56.640
<v Speaker 3>That does ring a bell?

0:52:56.680 --> 0:52:58.680
<v Speaker 1>He wrote, He's the King of the wrong Coms? Right?

0:52:58.719 --> 0:53:00.839
<v Speaker 1>He wrote Four Weddings and Funeral Love.

0:53:00.880 --> 0:53:03.399
<v Speaker 3>Actually funeral is what I was thinking, yes, Nodding Hill.

0:53:03.800 --> 0:53:06.680
<v Speaker 1>So last night I was sucking into watching Nodding Hill

0:53:06.719 --> 0:53:09.279
<v Speaker 1>again by my wonderful wife of forty four years. I

0:53:09.280 --> 0:53:11.160
<v Speaker 1>haven't seen it in twenty seven years. So how long

0:53:11.160 --> 0:53:11.840
<v Speaker 1>have you been married?

0:53:13.400 --> 0:53:15.879
<v Speaker 3>I'm well at sixty. I think about things in terms

0:53:15.920 --> 0:53:19.320
<v Speaker 3>of when I met my wife. We are eight years

0:53:19.360 --> 0:53:20.759
<v Speaker 3>this we will be eight years this year.

0:53:20.800 --> 0:53:22.600
<v Speaker 1>So you don't have a chance yet to forget any

0:53:22.640 --> 0:53:25.680
<v Speaker 1>movies that you saw together. And so I didn't remember anything.

0:53:25.719 --> 0:53:29.480
<v Speaker 1>But my theory is now that women remember every line

0:53:29.520 --> 0:53:31.960
<v Speaker 1>and scene in a rom com and men. Don't you

0:53:32.000 --> 0:53:32.560
<v Speaker 1>agree with me?

0:53:33.360 --> 0:53:36.040
<v Speaker 3>Oh no, I have to disagree with you. And the

0:53:36.120 --> 0:53:38.960
<v Speaker 3>reason is, well, wait a minute, okay, I think it

0:53:39.000 --> 0:53:41.440
<v Speaker 3>depends on your definition of romantic comedy.

0:53:41.680 --> 0:53:44.840
<v Speaker 1>Well, Nodding Hill Love, actually four weddings at a funeral?

0:53:44.880 --> 0:53:45.560
<v Speaker 1>They're like all.

0:53:45.520 --> 0:53:49.160
<v Speaker 3>Rom coms I know, But I think my wife is

0:53:49.200 --> 0:53:51.960
<v Speaker 3>a bit more of like a Princess Bride era kind

0:53:51.960 --> 0:53:55.840
<v Speaker 3>of person of something like that is more in her speed,

0:53:56.280 --> 0:53:58.840
<v Speaker 3>like the thing that is. I mean, you have to

0:53:58.880 --> 0:54:00.680
<v Speaker 3>keep in mind you're talking to someone from like the

0:54:00.719 --> 0:54:02.000
<v Speaker 3>American pie generation.

0:54:02.200 --> 0:54:03.279
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, comedy.

0:54:03.800 --> 0:54:05.719
<v Speaker 3>The things that we actually quote back and forth to

0:54:05.800 --> 0:54:08.919
<v Speaker 3>each other most of the time are usually stuffed from

0:54:08.920 --> 0:54:09.959
<v Speaker 3>like Destin show.

0:54:10.080 --> 0:54:12.600
<v Speaker 1>Now, and I took my boys to see Team America

0:54:12.640 --> 0:54:14.640
<v Speaker 1>when I thought it was actually a fun movie, and

0:54:14.680 --> 0:54:16.600
<v Speaker 1>I was I'm still having that down.

0:54:16.840 --> 0:54:19.960
<v Speaker 3>But badness, it's a fun movie.

0:54:20.040 --> 0:54:21.799
<v Speaker 1>It was a fun movie, but it wasn't for them

0:54:21.840 --> 0:54:22.560
<v Speaker 1>at that age.

