1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:05,520 Speaker 1: And now The Money Show with Stephen credits on seven 2 00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: oh two. 3 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:07,400 Speaker 2: Let's walk little. 4 00:00:07,640 --> 00:00:09,760 Speaker 3: The Money Show with Stephen Critis has brought to you 5 00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 3: by Abster Corporate and Investment Banking, proud sponsors of GTR 6 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:17,440 Speaker 3: Africa twenty twenty six, enabling trade flows for growth ABSs 7 00:00:17,520 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 3: registered fsp Good evening, nine minutes after six. Good to 8 00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:23,799 Speaker 3: be back with you tonight. Thank you to Africa Milani 9 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 3: for standing in for me yesterday. A very busy corporate day. 10 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 3: Lots of different news. I suppose if I had to 11 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 3: pick and choose probably the two most interesting stories and 12 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 3: that might well have long term consequences. The one would 13 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:40,479 Speaker 3: be SPA announcing what they call voluntary seven, so they're 14 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 3: letting workers go bluntly and they've had all sorts of issues. 15 00:00:44,240 --> 00:00:46,680 Speaker 3: We'll talk to the Finance Ghost. Never spoken to the 16 00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:50,040 Speaker 3: finance ghost before, have read that of their work many times. 17 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 3: I'm sure you have two about the situation at SPA. 18 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:57,280 Speaker 3: And the other interesting story is mister Price. Capital Markets 19 00:00:57,360 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 3: day today, their CEOs, their management backing the decision to 20 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:06,839 Speaker 3: buy NKD, the Central European retailer investors taking a listen, 21 00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 3: contemplating for a moment and then the share price fell 22 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 3: four percent. Really astonishing story in a way. And we've 23 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:16,880 Speaker 3: heard from shareholders before they really don't like that deal. 24 00:01:16,880 --> 00:01:19,959 Speaker 3: There's something about it they don't like. We'll talk, as 25 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:22,120 Speaker 3: I say to the finance ghost about SPA in about 26 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:24,720 Speaker 3: ten minutes. Jury Stradum is the CEO at Old Mutual. 27 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:27,960 Speaker 3: They had very strong results the headline eings. Just at 28 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 3: headline earnings, I should say, twenty four percent. Also, of 29 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 3: course the announcement that Roger Jardine will be their new 30 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 3: cha He worked here, I remember working I remember working 31 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:39,640 Speaker 3: under him very very well. He was the chair at 32 00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:42,760 Speaker 3: Prime Media, He's been at Avenge, he's the chair at 33 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:46,320 Speaker 3: First Round as well. Now moving on to Old Mutual. 34 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 3: Fascinating to watch all the banking results that we've seen 35 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 3: over the last little while. A PwC has been going 36 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:57,280 Speaker 3: through all of them, talking about the sort of strengths 37 00:01:57,280 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 3: in our banking sector, some of the decisions they are 38 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 3: being made, they've been making. We'll speak to Francois prince 39 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 3: Lua at PwC Africa's Banking and Capital Markets leader at 40 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 3: around six forty or so. And you may recall last 41 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:14,000 Speaker 3: week I made the point and I think it's an 42 00:02:14,000 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 3: interesting point. I made the point that black economic empowerment 43 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:21,120 Speaker 3: very controversial. We often hear arguments against it. I mean 44 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 3: all the time. I could probably point to a piece 45 00:02:23,560 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 3: a day that's written about it in the sort of 46 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 3: common by the commentaria. We don't hear the argument for it. 47 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 3: And I said, if it's only the ANC that is 48 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 3: for it, when if the ANC goes, could that be 49 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:37,520 Speaker 3: the end of bee? Will someone defend it? Well, I'm 50 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 3: pleased to tell you that rafil mon Ching's the sea 51 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 3: at the Black Entrepreneurs Alliance. He was listening to me 52 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 3: that night. He says, yes, he will defend it. I 53 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 3: think that's going to be quite important and I just 54 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 3: should just tell you after seven o'clock the Discovery Life 55 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 3: debutyco Gareth Friedlander, they've had issues. Well, they've been some 56 00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 3: very interesting data and they've been spending a lot of 57 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:01,560 Speaker 3: money on the early detection of cancer. You can understand 58 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 3: why because for them, the earlier they detected, the less 59 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:09,079 Speaker 3: cost the less costs down the road. Obviously it saves 60 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 3: lives too, and some of the ways they're changing that 61 00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:14,280 Speaker 3: does seem to be working out for them. Good to 62 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:16,400 Speaker 3: hear from you, tonight O double ONEA A three oh 63 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:18,800 Speaker 3: seven two two one four four six O five six 64 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:22,359 Speaker 3: seven and seven two seven oh two one seven oh two. 65 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:27,280 Speaker 3: The Laly Show with Stephen Krudis live on ninety two 66 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:30,639 Speaker 3: point seven and one six FM, streaming on the Prime 67 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:31,440 Speaker 3: Media Plus. 68 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:34,239 Speaker 4: NAP and DStv channel eight five six. 69 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 3: Well a busy day for Old Mutual, announcing Roger Jardine 70 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 3: will replace Trevor Manueli's chair in junis. Headline earnings for 71 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 3: the year to the end of December are by twenty 72 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 3: four percent. That's adjusted headline earnings. I should say the 73 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 3: CEO at Old Mutual's Jury Stratum a jury, good evening, 74 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 3: Thanks so much for your time. Obviously different things happening 75 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:56,600 Speaker 3: in different parts of your business. Old Mutual Ensure increased 76 00:03:56,640 --> 00:04:00,680 Speaker 3: their group gross written premiums. Not the only insurance company 77 00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:02,600 Speaker 3: to do well here in the last year or so. 78 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:05,680 Speaker 3: Are you seeing there's a bit more demand maybe for 79 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 3: insurance at the moment, Hi. 80 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:12,800 Speaker 5: Stephen, to be good to be with you, Yeah, I think, 81 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 5: I mean our businesses has had a good year. I 82 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:18,520 Speaker 5: mean I think I've signed before that we really think 83 00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:22,000 Speaker 5: that we've turned around the performance of Old Mutually insure 84 00:04:23,400 --> 00:04:26,840 Speaker 5: and you know, we're poised to regain market share. And 85 00:04:27,040 --> 00:04:31,040 Speaker 5: you know, I think for us, it's been more period 86 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:33,440 Speaker 5: of kind of restoring margins, which I think we've done 87 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:36,960 Speaker 5: successfully and improving operationally and we you know, you've got 88 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:42,000 Speaker 5: a very extensive use of data and AI and I 89 00:04:42,040 --> 00:04:44,240 Speaker 5: think that is going to translate into growth and market 90 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 5: share for us. 91 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:46,000 Speaker 2: And I do think the demand is there. 92 00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:49,000 Speaker 3: Your loans and advances were done, I think it was 93 00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:52,719 Speaker 3: four percent and your finance loan book overall down three percent, 94 00:04:52,760 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 3: and you said today you wanted to improve the quality 95 00:04:56,320 --> 00:04:59,680 Speaker 3: of the book. Also, you're not the only financial institution 96 00:04:59,760 --> 00:05:02,320 Speaker 3: that's done that in the last year where your non 97 00:05:02,360 --> 00:05:06,000 Speaker 3: performing loans were maybe just a little concerned they're rising 98 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 3: a little bit above what you wanted. 99 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:11,000 Speaker 5: Yeah, So you know, I think you go through cycles, 100 00:05:11,040 --> 00:05:14,000 Speaker 5: don't you, with these with with lending businesses. 101 00:05:14,560 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 2: I think we went. 102 00:05:15,279 --> 00:05:17,159 Speaker 4: Through a through a period the. 103 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:20,240 Speaker 5: Last year or two where we've we've been wanting to 104 00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:24,360 Speaker 5: tighten up somewhat and deal with some of these non 105 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:27,720 Speaker 5: performing some deal with a non performing loan issue. But 106 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:31,600 Speaker 5: we're comfortable now with with where that book is, how 107 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 5: the book is performing. And we've also actually started growing 108 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:37,480 Speaker 5: loans advances again, so learn advances growing up again by 109 00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:38,560 Speaker 5: twenty two percent this year. 110 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:39,679 Speaker 2: So we really are back. 111 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:42,120 Speaker 5: Into a growth phase for that business, which of course, 112 00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:45,839 Speaker 5: as you know, is we've merged into our own bank 113 00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 5: business in that cluster. And so actually the success of 114 00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 5: both of those businesses is a very closely coupled together. 115 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:53,120 Speaker 5: It's very important for us to the launch of the 116 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 5: bank that we have a strong platform in the finance business. 117 00:05:56,200 --> 00:05:58,919 Speaker 3: Yeah, that does make sense, and I mean the bank 118 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:02,600 Speaker 3: everyone used to have a bank. Nowadays you did a 119 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:07,640 Speaker 3: soft launch, approach employees and customer there's then your own customers, 120 00:06:07,640 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 3: then sort of open to the public. Are you happy 121 00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:12,680 Speaker 3: with the interest that it's evoked? Have you seen a 122 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 3: strong response? I mean, you're happy with the progress it's 123 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:15,839 Speaker 3: making so far. 124 00:06:17,080 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, we've we are still signing up three 125 00:06:20,120 --> 00:06:21,360 Speaker 5: thousand customers a day. 126 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:23,440 Speaker 6: You know, I think we've gotten up that. 127 00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:25,720 Speaker 5: He wont December two hundred and eighty four thousand customers, 128 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:30,160 Speaker 5: so and you know, no, it keeps growing. So I 129 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:34,240 Speaker 5: think comfortable with customer attraction. We haven't actually even yet 130 00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:37,680 Speaker 5: gone for a for a for our public launch, you know, 131 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 5: our marketing campaigns that will be in Q two of 132 00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 5: this year. So for now we've been focused on whilst 133 00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:46,080 Speaker 5: we've been open to the public, we've we've we have 134 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:49,719 Speaker 5: been focused on conversion of all Mutual clients, you know, 135 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:52,040 Speaker 5: integration with our rewards program and so on, and those 136 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 5: things have gone have gone well. We've also seen almost 137 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:59,600 Speaker 5: half the customers actually being originated through through our branch network. 138 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:01,920 Speaker 5: And you might call you know, one of the big 139 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:03,880 Speaker 5: one of the big things for us is to take 140 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:07,200 Speaker 5: advantage of Old Mutual's physical presence. So whilst we have 141 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 5: the the new technology stack and we've got the customer 142 00:07:10,440 --> 00:07:13,000 Speaker 5: experience on the app, which we think is world class, 143 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:15,720 Speaker 5: we were able to combine that with a kind of 144 00:07:15,760 --> 00:07:18,440 Speaker 5: in branch face to face experience and that and that 145 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 5: really is a competitive advantage relative to some of the 146 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:22,840 Speaker 5: other digital only new entrants. 147 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:28,600 Speaker 3: You you were talking about lower annuity and retirement fund 148 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 3: umbrella sales and that did have an impact on you. 149 00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:33,800 Speaker 3: I presume you're going to try and improve that. Is 150 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:35,600 Speaker 3: there an issue with that sector? 151 00:07:36,960 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 5: You know, it's actually an industry issues and there so 152 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 5: the guaranteed anuity market tends to we tends to rotate 153 00:07:43,760 --> 00:07:47,600 Speaker 5: well annuity is generally people retiring, they tend to choose 154 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:50,920 Speaker 5: a guaranteed annuity or a linked annuity, which is just 155 00:07:50,960 --> 00:07:52,240 Speaker 5: you know, as you know, one where you just take 156 00:07:52,280 --> 00:07:53,360 Speaker 5: the investment risk yourself. 157 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:54,240 Speaker 3: It's not guaranteed. 158 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 5: It depends on on on the pricing of the guaranteed 159 00:07:57,720 --> 00:08:00,920 Speaker 5: nuities and in particular where bond yields are. So actually 160 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 5: we've seen across the board with South African bondules coming down, 161 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:06,800 Speaker 5: people tending to favor LinkedIn nuities more and so that's 162 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:09,200 Speaker 5: really not been an old mutual issue per se, but 163 00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 5: more of an industry issue, and well, you know it 164 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:12,640 Speaker 5: will tend to follow the cycle. 165 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, that does make sense. You're obviously, like everyone, a 166 00:08:16,040 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 3: bit worried about current geopolitics. You say, our situation. I 167 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 3: think the phrase you use has actually become more constructive. 168 00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 3: How optimistic are you? I mean it seemed at the 169 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 3: beginning of the year lots of room for optimism. The 170 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 3: situation around you around the Middle East. The oil price 171 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:34,800 Speaker 3: obviously will have an impact on us, and we can't 172 00:08:34,800 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 3: avoid that. 173 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 5: Yeah, I think that it's I mean, of course, we 174 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:41,120 Speaker 5: all find it very troubling. I mean, I think it 175 00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:44,559 Speaker 5: does depend with outstanding the obvious. It does depend on 176 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 5: how sustained the crisis is, right and what that then 177 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 5: means for full prices and then the knock on of 178 00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 5: the knock on, you know, into into the rest of inflation. 179 00:08:55,880 --> 00:08:57,319 Speaker 4: So I think, you know, the the. 180 00:08:58,520 --> 00:09:02,960 Speaker 5: A prolonged crisis would I think be a much bigger 181 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:05,719 Speaker 5: bump in the road for South Africa and for everyone else. 182 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:07,839 Speaker 4: Frankly in dealing with. 183 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:10,760 Speaker 3: It, yeah, and working with Roger Dargin, I mean, I 184 00:09:10,840 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 3: must just point out he ran the company that owns 185 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:15,439 Speaker 3: this radio station for a while. He was chair at first, 186 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:18,240 Speaker 3: ran to lots of experience in your space. You're looking 187 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:20,800 Speaker 3: forward to that, yeah, very much. 188 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:21,400 Speaker 4: So very much. 189 00:09:21,440 --> 00:09:24,200 Speaker 5: So, you know, we were comparing notes a few moments ago. 190 00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 5: It's it's been a good day for us, I think, 191 00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 5: and you know, he's he's so highly regarded, so experienced. 192 00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:33,880 Speaker 5: I think that the news has landed very well and 193 00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:35,640 Speaker 5: so yep, we were delighted. 194 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:38,319 Speaker 3: Surrey, straight and good to chat. Thanks so much, CEO 195 00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:41,680 Speaker 3: at Old Mutual. Nineteen minutes after six The. 196 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:46,360 Speaker 4: Money Show with Stephen on seven two seven two. 197 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:49,360 Speaker 3: News from SPA Today, they're implementing what they call a 198 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:53,000 Speaker 3: voluntary severance program. I mean basically letting some workers go. 199 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:55,240 Speaker 3: You know the context of this, there problems for the 200 00:09:55,240 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 3: implementation of that SAP software system. Then their CEO resigned 201 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 3: and exp actively about three weeks ago. Their last AGM 202 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:05,439 Speaker 3: saw a bit of pushback against one of the powers 203 00:10:05,480 --> 00:10:09,199 Speaker 3: that had been made. The Finance Ghost is a retail 204 00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:12,680 Speaker 3: analyst and commentating you. They've seen his work on Moneyweb Daily, Maverick, 205 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:15,559 Speaker 3: many other places and from now for the first time 206 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 3: on The Money Show, mister Ghost, good evening, Thanks for 207 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:21,400 Speaker 3: your time. I mean, SPA has been through a rough time, 208 00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 3: but to let workers go really might be seen as 209 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:26,200 Speaker 3: a signal of something. 210 00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 7: Yeah, it's a signal of a lot of things. And 211 00:10:30,320 --> 00:10:32,280 Speaker 7: thanks for having me on the show. Let me just 212 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:34,720 Speaker 7: start there. Look, these things never come out of nowhere. 213 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:37,480 Speaker 7: I mean, I've been following the SPA for quite some 214 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 7: time now. I've actually tried to buy into that turnaround 215 00:10:40,760 --> 00:10:44,439 Speaker 7: and unfortunately being pretty disappointed. It's one of those things 216 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 7: where every time you think it can't get. 217 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:47,680 Speaker 4: Worse than it does get worse. 218 00:10:48,400 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 7: And it really harks back to just when things started 219 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 7: to go run for them in Europe plus it started 220 00:10:54,040 --> 00:10:56,160 Speaker 7: to go run here and then it felt like they 221 00:10:56,160 --> 00:11:00,120 Speaker 7: were just putting fires out literally everywhere, and unfortunately, and 222 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 7: that starts to become the case for a company. 223 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:04,199 Speaker 4: Eventually something has got. 224 00:11:04,000 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 7: To give, and you know, stuff like trying to say've 225 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 7: costed head off as fine, But I think that it 226 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:11,840 Speaker 7: really comes down to what's going on at store level, 227 00:11:11,880 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 7: what's going on in the grocery market. 228 00:11:13,960 --> 00:11:15,480 Speaker 4: It's a huge struggle for them. At the moment. 229 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:18,200 Speaker 7: SPA is a shadow of the business at once wise, 230 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:19,520 Speaker 7: and they have a lot of work to do to 231 00:11:19,559 --> 00:11:20,160 Speaker 7: try and fix it. 232 00:11:21,080 --> 00:11:23,280 Speaker 3: We've heard some other commentary in the past about this 233 00:11:23,400 --> 00:11:26,000 Speaker 3: that one of the problems might just be the structure. 234 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:29,559 Speaker 3: It holds it back. So a shop right, for example, 235 00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:32,600 Speaker 3: obviously the success story to compare everything to at the moment, 236 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:35,280 Speaker 3: they own most of their stores. That means that they 237 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 3: can sort of make sure and manage their delivery system 238 00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:41,599 Speaker 3: for SPA, most of their outlets are sort of individually 239 00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:45,080 Speaker 3: owned a franchise system. That makes that difficult. I mean, 240 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:47,559 Speaker 3: is their structure sort of working against them. 241 00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:51,520 Speaker 7: So in the New world, it is working against them 242 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:53,760 Speaker 7: as we speak, But I'm also not one hundred percent 243 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:57,400 Speaker 7: sure that it has to work against them, So being 244 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:01,160 Speaker 7: differentiated is not a fair thing if I use the 245 00:12:01,200 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 7: example of pick and pay at the moment, unfortunately, pick 246 00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:07,240 Speaker 7: and pay feels like just a bit of a bad 247 00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:09,360 Speaker 7: version of the business the shop right current. 248 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:11,600 Speaker 4: He has right, they're not really differentiated. 249 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:14,680 Speaker 7: They're doing all the same things they are trying to 250 00:12:14,679 --> 00:12:17,400 Speaker 7: do on demand, et cetera, but they're not executing to 251 00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:20,400 Speaker 7: the kind of standard that works, whereas the spa they 252 00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:23,720 Speaker 7: can actually do something different. You know, the joy of 253 00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:26,200 Speaker 7: the franchise model is that they've got people who own 254 00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:29,160 Speaker 7: these stores often live in the communities. 255 00:12:28,600 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 4: Where the store is, or at least they know the community. 256 00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:31,320 Speaker 2: Well. 257 00:12:31,600 --> 00:12:34,120 Speaker 4: Why when you go to a spa, it's always interesting. 258 00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:38,199 Speaker 7: A really great spa, in my opinion, remains almost unbeatable. 259 00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:40,800 Speaker 7: It's got probably the best butchery, and it's got stuff 260 00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 7: that reflects the area that you'll find in and its 261 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:46,400 Speaker 7: own cultural nuances and what people are buying. And you 262 00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:48,920 Speaker 7: can actually find the owner and tell that person what 263 00:12:49,000 --> 00:12:51,080 Speaker 7: you like and what you don't like, and ask for 264 00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:53,320 Speaker 7: something on the shelf. You're never in your life going 265 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:55,600 Speaker 7: to get that experience at Willwards, which is very much. 266 00:12:55,800 --> 00:12:57,600 Speaker 4: A stamped out thing over and over again. 267 00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:02,360 Speaker 7: That's how they win and Checkers is this absolute efficiency animal. 268 00:13:02,840 --> 00:13:04,439 Speaker 4: So it is hard for them. 269 00:13:04,480 --> 00:13:07,120 Speaker 7: And the biggest issue why the franchise model is a 270 00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 7: huge problem is because they just don't have access to 271 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:12,199 Speaker 7: store level data. They don't have the ability to layer 272 00:13:12,280 --> 00:13:15,120 Speaker 7: on a fulfillment engine like check is sixty sixty and 273 00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:17,400 Speaker 7: basically say cool, this service is all our stores and 274 00:13:17,400 --> 00:13:21,520 Speaker 7: connects all of them to customers, spar to you. I honestly, 275 00:13:21,559 --> 00:13:24,000 Speaker 7: I think I've seen those vehicles on the road maybe twice. 276 00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 7: Whereas if you throw a stone at the moment, you'll 277 00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:28,520 Speaker 7: hit a sixty sixty person on a scooter. 278 00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:30,720 Speaker 3: Right, Yeah, absolutely. I mean you just can't get in 279 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:33,640 Speaker 3: your car and not see them in some urban areas. Okay, 280 00:13:33,679 --> 00:13:36,480 Speaker 3: so what does management do. They've got themselves into a hole, 281 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 3: they've been digging unfortunately, how do they now find a 282 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:42,360 Speaker 3: letter and get out of it? 283 00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:45,599 Speaker 7: Yeah, So I think it is that differentiation points. I 284 00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 7: think they've got to make sure that they get the 285 00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:49,520 Speaker 7: basics right. But the important thing to remember with SPA 286 00:13:49,679 --> 00:13:53,760 Speaker 7: as the listed company, it's not the stores themselves. The 287 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:56,320 Speaker 7: stores themselves are owned by franchisees and they can buy 288 00:13:56,360 --> 00:14:00,640 Speaker 7: from anyone. So actually the changes from a listed company perspective, 289 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:03,640 Speaker 7: stuff like the voluntary severance program you're seeing letting people go. 290 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:07,480 Speaker 7: They absolutely have to get their systems implementations right. I 291 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 7: mean their SAP or SAP implementation was truly awful. It's 292 00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:12,520 Speaker 7: going to go down as a Hall of Famer. It 293 00:14:12,840 --> 00:14:15,960 Speaker 7: ruined loyalty from their franchisees and kset end which is 294 00:14:15,960 --> 00:14:18,360 Speaker 7: a core region of strength for them. They've had to 295 00:14:18,400 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 7: get rid of some really tough international businesses where they 296 00:14:20,960 --> 00:14:24,000 Speaker 7: basically had to pay people to drag them away almost 297 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:27,040 Speaker 7: or literally in the case of Poland. So it's very, 298 00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 7: very tough. From a wholesale perspective. What they need to 299 00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:32,000 Speaker 7: do is they need to just you can't turn around 300 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:34,080 Speaker 7: unless you've at least found the bottom. 301 00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:36,360 Speaker 4: So that's got to be step one. It's just find 302 00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:36,840 Speaker 4: the bottom. 303 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:39,680 Speaker 7: Just stop shrinking, stop getting worse, you know, make the 304 00:14:39,760 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 7: tough decisions, which it seems they're now doing, new management 305 00:14:42,880 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 7: in place, and start to rebuild. Get the systems right, 306 00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:49,320 Speaker 7: get the loyalty right with your franchisees. These people know 307 00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 7: how to run retailers. That's why these franchisees work. Supply 308 00:14:52,840 --> 00:14:55,480 Speaker 7: them properly, get them their stuff. You know, it's amazing 309 00:14:55,520 --> 00:14:57,800 Speaker 7: to me. It boggles my mind that for a SPA owner, 310 00:14:58,320 --> 00:15:01,360 Speaker 7: they would rather buy from someone else in many cases 311 00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:03,640 Speaker 7: than the SPA wholesaler. I mean, if that isn't an 312 00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 7: indication that things are not going well, I don't know 313 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:09,240 Speaker 7: what it is. It really is a game of insurance retail. 314 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:11,160 Speaker 7: It's a game of getting the basics right, and that's 315 00:15:11,160 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 7: where they need to start. 316 00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:16,720 Speaker 3: I mean, I don't want to personalize it. But we 317 00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:22,040 Speaker 3: see the CEO going unexpectedly, we see various other people 318 00:15:22,040 --> 00:15:24,640 Speaker 3: going before that, I think particularly I mean I don't know, 319 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:28,160 Speaker 3: but particularly after SAPN. Because one follows the other doesn't 320 00:15:28,160 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 3: necessarily mean one caused the other. I suppose do you 321 00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:34,000 Speaker 3: think they need to bring an outsider? I mean I 322 00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:35,840 Speaker 3: kind of keep looking at Pick and Pay and thinking 323 00:15:35,880 --> 00:15:39,000 Speaker 3: Sean Summers. I understand why you brought him back. I mean, 324 00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:41,480 Speaker 3: I enjoy talking to him. I don't know if it 325 00:15:41,520 --> 00:15:42,400 Speaker 3: was such a good move. 326 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 7: Look, it's an interesting question. I don't know Resa personally. 327 00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 7: I haven't engaged with him yet. I hope too soon. 328 00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:54,720 Speaker 7: I don't think that necessarily today, I think that they've 329 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:57,880 Speaker 7: gotten done in this sort of internal appointment. I mean 330 00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 7: there's a lot of experience there. I think what they 331 00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 7: just need is someone who's willing to do the hard yards. 332 00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:05,960 Speaker 7: It's someone who's tough. It's someone who can come in 333 00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:08,480 Speaker 7: and actually get it done. I mean, obviously it's a 334 00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:11,880 Speaker 7: disappointment for everyone that they've now had a young CEO 335 00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:15,240 Speaker 7: walking away under this guise of like, okay, well it's 336 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 7: all too difficult. I mean, fair enough, people's personal circumstances 337 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:19,000 Speaker 7: are what they are. 338 00:16:19,520 --> 00:16:20,720 Speaker 4: I always think that, you. 339 00:16:20,720 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 7: Know, an entrepreneur can't do that, no matter how tough 340 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:25,160 Speaker 7: my business is. I can't just say well that was hard, guys, 341 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:26,440 Speaker 7: and then keep all the money I made in the 342 00:16:26,520 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 7: last few years and not have to give any. 343 00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 4: Of it back and just walk away. 344 00:16:29,480 --> 00:16:32,160 Speaker 7: Such a life and corporate but they need someone who's 345 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:33,840 Speaker 7: going to do the hard work, and I don't think 346 00:16:33,840 --> 00:16:37,600 Speaker 7: they need to parachute in someone external necessarily. I do 347 00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:39,920 Speaker 7: worry a bit about that new role they've created where 348 00:16:39,920 --> 00:16:41,960 Speaker 7: they're basically looking for I think they call it a 349 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:45,400 Speaker 7: managing director of food and Liquor in South Africa. I 350 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:49,040 Speaker 7: can't fully understand why they're creating another layer of management. 351 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:51,560 Speaker 4: Why do they need to do that? 352 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:53,800 Speaker 7: You know, they shouldn't be spending time on anything other 353 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:56,880 Speaker 7: than SPA South Africa. Why do they need another person there? 354 00:16:57,160 --> 00:16:59,280 Speaker 7: That kind of thing worries me. That's going to be 355 00:16:59,760 --> 00:17:01,760 Speaker 7: what we need to see happen going forward is how 356 00:17:01,800 --> 00:17:04,280 Speaker 7: exactly will they play that. If you speak to guys 357 00:17:04,280 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 7: like Peter and albreaktas shop right, they are in the 358 00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:10,320 Speaker 7: detail all the time. And that's why retail CEOs can 359 00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:12,600 Speaker 7: get paid a fortune because they actually make a very 360 00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:15,920 Speaker 7: very big difference to the organization that they run. It's 361 00:17:15,920 --> 00:17:18,359 Speaker 7: not like a banking CEO who's like steering the ship 362 00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:21,159 Speaker 7: at a very high level obviously a big role, but 363 00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:23,960 Speaker 7: the retail CEOs tend to get their hands dirty at 364 00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:24,600 Speaker 7: store level. 365 00:17:25,760 --> 00:17:29,320 Speaker 3: Very interesting. Finance Ghost, thank you very much. Indeed ready 366 00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:32,760 Speaker 3: to appreciate the analyst and commentator known as the Finance 367 00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:34,920 Speaker 3: Ghost on The Money Show twenty seven minutes after six 368 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:41,000 Speaker 3: the Money Show. The market is at Investic Treasury Sales 369 00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:44,680 Speaker 3: and Solutions martet's been a while, Welcome back, Let's pick 370 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:46,840 Speaker 3: it up with SPA. I mean quite an announcement of 371 00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:50,880 Speaker 3: voluntary severance and a voluntary severance program. 