0:54:22.640 --> 0:54:25.480
<v Speaker 3>It was I think, I think that what you're you're

0:54:25.520 --> 0:54:29.240
<v Speaker 3>you're unfortunately speaking to someone who's whose wife's favorite genre

0:54:29.280 --> 0:54:32.480
<v Speaker 3>is horror films. Oh, exactly the same thing.

0:54:32.640 --> 0:54:34.480
<v Speaker 1>All right. Now, let me go to the gambling. I

0:54:34.560 --> 0:54:38.280
<v Speaker 1>had no idea not and you know, the the Guardians

0:54:38.320 --> 0:54:41.680
<v Speaker 1>of Lost class a forever he gambled. Apparently, it's alleged

0:54:41.680 --> 0:54:44.760
<v Speaker 1>forty eight different games over a couple of seasons. Luis

0:54:44.880 --> 0:54:46.880
<v Speaker 1>Ortiza out of the game now too, so that the

0:54:46.920 --> 0:54:50.360
<v Speaker 1>Guardians Indians have been crushed by this. Now I find

0:54:50.360 --> 0:54:53.600
<v Speaker 1>out you could have made. It's not a prop bet. Really,

0:54:53.600 --> 0:54:55.520
<v Speaker 1>I don't even know how you described that market on

0:54:55.640 --> 0:54:58.960
<v Speaker 1>what someone's going to say on the Colbert Show that's nuts.

0:54:59.280 --> 0:55:02.160
<v Speaker 3>Yeah. So this these prediction markets have gotten more attention

0:55:02.200 --> 0:55:06.000
<v Speaker 3>because obviously they advertise a ton calshee and and people

0:55:06.000 --> 0:55:08.319
<v Speaker 3>have probably seen you know, stuff about poly market on

0:55:08.680 --> 0:55:11.520
<v Speaker 3>you know online. Yeah, And the prediction markets that usually

0:55:11.520 --> 0:55:14.680
<v Speaker 3>get talked about are ones that are about significant events.

0:55:14.719 --> 0:55:16.919
<v Speaker 3>You know, they're they're you know, what is the fed

0:55:17.000 --> 0:55:19.239
<v Speaker 3>rate gonna be? There's you know, I literally heard an

0:55:19.239 --> 0:55:21.440
<v Speaker 3>ad for something you know on the way over that

0:55:21.600 --> 0:55:23.319
<v Speaker 3>was about you know, you know, do you want to

0:55:23.320 --> 0:55:25.400
<v Speaker 3>pick for I can't remember which one of them, but

0:55:25.440 --> 0:55:28.120
<v Speaker 3>do you want to predict the the Academy Award for

0:55:28.160 --> 0:55:30.600
<v Speaker 3>the next you know, Oscar winner, that kind of thing.

0:55:30.960 --> 0:55:32.960
<v Speaker 3>But what people don't talk about in this is that

0:55:33.040 --> 0:55:37.279
<v Speaker 3>they're so unregulated that in the instance of that Chris

0:55:37.320 --> 0:55:41.040
<v Speaker 3>Hayes of MMS I guess it's MS now now it

0:55:41.160 --> 0:55:44.280
<v Speaker 3>talked about he was there was a market for something

0:55:44.920 --> 0:55:47.840
<v Speaker 3>he had already done. He had done the Colbert Show,

0:55:48.400 --> 0:55:51.440
<v Speaker 3>which they tape typically at around five o'clock, and then

0:55:51.480 --> 0:55:53.880
<v Speaker 3>there was a market that had opened about things that

0:55:53.920 --> 0:55:56.560
<v Speaker 3>he would say on the program, which creates a horrible

0:55:56.680 --> 0:56:00.520
<v Speaker 3>situation where you're predicting something that has already happened, and

0:56:00.520 --> 0:56:03.880
<v Speaker 3>that stuff is perfectly okay according to these prediction markets,

0:56:03.880 --> 0:56:07.200
<v Speaker 3>which by the way, California does not allow sports gambling.