372 00:17:51,280 --> 00:17:55,480 Speaker 8: Yeah, you guys suppose also they're cutting jobs, They're grappling 373 00:17:55,560 --> 00:18:00,600 Speaker 8: with the operational and governance challenges. It's adding free pressure 374 00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:03,960 Speaker 8: I mean on South Africa's second largest grosser that, as 375 00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:06,320 Speaker 8: you rightfully said a few minutes ago, saw the sudden 376 00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:11,440 Speaker 8: departure of the you know CEO last month, but already 377 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:16,960 Speaker 8: the business was understrained from a costly step in implementation misstep. 378 00:18:17,280 --> 00:18:22,080 Speaker 8: There's been financial pressure and also tensions with their independent retailers. 379 00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:24,639 Speaker 8: So they have said that they're going to start you know, 380 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:27,879 Speaker 8: this voluntary program as part of efforts to rain in 381 00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:32,040 Speaker 8: costs and also stabilize performance with art necessarily. 382 00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 9: Can you get it? 383 00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:41,080 Speaker 3: Yes, we lost you there a second. A second, yeah. 384 00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:43,800 Speaker 8: So look, they're not going to really be specifying which 385 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:46,159 Speaker 8: parts of the business are going to be affected and 386 00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:49,600 Speaker 8: how many jobs are being targeted. They have said that 387 00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:53,760 Speaker 8: this program is part of a broader reset designed to 388 00:18:53,840 --> 00:18:57,679 Speaker 8: align their cost base with their current trading conditions and 389 00:18:57,800 --> 00:19:00,919 Speaker 8: to ensure that they support themselves for future growth. 390 00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:05,399 Speaker 3: Old neutral I mean quite strong adjusted headline earnings. Obviously, 391 00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:08,960 Speaker 3: different things happening in different sectors, and of course Roger 392 00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:10,040 Speaker 3: Jardine coming in. 393 00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:13,479 Speaker 8: Exactly that was quite an interesting one. I mean, if 394 00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:17,160 Speaker 8: you think about Roger Jardine he was previously at first round. 395 00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:21,239 Speaker 8: But also just from a numbers perspective, Old mutuals, you know, 396 00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:25,160 Speaker 8: they reported sharply higher annual profits. I mean they said 397 00:19:25,160 --> 00:19:30,160 Speaker 8: that Surgeon pre tax profit was around forty seven percent 398 00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:34,000 Speaker 8: increased there, you know, the twenty twenty five results really 399 00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:38,760 Speaker 8: reflecting an improved operating performance in their life and savings 400 00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:43,800 Speaker 8: businesses and also old mutual insurance. For me, the interesting 401 00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:46,640 Speaker 8: part was the fact that they've declared a final dividend 402 00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:52,520 Speaker 8: of fifty six rand, you know, up about seven point percent. Also, 403 00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:55,800 Speaker 8: as they said, I mean Roger Jardine coming in from 404 00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:59,440 Speaker 8: the fifth of June, that is when the current chair 405 00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:03,040 Speaker 8: of a manual will be retiring as that AGM. And 406 00:20:03,080 --> 00:20:06,520 Speaker 8: then Roger Jardine he did coming in last year as 407 00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:09,400 Speaker 8: a nun exec director in September, and then he will 408 00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:13,359 Speaker 8: be assuming that role of chairperson from the fifth of June. 409 00:20:14,280 --> 00:20:18,119 Speaker 3: Stadio the education group, they've been going great guns obviously, 410 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 3: still very very aggressive, very optimistic about the future. They 411 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:25,399 Speaker 3: seem to be growing very strongly, and their earnings were 412 00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:26,359 Speaker 3: up strongly too. 413 00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:27,600 Speaker 10: Yeah. 414 00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:30,639 Speaker 8: Look, I mean the share price rallied about six percent today. 415 00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:34,240 Speaker 8: I mean, they reported about a twenty three percent increase 416 00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:38,840 Speaker 8: in headline earnings for twenty twenty five and also rising 417 00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:41,919 Speaker 8: the students numbers. I mean, in the first semester we 418 00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:44,840 Speaker 8: did see about a nine percent increase in student numbers, 419 00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:47,800 Speaker 8: and then in the second semester another seven percent. Odd 420 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:51,520 Speaker 8: also for them, you know, they lefted their final dividend 421 00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:55,320 Speaker 8: about eighteen cents from about fifteen cents, and they're also 422 00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:58,480 Speaker 8: planning a share by back worth around seventy five million 423 00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:02,280 Speaker 8: rand going forward. Group has also said they're very optimistic 424 00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:06,360 Speaker 8: in terms of reaching about fifty six thousand students by 425 00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:10,440 Speaker 8: the end of this year. Also, you know then they're 426 00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:13,840 Speaker 8: looking at about eighty thousand students by the end of 427 00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:14,679 Speaker 8: twenty thirty. 428 00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:19,800 Speaker 3: Thanks very much indeed at Investic Treasury Sales and Solutions. 429 00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:22,680 Speaker 3: Good to chat again just on six thirty up Stephen 430 00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:24,240 Speaker 3: on seven. 431 00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:27,920 Speaker 5: Two seven oh two one seven two twenty two minutes 432 00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:28,399 Speaker 5: to seven. 433 00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:31,119 Speaker 3: Well, I thought that was very interesting by the person 434 00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:34,040 Speaker 3: known as the Finance Ghost about SPA, the idea that's 435 00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:38,280 Speaker 3: someone an outlet, a supermarket that's locally owned can just 436 00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:41,119 Speaker 3: do better than one that sort of owns centrally. I 437 00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:43,640 Speaker 3: hadn't thought of it like that in that way, I'd 438 00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:45,919 Speaker 3: love to hear your views. I mean, you're experience at 439 00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 3: different supermarkets and why you go to the ones you do. 440 00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:51,359 Speaker 3: I have a shop right near me, and I have 441 00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:54,080 Speaker 3: a spa near me. The spa is much closer to me, 442 00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:56,160 Speaker 3: so my family and I spend a lot of time there. 443 00:21:56,440 --> 00:21:58,800 Speaker 3: There's a very big shop right quite close to just me. 444 00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:01,159 Speaker 3: Go there too, quite off, especially if it's on the 445 00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:04,760 Speaker 3: way to certain things. But just your sort of thought, 446 00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:07,679 Speaker 3: you know, where you feel more at home, where you 447 00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:10,520 Speaker 3: get more attention from the people who are working there, 448 00:22:10,800 --> 00:22:12,439 Speaker 3: that kind of thing, I know. Seven two seven oh 449 00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:14,399 Speaker 3: two one, seven oh two. I don't know if you 450 00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:18,040 Speaker 3: heard what qud in Montasha, the Minister of Mineral and 451 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:21,359 Speaker 3: Petroleum Resources said yesterday. You're speaking at the big Oil 452 00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:24,400 Speaker 3: and Gas conference. It's underway in Cape tom You said 453 00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:26,800 Speaker 3: a couple of very interesting things. And when you consider 454 00:22:26,840 --> 00:22:30,040 Speaker 3: the situation we're in, we're very worried about high oil prices. Yes, 455 00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:33,959 Speaker 3: we produce thirty to thirty five percent of our own needs, 456 00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:37,400 Speaker 3: thank you, Sesel. There's another refinery that's working, but our 457 00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:41,320 Speaker 3: refining capacity is very low, partly because it hasn't made 458 00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:45,159 Speaker 3: commercial sense. Actually for some people to restart theirs or 459 00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:49,679 Speaker 3: to upgrade them to a newer fuel standards. So the 460 00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:52,240 Speaker 3: question I suppose, and I think Mantasha was kind of 461 00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:54,440 Speaker 3: provoking an argument. I think he's right to. I think 462 00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:56,280 Speaker 3: we need to have this debate. And I don't always 463 00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:57,760 Speaker 3: agree with him, as you know, but I think here 464 00:22:57,800 --> 00:23:00,439 Speaker 3: we need to have the debate. Look, he's keen, and 465 00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:03,719 Speaker 3: I understand the argument. So oil prices are high, we 466 00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:06,600 Speaker 3: can't rely on where we get it from. At the moment, 467 00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:09,560 Speaker 3: there's a big global rush for it. Therefore, I think 468 00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:12,160 Speaker 3: it goes as arguments and I'm paraphrasing here, we need 469 00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:14,359 Speaker 3: to explore, here, we need to drill, we need to 470 00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:17,520 Speaker 3: have our own And he's confident there are resources, and 471 00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 3: that's fine. That's the one way of looking at it. 472 00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:23,000 Speaker 3: The other would be to say go renewable and go 473 00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:27,240 Speaker 3: hard and go. Now, you know Chinese electric cars, they've 474 00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:30,480 Speaker 3: got overcapacity in their car market, bring them on. Eskim's 475 00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:34,480 Speaker 3: improving so many companies now. Every time we speak to 476 00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:37,239 Speaker 3: people who run shopping centers or whatever, they have their 477 00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:40,240 Speaker 3: own renewable power because it's just cheaper. So there are all 478 00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:43,760 Speaker 3: sorts of ways to manage that. I don't know if 479 00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:46,880 Speaker 3: we're quite ready for that. I must also say we're 480 00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:50,280 Speaker 3: a big country, by which I mean geographically, and so 481 00:23:50,320 --> 00:23:54,920 Speaker 3: the distances make electric cars very tough. But and you've 482 00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:56,920 Speaker 3: heard from the person who runs the company that does 483 00:23:56,960 --> 00:24:00,320 Speaker 3: this willworths in most of their major cents is use 484 00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:04,399 Speaker 3: electrically powered trucks to deliver their goods. So you know 485 00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:06,520 Speaker 3: there are ways to do these things. Your thoughts so 486 00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:09,600 Speaker 3: seven two seven two one seven two nineteen minutes to seven. 487 00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:14,800 Speaker 9: Seven two with Stephen Cruts email him on Stephen at 488 00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:17,800 Speaker 9: seven oh two dot co DOTZI. 489 00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:20,200 Speaker 3: Sixteen minutes to seven the time. Well over the last 490 00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:22,520 Speaker 3: couple of weeks, you've heard the results from the major 491 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:26,560 Speaker 3: banking groups that PwC putting all the numbers together and 492 00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:30,800 Speaker 3: combining the and calculating that the combined headline earnings of 493 00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 3: our major banks grew but actually nine point four percent 494 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:37,560 Speaker 3: between twenty twenty four and twenty twenty five. When you 495 00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:41,960 Speaker 3: consider how busy twenty twenty five was. Different things, different risks, 496 00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:45,520 Speaker 3: different banks obviously doing things slightly differently if you consider 497 00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:49,119 Speaker 3: the competition and all of the new entrants, well, the 498 00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:53,080 Speaker 3: whole industry nine point four percent. Yeah, not that francois 499 00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:58,240 Speaker 3: princela is the banking and capital markets leader at PwC 500 00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:02,600 Speaker 3: Africa A Franco g. Thanks so much for your time tonight. Okay, 501 00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:06,200 Speaker 3: as I say, busy, busy in twenty twenty five, what 502 00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:09,199 Speaker 3: were our banks doing right that on average allowed them 503 00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:10,360 Speaker 3: to grow so strongly? 504 00:25:11,520 --> 00:25:15,640 Speaker 11: Good evening, Steven, Yes, and thank you for having me. Yes. Certainly, 505 00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:20,560 Speaker 11: as you've mentioned, the South Africa banks navigated complex operating 506 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:25,200 Speaker 11: to rain to deliver solid results. But as always, as 507 00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:28,000 Speaker 11: you mentioned, in terms of all the risk and busyness, 508 00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:30,800 Speaker 11: we need to look at these banking results with a 509 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:36,800 Speaker 11: view of the operating environment. It took place, certainly from 510 00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:43,160 Speaker 11: a broader perspective big picture, we saw inflation, moderate interest 511 00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:47,040 Speaker 11: rate cuts and GDP growth for five consecutive quarters in 512 00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:51,120 Speaker 11: twenty twenty five. We also saw South Africa remove from 513 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:54,240 Speaker 11: the Fative gray list and the solo credit rating upgraded, 514 00:25:54,880 --> 00:25:58,919 Speaker 11: and all of that translated into better host household and 515 00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:03,360 Speaker 11: business sentiments domestically and to recover in corporate fixed investment 516 00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:08,520 Speaker 11: and for those banks that you mentioned that have significant 517 00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:12,360 Speaker 11: operations in Africa, we also saw compelling growth dynamics, particularly 518 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:15,919 Speaker 11: in the East, while West Africa and large economies like 519 00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 11: Nigeria and Ghana navigated through currency and inflation volatility. Globally, 520 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:24,760 Speaker 11: we saw the introduction of broad based US tariffs and 521 00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:30,200 Speaker 11: significant geopolitical turbulence that weighed glow down on investor sentiment. 522 00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:33,400 Speaker 11: So all of that really sets the scene for their 523 00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:38,800 Speaker 11: major banks results, and within that context they really delivered 524 00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:42,960 Speaker 11: strong performance. As you've mentioned, combined headline earnings nine point 525 00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:46,720 Speaker 11: four percent up on five year, which is significant, outpacing 526 00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:51,080 Speaker 11: domestic economic growth, which is great. If you look at 527 00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:54,560 Speaker 11: balance sheet as well, funding side deposits up eight point 528 00:26:54,600 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 11: four and lending site up five point eight, which just 529 00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:00,760 Speaker 11: gives the banks a much better opportunity to engage with 530 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:05,879 Speaker 11: their clients. Good top line growth, good cost control as well. 531 00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:09,320 Speaker 11: You know, the bank aim for fifty percent and they 532 00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:11,800 Speaker 11: got there. So over all a very strong performance. 533 00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:15,920 Speaker 3: And Francoise, I mean, if you've got lower interest rates, 534 00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:18,280 Speaker 3: I mean it would stand to reason that's that quite 535 00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:21,320 Speaker 3: quickly there'll be more demand for credit. Households and companies 536 00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:24,840 Speaker 3: would look to borrow again, and that should mean more 537 00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:25,719 Speaker 3: business for banks. 538 00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:30,760 Speaker 11: Yes, certainly, Stephen, and I think we've seen that coming 539 00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:35,440 Speaker 11: through as I've mentioned on the funding side the posits 540 00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:39,159 Speaker 11: eight point four percent up, very strong performance, and like 541 00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:43,560 Speaker 11: I said, the lending side also well up. And on 542 00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:47,480 Speaker 11: the back of that good revenue momentum, net interest income 543 00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:51,439 Speaker 11: and non interest revenue resulting in up in resulting and 544 00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:57,080 Speaker 11: operating revenue up seven point two percent, positive jaws being 545 00:27:57,119 --> 00:28:01,680 Speaker 11: created through that process. I think that the very pleasing 546 00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:05,840 Speaker 11: bit is the return on equity, which we saw coming 547 00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:09,960 Speaker 11: through a twenty percent, admirable by any global standard as 548 00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:13,280 Speaker 11: we know, and well above the cost of equity. And 549 00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:15,280 Speaker 11: I think what is very important looking at the result 550 00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:19,240 Speaker 11: holistically is also the strong management in terms of credit quality, 551 00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:24,000 Speaker 11: with non performing loans essentially flat, so overall, in a 552 00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:27,560 Speaker 11: tough environment, a very very good performance by the banks. 553 00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:31,760 Speaker 3: There's been a big move to digitization in AI and 554 00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:33,960 Speaker 3: so there are plenty of digital banks now. They don't 555 00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:37,280 Speaker 3: have a physical presence sometimes some of the newer banks 556 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:41,000 Speaker 3: old Mutual obviously does and I know in the past 557 00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:44,840 Speaker 3: that sort of was anecdotal evidence our banking sectors pretty 558 00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:48,640 Speaker 3: innovative compared to other markets. If I recall could be 559 00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:51,120 Speaker 3: wrong about this, you might know. I think we were 560 00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:52,960 Speaker 3: the first country to sort of have banks that would 561 00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:55,720 Speaker 3: actually SMSU every time something happened on your account. I 562 00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:59,000 Speaker 3: mean that was you know, science fiction compared to what 563 00:28:59,040 --> 00:29:01,680 Speaker 3: other countries we're doing. Isn't still the case. So our 564 00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:05,600 Speaker 3: bank's still quite innovative compared to banks in other places. 565 00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:10,320 Speaker 11: Yes, Steven, I think we've had the benefit of a 566 00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:14,160 Speaker 11: very innative banking environment and some of our banks have 567 00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:18,920 Speaker 11: been impermitting leading technology as of many years, you know, 568 00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:21,120 Speaker 11: and if you put your mind back a few years ago, 569 00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:23,920 Speaker 11: I think some of our local banks have won global 570 00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:28,280 Speaker 11: prices for innovation and we continue to see that, you know. 571 00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:32,040 Speaker 11: To say, South African major banks continue to complete intensely 572 00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:36,960 Speaker 11: on digital growth with client acquisition and transaction volumes continue 573 00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:41,640 Speaker 11: to increase, driven by mobile first platforms, you know. To 574 00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:44,320 Speaker 11: this end and to the point you rate, they continue 575 00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:51,480 Speaker 11: to spend and invest significantly in digital and refining their 576 00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:56,360 Speaker 11: core systems and specifically across all of three areas. We've 577 00:29:56,360 --> 00:30:02,600 Speaker 11: seen significant investment cloud compute capability, modernizing the payment and 578 00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:07,840 Speaker 11: unifying systems across business segments, and that will continue. You know, 579 00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:12,440 Speaker 11: we're in an era of AI digital and it's important 580 00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:15,000 Speaker 11: to continue to invest the innovat to be competitive. 581 00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:18,600 Speaker 3: So I mean, I mean one of the things that's 582 00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:21,959 Speaker 3: happening is that we see these massive power projects, sustainable 583 00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:24,760 Speaker 3: power across the country. Those all need to be financed. 584 00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:26,320 Speaker 3: I mean, if I were a bank, those would be 585 00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:28,880 Speaker 3: very interesting opportunities. I mean the market may even be 586 00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:32,480 Speaker 3: saturated by now, and banks like to put all of 587 00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:34,200 Speaker 3: that kind of thing in their glossy brochures. 588 00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:40,760 Speaker 11: They do, they do, Stephen, and I think it's important 589 00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:46,160 Speaker 11: to confirm that. You know, obviously the creditor sessiments are 590 00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:49,120 Speaker 11: being done, it needs to be eligible and projects of 591 00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:53,000 Speaker 11: good returns. But the sustainability in gender continues to be 592 00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:55,240 Speaker 11: very important for all the banks and they continue to 593 00:30:55,360 --> 00:31:00,560 Speaker 11: drive a range of implications. You know, in the have 594 00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:05,720 Speaker 11: continued to commit to ESG and those targets, and they 595 00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:11,480 Speaker 11: are aiming to balance good, good investment, good lending with 596 00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:15,840 Speaker 11: responsible behavior. So I think we will continue to see 597 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:20,040 Speaker 11: significant investment and lending towards those industries going forward. 598 00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:22,520 Speaker 3: France, our Princeville, thanks so much for the thoughts. Really 599 00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:26,600 Speaker 3: appreciated the banking and Capital Markets leader at PwC Africa. 600 00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:29,920 Speaker 3: Banks overall as a sector in South Africa seem to 601 00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:31,800 Speaker 3: be doing quite well. Nine minutes to seven. 602 00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:35,880 Speaker 1: The Money Show Stephen Crutes is brought to you by 603 00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:40,520 Speaker 1: Absolve Corporate and Investment backing proud sponsors of GTR Africa 604 00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:44,160 Speaker 1: twenty twenty six, enabling trade flows for growth apps as 605 00:31:44,160 --> 00:31:45,040 Speaker 1: a registered FSP. 606 00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:49,000 Speaker 3: So last week you might have heard me making a 607 00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:52,520 Speaker 3: comment about Black economic empowerments and I said, as a journalist, 608 00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:55,840 Speaker 3: I find it quite frustrating. There are so many people 609 00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:59,240 Speaker 3: making the argument against B at the moment, including as 610 00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:02,360 Speaker 3: we know, the ambassador, But there are plenty of people 611 00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:05,120 Speaker 3: in South African business, plenty of people in the commentariat, 612 00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:08,240 Speaker 3: plenty of people in South Africa and outside South Africa 613 00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:13,080 Speaker 3: making that argument. And I shared that I've felt frustrated 614 00:32:13,120 --> 00:32:16,320 Speaker 3: that I hardly hear anyone making the argument for it, 615 00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:19,720 Speaker 3: and if I do, they're almost always from the A 616 00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:22,640 Speaker 3: n C or a sort of A and C aligned movement, 617 00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:24,320 Speaker 3: if you know what I mean. And I said, I 618 00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:27,320 Speaker 3: would like to hear from someone who defends it. The 619 00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:30,840 Speaker 3: risk for people who support THEE. And let me just 620 00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:32,320 Speaker 3: make this clear, and this is the point that I 621 00:32:32,360 --> 00:32:35,040 Speaker 3: was making that if only the A and C defends it, 622 00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:38,640 Speaker 3: and the A and C loses power or even just 623 00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:42,240 Speaker 3: loses control of say the DTIC and the Finance Ministry. Well, 624 00:32:42,760 --> 00:32:45,840 Speaker 3: BEE itself might go with it. That would be the 625 00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:49,560 Speaker 3: risk for people who support PE. When I'm pleased to 626 00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:52,360 Speaker 3: tell you someone who does support Black Economic Compartment heard me, 627 00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:55,240 Speaker 3: got in touch and said they were happy to be 628 00:32:55,320 --> 00:32:59,040 Speaker 3: the one to bring on the battle. How's it good 629 00:32:59,040 --> 00:33:02,760 Speaker 3: to chat again the chief executive of the Black Entrepreneurs Alliance. 630 00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:05,960 Speaker 3: You heard my comments last week? How do you feel 631 00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:08,560 Speaker 3: about it? Is there a strong defense for BEE? 632 00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:13,120 Speaker 6: Thank you so much, Stephen, and grievening to the money 633 00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:17,800 Speaker 6: showed listeners. Well, Stephen, so Africa's tender the critical economic crossroad, 634 00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:20,600 Speaker 6: and you'd appreciate like you actually said, And the debate 635 00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:23,760 Speaker 6: is no longer where that transformation is necessary, but how 636 00:33:23,800 --> 00:33:27,480 Speaker 6: it must be implemented to deliver real, inclusive and sustainable 637 00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:31,640 Speaker 6: economic justice. Now you made mention of the US ambassador 638 00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:35,720 Speaker 6: and troubled BEE the broad based black economic empowerment which 639 00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:40,520 Speaker 6: came nine years after so Africa got its freedom. The 640 00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:44,240 Speaker 6: historic impertative cannot be ignored, Stephen. Broad based black economic 641 00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:47,080 Speaker 6: empowerment is not merely a political preference. It is a 642 00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:51,480 Speaker 6: constitutional and moral necessity. Now routed in South Africa's history 643 00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:53,840 Speaker 6: and it's very, very very important for us to appreciate 644 00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:57,800 Speaker 6: that now there are pritheate economy systematically excluded the majority 645 00:33:58,000 --> 00:34:01,360 Speaker 6: of Black South Africans, which occurring statistics they from ninety 646 00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:04,400 Speaker 6: three percent of the population, meaning the Indians, the Colors, 647 00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:09,280 Speaker 6: and the Black South Africans. Now driple B speaks to ownership, management, 648 00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:13,239 Speaker 6: skills development and enterprise development, and you would know that 649 00:34:13,480 --> 00:34:16,880 Speaker 6: as given that to date a lot of black people 650 00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:21,960 Speaker 6: and black entapriners are still economic spectators. And this because 651 00:34:21,960 --> 00:34:26,200 Speaker 6: of broad based Black economic dempartment and the Preferential Procurement 652 00:34:26,239 --> 00:34:30,680 Speaker 6: Policy Framework Act not being adequately implemented. And that's why 653 00:34:30,680 --> 00:34:32,719 Speaker 6: the criticism is that no, let's get rid of it 654 00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:35,480 Speaker 6: because of the majority of people. I mean, if you 655 00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:37,960 Speaker 6: look at the white people just being seven percent, and 656 00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:41,080 Speaker 6: if you want to do something that's impactful, their numbers 657 00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:43,359 Speaker 6: are low, are low, and it's easy to really make 658 00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:46,239 Speaker 6: a difference over a small population, whereby if you look 659 00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:49,960 Speaker 6: at the number of black people and also economic exposure 660 00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:52,239 Speaker 6: to opportunities. I mean, if you look at given in 661 00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:55,520 Speaker 6: the finance industry, there's a lot of financial instruments that 662 00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:58,360 Speaker 6: the bank has to ensure that they can set people 663 00:34:58,440 --> 00:35:00,720 Speaker 6: up for success. One of the things that we believe 664 00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:03,880 Speaker 6: that broad based black economic compartment should stay, it's racial 665 00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:06,560 Speaker 6: profiling in the finance and and and and in the 666 00:35:06,640 --> 00:35:10,120 Speaker 6: finance and banking sector. The fact that black people meaning 667 00:35:10,160 --> 00:35:13,760 Speaker 6: Indian colors and and so African blacks are still racially profiled. 668 00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:17,320 Speaker 6: They don't get the same interest rates as their white counterparts. 669 00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:20,320 Speaker 6: And also they don't they're not exposed to financial instruments 670 00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:23,240 Speaker 6: that sets them back or other for failure. 671 00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:26,200 Speaker 3: I mean, I must just point out that this discussion 672 00:35:26,239 --> 00:35:29,040 Speaker 3: has been had before around the racial profiling by lenders, 673 00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:32,080 Speaker 3: and they strongly deny that. We've had the argument within 674 00:35:32,160 --> 00:35:35,200 Speaker 3: the past. The criticism I refer ware that that often 675 00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:39,439 Speaker 3: comes is particularly for the big deals, is that it's 676 00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:42,400 Speaker 3: only people who are politically connected or people who are 677 00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:49,040 Speaker 3: already empowered. Would you reform any of it? 678 00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:51,400 Speaker 6: It's important, and Steven, I'd like to agree with you, 679 00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:55,760 Speaker 6: and especially with the with the criticism from the Democratic Allianes. 680 00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:59,640 Speaker 6: It's it's it's very valid because we believe that DOUBLEPE 681 00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:03,080 Speaker 6: delivered partial gains but needs reform. 682 00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:03,480 Speaker 2: Not the removal. 683 00:36:03,880 --> 00:36:06,800 Speaker 6: And it is important to acknowledge both progress and shortcomings. 684 00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:09,600 Speaker 6: Now the achievements would be creation of a black medal 685 00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:12,480 Speaker 6: class and a transer of significant economic value. I mean 686 00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:14,799 Speaker 6: you're looking at about a see card two hundred and 687 00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:17,640 Speaker 6: eighty five billion rand in el years alone and that 688 00:36:17,840 --> 00:36:21,160 Speaker 6: has ended seemingly there's no movement in that regard and 689 00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:24,840 Speaker 6: also increased Black participation in business and procurement. Now the 690 00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:28,640 Speaker 6: challenge is the challenge is given the elite capture, tenderpreneurship 691 00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:33,879 Speaker 6: funcing and compliance manipulation, limited impact on mass unemployment, weak 692 00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:37,920 Speaker 6: enterprise development execution as the black entrepreneurial lines. We are 693 00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:42,279 Speaker 6: also advancing for for application of tender opportunities in their 694 00:36:42,360 --> 00:36:46,120 Speaker 6: private and public center because if you aggregate them, more 695 00:36:46,200 --> 00:36:51,600 Speaker 6: people will participate and the sting of having opportunities because 696 00:36:51,600 --> 00:36:55,080 Speaker 6: of your proximity to power will be read. And criticism 697 00:36:55,160 --> 00:36:57,960 Speaker 6: that B has benefited a few is valid, but it 698 00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:00,960 Speaker 6: leads to wrong conclusion. That's why I like you rightfully 699 00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:03,919 Speaker 6: ask the solution is not abandoned PEE, but to deep 700 00:37:04,040 --> 00:37:07,880 Speaker 6: in it's broad based impact into a lot of people 701 00:37:07,920 --> 00:37:10,680 Speaker 6: in the township. I mean, you look at the howth 702 00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:13,680 Speaker 6: And Province, They've got the Howton Township economic development act, 703 00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:16,800 Speaker 6: but no people have seen value in it and people 704 00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:19,000 Speaker 6: that are in the townships, and we are also advancing 705 00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:21,279 Speaker 6: and say to the Minister of Trade and Industry to say, 706 00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:25,200 Speaker 6: you must also do a national township and rural economic 707 00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:28,640 Speaker 6: development so that when you start enterprises like you said 708 00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:33,719 Speaker 6: the twinlimpor person example, let's see more black people benefiting 709 00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:36,560 Speaker 6: in their value chain, so that that's what we're asking for. 710 00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:39,640 Speaker 3: Well, Philwert, one of the things I find so interesting 711 00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:42,040 Speaker 3: about it, and sort of builds on the original point 712 00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:44,959 Speaker 3: that started this conversation, is that so many people who 713 00:37:45,280 --> 00:37:47,879 Speaker 3: I thought might defend it or so quiet. I mean, 714 00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:50,200 Speaker 3: I would have thought if it is as important as 715 00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:54,200 Speaker 3: you say it is, you would see you know, everyone 716 00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:59,359 Speaker 3: from sacking Sacking Matsoma all the way through to someone 717 00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:01,440 Speaker 3: who's benefit from it in a small way at a 718 00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:03,719 Speaker 3: bank out on the streets defending it. 719 00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:08,040 Speaker 6: I mean, where are they, steven something that's said about us. 720 00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:10,640 Speaker 6: Black people will like to defend our own corners so 721 00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:13,560 Speaker 6: that we can go to bed on a full stomach. 