0:56:07.280 --> 0:56:09.440
<v Speaker 3>But you will be able if you are in the stands,

0:56:09.640 --> 0:56:11.759
<v Speaker 3>you know, in San Francisco for the Super Bowl, you

0:56:11.800 --> 0:56:14.640
<v Speaker 3>could you could, you know, do the kind of prediction

0:56:14.760 --> 0:56:18.320
<v Speaker 3>market play that is a swap or a contract considered

0:56:18.360 --> 0:56:20.759
<v Speaker 3>different from a sports gambling that doesn't have to go

0:56:20.800 --> 0:56:23.080
<v Speaker 3>through a sports book. And I think that that's a

0:56:23.120 --> 0:56:26.319
<v Speaker 3>real problem, and I think the Congress is waking up

0:56:26.360 --> 0:56:28.440
<v Speaker 3>to it. But it's there's a lot of people who are,

0:56:28.480 --> 0:56:30.040
<v Speaker 3>I think, blowing a lot of money on me.

0:56:30.239 --> 0:56:32.640
<v Speaker 1>So what what that raised for me? After I listened

0:56:32.640 --> 0:56:35.160
<v Speaker 1>to it With the backgrounds of the Guardian, players being

0:56:36.360 --> 0:56:39.160
<v Speaker 1>banned from baseball effectively for the rest of their careers,

0:56:39.960 --> 0:56:42.319
<v Speaker 1>whether or not they're convicted. I don't know. Do you

0:56:42.480 --> 0:56:46.759
<v Speaker 1>think baseball has the regulatory structure or the NBA or

0:56:46.760 --> 0:56:51.880
<v Speaker 1>anyone to stop prediction market gambling by players versus gambling gambling.

0:56:52.400 --> 0:56:55.520
<v Speaker 3>I think that they do not, especially because the and

0:56:55.600 --> 0:56:57.160
<v Speaker 3>I didn't really get into this on the show, but

0:56:57.200 --> 0:56:59.600
<v Speaker 3>I think you're catching on to something there, which is

0:56:59.640 --> 0:57:02.320
<v Speaker 3>that the adiction markets are technically you know, they're governed

0:57:02.320 --> 0:57:05.799
<v Speaker 3>by the FEDS. They're governed under the CFTC, and they

0:57:06.960 --> 0:57:09.200
<v Speaker 3>do not have the kind of state regulations and things

0:57:09.239 --> 0:57:12.440
<v Speaker 3>like that. And they also, you know, obviously are involving

0:57:12.480 --> 0:57:15.840
<v Speaker 3>contracts and swaps that are considered different than you know,

0:57:15.920 --> 0:57:20.000
<v Speaker 3>legally than sports gambling, even though if you look at

0:57:20.000 --> 0:57:24.240
<v Speaker 3>the actual makeup of their markets, the majority nearly the majority,

0:57:24.240 --> 0:57:27.959
<v Speaker 3>I should say, the vast plurality, I should say, of

0:57:28.200 --> 0:57:30.640
<v Speaker 3>these prediction markets. The money that is moving around is

0:57:30.640 --> 0:57:33.800
<v Speaker 3>about sports, so it's just a substitute for sports gambling

0:57:33.800 --> 0:57:35.000
<v Speaker 3>in states that haven't allowed it.

0:57:35.200 --> 0:57:37.080
<v Speaker 1>I think the commissioners have got to wake up to this,

0:57:37.120 --> 0:57:38.920
<v Speaker 1>which brings me a course to the Super Bowl. In

0:57:39.080 --> 0:57:41.760
<v Speaker 1>my last guest that I can ask this, I'm going

0:57:41.840 --> 0:57:44.520
<v Speaker 1>to be flying, which is very good because I'm torn.