722 00:38:14,000 --> 00:38:19,440 Speaker 6: But economic stability depends on inclusive growth. Without meaningful economic inclusion, 723 00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:24,400 Speaker 6: inequality fuel social unrest and employment. Preas and stability, investment 724 00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:28,320 Speaker 6: confidence declines. Even critics acknowledge that post A party policies 725 00:38:28,400 --> 00:38:33,319 Speaker 6: might be were morally and strategically necessary to sustain economic stability. 726 00:38:33,640 --> 00:38:36,520 Speaker 6: But now it seems like people not going out to 727 00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:40,800 Speaker 6: the streets to really vent their frustration about being economic spectators. 728 00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:43,600 Speaker 6: They're just protecting their brains to say the fact that 729 00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:46,239 Speaker 6: I'm employed. Let me protect my job. I don't want 730 00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:48,759 Speaker 6: to make noise because I've disturbed the status called. I mean, 731 00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:52,840 Speaker 6: even Patris Muti himself he benefited through nough Cook and 732 00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:56,720 Speaker 6: also even San Diele Zoom through their Black Business Council. 733 00:38:56,840 --> 00:38:59,200 Speaker 6: They yes, they might someone might say, yes, they are 734 00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:02,760 Speaker 6: making nuse, But for us as people in on the ground, 735 00:39:02,840 --> 00:39:05,919 Speaker 6: we're not seeing that noise. And also aggregation of tender 736 00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:08,680 Speaker 6: opportunities are through Espena in the worgs. You look at 737 00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:12,160 Speaker 6: the Loto. If the loto was aggregated to stay okay, yes, 738 00:39:12,280 --> 00:39:14,759 Speaker 6: not one company must win the lotto, but you're aggregated 739 00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:17,520 Speaker 6: in all the provinces, like all these gambling companies that 740 00:39:17,600 --> 00:39:20,719 Speaker 6: are assuming you say, in every province there's a black 741 00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:23,800 Speaker 6: entrepreneurs that's a consortium that are running the lotto in 742 00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:28,600 Speaker 6: that province, wouldn't be so inclusive. Growth inclusive, growth exposure 743 00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:32,000 Speaker 6: and people growing their balance sheet to eventually own their economy. 744 00:39:33,120 --> 00:39:36,319 Speaker 3: Monachin, Thanks really appreciate you coming on and giving us 745 00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:39,120 Speaker 3: the other side. The chief executive of the Black Entrepreneurs Alliance, 746 00:39:39,160 --> 00:39:42,520 Speaker 3: and let me just say, I'm moys. I do and 747 00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:44,239 Speaker 3: this is just a personal note and you can you 748 00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:48,080 Speaker 3: can argue with me if you like. That's fine. It's 749 00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:51,319 Speaker 3: get a little nervous when one person sort of says, 750 00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:53,439 Speaker 3: and I don't mean to argue with refillware in any way. 751 00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:56,920 Speaker 3: You know, we as this group or that group are 752 00:39:57,160 --> 00:39:59,239 Speaker 3: like this. I don't think you can rarely say that. 753 00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:01,640 Speaker 3: I think you go down very difficult road there. Anyway, 754 00:40:02,200 --> 00:40:03,840 Speaker 3: I'd love to hear from you on all of this. 755 00:40:04,040 --> 00:40:04,080 Speaker 9: No. 756 00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:06,799 Speaker 3: Seven two seven two one seven o'clock. 757 00:40:07,800 --> 00:40:12,080 Speaker 2: And now The Money Show with Stephen credits on seven 758 00:40:12,120 --> 00:40:13,960 Speaker 2: o two. Let's walk little. 759 00:40:14,320 --> 00:40:16,400 Speaker 3: The Money Show with Stephen Crutius is brought to you 760 00:40:16,560 --> 00:40:20,520 Speaker 3: by Absent Corporate and Investment Banking, proud sponsors of GTR 761 00:40:20,560 --> 00:40:25,080 Speaker 3: Africa twenty twenty six. Enabling Trade Flows for Growth is 762 00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:30,000 Speaker 3: registered FSP. Good Evening eight minutes after seven Well Discovery 763 00:40:30,120 --> 00:40:34,480 Speaker 3: Life explaining today some of the payments they've made and 764 00:40:34,640 --> 00:40:37,759 Speaker 3: some really interesting technology for the early detection of things 765 00:40:37,880 --> 00:40:40,359 Speaker 3: like cancer. I'm sure you in some way your life 766 00:40:40,400 --> 00:40:42,640 Speaker 3: has been touched by that disease, if not used someone 767 00:40:42,719 --> 00:40:45,719 Speaker 3: you know as someone in your family. I really keen 768 00:40:45,840 --> 00:40:47,960 Speaker 3: to talk about that, talk about the screening of that. 769 00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:50,680 Speaker 3: Gareth Friedland is the deputy CEO of Discovery Life. We'll 770 00:40:50,680 --> 00:40:53,600 Speaker 3: hear from him in a moment. Rotendo and Dingwi excuse me, 771 00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:56,319 Speaker 3: Professor and Dingwi will be here in a few moments. 772 00:40:56,360 --> 00:40:59,160 Speaker 3: I'm just turning around. He's not in the office yet, 773 00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:01,440 Speaker 3: but I'm sure he'll be on his way or we'll 774 00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:04,560 Speaker 3: speak to him on Zoom. In fact, he always has 775 00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:06,440 Speaker 3: something to say about what's happening in our consumers and 776 00:41:06,440 --> 00:41:11,080 Speaker 3: then building your own portfolio for investments. Warren Ingram focusing 777 00:41:11,160 --> 00:41:12,000 Speaker 3: on that tonight. 778 00:41:12,960 --> 00:41:14,320 Speaker 7: What's up, Stephen. 779 00:41:14,360 --> 00:41:18,239 Speaker 4: Only seventy seven oh two one seven o two. 780 00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:21,200 Speaker 3: I asked earlier about your shopping experience. Why do you 781 00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:24,040 Speaker 3: go to certain supermarket chains and not others? 782 00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:28,719 Speaker 10: Hello, Graving Stevin just wanted to comment on pick and 783 00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:32,640 Speaker 10: pay clothing. You know this at a time ithn Wll, 784 00:41:33,400 --> 00:41:36,160 Speaker 10: I was just waiting for my wife doing Grosseries and 785 00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:38,320 Speaker 10: Checkers and that then I decided to just you know, 786 00:41:38,440 --> 00:41:42,120 Speaker 10: like walking pick and pay clothing to see the type 787 00:41:42,160 --> 00:41:45,280 Speaker 10: of merchandise. To be honest with you, I was actually impressed, 788 00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:48,120 Speaker 10: you know, and with the quality and the prices of 789 00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:54,399 Speaker 10: the merchandise. They have been there, and I've actually become 790 00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:56,920 Speaker 10: one of their customers, you know, I've been there twice 791 00:41:57,000 --> 00:42:01,719 Speaker 10: three times already. I'm actually quite happy we've put in 792 00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:05,080 Speaker 10: their bags. Hello. 793 00:42:06,160 --> 00:42:09,919 Speaker 12: Just regarding where you feel comfortable in whichever shop, whether 794 00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:13,480 Speaker 12: it's a spot, Checkers, we can play whatever you Just 795 00:42:13,560 --> 00:42:18,279 Speaker 12: to comment on Checkers sixty sixty, I just always get 796 00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:21,000 Speaker 12: a little bit frustrated in their shop because the sixty 797 00:42:21,040 --> 00:42:24,360 Speaker 12: sixty people are pushing trolley's up and down and almost 798 00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:27,640 Speaker 12: bumping out the way. They seem to get priority everywhere 799 00:42:27,719 --> 00:42:31,360 Speaker 12: within the shop, and I just feel that Checkers should 800 00:42:31,360 --> 00:42:36,239 Speaker 12: be regarding the in shopping or in shop customers with 801 00:42:36,480 --> 00:42:40,800 Speaker 12: a little bit more priority, even though I understand that 802 00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:44,759 Speaker 12: the sixty sixty people have got an obligation, but I 803 00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:46,800 Speaker 12: feel that it's to the detriment of the shop is 804 00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:50,480 Speaker 12: inside the shop, which makes me hesitant to go to 805 00:42:50,600 --> 00:42:51,000 Speaker 12: that shop. 806 00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:55,600 Speaker 3: Thanks John Chairs, Thanks so much. For that, such thoughtful 807 00:42:55,680 --> 00:42:58,479 Speaker 3: comments actually and so interesting. I mean, I know people 808 00:42:58,480 --> 00:43:01,320 Speaker 3: who've had experiences of buying clothes in that shop and 809 00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:04,839 Speaker 3: have said similar things. I'm sure everyone has their own view. 810 00:43:05,640 --> 00:43:08,040 Speaker 3: And then yeah, I mean, also, you know you don't 811 00:43:08,080 --> 00:43:11,640 Speaker 3: want to be bumped around. I'm always slightly surprised that 812 00:43:12,480 --> 00:43:15,160 Speaker 3: even in Zoupermarket, and I realized there might be a 813 00:43:15,239 --> 00:43:19,160 Speaker 3: storage issue that Checkers sixty shop. The sixty sixty shoppers 814 00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:21,919 Speaker 3: are kind of in the same space. You'd think maybe 815 00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:24,400 Speaker 3: it would sort of they would have a kind of 816 00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:27,120 Speaker 3: most likely items or something, and those would be kept 817 00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:30,520 Speaker 3: somewhere else for very quick dispatch. It would be actually 818 00:43:30,600 --> 00:43:34,839 Speaker 3: more efficient for the delivery drivers to keep certain often 819 00:43:34,920 --> 00:43:38,520 Speaker 3: delivered items slightly separate from everything else. On the other hand, 820 00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:41,600 Speaker 3: the shops that they have, I'm sure weren't designed for that. 821 00:43:41,800 --> 00:43:44,520 Speaker 3: I mean, they'll probably come some very thoughtful comments there. 822 00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:47,239 Speaker 3: Thank you. Eleven minutes after seven seven or. 823 00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:53,479 Speaker 13: Two, Stephen is gone x at at Stephen Discovery Life, 824 00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:56,120 Speaker 13: saying today they paid out eleven and a half billion 825 00:43:56,200 --> 00:43:59,200 Speaker 13: round of clients last year, but doing quite a lot 826 00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:01,239 Speaker 13: for the early detection of diseases. 827 00:44:01,400 --> 00:44:05,200 Speaker 3: New claim start shows AIS helping doctors detect cancer and 828 00:44:05,640 --> 00:44:08,080 Speaker 3: other serious problems a lot earlier. Obviously that helps them 829 00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:13,080 Speaker 3: in the longer run, reduces costs, but more importantly, we'll 830 00:44:13,160 --> 00:44:16,120 Speaker 3: keep you alive. Gareth Friedland is the deputy CEO of 831 00:44:16,239 --> 00:44:19,799 Speaker 3: Discovery Life Garres good evening you paid out. I think 832 00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:22,600 Speaker 3: it was nearly two billion round for severet illness benefits 833 00:44:22,640 --> 00:44:26,359 Speaker 3: and nearly another billion round for capital disability benefits. How 834 00:44:26,400 --> 00:44:29,800 Speaker 3: important is that kind of product, sort of ensuring for 835 00:44:29,920 --> 00:44:32,280 Speaker 3: events that happened while you are still alive. How important 836 00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:34,120 Speaker 3: does that becoming you for your industry? 837 00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:38,520 Speaker 14: Yeah, that's right, Stephen, And you know, I think we've 838 00:44:38,600 --> 00:44:42,040 Speaker 14: definitely seen that trending upwards, certainly in our claims date 839 00:44:42,160 --> 00:44:44,279 Speaker 14: over the years. You know, you one tend to think 840 00:44:44,320 --> 00:44:46,799 Speaker 14: of life insurance it's just kind of payout when you die. 841 00:44:47,320 --> 00:44:50,200 Speaker 14: We paid three point one billion to life cover clients, 842 00:44:50,640 --> 00:44:53,440 Speaker 14: and actually more than that, as you mentioned, through things 843 00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:58,280 Speaker 14: like severe illness, income protection, disability parts. So about fifty 844 00:44:58,360 --> 00:45:02,719 Speaker 14: two percent of our risk benefits went to clients are 845 00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:06,360 Speaker 14: still alive for events that happened to them during their lifetime. 846 00:45:07,239 --> 00:45:09,839 Speaker 14: And that is, you know, obviously becoming more and more 847 00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:14,240 Speaker 14: important as people live longer and are exposed to different 848 00:45:14,280 --> 00:45:16,319 Speaker 14: events throughout the different phases of their life. 849 00:45:16,960 --> 00:45:18,800 Speaker 3: I mean, obviously we sort of when we think of 850 00:45:18,880 --> 00:45:21,000 Speaker 3: events like this, we tend to think of cancer. There 851 00:45:21,040 --> 00:45:23,960 Speaker 3: are others, of course, and if you detected much earlier, 852 00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:26,040 Speaker 3: you can treat it. And what I presume you're trying 853 00:45:26,080 --> 00:45:30,200 Speaker 3: to do, Gareth, is screening it at quite a mass 854 00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:33,600 Speaker 3: scale in a way that would detect it much earlier. 855 00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:35,200 Speaker 3: How do you go about doing that? 856 00:45:37,000 --> 00:45:39,600 Speaker 14: Yeah, that's arts, Stephen, and it's broader than just cancer. 857 00:45:39,680 --> 00:45:42,719 Speaker 14: You're right that cancer is one of the most prevalent 858 00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:46,520 Speaker 14: categories of disease and obviously something we're really focused on 859 00:45:46,880 --> 00:45:48,680 Speaker 14: trying to detect earlier and treat better. 860 00:45:49,640 --> 00:45:51,920 Speaker 4: But what we've developed in the group. 861 00:45:52,440 --> 00:45:55,360 Speaker 14: Is what we call our Personal Lives Health Pathways, and 862 00:45:55,560 --> 00:45:59,600 Speaker 14: that really kind of synthesizes all the data around the 863 00:45:59,680 --> 00:46:03,440 Speaker 14: client and their propensities, their health data, their records, and 864 00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:08,040 Speaker 14: kind of works out based on each individual client's health profile, 865 00:46:08,280 --> 00:46:10,799 Speaker 14: what is the next best action that they should take 866 00:46:11,239 --> 00:46:14,600 Speaker 14: for their health and then we throw incentives at them 867 00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:18,120 Speaker 14: to do that. And through that program, we had eighteen 868 00:46:18,280 --> 00:46:22,040 Speaker 14: thousand clients go for screenings across the different types of 869 00:46:22,080 --> 00:46:25,280 Speaker 14: screenings last year, and actually forty seven of those clients 870 00:46:25,400 --> 00:46:28,520 Speaker 14: ended up in severe illness claims, thirty two of which 871 00:46:28,560 --> 00:46:32,600 Speaker 14: were actually early stage cancer claims. So if you think 872 00:46:32,640 --> 00:46:37,319 Speaker 14: about that, it's an unbelievably powerful capability. We've got an 873 00:46:37,360 --> 00:46:42,520 Speaker 14: AI mechanism that's picking out a client telling them we've 874 00:46:42,719 --> 00:46:44,960 Speaker 14: worked out you need to go for this cancer screening, 875 00:46:45,360 --> 00:46:48,759 Speaker 14: and they've actually picked up and detected cancer early and 876 00:46:48,960 --> 00:46:52,680 Speaker 14: saved the life with the kind of AI insight there. 877 00:46:53,160 --> 00:46:56,000 Speaker 3: I mean, some people are quite nervous to be screened 878 00:46:56,280 --> 00:46:58,680 Speaker 3: and they want your product, and I'm sure after that, 879 00:46:58,920 --> 00:47:04,360 Speaker 3: once you have in your clutches, you encourage them gently 880 00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:08,400 Speaker 3: nudge them down the road for a screening. My serious 881 00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:10,960 Speaker 3: point is that that more people are probably being screened 882 00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:12,680 Speaker 3: as a result of your product. 883 00:47:14,320 --> 00:47:17,200 Speaker 14: Absolutely, and that's a great thing, you know. So we 884 00:47:17,400 --> 00:47:20,839 Speaker 14: are incentivizing clients to be screened, and that does pick 885 00:47:20,920 --> 00:47:23,839 Speaker 14: up the cancers earlier. The prognoses are much better if 886 00:47:23,880 --> 00:47:26,360 Speaker 14: you can treat. You know, if you can detect earlier 887 00:47:26,400 --> 00:47:29,600 Speaker 14: and start treatment earlier, then obviously we've got a product 888 00:47:29,640 --> 00:47:32,279 Speaker 14: that then lives with them for life. You know, it's 889 00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:36,400 Speaker 14: get yourself coupvered, go for the screenings, you'll get payouts 890 00:47:36,600 --> 00:47:39,919 Speaker 14: and then multiple payouts, as we've also started to see 891 00:47:40,800 --> 00:47:42,520 Speaker 14: become more and more prevalent in the data. 892 00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:44,920 Speaker 3: Well, I mean, isn't that also a reflection if you 893 00:47:44,960 --> 00:47:48,680 Speaker 3: get one serious thing, you might well get another, often 894 00:47:48,719 --> 00:47:51,920 Speaker 3: as a complication and as people you know, you know, 895 00:47:52,080 --> 00:47:55,480 Speaker 3: unfortunately things can sort of pile up at a certain 896 00:47:55,560 --> 00:47:58,040 Speaker 3: point and that must be i mean quite expensive for you, 897 00:47:58,400 --> 00:48:01,960 Speaker 3: very important that the patient, the person, your client, whoever, 898 00:48:02,440 --> 00:48:04,080 Speaker 3: is being looked after in those cases. 899 00:48:05,600 --> 00:48:05,799 Speaker 4: Yeah. 900 00:48:05,840 --> 00:48:06,400 Speaker 3: Absolutely. 901 00:48:06,640 --> 00:48:09,279 Speaker 14: It talks to one of the key outcomes of the 902 00:48:09,520 --> 00:48:12,640 Speaker 14: statistics that we released today, which is around multiple claims, 903 00:48:12,760 --> 00:48:15,960 Speaker 14: multiple health events. You know, prior to last year, four 904 00:48:16,040 --> 00:48:20,440 Speaker 14: percent of our book had claimed under the Severe Illness Benefit. 905 00:48:21,000 --> 00:48:24,839 Speaker 14: That four percent accounted for twenty two percent of our 906 00:48:24,920 --> 00:48:27,400 Speaker 14: claims last year. So you can see once you've had 907 00:48:27,440 --> 00:48:30,680 Speaker 14: a claim, your probability of claiming again, as you mentioned, 908 00:48:30,680 --> 00:48:34,760 Speaker 14: and particularly for related conditions goes up sixfold, six hundred 909 00:48:34,800 --> 00:48:38,600 Speaker 14: percent in the next year. So that's starting to play 910 00:48:38,600 --> 00:48:42,719 Speaker 14: out incredibly, you know, strongly in our stats. And while 911 00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:45,000 Speaker 14: you're right it might result in more and more claims 912 00:48:45,040 --> 00:48:47,480 Speaker 14: for us, it also results if you can pick them 913 00:48:47,560 --> 00:48:51,279 Speaker 14: up earlier in clients living longer, and that's obviously better 914 00:48:51,320 --> 00:48:53,240 Speaker 14: for them and better for us as a life insured 915 00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:53,799 Speaker 14: in the long run. 916 00:48:54,200 --> 00:48:55,960 Speaker 3: I mean, one of the things that is kind of 917 00:48:56,080 --> 00:48:59,280 Speaker 3: the modus operandi of the Discovery Group is to encourage 918 00:48:59,360 --> 00:49:03,560 Speaker 3: people to be healthier. So you know, cappatinos for exercising. 919 00:49:03,760 --> 00:49:07,719 Speaker 3: Exercising fine, but a cappuccino. Seriously, is there a lot 920 00:49:07,719 --> 00:49:09,320 Speaker 3: of uptaking that. I mean, one of the ways you 921 00:49:09,480 --> 00:49:11,600 Speaker 3: do is is you sort of pay back some of 922 00:49:11,719 --> 00:49:14,480 Speaker 3: the premium if they do things that make themselves healthier. 923 00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:18,600 Speaker 14: Yeah, that's right. We call it our shared Value insurance 924 00:49:18,680 --> 00:49:22,600 Speaker 14: model steven, and it's really become incredibly powerful and refined 925 00:49:22,640 --> 00:49:23,239 Speaker 14: over the years. 926 00:49:24,000 --> 00:49:25,200 Speaker 2: We track it obsessively. 927 00:49:25,320 --> 00:49:30,000 Speaker 14: So last year we found that our most engaged clients 928 00:49:30,040 --> 00:49:34,640 Speaker 14: in the Vitality program were actually demonstrating a seventy three 929 00:49:34,719 --> 00:49:38,520 Speaker 14: percent lower mortality rate than the rest of the book 930 00:49:38,600 --> 00:49:42,839 Speaker 14: would likewise, with morbidity forty five percent lower. 931 00:49:43,360 --> 00:49:44,719 Speaker 9: So you're seeing. 932 00:49:44,680 --> 00:49:49,640 Speaker 14: Genuine changes in those clients' longevity, in their morbidity and 933 00:49:49,760 --> 00:49:53,360 Speaker 14: mortality rates, and that creates money in the system as 934 00:49:53,400 --> 00:49:56,040 Speaker 14: a life insurer, and we then pass that money back 935 00:49:56,480 --> 00:49:59,040 Speaker 14: to the clients through the payback benefits, we shared value 936 00:49:59,040 --> 00:50:02,319 Speaker 14: benefits and we paid actually two point four billion round 937 00:50:02,840 --> 00:50:05,640 Speaker 14: last year alone to clients just for being healthy. That 938 00:50:05,880 --> 00:50:08,520 Speaker 14: really is a kind of paradigm shift in the world 939 00:50:08,560 --> 00:50:09,280 Speaker 14: of life insurance. 940 00:50:09,680 --> 00:50:13,399 Speaker 3: Gareth Friedland, thanks so much, WDCO of Discovery Life. It's 941 00:50:13,440 --> 00:50:16,000 Speaker 3: just interesting to see how the business is changing and 942 00:50:16,200 --> 00:50:19,799 Speaker 3: what's kind of working your experiences. Please oh seven two 943 00:50:19,880 --> 00:50:21,360 Speaker 3: seven O two one seven oh two. 944 00:50:24,719 --> 00:50:27,240 Speaker 13: Is on the Money Shows six to eight pm. 945 00:50:27,640 --> 00:50:30,000 Speaker 3: There was a report on I think it was from 946 00:50:30,040 --> 00:50:33,440 Speaker 3: twenty four today that the Competition Commission was in Parliament 947 00:50:33,560 --> 00:50:38,000 Speaker 3: yesterday and they said they're looking at probing the decision 948 00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:42,719 Speaker 3: by Canolplus to shut down Show Max. And from what 949 00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:47,080 Speaker 3: I understand, what they're saying is that when Connelplus was 950 00:50:47,080 --> 00:50:51,839 Speaker 3: given permission to merge to buy the STV, they made 951 00:50:51,960 --> 00:50:55,880 Speaker 3: certain they gave certain undertakings. People wouldn't be people wouldn't 952 00:50:56,000 --> 00:50:59,480 Speaker 3: be retrenched, they wouldn't be wholesale changes, that kind of thing, 953 00:51:00,160 --> 00:51:03,719 Speaker 3: And I understand that. I have to say though I 954 00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:07,040 Speaker 3: don't always disagree with the Competition Commission, just sometimes, but 955 00:51:07,120 --> 00:51:09,520 Speaker 3: if I were running a business and there was a 956 00:51:09,640 --> 00:51:13,719 Speaker 3: section that had just no business case and everything I've 957 00:51:13,760 --> 00:51:17,600 Speaker 3: read about Troe Mac says there's no business case. I mean, 958 00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:20,960 Speaker 3: don't get me wrong, probably like you. I'm a long 959 00:51:21,040 --> 00:51:23,560 Speaker 3: time subscriber of it, but I just there's no business case. 960 00:51:23,600 --> 00:51:26,040 Speaker 3: It's been losing money and ever fist and probably worse 961 00:51:26,080 --> 00:51:29,680 Speaker 3: than that. And now you're being told, well, actually maybe 962 00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:32,360 Speaker 3: you won't be able to shut it down. Yeah, I 963 00:51:32,440 --> 00:51:35,960 Speaker 3: probably wouldn't take that line down. I'll probably pretty annoyed. Actually, 964 00:51:36,600 --> 00:51:39,640 Speaker 3: if that happened, I realized there could be consequences. Sure 965 00:51:40,280 --> 00:51:42,359 Speaker 3: I can. Plus has been very clear no jobs will 966 00:51:42,400 --> 00:51:45,560 Speaker 3: be lost, and that's probably to comply with the undertakings 967 00:51:45,600 --> 00:51:48,800 Speaker 3: they gave to the Competition Commission. It scenes on the 968 00:51:48,920 --> 00:51:51,480 Speaker 3: letter of the law. But I don't know what the 969 00:51:51,560 --> 00:51:54,640 Speaker 3: other case of the Competition Commission would be here. So 970 00:51:55,000 --> 00:51:58,360 Speaker 3: I'm all for competition. I'm all for a strong competition 971 00:51:58,480 --> 00:52:02,080 Speaker 3: commission to do this kind of thing. But as I say, 972 00:52:02,360 --> 00:52:05,040 Speaker 3: if I were a business owner and there's no business 973 00:52:05,200 --> 00:52:08,279 Speaker 3: case to keep this thing going and it's losing as 974 00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:12,520 Speaker 3: much money as show maxes, now someone comes and says, actually, 975 00:52:13,640 --> 00:52:16,160 Speaker 3: I don't think you can shut it. We won't let you. Well, 976 00:52:16,280 --> 00:52:19,319 Speaker 3: I'll be pretty frustrated at that look, it may not happen. 977 00:52:19,400 --> 00:52:21,840 Speaker 3: They may they may sort of do a preliminary investigation. 978 00:52:21,960 --> 00:52:25,600 Speaker 3: Think that's that. But I just thought I wouldn't get 979 00:52:26,200 --> 00:52:28,680 Speaker 3: I wouldn't get two and two, you know, whole divisions 980 00:52:28,680 --> 00:52:30,480 Speaker 3: being closed because of no business sense if I were 981 00:52:30,520 --> 00:52:32,160 Speaker 3: the competition commissioned. 982 00:52:33,200 --> 00:52:37,920 Speaker 15: The Money Show Africa Business Focus professor Orttendo and Dinghek Pounding, 983 00:52:37,960 --> 00:52:40,600 Speaker 15: Director a Triy of Africa advisory author of the book 984 00:52:40,680 --> 00:52:44,560 Speaker 15: Rumble in the Jungle reloaded joining us now Houzard rottend. 985 00:52:44,320 --> 00:52:47,960 Speaker 3: Or A week's been a long term Yeah, good good. 986 00:52:48,360 --> 00:52:50,680 Speaker 3: The Middle East conflict, I mean, so many things. We've 987 00:52:50,719 --> 00:52:54,440 Speaker 3: been talking about the impact particularly on oil prices, but 988 00:52:54,600 --> 00:52:58,279 Speaker 3: also having an impact here Kenyan meet exporters. 989 00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:02,919 Speaker 9: And so another element obviously just showing the the public 990 00:53:03,000 --> 00:53:07,319 Speaker 9: facture of the Middle East. Kenya exports about two point 991 00:53:07,400 --> 00:53:11,960 Speaker 9: three million US dollars of beef across to the Middle East, 992 00:53:12,200 --> 00:53:15,160 Speaker 9: well in terms of meat and the related products. From 993 00:53:15,200 --> 00:53:17,880 Speaker 9: that perspective, that's two point three million on a weekly 994 00:53:18,000 --> 00:53:21,880 Speaker 9: basic descend across to the Middle East. It converts for 995 00:53:21,880 --> 00:53:25,279 Speaker 9: a US two hundred thousand electric tons a day. It's 996 00:53:25,400 --> 00:53:28,840 Speaker 9: dropped significantly, I think at the moment. Still they're exporting 997 00:53:29,320 --> 00:53:32,520 Speaker 9: from that twent thousand metric two hundred metric terms, they're 998 00:53:32,520 --> 00:53:35,680 Speaker 9: exporting about fifty thousand ks so the significant drop and 999 00:53:35,760 --> 00:53:38,960 Speaker 9: obviously the price of logistics and transfer is quite high. 1000 00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:43,160 Speaker 9: Fifty percent of the exports from Kia to the Middle 1001 00:53:43,280 --> 00:53:46,000 Speaker 9: East go to Dubai, so Abu Dhabi and Dubai I 1002 00:53:46,040 --> 00:53:48,520 Speaker 9: still think a significant amount, but a man Quite and 1003 00:53:48,600 --> 00:53:52,960 Speaker 9: Bahrain are also leak in. And it's all because of 1004 00:53:53,120 --> 00:53:56,680 Speaker 9: the dynamics of the Middle East student and the dramification 1005 00:53:56,760 --> 00:54:00,360 Speaker 9: around it. So you can imagine from an ecosystem cultural 1006 00:54:00,440 --> 00:54:04,320 Speaker 9: perspective the impacts of that. And also I think the 1007 00:54:04,480 --> 00:54:07,560 Speaker 9: unit price Peking has moved from about in terms of 1008 00:54:07,680 --> 00:54:10,879 Speaker 9: logistical moves from a one dollar fifty to about three 1009 00:54:10,960 --> 00:54:13,480 Speaker 9: dollars fifty per units, so it's more than double. So 1010 00:54:13,719 --> 00:54:17,759 Speaker 9: all the old Stephen the ramifications of the conflict in 1011 00:54:17,800 --> 00:54:21,280 Speaker 9: the Middle East, it's not just affecting the oil prices, 1012 00:54:21,360 --> 00:54:25,719 Speaker 9: but there it also ecosystem like agriculture from an Africa perspective. 1013 00:54:25,400 --> 00:54:28,040 Speaker 3: No sure, I mean there's so many different impacts on this. 1014 00:54:28,200 --> 00:54:33,239 Speaker 3: And then in Nigeria, the Angote refinery they're supporting oil 1015 00:54:33,239 --> 00:54:35,440 Speaker 3: there I mean we have cecil. Yeah, thank goodness, we 1016 00:54:35,680 --> 00:54:38,759 Speaker 3: want to buy oil. We do buy oil from Nigeria 1017 00:54:38,880 --> 00:54:39,279 Speaker 3: as well. 1018 00:54:40,640 --> 00:54:42,640 Speaker 9: Yeah so, And I think this is more of the 1019 00:54:42,719 --> 00:54:46,040 Speaker 9: positive side again because obviously oil Nigeria is the net 1020 00:54:46,160 --> 00:54:50,200 Speaker 9: important of oil, even though the manufacturingy will produced the 1021 00:54:50,280 --> 00:54:53,399 Speaker 9: could oil and export as well. But another positive side 1022 00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:56,920 Speaker 9: in this perspective, Steven Dangote built a refinery member. He 1023 00:54:57,000 --> 00:54:59,120 Speaker 9: went to a bit of an affield task with the 1024 00:54:59,200 --> 00:55:02,200 Speaker 9: local competitive with the local rink into the frameworks. But 1025 00:55:02,360 --> 00:55:05,600 Speaker 9: it's actually saving them now because they produce about six 1026 00:55:05,680 --> 00:55:08,759 Speaker 9: hundred and fifty thousand barrels of good oil per day. 1027 00:55:09,400 --> 00:55:13,000 Speaker 9: They've been able to slice their plicing for diesel and 1028 00:55:13,120 --> 00:55:16,719 Speaker 9: gasoline by a nine percent to accommodate the shortage that's 1029 00:55:16,760 --> 00:55:20,040 Speaker 9: coming from overseas. So this is just a typical example 1030 00:55:20,080 --> 00:55:23,719 Speaker 9: speeling that when Africa sets itself for industrialization, when we 1031 00:55:23,920 --> 00:55:26,480 Speaker 9: produce from the extractors and the raw materials, we've got 1032 00:55:26,680 --> 00:55:29,719 Speaker 9: the continent and put infrastructure around that when the rainy 1033 00:55:29,800 --> 00:55:31,839 Speaker 9: day comes, it does help us. And in the case 1034 00:55:31,880 --> 00:55:35,239 Speaker 9: of Nigeria, it's helping them to certain extent. They still 1035 00:55:35,360 --> 00:55:38,600 Speaker 9: have to fight the regulars to frameworks that are costing 1036 00:55:38,760 --> 00:55:40,719 Speaker 9: them a bit more in their arguments like guys, we 1037 00:55:40,760 --> 00:55:43,880 Speaker 9: should actually have be cheaper. But ultimately the positive stotting 1038 00:55:43,880 --> 00:55:46,800 Speaker 9: in the bleach storm of the Middle Eastern ramifications in 1039 00:55:46,920 --> 00:55:51,040 Speaker 9: terms of Nigeria producing, it's on oil to supply to 1040 00:55:51,160 --> 00:55:53,000 Speaker 9: supply it with the quantinents. 1041 00:55:53,880 --> 00:55:56,319 Speaker 3: I mean, I suppose the other thing is if you're 1042 00:55:56,520 --> 00:56:01,600 Speaker 3: the Dangote refinery, this is your moment really get market chair. 1043 00:56:01,760 --> 00:56:04,040 Speaker 3: I mean, if you're able to sort of seal it 1044 00:56:04,200 --> 00:56:06,439 Speaker 3: as sale it as you know, we saved the nation. 1045 00:56:06,719 --> 00:56:08,680 Speaker 3: I mean, this is really the moment, especially when there 1046 00:56:08,840 --> 00:56:11,000 Speaker 3: just isn't supplies from other people. 1047 00:56:12,440 --> 00:56:15,320 Speaker 9: They are, but you can only produce and manufacturers even 1048 00:56:15,719 --> 00:56:18,040 Speaker 9: based on the infrastructure of the capacity that you have, 1049 00:56:18,640 --> 00:56:21,080 Speaker 9: so you are you're limited to that perspective. But definitely 1050 00:56:21,360 --> 00:56:23,560 Speaker 9: it's a good problem to have in terms of there's 1051 00:56:23,600 --> 00:56:26,800 Speaker 9: a huge demand. I think it also just highlights just 1052 00:56:26,880 --> 00:56:28,640 Speaker 9: think that region as well as the world. There's other 1053 00:56:28,960 --> 00:56:32,120 Speaker 9: oil creed manufacturing players that I'm talking about. Countries like 1054 00:56:32,160 --> 00:56:35,879 Speaker 9: Angola also got infrastructure again, you know, you know there's 1055 00:56:35,880 --> 00:56:38,840 Speaker 9: that African proverb seeing that you do not fetching the 1056 00:56:38,960 --> 00:56:42,360 Speaker 9: cow at the marketplaces on the day of the opportunity. 1057 00:56:42,480 --> 00:56:45,440 Speaker 9: If you haven't set up in infrastructure that is also properly, 1058 00:56:46,120 --> 00:56:49,600 Speaker 9: you obviously want benefit. So fortunately for Nigers, in the 1059 00:56:49,680 --> 00:56:52,320 Speaker 9: right place, they could have put in more infrastructure, but 1060 00:56:52,440 --> 00:56:55,840 Speaker 9: unfortunately they're still building. But still in the bigger picture 1061 00:56:55,880 --> 00:56:57,080 Speaker 9: of things, it's a good place to do. 1062 00:56:57,800 --> 00:57:01,239 Speaker 3: In the RUNDI, there's this big minerals deal. It sort 1063 00:57:01,280 --> 00:57:04,480 Speaker 3: of involves AI and Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos. 1064 00:57:06,480 --> 00:57:09,560 Speaker 9: So the company is called Coboard Steven And in previous 1065 00:57:10,080 --> 00:57:12,759 Speaker 9: highlights I talked about how Coboard, which is backed by 1066 00:57:12,920 --> 00:57:16,520 Speaker 9: both Bill Gates and Jeff Diesels, is an II based 1067 00:57:16,600 --> 00:57:19,800 Speaker 9: company that allows you to determine where the deposits of 1068 00:57:19,920 --> 00:57:22,800 Speaker 9: minerals uh. And they struck a deal with the GFC 1069 00:57:23,000 --> 00:57:25,960 Speaker 9: brilliant dollar deal to be to work with the DFC 1070 00:57:26,240 --> 00:57:30,240 Speaker 9: in terms of identifying the deposits of kids a vision 1071 00:57:30,280 --> 00:57:33,439 Speaker 9: minerals underderground, so your cobot, your your coppers, et cetera, 1072 00:57:33,480 --> 00:57:36,880 Speaker 9: et cetera. They struck a similar BRUNDI so it's a 1073 00:57:36,960 --> 00:57:40,760 Speaker 9: three year deal. The the upside of bisits obviously the 1074 00:57:40,880 --> 00:57:44,560 Speaker 9: ideas appout to be a woman identify minerals underground and 1075 00:57:44,720 --> 00:57:47,720 Speaker 9: obviously the benefits Brundi as well as them as a 1076 00:57:47,800 --> 00:57:52,000 Speaker 9: technology company. The risk for Burundi's obviously they are the 1077 00:57:52,080 --> 00:57:56,400 Speaker 9: certain ownership of where those mets are from a geomephic perspective. 1078 00:57:56,800 --> 00:58:00,640 Speaker 9: So hopefully the negotiations with regard to that deal is 1079 00:58:00,720 --> 00:58:02,520 Speaker 9: a win win because on one side it looks like 1080 00:58:02,560 --> 00:58:05,520 Speaker 9: a great opportunity, but in the past Africa has never 1081 00:58:05,680 --> 00:58:08,480 Speaker 9: really come out of the positive side in terms of 1082 00:58:08,560 --> 00:58:10,840 Speaker 9: such certain de deal. So let's see how it goes. 1083 00:58:10,920 --> 00:58:13,360 Speaker 9: The deal is a lotly for two years and thereafter 1084 00:58:13,480 --> 00:58:18,920 Speaker 9: to be red and it's technology extractives, minerals, government policy 1085 00:58:19,080 --> 00:58:21,600 Speaker 9: or coming together under one belt. So it's something close 1086 00:58:21,640 --> 00:58:23,120 Speaker 9: to watch and see what the outcomes are. 1087 00:58:23,680 --> 00:58:27,200 Speaker 3: There's been a lot of a big look at sort 1088 00:58:27,200 --> 00:58:29,960 Speaker 3: of the latest agg tech startups in Africa that have 1089 00:58:30,480 --> 00:58:32,240 Speaker 3: raised quite a lot of money. I mean that must 1090 00:58:32,280 --> 00:58:33,880 Speaker 3: give some optimism for the future. 1091 00:58:35,480 --> 00:58:38,560 Speaker 9: Act texting. As we know, the agricultural sector contributes over 1092 00:58:38,680 --> 00:58:42,640 Speaker 9: sixty percent of Africa's employment as well as over sixty 1093 00:58:42,680 --> 00:58:45,320 Speaker 9: percent of the audible world. Autible land in the world 1094 00:58:45,560 --> 00:58:49,080 Speaker 9: is in Africa from agricultures. Fire's the muge opportunity from 1095 00:58:49,160 --> 00:58:52,560 Speaker 9: twenty sixteen, twenty twenty five, the business inside that broughtch 1096 00:58:52,640 --> 00:58:55,880 Speaker 9: Diati and analysis and they highlighted that over fifteen millius 1097 00:58:55,920 --> 00:58:59,520 Speaker 9: dollars has been invested in terms of the Arctic market 1098 00:58:59,800 --> 00:59:03,640 Speaker 9: and that opportunity continue to grow from a yearlier basis. 1099 00:59:04,720 --> 00:59:07,640 Speaker 9: It's dropped slightly over the past few years, but still 1100 00:59:07,680 --> 00:59:11,040 Speaker 9: the significant growth the key sort of losing players. The 1101 00:59:11,120 --> 00:59:15,560 Speaker 9: top five photics or Arctic companies that are attractive investment 1102 00:59:15,640 --> 00:59:19,240 Speaker 9: Steven are Twigger Foods which is in China, Watsoko which 1103 00:59:19,280 --> 00:59:24,680 Speaker 9: is in Terinia, next Able Egypt, Grow International, Apollo in Nigeria. 1104 00:59:24,680 --> 00:59:26,880 Speaker 9: I think close to the in terms of the bigger 1105 00:59:26,960 --> 00:59:29,360 Speaker 9: size of the investment, close to over half a billion 1106 00:59:29,440 --> 00:59:32,320 Speaker 9: US dollars, So something for Africa that don't want to 1107 00:59:32,600 --> 00:59:36,360 Speaker 9: technology but also produces food and creates employment, which is 1108 00:59:36,440 --> 00:59:37,040 Speaker 9: all positive. 