0:57:44.600 --> 0:57:47.080
<v Speaker 1>Mike Rabel's an Ohio state guy. But I can't imagine

0:57:47.120 --> 0:57:49.240
<v Speaker 1>having to live with the Patriots fans during the summer

0:57:49.280 --> 0:57:51.560
<v Speaker 1>if they win another ring. And I don't care about

0:57:51.600 --> 0:57:53.880
<v Speaker 1>the Seahawks, so I'm not going to care about anything

0:57:53.960 --> 0:57:57.680
<v Speaker 1>except what the reaction to Bad Bunny is going to be.

0:57:58.160 --> 0:58:02.480
<v Speaker 1>What has Roger Goodell made a momentous error or is

0:58:02.480 --> 0:58:04.959
<v Speaker 1>it in fact something that will be forgotten by next week.

0:58:06.120 --> 0:58:08.800
<v Speaker 3>I think this is an error, but I also think

0:58:08.800 --> 0:58:11.080
<v Speaker 3>it's gonna be something that's forgotten by next week because

0:58:11.120 --> 0:58:13.600
<v Speaker 3>I think one thing that Bad Bunny is is he's

0:58:13.640 --> 0:58:17.360
<v Speaker 3>actually not that bad. He's pretty corporate and the bad

0:58:17.440 --> 0:58:20.280
<v Speaker 3>in the in the you know, likely the buck sort

0:58:20.320 --> 0:58:23.880
<v Speaker 3>of the the expectations of the most powerful sports league

0:58:23.880 --> 0:58:26.280
<v Speaker 3>in America. I don't think that's gonna happen, and I

0:58:26.280 --> 0:58:29.720
<v Speaker 3>think that that's going to be something that probably, you know,

0:58:29.800 --> 0:58:32.160
<v Speaker 3>some leftist guts get worked up about, who want him to,

0:58:32.280 --> 0:58:35.240
<v Speaker 3>you know, show up and have some anti ice display

0:58:35.360 --> 0:58:38.240
<v Speaker 3>or something like that. It's possible that he does that,

0:58:38.440 --> 0:58:40.960
<v Speaker 3>but I think on a certain level, if you do that,

0:58:41.040 --> 0:58:43.560
<v Speaker 3>then that's a toxic moment that will follow you the

0:58:43.600 --> 0:58:46.480
<v Speaker 3>rest of your career and eliminates the whole bunch of people.

0:58:46.520 --> 0:58:49.120
<v Speaker 3>And again, Republicans buy shoes too, So it's one of

0:58:49.160 --> 0:58:52.480
<v Speaker 3>these things that I think ultimately will probably be forgotten.

0:58:52.880 --> 0:58:55.360
<v Speaker 3>As for the game, I just have to say, can

0:58:55.360 --> 0:58:59.040
<v Speaker 3>we can we just applaud Sam Darnolds. Yeah, the guy

0:58:59.400 --> 0:59:02.760
<v Speaker 3>just such a rough career, got chewed up in New York,

0:59:03.160 --> 0:59:08.000
<v Speaker 3>blamed for everything, cast off by everybody in can Vikings.

0:59:08.200 --> 0:59:10.640
<v Speaker 1>Let him go yea yeah, and he's in the super

0:59:10.680 --> 0:59:12.640
<v Speaker 1>Bowl now. I got to get a word from you though.

0:59:12.760 --> 0:59:15.880
<v Speaker 1>On Mahea and Malanowski in New Jersey. I was on

0:59:15.960 --> 0:59:19.640
<v Speaker 1>Fox today talking about Maheah. I think Apak sent a message,

0:59:19.680 --> 0:59:22.000
<v Speaker 1>which is you can't be on the fence about Israel.

0:59:22.080 --> 0:59:25.080
<v Speaker 1>To mister Malanowski and every other Democrat. You can. You

0:59:25.160 --> 0:59:27.320
<v Speaker 1>might be a far left wacko and hate Israel, but

0:59:27.400 --> 0:59:28.560
<v Speaker 1>you can't be on the fence.