1109 00:59:37,880 --> 00:59:41,840 Speaker 3: And then France finally returning it. It's called a talking 1110 00:59:42,000 --> 00:59:45,240 Speaker 3: drum and it was looted from Cott Devoir, Gostia long 1111 00:59:45,320 --> 00:59:45,680 Speaker 3: time ago. 1112 00:59:47,520 --> 00:59:49,880 Speaker 9: It's called the name of the drum is called gd 1113 00:59:50,040 --> 00:59:53,320 Speaker 9: A Yoka and the size even of this drum is 1114 00:59:53,440 --> 00:59:56,840 Speaker 9: four hundred and thirty kilo drums and it's four meters long. 1115 00:59:57,640 --> 01:00:01,880 Speaker 9: It was used to communicate celebration day from even danger 1116 01:00:02,280 --> 01:00:05,320 Speaker 9: and obviously during the colonial periods, people used to use 1117 01:00:05,360 --> 01:00:08,640 Speaker 9: it to communicate against the Frants people that was the 1118 01:00:08,680 --> 01:00:11,040 Speaker 9: colonial power at the time. But so it was confiscated 1119 01:00:11,360 --> 01:00:15,280 Speaker 9: and taking all the way to France in the Jacqueshirak 1120 01:00:15,400 --> 01:00:17,960 Speaker 9: Museum one hundred years ago. It's been brought back. So 1121 01:00:18,040 --> 01:00:21,760 Speaker 9: a big celebration that has happened in Court Divoi to 1122 01:00:21,920 --> 01:00:26,120 Speaker 9: celebrate it, and President mcclan and TOAA are facilitated for this. 1123 01:00:26,680 --> 01:00:29,160 Speaker 9: But still if you think about the stadium, a big 1124 01:00:29,320 --> 01:00:32,920 Speaker 9: drug that's half the time and four meters long. It's 1125 01:00:32,960 --> 01:00:36,640 Speaker 9: finally coming home to this. Obviously I can imagine at 1126 01:00:36,680 --> 01:00:41,400 Speaker 9: that time how the airport that was required to transport 1127 01:00:42,040 --> 01:00:44,120 Speaker 9: this affect all across the world. But coming back again, 1128 01:00:44,160 --> 01:00:47,439 Speaker 9: but oh no, from a cultural perspective, rightly and quite 1129 01:00:47,520 --> 01:00:50,080 Speaker 9: excited for the people of Court Divois is to celebrate 1130 01:00:50,160 --> 01:00:51,120 Speaker 9: their culture coming back. 1131 01:00:51,040 --> 01:00:54,160 Speaker 3: From Indeed, Professor Ortendo and degree thanks so much, really 1132 01:00:54,240 --> 01:00:59,200 Speaker 3: appreciate it. And of course the founder of Tribe Africa 1133 01:00:59,320 --> 01:01:02,760 Speaker 3: Advisory twenty eight minutes after seven for the Money. 1134 01:01:02,560 --> 01:01:05,600 Speaker 2: Show Personal Finance with Warren Ingram. 1135 01:01:06,520 --> 01:01:09,480 Speaker 3: Twenty four minutes now to eight the time, as you know, 1136 01:01:09,520 --> 01:01:12,360 Speaker 3: Warren Ingram instead of had financial planner at Galileo Capital. 1137 01:01:12,920 --> 01:01:16,200 Speaker 3: How's it Warren? So tonight, if we're talking about how 1138 01:01:16,280 --> 01:01:19,560 Speaker 3: you build your investment portfolio, and I have to say, 1139 01:01:20,440 --> 01:01:24,160 Speaker 3: at first kind of thought site blash, it sounds to 1140 01:01:24,240 --> 01:01:26,240 Speaker 3: me like quite a complicated thing to do, is it? 1141 01:01:28,200 --> 01:01:30,640 Speaker 16: If it was complicated, I wouldn't be able to do it. 1142 01:01:30,760 --> 01:01:35,480 Speaker 16: So no, the answer is, we can make it hugely complex, 1143 01:01:35,560 --> 01:01:40,000 Speaker 16: but we can also all make it very simple and 1144 01:01:40,560 --> 01:01:43,640 Speaker 16: ask ourselves a few questions and cut out a whole 1145 01:01:43,680 --> 01:01:46,600 Speaker 16: lot of noise and actually, you know, get it done 1146 01:01:46,800 --> 01:01:47,720 Speaker 16: reasonably easily. 1147 01:01:48,520 --> 01:01:52,200 Speaker 3: Okay. So I mean we first need I suppose you know, 1148 01:01:52,280 --> 01:01:54,360 Speaker 3: we started first principles here. We need to know why 1149 01:01:54,440 --> 01:01:57,360 Speaker 3: we're doing it. And again my first thought would be 1150 01:01:57,800 --> 01:01:59,960 Speaker 3: to make money. You need to be a bit more 1151 01:02:00,160 --> 01:02:01,360 Speaker 3: refined than that. 1152 01:02:02,760 --> 01:02:06,600 Speaker 2: They sounds like a teenager, So we do. 1153 01:02:07,160 --> 01:02:09,080 Speaker 16: I mean, I think when we set a goal for 1154 01:02:09,240 --> 01:02:12,520 Speaker 16: our money, the goal determines so many other things and 1155 01:02:12,600 --> 01:02:16,440 Speaker 16: it becomes the original domino that that that takes you 1156 01:02:16,440 --> 01:02:18,080 Speaker 16: in a direction or stops you going. 1157 01:02:18,000 --> 01:02:21,480 Speaker 2: In a direction. And so you know, let's take a 1158 01:02:21,560 --> 01:02:22,360 Speaker 2: couple of examples. 1159 01:02:22,440 --> 01:02:25,400 Speaker 16: One if you said, well, I'm planning to buy a 1160 01:02:25,440 --> 01:02:28,680 Speaker 16: home in five years time, then then we know a 1161 01:02:28,720 --> 01:02:29,960 Speaker 16: few things about that goal. 1162 01:02:30,160 --> 01:02:33,680 Speaker 2: One, it's it's a definite period of time, it's five years. 1163 01:02:34,040 --> 01:02:37,840 Speaker 16: Two, you need to save you know, a certain amount 1164 01:02:37,880 --> 01:02:40,520 Speaker 16: of money by that time, So you can't you can't 1165 01:02:40,560 --> 01:02:44,000 Speaker 16: allow allow for wild outcomes. You can't allow, for example, 1166 01:02:44,400 --> 01:02:46,960 Speaker 16: where you know you were aiming for let's say it's 1167 01:02:46,960 --> 01:02:49,840 Speaker 16: a million rand and and you know you choose an 1168 01:02:49,880 --> 01:02:53,240 Speaker 16: investment that could deliver you two million or half a million, 1169 01:02:53,320 --> 01:02:56,280 Speaker 16: you've got a finite period of time and a specific call. 1170 01:02:56,680 --> 01:03:01,000 Speaker 16: The alternative would be that I'm saving for my retirement 1171 01:03:01,200 --> 01:03:03,800 Speaker 16: in twenty years time. Well, then you can allow for 1172 01:03:03,920 --> 01:03:07,720 Speaker 16: a lot more variability in your returns in the short term. 1173 01:03:07,720 --> 01:03:09,960 Speaker 16: In other words, you can choose an investment that's mostly 1174 01:03:10,040 --> 01:03:13,160 Speaker 16: in the stock market, and you know, if it goes 1175 01:03:13,600 --> 01:03:16,360 Speaker 16: crazy like it is at the moment, then that doesn't 1176 01:03:16,400 --> 01:03:18,960 Speaker 16: matter too much because you've still got another nineteen and 1177 01:03:19,040 --> 01:03:22,360 Speaker 16: a half years to go. So your goal is absolutely 1178 01:03:22,440 --> 01:03:26,080 Speaker 16: critical because that's the thing that determines how long you've 1179 01:03:26,120 --> 01:03:29,120 Speaker 16: got to invest and from there once you know, and 1180 01:03:29,240 --> 01:03:31,320 Speaker 16: the jargon for that is your time horizon. So once 1181 01:03:31,360 --> 01:03:34,600 Speaker 16: you know your time horizon, you can start to make 1182 01:03:34,680 --> 01:03:38,200 Speaker 16: some very sensible decisions, but also ignore many of the 1183 01:03:38,280 --> 01:03:41,040 Speaker 16: other options which become irrelevant to you. 1184 01:03:42,000 --> 01:03:45,520 Speaker 3: So is there a kind of guiding line or a 1185 01:03:45,760 --> 01:03:48,680 Speaker 3: rule of thumb or something that would sort of help 1186 01:03:48,760 --> 01:03:51,240 Speaker 3: you once you've worked out how long you're going to 1187 01:03:51,280 --> 01:03:53,560 Speaker 3: be investing for, once you've worked out your time horizon. 1188 01:03:54,360 --> 01:03:58,600 Speaker 16: Yeah, I think you know, sometimes the mistake people make 1189 01:03:58,760 --> 01:04:01,680 Speaker 16: is they've got a very short time horizon, and in 1190 01:04:01,760 --> 01:04:05,080 Speaker 16: other words, they're saving for the next year or one 1191 01:04:05,280 --> 01:04:07,840 Speaker 16: or two or three years, and I think three years 1192 01:04:07,880 --> 01:04:10,520 Speaker 16: for me is short short term. And when you've got 1193 01:04:10,600 --> 01:04:15,600 Speaker 16: that very short time horizon, you can't invest in growth assets. 1194 01:04:15,760 --> 01:04:19,760 Speaker 16: And typically growth assets would be the stock market, property 1195 01:04:19,920 --> 01:04:23,880 Speaker 16: investments and the like, because you need to give those 1196 01:04:24,080 --> 01:04:26,800 Speaker 16: a long period of time to deliver the growth that 1197 01:04:26,920 --> 01:04:29,960 Speaker 16: you're expecting, but equally to ride that roller coaster of 1198 01:04:30,160 --> 01:04:33,440 Speaker 16: the of the markets where your investments will go up 1199 01:04:33,520 --> 01:04:37,000 Speaker 16: and down and do it repeatedly over a period of time. 1200 01:04:37,360 --> 01:04:41,280 Speaker 16: So the longer your time horizon, and I think you know, 1201 01:04:41,440 --> 01:04:45,280 Speaker 16: long term starts kind of maybe around seven years and longer, 1202 01:04:45,800 --> 01:04:50,240 Speaker 16: then you can invest mostly in growth assets. But when 1203 01:04:50,280 --> 01:04:53,320 Speaker 16: your time horizon is very short, then you're looking at 1204 01:04:53,400 --> 01:04:56,880 Speaker 16: things like money market funds, income funds and the like. 1205 01:04:56,960 --> 01:05:00,200 Speaker 16: So it's a very low risk, yes, low return, but 1206 01:05:00,280 --> 01:05:02,080 Speaker 16: it gives you a lot more certainty, which is what 1207 01:05:02,200 --> 01:05:04,360 Speaker 16: you need when you've got such a short time horizon. 1208 01:05:04,920 --> 01:05:09,800 Speaker 3: Okay, So this, I suppose is about your risk tolerance, 1209 01:05:09,880 --> 01:05:12,600 Speaker 3: right and about how you feel when markets are doing 1210 01:05:12,640 --> 01:05:13,480 Speaker 3: what they're doing right now. 1211 01:05:14,760 --> 01:05:16,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's you know, pointless. 1212 01:05:16,960 --> 01:05:18,160 Speaker 16: You know, if you and I were chatting and you 1213 01:05:18,240 --> 01:05:21,080 Speaker 16: said to me, well, this goal is for twenty years time, 1214 01:05:21,200 --> 01:05:23,360 Speaker 16: and I said to you, okay, that's great, Stephen, I'm 1215 01:05:23,360 --> 01:05:25,880 Speaker 16: going to invest one hundred percent of your money in 1216 01:05:26,240 --> 01:05:29,320 Speaker 16: the local stock market and the global stock markets. 1217 01:05:29,520 --> 01:05:31,760 Speaker 2: I mean, you know, planning wise, that's not a bad 1218 01:05:31,840 --> 01:05:32,200 Speaker 2: thing to do. 1219 01:05:32,840 --> 01:05:35,320 Speaker 16: But I need to ask you to follow up question, 1220 01:05:35,400 --> 01:05:38,320 Speaker 16: which is, how are you going to behave when the 1221 01:05:38,400 --> 01:05:40,600 Speaker 16: markets do fall apart? Because they're going to do it 1222 01:05:40,720 --> 01:05:44,600 Speaker 16: many times over twenty years. And if you are tempted 1223 01:05:45,040 --> 01:05:47,320 Speaker 16: or maybe even driven to sell the first time you 1224 01:05:47,440 --> 01:05:50,600 Speaker 16: see your investment go down by ten or fifteen percent, 1225 01:05:51,120 --> 01:05:54,040 Speaker 16: then you know, a pure stock market investment is the 1226 01:05:54,120 --> 01:05:56,840 Speaker 16: worst possible thing we can do. For you, because you're 1227 01:05:56,920 --> 01:05:59,520 Speaker 16: going to be in a position where you're going to sell, 1228 01:06:00,000 --> 01:06:03,600 Speaker 16: probably at the bottom of the market. And so risk 1229 01:06:03,640 --> 01:06:06,640 Speaker 16: tolerance is key when making investment decisions. If you know 1230 01:06:06,720 --> 01:06:09,720 Speaker 16: your time horizon, then you have to be pretty honest 1231 01:06:09,760 --> 01:06:12,600 Speaker 16: with yourself to say, I would like to be brave, 1232 01:06:12,680 --> 01:06:14,680 Speaker 16: and I'd like to be rational and calm and all 1233 01:06:14,720 --> 01:06:15,280 Speaker 16: of those things. 1234 01:06:15,560 --> 01:06:18,720 Speaker 2: But what I know is I can't. I become panicky. 1235 01:06:18,800 --> 01:06:22,520 Speaker 16: I look at my statements or my profile all the time, 1236 01:06:23,040 --> 01:06:26,640 Speaker 16: and I may make short term decisions, usually to my detriment. 1237 01:06:26,920 --> 01:06:29,480 Speaker 16: And if that's the case, then you start to lower 1238 01:06:29,560 --> 01:06:32,240 Speaker 16: your exposure to those growth assets because those are the 1239 01:06:32,280 --> 01:06:34,840 Speaker 16: ones that give you the roller coaster ride. And and 1240 01:06:34,960 --> 01:06:37,479 Speaker 16: so you start to say, well, I need to bulk 1241 01:06:37,560 --> 01:06:39,920 Speaker 16: up things like cash and bonds, and maybe they're not 1242 01:06:40,040 --> 01:06:42,840 Speaker 16: the best growth assets, but then they're gonna they're gonna 1243 01:06:42,920 --> 01:06:46,400 Speaker 16: mute that stock, that stock market roller coaster. So so 1244 01:06:46,560 --> 01:06:50,760 Speaker 16: your risk tolerance is really key, and unfortunately it is 1245 01:06:50,800 --> 01:06:53,880 Speaker 16: an emotional thing. It is a psychological thing. So it's 1246 01:06:53,960 --> 01:06:56,760 Speaker 16: not like a point scoring system where you can say, well, 1247 01:06:57,200 --> 01:06:59,480 Speaker 16: you know, I'm a sophisticated investor, I know I'm not 1248 01:06:59,640 --> 01:07:03,040 Speaker 16: emotion we're not robots and it's a hard wired response. 1249 01:07:03,560 --> 01:07:07,400 Speaker 16: So I think that you know, this is probably where 1250 01:07:07,680 --> 01:07:11,760 Speaker 16: a lot of the time people derail themselves with this 1251 01:07:12,040 --> 01:07:15,120 Speaker 16: and not not understanding their own tolerances. So I think 1252 01:07:15,200 --> 01:07:17,840 Speaker 16: your psychological tolerance for risk is important. 1253 01:07:18,400 --> 01:07:19,560 Speaker 2: And then. 1254 01:07:20,920 --> 01:07:23,160 Speaker 16: Maybe one that doesn't get spoken about so much, but 1255 01:07:23,600 --> 01:07:27,280 Speaker 16: your financial ability to deal with losses. So you know, 1256 01:07:27,360 --> 01:07:29,400 Speaker 16: if you've got a twenty year time arizon and you 1257 01:07:29,480 --> 01:07:33,520 Speaker 16: think everything's fine, but actually you've got no ability financially 1258 01:07:33,640 --> 01:07:36,360 Speaker 16: to deal with a risk. Something goes wrong in life 1259 01:07:36,480 --> 01:07:38,920 Speaker 16: and you need to draw on your investments and suddenly 1260 01:07:39,000 --> 01:07:41,919 Speaker 16: they're down twenty or thirty percent, it means you didn't 1261 01:07:41,960 --> 01:07:45,240 Speaker 16: have the capacity to the financial capacity to deal with 1262 01:07:45,360 --> 01:07:45,680 Speaker 16: the risk. 1263 01:07:46,040 --> 01:07:48,080 Speaker 2: So risk tolerance is two things. 1264 01:07:48,160 --> 01:07:51,840 Speaker 16: It's your psychological tolerance and then also your financial capacity 1265 01:07:51,920 --> 01:07:52,760 Speaker 16: to deal with those. 1266 01:07:52,680 --> 01:07:58,560 Speaker 3: Risks, your emotional sort of tolerance your you know, that's 1267 01:07:58,640 --> 01:08:00,880 Speaker 3: quite a difficult thing to know about yourself. You could 1268 01:08:00,920 --> 01:08:03,920 Speaker 3: probably sit down and quite sort of objectively work out 1269 01:08:03,960 --> 01:08:07,479 Speaker 3: your financial capacity, but your emotional tolerance, you're really asking 1270 01:08:07,520 --> 01:08:08,640 Speaker 3: a question about yourself. 1271 01:08:10,200 --> 01:08:13,880 Speaker 16: Yeah, and you know it is very difficult. I mean, 1272 01:08:13,920 --> 01:08:16,960 Speaker 16: there's you know, there's an entire field of behavioral science 1273 01:08:16,960 --> 01:08:21,160 Speaker 16: around this, and it's it's where investing goes from being 1274 01:08:21,240 --> 01:08:24,040 Speaker 16: a science to an art because you have to make 1275 01:08:24,080 --> 01:08:28,120 Speaker 16: a judgment call about yourself. You have to exercise something 1276 01:08:28,200 --> 01:08:30,960 Speaker 16: you know that's not scientific to say, well, you know, 1277 01:08:31,280 --> 01:08:33,880 Speaker 16: I know myself and when I lose money in the 1278 01:08:33,960 --> 01:08:39,000 Speaker 16: short term, I do get really angry and depressed and jittery, jumpy. 1279 01:08:39,120 --> 01:08:41,799 Speaker 16: And if that's the case, then you need to reduce 1280 01:08:41,880 --> 01:08:45,800 Speaker 16: your your your exposure to risky assets, which are unfortunately 1281 01:08:45,840 --> 01:08:49,519 Speaker 16: also the growth assets. So I think the important thing here, though, 1282 01:08:49,640 --> 01:08:53,519 Speaker 16: is it's not all or nothing. It's not that you say, well, 1283 01:08:53,760 --> 01:08:56,240 Speaker 16: I've got very little tolerance for risk, therefore I can 1284 01:08:56,360 --> 01:09:00,599 Speaker 16: never take risk. What happens now is you move yourself 1285 01:09:00,840 --> 01:09:03,560 Speaker 16: from the spectrum of being one hundred percent invested in 1286 01:09:03,640 --> 01:09:07,800 Speaker 16: shares to potentially maybe only fifty percent because you then 1287 01:09:07,880 --> 01:09:10,200 Speaker 16: know that, well, you've got a solid chunk of your 1288 01:09:10,240 --> 01:09:13,880 Speaker 16: money that's in very low risk, very conservative investments that 1289 01:09:14,000 --> 01:09:17,240 Speaker 16: will protect you from yourself and also from that big 1290 01:09:17,360 --> 01:09:21,280 Speaker 16: market roller coaster all volatilities what the jargon would be. 1291 01:09:23,040 --> 01:09:25,600 Speaker 3: Then you've got a okay, so you've done all of that, 1292 01:09:27,000 --> 01:09:29,000 Speaker 3: and now you've got to look at the right kind 1293 01:09:29,080 --> 01:09:33,280 Speaker 3: of account and that I mean that can start. This 1294 01:09:33,400 --> 01:09:35,960 Speaker 3: is where the jargon starts to come in a little bit. 1295 01:09:36,880 --> 01:09:40,040 Speaker 3: And as soon as we start talking about investments, start 1296 01:09:40,080 --> 01:09:42,200 Speaker 3: to think about ZAX. So where do we start. 1297 01:09:43,600 --> 01:09:46,000 Speaker 16: Yeah, I think it's interesting because a lot of the 1298 01:09:46,040 --> 01:09:48,400 Speaker 16: time this is actually where most people would start the 1299 01:09:48,479 --> 01:09:51,040 Speaker 16: conversation around their investments. They would look at the product 1300 01:09:51,120 --> 01:09:54,519 Speaker 16: first and not really think about why they're investing or 1301 01:09:54,560 --> 01:09:59,040 Speaker 16: goal setting and then the risk tolerances, etc. So talking 1302 01:09:59,120 --> 01:10:03,000 Speaker 16: about your your product third, I think is important. You 1303 01:10:03,120 --> 01:10:05,800 Speaker 16: need to go through those first two steps. And then 1304 01:10:06,360 --> 01:10:10,000 Speaker 16: you could say, well, Okay, I've got a longish time horizon, 1305 01:10:10,080 --> 01:10:13,759 Speaker 16: so I know that I can know invest in growth assets. 1306 01:10:14,720 --> 01:10:17,040 Speaker 16: And you know, if you've got fifteen or twenty year 1307 01:10:17,200 --> 01:10:21,160 Speaker 16: time horizon, then it means that you can absolutely maximize 1308 01:10:21,200 --> 01:10:24,439 Speaker 16: your tax free savings account because you know, that's the 1309 01:10:24,560 --> 01:10:28,360 Speaker 16: one very nice long term investment that Sarage gives us 1310 01:10:28,439 --> 01:10:30,720 Speaker 16: where we don't pay tax when we put money in, 1311 01:10:30,960 --> 01:10:32,840 Speaker 16: and we don't pay tax on the growth or when 1312 01:10:32,880 --> 01:10:35,880 Speaker 16: we take money out. And I'm just remembering now, I 1313 01:10:35,920 --> 01:10:37,439 Speaker 16: think I was going to tell you that it was 1314 01:10:37,800 --> 01:10:40,280 Speaker 16: thirty six thousand, but it's actually jumped up now to 1315 01:10:40,680 --> 01:10:45,320 Speaker 16: forty five thousand or forty six thousand a year contributions 1316 01:10:45,360 --> 01:10:47,880 Speaker 16: that you can make to tax free. So for someone 1317 01:10:48,320 --> 01:10:52,120 Speaker 16: who's looking to save, you know, this is like almost 1318 01:10:52,160 --> 01:10:55,200 Speaker 16: the first step. And maybe you do this in parallel 1319 01:10:55,320 --> 01:10:59,599 Speaker 16: with your retirement tenuity or provident fund. So I think 1320 01:10:59,680 --> 01:11:02,559 Speaker 16: that you know, maximizing your tax remakes all the sense 1321 01:11:02,600 --> 01:11:05,720 Speaker 16: to me, but it is your long term investment. If 1322 01:11:05,760 --> 01:11:08,000 Speaker 16: you've got a very short time horizon where you need 1323 01:11:08,080 --> 01:11:10,639 Speaker 16: to save money for one or two years, then it's 1324 01:11:10,680 --> 01:11:14,200 Speaker 16: pointless putting in a tax reaccount because you use it 1325 01:11:14,360 --> 01:11:16,559 Speaker 16: and lose it. In other words, if you put money 1326 01:11:16,600 --> 01:11:19,040 Speaker 16: in and you draw that money out, you may not 1327 01:11:19,360 --> 01:11:22,760 Speaker 16: top up that contribution again. So says to us that 1328 01:11:23,120 --> 01:11:25,559 Speaker 16: we can only put in five hundred thousand rand over 1329 01:11:25,640 --> 01:11:28,559 Speaker 16: our lifetime, and so if you draw out one hundred thousand, 1330 01:11:28,840 --> 01:11:31,120 Speaker 16: that means you can only ever put in four hundred thousand. 1331 01:11:31,400 --> 01:11:34,439 Speaker 16: So tax frees are great for long term ras or 1332 01:11:34,479 --> 01:11:37,880 Speaker 16: provident funds great for long term, but if you've got 1333 01:11:37,960 --> 01:11:39,960 Speaker 16: short term money, then you're looking at something like a 1334 01:11:40,080 --> 01:11:43,519 Speaker 16: unitrust or a money market fund or an exchange traded 1335 01:11:43,520 --> 01:11:46,400 Speaker 16: fund something that you can buy and sol relatively quickly 1336 01:11:46,479 --> 01:11:48,840 Speaker 16: and relatively efficiently. 1337 01:11:49,760 --> 01:11:51,400 Speaker 3: And an ra A provident fund. 1338 01:11:53,360 --> 01:11:53,960 Speaker 2: I love those. 1339 01:11:54,520 --> 01:11:57,679 Speaker 16: You know, understanding that SARRUS gives us a very nice 1340 01:11:57,720 --> 01:12:01,160 Speaker 16: tax break when we make a contribution to are retirement funds, 1341 01:12:01,880 --> 01:12:05,439 Speaker 16: and then also that all the growth inside those retirement 1342 01:12:05,479 --> 01:12:09,680 Speaker 16: funds is tax free, so you get two very significant 1343 01:12:09,840 --> 01:12:13,879 Speaker 16: tax benefits by contributing to retirement funds. And also remembering 1344 01:12:13,960 --> 01:12:17,400 Speaker 16: now that you can invest about forty five percent of 1345 01:12:17,520 --> 01:12:20,800 Speaker 16: your retirement fund can be globally invested, so you're getting 1346 01:12:20,920 --> 01:12:24,560 Speaker 16: very good diversification. The only downside is the sort of 1347 01:12:24,640 --> 01:12:27,240 Speaker 16: lock up rules, which is you can't really access a 1348 01:12:27,320 --> 01:12:29,280 Speaker 16: lot of the money. You can access a portion of it, 1349 01:12:29,640 --> 01:12:31,320 Speaker 16: but the bulk of the money you'll only be able 1350 01:12:31,360 --> 01:12:35,040 Speaker 16: to access from age fifty five onwards. So again, the 1351 01:12:35,120 --> 01:12:38,240 Speaker 16: product needs to align with your time horizon. This is 1352 01:12:38,280 --> 01:12:40,640 Speaker 16: something that you choose for your long term investments, but 1353 01:12:40,840 --> 01:12:42,320 Speaker 16: not your short term investments. 1354 01:12:43,840 --> 01:12:47,000 Speaker 3: Warren, We've got a question from Tammy. She says, I've 1355 01:12:47,080 --> 01:12:48,800 Speaker 3: just been told I'm going to be a retrench soon. 1356 01:12:49,600 --> 01:12:52,040 Speaker 3: I'm getting a retrenchment payout. How do I make it last? 1357 01:12:52,080 --> 01:12:54,280 Speaker 3: While I'm looking for a new job. Such an interesting question. 1358 01:12:54,720 --> 01:12:58,679 Speaker 3: Your questions too for Warren Ingram on seven to seven 1359 01:12:58,920 --> 01:13:01,720 Speaker 3: two one seven or two back with Warren in the moment. 1360 01:13:03,640 --> 01:13:06,160 Speaker 1: The Money Show Stephen Crotes is brought to you by 1361 01:13:06,240 --> 01:13:10,799 Speaker 1: Absolve Corporate and Investment backing proud sponsors of GTR Africa 1362 01:13:10,920 --> 01:13:14,439 Speaker 1: twenty twenty six, enabling trade flows for growth, as does 1363 01:13:14,479 --> 01:13:15,840 Speaker 1: the registered epathy. 1364 01:13:17,280 --> 01:13:19,840 Speaker 4: For The Money Show Personal Finance with. 1365 01:13:20,000 --> 01:13:24,320 Speaker 3: Warren Ingram ten minutes to eight the time, and of 1366 01:13:24,400 --> 01:13:27,880 Speaker 3: course we've got a question for you, Warren from Tammy 1367 01:13:28,000 --> 01:13:30,880 Speaker 3: saying about to be retrenched, I'm getting about how do 1368 01:13:30,960 --> 01:13:32,400 Speaker 3: I make it last while I look for a new 1369 01:13:32,479 --> 01:13:34,120 Speaker 3: job in a very tough position to be in. At 1370 01:13:34,200 --> 01:13:35,639 Speaker 3: least she's thinking it all through. 1371 01:13:37,120 --> 01:13:41,400 Speaker 2: Well, what a what a horrible tough situation to be in. 1372 01:13:42,960 --> 01:13:45,560 Speaker 16: And when you are faced with this kind of a 1373 01:13:45,640 --> 01:13:49,760 Speaker 16: financial emergency, let's hope it's not a crisis and it's 1374 01:13:49,880 --> 01:13:51,400 Speaker 16: just just an emergency. 1375 01:13:52,080 --> 01:13:53,479 Speaker 2: Then a couple of comments. 1376 01:13:53,560 --> 01:13:57,760 Speaker 16: One, you know, it's very important to kind of go 1377 01:13:57,960 --> 01:14:01,599 Speaker 16: into financial triage where you where you start to make 1378 01:14:01,880 --> 01:14:04,960 Speaker 16: very tough financial decisions as early as you possibly can, 1379 01:14:05,120 --> 01:14:08,680 Speaker 16: so you know your psychology here is I'm in a 1380 01:14:08,760 --> 01:14:12,439 Speaker 16: position where I've got to make the most difficult decisions possible, 1381 01:14:12,520 --> 01:14:14,679 Speaker 16: and I should do them very quickly and very early, 1382 01:14:15,000 --> 01:14:17,400 Speaker 16: not late when I've run out of all of my options. 1383 01:14:18,000 --> 01:14:21,760 Speaker 16: And and so just thinking about things like, you know, 1384 01:14:21,840 --> 01:14:25,640 Speaker 16: if you've got big car repayments and and you know 1385 01:14:25,720 --> 01:14:28,880 Speaker 16: it's a car you can sell and and and at 1386 01:14:29,000 --> 01:14:31,760 Speaker 16: least not have this big car hanging over you all 1387 01:14:31,800 --> 01:14:33,519 Speaker 16: the time where you've got to make this big payment 1388 01:14:33,600 --> 01:14:35,479 Speaker 16: and you don't know where the money's going to come from. 1389 01:14:35,800 --> 01:14:37,600 Speaker 2: Then it would be decisions like that. 1390 01:14:38,120 --> 01:14:40,720 Speaker 16: Or you know, you owe money on a credit card 1391 01:14:40,800 --> 01:14:43,080 Speaker 16: and there's the potential for you to settle the card. 1392 01:14:43,880 --> 01:14:46,160 Speaker 2: You know, also something to think about. 1393 01:14:46,240 --> 01:14:49,479 Speaker 16: But I think the starting point is, you know, face 1394 01:14:49,560 --> 01:14:52,920 Speaker 16: the reality and and and then second one will be 1395 01:14:53,439 --> 01:14:57,519 Speaker 16: your prospects if you are attrenched, and usually retrenchments don't happen, 1396 01:14:57,560 --> 01:14:59,439 Speaker 16: you know, in a day or in a week, there 1397 01:14:59,520 --> 01:15:01,519 Speaker 16: is a little bit of time the company starts talking 1398 01:15:01,560 --> 01:15:04,360 Speaker 16: to you and consulting with you, and and you know, 1399 01:15:04,479 --> 01:15:07,240 Speaker 16: I would also suggest you've got to be incredibly proactive 1400 01:15:07,280 --> 01:15:10,760 Speaker 16: about looking for a position. If it's likely that you 1401 01:15:10,880 --> 01:15:13,479 Speaker 16: get a position quickly, that then maybe you don't need 1402 01:15:13,560 --> 01:15:16,960 Speaker 16: to make very radical decisions immediately, like selling your car. 1403 01:15:17,439 --> 01:15:21,000 Speaker 16: But if you are uncertain or you think there's a 1404 01:15:21,120 --> 01:15:24,479 Speaker 16: there's a small chance of getting a new position quickly, 1405 01:15:24,880 --> 01:15:27,840 Speaker 16: then you've got to say, I'm in a crisis right now. 1406 01:15:28,200 --> 01:15:31,080 Speaker 16: I've got to make very tough decisions now because I've 1407 01:15:31,080 --> 01:15:34,000 Speaker 16: still got choices, and and so then I would say, 1408 01:15:34,400 --> 01:15:37,559 Speaker 16: it's cutting your costs as fast as you possibly can, uh, 1409 01:15:37,760 --> 01:15:40,519 Speaker 16: and and making sure that you're you're you're paying the 1410 01:15:40,560 --> 01:15:43,439 Speaker 16: absolute bare minimum stuff. You know, so you know, how 1411 01:15:43,520 --> 01:15:46,360 Speaker 16: can you how can you eliminate the unnecessary from your 1412 01:15:46,400 --> 01:15:50,560 Speaker 16: life as quickly as possible? Cutting streaming services, you know, subscriptions, 1413 01:15:50,640 --> 01:15:52,600 Speaker 16: all of those things you know you need to do 1414 01:15:52,760 --> 01:15:55,800 Speaker 16: that you know, kind of radical cut right now. And 1415 01:15:56,000 --> 01:15:58,080 Speaker 16: there is no cost that's too small to look at 1416 01:15:58,120 --> 01:16:00,400 Speaker 16: in a situation like this, I think you start with, 1417 01:16:00,600 --> 01:16:02,880 Speaker 16: you know, your last few months of expenses, and you say, 1418 01:16:03,360 --> 01:16:05,680 Speaker 16: you know, obviously I need to eat, Obviously I need 1419 01:16:05,720 --> 01:16:08,759 Speaker 16: to pay my medical aid, I need to live somewhere. 1420 01:16:08,880 --> 01:16:12,480 Speaker 16: But but pretty much everything else, you know, can be negotiable. 1421 01:16:13,880 --> 01:16:16,360 Speaker 16: The one thing I would say, though, is be very 1422 01:16:16,479 --> 01:16:20,160 Speaker 16: careful of doing things like canceling your medical aid or 1423 01:16:20,320 --> 01:16:22,519 Speaker 16: you know, if you if you've got a car and 1424 01:16:22,680 --> 01:16:24,360 Speaker 16: it is paid off and you're going to keep the car, 1425 01:16:24,439 --> 01:16:28,040 Speaker 16: you know, don't cancel your car insurance because those very 1426 01:16:28,240 --> 01:16:30,320 Speaker 16: big risks are the things that could wipe your art, 1427 01:16:30,400 --> 01:16:32,160 Speaker 16: you know, the very next day when you then have 1428 01:16:32,240 --> 01:16:34,120 Speaker 16: a car accident or a medical emergency. 1429 01:16:34,560 --> 01:16:34,760 Speaker 1: Yeah. 1430 01:16:34,960 --> 01:16:36,840 Speaker 3: No, that makes so much sense for right now. I mean, 1431 01:16:37,080 --> 01:16:39,240 Speaker 3: and I like the advice about sort of start now. 1432 01:16:39,360 --> 01:16:41,400 Speaker 3: The more the more you do now, the better options 1433 01:16:41,439 --> 01:16:45,360 Speaker 3: you have. All right, So, building our investment portfolio, and 1434 01:16:45,600 --> 01:16:47,920 Speaker 3: we've now we've worked out what sort of a count 1435 01:16:47,920 --> 01:16:49,320 Speaker 3: we're going to have, but we have to decide in 1436 01:16:49,400 --> 01:16:53,240 Speaker 3: our asset allocation. And this surely is a crucial decision 1437 01:16:53,280 --> 01:16:53,840 Speaker 3: on this road. 1438 01:16:55,680 --> 01:16:58,080 Speaker 16: All the all the research I've ever seen says that 1439 01:16:58,360 --> 01:17:00,920 Speaker 16: it accounts for about, you know, getting the mix of 1440 01:17:00,960 --> 01:17:05,639 Speaker 16: your assets right, in other words, that combination of property, cash, bonds, 1441 01:17:05,880 --> 01:17:09,160 Speaker 16: and shares. If you get that decision right, that will 1442 01:17:09,200 --> 01:17:11,639 Speaker 16: be about ninety percent of the reason why you will 1443 01:17:11,680 --> 01:17:14,680 Speaker 16: be successful. And if you get that decision wrong, then 1444 01:17:14,720 --> 01:17:17,280 Speaker 16: the ninety percent works against you. That will be ninety 1445 01:17:17,280 --> 01:17:19,640 Speaker 16: percent of the reason why your investments don't pan out. 1446 01:17:20,000 --> 01:17:23,840 Speaker 16: So it is an absolutely crucial decision, and I think 1447 01:17:24,080 --> 01:17:28,040 Speaker 16: you can split these into two broad categories, growth assets 1448 01:17:28,200 --> 01:17:31,760 Speaker 16: and then secure assets. So secure assets are things like 1449 01:17:31,960 --> 01:17:36,880 Speaker 16: cash and you know, decent government bonds. You know, I'm 1450 01:17:36,880 --> 01:17:39,000 Speaker 16: not sure i'd go and uven as well in bonds 1451 01:17:39,040 --> 01:17:41,080 Speaker 16: for example, I'm not sure that those are low risk, 1452 01:17:41,400 --> 01:17:45,240 Speaker 16: but those are your low growth but secure and then 1453 01:17:45,320 --> 01:17:48,680 Speaker 16: your high growth but very volatile assets would would be 1454 01:17:48,760 --> 01:17:52,280 Speaker 16: the stock market and the property market. And so you 1455 01:17:52,400 --> 01:17:54,479 Speaker 16: do want to get growth. You do want to grow 1456 01:17:54,520 --> 01:17:57,800 Speaker 16: your assets faster than inflation. So bias, you know, having 1457 01:17:57,840 --> 01:18:00,679 Speaker 16: a bias and your investments to the growth asset makes sense. 1458 01:18:01,080 --> 01:18:02,920 Speaker 16: But you do need a spread, and that you do 1459 01:18:03,120 --> 01:18:06,720 Speaker 16: need that beloved d word, the diversification. So you need 1460 01:18:06,760 --> 01:18:08,519 Speaker 16: to make sure you've got to spread across all of 1461 01:18:08,640 --> 01:18:11,479 Speaker 16: them and then don't forget that you're spreading them in 1462 01:18:11,600 --> 01:18:14,479 Speaker 16: South Africa and globally as well. And if you get 1463 01:18:14,560 --> 01:18:17,120 Speaker 16: that spread right, when we do get some kind of 1464 01:18:17,200 --> 01:18:19,360 Speaker 16: an unforeseen event like we're seeing now in the Middle 1465 01:18:19,400 --> 01:18:22,439 Speaker 16: East where something just happens on a Saturday or a 1466 01:18:22,479 --> 01:18:25,240 Speaker 16: Sunday and it derails your portfolio, if you have a 1467 01:18:25,280 --> 01:18:27,840 Speaker 16: good spread of assets, it gives you a huge amount 1468 01:18:27,880 --> 01:18:30,559 Speaker 16: of protection compared to someone, for example, who just buys 1469 01:18:30,960 --> 01:18:33,200 Speaker 16: text shares and suddenly they fall apart, you know, and 1470 01:18:33,280 --> 01:18:36,439 Speaker 16: drop fifty or sixty percent in a short period of time. 1471 01:18:36,760 --> 01:18:38,559 Speaker 16: That's when you get the asset deloication wrong. 1472 01:18:39,479 --> 01:18:41,360 Speaker 3: And how complicated should it be? 1473 01:18:43,520 --> 01:18:45,400 Speaker 16: I think we should make life pretty simple. I mean, 1474 01:18:45,400 --> 01:18:47,800 Speaker 16: I think you can choose two or three funds, you know, 1475 01:18:47,840 --> 01:18:50,040 Speaker 16: whether you say I'm going to buy a balanced fund 1476 01:18:50,120 --> 01:18:53,160 Speaker 16: in South Africa a balanced fund overseas, and maybe you 1477 01:18:53,240 --> 01:18:55,240 Speaker 16: just have two funds and you know, if you do 1478 01:18:55,360 --> 01:18:59,760 Speaker 16: that consistently and simply simply, I think you can get 1479 01:18:59,840 --> 01:19:03,240 Speaker 16: very very good diversification with art having to build a 1480 01:19:03,280 --> 01:19:06,240 Speaker 16: complex portfolio that you're managing twenty four hours a day 1481 01:19:06,280 --> 01:19:07,800 Speaker 16: instead of you know, living and working. 1482 01:19:08,520 --> 01:19:12,080 Speaker 3: Okay, so now I've invested and now I've got the 1483 01:19:12,160 --> 01:19:15,320 Speaker 3: app looking at the stock market every day? How should 1484 01:19:15,320 --> 01:19:15,799 Speaker 3: I behave? 1485 01:19:15,920 --> 01:19:16,080 Speaker 7: Now? 1486 01:19:18,080 --> 01:19:20,040 Speaker 16: You should behave as if that doesn't exist, that you 1487 01:19:20,520 --> 01:19:22,640 Speaker 16: don't have an app, that you don't have a portfolio, 1488 01:19:23,360 --> 01:19:26,519 Speaker 16: and you know, miraculously, only every six months do you 1489 01:19:26,640 --> 01:19:28,840 Speaker 16: somehow remember that you've got this thing and then you 1490 01:19:28,920 --> 01:19:30,920 Speaker 16: look at it and you check it. But for the 1491 01:19:31,000 --> 01:19:33,880 Speaker 16: rest you should you should you know, have a correct 1492 01:19:33,920 --> 01:19:37,160 Speaker 16: structure and then let it do its job. Investments do 1493 01:19:37,360 --> 01:19:40,800 Speaker 16: incredibly well when you don't mess around with them and 1494 01:19:40,920 --> 01:19:42,400 Speaker 16: change them all the time. And it's the thing that 1495 01:19:42,520 --> 01:19:46,400 Speaker 16: people do, unfortunately, is they get emotional because there's an 1496 01:19:46,439 --> 01:19:49,400 Speaker 16: event that social media screaming at them, the friends tell 1497 01:19:49,439 --> 01:19:51,400 Speaker 16: them that the world is ending, and then they start 1498 01:19:51,479 --> 01:19:54,320 Speaker 16: to look at their portfolios and adjust them. So I 1499 01:19:54,360 --> 01:19:58,200 Speaker 16: would say, the less you can look at the portfolio, 1500 01:19:58,240 --> 01:20:02,480 Speaker 16: the better. And second, what can you do to automate 1501 01:20:02,680 --> 01:20:05,120 Speaker 16: your savings? In other words, can you set up debit 1502 01:20:05,240 --> 01:20:08,080 Speaker 16: orders to go into your accounts that are appropriate and 1503 01:20:08,560 --> 01:20:10,400 Speaker 16: you don't have to think about them every month? You 1504 01:20:10,439 --> 01:20:12,600 Speaker 16: don't have to, you know, consider what's going on in 1505 01:20:12,680 --> 01:20:15,080 Speaker 16: the world. You just say, on the second of every month, 1506 01:20:15,200 --> 01:20:17,160 Speaker 16: I know I'm adding to my investments. I know they're 1507 01:20:17,479 --> 01:20:20,280 Speaker 16: correctly positioned, and in six months from now, I'll have 1508 01:20:20,400 --> 01:20:22,960 Speaker 16: a look and make sure everything's okay, and six months 1509 01:20:23,000 --> 01:20:25,800 Speaker 16: thereafter I'll do it again. But the less you can 1510 01:20:25,840 --> 01:20:27,519 Speaker 16: look at it and the less you can worry about it, 1511 01:20:27,640 --> 01:20:30,679 Speaker 16: the better your investment returns will be over time. 1512 01:20:31,479 --> 01:20:34,719 Speaker 3: Okay, So you basically need I mean, what's the phrase 1513 01:20:34,760 --> 01:20:36,800 Speaker 3: about you need time in the market. You've got to 1514 01:20:36,800 --> 01:20:38,439 Speaker 3: put it in and keep it there. 1515 01:20:39,640 --> 01:20:43,280 Speaker 16: Yeah, it's it's such a cliche, and unfortunately there isn't 1516 01:20:43,280 --> 01:20:46,240 Speaker 16: a better one. So you know, understanding that the longer 1517 01:20:46,280 --> 01:20:49,160 Speaker 16: you let your investments remain in the markets, doesn't matter 1518 01:20:49,240 --> 01:20:52,400 Speaker 16: that they're incredibly volatile, that the better it will be 1519 01:20:52,520 --> 01:20:54,720 Speaker 16: for you over a long period of time. It is 1520 01:20:54,960 --> 01:20:59,200 Speaker 16: actually impossible to become a legendary market timer. You know, 1521 01:20:59,320 --> 01:21:02,000 Speaker 16: legendary market time is you see them in the movies. 1522 01:21:02,240 --> 01:21:03,479 Speaker 2: They're not in the real world. 1523 01:21:03,560 --> 01:21:06,280 Speaker 16: And there might be one or two people that are 1524 01:21:06,320 --> 01:21:09,479 Speaker 16: incredibly lucky from time to time. But for the bulk 1525 01:21:09,560 --> 01:21:11,280 Speaker 16: of us, if we want to do this simply and 1526 01:21:11,360 --> 01:21:13,400 Speaker 16: we want to be sure that we're going to get 1527 01:21:13,439 --> 01:21:17,200 Speaker 16: good capital growth, leave your investment correctly structured, don't worry 1528 01:21:17,240 --> 01:21:19,559 Speaker 16: about the market drops that are going to happen a lot, 1529 01:21:20,280 --> 01:21:23,040 Speaker 16: and just give your portfolio time to growth. It's that 1530 01:21:23,280 --> 01:21:26,400 Speaker 16: the power of compounding is leaving things alone for a 1531 01:21:26,479 --> 01:21:27,320 Speaker 16: long period of time. 1532 01:21:27,680 --> 01:21:30,519 Speaker 3: Warren and Gram thank you so much, really appreciated financial 1533 01:21:30,560 --> 01:21:34,840 Speaker 3: advisor co founder at Galileo Capital, on personal finance tonight. 1534 01:21:35,360 --> 01:21:39,640 Speaker 3: Decisions about benefits shouldn't be guesswork. Samaka consult part of 1535 01:21:39,760 --> 01:21:43,599 Speaker 3: sun Lum Corporate Walk's decision makers through retirement and employee 1536 01:21:43,640 --> 01:21:48,759 Speaker 3: benefit solutions, independent advice, practical governance and strategies shaped around 1537 01:21:48,840 --> 01:21:53,680 Speaker 3: real people. They take employee care personally because you do too. 1538 01:21:54,439 --> 01:21:58,160 Speaker 3: When you care, everyone benefits. Talk to Samaka and build 1539 01:21:58,200 --> 01:22:01,320 Speaker 3: an age of confidence to get that. Find out more 1540 01:22:01,479 --> 01:22:03,320 Speaker 3: at Samitaconsults dot co. 1541 01:22:03,840 --> 01:22:09,160 Speaker 1: Dot The Money Show Stephen Krutez is brought to you 1542 01:22:09,360 --> 01:22:13,560 Speaker 1: by Absolve Corporate and Investment backing proud sponsors of GTR 1543 01:22:13,760 --> 01:22:16,560 Speaker 1: Africa twenty twenty six, enabling trade. 1544 01:22:16,320 --> 01:22:17,200 Speaker 3: Flows for growth. 1545 01:22:17,439 --> 01:22:18,919 Speaker 2: AHAPS is a register fsp. 1546 01:22:20,360 --> 01:22:20,519 Speaker 8: Well. 1547 01:22:20,600 --> 01:22:24,240 Speaker 3: US market's turning positive tonight despite all of the sort 1548 01:22:24,280 --> 01:22:26,680 Speaker 3: of fears and concerns and all the rest of it. 1549 01:22:27,040 --> 01:22:29,280 Speaker 3: The Dow Jones is up point twenty nine, the Nastics 1550 01:22:29,360 --> 01:22:31,360 Speaker 3: up point five four, The S and P five hundred 1551 01:22:31,479 --> 01:22:34,519 Speaker 3: is up point four to four. Plenty of time for 1552 01:22:34,640 --> 01:22:37,880 Speaker 3: things to happen before we talk to you again tomorrow 1553 01:22:37,920 --> 01:22:41,320 Speaker 3: about follow Warren's advice and leave your investments alone. Back tomorrow, 1554 01:22:41,360 --> 01:22:42,000 Speaker 3: Good evening, Age