0:59:28.600 --> 0:59:30.520
<v Speaker 3>What do you think, Ben, I think I think that

0:59:30.640 --> 0:59:33.000
<v Speaker 3>they did. And I think the part of that is,

0:59:33.040 --> 0:59:35.680
<v Speaker 3>you know, the assumption, uh, you know what is what

0:59:35.760 --> 0:59:38.160
<v Speaker 3>is the what is the line from uh one of

0:59:38.200 --> 0:59:40.720
<v Speaker 3>Paul's epistles? You know, because you were neither hot nor cold?

0:59:40.720 --> 0:59:42.640
<v Speaker 3>I hask you out of my mouth. You know.

0:59:43.240 --> 0:59:45.280
<v Speaker 1>I think that's actually revelation, isn't it.

0:59:45.280 --> 0:59:49.000
<v Speaker 3>It's I think I thought it was Lilly Pizzles. But

0:59:49.040 --> 0:59:50.760
<v Speaker 3>it's one of the things that I think is is

0:59:51.880 --> 0:59:55.680
<v Speaker 3>true of this nature now for apac which says we

0:59:55.720 --> 0:59:59.400
<v Speaker 3>are not going to tolerate this type of wavering neutrality

0:59:59.440 --> 1:00:02.240
<v Speaker 3>because we're gonn assume that you're going to be you know,

1:00:02.320 --> 1:00:03.960
<v Speaker 3>at the whim of the trends. We need to know

1:00:04.000 --> 1:00:04.640
<v Speaker 3>where you stand.

1:00:04.880 --> 1:00:07.800
<v Speaker 1>I think that's where it was, and I think message

1:00:07.840 --> 1:00:11.640
<v Speaker 1>received for every Democrat. Ben Dominich, back to parenting. I

1:00:11.720 --> 1:00:13.880
<v Speaker 1>have a great weekend. Enjoyed the Super Bowl as much

1:00:13.920 --> 1:00:17.240
<v Speaker 1>as as possible with a baby in two toddlers and

1:00:17.480 --> 1:00:18.280
<v Speaker 1>enjoy I got.

1:00:18.160 --> 1:00:19.720
<v Speaker 3>A permission to go to a party. To you, it's

1:00:19.760 --> 1:00:20.360
<v Speaker 3>a big deal.

1:00:20.840 --> 1:00:23.480
<v Speaker 1>You're going to a party. Yes with toddlers?

1:00:24.280 --> 1:00:27.400
<v Speaker 3>No, No, myself. Good evening off?

1:00:27.600 --> 1:00:31.920
<v Speaker 1>Oh you gotta coupon you won. I salute your wife.

1:00:31.960 --> 1:00:34.920
<v Speaker 1>That's amazing. Thank you, Ben for joining us. We'll talkt

1:00:34.920 --> 1:00:37.400
<v Speaker 1>you again next week. Don't go anywhere America. Coming back,

1:00:37.400 --> 1:00:39.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna talk a little bit more about this New

1:00:39.280 --> 1:00:44.200
<v Speaker 1>Jersey primary after the break. Oh, I thought we were

1:00:44.760 --> 1:00:48.120
<v Speaker 1>because we threw up the picture of something other. But

1:00:48.840 --> 1:00:51.440
<v Speaker 1>here's the deal coming up after the break. There's a

1:00:51.520 --> 1:00:54.680
<v Speaker 1>runoff in New Jersey a primary New Jersey last night.

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<v Speaker 1>There are two candidates who are within six hundred five

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<v Speaker 1>hundred both to each other. In Mahea and fellow, and

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<v Speaker 1>I will talk to you about her and him after

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<v Speaker 1>the break, as I did this morning on Fox.

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<v Speaker 3>They can